(Microsoft PowerPoint - Est\341cio_3Q09 [Modo de
Transcription
(Microsoft PowerPoint - Est\341cio_3Q09 [Modo de
Clique para editar o estilo do título mestre Corporate Presentation ESTÁCIO Highlights Largest post-secondary education group in Latin America 201k students spread throughout 76 campuses in all major cities in Brazil 78 programs tailored to large and underserved middle and lower income individuals 54 Distance Learning accredited units strategically located in major centers R$1 billion in LTM Net Revenues and R$107 million in LTM EBITDA, R$229 million in Net Cash Corporate Presentation 2 History and Current Status Early Stages Efficiency Gains and Consolidation Turnaround and Preparation for IPO Strong Organic Growth (Accounting and Management Systems) CAGR of 14.3% - 2000/2007 (Vs 8.9% for Brazil) Undergraduate Students (in thousand) 207 National Leadership 141 167 162 144 IPO (July/07) Main subsidiary with for profit status (Feb/07) North and Northeast: subsidiaries for profit status 118 Begin National Expansion GP (May/08) 178 135 201 70 51 23 26 35 Asset Light Model: Long Term Leasing Agreements (Campuses) 1970/96 1997 Corporate Presentation 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 9M09 3 Largest Student Base: 201 k undergraduate students Estácio Students per State (th.) 1.6 3.6 Market-Share per Municipal1 13.3 0.7 1.6 6.0 4.5 4.2 2.9 11.0 3.3 3.1 1.6 2.0 1.4 CTB SP GO NAT CG VV SAL REC ARAC VIT MCP BEL BH JF FLOR JN MACE FOR OUR RJ 1.8% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 6.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.4% 9.1% 11.6% 11.8% 12.2% 12.2% 12.9% 15.0% 15,1% 16.1% 18.5% 31.0% 35.1% 1 – Undergraduate students enrolled (excludes public universities) Source: SINAES/2006 Average Ticket: R$435 (9M09;+5.5% yoy) University 3.2 21.3 2.5 4.6 108.2 University Center College Upgrade to University Center (in process of approval with the MEC2) 2 – Ministry of Education Corporate Presentation 4 Shareholder Structure and Corporate Governance Founder Shareholders Large Expertise in the Education Sector National Expansion and Market Leadership GP Investments Active Management Meritocracy Culture Proven track record in the Brazilian Market (Gafisa, Lame, Ambev, Submarino, ALL, Magnesita and others) 53% Free Float 27% 20% Corporate Governance Standards • Listed at Novo Mercado: Only Voting Shares • 100% Tag Along Rights • Independent Board Members Dividend Policy (Shareholder Agreement) Corporate Presentation • Fiscal Council • Internal Audit and Risk Management • Audit and Compensation Committee • Clear Shareholder and Corporate Structure 5 Shareholder Agreement with GP Highlights of Shareholder Agreement Leading Private Equity Firm in LATAM / First Listed Stock Co-Management 5 years (renewable for 2+ years) Mission: Generate Exceptional Long-Term Returns to its Investors and Shareholders Board Members 4 each party (being 2 independent) Outstanding performance of invested companies, with integrity, clear targets, entrepreneurship, meritocracy and professionalism. Some examples: Lockup period of 3 years M&A Agreement Non-Competition Agreement Minimum Dividend Payout (50% of Net Income) IRR: 1,339% (3 year investment) IRR: 148% (3 year investment) IRR: 17% (12 year investment) IRR: 24% (10 year investment) Corporate Presentation 6 Value Creation Going Forward Scale and strong balance sheet pave the way for profitable growth, with major levers being: Efficiency gains through centralization of business processes Quality gains through investments in standardized high quality academic offerings and differentiated student support services More impactful branding and marketing, coupled with selective M&A approach (“can´t miss” add-ons) Attraction and retention of high quality talents Corporate Presentation 7 Value Creation Going Forward Focused on growing and underserved addressable market: middle and low income groups 1.9 million students graduating from High School every year 7% net enrollment growth (CAGR 2002-2007) Quality at affordable cost / location Career improvement to working adults Corporate Presentation 8 Distance Learning (DL) Satelite units for sales and infra structure support in advanced negotiations High growth, high margin with low incremental investment Lower prices and flexible schedules to access larger students prospects base 20,685 14,233 25,006 2002 2003 2004 New Students (Onground) - Private Inst. Corporate Presentation 2006 430,259 302,525 1,151,102 2005 212,246 6,618 2001 127,014 1,108,600 1,015,868 995,873 924,649 792,069 5,287 664,474 2000 1,198,506 Recent accreditation by Ministry of Education (MEC) of 54 Distance Learning units strategically located in major cities throughout Brazil (ranked with grades “Very Good” and “Good”) 1,201,046 2007 2008 New Students (Online / DL) Private Inst. 9 Efficiency Gains Through Centralization of Business Processes Recent Start-up of Shared Services Center (SSC): Macro transactional / back office processes fully centralized Streamlining of backoffice headcount Lower transaction cost with higher quality (SLAs) Key for scalability and profitable growth and acquisitions integration Corporate Presentation 10 Quality Gains Investment in high quality, standardized academic offerings: 41 Core programs being updated and nationally integrated towards labor market demands and better integration of shared disciplines: lower faculty costs Better quality control with standardized lectures outlines, content, exercises and exams banks Digital platform aimed at quality self-learning activities at minimized costs Reference books and printed materials tailored made granted in all 41 core programs included in tuitions Corporate Presentation 11 Quality Gains Improved Students Support Services New, fully integrated portal - prospects and students Tracking of students performance for proactive support approach (“Gabaritando”) Roll-out of national standardized students relationship support Sourcing of new students Renewals Renegotiations Internship programs Corporate Presentation 12 Growth More impactful branding, marketing and sales efforts National branding Research oriented new media choices Structured “on-the-road” sales team for cost effective and more resilient student sourcing (companies and schools) Building highly scalable platform for maximum optimization of acquisitions Standard academic model Strong national brand with high quality products and services Centralized backoffice (“plug and play”) Corporate Presentation 13 Permanent Pursuit of Highest Quality Management Model and Professionals Result oriented management model and compensation scheme Budgetary discipline in all business and support areas (Zero Based Budget and goals orientation) Monthly tracking of results and acting upon deviations “On-the-Road” management and leadership by CEO and executive officers Zero Based and Matrix Budget / internal and external benchmarks Integrated systems (SAP and academic systems) Streamline of organizational structure and processes (process standardization / back office centralization) Corporate Presentation 14 Widest Scope for Margin Improvement in the Industry General and Administrative Expenses (G&A) Streamline of Organizational Structure Shared Services Center System Integration & Process Review Zero Based /Matrix Budgeting EBITDA MARGIN (9M09) 22.4% 21.9% Drivers of Efficiency Gains 20.3% 12.1% Cost of Services - AEDU KROT Corporate Presentation SEB Common Subjects Course Standardization Improved “Production Planning” (Students per Teacher) On-Line Programs Distance Learning Extra-Class Activities ESTC 15 Financial Highlights (R$ million) Net Revenue1 2005 2006 2007 2008 9M08 9M09 762 829 851 980 727 764 Adjusted EBITDA1 56 96 95 98 85 93 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 7% 12% 11% 10% 12% 12% 124 164 166 182 148 161 16% 20% 20% 19% 20% 21% 23 60 73 72 68 66 (48) (4) 229 191 271 229 EBITDA ex-rental1 EBITDA Margin ex-rental Adjusted Net Income2 Net Cash (1) Adjusted in 2007, to the payment of taxes in January 07 (SESES became for profit in February 2007), Law 11.638 in 2008 and one-off expenses in 2008 and 2009 (2) Excluding goodwill amortization from acquisitions and one-ff expenses Corporate Presentation 16 Corporate Presentation Appendix Corporate Presentation 17 Sector Overview – Significantly Untapped Demand Largest market in Latin America, with low penetration rates and increasing demand for qualified labour Post-secondary Enrollments – (Unesco – 2007, million) Gross Enrollment Rate (Unesco - 2007) 23.4 82% High Growth Potential 17.5 72% 64% 12.9 47% 9.2 China USA India Russia 22% 4.9 4.1 12% Brazil Japan India Post-secondary Institutions in Brazil (units) 1,208 1,442 1,652 1,789 2,022 2,032 249 236 2007 2008 183 195 207 224 231 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Private Corporate Presentation Public 26% Brazil Mexico Total Enrollments (million) 3.0 3.9 3.5 1,934 248 China 25% 2,016 Chile Argentina Russia USA 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.1 69% 70% 71% 72% 73% 74% 75% 75% 31% 30% 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Private Public Source: INEP/MEC 18 Sector Overview: Highly Fragmented Market Top10 largest post-secondary institutions account for less than 25% of total enrollments1 Top 10 Non-Government Institutions Market Share Non-Government Institutions (number & Size) Based on Number of Enrolled Students 22.6% 140 5K or more 204 2K < 4.9K 500 < 1.9K 687 Up to 499 1,001 77.4% 10+ Others 3.5 million enrollments 2,032 Institutions High Potential for Consolidation (1) Source: Hoper Educational , MEC Corporate Presentation 19 Sector Overview – Regulatory Framework Institution Benefits Costs Autonomy, guaranteed by the constitution, to University create programs within the city (except for Medicine, Law, Psychology and Odontology) Allowed to create campuses outside the city, subject to authorization by the Ministry of Education (MEC) Ability to register diploma without the MEC authorization 1/3 of faculty must hold a master or PhD degree 1/3 of faculty must be in full time regime or must offer 3 master programs with CAPES (ministry’s graduate coordinator) recommendation Need to conduct research Autonomy, guaranteed by federal gov’t University Centers Colleges Corporate Presentation decree, to create programs inside the city, except for Medicine, Law, Psychology and Odontology Ability to register diploma without MEC authorization No need to conduct research No minimum requirements on faculty qualification or hours of work ( full time regime) 1/3 of faculty must hold a master or PhD degree 1/5 of faculty must be in full time regime Not allowed to create other campuses outside the city No autonomy to create new programs, vacancies or to register diplomas without the MEC authorization 20 Undergraduate Student Base and Revenue Growth Students (thousand) Net Revenue (R$ million) 201 6 980 829 851 762 207 162 167 2005 2006 178 2007 onground Corporate Presentation 2008 196 195 9M08 9M09 2005 727 2006 2007 2008 9M08 764 9M09 DL 21 Cost of Service and SG&A (R$ million) Cost of Services Gross Margin: 39.9% SG&A Gross Margin: 38.8% R$ 211,4 M (27.7% NR) R$ 211.0 M (29.0% NR) R$ 437.1 M R$ 467.8 M 4.9% NR 5.2% NR 9.5% NR 9.8% NR 6.0% NR R$43.5 M 6.9% NR 45.7% NR 46.2% NR 23.0% NR R$167.5 M 20.7% NR 9M08 9M09 9M08 Faculty Costs Rental Third-Party Services/Other R$52.8 M R$158.5 M 9M09 G&A Selling NR = Net Revenue Corporate Presentation 22 Adjusted EBITDA and Net Income (R$ million) Adjusted EBITDA1 11.6% 96 11.1% 95 Adjusted Net Income2 10.0% 98 11.7% 85 7.3% 73 12.1% 72 68 66 9M08 9M09 60 93 56 23 2005 2006 2007 2008 9M08 1 - Adjusted in 2007 to the payment of taxes in January 2007 , Law 11.638 in 2008 and to the one-off expenses in 2008/2009 Corporate Presentation 9M09 2005 2006 2007 2008 2 - Excluding goodwill amortization from acquisitions and one-off expenses 23 Organic Capex (R$ million) 47.0 35.0 20.4 13.5 3Q08 Corporate Presentation 3Q09 9M08 9M09 24 Analyst Coverage & Forecast Analyst Coverage & Forecast 2009 R$ million Brokers Report Date Target Price Bradesco 09/29 R$ 26.0 1,019 109 CS 08/31 R$ 27.0 1,065 ITAÚ 10/05 R$ 23.6 1,010 Morgan Stanley 06/28 Santander 2010 Net Net EBITDA Income Revenue 2011 2012 Net EBITDA Revenue Net Income Net EBITDA Revenue 81 1,057 127 94 1,143 143 116 1,247 120 87 1,207 164 119 1,300 187 133 1,415 218 157 116 77 1,105 157 113 1,254 208 149 1,400 247 176 R$ 27.5 1,058 127 95 1,153 174 140 1,304 248 184 1,449 315 236 09/17 R$ 28.0 999 107 69 1,064 138 101 1,187 179 138 1,336 229 188 BES 11/06 R$ 25.0 1,011 99 65 1,121 152 131 1,269 171 154 1,428 215 199 BTG 11/27 R$ 30.0 1,011 104 63 1,087 131 94 1,221 176 137 1,298 220 176 1,025 112 77 1,113 149 113 1,240 187 144 1,368 231 Average Corporate Presentation Net Income Net EBITDA Revenue Net Income 173 148 183 25 Capitalization and Market Data R$ Million 09/30/09 Shareholders Equity 476.7 Debt (6.8) Net Cash 229.2 Sound balance sheet and strong cash flow support our strategic positioning as one of the main players in sector consolidation in Brazil Free Float: 27% Market Data Stock Price (Dec - 08, 2009): R$23.89 / share Others: 16% BRA: 6% Number of Shares: 78.6 million Market Cap: R$1.9 Billion Enterprise Value: R$1.7 Billion US: 38% Europe: 40% Daily Volume (3-month average): R$1.5 million Corporate Presentation 26 IR Contacts and Disclaimer Investor Relations Team: Lorival Luz – CFO Fernando Santino – fernando.santino@estacio.br Matheus Guimarães – matheus.guimaraes@estacio.br e-mail: ri@estacioparticipacoes.com Phone: (55) 21 3311 9789 / 9790 / 9791 Fax: (55) 21 3311 9676 Av. Embaixador Abelardo Bueno, 199 – Office Park – 6th floor Cep 22775-040 - Barra da Tijuca - Rio de Janeiro Visit our website: www.estacioparticipacoes.com Disclaimer: This presentation may contain forward-looking statements concerning the industry’s prospects and Estácio Participações’ estimated financial and operating results; these are ere projections and, as such, are based solely on the Company management’s expectations regarding the future of the business and its continuous access to capital to finance Estácio Participações’ business plan. These considerations depend substantially on changes in market conditions, government rules, competitive pressures and the performance of the sector and the Brazilian economy as well as other factors and are, therefore, subject to changes without previous notice. We are a holding company, and our only assets are our interests in SESES, STB, SESPA, SESCE, SESPE, SESAL, SESSE, SESAP, UNEC, SESSA and IREP, and we currently hold 99.9% of the capital stock of each of these subsidiaries. Considering that the Company was incorporated on March 31 2007, the information presented herein is for comparison purposes only, on a proforma unaudited basis, relative to the first three months of 2007, as if the Company had been organized on January 1 2007. Additionally, information was presented on an adjusted basis, in order to reflect the payment of taxes on SESES, our largest subsidiary, which from February 2007, after becoming a for-profit company, is subject to the applicable taxation rules applied to the remaining subsidiaries, except for the exemptions arising out of the PROUNI – University for All Program (“PROUNI”). Information presented for comparison purposes should not be considered as a basis for calculation of dividends, taxes or for any other corporate purposes. Corporate Presentation 27