NORTH-KOREAN NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS OF 2006, 2009
Transcription
NORTH-KOREAN NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS OF 2006, 2009
(T2-P50) NORTH-KOREAN NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS OF 2006, 2009, 2013 BY DATA OF KAZAKHSTAN MONITORING NETWORK Mikhailova N.N., Sokolova I.N., Aristova I.L. Institute of Geophysical Research, Kazakhstan Table2. Kinematic and dynamic characteristics of May 25, 2009 explosion seismic records by data of the RSE IGR seismic stations. Since 1994 the monitoring network of the RSE IGR that includes 4 small aperture, one mid-aperture, and one large-aperture seismic arrays, 7 three-component stations and 2 infrasound arrays (Figure 1) has been operating successfully on the territory of Kazakhstan. Owing to good stations location in view of geology and characteristics of seismic noise, well-configured arrays, location of most stations in boreholes, joint operation of broadband and short-period instruments, all system stations are high sensitive to regional and teleseismic events. Five Kazakhstan stations are included into the International Monitoring System of the Comprehensive Test-Ban Treaty Organization (PS23, AS057, AS058, AS059 and IS31) [1]. Data of Kazakhstan stations and its processing results are transferred to different International and National Data Centers, among them are: IDC, ISC, EMSC, USGS, GSRAS. Figure 1. The map of the RSE IGR stations location; 1 – seismic arrays, 2 – three-component seismic stations, 3 – infrasound stations. Station , km MKAR 3739 KURK 3960 True azimuth to the tP epicenter 82,07 1:02:23.1 85,36 1:01:42.6 KUR* 3968 85,16 1:01:44.1 4,1 VOS 4463 82,58 1:02:23.1 4,73 BVAR 4498 82,52 1:02:22.9 4,15 BRVK 4504 82,48 1:02:23.1 4,45 ZRNK 4591 81,47 1:02:23.1 4,7 KKAR 4738 71,62 1:02:23.1 ABKAR 5303 72,09 1:03:21.8 4,45 AKTO 5395 71,98 1:03:27.9 4,35 mb 4,17 Estimated azimuth, f-k Apparent velocity, analysis km/s 89,41 8,66 4,66 85,52 12,59 85,75 11,11 74,07 12,9 *Kurchatov-Cross seismic array. Note: The stations that recorded all three explosions are in blue. Figure 6 shows the recording system of the third North Korean nuclear explosion of February 12, 2013. The clear signal was recorded at all stations except three-component station KNDC in Almaty. The records of vertical component of three-component broadband instruments (filter with central frequency of 1.25 Hz) are shown in Figure 7. Only arrivals of P and PcP are clearly seen. Other seismic phases are absent. Table 3 shows kinematic characteristics and magnitude of seismic event by data of these stations. On February 12, 2013 Kazakhstan stations recorded a nuclear test conducted by North Korea. Operative data processing was conducted at Kazakhstan National Data Center. This is third test conducted by North Korea and recorded by Kazakhstan stations network (10.9.2006, 05.25.2009, 02.12.2013). The epicentral distances range from Kazakhstan stations to Punggye-ri Test Site is 3725 – 5350 km, azimuth’s range is small – 13 degrees. Data were used by different seismological agencies to determine the explosions parameters. Figure 2 shows the recording system of the first North Korean nuclear test of October 9, 2006 [2]. Kazakhstan stations data are transferred to some International Data Centers (USGS, IDC, GFZ) in real time, where they are used for the sources parameters assessment jointly with other seismic stations of the world. In addition, KNDC sends seismological bulletins with Kazakhstan stations processing results to some International Seismological Agencies (ISC, GSRAS, EMSC) that are used to determine seismic events parameters. Table 4 shows the parameters results of North Korean explosions determined by different international seismological centers using Kazakhstan stations data [4-7]. The Table also shows the localization results made by KNDC, although, it was possible to state, a priori, that localization accuracy by Kazakhstan stations only will be lower than using data of global monitoring networks. All Kazakhstan stations are located in narrow azimuth range, and large distances. Three seismic arrays – ABKAR, MKAR and Kurchatov-Cross of the RSE IGR network stations recorded all three explosions. Comparison of North Korean explosions parameters by the same stations of the network aimed at assessment of relative difference of magnitudes of three explosions is of large interest. Figure 8 shows the seismograms of North Korean explosions on vertical components of seismic arrays elements ABKAR, MKAR and Kurchatov-Cross. Table 5 shows the comparison of amplitudes fluctuations on three components for three nuclear explosions by seismic arrays that recorded all three explosions – Akbulak, Makanchi, and Kurchatov-Cross (during the second explosion the three-element KUR21 of Kurchatov-Cross did not operate, other elements KUR01-KUR20 operated properly). All stations show natural increase of the explosions amplitudes that testifies the explosions yield increase – the second explosion was larger than first one, the third one was larger than second one. This fact stipulated the increase of stations number that recorded each subsequent explosion. Table 5. Comparison of fluctuations amplitudes by three components for three nuclear explosions by stations Akbulak and Makanchi Stations ABKAR MKAR KUR Figure 6. Mutual location of the NNC RK stations (triangles) and the epicenter of the nuclear explosion in North Korea (star). Figure 2. Mutual location of the RSE IGR stations (triangles) and the nuclear test epicenter in North Korea (star). Red triangles – stations that have good records of the nuclear explosion and which data were transferred to the International Centers; white triangles – that did not record the explosion. The most distinct signal from the first nuclear test was recorded by Akbulak seismic array and three subarrays of large aperture system Borovoye – Vostochnoye, Chkalovo, Zerenda. Less distinct arrivals were at the stations Kurchatov-Cross and Makanchi. Figure 3 shows the records of vertical component of 3-component broadband instruments after applying the filter with central frequency of 1.25 Hz (the filter width is 2/3 octaves at the level of -3dB from maximum). Only P-wave arrivals are distinct. Other seismic phases are absent. Table 1. Kinematic and dynamic characteristics of October 9, 2006 explosion seismic records. MKAR KUR* VOS CHKZ ZRNK ABKAR 3746 3974 4469 4481 4598 5310 True azimuth to epicenter 82,06 85,14 82,55 83,41 81,44 72,07 tP mb 01:42:11.5 01:42:28.5 01:43:05.6 01:43:07.1 01:43:15.4 01:44:07.2 3,79 3,97 3,95 3,87 3,9 3,82 Estimated azimuth, Apparent f-k analysis (km/s) 89,17 11,04 85,39 11,76 velocity Station , km MKAR MAKZ KURK KUR* PDGK KNDC OTUK BVAR BRVK KKAR ABKAR AKTO 3744 3768 3965 3972 4036 4237 4455 4502 4508 4743 5308 5399 True azimuth 82,02 81,86 85,3 85,11 75,72 74,49 78,14 82,46 82,42 71,58 72,04 71,93 tP mb 3:04:33.7 3:04:35.6 3:04:50.3 3:04:51.5 3:04:56.1 3:05:13.9 3:05:28.0 3:05:30.6 3:05:31.4 3:05:48.6 3:06:28.8 3:06:35.1 4,67 4,73 5,08 4,6 4,79 * Kurchatov-Cross seismic array. 4,48 4,55 4,67 4,61 4,84 4,77 Estimated azimuth, Apparent velocity, km/s f-k analysis 89,6 10,28 85,55 12,49 84,07 13,19 71,08 75,63 12,57 13,03 Note: The stations that recorded all three explosions are in blue. Table 4. The parameters of three North Korean nuclear explosions by data from different seismological centers. 76,02 15,54 *Kurchatov-Cross seismic array. Note: the stations that recorded all three explosions are blue. Figure 4 shows the recording system of the second North Korean nuclear explosion of May 25, 2009 [3]. Almost all stations except three-component KNDC station in Almaty and KKAR seismic array recorded a distinct signal. Figure 5 shows the records of vertical component of 3-component broadband instruments after applying the filter with central frequency of 1.25 Hz. Arrivals of P and PcP waves are clearly seen. Other phases are absent. Table 2 shows kinematic characteristics and magnitude of the seismic event by data of these stations. Figure 4. Mutual location of the NNC RK stations (triangles) and the epicenter of North Korean nuclear explosion (star). Figure 5. The records of the nuclear explosions of May 25, 2009 by vertical components of the NNC RK stations. Filter is 1.25 Hz. 3 explosion, 2013 N, E, Z, nm nm nm 1.8 6.1 8.4 1.6 4.0 6.2 12.8 3.0 23.3 Figure 7. Records of the nuclear test of February 12, 2013 by vertical components of the RSE IGR stations. Filter is 1.25 Hz. Figure 3. Records of North Korean explosion of October 9, 2006 on vertical components of Kazakhstan stations. Filter 1.25 Hz. Table 1 shows kinematic characteristics and magnitude of seismic event by these stations. , km 2 explosion, 2009 N, E, Z, nm nm nm 1.0 2.1 3.4 1.5 1.4 1.8 The magnitudes increment of the second explosion in comparison with the first one by all three stations coincide and is mb(2009)mb(2006)~0.6, third with second mb(2013)-mb(2009)~0,4 (Table 6). As for mb magnitude with solutions of other International Centers, magnitudes understating is observed by the RSE IGR stations, that is, probably, due to processing peculiarities at KNDC. Before the amplitudes measure, a narrow-band filter SKM was applied for mb magnitude calculation. For example, mb magnitude difference with NEIC solution is 0,2-0,4 (Table 4). Calculated azimuths to epicenter and observed ones were compared by f-k analysis results (Table 6). ABKAR seismic array shows systematic deviation of observed azimuth in comparison with calculated one, the difference is 3.2. MKAR seismic array shows identical azimuths residual for all three explosions, that is 7.3. At Kurchatov-Cross seismic array the observed and calculated azimuth was almost the same for all three explosions, the difference was 0.4. Thus, Kurchatov-Cross seismic array can be considered as a basic one for North Korean Punggye-ri Test Site area; to enhance localization accuracy of other stations, corrections for azimuths are to be applied. a) Table 3. Kinematiс and dynamic characteristics of explosion seismic records of February 12, 2013. Station 1 explosion, 2006 N, E, Z, nm nm nm 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 b) c) Figure 8. Comparative analysis of North Korean nuclear tests by data of RSE IGR (up – down: 10/06/2006, 05/25/2009, 02/12/2013). a) ABKAR station, b) KUR20 element of Kurchatov-Cross seismic array, c) MKAR station. Z-component. Table 5. Parameters of three North Korean tests by data of ABKAR, MKAR, KUR20 stations. 10.09.2006 05.25.2009 02.12.2013 10.06.2006 05.25.2009 02.12.2013 10.06.2006 05.25.2009 02.12.2013 Station ABKAR MKAR KUR20* Azimuth 76.02 74.07 75.63 89.17 89.41 89.6 85.39 85.52 85.55 AZ 3.95 1,98 3.59 7.11 7.34 7.58 0.25 0.36 0.44 Amp,nm 0.8 3.4 8.4 0.4 1.8 6.2 1.2 2.0 7.8 mb 3.82 4.45 4.84 3.48 4.17 4.67 3.54 4.1 4.6 mb-mb(2006) 0 0,63 1,02 0 0,69 1,19 0 0,56 1,06 mb-mb(NEIC) -0,5 -0,3 -0,3 -0,8 -0,5 -0,4 -0,8 -0,6 -0,5 *element of Kurchatov-Cross seismic array UNE Source Origin time, h.,min.,s. Latitude, N Longitude, E Number of stations mb Kazakhstan stations participated in processing 10.09.2006 GS RAS (Russia) 01:35:26.0 41.35 128.96 11 4.0 MKAR 05.25.2009 GS RAS (Russia) 00:54:40.9 41.29 129.07 51 5.0 MKAR,KURK,VOS,BRVK, ZRNK, ABKAR, AKTO 02.12.2013 GS RAS (Russia) 02:57:49.4 41.31 129.1 70 5.3 MKAR, MAKZ, KURK,PDGK, OTUK, BRVK, KKAR, ABKAR, AKTO 10.09.2006 RSE IGR 01:35:30.7 41.105 128.518 6 3.9 KUR, ZRNK, VOS, CHKZ, BRVK, ABKAR 05.25.2009 RSE IGR 00:54:43.2 41.386 129.139 11 4.5 MKAR, KURK, KUR, VOS, BRVK, BVAR, ZRNK, ABKAR, AKTO, CHKZ, KNDC, KKAR, 02.12.2013 RSE IGR 02:57:53.3 41.554 128.997 12 4.7 ABKAR, AKTO, BRVK, BVAR, KKAR, KURK, KUR, MAKZ, MKAR, OTUK, PDGK, KNDC 10.09.2006 NEIC (USA) 01:35:28.0 41.294 129.094 31 4.3 CHKZ,ZRNK, BRVK, MKAR 05.25.2009 NEIC (USA) 00:54:43.3 41.306 129.029 75 4.7 MKAR, KURK, BRVK, BVAR, AKTO 02.12.2013 NEIC (USA) 02:57:51.4 41.308 129.076 168 5.1 MKAR, MAKZ, KURK, BRVK, KKAR, ABKAR 10.09.2006 IDC (REB) 01:35:27.6 41.312 129.019 22 4.1 MKAR 05.25.2009 IDC (REB) 00:54:42.8 41.311 129.046 59 4.5 MKAR, KUR, BVAR, AKTO 02.12.2013 IDC (REB) 02:57:50.8 41.301 129.065 51 4.9 MKAR, KUR, BVAR, AKTO References 1.Mikhailova N.N., Sinyova Z.I., Sokolova I.N. Kazakhstan monitoring system of the Institute of Geophysical Researches of National Nuclear Center and its capabilities // Seismic prediction observations on the territory of Azerbaijan/RCSS NASA. – 2012. – P.329 – 336. 2.Mikhailova N.N., Sokolova I.N. North Korean nuclear test of October 9, 2006 by data of Kazakhstan and global monitoring systems // Vestnik NNC RK. Vol. 1. 2008. P. 17-26. 3.Mikhailova N.N. North Korean nuclear test of May 25, 2009 by data of Kazakhstan monitoring system // Vestnik NNC RK. – 2009. – Vol. 3. P. 17 – 21. 05.25.2009 EMSC (France) 00:54:44.5 41.31 128.98 126 4.8 MKAR, KURK, BRVK 4.Internet resource http://www.isc.ac.uk. 02.12.2013 EMSC (France) 02:57:51.4 41.32 128.99 514 5.0 ABKAR, AKTO, BRVK, BVAR, KKAR, KURK, MAKZ, MKAR, OTUK, PDGK 5.Internet resource http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/epic. 6.Internet resource http://www.ceme.gsras.ru/ccd.htm Conclusion. 1. North Korean nuclear explosions of October 9, 2006, May 25 2009 and February 12, 2013 were successfully recorded by Kazakhstan seismic network and global seismic networks. All determinations of the epicenter location conducted in International Data Centers are of high accuracy (several kilometers). 2. By data of Kazakhstan monitoring stations, corrections for azimuths to epicenters of North Korean nuclear explosions were calculated, as well as magnitudes increments for three explosions. 3. Significant progress in all monitoring parts – detection, localization and identification of the explosion source was noted for national and international monitoring systems. Contribution of Kazakhstan stations into detection and processing of signals was significant, its data were used in all processing stages in different Data Centers. 7.Internet resource http://www.emsc-csem.org