The KRUK Group
Transcription
The KRUK Group
KRUK Group KRUK Presentation of Q1 2013 results KRUK Group May 2013 Agenda Introduction Operating activities Financial performance Appendices 2 In Q1 2013, KRUK generated a net profit of PLN 19.7m, up 41% on Q1 2012, and invested PLN 49m in new debt portfolios I The Group's net profit rose by 41% yoy, from PLN 14.0m in Q1 2012 to PLN 19.7m in Q1 2013. II Expenditure on debt portfolios in Q1 2013 amounted to PLN 49m, that is nearly four times more than in Q1 2012. The Group purchased 12 portfolios with a total nominal value of PLN 368m, including 3 debt portfolios in Poland, 5 in Romania and 4 in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. III In Q1 2013, recoveries from purchased debt portfolios amounted to more than PLN 118m, up by 9% on the corresponding period of 2012. Debt payments in Poland and the Czech Republic were lower than expected, whereas in Romania they were higher than expected. IV In Q1 2013, KRUK invested in its debt collection processes, expanding the network of field consultants and bringing more cases to court, which led to an increase in operating expenses. V In Q1 2013, KRUK generated more than PLN 9m of gross profit on debt collection outsourcing, up 201% on Q1 2012 thanks to improved results on corporate debt collection outsourcing. VI In January-April, KRUK issued PLN 120m of bonds. In the case of the most recent issue, worth PLN 60m, KRUK reduced the financing cost from 4.60pp to 4.20pp above 3M WIBOR. VII In Q1 2013, the Company's market capitalisation exceeded PLN 1bn. On April 3rd 2013, after having held its investment for ten years, Enterprise Investors sold its holding of 24.83% of KRUK shares. The group of significant shareholders, holding more than 5% of the Company's share capital, was joined by institutional investors ING PTE* and AMPLICO PTE** pension funds. 3 * Jointly ING OFE and ING DFE, managed by ING PTE S.A. ** Jointly Amplico OFE and MetLife Amplico DFE, managed by Amplico PTE S.A. Q1 results: stable debt repayments, strong investments in portfolios and very good result on debt collection outsourcing Purchased debt portfolios Debt collection outsourcing Revenues, PLNm Cash recoveries, PLNm Q1 2013 Q1 2013 118.3 Q1 2012 Q1 2012 108.1 Q1 2011 14.3 8.6 Q1 2011 66.2 9.7 Gross profit, PLNm Investments, PLNm Q1 2013 Q1 2012 48.9 Q1 2013 12.3 Q1 2011 PLNm Q1 2012 69.2 Q1 2011 9.2 3.1 3.5 Change Change Q1 2011 Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2012 Q1 2013 vs. Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 FY 2012 Performance of 2012 result Revenue 53.2 50% 79.9 20% 95.9 343.0 28% EBIT 18.1 58% 28.6 19% 33.9 136.7 25% cash EBITDA* 42.6 61% 68.5 9% 74.8 292.3 26% Net profit 14.1 -1% 14.0 41% 19.7 81.2 24% 4 Source: KRUK S.A.; * Cash EBITDA = EBITDA + recoveries from purchased debt portfolios – revenue from collection of purchased debt portfolios Agenda Introduction Operating activities Financial performance Appendices 5 Considerable increase in investments – in Q1 2013 the KRUK Group invested PLN 49m, nearly four times more than in Q1 2012 Nominal value of purchased debt (PLNm) Q1 2013 Q1 2013 368 Q4 2012 Q3 2012 1400 Q1 2012 890 216 49 Q4 2012 1079 Q2 2012 Investments in new debt portfolios (PLNm) 120 Q3 2012 93 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 84 12 The KRUK Group actively invested on the debt markets in Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia. In the first quarter of the year, the Group purchased 12 portfolios, predominantly banks’ retail receivables, including three in Poland, four in the Czech Republic and Slovakia, and five in Romania. 6 Source: KRUK S.A. Cash recoveries in Q1 2013 from purchased debt portfolios were stable compared to Q1 2012; KRUK observes a worsening situation of debtors in Poland and implements initiatives leading to operating effectiveness enhancement Revenue (PLNm) and costs (as % of recoveries) Recoveries (PLNm) KRUK's expenditure on debt portfolios (PLNm) Q1 2013 Q1 2013 118.3 Q1 2013 Q4 2012 Q4 2012 119.4 Q4 2012 Q3 2012 116.0 Q3 2012 Poland Q3 2012 Q2 2012 0 50 100 150 76.5 107.8 Q2 2012 70.6 Q1 2012 108.1 Q1 2012 69.8 0 50 100 150 32% 86.2 Q2 2012 Romania Q1 2012 79.5 0 30% 25% 25% 28% 50 100 In Q1 2013, recoveries increased by PLN 10m relative to Q1 of the previous year. Recoveries in Poland and Czech Republic were lower than expected. In Poland, we observe a lower effectiveness of recovery due to worsening situation of debtors. Recoveries in Romania were higher than expected due to improved operating efficiency. Higher share of costs in the value of recoveries from debt portfolios purchased in Q1 2013 is attributable to a higher number of cases taken to court in late 2012/early 2013 and an increase in costs incurred with a view to improving operational efficiency in the long term. 7 Source: KRUK S.A. In the first quarter KRUK launched new campaigns designed to promote amicable settlement solutions in Poland, Romania, the Czech Republic and Slovakia. POLAND ROMANIA THE CZECH REPUBLIC AND SLOVAKIA Embedded marketing of amicable settlement in “Barwy Szczęścia” - one of the most popular TV series. Folk music singer, Sofia Vicoveanca, becomes the face of KRUK's campaign in Romania. Czech Republic and Slovakia: Educational campaign run in the press, marketing materials mailed to clients, press conferences. 8 Source: KRUK S.A. In Q1 2013, the KRUK Group generated a record gross profit on debt collection outsourcing of PLN 9m Nominal value of debt outsourced for collection (PLNm) and commission fees charged (% of nominal value) Gross profit on debt collection outsourcing (PLNm) Revenue (PLNm) and gross margin on debt collection outsourcing (% of revenue) Poland 620 Q1 2013 2.3% Q1 2013 773 Q4 2012 799 Q3 2012 1.2% 1.0% 911 0.8% Q2 2012 816 Q1 2012 0 500 1000 1.1% 14.3 Q4 2012 9.3 Q3 2012 7.6 Q2 2012 7.3 Q1 2012 47% 37% 5 36% 10 Q1 2013 9.2 Q4 2012 4.3 Q3 2012 2.9 Q2 2012 29% 8.6 0 64% 15 2.1 Q1 2012 3.1 0 5 10 In Q1 2013, the nominal value of debts outsourced to the Group for fee-based collection was PLN 620m, 24% less than in the corresponding period of 2012. The lower nominal value of such debts was attributable to the fact that the Group accepted for collection a significantly larger number of cases with lower average debt balances, which, however, made it possible to achieve higher than expected effectiveness. The Group achieved higher revenue and gross margin from debt collection outsourcing in Q1 2013, mainly as a result of completion of a several-year long process of collection of receivables in the area of corporate debt services provided to investors. 9 Source: KRUK S.A. Agenda Introduction Operating activities Financial performance Appendices 10 The KRUK Group – income statement by business lines (presentation format) PLNm Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2013 vs. Q1 2012 297% DEBT PORTFOLIOS PURCHASED Expenditure on debt portfolios Recoveries 12.3 83.9 92.7 120.3 48.9 108.1 107.8 116.0 119.4 118.3 79.9 79.4 85.8 97.9 95.9 20% 14% INCOME STATEMENT Operating income 69.8 70.6 76.5 86.2 79.5 including revaluation -5.6 -0.7 3.7 7.2 1.0 Debt collection outsourcing 8.6 7.3 7.6 9.3 14.3 66% Other products and services 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.1 33% 42.5 46.1 50.3 55.2 50.6 19% Debt portfolios purchased Gross profit Gross margin 53% 58% 59% 56% 53% 39.3 44.0 47.3 50.3 41.2 5% Debt collection outsourcing 3.1 2.3 2.7 4.3 9.2 201% Other products and services 0.1 -0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 107% EBITDA 30.1 33.5 38.0 42.5 36.1 20% EBITDA margin 38% 42% 44% 43% 38% NET PROFIT 14.0 18.2 21.8 27.1 19.7 net profit margin 18% 23% 25% 28% 21% CASH EBITDA* 68.5 70.7 77.5 75.7 74.8 10.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.9% 9.0% Debt portfolios purchased Revenue to fair value of purchased debt portfolios 41% 9% 11 Source: KRUK S.A. The KRUK Group – income statement by geographical segments (presentation format) Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2013 vs. Q1 2012 79.9 79.4 85.8 97.9 95.9 20% Poland 56.8 55.8 60.1 67.5 59.1 4% Foreign markets 23.1 23.7 25.7 30.4 36.8 59% Gross profit 42.5 46.1 50.3 55.2 50.6 19% Gross margin 53% 58% 59% 56% 53% -1% 25.8 29.5 32.4 36.9 27.8 8% PLNm INCOME STATEMENT Operating income Poland Foreign markets 16.7 16.6 17.9 18.3 22.7 36% -12.7 -12.3 -12.2 -13.0 -13.9 10% EBITDA 30.1 33.5 38.0 42.5 36.1 20% EBITDA margin 38% 42% 44% 43% 38% 0% Finance costs 12.8 12.4 13.1 13.2 13.6 6% NET PROFIT 14.0 18.2 21.8 27.1 19.7 41% Net margin 18% 23% 25% 28% 21% 17% General and administrative expenses 12 Source: KRUK S.A. KRUK – key cash flow data (presentation format) PLNm Cash flows from operating activities: Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 58.9 52.9 72.0 55.9 63.8 Recoveries from debtors - purchased debt portfolios 108.1 107.8 116.0 119.4 118.3 Operating costs - purchased debt portfolios -30.5 -26.6 -29.2 -36.1 -38.4 3.1 2.3 2.7 4.3 9.2 -12.7 -12.3 -12.2 -12.9 -13.9 -9.1 -18.3 -5.2 -18.8 -11.3 -14.3 -85.7 -100.2 -123.1 -51.7 -12.3 -83.9 -94.0 -119.0 -48.9 -2.0 -1.7 -6.3 -4.1 -2.8 -41.8 26.4 41.1 64.4 14.3 Increase in borrowings and lease liabilities 61.9 66.9 111.1 133.7 89.8 Issue of bonds 70.0 50.0 0.0 70.0 60.0 -143.6 -48.9 -5.5 -124.5 -134.8 Redemption of bonds -15.9 -39.6 -60.0 -5.0 0.0 Other financing cash flow -14.3 -2.1 -4.5 -9.8 -0.7 2.8 -6.4 12.9 -2.7 26.4 Operating margin – debt collection outsourcing General and administrative expenses Other operating cash flow Cash flows from investing activities: Expenditure on purchase of debt portfolios Other investing cash flow Cash flows from financing activities: Decrease in borrowings and lease liabilities Net cash flows: 13 Source: KRUK S.A. KRUK – selected balance-sheet items (presentation format) Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 22.7 23.8 25.4 27.5 27.4 752.8 796.7 853.5 943.9 986.7 692.8 739.9 785.4 873.4 888.3 39.0 32.6 45.5 42.7 69.2 775.5 820.5 878.9 971.4 1,014.1 253.4 271.2 288.6 317.6 339.6 146.5 164.7 186.4 213.5 233.2 522.2 549.3 590.3 653.8 674.5 35.9 54.1 159.7 169.0 124.6 412.2 423.1 362.8 427.4 487.6 775.5 820.5 878.9 971.4 1,014.1 Interest-bearing debt 448.1 477.2 522.5 596.4 612.2 Net interest-bearing debt PLNm ASSETS Non-current assets Current assets including: Investments in purchase of debt portfolios Cash Total assets EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Equity including: Retained earnings Liabilities including: Borrowings and leases Bonds Total equity and liabilities RATIOS 409.2 444.7 477.1 553.7 543.0 Net interest-bearing debt to equity 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 Interest-bearing debt to 12-month cash EBITDA* 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 14 Source: KRUK S.A. Agenda Introduction Operating activities Development directions Financial performance Appendices 15 KRUK – structure of debt and bond redemption schedule BONDS (PLNm)* Q1 2013 Issued Q2-Q4 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 102 130 41 154 60 385 255 214 60 0 60 Redeemed Bonds outstanding at end of period 486 * Data based on nominal amounts BANK BORROWINGS (PLNm) Total bank borrowings Investment credit facilities Revolving credit facilities Credit facilities made available by banks Amount outstanding as at Mar 31 2013 260 126 25 9 235 117 16 Source: KRUK S.A. KRUK – selected material events subsequent to Q1 2013 Bonds On April 15th 2013, the Management Board of KRUK S.A. adopted resolutions to issue Series P4 and Series R1 unsecured bonds, under which the Company decided to issue: • up to 40,000 Series P4 unsecured bearer bonds, with a par value of PLN 1,000 per bond, maturing 48 months after their allotment date • up to 20,000 Series R1 unsecured bearer bonds, with a par value of PLN 1,000 per bond, maturing 48 months after their allotment date The issue proceeds will be used to finance the acquisition of debt portfolios by the KRUK Group or to refinance the Company's debt. For more information, see Current Report No. 30/2013. 17 Source: KRUK S.A. Market of consumer debt portfolios in Poland and Romania ROMANIA POLAND PLNbn Nominal value of retail debts 8,0 Expenditure 7,0 Nominal value of retail debts 25% PLNbn Expenditure 6,0 7.4 Average prices* 6.9 20% 6,0 25% Average prices* 5,0 20% 16.9% 5,0 14.5% 4,0 14.0% 12.3% 12.2% 3.5 2,0 2.7 1.2 2.0 1,0 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.0 5% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 8.0% 5.5% 1,0 0.4 0,0 2007 15% 15.0% 10% 3.1 2,0 4,0 3,0 11.0% 3,0 15% 1.2 2.5 7.8% 2.1 10% 2.5 6.1% 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0,0 2012 Source: KRUK S.A., IBnGR. * Average price as % of nominal value. ** consumer portfolios = unsecured debt owed to natural persons + non-mortgage-backed debt owed to SMEs 5% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 18 Market of consumer debt portfolios in the Czech Republic and Slovakia and corporate debt portfolios in Poland POLAND – CORPORATE DEBT PORTFOLIOS THE CZECH REPUBLIC AND SLOVAKIA PLNbn 2,0 Nominal value of retail debts Expenditure Average prices* Nominal value of corporate debts PLNbn 25% Expenditure 4,0 6.5% 1.8 1,5 20% 19.0% Average prices* 3,0 3.8 5,0% 4.2% 2,0 0.3 5% 1.3% 1.0 0% 0.25 0.03 4,0% 3,0% 2.0 3.0% 1,0 0.03 0,0 2.1 3.0% 10% 0,5 6,0% 5.5% 15% 1,0 7,0% 2,0% 1.2 1.1 0.03 0.05 0.1 0,0 2012 Source: KRUK S.A. * Average price as % of nominal value. ** consumer portfolios = unsecured debt owed to natural persons + non-mortgage-backed debt owed to SMEs 1,0% 0,0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 19 Debt collection outsourcing market ROMANIA POLAND PLNbn PLNbn Nominal value of consumer debts* outsourced for collection in a given year 14 Nominal value of consumer debts** outsourced for collection in a given year 14 12 12 11.6 10 10.3 10 9.7 8 8 7.2 6 6 4 4 4.0 4.5 3.7 2 4.5 3.2 2 2.7 1.6 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 The debt collection outsourcing market continues to be a strategic operating segment for the KRUK Group as a source of stable revenue streams and an effective tool for building relationships with banks. Source: KRUK S.A. * consumer cases in Poland = unsecured and mortgage-backed debt owed to natural persons * consumer cases in Romania = unsecured debt owed to natural persons 20 KRUK – business model and milestones KRUK Group's milestones – innovation leader KRUK Group's business model banks insurers telecom operators Debt collection outsourcing cable TV operators other media debt purchase debt collection process shared debt collection platform, tools and infrastructure (IT, telco, call centre) 2000 Launch of the debt collection outsourcing business 2001 Introduction of the “success only fee” in CMS Debt portfolio market emerges – decision to raise new equity 2003 KRUK as the CMS market leader*** Enterprise Investors invests USD 21m (PEF IV) Purchase of the first debt portfolio 2005 First securitisation process in Poland Branch launched in Wałbrzych Decision to replicate business outside of Poland 2007 Consumer Business Entry into the Romanian market Acquisition of Rejestr Dłużników ERIF BIG S.A. (credit reference agency) Innovative approach to debtors 2008 We help people pay their debts as 76% of all debtors are willing to pay their overdue liabilities* Source: KRUK S.A. * Długi jako wstydliwy problem, CBnZE, 03/2010 (Debt as a shameful problem), ** of total debt in collection in 2009, according to IBnGR, *** in terms of the nominal value of debt Amicable settlement solutions (voluntary settlement or litigation) introduced on a mass scale 2010 Legislative changes - operation of RD ERIF (credit reference agency) TV commercials as a debt collection tool designed to Prospects of a large supply of NPL reach mass audiences 2011 IPO on the WSE Entry into the Czech market 2012 Business development in Slovakia 21 Key macroeconomic data Average RON/PLN exchange rate since 2008 1,20 1,15 1,10 1,05 1,00 0,95 0,90 0,85 0,80 2008-01-02 Average CZK/PLN exchange rate since 2008 2010-01-02 2011-01-02 2012-01-02 2013-01-02 Average EUR/PLN exchange rate since 2008 0,20 0,19 0,18 0,17 0,16 0,15 0,14 0,13 0,12 0,11 0,10 2008-01-02 2009-01-02 5,00 4,80 4,60 4,40 4,20 4,00 3,80 3,60 3,40 3,20 3,00 2009-01-02 2010-01-02 2011-01-02 2012-01-02 2013-01-02 2008-01-02 2009-01-02 2010-01-02 2011-01-02 2012-01-02 2013-01-02 22 Source: KRUK S.A.; NBP How does KRUK recognise revenue from purchased debt portfolios? Purchased debt – division into interest and principal for each purchased debt portfolio, the discount rate (IRR for recovery) is calculated based on projected recoveries, the product of the discount rate for a given debt portfolio and the portfolio's fair value is recognised as revenue in a period, the difference between recoveries and revenue reduces the portfolio's fair value in the balance sheet (debt portfolio amortisation), each debt portfolio is reviewed quarterly, any changes in the actual or projected recoveries or expenses are used to remeasure fair value based on the original discount rate, and the difference is recognised in P&L as revaluation. Example calculation of recoveries and revenue from purchased debt portfolio PERIOD 0 purchase value 1 2 3 Σ 70 70 70 110 100 planned recoveries -100 discount rate 49% valuation at beginning of period 100 79 47 - recoveries: 70 70 70 210 - revenue /interest/ 49 38 23 110 - amortisation 21 32 47 100 valuation at end of period outcome of planned recoveries and purchase price 79 47 0 - product of value and discount rate difference between recoveries and revenue starting value reduced by amortisation 23 Source: KRUK S.A.; NBP KRUK Group KRUK KRUK S.A. POLAND ul. Legnicka 56, 54-204 Wrocław ir@kruksa.pl, www.kruk.eu FOR INVESTORS: www.kruksa.pl/dla-inwestora