Decontrol In Madras - Economic and Political Weekly
Transcription
Decontrol In Madras - Economic and Political Weekly
August 15, 1952 Decontrol In Madras K. G. Sivaswamy The author examines the results of decontrol in Madras, the improvements that can'be made in existing controls, and the steps necessary to mitigate the hardship of a free economy in States which embark on decontrol. D quantity, because of the resulting h i g h price, poorer consumers w i l l not f i n d easy to get. M r S . Y . Krishnaswamy i n his book on rural problems estimates the required, quantity of rice at the rate of 24 oz. per head for a population of 50 i n n . as 68 lakhs of tons. For a population of 57 mn, we shall need 78 lakhs of tons, i.e. 29 lakhs tons of rice more than the quantity produced. A n d this w i l l be necessary under a rationed economy. Just imagine how m u c h more should we need under free trade! W h a t little is available cannot reach the poorer consumers owing to its high price. Even in a surplus market in a free economy, distribution is unduly Heavy Food Deficit in the State costly on account of wasteful comFood production in the State is petition. Husking, storage and deliestimated at 49 lakhs of tons of rice very cost less for a middle-man. But a n d 28 lakhs of tons of millets. T h e the latter collects an excessive marm a x i m u m procurement of rice has gin for selling and credit costs. nowhere exceeded a t h i r d of the Purchases by too many middle-men estimated production. T h e total increase costs of administration. population of the State being 57 They cannot have better selection millions, the total number of those and economies of large-scale buyneeding ration is estimated at half ing. Efforts to sell are duplicated this figure. T h e adult equivalent and m u l t i p l i e d . Every merchant at of the total population works buyer t a n not have a proper knowout to 22 millions. If every ounce ledge of costs. He cannot enforce of grain in the State is procured and quality. He cannot plan purchase equitably distributed, the ration per and distribution. His price-fixing head per day w i l l be no more than is unscientific. A i l these disadvan8 ozs. of rice and 4 ozs. of millets. tages must raise the price and lower M a k i n g allowance, therefore, for the quality for the consumer. storage by land-holders, purchases T h e Planning Commission had by richer consumers, cornering by therefore concluded that even if merchants, wastage in competition A l l - I n d i a production were increased a n d delays in transit, we shall need by 7.2 mn. tons in 1956, there can m u c h more grain in an economy of be no certainty that the marketable free trade to enable all the con- surplus w i l l be large enough to rensumers to purchase daily 8 oz. of rice der imports unnecessary. M o n o p o l y a n d 4 oz. of millets. Even this procurement, they felt, w o u l d have- E C O N T R O L under existing scarcity conditions in the M a d r a s State must lead to higher prices. If every ounce of surplus grain in the State were procured f r o m landholders and there was total rationing for the entire popul a t i o n , including the food growers, then the quantum of rice and millets available per head per day in the different zones w o u l d be as shown in the table below. If atleast twice the quantity of this r a t i o n were allowed for producers, as it should be, the other consumers w h o f o r m roughly 50 per cent of the population w i l l get only 2 / 3 of this ration. to be continued and that a m u c h , larger proportion of the produce of surplus farmers should come u n der Government's direct procurement. The Madras State Government, on the other hand, have stopped procurement for the future on the ground that they have 5½ lakhs of tons of rice in their custody, that they w i l l procure a further 1 ½ lakhs of tons, and that 2 lakhs tons of rice imports have been ear-marked for Malabar by the Central Government, and that these stocks w i l l steady the open market. Seven lakh tons of procured rice w i l l give a 6 oz. ration for 11 mn. for a year as against a population of 18 m n . (excluding Malabar and Nilgiris) needing a 16 to 24 oz. ration, Malabar and Nilgiris w i l l get a ration of 5 oz. out of the i m ported rice of 2 lakh tons, but as internal procurement has been stopped in Malabar and as no fair-price shop w i l l be supplied from internally procured grain, the balance of rice purchased in the free market in deficit talukas of these districts w i l l be exorbitantly costly. It should be remembered that this 7 lakhs of tons of rice is less than half of what was internally procured before decontrol in 1947 (15.7 lakhs of tons of r i c e ) , and that the promised import of 2 lakhs of tons is less by ¾ lakh ton of rice i m p o r t ed in 1948 after decontrol and in 1950. Further we imported in addition 2.6 lakh tons of wheat and 1.38 lakhs tons of other grains in 1946. Under conditions of a rationed economy we need 18,45 lakhs of tons of rice and 4 lakhs of tons of wheat and millet as was promised and imported in 1947 and not 9 lakhs of tons of rice (5½ plus 1½ plus 2) as have been stocked and promised. A n d even this provided a ration of only 8 oz. rice and 4 oz. millet and just for 14 m n . adults for a year. Normally the adult population needing rations is 25 m n , (86 per cent of half the total population). The quantum of ration needed per head is 24 oz. rice or 28 oz. millets. U n d e r conditions of free trade the foodgrain market should therefore deal in immensely THE ECONOMIC WEEKLY August 15, 1952 more g r a i n than 23 lakhs of tons rationed in 1946-47. T h e Planning Commission do not expect production in Madras State to increase by more than 8.34 lakh tons w i t h i n 1956. A d d i n g to the present average production of 12 oz. per head, production per head ; w i l l amount to 13.67 oz. But it should be much above this average even under rationing, as 2 / 3 of the production is the highest proportion that can be procured, judging from past experience. Plow much more, then, have to be produced a n d i m ported in a free economy in w h i c h the rich may buy more, the landowner may withhold stocks, the trader may corner and unregulated competition w i l l be wasteful? T h e coming months, even in normal years, are usually scarcity months owing to rains, the time lapse in agricultural production, low purchasing power owing to underemployment and depletion of stored stocks of partial producers. T w o thirds of procurable surplus has been already procured by the State. T h e balance loft, amounts only to 4.3 lakh tons of rice. Further this year's monsoon has been weak and late. The short crop of paddy w i l l take a m o n t h more to be harvested. The. rabi crop w i l l not be sown before the north-east monsoon breaks. Prices are therefore bound to be high during these months for the extra rice bought outside the fairprice shops, In whatever way we look at our production figures, we can think of free trade only when our production substantially i n creases to at least 3 run. tons and imports rise to a m i l l i o n tons of rice or other foodgrains. Decontrol W a s Inevitable W h y , then, d i d the Government restrict themselves to the running of fair price shops for a few for a year to supply a paltry 6 oz. rice per head? Controls were after all only reluctantly, inefficiently, and partially administered by the previous Ministry. W i t h adult suffrage it is not easy to be in power while a party antagonises millions of small peasants by collecting their surplus grain and preventing their free sale. T h e peasants have not been assimilated into the state organisation so closely as to induce them to part w i t h their surpluses w i l l i n g l y in the larger interests of planned production. The Madras State succumbed to the pressure of land-holders and traders, and weakened its procurement year after year since 1947. T h e control policy of 1948 reduced the rationing commitments of the State to deficit areas," thereby stopping informal rationing w h i c h had been in force in surplus areas. The failure of the Government of I n d i a to supply sufficient stocks led to the breakdown of rationing even in deficit areas in the latter half of 1950. By January 1951, rural areas were derationed though relief shops had to he reopened immediately afterwards, under pressure of the circumstances. Procurement was further weakened by the widening of the open market in consequence of the smallness of the statutory ration. The ration, too. was reduced from 8 oz. to 6 oz. rice and restricted to 7 millions as against 25 millions needing a ration of at least 24 oz. rice or 28 oz. millets. M i l l e t s were practically decontrolled 18 months ago except that their entry into a lew towns was banned and procurement by an easy system of levy was still retained in two of the districts. What remained therefore of controls were more obstacles rather than aids to the consumer. For the consumer was prevented from buying the balance of his requirements of rice as there was a ban on free market in statutorily rationed areas. Clandestine purchases naturally raised the black market price. Secondly, the banning of inter-district movements along w i t h derationing in rural areas increased the deficit in deficit areas and the surplus in surplus districts. Finally, the control of prices w i t h out controlling stocks brought the law into contempt and made criminals of all who sold and bought at a higher price. The inauguration of a free market alongside of the existing fair price shops was a lesser evil. T h e formation of several contiguous districts into zones was another. T h e removal of price control was a t h i r d . Following these; changes the old ration shops and other relief shops are being continued for just another five months. Consequences of Decontrol The producer w h o does not grow enough to meet his needs for the whole year and the consumer have thus been thrown to the mercy of the. trader. T h e buffer stock of 7 lakhs w i l l soon he exhausted. I n d i vidual virtues of remaining content, w i t h m i n i m u m profit and dumping the market without concern for one's security against future u n certainties and profits in a rising market can hardly be awakened in 834 a single day by the appreal of pertonalities however big. Neither can they take the place of knowledge and organisation of marketing a n d distribution which alone can narrow d o w n the price spread and achieve a fair price for the producer and the consumer. Prices are bound to shoot up to the level of w o r l d food prices, if imports are freely allowed or even higher. Food articles being the major item in the family budget for most people, and food prices being the basis for the rise and fall of other prices, a rise in the price of rice must react on the cost of living. The open market price being 25 per cent higher than the previous controlled price, cost of l i v i n g must rise by at least half this figure. The corning months being scarcity months, distress is bound to be greater. As a result of free trade, the price of rice has gone up in surplus areas while the open market price in deficit areas may fall a bit w i t h arrival of imports. T h e Government had closed the fair {nice shops in surplus areas but w i t h i n a day they realised their grievous error. Prices shot up and rice was cornered. T h e shops were again reopened. If this was the case in surplus areas, what w o u l d be the condition of deficit areas under free trade? Decontrol must also affect the cost and price structure in industries, o w i n g to the demand for a higher wage consistently w i t h increased cost of living. Stepping up of exports considered necessary for a favourable balance of payments will be retarded by such increase in costs. The Five-Year Plan w i l l he thrown out of gear as its whole structure is based on the maintenance of at least the present price level. Decontrol of foodgrains and planned production are incompatible. T h e integrated price control policy f o r m u lated by the Planning Commission according to w h i c h the price of cash crop should be brought down and that of foodgrains should not be raised for increasing food production is rejected. Now the price of oil-seeds, jute, etc., w i l l have to be raised if their exports and imports production are to be maintained at the desired level. This means a reduction in export duties and loss of revenue to Government. T h e producer may benefit a little by the higher price in which he may get a share, but having little staying power and collective bargaining strength, he w i l l not be able to get a b i g share w h i c h w i l l go to the wholesale merchants, Trade nor- many Knew n o w TO comome and ox uniform price. The appointment of special nominees by the Government for wholesale business since the war, concentration of trade in the hands of rice-mill owners, the system of allowing- trade pools of merchants to r u n State fair price shops in the Circars have accentuated the trend towards monopoly in rice trade. Left unchecked, such combines must lower the price for the producer and increase it for the consumer. Improvement in Controls A bolder p o l i t y for the Government w o u l d have been to shoulder the responsibility for controls, and radically alter the. machinery. Government should procure upto 16 lakhs of tons of rice as was done in 1946, import 2 lakhs tons of rice and as much of wheat and m i l o as they could possibly obtain and give 8 oz. rice and 8 oz. other grains for 25 m i l l i o n adults. By a proper psychological appeal for public co-operation and different inducements for production, internal procurement could be further increased. Rice ration could be i n creased 10 12 oz. for the low-income group by decreasing it. for the h i g h income group, by the adoption of differential rationing by income groups. At present, there is no efficiency audit of State trading nor ate there proper consumer councils for checking margins of distribution and exposing adulteration. N o r is there an independent price board like the Tariff Commission to fix a fair price for produce. T h e best policy in the circumstances would be to set up non-profit making corporations for i m p o r t i n g foodgrains and for regulating rationing. They would take the place of the civil supplies department. If more than one corporation are set up, one. each for different regions, it w i l l help healthy competition. T h e existing district co-operative wholesales which undertook procurement, and sales for Rs 23 crores .in Madras State in 1949-50 and the primary stores that sold food grains worth Rs 12 crores for 13.3 lakhs of card-holders in the year before should be strengthened, as agencies for procurement and distribution. As the Government of Madras have decided on dismantling food controls and allowing a free economy, they should at least take the following measures to mitigate the 835 THE ECONOMIC WEEKLY August 15, 1952 hardships inevitable in a free economy under present conditions of scarcity; The existing fair price shops should not exploit the consumer by levying a high price. This is the chief cause for the prevalence of high price for rice in the open market. Even so the open market price is higher by 5 annas per M a d ras measure in the case of 1st and 2nd sort rice (Re 1-2 and Re 1) respectively. Government levied a surcharge of Rs '2-4 per maund on the consumer to cover the losses on the import of UP rice. They admit that the losses have been paid, They have no justification to continue this surcharge. O u t of this they have paid Re 1 per maund of paddy, i.e. Re 1-8 per maund of rice to the producer. They have a balance of 12 annas. They have an additional balance in the 5 annas which they levy as administrative charge w h i c h has almost been wiped out. by the disbanding of supply and ration offices. Apart from these distribution levies, the wholesaler's margin which is lower than that of the retailer in the trade has been reversed under controls. T h e wholesaler's average margin is higher in Madras than in many States and amounts to Re 1-15-1. In South Kanara where the co-operative wholesale operates, it is not more than a rupee per maund. Further the wholesaler makes more profit on paddy 1st sort (33 per cent) and only 12 per cent on the 2nd sort. He gets in addition the husk which he can sell at a high price. Because of these surcharges and excessive margins, the wholesalers who are at present procuring in Tanjore and other surplus districts compete for the little grain that is left after State procurement by paying Re 1 to Rs 2 per maund more over the recently controlled price. They are also selling rice at a higher price between Re 1 and Re 1-4 while the fair price shop price is Re 0-10-0 and Re 0-13-3. T h e lair price shops should reduce their price by at least one-and-ahalf anna per Madras measure, if not more. The sales tax at present on a rnaund of rice works to about 5½ annas. Sales tax on foodgrains should be stopped. If the object of Government is to bring down food prices as low as possible, they too should not profiteer, thus helping the high price in the open market. Statements have been made in responsible quarters that stocks are available but the purchasing power of the people is low. T h i s can be an argument only to bring down prices as much as possible. A larger ration of rice should be given to the poorer classes doing manual labour by reducing the rice ration to those whose salary is Rs 200 and above. In as much as milo and wheat are subsidised by the U n i o n Government, they should be sold freely in these fair price shops along w i t h rice. Free trade in wheat w i l l only raise its price. If the benefit of subsidised wheat and milo is to reach the consumer, there is no alternative to running Statecontrolled shops. H a v i n g closed down ration shops. Government owe a duty of strengthening the co-operative stores as non-profit seeking competitors for steadying the open market and restraining prices. When they allow the rice-mills who are stockists for the Government to do free market business, they ought to allow cooperative stores which are government agents today for procurement and distribution to deal in the open market. In fact these stores should be released from their present responsibilities of state-trading and assisted to enter the market and build up co-operative trading. T h e financial facilities given to them by the State and the Reserve Bank should be continued. Federations of district wholesale stores should be started for importing foodgrains. T h e co-operative department w i l l give a better audit if released from its responsibility for the administrative success of these stores. There should also be internal efficiency audit. Consumers' group buying agencies among employees of big establishments should be actively promoted by the State. This w i l l reduce the cost of distribution. A n d statutory consumer councils should be started and invested w i t h powers of testing and appraising food articles and examining the costs of distribution. W a r economy has brought into being a high concentration of trade in the hands of rice-mill owners, big wholesalers nominated by Government, and pooled trade of merchants. This has led to many u n desirable practices. Government should appoint a commission to investigate and expose such practices. Zest for production to which the Chief Minister referred as the great boon of a free economy does not 836 operate where producers are atomised millions w h o have no collective bargaining power as against traders The farmers' .market the w o r l d over is a buyer's market and the I n d i a n farmer being illiterate, disorganised, and having only a tiny surplus to sell, can hardly stand against b i g business. M a r k e t i n g boards of producers, marketing co-operative societies, rural ware-housing, and the development of regulated markets for sale of foodgrains arc the desiderata to withstand the malpractices of private trade. T h e provision of a floor price for the peasant cannot be avoided under these conditions. A floor price means that the Government have to support the market when prices fall below the floor. They w i l l have to regulate the area of production, and arrange for storage. Producers cannot ask at the same time for a floor price and a free economy. The former means controls over production and costs, and subsidies. The only help w h i c h Government can give is to declare before each crop is sown the floor price that should be paid to the producer. The declaration to be fair should not be made by Government but an independent price board. It is not contended that these proposals will bring down prices nor be as effective as controls properly devised and administered. But they w i l l act as healthy checks on profiteering. M a n y of these are of a long-term character to regulate the free economy through the operation of statutory organisations of producers and consumers. But if the present Government are sincere about, lowering the prices at least to the level of the control price, and helping the poor to buy food cheap, they have to undertake 1 certain measures of reform consistently w i t h their policy of free trade. To begin w i t h , they should bring down the price of rice by 1½ annas per measure in their own shops, restrict the rice ration only to the poor, convert fair price shops into co-operative stores and give them all facilities, sell rice, wheat and m i l o through them, start statutory consumer councils, enforce Adulteration A c t , appoint a Commission to watch the foodgrain trade, investigate and expose u n desirable practices and examine distribution costs. They must also start public markets and r u r a l warehouses, strengthen marketing cooperative federations and appoint an independent price board to declare a fair price for produce.