market assessment - The Borderplex Alliance
Transcription
market assessment - The Borderplex Alliance
EMPOWERED BY THE FUTURE THE BORDERPLEX ALLIANCE MARKET ASSESSMENT COMPREHENSIVE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY NOVEMBER 13, 2014 Borderplex Alliance Strategic Plan Preface The best plans for economic development are living, breathing strategies made up of the goals set by communities to grow and redefine themselves in a constantly changing world. At its heart, economic development is about ensuring that healthy communities have a strong quality of life as defined by their stakeholders. It is about taking control of the future, creating jobs, building a better workforce, helping existing businesses grow and attracting diverse new types of industries. Economic Development begins by bringing together people, businesses, schools, governments, law enforcement, hospitals and other segments of the community to define a collective vision. Effective economic development initiatives help lower poverty and crime rates, build better schools and weather hard times. A good plan encourages businesses and residents to work together to tackle and solve issues within the area. It identifies strengths and assets a community can leverage to attract powerful industries and to become a strong player in global markets. “The time is right for regional collaboration, but that door will not be open forever.” --Stakeholder Interview Respondent Volunteer Solar Power Installation, Las Cruces 2 Acknowledgments None of the work of an economic development strategy can be conducted in a vacuum, and no attempt to navigate the regional economy can be successful without insight and support from local stakeholders. El Paso, Juárez and Las Cruces each has a long history of pulling its stakeholders together in times of challenge to plan and implement effective change. That local spirit of initiative, when applied regionally, will be crucial to the development and implementation of an economic strategic plan for North American Borderplex Region. Collective insight from the three communities has significantly benefited the assessment of the Borderplex regional market. and visionary members of the Borderplex Alliance Economic Development Strategic Plan Steering Committee for their insight, feedback and direction in the development of the plan to unite the North American Borderplex communities as one powerful regional force for optimal economic development. The following regional market report was developed with guidance and input from residents, business leaders, real estate companies, educational institutions, utility companies and other community groups. In August, AngelouEconomics conducted site visits to El Paso, Juárez and Las Cruces, talking with more than 120 stakeholders during private interviews and focus groups. On Sept. 25, online business and resident surveys in both English and Spanish were launched, offering an opportunity for every stakeholder in the regional community to engage in the economic development process. The surveys remained open until Oct. 31. In total, 865 people responded to the survey, 562 residents and 303 businesses. AE would like to thank the Borderplex Alliance staff for their valuable support in this effort, in particular CEO Rolando Pablos, EVP Marcos Delgado, VP of Education and Workforce Development Lydia Nesbitt, and Communications Director Laura Rodriguez. We also thank the Greater El Paso Chamber of Commerce, the El Paso Hispanic Chamber, the Las Cruces Chamber of Commerce, AMAC INDEX Juárez, the University of Texas in El Paso and New Mexico State University for their participation and assistance. Finally, we offer our special thanks to Chairman Pat Patton and the tireless La Equis Monument, Juárez 3 Acknowledgments (continued) Borderplex Alliance Strategic Plan Steering Committee “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, concerned citizens can change the world. Indeed it is the only thing that ever has.” —Margaret Mead Pat Patton, Chairman . . . . . . . . Garrey Carruthers . . . . . . . . . . . Bill Conner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Roberto Coronado . . . . . . . . . . Ed Escudero . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Miguel A. Fernandez . . . . . . . . Benito Fernandez . . . . . . . . . . . Tom Fullerton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Kiel Hoffman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . John Hummer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Woody Hunt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ivan Jaime . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Chris Kleburg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Jeff Moseley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Martha Rochford . . . . . . . . . . . Jorge Ruiz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Annette Gutierrez . . . . . . . . . . Richard Schoephoerster . . . . . Emma Schwartz . . . . . . . . . . . . Joyce Wilson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Jacob Prado . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Patrick Schaefer . . . . . . . . . . . . Davin Lopez . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Gilbert Mesa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Guadalupe de la Vega . . . . . . . Ian Brownlee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Elia Mares . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Jim Peach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Alejandra de la Vega . . . . . . . . 4 El Paso Electric New Mexico State University El Paso Electric Dallas Federal Reserve, El Paso Sierra Finance Plan Estrategico de Cuidad Juárez Desarrollo Economic de Cuidad Juárez University of Texas – El Paso Pioneer Bank Steinborn Realty Hunt Companies, Inc. Union Pacific Capital Bank Moseley Griffiths Wells Fargo Baker & McKenzie Rio Grande Council of Governments University of Texas – El Paso Medical Center of the Americas Upper Rio Grande Workforce Consul General of Mexico The Hunt Institute Mesilla Valley Economic Development Alliance IDI Gazeley Grupo de la Vega Consul General of the U.S. Philanthropist New Mexico State University Grupo de la Vega Table of Contents Preface………………….………………………………………………………………....……………… 2 Acknowledgements ………………………………………………………………...……………… 3 Project Process……………………..…………………………………….…………….…………….. 6 Background……………………………………...……………………………………………………… 7 Executive Summary..….………………………………………………………………..…………. 10 SWOT………………….………………………………………………………………….…………. 13 Regional Assets….................................................................................... 18 Challenges…………………………………………………………………………………………... 23 Factor Analysis............................................................................................. 25 Quality of Life……………………………………………………………………………………. 26 Workforce and Education………………………………………………………………….. 40 Business Climate………………………………………………………………………………. 52 Infrastructure……………………………………………………………………………………. 61 Stakeholder Survey Analysis………………………………………………………….……….. 72 Next Steps ……………………………...….............................................................. 76 Appendix …………………………………….............................................................. 80 About AngelouEconomics…………………………...….......................................... 107 5 El Paso Cowboy Statue Project Process STRATEGIC ANALYSIS Report MARKET ASSESSMENT TARGET INDUSTRIES Site Visit Report Presentation Report Presentation Aug. 24-28 Presentation Nov. 13 Jan. 15 April 9 STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT Visioning Benchmark Analysis Stakeholder Interviews SWOT Economic Focus Groups Survey Summary Identification of Assets Business Climate Identification of Issues Infrastructure Unique Project Aspects Workforce & Education Stakeholder Communication and Understanding Quality of Life Business & Resident Online Surveys Steering Committee Presentation Cluster Analysis Vision Industry Identification Industry Requirements & Scorecards Preliminary Cluster Analysis 6 Objectives Strategies & Actions Niche, Emerging Industries Best Practices Occupational Analysis Metrics Site Selectors Perception Survey Analysis Implementation Metrics Cost of Operations Model Final Steering Committee Presentation Steering Committee Presentation Project Rollout Background THE BORDERPLEX ALLIANCE The Borderplex Alliance (Alliance) is a bi-national economic development organization committed to the economic development of Doña Ana County, El Paso and Ciudad Juárez through greater regional cooperation. “If we want to be known as one region, we need to start acting like one region.” The Alliance is a private, non-profit corporation focused on building strategic partnerships across the region and around the globe to unleash the region’s economic potential and boost its global competitiveness. --Borderplex Focus Group Respondent Formed through a merger between the El Paso Regional Economic Development Corp and the Paso del Norte Group in 2012, the Alliance maintains a strong working relationship with regional business and governmental leaders, drawing upon their resources and expertise to attract new business to the region. So far the Alliance has successfully added jobs and foreign direct investment through the recruitment of financial service firms, business operation centers and manufacturers to the region. The Alliance is also working to formalize agreements with other area economic development organizations that include protocols for companies seeking relocation to the region. EL PASO With a diversified economy branching into new fields, El Paso is primed to propel the regional economy forward. The Ft. Bliss military base has been a defining pillar of the city, employing 41,000 people and producing $6 billion in economic activity; numbers of armed forces have more than doubled since 2007. Military cuts toward making a “leaner, meaner” military could impact Fort Bliss, though to what extent is unclear. Call centers are another large revenue generator, accounting for four of the city’s 10 largest employers. The Alliance also emphasizes the advocacy component of economic development through more comprehensive and unified engagement with the seats of government in Washington, Mexico City, Austin, Santa Fe and Chihuahua City. The University of Texas at El Paso is the largest public university in the region and puts the city in a strong position to attract and retain a highly specialized work force for the region in years to come. Key areas of research include health and biomedical sciences and engineering. The Alliance will identify target industries for regional recruitment and implement strategies that improve upon the region’s quality of life, place, workforce and industry, while changing the perception of the region as a low-skill, low-wage trap. Rather than take an El Pasocentric approach to development, the Alliancerecognizes that the region is more attractive and powerful promoting itself with one voice under one umbrella. Upscale shopping for a city its size is in short supply, forcing higher end shoppers out of town. Downtown revitalization, intended to address the 7 Background (continued) dearth of entertainment options, has been slow to take hold. But a new baseball stadium, a streetcar trolley and historic building renovations are being positioned as catalysts for redevelopment. The city has maintained a significant manufacturing sector, but since 2008, the number of factories and the number of employees employed in those factories has been declining. Once focused primarily on textiles, manufacturing has diversified into automotive, biomedical, defense and electronics, and the city is a leading point of shipping and distribution, with direct transportation access to Los Angeles, Denver and the Midwest. The medical sector is showing great promise, with the Medical Center of the Americas, which has created the region’s first private biomedical research facility and a commercialization institute, which the MCA plans to bring online in 2017. The Burrell College of Osteopathic Medicine will bring the region’s number of medical schools to three when it opens in 2016. These medical institutions, spread across Juárez, El Paso and Las Cruces, can leverage each other’s individual strengths and in the process advance regional cooperation. Given the diversity of its economy, El Paso is in a strong position to lead economic cooperation regionally. But more public and private sector leaders will need to relinquish the rivalrous, zero-sum approach to business in favor of a more collaborative outlook that better serves their long-term economic interests. Border inefficiencies are hindering economic activity and regional integration, though governments on both sides of the border are taking steps to reverse this challenge, including adding more border personnel and checkpoints. JUÁREZ Manufacturers began arriving in the border town in the 1960s, drawn by the low-cost labor and proximity to the U.S.. Mexico implemented a free trade agreement with foreign manufacturers that allowed them to bring supplies into the country duty-free and tariff-free to be manufactured and shipped back out to the parent companies. Maquiladora or maquila factories began to spring up and dominate the city, taking advantage of the special arrangement. Migrants workers flocked to Juarez for the higher wages, compared to elsewhere in Mexico. That worker-fed transformation has had an impact on the entire region. Today, there are an estimated 250,000 manufacturing workers in the North American Borderplex Region, 234,000 of them in Juarez. Of those Juarez workers, 215,000 work in maquila factories. But despite that outsized economic imprint, Juárez’ progress has been uneven. Manufacturing in the city lacks diversity, and wages have not kept pace with inflation, tempting residents into the drug trade, which claimed 10,000 lives between 2008 and 2011. Removed from the centers of political influence in Mexico City and Chihuahua City, Juárez has often missed out on crucial developmental funds. Meanwhile, a recent sales tax increase from 11 to 16 percent, puts the city on par with the rest of Mexico, threatens to inflict further economic damage. And yet Juárez’ success remains critical to the region’s as a whole, with 14,000 jobs in El Paso relating directly to the maquilas and millions of retail dollars pouring north of the border annually. The Juárez/El Paso MSA is the largest bilingual, bi-national community on the Mexico/Texas border. Juárez’ murder rate is at its lowest level since 2007, signaling hope for the future. People who fled the violence are returning. New buildings are under construction. Bars and restaurants are reopening. A tourist shuttle from El Paso started service in October 2014. And with Mexico already the world’s top destination for aerospace manufacturing investments, Juárez is positioned to capitalize on the burgeoning aerospace industry in New Mexico and Texas. 8 Background (continued) Security and good governance will be critical to greater wealth production. A lack of civic planning and corruption have led to economic inefficiencies and inadequate infrastructure, while lingering fears of violence have all but shuttered the tourism industry and alienated potential regional partners. Equally important will be for the maquilas to progress into research and design phases of production, as competition from other low-cost locations grows and U.S. companies look to shift more sophisticated phases of manufacturing closer to home. More cooperative partnerships between the maquilas and higher learning institutes through organizations such as CONREDES can help ready Juárez’ workforce for this transition. “The time is right for regional collaboration, but that door will not be open forever.” — Stakeholder Interview Participant DOÑA ANA COUNTY Smaller than its partnering cities, Doña Ana County is no less critical to the region’s success. Southern New Mexico is home to a number of technology-driven entities with the potential for strong regional impact, including White Sands Missile Range and Spaceport America, home to Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic and Elon Musk’s SpaceX. New Mexico State University has the highest research and development expenditures per capita among universities in the region and has signaled a willingness to collaborate with other area universities in areas like production and research and design. White Sands is expected to grow through a greater emphasis on areas like simulated warfare product testing and drone training. New Mexico is strong in life sciences, and sensors is a viable specialty industry. Virgin Galactic and SpaceX are set to introduce the world to space travel, while Ted Turner’s plan to open a nearby luxury resort could help grow tourism beyond the niche of space exploration. Well-rounded growth will require advancement in more traditional sectors as well, such as manufacturing. Manufacturing is down 15% since 2008, though 65% of all new leads are in manufacturing, according to the Mesilla Valley Economic Development Alliance. Doña Ana County is attractive to manufacturers because of its available space and its proximity to Union Pacific Railroad’s new bi-modal facility in nearby Santa Teresa. For Doña Ana County to keep pace with this expansion, area businesses will need to work more closely with technical schools and universities to align skills with the needs of the marketplace. 9 Executive Summary Recovery from the global recession is evident throughout the region. Business is back. In 2014, the Alliance helped a slew of new companies relocate to the area. Datamark and Apogee opened new call centers. Mesa Airlines announced the location of an overnight maintenance facility and Prudential Financial announced a move to the area. Schneider Electric expanded its energy generation operation. Charles Schwab has also announced a customer service center in El Paso. Even Whole Foods has recognized the opportunity available in the bi-national regional market, and is planning a new store location there in 2016. Since its merger and founding in 2012, it is estimated that the Alliance has helped bring more than 3,100 new jobs to the region – a positive indication that regional alliance with strong strategic direction and leadership works effectively in attracting new industries to the area. The interest in the North American Borderplex Region by new industries is hardly surprising. One of the largest international markets in North America, with a population of more than 2.4 million, the region has unique economic advantages, backed by the varied assets of two countries and three states. The region has a lot to offer new industries. It is: Ideally situated at a key location on the largest international border in the world A top trade location for North America, with $48.1 billion of maquila exports, surpassing giant Tijuana in foreign purchases from maquilas The number one border area in terms of post-secondary education, with five top universities The only border area that can lay claim to three medical schools Number one in border regions for university R&D expenditures The highest college student population by workforce per capita of any border region 10 The second largest manufacturing employment center on the Mexico/U.S. border One of the largest bi-national, bilingual communities in the world U.S. companies are breaking out of the recessionary slump with plans. The escalation of nearshoring manufacturing processes will continue as those U.S. companies react further to the rising labor and cultural costs of doing business in Asia and the reduction of transportation costs that come from proximity. Energy costs in other countries relative to the U.S. and Mexico are rising dramatically, and the new reforms in Mexico along with continued fracking technology could act to lower costs further. Mexico is now ranked as more competitive than China and Russia for manufacturing operations by industry watchers, including BCG, which found that Mexico has lower unit manufacturing costs than China in 2014. Even traditionally cost-competitive countries such as Indonesia are losing ground due to lack of logistics control. Mexico’s aggressive new energy policies will open up unconventional fields along the border to international drilling companies with advanced fracking technology. Torchlight Energies has acquired 172,000 acres in the Orogrande Basin and will soon begin exploratory drilling that could triple wellheads in the area. If these new fields prove viable and cost productive, energy could become a major economic driver. The length of impact will depend on many factors , including the price of oil, the cost of local production and the play of the field. In this environment of new opportunity, the Alliance is striving for the stronger unification of the El Paso, Juárez and Las Cruces area as one dominant force in international markets. Executive Summary BORDERPLEX STRATEGIC VISION workforce basin spans large areas in two countries, adding a seemingly unending supply of highly trainable blue collar workers with good work ethic, strong productivity and a talent for innovation. To unite the El Paso, Juárez, Las Cruces and Southern New Mexico areas as one powerfully integrated economic region; working with local economic development organizations to competitively promote the combined assets of the region on a global level. Banded together, the three states and three cities have much greater standing when approaching state and federal governments to lobby for much needed funding for infrastructure. The unification of the region into one cohesive region is a critical step on the road to success for the communities in the Paso del Norte area. It allows cities more control of economic development and the ammunition needed to become much better-equipped players in the global arena. Everyone wins through regionalization. That is why, worldwide, communities are banding together to multiply their impact and stand out above the crowd. Too many silos exist in the region today. Too many stories are being told about the cities and the assets to be found in the region. It confuses the market and diminishes the power that could be wielded by the region as a whole. The North American Borderplex Region has one great story to tell. Each city adds a rich chapter. The area forms an exemplary regional market, with diverse industries and dynamic universities that introduce a constant pipeline of skilled workers looking for jobs in the area. The 11 The region encompasses three unique cities, each with its own culture, residential environment and business climate. Each city has important assets to bring to the table. Juárez has the blue collar workforce, the population and the maquilas. El Paso brings logistics and distribution, UTEP, retail and Fort Bliss. Las Cruces adds geographic advantage, available land, NMSU and the White Sands Missile Range. Combined, the cities give the area the strength and flexibility to attract the kinds of new industries needed and to grow its economy strategically. Leveraged together, their assets have the scope to attract a range of integrated industries no one city could attract on its own. The diversity provided by regional alliance allows El Paso, Juárez and Las Cruces to each achieve more stability and better weather adversity. In the new age of globalized industry competition, no one should be left to battle alone. Executive Summary The region is blessed not only with a large number of assets with which to stand out above the competition, but also in the strength of those assets. Key regional assets include: •Geographic and International Border Location •Abundant, Low-Cost Workforce •World Class Manufacturing Infrastructure •Low Cost of Doing Business •Low Cost of Living •Strong Universities and Medical Schools •Strong Life Sciences Factors •Military Presence •Bi-national, Bilingual Culture •Tourism Elements Corruption in Mexico has been imbedded in the government and business culture of the area for generations. The result has been a confusion as to the cost of doing business, illogical housing developments and the unusual placement of assets in the region. Easing the level of corruption would benefit economic productivity. The maquilas in Juárez have powered the regional economy and put the region on the international map. The growth of the manufacturing industry and the lack of growth in others has created a lack of diversity of industries in the city. The distance of all three regional anchor cities from their national and state realms of influence has resulted in a lack of adequate infrastructure funding. That lack of funding has created a significant problem with delay issues at border crossings. Important considerations in a strong economic development strategic plan are issues within the region that could deter optimal growth. All communities have challenges to address. The key is the identification of important issues and the action to address them. While the region has an extremely strong workforce base relocating from areas in and outside the cities, industry leaders complained of a lack of soft skills and higher-level technical training. The escalation of violence in Juárez from 2008 through 2012 had a palpable impact on businesses, workforce and many industries, especially tourism. While the violence has dropped dramatically from the peak, a higher than normal level still exists, and the perception of violence still mars the area. 12 The understanding of opportunities that the region may be able to capitalize upon in the years ahead is an important component in developing the strongest strategic plan. So is the assessment of risks the region faces. The following SWOT chart provides an assessment of a fuller range of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats inherent to the current regional market. Companies need to develop upward mobility paths and educate workers on how to move ahead. -- Stakeholder Focus Group Participant Borderplex SWOT Strengths Weaknesses Geographic/International Location Driver of Major Logistics/Distribution Route Low Freight Costs Low Labor Costs Low Cost of Living Large, Young Labor Source Sunlight Factor Reputation for Product Quality Major Military Bases Strong Universities Strong Hospitals/Medical Schools/Healthcare Emerging Life Sciences High Number of Graduating Engineers Varied Tax /Incentive Options Bilingual/Bi-cultural Lack of Appropriate Workforce Skills/Inadequate Career Paths Lack of Adequate Industry Diversification Underdeveloped Supply Chain Inadequate Freight Rail Infrastructure Inadequate Port Entry Infrastructure Perception of Violence Distance from Realms of Influence/Lack of Regional Lobbying Weak Public Education/Low Graduation Rates Areas of High Poverty Disassociated Governments Lack of Direct Communication with Businesses Lack of Trust Between Key Stakeholders Inadequate Venture Capital/Angel Funding Lack of Regional Incentive Planning Opportunities Threats Regional Coordination of Local EDOs Defense Cutbacks Additional Leverage of International Airports, Especially Freight Future Military Base Downsizing Coordinated Historical/Cultural/Space Port Tourism Corruption Medical/Biomed/Medical Tourism Violence/Drug Trade/Gang Activity Integrated Aerospace Manufacturing, Testing Water Supply Santa Teresa/Airports/Union Pacific Lack of Regional Team Play by Politicians Advanced/Value Added Manufacturing Increased Retention of Retiring Military Personnel, University Graduates Increased Cooperation between Universities New Oil and Gas Production from the Western Permian Basin Reshoring Trend 13 Executive Summary To better understand the dynamics that drive the regional economy, AngelouEconomics studied the market through an examination of four important factors: •Quality of Life •Workforce and Education •Business Climate •Infrastructure advancement into higher-skilled job categories. That lack of career paths tied into the blue collar workforce translates into very little possibility of upward mobility for many low-wage workers. Poverty has a significant impact on life in the region. “The time is right for regional collaboration, but that door will not be open forever.” QUALITY OF LIFE A rich culture is woven through the North American Borderplex Region, and the ability to experience a different country and a different perspective to life requires only a walk or drive across the border. Not only does that provide incoming businesses and employees a more interesting daily life, but the protected hereditary genetics also helped attract a Texas Tech medical school to El Paso and provide significant opportunity for clinical testing, adaptive medical research and responsive bi-cultural product and media testing. Fairly unique to the quality of life in the area is the dual structure of the population. Two distinct worlds appear to exist in the region, especially in Juárez. One world is inhabited by white collar and management employees, along with some highly-skilled blue collar workers that exist in accordance with a higher pay scale, live in a different standard of housing and have a different general quality of life than low-skill workers and the long-term unemployed. There are 215,000 maquila workers in Juárez. Wages for those workers are low, and there is very little opportunity for 14 Juárez is the population driver for the region, giving the large population of low-skilled workers that live there more of an impact on the regional economy than more affluent population segments in other areas. Without strategic intervention through strong economic development, the regional population will likely experience slow to moderate growth through 2030. -- Stakeholder Interview Respondent The lower cost of living in the region offsets the lower income levels for white collar workers, allowing companies to benefit from the lower wage expense without significantly reducing the quality of life for employees that would impede employee attraction. The same relative number of residents pay 25 percent or more of their income for housing in the region (64.4%) as in the U.S. on average (63%).The balancing of lower cost of living with lower wages is less true for unskilled workers. Low crime rates in El Paso and Las Cruces are a positive factor in attracting both businesses and people interested in living in the area. High violent crime in Juárez, though significantly decreasing since its peak in 2010, is still at a level that could deter many businesses and white collar workers. Perception of crime can linger a long time after the issue begins to normalize, making a directed approach to marketing the decreasing crime rate in Juárez a priority. Executive Summary WORKFORCE AND EDUCATION BUSINESS CLIMATE The development of the huge manufacturing industry in the region sprung from the area’s large, low-cost work force from Mexico. The supply of those workers continues unhindered today, but the skill level of those workers is basic. Employers throughout the region report a lack of adequate soft skills and a shortage of highly trained technical workers. Maquila owners and plant managers report that the factories must take on the responsibility of adequately training workers, even local engineering graduates. A lack of appropriate jobs and low wage levels force graduates from NMSU and UTEP to relocate out of the area upon graduation. Most jobs in El Paso are in the retail sector, while in Las Cruces/Doña Ana County healthcare and social assistance accounted for the largest share of jobs followed by retail. In Juárez the bulk of jobs are found in manufacturing related to maquilas. Two large U.S. universities, New Mexico State University and the University of Texas at El Paso, account for $220 million in R & D expenditures, and issue roughly 13,000 undergraduate and graduate degrees a year, most of them in the humanities, business and engineering. The Autonomous University of Juarez has 24,000 students within engineering and technology programs, accounting for upward of 5,000 graduates, biosciences more than 6,000 and social sciences around 8,000. R&D funding at Autonomous is estimated at $12,000. Much of the R & D is concentrated on engineering-related fields like aerospace, biomedicine, and electronics. Juárez is also home to several sizeable universities with significant programs and graduates. The region has two medical schools now operating and a third expected to open in 2016. Low venture capital levels are reported by local entrepreneurs. 15 Business climate in the region is generally supportive. A byproduct of three different state governments, it will be a challenge to coordinate similar policies for prospective businesses. Permitting processes and incentive policies should be reviewed for more regional collaboration opportunities. Varying tax structures allow companies the option to locate within city that offers the best option for that company. “The time is right for regional collaboration, but that door will notleaders be open Juarez business reportedforever.” that corruption helps shape the business environment. Region-wide, licensing and permitting is affected by the level of personal connections a company has -- Stakeholder Interview developed and nepotism has an impact on how Respondent things run throughout the region. The large number of medical schools in the area have a positive impact on the business environment, as does the region’s strong military presence. Corporate tax rates in Texas and New Mexico are moderately attractive, as are sales taxes in the two U.S. states. New Mexico offers a very low property tax rate. While Texas has a high property tax rate, it has no state income tax, and ranks high in terms of business friendliness. Both states offer considerable incentives to attract new businesses. Combined with the options in Juarez, the cities offer many options for tailoring location benefits. Reliable, comprehensive business and economic data in Juárez is hard to collect, and when available is not comparable to data on the U.S. side of the border. More lobbying efforts are needed to overcome the lack of government attention. Executive Summary INFRASTRUCTURE The high level of manufacturing, international trade and logistics and distribution activity in the region makes infrastructure a critical element of a healthy economy. The region has a superior geographic location for North American trade. An interconnected series of highways in good condition tie the area to the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. and Canada and to Phoenix and Tucson. Highways also connect the region with a good portion of North Central Mexico. All three cities have active commercial corridors. Although the region boasts international airports in both El Paso and Juárez, air service appears lacking to adequately support direct business travel and to move significant amounts of freight. The Alliance is currently active in a campaign to increase direct flights to and from El Paso, which would result in a considerable attraction factor for companies that conduct national and international businesses. The area has five inland port or border crossing stations. Infrastructure and personnel at stations are insufficient to handle either the amount of trucks that must flow through the area to transport goods north from maquilas in Juárez or supplies south from the U.S. Long delays cost businesses dependent on the interstate movement of cargo in terms of employee time and lost contracts. More open lanes and larger numbers of agents staffing the port infrastructures are badly needed. Rail infrastructure in the region is not established logistically to offer much assistance with the transportation of manufactured goods, adding to the stress on vehicle port stations and on the highways that feed them. Union Pacific’s new Santa Teresa station was built by the company as a fueling station and to improve the logistics of 16 transporting their existing supply. UP does not see the viability of increasing north-south rail transportation in the region, but instead supports the expansion of bi-modal truck-to-rail methods. Industrial space costs less in the region than in other Mexico/U.S. border cities. The market in Juárez took a heavy hit during the recession, and recovery signs only began to appear in 2012 and 2013. Both El Paso and Juárez currently have significant vacant industrial space, keeping the cost of space low and attractive to prospective businesses. Construction is underway in the north, west, central and southeast areas of the city. “The time is right for regional collaboration, but that door will not be open forever.” -- Stakeholder Interview Respondent Housing in the area is an attraction point for the North American Borderplex Region. It is primarily newer single-family, detached infrastructure with affordable pricing. El Paso outperformed the U.S. in housing statistics during the recession, aided in part by increasing troop numbers at Fort Bliss and subsequent low vacancy rates. Las Cruces was harder hit by tough times, with a 32 percent increase in vacant housing infrastructure. Juárez suffered not only from the recession in both Mexico and the U.S., but also from the affects of an extreme surge in violent crime that suppressed investment in the area and drove some manufacturing to other locations. Many workers lost their jobs in the 2007-2012 time period. The double hit of unemployment and fear of violent crime caused many residents to flee the area, building a large surplus in unoccupied housing. Overall, the availability of vacant housing in the region has helped suppress housing values, making the purchase of a home less expensive for workers moving into the area. Executive Summary STAKEHOLDER SURVEY An online survey ran in both English and Spanish versions during the month of October 2014, offering regional businesses and residents an opportunity to weigh in about economic development in the area. In total, 865 people responded to the survey: 562 residents and 303 businesses. Residents clearly indicated a need for more and higher-level jobs in the area and a desire for more public and private investment in high tech infrastructure. Public education was ranked as a very important factor, but the quality of that public education in the region was perceived as lacking. Residents asked for more affordable housing, better skills training for students and more support for entrepreneurship. Most reported they felt there had been significant improvements in safety in the region during the last five years. Business respondents said that the region was a good place for business. They indicated a need for improvements to the number, quality, efficiency and personnel investment of port crossings as the number one area need. The most important factors to local businesses were reported to be access to customers and the attraction and retention of a skilled workforce. Juárez businesses cited security concerns as a roadblock to expansion. Businesses also reported issues with unreliable labor, accessibility of capital and insufficient infrastructure. 17 Business respondents expressed a need to grow existing manufacturing sectors and to diversify into new types of product areas. A need to develop and integrate the local supply chain was also reported. “The time is right for regional collaboration, that door willof AngelouEconomics will now turn but attention to the next part the economic project - the analysis of notdevelopment be openstrategy forever.” NEXT STEPS target industries and a business case analysis. Stakeholder Interview Respondent To determine which--industries offer the most opportunity and the highest potential for attraction to the North American Borderplex Region, AE will conduct cluster analysis and occupational analysis to determine needed work skills. As a part of that analysis, growth potential and national and global trends will be taken into consideration. AE will also provide a cost of operations model that a potential business would face when considering location to the area. Top site selectors will also be surveyed to determine their current perceptions of the region as a potential site for their clients. The final phase of the economic development project will be the development of an action plan that can lead the way to the realization of the strategic goals for the region. Borderplex Assets Today, the North American Borderplex Region stands in a strong position, ready to compete with a great deal of advantage in the global market. To do that, the region will benefit from strategic economic alliances and the full leverage of all the assets at its disposal. Fortunately, the community has an enviable arsenal of advantages to draw upon. Those assets will actively support development initiatives that will help local businesses grow and allow the region to stand heads above the crowd in attracting new industries. INTERNATIONAL BORDER LOCATION The Mexico/U.S. border is one of the busiest international borders in the world, and the El Paso/Juárez area is the second busiest land port along that border, surpassed only by San Diego/Tijuana’s San Ysidro entry port. The area has strong, well-connected highway transportation infrastructure. Last year, more than $46 billion moved from Mexico through the El Paso/Juárez border. That powerful advantage gives the region opportunity to become one of the best practice regions for international logistics and distribution and opens the door for even greater numbers and more diverse types of manufacturing as well as innovative new industries. Mexican-Side US-Side Student Student University Population as Population as Total Exports Total Exports Total Labor Force R&D a Share of a Share of (U.S.)* (Mexico)** Expenditures Total Total Workforce Population Region Population Borderplex 2.4 Million 950 Thousand 8.6% 13.5% $233 Million $14.8 Billion $46.4 Billion San Diego/Tijuana 4.7 Million 2.2 Million 8.2% 11.8% $1.2 Billion $17.9 Billion $30.7 Billion Laredo/Nueva Laredo 650 Thousand 250 Thousand 7.6% 10.2% $3.3 Million $5.5 Billion $91.6 Billion McAllen/Reynosa 1.4 Million 560 Thousand 6.6% 8.5% Brownsville/Matamoros 900 Thousand 350 Thousand 8.0% 7.3% $9 Million $5.2 Billion $16.6 Billion $8.3 Million $4.6 Billion *Data reflects exports from U.S. through the regional ports. **Data reflects exports from Mexico through the regional ports. 18 $5.9 Billion Borderplex Assets ABUNDANT, LOW-COST WORKFORCE The North American Borderplex Region has another major asset to offer industries - one of North America’s largest workforce basins, with 850,000 people currently employed and a steady supply of workers ready to fill new positions. The regional workforce is diversely skilled, inexpensive and multilingual. Local universities graduate large numbers of engineers and technically-oriented potential workers each year, and three major military bases add highly-skilled retiring troops and military spouses to the range of skills available. Manufacturing Employment as a Share of Total Population 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 13.1% 10.4% 8.1% 5.4% 5.1% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% A sizeable portion of the workforce is employed in retail, manufacturing, hospitality and customer relations. The region is the largest manufacturing center per capita in North America, with 250,000 production employees. Maquilas in Juárez specialize in Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics assembling a range of electronics, automotive parts, plastics, and metals. Highly trained-technical workers in the region include experts EXISTING MANUFACTURING HUB in specialized areas, including defense, and healthcare. The region is the second largest per capita manufacturing area in the U.S among the top manufacturing cities identified by Forbes Total Foreign Payments for Maquiladora Goods and magazine. There are 310 Maquila factories now operating in Juárez Services (2008-2013) that contribute to the $46.4 billion a year in exports from Juárez into Juárez Tijuana the U.S. The manufacturing industry in the region is rebounding Querétaro Nuevo Laredo $6,000,000,000 Reynosa Matamoros from the effects of the recession with predictions for strong growth in the coming years. Juárez began out-producing giant Tijuana in $5,000,000,000 2012. $4,000,000,000 A low-cost workforce helped send the region to the top of the charts for manufacturing industries, but today many maquila owners are expanding into more advanced manufacturing processes, implementing more innovative equipment and vertically integrating into more complete product manufacturing. That shift will help to diversify the workforce and develop higher regional skill levels. $3,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 19 Borderplex Assets UNIVERSITIES At 13.5%, the region has an impressively high percentage of university students to its adult population on the U.S. side of the border. That provides a significant draw to industries positioning themselves into an educated population and workforce. The region’s three main universities, the University of Texas at El Paso, New Mexico State University in Las Cruces, and the Autonomous University of Juárez together employ more than 8,000 people. Their location has been crucial to regional economic development. UTEP and NMSU’s research and development expenditures amount to more than $221 million and cover a widerange of fields, including life sciences and engineering, computer science and physical science. Other research focuses include agricultural science and aerospace. LIFE SCIENCES Academic R&D Expenditures in El Paso/Las Cruces by Discipline (2013) $24,528,000 Engineering $3,861,000 Computer Science Environmental Science Life Science $95,458,000 $54,461,000 Mathematical Science Physical Science $5,925,000 $9,905,000 Source: National Science Foundation There are two publicly funded medical schools now operating in the region, and a third private medical school is set to open soon. The health, neuroscience, infectious diseases, cancer, Hispanic health medical schools are a draw to many life sciences industries, related and cell physiology. Both have a reputation for the installation and companies, technology developers and manufacturers, prescription use of innovative medical machine technology. drug companies and suppliers. The Burrell College of Osteopathic Medicine in Las Cruces is set to The Texas Tech Paul L. Foster School of Medicine in El Paso and the open in 2016, with an eventual planned enrollment of 1,200 Universidad Autonoma de Cuidad Juárez Institute of Biomedical students. The combination of three highly regarded medical Sciences. Both have highly-respected department heads and staff. schools is an important advantage that will attract the attention of They focus research and funding in biomedical, genetics, diabetes, industries from research companies, to engineering firms to medical equipment manufacturers. environmental 20 Borderplex Assets CULTURAL DIVERSITY The area has been building a healthy bilingual, bi-national community for more than 400 years. The result is one of the largest bi-cultural drawing points in North America. The pull was strong enough to lure the Texas Tech Paul L. Foster School of Medicine into El Paso, based in large part on the opportunity to study genetic impact on diseases in an area where families have remained together for generations and where large household populations still exist. The medical school also has research focused on Hispanic health. Other industries and organizations that benefit from bilingual population or from the preserved bi-national culture will highly value the cultural strength of the area. The region would be ideal for private academies offering immersion classes in both English and Spanish. LOW COST OF DOING BUSINESS/COST OF LIVING EXPENSES The cost of doing business in the area is low, with lower wages, a variety of tax environments and a low cost of procuring labor. At the same time, the community offers a high standard of living, as money goes further in the area, with lower housing costs, rent, and a price parity index that affords residents nearly 10 percent more buying power. The combination of low cost of business and living expenses is a heady mix to offer a wide range of prospective businesses looking for higher profit margins and the ability to attract a large workforce. 21 Old Stage on the Butterfield Trail “There is a rich history between El Paso and Juárez - a lot that people have forgotten. The whole region should be a living museum of culture.” -- Stakeholder Interview Respondent Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía Borderplex Assets MILITARY Combined regional military bases employ thousands, contribute billions of dollars to the regional economy, and boost demand for contractors and specialized talent in the region. The area is home to three major military bases - Fort Bliss, Holloman Air Force Base and White Sands Missile Range. Together the bases cover more than 3 million acres of land, and have been critical in cushioning the region from the effects of the global economic downturn. They compliment the region’s growing focus on science- and technology- driven industries. They are a major attraction factor for industries with ties to aerospace, aviation and defense contracting and provide leverage for the manufacture of related materials. Significant downsizing of some bases is expected in the future. Holloman trains pilots, and tests and maintains manned and unmanned aircraft. It supports about 21,000 military personnel, retirees and their families and estimates its regional economic impact to be nearly $700 million. The location of nearby space ports and plans for the well-financed development of adjoining property into resort facilities offer a possibility to leverage tourism with the aerospace and related aspects of military bases, manufacturing and testing facilities. White Sands is among the largest military installations in the U.S. and tests weapons in the U.S. military’s arsenal. It conducts research, development and training for the military, as well as select private and public entities, including NASA. The base is also an alternate orbiter landing site and a training site for astronauts preparing for shuttle missions. Fort Bliss Army base specializes in brigade modernization and missile defense, among other areas, and is fitted to conduct live exercises with most U.S. army weaponry. Construction on the base has grown rapidly in recent years, as it begins to house more soldiers and conduct more heavy armor training and maneuver exercises. Total personnel civilians employed by the base is approximately 37,000 and its economic impact is $5 billion, according to a 2013 UTEP study. 22 TOURISM The region has vast potential for the development of tourism industries. The rich past of the combined area draws together the opportunity to develop a triad of related cultural sites drawing on the history of the Old West in El Paso, Old Mexico and Mexican culture in Juárez, and Native American history and culture in Las Cruces. Developing cooperative tourism locations and industries that tie together planned activities could provide an interesting draw for domestic as well as international tourists. Challenges WORKFORCE SKILLS A common complaint found among employers in all cities was a shortage of “soft skills,” which cover communication, social graces and overall professionalism. Much of the white collar workforce comes to the market with strong creative and theory skills, but lacks needed practical experience. The regional workforce notes a shortage of career opportunities, particularly for low-skill maquila workers. That in turn is stunting skills development in the existing workforce. Low wages are also reducing workforce commitment to develop higher skills outside the workplace. Universities are now beginning to focus on soft skills as a workforce issue. Many have begun to offer courses in English as a second language and have added certification courses to boost the skill levels and diversity of the blue collar workforce. Community colleges in the area appear to have a focus on advancing students into four-year universities. It could be necessary to develop more community college focus on the development of mid-level skill sets and certifications. BORDER INFRASTRUCTURE Roughly 18 percent of U.S.-Mexico trade crosses El Paso and Juárez. Border waits and operating hours have affected businesses’ bottom lines, notably in the maquila industry. Some maquila management noted that Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT) status, which fast tracks an operation’s shipments, can save a major company an estimated $1 million USD annually. 23 But most maquilas ship cargo without C-TPAT status, resulting in costs rather than savings. Growth in border crossings has outstripped infrastructural improvements. Improvements to one side are less impactful without improvements to the other; five lanes on the U.S. side of the Zaragoza bridge, for instance, are met by two on the Mexican. The completion of the TornilloGuadalupe Bridge, the crossing at Santa-Teresa-San Jeronimo, and the all-lanes initiative are expected to alleviate traffic to an extent. Meanwhile, U.S. Customs and Border Patrol is exploring technologies that would reduce wait times. Juárez and El Paso authorities are considering an all-electric, 15-mile elevated monorail to ship cargo between the two sides. Obtaining the appropriate funding for these measures will be challenging, as members of Congress don’t represent border districts and fail to make the connection between border efficiencies and the national economies. INDUSTRY DIVERSIFICATION The region is heavily dependent on manufacturing, within which much of the activity centers on electronics and automotive parts. Greater diversification will advance skills development and grow employment opportunities. It will attract more dynamic forms of investment, create new linkages between regional entities, grow profit margins and cushion the region during economic downturns. Challenges UNDERDEVELOPED SUPPLY CHAIN Most inputs into the maquila sector’s supply chain come from abroad. The remaining mostly tier-2, -3, and -4 manufacturing processes pressure wages downward and stunt skills development. Local employers often cite skills shortages among their reasons for not growing their supply chains. Mexico in fact produces 100,000 engineering graduates a year (more than Germany and Canada combined, according to MFI International), while several maquila managers in Juárez we spoke with ranked available talent in Juárez very high in terms of competency. Localizing supply chains can improve speed to market, intellectual property protection, freight and input costs and quality control. It will also deepen the maquila industry’s ties to the local economy, facilitating the goal of greater regional cooperation. DISTANCE FROM CENTERS OF INFLUENCE Juárez and El Paso are on the farthest edges of their states’ respective centers of influence and farther still from their countries’ federal seats of power. This has made it difficult to get an ear on issues of local importance. The fact is many of the region’s most pressing issues, from border infrastructure to industry diversification, impact Mexico and the U.S. as a whole. Local government and business leaders will need to communicate this connection at the national level, and lobby their cause relentlessly, highlighting similar successes from around the world wherever possible. 24 VIOLENCE The media have noted with some regularity that the violence in Juárez has not slowed down the maquila industry; to be sure, foreign direct investment per capita in Juárez remains among the highest in Mexico. This storyline, however, does not account for the surge in investment the region may have received if Juárez had not become one of the world’s deadliest cities. During the peak years of violence between 2008 and 2010, global players including automakers and toy manufacturers settled in other parts of Mexico. Tourism across the region took a hit, as many tourists used to land in El Paso and Las Cruces with an eye toward stepping across the border. Homicides may be down substantially – from a peak of 3,700 homicides in 2010 to 497 last year – but further improvements to Juárez’ reputation are essential to realizing regional goals, from growing medical tourism to moving up the value-added chain. “If you want something done in Mexico, you have to have feet planted in Mexico City.” --Focus Group Respondent Factor Analysis Quality of Life Workforce & Education Business Climate Infrastructure BUSINESS CLIMATE - The general environment for and factors affecting business establishment and growth including key economic drivers, permitting, business costs, tax climate, availability of capital, access to markets, and incentives. WORKFORCE AND EDUCATION - The available workers and their skill levels and experience. Important factors include colleges and universities, workforce training programs and young professionals. SITES AND INFRASTRUCTURE - The resources necessary to the functioning of a community and economy including available land, real estate product balance and availability, utility infrastructure, transportation and telecommunication . QUALITY OF LIFE - The factors affecting the daily experience of community members, including cost of living, housing, healthcare, crime rates, recreation and entertainment, and others. 25 QUALITY OF LIFE QUALITY OF LIFE Las Cruces Cultural Heritage Festival Photo by Ben Vilmer El Paso Fun Run Quality of Life Quality of life is an important factor in economic development, competitiveness and prosperity. Studies suggest that strong quality of life fosters creativity, innovation, entrepreneurism and business growth. Businesses around the world are paying more attention to quality of life factors when deciding where to locate and expand. Environmental quality, culturally desirable working and living conditions, safety, quality healthcare, convenient amenities, good schools and a sense of place set the stage for a high quality of life. There are standard indicators by which to evaluate quality of life in an area, including cost of living, household Income, rent levels, and commute times. But there are many other factors that can come into play when determining how easy and satisfying it can be to live in a community. The region is somewhat unusual in that it supports two distinctly separate standards of living within its one community. This is particularly true in Juárez, where white collar workers and their families live in accordance with one wage scale, while unskilled workers live under a separate and much lower range of wages. Overall, quality of life is good in the region. Income levels are lower than average, but a pay check goes further due to lower costs of living. Commute time is reasonable, as long as a border crossing is not required. While large areas of poverty exist, vast numbers of people have migrated to the area in search of jobs and a better quality of life. The colorful and cooperative bi-national, bi-cultural, bilingual personality of the area is one of the region’s strongest assets. It helps bind the region together with a unique and valuable character. The 27 variety of cultures in the area – Western American, Hispanic and Native American – and a long and colorful history, provide potential for much greater leveraging of tourist activities. The large bilingual population also affords advantages for attracting additional international companies. The multi-cultural region could be a rich location for major Spanish-as-a-second-language and English-as-a-second-language immersion learning institutions. Juárez is the population and workforce driver of Chihuahua State and of the region, with a city population estimated at more than 1.4 million. Of the 950,000 workers in the North American Borderplex Region, it is estimated that more than half (500,000) live in Juárez. The population of Juárez is estimated to have jumped a remarkable 75 percent between 1990 and 2013. Less than half the size of Juárez, El Paso (614,433) grew roughly 30 percent between 1990-2013, comparable to the average U.S. growth rate of 27 percent. The smaller city of Las Cruces (101,324), grew at double the U.S. average at a rate of 60 percent during the 13year time period. The region felt the bite of the recession. Growth in El Paso slowed to 12 percent between 2008 and 2013, and growth in Las Cruces slowed further to six percent. Juárez suffered a double hit from the recession and a violent crime wave. Estimates vary for the impact on the city in terms of population , but it is likely the city lost a slight percentage of population during the time period. Quality of Life Without major changes in economic policy, experts predict growth will be slow to moderate in the region through 2030. Median Household Income (2013) For many years, the region, Juárez in particular, has been known for its seemingly endless supply of low-wage workers. This has been a boon to the manufacturing and low-skill industries for the last 50 years. That low-wage factor will continue to attract companies looking to nearshore manufacturing processes. But the flip side of a low-wage workforce is a population with low incomes, a factor that affects quality of life. Borderplex cities and businesses will need to strike balance between the attraction of industries through low wages and salary levels necessary to maintain quality of life. $60,000 Both personal income and household income are much lower in El Paso and Las Cruces than in the benchmark city of San Antonio and much lower than the U.S. average. Nearly half the households in Las Cruces and 45 percent of El Paso households earn less than $35,000 a year. Real per capita personal income in El Paso is only 71 percent of the U.S. average and only 72 percent in Las Cruces. $10,000 For practical purposes, there appear to be two distinct wage structures governing Juárez, one for unskilled labor and one for higher level employees and executives. The differences between wages earned by the two segments vary dramatically, making averages and medians less meaningful. The average salaries for white collar jobs in the city are estimated to range from $25,000 USD for an engineer to $132,000 USD for a plant manager. Wages for unskilled workers are estimated to range between $2,600 to $5,000 USD per year. While income levels are lower than average in the area, a paycheck stretches further due to lower rent prices and other costs of living. In general, prices are nine percent lower in El Paso and seven percent lower in Las Cruces than in other U.S. cities. Prices in Juárez for most commodities are lower than in sister city El Paso, and lower than in the benchmark city of Querètaro. 28 $51,716 $52,250 San Antonio MSA US $50,000 $40,000 $39,195 $35,098 $30,000 $20,000 $0 El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA Sources: U.S. Census Bureau The prices residents pay for housing each month in El Paso and Las Cruces are in line with lower salaries. El Paso and Las Cruces residents pay 20 percent less than the U.S. median rent. In general, regional residents pay the same percentage of their monthly income on housing as most other U.S. residents. Housing values are lower along the border than in other parts of the U.S. Housing prices in Juárez vary greatly. NUMBEO reported that an average 1,500 square-foot home in the center of the city would cost $372,000 USD, and the same size house outside the central area would cost $257,000 USD. These values appear high, and likely do not represent the cost of all segments of housing in the city. Quality of Life city. Molloy attributes the escalation of homicides to drug cartel wars and gang extortion. Cooperation by citizen groups and the government has helped to bring the murder rate down. Violent crime does not appear to have spilled across the border. El Paso violent crime rates are similar to other areas of the U.S., and Las Cruces has less violent crime than average. Tourism is already beginning to return to the area. Buses transporting passengers from downtown El Paso to downtown Juárez and back each day launched services in the summer of 2014. Borderplex bikers As long as commuters do not cross the border into Mexico each day, they spend less time getting to their jobs than most people in the U.S. Overwhelmingly, El Paso and Las Cruces commuters drove alone to and from their jobs. Virtually none of them used public transportation. In contrast, nearly 40 percent of Juárez residents take public or private buses to work. With income levels drastically lower in the city, fewer people own vehicles. The wave of homicides in Juárez that escalated in 2008 and began to diminish in 2012 has had a severe impact on the region. Violent crime, and the lingering perception of high violent crime, has deterred tourism, consumer activity and business location in the area. A New Mexico State University study by Molly Molloy shows the peak of the crime wave hit in 2010 with 3,622 homicides in the city. Molloy Poverty has a significant impact on quality of life within the region. Children who grow up in families in poverty are at greater risk of low educational achievement, lower income earnings, heavier reliance on government social programs and higher likelihood of criminal activity and incarceration. A Colegio de la Frontera study last year found that nearly half a million Juárez residents live in poverty or extreme poverty, and 37 percent of the population is unable to provide for basic needs. During interviews with stakeholders, business owners repeatedly listed poverty as a leading contributor to inadequate regional workforce skills. Strategic economic development planning, diversification of industries and de theCiudad introduction of new types of jobs into the Catedral Juárez Chihuahua region will do much to combat poverty in the long term. Cathedral de Cuidad Juárez 29 Quality of Life: Population Regional Population Estimates (2013) 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,445,474 2,000,000 2,277,516 Juárez is the population center of the region with more than 1.4 million residents. The combined region outnumbers even the San Antonio MSA in sheer population. 1,475,165 1,500,000 841,282 1,000,000 500,000 Barring a change in economic development planning, growth for the area is expected to be slow through 2020 and moderate into 2030. 0 Borderplex McAllen Region Querétaro San Antonio MSA Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; Secretaria de Gobernacion – Consejo Nacional de Poblacion Population Projections (2020-2030) 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,565,790 2,332,250 2,000,000 1,727,491 1,528,129 1,500,000 1,000,000 1,016,031 918,943 1,014,713 893,961 500,000 0 2020 Borderplex (City Population Only) 2030 McAllen/ Reynosa Sources: Texas State Water Board; City of Las Cruces; Secretaria de Gobernacion – Consejo Nacional de Poblacion 30 Queretaro San Antonio Quality of Life: Population Average Household Size (2013) 4 3.6 3.1 2.9 3 2.7 The current size of households in El Paso and Juárez is higher than the average size of a U.S. household. This is likely due, in part, to culture, and in part to the fact that wages in the area are low. The larger household size is indicative of larger family size and an increased burden on the economy presented by non-working residents. 2 1 0 El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US The lower average household size in Las Cruces could be a result of the number of older university students living in the smaller city with permanent resident status. Source: U.S. Census Bureau; Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía Average Household Size (2000-2010) Juárez 5 4 4.1 4.2 4.0 Querétaro 4.5 Chihuahua Household size has been decreasing slightly in Juárez and Querètaro. The three cities are not affording more living space to residents than rural communities within each state. Querétaro (State) 4.2 3.8 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.6 2005 2010 3 2 1 0 2000 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 31 Quality of Life: Demographics The majority of residents in El Paso and Las Cruces are Hispanic or a cultural mix that includes Hispanic. The Hispanic Juárez population is subdivided into a number of indigenous Indian and other contributive backgrounds. Race and Ethnicity (2013) 100% 0.2% 1.4% 2.0% 90% The cooperative bi-racial, bi-cultural, bilingual nature of the region is one of the area’s greatest strengths. El Paso/Juárez is the largest bi-national, bi-racial single community in North America. Centuries of healthy coexistence have produced a regional community with no obvious major racial tensions. 17.1% 80% 5.0% 54.5% 70% 60% 3.2% 12.3% Household sizes are larger, and many families have remained intact within the region for decades. The moderate isolation of the area helps to preserve ethnicities over time. This large pool of protected genetic and ethnic populations has attracted significant interest from researchers, including decision makers that opted to locate a medical school in El Paso. 78.1% 91.0% 50% 2.1% 40% 6.2% 62.4% 30% 20% 10% 1.0% 2.8% “In this area, we don’t really see color. We see the faces of next-door neighbors, the clerk at Home Depot, doctors, teachers and all the other people who make up our daily life. Race is not a divider here. We celebrate and share our different cultures.” 35.1% 16.7% 1.0% 0.4% 7.3% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA 0% San Antonio MSA White (non Hispanic) Black (non Hispanic) Hispanic or Latino Other US Asian (non Hispanic) — Stakeholder Interview Participant Source: U.S. Census Bureau 32 Quality of Life: Household Incomes Household Income by Income Group (2013) 100% 4.8% 3.2% 17.5% 17.0% 80% 60% 32.3% 40% 27.3% 9.9% 24.5% 24.6% 33.5% 31.5% 20.8% 21.1% 12.8% 13.0% 29.9% 26.2% 20% 18.1% 8.3% 23.6% 0% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA Less than $14,999 $15,000 to $34,999 $75,000 to $149,999 $150,000 or more US $35,000 to $74,999 Charts Source: U.S. Census Bureau 33 The border region between Mexico and the U.S. has long enjoyed a reputation as a low-cost labor base, attracting the kinds of industries that consider wages a major determining factor. However, those low wages translate into significantly lower income than in non-border areas of the U.S. Income levels within Juárez vary dramatically between unskilled laborers and the white collar executive or management workforce. The average annual salary for white collar workers can range from $25,000 USD for an engineer to $132,000 USD for a plant manager according to NUMBEO. In contrast, stakeholders reported during interviews that the average maquila worker earns between $2,600 to $5,000 USD annually. Quality of Life: Cost of Living Real Personal Income (2012) $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Regional Price Parity Index (2012) $39,436 $42,693 100 100.0 $30,587 95.0 $25,008 94 91 90.0 85 85.0 80.0 75.0 El Paso/Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio US Total El Paso/Las Cruces Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis McAllen Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Price Comparison 2014 Incomes are 28 percent lower in the region than in the U.S. average. That is partially offset by the fact that money goes further in the region. El Paso has nine percent and Las Cruces has 7.5 percent more buying power than the average U.S. city. While that does not completely balance the inequity of salaries in the area, the price parity does incrfease the competitive advantage of the area in the eyes of prospective businesses. Rent prices are 26 percent lower in Juárez than in Querètaro, and restaurant prices are 16 percent lower. Groceries, however, are 20 percent higher on average in Juárez than in Querètaro, indicating that Juárez residents are affected by higher grocery prices across the border and may be limited in their ability to access lower cost food stores. 34 San Antonio US Total Quality of Life: Cost of Living 2013 Median Gross Rent (Dollars) $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 Average Juárez Housing Cost (Monthly) $857 $718 Monthly Rental Price $905 Apartment 1 BR City Center Apartment 1 BR Non-Central Apartment 3 BR City Center Apartment 3 BR Non-Central $655 Pesos U.S. Dollars $2,250 $2,500 $4,750 $6,000 $167 $185 $352 $444 Source: NUMBEO, based on .074 Mexico/U.S. Exchange Rate Rent as a Percentage of Household Income (2013) 100% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US Source: U.S. Census Bureau The monthly cost of housing is lower in El Paso and Las Cruces than in San Antonio and significantly lower than in the average U.S. city. Estimates for the monthly cost of housing in Juárez is dramatically lower than in any of the U.S. cities tracked. Juárez housing conditions vary in the extreme, and include a high number of poverty-stricken colonias within the city. 90% 13.3% 14.4% 12.4% 12.1% 80% 11.7% 11.8% 14.1% 12.3% 70% 10.6% 13.7% 13.6% 12.6% 60% 13.9% 12.4% 11.4% 9.2% 8.4% 39.1% 42.5% 38.7% 50% 40% 8.8% 11.5% 9.0% 30% 20% 42.5% 10% 0% El Paso / Las McAllen MSA San Antonio US Cruces MSA 35.0 percent or more 30.0 to 34.9 percent The lower rents help to offset lower paychecks in the region. Like many of their counterparts along the Mexico/Texas border, the majority of residents in El Paso and Las Cruces pay 25 percent or more of their salaries for housing. Overall, regional residents devote similar percentages of their overall income to provide for housing. 25.0 to 29.9 percent 20.0 to 24.9 percent 15.0 to 19.9 percent Less than 15.0 percent Source: U.S. Census Bureau 35 Quality of Life: Commute Times Mean Commute Time to Work in Minutes (2013) Methods of Commuting to Work in El Paso (2013) Source: U.S. Census Bureau 30 23 25 25 26 22 20 2% 3% Drove alone in a car, truck, or van 3% 2% Carpooled 12% Public transportation (excluding taxicab) Walked 20 15 10 5 78% 0 El Paso Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio US Other means Worked at home Source: U.S. Census Bureau Means of Commuting to Work in Juárez (2013) 1.4% Methods of Commuting to Work in Las Cruces (2013) 0.1% 0.30% 9.5% Vehicle Drove alone in a car, truck, or van 3% 1% 3% Carpooled 11% Public transportation (excluding taxicab) Bus Walked Walking Bicycle 36.8% 52.0% Other Source: Asi Estamos Juárez, Encuesta de Percepcion de Calidad de Vida, 2013 82% Other means Worked at home Source: U.S. Census Bureau Source: U.S. Census Bureau 36 Commute times for El Paso and Las Cruces are favorable, as long as the commuter does not cross the border to Mexico each day. A Dedicated Commuter Lane may reduce wait times for some workers. Commute times tracked by the U.S. Census Bureau do not accurately account for cross-border movement. Overwhelmingly, El Paso and Las Cruces commuters drove alone to and from the job. There is slight carpooling activity, but virtually no commuters use public transportation and very few walk. Half the commuters in Juárez drive to work. Another large percentage take advantage of public or private buses. The much larger percentage of people riding buses in Juárez is a result of lower incomes, fewer workers owning vehicles of their own and of available transportation provided by maquilas. Quality of Life: Crime Rates of Property Crime per 100,000 residents (2012) Rates of Violent Crime per 100,000 residents (2012) 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 El Paso/Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio US El Paso/Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio US Source: FBI Crime Stats Source: FBI Crime Stats Homicides in Cuidad Juárez (2007-2014) Violent crime in Juárez, particularly homicide, has been an issue of much concern since 2008, when reported homicides jumped from 320 to 1,623 in a one-year period. Experts attribute the homicide escalation to drug cartel activity, rival gang activity and extortion activity within the city. The homicides began to decline again in 2012, due in large part to the self-impetus and coordination of citizen and government groups. Homicides for 2014 are estimated to drop to 500. Violent crime activity does not appear to be spilling across the border. Reported violent crimes for El Paso were comparable to other U.S. cities in 2012, and violent crime in Las Cruces was lower than average. Las Cruces property crime does run slightly higher than average in the U.S., while property crime in El Paso is mild. SoPulse 4,000 NMSU 3622 3,500 3,000 2754 2,500 2086 2,000 1623 1,500 797 1,000 500 500 320 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 Sources: Southern Pulse, NMSU Molloy Study 37 Quality of Life: Poverty Indicators Percent of Families Whose Annual Income is Below the Poverty Level (2013) Health Insurance Coverage (2013) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 27.1% 19.4% 14.5% 36.4% 45% 38% 40% 34% 35% 72.9% 80.6% 85.5% 63.6% 25% 20% 30% 27% 30% 20% 22% 19% 18% 13% 15% 12% 10% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA With health insurance coverage San Antonio MSA US 5% 0% El Paso No health insurance coverage Source: U.S. Census Bureau An April 2013 study by Colegio de la Frontera (COLEF) found that that 37 percent of the Juárez population is unable to meet basic needs. COLEF estimates that 432,000 residents live in poverty and another 62,000 live in extreme poverty. Most of those in extreme poverty live in the southwest portion of the city, where, in 2013, the average factory worker earned an estimated $700-800 pesos or $57-66 USD per week. All families Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio All families with related children under 18 years Source: U.S. Census Bureau Juárez 2013 Poverty Indicators States bordering Mexico in the U.S. have higher poverty rates than the U.S. on average, with McAllen showing the highest rate at 38 percent. Not surprisingly, families with dependent children in the area are at greater risk of poverty. Border cities also have higher percentages of uninsured residents, with McAllen showing the highest rate of benchmarks at 36 percent, compared to 31 percent for Juárez, although the categories are not completely comparable between countries. Source: Colegio de la Frontera Norte 38 US Borderplex regional Scorecards RANKING OF BORDERPLEX QUALITY OF LIFE FACTORS Assessment Rationale Quality of Life Variable • Bi-Cultural • Bilingual Diversity • Slow to moderate Population Growth • Lower than U.S. Average Household Incomes • Affordable factors Cost of Living • Reasonable commute times Commute Times • Affordable rents Housing Characteristics • Closing Violent Crime Wave Juárez • Lingering Perception of Crime • Significant Poverty Crime & Poverty Overall Quality of Life 39 Leading Strong Average Weak QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION WORKFORCE New Mexico State University College of Fine Arts and Sciences UTEP Sunbowl Stadium Workforce & Education Workforce and education measures the human dimension of economic development – the talent available in a given market. Education informs the skills of the workforce and a community’s capacity to align those skills with the demands of the marketplace. asset as the region advances further into life sciences and health services. Many local community colleges operate as feeder schools to four-year universities but could better serve the region by focusing more on technical and skills training. Greater cooperation between schools and universities and with industry leaders will boost economic development. Conredes, a joint effort supported by 11 top Juarez manufacturers and major regional universities, is working to better align education to needed workforce skills. As global and domestic competition intensifies, and economies grow more dependent on technology and innovation, workforce and education has grown more central to economic development. Higher education has been the fastest growing sector in El Paso and Las Cruces since 2008. A lack of middle- and high-skill jobs in the region has limited career path opportunities and has driven a number of university graduates out of the region. Some employers, meanwhile, note that the skills of graduates don’t match the needs of the marketplace. This is particularly acute among the large number of engineering graduates the region churns out. The region is a diversified economy with a wide array of workforce needs and skill levels. Different histories, cultures, languages and education resources threaten uneven development but can also be an economic driver. The region’s universities are critical to moving the area’s economy beyond its dependency on manufacturing into cutting-edge sectors like health sciences, aerospace, and information technology. Three universities, NMSU, UTEP and Autónoma account for $233 million in R & D expenditures, and issue nearly 20,000 undergraduate and graduate degrees a year, most of them in the humanities, business and engineeringields. Much of the R & D is concentrated on engineeringrelated fields and include focuses in aerospace, biomedicine, and electronics. The Manpower Group in its 2011-2012 labor market study of the region found that many employers feel the local workforce is not adequately prepared to take on specialized management and professional positions, and that graduates of higher-learning institutions possess theoretical knowledge but lack useable on-the-job skills. Underemployment and lack of career opportunities for young members of the workforce carry long-term economic implications, intensifying the need for adequate skills training and career development. Regional enrollment at all colleges and universities has surpassed 127,000. El Paso and Las Cruces have a higher percentage of their civilian adult populations enrolled in college or graduate school than other major towns along the US-Mexican border. The region has two medical schools with a third opening in Las Cruces in 2016. “It’s the lack of soft skills that causes me the greatest headache in hiring – the ability to dress appropriately, to interact on a professional level with the public, the ability to get to work on time every day.” Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center at El Paso’s Paul L. Foster School of Medicine is the only medical school along the US-Mexico border specializing in cancer, neurodegenerative diseases and other areas of research. The hands-on clinical and research settings are an enormous — Stakeholder Interview Participant 41 Workforce & Education Cont. Perceived shortcomings in quality of life (addressed in a separate section of this report) have drawn university graduates outside the region after graduation, shrinking the talent pool. Low wages have also informed this trend. One study found the 85% of UTEP engineering graduates left the region for employment and secured wages up to 50% higher than in El Paso. Quality of life also factors in to whether companies locate in the region, in turn impacting the scope and scale of the region’s workforce. Age Distribution (2013) 100% 7% 10% 5% 90% 80% A gap between wages and jobs – most pronounced in the maquila industry – is hindering social mobility. Poverty, transience and low graduation rates further weigh on work prospects and the availability of talent, and this has pushed some residents into the informal sector. Unemployment rates in El Paso and Las Cruces are on the downswing but still higher than their state and national averages. Wages in the maquiladoras are relatively low, at $178 per week, and are stressing households given the large number of single mothers with children under 14. More than 50% of Juárez’ workforce is under 30. Age distribution in El Paso and Las Cruces also leans young, putting financial stress on households and potentially compounding poverty in the region. 19% 12% 18% 18% 24% 70% 60% 22% 26% 23% 20% 65+ 20% 50% 40% 14% 19% 25% 23% 30-44 27% 22% 30% 15-29 21% 20% Most jobs in El Paso are in the retail sector, while in Las Cruces/Doña Ana County healthcare and social assistance accounted for the largest share of jobs followed by retail. In Juárez the bulk of jobs are found in manufacturing but the sector lacks qualified technicians. 10% 27% 29% 27% 22% 19% 0% BorderPlex McAllen Querétaro San MSA Antonio MSA A shortage of soft skills among younger workers came up frequently in discussions with regional business leaders, as did a limited number of bilingual speakers. However, the bilingual nature of the region, along with an affordable workforce, has helped attract call centers and lends itself well to customer service and management positions. United States Source: U.S. Census Bureau; Secretaria de Gobernacion – Consejo Nacional de Poblacion Sourcing more local suppliers will boost the skills and numbers of the local workforce, as will firmly integrating various facets of growing fields such as life sciences into the regional economy. 42 45-64 0-14 Workforce & Education: Migration Percent Foreign Born (2013) 35% 30% 25% 29% 25% 20% 15% 12% 13% 10% The percentage of foreign-born residents in El Paso is nearly double the national average. Many new arrivals bring lower education and skill levels, reflected in the lower incomes in El Paso and Las Cruces compared to their state and national averages. The high number of new arrivals also safeguards against labor shortages. 5% 0% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US Source: U.S. Census Bureau Foreign Born Residents by Year of Entry (2013) “Companies need to develop upward mobility paths and educate workers on how to move ahead.” Entered 2010 or Later 100% 80% 60% 90.4% 91.9% 89.1% 90.3% 9.6% 8.1% 10.9% 9.7% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US — Stakeholder Interview Participant 40% 20% 0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau 43 Workforce & Education: Jobs by Industry Sector Formal Employment by Sector (2014) Employment by Sector (2013) El Paso / Doña Ana County Percentage of Total 4,374 1.2% Agriculture 0.0% 0.5% 4.6% 5.9% 3.2% 13.0% 4.0% 1.9% 2.6% 1.5% 3.5% 0.2% 6.8% 0.9% 14.6% 0.9% 10.2% 2.3% Mining & Natural Resources Other 165 1,854 16,228 20,732 11,161 45,646 13,982 6,596 9,061 5,319 12,317 654 23,903 2,992 51,445 3,010 35,960 7,988 Public Administration 20,477 5.8% Sector Agriculture Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Logistics Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate Business Services Management Waste and Remediation Educational Services Health Care Arts and Entertainment Travel and Food Services Sector Share of Total Juárez 1,021 0.3% 30 0.01% 234,038 63.8% 10,581 2.9% 2,473 0.7% Trade 40,194 11.0% Transportation & Communication 13,840 3.8% Business & Professional Services Healthcare, Education, & Community Services 42,979 11.7% 21,574 5.9% Manufacturing Construction Utilities & Water Total 366,730 Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social; AngelouEconomics 44 Workforce & Education: Maquilas No. of Maquilas (July 2014) The maquila industry’s employment and factory numbers have held steady despite the global economic downturn and Juárez’ cartel and gang violence; the city has added 12,000 maquila jobs from December 2013 to June 2014, comparable to jobs added for all of 2013. 475 500 400 310 300 214 200 104 100 0 Juarez Queretaro Chihuahua state Queretaro state The trend of nearshoring could further improve the industry’s outlook, with its many advantages over offshoring, including lower freight costs, improved speed to market, fewer supply disruptions, better quality control and stronger intellectual property security. Nearshoring also carries the potential to bring more sophisticated facets of the production chain closer to home and could make better use of the 100,000 Mexicans who earn engineering degrees a year. Securing this transition will require companies to work more closely with universities, technical schools and training centers to ensure the region’s workforce is able to handle more complex assembly processes. Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía No. of Maquilas in Querètaro (2008-2014) No. of Maquilas in Juárez (2008-2014) 350 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 90 80 75 70 340 105 No. of Maquilas No. of Maquilas 2008 343 345 335 330 325 320 315 310 310 305 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 300 2014 2008 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 45 Workforce & Education: Maquilas Maquilas employment numbers have nudged upward in recent years. The maquila sector is the primary reason why Juárez tops all other Mexican cities in FDI dollars with $750 million, which is about half the total for Chihuahua state. Maquiladora Employment (2008-2014) Juarez Queretaro 250,000 215,202 Maquila laborers in Juárez make up a much larger portion of the total payroll than the benchmarks. 200,000 150,000 The maquilas provide steady income with vital benefits like health insurance. But many do not provide much room for advancement and pay relatively low wages. These characteristics along with the size of the maquila workforce combine to greatly influence the shape and outlook of Juárez’ economy. 100,000 50,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía Maquila Payroll Excluding Management (2007-2014) Total Maquila Payroll (2007-2014) Juarez Chihuahua state total Queretaro state total Queretaro Juarez Chihuahua state total Queretaro state total Queretaro $1,500,000 $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $500,000 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $0 2014 2008 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 46 2014 Workforce & Education: Workforce Mobility A larger portion of residents from Las Cruces commute to El Paso than the other way around, indicating an imbalance in regional integration. El Paso A large majority of El Pasoans work in El Paso, while a good share of Las Cruces residents work outside of Las Cruces, according to “On the Map,” a data set within the U.S. Census. That data indicates that there more Las Cruces residents listed an employer or office in Albuquerque than El Paso. That could be indicative of a large amount of contracting employment for Las Cruces residents who work for companies based outside the city. “Talking to the right people in each area and getting their buy-in is going to be the make or break to any regional plan.” Las Cruces — Stakeholder Interview Participant 47 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Workforce & Education: Educational Attainment Educational Attainment (2013) Educational Attainment (2010) Juárez 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 100% Queretaro 90% 14.8% 24.6% 70% 60% 0.6% Residents 18 years and over with post-high school training 1.7% 40% 23.1% 6.9% 20% 14.9% 10% The region’s relatively low level of degree attainment invites low-wage, low-productivity investment, which weighs on social services and deprives communities of a robust tax base. 0% 23.0% 18.0% 7.5% 4.2% 17.4% 7.4% 4.2% 9.4% 48 8.1% 18.4% 11.2% McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US Source: U.S. Census Bureau No diploma High school graduate (includes equivalency) Some college, no degree Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Graduate or professional degree The consequences of this trend are somewhat offset by the high ratio of bachelor and graduate degrees issued in the region. 21.1% 12.0% El Paso / Las Cruces It also helps explain the large number of workers in retail and lower-level manufacturing. Employers and community leaders can help reverse this trend by moving students toward careers that incentivize higher levels of education attainment. 27.8% 23.1% 30% Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 26.9% 23.1% 50% Residents 18 years and over with graduate degree 13.4% 38.4% 80% 7.9% 15.8% Workforce & Education: Research & Development Research and development expenditures in the region are robust, with UTEP and NMSU leading the way. Research dollars stimulate economic growth by nurturing talent and encouraging advancement into new fields. They play a role in workforce preparedness, talent retention and in boosting earning power. The universities can better make use of this potential by strengthening linkages among themselves and with the region’s private sector. The primary R&D expenditures at NMSU are in engineering and life sciences, with much of life science spending devoted to agricultural sciences and engineering dollars spread across aerospace, biomedical, chemical, electrical and other areas. The third largest investment goes to the physical sciences with chemistry and astronomy getting the most research dollars in the phys. sciences department. Like NMSU, the primary research focus at UTEP is engineering and life sciences with engineering money being spread more evenly between civil, electrical, and mechanical engineering, while in the life sciences, the largest recipient is biological science. Continued robust R & D investment is critical to propelling the regional economy into more advanced fields. R&D Expenditures Borderplex Hidalgo County Bexar County Expenditures Expenditures Per Capita $232,932,000 $97 $9,062,000 $11 $241,531,000 $133 Sources: National Science Foundation; AngelouEconomics; Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez Academic R&D Expenditures U. TX, El Paso NM State U. $200,000,000 $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $- Source: National Science Foundation 49 Workforce & Education: Higher Education Resources REGIONAL HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS Institution Large Universities Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez University of Texas at El Paso New Mexico State University Branch Campuses/Community & Technical Colleges El Paso Community College Doña Ana Community College Universidad Tecnologica De Ciudad Juárez Instituto Tecnológico de Ciudad Juárez Vista College Universidad Autonoma De Chihuahua Centro Cultural Universitario De Ciudad Juárez Southwest University at El Paso Kaplan College-El Paso Western Technical College ITESM Campus Ciudad Juárez Universidad Regional Del Norte Cd. Juárez International Business College-El Paso El Colegio De Chihuahua Location Medical Schools Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez Burrell College of Osteopathic Medicine Texas Tech University Paul L. Foster School of Medicine Students Juárez El Paso, TX Las Cruces, NM 24,442 23,003 16,765 El Paso, TX Las Cruces, NM Juárez Juárez El Paso, TX Juárez Juárez El Paso, TX El Paso, TX El Paso, TX Juárez Juárez El Paso, TX Juárez TOTAL STUDENTS: 30,468 8,837 7,350 5,502 2,746 2,258 2,027 1,296 681 651 555 381 196 7 127,165 Juárez Las Cruces, NM El Paso, TX 1,253 1,200 200 Source: National Center for Education Statistics; Texas Tech University; AngelouEconomics 50 Borderplex regional Scorecards RANKING OF BORDERPLEX WORKFORCE & EDUCATION FACTORS Assessment Rationale Workforce & Education Variable • Low unemployment rate • Shrinking labor force Employment Trends • High weekly wage • Wages have grown rapidly Wages & Wage Growth • High median age • Decline in share of young professionals Young Professionals • Workforce is mostly imported from surrounding areas • Only one third of residents leave city for work Workforce Mobility • Well educated population • Slow growth in higher education attainment Educational Attainment • High quality primary education • High ACT scores • Graduation rates lower than state average Primary Education • Extensive high quality local and regional educational institutions Higher Education • Low research and development funding Research & Development Overall Learning and Working Environment 51 Leading Strong Lacking Weak QUALITY OF LIFE BUSINESS CLIMATE El Paso/Juárez Rio Grande Theater, Las Cruces Business Climate Business climate describes the general economic environment of a geographic area. It encompasses the local cost of doing business, the attitudes of a community’s public and private sectors toward business activity, and is pivotal in attracting or deterring investment, talent and business establishments. region’s attractiveness to investors. The two existing medical schools and another that is planned in Las Cruces promise to improve the region’s overall business climate. So too will Santa Teresa/San Jeronimo port of entry, which will be a free-trade zone replete with a railway hub, international cargo airport and congestion-free roads and border crossings. Ease of doing business at the port will further be improved if a pre-clearance customs-inspection center is approved. Straddling the US-Mexican border has afforded the region with some powerful economic advantages. But with three distinctive governments and business communities, the region has over time developed divergent, often competing business climates that in no small way inform the prospects of one another. For example, a recent sales tax hike in Juárez is projected to redirect $55 million in retail sales north of the border to El Paso. The region’s military and aerospace facilities are diversified entities that are attractive to complimentary suppliers and support services. Their scale of employment numbering in the tens of thousands has improved the outlook of various sectors including real estate and retail. Military spouses and veterans associated with these installations are an underutilized asset of the labor force, who can transition into the region’s universities and colleges through the GI Bill and enter the labor force through with targeted job training and placement for veterans and their families. This tendency diminishes the region’s business attractiveness as a whole while undermining the prospects of Las Cruces, Juárez and El Paso individually. Clarifying the strengths and weaknesses of each respective community’s business climate and where the climates needlessly diverge will be critical to cultivating a unified strategy that improves ease of doing business in the region. Retail and healthcare comprise the largest number of businesses in El Paso and Las Cruces. Manufacturing and trade account for the largest number in Juárez. Most jobs in these sectors pay low wages, though pay levels may rise as the regional economy matures. Jobs in the maquilas, which make up the largest portion of manufacturing jobs in the region, tend to be long-term, providing stability for employers and employees alike. The maquila industry weathered the global economic crisis well, further improving the Juárez Maquilas by unargentinoenJuárez 53 Business Climate Cont. An underdeveloped supply chain has led to fewer directions to grow a business, while limited engagement between key business stakeholders has afforded fewer synergies. A lack of lobbying at the state and federal levels is hindering the advancement of a business environment tailored to local interests. Crime, particularly in the form of extortion, has produced a business climate unfavorable to small businesses south of the border. A reputation for violence has deterred some businesses from relocating to the region, but those perceived risks have been partially offset by the low cost of doing business and economic efficiencies along the border. A shortage of data in all three Borderplex cities has deterred a number of businesses – from big box retailers to multinationals – from settling in the region. El Paso County and Doña Ana County Business Establishments by Sector (2013) 2,568 Retail Trade Health Care Construction Business Services Travel and Food Services Other Wholesale Trade Finance and Insurance Logistics Waste and Remediation Real Estate Manufacturing Educational Services Agriculture Information Public Administration Arts and Entertainment Utilities Management Mining Several business stakeholders stated that permitting is often informed by connections rather than a standardized process; nepotism in general is seen by many as an impediment to doing business. 2,140 1,721 1,716 1,678 1,578 1,247 1,021 950 940 935 721 280 274 220 217 190 80 62 30 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics This offers the area some flexibility in terms of how it wants to grow. Business establishments have grown in number in El Paso over both the short and longer terms. Las Cruces has undergone net contraction. Not surprisingly some of El Paso’s largest gains in establishments have been in healthcare, education and food and accommodation; a successful downtown revitalization will spur further growth in food and accommodation, as well as construction, retail and real estate. Doña Ana County is likely to see marked improvement in manufacturing, wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing if Santa Teresa port of entry becomes a success. Bureaucratic inefficiencies, especially on the southern side of the border, are affecting everything from travel times to permitting. This threatens to deter investment, at a time when many U.S. companies are looking to bring their manufacturing operations back from China and closer to home, where they can take advantage of skilled labor and cost savings on logistics. Taken in combination, the region’s business establishment base is relatively diversified. 54 Business Climate: Cost of Government Growth in the number of businesses in Juárez has been minimal. The challenge for Juárez will be for its maquilas to invest more in skilled workers and advance up the value-added chain. Start-up and tech entrepreneurs note a small amount of venture capital and angel and seed funding in the region to support their entrepreneurial efforts, though some start-ups have received local funding, indicating that an incipient multiplier effect may be under way. Patent activity in the region is low, suggesting a shortage of innovation in the region. Patent activity does not necessarily translate into an innovative economy, as many patented inventions are not commercialized, but it does strongly correlate with experimentation, technology and knowledge-sharing, all foundations of economic transformation. The medical industry – a major economic driver in the region – makes among the best use of patents, as research and development in this field is expensive and the short-term monopoly of patents gives inventors a window through which to recover their costs of research and development. Biomedicine, life sciences, rapidprototyping, advanced materials, agriculture, and energy are other areas of R & D in the region that could stand to benefit from stronger patent activity. The large number of engineering students in the region can also leverage patents to their advantage. Texas’ and New Mexico’s corporate tax rates rank 38 and 40 among states respectively. Sales tax rates are relatively high at 36 and 45. New Mexico ranks first in property tax, while Texas ranks 35th. Texas ranks 10th overall in terms of business taxes, and overall has a very business- 55 friendly reputation, which can be marketed to attract more businesses to the North American Borderplex Region. *Cost of Government Per Capita (2013) General Revenues Cost of Government* El Paso/Las Cruces 989,164,754 $1,275 McAllen $158,000,000 $1,170 $1,680,232,470 $1,214 San Antonio Sources: Various City Resources; Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía *Cost of Government Per Capita (2012) Revenue from Taxation (Pesos) Cost of Government* Juárez $960,569,000 $686 Querétaro $836,810,000 $995 *The cost of government is equal to the sum of general revenues divided by the total population. Business Climate: Patents Better coordination between local economic development organizations and other key stakeholders will go a long way in further improving the region’s business climate. Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto’s reform agenda has broken down the state’s monopoly on oil, gas and electricity to allow for limited private investment. The telecommunications sector has also been opened up to competition. Mexican officials have reached out to international investors to promote investment. The hope is that greater outside involvement in the energy supply chain will create direct and indirect jobs and that growing production will decrease energy costs to industry and consumers. More than 30 exploratory wells along the Mexican side of the U.S. border and hydraulic fracturing is being considered for the state of Chihuahua. Patents by Year (2007-2011) El Paso, TX Las Cruces, NM San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX 350 315 327 300 250 200 187 169 149 150 “We live in a region where international commerce is the main income. Over $6 million in exports cross the border here every hour. ” 100 50 — Stakeholder Interview Participant 33 16 25 5 5 4 1611 2321 7 3 23 15 1 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: U.S. Patent Office 56 Business Climate: Competitiveness Doing Business in Mexican Cities – Rankings (out of 35), 2014 Getting a construction permit in Juárez involves 17 procedures, whereas other cities such as Culiacan have streamlined procedures through a one-stop shop. The state of Chihuahua’s overall “Doing Business in Mexico” ranking by the World Bank Group fell from 22 to 27 between 2012 and 2014. The state has improved in terms of starting a business and enforcing contracts. The overall business climate of Juárez is improved by its position along the US-Mexican border, but could be improved further still if wait and processing times are decreased. Juárez Querètaro Starting a Business 29 12 Dealing with Construction Permits 32 17 Registering Property 7 11 Enforcing Contracts 13 24 Source: World Bank Group State Business Climate Rankings, 2014 “To do business in Mexico, you need a liaison who knows the political landscape. If you don’t know the right people, you will never be able to get a job done.” — Stakeholder Interview Participant TX NM Overall Rank 11 38 Corporate Income Tax 38 40 Individual Income Tax 7 34 Sales Tax 36 45 Unemployment Insurance Tax 14 17 Property Tax 35 1 Source: Tax Foundation 57 Business Climate: Business Establishments Business Establishments in Juárez by Sector (2014) Healthcare, Education, & Community… 892 Business & Professional Services Manufacturing employs the highest number of people in Juárez by far, but most businesses are small establishments of fewer than nine people, many of which operate in the informal sector and lack access to capital. Their informality and lower profit margins shrink the tax base, and without the resources to procure strong legal protection and security, they are vulnerable to extortion by local collectors. 2,453 Transportation & Communication 488 Trade 2,133 Utilities & Water 14 Construction 835 Manufacturing 1,389 Mining & Natural Resouces 4 Agriculture 57 0 1,000 2,000 Sources: Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social Business Establishments in Querétaro by Sector (2008) Trade Nonfinancial private services 15,302 14,017 Manufacturing 2,602 Construction 298 Financial and insurance services 247 Transport 153 0 “A lot of kids leave school early to help earn money for their families. The workforce is young and largely unskilled.” — Stakeholder Interview Participant 10,000 20,000 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 58 Business Climate: Business Growth Business establishments have grown in number in El Paso over both the short and longer terms. Las Cruces has undergone net contraction. Not surprisingly some of El Paso’s largest gains in establishments have been in healthcare, education and food and accommodation; a successful downtown revitalization will spur further growth in food and accommodation, as well as construction, retail and real estate. Business Establishment Growth Trends 2011-2012 10% 5% Doña Ana County is likely to see marked improvement in manufacturing, wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing if Santa Teresa port of entry becomes a success. Growth in the number of businesses in Juárez has been minimal. 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 0% -2% -5% -6% -10% El Paso County Growth Trends in Businesses 1998-2008 2007-2012 9% 2003-2008 Doña Ana County Hidalgo County Bexar County Source: U.S. Census Bureau 60% 48% 50% 40% “The region needs continuity with respect to business climate factors, including regulations and permitting.” 33.0% 30% 20% 10% 4% — Stakeholder Interview Participant 0.2% 0% Juárez Querétaro Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 59 Borderplex Regional Scorecards RANKING OF BORDERPLEX BUSINESS CLIMATE FACTORS Assessment Rationale Business Climate Variable • Property tax is ranked highly in New Mexico • Income tax is ranked highly in Texas Both states ranked low in corporate income tax Tax Climate • Relatively high cost of government Cost of Government • Decline in number of business establishments • Gradual increase of business establishments in Juárez and El Paso Business Growth • Relatively strong diversification of businesses in all three Borderplex cities • Employment diversification is not as diverse • Small amount of patent activity Business Establishments Patent Activity Overall Business Climate 60 Leading Strong Average Weak QUALITY OF LIFE INFRASTRUCTURE City of Las Cruces City Hall Cuidad Juárez Infrastructure Poised at the intersection of northern Mexico and West Texas, the North American Borderplex Region lays claim to a geographic area with an optimal location for North American trade. The Juárez-El Paso community is the second-largest international community on the U.S. Mexico border, outpaced only by the San Diego/Tijuana area. The region is a nexus for the flow of raw materials and goods to Texas, New Mexico, Colorado, Wyoming and Montana and everything east. Trade in goods and services between Mexico and the U.S. was $500 billion in 2013, according to Stephen Selig, Undersecretary of Commerce for International Trade. In order for the region to continually optimize manufacturing, logistics and distribution industries, infrastructure will always be a key consideration. The distance of Juárez from Mexico City and of El Paso from Austin and Washington, D.C. fosters a lack of proper consideration and funding by governments. During interviews and in surveys, stakeholders termed underfunding of infrastructure by federal and state governments to be one of the most critical issues faced by the region. There are five inland port vehicle security stations in the region. The U.S. sides of the Bridge of the Americas in El Paso and Santa Teresa in New Mexico are operated by the U.S. government. The Paso del Norte Bridge and its partner Santa Fe Bridge, Stanton Bridge and Zaragoza Bridge, are owned by the city of El Paso on the U.S. side. The new Torillo Bridge is owned by El Paso County. Wait times for northbound traffic at the Juárez-El Paso stations can be up to three hours at peak, due primarily to the lack of inspection officers assigned to existing lanes by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection Department of Homeland Security. Government funded infrastructure improvements to the ports have been inadequate to keep pace with traffic. Stakeholders have touted technology improvements as the future key to overcoming the gridlock. A 2011 Texas Department of Transportation report noted that lack of funding has caused wait times on the bridges to increase by 60 percent since 2005. The City of El Paso is considering numerous options to partner with the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency to provide more officers and thus open more lanes. Those options included a recent toll increase and city funds for additional personnel. “The border crossing process is severe and unrealistic. There needs to be better coordination and established protocol that is the same for both sides.” - Stakeholder interview participant 62 Infrastructure The region has the opportunity to become a a global best-practice center for logistics and transportation networking. An interconnected series of highways in good condition tie the area to highways throughout the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. and Canada. Westbound Highway 10 access is available from Las Cruces that interconnects with highways through Tucson and Phoenix and points north and west. Mexico’s Highway 45 also binds the region to interconnections with a good portion of North Central Mexico. Four rail companies – Amtrak, Ferromex North Pacific, Union Pacific and Burlington Northern (BNSF) serve the region. Rail crossing the border to connect with El Paso currently runs directly through downtown Juarez, disrupting activity there. Mexico’s federal government is proposing that a rail line be built to bypass the city. Union Pacific has opened a new station in Santa Teresa/Jeronimo, but the company does not believe the region will support additional north/south rail traffic. UP instead supports expanding bi-modal truckto-train transportation loaded in Santa Teresa. There has been significant press suggesting the Mexico government has plans to connect the Juárez bypass rail with Jeronimo and Santa Teresa, therefore reducing the time restrictions in the area and increasing north/south rail capacity between Juárez and El Paso. However, without a change in direction by UP or additional north/south infrastructure, rail will not be a significant option for transportation in the region in the foreseeable future. The region has international airports in both El Paso and Juárez and an airport that support international flights in Santa Teresa. However, air infrastructure needs to be improved to handle business destinations. The movement of freight by air in the region appears to be minimal. Significant changes would need to be made in infrastructure and more air service companies would need to be active in the area for air to be a viable cargo transport option. El Paso seems to have weathered the recession better than most American cities, with slight increases in housing infrastructure and a 17 percent decrease in vacant structures from 2008 – 2012. Las Cruces housing infrastructure also increased slightly over the fiveyear time period, but the city suffered a 32 percent increase in vacant houses. Juárez also experienced an increase in vacant houses from 2008 forward, due to the recession coupled with the extreme increase in violent crime during the five years. It is estimated that 25 percent of housing infrastructure in Juárez is unoccupied. Adding to the empty infrastructure are large residential projects built in locations that do not coordinate with population needs. Industrial infrastructure development in Juárez took a hit in 2008, and did not begin on an upward track for recovery until the 20122013 period. Significant construction appears to be currently underway in the north, west, central and southeast areas of the city, although absorption rates in the north and southwest are still below normal. Vacant space in all three cities helps keep the region the lowest-cost industrial infrastructure option on the border. El Paso Skyline facing Juárez 63 Infrastructure: Housing Housing Occupancy (2013) Source: U.S. Census Bureau Housing Occupancy in Juárez (2010) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% uninhabited 124,219 inhabited 364,562 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 8.8% 13.0% 8.9% 12.4% 35.0% 28.4% 35.2% 32.0% 56.3% 58.6% 55.9% 55.6% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US Owner-occupied 40% Renter-Occupied 30% 5% 7% 6% 22% 20% 20% 10% Vacant 32% 25% 8% 3% Juárez has several large worker housing complexes that currently sit empty, but could be refinished if demand occurs. Juárez unoccupied housing is estimated to be 25 percent of housing infrastructure, but that estimate could be low. During the recession, many maquila workers lost their jobs, and during the crime escalation of 2008 - 2012, many families fled Juárez. Both factors added to the increase in unoccupied homes. Stakeholders participating in interviews and focus groups reported that corruption in government and building industry contribute greatly to the mismatch of housing structures to population areas. 8% 0% -10% -20% -17% -21% -30% El Paso Las Cruces McAllen Vacant housing units The housing market in El Paso remained stable during the recession and early recovery years from 2007-2012. The number of vacant houses actually decreased significantly (17 %) and rental property grew 25 percent during the time period, when troop numbers at Ft. Bliss increased. The city outperformed the national housing market by accumulating less vacant housing. Las Cruces owner-occupied and rental property grew slightly, but the city suffered a 32 percent increase in vacant housing. Change in Housing Units by Occupancy Status (2007-2012) Owner-Occupied Renter-occupied San Antonio Source: U.S. Census Bureau 64 Infrastructure: Housing Age of Housing (2013) 100% 90% 80% 7.3% 50% Las Cruces Home Units in Structure Combined (2013) 100% 12.9% 17.8% 80% 14.3% 70% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 65.1% 65.7% 90% 0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau 8.6% 12.2% 19.3% 17.9% 4.8% 60% 40% 67.4% 30.8% 29.6% 15.1% 14.4% 30.0% 14.1% 23.9% 3.9% 4.1% 3.4% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA 14.9% 1.5% US Built 2010 or later Built 2000 to 2009 Built 1990 to 1999 Built 1970 to 1989 Built 1950 to 1969 Built 1949 or earlier Housing available in the El Paso and Las Cruces portion of the region is predominantly detached, single-family structures, indicative of a level of population stability similar to that of the rest of the U.S. Nearly 40 percent of the housing in El Paso and Las Cruces was built 1990 or after. The two cities have newer residential infrastructure than most cities in the U.S. on average. 8.3% 50% 30% 21.7% 23.9% 19.5% 18.4% 17.5% 34.2% 20% 10% 9.3% 29.7% 40% 30% 3.6% 8.8% 20.6% 70% 60% Source: U.S. Census Bureau 61.5% 20% 10% To attract new skilled young professionals, the region will need to invest in more upscale housing that will offer both rental and ownership options. 0% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA 1-unit, detached 2 to 4 units 5 and up US Other 65 Infrastructure: Industrial - Juárez NET ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATE 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Thousands Thousands CONSTRUCTION SQ. FT. 2008 2010 2012 Q1 2014 Under Construction sq. ft. Q3 2014 Net Absorption 2,900 2,500 2,100 1,700 1,300 900 500 100 (300) (700) (1,100) (1,500) (1,900) (2,300) Q4 Delivered sq. ft. Vacancy Rate 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD 2014 Q3 Q2 Q1 Total Annual Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Charts Source: CBRE 14.10% The global recession dramatically impacted new construction in Juárez. There is currently construction underway in the north, west, central and south areas of the city. The improving economy and the reduction of crime may be inducing confidence leading to new starts. Vacancy rates appear moderate to slightly high for most areas of the city. The highest vacancies are occurring in Central and West Juárez. The cost of industrial space is lower in the Borderplex than in other Mexico/U.S. border areas. 66 Infrastructure: Industrial - Juárez Electricity & Water Rates •Juárez electric rates are high for all three categories •Water and wastewater in the region are competitive Water and Waste Water Rates Electricity Rates (cents/kWh) (dollars per 100 gallons) Commercial Residential Industrial Water Waste 0.08 0.18 El Paso 10.57 11.48 8.41 Las 0.14 0.13 12.23 12.58 9.34 Cruces 0.19 0.16 McAllen 16.27 14.19 7.01 San 0.20 0.79 7.67 9.24 6.47 Antonio 0.01 0.01 Juárez 23.4 16.0-18.0 14.4 • Attractive Commercial natural gas pricing •Low industrial natural gas average for Texas and residential rate for New Mexico Texas Average Annual Price of Natural Gas (Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet) Residential Commercial Industrial 14.22 8.5 4.92 New Mexico Louisiana 12.06 8.22 6.46 12.74 9.15 4.91 Arizona U.S. 19.13 10.1 12.02 13.25 9.34 5.7 Sources: EEI Typical Bills & Average Rates Report, Summer 2014 (for El Paso & Las Cruces electricity) Juárez estimate calculated from CANACINTRA Juárez Homologacion de tarifas electrica U.S. Energy Information Administration; Various City Water Departments *Each benchmark city’s electricity rates are averaged by type by provider. For each city, one main provider was chosen, except McAllen, for which a different industrial provider was chosen. 67 Infrastructure: Transportation Network El Paso Network International Airport Rail Union Pacific Burlington Northern (BNSF) Highways/Roadways: Airway Blvd Lee Trevino SH-20 Doniphan Mesa SH-178/ Artcraft FM-76 Missouri SP-16 George Diet Montana SP-601 Jeronimo Paisano US-54/ Patriot Hawkins LP-375 US-62 IH-10 Loop-478/ Dyer US-80 IH-110 Resler US-85 Joe Battle SH-20 US-180 Kansas Source: Texas Comptroller’s Office Juárez Network International Airport Rail Burlington Northern (BNSF) Ferromex North Pacific Union Pacific Highways/Roadways: IH-10 Mexico Federal Hwy 2 Mexico Federal Hwy 45 US-54/ Patriot Freeway US-62 Las Cruces Network Rail (nearby) Burlington Northern (BNSF) Southern Pacific (Santa Teresa) Source: Maquiladora Association A.C. 2014 Highways/Roadways: I-10 I-25 U.S. Route 70 68 Zaragoza Infrastructure: Corridors Known Commercial Corridors El Paso Juárez Las Cruces Mesa Street to the west Paseo Triunfo de la República Picacho Avenue from Valley Drive to Motel Boulevard Montana Avenue to the east Centro histórico (Avenida 16 de Septiembre, calle Mariscal, Avenida Vicente Guerrero, Avenida Francisco Villa y Avenida de los Insurgentes) La buena zona dorada de Juárez Alameda Avenue to the valley Zona Pronaf Oregon Street Avenida Gomez Morín Five Points intersection (N. Piedras St., Pershing Dr., Elm St.) Plaza El Sendero Doniphan Zonas Las torres ASARCO Area (A strategic communications link that hosts: I-10, rail lines, energy corridors, the Rio Grande, UTEP and three state lines) Avenida Tomas Fernandez Dyer Street to the northeast Source: The Hunt Institute 69 Avenida de Mesilla from Main Street west to the City limit Valley Avenue El Paseo Road from Missouri Ave to Main Street Main St. from Valley Ave. north to I-25 Solano Dr. from Missouri Ave. north to Main St. Lohman Avenue from Main Street east to Roadrunner Avenue Telshor Avenue from Missouri Avenue north to Del Rey Boulevard Infrastructure: Ports of Entry International Entry Ports: El Paso and Juárez share four inland port stations. These stations make the area the second largest international crossing area along the Mexico/U.S. border, following Tijuana/San Diego. Delays reported by businesses and residents of the two cities are substantial and occur when crossing from Juárez to El Paso. Some owners of business trucking companies reported that it often took more than two hours for a truck to pass through a station, and sometimes much longer. Business owners interviewed said that such time delays made it difficult to compete with companies that do not cross the border, and cost the companies in wages and lost contracts. The number of trucks passing through the crossings decreased during the global recession, but have since increased slightly. Train transportation peaked during 2007, recovered slightly in 2009 and has remained relatively constant the last two years. The number of personal vehicles crossing peaked in 2006, and did not begin to significantly recover until this year, indicating that fear of violence and the recession had an impact on tourism. Pedestrian traffic through the check-points has been slowly declining since 2007 but may reflect an increase in 2014, when a tax increase in Juárez drove many shoppers into El Paso. Trains Trucks Crossing the Border into El Paso 1,000,000 738,914 500,000 0 Personal Vehicles 20,000,000 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Pedestrians 10,000,000 8,000,000 10.8 Million 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 1,357 6 Million Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics “It is most important to make people understand what is happening at the check points and bridges. Understand and do something about it.” -- Stakeholder Interview Participant 70 Infrastructure: Report Card RANKING OF BORDERPLEX INFRASTRUCTURE FACTORS Assessment Rationale Infrastructure Variable •Bridges, Terminals •Staff Port of Entry Infrastructure •Age •Type Housing Infrastructure •Electric •Water/Wastewater •Natural Gas Utilities •Little public transit infrastructure Public Transit Air, Rail, Highway Distribution Transportation Commercial Corridors Overall Infrastructure 71 Leading Strong Average Weak Stakeholder Surveys What are the most significant challenges facing the region? * Available jobs Results of Resident Stakeholder Survey An online questionnaire, in both English and Spanish, was answered by over 550 residents. The questionnaire put forward a range of topics in order to help identify the salient issue that residents of the North American Borderplex Region care about. When asked about the most significant challenges facing the region, respondents identified three key issue for the region. The availability of jobs was the most cited challenge, followed by “corruption/extortion” and “city/regional planning.” It is important to note that, during stakeholder interviews with residents and business owners in all three cities, their corruption concerns were limited to activity within Juárez. Other significant challenges, and the frequency in which they were chosen by respondents, is displayed to the right. In the Spanish language survey, much of the response to identifying the assets of the region centered on opportunities for work with many specifically citing the maquiladoras; though it should be noted that more replies mentioned employment opportunities in other industries. Other popular responses were the people, cultural diversity, the proximity of the U.S., and city diversions like shopping and park space. 51% Corruption/extortion 43% City/regional planning 41% Safety and security 37% Taxes 37% Border crossings and inefficiencies 36% Lack of government cooperation 35% Employee compensation 31% Small business and start-up suppport 29% Language barriers 22% Healthcare options 21% Cost of living 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% *Survey respondents were asked to consider challenges that occur in any area within the Borderplex region, rather than challenges related only to the city in which they reside. What type of employers would you like to see expand or locate in the Borderplex? Manufacturing Aerospace and Defense Hi-tech Software Development Entertainment Tourism and Hospitality Healthcare Business and Professional Services Creative Arts Utilities and Energy When asked how the region can make changes to grow a sustainable economy, the majority of respondents commented that investment in high-tech jobs should be made, infrastructure to support manufacturers along the border corridor should be built and maintained, enough affordable housing should be put in place, students should be better equipped for the jobs in the region, and entrepreneurship should be nurtured. 72 Response Percent 46% 44% 40% 40% 39% 38% 34% 33% 31% 30% Stakeholder Surveys Results of Resident Stakeholder Survey Factor Available jobs Quality of public schools Safety and security Presence of colleges/universities Affordable healthcare Employee compensation Cost of living Affordable housing options Parks and resources for recreation Regional transportation Each respondent was asked to rate a number of factors by the importance to them and their community, as well as how they would rate their own community on that same factor. Available jobs was the most important factor, but it was given a relatively poor community rating. The quality of public schools also had a high rating of importance, but the community rating was, again, relatively low. On the one to five scale, none of the top ten most important factors rate above a 3.5. A majority of the respondents identified “family ties” as the main reason for living in the region. Others also made note of the appealing quality of life in the region, in part due to the many outdoor activities and beautiful mountain ranges nearby. Importance Community (1-5) Rating (1-5) 4.64 4.54 4.48 4.42 4.35 4.28 4.25 4.16 4.06 3.91 Has safety in the border area improved significantly during the last three years? When describing how to increase the quality of life in the region, many respondents cited the goal of making their city “greener.” Many called for increasing park space, cleaning streets and highways, and reducing pollution. A few respondents also suggested expanding local public transportation could advance these measures for sustainability. No 36% Yes 64% To the question of safety, most respondents agree that there has been significant improvements during the last few years. The pie chart to the right shows the breakdown of responses. 73 2.71 2.95 3.10 3.50 2.81 2.62 3.03 3.06 2.85 2.63 Stakeholder Surveys What best describes the primary business focus of your business? Results of Business Stakeholder Survey There were nearly 300 respondents to the business stakeholder surveys. Like the resident surveys, this questionnaire was also given in English and Spanish and asked respondents to provide opinions on a number of issues. Overall, most business respondents see the region as being good for their business, with few saying otherwise. Responses mainly came from the types of businesses displayed in the table to the right. Respondents to the Spanish surveys cited improvements to the number, quality, and efficiency of international crossings, as well as increasing investments in human capital in order to attract more businesses to the region More than half of respondents chose “community ties” as a reason for the location of their business. Around a quarter also indicated as an important criteria the quality of life in the region and family business. This seems to indicate that independent businesses were active in survey response, and that maquilas did not dominate the findings. Stakeholders, including maquila management, have indicated the companies are not overly focused on community activities. In general, social and business environments in the region are supportive of one another, and connections to community and culture is important . Percentage of Respondents Professional Services 30% Construction 16% Financial or Insurance Services 15% Manufacturing 13% Information Technology 12% Real Estate 11% Educational Services and Products 11% What are the primary reasons your business is located in the region? Community ties Quality of life Other Business is in the family Cost of doing business Access to distribution networks and markets Military Proximity to the US Proximity to colleges/universities Work ethic/culture Proximity to Mexico Labor costs Infrastructure Trained and educated workers Proximity to suppliers Taxes 52% 26% 26% 25% 21% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 13% 13% 8% 8% 7% 4% 0% 74 20% 40% 60% Stakeholder Surveys As with the resident survey, business respondents were asked to rate a number of factors in terms of importance to their business and the community’s performance. Being able to have access to customers was the most important fact, with the ability to attract and retain skilled employees coming in second. Only one of the factors, the quality of public schools, rated above 3.5 in terms of community performance. Business respondents may have understood this factor differently from residents. They may have attributed the quality of local universities to the public school system, or have a different experience of local high school graduates. In Juárez, the most cited roadblocks to expansion in the region were largely security concerns. However, nonsecurity concerns were largely related to unreliable labor, accessibility of capital, and inefficient infrastructure. Like the previous question, most respondents wanted to bring providers that would aid the growth of the primary manufacturing industries in the region. However, there were some responses that wanted to bring in new types of manufacture to the region, such as solar panels. Others wanted to bring in more advanced technologies like fiber optic cables and find ways to better integrate the region into global supply chains. Importance Community (1-5) Rating (1-5) Factor Results of Business Stakeholder Survey Access to Customers Ability to attract and retain skilled employees Quality of Life Tax Climate Operating Costs Quality of Public Schools Security Utilities and Infrastructure Regulatory Environment Entrepreneurial Environment 4.41 4.18 4.09 4.05 3.93 3.89 3.88 3.88 3.86 3.85 3.11 3.21 3.25 3.04 3.09 3.56 3.20 3.31 3.31 3.16 Over the next two years, do you anticipate expanding your operations? 4% Yes No, not expanding No, possibly selling or closing 24% 72% Next Steps: Opportunity for Change Economic development reaches beyond any one program or employer. It is a force that pushes, boosts, enables, and incentivizes North American Borderplex citizens to improve and excel. It attracts new residents and young families. Developing the business climate with new employment centers and thriving industries will drive dramatic, measureable improvements to many of the challenges currently facing the community. How will this happen? New employers bring jobs, salaries, involved parents, active new neighbors, reinvestment in neighborhoods, renovation of housing, preservation of historic sites, more watchful eyes in neighborhoods, and paths to job advancement. Crime recedes as surrounding areas attract reinvestment. Public education improves as new families venture into underperforming school areas and demand improvements. Residents who make more money spend more. New job opportunities create contagious opportunities. In the next phase of this economic development strategic plan, AngelouEconomics will identify high-potential industries for the region through an analysis of cluster concentration, industry trends, and regional assets. The industries and niches presented in the Target Industry report will provide a strong balance for the region between immediate opportunities for economic development and a long-term goals for the region. El Paso Chalk the Block Event by Brian Wancho Next Steps: El Paso/Las Cruces Cluster Analysis Source: Bureau of Labor Services 77 Next Steps: Juárez Cluster Analysis The economy in Juárez is significantly impacted by a lack of diversity in its industries. The manufacturing sector will be broken into subsectors for further study within the Target Industries Analysis. Source: Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social 78 TARGET INDUSTRIES: FOOD FOR THOUGHT TARGET INDUSTRIES & NICHES Defense Industry Testing /Evaluation Border/Cyber Security/Bio Terrorism Tourism Space Port / Aeronautics Tourism Cultural / Historical Tourism Life Sciences Health IT Destination Tourism / Western Theme Park Maintenance & Support Services Medical Test / Tissue Kits Intermodal Transport Services Vaccines / Pharmacological services Food Sciences & Processing Freight Trucking Clinical Trials Medical Devices Sensors / Systems Integration Advanced Logistics Supply Chain Management Supply Chain Analytics / Services Food Processing & Organic Foods Agricultural Research & Development Entrepreneurial Business Services Advanced Manufacturing Accounting / Data Processing / Finance Services Automotive Supply Chain Management Bio-Med Software Development & Creative Design Renewable Energy / Water Technologies / R&D English / Spanish Language Schools Aerospace / Defense Industry Food Safety On Line Education Consumer Products Mfg Appendix Table of Contents Research Methodology………………………………………………………………….. 81 Quality of Life……………………………………………………………………….………… 82 Workforce & Education……………………………………………………………………. 89 Business Climate……………………………………………………………………………… 99 Infrastructure………………………………………………………………………………….. 104 Cluster Analysis……………………………………………………………………………….. 105 80 Research Methodology To provide the best understanding of the complex nature of the North American Borderplex regional market, Angelou Economics conducted both qualitative and quantitative research . Each provided a set of invaluable information that provides insight into what drives the regional economy, the strengths the region has to draw upon and the challenges that will have to be overcome to compete effectively in the global arena. Our qualitative research process began during a stakeholder engagement site visit Aug. 14 – 25. During the visit, the AE team met with more than 120 regional residents, business owners and managers and other stakeholders during private interviews and focus groups. The meetings were conducted in locations in El Paso, Juárez and Las Cruces, offering participants easy access to the process. Interviews with additional key stakeholders were conducted after the conclusion of the August site visit. In October, an online survey was launched in both Spanish and English through the project website, offering stakeholders throughout the region the opportunity to provide their insight into the quality of life in the area, the business environment and hopes for economic development in the future. People took advantage of the opportunity – with 865 responses, 562 by residents and 303 by regional businesses. The core research that provides the backbone for this market assessment was conducted through the analysis of statistical information provided by various governmental and public sources in both the U.S. and Mexico. Proprietary analytic databases and analysis processes developed by AE were also utilized in the process. The combined research process provides an excellent look inside the region through a formal study of demographics and face-toface communication with the people who live and work in the area every day. The perception of stakeholders of the area and encompassing their specific desire for change in the future will be critical to the development of a successful strategic economic development plan. 81 Quality of Life: Demographics Race and Ethnicity (2013) Average Household Size (2013) 100% 4 3.7 3.6 0.3% 1.7% 1.9% 90% 2.9 2.8 3.1% 16.9% 80% 3.1 3 1.3% 4.9% 54.4% 70% 2.6 12.3% 66.4% 60% 81.2% 90.9% 50% 2 2.1% 40% 6.2% 1.1% 1.5% 30% 1 62.8% 20% 1.0% 3.0% 35.4% 29.2% 10% 1.0% 0.4% 7.4% 13.5% 0% 0 El Paso Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio Juárez (2010 estimate) El Paso US 82 Las Cruces McAllen White (non Hispanic) Black (non Hispanic) Hispanic or Latino Other San Antonio US Asian (non Hispanic) Quality of Life: Demographics Population and Household Growth (20082013) Population Growth 14% 12% 10% Household growth in Las Cruces outpaces population growth. This could be indicative of a more stable, less transient population. Household Growth 12% 12% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 6% 4% 2% 0% El Paso/Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio Source: U.S. Census Bureau 83 Quality of Life: Household Income Median Annual Household Income Annual Household Income 100% 4.8% 4.2% 3.6% 18.1% 18.4% 16.0% 80% $60,000 7.7% 24.9% 9.2% $51,486 $51,371 San Antonio US $50,000 24.3% $40,345 60% 29.9% 32.2% $40,000 28.8% $33,761 33.5% 40% $37,566 31.8% $30,000 26.9% $20,000 29.2% 26.3% 21.3% 20% 21.5% $10,000 18.4% 18.4% El Paso Las Cruces 24.6% 12.7% 13.3% San Antonio US $0 0% McAllen Less than $14,999 $15,000 to $34,999 $75,000 to $149,999 $150,000 or more El Paso $35,000 to $74,999 84 Las Cruces McAllen Quality of Life: Cost of Living Median Rent (Monthly) $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 $828 $726 $884 $704 $621 U.S. Rent as a Percentage of Household Income 35.0 percent or more 30.0 to 34.9 percent El Paso Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio US 25.0 to 29.9 percent 20.0 to 24.9 percent 15.0 to 19.9 percent Less than 15.0 percent 100% 90% 11.4% 80% 12.8% 70% 12.3% 60% 50% 12.8% 10.4% 7.2% 10.5% 13.0% 11.6% 9.1% 13.0% 12.0% 11.8% 11.9% 15.1% 12.2% 8.6% 9.5% 10.9% 13.5% 11.9% 8.6% 40% 12.5% 11.5% 8.9% 30% 20% 41.7% 47.3% 46.1% El Paso Las Cruces McAllen 38.8% 43.1% San Antonio US 10% 0% 85 Quality of Life: Housing Characteristics U.S. Housing Values (2013) 100% 90% 1.8% Average Juárez Housing Cost (per Sq. Meter) 1.4% 8.2% 4.0% 10.2% 14.8% $11,000 $7,600 $814 $562 33.3% Housing values along the border are significantly lower than houses on average in the U.S. Roughly 43 percent of homes in the U.S. are worth $200,000 or more, compared to 27 percent in El Paso and Las Cruces. 43.2% 36.5% 50% 30.8% 40% 64.6% 30% 20% City Center Non Central U.S. Dollars 26.0% 70% 60% Pesos Source: NUMBEO, based on .074 Mexico/U.S. Exchange Rate 24.0% 80% Purchase Price 40.2% 35.6% 25.7% 10% 0% El Paso / Las Cruces McAllen MSA San Antonio MSA US Less than $99,999 $100,000 to $199,999 $200,000 to $499,999 $500,000 or more Source: U.S. Census Bureau 86 A 1,500 square foot home in the center of Juárez would cost approximately $372,000; while a house outside the city center would cost an average $257,000, according to NUMBEO. These value estimates appear high, and likely do not accurately represent the entire Juárez housing spectrum. Quality of Life: Population City Population Projections (2020-2030) 2,000,000 1,727,491 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,616,344 1,528,129 1,488,357 1,400,000 1,016,031 1,200,000 918,943 1,000,000 800,000 1,014,713 893,961 822,625 734,031 600,000 400,000 200,000 126,821 109,862 0 2020 El Paso Juarez 2030 Las Cruces McAllen/ Reynosa Sources: Texas State Water Board; City of Las Cruces; Secretaria de Gobernacion – Consejo Nacional de Poblacion 87 Queretaro San Antonio Quality of Life: Sunshine Factor U.S. Top Annual Average Sunshine Cities City State AVG Sunshine Yuma AZ 90% Redding CA 88% Las Vegas NV 85% Phoenix AZ 85% Tucson AZ 85% El Paso TX 84% The region has a hot, arid climate with abundant sunshine and significant wind activity. The area generally has 293 sunshine days per year with a high sun factor. El Paso is considered one of the top 10 cities in the U.S. with the highest average amount of annual sunshine. That makes the region a prime candidate for solar and wind renewable energy industry expansion and the manufacturing of renewable energy parts and materials. The region has enough wind to sustain existing wind energy industries. El Paso Electric’s Hueco Wind Ranch, 35 miles outside of El Paso, has two 660 kilowatt V-47 Vestas wind turbines that are expected to eventually generate 3,000,000 kWh of electricity a year, enough to power approximately 500 average El Paso households. Recognizing the potential for solar energy industries in the area, the city of El Paso has offered solar incentives that attracted a number of solar energy companies. Las Cruces also has numerous existing solar energy businesses. In April 2013, Fox Energy, a subsidiary of Foxconn, contracted with Sun Edison to produce solar modules in Juárez. 88 Workforce & Education: Labor Force Changes Year over Year Change in Labor Force (2005-Q1 2014) 6.0% Changes in employment and the labor force in El Paso have generally followed national trends: marked by a steady climb before the economic downturn, then a sharp drop followed by the recovery. Las Cruces hewed to a flatter trajectory that saw it less adversely impacted by the downturn but benefiting less from the recovery. 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% Unemployment Rate (2004-2014) 2005 2006 2007 El Paso/Las Cruces 14% 2009 McAllen 2010 2011 2012 San Antonio 2013 Q1 2014 US Total Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; AngelouEconomics 12% 10% 9.5% 8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.4% 5.0% 6% 4% 2% El Paso Las Cruces Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 2008 McAllen San Antonio US Total 89 Workforce & Education: Employment Trends Labor force participation rate in Ciudad Juárez (2010) In Labor Force Economically Active Population by Employment Status (Q2 2014) Out of Labor Force Employed Informal sector Unemployed 100% 80% 44% 60% 56% 40% 20% 0% Chihuahua Source: Instituto Municipal de Investigacion y Planeacion(IMIP) with data from Censo de Poblacion y Vivienda 2010 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía Unemployment Rates (2005-2014) Chihuahua Querétaro (State) Formal Sector Employment (1997-2011) Querétaro Juárez 12 500,000 10 400,000 8 Querétaro 300,000 6 200,000 4 2 100,000 0 0 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 90 Workforce & Education: Employment by Sector Formal Employment by Sector (2014) Employment by Sector (2013) El Paso / Doña Ana County Percentage of Total 4374 1.2% Agriculture 0.0% 0.5% 4.6% 5.9% 3.2% 13.0% 4.0% 1.9% 2.6% 1.5% 3.5% 0.2% 6.8% 0.9% 14.6% 0.9% 10.2% 2.3% Mining & Natural Resources Other 165 1854 16228 20732 11161 45646 13982 6596 9061 5319 12317 654 23903 2992 51445 3010 35960 7988 Public Administration 20477 5.8% Sector Agriculture Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Logistics Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate Business Services Management Waste and Remediation Educational Services Health Care Arts and Entertainment Travel and Food Services Sector Share of Total Juárez 1,021 0.3% 30 0.01% 234,038 63.8% 10,581 2.9% 2,473 0.7% Trade 40,194 11.0% Transportation & Communication 13,840 3.8% Business & Professional Services Healthcare, Education, & Community Services 42,979 11.7% 21,574 5.9% Manufacturing Construction Utilities & Water Total 366,730 Source: Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social; AngelouEconomics Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 91 Workforce and Education: Education Levels Degree Attainment (2013) 30% US 87% 27% San Antonio MSA 84% 16% McAllen MSA 62% 22% El Paso / Las Cruces 75% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percent bachelor's degree or higher High school achievement index (2011) 100 Percent high school graduate or higher 80 65.3 Source: Texas Education Agency; Doña Ana County Schools 60.1 60 40 20 0 Juarez Queretaro Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 92 Workforce and Education: Research Focus The primary R&D expenditures at NMSU are in engineering and life science, with much of life science spending devoted to agricultural science and the plurality of engineering dollars devoted to aerospace which would fit its position as a land and space-grant university. The third largest investment goes into the physical sciences with chemistry and astronomy getting the most research dollars in the phys. sciences department. Academic R&D Expenditures in El Paso/Las Cruces by Discipline (2013) $24,528,000 Engineering $3,861,000 Computer Science Environmental Science Like NMSU, the primary research focus at UTEP is in engineering and life science with engineering money being spread more evenly between civil, electrical, and mechanical engineering. While in the life sciences department, the largest recipient is biological science. Life Science $54,461,000 $95,458,000 Mathematical Science Physical Science $5,925,000 $9,905,000 Academic R&D Expenditures at NMSU by Discipline (2012) Academic R&D Expenditures at UTEP by Discipline (2012) $6,800,000 $17,728,000 Engineering $2,384,000 Engineering Computer Science Computer Science Environmental Science Environmental Science $69,350,000 Life Science Mathematical Science Life Science $36,500,000 $1,477,000 $17,961,000 $26,108,000 Mathematical Science Physical Science Physical Science $1,478,000 $1,786,000 $4,447,000 93 $8,119,000 Sources: National Science Foundation; AngelouEconomics Workforce & Education: Young Professionals Median Age (2013) 38 40 35 34 32 29 30 25 26 25 20 15 10 5 0 El Paso/Las Cruces Juárez McAllen MSA Querétaro San Antonio MSA US Median Age (2000-2010) Juárez Querétaro Chihuahua 30 25 23 23 23 21 Querétaro (State) 24 25 25 23 25 26 26 25 2005 2010 20 15 10 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía 5 0 2000 94 Workforce & Education: Wages & Wage Growth Average Weekly Wage Comparison $1,100 $900 Wages in El Paso have risen slower than the national average over the last 10 years, while Las Cruces’ have kept pace. Both cities’ wages are now comparable to each other though remain considerably lower than the U.S. average. $700 $500 $300 El Paso Las Cruces San Antonio U.S. McAllen Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 10-year Growth in Average Weekly Wage 40% “Our community colleges need to be more technical training and skills training institutions rather than feeders to universities.” 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% — Stakeholder Interview Participant 5% 0% El Paso Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio U.S. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; AngelouEconomics 95 Workforce and Education: Personal Income by Sector El Paso County and Doña Ana County Per Capita Personal Income by Sector (2012) Mining Utilities Wholesale Trade Logistics Manufacturing Construction Business Services Information Health Care Management Agriculture Real Estate Finance and insurance Retail Trade Other Educational Services Waste and Remediation Travel and Food Services Arts and Entertainment $192,398 $104,705 $58,233 $53,598 $53,405 $48,760 $47,205 $46,756 $42,674 $35,032 $32,519 $29,524 $28,795 $28,790 $25,374 $25,324 $23,570 $17,791 $12,760 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; AngelouEconomics 96 Workforce & Education: Jobs by Industry Sector El Paso County and Doña Ana County Employment Growth by Sector (2008-2013) Educational services 42% Health Care 22% Travel and Food Services 12% Management 9% Utilities 6% 5% 5% Business Services Retail trade Agriculture 2% 2% 1% 0% Real Estate Information Logistics Finance and insurance -1% -3% -4% -5% -8% -9% -10% Other Arts and entertainment Waste and Remediation Wholesale Trade Manufacturing Mining Construction -30% -18% -20% -10% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 97 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Workforce & Education: Maquiladoras Juárez Maquiladoras by Number of Workers (2012) 0-49 49 50-99 34 100-249 46 250-499 41 500-999 51 1,000-2,999 3,000+ 44 10 Juárez Maquiladoras by Number of Workers (2012) 4% 0-49 18% 16% 50-99 100-249 12% 250-499 500-999 18% 1,000-2,999 17% 3,000+ 15% 98 Business Climate: Local Tax Climate Local Taxes Benchmark El Paso Las Cruces McAllen San Antonio Property Tax Paid (for a $100,000 valuation)* Total Sales Tax Rate $1,076 8.25% $976 7.9375% $1,014 8.25% $873 8.25% *Using county and city tax rates for Texas benchmarks and City of Las Cruces tax rate 99 Business Climate: Business Establishments El Paso County and Doña Ana County Change in Establishments by Sector Health Care Arts and Entertainment Waste and Remediation Business Services Management Educational Services Travel and Food Services Agriculture Retail Trade Finance and Insurance 2008 - 2013 Logistics 2012 - 2013 Utilities Wholesale Trade Real Estate Information Manufacturing Other Public Administration Mining Construction -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 100 Business Climate: Establishment Growth by Sector El Paso County and Doña Ana County Change in Establishments by Sector 2008 - 2013 2012 - 2013 Health Care Arts and Entertainment Waste and Remediation Business Services Management Educational Services Travel and Food Services Agriculture Retail Trade Finance and Insurance Logistics Utilities Wholesale Trade Real Estate Information Manufacturing Other Public Administration Mining Construction -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 101 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Business Climate: Business Growth Regional Economic Development Organizations Desarrollo Economico de Cd. Juárez Private Sector Economic and Tourism Development Office of the Secretary of Economic the State of Chihuahua The state of Chihuahua has an office in Cd. Juárez The city Juárez has an industrial Economic Development Department The City of El Paso has an Economic and Retail Development Department Cd. Juárez Industrial Development Department City of El Paso Economic Development Department County of El Paso Economic Development Department Mesilla Valley Economic Development Alliance, MVEDA The County of El Paso has an Economic Development Department Economic Development for Doña Ana County NM. Las Cruces, NM to Sunland Park, NM City of Las Cruces Economic Development Office City of Las Cruces Economic Development Department Border Industrial Association Economic Development for the Santa Teresa, NM Industrial Park Borderplex Alliance Regional Economic Development and Advocacy 102 Business Climate: GRP & FDI Gross Regional Product (GRP), 2013 El Paso/Las Cruces San Diego Laredo McAllen Brownsville San Antonio Gross Domestic Product (GDP) GRP (billions) $33.9 $197.9 $8.0 $17.0 $8.6 $96.0 GDP (billions) Chihuahua $30.7 Baja California $30.6 Querétaro $22.5 Tamaulipas $32.1 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis Sources: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía Foreign Direct Investment Employment in Foreign-Owned Enterprises FDI Share of Total Jobs El Paso 18,540 8.6% San Diego 48,730 4.8% McAllen 8,373 4.5% San Antonio 21,576 3.0% Source: Brookings Institute 103 Infrastructure: Industrial Real Estate Juárez Industrial Source: CBRE Research, Q3 2014. 104 El Paso County Cluster Analysis 105 Source: Bureau of Labor Services Doña Ana Cluster Analysis 106 Source: Bureau of Labor Services About AngelouEconomics AngelouEconomics partners with client communities and regions across the United States and abroad to candidly assess current economic development realities and identify opportunities. Our goal is to leverage the unique strengths of each region to provide new, strategic direction for economic development. As a result, AngelouEconomics’ clients are able to diversify their economies, expand job opportunities and investment, foster entrepreneurial growth, better prepare their workforce, and attract ‘new economy’ companies. To learn more, visit www.angeloueconomics.com Project Team Angelos Angelou Principal Executive Officer William Mellor Director of Project Operations Dane Anderson Project Manager Yannis Gatsiounis Associate Project Manager Nicholas Samuel Research Analyst William Bean Research Analyst 107