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Brazil: 2014 Elections Guide
Luiz Cherman
lcherman@itaubba.com
Luiz Felipe Priolli
luiz.carvalho@itaubba.com
Giulia Coelho
giulia.coelho@itaubba.com
*We thank Rodrigo Versolato for creating the maps (rodrigo.faria@itaubba.com)
Contents
1. Who’s the Brazilian Voter? (p.3)
2. Who are the Candidates? (p.9)
3. Rules, Key Dates, Marketing (p.18)
4. Government’s Approval (p. 24)
5. Electoral Polls (p. 34)
2
Who’s the Brazilian Voter?
3
Brazilian Voters Profile
Age
16 - 24 years old
25 - 34 years old
35 - 44 years old
45 - 59 years old
60 years old or more
% of Total
16%
24%
20%
23%
17%
Region
Southeast
South
Northeast
Center West
North
% of Total
43%
15%
27%
7%
8%
Municipality Geography
Capital
Countryside
% of Total
40%
60%
Gender
Male
Female
Source: Datafolha
% of Total
48%
52%
Municipality
Municipality Size
Size
up
up to
to 50k
50k inhabitants
inhabitants
50
50-- 200k
200k inhabitants
inhabitants
200
200-- 500k
500k inhabitants
inhabitants
more
more than
than 500k
500k inhabitants
inhabitants
%
% of
of Total
Total
34%
34%
21%
21%
15%
15%
30%
30%
Occupation
Economic Active Population
Non - Economic Active Population
% of Total
70%
30%
Education
Basic
High School
University Degree
% of Total
41%
43%
17%
Average Income
up to 2 minimum wages
2 - 5 minimum wages
5 - 10 minimum wages
10 or more minimum wages
% of Total
44%
39%
10%
7%
4
The Brazilian Territory
REGIONS
North
Northeast
Center-West
Southeast
South
5
Distribution of Voters
Voters
Number of Voters
30 to 35 million
15 to 20 million
10 to 15 million
5 to 10 million
Less than 5 million
São Paulo
Minas Gerais
Rio de Janeiro
Bahia
Rio Grande do Sul
Paraná
Pernambuco
Ceará
Pará
Santa Catarina
Maranhão
Goiás
Paraíba
Espírito Santo
Piauí
Rio Grande do Norte
Amazonas
Mato Grosso
Alagoas
Distrito Federal
Mato Grosso do Sul
Sergipe
Rondônia
Tocantins
Acre
Amapá
Roraima
Exterior
BRAZIL
May 2014
32,010,639
15,255,801
12,145,232
10,171,955
8,394,928
7,870,700
6,353,380
6,267,122
5,183,944
4,861,654
4,489,279
4,332,655
2,832,737
2,654,579
2,335,488
2,326,903
2,225,703
2,190,511
1,991,717
1,898,267
1,819,048
1,449,817
1,127,413
994,942
506,991
455,195
299,943
337,452
142,783,995
6
Income and Job Creation by State
Per Capita GDP (BRL)*
Job Creation by State in 2014**
BRL 30,000 to 35,000
BRL 25,000 to 30,000
BRL 20,000 to 25,000
BRL 15,000 to 20,000
BRL 5,000 to 15,000
* Numbers of 2011, the latest available.
** Net formal job creation over the last 12months up to May 2014 as percentage of the local total population
1.0% to 1.8%
0.8% to 1.0%
0.5% to 0.8%
0.0% to 0.5%
-0.4% to 0.0%
7
2010 Election: Results (Second Round)
Distribution by geographic region
Dilma Rousseff (PT)
José Serra (PSDB)
Total votes:
does not exclude
abstention/blank/
null
Total votes:
does not exclude
abstention/blank/null
40% to 45%
35% to 40%
30% to 35%
20% to 30%
41% to 51%
38% to 41%
35% to 38%
Region
Southeast
Northeast
South
North
Center-West
TOTAL
Voters (2010)
58,911,335
36,704,580
20,242,748
9,980,673
9,688,247
135,527,583
2010 Elections – Second Round
Dilma (%)
Serra (%)
Blank (%)
38%
35%
2%
50%
21%
2%
36%
42%
2%
40%
30%
1%
36%
37%
2%
41%
32%
2%
Null (%)
4%
4%
2%
2%
3%
3%
Abstention (%)
20%
24%
18%
26%
23%
21%
Regions Won by:
Serra (PSDB)
Dilma (PT)
8
Who are the candidates?
9
Candidates List
1. Dilma Rousseff
2. Aécio Neves
3. Eduardo Campos
4. Pastor Everaldo
5. Luciana Genro
6. Eduardo Jorge
7. Eymael
8. Levy Fidelix
9. Mauro Iasi
10. Rui Costa Pimenta
11. José Maria
10
Dilma Rousseff – Workers Party (PT)
Summary
Having started her political career in the PDT party, Dilma Rousseff later moved to the PT party, having
reached the positions of minister of Energy and Chief of Staff in Lula’s administration. In 2010, with his
support, she was elected president of the Republic and now runs for reelection.
Place and date of birth
Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais (December 14, 1947)
Political Background - highlights
Municipal Finance Secretary - Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul (1986-88)
Secretary of Mines and Energy - Rio Grande do Sul (1993-94; 1999-02)
Minister of Mines and Energy (2002-05), Federal Chief of Staff (2005-09)
President of the Republic (since 2010)
Academic Background
B.A. in Economics at Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul
Unfinished PhD in Economics at University of Campinas
Political parties
PDT – Democratic Labor Party (1980-2001)
PT – Workers Party (since 2001)
11
Aécio Neves - Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB)
Summary
Brought into politics by his grandfather Tancredo Neves, who was the first president elected after
democracy was reestablished (1985) but died shortly before taking power, Aécio Neves was twice
governor of the sourtheastern state of Minas Gerais. He is from the PSDB, the same party of former
president Fernando Henrique Cardoso (1995-2002). Having initially been considered one of the possible
candidates for the 2010 presidential elections, he ended up winning a seat in the Senate, his current
position.
Place and date of birth
Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais (March 10, 1960)
Political Background - highlights
Federal lawmaker by Minas Gerais (1987-2002)
President of the Lower House (2001-2002)
Governor of the State of Minas Gerais (2003-2006, 2007-2010)
Senator by Minas Gerais (Since 2011)
Academic Background
B.A. in Economics at Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais
Political parties
PMDB – Brazilian Democratic Mobilization Party (1987-1989)
PSDB – Brazilian Social Democratic Party (since 1989)
12
Eduardo Campos - Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)
Summary
Grandson of politician Miguel Arraes, Eduardo Campos left his position as governor of the northeastern
state of Pernambuco to run in the presidential elections. He has been Minister of Science and
Technology of the Lula Administration between 2004 and 2005 and his party, the PSB, was until recently
part of the federal government coalition. His vice-presidential candidate is Marina Silva, who reached
third place in the last presidential elections with 19.3% of the votes.
Place and date of birth
Recife, Pernambuco (August 10, 1965)
Political Background - highlights
State lawmaker in Pernambuco (1991-1995)
Federal lawmaker by Pernambuco (1995-99, 1999-07)
Secretary of Government of Pernambuco (1995-1996)
Secretary of Finance of Pernambuco (1996-1997)
Minister of Science and Technology (2004-2005)
Governor of of Pernambuco (2007-2010, 2011-2014)
Academic Background
B.A. in Economics at Federal University of Pernambuco
Political parties
PSB – Brazilian Socialist Party (since 1990)
13
Everaldo Pereira
Social Christian Party - PSC
A minister at the evangelical church Assembleia de Deus, Everaldo
Pereira joined the Social Christian Party in 2003, which rapidly grew to
12 seats in the Lower House. Everaldo Pereira has been
undersecretary of the Chief of Staff in Anthony Garotinho’s
government in Rio de Janeiro (1999-2002). He is 56 years old and has
a degree in Actuarial Sciences.
Luciana Genro
Socialism and Freedom Party - PSOL
Luciana Genro helped found the Socialism and Freedom
Party in 2003, after 18 years in the Workers Party. Luciana
was twice federal and twice state lawmaker from Rio
Grande do Sul. She is 43 years old and works in a law
firm. Her father is Rio Grande do Sul’s governor Tarso
Genro, from the Workers Party. The PSOL has 3 seats in
the Lower House.
14
Eduardo Jorge
Green Party - PV
Eduardo Jorge was Environment Secretary of São Paulo in 2005-2012 and
Health Secretary in 1989-90 and 2001-02. Before joining the Green Party in
2003 (which has 8 seats in the Lower House), Eduardo Jorge was at the
Workers Party, having been elected federal lawmaker several times. He
graduated in Medicine and is a government employee in the Public Health
sector. He is 64 years old.
José Maria Eymael
Social Democrat Christian Party - PSDC
José Maria Eymael has been all his career in the Social Democrat
Christian Party, which has one seat in the Lower House. He was federal
lawmaker twice by the state of São Paulo (1986-1994) and was three
times presidential candidate. Born in Rio Grande do Sul, Eymael, who is
also a tax lawyer, is 74 years old.
15
Levy Fidelix
Brazilian Labor Renewal Party - PRTB
Levy Fidelix is the founder of the Brazilian Labor Renewal Party, which
has no seat in Congress. Fidelix developed his career in journalism and
media, having graduated in communication studies. Now 62 years old,
he has been candidate in several elections, including twice for
president, but never managed to be elected.
Mauro Iasi
Brazilian Communist Party - PCB
Mauro Iasi is a Professor at the School of Social Service of
the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. He is 54 years old
and was candidate for vice-governor of Rio de Janeiro in
2006. The Brazilian Communist Party does not have a seat in
Congress.
16
Rui Costa Pimenta
Party of the Workers Cause – PCO
Rui Pimenta ran for president in 2002 and 2010. He is one
of the founders of the Workers Party, which he left in 1995
to found the PCO, a party with no seat in Congress. He
graduated in journalism and is the editor of the Workers
Cause magazine.
José “Zé” Maria
Unified Socialist Workers Party – PSTU
A union leader and former metal worker, Zé Maria helped found the
Unified Socialist Workers Party (PSTU) in 1994. Before that, he was a
member of the Workers Party. He is 56 years old and ran for
president three times. The PSTU has no seat in Congress.
17
Rules, Key Dates, Marketing
18
Rules of the Game
•
First round is on October 5. A candidate wins if he/she has more than 50% of valid
votes (excluding blank and null).
•
Otherwise, the two most voted go to a run-off on October 26. The most voted wins.
•
Voting is compulsory between ages 18 and 70.
•
Voting is optional for illiterate citizens, 16, 17 and 70+ years old.
•
All ballots are electronic.
•
Paid advertisement is forbidden. All candidates will have a specified time on the
free TV and radio electoral programs. Distribution of time between them will be
proportional to the candidate’s supporting coalition.
•
TV and radio debates are allowed. The first one is scheduled for August 21.
•
Any candidate can renounce and be substituted. Deadline is 20 days before the
first round.
19
Key Dates
July 6: The campaign is on ! Coalitions
can start marketing their candidates,
ask for votes, organize party rallies.
August 6: First official report detailing the
funding and expenses estimated for the
campaigns.
August 19: Beginning of the public
financed TV and radio programs.
August 21: First candidates debate on TV.
September 6: Second report detailing
the funding and expenses estimated
for the campaigns.
August
September
July
September 15: Last day for candidates
to resign and be substituted.
October
October 2: Last day for TV
and radio debates between
candidates.
October 3: Last day of the
public financed TV and
radio programs.
October 5:
ELECTION DAY (First Round*)
Start: 8:00 am
End: 5:00 pm
* Voting count starts after 5 pm.
(All Brazilian ballots are eletronic)
October 6: Coalitions can
start
marketing
their
candidates for the run-off.
October 11: Beginning of the
public financed TV and radio
programs.
October 24: Last day for
debates and public financed
TV and radio programs.
October 26:
ELECTION DAY (Second Round)
Start: 8:00 am
End: 5:00 pm
* Voting count starts after 5 pm.
(All Brazilian ballots are eletronic)
* A candidate wins in the first round if he/she has more than 50% of valid votes (i.e.: excluding null and blank). Otherwise, the two most voted go to a run-off.
20
TV and Radio Electoral Programs
•
The first round TV and Radio programs will run through August 19 to October 2.
•
Programs for the presidential election will be of two types:
•
A large 25-minute program aired three times a week, twice per day
•
Smaller daily insertions spread throughout the day
Large Programs - 25 minutes
Tuesday,
Thursday,
Saturday
Media
Radio
TV
First
Second
7:00 AM 12:00 PM
1:00 PM 8:30 PM
+
Daily Insertions of
15 seconds to 1 minute
Total per day = 6 minutes
•
1/3 of the time will be equally divided among the presidential candidates
•
2/3 of the time will be proportional to the candidate’s coalition in the Lower House
21
How Would One 25-minute Program Look Like?
This is an estimate released by the Electoral Court.
The final distribution has not been released yet.
Candidate
Total Time on TV
(min:sec)
% of Total
Time
Dilma Rousseff
Aécio Neves
Eduardo Campos
Pastor Everaldo
Eduardo Jorge
Luciana Genro
Eymael
Rui Costa Pimenta
Mauro Iasi
Levy Fidelix
José Maria
Total (All Candidates)
11:48
04:31
01:49
01:08
01:01
00:51
00:47
00:45
00:45
00:45
00:45
25:00
47.2%
18.1%
7.3%
4.5%
4.1%
3.4%
3.1%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
100%
22
What Happens if there is a Second Round?
•
In the second round, the time is distributed evenly between the two candidates.
•
Each presidential candidate will have 10 minutes in a 20-minute program aired
daily, twice per day.
Large Programs - 20 minutes
Media
Daily
Radio
TV
First
Second
7:00 AM 12:00 PM
1:00 PM 8:30 PM
23
Government’s Approval
24
Government’s Approval Rate
Datafolha
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
1-Mar-13
65
7-Jun-13
57
21-Feb-14
41
29-Nov-13
41
9-Aug-13
36
11-Oct-13
38
3-Apr-14
36
28-Jun-13
30
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
3-Jul-14
35
9-May-14
35
5-Jun-14
33
May-14
Jul-14
IBOPE
60
19-Jun-13
55
55
50
2-Dec-13
43
45
19-Aug-13
17-Sep-13
38
37
40
21-Feb-14
39
20-Mar-14
17-Apr-14
36
34
21-Oct-13
38
11-Nov-13
39
35
30
22-May-14
35
14-Jul-13
31
10-Jun-14
31
25
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
19-Jun-14
31
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
25
Seasonal Government’s Approval Rate
Datafolha: Government approval in the 12 months prior to elections
90
2010: Lula
80
83
70
60
53
2006:Lula
50
40
40
35,0
1998: Fernando
Henrique
30
26 2002: Fernando
Henrique
20
2014: Dilma
10
0
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
26
Government’s Approval
CNI/IBOPE
Comparison Between Dilma’s and
Lula’s Governments
Dilma’s Government Evaluation
64
62
62
57
59
57
56
61
60
63
58
57
59
57
57
55
56
55
49
51
46
48
46
44
45
43
44
39
42
37
36
34
34
32
32
29
29
29
27
37
35
31
36
28
34
28
26
33
31
31
23
25
24
22
27
22
12
12
13
4
15
20
13
4
3
8
2
8
1
15
21
20
16
16
18
12
11
11
9
42
36
34
32
42
19
13
18
7
7
1
1
1
11
1
1
1
1
1
4
11
10
12
7
14
4
1
3
2
2
3
1
1
2
2
3
1
1
9
2
5
Great/Good
Regular
Bad/Horrible
Did not answer
Same
Worse
Better
Did not Answer
27
Government’s Approval
CNI/IBOPE
Dilma’s Way of Governing
77
73
71
77
77
78
Confidence in Dilma
79
74
72
72
71
68
67
72
73
73
75
68
67
65
54
56
51
49
43
50
50
52
45
47
43
40
29
36
26
25
21
21
19
18
18
17
17
8
8
7
Approves
5
5
4
5
5
Disapproves
26
41
41
28
24
25
3
3
22
22
4
5
22
16
14
12
52
48
44
45
25
52
4
6
6
7
6
6
6
6
6
10
Did not answer
Trust
Do not Trust
3
5
5
5
7
5
7
Did not Answer
28
Government’s Approval – By Area
CNI/IBOPE
Public Security
76
74
68
65
59
60
61
75
Policies Against Hunger and
Poverty
70
66
67
61
61
57
57
59
59
56
60
62
64
60
57
51
49
53
48
40
44
40
37
35
35
38
39
37
38
37
36
33
38
47
49
53
41
45
34
35
32
30
32
31
27
24
7
3
3
4
Approves
5
3
3
1
Disapproves
2
2
2
22
3
Did not Answer
2
21
4
6
3
3
5
Approves
5
5
6
3
2
Disapproves
2
2
2
3
3
Did not Answer
29
Government’s Approval – By Area
CNI/IBOPE
Education
Health
77
74
69
65
52
52
51
49
65
51
50
51
46
47
44
47
47
47
44
66
65
67
66
32
32
78
72
67
53
58
43
45
67
63
56
54
51
77
67
41
43
34
39
28
33
32
30
31
30
33
26
25
30
21
19
21
5
2
3
5
Approves
4
2
2
2
Disapproves
2
2
2
3
Did not Answer
2
4
6
2
3
4
Approves
3
3
2
1
Disapproves
1
2
1
2
2
3
Did not Answer
30
Government’s Approval – By Area
CNI/IBOPE
Taxes
Interest Rates
77
73
71
77
69
66
66
65
65
61
73
71
64
70
63
60
59
57
56
53
65
55
54
49
43
38
36
31
25
27
26
43
50
41
42
39
36
32
31
30
28
41
49
51
33
33
29
28
24
21
18
22
9
11
6
6
Approves
8
8
6
5
Disapproves
5
5
5
23
15
8
5
Did not Answer
5
21
14
8
9
11
Approves
12
10
8
8
Disapproves
8
7
6
7
9
6
Did not Answer
31
Government’s Approval – By Area
CNI/IBOPE
Unemployment Policy
Inflation Policy
68
71
58
57
53
53
56
57
53
56
52
50
49
57
49
57
57
55
52
57
48
50
42
42
42
45
40
41
47
40
37
35
47
42
40
38
38
46
39
63
50
47
45
47
50
71
48
45
45
38
42
39
31
24
21
27
4
5
5
6
5
4
3
3
3
4
4
6
3
6
7
9
10
8
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
7
7
Approves
Disapproves
Did not Answer
Approves
Disapproves
Did not Answer
32
Government’s Approval – By Area
CNI/IBOPE
Environment
57
54
55
54
53
52
55
54
52
54
52
48
47
42
42
38
44
37
36
47
40
52
41
39
37
36
37
41
11
8
10
8
6
9
8
5
Approves
5
Disapproves
6
6
7
6
5
Did not Answer
33
Electoral Poll Results
34
Voting Intentions – First Round
Datafolha
IBOPE
44,0
40,0
40,0
38,0
37,0
39,0
38,0
38,0
37,0
34,0
24,00
24,00
22,0
20,0
21,0
19,0
20,0
16,0
13,0
14,0
14,00
13,00
13,00
11,0
12,0
6,0
13,0
6,0
10,0
9,0
13,0
10,0
7,07,0
4,0
4,0
4,0
20-Mar-14
17-Apr-14
22-May-14
8,0
16,0
9,0
19-Jun-14
11,0
9,0
7,0
21-Feb-14
6,0
03-Apr-14
19,0
20,0
16,0
8,0
5,0
10-Jun-14
10,0
20,0
17,0
13,0
11,0
9,0
13,0
10,0
9,0
7,0
09-May-14
7,0
05-Jun-14
03-Jul-14
35
Voting Intentions – Second Round
Datafolha
Dilma Rousseff vs Eduardo Campos
Dilma Rousseff vs Aécio Neves
58,0
57,0
54,0
55,0
54,0
54,0
51,0
50,0
49,0
47,0
46,0
46,0
38,0
39,0
47,0
36,0
31,0
35,0
31,0
27,0
28,0
27,0
12,0
16,0
12,0
12,0
6,0
4,0
4,0
4,0
4,0
13,0
11,0
10,0
5,0
5,0
11-Oct-13 29-Nov-13 21-Feb-14 03-Apr-14 09-May-14 05-Jun-14 03-Jul-14
5,0
32,0
32,0
13,0
14,0
5,0
6,0
27,0
22,0
16,0
48,0
15,0
5,0
23,0
17,0
4,0
17,0
5,0
12,0
6,0
11-Oct-13 29-Nov-13 21-Feb-14 03-Apr-14 09-May-14 05-Jun-14 03-Jul-14
36
Voting Intentions – Second Round
IBOPE
Dilma Rousseff vs Eduardo Campos
Dilma Rousseff vs Aécio Neves
47,0
47,0
43,0
43,0
42,0
43,0
44,0
42,0
43,0
41,0
33,0
30,0
25,0
30,0
28,00
26,0
26,00
24,0
22,0
20,0
22,0
24,0
20,0
9,0
27,0
25
9,0
19,0
10,0
8,0
16,0
11,0
17-Apr-14
22-May-14
10-Jun-14
19-Jun-14
11,0
12,0
8,0
20-Mar-14
21
17,0
5,0
20-Mar-14
21
17-Apr-14
22-May-14
10-Jun-14
9,0
19-Jun-14
37
Voting Intentions – By Region
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
03-Jul-14
Region
Northeast
Southeast
South
North
Center West
TOTAL
% share of region
in Brazilian voters
27%
43%
15%
8%
7%
100%
Dilma
Rousseff
Aécio Neves Blank/Null
Undecided
% votes
% votes
% votes
% votes
66%
36%
39%
54%
41%
46%
21%
48%
43%
34%
47%
39%
10%
12%
9%
7%
7%
10%
3%
4%
10%
5%
4%
5%
38
Voting Intentions – By Region
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
Northeast - 27% of Total
63
65
Southeast - 43% of Total
66
48
44
45
40
36
24
22
21
11
10
10
2
3
3
May
June
July
36
13
14
4
5
4
May
June
July
12
39
Voting Intentions – By Region
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
North - 8% of Total
South - 15% of Total
61
56
43
43
40
39
54
39
37
32
34
27
13
9
10
8
9
11
May
June
July
8
8
7
5
4
5
May
June
July
40
Voting Intentions – By Region
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
Center West 7% of Total
47
45
43
43
41
39
11
9
7
6
4
May
4
June
July
41
2014 Election: Voting Intentions (Second Round)
Distribution by geographic region – Datafolha Poll July 3, 2014
Dilma Rousseff (PT)
55% to 70%
45% to 55%
35% to 45%
Aécio Neves (PSDB)
45% to 50%
40% to 45%
30% to 40%
20% to 30%
42
Voting Intentions – By municipality size
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
03-Jul-14
Population
Up to 50k inhabitants
50k - 200k inhabitants
200k - 500k inhabitants
More than 500k inhabitants
TOTAL
% share in
Brazilian voters
34%
21%
15%
30%
100%
Dilma
Rousseff
Aécio Neves Blank/Null
Undecided
% votes
% votes
% votes
% votes
57%
46%
34%
40%
46%
32%
37%
45%
45%
39%
7%
12%
14%
10%
10%
5%
5%
7%
4%
5%
43
Voting Intentions – By municipality size
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
Up to 50k - 34% of Total
50k to 200k- 21% of Total
50
49
47
46
38
37
37
10
11
12
5
4
5
5
April
May
June
July
62
57
53
53
32
33
31
32
23
13
12
8
3
April
8
7
7
May
June
7
5
July
44
Voting Intentions – By municipality size
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
200k to 500k - 15% of Total
42
42
43
500k or more- 30% of Total
45
42
45
44
40
43
38
40
40
34
35
40
37
20
17
14
15
14
16
11
10
7
3
April
4
May
3
June
July
3
April
3
May
4
4
June
July
45
Voting Intentions – By income
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
03-Jul-14
Income
Up to 2 minimum wages
2 - 5 minimum wages
5 - 10 minimum wages
10 or more minimum wages
TOTAL
*Minimum Wage: R$ 740.00 (US$ 326.00)
% share in
Brazilian voters
44%
39%
10%
7%
100%
Dilma
Rousseff
Aécio Neves Blank/Null
Undecided
% votes
% votes
% votes
% votes
55%
42%
34%
38%
46%
30%
43%
55%
54%
39%
10%
11%
10%
7%
10%
6%
5%
1%
1%
5%
46
Voting Intentions – By income
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
2 to 5 minimum wages
39% of Total
Up to 2 minimum wages
44% of Total
43
61
43
36
55
56
29
28
44
43
41
42
11
11
39
55
30
18
22
14
13
10
4
April
10
10
6
6
6
May
June
July
4
4
5
3
April
May
June
July
47
Voting Intentions – By income
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
More than 10 minium wages
7% of Total
5 to 10 minimum wages
10% of Total
55
52
55
54
51
51
48
43
40
38
34
35
37
27
38
34
17
17
10
3
4
April
May
12
3
June
10
10
10
7
1
1
2
1
1
July
April
May
June
July
48
Voting Intentions – By education level
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
03-Jul-14
Education
Basic
High School
University Degree
TOTAL
% share in
Brazilian voters
41%
43%
17%
100%
Dilma
Rousseff
Aécio Neves
Blank/Null
Undecided
% votes
% votes
% votes
% votes
57%
42%
31%
46%
28%
43%
54%
39%
9%
11%
12%
10%
6%
4%
4%
5%
49
Voting Intentions – By education level
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
High School - 43% of Total
Basic education - 41% of Total
60
55
55
57
48
44
43
37
46
30
29
40
42
28
24
33
17
11
6
April
12
9
9
9
6
7
6
May
June
July
3
April
12
11
5
4
4
May
June
July
50
Voting Intentions – By education level
Datafolha
Second Round: Dilma Rousseff vs. Aécio Neves
University - 17% of Total
54
51
48
43
33
22
34
16
2
April
32
14
31
12
3
3
4
May
June
July
51
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