Pivot Points - Kantar Retail
Transcription
Pivot Points - Kantar Retail
Pivot Points Unlocking Growth in Uncertain Times 2015 US 1 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Contents Introduction....................................03 Executive Summary........................09 Key Findings Manufacturer Rankings..........................18 Retailer Rankings...................................34 2 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Introduction Kantar Retail sponsored the first annual PoweRanking® study in 1997. The survey originated from our industry benchmarking studies on category management and trade promotion management, which for the past 21 years have provided insight into industry best practices in these areas. The objective of the PoweRanking® study is to research and benchmark how retailers and manufacturers view each other in the most important areas of the manufacturer-retailer relationship. The PowerRanking® study identifies those retailers and manufacturers who set the standard of performance as ranked by their trading partners. This provides benchmarks for retailers and manufacturers across trade channels. The specific goals of the research were to: —— Identify the best manufacturers and retailers, as evaluated by their trading partners —— Provide insight into what makes them “the best” —— Define the importance of key metrics between trading partners —— Highlight areas for improvement 3 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Introduction Customized questionnaires were developed for retailer and wholesaler respondents in food, drug, mass merchandiser, dollar, convenience and club channels and for manufacturers in food, household products, general merchandise and health & beauty care categories. These questionnaires were distributed each spring from 1997 to 2015 to personnel at all levels of management, with the assurance of total confidentiality of respondents. Over 600 manufacturer and retailer respondents participated in this year’s study. The results of the 2015 survey were compared with the results of 2013 and 2014 to determine the causes behind shifts in the rankings. Retailers were asked to rank manufacturers on criteria that fall into two broad areas: STRATEGIC METRICS BUSINESS FUNDAMENTALS —— Clearest company strategy —— Best customer/sales teams —— Most important consumer brands to retailers —— Most innovative marketing approach —— Best combination of growth and profitability —— Most helpful consumer/shopper insights; category leadership —— Best supply chain management —— Best shopper marketing programs Manufacturers were asked to rank retailers on similar criteria: STRATEGIC METRICS BUSINESS FUNDAMENTALS —— Clearest company strategy —— Best retailer with which to do business —— Best job branding their stores —— Best category management/buying teams —— Projected to be Power Retailers in the next 15 years —— Most innovative merchandising approach —— Best supply chain management —— Best practice category leadership 4 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Introduction Results were tabulated on a two-year rolling basis, reflecting the percentage of respondents ranking each company among the top three. Additionally, follow-up qualitative interviews were conducted among a diverse group of manufacturers and retailers to provide further insight into the data. The PoweRanking® methodology reflects mergers and acquisitions that have occurred in the past. We have consciously rolled up operations into the parent company where appropriate for this year and versus a year ago. At the same time, where retailers and manufacturers are operating largely as independent companies, they are treated as such in the data. As a dynamic monitor, the PoweRanking® will continue to consolidate or separate companies as retailers perceive them. PoweRanking® Composites Business Fundamentals Composite The 2015 PoweRanking® results include the overall PoweRanking® Composite, created by weighting the three strategic rankings equally with the five business fundamental rankings (see previous page) — thus placing greater importance on the strategic rankings. This reflects the importance of sound strategy as an overall driving force in business performance. The Business Fundamentals Composite combines the five fundamental areas of business (see previous page) into a composite, which reflects the retailers’ and manufacturers’ opinions of those trading partners that have the strongest organizations and personnel and provide the best tools for solid business development. Strategic Composite Digital Marketing The Strategic Composite combines the three strategic measures (see previous page) into an overall composite to provide better insight into which manufacturers and retailers are most strategically important to their trading partners. Beginning in 2011, Kantar Retail added a measure for Digital Marketing. Given its increasing influence on retailers, manufacturers and consumers, digital is now a measure to be monitored. It is not included as part of the PoweRanking® Composite. 5 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Respondent Sample Over 600 manufacturer and retailer participants provided input. Respondents included all levels of retailer/wholesaler and manufacturer management. Retailers Ahold USA Inc. Fred’s Inc. Save-A-Lot, Ltd. Albertsons LLC Giant Eagle Sears Holdings Aldi Nord (Trader Joe’s) Giant Food SpartanNash Amazon Golub Corporation Staples Associated Wholesale Grocers, Inc. HEB Grocery Company SuperValu, Inc. Bi-Lo Holdings Hy-Vee Target Corporation BJ’s Wholesale Club Kroger Company True Value Bozzuto’s, Inc. Lowe’s Foods Unified Grocers Brookshire Grocery Company Macy’s United Grocers C&S Wholesale Grocers Martin’s Super Markets Wakefern Food Corporation Central Grocers Cooperative, Inc. Meijer Walgreen Co. Circle K Petco Walmart Stores, Inc. Corner Store PetSmart Wawa Costco Pilot Oil Wegmans Food Markets, Inc. CVS Health QuikTrip Corporation Winco Foods DeMoulas Super Markets Publix Delhaize Rite Aid Dollar General Safeway, Inc. ExxonMobil Sam’s Club Family Dollar Save Mart 6 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Respondent Sample Manufacturers 3M Continental Mills Hamilton Beach Brands AB InBev Coty Inc. Hasbro Abbott Laboratories Crayola Heineken USA ACH Food Companies Dawn Foods Helen of Troy Bayer Corporation Dean Foods Henkel AG & Company Beiersdorf Del Monte Foods, Inc. The Hershey Company Bemis Manufacturing Company DeMet’s Candy Company Hewlett-Packard Co. BIC Corporation Diageo Hillshire Brands Big Heart Pet Brands Dr Pepper Snapple Group HMS Mfg. Co. Bush Brothers & Company E. & J. Gallo Winery Hormel Foods Cadbury Adams USA LLC Elmer’s Products Inc. J.M. Smucker Co. Campbell Soup Company Energizer Holding Inc. Jarden Corporation Caterpillar Inc. Farmer John Johnson & Johnson Chobani Frito-Lay Johnsonville Sausage Church & Dwight General Electric KAO Brands The Clorox Company General Mills Kellogg Company The Coca-Cola Company Georgia-Pacific Keurig Green Mountain Colgate-Palmolive GlaxoSmithKline Kimberly-Clark Corporation Combe Inc. H.J. Heinz Company Kraft ConAgra Hallmark Land O’Lakes 7 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Respondent Sample Manufacturers (Continued) LEGO The Perrigo Company United Sugars Corporation L’Oreal Pfizer VF Corporation Mars Philips VitaCeutical Labs Maybelline The Procter & Gamble Company Warner Brothers McCormick & Company Reckitt Benckiser WD-40 Company McKee Foods Red Bull Welch’s Foods McNeil Consumer Healthcare Reynolds Consumer Products World Kitchen Merck Rich Products Corporation Meyer Manufacturing Company Ricos Products Co. Inc. MillerCoors Samsung Mission Foods S.C. Johnson & Son Mondelēz Seneca Foods Corporation Nestlé USA Skyy Spirits Nippon Suisan Kaisha Ltd. Southern Wine & Spirits Novartis Sun-Maid Ocean Spray Cranberries Sun Products Corporation Pactiv Tom’s of Maine PepsiCo Tree Top Inc. Perdue Tyson Foods Perfetti Van Melle Unilever 8 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists 2015 US Executive Summary 9 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Pivot Points Unlocking Growth in Uncertain Times We all know that change is inevitable, but the events of the last year have reinforced that we are in an era of “permanent transition” — uncertainty and shifting sands are not temporary, but the new normal. For many companies, these shifts have been painful; one senior-level executive said of 2015, “never before has so much change produced so little value for the industry.” Another indicated that “they have never worked so hard for so little gain to the bottom line.” The keys to this uncertainty are rooted across the consumer/shopper ecosystem: —— A soft economic recovery and the resulting change in consumer habits —— The rise of the 'craft' or 'small batch' entrepreneurs whose value creation model is different than big, established companies —— The continued shift to online shopping —— The change in leadership and strategy from the world's largest retailers —— The impact of activist investors on management, planning, and workloads One impact of this is a relentless focus on near-in cost management. Many described 2015 as “too short-term focused” as the industry is achieving profitability by “cutting our way to the bottom line,” but “not delivering the top-line growth required to sustain a healthy industry.” Even companies that have not directly been impacted by the “purported activist investors” are dramatically cutting their talent and investments to improve operating metrics. However, it was not all doom and gloom. Although 2015 may have been “growth challenged” for some, others were able to unlock growth by focusing on the unmet needs of the consumer, increasing investment and returns from shopper and digital marketing, and focusing their commercial efforts on winning with diverse groups of shoppers. Successful marketers in both manufacturers and retailers have increased resources (financial and human) for more targeted shopper insights and shopper marketing, allowing them to get closer to the points of consideration and purchase. These targeted levers also enable them to focus their investments where it really matters resulting in greater and more profitable conversion. In particular, unlocking growth seems rooted in leveraging some of the major seismic shifts in the trading environment: —— The rise and rise of multichannel —— The importance of the value shopper —— The growth of niche —— Winning in an outlet rationalized world 10 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists The Rise and Rise of Multichannel The Importance of Winning with the Value Shopper Whether you call it eCommerce, omni-channel or multichannel, 2015 may have been the tipping point for this 'channel.' As one senior level merchant articulated it, “this is the year that multichannel has become mainstream for all categories — even for food and beverage.” The income divergence of the so called 'have' and 'have nots' continues to be front and center for the US economy. The 'have nots,' or those households who have an annual household income of less than $62,000 per year, have seen a continued fall in their share of all income sources. This group of Americans has only about 25% of all income, but represents approximately 60% of all households (U.S. Department of Commerce, Congressional Budget Office, and Kantar Retail analysis). Some believe that this trend is going to continue. “It looks like income inequality is here to stay and those retailers that are serving the ‘have nots’ are seeing significant growth,” said an industry leader. Our interviews concluded future confidence in the growth of online shopping will continue and those retailers and manufacturers that are placing bets in this space are not only capturing volume as the shift occurs, but are driving share growth. As a result, manufacturers are developing more customized products for these shoppers and placing greater emphasis on this group in prioritizing their sales strategies and joint business plans. 11 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists The Growth of Niche As consumer preferences are evolving, the 'craft' or 'small batch' manufacturers that are less dependent on traditional power brands are starting to have an expanded voice and presence. In a low growth environment, what in the past may have been seen as niche offerings are today viewed as positive contributors to growth in many categories. Although these entrepreneurs are finding success in driving category growth by delivering products that address an unmet consumer need, many of these smaller companies do not have the same tools and resources as the larger companies. An industry leader communicated, “while I love the products, branding, and shopper excitement these smaller companies are creating, I guess I didn’t realize that many of them don’t have much of an infrastructure. I am finding myself in a tough position because some of these smaller companies are finding growth, but I still need the sophistication of the established vendors.” 12 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Outlet Rationalization Despite a massive expansion in available outlets due to retailer expansion and eCommerce’s growth, the shopper is not expanding her choice set. In fact, over the last six years the average American head of household is shopping in almost 30% fewer different outlets per month (Kantar Retail ShopperScape). This outlet rationalization puts enormous pressure on retailers that are not 'front and center' to the shopper’s planning process — as many specialized trips are being captured by Amazon or by brick-and-mortar retailers broadening their assortment. Indeed, an SVP at a leading manufacturer said, “retailers are trying harder than they ever have, and the big guys are focused on reversing these trends.” Against this backdrop, retail leaders are working harder to differentiate their offer and ensure a more consistent execution of their strategy. For example: —— Walmart has brought in talent from outside the US to bring in international best practices in marketing and supply chain design. —— Amazon is innovating on immediacy with Prime Now, and increasingly becoming the 'everything store for members only' —— Kroger has moved from 'Digitally Curious' to 'Digitally Committed' and is expected to be a serious eCommerce grocer —— CVS is pivoting, evolving from a 'retailer' to a 'healthcare and solutions provider.' Manufacturers, too, are consistent in the desire to 'up their game' while keeping a tight control on costs. 2016 will be about making smarter bets, with a particular emphasis on more targeted growth opportunities, clearer communication to shoppers, better collaboration with customers, and a laser focus on ROI to ensure small successes become big ones and losses are cut quickly when the returns are not there. 13 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Pivot Points Where is the Industry Focusing for the Future? As we look to 2016 and beyond, the common belief among trading partners is that the change not only will continue into next year, but will change at an even faster pace. One industry leader believes that we are just at the beginning of a 10-year window of dramatic change. While 2015 may have been “flat and frustrating,” growth opportunities are out there. The key will be finding the right “pivot points” to place your bets. For those of you that know basketball, the pivot is an invaluable tool for realigning your direction while your core remains stationary. Throughout this document we define a 'Pivot Point' as a central factor determining future direction. As we look to 2016, the overall goal of the industry is to pivot away from pure cost management to top line growth. We believe that at least five 'Pivot Points' will be required to help achieve this objective. 14 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Shareholder First to Shopper First Brand Builders to Business Builders One to Many to One to One 'Shopper First' sounds like a truism, but very few companies today put shoppers at the heart of their planning process. Commercially, most suppliers are organized around brands and customers — most retailers around categories. Those 'commercial teams' have been responsible for achieving linear financial objectives that drive shareholder returns, mostly by anniversarying previous year’s performance with incremental improvement. A 'Shopper First' strategy understands the needs of the shopper and the opportunities to meet them, and then works the commercial success plan back from those needs. Shopper vs. consumer is a purposeful word choice as well — as media continues to flock to digital and mobile, more of our consumer messaging is being 'consumed' in a shopping environment (computer or smartphone). Activating demand becomes the critical differentiating skill set in a shopper-centered world. Brands are a critical touchstone for consumers. Building and sustaining those brands will always be core work for the industry. A brand without a growth plan, however, is a brand under siege — much of marketing science today is rooted in the simple idea that great brands have to continue to drive penetration to survive and thrive. The business model of fast moving consumer goods and the retail value chain is built on economies of scale to drive low unit costs — and CFOs and manufacturing/supply chain heads are incented to relentlessly improve these economies. Today, however, shoppers want and retailers need more personalized and customized solutions — both are demanding one-to-one relationships given the current landscape. Delivering against this promise turns inflexible scale into a burden as much as an asset. The 'Uber'-fication of everything means also that asset-heavy retailers and suppliers are competing for investor attention with 'asset-free' marketplace models that create value without owning capital. The trading partners that work collaboratively on optimizing this asset base to leverage both cost and flexibility will change the future. Too much focus on sustaining brands today without the right focus on growth tomorrow is bad business for everyone, and the role of marketing at both suppliers and retailers will need to 'pivot' to focus more on ideas that drive the business forward. 15 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Data Hoarders to Data Sharers Talent Reduction to Talent Development Data is everywhere. As one top retailer put it, “The issue isn’t about the lack of data, it is about who we share it with, how they analyze it for us, and how we apply it to unlock growth and profitability.” In order to truly unlock the full potential of the available data, the industry must move away from being hoarders of their data to sharing their data, particularly in the 'on-line' world, which continues to lag brick-and-mortar in transparency. Over the past 24 months, the industry has seen a significant reduction in the tenured work force. As one executive leader at a manufacturer put it, “No one would argue with the importance of operating an efficient organization, but I am concerned that the cuts we have made have been too deep.” A lot of institutional knowledge has walked out the door, and the feedback we have received from people who remain in place is that “they are simply spread too thin to truly have the impact we desire.” Others have indicated that “the industry is changing so fast, I am not sure I even have the skills to perform at my best.” As the industry looks to the future, an intense focus will need to be placed on talent development. Leaders will be working to simultaneously increase the organizational performance of their existing talent base, while working to identify the skills needed in the future. Winners will develop training programs, attract the talent, and prepare to groom the next generation of leaders. Said differently, the industry has some work to do to create a value proposition for future talent where it is competing for people against other industries that offer exciting environments, compensation, and work. 16 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Closing Statement While it is clear that 2015 was a “challenging year,” we are likely at the beginning of a long period of accelerating change. Winning trading partners in this fast changing environment will be those who anticipate the shifts and are prepared to pivot. Best-in-class partners will focus on the Pivot Points and align on the Pivot Actions. Leading organizations in the industry will be successful in unlocking growth by: —— Focusing research, strategies, plans, and actions on the shopper —— Aligning on business ideas and strategies —— Developing personalized retailer and shopper solutions —— Transparently sharing granular data and insights —— Building and retaining a knowledge network with talented future leaders An examination of best-in-class organizations illuminates the Pivot Actions to unlock growth in a retail landscape where the pace of change is gathering speed. 17 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists Introduction Composite Composite Under $10B Executive Summary Strategic Composite Clearest Strategy Consumer Brands Growth & Profitability Manufacturer Rankings Business Composite Sales Force Innovative Marketing Retailer Rankings Insights/Category Supply Chain Leadership Shopper Marketing Digital Marketing Pivot Back to Growth Reach out to Kantar Retail to obtain a full report of the 2015 manufacturer and retailer Rankings. Learn how YOU can get deeper insights into how to return to growth in 2016 and beyond. 2015 US For a copy of the full 2015 PoweRanking® report, contact Dan.Raynak@kantarretail.com Study Price: US $2,000 18 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists The Kantar Retail Narrative Our Core Capabilities Go to Market We help you to improve your performance with retailers through better business planning and alignment of brand with retailer and shopper objectives and by choosing which channels to compete in, how best to access them and how to win within them. We are The Retail and Shopper Specialists Our Purpose We help our clients sell more — effectively and profitably Our Belief and Philosophy We connect a world-class set of retail and shopper assets with pragmatic, solution-oriented people to grow client businesses Our Brand story Every business challenge requires a unique solution. We bring together a collection of retail and shopper assets — insights, tools, analytics, and experienced consultants who think pragmatically while building and delivering integrated solutions. Our passion is using the right combination of these assets to grow your business. Our teams create real-world solutions to deliver faster growth and we plug in seamlessly as part of your extended team. We connect these solutions to your core work, embedding them so your organization benefits systemically and continuously. These solutions are aimed at your critical business decisions — how to best drive future growth, where to play, how to win, and how to optimally allocate resources. In turn, our solutions help you win the critical decisions made by shoppers and buyers along their purchase journey. Our specialized knowledge and expertise can be targeted toward specific business issues, while our integrated solutions transform businesses and generate breakthrough performance improvement. Organizational Performance We help you to develop the commercial capability of your organisation and the commercial competency of your people. Through organisation design, commercial process mapping, competency modelling and the assessment, design and delivery of training academies Shopper Insights We help you turn shoppers into buyers by understanding shopper needs, motivations, behaviours, barriers and triggers across the path to purchase Retailer & Channel Insights We help you shape your go to market strategy, assess new channel opportunities and strengthen your customer relationships by understanding how the overall retail landscape is evolving 19 Category & Shopper Solutions We help you unlock future sources of real growth through the development of fact based ‘Category Drivers’ and Activation Platforms. These are tailor-made for specific channels and retailers and are purpose built to influence purchase behaviour Retail & Purchase Data Analytics We help you to apply best in class analytical tools and consulting services to create winning strategies in-store and on-line across assortment, merchandising, promotions and price Retail Virtual Reality We help you to create virtual retail environments and product content for virtual merchandising, store design, category management, retail execution and shopper research so you can make better, faster retail decisions Sales Process Automation We help you to optimize and automate sales force, KAM activities and investments through our Sales Master 1 application, increasing your ROI The Retail and Shopper Specialists Connect with us: www.kantarretail.com Twitter: @kantarretail 2015 US LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/kantar-retail Email: Dan.Raynak@kantarretail.com Study Price: US $2,000 Kantar Retail Consulting, Americas 401 Merrit 7, 4th Floor Norwalk, CT 06851 USA +1.203.834.2800 Asia Headquarters The Center, 25th Floor 989 Changle Road Shanghai 200031 China +86.212.405.0132 Acknowledgements Headquarters The Kirkgate, 19-31 Church Street Epsom, Surrey KT17 4PF United Kingdom +44.(0)1372.825300 Brazil Headquarters Rua Olimpiadas 205 13o andar Vila Olimpia - Sao Paulo SP - 04551 - 000 Brasil +55.3006.64.54 Advisers Author Daniel Jerome Raynak Executive Vice President of Strategy and Development Jonathan Phillips — Chief Executive Officer Bryan Gildenberg — Chief Knowledge Officer Ginny Valkenburgh — Senior Vice President Taylor Wray — Director of Research Copy Editing Geoff Wissman — Vice President, Consulting Design Copyright © Kantar Retail 2015 Hayden Parker — Graphic Designer This publication is a sole property of Kantar Retail or warranty given in respect of the accuracy of this and must not be copied, reproduced, or transmitted information. We would like to be informed of any in any form or by any means, either in whole or in inaccuracies so that we may correct them. Kantar part, without the prior written consent of Kantar Retail does not accept any liability in negligence of Retail. The information contained in this publication otherwise for any loss or damage suffered by any party has been obtained from sources generally regarded resulting from reliance on this publication. Charlene Hawkins — Creative Director to be reliable. However, no representation is made, 20 The Retail and Shopper Specialists 21 2015 US The Retail and Shopper Specialists