Minimal Stimulation IVF versus Conventional IVF
Transcription
Minimal Stimulation IVF versus Conventional IVF
Accepted Manuscript Minimal Stimulation IVF versus Conventional IVF: A Randomized Controlled Trial John J. Zhang, M.D., Ph.D, Zaher Merhi, M.D, Mingxue Yang, M.D., Ph.D, Daniel Bodri, M.D., Ph.D, Alejandro Chavez-Badiola, M.D, Sjoerd Repping, Ph.D, Madelon van Wely, Ph.D PII: S0002-9378(15)00860-1 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2015.08.009 Reference: YMOB 10573 To appear in: American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology Received Date: 10 June 2015 Revised Date: 21 July 2015 Accepted Date: 4 August 2015 Please cite this article as: Zhang JJ, Merhi Z, Yang M, Bodri D, Chavez-Badiola A, Repping S, van Wely M, Minimal Stimulation IVF versus Conventional IVF: A Randomized Controlled Trial, American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology (2015), doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2015.08.009. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1 Minimal Stimulation IVF versus Conventional IVF: 2 A Randomized Controlled Trial 3 Authors: John J. Zhang, M.D., Ph.D.1; Zaher Merhi, M.D.2, Mingxue Yang M.D., 5 Ph.D.1; Daniel Bodri, M.D., Ph.D.1; Alejandro Chavez-Badiola, M.D.1; Sjoerd 6 Repping, Ph.D.3 ; Madelon van Wely, Ph.D.3 RI PT 4 7 8 Institutions: 9 1. Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, New Hope Fertility Center, New York, 12 13 14 SC 11 NY, United States 2. Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Reproductive Biology, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States 3. Center for Reproductive Medicine, Academic Medical Center, University of M AN U 10 Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands 15 16 Corresponding author: 18 John J. Zhang, M.D., Ph.D. 19 Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility 20 New Hope Fertility Center 21 4 Columbus Circle 22 New York, NY, 10019 United States 23 Phone: (212) 400-9636 24 Email: johnzhang98@yahoo.com 27 28 29 EP AC C 25 26 TE D 17 Running title: Mini-IVF versus conventional IVF Financial disclosure for all authors: None 30 31 Funding: Internal grant funding from New Hope Fertility Center 32 33 34 To be published in print: Table 4 35 1 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 36 37 38 ABSTRACT 39 protocol that may reduce ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS), multiple 40 pregnancy rates and cost while retaining high live birth rates. BACKGROUND: Minimal stimulation IVF (mini-IVF) is an alternative IVF treatment 41 OBJECTIVE (S): We performed a randomized non-inferiority controlled trial with a 43 pre-specified border of -10% comparing one cycle of mini-IVF with single embryo 44 transfer to one cycle of conventional IVF with double embryo transfer. RI PT 42 45 STUDY DESIGN: Five hundred sixty four infertile women (age < 39) undergoing their 47 first IVF cycle were randomly allocated to either mini-IVF or conventional IVF. The 48 primary outcome was cumulative live birth rate per woman over a 6-month period. 49 Secondary outcomes included OHSS, multiple pregnancy rates, and gonadotropin 50 use. The primary outcome was cumulative live birth per randomized woman within a 51 time horizon of 6 months. 52 M AN U SC 46 RESULTS: 564 couples were randomly assigned between February 2009 and 54 August 2013 with 285 allocated to mini-IVF and 279 to conventional IVF. The 55 cumulative live birth rate was 49% (140/285) for mini-IVF and 63% (176/279) for 56 conventional IVF (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.64-0.89). There were no cases of OHSS after 57 mini-IVF compared to 16 (5.7%) moderate/severe OHSS cases after conventional 58 IVF. The multiple pregnancy rates were 6.4% in mini-IVF compared to 32% in 59 conventional IVF (RR 0.25, 95% CI 0.14-0.46). Gonadotropin consumption was 60 significantly lower with mini-IVF compared to conventional IVF (459 ± 131 versus 61 2079 ± 389 IU, p<0.0001). EP AC C 62 TE D 53 63 CONCLUSION (S): Compared to conventional IVF with double embryo transfer, mini- 64 IVF with single embryo transfer lowers live birth rate, completely eliminates OHSS, 65 reduces multiple pregnancy rates and reduces gonadotropin consumption. 66 67 Keywords: IVF; mini-IVF; clomiphene citrate; OHSS; multiple gestations 2 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 68 Introduction 69 The current standard of in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatment involves ovarian 71 hyperstimulation with high-doses of gonadotropins in combination with transfer of one 72 or more embryos1. The major safety issues of conventional IVF are ovarian 73 hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) and multiple pregnancies. Women with OHSS 74 are at serious risk of potentially life-threatening conditions involving hospitalization in 75 1.8% of the cases5. Multiple pregnancies are associated with high risk of 76 preeclampsia, gestational diabetes, antepartum hemorrhage, anemia, preterm 77 delivery and cesarean section4,6,7-9. Preterm birth is associated with a high risk of 78 bronchopulmonary dysplasia, necrotizing enterocolitis, and cerebral palsy8,10,11,12. 79 Additionally, all these complications often lead to expensive hospital admissions13, 80 which impose a steep burden on societal expenses and health services14. M AN U SC RI PT 70 One of the most important factors influencing the rate of multiple births is the 82 number of embryos transferred15. Single embryo transfer (SET) effectively reduces 83 the incidence of multiple pregnancies, but also decreases pregnancy rates per 84 transfer16. Given this reduction in pregnancy chances, the majority of physicians and 85 patients in the United States are reluctant to practice an SET policy; the percentage 86 of SET in IVF cycles ranged between 8.9-14% among women less than 38 years of 87 age in 201217. This resulted in 25-29% multiple pregnancy rates among all 88 pregnancies achieved during the same period of time17. EP AC C 89 TE D 81 Minimal stimulation IVF (mini-IVF) combined with SET has the potential to 90 reduce OHSS and multiple pregnancy rates without significantly lowering live birth 91 rates. Mini-IVF entails the use of clomiphene citrate (CC), which allows an 92 endogenous rise in follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) to be additive to the ovarian 93 stimulation using low doses of gonadotropins 19,20 . In triggering ovulation, mini-IVF 3 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT frequently makes use of a gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist (GnRHa), instead 95 of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), to prevent OHSS. A final contentious 96 feature of mini-IVF is a freeze-all-embryo policy to prevent any negative effect of 97 ovarian stimulation on endometrial receptivity24. In observational studies, mini-IVF 98 has been shown to lead to high pregnancy rates, low multiple pregnancy rates, low 99 OHSS rates, and low cost21,22. RI PT 94 The aim of this non-inferiority randomized trial was to compare the 101 effectiveness and safety of the mini-IVF strategy using freeze-all and SET with 102 conventional IVF using fresh double embryo transfer. AC C EP TE D M AN U SC 100 4 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 103 Materials and Methods 104 105 Study Oversight This minimal ovarian stimulation trial was designed by investigators at the 107 Academic Medical Center (AMC), Amsterdam and the New Hope Fertility Center 108 (NHFC), New York. All the participants received IVF treatments in a single center 109 (NHFC, New York). The non-inferiority trial was approved by the Institutional Review 110 Board of New York Downtown Hospital (IRB approval reference number: JZ-09-08) 111 and was registered before its start at clinicaltrials.gov: NCT 00799929. SC RI PT 106 The trial protocol was approved by a protocol review committee and a data 113 and safety monitoring board, both appointed by NHFC and by the institutional review 114 boards of the New York Downtown Hospital and the Biomedical Research Alliance of 115 New York (BRANY). Randomization, monitoring and data analysis were coordinated 116 at the Academic Medical Center in the Netherlands. 118 TE D 117 M AN U 112 Study design and patients Women were recruited between February 2009 and August 2013 via printed 120 and online media. Participants were responsible to pay for their own medications and 121 they were provided free services (i.e., oocyte retrieval and embryo transfer) as 122 compensation for participation. Inclusion criteria included women aged between 18 123 and 38, having normal menstrual cycles, requiring a first IVF treatment, and infertility 124 diagnoses of male, unexplained and tubal factors. Exclusion criteria included pre- 125 existing medical conditions (such as diabetes, hypertension, hypothyroidism, and 126 hyperprolactinemia), and BMI <18.5 or >32 kg/m2, and day 3 FSH > 12 mIU/mL. 127 Screening tests before initiation of treatment included complete blood count, varicella 128 and rubella titer, pap smear, syphilis, HIV 1 and 2, hepatitis B, hepatitis C, chlamydia, AC C EP 119 5 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 129 gonorrhea, prolactin, thyroid-stimulating hormone, cycle day 3 FSH and estradiol 130 (E2). Ultrasound testing was performed at baseline and women with any submucosal 131 or large intramural fibroids requiring surgery were excluded from the study. 133 Informed consent and randomization RI PT 132 After obtaining written informed consent, women were randomly allocated to 135 mini-IVF or conventional IVF at a 1:1 ratio. The randomization was done at the start 136 of the cycle using sequentially numbered opaque envelopes that had been prepared 137 on basis of a computer-generated list at the Academic Medical Center in the 138 Netherlands and sent to NHFC in New York. Women and medical staff were not 139 blinded for treatment allocation. Outcome data were not disclosed to participants or 140 investigators until completion of the trial. M AN U SC 134 141 Mini-IVF TE D 142 After oral contraceptive pill pre-treatment during 10-14 days, adequate 144 suppression was confirmed with an E2 level of <75 pg/mL. Minimal ovarian 145 stimulation was started with an extended regimen (from day 3 until the day before 146 triggering) of CC (50 mg/day orally) in conjunction with gonadotropin injections 147 (Bravelle and/or Menopur, Ferring, Parsippany, NJ; Follistim, Merck, White House 148 Station, NJ; or Gonal F, EMD Serono, Rockland, MA) starting on cycle day 4-7 with 149 75-150 IU’s daily. No hypothalamic-pituitary suppression was performed and the final 150 maturation of oocytes was induced by a GnRHa nasally (Synarel nasal spray, Pfizer, 151 New York, NY) when the lead follicle reached a diameter of 18 mm or greater (Figure 152 1). Oocyte retrieval was performed mostly with local anesthesia and follicular flushing 153 was performed as needed. Retrieved oocytes were fertilized by conventional IVF or AC C EP 143 6 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 154 ICSI as indicated and subsequently cultured until the blastocyst stage. All blastocysts 155 were vitrified using the CryoTop method (Kitazato Biopharma)25. A single thawed 156 blastocyst was transferred in a subsequent natural or artificially prepared cycle with 157 oral Estrace (Actavis Pharma, Inc, Parsippany, NJ) 22. 159 RI PT 158 Conventional IVF Conventional ovarian stimulation consisted of a long GnRHa protocol using 161 mid-luteal down-regulation (Leuprolide Acetate, Teva, Sellersville, PA) followed by 162 stimulation with daily gonadotropins injections (Bravelle and/or Menopur, Ferring, 163 Parsippany, NJ; Follistim, Merck, White House Station, NJ; or Gonal F, EMD Serono, 164 Rockland, MA) at a dose of 150-300 IU’s daily starting in the early follicular phase 165 (cycle day 3). The final maturation of oocytes was induced with the standard hCG 166 (Novarel, Ferring, Parsippany, NJ; Pregnyl, Merck, White House Station, NJ; or 167 Ovidrel, EMD Serono, Rockland, MA), rather than GnRHa, when at least two follicles 168 reached 18 mm or greater. Oocyte retrieval was performed using mostly general 169 anesthesia because of the presence of a large number of mature follicles. Retrieved 170 oocytes were fertilized by conventional IVF or ICSI according to the same indications 171 as in the mini-IVF protocol and subsequently cultured until the blastocyst stage. Two 172 or one blastocysts– the latter if two embryos were not available or if there was a 173 medical contraindication for DET– were transferred in the fresh cycle. Remaining 174 supernumerary blastocysts were vitrified and two thawed blastocysts or one 175 blastocyst if two were not available were transferred in subsequent naturally or 176 artificially prepared cycles with oral Estrace (Actavis Pharma, Inc, Parsippany, NJ). AC C EP TE D M AN U SC 160 177 178 7 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 179 Outcomes The primary outcome was cumulative live birth per randomized woman 181 (including fresh and subsequent frozen embryo transfers) within a time horizon of 6 182 months. Secondary outcomes were clinical pregnancy rate, OHSS, multiple 183 pregnancy rate, gonadotropin usage, number of retrieved, mature and fertilized 184 oocytes, implantation rate, cancellation rate, and failed fertilization. A clinical 185 pregnancy was defined as at least one intrauterine sac at 6 weeks gestation and live 186 birth was defined as a child born after 22 weeks of gestation or weighing at least 500 187 grams. SC RI PT 180 189 M AN U 188 Sample size calculation and statistical analysis Sample size calculation was based on an expected cumulative live birth rate of 191 65% in ≤ 38 years old women following conventional IVF based on U.S. SART 192 registry data from 2007 because recruitment started in 200917. A non-inferiority 193 margin of -10% was considered a clinically significant difference. Thus, 564 women 194 were needed to assure that with a power of 80% the lower limit of a one-sided 95% 195 confidence interval (CI) was within a pre-specified border of -10%. EP TE D 190 The effectiveness of mini-IVF versus conventional IVF was expressed as a 197 risk ratio for cumulative live birth, with corresponding 95% CI. The risk difference and 198 95% CI for live birth as well as the relative risks (RR) and 95% CI for all binary 199 secondary outcomes were calculated. For continuous outcomes, data were 200 expressed as means ± standard deviation (SD) and the difference between both 201 arms was compared using t-test. Chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used for 202 categorical data as appropriate. The analysis of all outcomes was on an intention to AC C 196 8 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT treat basis. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. SPSS 22.0 was used to 204 perform all statistical analyses. AC C EP TE D M AN U SC RI PT 203 9 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 205 Results 206 A total of 771 women were assessed for eligibility (Figure 2). Of these, 180 208 women did not fulfill the inclusion criteria (41 had no indication for IVF, 20 had pre- 209 existing medical conditions interfering with IVF treatment, 75 had abnormal screening 210 results, 2 were pregnant at the time of screening, 9 had personal problems, and 33 211 had multiple reasons) and 27 women did not give informed consent. A total of 564 212 women were randomly allocated to the mini-IVF strategy or to conventional IVF. Four 213 women in the mini-IVF arm and six women in the conventional IVF arm did not 214 receive the allocated intervention due to withdrawal before starting treatment. 215 Additionally, three women in the mini-IVF arm and six women in the conventional IVF 216 arm dropped-out after starting treatment due to reasons detailed in Figure 2. 217 Cancelled cycles, failed fertilization, and blastocyst developmental failure in each arm 218 are shown in Figure 2. In the mini-IVF arm, of the 281 participants who received the 219 allocated intervention, 6 did not make it to the oocyte retrieval stage (3 had ovarian 220 cyst at the baseline ultrasound, 1 had no follicular development, and 2 prematurely 221 ovulated) and 44 had no embryo transfer for reasons such as failed fertilization, failed 222 blastocyst formation, and spontaneous pregnancy prior to embryo transfer. In the 223 conventional IVF arm, of the 273 participants who received the allocated intervention, 224 20 did not make it to the oocyte retrieval stage (3 failed to have ovarian suppression 225 and 17 did not have appropriate follicular development) and 22 did not have embryo 226 transfer for similar reasons as those in the mini-IVF arm. AC C EP TE D M AN U SC RI PT 207 227 Baseline characteristics did not differ between both arms (Table 1). Most 228 women (68%) were younger than 35 years of age. Primary and secondary outcomes 229 are listed in Table 2. The cumulative live birth rate per randomized woman (including 230 live births from frozen-thawed embryo transfers in both arms of the study) was 49% 10 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT in the mini-IVF arm and 63% in the conventional IVF arm, resulting in a RR of 0.78 232 (95% CI: 0.67 to 0.90). The average absolute difference of mini-IVF versus 233 conventional IVF was -14% (95% CI: -6 to -22%). None of the women in the mini-IVF 234 arm developed OHSS because of the use of GnRHa, while moderate/severe OHSS 235 occurred in 16 (5.7%) women in the conventional IVF arm. Seven of these women 236 were hospitalized and underwent transvaginal paracentesis for symptomatic relief. 237 Multiple pregnancy rate was significantly lower in the mini-IVF arm (6.4% versus 238 32%, RR= 0.25, 95% CI: 0.14 to 0.46) and they were all monozygotic twins due to 239 the fact that only one embryo was transferred in this arm. Women in the mini-IVF arm 240 required significantly lower total doses of gonadotropins per cycle (459 ± 131 versus 241 2079 ± 389 IU, p<0.0001). M AN U SC RI PT 231 Laboratory outcome data are summarized in Table 3 and details on the 243 transfer procedures and their outcomes are summarized in Table 4. In total, 340 and 244 334 fresh and/or frozen embryo transfers procedures were performed in the mini-IVF 245 and conventional IVF arms, respectively. In the mini-IVF arm, strict SET was 246 performed, while in the conventional IVF arm 1.7 embryos on average were 247 transferred in either fresh or subsequent frozen cycles (Table 4). Following the first 248 FET cycle, the implantation rate was significantly higher in the conventional IVF arm 249 (58%) compared to the mini-IVF arm (47%; p=0.02) (Table 4). However, implantation 250 rate declined in subsequent FET cycles in the conventional IVF arm but increased in 251 subsequent FET cycles in the mini-IVF arm to have tendency towards statistical 252 significance in the 3rd FET cycle (30% in the conventional IVF versus 54% in the 253 mini-IVF; p=0.1; Table 4). Additionally, clinical pregnancy rate dropped in subsequent 254 FET cycles in the conventional IVF arm (68% in the first FET cycle then 49%, 40% 255 and 33% in subsequent cycles) while it remained constant in subsequent FET cycles AC C EP TE D 242 11 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT in the mini-IVF arm (47% in the first FET cycle then 48%, 54% and 50% in 257 subsequent cycles) (Table 4). AC C EP TE D M AN U SC RI PT 256 12 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 258 Discussion 259 This randomized trial compared the mini-IVF strategy including freeze-all and 261 SET to conventional IVF with fresh double embryo transfer in women aged less than 262 39. The results indicated that the cumulative live birth rate in mini-IVF was 14% lower 263 than that observed in conventional IVF but at the same time mini-IVF completely 264 eliminated OHSS, significantly reduced the risk of multiple pregnancy, and resulted in 265 a 78% reduction in total gonadotropin dose used per cycle. SC RI PT 260 Our study has several strengths. The design was rigorous and meticulous 267 where only a small number of women withdrew after giving an informed consent and 268 only a small number of women were lost to follow up. The patient population included 269 women of various ethnicities making the results more generalizable. Furthermore, the 270 conventional IVF arm resulted in pregnancy rates, OHSS and multiple pregnancies 271 rates that were comparable to the rates observed in U.S. registries, strengthening our 272 predefined power calculation17. TE D M AN U 266 There are several limitations to our study. First and foremost, we compared 274 two completely different strategies thus preventing us to disentangle the effects of 275 various components of mini-IVF such as SET and the disengagement of stimulation 276 and transfer. In other words, it is impossible to attribute the observed effects of mini- 277 IVF on live birth rates, OHSS, multiple pregnancy rates and gonadotropin use to the 278 method of ovarian stimulation, to the freeze-all concept or to the single embryo 279 transfer policy as these are all integral parts of mini-IVF. Future randomized 280 controlled trials should focus on strictly evaluating these various components. 281 Second, our study was a single center study, thus hampering generalisability. AC C EP 273 282 Though mini-IVF resulted in significantly lower live birth rates, it is too early to 283 state that it is inferior to conventional IVF. In our power calculation, we used a 13 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT reduction of 10% as a clinically relevant reduction in live birth rates following mini- 285 IVF. The absolute difference observed in our study was -14% with a 95% boundary 286 of -22% to -6%. Thus, the pre-specified acceptable 10% difference is still within the 287 95% CI of the observed difference. Furthermore, mini-IVF significantly reduced 288 OHSS, multiple pregnancy rate and gonadotropin use, thereby increasing safety of 289 IVF and controlling the cost of unwanted side effects. It is unknown if patients are 290 willing to trade off these marginally lower live birth rates for increased safety and 291 reduced costs. It is also unknown whether a lower cost of mini-IVF would motivate 292 women to undergo more than one mini-IVF cycle for the same price as a single 293 conventional IVF cycle. In this respect, it would be worthwhile comparing the 294 cumulative pregnancy and live birth rates of two consecutive mini-IVF cycles with one 295 conventional IVF cycle. As mini-IVF is also likely to result in less treatment burden 296 and stress, future trials should consider these additional relevant dimensions into 297 account. The data provided in this study are the ingredients for shared decision- 298 making in order to choose between mini-IVF and conventional IVF on a case by case 299 basis39. TE D M AN U SC RI PT 284 Our mini-IVF protocol was originally developed at Kato Ladies Clinic in Japan 301 and was successfully adapted and modified by our center22. In contrast to other 302 treatment protocols where CC was only used for a few days in the early follicular 303 phase27, CC was administered in our protocol during the whole stimulation phase in 304 conjunction with a low-dose of gonadotropins. This extended regimen favors the 305 development of a mild ovarian response but also takes advantage of the ability of CC 306 to prevent premature LH surge thus reducing the risk of premature ovulation in 307 addition to decreasing the amount of gonadotropins needed19. We also disengaged 308 the embryo transfer from the stimulation phase, since it has been demonstrated that AC C EP 300 14 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 309 the CC based minimal ovarian stimulation protocol was more efficient when embryos 310 were electively vitrified (preferably at a blastocyst stage) and transferred at a later 311 naturally or artificially prepared frozen embryo transfer cycle21. Our trial is in line with recent evidence which suggests that segmentation of 313 IVF treatment could overcome the impaired endometrial receptivity frequently 314 occurring in stimulated cycles with gonadotropins28. In this respect, it is of note that 315 the live birth rates per embryo transfer were stable in the mini-IVF arm (39% in the 316 first frozen embryo transfer cycle then 41%, 54% and 50% in subsequent cycles) 317 while the live birth rates in the conventional IVF arm dropped from 62% after fresh 318 transfer to 30% in the fourth frozen embryo transfer cycle. Besides a potential effect 319 on endometrial receptivity, this might indicate an increased embryo quality in the 320 mini-IVF arm as compared to the conventional IVF arm. This hypothesis is yet to be 321 determined. M AN U SC RI PT 312 In conclusion, mini-IVF with SET has a lower live birth rate, eliminates OHSS, 323 reduces gonadotropin consumption, and reduces multiple pregnancy rates compared 324 to conventional IVF with double embryo transfer. How these different dimensions are 325 weighed by couples deciding between mini-IVF or conventional IVF, and whether the 326 lower live birth rate could be offset by a series of “lower cost” mini-IVF cycles, should 327 be the subject of future studies. 329 EP AC C 328 TE D 322 330 15 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 331 References 332 1. Macklon NS, Stouffer RL, Giudice LC, Fauser BC. The science behind 25 334 years of ovarian stimulation for in vitro fertilization. Endocrine reviews 2006;27:170- 335 207. 336 2. 337 appraisal of potential benefits and drawbacks. Human reproduction 1999;14:2681-6. 338 3. 339 Human reproduction update 2009;15:13-29. 340 4. 341 stimulation for subfertility treatment. Lancet 2005;365:1807-16. 342 5. 343 hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) - time for reassessment. Human fertility 344 2007;10:175-81. 345 6. 346 outcomes in multifetal pregnancies. BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and 347 gynaecology 2004;111:1294-6. 348 7. 349 singletons and twins after assisted conception: a systematic review of controlled 350 studies. Bmj 2004;328:261. 351 8. 352 mortality risks of multiple births. Obstetrics and gynecology clinics of North America 353 2005;32:1-16, vii. 354 9. 355 final data for 2001. National vital statistics reports : from the Centers for Disease RI PT 333 Fauser BC, Devroey P, Yen SS, et al. Minimal ovarian stimulation for IVF: SC Verberg MF, Macklon NS, Nargund G, et al. Mild ovarian stimulation for IVF. M AN U Fauser BC, Devroey P, Macklon NS. Multiple birth resulting from ovarian Mocanu E, Redmond ML, Hennelly B, Collins C, Harrison R. Odds of ovarian EP TE D Walker MC, Murphy KE, Pan S, Yang Q, Wen SW. Adverse maternal AC C Helmerhorst FM, Perquin DA, Donker D, Keirse MJ. Perinatal outcome of Alexander GR, Slay Wingate M, Salihu H, Kirby RS. Fetal and neonatal Martin JA, Hamilton BE, Ventura SJ, Menacker F, Park MM, Sutton PD. Births: 16 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 356 Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, National Vital Statistics 357 System 2002;51:1-102. 358 10. 359 perinatology 2006;33:301-13. 360 11. 361 developmental disability at six years of age after extremely preterm birth. The New 362 England journal of medicine 2005;352:9-19. 363 12. 364 population-based study. Human reproduction 2001;16:504-9. 365 13. 366 outcomes in singletons and multiples born after IVF or ICSI, stratified for neonatal 367 risk criteria. Acta obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica 2014. 368 14. 369 economic study of elective single embryo transfer versus two-embryo transfer in first 370 IVF/ICSI cycles. Human reproduction 2004;19:917-23. 371 15. 372 embryos for transfer following in vitro fertilisation or intra-cytoplasmic sperm injection. 373 The Cochrane database of systematic reviews 2013;7:CD003416. 374 16. 375 who's afraid of single embryo transfer? Human reproduction 1998;13:2663-4. 376 17. 377 Technology, 378 https://www.sartcorsonline.com/rptCSR_PublicMultYear.aspx?ClinicPKID=0.) Pharoah PO. Risk of cerebral palsy in multiple pregnancies. Clinics in RI PT Marlow N, Wolke D, Bracewell MA, Samara M, Group EPS. Neurologic and SC Ericson A, Kallen B. Congenital malformations in infants born after IVF: a M AN U van Heesch MM, Evers JL, Dumoulin JC, et al. A comparison of perinatal TE D Gerris J, De Sutter P, De Neubourg D, et al. A real-life prospective health EP Pandian Z, Marjoribanks J, Ozturk O, Serour G, Bhattacharya S. Number of AC C Coetsier T, Dhont M. Avoiding multiple pregnancies in in-vitro fertilization: Clinic Summary Report, SART CORS. Society for Assisted Reproductive 2014. (Accessed Aug 4, 2014, at 17 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 379 18. Simon C, Cano F, Valbuena D, Remohi J, Pellicer A. Clinical evidence for a 380 detrimental effect on uterine receptivity of high serum oestradiol concentrations in 381 high and normal responder patients. Human reproduction 1995;10:2432-7. 382 19. 383 large-scale retrospective study. Reproductive biomedicine online 2007;15:134-48. 384 20. 385 physiological concepts and clinical consequences. Endocrine reviews 1997;18:71- 386 106. 387 21. 388 with elective single embryo transfer policy: age-specific results of a large, single- 389 centre, Japanese cohort. Reproductive biology and endocrinology : RB&E 390 2012;10:35. 391 22. 392 IVF 393 biomedicine online 2010;21:485-95. 394 23. 395 hyperstimulation syndrome. Fertility and sterility 2008;90:S188-93. 396 24. 397 releasing hormone agonist trigger in assisted reproductive technology-"The king is 398 dead, long live the king!". Fertility and sterility 2014;102:339-41. 399 25. 400 oocytes and embryos: the Cryotop method. Theriogenology 2007;67:73-80. 401 26. 402 vitro fertilisation: a randomised non-inferiority trial. Lancet 2007;369:743-9. RI PT Teramoto S, Kato O. Minimal ovarian stimulation with clomiphene citrate: a SC Fauser BC, Van Heusden AM. Manipulation of human ovarian function: M AN U Kato K, Takehara Y, Segawa T, et al. Minimal ovarian stimulation combined Zhang J, Chang L, Sone Y, Silber S. Minimal ovarian stimulation (mini-IVF) for vitrification and cryopreserved embryo transfer. Reproductive TE D utilizing EP Practice Committee of American Society for Reproductive M. Ovarian AC C Humaidan P, Polyzos NP. Human chorionic gonadotropin vs. gonadotropin- Kuwayama M. Highly efficient vitrification for cryopreservation of human Heijnen EM, Eijkemans MJ, De Klerk C, et al. A mild treatment strategy for in- 18 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 403 27. Zarek SM, Muasher SJ. Mild/minimal stimulation for in vitro fertilization: an old 404 idea that needs to be revisited. Fertility and sterility 2011;95:2449-55. 405 28. 406 Evidence of impaired endometrial receptivity after ovarian stimulation for in vitro 407 fertilization: a prospective randomized trial comparing fresh and frozen-thawed 408 embryo transfer in normal responders. Fertility and sterility 2011;96:344-8. 409 29. 410 culture is associated with an elevated incidence of monozygotic twinning after single 411 embryo transfer. Fertility and sterility 2011;95:2140-2. 412 30. 413 reproduction 2000;15:1856-64. 414 31. 415 M, Valkenburg M. Prevention of twin pregnancy after in-vitro fertilization or 416 intracytoplasmic sperm injection based on strict embryo criteria: a prospective 417 randomized clinical trial. Human reproduction 1999;14:2581-7. 418 32. 419 after IVF and ICSI: a randomized study. Human reproduction 2001;16:1900-3. 420 33. 421 blastocyst transfer: a prospective randomized trial. Fertility and sterility 2004;81:551- 422 5. 423 34. 424 double-embryo transfer in in vitro fertilization. The New England journal of medicine 425 2004;351:2392-402. RI PT Shapiro BS, Daneshmand ST, Garner FC, Aguirre M, Hudson C, Thomas S. SC Kawachiya S, Bodri D, Shimada N, Kato K, Takehara Y, Kato O. Blastocyst M AN U Multiple gestation pregnancy. The ESHRE Capri Workshop Group. Human TE D Gerris J, De Neubourg D, Mangelschots K, Van Royen E, Van de Meerssche EP Martikainen H, Tiitinen A, Tomas C, et al. One versus two embryo transfer AC C Gardner DK, Surrey E, Minjarez D, Leitz A, Stevens J, Schoolcraft WB. Single Thurin A, Hausken J, Hillensjo T, et al. Elective single-embryo transfer versus 19 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 426 35. 427 transfer with day 3 embryo transfer in similar patient populations. Fertility and sterility 428 2000;73:126-9. 429 36. 430 transfer versus one cycle with double embryo transfer: a randomized controlled trial. 431 Human reproduction 2005;20:702-8. 432 37. 433 hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS): a review. Human reproduction update 434 2002;8:559-77. 435 38. 436 agonist for triggering of final oocyte maturation: time for a change of practice? 437 Human reproduction update 2011;17:510-24. 438 39. 439 dimensions of infertility care quality: consensus between professionals and patients. 440 Human reproduction 2013;28:1584-97. RI PT SC Delvigne A, Rozenberg S. Epidemiology and prevention of ovarian M AN U Humaidan P, Kol S, Papanikolaou EG, Copenhagen Gn RHATWG. GnRH TE D Dancet EA, D'Hooghe TM, Spiessens C, et al. Quality indicators for all EP 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 Lukassen HG, Braat DD, Wetzels AM, et al. Two cycles with single embryo AC C 441 Milki AA, Hinckley MD, Fisch JD, Dasig D, Behr B. Comparison of blastocyst 20 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Table 1. Demographics and baseline characteristics of the participants Mini-IVF 279 Age (years) 32.4±3.6 31.9±4 BMI (kg/m2) 24.7±3.8 24.9±3.8 Baseline FSH (mIU/mL) 8.6±2.2 8.5±2.3 Infertility duration (years) 2.4±1.5 Primary infertility 127 (45) Nulliparous 207 (73) Ethnicity Caucasian Black Asian Mixed/other Male AC C Unknown EP Infertility diagnoses TE D Hispanic Tubal RI PT 285 2.5±1.5 132 (47) 207 (74) M AN U Randomized patients Conventional IVF SC 460 461 Mixed male/female 143 (50) 126 (45) 55 (19) 70 (25) 42 (15) 46 (16) 35 (12) 29 (10) 10 (4) 8 (3) 78 (27) 101 (36) 69 (24) 66 (24) 70 (25) 48 (17) 21 (7) 29 (10) 47 (16) 35 (12) Other (PCO, DOR, endometriosis, multiple) 462 463 464 Values are expressed as n, mean ± SD or n (%) P > 0.1 for all comparisons between the mini-IVF and the conventional IVF arms 21 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 465 Table 2. Primary and secondary outcomes in the treatment groups Pregnancy outcome Randomized patients Clinical pregnancy Live births Mini-IVF Conventional IVF 285 279 161 (57) 211 (76) 0.67 (0.57-0.78) 140 (49) 176 (63) 0.78 (0.67-0.90) 9 (6.4) 56 (32) Total clomiphene dosec Total gonadotropin Days of stimulationc Peak E2 (pg/mL)c p-value --- 459±131 2079±389 <0.0001a 10.7±5.7 10.4±5.7 0.48a 1657±1067 3255±2344 <0.0001a 0 (0) 16 (5.7) <0.0001b Values are expressed as n, n (%) or mean ± SD t-test b Chi-square test c Among those who started ovarian stimulation (n=548) a AC C 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 EP Moderate/severe OHSSc 0.25 (0.14-0.46) 513±101 TE D dose/cyclec M AN U Stimulation outcome SC Multiple pregnancy per live births RR (95% CI) RI PT 466 22 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Table 3. Laboratory outcome data p-value 285 Conventional IVF 279 Oocyte retrievals 275 (97) 253 (91) 0.61b # of retrieved oocytesc 4.3±3.2 Inseminated oocytes (IVF or ICSI)c 3.7±2.8 Fertilized (2PN) oocytesc 3.1±2.4 Blastocysts (total)d 2.6±1.9 5.9±4.3 <0.0001a Cycles with blastocysts transferred/frozen 234 (82) 235 (84) 0.84 a 12.8±8 <0.0001a 10±6.7 <0.0001a 8.3±5.8 <0.0001a EP TE D Values are expressed as n, mean ± SD or n (%) a t-test b Chi-square test c Among those who had oocyte retrieval (n=528) d Among those who reached blastocyst stage (n=469) AC C 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 --- M AN U Randomized patients SC Mini-IVF RI PT 481 482 23 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Table 4. Outcome of fresh and frozen-thawed embryo transfers in both arms 2nd FET 3rd FET 4th FET 5th FET 6 --- 228 80 26 --- 1±0 1±0 1±0 1±0 --- --- 106 (47)* 38 (48) 14 (54) 3 (50) --- --- 106/228 (47)* 90 (39)a 9 (9.3) 38/80 (48) 33 (41)d 0 14/26 (54) 14 (54)f 0 3/6 (50) 3 (50)i 0 ------- 25 9 2 1.5±0.5 1.5±0.5 1.6±0.5 8/25 (32) 4/9 (44) 1/2 10 (40) 3 (33) 0 10/33 (30) 8 (32)g 0 5/13 (38) 3 (33)j 2 (66) 0 ----- TE D EP AC C RI PT --- Total # of embryo 120 111 67 transfers Transferred 1.7±0.5 1.7±0.5 1.6±0.5 embryo (s) per cycle DET/total # 87/120 84/111 37/67 embryo (72) (75) (55) transfers Clinical 89 (74) 76 (68)** 33 (49) pregnancy Implantation 117/207 113/195 42/104 rate (56) (58)** (40) b c Live birth 74 (62) 67 (60) 24 (36)e Multiple 27 (34) 31 (45) 6 (22) pregnancy Values are expressed as n, mean ± SD, or n (%) ET, embryo transfer FET, frozen embryo transfer DET, double embryo transfer Chi-square test: a vs b, p=0.0001, RR= 0.73 (0.62-0.86) a vs c, p=0.0003, RR= 0.76 (0.65-0.88) d vs e, p=0.61, RR= 1.11 (0.82-1.49) f vs g, p=0.16, RR= 1.54 (0.89-2.63) h vs i, p=0.62, RR= 1.50 (0.44-5.09) * vs **, p<0.05 Conventional IVF 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 Total # of embryo transfers Transferred embryo (s) per cycle Clinical pregnancy Implantation rate Live birth Multiple pregnancy 1st FET SC Mini IVF Fresh ET M AN U 497 498 0 0 24 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure legends 517 Figure 1: Schematic diagrams of mini-IVF and conventional IVF protocols. In the 518 artificially prepared frozen embryo transfer (part 2) of the mini-IVF protocol, oral 519 estradiol treatment was started on day 3 and given daily then progesterone treatment 520 was added on day 13 onward to the estradiol pills. 521 IVF, 522 gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist. US, ultrasound. HCG, human chorionic 523 gonadotropin. 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 Figure 2: Trial profile: screening, eligibility, randomization, and follow-up. ICSI, Intracytoplasmic sperm injection. GnRHa, SC fertilization. M AN U vitro AC C EP TE D in RI PT 512 513 514 515 516 25 Figure 1 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT PART 1 Mini IVF Initial Office Visit Stimulation Birth Control Pills (14 d) Clomid 1 Tab Daily & Low Dose Gonadotropins GnRH a Nasal Spray (Ovulation Induction) [Randomization] Day of Menstrual Cycle #1 3-5 -- -- 21 3 Day of Menstrual Cycle #2 8 10 Blood & US Blood & US 12 Blood & US PART 2 Mini IVF SC 3 8, 10, 12, 14 Blood & US PART 1 Conventional IVF Day of Menstrual Cycle #3 Pregnancy Test Frozen Embryo Transfer -- 19 26 TE D Blood & US M AN U -- Stimulation Daily Gonadotropins EP Daily Lupron Subcutaneous Injection (28 d) HCG Injection (Ovulation Induction) AC C [Randomization] -- Day of Menstrual Cycle #1 3-5 -- 21 -- 3 Blood & US Day of Menstrual Cycle #2 8 10 Blood & US Blood & US PART 2 Conventional IVF Egg Retrieval & Fertilization IVF/ ICSI 14 Day of Menstrual Cycle #2 Egg Retrieval & Fertilization IVF/ ICSI -- 12 14 Blood & US Embryo Transfer Daily Progesterone in Oil Injections -- 14 Blood & US Embryo Transfer Daily Estradiol & Progesterone Initial Office Visit -- RI PT -- Egg Retrieval & Fertilization IVF/ ICSI Fresh Embryo Transfer Pregnancy Test 19 26 -- ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 2 771 assessed for eligibility 285 Allocated to receive Mini IVF 3 withdrew consent after randomization 1 spontaneous pregnancy M AN U 564 Randomized EP TE D 281 Received allocated intervention 6 no egg retrieval 3 did not start stimulation due to persistent cyst 1 canceled due to absent follicular development 2 prematurely ovulated 44 had no embryo transfer 2 had no egg retrieved 9 fertilization failure 31 had no blastocysts available 1 spontaneous pregnancy prior to first embryo transfer 1 withdrawn from treatment 1 spontaneous pregnancy after failed embryo transfer AC C SC RI PT 180 Did not meet inclusion criteria 41 no indication for IVF 20 pre-existing medical condition preventing/interfering with IVF treatment 75 abnormal screening results (including BMI, elevated FSH levels, irregular cycles) 2 pregnant at the time of screening 9 partnership problems 33 multiple/other reasons 27 Declined to participate 279 Allocated to receive conventional IVF 6 withdrew consent after randomization 273 Received allocated intervention 20 no egg retrieval 3 did not start stimulation due to suppression failure 17 canceled due to insufficient follicular development 22 had no embryo transfer 2 fertilization failure 16 had no blastocysts available 1 spontaneous pregnancy prior to first embryo transfer 3 withdrawn from treatment 2 spontaneous pregnancies after failed embryo transfer 2 spontaneous abortions (18 and 21 weeks) 3 lost to follow-up 4 lost to follow-up 285 Analyzed 279 Analyzed