DOLE Workforce Dev Summit March2006
Transcription
DOLE Workforce Dev Summit March2006
DOLE Workforce Development Summit Cyberservices – The Sectoral Picture Damian “Dondi” Mapa CICT Commissioner March 2006 Commission on Information and Communications Technology 2005 State of the Nation Address [In 2005] the government launched the Philippine CyberServices Corridor, an ICT belt stretching over 600 miles from Baguio City to Zamboanga which is envisioned to provide a variety of cyberservices at par with global standards. http://www.news.ops.gov.ph/sona2005-execsummary.htm “Cyberservices” Defined Cyberservices are services delivered over cyberspace. It is a catch-all phrase that includes all of the following: Teleservices (services delivered via phone, such as directory inquiries or credit card cancellations), E-Services (discrete transactions serviced via the internet, such as a tax payment, an e-book download, or an e-learning session), IT Outsourcing (IT or ICT services, such as remote network diagnostics or system administration), IT-enabled services or ITES (batched services, such as digital animation or copyediting or medical transcription), ICT-enabled services (real-time services, such as having office receptionists located remotely), and Business Process Outsourcing or BPO services, such as loans processing at a remote location. Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyberservices Cyberservices ICT Services ICT-Enabled Services E-Services IT Services IT-Enabled Services Tele Services Philippine Cyberservices Industry Total Employment 101,000 in 2004 163,000 in 2005 266,000 by 2006 403,000 by 2007 569,000 by 2008 795,000 by 2009 1,083,000 by 2010 Total Revenues $1.3B in 2004 $2.1B in 2005 $3.5B by 2006 $5.2B by 2007 $7.2B by 2008 $9.7B by 2009 $12.8B by 2010 Source: CICT, BOI, BPA/P (See attached exhibits.) Sidebar: Hiring Rate vs. Absorption Rate Hiring Rate Company measure Micro-economic From 3% to 10% Absorption Rate Industry measure Macro-economic As high as 30% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 70 80 90 100 From McKinsey September 2005 Report: The Philippines’ Offshoring Opportunity THE PHILIPPINES’ LABOR SUITABILITY LEADS RUSSIA’S AND CHINA’S BUT LAGS EASTERN EUROPE “Of 100 graduates with the correct degree, how many could you employ if you had demand for all?” Percent Countries Eastern Europe Asia Russia Engineer Czech 50 Poland 50 Hungary 50 China 15 30 3 25 30 10 15 25 25 35 Malaysia 30 50 20 20 8 13 13 20 20 15 India Mexico 10 40 10 Brazil Generalist 20 10 Philippines Latin America Finance/accounting 25 42* 35* 11 All suitability rates are empirically based on a total of >100 interviews with HR professionals working in each country Only for Doctors and Nurses, same suitability rate than for life science researchers was assumed due to a lack of interviews * Mexico is the only country where interview results (higher number) were adjusted post mortem since interview base was thinner and risk of misunderstanding high Source: Interviews with HR managers, HR agencies and Heads of Global Resourcing centers; McKinsey Global Institute 6 Philippines vs. India and China 2003 Population (Mil) Philippines – 81.6 India – 1,065 – 13 times bigger China – 1,292 – 16 times bigger 2003 BPO Employables* Philippines – 60,000 India – 130,000 – Only 2 times bigger China – 160,000 – Only 3 times bigger *IT, CS, and all Engineering (excluding Civil Engineering) Source: McKinsey Global Institute Workforce Mobilization By Source 2.45m college graduates, 2006-2010 450-550k 4m Unemployed, 6m Underemployed 100-120k 1m Overseas Migrant Workers 100-120k 1m Filipino Diaspora 100k Career Shifters and Retirees 100-150k By Location Tier 1: Metro Manila, Metro Cebu, Metro Davao 550k Tier 2: Baguio, Dagupan, Cabanatuan, Tarlac, Sta. Rosa, Batangas, Lipa, Legazpi, Naga/CamSur, Bacolod, Tacloban, Iloilo, Dumaguete, Cagayan de Oro, General Santos 300k Emerging: Tagbilaran, Zamboanga, San Fernando (La Union), others 150k “Philippine Cyberservices Corridor” President Arroyo on the Philippine Cyberservices Corridor President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo at the Philippine Investment Conference March 9, 2005 at Lapu-lapu City, Cebu at the Cebu ICT 2005 Conference June 22, 2005 at Cebu City, Cebu “our cyberservices corridor actually stretches 600 miles from Baguio in Northern Luzon to Zamboanga in Mindanao” “Over the past 12 months call centers have opened in Iloilo, Cagayan de Oro, and Baguio. BPO operations have sprung up in Legaspi and Tacloban. Medical transcription centers have been established in Dumaguete, Davao, and Naga.” “it’s served by a $10B highbandwidth fiber backbone and digital network” “the concept of the cyberservices corridor is gaining ground!” http://www.ops.gov.ph/speeches2005/speech-2005_mar09.htm http://www.ops.gov.ph/speeches2005/speech-2005_jun22.htm Benefits of the Corridor Job Generation – 1 million jobs by 2010 – A new middle class with strong purchasing power Regional Development – From Baguio to Zamboanga – Changing the face of the nation Locator Options – Cost vis lifestyle vis scalability vis retention Dispersion of Demand – Minimize wage inflation and poaching/attrition Issues for Workforce Development Common Themes (across segments) – Career Advocacy – Curriculum Review and Faculty Retraining – English Proficiency Segment Specific Needs and Issues – – – – – Customer Contact (prepared with CCAP) Animation (prepared with ACPI) Software Development (prepared with PSIA) Medical Transcription (prepared with MTIAPI) Back Office Processing (prepared with BPAP) Common Themes Across Segments Commission on Information and Communications Technology Career Advocacy Long-term career option Prospects for advancement Quality of life issue Audience: career shifters, parents, highschool students, college students Issue: How do we get more Filipinos to be interested in a career in cyberservices? Curriculum Review Exposure to application of ICT in business processes Improved proficiency in keyboarding and communication skills Competency in productivity tools Faculty retraining to deliver revised curriculum Issue: Are we preparing Filipinos to be knowledge workers in an information society? English Proficiency Media, especially TV, has de-emphasized English Lack of support for use of English in family, society Lack of English teachers Five (5) “near hires” for every hire Issue: What can we do to avoid job rejection due to lack of English proficiency? Recommendations College English to be taught all 4 years. 1/3 of all English lessons will be conversational English. Retrained English teachers to run the English Course for other teachers throughout the school term. High School 1/3 of English classroom time be dedicated to conversational English. English-only zones will be imposed and enforced. Retrained English teachers to run English courses for other teachers throughout the school year. School Initiatives Camarines Sur, CALABARZON: College Teachers trained in the use of Small-group Communicative Methodology for the Conversational English Classroom. Negros Occidental: same training for Elementary and High School Teachers Mapua Institute of Technology: FuturePerfect helping to develop their English curriculum and to retrain English teachers. Asia-Pacific College: 7 English subjects, with one on Voice and Accent Training, supplied by IBM-Daksh. Assessment Initiatives Future Perfect – Uses certified assessors to rate ability to discourse and interact using the Business Processing Language Assessment Scales (BUPLAS) Prospeak – Uses computer-generated prompts to test and score candidates calling into the Prospeak Testing System BPA/P E4E (English for Employment) – Uses a 5-level assessment tool for oral English “Near hires” can opt to attend a 100- to 200-hour English training program that will enable them to interview with BPO companies. “English is Cool” Campaign Short term: Call Center and BPO – 250,000 to reach the required call center level – Bring the next 1,000,000 to trainable level Mid-term: trainers & professionals – Train the Teachers programs – Improve practice among professionals in service industries, management positions – Enroll 50,000 students or professionals into fast-track classes Long-term: basic education – More than 450,000 students graduate every year – Millions in lower grades Spearheaded by the European Chamber of Commerce PEP Campaign “Promoting English Proficiency” (PEP) – MOA signed in October 2003 – Led by the American Chamber of Commerce with 11 member federations and umbrella organizations; 45 project partners PEP Components: Certification Training Advocacy PEP Initiatives Certification – Internationally recognized tests; – Test of English for International Communication (TOEIC): most widely used international standard of English proficiency in the workplace; and – Administered in corporations and schools to employees, teachers, and students. Training – Computer-assisted learning using DynEd Multimedia Solutions; – 15 Computerized English Language Centers (CELCs) installed in various schools and companies with thousands already trained; and – Teacher training by the Ateneo Center for English Language Teaching (ACELT). PEP Website www.promote-english.org Segment Concerns 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Customer Contact Animation Software Development Medical Transcription Back Office Processing Commission on Information and Communications Technology Customer Contact Segment As of 1st Quarter, 2006 Still the fastest growing segment in the Philippines Customer Contact Centers in the Philippines: 105 Total Full Time Employees: 112,000 Total Seats: 70,000 Estimated Revenues in 2005: US$ 1.6 B With a Growth Rate for 2005: 75% Contact Center Overview YE A R No . o f C a ll C e n te r s E s t. No . o f S e a ts E s t. No . o f E m p lo y e e s E S T . RE V E NUE (US $ M illio n) 2000 4 1 ,5 0 0 2 ,4 0 0 24 2001 13 3 ,5 0 0 5 ,6 0 0 56 2002 31 7 ,5 0 0 1 2 ,0 0 0 120 2003 60 2 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,0 0 0 320 2004 72 4 5 ,0 0 0 6 7 ,0 0 0 920 2005 100+ 7 0 ,0 0 0 1 1 2 ,0 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 Key Players in the Country Third Party Providers: Sykes, Convergys, PeopleSupport, Clientlogic, ePLDT Parlance, ICT Group, Ambergris, Teletech, eTelecare, etc… Captives: Dell, AOL, JPMorgan, Siemens, HSBC, AIG, IBM Daksh, etc.. Demand Side - Quantitative Agent Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 10-25k) – Educational Attainment: majority with 2-4 years college education; for technical support - ICT-related courses – Additional Training • Pre-hire: English proficiency/interview skills (100+ hours) • Internal or outsourced: soft skills (40-80 hours of: accent neutralization, oral fluency and accuracy, culture training, customer service, business writing) ; sales and telemarketing for outbound • Internal: product training (2-6 weeks) – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: English proficiency (oral and written), computer literacy, customer service aptitude • Languages in demand: Spanish, French, Mandarin, Cantonese, Korean, Japanese, etc.Oral and written proficiency a plus (commands salary premium) – Certifications • TESDA Certification for Contact Center Agent (planned) – Others: willingness to work on shifts Team Leader/Supervisor Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 20-35k) – Educational Attainment: same as Agent – Additional Training: same as Agent, Leadership programs; – Work Experience: typically 1-3 years as an agent – Skills/Competencies: supervisory/coaching/leadership skills – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work in shifts; demonstrated managerial maturity Middle Manager Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 50-100k) – Educational Attainment: same as Agent – Additional Training: same as Supervisor; plus Business Management training – Work Experience: typically 2-3 years as supervisors, or 1-2 years as managers – Skills/Competencies: supervisory/coaching/leadership skills; account management skills; project planning and management – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work in shifts; demonstrated managerial maturity Demand Side - Qualitative Total Employees Incremental Growth Growth Rate Historical 2004 2005 64,000 112,000 48,000 75% Factors Exited the Industry (20%) Actual Demand Expected Sources of Labor Pool College Graduates Non-degree Career Shifters 2006 179,200 67,200 60% Forecast 2007 2008 259,800 337,700 80,600 77,900 45% 30% 2009 422,100 84,400 25% 2010 506,500 84,400 20% 35,800 103,000 52,000 132,600 67,500 145,400 84,400 168,800 101,300 185,700 66,950 15,450 20,600 103,000 86,190 19,890 26,520 132,600 94,510 21,810 29,080 145,400 109,720 25,320 33,760 168,800 120,705 27,855 37,140 185,700 Growth is expected to continue, with labor demand peaking at 85,000 per year in 2010. However actual demand in 2010 will be 185,000 due to a large number (20%) of workers exiting the segment each year. Supply Side - Capacity How many graduates are needed? How many graduates with the right degree? How many pass initial screening? How many are interested? What is the forecast shortfall? 2006 66,950 302,914 2007 86,190 314,817 2008 94,510 326,721 2009 109,720 338,626 2010 120,705 350,527 35% 40% 40% 45% 45% 106,020 125,927 130,688 152,382 157,737 42% 42% 45% 50% 60% 44,528 (22,422) 52,889 (33,301) 58,810 (35,700) 76,191 (33,529) 94,642 (26,063) Last year (2005), approximately 45,000 college graduates joined this segment. This year, 67,000 graduates are needed. If this year’s graduate pool is only as good as last year’s, the 2006 shortfall will be 22,000. Shortfalls are also predicted for 2007-2010 unless drastic changes are undertaken to improve screening rates and interest levels. What needs to be done? Career Advocacy to Parents, Students, Career Shifters (to increase interest level) English Proficiency Assessment and Pre-hire Training (to increase passing rate) Life Adaptation Seminars and Lifestyle Support e.g. 24x7 Support Services such as Sports Gyms, Banks, Dental and Health Care, Entertainment (to reduce exit rate) Keyboarding Proficiency Supervisory Skills Training Industry Certification Improved English Faculty/Training in Schools Segment Concerns 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Customer Contact Animation Software Development Medical Transcription Back Office Processing Commission on Information and Communications Technology Animation Industry As of 1st Quarter, 2006 – – – – – Total animation studios in the country: 40 Twenty (20) years in the Philippines Total Full Time Employees: 4,500 Est Revenues in 2005: US$ 54 Million With a Growth Rate in 2005: 38% Capabilities: 2D, 3D Interactive Gaming (PC Gaming & Console Games) Medical Animation Visualization e-Learning Courses Animation Industry Key Players in the Country: Holy Cow! Animation, Artfarm Asia, Digital Exchange, Top Draw Animation, Toei Animation, Top Peg Animation and Creative Studio, Creative Asia,Geebo Digital, Toon City, etc… Flicks Outsourced to the Philippines: Tom & Jerry, The Jetsons, Adams Family, Scooby Do, The Mask, Dragonball Z, Lilo & Stich, The Incredibles, Dexter Laboratories, Power Puff Girls, 1 Piece, etc… Demand Side - Quantitative Total Incremental Growth Rate Historical 2004 2005 3,000 4,500 1,500 50% Factors Exited the Industry (5%) Actual Demand By Type of Skill Entry-level Animators TP/IB Checkers Key/BG Checkers Key Animators Directors Production Managers Production Assistants/Coordinators Trainors Total 100 20 20 20 3 1 2 2 168 60% 12% 12% 12% 1.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 100% 2006 6,800 2,300 50% 2007 9,900 3,100 45% 340 2,640 500 3,600 1,571 314 314 314 47 16 31 31 2,640 2,143 429 429 429 64 21 43 43 3,600 Forecast 2008 13,900 4,000 40% 2009 18,800 4,900 35% 2010 24,400 5,600 30% 700 4,700 940 5,840 1,220 6,820 2,798 560 560 560 84 28 56 56 4,700 3,476 695 695 695 104 35 70 70 5,840 4,060 812 812 812 122 41 81 81 6,820 Demand Side - Qualitative Entry-level Animator Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 8–12k) – Educational Attainment: preferably high school graduate – Additional Training: in-house course for inbetweening, clean-up (3 – 6 months) – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: drawing, reading – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work overtime and under tight deadline pressure Key Animator Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 15–25k) – Educational Attainment: at least high school graduate – Additional Training: enhanced in-betweening – Work Experience: 3-5 yrs experience as inbetweener – Skills/Competencies: advanced inbetweening, storyboard interpretation, character development, communication skills – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work overtime and under tight deadline pressure TP/IB Checker Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 10–12k) – Educational Attainment: preferably high school graduate – Additional Training: n/a – Work Experience: at least 2-3 yrs as painter, in-betweener – Skills/Competencies: interpretation of exposure sheets, instruction sheets – Certifications: n/a – Others: recognized for quality work, willing to work overtime and under tight deadline pressure Key/BG Checker Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 10–12k) – Educational Attainment: preferably high school graduate – Additional Training: n/a – Work Experience: at least 2-3 yrs as painter, in-betweener – Skills/Competencies: storyboard interpretation, communication skills, works well with director, exposure to acting/theater arts, sensitivity to cultural nuances – Certifications: n/a – Others: recognized for quality work, willing to work overtime and under tight deadline pressure Demand Side - Qualitative Director Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 60–100k) – Educational Attainment: n/a – Additional Training: in-house on-the-job training with proficiency exam – Work Experience: 10 years in the media arts, preferably with experience as assistant director – Skills/Competencies: exceptional storytelling skills and ability to interpret script – Certifications: n/a Assistant Director Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 40–60k) – Educational Attainment: n/a – Additional Training: in-house on-the-job training with proficiency exam – Work Experience: 5 years in the media arts, preferably with experience as checker – Skills/Competencies: communication skills, checking skills, knowledge in cinematography – Certifications: n/a Production Manager Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 50– 80k) – Educational Attainment: preferably with college degree in engineering, mass communications, business management – Additional Training: industry seminars on management and supervision – Work Experience: with at least 1 yr experience as production assistant – Skills/Competencies: people management, leadership and communication skills – Certifications: n/a Production Assistant Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 8– 12k) – Educational Attainment: preferably college graduate – Additional Training: in-house training on process (1 month) – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: computer literacy, communication/correspondence skills – Certifications: n/a Demand Side - Qualitative Editor/Compositor Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 20–30k) – Educational Attainment: n/a – Additional Training: use of software editing tools – Work Experience: 2-3 years cinematography and filmmaking – Skills/Competencies: computer literacy, communication skills, knowledge in cinematography and film-making – Certifications: vendor-based Digital Ink-and-Paint Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 8–12k) – Educational Attainment: n/a – Additional Training: use of software tools – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: computer literacy – Certifications: n/a Supply Side - Composition Animators: w hat %age of entry-level animators sourced this year w ill be College animation courses, not necessarily w /degree Fine arts and related courses, not necessarily w /degree Graduates of 3rd party animation course Career shifters, internal training needed Prod Mgrs: w hat %age of production managers sourced this year w ill be Promoted from w ithin, addl training needed Other college degree Fine arts, masscom and related courses, not necessarily w /degree Career shifters, internal training needed 2006 10% 80% 0% 10% 2007 10% 55% 30% 5% 2008 10% 60% 30% 0% 2009 10% 60% 30% 0% 2010 10% 60% 30% 0% 2006 10% 20% 30% 40% 2007 10% 20% 30% 40% 2008 10% 20% 30% 40% 2009 10% 20% 30% 40% 2010 10% 20% 30% 40% Supply Side - Capacity How many graduates with the right degree? How many pass initial screening? How many from 3rd Party Training Schools? What is the total forecast supply? 2006 3,000 2007 3,300 2008 3,630 2009 3,993 2010 4,392 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 750 500 1,250 990 650 1,640 1,271 975 2,246 1,597 1,463 3,060 1,977 2,194 4,170 How many animators are needed? 1,571 2,143 2,798 3,476 4,060 What is the forecast shortfall? (321) (503) (552) (416) 111 Need to increase level of enrollment in animation and multimedia courses through career advocacy Need to increase passing rate by increasing the quality of graduates Supply Side Constraints Content-related Issues – Quality of graduates: will they be acceptable to the industry? – Industry plays a role in checking on final output of the students. Faculty-related Issues – Where to find enough good teachers/trainors? – Mix between trainors of Western style vs. Anime style Facility-related Issues – HW/SW affordability for animation workstations Regulatory Concerns – Knowledgeability of TESDA personnel who assess/certify animation schools – Strict implementation of faculty certification Others – Brain drain (to countries such as India, Singapore, Australia, US) What needs to be done? Short-term – – – – – – – – – Industry checking of students’ final projects (industry/academe) Industry-based curriculum development of schools Tracking of animation training centers & schools Facilities for student projects/simulations Establish ACPI Training & Production Center Capability building of in-house management skills Tracking of skills advancement within the industry Career Advocacy Campaign Conference with TESDA RDs and PDs Medium-term – Trainor Development Program – Benchmarking with international standards e.g. Gobelins Long-term – Reduce “brain drain” Segment Concerns 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Customer Contact Animation Software Development Medical Transcription Back Office Processing Commission on Information and Communications Technology Software Development Industry As of 1st Quarter, 2006 – – – – – Software Development Companies: 300 Total IT professionals: 12,000 Estimated Revenues in 2005: US$ 204M With a Growth Rate for 2005: 20% New Developments: Philippine Software Industry Association (PSIA) 2010 Fly High Program Key Players in the Country: Accenture, Headstrong, Microsoft, IBM Solutions, Jupiter Systems, Oracle, ADTX Solutions, Gurango, Sun Microsystems, Intel Microelectronics, NEC, etc… FLY HIGH: PHILIPPINE SOFTWARE 2010 F L Y H I G H Fifty software development companies aligned with international quality standards Locate operations of 50 foreign software development companies in the Philippines Yes to Brand Philippines Hire 100,000 new software development workers and support improved Recruitment, Retooling and Retention Increase intellectual compliance rate for software by 3% per year Government software investment to increase 10% per year Have the social and physical infrastructure in place to support the industry’s goals Demand Side - Quantitative SW Development - primarily Export SW Development - Domestic & in house Total Incremental Growth Rate (primarily Export) Growth Rate (Domestic & in house) Factors Migration Abroad (5%) Actual Demand Historical 2004 2005 10,000 12,000 21,000 25,000 31,000 37,000 6,000 19% 2006 15,600 31,300 46,900 9,900 30% 25% 2,300 12,200 2007 20,300 40,700 61,000 14,100 30% 30% 3,100 17,200 Forecast 2008 26,400 54,900 81,300 20,300 30% 35% 4,100 24,400 2009 34,300 71,400 105,700 24,400 30% 30% 2010 44,600 92,800 137,400 31,700 30% 30% 5,300 29,700 6,900 38,600 Demand Side - Qualitative Programmer Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 15-20k) – Educational Attainment: College Degree in IT, Math, or Engineering or equivalent Business IT Degree – Additional Training: 6-12 weeks of Internal Training – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: aptitude for programming, analytical skills, communication skills – Certifications: n/a Supply Side - Composition SUPPLY SIDE COMPOSITION Programmers: w hat %age of programmers sourced this year w ill be College grad w ith ICT-related degree, no addl training needed College grad w ith ICT-related degree, internal training needed College grad w ith other degree, internal training needed Career shifters, internal training needed SUPPLY SIDE CAPACITY No. of programmers from ICT-related degree other degree career shifters 2006 5% 50% 35% 10% 100% 2007 5% 50% 35% 10% 100% 2008 10% 40% 35% 15% 100% 2009 10% 40% 35% 15% 100% 2010 10% 40% 35% 15% 100% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 6,710 4,270 1,220 12,200 9,460 6,020 1,720 17,200 12,200 8,540 3,660 24,400 14,850 10,395 4,455 29,700 19,300 13,510 5,790 38,600 Supply Side - Capacity No. of programmers from ICT-related degree from other degree 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Graduates Absorption Rate 42,047 15% 43,700 15% 45,352 20% 47,004 20% 48,657 25% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 58,611 5% 60,914 5% 63,217 10% 65,521 10% 67,823 15% Total Supply 1,220 10,458 1,720 11,321 3,660 19,052 4,455 20,408 5,790 28,128 (403) (1,339) (1,742) (2,905) (2,974) (5,879) (3,130) (2,218) (5,348) (5,449) (3,843) (9,292) (7,136) (3,337) (10,472) from career shifters Surplus/(Shortfall) from ICT-related degree other degree Supply Side Constraints Content-related Issues – Lack of content that covers the entire life cycle, e.g. focused on coding instead of on software engineering, thus necessitating internal training cost of 6-12 weeks Faculty-related Issues – Faculty not updated on latest development theories/techniques; or they lack industry exposure and soft skills Facility-related Issues – Exposure to tools on version management, source code control, etc. – Extra facility for student projects Regulatory Concerns – Local/National Certification is no longer a high-priority area – Market forces currently dictate the kind of certification needed, i.e. internationally-recognized or vendor certification Others – Poaching from abroad especially at experienced/skilled levels – 15% absorption rate, need to increase to 25% What needs to be done? Short-term – Career advocacy programs for career shifters and students/parents (PSIA, DOLE) – Annual skills inventory and job survey (PSIA) Medium-term – Increase absorption rate from colleges • Review syllabi for new IT curriculum for implementation by June 06 and to establish mechanism for continuous review (PSIA, PSITE & CHED/TPITE) • Improve instructor skills (PSIA, PSITE & CHED/TPITE, CICT) • Institute higher screening standards for IT-related degrees (PSIA, CHED) • Industry internships and OJTs (PSIA to develop template/standards) – Incubator facilities for student projects, e.g. Ateneo Wireless Competency Center, CICT Digital Media Arts Lab (CICT, DOST) Long-term – Reduce “brain drain” through incentives (DOF, DOLE) Segment Concerns 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Customer Contact Animation Software Development Medical Transcription Back Office Processing Commission on Information and Communications Technology Medical Transcription Services As of 1st Quarter, 2006 (Medical Transcription) • • • • • • Total MT Firms: 50 Total MT Schools: 13 MT Professionals: 5,500 employed Estimated Revenues in 2005: US$ 70 Million With a Growth Rate for 2005: 80% Performance Level: 98 – 99% accuracy rate, with a turnaround time of 12 to 24 hour Key Players in the Country: – eData Services, SPI Technologies, SVI Corporation, Medscribe Asia, Transkripsyo Inc., Total Transcription Solutions, Inc., Dictation Source, Pilipinas Data Contracts Corporation, etc… Demand Side - Quantitative Total Incremental Growth Rate New Jobs By Type of Skill Transcriptionists Editors Trainors Historical 2004 2005 4,000 5,500 1,500 38% 2006 13,800 8,300 150% 2007 24,800 11,000 80% 6,225 2,075 110 8,250 2,750 46 Forecast 2008 42,200 17,400 70% 13,050 4,350 58 2009 71,700 29,500 70% 2010 114,700 43,000 60% 22,125 7,375 76 32,250 10,750 100 Demand Side - Qualitative Transcriptionist Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 10-12k) – Educational Attainment: college degree – Additional Training: MT course, 3-6 mos. – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: computer literate, proficiency in writing & listening, familiarity with medical terminologies – Certifications:n/a – Others: willing to work in shifts Editor Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 15-20k) – Educational Attainment: college degree (with preference for allied health degrees) – Additional Training: Editor course (usually inhouse) – Work Experience: typically 2-3 years as MT – Skills/Competencies: supervisory/coaching/leadership skills – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work in shifts Facilitator Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 10-15k) – Educational Attainment: college degree – Additional Training: MT course – Work Experience: typically 1-2 years as MT – Skills/Competencies: coaching/leadership/communication skills – Certifications: n/a Lecturer Qualifications (150-450/hour) – Educational Attainment: college degree (medical degree required for medical subjects) – Additional Training: MT and Editor – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: communication skills – Certifications: n/a Supply Side - Composition Transcriptionists: w hat %age sourced this year w ill be Nurses direct from college, internal training needed Nurses w ho graduated from a 3rd party MT course Allied health w ho graduated from a 3rd party MT course Other college grad w ho graduated from a 3rd party MT course Career shifters w ho graduated from a 3rd party MT course Editors: w hat %age of editors sourced this year w ill be Promoted from w ithin, addl training needed Transferred from another MT company 2006 2% 3% 45% 30% 20% 2007 2% 3% 40% 35% 20% 2008 2% 3% 40% 35% 20% 2009 2% 3% 40% 35% 20% 2010 2% 3% 40% 35% 20% 2006 80% 20% 2007 80% 20% 2008 80% 20% 2009 80% 20% 2010 80% 20% Supply Side - Capacity 2006 No. of transcriptionists that can be trained by Internal HR of MTSOs 3rd Party MT Training Schools No. of editors that can be trained by Internal HR of MTSOs 3rd Party MT Training Schools Surplus/(Shortfall) Transcriptionists Editors 2007 2008 2009 2010 7,500 9,800 12,700 16,500 21,500 1,245 750 1,650 980 2,610 1,270 4,425 1,650 6,450 2,150 1,275 (80) 1,550 (120) (5,625) (1,300) (10,750) (2,150) (350) (470) Need to open up large number of MT schools offering entry level courses in order to meet forecast number of graduates this year (7,500). Supply Side Constraints Content-related Issues – For Transcriptionists, industry has standard defined – For Editors, no standard defined Faculty-related Issues – No major issues Facility-related Issues – No major issues Regulatory Concerns – Registration of schools with TESDA esp. in provinces Others What needs to be done? Short-term – Conference with TESDA RDs and PDs – Career Advocacy Campaign (DepEd, CHED, MTIAPI) – Aggressive Marketing of Philippine MT Industry (DTI, DFA, MTIAPI) Medium-term – Assessment and Certification for MTs and Editors (TESDA, MTIAPI) – Self-Regulation of Quality (MTIAPI) Segment Concerns 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Customer Contact Animation Software Development Medical Transcription Back Office Processing Commission on Information and Communications Technology Business Processing (Back Office Operations) As of 1st Quarter, 2006 – – – – No. of Service Providers: 60 Total Full Time Employees: 22,500 Estimated Revenues in 2005: US$ 180 Million With a Growth Rate for 2005: 50% Key Players Captives: AOL, AIG BPSI, Chevron Texaco,HP, HSBC, Procter & Gamble, Flour Daniel, Henkel Financial Services, Deutsche Bank, Citibank Crescent Services, Shell Shared Services, Manulife, Alitalia, Watson Wyatt, etc… Third Party Providers: Accenture, American Data Exchange, SVI Corp, SPI Technologies, DAKSH eServices, The Environments Collaborative, Eximius BPO, BayanTrade Dotcom, etc… Range of Services Current Services: Arising Services: (KPO) - Accounting and bookkeeping - Legal Transcription - Market Research and Analysis - Account maintenance - Litigation Support - Intellectual Property Mgmt - Accounts receivable collection - Content Development - Accounts payable administration - Contract Summarization - Payroll processing - Publishing - Asset management - Travel Services Back Office - Financial analysis and auditing - Loan processing - Inventory control and purchasing - Health Insurance - Expense and revenue reporting - General Insurance - Financial reporting - Sales and marketing - Human resources administration - Tax reporting - Customer Management - Financial leasing - Credit card administration - Transaction management - Factoring and stock brokering - Sourcing and Procurement - Revenue management - Logistics - Transaction processing - Disaster recovery - Business data processing - Business Intelligence - Database management - Network management - Supply chain management - Warehouse and inventory Mgmt Demand Side - Quantitative Total Employment Incremental Growth Rate Historical 2004 2005 15,000 22,500 7,500 50% Factors Exited the Industry (10%) Actual Demand By Type of Skill Human Resources Finance/Accounting - Transaction Finance/Accounting - Complex Engineering ICT Operations General Supervisors Total Workforce to be Developed 30% 35% 5% 12% 9% 5% 4% 100% Forecast 2008 123,900 51,000 70% 2006 40,500 18,000 80% 2007 72,900 32,400 80% 2009 210,600 86,700 70% 2010 337,000 126,400 60% 4,100 22,100 7,300 39,700 12,400 63,400 21,100 107,800 33,700 160,100 6,630 7,735 1,105 2,652 1,989 1,105 884 22,100 11,910 13,895 1,985 4,764 3,573 1,985 1,588 39,700 19,020 22,190 3,170 7,608 5,706 3,170 2,536 63,400 32,340 37,730 5,390 12,936 9,702 5,390 4,312 107,800 48,030 56,035 8,005 19,212 14,409 8,005 6,404 160,100 Demand Side - Qualitative HR Analyst Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 13-18k) – Educational Attainment: mostly HRrelated college degree e.g. Psychology, HR Applications; other degrees such as Industrial Engineering – Additional Training: from 4 – 12 weeks training on industry practices such as compensation and benefits policies, etc. – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: analytical skills, oral and written language proficiency (advanced English), communication skills – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work on shifts Fin Analyst Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 13-18k) – Educational Attainment: mostly Business-related college degree; Accounting preferred for bookkeeping; Political Science, Economics – Additional Training: mostly internal 4 – 12 weeks on specific business processes, e.g. Portfolio Management – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: quantitative/analytical, computer literacy, oral and written language proficiency (advanced English), communication skills – Certifications (not mandatory): Certified Public Accountant, Chartered Financial Analyst (for complex) – Others: willing to work on shifts Demand Side - Qualitative Engineering Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 18-25k) – Educational Attainment: mostly Engineering-related college degree; Business degree also – Additional Training: mostly internal 4 – 12 weeks on specific business processes, e.g. Procurement Management – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: quantitative/analytical, computer literacy, oral and written language proficiency (advanced English), communication and negotiation skills – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work on shifts ICT Operations Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 1318k) – Educational Attainment: mostly ICTrelated college degree; Engineering degree also – Additional Training: 4 – 12 weeks on specific technical operations processes, e.g. Network Administration – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: quantitative/analytical, computer literacy, oral and written language proficiency (advanced English), communication skills, process aptitude – Certifications: Vendor-specific as needed – Others: willing to work on shifts Demand Side - Qualitative Generic Qualifications (Mo. Sal. 12-15k) – Educational Attainment: mostly college degree – Additional Training: 4 – 12 weeks internal – Work Experience: n/a – Skills/Competencies: quantitative/analytical, computer literacy, oral and written language proficiency (advanced English), communication skills – Certifications: n/a – Others: willing to work on shifts Additional Qualifications Languages in demand – Spanish, French, Mandarin, Cantonese, Korean, Japanese, etc. – Oral and written proficiency a plus (commands salary premium) Engineering/Architecture Licenses – Under GATS, mutual recognition allows licensed Filipinos to practice their profession in countries that have cross-certification agreements with the Philippines Supply Side for HR 2006 70% 20% 5% 5% 2007 70% 20% 5% 5% 2008 70% 20% 5% 5% 2009 70% 20% 5% 5% 2010 70% 20% 5% 5% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 16,243 25% 16,881 25% 17,519 25% 18,158 25% 18,796 25% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 128,602 1% 133,655 1% 138,709 1% 143,763 1% 148,816 1% 332 5,678 6,630 596 6,152 11,910 951 6,718 19,020 1,617 7,594 32,340 2,402 8,589 48,030 (1,906) 955 (952) (6,499) 741 (5,758) (12,738) 436 (12,302) (24,567) (179) (24,746) (38,528) (913) (39,441) HR: w hat %age of HR analysts sourced this year w ill be College grad w ith HR-related degree, internal training needed College grad w ith HR-related degree, and 3rd party training College grad w ith other degree, internal training needed Career shifters, internal training needed Source of HR analysts from HR-related degree from other degree from career shifters Total Supply Total Demand Surplus/(Shortfall) from HR-related degree other degree Total Surplus/(Shortfall) Supply Side for Finance/Acctg 2006 70% 20% 10% 2007 70% 20% 10% 2008 70% 20% 10% 2009 70% 20% 10% 2010 70% 20% 10% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 128,602 10% 133,655 10% 138,709 15% 143,763 15% 148,816 20% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 55,752 1% 57,943 2% 60,134 3% 62,325 4% 64,515 5% 884 14,302 8,840 1,588 16,112 15,880 2,536 25,146 25,360 4,312 28,369 43,120 6,404 39,393 64,040 6,672 (1,210) 5,462 2,250 (2,017) 232 3,054 (3,268) (214) (8,620) (6,131) (14,751) (15,065) (9,582) (24,647) FA: w hat %age of Fin/Acctg analysts sourced this year w ill be College grad w ith FA-related degree, internal training needed College grad w ith other degree, internal training needed Career shifters, internal training needed Source of F/A analysts from FA-related degree from other degree from career shifters Total Supply Total Demand Surplus/(Shortfall) from FA-related degree other degree Total Surplus/(Shortfall) Supply Side for Engineering 2006 70% 30% 2007 70% 30% 2008 70% 30% 2009 70% 30% 2010 70% 30% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 55,752 5% 57,943 5% 60,134 7% 62,325 7% 64,515 10% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 128,602 1% 133,655 1% 138,709 2% 143,763 2% 148,816 3% Total Supply Total Demand 4,074 2,652 4,234 4,764 6,984 7,608 7,238 12,936 10,916 19,212 Total Surplus/(Shortfall) 931 490 1,422 (1,116) 492 (624) (4,692) (1,006) (5,698) (6,997) (1,299) (8,296) Eng'g: w hat %age of Eng'g analysts sourced this year w ill be College grad w ith Eng'g-related degree, internal training needed College grad w ith other degree, internal training needed Source of Eng'g analysts from Eng'g-related degree from other degree Surplus/(Shortfall) from Eng'g-related degree other degree (438) (93) (530) Supply Side for ITO 2006 90% 5% 5% 2007 90% 5% 5% 2008 90% 5% 5% 2009 90% 5% 5% 2010 90% 5% 5% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 42,047 5% 43,700 5% 45,352 7% 47,004 7% 48,657 10% Total Graduates Absorption Rate 55,752 1% 57,943 1% 60,134 2% 62,325 2% 64,515 3% Total Supply Total Demand 99 2,759 1,989 179 2,943 3,573 285 4,663 5,706 485 5,022 9,702 720 7,522 14,409 Total Surplus/(Shortfall) 312 458 770 (1,031) 401 (630) (1,961) 917 (1,043) (5,442) 761 (4,680) (8,102) 1,215 (6,887) ITO: w hat %age of ITO analysts sourced this year w ill be College grad w ith ICT-related degree, internal training needed College grad w ith other degree, internal training needed Career shifters, internal training needed Source of ITO analysts from ICT-related degree from other degree from career shifters Surplus/(Shortfall) from ICT-related degree other degree Supply Side Summary HR: Urgent need for HR-related degree F/A, Engineering and IT Operations: Current supply seems adequate for 2006, but as sub-segment matures, this may turn into a shortfall quickly Supply Side Constraints Content-related Issues – Current emphasis on auditing; should be on bookkeeping – Need more exposure to automated systems, e.g. ERP, HRIS Faculty-related Issues – Lack of Faculty proficiency in English which results in subject matter not being taught in English – Teachers must be able to teach automated applications – Brain drain of qualified faculty Facility-related Issues – More automated applications rather than manual ledgers Regulatory Concerns – Strict implementation of English as medium of teaching Others – Reluctance to work night shift – Roughly 25% attrition (10% involuntary, 15% voluntary) What needs to be done? Short-term – Approach of teaching English should shift to ESL (DepEd/CHED, Academic Organizations e.g. COCOPEA, PAPSCU, PASUC) – Advocacy (Industry, Media) • Support “English is Cool” campaign • Career track advocacy to college students • Course of study advocacy to high school students (and parents) – Use of automated transaction systems such as ERP, HRIS (with appropriate faculty retraining) wherein industry partners with academe (COCOPEA, PAPSCU, PASUC w/BPAP) Medium-term – Development of curriculum for specific needs of the BPO industry for entry level and middle-management (CHED, CEDFIT, BPAP) • Separate course focused on bookkeeping and transaction-keeping rather than auditing • Need for industry to establish standards Exhibits 1. 2. 3. 4. Cyberservices Revenue Cyberservices Workforce Forecast Cyberservices Job Generation Breakdown, 2006-2010 Forecast Summary of Tertiary Graduates Commission on Information and Communications Technology Cyberservices Revenue (Estimates in US$ M, based on Workforce Forecast) 2004 920 Customer Contact Growth Back Office 120 Growth Software Development 170 Growth Medical Transcription 42 Growth Animation 39 Growth Engineering Design 17 Growth Other Data Transcription 20 Growth Legal Transcription 2 Growth Digital Content 2 Growth TOTAL 1,332 Growth 2005 1,610 2006 2,580 2007 3,740 2008 4,860 2009 6,080 2010 7,290 75% 60% 45% 30% 25% 20% 180 320 580 990 1,680 2,700 50% 78% 81% 71% 70% 61% 204 265 345 465 604 740 20% 30% 30% 35% 30% 23% 70 150 280 470 800 1,280 67% 114% 87% 68% 70% 60% 54 71 89 125 169 220 38% 31% 25% 40% 35% 30% 26 39 68 109 164 230 53% 50% 74% 60% 50% 40% 31 43 60 85 110 143 55% 39% 40% 42% 29% 30% 3 5 8 12 17 22 50% 67% 60% 50% 42% 29% 6 11 22 45 84 168 200% 83% 100% 105% 87% 100% 2,184 64% 3,484 60% 5,192 49% 7,161 38% 9,708 36% 12,793 32% Source: CICT, BOI, BPAP and its Member Organizations Cyberservices Workforce Forecast (Based on Industry Reports for 2004-2005) 2004 64,000 2005 112,000 2006 179,200 2007 259,800 2008 337,700 2009 422,100 2010 506,500 75% 60% 45% 30% 25% 20% 22,500 40,500 72,900 123,900 210,600 337,000 50% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 12,000 15,600 20,300 26,400 34,300 44,600 20% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 5,500 13,800 24,800 42,200 71,700 114,700 38% 151% 80% 70% 70% 60% 4,500 6,800 9,900 13,900 18,800 24,400 50% 51% 46% 40% 35% 30% 2,800 4,200 6,700 10,700 16,100 22,500 40% 50% 60% 60% 50% 40% 3,000 4,200 5,900 8,300 10,800 14,000 40% 40% 40% 30% 30% 700 1,100 1,700 2,400 3,100 50% 50% 50% 40% 30% 500 1,000 2,000 4,000 8,000 16,000 150% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 163,250 266,000 403,400 568,800 794,800 1,082,800 Growth 62% 63% 52% 41% 40% 36% New Jobs Generated 62,750 43,000 102,750 72,000 137,400 112,000 165,400 141,000 226,000 161,000 288,000 182,000 Customer Contact Growth 15,000 Back Office Growth Software Development 10,000 Growth Medical Transcription 4,000 Growth 3,000 Animation Growth Engineering Design 2,000 Growth Other Data Transcription 2,000 Growth Legal Transcription 300 450 Growth 200 Digital Content Growth TOTAL 100,500 Original Job Gen Targets Source: CICT, BOI, BPAP and its Member Organizations Cyberservices Job Generation Breakdown, 2006-2010 Forecast Customer Contact Back Office Software Development Medical Transcription Animation Engineering Design Other Data Transcription Legal Transcription Digital Content New Jobs Generated 2005 48,000 7,500 2,000 1,500 1,500 800 1,000 150 300 62,750 2006 67,200 18,000 3,600 8,300 2,300 1,400 1,200 250 500 102,750 Source: CICT, BOI, BPAP and its Member Organizations 2007 80,600 32,400 4,700 11,000 3,100 2,500 1,700 400 1,000 137,400 2008 77,900 51,000 6,100 17,400 4,000 4,000 2,400 600 2,000 165,400 2009 84,400 86,700 7,900 29,500 4,900 5,400 2,500 700 4,000 226,000 2010 84,400 126,400 10,300 43,000 5,600 6,400 3,200 700 8,000 288,000 Discipline Group Architectural and Town Planning Business Admin and Related Engineering and Technology Fine and Applied Arts Humanities Law and Jurisprudence Mass Comm and Documentation Mathematics Information Technology Medical and Allied Natural Science Social and Behavioral Science *Total Cyberservices-inclined Other Disciplines Grand Total 2006 3,100 128,602 55,752 1,706 5,954 2,894 6,543 2,859 42,047 31,400 5,814 16,243 302,914 151,904 454,818 Source: Commission on Higher Education Summary of Tertiary Graduates per Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 3,222 3,344 3,466 3,588 3,710 133,655 138,709 143,763 148,816 153,870 57,943 60,134 62,325 64,515 66,706 1,773 1,840 1,907 1,974 2,041 6,188 6,422 6,656 6,890 7,124 3,008 3,122 3,236 3,349 3,463 6,800 7,057 7,314 7,571 7,828 2,971 3,083 3,196 3,308 3,420 43,700 45,352 47,004 48,657 50,309 32,634 33,868 35,102 36,336 37,570 6,042 6,271 6,499 6,727 6,956 16,881 17,519 18,158 18,796 19,434 314,817 326,721 338,626 350,527 362,431 157,874 163,843 169,812 175,783 181,753 472,691 490,564 508,438 526,310 544,184 2012 3,831 158,924 68,897 2,108 7,358 3,577 8,085 3,533 51,961 38,804 7,184 20,072 374,334 187,723 562,057