community research quarterly - Fairbanks North Star Borough
Transcription
community research quarterly - Fairbanks North Star Borough
Fairbanks North Star Borough Community Research Center PO Box 71267 Fairbanks, Alaska 99707-1267 (907) 459-1000 COMMUNITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY A Socio - Economic Review Fall 2014 Volume XXXVII, No. 3 COMMUNITY RESEARCH CENTER The Community Research Center is located on the second floor of the Borough Administration Building at 809 Pioneer Road. Office and Research Library hours are Monday through Friday 8:00 a.m. to Noon and 1:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. CITATION Tabular and summary information contained herein may be reproduced without special permission. It is requested that any information reproduced be cited as follows: Fairbanks North Star Borough, Community Research Center, Community Research Quarterly, Vol. XXXVII, No. 3, 2014. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The Community Research Center would like to thank the many persons, businesses, government agencies and organizations who contributed to this report. FNSB has established a policy of equal opportunity in employment, service, programs and activities. COVER PAGE Fall scenes around the borough. Photos taken by Nancy Durham, Planner III of the Fairbanks North Star Borough, Department of Community Planning. FAIRBANKS NORTH STAR BOROUGH COMMUNITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY A Review of Socio - Economic Trends Volume XXXVII, Number 3 Fall 2014 BOROUGH MAYOR Luke Hopkins COMMUNITY PLANNING DEPARTMENT D. Christine Nelson, Director COMMUNITY RESEARCH CENTER Jennifer K. Nachtrieb, (ed.) Documentation Coordinator II Fairbanks North Star Borough, Community Research Center PO Box 71267, Fairbanks, Alaska 99707-1267 Phone: (907) 459-1212; e-mail: jnachtrieb@fnsb.us WEBSITE: http://co.fairbanks.ak.us/CommunityPlanning/CRC © 2014 Table of Contents Page A Spotlight on Community Economic Trends Fairbanks Economy at a Glance Economic Indicators Bank Deposit & Loan Summary Bankruptcies Filed Notices of Default Foreclosures Fairbanks International Airport Freight Fairbanks International Airport Transit Freight Fairbanks International Airport Revenue Landings Fairbanks International Airport Passengers Alaska Highway Statewide Entering Passengers Alaska Highway Statewide Exiting Passengers Alaska Highway Statewide Net Annual Migration Trends Alaska Highway Statewide Net Monthly Migration Hotel / Motel Room Receipts Quarterly Hotel / Motel Room Receipts Annual Hotel / Motel Room Receipts University of Alaska Museum Visitors Value of Agricultural Production, Tanana Valley Employment Civilian Labor Force Unemployment Rates Average Monthly Employment Estimates by Sector Average Monthly Employment Estimates by Industry Annual Average Monthly Employment Annual Average Monthly Employment by Industry Annual Average Monthly Wage by Industry Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages by Industry Housing Apartment/Multi-Plex Vacancy Rates Rental Housing Units Available Average Monthly Rents for Available Housing Units Residential Housing Sales Annual Average Residential Housing Sales New Structures Annual Report a Fall 2014 NEW i-iv 1-2 3-16 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 15 16 17-23 17-18 18 19 20 21 22 23 24-29 24 25 26 27 28 29 Community Research Quarterly Table of Contents Page Cost of Living C2ER Cost of Living Index Consumer Price Index-U for All Items Consumer Price Index-U (Anchorage) Consumer Price Index-U for All Items (U.S. City Average) Cost of Food at Home for a Week Natural Gas Customers and Rates Heating Oil Prices Residential Heating Fuel Comparison Comparison Pricer Per 100,000 BTU's of Useful Heat Average Self-service Unleaded Gasoline Prices Population & Social Conditions Population Counts & Estimates Military Population Alaska Temporary Assistance Program (ATAP) Adult Public Assistance Food Stamps General Relief Registered Voters by Affiliation Annual Registered Voters by Party Affiliation 30-37 30-31 31 32 32 33 34 35 36 36 37 38-45 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 NOTE FROM THE EDITOR: If you have a change in your address information and wish to continue to receive the hard copy of the Community Research Quarterly please advise this office as soon as possible so the database can be altered before the next mailing. In an effort to conserve on postage costs, if your issue of the Community Research Quarterly is returned for any reason, we will not attempt to resend. Thank you for your cooperation. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 b A SPOTLIGHT ON COMMUNITY ECONOMIC TRENDS THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY BLANK SPOTLIGHT SOURCE: Business Outlook Positive Amid Oil Price Drop, By Elwood Brehmer, Alaska Journal of Commerce, Decembere 4, 2014. Elwood Brehmer can be reached at elwood.brehmer@alaskajournal.com. Read more at the Alaska Journal of Commerce website: http://www.alaskajournal.com. i Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Business outlook positive amid oil price drop By Elwood Brehmer, Alaska Journal of Commerce Published: 2014.12.04 09:26 AM “Slow and steady” was the motto for most of Alaska’s banks and credit unions in the third quarter. Total assets grew 3 percent combined at five of the major state banks for the quarter. Similar asset growth was 5.9 percent year-over-year. Northrim Bank had the largest year-over-year asset growth at 20.6 percent, following its acquisition of Juneau-based Alaska Pacific Bank. With 2.8 percent growth in the third quarter, First National Bank Alaska assets grew to more than $3.2 billion. All of the state’s major credit unions also saw year-over-year asset growth for the quarter as well. The largest percentage increase was at Denali Alaskan Federal Credit Union with an 8.7 percent asset expansion. Net income results were mixed compared to the second quarter but positive year-over-year at the banks. FNBA pushed its third quarter income to more than $9.3 million, an 11.5 percent increase quarter-to-quarter and had a 12.2 percent increase year-over-year. Northrim saw its income decline 9.6 percent from earlier in the year but achieved 16.6 percent income growth from the third quarter of last year. Fairbanks institutions Mt. McKinley Bank and Denali State Bank saw income growth on both comparisons. Mt. McKinley CEO Craig Ingham has a positive outlook on the year overall. “We’re projecting for 2014 to have a better year on net income after tax, but very comparable to last year,” Ingham said. The mixed results also extended to the credit unions. Alaska USA Federal Credit Union had a 28.7 percent decline in year-to-date income, while Credit Union 1 grew its net earnings more than 35 percent. The most significant increase was at Juneau’s True North Federal Credit Union, which had a 41.1 percent increase in income. Loan activity picked up slightly from the second quarter when businesses around the state waited for voters to settle the oil tax debate in August. Wells Fargo Alaska Regional Business Banking Manager Darren Franz said his company’s state portfolio will likely end up growing about $80 million when all of the third quarter loans are funded. Community Research Quarterly Alaska Journal of Commerce Fall 2014 ii “We’re still hanging in there at about $1.8 billion in commitments,” Franz said. While the retention of Senate Bill 21’s oil tax structure was generally viewed as positive in the business community, he said there is always a lag in investment, which occurred in the third quarter. Franz said he expects to see more investment by the first quarter of 2015. Loan portfolios grew year-over-year at nine of 10 major state banks and credit unions, with an 8.1 percent decline at Denali State Bank being the lone outlier. The number of small business loans increased at Wells Fargo, Franz said, and deposits did too. “We continue to see deposits coming in so that’s an indicator to us that companies in Alaska are definitely operating increasingly more profitably,” he said. He attributed the deposit growth to an overall conservative business climate lingering from the financial crash of 2008-09. “We had a bunch of people keeping a bunch of dry powder in the bank waiting to see how Senate Bill 21 would go and we’re over that,” Franz said. “All of a sudden we’re worried about how this political race might go; now we’re over that and all of a sudden oil prices are throwing the state in some red operations probably.” Past due loan totals — those up to 90 days late — decreased 7.7 percent overall at Alaska banks quarter to quarter, but grew about 50 percent at Mt. McKinley and Denali State Bank. Ingham said there is some seasonality to late loan payments and that while the percentage increased sharply it was not significant in terms of total dollars. The past due total at Mt. McKinley increased about $600,000 in the third quarter. “Some of the people that are past due when they get their PFD (checks) or whatever, they bring it current,” he said. According to Franz, Alaska’s economic climate should remain strong for the near term despite Alaska North Slope oil prices approaching $70 per barrel. “I continue to maintain I would rather be a banker with Wells Fargo here in the great state of Alaska than anywhere else in the world right now for a lot of reasons, but for one its pretty fun,” Franz said. “Things are moving forward and (are) a lot better than a lot of other places.” In Fairbanks Ingham said the bright side of low oil prices is the hope that the community could see a “pass through” that would lower heating oil prices for the winter. iii Fall 2014 Alaska Journal of Commerce Community Research Quarterly THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY BLANK Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 iv ECONOMY AT-A-GLANCE Fairbanks North Star Borough Economic Indicator Reporting Period BANKING Total Bank Deposits (millions of $) Total Bank Loans (millions of $) BANKRUPTCIES Business Non-Business TRANSPORTATION Fairbanks International Airport Incoming Freight (thousands of lbs.) Outgoing Freight (thousands of lbs.) Transit Freight (thousands of lbs.) Revenue Landings Incoming Passengers Outgoing Passengers Alaska Highway (statewide) Entering Passengers Exiting Passengers EMPLOYMENT Total Employment Mining and Logging Construction Manufacturing Trade/Transportation/Utilities. Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Other Services Government 3rd Qtr '14 One Period Ago % Change from 2nd Qtr. '14 One Year Ago % Change from 3rd Qtr. '13 $1,075.3 $663.1 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% -1.0% 1 20 42.9% 53.8% 2,315 9,455 332 7,412 162,771 163,803 30.8% 3.8% 14.5% 21.9% 24.9% 30.9% 1.0% -8.0% -34.3% 1.7% 5.2% 2.8% 41,721 47,532 22.8% 129.2% -15.4% -5.1% 40,600 1,800 3,400 600 8,600 500 1,300 2,300 5,400 4,600 1,200 11,000 3.0% 12.5% 30.8% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 0.0% 7.0% 0.0% -4.3% -2.4% -10.0% -2.9% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% -20.7% 0.0% 0.0% -7.7% -0.9% Current Data Period NOTE: Employment numbers rounded to nearest 100. 1 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Fairbanks Economy at a Glance (continued) Fairbanks North Star Borough Economic Indicator Reporting Period (annual/by qtr.) CONSTRUCTION New Structures Annual Report (2013) Reporting Period (annual/by qtr.) REAL ESTATE Single Family Houses Number Sold Average Price RENTALS Residential Rentals Rental Units Advertised Average Rent (2 bdrm. apartment) MILITARY Military Active Duty Personnel (FFY4) Military Dependents (FFY4) POPULATION++ FNSB (Census annual)* City of Fairbanks* (annual) City of North Pole* (annual) FNSB (DCCED annual)^ FNSB (ADOL annual)** City of Fairbanks** (annual) City of North Pole** (annual) Current Data Period One Period Ago One Year Ago Annual 255 - -23.4% 3rd Qtr. '14 2nd Qtr. '14 3rd Qtr. '13 289 $223,477 11.2% 1.5% 6.3% -2.7% 747 $1,197 15.5% -0.3% 26.0% -1.5% 7,705 11,039 -1.0% -1.3% -7.6% -7.1% 100,436 32,324 2,214 99,632 99,632 32,204 2,209 - 0.2% 0.9% 2.8% -0.7% -0.7% 0.4% 2.2% SOURCE: (1) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, July 1st estimates. 2013 Population Estimates. PEPANNRES Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Counties of Alaska: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013, also Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population in Alaska: now known as *Intercensal Estimates of the Resident Population for Incorporated Places and Minor Civil Divisions: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2013, May 2014. Geographic change notes defined at: http://www.census.gov. (2) Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; and US Census Bureau. Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^, and Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^. All numbers are based on 2010 Census geography. ADOL website: http://laborstats.alaska.gov, February 2014. (3) Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development (DCCED), Division of Community and Regional Affairs, 2013 Commissioner Certified Estimates, January 15, 2013. DCCED Certified numbers may vary from ADOL population estimates as a result of the Population Estimate Appeal process available to incorporated communities on a yearly basis, as well as annual revisions by ADOL. Once certified, DCCED numbers may be applied for two consecutive calendar years. DCCED website: http://www.commerce.state.ak.us/dca/commdb/CF_COMDB.htm. NOTE: The FNSB numbers include population for all communities within the Borough plus Fort Wainwright Army Base and Eielson Air Force Base. ** U.S. Census and ADOL estimated numbers may be revised annually. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 2 ECONOMIC INDICATORS BANK DEPOSIT & LOAN SUMMARY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2014, End of Quarter 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Loan-to-Deposit Ratio 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1 2 3 2014 BANK DEPOSIT & LOAN SUMMARY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2014 2007 2008* 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Deposits March 31 June 30* Sept. 30 Dec. 31 -------------------------------------------Millions of Dollars---------------------------------------------------$699.9 $751.1 $786.9 $873.8 $938.3 $957.0 $1,007.8 $1,063.7 $731.2 $754.6 $826.9 $889.4 $929.3 $983.6 $1,023.2 $1,064.6 $752.7 $807.4 $847.0 $927.1 $966.3 $1,021.4 $1,064.8 $1,075.3 $762.1 $782.3 $887.0 $949.2 $960.3 $1,014.6 $1,073.7 Loans -------------------------------------------Millions of Dollars---------------------------------------------------$610.5 $629.1 $685.4 $660.0 $646.9 $619.5 $675.3 $655.9 $650.9 $653.7 $701.4 $674.4 $651.6 $644.7 $681.8 $657.7 $659.8 $662.9 $669.0 $656.0 $636.1 $685.6 $669.8 $663.1 $634.6 $673.0 $667.6 $676.0 $636.7 $679.1 $662.8 March 31^ June 30* Sept. 30 Dec. 31* SOURCE: Denali State Bank, First National Bank of Alaska, Mt. McKinley Bank, Northrim Bank, Wells Fargo Bank Alaska, N.A. (local branches), personal communications 2007-2014. * Adjustment made to data entered March-June 2008 in October 2008. ^ Calculation adjusted loan value only, November 2007. 3 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators TOTAL BANKRUPTCIES FILED Alaska Fourth Judicial District, Fairbanks Office 2007-2013 200 150 100 Combined Bankruptcies 50 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 0 BANKRUPTCIES FILED Alaska Fourth Judicial District, Fairbanks Office 2007-2014 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013*^ 2014* 20 25 21 32 98 20 22 41 40 123 31 54 42 48 175 38 39 38 33 148 40 37 35 33 145 24 26 31 20 101 28 26 13 8 75 14 14 20 9% 26% 42% -15% -2% -30% -26% 3 9 8 4 24 6 6 7 2 21 0 2 2 2 6 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 4 41% -13% -71% -67% -50% 0% 300% 122 144 181 150 146 102 79 Nonbusiness 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total % Change from Previous Year Business 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total % Change from Previous Year Combined Annual Total 2 0 1 SOURCE: U.S. Courts website: http://www.akb.uscourts.gov, and personal communications with FNSB Collections Department, 2007-2014. NOTE: Revised formulas and chart, November 18, 2013. Beginning in January 2009 the U.S. Bankruptcy Court changed the way they report bankruptcy cases. Due to staffing changes the information is no longer individually entered. They now use the nationwide formatting which does not sort business and non-business categories. FNSB will research the cases reported in effort to separate the two categories. * Beginning First Quarter 2010 bankruptcy records reflect refined research documenting through FNSB Collections Department who utilizes PACER (Public Access To Court Electronic Records). ^ 3rd Quarter 2013 numbers were changed to remove count of bankruptcy appeal case and correct a miscount in business cases. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 4 Economic Indicators NOTICES OF DEFAULT Fairbanks Recording District* 2008-2014 ^ January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 21 17 16 16 25 27 25 20 27 27 14 25 20 32 26 21 18 18 34 26 20 16 16 24 20 26 15 21 25 30 22 23 26 19 11 14 14 33 27 22 15 18 13 25 21 12 14 20 8 20 25 14 26 24 23 22 27 21 12 12 30 20 13 16 18 16 25 24 17 19 19 33 29 18 12 17 17 29 15 15 18 260 271 252 234 234 250 % Change 2013-14 -3% -10% -8% 6% -6% 81% -40% -38% 6% SOURCE: Recorder's Office, Alaska Department of Natural Resources website: http://www.dnr.alaska.gov, 2008-2014. NOTE: Notices of default indicate the terms of a Deed of Trust or Mortgage have been breached, i.e. delinquency of payments. The notices need not result in foreclosures because deficiencies can be corrected. There can be multiple notices if a default is corrected but the Deed of Trust or Mortgage terms are breached again in the future. A single notice can be for more than one parcel. Notices are tabulated by date of initiation. ^ Current data supersedes previous figures reported. The data presented only reflects the number of notice of defaults that have been recorded and does not reflect any effect of amendments, modifications or terminations of notice of defaults. Please contact the Community Research Center for any additional questions. * Fairbanks Recording District includes (bolded communities may reside in the FNSB) A.G.M.(Camp); Alaska Lodge; Alatna; Alder Creek; Alder Creek Camp; Alexanders Village; Allakaket; Amy Creek; Arctic City (Aband); Aurora Lodge; Barlett; P.O. (Ester); Bear Paw; Bearman Cabin; Beaver; Beaver Cr. Yukon; Bend S.C.; Berry; Berry Camp; Bettles; Bettles Field (Evansville); Biedermans Camp; Big Delta; Big Horn; Big Lake; Birch Creek; Black Jack Cabin; Bonanza; Bonanza Bar; Boundary; Burnt Paw; Cache; Canyon Creek Camp; Canyon Vil; Caribou; Caribou Bar; Caro; Cathedral Bluffs; Cathedral Rapids; Central; Chalkyitsik; Chandalar; Chapman; Chatanika; Chena; Chena Hot Springs; Chicken; Chisana; Christian; Circle; Circle Hot Springs; Cleary Summit; Coal Creek; Cold Foot; College; Crooked Creek; Dahten; Dall; Dalton; Delta Junction; Demarcation Pt; Diamond; Dome; Dome Creek; Donnelly; Doran; Dot Lake; Eagle; Eagle Creek; Eagle Village; Eielson Air Force Base; Ester (Bartlett; P.O.); Evansville (Bettles Field); Fairbanks; Fairbanks Creek Camp; Fiftysix Mile Cabin; Fish Camp; Fishook; Flume Creek; Fort Greely; Fort Hamlin; Fort Wainwright; Fort Yukon; FortyMile R.H. (Tetlin Junction); Fortysix Mile Cabin; Fossil Cr. S.C.; Fox; Franklin; Glacier; Glacier (Mine); Gold Bench; Goldstream; Graehl; Healy Lake; Heinie Creek; Henshaw Cabin; Horsfeld ; Jack Wade; Joe Ward Camp; John Herbert Village; Johnnie Frog Cabin; Johnson River; Joseph; Kantishna; Kochumstuk; Lake Harding Store; Lake Minchumina; Larson Cabin; Liberty; Lilywig Creek; Livengood; Log Cabin Inn; Mansfield Village; Martin; McCallum; Miller House; Millers Camp (Aband); Millers R.H.; Montana Creek Camp; Moose Creek; Mudbank Cabin; Murphy Dome; Muskeg; Myrtle Creek; Nabesna; Nabesna Village; Nation (Aband); Ninemile Cabin; Nineteen Mile; Nolan; North Pole; North Slope; Northway; Northway Junction; Old Camp; Old Rampart; Old Saulich; Olnes; Oscars Cabin; Poker Creek; Yukon Post & Scoby; Richardson; Riverside; Roosevelt; Salcha; Salchakat; Salmon; Salmon River; Sam Creek; Saulich; Scottie Creek; Seventeen mile; Shaw Creek Lodge; Shuman House; Silver Fox R.H.; Sixtymile (Glacier P.O.) Yukon; Sourdough Camp; South Fork; Standard; Steele Creek; Stephens (Stevens); Swede Boys Camp; Tanacross; Ten Mile; Tenderfoot; Tetlin; Tetlin Jct; Thirtysix Mile; Cabin Tok (Junction); Toklat; Tolovana; Tramway Bar; Tsukon Cabin; Twentyfour Mile Cabin; Twentytwo Mile Village; Two Rivers; United States Camp; Venetie; Venetie Landing; Wallen; West Fork (Aband); White Eye; Wild Lake; Willow House; Wiseman; Woodchopper (Aband); Woodchopper Creek. 5 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators FORECLOSURES Fairbanks Recording District* 2008-2014 ^ January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5 9 6 7 10 10 5 8 11 14 4 13 12 20 16 14 12 13 20 10 14 20 15 15 15 12 13 14 13 10 13 16 21 13 10 15 11 10 10 14 7 15 12 12 11 9 19 14 14 11 18 9 18 10 17 12 8 9 18 18 19 9 7 22 14 6 22 25 13 27 16 13 21 6 24 13 13 19 20 16 18 102 181 165 144 162 193 % Change 2013-14 11% -33% 243% -41% -7% 217% -9% -36% 38% SOURCE: Recorder's Office, Alaska Department of Natural Resources website: http://www.dnr.alaska.gov, 2008-2014. NOTE: Foreclosures in this table indicate the loss of property by a borrower as a result of an Affidavit of Foreclosure, Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure, Relinquishment, Trustee Deed, or Judicial Deed of Foreclosure. More than a single parcel may be affected by the foreclosure. ^ Current data supersedes previous figures reported. * Fairbanks Recording District includes (bolded communities may reside in the FNSB) A.G.M.(Camp); Alaska Lodge; Alatna; Alder Creek; Alder Creek Camp; Alexanders Village; Allakaket; Amy Creek; Arctic City (Aband); Aurora Lodge; Barlett; P.O. (Ester); Bear Paw; Bearman Cabin; Beaver; Beaver Cr. Yukon; Bend S.C.; Berry; Berry Camp; Bettles; Bettles Field (Evansville); Biedermans Camp; Big Delta; Big Horn; Big Lake; Birch Creek; Black Jack Cabin; Bonanza; Bonanza Bar; Boundary; Burnt Paw; Cache; Canyon Creek Camp; Canyon Vil; Caribou; Caribou Bar; Caro; Cathedral Bluffs; Cathedral Rapids; Central; Chalkyitsik; Chandalar; Chapman; Chatanika; Chena; Chena Hot Springs; Chicken; Chisana; Christian; Circle; Circle Hot Springs; Cleary Summit; Coal Creek; Cold Foot; College; Crooked Creek; Dahten; Dall; Dalton; Delta Junction; Demarcation Pt; Diamond; Dome; Dome Creek; Donnelly; Doran; Dot Lake; Eagle; Eagle Creek; Eagle Village; Eielson Air Force Base; Ester (Bartlett; P.O.); Evansville (Bettles Field); Fairbanks; Fairbanks Creek Camp; Fiftysix Mile Cabin; Fish Camp; Fishook; Flume Creek; Fort Greely; Fort Hamlin; Fort Wainwright; Fort Yukon; Forty-Mile R.H. (Tetlin Junction); Fortysix Mile Cabin; Fossil Cr. S.C.; Fox; Franklin; Glacier; Glacier (Mine); Gold Bench; Goldstream; Graehl; Healy Lake; Heinie Creek; Henshaw Cabin; Horsfeld ; Jack Wade; Joe Ward Camp; John Herbert Village; Johnnie Frog Cabin; Johnson River; Joseph; Kantishna; Kochumstuk; Lake Harding Store; Lake Minchumina; Larson Cabin; Liberty; Lilywig Creek; Livengood; Log Cabin Inn; Mansfield Village; Martin; McCallum; Miller House; Millers Camp (Aband); Millers R.H.; Montana Creek Camp; Moose Creek; Mudbank Cabin; Murphy Dome; Muskeg; Myrtle Creek; Nabesna; Nabesna Village; Nation (Aband); Ninemile Cabin; Nineteen Mile; Nolan; North Pole; North Slope; Northway; Northway Junction; Old Camp; Old Rampart; Old Saulich; Olnes; Oscars Cabin; Poker Creek; Yukon Post & Scoby; Richardson; Riverside; Roosevelt; Salcha; Salchakat; Salmon; Salmon River; Sam Creek; Saulich; Scottie Creek; Seventeen mile; Shaw Creek Lodge; Shuman House; Silver Fox R.H.; Sixtymile (Glacier P.O.) Yukon; Sourdough Camp; South Fork; Standard; Steele Creek; Stephens (Stevens); Swede Boys Camp; Tanacross; Ten Mile; Tenderfoot; Tetlin; Tetlin Jct; Thirtysix Mile; Cabin Tok (Junction); Toklat; Tolovana; Tramway Bar; Tsukon Cabin; Twentyfour Mile Cabin; Twentytwo Mile Village; Two Rivers; United States Camp; Venetie; Venetie Landing; Wallen; West Fork (Aband); White Eye; Wild Lake; Willow House; Wiseman; Woodchopper (Aband); Woodchopper Creek. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 6 Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FREIGHT* 2008-2014 2008 Incoming January February March April May June July August September October November December Total Outgoing January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -------------------------------------Thousands of Pounds-----------------------------------------710 616 477 1,007 307 449 418 724 647 482 459 500 425 467 802 6,189 637 1,120 587 470 554 879 627 739 597 557 618 604 914 657 1,752 652 680 622 649 1,557 633 1,810 615 663 600 517 983 658 709 678 698 728 841 1,045 673 754 716 759 814 759 1,035 706 857 803 707 750 715 930 947 611 637 699 635 714 529 574 524 574 460 552 529 501 539 599 425 10,845 13,411 9,903 8,347 7,330 36,872 33,916 33,565 38,154 -7% 10% 18% -2% 4% -14% 16% -7% -5% 6,996 -------------------------------------Thousands of Pounds-----------------------------------------2,182 1,806 2,189 2,883 2,666 1,871 2,205 2,681 2,257 2,760 1,539 2,590 2,365 2,561 2,677 5,667 3,191 2,776 2,721 1,394 2,578 2,935 3,216 2,929 2,482 2,670 2,781 2,711 3,077 2,836 1,863 2,587 4,112 3,162 3,421 3,126 3,188 2,511 3,340 3,574 3,740 2,973 3,595 3,624 3,600 3,017 3,830 3,658 3,268 2,930 3,513 3,402 3,650 3,956 3,619 3,057 2,768 3,202 3,652 3,233 4,143 3,003 3,130 3,407 2,951 3,023 2,660 2,857 3,043 2,479 2,595 2,254 2,623 2,310 1,982 2,866 2,017 2,542 2,775 2,725 2,203 34,723 % Change 2013-14 18% 8% 85% -3% 8% -21% -11% -16% 4% 32,821 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. NOTE: UPS made a sizeable stop in March 2009. Everts Air Fuel notable stop in May-June 2010. Sizeable stop by a domestic carrier in January 2011. Kalitta Air stopped at FAI March 2011. Frontier Flying Service, Lynden Air Cargo, and Tatonduk Outifitters boosted numbers in May 2012. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. 7 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TRANSIT FREIGHT*^ 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -------------------------------------Thousands of Pounds-----------------------------------------299 463 572 886 276 631 313 341 298 1,543 235 282 270 219 335 14,296 1,118 258 361 670 665 338 302 296 297 750 276 86 261 245 342 344 326 291 107 307 361 1,574 342 370 109 97 4,334 359 327 341 397 250 295 5,168 350 593 321 350 215 16 329 292 8,508 305 926 40 21 1,294 268 451 309 348 151 317 748 993 293 211 469 553 940 364 350 301 323 January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 13,876 18,922 16,681 4,281 4,898 % Change 2013-14 -50% -19% -1% -69% -63% -11% 18% -93% -48% 3,695 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. NOTE: On average FAI should see between 70-100 operations from Volga-Dnepr Airlines per year. Ukraine-based Antonov Design Bureau, made transit landings Feb-Mar 2010. ^ International Airlines: Evergreen and Volga-Dnepr made non-routine stops at FAI in July-August 2008. UPS made a sizeable stop in March 2009. Asiana, Cathay Pacific, China Air, Nippon Cargo, Atlas Air, China Cargo, and Evergreen International plus domestic carriers Fed Ex and UPS had transit landings in September and November 2010. Cathay Pacific and Nippon Cargo boosted numbers reported in Apr 2012, Jan and Mar 2013. Cathay Pacific, Nippon Cargo and China Air increase values in Sept 2012. Number of transit stops in Fairbanks may be dependant on weather in Anchorage. If Anchorage runways are snowed in flights are diverted to Fairbanks. Also in 2013 Alaska Airlines changed airplanes used in flights between Fairbanks and Anchorage to the Q400 planes, which are much smaller and do not have the capacity to carry large amounts of cargo. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TRANSIT FREIGHT 2008-2014 16,000 14,000 Thousands of Pounds 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 J/14 J/13 J/12 J/11 J/10 J/09 J/08 0 J=January/Year Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 8 Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REVENUE LANDINGS 2008-2014 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 J/14 J/13 J/12 J/11 J/10 J/09 J/08 0 J=January/Year FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REVENUE LANDINGS* 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1,758 1,766 2,019 1,868 2,208 2,571 2,686 2,820 2,503 2,009 1,668 1,802 1,610 1,653 1,907 1,836 2,039 2,370 2,481 2,464 2,338 1,922 1,650 1,813 1,643 1,601 1,900 1,810 1,906 2,410 2,510 2,641 2,523 1,957 1,567 1,791 1,673 1,551 1,935 1,797 2,070 2,416 2,368 2,751 2,544 1,942 1,760 1,820 1,614 1,588 1,836 1,712 2,085 2,360 2,349 2,447 2,167 1,715 1,459 1,532 1,508 1,578 1,813 1,742 1,983 2,431 2,398 2,631 2,258 1,862 1,585 1,561 1,569 1,649 2,074 1,801 1,973 2,305 2,416 2,632 2,364 Total 25,678 24,083 24,259 24,627 22,864 23,350 % Change 2013-14 4% 4% 14% 3% -1% -5% 1% 0% 5% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. 9 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PASSENGERS* 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % Change 2013-14 Incoming January February March April May June July August September October November December 33,333 31,801 35,869 30,386 45,270 60,012 60,249 64,713 39,664 31,565 28,568 31,534 32,118 29,051 33,266 28,065 40,536 51,532 54,055 54,191 37,907 47,049 31,077 31,855 32,275 29,677 34,689 29,191 40,531 51,352 56,896 57,370 37,040 35,120 29,939 32,823 33,897 30,763 39,085 30,449 41,461 51,949 55,490 57,039 38,298 32,048 30,024 31,408 33,555 31,566 37,380 30,156 42,888 56,506 57,927 58,021 39,404 31,710 30,085 31,250 34,474 31,104 38,735 29,853 41,734 53,673 59,516 57,174 38,093 33,781 29,534 33,512 34,000 32,849 43,295 31,459 42,797 56,100 61,957 60,925 39,889 -1% 6% 12% 5% 3% 5% 4% 7% 5% Total 492,964 470,702 466,903 471,911 480,448 481,183 Outgoing January February March April May June July August September October November December 29,821 31,495 35,259 29,871 40,420 54,765 58,257 58,267 44,796 34,349 28,909 34,171 29,763 28,742 32,379 27,517 35,530 48,923 52,252 50,500 43,105 35,654 31,291 36,778 28,908 28,955 34,426 29,076 36,495 47,899 54,198 53,742 44,985 36,204 30,499 36,844 30,157 29,911 38,609 29,943 37,776 48,027 52,019 53,832 45,230 33,996 30,905 35,921 29,447 31,231 37,143 29,746 40,461 50,765 55,564 56,668 45,283 33,915 30,909 36,169 30,946 30,457 38,519 29,952 38,411 49,715 56,807 56,543 45,978 35,712 30,748 37,428 30,299 32,386 44,297 31,562 38,924 54,636 59,333 59,422 45,048 -2% 6% 15% 5% 1% 10% 4% 5% -2% Total 480,380 452,434 462,231 466,326 477,301 481,216 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation & Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. NOTE: Numbers do not include passengers in transit. Arctic Winter Games took place in Fairbanks March 2014. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 10 Economic Indicators ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE ENTERING PASSENGERS* Via the Yukon Territory 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2,108 2,365 3,681 5,168 11,033 17,887 16,946 13,246 5,987 3,832 2,096 2,145 2,388 2,419 3,958 4,899 12,447 22,929 24,187 18,311 7,954 3,803 2,783 2,237 2,216 2,139 3,434 5,662 11,989 23,610 21,002 16,553 5,829 3,949 2,547 2,334 2,213 2,350 3,992 5,068 11,732 22,411 22,964 20,063 7,901 3,512 2,424 2,016 1,868 2,037 3,688 4,611 10,430 21,800 24,446 18,903 7,409 3,489 2,426 1,854 1,888 1,970 3,358 4,592 10,290 22,299 23,400 18,272 7,661 3,296 2,467 2,132 2,171 1,905 3,172 4,697 10,051 19,213 21,105 15,080 5,536 Total 86,494 108,315 101,264 106,646 102,961 101,625 % Change 2013-14 15% -3% -6% 2% -2% -14% -10% -17% -28% SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Immigration and Naturalization Service, District 32, (Tok) personal communications, 20082014. NOTE: This entry point includes statewide travel for automobiles on the Alaska Highway and, during the summer, the Taylor Highway (Poker Creek). * Current year figures subject to revisions. ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE EXITING PASSENGERS* Via the Yukon Territory 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1,783 1,812 2,455 2,608 6,990 15,502 22,729 21,827 10,585 3,657 2,054 1,573 1,491 2,018 2,380 2,884 7,057 13,932 20,196 20,089 10,522 4,145 2,781 1,998 1,688 1,643 2,542 3,155 7,358 14,771 24,479 11,766 11,196 4,673 2,070 1,613 1,483 1,657 2,297 2,615 6,771 15,473 22,377 20,734 10,341 4,470 2,213 1,867 1,485 1,553 2,617 2,719 6,171 14,116 20,212 20,268 9,859 3,485 2,074 1,942 1,640 1,376 2,142 2,962 6,092 15,021 19,144 20,783 10,157 4,135 3,035 1,582 1,597 1,457 2,275 2,425 5,332 12,977 19,136 18,180 10,216 Total 93,575 89,493 86,954 92,298 86,501 88,069 % Change 2013-14 -3% 6% 6% -18% -12% -14% 0% -13% 1% SOURCE: Canadian Customs Border Services, Area Ports, Yukon Government, 2008-2014. NOTE: This exit point includes statewide travel for automobiles on the Alaska Highway (Beaver Creek) and, during the summer through September 15th, the Taylor Highway (Little Gold). * Current year figures subject to revisions. 11 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE NET ANNUAL MIGRATION TRENDS Via the Yukon Territory 2000-2013 25,000 Net Migration 15,000 10,000 5,000 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 -5,000 2001 0 2000 Number of Passengers 20,000 -10,000 -15,000 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Immigration and Naturalization Service, District 32, and Customs Border Services, Area Ports, Yukon Government, Canada, personal communications 2000-2013. ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE NET MONTHLY MIGRATION* Via the Yukon Territory 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 325 553 1,226 2,560 4,043 2,385 -5,783 -8,581 -4,598 175 42 572 897 401 1,578 2,015 5,390 8,997 3,991 -1,778 -2,568 -342 2 239 528 496 892 2,507 4,631 8,839 -3,477 4,787 -5,367 -724 477 721 730 693 1,695 2,453 4,961 6,938 587 -671 -2,440 -958 211 149 383 484 1,071 1,892 4,259 7,684 4,234 -1,365 -2,450 4 352 -88 248 594 1,216 1,630 4,198 7,278 4,256 -2,511 -2,496 -839 -568 550 574 448 897 2,272 4,719 6,236 1,969 -3,100 -4,680 Net -7,081 18,822 14,310 14,348 16,460 13,556 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Immigration and Naturalization Service, District 32, and Customs Border Services, Area Ports, Yukon Government, Canada, personal communications 2008-2014. NOTE: Numbers denote the difference between the number of passengers entering and exiting statewide Alaska on the Alaska Highway and the Taylor Highway (summer only through September 15th). * Current year figures subject to revisions. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 12 Economic Indicators HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 Quarter 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1st 2nd 3rd 4th $5,554,495 $11,750,227 $25,311,523 $7,176,965 $5,549,520 $14,817,922 $27,183,699 $6,887,983 $6,317,082 $13,757,533 $26,099,065 $7,429,594 $6,603,066 $14,464,988 $28,737,266 $8,886,940 $7,170,000 $14,031,111 $25,686,646 $10,909,172 $8,202,072 $14,523,111 $25,687,167 Total $49,793,210 $54,439,124 $53,603,274 $58,692,260 $57,796,929 % Change 2013-14 14.4% 3.5% 0.0% SOURCE: City of Fairbanks, Finance Dept.; City of North Pole, Finance Dept.; FNSB, Financial Services, personal communications, 2009-2014. NOTE: Room receipt figures are based on hotel/motel bed tax which is 8%. Receipts are calculated on taxes paid. There is a time lag between collection and reporting of these taxes. Arctic Winter Games took place March 2014. * Due to accrual adjustments the current data will supersede previous figures reported. THIRD QUARTER HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 2004-2014 3rd Quarter Comparisons $35,000,000 $30,000,000 $25,000,000 $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 13 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators ANNUAL HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS* Fairbanks North Star Borough 1993-2013 Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1st Qtr. $1,912,664 $2,139,404 $2,342,331 $2,344,161 $2,414,719 $2,551,863 $3,055,908 $3,274,010 $3,745,458 $3,421,975 $4,269,920 $4,282,186 $4,341,420 $4,396,630 $5,253,550 $4,928,353 $5,554,495 $5,549,520 $6,317,082 $6,603,066 $7,170,000 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. Annual Total $6,509,495 $7,282,236 $8,112,819 $8,651,705 $7,794,574 $10,173,376 $10,093,298 $9,923,679 $10,072,118 $9,279,386 $8,951,462 $11,444,548 $11,991,395 $13,755,407 $14,703,344 $15,450,099 $11,750,227 $14,817,922 $13,757,533 $14,464,988 $14,031,111 $13,079,188 $14,218,355 $14,946,769 $15,188,972 $18,608,324 $17,682,597 $18,457,738 $17,456,009 $17,394,993 $15,610,143 $18,034,906 $24,397,446 $26,148,408 $27,784,543 $29,164,266 $29,652,248 $25,311,523 $27,183,699 $26,099,065 $28,737,266 $25,686,646 $2,910,413 $3,889,047 $3,811,319 $3,189,160 $3,526,383 $4,296,950 $4,567,227 $4,959,298 $7,476,847 $7,457,382 $6,161,282 $6,245,425 $6,416,203 $6,628,268 $7,198,573 $7,251,731 $7,176,965 $6,887,983 $7,429,594 $8,886,940 $10,909,172 $24,411,760 $27,529,042 $29,213,238 $29,373,998 $32,344,000 $34,704,786 $36,174,171 $35,612,996 $38,689,416 $35,768,886 $37,417,570 $46,369,605 $48,897,426 $52,564,848 $56,319,733 $57,282,431 $49,793,210 $54,439,124 $53,603,274 $58,692,260 $57,796,929 % Chg fr Prev Yr 15.6% 12.8% 6.1% 0.6% 10.1% 7.3% 4.2% -1.6% 8.6% -7.5% 4.6% 23.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.1% 1.7% -13.1% 9.3% -1.5% 9.5% -1.5% SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough, City of Fairbanks, and City of North Pole, Finance Departments, personal communications 1993-2013. NOTE: Room receipt figures are based on hotel/motel bed tax which is 8%. Receipts are calculated on taxes paid. There is a time lag between collection and reporting of these taxes. City of North Pole was added beginning second quarter 2009. * Due to accrual adjustments the current figure supersede previous figures. ANNUAL HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1993-2013 30% 25% 20% Percentage Change 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% Community Research Quarterly 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 -15% Fall 2014 14 Economic Indicators UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA MUSEUM VISITORS Fairbanks, Alaska 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2,236 4,502 3,394 2,328 5,767 15,275 16,548 14,709 7,567 3,249 1,886 2,437 1,647 4,465 3,725 2,272 5,367 14,051 16,587 14,193 7,698 4,207 2,567 3,785 1,705 3,199 4,230 2,525 4,303 12,517 14,169 12,851 6,743 2,841 2,124 2,588 2,235 3,969 5,934 2,911 5,100 11,236 13,668 12,536 7,137 3,534 1,718 3,662 3,170 3,705 6,871 2,664 4,859 10,956 14,746 12,993 8,163 6,116 4,206 6,013 4,697 6,201 9,634 4,657 4,721 12,070 14,876 13,336 6,489 Total 79,898 80,564 69,795 73,640 84,462 % Change 2013-14 48% 67% 40% 75% -3% 10% 1% 3% -21% SOURCE: University of Alaska Museum, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, personal communications 2009-2014. NOTE: Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. The Fairbanks Children's Museum opened October 2013 in the museum's auditorium and remained there until the end of April 2014. Arctic Winter Games took place March 2014. Beginning January 2014 and continuing throughout 2014, a Wells Fargo sponsorship will pay entrance fees for active-duty military families. UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA MUSEUM VISITORS Fairbanks, Alaska 2003-2013 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Museum Visitors 0 15 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION Fairbanks Area and Alaska 2002-2012 Fairbanks Area Number of Farms Land in Farms (acres) Average Size of Farms (acres) Market Value of Products Sold Crop Sales Livestock Sales Value of Agricultural Products sold directly to individual for human consumption Number of Workers-Hired Farm Labor Payroll- Hired Farm Labor Government Payments No. Farms Receiving Payments Avg Per Farm Receiving Payments Alaska Number of Farms Land in Farms (acres) Avg Size of Farms (acres) Market Value of Products Sold Crop Sales Livestock Sales Value of Agricultural Products sold directly to individual for human consumption Number of Workers-Hired Farm Labor Payroll- Hired Farm Labor Government Payments No. Farms Receiving Payments Avg Per Farm Receiving Payments 2002 2007 2012 187 109,990 588 $5,285,000 $4,349,000 $936,000 212 110,780 523 $7,075,000 $5,889,000 $1,187,000 217 99,620 459 $9,140,000 $7,749,000 $1,391,000 $183,000 247 $948,000 $1,267,000 46 $27,537 $564,000 320 $1,442,000 $1,356,000 50 $27,129 $729,000 303 $1,844,000 $1,354,000 67 $20,210 2002 2007 2012 % Change 2007-12 2.4% -10.1% -12.2% 29.2% 32% 17% 609 686 762 900,715 881,585 833,861 1,479 1,285 1,094 $46,143,000 $57,019,000 $58,925,000 $20,543,000 $24,749,000 $24,857,000 $25,600,000 $32,271,000 $34,068,000 29% -5.3% 27.9% -0.1% 34% -25.5% % Change 2007-12 11.1% -5.4% -14.9% 3.3% 0% 6% $829,000 $1,682,000 $2,227,000 1,774 1,651 1,577 $13,427,000 $16,463,000 $18,647,000 $1,765,000 $1,645,000 $2,432,000 72 78 195 $24,516 $21,086 $12,473 32% -4.5% 13.3% 47.8% 150% -40.8% SOURCE: 2012 Census of Agriculture, Alaska, State and Area Data, Volume 1 Geographic Area Series, Part 2, May 2014, website: http://www.agcensus.usda.gov/ NOTE: The Census of Agriculture is conducted every 5 years. Fairbanks Area includes property lying outside the Fairbanks North Star Borough. Please see map below. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 16 EMPLOYMENT CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES* Fairbanks MSA, Alaska and the United States 2008-2014 F A I R B A N K S M S A A L A S K A U N I T E D S T A T E S January February March April May June July August September October November December Average January February March April May June July August September October November December Average January February March April May June July August September October November December Average 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.5 5.5 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.9 6.4 5.8 7.1 7.1 7.1 6.4 6.3 6.5 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.4 6.9 6.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 4.8 5.2 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.5 7.1 5.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 6.8 6.9 7.6 6.7 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.3 7.1 8.0 8.3 8.2 7.7 7.5 8.0 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.7 7.8 8.2 7.7 8.5 8.9 9.0 8.6 9.1 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.7 9.3 8.5 8.3 8.1 7.2 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.2 6.8 7.0 6.9 9.2 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.8 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.8 8.1 8.0 10.6 10.4 10.2 9.5 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.0 9.3 9.1 9.6 7.9 7.6 7.3 6.7 6.3 6.9 6.2 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.4 6.8 6.7 8.8 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.3 7.7 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.7 7.6 9.8 9.5 9.2 8.7 8.7 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.2 8.3 8.9 7.5 7.4 7.1 6.5 6.0 6.6 6.1 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.6 6.2 6.2 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.2 6.8 7.3 6.6 6.2 5.9 6.0 6.4 7.0 6.9 8.8 8.7 8.4 7.7 7.9 8.4 8.6 8.2 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.6 8.1 7.2 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.6 6.4 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.8 7.8 7.4 7.0 6.6 6.3 6.9 6.0 5.8 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.5 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.1 7.3 7.8 7.7 7.3 7.0 7.0 6.6 6.5 7.4 6.5 6.6 6.2 5.4 5.3 6.1 5.5 5.5 5.0 7.4 7.7 7.3 6.4 6.0 6.7 6.1 6.2 5.9 7.0 7.0 6.8 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.3 5.7 SOURCES: Alaska Department of Labor, Research and Analysis Section, website: http://www.laborstats.alaska.gov, and personal communications 2008-2014. U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, and website: http://www.bls.gov, 2008-2014. NOTE: Rates presented are "not seasonally adjusted". A change in the way the labor force statistics are calculated for boroughs and census areas makes data prior to 2000 not comparable with later data. * May be subject to revision. 17 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Employment CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES State of Alaska, FNSB, the United States 2008-2014 Percentage Unemployed 12.0 Alaska FNSB U. S. 9.0 6.0 3.0 J/14 J/13 J/12 J/11 J/10 J/09 J/08 0.0 J = January/Year AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES BY SECTOR Fairbanks North Star Borough Third Quarter Average - 2014 Manufacturing 600 Financial Activities 1,300 Mining & Logging 1,600 Construction 2,600 Leisure & Hospitality 4,200 Trade, Transportation & Utilities 8,300 Government Community Research Quarterly 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 11,400 Fall 2014 18 Employment AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES BY INDUSTRY Fairbanks North Star Borough (MSA¹) 2014 Year-to-Date Average 2014 Industry 2014 2013 % Change 2013-14 Reporting Period Mining and Logging³ Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans/Warehouse/Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Svcs Educational & Health Services Health Care Leisure & Hospitality Other Services Government Federal Government State Government Local Government² 1st Qtr 1,400 1,900 600 7,800 700 4,600 2,400 500 1,200 2,000 5,400 3,900 3,800 1,200 11,700 2,700 5,500 3,400 2nd Qtr 1,600 2,600 600 8,400 800 4,800 2,800 500 1,300 2,100 5,400 3,900 4,300 1,200 11,500 2,900 5,400 3,100 3rd Qtr 1,800 3,400 600 8,600 800 4,900 2,900 500 1,300 2,300 5,400 4,000 4,600 1,200 11,000 2,900 5,200 2,900 Jan-Sept 1,600 2,600 600 8,300 800 4,800 2,700 500 1,300 2,100 5,400 3,900 4,200 1,200 11,400 2,900 5,400 3,100 Jan-Sept 1,400 2,400 600 7,800 700 4,600 2,500 500 1,300 2,400 5,300 4,000 4,300 1,300 11,700 3,100 5,400 3,200 Jan-Sept 14.3% 8.3% 0.0% 6.4% 14.3% 4.3% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% -12.5% 1.9% -2.5% -2.3% -7.7% -2.6% -6.5% 0.0% -3.1% Total Nonfarm 37,500 39,400 40,600 39,200 39,100 0.3% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. State website: http://labor.alaska.gov/research/ces/ces.htm, 2014. NOTE: Data provided are subject to change. Employment reporting format has changed because Fairbanks became a metropolitan area in 2003 and 2004. Please note that rounding is to nearest 100. - Excludes self-employed workers, fishers, domestics, and unpaid family workers. - Government includes employees of public school systems and the University of Alaska. - Beginning January 2001, wage and salary employment estimates were published under a new classification system. The Standard Industrial Classification system (SIC) has been replaced by the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Data prior to 2001 are comparable only at the Total Nonfarm and Government levels. ¹ Metropolitan Statistical Area. 19 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Employment ANNUAL AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT By Earned Income and Labor Force Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2013 EARNED INCOME DATA -----------------Annual Average------------------Year Wage and Salary Employment¹ Self-employed² [1] Military Active Duty Personnel³ 2010 2011 2012 2013 % change 2012-13 38,900 2,316 8,235 39,000 2,709 9,315 39,600 2,337 8,797 39,000 2,039 8,215 -1.5% -12.8% -6.6% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section,¹Monthly Employment Statistics (MES); ²US Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates; ³Fort Wainwright Army Base (FWA), Plans, Analysis and Integration Office (PAIO), and ALCOM, Alaskan Command, 2010-2013. Definition of Employment: These are all persons who, during the reference week (the week including the 12th day of the month), (a) did any work as paid employees, worked in their own business or profession or on their own farm, or worked 15 hours or more as unpaid workers in an enterprise operated by a member of their family, or (b) were not working but who had jobs from which they were temporarily absent because of vacation, illness, bad weather, childcare problems, maternity or paternity leave, labor-management dispute job training, or other family or personal reasons, whether or not they were paid for the time off or were seeking other jobs. Each employed person is counted only once, even if he or she holds more than one job. Definition of Unemployment: Included are all persons who had no employment during the reference week, were available for work, except for temporary illness, and had made specific efforts to find employment some time during the 4 week-period ending with the reference week. Persons who were waiting to be recalled to a job from which they had been laid off need not have been looking for work to be classified as unemployed. LABOR FORCE DATA -----------------Annual Average------------------2010 2011 2012 2013 % change 2012-2013 Civilian Labor Force¹ Military Active Duty Personnel² 46,939 8,235 46,859 9,315 46,566 8,797 46,153 8,215 -0.9% -6.6% Total Labor Force 55,174 56,174 55,363 54,368 -1.8% Year SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section,¹Unemployment Data-Fairbanks North Star Borough Labor Force (not seasonally adjusted); ²³Fort Wainwright Army Base (FWA), Plans, Analysis and Integration Office (PAIO), and ALCOM, Alaskan Command, 2010-2013. Definition of Labor Force: Included are all persons in the civilian non-institutional population classified as either employed or unemployed. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 20 Employment ANNUAL AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2013 Industry Natural Resources & Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting Mining Construction Construction of Buildings Heavy Construction Specialty Trade Contractors Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Food & Beverage General Merchandise Transportation & Warehousing Air Transportation Transit & Ground Passenger Information Telecommunication Financial Activities Finance & Insurance Credit Intermediation, etc. Real Estate, Renting & Leasing Real Estate Professional & Business Services Professional, Scientific, Technical Services Management of Companies & Enterprises Administrative & Waste Services Educational & Health Services Health Care & Social Assistance Leisure & Hospitality Accommodation Food Services & Drinking Places Other Services Membership Organizations, etc. Repair & Maintenance Government Federal Government State Government Local Government Unclassified Establishments 2010 1,161 45 1,117 2,641 751 374 1,517 604 7,642 654 4,551 471 1,341 2,020 607 299 497 296 1,553 877 517 676 428 2,368 1,515 53 800 4,910 4,675 4,084 969 2,671 1,116 510 403 12,072 3,495 5,487 3,090 39 2011 1,330 48 1,282 2,596 771 404 1,421 575 7,760 661 4,659 463 1,338 2,016 593 295 549 293 1,445 799 510 647 404 2,511 1,539 120 852 4,951 4,720 4,129 1,029 2,691 1,132 509 403 12,010 3,434 5,461 3,115 29 2012 1,517 49 1,468 2,618 806 331 1,482 556 7,910 705 4,734 480 1,352 2,077 595 303 548 297 1,427 805 513 622 387 2,517 1,494 118 905 5,155 4,910 4,189 1,074 2,672 1,183 500 421 11,677 3,264 5,445 2,968 27 2013 1,489 48 1,441 2,431 654 426 1,351 616 7,789 735 4,643 461 1,299 2,018 538 305 485 243 1,416 784 513 632 406 2,402 1,472 122 808 5,229 5,012 4,180 1,089 2,636 1,151 408 496 11,641 3,026 5,472 3,143 33 % Change 2012-13 -1.8% -2.0% -1.8% -7.1% -18.9% 28.7% -8.8% 10.8% -1.5% 4.3% -1.9% -4.0% -3.9% -2.8% -9.6% 0.7% -11.5% -18.2% -0.8% -2.6% 0.0% 1.6% 4.9% -4.6% -1.5% 3.4% -10.7% 1.4% 2.1% -0.2% 1.4% -1.3% -2.7% -18.4% 17.8% -0.3% -7.3% 0.5% 5.9% 22.2% Total Industries 38,688 39,018 39,323 38,859 -1.2% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages-Annual Review 2013, (data are preliminary and subject to revision). NOTE: Blanks in the Total Earnings and Average Monthly Earnings columns due to confidentiality; data are suppressed. 21 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Employment ANNUAL AVERAGE MONTHLY WAGE BY INDUSTRY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2013 Industry Natural Resources & Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting Mining Construction Construction of Buildings Heavy Construction Specialty Trade Contractors Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Food & Beverage General Merchandise Transportation & Warehousing Air Transportation Transit & Ground Passenger Information Telecommunication Financial Activities Finance & Insurance Credit Intermediation, etc. Real Estate, Renting & Leasing Real Estate Professional & Business Services Professional, Scientific, Technical Services Management of Companies & Enterprises Administrative & Waste Services Educational & Health Services Health Care & Social Assistance Leisure & Hospitality Accommodation Food Services & Drinking Places Other Services Membership Organizations, etc. Repair & Maintenance Government Federal Government State Government Local Government Unclassified Establishments 2010 $7,348 $1,711 $7,574 $5,922 $5,382 $6,217 $6,117 $4,416 $3,240 $4,035 $2,549 $2,358 $2,342 $3,849 $3,693 $2,272 $4,258 $5,026 $3,878 $4,238 $3,914 $3,410 $3,236 $3,848 $4,229 $5,871 $2,996 $3,472 $3,512 $1,487 $2,183 $1,278 $2,369 $1,852 $3,389 $4,297 $5,220 $4,004 $3,774 $2,081 2011 $7,311 $1,506 $7,530 $5,881 $5,406 $6,809 $5,874 $4,618 $3,274 $4,223 $2,563 $2,417 $2,340 $3,858 $3,552 $2,307 $4,123 $5,407 $3,847 $4,086 $3,997 $3,552 $3,269 $3,891 $4,199 $6,321 $2,990 $3,642 $3,691 $1,531 $2,189 $1,303 $2,483 $1,949 $3,625 $4,423 $5,469 $4,077 $3,877 $1,641 2012 $7,559 $1,513 $7,761 $6,146 $5,222 $7,863 $6,261 $4,664 $3,307 $4,345 $2,603 $2,402 $2,328 $3,808 $3,389 $2,419 $4,096 $5,262 $3,907 $4,166 $4,113 $3,572 $3,343 $4,137 $4,443 $7,241 $3,227 $3,684 $3,737 $1,550 $2,159 $1,327 $2,394 $1,916 $3,497 $4,549 $5,585 $4,172 $4,101 $1,451 2013 $7,455 $1,509 $7,654 $6,306 $5,363 $7,958 $6,241 $4,436 $3,376 $4,540 $2,604 $2,259 $2,377 $3,966 $3,905 $2,390 $4,468 $6,288 $4,011 $4,285 $4,070 $3,673 $3,433 $4,256 $4,608 $7,294 $3,157 $3,777 $3,842 $1,617 $2,241 $1,387 $2,378 $1,907 $3,472 $4,510 $5,565 $4,226 $3,989 $1,872 % Change 2012-13 -1.4% -0.3% -1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 1.2% -0.3% -4.9% 2.1% 4.5% 0.0% -6.0% 2.1% 4.1% 15.2% -1.2% 9.1% 19.5% 2.7% 2.9% -1.0% 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 0.7% -2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 4.3% 3.8% 4.5% -0.7% -0.5% -0.7% -0.9% -0.4% 1.3% -2.7% 29.0% Total Industries $3,789 $3,870 $3,968 $3,997 0.7% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Quarterly Census of Employment & #DIV/0! Wages - Annual Review 2013, (data are preliminary and subject to revision). NOTE: Blanks in the Total Earnings and Average Monthly Earnings columns due to confidentiality; data are suppressed. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 22 Employment QUARTERLY CENSUS OF EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES BY INDUSTRY* Fairbanks North Star Borough By Quarter Industry Natural Resources & Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting Mining Construction Construction of Buildings Heavy Construction Specialty Trade Contractors Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Food & Beverage General Merchandise Stores Transportation & Warehousing Air Transportation Transit & Ground Passenger Information Telecommunication Financial Activities Finance & Insurance Credit Intermediation, etc. Real Estate, Renting & Leasing Real Estate Professional & Business Services Professional, Scientific, Technical Services Management of Companies & Enterprises Administrative & Waste Services Educational & Health Services Health Care & Social Assistance Leisure & Hospitality Accommodation Food Services & Drinking Places Other Services Repair & Maintenance Membership Organizations, etc. Government Federal Government State Government Local Government Unclassified Establishments Total Industries --4Q 2013 Avg Mo-- --1Q 2014 Avg Mo-- % Chg from prev Qtr Employmt Wage Employmt Wage Employmt Wage 1,431 $7,977 1,253 $7,225 -12.4% -9.4% 21 $1,840 20 $1,682 -4.8% -8.6% 1,410 $8,070 1,233 $7,315 -12.6% -9.4% 2,495 $6,858 2,201 $6,304 -11.8% -8.1% 645 $5,747 542 $5,190 -16.0% -9.7% 560 $9,021 612 $8,939 9.3% -0.9% 1,290 $6,474 1,048 $5,335 -18.8% -17.6% 652 $4,248 557 $4,738 -14.6% 11.5% 7,747 $3,438 7,456 $3,392 -3.8% -1.3% 742 $4,653 730 $4,428 -1.6% -4.8% 4,694 $2,657 4,503 $2,612 -4.1% -1.7% 482 $2,178 485 $2,200 0.6% 1.0% 1,329 $2,314 1,215 $2,480 -8.6% 7.2% 1,928 $3,980 1,858 $4,161 -3.6% 4.5% 518 $3,482 515 $4,341 -0.6% 24.7% 326 $2,613 314 $2,241 -3.7% -14.2% 499 $4,408 465 $4,520 -6.8% 2.5% 247 $6,202 231 $6,466 -6.5% 4.3% 1,391 $4,245 1,362 $4,334 -2.1% 2.1% 776 $4,534 771 $4,772 -0.6% 5.2% 513 $4,082 507 $4,565 -1.2% 11.8% 615 $3,878 591 $3,764 -3.9% -2.9% 398 $3,576 393 $3,456 -1.3% -3.4% 2,351 $4,710 2,150 $3,831 -8.5% -18.7% 1,476 $5,122 1,312 $4,038 -11.1% -21.2% 124 $9,981 119 $6,644 -4.0% -33.4% 751 $3,032 718 $2,994 -4.4% -1.3% 5,160 $4,076 5,107 $3,594 -1.0% -11.8% 4,953 $4,142 4,911 $3,648 -0.8% -11.9% 3,879 $1,748 3,805 $1,565 -1.9% -10.5% 936 $2,672 811 $2,376 -13.4% -11.1% 2,536 $1,442 2,540 $1,340 0.2% -7.1% 1,117 $2,432 1,073 $2,372 -3.9% -2.5% 393 $3,564 386 $3,484 -1.8% -2.2% 484 $1,966 452 $1,777 -6.6% -9.6% 12,010 $4,426 11,780 $4,257 -1.9% -3.8% 2,863 $5,533 2,781 $5,601 -2.9% 1.2% 5,667 $4,391 5,541 $3,849 -2.2% -12.3% 3,479 $3,573 3,458 $3,830 -0.6% 7.2% 42 $2,310 42 $1,548 0.0% -33.0% 38,774 $4,025 37,251 $3,870 -3.9% -3.9% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) fka Employment & Earnings Summary, State of Alaska website: http://almis.labor.state.ak.us and personal communications, 1st Qtr. 2014. * All numbers are preliminary and subject to revision. There is an approximate 6 month lag in data release. 23 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly HOUSING APARTMENT / MULTI-PLEX VACANCY RATES ^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 2010 2011^ 2012 2013 2014 --------------------------------------Percent Vacant -------------------------------------March June September December 6.9 7.6 8.9 10.1 8.8 10.2 13.3 15.5 8.7 2.1 6.1 9.6 9.5 8.3 12.7 14.7 15.0 15.8 15.3 SOURCE: FNSB Community Research Center Rental Survey, 2010-2014. NOTE: Vacancy rates are based on a sample of 2,000 to 3,000 rental units and include data for apartments, duplexes, tri-plexes and larger multi-plex rental properties. They do not include single-family houses, mobile homes or cabins. Changes in seasonal apartment availability may also factor into the Fall and Winter figures. Vacancy influences: The Ft. Wainwright Army 172nd Stryker Brigade was deployed to Iraq in Fall-Winter 2008-09, SpringSummer 2011-12, and the Military Police in Fall-Winter 2013-2014. Ft. Wainwright base housing privatized and contracted management to New Haven Communities in May 2009 with addtitional new construction through 2013. Weeks Field Estates has replaced Fairview Manor with 130 affordable housing units in 2009-2011. Walden Estates, once off-base military housing, privatized and placed 150 units; 3-5 bdrms., on the market for sale or rent (27:duplexes; 23:4-plexes; 4:houses) in June 2010 (PHII). The Ft. Wainwright Army 1st Battalion, 52nd Aviation Regiment, approximately 360 soldiers, deployed for nine-month tour beginning March 2014. The 6th Squadron, 17th Cavalry Regiment, U.S. Army Alaska Avaition Task Force, approximately 400 soldiers, deployed for a nine-month tour begining May 2014. ^ Correction made to March 2011 data on June 24, 2011. APARTMENT / MULTI-PLEX VACANCY RATES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 18% 16% 14% Vacancy Rate 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Mar 2013 Dec Mar 2012 Dec Mar 2011 Dec Mar 2010 Dec Mar 0% 2014 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly 24 Housing RENTAL HOUSING UNITS AVAILABLE ^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 ------------- Apartments --------------------------------- Houses ------------------- Mobile Total Eff. 1-BR 2-BR 3+BR 1-BR 2-BR 3-BR 4+BR Homes Cabins Rentals 2010 March June September December 2011 March ^ June September December 2012 March June September December 2013 March June September December 2014 March June September % Change 2013-14 Sept. 38 34 70 51 95 64 121 173 93 107 112 143 74 108 103 80 5 2 1 5 5 5 16 15 16 8 36 18 6 6 15 12 NA 2 6 2 16 10 21 23 348 346 501 522 41 40 84 64 146 170 199 242 120 180 239 214 66 116 100 134 5 4 9 9 11 16 25 17 8 45 45 19 15 7 12 22 1 3 3 3 12 30 35 26 425 611 751 750 30 10 29 24 159 35 65 114 121 57 103 128 41 18 114 141 1 0 3 1 4 8 9 4 15 9 38 12 9 5 16 13 4 3 1 NA 21 29 28 22 405 174 406 459 20 22 30 23 114 72 100 182 124 128 166 236 147 119 163 118 2 4 5 8 7 9 23 19 18 19 48 80 10 11 23 17 2 2 3 7 11 18 32 32 455 404 593 722 25 38 48 154 155 190 271 261 286 137 114 142 8 5 4 12 9 12 39 15 28 14 18 12 10 5 1 20 27 24 690 647 747 60% 90% 72% -13% -20% -48% -42% -48% -67% -25% SOURCE: Community CommunityResearch ResearchCenter Centerrental rentalsurveys, surveys, 2006-2010, including most major apartment complexes and Fairbanks Daily News2010-2014, including most major apartment complexes, Fairbanks Daily News-Miner Miner advertisements during the week surrounding thethe 19th of March, June, the September and December. advertisements, and http://www.craigslist.com during week surrounding 19th of March, June, September and March. Birchwood Apartments (400 units; 3-5 bdrm.) which once on-base housing was privatized and started advertising May NOTE: Aging Fairview Manor demolished the last units in thewere fall 2011. Weeks Field Estates has replaced them withpublic 130 affordable 2007. Birchwood Apts. became a part of thisonce survey in June 2007. housing, Alpine Lodge (16 and Units: efficiencies) entered the market seasonal rental housing Units in 2009-2011. Walden Estates, off-base military privatized placed 150 units; 3-5 bdrms. on the as market for sale housing beginning 4th23:4-plexes; Quarter 2007. LazelleinEstates (37 (PHII). Units:3-4 on market surveycontract September The Ft. Wainwright or rent (27:duplexes; 4:houses) June 2010 Bybedrooms) Septemberappeared 2010 all units were under with2007. none available for rent. Army 172nd Stryker Brigade deployed to Iraq Fall 05-06See andVacancy again Fall 08-09. Walden Estates, once off-base housing, placed 40 units B&B's come off survey in May & back on in September. Rates footer for military deployments. NAmilitary represents not available. on the marketCorrection for sale or made rent (18 duplexes; 18data 4-plexes; 4 houses) March 2010. ^ to March 2011 on June 24, 2011. RENTAL HOUSING UNITS AVAILABLE Houses 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 25 Fall 2014 Mar 2013 Dec Mar 2012 Dec Mar 2011 Dec Mar 2010 Dec Apartments Mar Number Available Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 2014 Community Research Quarterly Housing AVERAGE MONTHLY RENTS FOR AVAILABLE HOUSING UNITS ^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 ---------------- Apartments -------------------- ------------------- Houses ----------------------- Mobile Eff. 1-BR 2-BR 3+ BR 1-BR 2-BR 3-BR 4+ BR Homes 2010 March June September December 2011 March ^ June September December 2012 March June September December 2013 March June September December 2014 March June September % Change 2013-14 Sept. Cabins $617 $685 $842 $737 $817 $874 $901 $901 $1,028 $1,063 $1,124 $1,102 $1,763 $1,837 $1,613 $1,583 $960 $1,125 $950 $840 $1,489 $1,310 $1,288 $1,319 $1,516 $1,606 $1,649 $1,588 $2,073 $1,903 $2,101 $2,098 NA $1,300 $795 $925 $562 $535 $589 $608 $644 $723 $833 $770 $904 $901 $906 $897 $1,143 $1,136 $1,073 $1,100 $1,571 $1,642 $1,629 $1,693 $990 $1,137 $969 $863 $1,350 $1,318 $1,248 $1,141 $1,481 $1,632 $1,647 $1,728 $2,245 $2,187 $2,233 $2,217 $850 $800 $750 $866 $570 $628 $657 $599 $722 $600 $951 $905 $926 $885 $908 $927 $1,163 $1,133 $1,185 $1,155 $1,454 $1,462 $1,901 $1,861 $1,100 $1,268 $1,433 $1,381 $1,586 $1,664 $1,775 $1,650 $2,104 $1,720 $2,140 $2,107 $725 $881 $1,000 NA $557 $595 $661 $571 $656 $645 $959 $768 $920 $920 $919 $1,047 $1,190 $1,181 $1,215 $1,234 $1,720 $1,797 $1,698 $1,698 $912 $981 $1,035 $1,011 $1,185 $1,369 $1,390 $1,243 $1,787 $1,664 $1,661 $1,820 $2,215 $2,437 $2,185 $1,951 $1,200 $625 $858 $900 $570 $520 $635 $615 $700 $717 $847 $1,036 $935 $933 $1,215 $1,201 $1,197 $1,609 $1,577 $1,586 $1,015 $970 $912 $1,291 $1,278 $1,241 $1,523 $1,856 $1,762 $2,217 $2,155 $1,912 $1,022 $770 $850 $611 $664 $682 2% -1% -7% -12% -11% 6% -12% -1% -12% $850 NA $950 $900 7% SOURCE: Community Research Center rental surveys, 2010-2014, including most major apartment complexes, Fairbanks Daily News-Miner advertisements, and http://www.craigslist.com during the week surrounding the 19th of March, June, September and December. NOTE: Aging Fairview Manor demolished the last units in the fall 2011. Weeks Field Estates has replaced them with 130 affordable housing Units in 2009-2011. Walden Estates, once off-base military housing, privatized and placed 150 units; 3-5 bdrms. on the market for sale or rent (27:duplexes; 23:4-plexes; 4:houses) in June 2010 (PHII). By September 2010 all units were under contract with none available for rent. B&B's come off in May & back on in September. See Vacancy Rates footer for military deployments. NA Not available ^ Correction made to March 2011 data on June 24, 2011. AVERAGE MONTHLY RENTS FOR AVAILABLE HOUSING UNITS Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 $2,500 $1,400 $1,500 $800 $600 $1,000 $400 2 Bdrm. Apts. $200 3 Bdrm. Houses $500 Community Research Quarterly Mar 2013 Dec Mar 2012 Dec Mar 2011 Dec Mar $0 2010 Dec $0 Mar Avg. Apt. Rent Values $2,000 $1,000 Avg. House Rent Values $1,200 2014 Fall 2014 26 Housing RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2012-2014** Quarter 2012 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. 2012 Total 2013 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. 2013 Total 2014 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 2014 YTD Total 1 Bedroom # Price 2 Bedroom # Price 3 Bedroom # Price 4 Bedroom # Price 5+ Bedroom # Price Total # Sold Avg.Price 8 $107,000 11 $108,668 15 $125,533 10 $86,600 23 26 41 18 $156,582 $162,511 $156,251 $152,544 81 95 110 57 $220,186 $233,418 $231,445 $221,887 25 30 52 19 $293,744 $276,064 $271,592 $234,584 7 2 9 6 $307,957 $192,500 $261,110 $285,133 144 164 227 110 44 $109,099 108 $157,211 343 $227,744 126 $271,471 24 $275,062 645 $218,143 12 $116,741 9 $81,666 14 $118,369 9 $114,611 22 26 45 22 $179,311 $167,436 $152,495 $137,713 88 93 145 73 $222,038 $229,575 $231,950 $201,386 30 34 51 23 $277,129 $301,022 $299,159 $270,673 6 9 17 10 $286,066 $252,544 $297,294 $248,432 158 171 272 137 44 $109,649 115 $158,175 399 $223,618 138 $290,081 42 $274,467 738 $221,947 $220,776 $221,111 $221,238 $203,884 $220,983 $227,757 $229,644 $200,527 10 12 15 $89,520 $92,285 $85,053 15 48 51 $144,251 $170,202 $163,222 68 $189,023 129 $221,507 146 $224,622 24 60 64 $256,482 $266,812 $285,853 8 11 11 $241,243 $309,090 $354,118 125 $191,984 260 $220,232 289 $223,477 37 $88,606 114 $163,665 343 $216,393 148 $273,371 30 $307,508 674 $216,384 % Chg. 3rd Qtr. 2013-14 7% -28% 13% 7% 1% -3% 25% -4% -35% 19% 6% -3% % Chg. YTD 2013-14 6% -18% 23% 0% 5% -5% 29% -7% -6% 9% 12% -5% SOURCE: Greater Fairbanks Board of Realtors and Alaska/Multiple Listing Service, Inc., personal and computer printout communications 2012-2014. Fairbanks Area MLS District data maintained by the Board or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market, and neither the Board nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for accuracy of the data. * Does not include houses without bedrooms or sales of housing with zero lot lines. ** The Year-End Total number of sales includes the calculated average price of sales. RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014, Quarterly Data 350 $400,000 Sales $300,000 250 $250,000 200 $200,000 150 $150,000 100 $100,000 50 $50,000 $0 2009 Fall 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 0 27 $350,000 Average Selling Price Total Number Sold 300 Average Selling Price 2014 1 Community Research Quarterly Housing ANNUAL AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013 1 Bedroom # Price Year 2 Bedroom # Price 2000 59 $53,824 180 $92,473 2001 61 $63,591 233 $94,299 2002 43 $68,595 175 $100,499 2003 59 $74,127 204 $107,667 2004 65 $93,531 2005 55 3 Bedroom # Price 5+ Bedroom # Price Total # Sold** Avg. Selling Price % Chg fr prev yr Total # Avg. Sold Price 140 $173,130 41 $187,028 816 $131,679 11.3% 2.7% 432 $150,035 162 $176,423 47 $188,765 935 $137,025 14.6% 4.1% 295 $158,241 130 $213,208 50 $201,706 693 $151,545 410 $170,379 173 $204,159 47 $237,134 893 $159,751 28.9% 5.4% 164 $120,336 441 $178,733 147 $214,663 39 $240,959 856 $170,080 -4.1% 6.5% $95,452 160 $135,749 439 $207,847 163 $244,873 38 $266,373 855 $196,785 -0.1% 15.7% 2006 64 $107,793 158 $148,952 554 $220,860 194 $262,791 46 $288,256 1016 $213,613 18.8% 8.6% 2007 58 $107,211 176 $170,842 541 $228,359 194 $271,421 41 $288,301 1010 $222,084 -0.6% 4.0% 2008 59 $107,872 135 $155,583 493 $218,826 159 $277,801 19 $306,389 865 $214,151 -14.4% -3.6% 2009 46 $109,055 154 $161,362 465 $224,245 171 $264,285 40 $287,474 876 $217,845 59 26 44 44 $115,540 $109,868 $109,099 $109,647 139 104 108 115 493 332 343 399 198 142 126 138 936 639 645 738 1.3% 1.7% 6.8% -0.5% -31.7% 2.4% 0.9% -1.7% 14.4% 1.7% 53 $94,657 158 $136,880 2010 2011 2012 2013 Annual Average 2000-13 $147,941 $165,225 $157,211 $158,175 396 $140,714 4 Bedroom # Price $223,043 $222,347 $227,744 $223,618 431 $199,642 $266,623 $265,592 $271,471 $290,081 160 $242,609 47 35 24 42 $269,378 $281,853 $275,062 $274,467 40 $256,653 $216,659 $221,939 $218,143 $221,947 -25.9% 10.6% 841 $192,375 SOURCE: Greater Fairbanks Board of Realtors and Alaska/Multiple Listing Service, Inc., personal and computer printout communications 20002013. Fairbanks Area MLS District data maintained by the Board or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market, and neither the Board nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for accuracy of the data. * Does not include houses without bedrooms or housing with zero lot lines. ** The Year-End Total number of sales includes the calculated average price of sales. ANNUAL RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES* 1,200 $300,000 1,000 $250,000 800 $200,000 600 $150,000 400 $100,000 Total # Sold** Avg. Selling Price 200 $50,000 0 Average Selling Price Total Number Sold Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013 Community Research Quarterly 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $0 Fall 2014 28 Housing NEW STRUCTURES BY UNIT ANNUAL REPORT* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2014* 2000 61 2 416 New Construction (ALL) 479 2001 29 7 525 561 2002 50 6 538 594 80 65 82 83 243 154 337 95 50 37 38 9 10 50 42 39 37 11 2 11 5 5 1 2 613 747 703 659 427 205 58 320 623 291 216 135 703 862 827 781 707 370 397 426 678 333 255 146 Year Built 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD City of Fairbanks City of North Pole Balance of Borough SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough Assessing Department, personal communications, 2000-2014. NOTE: Assessing figures are collected and updated daily but stabilize one quarter after calendar year close and prior to May certification date. The term Multi-family is indicative of structures having more than one residential unit, such as a duplex, triplex, 4-plex, etc. Structures with Mother-in-law apartments are not usually regarded as multi-family. Single Family Residential (SFR) abbreviated above. SFR includes condominiums, and townhouses. In some instances, cabins and mobile homes are viewed as SFR (however, cabins are not necessarily year-round residential units, and mobile homes are not always located on a lot with a foundation). The mobile home classification is typically considered transient stock (because they can easily be relocated). The by Structure count was replaced with a "by unit" count beginning February, 2010. * Current data supersedes previous figures reported and current year is YTD (year to date) data. NEW STRUCTURES BY UNIT Number of New Structures by Unit 1000 900 800 700 Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013* City of North Pole City of Fairbanks Balance of Borough 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 29 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly COST OF LIVING C2ER COST OF LIVING INDEX* For Selected Cities Third Quarter 2014 City West: Fairbanks, AK Anchorage, AK Kodiak, AK Juneau, AK Phoenix, AZ San Diego, CA Denver, CO Boise, ID Bozeman, MT Rio Rancho, NM Seattle, WA Pierre, SD South: Miami, FL Atlanta, GA Lafayette, LA Springfield, MO Tulsa, OK Memphis, TN Dallas, TX North Central: Indianapolis, IN Grand Rapids, MI Madison, WI Northeast: New York, NY Philadelphia, PA Boston, MA Raleigh, NC Richmond, VA Avg. of 264 Urban Areas Msc. Composite Grocery Trans- Health Goods & Index Items Housing Utilities portation Care Services 100% 13.48% 26.05% 9.95% 12.63% 4.89% 33.01% 136.2 129.3 135.9 131.4 118.2 135.7 108.0 94.3 102.1 92.6 131.3 101.5 123.3 120.8 136.2 131.7 116.6 105.0 99.6 92.5 105.4 97.6 116.1 112.1 123.7 160.2 162.0 155.7 154.3 206.4 124.4 83.6 116.1 73.6 108.4 112.4 243.0 101.7 152.0 142.0 98.7 119.2 97.2 84.3 86.2 89.7 97.4 89.4 119.2 110.1 122.3 111.5 112.4 120.1 103.7 111.5 95.4 102.5 118.6 92.8 150.6 140.8 138.0 148.4 105.7 113.6 104.9 108.1 105.7 96.5 118.8 95.6 123.5 122.4 115.1 113.9 100.3 106.7 103.8 97.8 96.5 101.9 115.6 96.5 110.4 100.4 94.8 89.4 88.1 87.6 96.9 108.8 104.3 93.7 94.0 98.8 94.6 104.7 123.1 99.8 88.7 71.8 64.9 68.6 75.0 97.5 90.0 92.2 110.3 88.8 96.9 103.1 110.7 103.5 102.7 90.0 99.0 92.6 99.2 102.5 103.5 89.9 96.5 96.3 88.6 101.9 106.0 100.8 98.6 93.7 96.3 94.9 107.4 92.7 93.1 106.5 94.5 96.2 105.5 81.9 77.9 112.7 95.5 98.2 100.3 98.4 99.8 105.9 95.3 90.2 112.7 96.9 100.1 103.1 214.5 118.3 137.1 92.3 97.2 123.6 113.0 107.1 97.5 95.9 437.6 134.7 179.6 75.5 88.2 129.6 116.2 137.3 98.9 110.9 122.0 105.0 106.7 99.4 93.9 114.4 99.9 124.4 101.2 102.7 151.4 115.9 129.1 97.5 101.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 SOURCE: Council for Community and Economic Research (C2ER), Cost of Living Index, Comparative Data for 264 Urban Areas, Third Quarter 2014, October 2014. NOTE: This Cost of Living Index does not measure inflation (price change over time). Because each quarterly report is a separate comparison of prices at a single point in time, and because both the number and the mix of participants changes from one quarter to the next, Index data from different quarters cannot be compared. The Index reflects cost differentials for professional and executive households in the top income quintile. For inflation data contact the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at www.bls.gov. * Item percentages change so please watch for current percentages. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 30 Cost of Living C2ER COST OF LIVING INDEX For Selected Cities Third Quarter 2014 160.0 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 National Average = 100 Memphis, TN Springfield, MO Rio Rancho, NM Dallas, TX Richmond, VA Denver, CO Phoenix, AZ Anchorage, AK Seattle, WA San Diego, CA Fairbanks, AK 0.0 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX-U FOR ALL ITEMS Anchorage & U.S. City Annual Average 2003-2013 240.000 220.000 200.000 180.000 160.000 U.S. City Average 140.000 Anchorage 120.000 31 Fall 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 100.000 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living CONSUMER PRICE INDEX-U*^ Anchorage, Alaska 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan. - June Average July - Dec. Average 190.032 193.456 194.834 195.455 200.278 202.576 205.215 206.617 210.853 213.910 Annual Average 191.744 195.144 201.427 205.916 212.381 % Change from Previous Year 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 2.2% 3.1% % Change 2013-14 214.777 1.9% 2014 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes Pacific Cities and U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted, 2009-2014. NOTE: 1982-1984 = 100 * For All Urban Consumers. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX-U* FOR ALL ITEMS U.S. City Average 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 211.143 212.193 212.709 213.240 213.856 215.693 215.351 215.834 215.969 216.177 216.330 215.949 216.687 216.741 217.631 218.009 218.178 217.965 218.011 218.312 218.439 218.711 218.803 219.179 220.223 221.309 223.467 224.906 225.964 225.722 225.922 226.545 226.889 226.421 226.230 225.672 226.665 227.663 229.392 230.085 229.815 229.478 229.104 230.379 231.407 231.317 230.221 229.601 230.280 232.166 232.773 232.531 232.945 233.504 233.596 233.877 234.149 233.546 233.069 233.049 233.916 234.781 236.293 237.072 237.900 238.343 238.250 237.852 238.031 Annual Average 214.537 218.056 224.939 229.594 232.957 % Change from Previous Year -0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 2.1% 1.5% % Change 2013-14 1.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% SOURCE: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes Pacific Cities and U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted, 2009-2014. NOTE: 1982-1984=100; All items. 3rd Qtr. 2013 - federal government shutdown pushed back the release dates for data. * For All Urban Consumers. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 32 Cost of Living COST OF FOOD AT HOME FOR A WEEK Selected Alaskan Communities March 2014 Anchorage Family of 2 19-50 years 51-70 years Family of 4 with: Children, 2-5 years Children, 6-11 years Individuals Children: 1 years 2-3 years 4-5 years 6-8 years 9-11 years Males: 12-13 years 14-18 years 19-50 years 51-70 years 71+ years Females: 12-13 years 14-18 years 19-50 years 51-70 years 71+ years SOURCE: NOTE: Cordova Delta Fairbanks Kenai Matsu Valdez $101.02 $95.68 $155.49 $147.28 $121.43 $115.01 $101.94 $96.56 $109.07 $103.31 $101.49 $96.13 $138.32 $131.02 $146.99 $168.44 $226.24 $259.26 $178.68 $202.47 $148.33 $169.98 $158.70 $181.86 $147.67 $169.22 $201.27 $230.64 $24.63 $26.90 $28.26 $35.98 $40.63 $37.91 $41.40 $43.50 $55.38 $62.54 $29.61 $32.34 $33.97 $43.25 $48.84 $24.86 $27.15 $28.52 $36.31 $41.01 $26.56 $29.04 $30.51 $38.85 $43.87 $24.74 $27.03 $28.39 $36.15 $40.82 $33.73 $36.83 $38.70 $49.27 $55.64 $43.70 $45.06 $48.58 $44.27 $44.72 $67.26 $69.36 $74.77 $68.13 $68.83 $52.53 $54.16 $58.39 $53.21 $53.76 $44.10 $45.47 $49.02 $44.67 $45.13 $47.18 $48.65 $52.45 $47.79 $48.28 $43.90 $45.27 $48.80 $44.47 $44.93 $59.84 $61.70 $66.52 $60.61 $61.23 $43.81 $43.02 $43.25 $42.68 $41.43 $67.44 $66.21 $66.56 $65.69 $63.77 $52.66 $51.71 $51.98 $51.30 $49.80 $44.21 $43.41 $43.64 $43.07 $41.81 $47.30 $46.45 $46.69 $46.08 $44.73 $44.02 $43.22 $43.45 $42.88 $41.62 $59.99 $58.90 $59.21 $58.44 $56.73 Alaska Cooperative Extension Service, UAF, "Cost of Food at Home for. a Week," March 2014. There will be a 6 month lag in this report due to press timelines. COST OF FOOD AT HOME FOR A WEEK FAMILY OF 4 WITH CHILDREN AGE 6-11 YEARS Selected Alaskan Communities March 2014 Cordova $259.26 Valdez $230.64 $202.47 Delta Kenai $181.86 Fairbanks $169.98 Matsu $169.22 Anchorage $168.44 $0 33 Fall 2014 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living NATURAL GAS CUSTOMERS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1999-2014 Year Residential 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 31 68 152 195 231 290 341 355 463 463 441 463 463 463 464 464 ---------------- Commercial -----------------Small 41 103 205 277 308 385 379 510 591 611 643 624 622 624 632 629 Large 2 3 10 11 18 19 19 21 26 29 30 31 34 34 31 31 Total Subtotal 43 106 215 288 326 404 398 531 617 640 673 655 656 658 663 660 74 174 367 483 557 694 739 886 1,080 1,103 1,114 1,118 1,119 1,121 1,127 1,124 % Change From Prev. Yr. NA 135.1% 110.9% 31.6% 15.3% 24.6% 6.5% 19.9% 21.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% -0.3% SOURCE: Fairbanks Natural Gas, LLC., personal communications 1999-2014. NOTE: Current data supercede previous figures reported. Adjustment- percent change column formula carried incorrectly (2010-2011), correction made October 2011. NATURAL GAS PRICES Fairbanks North Star Borough 1999-2014* Year Residential 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $6.96 $6.96 $7.59 $8.56 $8.56 $9.81 $11.28 $12.97 $21.23 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 ------- Commercial -------Small $6.78 $6.78 $7.41 $8.38 $8.38 $9.63 $11.07 $12.73 $20.83 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 Large $6.66 $6.66 $7.29 $8.26 $8.26 $9.51 $10.94 $12.58 $20.60 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 Annual Average $6.72 $6.72 $7.35 $8.32 $8.32 $9.57 $11.01 $12.66 $20.72 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 % Change From Prev. Yr. 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 13.2% 0.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 63.7% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% SOURCE: Fairbanks Natural Gas, LLC., personal communications 1999-2014. NOTE: Price listed per Mcf (1,000 cubic feet) or 1 MMBtu's (1,000,000 btu's). FNG supplier changed in October 2006. Two steps in rate change occurred between October 2006 and May 2007 due to new supplier costs. * 1999-2000 gas rates remained the same. Adjustment- percent change column formula carried incorrectly (2009-2010), correction made October 2011. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 34 Cost of Living AVERAGE HEATING OIL PRICES Fairbanks North Star Borough September 2000-2014 $4.500 $4.000 $3.500 $3.000 $2.500 $2.000 $1.500 $1.000 $0.500 $0.000 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 # 2 Heating Oil HEATING OIL PRICES Fairbanks North Star Borough September 2000-2014 Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 #1 Fuel Oil Average Range ($) $1.372 (1.330-1.400) $1.343 (1.300-1.380) $1.212 (1.175-1.310) $1.273 (1.220-1.320) $1.824 (1.770-1.870) $2.544 (2.500-2.610) $2.494 (2.390-2.580) $2.683 (2.640-2.730) $3.670 (3.610-3.790) $2.731 (2.680-2.750) $3.020 (2.980-3.060) $3.922 (3.890-3.950) $4.055 (4.010-4.080) $3.887 (3.850-3.960) $3.806 (3.720-3.850) #2 Fuel Oil Average Range ($) $1.312 (1.270-1.360) $1.283 (1.260-1.310) $1.175 (1.110-1.280) $1.224 (1.200-1.260) $1.809 (1.770-1.840) $2.523 (2.480-2.560) $2.479 (2.380-2.550) $2.598 (2.540-2.640) $3.670 (3.630-3.770) $2.722 (2.690-2.740) $3.000 (2.960-3.060) $3.852 (3.820-3.880) $3.977 (3.940-4.010) $3.808 (3.780-3.860) $3.754 (3.670-3.850) SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough, Community Research Center surveys, 2000-2014. NOTE: Discounts of several cents per gallon may be available from retailers depending on method and timing of payment. Prices based on automatic delivery of 500 gallons of heating oil, without early payment discount. 35 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living RESIDENTIAL HEATING FUEL COMPARISON Fairbanks, Alaska December 2014 Fuel (see notes below) Electricity (100% eff.) District Hot Water Heat District Steam Heat Fuel oil #2 (85% eff.) Natural gas (85% eff.) Propane (85% eff.) Wood, pellet (85% eff.) Wood, birch (70% eff.) Wood, spruce (70% eff.) Coal, stoker Avg Price $0.2072 $27.0300 $15.0000 $3.4520 $23.3500 $4.4400 $294.5000 $260.5000 $276.6670 $120.0000 Per Unit /kWh /mmbtu /1,000 lb /gal /mcf /gal /ton /cord /cord /ton Gross Heat (BTU) 3,413 1,000,000 1,066,000 135,000 1,010,000 91,333 16,000,000 20,500,000 15,000,000 15,200,000 Heater Efficiency 100% 100% 100% 85% 85% 85% 85% 70% 70% 55% 0.293 watt hours = (1) BTU Electricity (distributed): PRICE includes rate, customer charge, RCA charge, cost of fuel adjustment charge. per million BTUs per 1,000 lbs p/month Hot water Steam Wood, according to a table on the energy content of Interior Alaska trees prepared by George Sampson, a former Institute of Northern Forestry research forester: Paper birch provides 25.4 million varies: p/ton; p/cord BTU per cord; tamarack provides 24.8 million BTU per cord. 135,000 BTU/gal Fuel oil (common: "60% #2, 40/% #1 blend" or "-15, #2") (delivered by truck) Natural gas (liquefied, trucked to Fairbanks, delivered by pipeline). NOTE: an average home in Fairbanks may use 250 CCF or 25,000 cubic feet (cf) of gas in a typical January, when natural gas is used for heating only. PRICE includes rate, customer charge, RCA. Propane (delivered by truck to homes) Coal, delivered to downtown $/100,000 BTU's of Useful BTU's Useful Heat per $1.00 $6.071 16,473 $2.703 36,996 $1.407 71,067 $3.008 33,242 $2.720 36,767 $5.719 17,485 $2.165 46,180 $1.815 55,086 $2.635 37,952 $1.435 69,667 $0.203 per kWh $27.030 hot water $10.500 steam heat $306.167 per cord of wood $3.732 per gal 1,010 BTU/cf $2.335 per 100 cubic feet (CCF) 91,333 BTU/gal avg: $115/ton $2.807 $120.000 per gal per ton SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough, Community Research Center, December 8, 2014. NOTE: A British Thermal Unit (BTU) is the amount of heat energy needed to raise the temperature of one pound of water by one degree F. This is the standard measurement used to state the amount of energy that a fuel has as well as the amount of output of any heat generating device. A common index of the cost of heat is "dollars per 100,000 BTUs of useful heat." In order to calculate useful heat (heat actually delivered to the house), it's necessary to adjust for the efficiency of the heating device and the cost of the fuel. COMPARISON PRICE PER 100,000 BTUs OF USEFUL HEAT Fairbanks, Alaska December 2014 $7.000 Fuels/Heater Efficiency $6.000 Wood, spruce 70% eff Wood, birch - 70% eff Wood, pellet 85% eff $1.000 Propane - 85% eff $2.000 Natural gas - 85% eff $3.000 Fuel oil #2 - 85% eff $4.000 Electricity - 100% eff Dollars $5.000 $0.000 Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 36 Cost of Living AVERAGE SELF-SERVICE UNLEADED GASOLINE PRICES* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December $2.539 $2.599 $2.559 $2.559 $2.679 $2.859 $3.159 $3.299 $3.349 $3.479 $3.369 $3.329 $3.279 $3.349 $3.349 $3.499 $3.499 $3.499 $3.529 $3.529 $3.529 $3.529 $3.559 $3.559 $3.629 $3.699 $3.919 $4.109 $4.229 $4.179 $4.039 $3.919 $3.919 $4.019 $4.059 $3.979 $3.919 $3.999 $4.309 $4.449 $4.579 $4.369 $4.049 $3.989 $4.069 $4.209 $4.019 $3.829 $3.779 $3.939 $4.179 $4.169 $4.169 $4.189 $4.159 $4.069 $3.999 $3.889 $3.769 $3.719 $3.649 $3.679 $3.799 $3.919 $3.999 $4.179 $4.299 $4.229 $4.079 Annual Average $2.982 $3.476 $3.975 $4.149 $4.002 % chg 2013-14 -3.4% -6.6% -9.1% -6.0% -4.1% -0.2% 3.4% 3.9% 2.0% SOURCE: Community Research Center gasoline price survey and personal communications with Totem Chevron on Gaffney Road in Fairbanks, Alaska, 2009-2014. NOTE: Figures reflect prices at the self-serve pump for unleaded gasoline. Price is a monthly average of full months business. Only national gasoline retail chain outlets are surveyed. Factors that may influence the price fluctuations include seasonality in the demand for gasoline, changes in the cost of crude oil, product supply/demand imbalances, proximity of supply, supply disruptions, competition in the local market, environmental programs, operating costs, and World oil supply/demand. Recent examples include the natural disaster named Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) which took out 25% of the US Crude oil production and 15% of the US refinery capacity. Some major pipelines were impacted by either shutdowns or reduced operating rates. The Deep Water Horizon Oil Spill in the Gulf of Mexico (April 2010). Other factors are political unrest such as the riots in the Middle East including Egypt, and Libya (JanuaryApril 2011). It is known that retail prices are likely to remain elevated as long as some refineries remain shut down and the U.S. gasoline market continues to stretch supplies to their limit. * Beginning December 2010 this survey changed to monthly reporting. ANNUAL AVERAGE SELF-SERVICE UNLEADED GASOLINE PRICES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2013 4.500 4.000 3.500 3.000 2.500 Annual Average Unleaded Self-Serve Gasoline Price 2.000 1.500 1.000 0.500 37 Fall 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 0.000 Community Research Quarterly POPULATION & SOCIAL CONDITIONS POPULATION COUNTS & ESTIMATES** Fairbanks, North Pole and the Fairbanks North Star Borough 2003-2013, Selected Years F A I R B A N K S N O R T H P O L E F N S B 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 * * * * * * * ^ ^ ^ ^ * * * * * * * ^ ^ ^ ^ * * * * * * * ^ ^ ^ ^ U.S. Census Bureau (1) 30,469 30,839 30,946 30,636 31,184 31,212 31,083 31,535 32,012 32,254 32,324 1,728 1,796 1,848 1,873 1,967 2,008 2,045 2,117 2,172 2,205 2,214 86,885 89,043 90,431 90,545 93,545 94,552 95,238 98,190 99,276 100,141 100,436 Ak. Department of Labor (2)* 29,156 30,402 31,478 30,580 32,266 31,694 32,346 31,535 30,621 32,033 32,204 1,617 1,548 1,624 1,675 2,013 2,233 2,199 2,117 2,104 2,158 2,209 83,714 87,555 90,381 90,953 95,354 96,423 96,631 97,581 97,909 100,320 99,632 Ak. Dept of Commerce (3) 29,156 30,402 31,478 30,580 32,266 31,694 32,346 31,535 30,621 32,033 32,204 1,617 1,548 1,624 1,675 2,013 2,233 2,199 2,117 2,104 2,158 2,209 84,979 87,608 96,888 96,888 97,970 98,660 97,581 97,581 97,909 100,320 99,632 SOURCE: (1) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, July 1st estimates. 2013 Population Estimates. PEPANNRES Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Counties of Alaska: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013, also Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population in Alaska: now known as *Intercensal Estimates of the Resident Population for Incorporated Places and Minor Civil Divisions: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2013, May 2014. Geographic change notes defined at: http://www.census.gov. (2) Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; and US Census Bureau. Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^, and Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^. All numbers are based on 2010 Census geography. ADOL website: http://laborstats.alaska.gov, February 2014. (3) Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development (DCCED), Division of Community and Regional Affairs, 2013 Commissioner Certified Estimates, January 15, 2013. DCCED Certified numbers may vary from ADOL population estimates as a result of the Population Estimate Appeal process available to incorporated communities on a yearly basis, as well as annual revisions by ADOL. Once certified, DCCED numbers may be applied for two consecutive calendar years. DCCED website: http://www.commerce.state.ak.us/dca/commdb/CF_COMDB.htm. NOTE: The FNSB numbers include population for all communities within the Borough plus Fort Wainwright Army Base and Eielson Air Force Base. ** U.S. Census and ADOL estimated numbers may be revised annually. Community Research Quarterly Fall 2014 38 Population and Social Conditions MILITARY POPULATION Ft. Wainwright Army Base*^ By Federal Fiscal Year Quarter: 2011-14 Ft. Wainwright Army Base 2011 2012 2013 2014 FFY Qtr. FFY Months Military Active Duty Personnel Military Families Total % Change from previous quarter 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept 6,996 7,358 7,549 7,736 7,453 7,278 6,379 6,441 6,132 6,164 6,568 6,475 6,142 5,895 5,905 5,880 8,517 8,858 9,097 9,097 9,097 9,009 10,152 9,998 9,157 8,863 9,082 9,038 8,628 8,299 8,354 8,369 15,513 16,216 16,646 16,833 16,550 16,287 16,531 16,439 15,289 15,027 15,650 15,513 14,770 14,194 14,259 14,249 5.1% -1.7% 2.7% 1.1% -1.7% -1.6% 1.5% -0.6% -7.0% -1.7% 4.1% -0.9% -4.8% -3.9% 0.5% -0.1% SOURCE: Fort Wainwright Army Base (FWA), Plans, Analysis and Integration Office (PAIO), and ALCOM, Alaskan Command, 2011-2014. NOTE: Using Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) reporting periods: FFY1Q: Oct-Dec; FFY2Q: Jan-Mar; FFY3Q: Apr-Jun; FFY4Q: Jul-Sept. 3rd Qtr. 2013 - federal government shutdown pushed back the release dates for data. * Does not include contract civilian positions or BLM. MILITARY POPULATION Eielson Air Force Base* By Federal Fiscal Year Quarter: 2011-2014 Eielson Air Force FFY Base Qtr. 2011 2012 2013 2014 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 FFY Months Military Active Duty Personnel Military Families Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept 1,909 1,912 1,914 1,887 1,893 1,893 1,918 1,931 1,900 1,873 1,883 1,866 1,862 1,876 1,874 1,825 2,974 2,998 3,022 2,954 2,953 2,953 2,939 2,866 2,846 2,832 2,900 2,840 2,815 2,799 2,830 2,670 Total % Change from previous quarter 4,883 1.4% 4,910 0.6% 4,936 0.5% 4,841 -1.9% 4,846 0.1% 4,846 0.0% 4,857 0.2% 4,797 -1.2% 4,746 -1.1% 4,705 -0.9% 4,783 1.7% 4,706 -1.6% 4,677 -0.6% 4,675 0.0% 4,704 0.6% 4,495 -4.4% SOURCE: ALCOM, Alaskan Command, 2011-2014. NOTE: Using Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) reporting periods: FFY1Q: Oct-Dec; FFY2Q: Jan-Mar; FFY3Q: Apr-Jun; FFY4Q: Jul-Sept. 3rd Qtr. 2013 - federal government shutdown pushed back the release dates for data. * Does not include contract civilian positions or BLM. 39 Fall 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions ALASKA TEMPORARY ASSISTANCE PROGRAM (ATAP) Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 Average Monthly Yr/Qtr 2010 Case Loads 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2011 2012 2013 2014 Dollars Expended 250 263 269 257 274 270 263 259 268 244 230 239 246 233 235 257 266 268 $165,183 $166,753 $166,912 $165,805 $170,585 $161,197 $155,675 $156,542 $164,732 $147,349 $136,223 $147,477 $156,174 $148,351 $145,830 $154,548 $167,163 $172,090 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Health and Social Services, Division of Public Assistance, personal communications, 2010-2014. NOTE: Aid to Families With Dependent Children was renamed ATAP in 2003. ALASKA TEMPORARY ASSISTANCE PROGRAM (ATAP) Fairbanks North Star Borough Monthly Average 2010-2014 300 Case Loads $200,000 Dollars Expended $190,000 Case Loads $170,000 $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 Dollars Expended $180,000 $130,000 200 Quarter 1 2 3 2010 Community Research Quarterly 4 1 2 3 2011 4 1 2 3 2012 4 1 2 3 2013 4 1 $120,000 2 2014 Fall 2014 40 Population and Social Conditions ADULT PUBLIC ASSISTANCE Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 Average Monthly Yr/Qtr 2010 Case Loads 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2011 2012 2013 2014 Dollars Expended 1,503 1,519 1,549 1,557 1,575 1,610 1,627 1,627 1,655 1,675 1,691 1,682 1,680 1,684 1,704 1,705 1,672 1,682 $420,570 $423,528 $434,298 $434,434 $435,685 $440,107 $447,555 $446,793 $455,454 $461,827 $466,030 $457,582 $456,463 $456,394 $464,094 $465,761 $460,809 $459,742 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Health and Social Services, Division of Public Assistance, personal communications 2010-2014. ADULT PUBLIC ASSISTANCE Fairbanks North Star Borough Monthly Average 2010-2014 1,750 Case Loads $470,000 1,700 Dollars Expended $460,000 Case Load $440,000 1,600 $430,000 1,550 $420,000 1,500 $410,000 1,450 1,400 Quarter 41 Fall 2014 Dollars Expended $450,000 1,650 $400,000 1 2 3 2010 4 1 2 3 2011 4 1 2 3 2012 4 1 2 3 2013 4 1 $390,000 2 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions FOOD STAMPS Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 Average Monthly Yr/Qtr 2010 Case Loads 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2011 2012 2013 2014 Dollars Expended 2,619 2,761 2,745 2,765 2,996 3,200 3,221 3,344 3,583 3,660 3,617 3,611 3,613 3,591 3,505 3,550 3,466 3,515 $900,899 $942,884 $915,556 $839,323 $984,559 $1,029,679 $1,017,057 $1,013,054 $1,156,087 $1,164,953 $1,143,464 $1,110,048 $1,183,589 $1,156,175 $1,113,053 $991,814 $1,035,150 $1,057,470 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Health and Social Services, Division of Public Assistance, personal communications 2010-2014. FOOD STAMPS Fairbanks North Star Borough Monthly Average 2010-2014 3 4,000 Case Loads $1,500,000 Dollars Expended 3,500 $1,250,000 Case Load $1,000,000 2,500 $750,000 2,000 1,500 $500,000 1,000 $250,000 500 0 Quarter Dollars Expended 3,000 $0 1 2 3 2010 Community Research Quarterly 4 1 2 3 2011 4 1 2 3 2012 4 1 2 3 2013 4 1 2 2014 Fall 2014 42 Population and Social Conditions GENERAL RELIEF Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 Average Monthly Yr/Qtr 2010 Case Loads 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2011 2012 2013 2014 Dollars Expended 7 5 9 10 12 17 17 12 24 24 20 23 29 27 26 19 26 33 $2,255 $2,122 $9,779 $4,455 $6,068 $17,930 $14,729 $15,790 $17,619 $21,936 $16,512 $20,737 $32,607 $28,490 $25,772 $22,357 $35,694 $45,642 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Health and Social Services, Division of Public Assistance, personal communications 2010-2014. GENERAL RELIEF Fairbanks North Star Borough Monthly Average 2010-2014 1993-97 35 Case Loads 30 Dollars Expended Case Load 25 20 15 10 5 0 Quarter 1 2 3 2010 43 Fall 2013 4 1 2 3 2011 4 1 2 3 2012 4 1 2 3 2013 4 1 Dollars Expended $50,000 $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 2 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions REGISTERED VOTERS BY PARTY AFFILIATION Fairbanks North Star Borough September 2014 ------------------------------By District--------------------------- Political Party/Group 1 Alaska Constitution Party 3 2 5 4 Total 6* 3 5 8 7 10 4 37 1,951 1,591 890 1,863 1,689 615 8,599 Alaska Libertarian Party 103 99 101 122 86 51 562 Alaska Republican Party 2,867 3,339 4,826 3,452 3,053 2,443 19,980 400 330 388 343 347 251 2,059 34 26 17 123 56 13 269 Non-Partisan 2,046 1,576 1,679 2,614 2,247 1,058 11,220 Undeclared 4,509 4,020 4,579 5,125 4,753 2,223 25,209 25 24 15 12 11 10 97 11,938 11,010 12,503 13,661 12,252 6,668 68,032 Alaska Democrat Party Alaskan Independence Party Green Party of Alaska Veterans Party of Alaska TOTAL SOURCE: Division of Elections website, http://www.elections.alaska.gov, Number of Registered Voters by Party Within Precinct, September 2014. District numbers were changed due to reapportionment with the U.S. Census 2010. NOTE: Current precinct maps of those districts lying within the Fairbanks North Star Borough are available at http://www.co.fairbanks.ak.us/elections/ * Includes only those voters residing within the Fairbanks North Star Borough. REGISTERED VOTERS BY PARTY AFFILIATION Fairbanks North Star Borough September 2014 Alaska Constitution Party Veterans Party of Alaska Green Party of Alaska Alaska Libertarian Party Alaskan Independence Party Alaska Democrat Party Non-Partisan Alaska Republican Party Community Research Quarterly 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Undeclared Fall 2014 44 Population and Social Conditions ANNUAL REGISTERED VOTERS BY PARTY AFFILIATION Fairbanks North Star Borough September 2008-2014 Political Party/Group 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % Change 2013-14 Alaskan Independence Party 1,726 1,730 1,936 1,954 2,088 2,024 2,059 1.7% 10,041 9,987 10,010 9,712 9,532 8,887 8,599 -3.2% Alaska Libertarian Party 442 427 482 474 491 508 562 10.6% Alaska Republican Party 19,159 19,272 19,583 19,958 20,917 20,318 19,980 -1.7% Non-Partisan 10,603 10,634 11,010 11,142 11,401 11,213 11,220 0.1% Undeclared 26,417 24,768 25,262 25,574 25,686 24,706 25,209 2.0% 0 0 374 3 10 17 37 117.6% 459 404 460 355 320 276 269 -2.5% 47 48 70 76 93 94 97 3.2% 68,894 67,270 69,187 69,248 70,538 68,043 68,032 0.0% Alaska Democrat Party Alaska Constitution Party^ Green Party of Alaska Veterans Party of Alaska TOTAL SOURCE: Division of Elections website, http://www.elections.alaska.gov/, Number of Registered Voters by Party Within Precinct, September 2014. District numbers were changed due to reapportionment with the U.S. Census 2010. ^ 2011 noted the addition of the Alaska Constitution Party. TOTAL ANNUAL REGISTERED VOTERS Fairbanks North Star Borough September 2008-2014 71,000 70,000 69,000 68,000 67,000 66,000 45 Fall 2014 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 65,000 Community Research Quarterly FNSB VICINITY MAP Date of Incorporation: January 1, 1964 Form of Government: Second Class Borough Type of Government: Population (2013) US Census: Size: Borough Mayor, 3 yr. Term Assembly, 9 Members Elected at large, 3 yr. Terms 100,436 7,361 square miles 19,065 square kilometers Certified Assessed Valuation (2013): $8,490,768,875 (non-pipeline) $ 869,679,750 (pipeline) Fairbanks North Star Borough Community Research Center PO Box 71267 Fairbanks, AK 99707-1267 TO: