Development of a Climate-Data Record of
Transcription
Development of a Climate-Data Record of
Development of a Climate-Data Record of Surface Temperature of the Greenland Ice Sheet Dorothy K. Hall Josefino C. Comiso Christopher A. Shuman Waleed Abdalati Cryospheric Sciences Branch, NASA/GSFC and UMBC/GEST LST Workshop National Climatic Data Center Asheville, NC April 7, 2008 Collaborators Jason E. Box / OSU Kimberly A. Casey / Adnet Simon J. Hook / JPL Konrad Steffen / Univ. Colo. LST Workshop National Climatic Data Center Asheville, NC April 7, 2008 Development of a Climate-Data Record (CDR) of surface temperature of the Greenland Ice Sheet Outline •Background – why do we care? •Validation of satellite-derived LSTs •Selection of algorithm for the CDR •Consistency of AVHRR, MODIS and VIIRS LSTs Background • The Arctic has been experiencing changes caused by a warming climate • Changes have not been uniform across the Arctic • The Greenland ice sheet has been experiencing enhanced melting and warming in recent decades • CDR will be useful for studying decade-scale LST and melt trends of the ice sheet AVHRR data show a trend toward increasing LST over Greenland: 1982 - 2008 •6.25-km resolution •Monthly averages •0.07 to 0.08°C increase per year •Rate of increase has increased Joey Comiso / GSFC Mean “clear-sky” surface temperature from MODIS LST MOD11A1 product* Active-melt season Annual** *MOD11A1 LST product developed by Wan et al. (2002) **Year 2000 not available Figure from Hall et al., 2008 Melt-Season Timing and Duration Trends in Individual Drainage Basins Start of melt End of melt Basins 4 & 5: longer melt seasons; earlier start by up to ~15 days, and earlier end (B4) by up to ~9 days 1 2 6 3 *Melt-season start and end is defined as 2 consecutive days of melt 5 4 Updated from Hall et al. (2008) Surface Melt triggers Mass Loss; Cessation of Melt allows Mass Gain Below 2000 m GRACEderived mascon J F M MODISderived melt A M J J A S O N D GRACE data from S. Luthcke / NASA / GSFC How accurate are satellitederived LST data? Comparison of AWS-derived and MODIS LSTs AWS data provided by J. Box From: Hall, D.K., J.E. Box, K.A. Casey, S.J. Hook, C.A. Shuman and K. Steffen, in revision: Comparison of satellite-derived ice and snow surface temperatures over Greenland with in-situ observations, RSE. Are “point measurements” useful for determining the accuracy of the LST data? Satellite-derived LSTs are consistent over snow and ice on the Greenland Ice Sheet From: Hall, D.K., J.E. Box, K.A. Casey, S.J. Hook, C.A. Shuman and K. Steffen, in revision: Comparison of satellite-derived ice and snow surface temperatures over Greenland with in-situ observations, RSE. CDR of Greenland Ice Sheet surface temperature •AVHRR data from 1981, and MODIS data from 2000 to the present •Various spatial and temporal resolutions •Errors will vary for different parts of the CDR •Ensure consistency with VIIRS data Photograph by Peter Hollinger http://www.pbase.com/plbh/greenlan d_2003 Which algorithm should we use to develop the LST CDR of the Greenland Ice Sheet? MODIS LST-IST difference maps MODIS LST-IST difference maps How will we determine which algorithm is best? Future work •Study AVHRR high-resolution 1.1-km resolution data to compare with MODIS •Determine best LST algorithm to use with both AVHRR and MODIS to develop the CDR •Work on AVHRR long-term dataset consistency issues •Study Terra MODIS and Aqua MODIS consistency issues •Study compatibility issues with VIIRS Conclusions •Greenland surface temperature has been increasing •Melt extent, and duration of the melt season at least in southern Greenland has been increasing •High confidence in satellite-derived LSTs over snow and ice •CDR will be useful for studying decade-scale LST and melt trends