Hot and Cold Mate Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay
Transcription
Hot and Cold Mate Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay
I, ‘j 4, 595- 605, Hot 1995 Sepienher and Cancer Cold Mate Pedro Anibal Rol#{243}n,Xavier and Nubia Muiioz’ Drinking Castellsagu#{233}, Maja and Benz, Lahoratorio de Anatomia Patoldgica y Citologla. Ygatimi 853. Asuncirin, Paraguay IP. A. RI: Servei d’Epidemiologia i Registre del Cancer. Institut Catal#{224}d’Oncologia. Ciutat Sanit#{224}riai Universit#{224}ria de Bellvitge. Autovia (‘astelldefels K. 2.7, E-08907 Hospitalet de Llobregat. Barcelona. Spain IX. Cl: Thomas, and International F-69372 Lyon Agency cedex 08, for Research France IM. on Cancer. 150. Cours Albert B., N. M.I Abstract A hospital-based case-control study, including 131 cases of esophageal cancer and 381 controls, was carried out in Paraguay to investigate the role of hot and cold mate drinking in esophageal cancer risk. Detailed information on mate drinking and on tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, and dietary habits was obtained by interview. Amount and duration of cold or hot mate drinking were not associated with esophageal cancer risk. However, temperature at which mate was drunk was significantly associated with risk. As compared to drinkers of warm or hot mate, drinkers of very hot mate had an increased risk for esophageal cancer even after adjusting for the strong effects of alcohol and tobacco consumption (adjusted odds ratio = 2.4; 95% confidence interval = 1.3-4.3). This effect seemed to be mainly due to the temperature at which mate cocido (one of the two ways in which hot mate is prepared) was drunk (odds ratio = 6.5; 95% confidence interval = 3.2-13.2). As expected, very strong dose-response associations were found for alcohol consumption and cigarette smoking. After correcting for these and the consumption of other food groups, diets rich in fats and red meats, especially beef, were associated with esophageal cancer risk. In conclusion, the findings from this study suggest that cold mate drinking does not increase the risk of esophageal cancer. This study identifies the very hot temperature at which mate is drunk, and not the amount or the duration, as an important risk factor for esophageal cancer in this population. Alcohol drinking and tobacco smoking remain, nevertheless, the main risk factors for esophageal cancer in Paraguay. Introduction There is a cluster of high incidence areas of esophageal cancer in South America, which includes Northeastern Argentina, Southern Brazil, Uruguay, and Paraguay. Age-standardized incidence rates in this region range from 1 1/100,()00 in Asunci#{243}n, Paraguay and Partido de La Plata, Argentina to 26/100,000 in Porto Alegre, Brazil (1, 2). In Uruguay, mortality rates for this Received 2/9/95; revised 5/12/95; accepted 5/15/95. I To whons requests for reprints should he addressed. Esophageal Epidemiology, Cancer Biomarkers & Prevention in Paraguay cancer are one of the highest in America, in particular, in the northeastern region that borders Brazil in which a mortality rate of 40/100,000 has been reported in males (3). Populations in these high risk areas share the habit of drinking large quantities of mate, a local tea prepared as an infusion of the herb flex paraguavensis and that is usually drunk very hot. Because of this, it has long been hypothesized that mate drinking may play an etiological role in the high incidence of esophageal cancer in these areas. To this end, the IARC has coordinated a series of studies in these countries. Results from the studies in Brazil (4), Uruguay (5, 6), and Argentina (7) have yielded inconsistent results. Although there was a dose-response effect of hot mate amount consumed in Uruguay, a nonsignificant increase in risk among daily drinkers of mate was found in Brazil, and a marginal association with mate temperature was detected in Argentina. In the same Brazilian population, however, daily drinkers of hot mate had a prevalence of histologically confirmed esophagitis that was three times higher than that of nondrinkers (8). One of the challenges in studying the association between mate drinking and esophageal cancer is to assess whether its potential effect is related to the herb itself (due to potential carcinogenic compounds), to the high temperature at which it is usually consumed (which may result in chronic esophageal thermal injury), or to a combination of both. In Paraguay we had the opportunity of trying to disentangle these two effects as mate is drunk both hot and cold. Hot mate is drunk in two ways: ( a) as the mate infusion or “regular” mate, as it is prepared as in Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay and is usually drunk warm, hot, or very hot from a gourd through a metal straw; and (b) “mate cocido, “ which is prepared by boiling the water and the mate herb mixed together passed through a strainer and drunk hot or very hot from a cup or jar. Cold mate or “terer#{233}” is prepared as mate cocido but it is drunk refrigerated from a cup, glass, or jar. Thus, by estimating the effect of hot mate drinking (combined consumption of regular mate and mate e’oe’ido) and cold mate drinking (consumption of terer#{233})the relationship between mate, its consumption temperature, and esophageal cancer risk can be further studied. To explore these associations taking into account other risk factors for esophageal cancer (socioeconomic indicators, tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, and dietary food items), a hospital-based case-control study was carried out in Paraguay. Subjects and Methods A protocol and questionnaire similar to those previous studies in Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina adapting some questions to the local situation. used in the were used. Cases. Cases were subjects residents in Paraguay, newly diagnosed of esophageal cancer by cytology, histology, or radiology identified in four hospitals and all private clinics, pathology laboratories, and radiology clinics in Asunci#{243}n between January 1988 and March 1991. Patients older than 75 years of age, those who had not been residents in Paraguay for at least S years, and those who were in poor physical condition or too Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. 595 596 Male Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay ill to obtain reliable information were excluded. Cases had to be interviewed within 3 months after diagnosis. It is estimated that virtually all cases of esophageal cancer looking for medical care should be identified in one of these medical facilities. Controls. For each case enrolled in the study, three controls who were selected from the same hospitals and admitted during the same period as the cases and matched by sex and age (±5 years), were identified and included in the study. The same exclusion criteria used with the cases were applied to the controls. Patients who had diseases thought to be associated with smoking or alcohol were also excluded. The main diagnostic categories among controls were: malignant tumors (not associated with alcohol or tobacco, such as skin cancer, lymphomas, leukemia, and prostate cancer), 36.7%; benign tumors, 16.1%; urinary tract diseases, 16.2%; inguinal and abdominal hernias, 12.7%; colitis and megacolon, 6.6%; skin disorders, 3.9%; rheumatic and congenital heart diseases, 3.5%; varicose veins, 2.6%; and mycosis, 1.6%. Questionnaire. All eligible cases and controls were interviewed at the hospitals according to a pretested standardized questionnaire by six trained interviewers (social workers and medical students). The questionnaire elicited information on socioeconomic-, tobacco smoking-, and alcohol consumptionrelated variables, ?izate, mate cocido, and terer#{233}drinking and included also a double food frequency questionnaire with 50 dietary items for current and past (10 years before) consumption. Statistical Analyses. For all analyses, exsmokers and exdrinkers of alcohol or iilate were defined as those stopping the habit at least 1 year before the date of the interview. Accordingly, those subjects who left the habit within I year before the date of the interview were considered as current smokers or current drinkers. Because there were only three cases and nine controls who were never exposed to any of the three types of mate, quartiles of amount of consumption were computed among cases and controls, and the lowest quartile was used as the reference category. Food items were grouped into 16 food groups as follows: red meats, processed meats, cheese, soja, cereals, cereal products, roots and tubers, vegetables, citrus fruits, noncitrus fruits, fats, oils, poultry, fish, milk, and eggs. For each food group monthly average amounts of consumption were computed and ranked into quartiles. Because of the matched study design, conditional logistic regression was first used to assess the effects of the major risk factors after adjusting for potential confounders. Although the estimates were very similar in magnitude, they were less precisc than those obtained with unconditional regression. Therefore. all analyses presented were performed by means of unconditional regression, including the design variables of the study, sex, age group (four categories), and hospital group (five categories), in all logistic models. The maximum likelihood method was used to estimate model parameters (9). This procedure provides estimates of model parameters which, appropriately transformed, yield the OR2, a measure of association between a given risk factor and the disease and which can be interpreted as an approximation of the relative risk. Regression models for socioeconomic and demographic variables and mate-related variables and food groups were further adjusted by the lifetime number of cigarettes smoked and the lifetime consumption of pure ethanol. To test for the overall effect of a variable, as well as to assess effect modifi- 2 The abbreviations used are: OR, odds ratio: Cl. confidence interval. cation (i.e. , statistical interaction between two risk factors) likelihood ratio test statistic was used. Test for trends amount or duration were performed by coding the categories successive integers and by using the likelihood ratio test tistic with one degree of freedom. Statistical significance set at the 0.05 level and, accordingly, 95% CI around the are presented. the with in stawas OR Results A total of 132 cases and 393 controls were invited to participate. Of these, 1 case refused to participate and 381 (97%) controls agreed to reply to the questionnaire. The distribution of the main characteristics of cases and controls is presented in Table 1 for males and females. There were no marked differences in socioeconomic status between cases and controls in the male population. Among females, cases were more likely than controls to come from rural areas and to have received less education. Both male and female cases were more likely than controls to be mestizos, drinkers of alcohol and smokers. This is not surprising because control patients with smokingor alcohol-related diagnoses were not enrolled in the study. The most common type of alcohol beverage consumed in this population was aguardiente distilled from sugar cane (Table 1). Mate. Hot mate drinking was virtually ubiquitous in this population. Over 95% of cases and controls were or had been drinkers of hot mate. The prevalence of ever-terer#{233} drinking was 83% in male cases, 83% in male controls, 62% in female cases, and 47% in female controls (Table 1). There were only 1 case and 2 controls who were terer#{233}drinkers and who were nonhot mate drinkers. The mean daily amounts of regular mate, mate cocido, and terer#{233}drunk were 0.75, 0.25, and 1.35 liters, respectively, among controls and 0.92, 0.27 and 1.79 liters, respectively, among cases. As shown in Table 2, amount and duration of hot mate drinking and terer#{233}drinking were not positively associated with esophageal cancer risk after adjusting for the combined effects of tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption. This was also true for regular mate and mate cocido (data not shown). It is worth noting that most of the estimates associated to each quartile of mate consumption, although not significant, were below one suggesting a small protective effect. Moreover, we found an unexpected statistically significant inverse trend with duration of hot mate drinking. The main finding for the mate-related variables was that the self-reported temperature at which hot mate was drunk was positively and significantly associated with esophageal cancer risk with an OR of 2.4 (95% CI = 1.3-4.3) for very hot mate drinking. When the relationship was explored further it was found that the effect was mainly due to the temperature at which mate cocido, but not regular mate, was consumed. Thus, compared to warm/hot drinkers, very hot drinkers of mate cocido had an OR of 6.5 (95% CI 3.2-13.2). In contrast, the corresponding OR for regular mate was 1.7 (95% CI = 0.93. 1). The effect of hot mate temperature persisted after adjusting for hot mate amount (OR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.4-4.8), for total mate amount (OR = 2.4; 95% CI = 1.3-4.4), or for duration of hot mate drinking (OR = 2.3; 95% CI = 1.3-4.2). This was also true for mate cocido for which the increased risk associated to temperature was even larger after adjusting for the amount of hot mate consumed (OR = 7.1; 95% Cl = 3.3-15.0), for total mate amount (OR 7.1; 95% CI = 3.3-15.0), or for years of hot mate drinking (OR = 6.9; 95% CI = 3.2-14.9). Having found an independent temperature effect, we further Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. Cancer Table I Distributio n of mai n char acterist ics of cases and control EpidemioIo, Total Controls (%) 110 Age Females Cases a & Prevention s by sex Males Variables Biomarkers n Cases (%) 318 n Controls (%) 21 n (%) 63 group (5.5) 21 (6.6) 2 (9.5) 4 (6.4) 4(3-55 21 6 (19.2) 53 (16.7) 4 (19.0) 11 (17.5) 56-65 41 (37.3) 119 (37.4) 5 (23.8) 23 (36.5) 42 (38.2) 125 (39.3) 10 (47.6) 25 (39.7) 39 (35.4) 109 (34.3) 6 (28.6) 21 (33.3) 37 (33.6) 138 (43.4) 7 (33.3) 33 (52.4) (2.8) 2 (9.5) 3 (4.8) (18.5) 4 (19.0) 6 (9.5) (0.9) 2 (9.5) 0 4;45 Hospital University Cancer hospital hospital Military hospital Social Security Other Main 8 21 sources 5 9 (7.3) (19.1) 59 (4.5) 3 residence Urban 55 (50.0) 145 (45.6) 11 (52.4) 38 (641.3) Rural 54 (49.1) 173 (54.4) 1(1 (47.6) 25 (39.7) 1 Unknown Ever (0.9) 0 t) 0 schooling Ever 89 (80.9) 226 (71.1) 9 (42.9) 37 (58.7) Never 2() (18.2) 86 (27.0) 12 (57.1) 25 (39.7) Unknown I (0.9) 6 (1.9) 1 0 (1.6) Race White 65 (59.1) 221 (69.5) 12 Mestiza 44 (40.0) 97 (30.5) 9 Other Smoking (0.9) 6 (5.4) 0 47 (74.6) (42.9) 16 (25.4) 0 0 status 136 (42.8) 12 (57.1) 48 Past 32 (29.1) 76 (23.9) 3 (14.3) 4 (6.3) Current 72 (65.4) 106 (33.3) 6 (28.6) 11 (17.5) (4.5) 146 (45.9) 11 (52.4) 56 (88.9) Never Ethanol 5 Past 32 (29.1) Current 73 (66.4) Ever spirits (aquardienk’) 94 (85.5) Ever wine 28 (25.5) 38 Ever beer 25 (22.7) 56 Type (76.2) status Never of alcoholic (13.5) 3 (14.3) 2 (3.2) 129 (40.6) 7 (33.3) 5 (7.9) 102 (32.1) 7 (33.3) 1 (1.6) (11.9) 4 (19.0) 6 (9.5) (17.6) 2 (9.5) 0 7 (2.2) 0 43 drink Ever other Hot 1 (57.1) 0 3 (2.7) Never 4 (3.6) 10 (3.1) 0 (1.6) Past 9 (8.2) 10 (3.1) 0 (3.2) status mate (male and Current Mean daily male c-oc-ido combined) 97 amount (liters) (88.2) 298 1.03 (93.7) 0.88 21 (1(10.0) 60 (95.2) 0.86 1.29 Terer#{233}status Never 19 (17.3) 53 (16.7) 8 Past 15 (13.6) 26 (8.2) 0 Current 76 (69.1) 239 (75.2) 13 Mean daily amount (liters) 1.92 explored whether the amount of hot mate was important among those drinkers who had the habit of having it very hot. Thus, when restricting the analysis to very hot mate drinkers (90 cases and 220 controls), the amount of hot mate was not associated with an increased risk. Other explored mate-related variables not associated with esophageal cancer included, for each type of mate: the addition of herb, the addition of sugar, the type of water used (well, tank, or running water), and the time elapsed since stopping the habit, which was barely possible to assess because of the small I .42 0.88 (38.1) 33 (61.9) 25 (52.4) (7.9) (39.7) 0.7)) number of subjects quitting mate drinking (data not shown). No significant interactions were found between any of the measurements of mate drinking and cigarette smoking or alcohol consumption, although the statistical power to significantly detect such effect modifiers was limited. Smoking. Table 3 summarizes the main findings for smoking-related variables. As expected, all measurements of tobacco smoking were independently and strongly associated with esophageal cancer risk with a clear dose-response re- Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. 597 598 Mate Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay Table 2 Effect of selected variables mae-reIated on esophageal Cases OR1” Variables (%) a Hot male status and (male cancer male cocido risk Controls (95% CI) OR,” (95% Cl) (%) n combined) Never 4 (3.1) 11 (2.9) 1.0 Past 9 (6.9) 12 (3.1) 2.4 (0.6-10.6) 1.0 1.0 (0.1-7.5) (0.3-3.4) 0.5 (t). 1-2.2) 1 18 (90.1) 358 (94.0) 1.0 Never 27 (20.6) 86 (22.6) 1.0 Past 15 (11.4) 31 (8.1) 1.3 (0.6-2.9) 1.0 (0.3-2.8) Current 89 (67.9) 264 (69.3) 1.0 (0.6-1.6) 0.9 (0.5-1.8) Current Terer#{233}status Hot mate amount and ,nale (mate (liters/day cocido 1.0 quartiles) combined) 38 (29.0) 90 (23.6) I .0 Low (0.51-0.79) 17 (13.0) 93 (24.4) 0.4 (0.2-0.8) 0.4 (0.2-0.8) High (0.80-1.10) 37 (28.2) 1 16 (30.4) 0.8 (0.5-1.4) 0.8 (0.4-1.5) (>1.10) 39 (29.8) 82 (21.5) 1.2 (0.7-2.0) 0.9 Lowest (0-OS) Highest 1.0 Terer#{233}amount (liters/day quartiles) 35 (26.7) 96 (25.2) I .0 Low (0.17-0.80) 32 (24.4) 104 (27.3) 0.7 (0.4-1.3) 0.8 (0.4-1.7) High (0.81-1.6))) 24 (18.3) 100 (26.2) 0.6 (0.3-1.2) 0.6 (0.3-1.3) (>1.60) 40 (30.5) 78 (20.5) I .3 (0.7-2.3) 1.0 (0.4-2.1) Lowest (0-4). 16) Highest 3 Unknown I .0 (0.8) 0.75 P for trend Hot duration combined) male cocido (yrs) and (male male 4 (3.1) 11 (2.9) I .0 1-29 19 (14.5) 37 (9.7) I .8 (0.5-6.6) 1.2 (0.2-6.4) 30-39 22 (16.8) 73 (19.2) 0.9 (0.3-3.3) 0.4 (0.1-2.0) 40-49 43 (32.8) 100 (26.2) 1.2 (0.4-4.2) 0.6 (0.1-2.8) S0 43 (32.8) 160 (42.0) 0.7 (0.2-2.5) 0.3 Nondrinker P for trend (drinkers Terer#{233}duration (yrs) 27 (20.6) 86 (22.6) I .0 1-29 17 (13.0) 51 (13.4) 0.9 (0.4-2.0) 0.9 (0.3-2.3) 30-39 33 (25.2) 73 (19.2) I .4 (0.7-2.6) 1.2 (0.5-2.8) 40-49 38 (29.0) 103 (27.0) 1.1 (0.6-2.0) 1.0 (0.5-2.3) 50 16 (12.2) 66 (17.3) 0.6 (0.3-1.4) 0.6 (0.3-1.6) Hot male cocido 2 (drinkers temperature combined) Warm, (male hot mare 37 (28.2) 150 (39.4) I .0 90 (68.7) 220 (57.7) 2.2 4 cocido (0.5) 0.92 and Nondrinker Male I .0 only) Very hot (3.1) 11 I.0 (1.4-3.5) 2.4 (1.3-4.3) (2.9) temperature 61 (46.6) 269 (70.6) 1.0 hot 40 (30.5) 29 (7.6) 6.6 (3.7-11.7) 6.5 (3.2-13.2) Nondrinker 30 (22.9) 82 (21.5) 1.7 (1.0-2.8) 1.9 (1.0-3.6) Warm, Very hot Unknown OR1. (0.1-1.3) 0.01 Nondrinker P for trend h OR, I .0 only) Unknown “ (0.4-1.7) 0.95 P for trend adjusted adjusted 2 for design for design variables variables, age group, sex, and hospital lifetime cigarette consumption, group. and lifetime lationship. Stopping cigarette smoking had a beneficial effect on risk, although a 2-fold increased risk persisted after quitting for more than 20 years. As shown in Table 3, there was a modest marginal effect of type of tobacco; as compared to black tobacco smoking, blond tobacco smoking was associated with a 50% reduction in risk. After allowing for the number of cigarettes smoked and the amount of ethanol consumed, the reduced risk associated with blond tobacco persisted, although it was not statistically significant. Other explored smoking-related variables that showed a statisti- alcohol I.0 (0.5) consumption. cally significant effect were rolled cigarette smoking and average numbers of black cigarettes smoked/day. In contrast, no associations were found with tobacco chewing, use of filter in cigarettes, intensity of smoke swallowing, or average amount of blond cigarettes smoked/day (data not shown). When average daily amount and duration of cigarette smoking were adjusted for each other, both variables remained statistically significant (P values for the likelihood ratio statistic: <0.00001, for the effect of duration, and 0.0002, for the effect of amount). Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. Cancer Table 3 Effect of selected s moking- related Cases variables OR1” Pt I cancer Biomarkers risk (%) (95% CI) OR,” 18 (13.7) 184 (48.3) 1.0 Past 35 (26.7) 80 (21.0) 5.5 (2.8-10.9) 3.6 Current 78 (59.5) 117 (30.7) 8.5 (4.6-15.7) 4.5 1.0 no. (2.2-9.1) 0(85)06 of cigarettes 18 (13.7) 184 (48.3) 1.0 1-14 56 (42.7) 148 (38.8) 5.1 (2.7-9.7) 3.2 (1.6-6.5) 15-39 46 (35.1) 40 (10.5) 16.7 (8.0-34.7) 8.4 (3.6-19.3) 40 11 (8.4) (2.4) 16.5 (5.6-48.2) 6.1 P for trend Lifetime (smokers 9 1.0 only) (1.8-20.8) 0.01 no. of cigarettes 0 18 (13.7) (48.3) 1.0 I 15 (11.4) 73 (19.2) 2.7 (1.2-5.9) 1.8 (0.7-4.2) 50,()00 16 (12.2) 53 (13.9) 5.2 (2.3-12.1) 3.4 (1.4-8.5) l(X),()00 48 (36.6) 51 (13.4) 15.7 (7.4-33.2) 9.1 (4.0-21.0) 300,00() 34 (26.0) 20 (5.2) 28.5 (12.3-66.1) 10.0 P for trend (smokers 184 1.0 only) (3.9-25.8) <0(888)1 of smoking (1 18 (13.7) 184 (48.3) 1.0 1-29 15 (11.4) 64 (16.8) 2.4 (1.1-5.4) 1.5 (0.6-3.7) 3(5-39 4)) 31 67 (23.7) (51.1) 51 (13.4) 7.4 (3.6-15.2) 4.4 (1.9-10.0) 82 (21.5) 15.6 (7.6-32.1) 7.3 P for trend Years since (smokers stopped 1.0 only) (3.3-16.3) 0.00(8)1 smoking Nonsmoker 18 (13.7) (48.3) 1.0 20+ 4 (3.1) 16 (4.2) 3.0 (0.9-10.5) 2.0 (0.5-7.9) 8-19 6 (4.6) 27 (7.1) 2.9 (1.0-8.5) 2.0 (0.6-6.7) 1-7 25 (19.1) 37 (9.7) 8.2 (3.8-17.5) 5.2 (2.2-12.4) Current 78 (59.5) 117 (30.7) 8.5 (4.6-15.7) 4.5 P for trend Type (quitters of tobacco smoker 184 1.0 only) (smokers (2.2-9.2) 0.06 only) Mainly black 87 (77.0) 140 (71.1) 1.0 Mainly blond 14 (12.4) 39 (19.8) 0.5 (0.2-1.0) 0.5 (0.2-1.1) 1.4 (0.5-4.0) 1.0 (0.3-3.4) Black and Blond Unknown OR1. OR2, (1.6-7.9) 0 Yrs CI) status Never Daily I’ (95% (%) n P for trend “ & Prevention Controls Variables Smoking on esophagea Epidemiology, adjusted adjusted for design for design variables variables age group, and lifetime 8 (7.1) 8 (4.1) 4 (3.5) 10 (5.1) sex, and ethanol hospital group. consumption. For type Alcohol. Alcohol drinking was found to be the strongest risk factor for esophageal cancer risk in this population (Table 4). Even moderate ethanol drinkers had a large excess in risk as compared to nondrinkers. Although amount and, to a lesser extent, quitting showed a dose-response relationship with risk, no trend with years of alcohol consumption was found. Thus, shortand long-term drinkers had a similar excess in risk. When adjusting average daily amount and duration simultaneously, only the effect of amount remained statistically significant (P value for the likelihood ratio statistic, <0.00001; corresponding P value for duration, 0.6). Quitting alcohol drinking was clearly beneficial, and the risk ratio of long-term to short-term quitting was about 3. Nevertheless, alcohol had a persistent long-term effect and even quitting alcohol drinking for >15 years was still associated with a 4-fold excess in risk. Beer and wine, less frequently consumed in this population, were not associated with an increased risk. Joint Effect bined effects multivariate of Alcohol and Tobacco. We assessed the comof tobacco and alcohol amounts by fitting a model, which included the design variables, the of tobacco, adjusted in addition 1.0 for lifetime number of cigarettes smoked. main effect terms for alcohol and tobacco, and an interaction term between the two. Although the interaction was not statistically significant suggesting no departure from the usual multiplicative model (P = 0.15), increasing exposure to both factors was associated with higher risks. Thus, as compared to subjects never exposed to tobacco and alcohol, nonsmokers who drank > 150 ml/day of ethanol had an OR of 83.2 (95% CI = I 1.1-624.9); if, in addition to drinking this amount, they smoked an average of 15-40 cigarettes/day the OR increased to 284.0 (95% CI - 62.5-1291.0). Diet. Table 5 summarizes the main dietary findings of current consumption using two different multivariate models. First, the effect of each separate food group was assessed adjusting for the design variables and ethanol and tobacco consumption. By using this model (Table 5, OR1) strong positive associations were found with increasing consumption of fats and red meats (both, all red meats, and beef alone) and, to a lesser extent, with fish and milk. In an attempt to control for other dietary confounders a second model was fitted (Table 5, OR,), which additionally included these four significant food groups as covariates. As shown in Table 5, although the strong effects of Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. 599 6(X) Male Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay Table 4 Effect of selected alcohol-related variables OR1” ‘I cancer risk Controls Cases Variables Alcohol on esophageal (%) C (95% CI) OR’ 16 (12.2) 202 (53.0) 1.0 Past 35 (26.7) 45 (11.8) 16.1 (7.3-35.4) 10.3 (4.4-23.9) <I/week 12 (9.2) 27 (7.1) 9.5 (3.7-24.7) 5.9 (2.1-16.8) I/week 68 (51.9) (28.1) 13.)) (6.3-26.9) 8.0 Spirit 107 1.0 status Never 30 (22.9) 275 (72.2) 1.0 Ever 101 (77.1) 103 (27.0) 14.0 Ethanol amount 9.6 (5.2-17.8) (0.8) (mI/day) 16 (12.2) 202 (53.0) 1.0 I 35 (26.7) 107 (28.1) 6.7 (3.1-14.5) 4.5 (2.0-10.1) 25 15 (1 1.5) 28 (7.3) 12.3 (4.8-31.1) 7.7 (2.8-20.9) SO 23 (1 1.6) 28 (7.3) 18.8 (7.8-45.4) 1 1.7 (4.6-30.0) l50 42 (32.1) 13 (3.4) 77.1 (30.0-198) 37.2 (13.7-101) 3 (0.8) Ethanol (1 (drinkers amount 1.0 <0.00001 only) (lifetime liters) Nondrinkers 16 (12.2) 202 (53.0) 1.0 I 12 (9.2) 51 (13.4) 4.4 (1.8-11.1) 3.7 (1.4-9.7) SO 7 (9.2) 27 (7.1) 6.2 (2.0-18.6) 3.9 (1.2-12.2) 104) 17 (13.0) 34 (8.9) 10.6 (4.3-26.6) 5.5 (2.1-14.6) 30)) 22 (16.8) 38 (10.0) 12.8 (5.4-30.3) 7.8 (3.1-19.9) I00() 57 (43.5) 26 (6.8) 50.3 (21.7-116) 27.2 3 (0.8) 0 Unknown P for trend Alcohol (drinkers duration 1.0 only) (11.2-65.9) <0.00001 (yrs) Nondrinkers 16 (12.2) 202 (53.0) 1.0 I 23 (17.6) 46 (12.1) 10.1 (4.3-23.7) 8.0 (3.1-20.5) 25 48 (36.6) 60 (15.7) 15.5 (7.3-33.0) 9.1 (4.0-20.4) 40 44 (33.6) 70 (18.4) 14.0 (6.3-31.0) 8.1 (3.5-18.8) Unknown since 3 (4 P for trend (drinkers stopped 1.0 (0.8) only) 0.78 alcohol Nondrinkers 16 (12.2) (53.0) 1.0 15+ 3 (2.3) 11 (2.9) 5.6 (1.3-23.8) 4.3 (0.9-20.4) 6-14 4 (3.1) 9 (2.4) 8.9 (2.3-34.8) 7.0 (1.6-30.7) 1-S 28 (21.4) 25 (6.6) 23.4 (9.9-54.9) 13.5 (5.4-33.7) Current 80 (61.1) 134 (35.2) 12.4 (6.1-25.4) 7.7 P for trend adjusted adjusted (quitters 202 only) for design for design variables variables consumption of lemons 1.0 (3.6-16.5) (1.14 age group, and lifetime sex, and cigarette hospital group. consumption. red meats and fats remained with statistical significance, those for fish and milk were closer to the null value and were not significant. On the other hand, high consumption of cheese, cereals, and cereal products were all associated with a moderately decreased risk. High consumption of vegetables and citrus fruits, assessed as food groups, were both associated with a slight but nonsignificant decrease in risk. Of the citrus fruits, daily 1.0 (7.9-24.8) Nondrinker P for trend OR1. OR,, 3 0 Unknown F, (3.7-17.3) 0.00002 Unknown ,‘ CI) status Never P for trend Yrs (95% (%) showed a statistically significant protective effect (OR 0.3; 95% CI 0.2-0.8), and daily consumption of oranges was associated with a nonsignificant protective effect (OR = 0.6; 95% CI = 0.2-1.4). Nonsignificant moderately increased risks were detected for high consumption of barbecued meat (churrasco or asado, OR 1.4 and 95% CI = 0.7-2.8) and for always adding salt to foods (OR = 1.4; 95% CI 0.5-3.3). No association was found for the kind of material used for broiling and roasting (wood, coal, or other). Analyses of past consumption of the same food groups yielded virtually the same results (data not shown). Discussion Hot and Cold Mate. To our knowledge this is the first study in which the association between cold mate drinking and esophageal cancer is explored. Although hot mate drinking has been classified as probably carcinogenic to humans it is unknown whether the potential carcinogenic effect is due to the composition of the beverage, to the temperature at which it is consumed, or to both (10). Our study in Paraguay offered an unusual opportunity for assessing further the role of mate drinking because mate is drunk both cold and hot. However, because practically all mate drinkers were exposed to both hot and cold mate it was not possible to entirely disentangle their effects. After adjusting for the strong effects of tobacco and alcohol, no association was found between the amount or duration of the habit of drinking either hot or cold mate and esophageal cancer risk. However, a significant association was found with the temperature at which mate was drunk. Those Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. Cancer Table 5 Adjusted effects Cases of dietary food groups on esophageal cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention risk Controls Variables OR,” (95% CI) OR2” (95% n (%) Lowest 14 (10.7) 1 10 (29.0) 1.0 Low 33 (25.2) 92 (24.3) 3.8 (1.6-9.3) 3.1 (1.2-7.8) High 41 (31.3) 91 (24.0) 4.3 (1.8-10.3) 3.0 (1.2-7.5) Highest 43 (32.8) 86 (22.7) 5.7 (2.3-13.8) 3.8 (1.3-11.0) Red meats n CI) (%) (all) P for trend 1.0 0.0002 0.02 Beef Lowest 14 (10.7) 81 (21.4) 1.0 Low 20 (15.3) 1 12 (29.6) 1.4 (0.6-3.6) 1.8 (0.6-5.0) High 97 (74.0) 185 (48.9) 4.6 (2.1-10.3) 4.7 (2.0-11.5) P for trend 1.0 <0.0001 0.0001 Fats Lowest 33 (25.2) 97 (25.6) 1.0 Low 28 (21.4) 88 (23.2) 1,2 (0.6-2.6) 1.0 (0.4-2.2) High 15 (11.5) 124 (32.7) 0.5 (0.2-1.2) 0.5 (0.2-1.3) Highest 55 (42.0) 70 (18,5) 3.0 (1.5-6.0) 2.4 (1.1-4.9) P for trend 1.0 0.005 0.03 Fish Lowest 35 (27.1) 151 (40.2) 1.0 Low 31 (24.0) 74 (19.7) 2.5 (1.2-5.3) 2.0 (0.9-4.4) High 35 (27.1) 95 (25.3) 2.6 (1.3-5.4) 2.0 (0.9-4.3) Highest 28 (21.7) 56 (14.9) 2.7 (1.2-5.9) 1.5 (0.6-4.0) P for trend 1.0 0.005 0.15 Milk Lowest 32 (24.4) 101 (27.2) 1.0 Low 19 (14.5) 83 (22.3) 1.1 (0.5-2.5) 0.8 (0.3-1.9) High 80 (61.1) 188 (50.5) 1.9 (1.0-3.5) 1.2 (0.6-2.4) P for trend 1.0 0.03 0.51 Cheese Lowest 45 (34.4) 89 (23.5) 1.0 Low 30 (22.9) 98 (25.9) 0.7 (0.3-1.4) 0.5 (0.2-1.2) High 19 (14.5) 98 (25.9) 0.4 (02-0.9) 0.3 (0.1-0.6) Highest 37 (28.2) 94 (24.8) 0.8 (0.4-1.7) 0.3 (0.1-0.7) P for trend 1.0 0.50 0.002 Cereals Lowest 40 (30.5) 82 (21.6) 1.0 Low 24 (18.3) 106 (28.0) 0.7 (0.3-IS) 0.7 (0.3-1.7) High 32 (24.4) 75 (19.8) 1.1 (0.5-2.2) 1.0 (0.4-2.4) Highest 35 (26.7) 116 (30.6) 0.6 (0.3-1.2) 0.3 (0.1-0.7) P for trend Cereal 1.0 0.33 0.02 products Lowest 31 (23.7) 122 (32.0) 1.0 Low 28 (21.4) 76 (19.9) 1.8 (0.8-3.9) 1.8 (0.8-4.3) High 40 (30.5) 74 (19.4) 1.2 (0.6-2.5) 1.0 (0.5-2.3) Highest 32 (24.4) 109 (28.6) 0.9 (0.4-1.8) 0.4 (0.2-0.9) P for trend 1.0 0.59 0.04 Vegetables Lowest 30 (22.9) 86 (22.7) 1.0 Low 34 (26.0) 102 (26.9) 0.8 (0.4-1.7) 0.7 (0.3-1.6) High 29 (22.1) 99 (26.1) 1.2 (0.5-2.4) 0.9 (0.4-2.0) Highest 38 (29.0) 92 (24.3) 1.5 (0.7-3.1) 0.8 (0.3-1.8) P for trend Citrus 1.0 0.20 0.71 fruits Lowest 39 (29.8) 96 (25.3) 1.0 Low 20 (15.3) 90 (23.7) 0.7 (0.3-1.6) 1.0 (0.4-2.4) High 37 (28.2) 99 (26.1) 0.9 (0.4-1.8) 0.6 (0.3-1.4) Highest 35 (26.7) 94 (24.8) 1.0 (0.5-1.9) 0.8 (0.4-1.7) P for trend 1.0 0.98 0.43 Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. 601 602 Male Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay Table OR1” -- n Noncitrus Continued Controls Cases Variables 5 (%) n (95% I, OF2, (95% OR,1’ 1.0 33 (25.2) 93 (24.5) 1.0 Low 25 (19.1) 104 (27.4) 0.8 (0.3-1.7) 0.9 (0.4-2.1) High 37 (28.2) 92 (24.3) 1.4 (0.7-3.0) 1.3 (0.6-2.9) Highest 36 (27.5) 90 (23.7) 1.4 (0.7-2.9) 0.9 (0.4-2.1) adjusted adjusted CI) fruits Lowest 0.98 0.17 P for trend ,, OR1 CI) (%) for lifetime consumption for the same variables of alcohol. cigarette smoking, and the design variables age group, as for OR1 plus consumption of red meats, fats, fish, and milk. For who reported drinking mate at very hot temperatures had a 2-fold increase in risk as compared to those drinking it warm or hot. This association was particularly strong for those drinking mate e’ocido very hot with a 6-fold increase in risk as compared to those drinking it warm or hot. Our findings are in agreement with earlier experimental work in human volunteers showing that after ingesting hot liquids, the intra-esophageal temperature depends more on the volume swallowed at each sip than on the temperature of the liquid (I 1). It is likely that those drinking hot mate from a cup or jar had a tendency to swallow greater volumes than did those drinking hot mate from a gourd through a metal straw. The results from this study support the evidence that chronic thermal injury plays a role in esophageal carcinogenesis. In South America, the Brazilian study found no association with mate temperature, although it did detect a nonsignificant association with frequency of mate drinking ( 4); in Uruguay, a large dose-response relationship was found with amount and, to a lesser extent, with duration of hot mate drinking, although the effect of temperature was inconsistent (5); in Argentina, a small and marginal effect of hot mate temperature consumption was found (OR = 1.7; 95% CI = 1.0-2.9; Ref. 7). Table 6 summarizes the effects of these and other selected variables on esophageal cancer risk in the four case-control studies coordinated by IARC in South America. Studies in other populations have also found a significant effect of hot drinking on esophageal cancer and its precancerous lesions. A study among young adults in a high-risk area of China revealed that the habit of drinking “burning hot” beverages was the strongest risk factor for esophagitis (12). In a case-control study in Hong Kong, preference for consuming drinks or soups at high temperatures was associated with esophageal cancer risk accounting for 14% of this cancer in this population (13). In a recent case-control study in Northeast China, scalding temperature of meals and drinks was identified as the strongest dietary risk factor for esophageal cancer (14). Ingestion of drinks at high temperature has also been shown to increase the risk of this cancer in earlier studies in Puerto Rico (15), Singapore (16), and Iran (17). The measurement of the temperature at which drinks were consumed was subject to misclassification in this study because it was self- reported and, therefore, subjective. However, as the association between hot temperature and esophageal cancer risk was practically unknown in the study population, there is no reason to think that misclassification was differential with regard to case-control status, which is the type of misclassification that could spuriously overestimate an association. If mis- sex, beef, and hospital group. the model was not adjusted for red meat. classification existed it is likely that it was nondifferential (that is, cases and controls were equally likely to misclassify temperature status and in the same direction), and the reported risk estimates might be, in fact, an underestimation of the real underlying effect of temperature. A substantial underestimation of the temperature effect has in fact been suggested by a validation study conducted in Brazil and Uruguay.3 Further, as shown in a study conducted in Iran, when tea temperature is actually measured, avoiding thus the bias potentially introduced by self-reporting measurements, a convincing association between measured tea temperature and population risk of esophageal cancer is also found (18). Concerning amount and duration of hot mate drinking, our observations are at variance with the results from similar studies in Uruguay in which strong dose-response relationships have been reported between daily amount of mate consumed and cancers of the esophagus (3, 5, 6), oropharynx (19), and larynx (20). In this context, it is interesting to note that the mean daily amount of hot mate drunk among controls in Paraguay (872.2 ml) is similar to the mean amount consumed in Uruguay (950.5 ml). On the other hand, the results of the Paraguay study are in line with those reported in Brazil on esophageal(4) and oral cancer (21) and with the results of studies in Argentina on esophageal (7) and bladder cancer (22) (Table 6). The unexpected finding of a statistically significant inverse trend with years,of consumption of hot mate drinking is puzzling and difficult to explain as it even persisted after adjusting for amount and temperature of hot mate consumption. One could speculate, however, that duration of a widespread habit, as mate drinking is in this population, may be subject to differential misclassification of the exposure and perhaps to recall bias. This possibility could not be further assessed with the data collected. Alternatively, the protective effect observed with duration might be partially explained by the possibility that early symptoms of esophageal disease might have encouraged cases more frequently than controls to stop the habit. This would be consistent with the observation that current hot mate drinkers were at a lower risk than past hot mate drinkers, although the latter were only a few (Table 2). As shown in Table 6, the effect of duration of hot mate drinking was not significant in Brazil and Argentina but, contrary to the observed in this study, it was positively associated with risk in Uruguay. 3 C. G. Victora, personal communication. Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. Cancer Table 6 Effects o f selected variables on esophage Uruguay (5) al cancer risk in four Brazil (4) e ase-control studies Epidemiology, from South Biomarkers & Prevention America Study Variables Study period No. of cases/No. Male Argentina (7) Paraguay 1985-1988 1985-1986 1986-1989 1988-1991 261/522 171/342 131/262 131/381 of controls drinking Amount ns ns Duration + ns ns Temperature + ns + + Cigarette +“ ns ns + + smoking Amount ++ Duration + + + + + + + + + n/a + + + Type of tobacco ++ ++ (black) Alcohol (black) (black) ++ ++ drinking Amount ++ Duration Type ++ ++ + of alcohol wine ++ and spirit + + wine cacha#{231}a5 aquardienle5 Diet Meat ns’ Barbecue ++ Fats + ns Vegetables Fruits ns, not significant; -- n/a, data not available; effect. I, Cae/ta#{231}a and aguardieFile are distilled ( Consumption of any fresh meat. (I Consumption of beef. ,. Consumption of beef or any red meat. I No distinction was made between raw C For daily consumption of lemons. + , significant harmful + +(#{149} n/a ns ns ns “ + + . strongly significant + harmful effect; -, significant + ns ns -- effect; + ns ++ - protective effect; - - , strongly significant protective sugar and cane cooked spirits. vegetables. Cigarette Smoking and Type of Tobacco. In agreement with most published case-control studies, we found a strong, dose-effect association with amount and duration of smoking, and, inversely, with time since stopping the habit. Blond tobacco smoking is associated with a 50% reduction in risk as compared to black tobacco smoking. The fact that the adjusted and crude risk estimates for blond tobacco smoking were of the same magnitude suggests a real effect of type of tobacco and that the study probably did not have sufficient statistical power to detect such effect in the multivariate analysis. Further, the analysis of the average number of blond cigarettes smoked/day did not show a significant positive effect (for those smoking >20 blond cigarettes/day as compared to nonsmokers: OR = 1.3 and 95% CI 0.5-3.4). These findings are reinforced by those from other casecontrol studies on esophageal cancer in Uruguay (5) and Argentina (7) (Table 6), on oropharyngeal cancer in Uruguay (19), on bladder cancer in Italy (23) and Argentina (22), as well as by laboratory studies showing that black tobacco is more carcinogenic than blond tobacco in terms of tobaccospecific nitrosamines and aromatic amines (24) and mutagenie activity (25). Alcohol Consumption and Type of Beverage. As expected and consistent with the other South America studies (Table 6), alcohol drinking was the strongest risk factor for esophageal cancer in this population. All measures of alcohol exposure were strongly associated with esophageal cancer risk with a strong dose-response relationship with daily and lifetime average amounts of pure ethanol consumed and, marginally, with the time elapsed since stopping the habit. Although there was a strong association with duration, the trend was not evident. This lack of a dose-response relationship between duration and risk has also been reported in the studies from Uruguay (5) and Argentina (7). It is worth noting that the increased risk found with alcohol drinking was mainly related to the consumption of spirits or aguardiente, the most prevalent type of alcoholic beverage in this population (77% in cases and 27% in controls). No significant associations were detected with beer (jrevalence: 21% in cases and 15% in controls) or with wine (preyalence: 24% in cases and 12% in controls). These prevalences are in contrast to those from Uruguay in which the most prevalent alcohol’ beverage was wine, followed by spirits and beer (5). Although there is no doubt that alcohol and smoking are strongly associated with esophageal cancer risk, we should be aware that the magnitude of these effects might be somewhat overestimated in this study because by design patients with smoking or alcohol-related diagnoses were excluded from the control population. Dietary Food Groups. The positive effect of red meats found in this study is in line with that found in the Brazilian study but not with that of the Argentinean study in which a significant protective effect was found, nor with that of Uruguay in which the protective effect was not evident after adjustment was made for the consumption of barbecued meat (Table 6). Recently, a study using ecological data from 59 countries, also found a highly significant association between high meat animal product consumption and esophageal cancer mortality rates (26). Meat intake has also been found to be positively associated with stomach cancer (27) and other cancers of the upper digestive tract (28). In contrast, a large case-control study conducted in Calvados, France, found a protective effect for fresh meat consumption (29). Downloaded from cebp.aacrjournals.org on October 30, 2016. © 1995 American Association for Cancer Research. 603 604 Male Drinking and Esophageal Cancer in Paraguay As with the Argentinean study, the protective associalions found for consumption of fruits and vegetables when assessed as food groups were very weak and statistically not significant. This finding is unusual because clear protective associations with high consumption of fruits and vegetables have been identified in the studies of Brazil and Uruguay (Table 6), as well as in most other studies of esophageal cancer in Western countries and among Chinese (14, 16, 29-32). Only another case-control study of cancer of the esophagus and gastric cardia conducted in Linxian, China, failed to find a lower risk among persons consuming more fresh vegetables and fruits (33, 34). However, our data is not that inconsistent because when assessing the effect of specific fruit items, we did find a significant protective effect of daily consumption of lemons and a nonsignificant protective effect of daily consumption of oranges. The protective effect of cereals, cereal products, and cheese observed in this study may reflect a better nutritional status that has been related to a decreased risk for esophageal cancer in other studies (31). Another study of oral and pharyngeal cancer reports also an inverse association with increasing bread and cereal consumption, which was independent of the effect of other food groups including fruits and vegetables (28). In interpreting these dietary findings, we should be aware of the limitations existing in epidemiological studies investigating the effect of food consumption on cancer through dietary questionnaires. Moreover, the dietary results of this study are based on a rather simple food frequency questionnaire that was answered by ill subjects who often had limited education or a history of heavy drinking. Thus, the dietary associations identified in this study should be interpreted cautiously. Possible additional limitations of the present study are selection and recall bias. Concerning cases, selection bias is unlikely to be of importance because it is estimated that about 80% of the cases occurring and fulfilling the inclusion criteria in AsunciOn were recruited for the study. For controls we tried to reduce the selection bias by selecting them from several diagnostic categories, and only 12 control subjects (3.1%) refused to participate. Recall bias is unlikely to have generated differences between cases and controls concerning alcohol, tobacco, and reported temperature at which mate is drunk because their associations with esophageal cancer are mostly unknown to the general population. In conclusion, the findings from this study suggest that the temperature at which mate is drunk, but not the amount or the duration, is an important risk factor for esophageal cancer in this population and that cold mate drinking does not increase esophageal cancer risk. 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