New Progress for Better Development of Dams and Reservoirs
Transcription
New Progress for Better Development of Dams and Reservoirs
New Progress for Better Development of Dams and Reservoirs Dr. JIA Jinsheng Hon. President of ICOLD Vice President of IWHR Contents 1 Investment in dams & reservoirs is investment in the green economy 2 Relationship between dams and socio‐economic development 3 Concerns in future development of dams & reservoirs 4 Joint efforts for a better world A quick developing world 14 1 Population growth & socioeconomic development billion High variant Medium variant 12 10 8 2 Water security Low variant 6 4 3 Food and energy security 4 Ecological security 2 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year Freshwater availability per capita 1950-2050 1950 12,050 m3 2000 7,310 m3 2025 5,120 m3 2050 4,580 m3 In 2025, water-stressed countries will increase to 48 countries with combined population of 3 billion Adaptation to the impact of climate change Glacier smelting Extreme weather events A major focus: Drought and water scarcity Drought in South West China in 2010 Large hydropower facilities have become a key milestone for green growth. Rachel Kyte, Vice President of WBG for sustainable development The era of the World Commission on Dams (WCD) has gone and the guidelines for sustainable development of dams and hydropower are used in practice. Investment in hydropower development (WBG, 2009) Water storage for sustainable development World Declaration on water storage for sustainable development issued jointly by: ICOLD ICID IHA IWRA hydropower generation to its economical potential by continents Developed 40% World Developed 45% Australia Developed 71% Europe Developed 25% Asia Developed 65% N America Developed 13% Africa Accelerate dam construction and hydropower development for better use of water resources Developed countries in North America and Europe are shifting their priority to upgrade and reinforcement of existing dams. Most developing countries such as in Asia and South America have formulated plans to complete the task of hydropower development by 2025. Some countries and regions, especially in Africa, though with rich water resources and strong intention of developing dams & hydropower, mostly still face great difficulties for the lack of capital, technology, etc. Countries suffering from political turmoil, though urgent for developing . dams and hydropower, advance the construction very slowly due to the weak national strength and other unfavorable conditions. Hydropower with the highest energy payback ratio and extremely low carbon emissions Energy payback ratio: a case of thermal power station EPR = ¾EnL ( E matL E nL + E conL + E opL + E decL ) = the net electrical energy produced over a given plant lifetime L ¾EmatL = total energy invested in materials used over a plant lifetime L ¾EconL = ¾EopL total energy invested in construction for a plant with lifetime L = otal energy invested in operating the plant over the lifetime L ¾EdecL = total energy invested in decommissioning a plant after it has operated for a lifetime L Hydropower with the highest energy payback ratio Hydropower with extremely low carbon emissions The development of dams & hydropower is related with the socio-economic development. Indicators of dams & hydropower ` per capita storage capacity (Berga 2008) -the UN Human Development Index (HDI) -the degree of development of the economic hydropower potential (Jia 2012) weighted average of the per capita GDP, health and education ` Indicators of socioeconomic development Correlation between the per capita storage capacity and HDI Correlation between % of hydropower economic development and HDI ——Dam safety The construction of 300m-high dams Highest Dams in the World (Top 10) Dam Country Height (m) Type Jingpin I Dam China 305 VA 15.0 Nurek Dam Tajikistan 300 ER 10.5 Xiaowan Dam China 294.5 VA 15.1 Grande Dixence Dam Switzerland 285 PG 0.4 Keban Dam Turkey 282 ER 31.0 Xiluodu Dam China 285.5 VA 12.9 Kambarazin I Dam Kyrgyzstan 275 ER 3.6 Inguri Dam Georgia 271.5 VA 1.11 Vaiont Dam Italy 262 VA 0.169 Storage Capacity (km3) Concrete experiment on hydraulic fracturing 混凝土 钢盖 预设裂缝 固定螺栓 压力表 进水口 预设裂缝 混凝土 Designed by principle of zero tensile stress Designed by principle of U.S. 245 240 235 230 225 220 215 210 205 325 Water head for Limit status of Hydraulic Fracturing (m) Water head for Limit status of Hydraulic Fracturing (m) 250 Designed by principle of Grand Dixence 320 Designed by principle of zero tensile 315 310 305 300 295 290 285 280 275 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 Crack Depth at Dam Heel(m) Dworshak Dam (H=219m) 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 Crack Depth at Dam Heel(m) Grand Dixence Dam (H=285m) Comparison of the capacities of super high gravity dams against hydraulic fracturing with three different design codes The safety of dams against extreme natural disaster Recent earthquake events Earthquake Time Location Magnitud e Death toll Wenchuan May 12, 2008 Sichuan, China 8.0 > 68,000 Haiti Jan. 12, 2010 Haiti 7.0 217,000230,000 Chile Feb. 27, 2010 Concepcion, Chile 8.8 500-1,000 Apr. 7, 2010 Eastern Indonesia 7.8 Unknown Mar. 11, 2012 Northeastern Japan 9.0 15,500-16,500 Indonesia Japan Zipingpu Dam in good condition after Wenchuan earthquake Shear failure of Shigang dam The safety of cascade reservoirs ` ` A four-dam-system on Ru River, including Banqiao, Zhugou, Boshan, and Suyahu Dams. In August 1975, the former two dams failed by overtopping during an extreme storm while the later two dams survived. ——New technology Cemented Material Dams (CMD) between RCC dams & embankment dams 100.00 CMD RCC 20.00 Embankment Cemented Material Dams (CMD) include: f f f f Hardfill dams and CSG dams (Cemented sand and gravel dams) Rock filled concrete dams (RFC dams) Masonry dams in a modern way … Cindere dam (H=107 m) in Turkey, the highest hardfill dam in the world Changken RFC dam (H=26.5 m) in China Characteristics of CSG dam Dam Safety f High anti-seismic ability f High ability against overtopping Economy f Use local materials f Cost saving > 15% Environment f Few waste materials, and even “zero” waste materials Tobetsu CSG dam (H=52 m) in Japan List of the new type of dams in the world Dam Location Height (m) Cindere Turkey 107 Completed year 2008 Beydag Turkey 100 2007 Gongguoqiao China 56 2009 Tobetsu Japan 52 2010 Can-Asujan Philippine 44 2004 Hongkou cofferdam China 35.5 2006 Nagashima Ano Mera Moncion Marathia St Martin de Londress Jiemian cofferdam Japan Greek Dominica Greek France China 34 32 28 28 25 16.3 2000 1997 2001 1993 1992 2004 Hongkou CSG cofferdam (H=35.5m) survived against overtopping (ΔH=8m) Overtopping height 8m ——New concepts Better development of dams & reservoirs 4 aspects to be improved 1 Cognition Utilize and change nature As well as Protect and adapt to nature 2 Technologically feasible and Decision making As well as Eco-friendly and social economically reasonable acceptable 3 Project safety and function realization National and collective interests Operation & Management 4 Benefit Sharing As well as Ecological compensation, safety and regulation As well as Stakeholders’ benefits ——Ecological function Dams & reservoirs keep healthy life of rivers To allow upkeep of minimum flows during dry seasons which enable the preservation of many aquatic animals and plants during droughts. To contribute to stabilizing ground water levels in adjacent land areas. To create new and biologically desirable habitats and to irrigate wetland biotopes or wetland forests. … Yellow River: Ecological Function of Xiaolangdi Dam oir serv e R a enxi m n Sa Guxian Reservoir Xiao langd i Res ervoi r Luhun Reservoir H=157m P=1,800MW Achievements of Water & Sediment Regulation of Xiaolangdi Dam z 13 times since 2002 z scour the whole riverbed of lower reach z mill. tons of sediments into sea z riverbed 1.5 m (average) lower Water & sediment regulation by Xiaolangdi Dam Improved Ecosystem • • • • River flows all year long Estuarial ecosystem improved Estuarial wetland restored Biological diversity increased -- Bird Species: 187 (1990s) Æ 283 (present) Ecological Regulation on Pearl River Delta Macau • • Salt water intrusion in dry season Water supply problem in delta areas (e.g. Macau) Emergency Water Diversion to Guarantee Water Supply 大藤峡工程 Datengxia Dam To Guarantee Water Supply in Pearl River Delta To Unify Water Resources Regulation To Build Datengxia Ecological Reservoir To Achieve Full Ecological Functions of Dams Technical standard and certification system Green Hydropower Certification Low Impact Hydropower Certification The Hydropower Sustainability Assessment Protocol We will still be in the Fossil Fuel economy. IEA WEO2012 Renewables increases by 80%, Nuclear by 60%. But Fossil Fuels continue to be major sources of energy, though their share drops from 81% to 75% in 2035. North American Energy Independence and Middle East oil to Asia: a new Energy Silk Road Middle East oil export by destination mb/d 7 2000 6 2011 2035 5 IEA WEO2012 4 3 2 1 China India Japan & Korea Europe United States By 2035, almost 90% of Middle Eastern oil exports go to Asia; North America’s emergence as a net exporter accelerates the eastward shift in trade COAL DEVELOPMENT AND WATER RISK 煤炭发展与水资源危机 ` ` ` ` ` To issue more protocols, bulletins, and guidelines. To enhance international cooperation on new technology and application promotion. To encourage governments, financial institutions, and private sectors to give more investment. To advance the development of sharing rivers with win-win cooperation. To promote more round table meetings, more communication between developed and developing countries, more capacity building programs,etc. ICOLD Committee on Integrated Operation of Hydropower Stations and Reservoirs ` ` ` Safe operation and management of hydropower stations Integrated operation of hydropower stations with multi-objective oriented reservoirs Optimal operation of basin reservoirs and hydropower stations for a cascade development To improve safety, efficiency and management level ICOLD COMMITTEE ON MULTIPURPOSE WATER STORAGE ` ` ` dam sites, particularly storage sites, are scarce national resources long-term perspective argues for flexibility in use over time global warming contributes to increasing variability in rainfall, agricultural production, floods, etc Each of these arguments point towards a serious consideration of multipurpose project design. Yellow River: Ecological Function of Xiaolangdi Dam oir serv e R a enxi m n Sa Guxian Reservoir Xiao langd i Res ervoi r Luhun Reservoir H=157m P=1,800MW ICOLD and other International Organizations ` Closely with ICID, IHA, IWRA, WWC, … With IWRA President Mr. Xia With ICID Hon. President Mr. Madramootoo With IHA President Mr. Abdel-Malek New members of ICOLD family Since 2009, the total number of ICOLD members has grown from 88 to 95, with 7 new countries. z The 7 new members are: Armenia, Georgia, Kenya, Mozambique, Niger, Ukraine, Uzbekistan z Update Constitution and By-laws ICOLD technical materials downloaded by National Members freely Organize or co-organize sorts of activities Special Session on Water Storage for Sustainable Development during the 6th WWF (Marseille, March 2012) One-week exhibition at the World Water Pavilion stand in Shanghai World Expo (Shanghai, Sept. 2010) 《储水设施与可持续发展》世界宣言 ` ` 为了呼吁全世界共同努力,采取可持续发展的方式发展和保护 储水基础设施,国际大坝委员会联合国际灌溉与排水委员会、 国际水电协会和国际水资源协会于2012年6月6日在日本京都发 布了《储水设施与可持续发展》世界宣言。 目前该宣言已有中、英、法和西班牙语版本。 Dams & Hydropower for African Sustainable Development issued jointly by ICOLD ICID IHA WEC …… …… Round Table Meeting on “Dams and Hydropower for African Sustainable Development” The 1st in Hanoi, Vietnam, 2010.5 The 2nd in Lisbon, Portugal, 2010.9 The 3rd in Beijing, China, 2010.11 The 4th in Zhengzhou, China, 2011.9 Hanoi, Vietnam, 2010.5 Beijing, China, 2010.11 Lisbon, Portugal, 2010.9 International Milestone Projects Achieving innovative progress Good performance Environmental Friendly Realizing the functions designed Other Hoover Dam Grand Dixence Dam Three Gorges Dam Itaipu Dam Capacity building programs for engineers of developing countries and young engineers Youth Forum during 79th Annual Meeting in Switzerland 2011 Training Program for African experts in China in 2010 Quick response to sudden events Accident of Sayano-Shushenskaya HHP Presentation on the accident of Sayano-sushensike hydropower station by Russian Committee on Large Dams during the 78th Annual Meeting of ICOLD in Hanoi, Vietnam International Seminar on Earthquake & Dam Safety (China, March 30 - April 3, 2009) World Hand in Hand Promoting Exchange & Cooperation Sharing Experience & Lessons Meeting Challenges Jointly