BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models
Transcription
BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models
BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Basic Economic Macroeconomics Concepts in ©Dick Brunelle and Steve Reff Economics is a social science that focuses on decisions in how to use the resources of individuals, firms, and society. Microeconomics deals with the decisions of individuals and firms and specific markets. Macroeconomics deals with the decisions of all individuals and all firms and the aggregation of all markets. Although the microeconomic foundations of the big picture economy can be important, it is not always useful to think of the macro-economy as just a bigger view of the various micro markets. Beware of one of the key fallacies that can lead to false conclusions: the fallacy of composition. It is wrong to think that what is true of the individual is true of the whole and vice-versa. What is true for an individual or a firm or a particular market is not necessarily true for the aggregate economy. In studying the basic economic concepts for Macroeconomics we cover topics that are relevant to both microeconomics and macroeconomics. What are the resources that are relevant? Land = Natural Resources Labor = Human Resources Capital = Capital Resources The production of goods and services by an economy is dependent on combining available resources. At any given time the productivity of these resources is limited by the technology available. What is the role of money? Money is important but it is not considered to be a real resource. If we are talking about an individual or a firm, then having more money than others allows one to buy more goods and services or in the case of the firm buy more of the available resources. Money is a claim on resources and outputs. We will look at the role of money in much more detail in another section. At any given moment in time an economy has a finite quantity of labor, capital, and natural resources. The limited quantity of resources means that decisions have to be made regarding the use of these resources. What goods and services should be produced? How will these goods and services be produced? Who will get the benefit of these goods and services? The answers are simple, right? You make the goods and services and I get them! Well this might work for me but it probably does not work so well for you. The Economic Problem is the problem stated above: What to produce? How to produce it? And for whom is it produced? It is assumed that consumers have unlimited wants and that economies have limited resources. In economic jargon this means that there is scarcity. Resources are scarce and so people, firms, and society have to make choices. 1 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Because we all have to make choices every decision has a cost. If you have $100 to spend on a shopping trip to buy clothes for school, there will be items that you want but will not be able to buy. If after buying several items you have to choose between a blue sweater or a green sweater, both of which you want, you will have an opportunity cost. If you buy the blue sweater, you will have to forego the green sweater. Conversely, if you buy the green sweater you will have to forego the blue sweater. Historically the answers to the what, how and who questions have been categorized into three types of economies: Tradition: Custom determines the answers to these questions. Command: Government decides the answer to these questions. Markets: Markets decide the answers to these questions. In any economy we can find examples of all of these decision-making influences. Despite this one type usually dominates. In the United States and in many other countries the majority of economic decisions are made by markets with a significant amount of decisions made by government. For the most part, markets have proven to be a most efficient way to allocate resources for a majority of goods and services. Some goods and services are more efficiently produced by government: police, fire departments, schools, roads, etc. Now we can always debate where to draw the line but we will leave that up to you. The fact is that the United States and other advanced nations are mixed economies where both private markets and government provide some of the goods and services. Markets are extremely important to the economic efficiency of a country. But we need to understand that there are many different markets and that markets do not exist in a vacuum without government and institutions. It is important that you do not engage in thought terminating clichés such as “the market” or “the government”. There are many types of markets and many types of governments. When markets work well they have support of institutions. Markets work best conditions exist: when the following 1. There are many suppliers with none capable of influencing the market. In other words there is a great deal of competition that encourages efficient use of resources, quality of product, and normal profits. 2. There are many consumers with none capable of influencing the market. 3. Both sellers and buyers have perfect information. 4. There are no externalized costs and benefits. 5. Both sellers and buyers live up to their agreements. When the above conditions present markets can still work be as efficient as they would conditions are met. This is are not all but may not be if all the a topic for 2 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Microeconomics but it is worth remembering as we go through macroeconomics. Models The models that we are dealing with under conditions of ceribus paribus are similar to the above simplistic description of archery. We understand how the arrow goes in the right direction. Our job in this introduction of macroeconomics is to understand some of the basic models that are prevalent in the discipline. But being an expert archer requires the ability to take other variables into consideration. A model is a simplified view of some theory in economics. It is important for the student to understand and be able to use these models. What is the direction of the wind? Models are not perfect replicas of reality. Nonetheless, they help us understand some of the economic concept and theories. A model is useful if it helps us predict a possible outcome. What is the weight of the arrow? For the most part the principles of economics deal with models that are limited by the restriction of ceteris paribus. This means that we are going to assume that only one variable changes as we predict a result. Let’s try our hand at creating a model to explain the limitations of ceteris paribus. Analogy of the Arrow Let’s compare the simple models in the principles of Macroeconomics to shooting an arrow with a bow. For those of you who have never shot a bow or who have only shot a bow in gym class, the objective is to pull the bowstring back, aim at the target, and release the bowstring. You should get the arrow going in the right direction. What is the pressure of the bowstring? What is the strength of the wind? What is the density of the air? What is the specific distance of the target? I am sure that expert archers could add to this list. And after all variables are considered sometimes an unexpected gust of wind comes up. So what we need to accomplish is the mastery of the simple models. We need to understand how to predict the direction of the macroeconomic arrow by understanding the following models. Remember, economics is not a branch of theology. These are not some sort of absolute truths. The models can help us understand the economy. But we should also be aware of the limitations of these models. We should realize that not all models work all the time. Models are a good way of simplifying complex ideas. 3 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Here are the key models that you must master as part of your study of this unit on basic concepts: A. The production possibilities model B. The comparative advantage model C. The circular-flow model Skills to master in this unit: 1. Interpreting a production possibilities graph 2. Converting a table of information into a productions possibilities graph 3. Computing comparative advantage 4. Using a table of information to compute comparative advantage 5. Using constant cost production possibilities to compute comparative advantage 6. Understanding the flows of outputs, resources and income in the circular flow model MODEL ONE: PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES You have probably heard the expression “a picture is worth a thousand words”; well, to an economist a graph is word even more. Pretty simple graph, isn’t it? It has a vertical axis, a horizontal axis and a curved line. The objective of this graph is to illustrate the production choices of an economic entity. Since we are studying macroeconomics let’s make the entity a country. Let’s called the country Simpleland, Heck, this is our model we can call it anything we want. One of the important things to do with any graph is to make sure that the graph is labeled correctly. So let’s add our label for the graph’s identity: The first graph that we will deal with is the production possibilities graph (PP graph). The following PP graph incorporates the concept of increasing cost. 4 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Now this graph needs two more labels. One is for the vertical axis and one is for the horizontal axis. Now it becomes apparent that this is a very simple model and we are making the assumption that the country of Simpleland can only produce two goods with its resources. (or if we want two categories of goods like capital goods and consumer goods.) Frequently you will encounter ppc graphs without the quantities specified on the vertical and horizontal axis. But we should remember that the axes represent the quantity of output with zero output at the origin. Decisions, decisions, decisions, this is already getting like economics. We could label one axis apples and the other one oranges, or we could use televisions on one and computers on the other, etc. As long as we understand that we are making the assumption that this is a two product market. Let’s go with gadgets and widgets. We can eliminate the label for production possibilities curve because we understand that the curve represents the maximum combination of gadgets and widgets that can be produced by the country of Simpleland. 5 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models So let’s include the quantities: Note that the quantities are expressed in units of a thousand (000). The above graph illustrates 5 combinations of output. Remember that anywhere on the ppc represents a combination of outputs that fully employs the resources. Combinations B, C, and D represent possible combinations of gadgets and widgets that could be produced if resources were fully and efficiently employed. Combination A represents an output that is below the PPC. Oh, oh, the country of Simpleland is in a recession. Combination E represents a level of output that is not attainable currently in the country of Simpleland. There are not enough resources to produce this output combination under the current level of technology. On the above graph: Point a = 3,000 gadgets and 1,000 widgets Point b = about 5800 gadgets and 1,000 widgets Point c = about 4400 gadgets and 3,000 widgets Point d= 2,000 gadgets and about 5,100 widgets Point e= 6000 gadgets and about 4,500 widgets Let’s make sure we understand exactly how to interpret a PPC graph. Look at the following graph: 6 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Now what we want is the opportunity cost of producing each additional unit of widgets. We can estimate this by dividing the change in lost gadgets (foregone gadgets) by the change in additional widgets. Look at the ppc graph above. There are 8 production possible levels illustrated: points A through H. All are on the ppc. Therefore, all are economically efficient. At point H, Simpleland is producing 6 widgets and 0 gadgets. What if it wants to produce some gadgets? It has to forego the production of some of the widgets. Let’s look at the possible combinations on the above graph. As we move from 0 production of widgets to 1000 unit (combination B) we forego 300 units of gadgets. 300 divided by 1000 = .3 unit of gadgets foregone for every additional unit of widgets produced. At combination C we add an additional 1300 units of widgets and forego 1000 units of gadgets. The opportunity cost = 1000 divided by 1300 or .77. The above table represents the 8 combinations illustrated on the graph above. We continue doing this and we see that as we produce more widgets the opportunity costs continues to increase: .3 to .77, to.83, to 1, etc. Now let’s assume we start at point A where 0 widgets are produced and 6300 gadgets are produce. Let’s measure the quantity of foregone gadgets at each level of increased production of widgets (B to C to D to E to F to G and to H. This illustrates the concept of increasing costs. Increasing Costs: As additional units of one product are produced an increasing quantity of the other is sacrificed. This occurs because some of the resources are more suitable to the production of widgets and some are more suitable to the production of gadgets. 7 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models This is why the production possibilities curve is bowed out (convex). Now we can also use a constant-cost production possibilities curve. Constant cost means that the opportunity cost does not increase. It remains the same as production increases. For each additional unit of wheat that is produced ½ of a unit of barley is foregone. For each additional unit of barley that is produced 2 units of wheat is foregone. The opportunity cost does not change as additional units of wheat or barley is produced. Therefore, we have a constant cost production possibilities curve. The production possibilities curve can also be referred to as the production possibilities frontier. The Production Possibilities “Curve” is a straight line on the graph above. The assumption is that all of the resources are equally productive in the production of wheat or barley. The above table represents the data shown on the above graph. We can now calculate the opportunity cost (OC) for producing additional units of wheat and that for producing additional units of barley. 8 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Let’s take a look at some other variations of the use of the production possibilities model. The above graph shows that an increase in a resource or in technology would shift the production possibilities frontier from ppc1 to ppc2. The above model represents the potential production possibilities of an economy at a given moment of time with a given amount of resources and a given level of technology. So what can change? A. One or more of the resources can change over time. This shift in the ppc outward represents economic growth. If an economy were to experience a decrease in resources or a loss of technology, we could illustrate this regression by an inward shift of the ppc curve: B. The level of technology can change over time. How would we illustrate an increase in resources or an increase in technology? Any increase in the above would be illustrated by a rightward shift of the ppc: 9 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models What if a technology was developed that only had an effect on the production of one good? technology that only impacts the production of capital goods. A last note on technology: technology makes all the resources more productive. This is what economists refer to as factor productivity. It is the key to sustainable growth if it is done correctly and does not create other problems such as pollution. Comparative Advantage Model The comparative advantage model is used to illustrate why specialization by each of two entities in the production of two goods will lead to more total production of both goods. The above graph illustrates the effect of an increase in technology that only impacts the production of consumer goods. Note that the ppc 2 only shifts out on the horizontal axis that represents the production of consumer goods. This model is frequently used in microeconomics to show why individuals or firms should specialize in producing the good at which that entity has the lowest opportunity cost of production. In macroeconomics it is used frequently to illustrate why a country should specialize in the production of the good at which it has the lowest opportunity cost. The important skills that each student needs are the ability to A. differentiate between absolute advantage and comparative B. calculate comparative advantage and determine which entity should specialize in which product C. determine what terms of trade are acceptable to both parties In the above, the curve shifts out on the vertical axis that represents the production of capital goods. This illustrates the development of Let’s look at an example, Reffland can produce 4,000 tons of corn or 8,000 tons of wheat using all of its available 10 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models resources. Bruland can produce 2,000 tons of corn and 6,000 tons of wheat using all of its available resources. (Yes, they could each produce some combination of both corn and wheat.) If the information gives two different output quantities for the products involved, then it is an output problem. Putting this in a matrix we get the following: If the problem stated that Reffland can produce 1,000 bushels of corn on 10 acres of land and Bruland can produce 1,000 bushels of corn on 15 acres of land, the problem is describing a difference in inputs to produce the same amount of output (corn). Inputs are resources. They are human, natural, or capital resources that are used to make the product that is the output described. We have transferred the information to the table above. We can determine who has the absolute advantage in the production of corn and of wheat. Some other typical inputs used in an input problem: Reffland had the absolute advantage in the production of corn because 4,000 tons is greater than 2,000 tons. Reffland also has the absolute advantage in the production of wheat: 8,000 tons is greater than 6,000 tons. Above, we have different outputs for corn and wheat for each country. It is an output problem. Man-hours Units of Labor Machine-hours Units of capital Quantity of land (acres) Absolute Advantage = ability to produce more of a product than the other entity. OK, so we agree that the following: But to determine who should specialize in which product the student of basic macroeconomics must be able to determine which entity has the comparative advantage. Comparative Advantage = ability to produce a product with the lowest opportunity cost. Calculating Comparative Advantage is an output problem. First determine if the problem is an output problem or an input problem. We set up the matrix to include a box for the opportunity cost for each country in the production of both goods. 11 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models We now are trying to determine how much wheat is foregone for each unit of corn produced and how much corn is foregone for each unit of wheat produced. We can simplify the math by reducing the numbers proportionally. The opportunity cost (foregone wheat) for every unit of corn produced by Reffland is 8/4 or 2 units of wheat. The quantities are expressed in thousands of tons. We can eliminate the tons and the thousands and deal with the basic numbers as follows: The opportunity cost (foregone corn) for every unit of wheat produced by Reffland is 4/8 or ½ of a unit of corn. Now since this is an output problem, we create a fraction with the number in the box of the foregone good in the numerator (top of the fraction) and the number of the good being produced in the denominator (bottom of the fraction. The opportunity cost (foregone wheat) for every unit of corn produced by Bruland is 6/2 or 3 units of wheat. 12 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Remember to calculate comparative advantage we determine the lowest opportunity cost by simplifying the numbers, creating a 4 X 4 matrix, putting the number of the foregone good in the numerator. What about an input problem? The opportunity cost (foregone corn) for every unit of wheat produced by Bruland is 2/6 or 1/3 of a unit of wheat. Once we have made these calculations we can determine the comparative advantage in the productions of wheat and corn. Let’s try one. Reffland can produce 1,000 units of corn on 6 acres of land and 1,000 units of wheat on 8 units of land. Bruland can produce 1,000 units of corn on 3 acres of land and 1,000 units of wheat on 2 acres of land. Let’s put this information in a table: In our matrix we have determined that Reffland has an opportunity cost of 2 units of wheat for every unit of corn produced and Bruland has an opportunity cost of 3 units of wheat for every unit of corn produced. Reffland has the comparative advantage in the production of corn! Bruland’s opportunity cost of producing wheat is to forego 1/3 of a unit of corn; but Reffland’s opportunity cost of producing wheat is to forego ½ of a unit of corn. 1/3 is less than ½. Bruland has the lowest opportunity cost of producing wheat. Bruland has the comparative advantage in the production of wheat! Note: the numbers in the box for an input problem are the amount of inputs it takes to produce the same quantity of output. In this sample the resource or input is acres of land. To determine absolute advantage when different inputs are given, it is the entity that requires the fewest units of input that has the absolute advantage. In the above, Bruland has the absolute advantage in the production of corn. 3 acres are less than 6 acres. Bruland also has the absolute advantage in the production of wheat. 2 acres is less than 6 acres. Now to determine comparative advantage we need to compute the opportunity cost. Since this is an input problem we will put the number 13 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models of the foregone good in the denominator of our fraction (bottom). For every unit of corn Reffland produces it will forego the production of ¾ of a unit of wheat. For every unit of wheat Bruland produces it will have an opportunity cost of 2/3 of a unit of corn. For every unit of wheat Reffland produces it will forego the production of 1 and 1/3 units of corn. For every unit of corn Bruland produces it will have an opportunity cost of 1 and ½ units of wheat foregone. Comparing the opportunity costs of Reffland and Bruland we see that Reffland has a lower opportunity cost in the production of corn. ¾ of a unit of wheat foregone is less than 1 and ½ units. Therefore, Reffland has the comparative advantage in the production of corn. Bruland has the comparative advantage in the production of wheat. Foregoing 2/3 of a unit of corn is less than foregoing 1 and 1/3 units. Specialization 14 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models The term specialization is used to indicate which party in a comparative advantage should produce which of the two goods involved. scooters it must get in return for trading at least 2 bicycles for every 1 scooter that it produces and trades. Therefore, one concludes that the party with the comparative advantage in the production of the product (the lowest opportunity cost) should specialize in its production. Bruland will specialize in bicycles because it has the lowest opportunity cost (foregoes only 1/3 of a scooter. Bruland must get at least 1 scooter for every 3 bicycles it makes and trades. Terms of Trade Which terms of trade work? In the Comparative Advantage model we determine who specializes in which product. The implication is that each party specializes in one good and then the two parties will trade with each other. Let’s look at 5 possible options: In order for the terms of trade to be acceptable, each party must trade for the product that it does not make and get at least what it is foregoing by not producing that product itself. The key then is the opportunity cost of making the product it specializes in. One could argue that a party should get at least a smidge more than its opportunity cost, but let us keep it simple. Option A: 2 bicycles for 3 scooters Option B: 5 bicycles for 2 scooters Option C: 3 bicycles for 2 scooters Option D: 10 bicycles for 4 scooters Option E: 12 bicycles for 3 scooters Can you identify which of the above 5 options would result in trade between Reffland and Bruland. We must calculate the benefit that each country receives from trade. Let’s look at the following: Let’s create a table: In the above comparative analysis we determine that Reffland will specialize in the production of scooters because it has the lowest opportunity cost (foregoes only 2 bicycles.) Therefore, if Reffland specializes in 15 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models We have already decided that Bruland will specialize in bicycles and Reffland in scooters. Completing our table: Bruland will export bicycles and import scooters. Reffland will export scooters and import bicycles. What we need to do now is determine the benefit that each receives from the various options listed. We calculate the benefit by dividing the quantity imported by the quantity exported. This gives us the benefit per unit exported. We have calculated the benefits that each country receives if it exported under the terms of trade options A through E. Now let’s see which options work for both countries: In option A above we determine that if Bruland exports bicycles and imports scooters it will receive 1.5 scooters for each bicycle exported. In option A above we determine that if Reffland exports scooters and imports bicycles it will receive 2/3 of a bicycle for each scooter exported. We compare the benefit of specializing and exporting to the opportunity cost of producing the good exported. 16 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Option A: works for Bruland but not for Reffland. No trade occurs. Reffland would gain more by producing the bicycles itself. Option B: works for both. Trade will occur. Option C: works for Bruland but not for Reffland. No trade will occur. Option D: works for both. Trade will occur. The above production possibilities graph indicates that Bruland can produce 8 million computers and 0 HD TVs, or 0 computers and 6 million HD TV’s, or some combination along the constant cost PPC curve. Reffland can produce 6 million computers and 0 HD TVs or 0 computers and 3 million HD TVs or some combination along the constant cost PPC curve. Let’s put this information into a table Option E: works for Reffland but not for Bruland. No trade will occur. Know how to calculate acceptable terms of trade. Combining PPC model and the Comparative Advantage Model. Students must be able to use the information in a production possibilities curve to calculate comparative advantage. We have transferred the data from the ppc graph to the above table. Bruland has the absolute advantage in the production of both computers and HD TV’s. Now calculate the comparative advantage. 17 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Remember this is an output problem so the number of the foregone good becomes the numerator (put it on top). Dorkland has the comparative advantage in the production of snappets (2/3 is less than 1.) A note on using constant cost PPC in comparative advantage models. At the introductory level of Macroeconomics it is customary to use constant cost models because the math used to determine opportunity cost is simple. Reffland has the comparative advantage in the production of computers (1/2 is less than ¾). Bruland has the comparative advantage in the production of HD TV’s (1 and 1/3 is less than 2). If an increasing cost model was used we would have to use more complicated math to determine at which point as costs increase would the comparative advantage shift to the other producer. Whew! We do not need to do this. Now let’s look at one more PPC graph with two countries involved: Circular Flow Model The circular flow Model in Macroeconomics is used to illustrate that sectors of the economy are both producers and consumers and that the income that is spent on consumption becomes income for production (or vice-versa if you are so inclined.) Sectors of the Economy: Households Business Government In the above graph neither has the absolute advantage in the production of snippets. Each can produce a maximum of 6,000 snippets. But we can still compute the comparative advantage. Orkland has the comparative advantage in the production of snippets (1 is less than 1 and1/3.) Foreign Households represent all of people in an economy organized by living groups. If you are single living alone you are a household of 1. If you are part of a family of 6 living together you are a household of 6. 18 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Business represents the producers of goods and services and this includes sole-proprietors, partners, and corporations in the private sector. Government represents all of the political units of the economy. In the U.S. this includes city, county, state, and federal governments. Foreign sector represents all households, businesses, and governments that are not part of the national identity. Business and government buy these resources from households. Money is sent to the households in return for the use of resources. (Labor receives $ wages, capital receives $ interest, natural resources receives $ rents). The money allows the households to purchase the goods and services from businesses (income to the firms) and from government (fees and taxes to the government). We see that income is used to buy goods and services ($ expenditures) and that income is earned from providing resources to business and government. For most of us, the bulk of our income is earned by providing labor. For some of us income is earned through investment made with funds available because of wealth. We could also include another market, the capital market, to illustrate that accumulated wealth is used to generate income. Do not confuse the capital market with economic capital. The capital market deals in financial securities such as: The above graph illustrates the concept of circular flow. In the above graph we are dealing with a closed economy to keep it simple. By that we mean an economy without a foreign sector. We are looking at the resource market and the product market. The resource market (also called the factor market) is where government and Firms (businesses) purchase resources from the households. It is assumed that households own all resources. These resources are: a. buying stock, shares of ownership in private corporations b. buying bonds, loans to private firms and the government. In this market the financial resources are provided to help businesses, government, and households to acquire real capital resources and real output. We will look at the circular flow model in more detail later when we examine national output and national income. natural resources, labor resources, and capital resources. 19 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Brureff Activity Section Unit 1 Brureff Activity Book © Dick Brunelle and Steven Reff Unit 1: Activity 1: The country Practiceland has a simple agrarian economy that can produce both wheat and soybeans. Given that the country fully employs all of its resources, the following is a table of options that the country has in its possible production of wheat and soybeans. The quantities represent tons. Use the following grid to plot the production possibilities curve for Bruland. 20 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Assume that Practiceland is fully employing its resources. Determine Practiceland’s opportunity cost for increasing it production of wheat from 0 tons of wheat to the following production possible outputs of wheat and its opportunity cost for increasing its production of soybeans from 0 tons to the following production possible outputs of soybeans. Unit 1: Activity 2 21 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 3 Estimate the per -unit cost of increasing wheat from 0 to 20, etc. 22 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 4 Estimate the per-unit cost of increasing the production of soybeans from 0 to 40, etc. 23 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 5 Graph the production possibilities Curve for Simpleland based on the table above. 24 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 6 Determine the opportunity cost and the per-unit opportunity cost for Simpleland on the table below. 25 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 8 1. Country A: Using all of its resources can produce 100 units of cars or 80 units of bulldozers or some combination of both. Country B: Using all of its resources can produce 90 units of cars or 60 units of bulldozers or some combination of both. a. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of cars? b. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of bulldozers? c. Is this an output or an input problem? _________ 2. Country C: Can produce 8 units of oranges or 6 units of lemons or some combination of both. Country D: Can produce 8 units of oranges or 4 units of lemons or some combination of both. a. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of oranges? b. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of lemons? c. Is this an output or an input problem? _________ 26 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 3. Country E: Can produce 100 units of cloth using 8 units of labor and/or 100 units of paper using 4 units of labor. Country F: can produce 100 units of cloth using 9 units of labor and/or 100 units of paper using 6 units of labor. a. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of cloth? b. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of paper? c. Is this an output or an input problem? __________ 4. Country G: can produce 100 units of cellphones using 2 units of capital and/or 100 units of radios using 1 unit of capital. Country H: can produce 100 units of cell phones using 2 units of capital and/or 100 units of radios using 2 units of capital a. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of cell phones? b. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of radios? c. Is this an output or an input problem? 5. Country I: can produce 4 tons of cabbage on 6 acres of land and/or 4 tons of beets on 8 acres of land. Country J: can produce 4 tons of cabbage on 10 acres of land and/or 4 tons of beets on 5 acres of land. a. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of cabbage? b. Which country has the absolute advantage in the production of beets? c. Is this an output or an input problem? 27 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 9 Put the following information into a production possibilities graph with both countries on the same graph: 1. Country A: Using all of its resources can produce 100 units of cars or 80 units of bulldozers or some combination of both. Country B: Using all of its resources can produce 90 units of cars or 60 units of bulldozers or some combination of both. 28 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Put the following information into a production possibilities graph with both countries on the same graph: Country C: Can produce 8 units of oranges or 6 units of lemons or some combination of both. Country D: Can produce 8 units of oranges or 4 units of lemons or some combination of both. 29 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1: Activity 10 Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of cars and trucks. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in cars and which should specialize in bulldozers . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of cars. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in bulldozers. 30 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of oranges and lemons. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in oranges and which should specialize in lemons . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of oranges. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in lemons. 31 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of gadgets and widgets. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in gadgets and which should specialize in widgets . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of gadgets. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in widgets. 32 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of gloves and scarves. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in gloves and which should specialize in scarves. . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of gloves. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in scarves. 33 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of potatoes and carrots. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in potatoes and which should specialize in carrots. . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of potatoes. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in carrots. 34 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of Loonies and Toonies. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in Loonies and which should specialize in Toonies. . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of Loonies. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in Toonies. 35 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of Loonies and toonies. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in Loonies and which should specialize in Toonies. . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of Loonies. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in Toonies. 36 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above table of information regarding the production possibilities of cell-phones and radios. A. Determine which country has the absolute advantage in each product. B. Determine the comparative advantage in each product. C. Determine which country should specialize in cell-phones and which should specialize in radios. . D. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in the production of cell-phones. E. Determine what the lowest limit in the terms of trade would be acceptable to the country that specializes in radios. 37 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Unit 1 Activity 11 Refer to the above graph. Based on Comparative Advantage analysis, what country should specialize in the production of cabbage and what country should specialize in the production of beets? Country Cabbage……………………… Country Beets……………………… Explain why. If the terms of trade are: 1 cabbage for 1 beet, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. If the terms of trade are 2 cabbages for 3 beets, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. 38 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above graph. Based on Comparative Advantage analysis, what country should specialize in the production of yammies and what country should specialize in the production of yummies? Country Yammies……………………… Country Yummies……………………… Explain why. If the terms of trade are: 1 yammy for 1 yummy, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. If the terms of trade are: 1 yammy for 2 yummies, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. 39 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above graph. Based on Comparative Advantage analysis, what country should specialize in the production of shirts and what country should specialize in the production of slacks? Country Shirts ……………………… Country Slacks ……………………… Explain why. If the terms of trade are: 3 shirts for 2 slacks, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. If the terms of trade are: 2 shirts for 3 slacks will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. 40 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above graph. Based on Comparative Advantage analysis, what country should specialize in the production of gargoyles and what country should specialize in the production of totems? Country gargoyles ……………………… Country totems ……………………… Explain why. If the terms of trade are: 1 gargoyle for 1 totem, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. If the terms of trade are 2 gargoyle for 3 totems, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. 41 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above graph. Based on Comparative Advantage analysis, what country should specialize in the production of cars and what country should specialize in the production of trucks? Country Cars ……………………… Country Trucks ……………………… Explain why. If the terms of trade are: 1 car for 1 truck, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. If the terms of trade are 3 cars for 5 trucks, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. 42 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Refer to the above graph. Based on Comparative Advantage analysis, what country should specialize in the production of wippets and what country should specialize in the production of woppets? Country Wippets……………………… Country Woppets……………………… Explain why. If the terms of trade are: 1 wippet for 1 woppet, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. If the terms of trade are 4 wippets for 5 woppets, will the countries trade? Explain your answer using numerical evidence. 43 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models Basic Concepts Test 1. The main economic problem that every economy faces is: ___ (A) limited wants and unlimited money ___ (B) unlimited wants and limited money ___ (C) limited wants and limited resources ___ (D) unlimited wants and limited resources ___ (E) unlimited resources and limited money 5. A machine used to cut and shape wood would be categorized as what type of input? ___ (A) labor resource ___ (B) capital resource ___ (C) human resource ___ (D) financial resource ___ (E) service resource 2. In economics it is important to consider the opportunity cost of a decision. The opportunity cost can best be described as: ___ (A) the dollar value of a decision. ___ (B) the next best option that has to be given up by making a decision ___(C) the decision whether or not to use capital or labor resources ___ (D) the decision whether or not the decision will make you happy. ___ (E) the chance that consumers want this good 3. The real cost of producing a good or product is? ___ (A) the dollar cost of production. ___ (B) the labor cost of production. ___ (C) the resource cost of production. ___ (D) the capital cost of production. ___ (E) the land cost of production. 4. The production possibilities model illustrates: ___ (A) the consumption possibilities in an open economy ___ (B) the labor cost of producing a good. ___ (C) only an economy that is at full employment ___ (D) the opportunity cost of producing a good ___ (E) the dollar cost of producing a good 6. Refer to the Brureff Electronics Col. Graph above. This production possibilities graph illustrates the maximum quantity of televisions and computers that the Brureff Electronic Company can produced. If the company is efficient and employs all of its available resources it can produce: ___ (A) 70 computers and 140 televisions ___(B) 70,000 computers and 140,000 televisions ___ (C) Only 70 computers or only 140 televisions ___ (D) Only 70,000 computers or only 140,000 televisions ___ (E) 70,000 computers or 140,000 televisions or some combination of both that falls on the production possibilities curve. 44 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 7. Refer to the graph above. If the Brureff Electronic Company decides to produce 30,000 computers the maximum amount of televisions that it can also produce is: ___ (A) 0 ___ (B) 60,000 ___ (C) 80,000 ___ (D) 100,000 ___ (E) 140,000 8. Refer to the graph above. If the Brureff Electronic Company was fully utilizing all of its resources and wanted to change the quantity of computers produced from 30,000 to 40,000, the opportunity cost would be: 9. Refer to the graph above. the Brureff Electronic Company is at full production and producing 100,000 televisions. It decides to increase the production of televisions what will be the opportunity cost of each additional television that it produces? ___ (A) 70 computers ___ (B) 10,000 computers ___ (C) 1/2 of a computer ___ (D) 70,000 computers ___ (E) 2 computers ___ (A) there is no opportunity cost ___ (B) 20,000 televisions ___ (C) 40,000 televisions ___ (D) 60,000 televisions ___ (E) 80,000 televisions 45 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models rights to haddock but chicken farmers do not have private property rights to chickens. ___ (D) Chicken farmers have private property rights to chickens but fisherman does not have private property rights to haddock. ___ (E) There are not enough consumers willing to eat haddock. 10. Refer to the two graphs for the production of trucks and cars. Which of the following statements accurately describes these two graphs? ___ (A) Graph A is depicts an increasing cost production possibilities and Graph B depicts a constant cost production possibilities. ___ (B) Graph A depicts a constant cost production possibilities and Graph B depicts an increasing cost production possibilities ___ (C) Both graphs depict constant cost production possibilities. ___ (D) Both graphs depict increasing cost production possibilities ___ (E) On either graph only trucks have increasing cost production possibilities. 11. Given that haddock (a type of fish) is experiencing serious decline in its population resulting from too many being taken by fisherman; and that chickens are not experiencing a serious decline in population despite being slaughtered and brought to market in large quantities. Which of the following gives the best economic explanation of the flocks of chicken and the depletion of schools of haddock? ___ (A) A hen will produce more offspring than a haddock. ___ (B) People eat more haddock than they eat chicken. ___ (C) Fisherman have private property 12. If a country can now produce more consumer goods and more military goods without developing new technologies that would make its factors more productive, it must have been: ___ (A) outside its production possibilities curve ___ (B) inside its production possibilities curve ___ (C) on its production possibilities curve ___ (D) defying the concept of opportunity cost ___ (E) overproducing consumer goods 13. If you stoop to pick up a dime on the sidewalk, then an economist would conclude that: ___ (A) You are in desperate need of a dime. ___ (B) You are unemployed. ___ (C) Your marginal cost of picking up the dime exceeded your marginal benefit. ___ (D) Your marginal benefit of picking up the dime exceeded or equaled your marginal cost. ___ (E) Your marginal benefit equaled but did not exceed your marginal cost. 14. An opportunity cost is ___ (A) only an explicit cost. ___ (B) only an implicit cost ___ (C) only a monetary cost ___ (D) an explicit and an implicit cost ___ (E) only the choice that did not appeal to you 46 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 15. Refer to the production table for Brown farm. If the Brown farm is employing all of its resources and producing 2 tons of wheat and 17 tons of corn decides that it will begin producing 3 tons of wheat, the opportunity cost to the Brown farm will be: ___ (A) 14 tons of corn ___(B) 17 tons of corn ___ (C) 3 tons of corn ___ (D) 6 tons of corn ___ (E) 1 ton of wheat 16. Given the information in the table of production choices for the Brown Farm located above, we can conclude that the Brown Farm is experiencing ___ (A) constant cost production possibilities ___ (B) increasing cost production possibilities ___ (C) no opportunity costs ___ (D) no problems with scarce resources ___ (E) decreasing cost production possibilities 17. Given the production possibilities graph for the FR Textile Co., the opportunity cost of increasing production of pants from 5,000 to 8,000 if the firm is currently efficiently employing all of its resources is: ___ (A) 5,000 shirts ___(B) 2,000 shirts ___ (C) 3,000 shirts ___ (D) 5,000 pants ___ (E) 4,000 shirts 18. Refer to the production possibilities graph for the FR TEXTILE Co. The company is efficiently using all of its factors of production and decides to increase production of shirts from 2,000 to 5,000. In order to do this without additional factors and with the present technology the firm will have to forego: ___ (A) 10,000 pairs of pants ___ (B) 2,000 pairs of pants ___ (C) 5,000 pairs of pants ___ (D) 3,000 pairs of pants ___ (E) 2,000 shirts 47 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 19. Given the ppc graph for computers and HD TV's, increasing production from point A to point B would ___ (A) not have an opportunity cost of foregone goods because the firm has increased its technology. ___ (B) not have an opportunity cost of foregone goods because the firm is not using all of its available resources at point B. ___ (C) not have an opportunity cost of foregone goods because the firm is not using all of its resources at point A. ___ (D) not have an opportunity cost of foregone goods because the firm is outside its production possibilities curve. ___ (E) There is an opportunity cost of foregone computers but it cannot be determined. 21. The three basic economic questions that every economy must decide concerning its use of available resources are which of the following? A. What money is available? B. What do we make with our resources? C. How do we combine our resources to make what we need? D. For whom do we make our products and services? E. How do we get everyone what they want? ___ (A) A, B, C ___ (B) B, C, D ___ (C) C, D, E ___ (D) A, B, E ___ (E) B, C, E 22. The economic problem of scarcity exists because: 20. Refer to the PPC graph for computers and HD TVs. Which of the following statements gives the most accurate description of how production at level E could occur in the future? ___ (A) an increase in the technology for producing computers is developed ___ (B) an increase in the technology for producing HD TV is developed ___ (C) an increase in technology is developed ___ (D) an increase in technology that increases the productivity of factors used in the production of computers and HD TV’s is developed ___ (E) an increase in the supply of money ___ (A) wants are limited but resources are not. ___ (B) wants are unlimited and so are resources. ___ (C) wants are unlimited and resources are limited. ___ (D) not every economic system is a market economy ___ (E) not every individual, firm, or country is rich 48 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 25. Refer to the PPC graph of Reffland and Bruland. Assume that both countries have equal amounts of resources. 23. Refer to Table B for the Brown Farm. If you were to convert this table to a production possibilities graph, the production possibilities frontier (curve) would be: ___ (A) convex ___ (B) concave ___ (C) inverted ___ (D) horizontal ___ (E) straight 24. Refer to Table B for the Brown Farm. Which of the following statements is always true given the information in this table? ___ (A) There is a constant cost in producing corn or wheat. ___ (B) It is better to produce corn. ___ (C) It is better to produce wheat. ___ (D) The opportunity cost of increasing production of wheat from 3 tons to 4 tons is 6 tons of corn. ___ (E) The opportunity cost of producing wheat is constant but the opportunity cost of producing corn is increasing. Based on this graph, which of the following statements is true: ___ (A) Reffland has the absolute advantage in the production of soy and alfalfa. ___ (B) Bruland can produce an equal amount of Soy as does Reffland but with fewer resources. ___ (C) Bruland has the absolute advantage in the production of soy. ___ (D) Bruland has the absolute advantage in the production of alfalfa. ___ (E) Reffland has the absolute advantage in the production of alfalfa. 26. Refer to the PPC graph for Reffland and Bruland. Which of the following statements is true? ___ (A) Reffland has the comparative advantage in the production of soy. ___ (B) Bruland has the comparative advantage in the production of soy. ___ (C) Neither country has the comparative advantage in the production of soy ___ (D) Neither country has the comparative advantage in the production of alfalfa. ___ (E) Bruland has the comparative advantage in the production of alfalfa 49 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 27. Refer to the PPC graph of Reffland and Bruland. Bruland's opportunity cost of producing a ton alfalfa is ___ (A) to forego 8 tons of soy ___ (B) to forego 8 tons of soy ___ (C) to forego 4 tons of soy ___ (D) to forego 1/4 ton of soy ___ (E) to forego 2 tons of soy __ (A) 8 soy for 1 alfalfa ___ (B) 1 alfalfa for 1 soy ___ (C) 2 alfalfas for 3 soy ___ (D) 2 alfalfas for 5 soy ___ (E) 1 soy for 1/5 alfalfa 28. Refer to the PPC graph for Reffland and Bruland. Reffland's opportunity cost of producing 1 ton of alfalfa is: ___ (A) 1/2 ton of soy ___ (B) 8 tons of soy ___ (C) 4 tons of soy ___ (D) 2 tons of soy ___ (E) 1/4 ton of soy 29. Refer to the PPC graph for Reffland and Bruland. Based on a comparative advantage analysis, which of the following statements is true? ___ (A) Both countries should produce soy and alfalfa. ___ (B) Reffland should specialize in the production of soy. ___ (C) Bruland should specialize in the production of alfalfa. ___ (D) Bruland should specialize in the production of soy. ___ (E) There are no possible terms of trade that would allow for specialization. 30. Refer to the PPC graph for Reffland and Bruland. If each of the countries specializes in the production of the product that it has the comparative advantage in the production of, then which of the following terms of trade would encourage the countries to trade? 31. Refer to PPC #5 Graph Given that farmer Reff and farmer Bru can engage in mutually beneficial trade, which of the following statements is true? ___ (A) Farmer Reff should specialize in the production of wheat and farmer Bru in the production of corn. ___ (B) Farmer Bru should specialize in the production of wheat and Farmer Reff in the production of corn. ___ (C) Neither farmer should produce wheat since neither has the comparative advantage in the production of wheat. ___ (D) There is no way that either farmer could benefit from trade. ___ (E) Both farmers are experiencing increasing cost in the production of corn. 50 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 32. Refer to PPC #5 graph. Based on the information in PPC #5 graph, which of the following statement is true? ___ (A) Reff's farm can produce more corn per acre than can Bru's farm. ___ (B) Bru's farm can produce more corn per acre than can Reff's farm. ___ (C) Reff's farm can produce more wheat per acre than can Bru's farm. ___ (D) Bru's farm can produce more wheat per acre than can Reff's farm ___ (E) Neither farm has the comparative advantage in the production of wheat. 33. Refer to PPC #5 graph. Which of the following statements is true? ___ (A) Reff has the absolute advantage in the production of corn. ___ (B) Bru has the absolute advantage in the production of corn. ___ (C) Bru has the comparative advantage in the production of wheat. ___ (D) neither one has the comparative advantage in the production of wheat. ___ (E) neither one has the comparative advantage in the production of corn. 34. Refer to PPC #5 Graph Reff's opportunity cost of producing 1 bushel of wheat is? ___ (A) 1.5 bushels of corn ___ (B) 2/3 bushel of corn ___ (C) 9 bushels of corn ___ (D) 9000 bushels of corn ___ (E) 4000 bushels of corn 35. Refer to PPC #5 graph. Who has the comparative advantage in the production of corn? ___ (A) Both have the comparative advantage in the production of corn ___ (B) neither one has the comparative advantage in the production of corn ___ (C) Bru has the comparative advantage in the production of corn ___ (D) Reff has the comparative advantage in the production of corn ___ (E) The farmer that foregoes the most wheat 36. Refer to PPC #5 Graph. Bru's opportunity cost of producing a bushel of wheat is? ___ (A) 1.5 bushels of corn ___ (B) 4 bushels of corn ___ (C) 4000 bushels of corn ___ (D) 9 bushels of corn ___ (E) 9000 bushels of corn 37. A technology that improves labor productivity will always ___ (A) increase the number of jobs. ___ (B) increase the output per worker. ___ (C) decrease the use of natural resources. ___ (D) shift the production possibilities curve inward. ___ (E) lower a worker's wage. 38. Which of the following is most likely to be Sally's opportunity cost for getting to school on time this morning? ___ (A) The A she gets on the exam period 1. ___ (B) The detention she avoids by being on time. ___ (C) The extra half hour of sleep she would have had if she were late. ___ (D) The jealous comments by classmates who only got a D on the exam period 1 ___ (E) The satisfaction of doing the right thing 51 BruReff Guide to Fundamental Macro Models 39. The reason money is needed for a business startup is: __ (A) It allows the business to hire the factors of production ___ (B) it guarantees the business a profit ___ (C) It guarantees the business revenues ___ (D) it is a symbol of wealth ___ (E) it is an economic resource 40. Assume that there are two countries, Eden and Paradise that have potential for trade. Both countries can produce widgets or gadgets. Each country should specialize in the product that: ___ (A) It has the absolute advantage in producing. ___ (B) It has the greatest opportunity cost in producing. ___ (C) It has the lowest opportunity cost in producing ___ (D) it uses the most resources to produce ___ (E) it has the least use for 52