The Cyton Model of the adaptive immune response, part I
Transcription
The Cyton Model of the adaptive immune response, part I
The Cyton Model of the adaptive immune response, part I Ken Duffy Hamilton Institute, National University of Ireland Maynooth I2M Network Summer School, 31st Aug. 2009 Talk objectives 1st talk: Introduce and motivate the Cyton Model of the adaptive immune response. 2nd talk: Show how branching processes can be used to develop an analysis of it. Part I: introduce and motivate the Cyton Model • The Cyton Model is a consequence of 10+ years of feedback between experiment design and model refinement by members of the Hodgkin Lab. (now at the Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research). Part I: introduce and motivate the Cyton Model • The Cyton Model is a consequence of 10+ years of feedback between experiment design and model refinement by members of the Hodgkin Lab. (now at the Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research). • This work provides a good example of the scientific method, illustrating a case where theory and experiment design develop in tandem. Part I: introduce and motivate the Cyton Model • The Cyton Model is a consequence of 10+ years of feedback between experiment design and model refinement by members of the Hodgkin Lab. (now at the Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research). • This work provides a good example of the scientific method, illustrating a case where theory and experiment design develop in tandem. Cue streptococcal throat video. Our initial interest is in studying lymphocyte population dynamics. Humoral Immune Response B-lymphocytes stimulated by CpG DNA1 200000 Population size 150000 100000 50000 0 0 50 100 150 200 Time (Hours) Linear Scale 1 M. L. Turner, E. D. Hawkins and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 181(1):374–382, 2008. (in vitro) Humoral Immune Response B-lymphocytes stimulated by CpG DNA1 200000 100000 Population size Population size 150000 100000 10000 50000 0 0 50 100 Time (Hours) Linear Scale 1 150 200 0 50 100 150 Time (Hours) Log Scale M. L. Turner, E. D. Hawkins and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 181(1):374–382, 2008. (in vitro) 200 Humoral Immune Response B-lymphocytes stimulated by CpG DNA1 200000 100000 Population size Population size 150000 100000 10000 50000 0 0 50 100 Time (Hours) Linear Scale 150 200 0 50 100 150 Time (Hours) Log Scale No action; proliferation through cell division; death by apoptosis. 1 M. L. Turner, E. D. Hawkins and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 181(1):374–382, 2008. (in vitro) 200 Cell Mediated Immune Response CD8+ T cells infected with lymphocytic choriomeningitis virus2 1.4x107 1.2x107 Population size 1x107 8x106 6x106 4x106 2x106 0 0 100 200 300 400 Time (Hours) Linear Scale 2 D. Homann, L. Teyton and M. B. A. Oldstone. Nature Medicine, 7:913–919, 2001. (in vivo) Cell Mediated Immune Response CD8+ T cells infected with lymphocytic choriomeningitis virus2 1.4x107 1x107 1.2x107 8x10 Population size Population size 1x107 6 6x106 1x106 100000 4x106 10000 2x106 0 0 100 200 Time (Hours) Linear Scale 2 300 400 0 100 200 Time (Hours) Log Scale D. Homann, L. Teyton and M. B. A. Oldstone. Nature Medicine, 7:913–919, 2001. (in vivo) 300 400 Cell Mediated Immune Response CD8+ T cells infected with lymphocytic choriomeningitis virus2 1.4x107 1x107 1.2x107 8x10 Population size Population size 1x107 6 6x106 1x106 100000 4x106 10000 2x106 0 0 100 200 Time (Hours) Linear Scale 300 400 0 100 200 300 Time (Hours) Log Scale No action; proliferation through cell division; death by apoptosis. 2 D. Homann, L. Teyton and M. B. A. Oldstone. Nature Medicine, 7:913–919, 2001. (in vivo) 400 Flow cytometry Flow cytometry Possibility of division linked behavior CFSE3 : an important flow cytometry dye 3 A. B. Lyons and C. R. Parish. Journal of Immunological Methods, 1(1):131–137, 1994. Multi-colour flow cytometry CD40L+IL-4 CD40L+IL-4+IL-5 Syndecan-14 & CFSE5 4 Hasbold J, Corcoran LM, Tarlinton DM, Tangye SG, Hodgkin PD. Nature Immunology, 5(1):55-63, 2004. 5 Courtesy of N. Taubenheim Multi-colour flow cytometry CD40L+IL-4 CD40L+IL-4+IL-5 B220 & CFSE5 5 Courtesy of N. Taubenheim How do we explain this? CFSE time-courses and the cohort method6 “A cellular calculus for signal integration by T cells”. CD 4+ T cells. Anti-CD3 stimulation in presence of saturated IL-2. 6 A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin, Nature Immunology, 1 (3) 239-244, 2000 Three parameter model Average time to first division: µ. Standard deviation time to first division: σ. Average time for subsequent division: b. Three parameter model Average time to first division: µ. Standard deviation time to first division: σ. Average time for subsequent division: b. • Final point substantiated by fluorescent-activated cell sorting. Three parameter model Average time to first division: µ. Standard deviation time to first division: σ. Average time for subsequent division: b. • Final point substantiated by fluorescent-activated cell sorting. • Cells in a particular division assumed to constitute a “cohort” that entered first division at roughly the same time. Three parameter model Average time to first division: µ. Standard deviation time to first division: σ. Average time for subsequent division: b. • Final point substantiated by fluorescent-activated cell sorting. • Cells in a particular division assumed to constitute a “cohort” that entered first division at roughly the same time. • Scaling by 2div. no. corrects for expansion of this cohort due to division (assuming no death). Deductions from the three parameter model • Adding anti-CD28 results in a decrease in µ, but doesn’t affect σ or b. Deductions from the three parameter model • Adding anti-CD28 results in a decrease in µ, but doesn’t affect σ or b. • Adding IL-4 significantly reduced all three parameters. Deductions from the three parameter model • Adding anti-CD28 results in a decrease in µ, but doesn’t affect σ or b. • Adding IL-4 significantly reduced all three parameters. • Adding IL-12 doesn’t affect parameters, but modulates initial cell survival. Deductions from the three parameter model • Adding anti-CD28 and IL-4, results matched a the model with a linear addition of the affects of each stimulus, suggesting independent, additive regulation. Deductions from the three parameter model • Adding anti-CD28 and IL-4, results matched a the model with a linear addition of the affects of each stimulus, suggesting independent, additive regulation. • Without a term for death, relative numbers are accurate, but absolute numbers are over-estimates. Add an exponential death rate for zeroth division cells, with the rate deduced from death in an IL-2 only experiment. Warning on death and the Poisson approximation Ladislaus von Bortkewitsch (1898): Number of Prussian soldiers killed each year as a result of being kicked by horses follows a Poisson distribution. 7 D. Daley & D. Vere-Jones, §11.2 of An introduction to the theory of point processes Vol. II, Springer, 2008 Warning on death and the Poisson approximation Ladislaus von Bortkewitsch (1898): Number of Prussian soldiers killed each year as a result of being kicked by horses follows a Poisson distribution. Exponential decay in numbers does not imply exponentially distributed event times. 7 D. Daley & D. Vere-Jones, §11.2 of An introduction to the theory of point processes Vol. II, Springer, 2008 Warning on death and the Poisson approximation Ladislaus von Bortkewitsch (1898): Number of Prussian soldiers killed each year as a result of being kicked by horses follows a Poisson distribution. Exponential decay in numbers does not imply exponentially distributed event times. T1 7 T2 T3 D. Daley & D. Vere-Jones, §11.2 of An introduction to the theory of point processes Vol. II, Springer, 2008 Warning on death and the Poisson approximation Ladislaus von Bortkewitsch (1898): Number of Prussian soldiers killed each year as a result of being kicked by horses follows a Poisson distribution. Exponential decay in numbers does not imply exponentially distributed event times. T1 T2 T3 Superposition of n independent, finite intensity, point processes with time dilation n results in weak convergence to a Poisson process7 . That is: {Tn } is i.i.d. exponential in this limit. 7 D. Daley & D. Vere-Jones, §11.2 of An introduction to the theory of point processes Vol. II, Springer, 2008 Understanding the impact of IL-2 concentration8 CD4+ T-cells stimulated with anti-CD3 in the presence of IL-2 mAb (S4B6) and hIL-2 (resistant to inhibitory effects of S4B6). 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Understanding the impact of IL-2 concentration8 Effect of increased IL-2 could be explained by: 1. Decrease in time to first division. 2. A decrease in time to subsequent division. 3. A combination of the two. 4. Could also impact upon the proportion of cells entering division. 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Understanding the impact of IL-2 concentration8 Effect of increased IL-2 could be explained by: 1. Decrease in time to first division. 2. A decrease in time to subsequent division. 3. A combination of the two. 4. Could also impact upon the proportion of cells entering division. 3 parameter model suggests that IL-2 concentration does not alter average time to first division, while exerting a profound affect on the subsequent division rate. 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Time to first division - the colecimid method Colecimid inhibits cells in metaphase of their cell cycle, so that they are able to replicate their DNA but not undergo cell division. DNA replication is only possible for cells entering their first division. Six parameter model to predict cell numbers 8 At low IL-2 concentrations, large number of dead cells are observed • Log-normal time to first division - 2 parameters. 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Six parameter model to predict cell numbers 8 At low IL-2 concentrations, large number of dead cells are observed • Log-normal time to first division - 2 parameters. • Precursor frequency for zeroth division. • Death rate (exponential) in zeroth division. 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Six parameter model to predict cell numbers 8 At low IL-2 concentrations, large number of dead cells are observed • Log-normal time to first division - 2 parameters. • Precursor frequency for zeroth division. • Death rate (exponential) in zeroth division. • Constant time for subsequent division. 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Six parameter model to predict cell numbers 8 At low IL-2 concentrations, large number of dead cells are observed • Log-normal time to first division - 2 parameters. • Precursor frequency for zeroth division. • Death rate (exponential) in zeroth division. • Constant time for subsequent division. • Proportion of cells dying per subsequent division. 8 E. K. Deenick, A. V. Gett and P. D. Hodgkin. Journal of Immunology, 170(10):4963–4972, 2003. Parameter constraint IL-2 doesn’t affect zeroth generation death rate. Impact of IL-2 IL-2 changes: p, d, b. A 30-50% change in parameters results in a 10-fold increase in final total numbers. Dangers of deductions from under-parameterized models • The three parameter model: adding anti-CD28 results in a decrease in µ, but doesn’t affect σ or b. 9 E. Dennick, Ph.D. Thesis U. Sydney, 2004. Dangers of deductions from under-parameterized models • The three parameter model: adding anti-CD28 results in a decrease in µ, but doesn’t affect σ or b. • Data from colcemid experiment: µ unchanged upon adding anti-CD289 . 9 E. Dennick, Ph.D. Thesis U. Sydney, 2004. Dangers of deductions from under-parameterized models • The three parameter model: adding anti-CD28 results in a decrease in µ, but doesn’t affect σ or b. • Data from colcemid experiment: µ unchanged upon adding anti-CD289 . • The six parameter model: anti-CD28 increases precursor frequency in zeroth division, and decreases proportion dying in subsequent divisions. 9 E. Dennick, Ph.D. Thesis U. Sydney, 2004. How do we explain this? Log-normal death times10 B cells in the presence of IL-4 (normal or quick preparation). 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 IL-4’s impact on death times10 B cells stimulated +/- IL-4; log-normal death times with only mean changed. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Colcemid method and first division times10 B cells stimulated with anti-CD40 & IL-4 in presence of colcemid; log-normal first division times. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Dependence between death & division?10 B cells activated with α-CD40 & IL-4. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Dependence between death & division?10 B cells activated with α-CD40 & IL-4. Suggests: independence of apoptosis & division machinery. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Cyton Model of immune regulation10 • Each founding cell has a time to die by apoptosis. • Mitogenic stimuli activates cell-division; sets a time to divide. • Considerable variation in population of both these times. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Cyton Model of immune regulation10 • Each founding cell has a time to die by apoptosis. • Mitogenic stimuli activates cell-division; sets a time to divide. • Considerable variation in population of both these times. • Underlying processes apparently unaware of each other. • Process to finish first determines outcome: cell dies or divides. • These appear to operate independently in distinct cells. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Cyton Model of immune regulation10 • Each founding cell has a time to die by apoptosis. • Mitogenic stimuli activates cell-division; sets a time to divide. • Considerable variation in population of both these times. • Underlying processes apparently unaware of each other. • Process to finish first determines outcome: cell dies or divides. • These appear to operate independently in distinct cells. • Subsequent generations behave in a similar fashion. • Divide time and death time distributions differ between 0th generation and subsequent generations. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Cyton Model of immune regulation10 • Each founding cell has a time to die by apoptosis. • Mitogenic stimuli activates cell-division; sets a time to divide. • Considerable variation in population of both these times. • Underlying processes apparently unaware of each other. • Process to finish first determines outcome: cell dies or divides. • These appear to operate independently in distinct cells. • Subsequent generations behave in a similar fashion. • Divide time and death time distributions differ between 0th generation and subsequent generations. • Maximum number of divisions an initial cell can undergo. • Division destiny differs for each initial cell. 10 E. D. Hawkins, M. L. Turner, M. R. Dowling, C. van Gend and P. D. Hodgkin, PNAS, 104(12), 5032–5037, 2007 Acknowledgments • Mark Dowling, Philip Hodgkin, John Markham, Marian Turner, Nadine Taubenheim and Cameron Wellard (Walter and Eliza Hall Institute). • Dirk Homann (U. Colorado). • Edwin Hawkins (Peter MacCallum Cancer Institute). Acknowledgments • Mark Dowling, Philip Hodgkin, John Markham, Marian Turner, Nadine Taubenheim and Cameron Wellard (Walter and Eliza Hall Institute). • Dirk Homann (U. Colorado). • Edwin Hawkins (Peter MacCallum Cancer Institute). Tomorrow: using branching processes to analyse the Cyton Model.