kevin d. williamson`s the end is near
Transcription
kevin d. williamson`s the end is near
2013_05_20 subscribe:cover61404-postal.qxd 4/30/2013 8:38 PM Page 1 May 20, 2013 $4.99 KEVIN D. WILLIAMSON’S THE END IS NEAR JOHN O’SULLIVAN ON TOM WOLFE BOSTON & ITS AFTERMATH: Kurtz w McCarthy w Steyn DAVID FRENCH ON ROD DREHER RUBIO’S FOLLY Mark Krikorian The Editors $4.99 0 74820 08155 20 6 www.nationalreview.com base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/29/2013 2:22 PM Page 1 Meet Francis The Pope from the End of the Earth This lavishly illustrated volume by bestselling author Thomas J. Craughwell commemorates the election of Francis—first Pope from the New World—and explores in fascinating detail who he is and what his papacy will mean for the Church. t Foreword by Cardinal Seán O’Malley. t Over 60 full-color photographs of Francis’s youth, priesthood and journey to Rome. t In-depth biography, from Francis’s birth and early years, to his mystical experience as a teen, to his ministry as priest and bishop with a heart for the poor and the unflagging courage to teach and defend the Faith. t Francis’s very first homilies as Pope. t Supplemental sections on Catholic beliefs, practices and traditions. $22.95 978-1-618-90136-1 t Hardcover t 176 pgs National Review Readers: Save $10 on Pope Francis when you use coupon code TANGiftNR at TANBooks.com. Special discount code expires 8/31/2013. Available at booksellers everywhere and at TANBooks.com The Publisher You Can Trust With Your Faith 1-800-437-5876 TOC:QXP-1127940144.qxp 5/1/2013 3:22 PM Page 1 Contents M AY 2 0 , 2 0 1 3 ON THE COVER | V O L U M E L X V, N O . 9 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Page 27 Jay Nordlinger on George W. Bush p. 22 The Rubio Amnesty In the months leading up to the introduction of the Senate immigration bill, conservatives looked hopefully to Rubio as their representative. But he is now much less the conservative ambassador to the Gang of Eight than the Gang’s ambassador to conservatives. Mark Krikorian BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS 39 40 COVER: AP PHOTO/J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE THE COVER IMAGE WAS ALTERED SLIGHTLY, TO REMOVE PEOPLE STANDING IN THE BACKGROUND. 42 by Andrew C. McCarthy 19 ACCULTURATION WITHOUT ASSIMILATION 44 by Stanley Kurtz by Jay Nordlinger Some notes on a dedication ceremony. 24 DONALD KAGAN’S LAST LECTURE BIG BROTHER AT YOUR TABLE Julie Gunlock reviews The Food Police: A Well-Fed Manifesto About the Politics of Your Plate, by Jayson Lusk. We reject American identity at our peril. 46 by Eliana Johnson FILM:•THE PLACE OFF THE A-LIST Ross Douthat reviews The Place Beyond the Pines. An important career ends memorably. 47 FEATURES 27 THE RUBIO AMNESTY NO AQUATIC TARTS? Charles C. W. Cooke reviews Worlds of Arthur: Facts and Fictions of the Dark Ages, by Guy Halsall. The radicalization of the Tsarnaev brothers. 22 GEORGE W. BUSH DAY THE TRIBES OF POST-AMERICA John O’Sullivan reviews Back to Blood, by Tom Wolfe. ARTICLES 16 AMERICAN DAWA A GRIEF OBSERVED David French reviews The Little Way of Ruthie Leming: A Southern Girl, a Small Town, and the Secret of a Good Life, by Rod Dreher. CITY DESK:• THE OBJECT OF BEAUTY Richard Brookhiser discusses women and beauty. by Mark Krikorian It’s not what the senator promised, but he’s defending it anyway. 29 iPENCIL by Kevin D. Williamson SECTIONS Nobody knows how to make a pencil, or a health-care system. 31 HOW THE FED CAN UNWIND by Ramesh Ponnuru & David Beckworth And its critics can relax. 34 FAITH AND FAMILY by Mary Eberstadt We should be optimistic about their future. 2 4 37 38 43 48 Letters to the Editor The Week Athwart . . . . . . . . . . . James Lileks The Long View . . . . . . . Rob Long Poetry . . . . . . . . . . . Jason Lee Steorts Happy Warrior . . . . . . Mark Steyn NATIoNAl RevIeW (ISSN: 0028-0038) is published bi-weekly, except for the first issue in January, by NATIoNAl RevIeW, Inc., at 215 lexington Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016. Periodicals postage paid at New York, N.Y., and additional mailing offices. © National Review, Inc., 2013. Address all editorial mail, manuscripts, letters to the editor, etc., to editorial Dept., NATIoNAl RevIeW, 215 lexington Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016. Address all subscription mail orders, changes of address, undeliverable copies, etc., to NATIoNAl RevIeW, Circulation Dept., P. o. Box 433015, Palm Coast, Fla. 32143-3015; phone, 386-246-0118, Monday–Friday, 8:00 A.M. to 10:30 P.M. eastern time. Adjustment requests should be accompanied by a current mailing label or facsimile. Direct classified advertising inquiries to: Classifieds Dept., NATIoNAl RevIeW, 215 lexington Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016 or call 212-6797330. PoSTMASTeR: Send address changes to NATIoNAl RevIeW, Circulation Dept., P. o. Box 433015, Palm Coast, Fla. 32143-3015. Printed in the U.S.A. RATeS: $59.00 a year (24 issues). Add $21.50 for Canada and other foreign subscriptions, per year. (All payments in U.S. currency.) The editors cannot be responsible for unsolicited manuscripts or artwork unless return postage or, better, a stamped self-addressed envelope is enclosed. opinions expressed in signed articles do not necessarily represent the views of the editors. letters:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 2 Letters MAY 20 ISSUE; PRINTED MAY 2 EDITOR Richard Lowry Senior Editors Richard Brookhiser / Jay Nordlinger Ramesh Ponnuru / David Pryce-Jones Managing Editor Jason Lee Steorts Literary Editor Michael Potemra Executive Editor Christopher McEvoy Washington Editor Robert Costa Roving Correspondent Kevin D. Williamson National Correspondent John J. Miller Art Director Luba Kolomytseva Deputy Managing Editors Nicholas Frankovich / Fred Schwarz Robert VerBruggen Production Editor Katie Hosmer Editorial Associate Katherine Connell Research Associate Scott Reitmeier Assistant to the Editor Madison V. Peace Contributing Editors Shannen Coffin / Ross Douthat Roman Genn / Jim Geraghty Jonah Goldberg / Florence King Lawrence Kudlow / Mark R. Levin Yuval Levin / Rob Long Jim Manzi / Andrew C. McCarthy Kate O’Beirne / Reihan Salam N AT I O N A L R E V I E W O N L I N E Editor-at-Large Kathryn Jean Lopez Managing Editor Edward John Craig National Affairs Columnist John Fund News Editor Daniel Foster Media Editor Eliana Johnson Political Reporter Andrew Stiles Reporter Katrina Trinko Editorial Associate Charles C. W. Cooke Technical Services Russell Jenkins Web Developer Wendy Weihs E D I T O R S - AT- L A RG E Linda Bridges / John O’Sullivan N AT I O N A L R E V I E W I N S T I T U T E B U C K L E Y F E L L OW S I N P O L I T I C A L J O U R N A L I S M Patrick Brennan / Betsy Woodruff Contributors Hadley Arkes / Baloo / James Bowman Eliot A. Cohen / Brian Crozier Dinesh D’Souza / M. Stanton Evans Chester E. Finn Jr. / Neal B. Freeman James Gardner / David Gelernter George Gilder / Jeffrey Hart Kevin A. Hassett / Charles R. Kesler David Klinghoffer / Anthony Lejeune D. Keith Mano / Michael Novak Alan Reynolds / Tracy Lee Simmons Terry Teachout / Vin Weber Chief Financial Officer James X. Kilbridge Accounting Manager Galina Veygman Accountant Zofia Baraniak Business Services Alex Batey / Alan Chiu / Lucy Zepeda Circulation Manager Jason Ng Assistant to the•Publisher Kate Murdock WORLD WIDE WEB www.nationalreview.com MAIN NUMBER 212-679-7330 SUBSCRIPTION INQUIRIES 386-246-0118 WASHINGTON OFFICE 202-543-9226 ADVERTISING SALES 212-679-7330 Executive Publisher Scott F. Budd Advertising Director Jim Fowler Advertising Manager Kevin Longstreet Associate Publisher Paul Olivett Director of Development Heyward Smith Vice President, Communications Amy K. Mitchell Explaining the Gulf According to Kevin A. Hassett in his April 22 column, a “gulf has emerged” between the academic achievements of boys and girls—women now earn 57 percent of bachelor’s degrees and 60 percent of master’s degrees, for example—and “new clues” explain the roots of these differences. A graph plots the differences of time spent on children’s cognitive activities (number of books a child owns, attendance at story hours, and visits to the library). But of the six comparisons, the greatest difference has to do with library visits among two-year-olds. About 30 percent of girls Factors in Child visited a library in the past month, as compared with Cognitive Development 24 percent of boys—a six-percentage-point difference, as compared with the roughly 20-point gaps in degree-earning. How such a small difference can produce an “achievement gulf” is not clear—and at any rate, girls mature faster than boys, so such a difference among young children is hardly surprising. Mr. Hassett is entirely correct about one thing, though—yes, boys are more wiggly than girls! Two-year-old boys Two-year-old girls Four-year-old boys Four-year-old girls 70.2 40.5% 65.9 36.5% 33.1% 29.8% 29.5% 44.5 39.9 23.4% 11.5% 12.6% Number of Books Child Owns Attended a Story Hour Visited the Library Margaret B. Larson Mt. Airy, Md. Kevin A. HAssett replies: even though the differences in activities between boys and girls from the study i described may appear small, the cumulative effect of all the small differences is startlingly large. the authors of the study show that the difference in parental activities was responsible for up to 50 percent of the differences in boys’ and girls’ cognitive-test scores when they entered kindergarten. the activities listed are only some of the many ways that parental involvement may affect academic performance, which may well explain the large estimated impact. visiting the library, for example, may be a proxy for other differences. the striking thing is that the “wiggles” in the data are found to have a major impact, leaving less to be explained by the wiggles in the boys. Corrections in “King roger” (May 6), Jay nordlinger reviewed Zev Chafets’s new book, Roger Ailes: Off Camera. He quoted the author as saying that Ailes pioneered the use of musical “intros and outros” in television news. He went on to question this claim. in fact, Chafets quotes a Berkeley professor, who makes the claim. He does not make it himself. in addition, a letter in the May 6 issue stated that Berkshire Hathaway A shares were valued at $155; in fact, they were valued at $155,000. PUBLISHER Jack Fowler CHAIRMAN EMERITUS Thomas L. Rhodes FOUNDER Letters may be submitted by e-mail to letters@nationalreview.com. William F. Buckley Jr. 2 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/30/2013 12:56 PM Page 1 National Collector’s Mint announces the special striking of the… $100,000 Gold Certificate recreated in 22KT pure Gold Leaf! The Largest Denomination Gold Certificate ever issued by the U.S. Gov’t! Have you ever seen a $100,000 bill? Look closely, because today history is being made! National Collectors Mint announces the limited advance striking of its 2013 $100,000 Gold Certificate Tribute. It’s the one and only U.S. $100,000 Gold Certificate recreated in real 22KT Gold Leaf! order comes with a Certificate of Authenticity as well as a unique registration number. Reservations will be filled on a first-come, firstserved basis. So, the earliest orders will receive priority status over later ones. There is a strict limit of five Gold Certificate Tributes per order. Now Legal to Own! Money Back Guarantee The first U.S. Gold Certificates were so big – 43% bigger than today’s currency – they became known as “horse blankets.” Now our private, non-monetary striking of the 2013 $100,000 Gold Certificate Tribute is the exact same, giant-size 7 3/8” X 3 1/8” – except it’s struck in 22 KT Gold Leaf! When President Roosevelt recalled all gold and gold certificates from public hands, the originals were, and still are, illegal for any private U.S. citizen to own. But now, you can legally acquire the $100,000 Gold Certificate Design in 22KT Gold Leaf from National Collectors Mint. As always, your purchase is covered by our 60-Day Money Back Guarantee. If you’re not 100% delighted with your purchase, simply send us your postage paid return for a refund of your purchase price. But you must call the special reservation hotline to ensure availability. Special Price 42,000 of these gold-backed notes were printed only once in 1934. They were used for inter-bank transfers by the Federal Reserve. They were the LAST GOLD CERTIFICATES EVER ISSUED by the U.S. Government! They bear the portrait of the 28th President of the United States, Woodrow Wilson, were printed with brilliant orange backs, and bear the giant $100,000 denomination 12 times! Reverse side of $100,000 Gold Certificate Tribute The final issue price was to be set at $39 per Gold Certificate Tribute. However, during this advance release, this giant, 22KT Gold Leaf tribute can be yours for only $19.95 plus shipping. Because of volatility in the gold market, this price can be guaranteed for one week only. Just call now to assure your reservation. Each $100,000 Gold Certificate Tribute How to Order You may reserve one $100,000 Gold Certificate Tribute for $19.95 plus $4.95 shipping, handling and insurance, 3 for only $69 ppd., or 5 for just $112 ppd. Deluxe presentation cases are only $9.50 each ppd. But you must hurry. Don’t delay. Avoid disappointment and future regret. Call Toll-Free 1-888-4NC-MINT (1888-462-6468), and ask for the VIP line, Ext. 5970. Reserve yours today! National Collector’s Mint, Inc. is an independent, private corporation not affiliated with, endorsed, or licensed by the U.S. Government or the U.S. Mint. All tributes to original coins/currency contain the "copy" designation as mandated by federal law. CALL TOLL-FREE, ASK FOR EXT. 5970 1-800-799-MINT (1-800-799-6468) © 2013 NCM, Inc. 8T-886 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 4 The Week n New line of attack on Ted Cruz: He doesn’t act like the other senators. New slogan for Cruz campaign: See above. n A Washington Post/ABC poll taken the week before the opening of the George W. Bush Presidential Library (see Jay Nordlinger, p. 22) showed that the former president and the current president have identical approval ratings: 47 percent. Barack Obama has been hailed by his supporters in and out of the media as the Second Coming. But even Jesus would be a lame duck in a second term that has so far been a substantive fizzle. For the departed, on the other hand, time removes the pricks of daily controversy. For Bush, it has allowed Americans to recall his fundamental decency and to appreciate that the Terror War, which came to him and us on 9/11, will last for more than two administrations and that Bush confronted it manfully. Better days have come for his reputation. Far more important, as he said at his library, is the hope that America’s best days lie ahead. ROMAN GENN n Back in 2010, Republicans were not able to stop or shape Obamacare, but they did win one tiny victory: requiring congressmen and some of their aides to enroll in the law’s “exchanges.” Now congressional Democrats are worrying that they will not be able to attract young, single staffers, who will have to pay much more for exchange coverage—thanks to Obamacare’s regulations—than they pay today. So the Democrats are trying to create an exemption for their offices, either through new legislation or through a favorable regulatory ruling. Speaker John Boehner immediately nixed the legislative option, saying that the solution to the country’s Obamacare problems is repeal. Around the same time, Senator Max Baucus (D., Mont.), who more than any other individual wrote the bill, complained that its implementation would be a “train wreck.” A few days later he announced that, after six terms, he will not be running for reelection next year. The people who know this law best are doing what they can to get off this train in time. n But Republicans have their own Obamacare headaches. House Republican leaders sought to shift some Obamacare funds from the program’s propaganda division to its “high-risk pools” to help sick people. The move would have highlighted the law’s prioritization of ideology over its putative beneficiaries. Conservatives have generally supported high-risk pools, although preferring that they be designed differently than they are in Obamacare. The problem those pools are meant to address—that some people who have chronic conditions are effectively locked out of healthinsurance markets—is the result of federal and state policies that have made it impossible for individuals to buy cheap, renewable catastrophic policies. A conservative reform of health care would allow such a market to emerge while essentially (through the risk pools) giving money to the people for whom it is too late to start buying insurance. The leaders had to pull the bill, though, because of opposition from a few conservatives who worried that 4 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m the party was retreating from the goal of a full repeal of Obamacare. We supported the bill, but it is not an idle worry. Republicans need to match their anti-Obamacare rhetoric with an alternative to the program that would let at least as many people get coverage as that misbegotten law, but without its side effects. (We are happy to send inquiring Republican congressmen back issues of NR for more details.) It is only in the context of an overall strategy to replace Obamacare with something better that Republicans can achieve unity on tactics. n In Washington, it’s not always easy to tell where the incompetence ends and the cynicism begins. So it was with the FAA air-traffic-controller furloughs, a stupid and inept response to sequestration that the Democrats planned to exploit to the fullest. Even before the flight delays had been felt, Harry Reid was using them as an illustration of the need to cancel almost all of the spending cuts. Never mind that the FAA had to find only $600 million in cuts in an agency with a $16 billion budget within a Transportation Department with a $70 billion budget. Only 15,000 of the FAA’s 47,000 employees are air-traffic controllers. Yet the agency furloughed them as though they had no special role in the nation’s transportation and commerce. The FAA claimed—probably wrongly—that it lacked the flexibility under sequestration to allocate its cuts differently. A bipartisan revolt forced the White House to accept a bill explicitly giving the FAA the authority to shift from other accounts the money necessary to avoid the furloughs—a small victory for reason. n Higher levels of public-sector debt and deficits are, generally, associated with slower economic growth. But just what level presents a serious problem is a remarkably difficult question. M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/29/2013 1:36 PM Page 1 M OON L ANDS ON M AN ! The skeptics said it couldn’t be done… but our Moon Phase proves that one small step for Stauer is one giant leap for watch lovers! I t has always taken scientific skill and artistic wizardry to discover the Moon’s secrets. When Galileo Galilei turned his telescope towards the Moon in 1609, he relied on his knowledge of light and shadow learned as a painter to understand the movements of the heavenly orb. We relied on that same pairing of art and science to create one of our most complicated and beautiful movements yet… for an unbelievable price! Previously offered for $399, the stars have finally aligned to make the Stauer Moon Phase Watch available for ONLY $99! Our Moon Phase Watch continues a centuries-old tradition of unlocking the secrets of the Moon with scientific innovation. Many watches add extra functions, or complications, to display day and date. But we didn’t stop there. The Moon Phase Watch includes a separate window that showcases the current phase of the Moon. This beautiful addition to the face is no easy feat... Solving the mystery of Moon time. Since earthly time is measured at regular 12 month intervals, the Moon’s month is at odds with our calendar. A lunar month is 29.53 days, so a Moon-phase watch needs to keep time in two totally different ways. That’s why antique watch collectors are always quick to bid on this type of complex lunar movement. You'll find them among the rarest and most expensive vintage watches ever sold at auction. Not long ago, one of the most important moonphase timepieces fetched an incredible $5.7 million! Our goal was to create a timepiece more accurate and affordable than its ancestors. As you can imagine, an offer this good on a watch this spectacular cannot last forever. How we captured the Moon. We put so much effort into perfecting the mechanics behind this watch, but we didn’t forget the aesthetics. The Moon Phase Watch boasts three different complications set in the guillochéed face: a standard monthly calendar, a day of the week indicator, and the moon phase display. Its rose gold-finished case features a hobnail-pattern bezel and a crocodile-embossed, genuine brown leather strap adds the final luxurious detail. Your satisfaction is 100% guaranteed. If you are not thrilled, simply return the timepiece within 30 days for a full refund of the purchase price. This offer is limited to the first 2,499 callers to this ad, so please don’t wait. This kind of watch only comes around once in a blue moon. Stunning little machine! "I am in love with this watch!" — R. M. from Asheville, NC A Stauer Exclusive Limited to the First 2,499 respondents to this ad only Stauer Moon Phase Watch $399 Now your Call-In only price $99 +S&P Save $300!* Call now to take advantage of this fantastic offer. 1-888-277-8416 Promotional Code MPW142-02 Rating of A+ Please mention this code when you call. Stauer ® 14101 Southcross Drive W., Dept. MPW142-02, Burnsville, Minnesota 55337 www.stauer.com Smart Luxuries—Surprising Prices™ * Price quoted is for Call-In Customers only versus the original Stauer.com price. Fused rose gold case with hydraulic pattern dial • Day, date, and moon phase dials • Crocodile-embossed leather band fits a 63/4"–9" wrist • 3 ATM water resistance week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 6 THE WEEK n Paul Krugman, writing on his blog on April 28, asserted that events were refuting the theories of a school of conservative critics of Keynesianism. Against the Keynesian insistence that spending cuts must hurt a depressed economy, these conservatives had argued (to simplify) that monetary expansion by the central bank would do a lot to offset any such effect. Krugman noted that we have had a real-world test of this theory in the U.S.: The Fed launched a new round of expansion in late 2012, and around the same time the budget took a turn toward “austerity” (i.e., modest spending cuts). The result is a disappointing new figure on economic growth showing that “austerity seems to be taking its toll.” Hang on a minute, though: That number is higher than the 2012 growth rate, which means that the lesson (to the extent there really is one) is the exact opposite of the one Krugman drew. Twenty minutes later, Krugman wrote another post explaining that “again and again” he has been proven to be right in economic debates, and his opponents to be, in many cases, “knaves and fools.” To doubters, he summed up: “Look at how the debate has run so far.” Follow Krugman’s links and you will see a triumphant mention of a study showing how, from 2007 to 2008, his predictions were better than those of Sam Donaldson and Senator Lindsey Graham. Though armed with no study, we will venture a prediction: Krugman will keep on winning debates in the future as long as he’s the judge. 6 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m n As secretary of state, John Kerry hasn’t lost his knack for the inane. Testifying before Congress, he was asked about Benghazi, where four of our people were killed last September 11. He finished his answer by saying, “We got a lot more important things to move on to and get done.” But there are still unanswered questions. And we don’t recall that Democrats were eager to move on from Abu Ghraib, even though there were important things to “move on to” then, as well. On another day, Kerry made a casual comparison of those who died on the Mavi Marmara to those who died in the Boston terror bombing. The Mavi Marmara was the Turkish ship carrying thugs who were bent on breaking the Israeli-Egyptian blockade of Gaza. On a third day, Kerry made a statement about jihadists: “I think the world has had enough of people who have no belief system, no policy for jobs, no policy for education.” Unfortunately, the jihadists have a rather welldeveloped belief system. It’s almost enough to make you pine for Madame Secretary Clinton. n A handful of conservative outlets—including this one, but most persistently Breitbart.com—have for years sought to bring attention to a little-known class-action settlement called Pigford, which has spiraled into a racially charged, billion-dollar government kickback machine for untold thousands that shows no signs of letting up. One organ of the indifferent mainstream media has at last caught up, with the New York Times publishing a deeply reported piece on Pigford and its descendants that, if anything, reveals the truth to be worse than was previously thought. The original Pigford settlement made $50,000 payments available to any black American who had even “attempted to farm” and who was willing to write on a form that he had been discriminated against by the USDA. An orgy of fraud followed, led by a small cadre of lawyers and hucksters who, among other efforts, toured rural churches in the South encouraging parishioners to get their checks. Some claimants were as young as four years old; others had their forms filled out by lawyers just to “keep the line moving.” In some towns, the number of claimants exceeded the number of farms operated—by individuals of any race. Instead of closing the spigot, in 2010 the Obama administration opened it to women, Hispanics, and Native Americans, overruling in the process the objections of career lawyers in the Justice Department. It financed the payouts by dubiously tapping a Justice Department fund reserved for a different purpose. And it applied, in most cases, evidentiary standards even looser than the ones governing the original settlement. Pigford has long screamed for congressional investigation, and now that the mainstream media have taken notice, perhaps it will get it. n Fisker is—or perhaps, by the time you read this, was—another “green” automotive company, a producer of a plug-in luxury car called the Karma that it sold to the likes of DiCaprio and Clooney for just $100,000 or so a pop. Karma, as it turns out, is a bitch, and Fisker is nearly bankrupt. This would be just another example of the vicissitudes of the free market if it weren’t for the fact that the American taxpayer is on the hook for a $529 million loan given to the company by Steven Chu’s gang at the Department of Energy—the same rocket scientists (in some cases literally) who brought you Solyndra. So cozy was Fisker with the administration that Vice President Biden stood at the site of a proposed Fisker plant in Delaware promising that the government’s investment would return untold billions. The loan did bring in a billion M AY 20, 2013 AP PHOTO/MEL EVANS Economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff have attempted to examine it on a number of occasions, using historical data from wealthy nations over the past two centuries. Their most famous study, in 2010, found that when a country’s ratio of national debt to total economic output rises above 90 percent, its economic growth drops dramatically, or stalls entirely. (U.S. debt is currently about 70 percent.) This stark result has become a popular piece of evidence in favor of austerity in Europe and of fiscal restraint in the United States. But this spring, economists at the University of Massachusetts published a paper attacking Reinhart and Rogoff’s work, demonstrating one minor error and what they considered questionable weighting of the countries involved. In the UMass paper’s assessment, the relationship between high debt and slow growth remained, but it was much weaker, and there was no cliff at 90 percent or any other level. Regardless, it is likely that the causality runs in both directions: Slower growth also drives higher debt. None of this changes the fact that the growth of entitlements, and the growth in debt it will yield, will crowd out private investment and restrain growth. That problem, our real fiscal dilemma, has not been seriously considered— or addressed. base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/30/2013 11:27 AM Page 1 1(:,*1$7,8635(66%22.6 INSPIRE ILLUMINATE INFORM x7+(($52)7+(+($57 x)5$1&,6323(2)7+( 1(::25/' $Q$FWUHVV·-RXUQH\IURP +ROO\ZRRGWR+RO\9RZV 0RWKHU'RORUHV+DUW26% DQG5LFKDUG'H1HXW $QGUHD7RUQLHOOL ´) UDQFLV UHEXLOG P\ &KXUFKµ 7KDWLVKRZ6W)UDQFLVRI$V VLVLKHDUGWKHFDOORI&KULVW,WLVDOVR KRZ -RUJH 0DULR %HUJRJOLR DW WKH DJHRIDQGD-HVXLWVHHPVWRKDYH DFFHSWHG KLV HOHFWLRQ WR WKH SDSDF\ ZLWK WKH FKRLFH RI D QDPH WKDW QR RWKHUSRSHKDVHYHUFKRVHQ :KR LV 3RSH )UDQFLV HOHFWHG LQ RQHRIWKHVKRUWHVWFRQFODYHVLQKLV WRU\" :KR LV WKH PDQ FKRVHQ WR EH WKHÀUVWSRSHIURPWKH$PHULFDVDQG WKH ÀUVW -HVXLW SRSH" +RZ GRHV KH XQGHUVWDQG KLV FDOO WR VHUYH &KULVW KLV&KXUFKDQGWKHZRUOG",QWKHZRUGVWKHLGHDVDQGWKHSHU VRQDOUHFROOHFWLRQVRI3RSH)UDQFLV³LQFOXGLQJPDWHULDOXSWRWKH ÀQDOKRXUVEHIRUHKLVHOHFWLRQ³WKHPRVWKLJKO\UHJDUGHG9DWLFDQ REVHUYHURQWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDOVFHQHUHYHDOVWKHSHUVRQDOLW\RIWKLV PDQ RI *RG JHQWOH DQG KXPEOH +H PDGH IROORZLQJ &KULVW DQG WKHZD\RIQRQYLROHQFHWKHSLOODUVRIKLVSDVWRUDOPLQLVWU\7KLV FRPSOHWH ELRJUDSK\ RͿHUV WKH NH\V WR XQGHUVWDQGLQJ WKH PDQ ZKRZDVDVXUSULVHFKRLFHHYHQDNLQGRIUHYROXWLRQDU\FKRLFHIRU SRSH,WLVWKHVWRU\RIWKHKXPEOHSDVWRURIRQHRIWKHZRUOG·VODUJ HVWDUFKGLRFHVHVDFDUGLQDOZKRWDNHVWKHEXVWDONVZLWKFRPPRQ IRONDQGOLYHVVLPSO\,WLVWKHVWRU\RIZK\WKHFDUGLQDOHOHFWRUVRI WKH&DWKROLF&KXUFKVHWDVLGHSROLWLFDODQGGLSORPDWLFFDOFXODWLRQV WRHOHFWDSRSHWROHDGWKHUHQHZDODQGSXULÀFDWLRQRIWKHZRUOG ZLGH&KXUFKRIRXUWLPH ' RORUHV +DUW VWXQQHG +ROO\ ZRRG LQ ZKHQ DIWHU WHQ VXFFHVVIXO IHDWXUH ÀOPV VKH OHIW WKH ZRUOG WR HQWHU D FRQWHPSODWLYH PRQDVWHU\ 1RZ ÀIW\ \HDUV ODWHU 0RWKHU 'RORUHV JLYHV WKLV IDVFL QDWLQJ DFFRXQW RI KHU XQLTXH DQG DPD]LQJOLIH'RORUHVZDVDEULJKW EHDXWLIXO FROOHJH VWXGHQW ZKHQ VKH PDGHKHUÀOPGHEXWZLWK(OYLV3UH VOH\LQ/RYLQJ<RX6KHDFWHGLQQLQH PRUH PRYLHV ZLWK RWKHU ELJ VWDUV VXFK DV 0RQWJRPHU\ &OLIW $QWKRQ\ 4XLQQ DQG 0\UQD /R\ $ WXUQLQJSRLQWLQKHUOLIHFDPHZKLOHSOD\LQJ6W&ODUHLQWKHPRYLH )UDQFLVRI$VVLVL0RWKHU'RORUHVKDVWUDYHOOHGDFKDUPHG\HWFKDO OHQJLQJURDGLQKHUMRXUQH\WRZDUG*RGJLYLQJXSHYHU\WKLQJWR EHFRPHDEULGHRI&KULVWDVVKHDQVZHUHGWKHP\VWHULRXVFDOOVKH KHDUGZLWKWKH´HDURIWKHKHDUWµ /DYLVKO\LOOXVWUDWHGZLWKPDQ\SKRWRV ´$VWRU\RIFRXUDJHVDFULÀFHDQGIXOÀOOPHQW,WZLOOOLIW\RXU KHDUWDQGPLQGLQDGPLUDWLRQµ ³-DPHV'UXU\7KH9LUJLQLDQ ´7KLVIDVFLQDWLQJVWRU\WHDFKHVXVWRVHHN*RGQRPDWWHUZKHUH ZHDUH²HYHQLQIURQWRIDFDPHUDµ ³5D\PRQG$UUR\R(:71 /++6HZQ+DUGFRYHU x$0(5,&$1&+85&+ )31:++DUGFRYHU 7KH5HPDUNDEOH5LVH0HWHRULF)DOO DQG8QFHUWDLQ)XWXUHRI&DWKROLFLVP LQ$PHULFD³5XVVHOO6KDZ x7+(0,5$&/(2) )$7+(5.$3$81 3ULHVW6ROGLHUDQG.RUHDQ:DU+HUR 5R\:HQ]O7UDYLV+H\LQJ ( PLO .DSDXQ ³ SULHVW VROGLHU DQGZDUKHUR³LVDUDUHPDQ+H ZDV MXVW DZDUGHG WKH KLJKHVW PLOL WDU\DZDUGWKH0HGDORI+RQRUDQG LV EHLQJ VWURQJO\ FRQVLGHUHG E\ WKH 9DWLFDQ IRU VDLQWKRRG :LWQHVVHV LQ WKHERRNDWWHVWWR)U.DSDXQ·VKHUR LVPWKH3URWHVWDQWV-HZVDQG0XV OLPV ZKR VHUYHG ZLWK WKH FKDSODLQ LQ EDWWOH RU VXͿHUHG ZLWK KLP DV SULVRQHUVRIZDU7KHVH.RUHDQ:DU YHWHUDQV DJUHH WKDW )U .DSDXQ GLG PRUHWRVDYHPDQ\OLYHVDQGPDLQ WDLQ PRUDOH WKDQ DQ\ RWKHU PDQ WKH\ NQRZ 7KHQ WKHUH DUH WKH PLUDFOHV³WKHUHFHQWKHDOLQJVDWWULEXWHGWR)U.DSDXQ·VLQWHUFHV VLRQ WKDW GHI\ VFLHQWLÀF H[SODQDWLRQ 8QGHU LQYHVWLJDWLRQ E\ WKH 9DWLFDQIRUKLVFDQRQL]DWLRQWKHVHFXUHVZLWQHVVHGE\QRQ&DWKR OLFGRFWRUVDUHDOVRGLVFXVVHG/DYLVKO\,OOXVWUDWHG ´:KDWDJUHDWERRN,FRXOGQRWSXWLWGRZQDQGUHDGLWLQRQH VLWWLQJ)U.DSDXQ·VVWRU\ZLOOLQVSLUH\RXWREHWKHVDLQWWKDW *RGLVFDOOLQJ\RXWREHµ ³)U/DUU\5LFKDUGV$XWKRU%HD0DQ 0).++DUGFRYHU + DV WKH FXOWXUDO DVVLPLODWLRQ RI $PHULFDQ &DWKROLFV EHHQ D EOHVVLQJ RU D FXUVH IRU WKH &KXUFK" &XOWXUDO DVVLPLODWLRQ FKDPSLRQHG E\ &DUGLQDO -DPHV *LEERQV LQ WKH WK FHQWXU\ FRQIHUUHG PDQ\ EHQ HÀWV RQ &DWKROLFV 7KHLU DEVRUSWLRQ LQWRWKHVHFXODUFXOWXUHRI$PHULFD KRZHYHU QRZ WKUHDWHQV WKH &DWKR OLF LGHQWLW\ RI WKH IDLWKIXO DQG WKHLU LQVWLWXWLRQV LQFOXGLQJ VFKRROV DQG KRVSLWDOV $PHULFDQ &KXUFK LV D ULFKO\ GRFXPHQWHG DQDO\VLV RI WKH DVVLPLODWLRQ SURFHVV RYHU WZR FHQWXULHV &RORUIXO FKDUDFWHUV DQG GUDPDWLFLQFLGHQWVDERXQGLQFOXGLQJWKHDQWL&DWKROLFLVPDJDLQVW WKH SUHVLGHQWLDO FDPSDLJQV RI $O 6PLWK DQG -RKQ .HQQHG\ DQG WKHQXPHURXVLQWUD&KXUFKFRQÁLFWVWKDWKDYHGLYLGHG&DWKROLFV VLQFH9DWLFDQOO6KDZRͿHUVWKRXJKWSURYRNLQJVXJJHVWLRQVDERXW ZKDWWKH&KXUFKQHHGVWRGRLQWKHIDFHRIDGHFOLQHWKDWWKUHDWHQV LWVYHU\VXUYLYDO ´$SLHUFLQJPHGLWDWLRQRQWKHSDVWSUHVHQWIXWXUHRI $PHULFDQ&DWKROLFLVP(VVHQWLDOUHDGLQJIRUDOO&DWKROLFVµ ³0DU\(EHUVWDGW$XWKRU$GDP(YHDIWHUWKH3LOO */(*36HZQ6RIWFRYHU ZZZLJQDWLXVFRP 32%R[)W&ROOLQV&2 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 8 THE WEEK A Long-Term Problem for the Economy I 8 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m long-term unemployed made up only 17.3 percent of all unemployed workers in December 2007; today they constitute fully 39.3 percent of all unemployed workers in the labor market. In December 2007, the average length of unemployment was 16.6 weeks; today, it is much higher, at 37.7 weeks. There is growing evidence that employers are extremely reluctant to make a job offer to persons who have been out of work for more than six months. A recent study by Rand Ghayad involved submitting fake résumés in response to job postings and varying the levels of experience and lengths of unemployment on them. He found that the chances of receiving a callback from an employer dropped off significantly for the long-term unemployed; a worker who had been unemployed for only a short time and had no relevant experience in the industry to which he was applying was more likely to receive a callback than a long-term-unemployed person who did have relevant experience. Providing 99 weeks of unemployment insurance may not have helped matters, since it encouraged workers to stay out of jobs for longer and they then became mired in unemployment for the long run. (There are large geographical differences in unemployment as well, and workers reluctant to move to find jobs may have become stuck as their area floundered while others, such as North Dakota, flourished.) Employers make that choice for rational but unfortunate reasons: Workers whogo through longer periods of unemployment have a heightened risk of substance abuse and suicide, a shorter life expectancy, and a higher likelihood of personal problems, including divorce and troubled children. The costs of long-term unemployment are high, and the shift of the Beveridge curve implies that they may stick around for a long time. —KEVIN A. HASSETT Beveridge Curve: January 2001–February 2013 4.0 Sept 2009-Feb 2013 Job-Openings Rate (Percent) N a perfect frictionless economy, there would never be any unemployment. If a number of workers were expected to lose their jobs tomorrow, firms would anticipate an increase in the supply of workers, everybody’s wage would drop, and higher demand for the newly available workers would emerge instantly. In the real world, of course, there are many frictions that make non-zero unemployment possible. Most important are skill mismatches and geographic mismatches. A surge in the demand for engineers might not reduce the unemployment rate today if it takes time to train engineers. An energy boom in North Dakota can create job listings that remain unfilled until workers decide to move to North Dakota. In one of the more important papers in economic history, Christopher Dow and Louis Dicks-Mireaux showed that there is a regular relationship between job openings and unemployment. When there are many unemployed workers, openings disappear relatively quickly, and when there are many openings, unemployment tends to be low. Economists later began referring to this curve as the “Beveridge curve” after William Beveridge, an economist who studied unemployment in the first half of the 20th century. Subsequent research has demonstrated that economies tend to move up and down a relatively stable Beveridge curve over the business cycle. In recessions, there tends to be high unemployment and few openings. The nearby chart portrays one of the most striking shifts in U.S. labor-market data on record. Data on U.S. openings and unemployment from January 2001 to February 2013 are shown, and non-linear estimates of the Beveridge curve are provided for the periods from January 2001 to August 2009, and from September 2009 to February 2013. In an economy with low friction, the Beveridge curve would be very close to the origin. Unemployment would tend to be low, and openings filled quickly. In an economy with large matching problems, high unemployment and high job openings could coexist, and the curve could be farther from the origin. The chart indicates that the Beveridge curve has shifted out sharply during the Obama administration. It has been almost four years since the end of the recent recession, but the U.S. has yet to return to its previous levels of unemployment. The shift in the Beveridge curve suggests that it may never do so. The points labeled A and B illustrate why. In February 2013, the job-openings rate (unfilled jobs as a percentage of total jobs) was 2.8, a rate that would have corresponded with an unemployment rate of about 5.25 on the Beveridge curve from 2001 through August 2009. The unemployment rate in February, however, was 7.7—almost two and a half points higher. What explains the shift in the Beveridge curve? The biggest factor is likely the massive increase in the number of workers who have become long-term unemployed. The 3.5 Jan 2001-Aug 2009 3.0 B A 2.5 2.0 1.5 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Unemployment Rate (Percent) SOURCE: BLS M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/29/2013 1:28 PM Page 1 o act N tr on C Finally, a cell phone that’s... a phone. 100 FREE Minutes Lo S B ng ou ett er nd er Ba a tt nd FREE er y Car Li Charger fe Introducing the all-new Jitterbug® Plus. We’ve made it even better… without making it harder to use. All my friends have new cell phones. They carry them around with them all day, like mini computers, with little tiny keyboards and hundreds of programs which are supposed to make their life easier. Trouble is… my friends can’t use them. The keypads are too small, the displays are hard to see and the phones are so complicated that my friends end up borrowing my Jitterbug when they need to make a call. I don’t mind… I just got a new phone too… the new Jitterbug Plus. Now I have all the things I loved about my Jitterbug phone along with some great new features that make it even better! GreatCall® created the Jitterbug with one thing in mind – to offer people a cell phone that’s easy to see and hear, simple to use and affordable. Now, they’ve made the cell phone experience even better with the Jitterbug Plus. It features a lightweight, comfortable design with a backlit keypad and big, legible numbers. There is even a dial tone so you know the phone is ready to use. You can also increase the volume with one touch and the speaker’s been improved so you get great audio quality and can hear every word. The battery has been improved too– it’s one of the longest lasting on the market– so you won’t have to charge it as often. The phone comes to you with your account already set up and is easy to activate. Basic 14 Basic 19 50 was 100 NOW 200 $14.99 $19.99 Operator Assistance 24/7 24/7 911 Access FREE FREE No add’l charge No add’l charge FREE FREE YES YES 30 days 30 days Monthly Minutes Monthly Rate Long Distance Calls Voice Dial Nationwide Coverage Friendly Return Policy1 More minute plans available. Ask your Jitterbug expert for details. not locked in for years at a time and won’t be subject to early termination fees. The U.S.-based customer service is knowledgeable and helpful and the phone gets service virtually anywhere in the continental U.S. Above all, you’ll get one-touch access to a friendly, and helpful GreatCall operator. They can look up numbers, and even dial them for you! They are always there to help you when you need them. Call now and receive 100 FREE Minutes and FREE Car Charger – a $41.98 value. Try Available in The rate plans are simple too. Why pay the Jitterbug Plus for yourself for Silver and Red. for minutes you’ll never use? There are a 30 days and if you don’t love it, just return it for a refund1 of the product purchase price. Call now – variety of affordable plans. Plus, you don’t have to worry helpful Jitterbug experts are ready to answer your questions. about finding yourself stuck with no minutes– that’s the problem with prepaid phones. Since there is no contract to sign, you are Order now and receive 100 Free Minutes and a Car Charger for your Jitterbug – a $41.98 value. Call now! Jitterbug Plus Cell Phone Call today to get your own Jitterbug Plus. Please mention promotional code 49768. 1-866-681-7138 We proudly accept the following credit cards. 47583 www.jitterbugdirect.com IMPORTANT CONSUMER INFORMATION: Jitterbug is owned by GreatCall, Inc. Your invoices will come from GreatCall. All rate plans and services require the purchase of a Jitterbug phone and a one-time set up fee of $35. Coverage and service is not available everywhere. Other charges and restrictions may apply. Screen images simulated. There are no additional fees to call Jitterbug’s 24-hour U.S. Based Customer Service. However, for calls to an Operator in which a service is completed, minutes will be deducted from your monthly balance equal to the length of the call and any call connected by the Operator, plus an additional 5 minutes. Monthly minutes carry over and are available for 60 days. If you exceed the minute balance on your account, you will be billed at 35¢ for each minute used over the balance. Monthly rate plans do not include government taxes or assessment surcharges. Prices and fees subject to change. 1We will refund the full price of the Jitterbug phone if it is returned within 30 days of purchase in like-new condition. We will also refund your first monthly service charge if you have less than 30 minutes of usage. If you have more than 30 minutes of usage, a per minute charge of 35 cents will apply for each minute over 30 minutes. The activation fee and shipping charges are not refundable. Jitterbug and GreatCall are registered trademarks of GreatCall, Inc. Samsung is a registered trademark of Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. ©2013 Samsung Telecommunications America, LLC. ©2013 GreatCall, Inc. ©2013 by firstSTREET for Boomers and Beyond, Inc. week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 10 THE WEEK in private capital, investors who liked the idea of a firm with White House connections, and who now stand to be wiped out because Fisker offered a product it didn’t know how to efficiently mass-produce to a public that didn’t want to buy it. There will likely be no plant in Delaware, no untold billions in return on the federal investment, and no Karma in every garage. n When President Obama addressed a Planned Parenthood national conference in Washington, D.C., he assured his audience that they had “a president who’s going to be right there with you, fighting every step of the way.” He has been fighting since he was an Illinois state legislator, voting against bills that would have required trying to save the lives of infants who survive attempts to abort them. Give Planned Parenthood and President Obama the benefit of consistency: They are a business that provides abortions; he is a politician who approves their handiwork. May the days of their sway be numbered. n Jurors in the trial of Kermit Gosnell, the Philadelphia doctor accused of one third-degree and four first-degree murders, have begun deliberations as we go to press. No one disputes the generic description of the 41-year-old woman who died after seeking an abortion at his clinic. The task of describing the four persons who, according to the prosecution, were killed after attempts to abort them failed is a different matter. Anglo-Saxon terms—“child,” “baby,” “newborn”—applied to the aborted party have a humanizing effect and suggest that the moral worth of the object of abortion is equal to that of its agents and everyone else. Those who think it isn’t resort to the word “fetus,” the Latinate, clinical term for “unborn child” and the analogue of another Latinate, clinical term rightly absent from the legal and political debate: “gravida,” a pregnant woman. Journalists and commentators who call the infants fighting for their lives in the chaos and filth of Gosnell’s clinic “fetuses” clearly signal their affirmation of abortion rights but inaccurately convey the fact of the matter: The children at that point were no longer unborn. Of course, if babies are fetuses, fetuses are babies. The lesson in logic is unintended. n The Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity has landed, and of course its roster is fruitier than Natalie Portman’s breakfast. Habitual scourge of Paulism James Kirchick makes the introductions: Lew Rockwell, believed by many to be the author of Ron Paul’s oddball racist newsletters, is a prominent member of the board, as is Michael Scheuer, who insists that American Jews are a “fifth column” acting in Israeli interests; John Laugh land, a prominent toady to Slobodan Milosevic and Alexander Lukashenko; Eric Margolis, who has suggested that 9/11 was the work of either the U.S. military or the Israeli intelligence service; and a few other questionable characters. The line-up is distasteful, but some features are simply laughable: a pair of Big Brotherly cartoon binoculars over the words “Neocon Watch” (“Neocons, who are at all times salivating for war . . .”), to say nothing of the presence of Dennis Kucinich. From 9/11 truthers to Lew Rockwell’s sad little theme park in Alabama to crackpottery, the intellectual decline of the Rothbardian tendency within libertarianism is a sad spectacle. Ludwig von Mises had no children, and also no heirs. n Mother Jones, a magazine named for the founder of a terrorist 10 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m organization, responded to the Boston attack with an article making the claim that so-called right-wing terrorism has killed more Americans since 9/11 than has Islamic terrorism. The problem, as Ben Shapiro notes, is that practically none of the incidents Mother Jones describes as right-wing terrorism were 1) instances of terrorism or 2) perpetuated by right-wingers. Most are common crimes committed by people with the sort of lunatic political opinions one hears at the worse class of bars and the better class of universities: Robert Andrew Poplawski, for example, was an angry anti-Semite, but he did not murder his mother out of political principle—they had an argument about letting the dog out. (He subsequently killed two police officers.) Chris and Wade Lay were militia nuts who killed a man during a bank robbery; Jim David Adkisson was angry about losing his welfare benefits. Strangely enough, the magazine also characterized Andrew Joseph Stack’s 2009 airplane crash into the IRS building in Austin as right-wing terrorism, even though Mr. Stack identified himself as a Communist in his suicide note. (We are familiar enough with the magazine to know that it is possible to be a Communist and still be to the right of Mother Jones, but this is ridiculous.) Predictably, recent left-wing terrorism—such as the attempt by members of Occupy Cleveland to blow up the Route 82 bridge— does not much enter into Mother Jones’s analysis. n Speaking of which, Floyd Lee Corkins II has pleaded guilty. If you don’t know the name, it’s because the national media have not been interested in his story. He’s the one who went to the Family Research Council in Washington and shot security guard Leonard Johnson, who nonetheless subdued him. FRC is a conservative organization, concentrating on social issues. Corkins also planned to attack similar organizations. He told investigators that he intended to kill as many FRC employees as possible. Then he was going to smear Chick-fil-A sandwiches in their faces. He had bought 15 of the sandwiches for the purpose. He got the idea that FRC was a “hate group” by going to the website of the Southern Poverty Law Center. And you can never be too careful about hate. n NR has a table every year at the White House Correspondents Dinner. When Louis XIV expected every nobleman to appear at Versailles, who would stay at his chateau? But the dinner is an institution as grotesque as Versailles. Tom Brokaw slammed the 2012 iteration because of the splash made there by Lindsay Lohan. But celebrity varnish had been layered on for years. Hollywood glitz, plus journalistic and Beltway self-esteem, makes the dinners about as republican as Versailles too. We here are the in-crowd; you (outside) are most definitely not. When the president, the guest of honor, shares the prejudices of his audience—i.e., is like most of them a liberal Democrat—there is a trifecta of snobbery. Modern American democracy was born when the triumphant plebs trampled the carpets and furniture of the White House at Andrew Jackson’s inaugural ball. Now the American political elite behave like the gilded freaks in SaintSimon. Not good for them, not good for the U.S. n Is the best possible next mayor of New York Anthony Weiner? If the city had a functioning GOP, Joseph Lhota, former head of the subway system, might fill the bill. But the odds against a Republican who is neither the Wrath of God (Rudy Giuliani) nor a billionaire (Michael Bloomberg) are immense. The Democrats M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/29/2013 1:33 PM Page 1 W LO $ 64 Just Released: AS 0! .5 /h s us pl The New Australian Gold Rush is Here! The Solid Gold Secret behind this Outback Opportunity T here’s no doubt about it. Everybody is on the hunt for gold coins these days! You can pay hundreds, or even thousands of dollars, for genuine gold coins. But savvy collectors have discovered that Australia’s Gold Kangaroo is one of the world’s most affordable collector gold coins. Those in the know realize that these stunning coins offer a solid gold triple play: #1: 99.99% Pure Gold 24K gold is 99.9% pure, but these Gold Kangaroos are struck in one half gram of 99.99% pure gold—earning them a spot among the purest gold anywhere in the world. In fact, they are purer than any U.S. gold coin ever issued before 2006! Minted by Australia’s award-winning Perth Mint, they feature Australia’s beloved national symbol, the Kangaroo. Actual size is 11.6 mm #2: Legal Tender Gold Legal tender gold coins are the preferred choice of millions. Unlike privately-minted gold bars or ingots, legal tender gold coins offer the security of government guaranteed purity, weight, and authenticity. The purity and weight are actually struck directly into the surface of the coin, as well as the renowned “P” mint mark of Perth Mint. And because the Gold Kangaroo coin series also features a one-year-only design, they are also in demand as a collectible coin. #3: Save Over $25.00! New York Mint is an authorized distributor for this hugely-popular 2013 Gold Kangaroo coin, allowing us to bring them to you at a great price. You can pay up to $89.95 each for the first year 2010 Gold Kangaroo, or you can secure your brand new 2013 Gold Kangaroo for as little as $64.50. That’s more than $25.00 less than the 2010 coin! Order now—Risk Free! Best of all, you can own your 2013 Gold Kangaroos risk free, with our 30-day unconditional-return privilege. If you’re not satisfied, return your coins within 30 days for a full refund (less all s/h). Millions of gold coin collectors already know the enjoyment that comes from owning pure 24K gold coins like these Australian Gold Kangaroos. But don’t wait! Not when you can pocket your own affordable Gold Kangaroos and save a bundle today! Buy More and Save More At these low prices Gold Kangaroo buyers will want to purchase more than one coin. So as a bonus, if you buy banker’s rolls of 20 coins, you can save $100 or more! One Gold Kangaroo coin for only $69.50 + s/h Five for only $68.50 ea. + s/h SAVE $5 Ten for only $67.50 ea. + s/h SAVE $20 Twenty + for only $64.50 ea. + s/h SAVE $100 or more! Toll-Free 24 hours a day 1-888-373-0650 Offer Code HGK169-01 Please mention this code when you call. ® 14101 Southcross Drive W., Dept. HGK169-01 Burnsville, Minnesota 55337 www.NewYorkMint.com Prices and availability subject to change without notice. Past performance is not a predictor of future performance. NOTE: New York Mint® is a private distributor of worldwide government coin and currency issues and privately issued licensed collectibles and is not affiliated with the United States government. Facts and figures deemed accurate as of April 2013. ©2013 New York Mint, LLC. week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 12 THE WEEK offer a field of tiny hacks, occupying ethnic or sexual niches: Bill Thompson (black), John Liu (Asian), Christine Quinn (lesbian), Bill de Blasio (married to an ex-lesbian). Weiner opposes an inspector general for the police department. He also dislikes Mayor Bloomberg’s bike lanes, one of the incumbent’s worst whims. Weiner is a sad case. Because his downtime amusement was tweeting obscene pictures of himself to women to whom he was not married, he wrecked his political career. Yet because he can think of no other, he seems determined to run for mayor. Pity the New Yorkers who may have to hold their . . . noses and vote for him. n The Sacramento Bee published an ugly and uninventive cartoon mocking Texas over the fertilizer-plant disaster that killed 15 people in the small town of West, juxtaposing the explosion with Rick Perry’s boasting that “business is booming.” The implied argument—that the West catastrophe is a result of Texas’s lighter regulatory touch—is false. Fertilizer plants in Texas, like fertilizer plants everywhere in the United States, are heavily regulated: The West facility was subject to oversight by no fewer than seven agencies. The problem is not the regulations but the regulators: OSHA had not visited the site since the Reagan administration. DHS is responsible for monitoring facilities with more than 400 pounds of ammonium nitrate—the stuff Timothy McVeigh used in the Oklahoma City bomb—but was ignorant of the fact that the plant had more than half a million pounds on hand. The plant had informed one regulatory agency, but agencies do not communicate. The owners filed a “worst-case scenario” report with the EPA, which did not follow up to see whether that scenario was in fact the worst case. The U.S. Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration—there is such a thing—visited the facility in 2011 and handed down a $5,200 fine for failure to draft certain safety plans; the 270 tons of highly explosive material apparently did not seize their attention. Rick Perry, needless to say, does not oversee OSHA, DHS, or the EPA. n President Obama has made a memorable contribution to the annals of worthless diplomatic ultimatums with his infamous “red line” warning to Bashar al-Assad not to use chemical weapons. It would be “totally unacceptable,” a “game changer,” and bring “consequences.” He said all of this apparently believing he could bluff Assad out of using such weapons, and giving nary a thought to what he would do if Assad defied his threats. Now, the British, French, and Israelis all believe that Syria has used chemical weapons, and so do U.S. intelligence agencies “with varying degrees of confidence,” in the words of Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel. The president has responded with Clintonian parsing of his past words—all but saying that it depends what the meaning of “red line” is—and with a defense lawyer’s doubt about the evidence against Assad. The entire episode is a lesson in not writing rhetorical checks you don’t want to cash, especially when the international credibility of the United States is at stake. It is certainly true that Syria, locked in a hellish civil war between the regime and an increasingly radicalized opposition, presents limited and unpalatable options for the United States. No one wants to put boots on the ground. A no-fly zone would invariably commit us to toppling Assad by force of arms and taking ownership of the post-Assad dispensation. We should pursue a more limited course. If it is possible to identify and target stocks of chemical 12 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m weapons from the air, without too much risk of contamination to innocents on the ground, we should do it. We shouldn’t want these weapons in the hands of Assad, or of a radical Islamist government that could replace him. More broadly, we should give military aid to the more secular elements of the opposition, to strengthen them vis-à-vis the dominant radicals and give ourselves some allies on the ground. It would have been much better if the president had done this sooner, but in Syria he put all his trust in meaningless gestures and words. n Demonstrating in the street is a well-known sport in France, and there’s plenty to demonstrate about at the moment. According to polls, no president has ever been so unpopular as François Hollande, and unemployment has seldom been so high. At the ministerial level, there’s financial jiggery-pokery. The socialist Hollande makes known how little he appreciates the conservative governments of Germany and Britain. Hoping to shore up his position, he got a bill to legalize same-sex marriage through the parliament. There were fisticuffs inside the building and mass demonstrations outside, leading to arrests and tear gas. Gays have been attacked and beaten in cities throughout the country. A coalition of right-wing opposition parties, the Catholic Church, and a formidable lady comedian who goes under the spoof name Frigide Barjot, denounces violence but remains determined to take all legal steps to stop final ratification. The media compare the demonstrations planned for the coming days to historic revolutions, and even Le Figaro, that cautious newspaper, raised the specter of 1789. A lot of people evidently want the famous phrase Gay Paree to keep its old-time meaning. n In Paris, an Iranian man chased a rabbi and his son, both wearing yarmulkes, through a synagogue, then slashed them with a box cutter badly enough to require hospitalization. Witnesses said the man shouted “Allahu akbar!” repeatedly during the attack. According to the Associated Press, “an official investigation was underway to determine a possible motive.” Hmmm, we’re stumped too. n The Vatican may have a scoop on its hands, or so thinks Antonio Paolucci, the director of its museums. They have been restoring rooms with frescoes by Pinturicchio. One of these has a portrait of Rodrigo Borgia, elected as Pope Alexander VI in 1492. Probably because he was such a source of scandal, these rooms were shut for centuries, and the frescoes obscured by the city’s grime. The restorer, Maria Pustka, reveals that hitherto indistinct figures in the background of one fresco are naked men wearing only headdresses and dancing, with one on horseback. This is precisely how Christopher Columbus describes the people he had encountered in the New World. Columbus was back home by 1494, the date when Pinturicchio finished the painting. Experts are at work figuring out if the Borgia pope had got a copy of Columbus’s journal. If this was the source, then here is the first portrayal of native Americans, so to speak a Renaissance travel poster. n Animal-rights vandals are the modern-day equivalent of book burners, destroying knowledge to intimidate anyone who defies them. In Italy, protesters invaded a University of Milan laboratory where scientists used mice (plus a few rabbits) to research psychiatric disorders such as autism, Alzheimer’s, and schizoM AY 20, 2013 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 13 phrenia. To be sure, research animals should be treated humanely, which is why every lab must run a gauntlet of rules and regulations and review boards. But that wasn’t enough for the extremists, who spoiled research records, switched or defaced labels on cages, and otherwise nullified several years’ worth of work. The protesters also set free around 100 of the lab’s experimental subjects (a questionable move, since lab animals have trouble surviving in the wild) and at last report were negotiating for custody of the other 700 rodents. Meanwhile the researchers will just get more mice and start over—not that the protesters care, as long as they can indulge their Wind in the Willows fantasies. n Private Bradley Manning was named an honorary grand marshal of the San Francisco gay-pride parade. Soldiers no longer get booted from the Army over such things, which must be of great comfort to him—that and the fact that prosecutors have opted not to seek the death penalty in his trial on charges of stealing classified information and aiding the enemy during the Iraq War. But after a few days of withering criticism, the organizers of the event rescinded the invitation: Private Manning apparently is too controversial for the decorous ladies and gentlemen of the San Francisco gay-pride parade. If ever you have had the pleasure of witnessing that great American spectacle, you will appreciate that the group’s announcement that the party responsible for inviting Private Manning “has been disciplined” could mean any number of things. n Four years ago, the Barbadian pop sensation Rihanna was beaten by her rapper/r&b-singer boyfriend Chris Brown; he admitted to the assault and was sentenced to five years’ probation. They are back together, and the faniverse buzzes with gossip about their relationship as Rihanna embarks on a world tour. In the bad old days, entertainment moguls ran their talent like chattel. But they kept their troubles (purely for commercial reasons) hush-hush. Maybe that was no bad thing. n The advance of women’s rights through the ages has been inspiring, and to it we can add the heroic effort of Washington’s legislature to purge the state’s laws of such degradingly sexist terms as “penmanship” and “journeyman” (which have been replaced with “handwriting” and “journey-level plumber”). The notion that a little girl growing up in Puyallup will be deterred from a rewarding career in ichthyology because a law says “fisherman” instead of “fisher” is beyond far-fetched. This Olympian effort took six years plus a long series of bills, each numbering in the hundreds of pages, and a 40-member staff; Samuel Johnson compiled his dictionary in not much more time with far fewer resources. The shame of it all is that instead of tracking down outdated words in obscure statutes, the legislature could have used the time for more important work, such as subsidizing in dustries to stimulate the economy, or setting up Obamacare exchanges . . . well, come to think of it, there’s really no better way for a legislature to spend its time than copy-editing old laws. In fact, the next thing they should do is carefully check the entire legal code for serial commas and the correct use of “which” and “that.” n We first took notice of Howard Phillips in the early 1960s, when he was president of the Harvard Student Council. He would become a leader of the New Right: the movement associated with Jack Kemp, Paul Weyrich, Richard Viguerie, and others. He founded the Conservative Caucus in 1974, remaining its chairman until 2011. “Conservatives used to believe their job was to lose as slowly as possible,” he said. “I don’t just want to slow the train down; I want to put it on another track.” Phillips set himself against the temporizing qualities in the Republican party, and he occasionally went too far. He accused President Reagan of being “a useful idiot for Soviet propaganda”; the Gipper turned out to know what he was doing. Three times, Phillips ran for president, on tickets of his devising. He has died at 72. In its obit, the New York Times said, “Even among stalwart conservatives, Mr. Phillips was known for being especially devoted to the ideological principles of the right, including limited government, traditional family values, strong national defense and opposition to abortion.” A high tribute. R.I.P. TERRORISM After Boston HE Tsarnaev brothers’ bombing of the Boston Marathon raised questions peculiar to itself, and others already familiar to us in the War on Terror. In the Nineties, it gratified some liberals to think that the disturbers of our peace were right-wing anarchists and survivalist nuts. If Timothy McVeigh could be fused with ordinary conservatives, all the better. So the day after the Boston attack, former Obama aide David Axelrod speculated that it could be linked to “Tax Day” (April 15). Axelrod represents an old type in American politics, but for this slimy remark, in a better world he would be shunned. As in other jihadi crimes—most prominently the Fort Hood murders of Major Hasan—we saw what our colleague Andy McCarthy calls “willful blindness.” The Russians warned us twice about Tamerlan Tsarnaev, and the FBI even interviewed him. Yet he was allowed to fly to Russia, spend six months doing who knows what, and return unmolested. It is not anti-Muslim to investigate dodgy Muslims for terrorist activity. Most American Muslims are not terrorists, but many American terrorists have been Muslims. Whether this is a perversion of the religion, or an expression of an authentic strain of it, is not the business of government. Actions most definitely are. Are we involved in a war, or crime-fighting? Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, the brother who survived, was questioned for 16 hours, then read his Miranda rights. Unless there was a connection to alQaeda, he couldn’t be held as an enemy combatant, but there should not have been such a rush to treat him as a common criminal. Out came the armies of excuses. The brothers felt alienated in America. Thousands of immigrants feel the same, yet do not become mass murderers. Dzhokhar was under the spell of Tamerlan (but the Unabomber’s younger brother didn’t help him mail bombs—he turned his brother in). It can be hard to believe in monsters who are young or (in Dzhokhar’s case) cute, but history provides examples enough. The older members of the bombers’ family were a study in contrasts. Their parents, Anzor and Zubeidat Tsarnaev, showed a combination of shock, stupidity, and evil. The more they talked, the larger the proportions of the last two grew. Meanwhile the bombers’ uncle, Ruslan Tsarni, berated his nephews T 13 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:51 PM Page 14 THE WEEK as “losers. . . . You put a shame on our entire family” and “on the entire Chechen ethnicity.” Good for him. Tamerlan Tsarnaev’s wife, the former Katherine Russell, suggests a newish phenomenon. The transgressive partner of choice is no longer the black rebel or the criminal, it would seem, but the radical Muslim. Only wearing hijabs can express the full measure of rebellion (or self-hatred, or just dim-wittedness). Expect to see more such. Was the police lockdown of Boston excessive? The comic Bill Maher said we have become a “police state.” On the other hand, Senator Rand Paul discovered a use for drones (they can be used when there might be a need to use them, just not when there is no need). Policing is always open to criticism and improvement: Dzhokhar Tsarnaev was found only after the lockdown was lifted and the Watertown homeowner went outside to see blood on the boat where he was hiding. But hot pursuit is hot pursuit; salus populi suprema lex esto. The murderers were caught in short order. Yet they took four lives, injured hundreds, and disrupted a great city. Food for thought, for our enemies and for us. IMMIGRATION This Time It’s Different? hE Gang of Eight’s immigration-reform bill contains a number of superficially attractive security mandates: It would require the federal government to have 100 percent “situational awareness” of the border, to catch 90 percent of illegal border-crossers in high-traffic areas, to establish a tracking system to address the problem of those who enter the country illegally but overstay their visas, etc. So attractive are those goals that we have supported them in the past, on the many occasions upon which the government has promised to achieve them. Disappointingly, Washington keeps failing to deliver on its promises. The unspoken premise of the Gang of Eight bill is: This time it’s different. We are skeptical that this is so. And regardless, there is a great deal in this package that is deeply objectionable. It follows the same amnesty-first/enforcement-later model that has burned us before. The bill’s proponents, such as Senator Marco Rubio (R., Fla.), lay a great deal of stress on the “triggers” that must be pulled before it lets illegal immigrants become citizens. Yet the trigger for the amnesty itself—creating “provisional” legal status for the millions who have entered the country illegally—would be almost entirely meaningless: The De partment of homeland Security would merely have to affirm in writing that it had plans to do something about border security, and that money had been appropriated for doing so. That’s it: no rigorous empirical standard, just the fact of having a plan. Offering legal status before enforcement—even if citizenship is delayed—can be expected to draw more illegal immigrants to our country. As we noted earlier, these security measures have been legislated before. Congress mandated the creation of a visa-tracking system, for instance, in 1996. Since then, Congress has on multiple occasions during three presidencies reiterated its demand that the executive branch comply with the law, and the executive branch has on each occasion failed to do so. The system the bill would mandate is even weaker than the system already mandated: It would apply at airports and seaports, but not to land crossings. GETTY IMAGES/ALEX WONG T 14 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Perhaps President Obama will suddenly get religion on enforcement. But consider his Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals initiative, which gives some illegal immigrants relief from deportation after what is supposed to be a rigorous screening process to weed out criminals and national-security threats. “Criminals” has a rather loose definition—you can have a couple of convictions and remain golden in the eyes of Obama’s DhS, so long as you pled any felony charges down to misdemeanors— the result of which is a 99.5 percent approval rate. There is no reason to expect this bill’s legalization process to be implemented more rigorously. We very strongly support mandating the use of E-Verify or a similar system nationwide in order to ensure that businesses hire only those workers who are legally eligible to be employed in the United States. Mandating E-Verify is so obvious and sensible a move that it should have been made years ago in a stand-alone piece of legislation, but that bill was rejected. Those who opposed it, including business interests and farm-state Republicans, will have similar incentives to water down enforcement provisions in any compromise bill that passes Congress and continue to resist them even after they are written into law. The bill has additional perversities. It not only would offer legal status to the 11 million or so illegals currently in the country but also would readmit many of those who have been deported. The argument for normalizing the status of illegals already resident in the United States has in the main proceeded from the fact that they are already resident in the United States. Offering legal status for those who are not living in the United States is indefensible. Further, the bill would open the floodgates for unskilled laborers. Many of those unskilled laborers would be brought in under guest-worker programs, which are in and of themselves objectionable. They amount to nothing more than the creation of a caste of second-class workers for the benefit of certain business interests. The Gang of Eight bill is a cobbled-together beast, a truly ugly creature of politics. If Washington were serious about border security and controlling illegal immigration, then Congress would pass a mandatory E-Verify bill, and the executive would enforce it, finish the job of securing the border, and implement visa controls. More broadly, our immigration procedures would be reoriented toward the economic needs of the country rather than other concerns. Once the government had built up its credibility on enforcing the immigration laws against new entrants, then the time might come to talk about granting legal status to those who are here illegally. Until then, we won’t believe promises that this time it’s different. M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/29/2013 1:37 PM Page 1 The History of the Future? For a limited time, you can wear 250 carats of spectacular smoky quartz for ONLY $29! We predict this necklace will soon be yours... Q ueens don’t like surprises. That’s why Elizabeth I enlisted the psychic services of John Dee. As the “official unofficial” court astrologist, Dee provided Her Majesty with divination, soothsaying and as much of the future as he could foresee inside his magical smoky sphere. Our Smoky Quartz Necklace is crafted from the very same material that the Queen believed could channel otherworldly energy. Today, this strand of seductively smooth smoky quartz is ready to work its magic on you. Regularly, we offer this 250-carat beauty for $99. But for a limitedtime, it can be yours for ONLY $29 when you call! Prized by the ancient Egyptians, Greeks and Romans, this smoky beauty was once crafted by medieval mystics into crystal balls and shew stones that “scryers” used to see the future. We can’t make any promises about this necklace’s ability to predict tomorrow’s lottery numbers. But we can guarantee that once you wear this 250-carat smoky quartz necklace, you’ll experience a supernatural sense of style. Each piece of polished quartz links together on an elegant 18” strand that fastens with a lobster clasp. The shape and color of every gemstone is unique, making no two necklaces exactly alike. We searched the globe (from Brazil to the Swiss Alps) for the finest color and translucence to create a collection worthy of smoky quartz’s storied past. This necklace regularly sells for $99, but for a limited time, we want you to own this necklace for ONLY $29! Wear it risk-free for 30 days! If you don’t fall in love with the Smoky Quartz Necklace within 30 days, send it back for a full refund of your purchase price. It’s that simple. Whether you believe in fortune telling or not, you have to agree that fate has never looked so tempting! JEWELRY SPECS: - 250 ctw of genuine smoky quartz -18" length necklace - Fastens with a lobster clasp Smoky Quartz Necklace (250 ctw) Original Price $99 CALL-IN ONLY PRICE $29 Save $70* EXCLUSIVE CALL-IN OFFER! Get 250 Carats of Smoky Quartz for only $29 Limited to the first 2,000 callers to this ad only...Dial us now! 1-888-201-7074 Promotional Code SQC161-01 Please mention this code when you call. Stauer ® 14101 Southcross Drive W., Dept. SQC161-01 Burnsville, Minnesota 55337 www.stauer.com Rating of A+ * Price quoted is for Call-In Customers only versus the original Stauer.com price. Necklace enlarged to show striking color. Smart Luxuries—Surprising Prices 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:14 PM Page 16 American Dawa The radicalization of the Tsarnaev brothers BY ANDREW C. McCARTHY multi-culti Boston is the latest target of jihadist terror. The spree began on April 15, when terrorists remotely detonated two improvised explosive devices near the finish line of the Boston Marathon, killing three spectators: two young women, Krystle Campbell and lu lingzi, and eight-year-old Martin Richard, who was waiting for his dad to complete the race. Four days later, with a major American city paralyzed by fear, the siege ended with a series of wild firefights in the streets, during which the terrorists killed MIT police officer Sean Collier and critically wounded transitauthority police officer Richard Donahue (who, thankfully, is expected to make a full recovery). The terrorists were a pair of brothers, Tamerlan and Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, originally from Chechnya. Their family had immigrated to the united States beginning in 2002. Dzhokhar, 19 years old at the time of the bombing, had been naturalized, in perverse irony, last September 11. He was captured hiding in a boat and faces a capital trial in federal court. His 26-year-old brother, Tamerlan, a greencard holder who bore the name of a legendary 14th-century jihadist warrior, was killed during the manhunt. AP PHOTO/THE BOSTON GLOBE, DAVID L. RYAN D 16 EEp-BluE, | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m The Tsarnaevs seemed well assimilated, at least until recent years. Thus the pressing question: How did this happen? The answer begins with that simple, chilling admonition from Muslim leaders: Integrate but do not assimilate. For those Muslims who have begun assimilating, there is this corollary: Turn away from Western wickedness and embrace the cloister of Islamic piety—as construed by Islamic-supremacist leaders, whose ideology glorifies violent jihad even as it pretends to moderation. The strategy has been called “voluntary apartheid.” The idea is to provide Muslim immigrants in the West—particularly, energetic young Muslims like the Tsarnaevs—with cultural, psychological, and even physical insulation from Western mores, traditions, and institutions. It was the bedrock of Muslim Brotherhood founder Hassan al-Banna’s framework for ground-up revolution. In every city and town, the Egyptian academic taught, Muslim leaders must establish a mosque–cum–community center. These, he explained, would become “the axis of our movement,” serving as the “House of Dawa”—that is, of Islam’s particularly aggressive form of proselytism—and providing “the base for our rise . . . to educate us, prepare us, and supply our battalions.” “Our battalions,” indeed. “Battalions of Islam” was the honorific applied by Omar Abdel Rahman, the Egyptian intellectual, Banna admirer, and convicted terrorist better known as “the blind sheikh,” to the jihadists who answered his summons to savagery in Cairo and New York. That these battalions will emerge from the dawa mission stressed by Muslim leaders is inevitable. It is why atrocities such as the rampage in Boston are bound to happen. Robert Spencer, a sharp critic of Islamic supremacism, fittingly describes dawa as “stealth jihad.” Dawa can include charitable fundraising (part of which is, under sharia guidelines, quite intentionally diverted to jihadist groups), intimidation of detractors, cultivation of sympathizers in the media and the universities, exploitation of legal systems and religious liberty, infiltration of political systems, and the portrayal of any scrutiny of Islamic doctrine as Islamophobia. The defining feature of dawa in the West, though, is resistance to assimilation. “One cannot expect you to assimilate,” Turkey’s Islamist prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, told a throng of Muslim immigrants to Germany in 2008. “Assimilation,” he exclaimed, “is a crime against humanity!” The Brotherhood’s leading sharia jurist, Sheikh Yusuf al-Qaradawi, who boldly promises that it is through dawa that “we will conquer Europe, we will conquer America,” is perhaps the most influential champion of the “integrate but never assimilate” principle. The key to “our quest for an Islamic state,” he instructs, is to “convince Western leaders and decision-makers of our right to live according to our faith.” Of course, the right to live according to one’s faith is a fundamental guarantee in the united States. When Qaradawi and other Islamic supremacists say “faith,” however, they are not talking merely about what we would understand as religious tenets; they are talking about sharia’s socio-political strictures, its suffocating regulation of human life’s every detail. What the supremacists demand is something quite the opposite of an Islamic seat at America’s ecumenical table. It is the establishment of autonomous Muslim enclaves within a society to which they are irrevocably hostile. The supremacist’s interpretation of sharia rejects liberty and equality, casting M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/30/2013 11:22 AM Page 1 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:14 PM Page 18 women as chattel and non-Muslims as contemptible. It thus instills in young Muslims the animating belief that Western culture is not just to be resisted as corruptive but disdained as beneath human dignity. It is true enough that most adherents to this ideology will not become terrorists; but it is equally certain that some will—and many have. Though Brotherhood leaders and Islamist intellectuals in the West purport to renounce violence except in selfdefense, they concurrently beatify violence and preach that Islam is always under attack. The Hamas terrorist organization, one should never forget, is the Brotherhood’s Palestinian branch; raising global alarms about supposed tidal waves of anti-Muslim bias and aggression is the supremacist’s stock in trade. The young Muslim who hears terrorism occasionally condemned also hears it constantly rationalized, excused, and endorsed—by revered role models. For Banna, there was no contradiction in this. Combat, including terrorism, was something young Muslims had to train and be prepared for. The revolution, he taught, could not ultimately succeed without it. But though violence had its place, that place was not necessarily central. Like strategic deception, it was one option on a very extensive dawa menu, resorted to only when its benefit to the movement outweighed its drawbacks. Decades later, it has become the fashion to abide, even to admire, Muslim leaders who temper their effusive praise for jihadist violence in the Middle East with vague denunciations of attacks in the West. This explains Sheikh Qaradawi. With a huge international television following courtesy of his weekly sharia program on Al Jazeera, Qaradawi is probably the most influential Islamic scholar alive today. Consequently, despite his infamous fatwas endorsing suicide bombings against Israel, terror war against American troops in Iraq, and the death penalty for homosexuals, he is a darling of Western chancelleries and academics, who present him as a leading “moderate” intellectual. He is a ubiquitous figure, sitting on a scholarly congress here, an advisory board there. They include the original board of trustees at the Islamic Society of Boston Cultural Center. The ISBCC’s founder was Abdurahman Alamoudi, the bipartisan Beltway’s favorite Muslim 18 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m moderate—until he was convicted, in 2004, of complicity in a plot to help Libya recruit jihadists to kill the Saudi crown prince. The investigation had revealed that he was a major al-Qaeda financier, as well as a champion of Hamas and Hezbollah. Naturally, none of that derailed the ISBCC enterprise, which includes a mosque in Cambridge, only a few blocks from the Tsarnaev family home. In the last three years, both brothers attended the mosque, as well as other mosques in the area. Tamerlan, the older and more fervent, was more of a fixture than Dzhokhar. Prior to this recent phase, the brothers seemed like unexceptional young American males, decent students who were active in sports—Tamerlan became a champion boxer who dreamed of Olympic fame, Dzhokhar a top wrestler. The call of supremacist ideology was never far away, though, most immediately in the influence of their mother. As the years went by in Cambridge, Zubeidat Tsarnaev increasingly withdrew into Islamic piety. Tamerlan followed her, gradually distancing himself from American acquaintances, expressing disdain for American life, and lacing his conversation with allusions to Allah’s will. This is symptomatic of the process of becoming “radicalized,” to borrow the popular, politically correct term that sanitizes Islam of its scriptures’ suprema cist dictates. Tamerlan’s wife, an American Christian named Katherine Russell, abruptly converted to Islam, donning the veil and similarly isolating herself from American acquaintances in favor of spending time with other Muslim women. Tamerlan took to studying Sheikh Feiz Mohammed, an Australian, a former boxer like himself, and a notorious sharia hardliner who spews bile against non-Muslims and endorses jihadist violence. Tamerlan even began maintaining YouTube playlists glorifying jihad, including a list he called “Terrorists” and one featuring a song entitled “I Will Dedicate My Life to Jihad.” By 2011, Tamerlan’s radicalism had come to the attention of Russian intelligence. Based on intercepted conversations between the young man and his mother, the spy service concluded he was poised to travel to Dagestan, a republic that has long endured a brutal Islamic insurgency. The Russians brought him to the attention of both the FBI and the CIA. But while the latter entered his name in an anti-terror database (the Terrorist Identities Datamart Environment), the former, after interviewing Tamerlan, reasoned that being a follower of radical Islam did not necessarily make one a terrorist threat. In the face of a lethal, ideologically driven threat, our government’s policy is to turn a blind eye to ideology. Only criminal activity, it insists, may properly be investigated—even if that means the investigation happens only after the activity has killed innocent people. Tamerlan did indeed embark on a sixmonth journey to Dagestan in 2012, evidently making contact with—and perhaps receiving training from—jihadists. When he returned to the U.S., only two days after a July firefight in which several Muslim militants were killed, he was clearly seething. But the insouciant in vestigators were not in a position to know this, having already closed the case after finding “no derogatory information.” When post-bombing video pointed to Tamerlan as a suspect, they had to ask the public’s help in identifying him. Dzhokhar was clearly enthralled by Tamerlan’s exploits, but his turn to Islam was not as pronounced—such that, as his grades cratered at the University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth, friends attributed his lethargy to his hardpartying ways. But the signs of withdrawal into a Muslim identity were there. Invited to describe his “outlook” on the Facebook page he maintained, Dzhokhar succinctly responded, “Is lam.” The Washington Post reports that he played soccer with members of the Muslim Students Association and, for a time, attended a Muslim prayer group. Just two weeks before the bombing, he told a friend that he no longer cared about his classes because Islam and God were the only true things in life. At the moment, it is unknown whether the brothers Tsarnaev had technical help from any international terrorist organization. It is known, however, that they drank deeply the ideology that creates terrorism by insulating its adherents and dehumanizing non-believers. Far from regarding Islamic supremacism with dread and suspicion, our government appeases supremacist agitators. We avert our gaze as the House of Dawa supplies the battalions of Islam. As America re treats, the war comes home again. M AY 20, 2013 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:14 PM Page 19 Acculturation Without Assimilation We reject American identity at our peril B Y S TA N L E Y K U R T Z Boston Marathon terror attack has pushed the problem of assimilation to the forefront of the debate over immigration reform. The younger bomber, Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, took his oath of citizenship on September 11, 2012, of all dates. Although his older brother and the mastermind of the plot, Tamerlan Tsarnaev, had been investigated by the FBI in 2011, his citizenship application was still pending T he Mr. Kurtz is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. at the time of the bombing. These terrorists wanted to be Americans, yet they nursed a murderous hatred for the United States. Clearly the quest for citizenship is no guarantee of assimilation. Sad to say, the Tsarnaevs are but extreme examples of a far wider breakdown in America’s system of assimilation. We ought not to be mulling amnesty for millions of illegal immigrants before putting that system back in order. One of the architects of this country’s ethos of assimilation, Teddy Roosevelt, delivered an 1894 address called “True Americanism,” which seems almost to have been written with the Tsarnaevs in mind: “We freely extend the hand of welcome and of good-fellowship to every man, no matter what his creed or birthplace, who comes here honestly intent on becoming a good United States citizen like the rest of us; but we have a right, and it is our duty, to demand that he shall indeed become so and shall not confuse the issues with which we are struggling by introducing among us Old World quarrels and prejudices.” It’s a message today’s immigrants are no longer hearing. From the late 1960s on, a multiculturalism hostile to everything Teddy Roosevelt stood for has entrenched itself in our schools, our universities, large corporations, and the mainstream press. Pockets of traditional assimilationist thinking remain, yet the trend is clearly in the opposite direction. Federal and state governments reinforce the new multiculturalism by funding bilingual education, multilingual voting, diversity training, and the like. The famous melting-pot metaphor notwithstanding, America has never required a total sacrifice of culture or creed from its immigrants. Instead we’ve called on prospective citizens to attach their personal heritage to American principles and identity. In a 1997 essay, the Manhattan Institute’s Peter Salins identifies three core components of what he calls “assimilation, American style”: acceptance of english as the national language, willingness to live by the Protestant work ethic (self-reliance, hard work, moral integrity), and pride in American identity and belief in our democratic principles. Knowing J. Lo 19 from Jay-Z isn’t enough, in other words. That’s mere “acculturation.” Genuine assimilation—true Americanism, in Roosevelt’s words—is something more. Many studies purporting to show that our assimilation system is flourishing do not adopt Roosevelt’s standard—that immigrants should embrace Americanism—as their own. A 2010 research report for the Center for American Progress by Dowell Myers and John Pitkin and a 2013 study for the Manhattan Institute by Jacob Vigdor, for example, use the rate at which immigrants become citizens as an index of civic assimilation. Yet citizenship itself in no way guarantees assimilation, as the Tsarnaevs show. A newly published Hudson Institute study by John Fonte and Althea Nagai provides a more reliable assessment. In “America’s Patriotic Assimilation System Is Broken,” Fonte and Nagai found wide differences between native-born and naturalized citizens on a series of questions measuring patriotic attachment to the United States. For example, nativeborn citizens are, by large margins, more likely than immigrant citizens to believe that schools should focus on American citizenship rather than on ethnic pride, or that the U.S. Constitution ought to be a higher legal authority for Americans than international law. Republicans who believe that amnesty for illegal immigrants will be a political boon for the GOP, whether because they view Hispanics as “natural conservatives” or because they hope to win them over in 20 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m time, may be taking for granted a pattern of assimilation that no longer exists. America’s vaunted ability to forge a cohesive society out of many immigrant strands is now in doubt. The implications of this breakdown range well beyond terrorism, but the connection between terrorism and the weakening of assimilation cannot be dismissed as a side issue. Salins, in his 1997 essay, presciently singled out several Arab-born perpetrators of the failed 1993 World Trade Center bombing as pure examples of “acculturation without assimilation.” These men were quite familiar with American society. The sister of one of the ringleaders said of her brother, “We always considered him a son of America. He was always saying, ‘I want to live in America forever.’” As observers on both left and right have pointed out since the Marathon bombings, post-9/11 terror attacks in Europe were likewise carried out by plotters conversant with the culture of their targets. Many of those terrorists were children of poorly assimilated immigrants from Muslim countries. These secondgeneration European Muslims had an easy familiarity with the ways of their birthplace, yet they never felt quite at home in the adopted countries of their still unassimilated parents. Caught between two worlds, fully belonging to neither, these young men turned to radical Islam for certainty and identity when they felt the hard knocks of adulthood. The same thing happened to the Tsarnaevs. The collapse of cultural selfconfidence in the West has left us with too little spiritual food to offer the children of Muslim immigrants, leaving some to turn to militant Islam in a search for lost roots. This suggests that opening our doors to new citizens without first paring back the excesses of multiculturalism and confidently reasserting traditional American principles of assimilation is asking for trouble. Unlike immigration from regions wracked by violent ethnic and religious conflict, such as the Tsarnaevs’ homeland, Hispanic immigration raises no specter of terrorism. Yet the abandonment of Roosevelt-style assimilation has caused problems for the immigrants themselves. In 2000, Brookings Institution scholar Peter Skerry described a process by which the children of such immigrants undergo a sort of reverse assimilation. According to Skerry, many Mexican Americans who largely assimilate into majority-Anglo environments in their K–12 years, scarcely even thinking of themselves as members of a minority group, dramatically change when they reach college. The politicized multiculturalism that dominates America’s universities substantially deassimilates many of them, leading them to attribute virtually all of their discontent to race-based grievances. That process may not make for terrorism, but it won’t foster civil comity either, much less a raft of Republican recruits. The reversal of assimilation at the university is by no means a worst-case scenario. Too often, says Skerry, highschool-aged Latinos born in the United States are “prone to adopt an adversarial stance toward school and a cynical anti-achievement ethic.” Even leftleaning assimilation researchers such as Marcelo and Carola Suárez-Orozco, who want more multiculturalism, not less, describe the tough urban schools that many immigrants attend as riven by racial and ethnic tensions. The Manhattan Institute’s Heather Mac Donald recently called the fast-growing split between America’s English-speaking and Spanish-speaking cultures “E pluribus duo.” Fixing our broken system of assimilation won’t be easy, because the problem is deeply rooted. Fonte and Nagai propose doing away with the apparatus of state and federal supports for multiculturalism and bilingualism. That step would surely have positive consequences beyond the programs directly affected by the change, and Re pub lican leaders should advocate it. They also ought to insist on guarantees of border security that far exceed those on offer in the Senate’s “Gang of Eight” immigration proposal before considering a path to citizenship. Should Democrats demur, it will show they were never truly serious about comprehensive immigration reform to begin with. M AY 20, 2013 DARREN GYGI 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:14 PM Page 20 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/30/2013 7:05 PM Page 1 Paid Advertisement Pharmacist of the Year Makes Memory Discovery of a Lifetime: Is It the Fountain of Youth for Aging Minds? ‘America’s Pharmacist,’ Dr. Gene Steiner, finds what he and his patients have been looking for – a real memory pill! PHOENIX, ARIZONA — If Pharmacist of the Year, Dr. Gene Steiner, had a nickel for every time someone leaned over the counter and whispered, “Do you have anything that can improve my memory,” he would be a rich man today. It’s a question he’s heard countless times in his 45-year career. He has seen families torn apart by the anguish of memory loss and mental decline, a silent condition that threatens the independent lifestyle seniors hold so dearly. In his years-long search for a drug or nutrient that could slow mental decline, he finally found the answer in the pages of an obscure medical journal. “I was studying materials about memory loss and cognitive decline, and there it was, right in front of me... evidence of a real memory pill!” “At the time, I was an anchor for a medical program in Los Angeles. I was so excited that I contacted the author of the research and invited him to come on the program as a guest.” “I wanted millions of listeners to learn about this important new development!” Pharmacist of the Year, Gene Steiner, PharmD, was so impressed with his newfound memory powers that he recommended the patented, prescription-free memory formula to his pharmacy patients with great success. specific antioxidants and nutrients.” Reduced blood flow has another brain-numbing effect: it slashes the number of neurotransmitters in the brain, the messenger molecules used by the brain to help form thoughts, retrieve memories, and help its owner stay focused and on-task. Fewer neurotransmitters circulating in the brain translates to concentration and memory woes. So, Reynolds and a team of scientists developed a natural, drug-free compound shown in research to prompt aging brains to begin to ‘think and react,’ younger. Tired Brains Snap Awake! “It helps tired, forgetful brains to ‘snap awake,” says Dr. Steiner. “This natural memory pill is to your aging, sluggish brain, what a breath of fresh air is to your lungs,” he says. It works so well, explains Steiner, that the participants in a peer-reviewed, international research study not only saw improvements in their memory, mood and concentration, but they also regained lost brainpower equal to that of someone 15 years younger, all in a 30-day time period! This made perfect sense to Dr. Steiner, who knew instinctively that agerelated memory problems may be correctable. After the Show After the show, Dr. Steiner confided to his guest that he was fearful of not being able to recall certain subject matter for his popular radio show. “He gave me a couple of bottles and instructed me on its use,” says Dr. Steiner “Within a few days, I can tell you without reservation that my memory became crystal clear!” Feeding an Older Brain Dr. Steiner’s guest that night, US reThe formula helps oxygenate listless searcher, Josh Reynolds, observed a com- brain cells to revitalize and protect them mon ‘disturbance’ in aging brains, one that from free radicals caused by stress and may be the primary cause of degrading toxins. memory and concentration powers. It also helps restore depleted neurotransmitter levels, while feeding the aging Gasping for Air? mind with brain-specific nutrients and He saw evidence that older brains protective antioxidants. were ‘gasping for additional oxygen,’ Steiner was so impressed that he a condition caused by poor blood began recommending the formula to his circulation. pharmacy customers. “Insufficient circulation,” says “I had such marvelous results that I Steiner, “reduces oxygen to the brain, a not only started recommending it to my sign of premature mental decline. This customers, I even shared it with other also restricts the supply of critical brain- physicians!” Pharmacy Best-Seller “It became the best-selling brain health product in my pharmacy and customers were returning to thank me for introducing them to it.” “It felt great to see so many people whose lives were enriched by taking a simple, natural formula.” “A rookie doctor right out of medical school can set a broken bone, or treat a rash or runny nose,” explains Dr. Steiner. “But he is often clueless when it comes to helping a patient who can’t remember to take his medicine, or forgets where he’s parked his car, or even worse, foolishly leaves the oven on at night.” “With this simple, drug-free formula, we finally have something that we can recommend that is safe and effective. And you don’t need a prescription either!” Recently, Dr. Steiner relocated to another state and was apprehensive about taking the state board of pharmacy jurisprudence examination, a daunting examination that tests a candidate’s mastery of pharmacy law. “I began taking the natural memory compound for two weeks prior to the test, and I passed with flying colors!” “The recall I personally experienced was fantastic,” says Steiner. Many frontline healthcare professionals are embracing this natural remedy for three reasons. First, the formula was submitted to the rigors of a placebo-controlled, randomized, double-blind clinical trial, using the same FDA-sanctioned brain testing protocols used to qualify prescription-sold cognitive medicines. Seniors are more concerned about memory loss and mental decline than they are about death, itself, according to a new survey. “The findings for improved brain function were shocking,” says Steiner. Then, the results were shared with the world in a well-respected, peerreviewed medical journal. #1 Selling Brain Health Pill Thirdly, this natural, memory- For years, pharmacists told disappointed patients that memory loss was inevitable. A new, drug-free cognitive formula helps improve mind, mood, and memory in as little as 30 days. boosting wonder has passed the toughest yardstick of all – scrutiny from the US consumer. Word has spread; in a very short time, Reynolds’ memory-booster has quickly become the #1-selling brain health supplement in the United States. Dr. Steiner estimates that as much as 10 million single-doses have been used with excellent results by ‘lots of forgetful folks.’ Users like Selwyn Howell* agree. He credits the memory compound with bolstering his confidence. “It helped me speak out more than I used to. I am growing more confident every day.” Carey S.* reports, “I feel so much more focused and with the new energy I’m now ready to tackle the things I’ve been putting off for years!” Elizabeth K.* of Rochester, New York experienced a night-and-day difference in her mind and memory. At the age of 54, her memory was declining at an “alarming rate.” “I was about to consult a neurologist when I read a newspaper article about it.” “It took about a month for the memory benefit to kick in. Six months later, even my husband was impressed with my improved memory. And I am very happy with my renewed mental clarity and focus!” “I highly recommend it,” says Dr. Steiner. “This drug-free compound is the perfect supplement for increasing one’s brain power. If it worked for me, it can work for you!” Get a Free 30-Day Supply of this Pharmacist-Recommended Memory Formula! Call the toll-free number below to see how you can reserve your free 30-day supply of the same, patented memory formula used by Dr. Steiner. It is the #1-selling memory formula in the US, and it is also mentioned in the medically acclaimed book, 20/20 Brainpower: 20 Days to a Quicker, Calmer, Sharper Mind! Claim Your Free Copy of the Top-Selling Book, 20/20 Brainpower When you call the toll-free number below, ask how you can also receive a free copy of the medically acclaimed book, 20/20 Brainpower: 20 Days to a Quicker, Calmer, Sharper, Mind! It’s a $20 value, yours free! But don’t wait, supplies are limited! Free Brain Detox Formula, Too! Be one of the first 500 callers, and you can also receive a free supply of the brain detox formula that is scientifically designed to help increase mental clarity and focus even further by helping flush away toxins in the brain. Call now while supplies last! Call Toll-Free! 1-800-646-1685 Also available at: *These statements have not been evaluated by the FDA. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any disease. Everyone is different and you may not experience the same results. Results can depend on a variety of factors including overall health, diet, and other lifestyle factors. 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:15 PM Page 22 George W. Bush Day Some notes on a dedication ceremony B Y J AY N O R D L I N G E R Dallas, Texas streaming onto the grounds of Southern Methodist University, at 7:30 in the morning. They’re dressed in their Sunday best, too—even though it’s Thursday. They, we, have come for the dedication ceremony of the George W. Bush Presidential Center. That will begin at 10, but we were told to be here very early, to go through the security rigmarole. At the ceremony, five U.S. presidents will appear: the incumbent and the four living former ones. People have traveled to Dallas from all over the world—but mainly they’ve traveled from somewhere in Texas, I think. Observing them, I get the impression they’ve been supporting the Bush family for a long time. Is this kind of a last hurrah? Well, Jeb—who became a Floridian, true—may run for president. And his son George P. is running for land commissioner here in Texas. George W. is suddenly back in the national media—because of this ceremony, to be sure, but also because of the terror attack in Boston a week and a half ago: It reminded people of 9/11, and of the president’s resoluteness in the face of it. This week, journalists have been writing reassessments of Bush. One of them was by Ron Fournier, the veteran Washington reporter, and it was titled “Go Ahead, Admit It: George W. Bush Is a Good Man.” To some of us, that’s like saying, “Go ahead, admit it: Two plus two equals four.” Nancy Pelosi, the Democrats’ leader in the House, provoked a few gasps last summer when she described Bush as “really a lovely man.” In a blogpost this week, the Daily Telegraph’s Will Heaven reminded us of some of the old venom. He cited the British historian Nigel Hamilton, who in a recent book claims that Bush is “ill-read to the point of near-illiteracy.” What’s the point of literacy if you have to read lies like that? T 22 HEY’RE | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m The GWB Center at SMU is a combination of library, museum, and publicpolicy institute. It holds some 40,000 artifacts. These include a container of chads (a symbol of Election 2000); the bullhorn used by Bush at Ground Zero; and the pistol taken from Saddam Hussein when he was dragged from his “spider hole.” Serving as architect for the center was Robert A. M. Stern, the dean of the Yale School of Architecture. When Stern’s design was unveiled in 2009, Philip Kennicott of the Washington Post wrote of the difficulties of designing a building for W. Architects are defined by “intellectual sophistication” and “aesthetic refinement,” he said, and Bush is “seemingly hostile” to those things. At least he said “seemingly.” Earlier this month, by the way, Kennicott won the Pulitzer Prize for Criticism. This day in Dallas, there is not only a Bush celebration but a Bush denunciation, too—a series of counter-events called “The People’s Response.” Some of the People featured in the Response are Code Pink, Phil Donahue, and Lawrence Wilkerson. This last figure was chief of staff to Colin Powell. In citing Bush’s mistakes, critics tend to say, “Iraq! Torture! Katrina!” A few of us are tempted to say, “Powell!” For celebrators and denouncers, the weather is heavenly in this city: about 70 degrees, without a trace of humidity. Here at SMU, the atmosphere is one of a happy, elegant party. There are celebrities in the crowd, including athletes: Troy Aikman, for example, and Dikembe Mutombo. The former was a quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys; the latter was a center for the Houston Rockets. Waiting for 10 o’clock, we are entertained by singing groups, and by a slide show. The Bush presidency is depicted in a glowing, heroic light, to the accompaniment of Coplandesque music. We see the president with his fellow statesmen, but also with dissidents and former political prisoners. One of them is Kang Chol-Hwan, a survivor of the North Korean gulag. “If our opinion-shapers were of a different nature,” I think, for the thousandth time, “Bush would be known as a human-rights president.” At last, the ceremony begins, starting with a parade of special guests, led by W.’s vice president, Dick Cheney. He is wearing a cowboy hat and looks thin and determined. Then come children of deceased presidents—led by the Johnson girls, both of whom look chic and splendid. Then come the first ladies, all of them from Rosalynn Carter onward, except for Nancy Reagan, who is apparently unable to make such a trip. Michelle Obama looks embarrassed to be here, a little contemptuous—nose-holding. And I don’t know about you, but I sort of forget that Hillary Clinton was first lady. She has been other things since. Out troop the husbands, the presidents: Obama, Bush 43, Clinton, Bush 41 (in a wheelchair), Carter. Bush 43, of course, gets a bigger cheer—a much bigger cheer—than Obama. I think, “Is this the only place where that would happen?” I have another thought: “Say Romney had won last November. Would the Obamas have shown up for this?” They would have had to, right? It would have been a miserable, almost impossible duty, though. Condoleezza Rice comes to the podium, to acknowledge distinguished guests in the audience. Among them are Tony Blair, John Howard, and José María Aznar—in other words, the Bush-friendliest foreign leaders. When Rice acknowledges Silvio Berlusconi, there are a few titters. For once, Bill Clinton may not be the randiest statesman in the house. In reading the long list of names, Rice performs feats of pronunciation. She throws a “th” into “Aznar.” And she tries to pronounce “Bahrain” Arabicly—which is a little awkward. In due course, we have the Pledge of Allegiance. When all rise, Mutombo turns to the people behind him and says, with a bright wonderful smile, “Can you see?” (He is 7 foot 2.) The first president to speak is Carter, wearing shades. He gives a good, crisp, vigorous speech. He credits Bush with settling the war between North Sudan and South Sudan (known formally as the Second Sudanese Civil War). I remember something Congressman Frank Wolf, the Virginia Republican, once told me: He would have nominated Bush for the Nobel Peace Prize, but Khartoum was committing genocide in Darfur, and it would have looked odd to make a Sudanrelated nomination. In further remarks, Carter praises Bush for his help to Africa in general. And he ends with an exceptionally warm encomium: “Mr. President, let me say that I’m filled with admiration for you and deep M AY 20, 2013 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:15 PM Page 23 THE BUSH CENTER April 25, 2013, at SMU gratitude for you,” because of “the great contributions you’ve made to the most needy people on earth.” I have another memory: One of the best speeches President Reagan ever gave was on October 1, 1986—Carter’s 62nd birthday. They were dedicating the Carter Library in Atlanta. Carter responded, “As I listened to you talk, I understood more clearly than I ever did in my life why you won in 1980 and I lost.” On the stage at SMU, Bush 41 is next to speak. He does so from his wheelchair. He has no notes. “It’s a great pleasure to be here,” he says, “to honor our son”— then he switches to “our oldest son,” for there are three others, two of whom aren’t really famous. He continues, “This is very special for Barbara and me.” Is Bush the last person in America to use “I” and “me” correctly? His remarks last a grand total of 25 seconds. Afterward, W. shakes his hand and says, “Good job.” His father cracks, “Too long?” which breaks up his son. As for Clinton, he’s on pretty good behavior. I could pick at him, but I should give him a rest. He notes what some people have said: He’s so close to the Bush family, he has become “the black-sheep son.” And that gives me a memory of W. himself—who in 1991, during his father’s presidency, identified himself to Queen Elizabeth as the black sheep of the family. Exactly ten years later, he was president himself. Like Carter, Clinton heaps praise on Bush for his activism in Africa. This is obviously something Democrats can concert on. And he enlists Bush in the cause of the present immigration reform in Congress, whether Bush wants to be enlisted or not. President Obama does the same thing, and he, too, repeats the praise concerning Africa. Overall, he is good and gracious. He refers to 43 as “George,” and does so with apparently genuine friendliness. “To know the man is to like the man,” says Obama, “because he’s comfortable in his own skin. . . . He takes his job seriously, but he doesn’t take himself too seriously. He is a good man.” Giving the final speech, Bush is completely himself: folksy, formal, cocky, humble, idealistic, hard-boiled—that whole, strange package. He pays tribute to Cheney, saying, “I’m proud to call you ‘friend.’” It sounds to me the slightest bit strained. I think of the dispute between the president and the vice president over the pardon, or non-pardon, of Scooter Libby, the Cheney aide. In the last couple of weeks, Bush has become a grandfather for the first time, and he talks of the “joy” of it. The child is a girl named Mila. I don’t think I’ve heard that name since Brian Mulroney was prime minister of Canada, and the country’s first lady was Mila. She was “Yugo slav,” as we used to say. Naturally, Bush talks about freedom, his perpetual subject. The idea of freedom “sustains dissidents bound by chains” and “believers huddled in under ground churches.” Freedom this, free- dom that. It occurs to me that Bush is talking more about freedom in this one speech than Obama has done in all the speeches he has given as president. But that can’t be true (quite). Bush also answers a criticism of the Left, I believe. In recent years, they’ve been painting conservatives as dog-eatdog Darwinians, radical individualists, caring for nothing but the Self. Bush says, “Independence from the state does not mean isolation from each other. A free society thrives when neighbors help neighbors, and the strong protect the weak, and public policies promote private compassion.” Winding up, he says, “I dedicate this library with an unshakable faith in the future of our country.” I think of what Martin Luther King said at the Nobel ceremony in Oslo: “I accept this award today with an abiding faith in America and an audacious faith in the future of mankind.” Bush says, “Whatever challenges come before us, I will always believe our nation’s best days lie ahead.” Does he really mean it, or is he expressing more like a wish? Either way, his face is wet with tears. And the crowd goes nuts. People thrust three fingers in the air, in a “W” sign—I don’t think I’ve seen that since the 2000 campaign. Later in the day, someone tells me, “In a way, that was the last speech of the Bush presidency.” It was a good one, by a good man, yes. I appreciate him anew, though I’ve never actually stopped. 23 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:15 PM Page 24 Donald Kagan’s Last Lecture An important career ends memorably BY ELIANA JOHNSON New Haven, Conn. KAGAn’s survey course, Introduction to Ancient Greek History, has for the past four decades been an intellectual touchstone for Yale undergraduates. His final lecture of the semester, during which he recounts Demosthenes’ heroic struggle to defend Athens against Philip of Macedon, is famous for rousing students to their feet as he exits the stage. The 80-year-old Kagan is retiring this year, and today he delivers a different kind of final lecture: his last as a member of the Yale faculty. He left the Cornell faculty for Yale in 1969; he was by then already a conservative, having been pushed right watching the fecklessness of Cornell’s administrators as black student protesters turned a university building into an armed camp. In the 44 years since his arrival in new Haven, Kagan has served the university in virtually every position imaginable— D 24 onALD | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m as head of the classics department, dean of Yale College, master of the residential college Timothy Dwight, and Sterling Professor of Classics and History. He is perhaps the only scholar of antiquity to have served as a university’s director of athletics. He also happens to be one of the most consequential historians of the 20th century; his four-volume history of the Peloponnesian War has drawn comparisons to the masterworks of Tacitus, Gibbon, and Thucydides himself. Today, students, alumni, and some of his fellow faculty members pack into an oak-paneled hall to hear his re marks. Some cram awkwardly into small wooden desks intended for younger and more flexible bodies. Kagan, the most visible conservative on the Yale campus, is predictably iconoclastic. (“There are places in this university where a motion to wish me a happy birthday would get a close vote,” he has said.) His subject is not ancient Greece but contemporary America—in particular, the meaning of a liberal education, which has in recent years become a nebulous and controversial topic. Kagan is greeted at the podium with the type of lingering applause that conveys the warmth and emotion of the audience, but his message is not particularly sentimental. The trendy, specialized, and scattershot courses that now constitute a liberal-arts education, he says, reinforce “a cultural void, an ignorance of the past,” and “a sense of rootlessness and aimlessness” among students, who float through their undergraduate years secure in the belief that “the whole world was born yesterday.” According to Kagan, the nation’s elite universities are doing little to correct the problem. A liberal education now means that students pick up “enough of the subjects thought interesting in their circle and . . . make friends who may be advantageous to them in their lives.” This poses a challenge for the Ameri can experiment, Kagan tells his audience, because a democracy must educate its citizens. He points to the champions of the liberal arts, from Cicero to Castiglione to Benjamin Franklin, who considered a liberal education an essential element of individual freedom. Kagan calls for institutions of higher learning to create a common core of studies consisting of the literature, philosophy, and history of Western civilization. The students of today and tomorrow, he says, deserve the same opportunity as those of previous generations; they too must be “freed from the tyranny that comes from being born at a particular time in a particular place.” This is what Kagan has been doing in his classroom for the past five decades. The foremost living scholar of the Peloponnesian War, he has imparted to students both his intellectual seriousness and his sense of history’s great drama. He is known to pluck kids from the audience of his lecture and arrange them on M AY 20, 2013 norway cruise-ad on page May 20 2013 issue:Layout 1 4/30/2013 5:59 PM Page 1 You simply cannot miss the conservative event of 2013! ALLEN WEST ON BOARD! NATIONAL REVIEW’S NORWEGIAN FJORDS CRUISE SAILING AUGUST 1-8, 2013 ON HOLLAND AMERICA’S LUXURIOUS EURODAM YOU’VE ALWAYS WANTED TO SAIL ON AN NR CRUISE! JOIN AMERICA’S PREMIER CONSERVATIVE MAGAZINE ON A SPECTACULAR SEVEN-DAY VOYAGE THAT IS SURE TO BE A ONCE-IN-A-LIFETIME EXPERIENCE. What a trip! Enjoy scenic-cruising of Norway’s stunning fjord-adorned coast on the MS Eurodam. Join over 30 top conservatives—Allen West, Paul Johnson, John Sununu, Cal Thomas, Jonah Goldberg, Rich Lowry, Daniel Hannan, Jay Nordlinger, James Pethokoukis, Kevin D. Williamson, Anthony Daniels, John Fund, Rob Long, John O’Sullivan, Ramesh Ponnuru, Robert Costa, Jim Geraghty, David Pryce-Jones, John J. Miller, Charles C. W. Cooke, John Hillen, Andrew Stiles, Cleta Mitchell, James Lileks, Daniel Mahoney, Edward Whelan, Victor Sperandeo, and Eliana Johnson—for seven wondrous days and cool nights of scenic-cruising the breath-taking Norwegian coast, scintillating discussions of politics and policy, and visiting the historic and charming ports of Amsterdam, Bergen, Flam, Eidfjord, & Stavanger! ake part in one of the most exciting trips you will ever experience: the National Review 2013 Norwegian Fjords Cruise. Featuring an incredible cast of conservative celebrity speakers—and affordable accommodations—this special trip will take place August 1-8 (the ideal time to visit Norway and enjoy its unique beauty). The phenomenal journey will sail round-trip from Amsterdam aboard Holland America Line’s ms Eurodam, which will “scenic-cruise” the coastal fjord paradise and visit the stunning ports of Bergen, Flam, Eidfjord, and stavanger. T This won’t only be a great sight-seeing cruise. Oh no! This is a unique event—a true once-in-a-lifetime opportunity—to meet and spend real “quality time” with top conservatives who will be aboard to participate in numerous panel sessions on current events, politics, and policy. Among them: former Congressman Allen West, historian Paul Johnson, former White House Chief of staff John Sununu, conservative mEP Daniel Hannan, syndicated columnist Cal Thomas, financial expert Victor Speran- deo, social critic Anthony Daniels, NR columnists Rob Long and James Lileks, economics writer James Pethokoukis, legal experts Edward Whelan and Cleta Mitchell, senior editors Jay Nordlinger, David PryceJones, and Ramesh Ponnuru, military expert John Hillen, scholar Daniel Mahoney, and NR All-stars Rich Lowry, Jonah Goldberg, Robert Costa, John Fund, Kevin Williamson, Andrew Stiles, Charles Cooke, Jim Geraghty, John Miller, and Eliana Johnson. If you’ve always wanted to go on an NR cruise, make this the one. Over 400 National Review readers and fellow conservatives will be aboard, so act now to reserve your beautiful and affordable stateroom. Because of the fjords’ raw beauty, and the narrow cruising “season,” this cruise is very popular (for mother Nature at her finest, you can’t beat the stunning waterways hugging the Norwegian coast). This is an unrivaled family summervacation destination, so don’t beat them—instead, join them (along with your family!) on the National Review 2013 Norwegian Fjords Cruise. WHAT’S IN STORE? A LOT! The exclusive highlights of NR’s outstanding voyage include a seven scintillating two-hour seminars featuring National Review’s editors and guest speakers, a two fun-filled “Night Owl” sessions, a three revelrous cocktail receptions, a a late-night "smoker" featuring world-class H. Upmann cigars, and a intimate dining on at least two evenings with guest speakers and NR editors. ALL-INCLUSIVE AFFJORDABLE CRUISE PRICES START AS LOW AS ONLY $2,199 P/P (DOUBLE OCCUPANCY) OR $2,699 FOR A WELL-APPOINTED SINGLE STATEROOM. DON’T DELAY: JUST A FEW VERANDAH CABINS & LUXURY SUITES REMAIN. GREAT PRE-CRUISE PACKAGES AVAILABLE! A B R E AT H - TA K I N G I T I N E R A RY, A D E S I R O U S D E S T I N AT I O N In addition to thrilling Amsterdam, the Eurodam will be visiting these glorious Norwegian coastal ports: BERGEN stroll centuries-old cobbled streets and alleyways of this fairy-tale town, with small wooden houses and flowers everywhere. At the Fish market mingle with crowds. Visit the Bergen Aquarium, the wooden buildings at Bryggen, the old fortress at Bergenhus, or its many museums and galleries. FLAM With steep mountainsides, roaring waterfalls, and deep valleys, this beautiful town is nestled deep in a tributary of the world’s longest and deepest fjord. Cycle and hike along the many trails in the Flam Valley. Visit Otternes Bygdetun (its 27 different buildings date to the 1600’s). EIDFJORD This delightful village is a place of peace and quiet surrounded by beautiful scenery. Take a lazy-day stroll along the waterfront, gaze at the majestic fjord, visit the old stone church and the Viking grave yards. STAVANGER Norway’s 4th largest city is vibrant and picturesque. Home to almost two dozen museums, with a center arrayed around a pretty harbour and quiet streets. Don’t miss the well-preserved old town (Gamle stavanger), the unique Canning museum or the 12thcentury stavanger Cathedral. YOU KNOW YOU WANT TO GO! GET COMPLETE INFORMATION AT NRCRUISE.COM OR CALL 800-707-1634 (M-F, 9AM-5PM/EST) 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 10:15 PM Page 26 stage in the rectangular formation of the ancient Greek hoplite phalanx. Kagan was born in lithuania in 1932, but his mother brought the family to a working-class Jewish neighborhood in Brownsville, Brooklyn, when he was two years old. It was surrounded by rough Italian and black communities. “In our neighborhood, you’d see butcher shops that would have Hebrew writing on the windows, and when you went up the hill, everything was in Italian,” Kagan tells me over lunch. “Sometimes, if you crossed over, you really felt like you were in a foreign country.” Though he came of age in a community of european refugee Jews as Hitler reigned in Germany, he says it was great teachers who shaped his interest in history. There was Mr. Silverman, a highschool teacher of modern european history who shared Kagan’s flair for drama and asked his students big questions. “He had a wonderful trick of speech that really captured me,” Kagan recounts. “He used to say, ‘So, at that point, Bismarck could have done A or he could have done B. He did neither.’” “He was the first one I ever saw who resembled in any way what I later came to think of as a historian, in the sense that he used to pose questions and then undertake to answer them, and to make us understand what the issues were,” Kagan continues. “I still think that’s what it is to be a historian: You pose a question that emerges from what you know, and if you’re smart enough, you pose the right question, and then you are very careful to consider the alternatives.” This is an old-fashioned approach to history, and it led Kagan to rebut, in his four-volume study, the popular idea that human beings merely behave in accordance with the larger societal forces that work upon them, and that events such as the Peloponnesian War are in this sense inevitable. Thucydides embraced a similarly fatalistic view of history; he be lieved Athens had simply become too powerful for Sparta to abide, regardless of the policies adopted by either side. Kagan puts the decision-making of individual leaders at the center of the action. “Human beings appear not to be just like artifacts or elements of science,” he argues, but rather to have will, choice, and the capacity to act. “There is no escape, if you want to understand human 26 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m behavior, from looking into the hearts and minds of human beings engaged in things.” Kagan’s version of ancient events has come to be widely accepted, and this triumph has helped to loosen the grip of social-science reductionism on the historical profession. He has done something similar on the Yale campus, acting as a consistent counterweight to the forces of political correctness. After arriving at Yale in 1969, “I almost immediately began making trouble,” Kagan recounts, a note of defiance in his voice. When the Nixon administration compelled the university to formulate an affirmative-action plan for faculty hiring, Yale president Kingman Brewster issued orders to the chairmen of the university’s academic departments to sort applications by gender and race. “I found that objectionable, and I wrote a letter to the president in which I said to him, ‘You’re a liar and I’m not, but I believe this order is illegal, immoral, and unconstitutional, and I will not carry it out.’” A meeting with Brewster followed. Kagan recalls, “I gave him a little lecture in which I said, ‘You have to know this is bad, and you are the man best situated to fight this.’ I basically said to him, ‘If you had the guts, you could do a great thing here.’” Brewster, who sensed Kagan was not truly looking for a public fight, exempted him from the distasteful business of sorting and asked him to pass faculty applications along to the dean’s office, where it would be done on his behalf. Kagan agreed. In retrospect, he says, “I was wrong. I should have made it a public fight. It just didn’t occur to me that I could just set myself up and make it a public war.” The lesson was not lost on him, and he would go on to cause Brewster and others considerable grief. In the spring of 1974, Yale’s chapter of Young Americans for Freedom invited the Nobel Prize– winning physicist William Shockley to debate his noxious views on race and intelligence with NATIoNAl RevIeW publisher William Rusher. Brewster had urged the organization not to invite Shockley to campus, a move to which Kagan strenuously objected. “The life’s breath of a proper university is to resist censorship,” he insists. When the debate was about to begin, with the auditorium full, student protesters shouted down both speakers and booed them off the stage. In Kagan’s view, Brewster had been a party to the intimidation, and he denounced the president in a speech before the Yale Political Union. His agitation led the Yale College faculty to demand that Brewster appoint a faculty commission to study the state of free expression on campus and to make recommendations for its preservation. Brewster appointed the eminent historian C. vann Woodward to lead the endeavor, and Woodward’s report—which concludes, “even when some members of the university fail to meet their social and ethical responsibilities, the he paramount obligation of the university is to protect their right to free expression”—remains the university’s policy to this day. The Yale Daily News has noted that the Woodward report brought about among students and faculty “a renewed concern for and commitment to free expression.” “Scratch Don and you’ll find a combination of Winston Churchill and John Wayne,” Kagan’s colleague and fellow historian Paul Kennedy has said. “You hear about faculty who are intimidated about going against the grain and all that stuff,” Kagan says. “What the hell are they intimidated by, what the hell are they afraid of? You don’t ever have anybody getting up and saying anything that is going to make anybody else sore. It never cost me a thing. I think there’s something about professors, something in their lives,” he muses. “I guess they didn’t grow up in Brownsville.” Kagan has for years concluded the final lecture of his introductory course with a tribute to those who have defended liberty in the face of seemingly insurmountable odds. “Men like Churchill and Demosthenes know that those who love liberty must fight for it, even against odds, even when there is little support, even when victory seems impossible,” Kagan has told students through the years. “In spite of the outcome, it seems to me that the stand of Athens and its Greek allies at Chaeronea may have been, in words that Churchill used in another context, ‘their finest hour.’” These words are a fitting tribute to Kagan himself as he concludes a career for which he, too, will be remembered as someone who fought for liberty, with little support, when—and where—victory seemed impossible. M AY 20, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 27 The Rubio Amnesty It’s not what the senator promised, but he’s defending it anyway hen Mitt Romney lost last november, the Republican establishment decided that his moderately hawkish stance on immigration had been a major cause of his defeat. never mind that his share of the hispanic vote was within the margin of error of McCain’s 2008 share. never mind the significant drop in white turnout. There is little elite constituency for a hawkish approach to immigration, and much elite support for lax enforcement and increased legal immigration (Romney actually supported the latter). So the Republican establishment turns its hopeful eyes, once again, to so-called comprehensive immigration reform. The same senators who pushed such a bill in 2007, prominently including Republicans John McCain and Lindsey Graham and Democrat Chuck Schumer, are at it again. They have devised a plan that would ease the path to legality for illegal immigrants while making some gestures toward enforcement. But a new element this time around is Marco Rubio. A tea-party favorite (and a favorite of this magazine) who wrested the senatorial nomination from GOP-establishment pick (now Democrat) Charlie Crist, he’s young, telegenic, and the son of Cuban immigrants. Rubio became part of the “Gang of eight,” four Democrats and four Republicans negotiating a W Mr. Krikorian is the director of the Center for Immigration Studies. deal that sought to placate a dizzying array of interests, all seeking de facto unlimited immigration but each with a different set of specific concerns. The result of all this is S.744, a sprawling, 844-page measure legalizes most of the illegal population (plus many who were deported and are currently living abroad), promises tougher enforcement in the future, and hugely increases all forms of legal immigration, low- and high-skilled, temporary and permanent. In advance of the release of the bill’s text, Rubio fearlessly and tirelessly made the case for it to conservatives. he was greeted by Rush Limbaugh, Mark Levin, and others as a friend and was afforded a respectful hearing as he made repeated assurances about the coming bill. It would guarantee tough enforcement, so we wouldn’t be having this same debate a decade from now about yet another wave of illegal settlers. The legalized population wouldn’t get green cards until certain strict “triggers” were met. There would be no special path to citizenship for them. They would have to pay their back taxes and a fine. They would not receive taxpayer-funded benefits. They’d be required to learn english. Then we got to see the actual text of the legislation. Rubio’s promised provisions are absent. Regarding back taxes, for instance, the bill requires only that applicants “satisfy any applicable federal tax liability” that has previously been “assessed” by the IRS. But a tax is “assessed” only after a tax 27 AP PHOTO/JACQUELYN MARTIN BY MARK KRIKORIAN 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 28 return has been submitted or after the IRS has conducted an audit. Since neither of those things happens with illegal immigrants working off the books, there aren’t any back taxes to be paid. The fine for legalization is small—just $500 up front and $500 paid in installments, in return for lifetime legal access to the U.S. labor market. And while $500 can be a lot for an illegal immigrant, in a certain sense it isn’t a fine, since the money would go into a slush fund for DHS to dole out to groups such as La Raza, which are in turn to provide services for the very amnesty beneficiaries who paid the fines. (Conservative writer John Fonte has called this the Alinsky Fund.) Even such a modest penalty is absent for crooked employers. They get amnesty for free— amnesty from prosecution for knowing employment of illegal aliens, non-payment of wages, non-payment of payroll taxes, and facilitation of identity theft. As for learning English, the language requirement applies only to already-amnestied immigrants seeking the upgrade to full green card, and even then, requires only enrollment in a class, not demonstration of actual proficiency (which is what is required for citizenship). Moreover, the bill provides for a huge increase in legal immigration—and not just increased numbers but increased complexity, in a system already excessively complex. It has special provisions for guest workers, farm laborers, and foreign technology workers, doctors, and nurses, as well as retirees, entrepreneurs, and foreign students graduating with technical degrees. The Schumer-Rubio bill simply seeks to placate every interest group at the table by handing out more visas. Numbers USA has estimated the number of green cards that would be issued during the first decade of the bill’s operation at 33 million. About one-third of those would be illegal aliens receiving amnesty, so new immigration would go from about 1 million per year to 2 million. But it’s in the enforcement provisions that the gap between Rubio’s promises and the actual bill is most consequential. A DVoCATES of amnesty tout the best polls money can buy, claiming public backing for their goal. Yet setting aside the tendentious nature of most of the polling, even by ostensibly objective media organizations, there is considerable support for some kind of amnesty, if often half-hearted and mainly as a way to clear the decks and start fresh. But it’s predicated on ensuring that this will be the last such amnesty—that immigration security will be improved, so that another 11 million won’t sneak across the border or overstay visas. This was the promise of the 1986 amnesty law, the Immigration Reform and Control Act. In a grand bargain of amnesty for enforcement, the amnesty came first, with 2.7 million people legalized within a few years. But the enforcement petered out as the political incentive to support it disappeared with the completion of the amnesty. It had gotten so bad by 2004 that only three employers in the entire country were fined that year for knowingly hiring illegal aliens. Despite Rubio’s promise to have an enforcement system “that ensures we’re never here again with the situation that we face today,” the Schumer-Rubio bill sets up a replay of the 1986 scenario. Rubio stresses that none of the currently illegal 28 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m immigrants will be able to get a green card until the enforcement benchmarks are met. But he seldom notes that virtually all illegal aliens would get a kind of green card lite within months of the bill’s signing. This “Registered Provisional Immigrant” status would provide work authorization, a legitimate Social Security account, a driver’s license, and travel papers—in other words, the amnesty is effectively granted up front. The only “trigger” for the government to begin the green-card-lite program is the submission to Congress by the Department of Homeland Security of a border-security plan and a fencing plan—of which DHS already has a full shelf. But once all the illegal aliens are amnestied, working legally, and able to travel back home to display their new status, we’re told, the real work of enforcement will begin. The bill contains three enforcement objectives that must be met over the decade following its passage before the now-legal amnesty beneficiaries may upgrade from green card lite to a regular green card, which would allow them eventually to apply for citizenship: mandatory use of E-Verify, implementation of an exit-tracking system to identify visa overstayers, and securing the Mexican border. All are important goals—so important that it’s not clear why their completion has been held hostage to amnesty. E-Verify is the free online system that allows an employer to check the legal status and identity of a new hire by verifying his name, Social Security number, and date of birth. It is currently voluntary but widely used, and making it a required part of the hiring process is an important part of turning off the magnet of jobs that attracts illegals. The Schumer-Rubio bill would indeed make the system mandatory (though, due to sloppy drafting, it seems to abolish E-Verify and require the development of an entirely new system). But it would be five years before all employers had to use it, and it could not be used to check on the existing work force, only new hires. This last part is a large loophole; one would think that deporting workers who didn’t qualify for amnesty would be an important aspect of enforcement. But the goal of this and other measures in the bill appears to be to shield non-qualifying illegal aliens so they can stay illegally and wait for the next amnesty. As for the exit-tracking system, it is important that we establish one, because perhaps 40 percent of the illegal population are visa overstayers, and if we don’t track who departs, we can’t know who has illegally remained. But the system provided for in the legislation would have to be in place only in airports and seaports, even though most foreign visitors cross land borders. What’s more, Congress already mandated an entry- and exit-tracking system at all border points—in 1996. It has reiterated that mandate five times since then. It takes chutzpah to offer as enforcement a seventh such mandate and a simultaneous provision of ten more years for its fulfillment. Finally, securing the Mexican border. The benchmark given in the bill is called “effective control” and means surveillance of 100 percent of the border and apprehension of 90 percent of attempted infiltrators. This is absurdity many times over. You have to know the total number of attempted crossings to know that you got 90 percent of them, and as even DHS Secretary Janet Napolitano has pointed out, there is no way for the Border Patrol to know how many people it misses. This standard also applies only to “high risk” sectors, which turns out to mean just three of the nine sectors along the Mexican border. M AY 20, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 29 If “effective control” of the selected portions of the border is not achieved within five years, rubio has said, “it goes to a border commission made up of people that live and have to deal with the border and they will take care of that problem.” More nonsense. The bill’s “Southern border Security Commission” would be made up of six Washington-appointed members (two by the president and four by congressional leaders), plus one from each southern border state (appointed by the governor), and it could do nothing but issue recommendations. Moreover, the bill states that if, after ten years, “litigation or a force majeure” has prevented any of the conditions serving as enforcement triggers (e-verify, exit controls, and border security) from being met, the legalized immigrants will be upgraded to green cards anyway. A rubio spokesman called concern over this “hysterical,” but the ACLU has already made clear that it opposes the e-verify mandate, and litigation over the 1986 amnesty ended just a few years ago. In the words of Frank Sharry, a liberal supporter of the bill, “The triggers are based on developing plans and spending money, not on reaching that effectiveness, which is really quite clever.” And once the amnesty is safely out of the way, does anyone think Speaker Pelosi and President Clinton II (or President bush III) won’t seek the watering down even of these triggers in order to get people their green cards faster? W ITH its obamacare-style expanse and complexity, the bill contains much more than what is sketched above. democrats packed it with as many loopholes and immigration-lawyer schemes as they thought they could get away with. rubio’s staff, like most GoP Senate staff, are relative amateurs on immigration, while Schumer’s people are pros. This is how Ted Kennedy dominated immigration policy for so long. (The House GoP committee staff on immigration, on the other hand, are professionals with long experience.) opposition to the bill should be the obvious position for conservatives who care about immigration enforcement and don’t want to open the spigots even wider to low-skilled immigration. Whatever the discrepancies between rubio’s assurances and the reality of the bill, though, he has now lashed himself to it. His convoluted justifications for various provisions suggest that he’s decided to do what he must to sell it. He’s made the laughable argument that the bill doesn’t give anything new to illegal immigrants because they can already return home and apply to come here legally. (This sounds a lot like what Mitt romney called “self-deportation.”) He’s claimed that amnesty must precede enforcement because the enforcement measures would throw millions of illegals out of work, creating a humanitarian crisis. In fact, the three security triggers, if enacted on their own, would have only a gradual impact on the existing illegal population. In the months leading up to the introduction of S.744, conservatives looked hopefully to rubio as their representative on the Gang of eight, someone who would make sure its plan didn’t turn out to be a call for de facto open borders. early on, rubio may well have seen that as his role. but he is now much less the conservative ambassador to the Gang of eight than the Gang’s ambassador to conservatives. iPencil Nobody knows how to make a pencil, or a health-care system BY KEVIN D. WILLIAMSON verybody knows the first words spoken on a telephone call—Alexander Graham bell’s simple demand “Mr. Watson, come here. I want to see you.” April marked the 40th anniversary of the first cellphone call, which was quite different in tone. Two research teams had been competing to bring the first real consumer cell phone to market, and the first mobile call was placed by Motorola engineer Marty Cooper to his chief rival, Joel engel of bell Labs. “Joel, this is Marty,” he said. “I’m calling you from a cell phone.” In other words: “you lose, suckers.” It took nearly a century to get from Alexander Graham bell’s conversation to Marty Cooper’s, even though the basic technologies of mobile phones—telephony and radio—date from the 19th century. Conversely, it took only 66 years for mankind to go from the Wright brothers’ flight at Kitty Hawk to Neil Armstrong’s stroll on the moon. Technology does not move in predictable ways. but it does move. We treat technological progress as though it were a natural process, and we speak of Moore’s law—computers’ processing power doubles every two years—as though it were one of the laws of thermodynamics. but it is not an inevitable, natural process. It is the outcome of a particular social order. When I am speaking to students, I like to show them a still from the oliver Stone movie Wall Street in which the masterful financier Gordon Gekko is talking on his cell phone, a Motorola dynaTac 8000X. The students always—always— laugh: The ridiculous thing is more than a foot long and weighs a couple of pounds. but the revelatory fact that takes a while to sink in is this: you had to be a millionaire to have one. The phone cost the equivalent of nearly $10,000, it cost about $1,000 a month to operate, and you couldn’t text or play Angry birds on it. When the first dynaTac showed up in a movie—it was Sixteen Candles, a few years before Wall Street—it was located in the front seat of a rolls-royce, which is where such things were found 25 or 30 years ago. by comparison, an iPhone 5 is a wonder, a commonplace miracle. My question for the students is: How is it that the cell phones in your pockets get better and cheaper every year, but your schools get more expensive and less effective? (or, if you live in one of the better school districts, get much more expensive and stagnate?) How is it that Gordon Gekko’s ultimate status symbol looks to our eyes as ridiculous as Molly ringwald’s reagan-era wardrobe and asymmetrical hairdos? That didn’t just happen. E Mr. Williamson is NATIONAL REVIEW’s roving correspondent. This article is adapted from his new book, The End Is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome. 29 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:25 PM Page 30 In his classic short story “I, Pencil,” economist Leonard Read considers the incomprehensible complexity involved in the production of a simple No. 2 pencil: the expertise in design, forestry, mining, metallurgy, engineering, transportation, support services, logistics, architecture, chemistry, machining, and other fields of knowledge necessary to create a product so common, so humble, and so cheap as to have become both ubiquitous and disposable. Read’s conclusion, which is one of those fascinating truths so obvious that nobody appreciates them, is that nobody knows how to make a pencil. Nobody is in charge of the operation, and nobody understands it end to end. From the assembly-line worker to the president of the pencil company, thousands or millions of people have tiny, discrete pieces of knowledge about the process, but no coordinating authority organizes their efforts. That is the paradox of social knowledge: Of course we know how to make a pencil, even though none of us knows how to make a pencil, and pencils get made with very little drama and no central authority, corporate or political, overseeing their creation. A mobile phone is a much more complicated thing than a No. 2 pencil, but both are the products of spontaneous order—of systems that are, in the words of the Scottish Enlightenment philosopher Adam Ferguson, the “products of human action, but not of human design.” C though it is, the iPhone is also a remarkably egalitarian device: The president of the United States uses one, as does the young Bengali immigrant who sold me my coffee this morning. But you can bet that her children do not attend schools as good as those that instruct the Obama daughters. The reason for that is politics: not liberal politics, not conservative politics, not bad politics, but politics per se. The problem of politics is the problem of knowledge. The superiority of market processes to political processes is not in origin moral but technical. The useful knowledge in any modern society is distributed rather than centralized—and, as Read intuited and as modern scholars of complexity studies confirm, there is no way to centralize it. Ludwig von Mises applied that insight specifically to the defects of planned economies—the famous “socialist calculation problem”—but it applies in varying degrees to all organizations and all bureaucracies, whether political, educational, religious, or corporate. Markets work for the same reason that the Internet works: They are not organizations, but disorganizations. More precisely, they are composed of countless (literally countless, blinking into and out of existence like subatomic particles) pockets of organization, their internal structures and relationships to one another in a constant state of flux. Market propositions are experimental propositions. Some, such as the 30 OMPLEx | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m iPhone and the No. 2 pencil, are wildly successful; others, such as New Coke or Clairol’s Touch of Yogurt Shampoo, are not. Products come and go, executives come and go, firms come and go. The metaphor of biological evolution is an apt one, though we sometimes draw the wrong conclusion from that— Social Darwinism and all that nonsense. Conservatives like to say “Markets work,” as though that were an explanation of anything. What we really are saying is: “Failure works.” Corporations are mortal. Failure is not only an important part of the market process, it is the most important part of the market process. U.S. Steel was at the height of its power a behemoth, the largest American business, the first corporation in the world to have a market value in excess of $1 billion. It was formed out of the union of J. P. Morgan’s business interests and Andrew Carnegie’s steel empire. When Carnegie took payment for the interests he sold to Morgan—the equivalent of $6 billion in contemporary dollars—he received it in the form of 50-year gold bonds, documents that took up so much room that the bank in which they were deposited had to build a special vault to house them. U.S. Steel seemed to be a permanent thing, but it is today a shadow of itself, reduced to a mere division of another firm, surviving mainly in name, and that name reduced to grandiosity: U.S. Steel Corporation indeed, as though it were the U.S. Mint or the U.S. Army. It produces barely more steel today than it did in Morgan’s time, and it is well below Staples and Rite Aid on the Fortune 500. The decline of U.S. Steel was bad for the company’s shareholders and its employees, but it was good for people who use steel—meaning everybody else in the world. U.S. Steel was itself the product of an improved business model that had displaced older, less efficient competitors. Without the pressure and opportunity created by the possibility of failure, the U.S. steel industry—and the entire U.S. economy—would be (at best) stuck in the early 19th century. It seems paradoxical, but failure is what makes us rich. (And we are, even in these troubled times, fabulously rich.) We’d all be a lot worse off if corporations such as U.S. Steel lived forever (which is one more reason not to engage in bailouts). Politics creates the immortal corporation. Amtrak and the U.S. Postal Service are two institutions that would have failed long ago if not for government support—subsidies for Amtrak, the government-chartered monopoly on letter delivery for the postal service. The cost of their corporate immortality is not only the waste associated with maintaining them, but also the fact that their existence prevents the emergence of superior alternatives. No sane person would invest 12.5 percent of his income in Social Security in 2013, but we are compelled to do so, and so the bankrupt enterprise continues as though it were not tens of trillions of dollars underwater. A political establishment is a near-deathless M AY 20, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 31 thing: even after the bitter campaign of 2012, voters returned essentially the same cast of characters to Washington, virtually ensuring the continuation of the policies with which some 90 percent of voters pronounced themselves dissatisfied. No death, no evolution. Outside of politics, human action is characterized by evolution and by learning. And what are we learning? How to take care of one another, which is the point of what we sometimes call capitalism. (Don’t tell Ayn Rand.) How the Fed Can Unwind And its critics can relax I T is remarkable that we speak and think about commerce as though competitiveness were its most important feature. There is, as noted, a certain Darwinian aspect to economic competition—and of course we humans do compete over scarce resources. But what is remarkable about human action is not its competitiveness but its almost limitless cooperativeness. Competition is one of the ways in which we learn how best to cooperate with one another and thereby deal with the problem of complexity—it is a means to the end of social cooperation. Cooperation exists elsewhere in the animal kingdom, but human beings cooperate on a species-wide, planetary level, which is a relatively new development in our evolution, the consequences of which we have not yet fully appreciated. If you consider the relationship of the organism to its constituent organs, the relationship of the organ to its cells, or the relationship of the single cell to its organelles, it would not be an overstatement to say that the division of labor is the essence of life itself: Birds do it, bees do it, but human beings do it better. The size and complexity of our brains evolved in parallel with the size and complexity of our social groups, which are just as much a product of evolutionary processes as our bodies are. Thus, we do not have the U.s. steel Corporation, a tightly integrated and hierarchical operation overseen by a CeO with an omniscient command of his operation. We have lots of U.s. steel corporations, and a worldwide steel industry, and many worldwide industries making products that are substitutes for steel, from aluminum to carbon fiber to nanotubes. But we do have the U.s. Postal service, the social security Administration, and the government-school monopoly in your home town. These agencies underperform consistently when compared with such benchmarks of innovation as the software industry or the biotech industry. They fail because they attempt to substitute a single brain, or a relatively small panel of brains organized into a bureaucracy, for the collective cognitive firepower of millions or billions of people. Put simply, they attempt to manage systems that are too complex for them to understand. Complexity is humbling, but politics is immune to humility. Which is something to keep in mind the next time somebody promises to “solve” our health-care challenges or unemployment. Washington is packed to the gills with people who believe that they have the ability to design an intelligent national health-care system, but there is not one who does— no Democrat, no Republican, no independent. The information burden is just too vast. Washington is not only full of people who do not know what they are talking about, it is full of people who do not know that they do not know what they are talking about. That is no model for social change. Your pencil and your phone are. RAMESH PONNURU & DAVID BECKWORTH s the Federal Reserve has continued to buy bonds to aid the economic recovery, critics of its actions, and even some supporters, have grown increasingly concerned about what comes after all of this “quantitative easing”: How will the Fed “unwind” its balance sheet—that is, sell off the bonds it has purchased—without harming the economy? The short answer: Don’t worry about it. The Fed can reverse its actions without wreaking economic damage, especially if it does it at the same time as it announces that it intends to keep nominal income growing at a stable rate. Nobody disputes that the Fed will at some point need to reduce its asset holdings. They have grown so large in the first place because the financial crisis accompanied (and, in our view, to a very large extent resulted from) a sharp increase in the public’s demand for money balances: for the safety, that is, of cash and its near-equivalents. The Federal Reserve increased the supply of money in response to this increase in demand. It did so by purchasing Treasury and agency securities from the public, thus adding to the money held in bank accounts. The increase in supply, however, was insufficient to keep up with the increase in demand, especially in 2008 and 2009, which is why the crisis was so severe. The demand for money balances and safe assets is still very elevated, albeit down from its crisis peak. If the economy enters a robust recovery, that demand should fall, as it usually does when there are attractive alternatives to just holding on to money. At some point, for example, banks will want to start investing more aggressively the $1.7 trillion in excess reserves—dollars they hold beyond what they are legally required to hold—that they have accumulated since the crisis began. A strong recovery would raise the demand for credit and provide just such an investment opportunity for banks in the form of higher-yielding loans. This increased lending would increase the money supply and, left unchecked, would cause a rapid rise in inflation. Recall the old explanation of what causes inflation: too much money chasing too few goods. A F eD officials say they plan to use two different methods to prevent such a destabilizing surge in the money supply. First, the Fed will stop reinvesting principal payments it Mr. Ponnuru is a senior editor of NATIONAL REVIEW. Mr. Beckworth, a former international economist at the Treasury Department, is an assistant professor of economics at Western Kentucky University and the editor of Boom and Bust Banking:•The Causes and Cures of the Great Recession. 31 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 32 32 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m A we’ve argued in these pages before, the key to distinguishing between loose and tight monetary policy is what’s happening to nominal income: that is, to the size of the economy measured in dollar terms, with no adjustment for inflation. If the growth of nominal income is accelerating, then monetary policy is loosening; and if growth decelerates, it’s tightening. The right policy aims for steady growth, which happens when the supply of money rises and falls with demand. By this measure, Fed policy was loose in the years before the crash, leading to interest rates below the natural level and rising household debt. But Fed policy has since then been very tight— first disastrously tight in 2008–09, then only damagingly tight. One reason to keep nominal-income growth steady is that most debts, such as mortgages, are contracted in nominal terms. An unexpected slowdown in its growth, as we have experienced over the last five years, makes the burden of repaying those debts heavier. The fact that households are nonetheless continuing to deleverage, rather than to add to their net borrowings, suggests that this is not a bubble economy. The claim that the Fed cannot be trusted to unwind its balance sheet—that it will let inflation go out of control—ignores its actual record over the last five years. Inflation has consistently come in below the Fed’s target and unemployment above it: The S M AY 20, 2013 ROMAN GENN receives from its maturing Treasury and agency securities. The dollars the Fed takes in, that is, will no longer circulate. Since the Fed won’t be buying more securities at this point, its balance sheet will shrink. The Fed learned the hard way how effective this approach can be: By not reinvesting the proceeds when its agency securities matured between mid 2010 and late 2011, it passively drained about $662 billion from the economy. It decided to reinvest the payments so as not to tighten monetary policy inadvertently. In the future, it will deliberately tighten money by again ceasing to reinvest. The second method the Fed will deploy to shrink its balance sheet is to sell off its agency securities. According to the minutes from the June 2011 Fed meeting, the Fed would most likely do this over three to five years. Along with taking these two measures, the Fed would have to adjust its “forward guidance” on interest rates—that is, raise its projections of where it expects interest rates to go—and gradually raise its target federal-funds rate. A recent Fed study found that, under reasonable scenarios, this unwinding process would take about five years and would cause no disruptions to economic activity. One source of worry about this process is the fear that it will be expensive for the Treasury. As interest rates go up, some of the Fed’s securities will decline in value and will have to be sold at a loss. Also, the Fed has been paying banks interest on excess reserves, and higher interest rates will increase the size of these payments. The Fed has been sending money to the Treasury, but these developments would reduce that flow. In a worst-case scenario, the Fed could experience an operating loss and require a taxpayer bailout. The worriers are overlooking some important facts. First: While the Fed will send fewer funds to the Treasury during the winding down of its balance sheet, it will have sent, over the period including both the expansion and the unwinding, higher payments to the Treasury than normal. Prior to the crisis, the Fed was earning about $25 billion a year on average. Since then, it has earned as much as $90 billion, and it is expected to earn $40 bil- lion on average over the 2009–25 period. We should not distort monetary policy to keep payments close to an abnormal peak. Second, an operating loss need not mean a bailout. Imagine, for example, that the Fed were to take a large capital loss on its holdings and could not sell enough securities to rein in a rapidly expanding money supply. It could still tighten money by raising the interest rate paid on excess reserves, and fund the higher payments by tapping into its future earnings. It could do this by creating more dollars to pay the banks and then offsetting this transaction in the future by sending less of its earnings to the Treasury. Third, these concerns miss the forest for the trees. These potential balance-sheet problems will emerge only if there is a robust economic recovery. We would be fortunate to have these problems! Moreover, a robust recovery would mean much more tax revenue for the Treasury. Even the best year of Fed earnings pales in comparison with the annual trillion-dollar deficits the weak economy has brought. Surely, no one would argue that we should keep the economy weak so that the Fed can generate extra revenue for the federal government. The impact on the Treasury isn’t the only widespread concern about the Fed’s future undoing of quantitative easing. One popular line of argument holds that the economy has been “artificially” boosted by the Fed, which has been inflating a bubble as it inflated one in the pre-crisis years. Based on this premise, some people argue that the Fed now faces a no-win choice between popping the bubble and inflating it further. So either the Fed will not unwind its balance sheet, and we will get galloping inflation, or it will and the economy will crash. These concerns, too, are overblown. The claim that the Fed has been inflating a bubble, for example, is based on the idea that its monetary policy has kept interest rates below their natural levels. That’s not true. Low interest rates are almost entirely the result of a weak economy, not the Fed’s inadequate attempts to loosen money. The End Is Near + coupon:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/30/2013 5:58 PM Page 1 TheendIsnear AND IT’S GOING TO BE AWESOME! Get Kevin Williamson’s acclaimed new book that describes how going broke will leave America richer, happier, and more secure! t last, a conservative treatise that isn’t too bilious to taste—and that is often entertaining even as it is provocative. . . . Williamson is eminently reasonable throughout, even when he’s burning down city hall. . . . It’s a pleasure to find so even and logical a voice in these pages, which deserve broad airing.’ —Kirkus Reviews ‘A You’ll want to get The End Is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome: How Going Broke Will Leave America Richer, Happier, and More Secure, Kevin Williamson’s new book making the bold argument that the United States government is disintegrating—and that it is a good thing! In what is sure to be one of the most important books of 2013 (which you can order, signed by the author, directly from National Review!), Williamson, NR’s acclaimed Roving Correspondent and ‘Exchequer’ blog author, offers a radical reenvisioning of government, a powerful analysis of why it doesn’t work, and an exploration of the innovative solutions to various social problems that are spontaneously emerging as a result of the failure of politics and government. Critical and compelling, The End Is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome lays out a thoughtful plan for a new system, one based on success stories from around the country, from those who home-school their children to others who have successfully created their own currency. The End Is Near is a radical re-visioning of what government is, a powerful analysis of why it doesn’t work, and an exploration of the innovative solutions spontaneously emerging thanks to the fortunate failure of politics. Every year, consumer goods and services get better, cheaper, and more widely available while critical necessities delivered by government grow more expensive, even as their quality declines. The reason for this paradox is simple: politics. Not bad politics, not liberal politics, not conservative politics, not politics corrupted by big money or distorted by special-interest groups, but the simple practice of delivering goods and services through federal, state, and local governments and their obsolete decision-making practices. In The End Is Near, Williamson, considered by many the conservative movement’s most talented writer, describes the crisis of the modern welfare state in the era of globalization and argues that the crucial political failures of our time—education, health care, social security, and monetary policy—are due not to ideology but the nature of politics itself. Meanwhile, those who can’t or won’t turn to the state for goods and services—from homeschoolers to Wall Street to organized crime—are experimenting with replacing the outmoded social software of the state with market-derived alternatives. The End Is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome compellingly analyzes the government’s numerous failures and reports on the solutions that people all over the country are discovering. Between its covers, you will meet homeschoolers who have abandoned public schools; see inside private courtrooms that administer the law beyond government; encounter entrepreneurs developing everything from private currencies to shadow intelligence agencies rivaling the CIA; and learn about the remarkably peaceable enforcement of justice in the National Review w 215 Lexington Avenue w New York, NY w 10016 allegedly lawless Wild West. Send me _______ copies of The End Is Near. My cost is $28.00 each (shipping and handling As our outmoded twentieth-century government collapses under the weight of its own incompetence are included!). I enclose total payment of $___________. Send to: and inefficiency, Williamson points to the green Name shoots of the brave new world that is already being PAYMENT METHOD: born. Leaving America? Richer, happier, and more Address secure! o Check enclosed (payable to National Review) Order The End Is Near And It’s Going To Be Awesome now at http://store.nationalreview.com City State ZIP Bill my o MasterCard o Visa e-mail: Acct. No. phone: Expir. Date (NY State residents must add sales tax. For foreign orders, add $10US to cover additional shipping.) Signature 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 34 Fed has erred, that is, on the side of tightness. The last five years have seen a lower average inflation rate than any five-year stretch since the mid 1960s. Yet all of the political pressure on the Fed from Congress has been directed at getting it to tighten more. Finally, we have a tool that we lacked the last time we experienced high inflation: a market-based indicator that will warn us that it is on the way. The Treasury now issues bonds indexed for inflation as well as unindexed ones, and the spread shows market expectations of inflation over the duration of the bond. if that spread rises a lot, the Fed will face even more pressure to tighten than it would otherwise. There would be less reason to worry about any of this if the Fed had adopted an explicit nominal-income target, or adopted one now. Under such a target, the Fed would commit to adjusting monetary policy so that nominal income grew at, say, 5 percent a year (roughly the rate at which it expanded in the decades of the “great Moderation” before the crisis). if the economy grew by 3.5 percent in real terms, for example, inflation would run at 1.5 percent. The Fed would also commit to correcting for past mistakes: if it let nominal income grow by 6 percent in one year, it would subsequently keep its growth below 5 percent in order to keep the long-run path as close to the predicted one as possible. The Fed would not have had to amass as many assets as it now has if it had followed this policy. if markets had expected the Fed to keep nominal income on a steady path, the demand for the safety of money would not have risen as much as it did, so there would have been less need to increase the supply. As Australia shows, a “looser” monetary policy can lead paradoxically to a smaller money supply. it has kept nominal-income growth relatively steady, and its monetary base is smaller compared with its economy than is that of the U.S. (or of most other countries that let nominal income crash). it has also avoided the last two recessions that hit the rest of the developed world. Even after the initial decline in nominal income, the adoption of a credible commitment to nominal-income targeting could have kept the Fed from having to buy so many assets by reducing the demand for money balances. (it is partly because of this sort of effect that studies find that expectations of future nominal income are a strong determinant of current nominal income.) And nominal-income targeting could moderate any future moneydemand shocks in the event that, for example, Europe collapses. A credible nominal-income target would also aid the Fed’s unwinding by moderating the decline in the demand for money balances during a recovery. if markets don’t think the Fed will allow nominal income to grow 10 percent a year for the next decade, a bubble psychology is less likely to set in. And it should be easier for the Fed to commit to a credible nominal-income target than to an inflation target because the former would not require the perverse actions that the latter would. if the target is 5 percent, a nominal-income-targeting central bank will, in a year when the economy grows by only 1 percent in real terms, let inflation rise to 4 percent. when the real economy grows by 4 percent, it will let inflation sink to 1 percent. An inflation-targeting bank would have to adopt tighter money during the bust and looser money during the boom. So it will either have to make the business cycle more extreme or fudge its target. The worriers are wrong. The Fed can and should unwind its balance sheet without hurting the economy—especially if, at long last, it adopts the right monetary policy at the same time. 34 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Faith and Family We should be optimistic about their future BY MARY EBERSTADT heavy losses in the same-sex-marriage fight, traditionalists are anxious. “Conservatives have been routed, both in court and increasingly in the court of public opinion,” writes Rod Dreher in an elegiac piece on “sex after Christianity.” one can appreciate fully the efforts of those brave men and women who have not given up the battle and still suspect that Dreher and others who argue similarly are right. if they are, then religious believers not only in America but across the western world are entering darker and more difficult times. For one thing, surely the rewriting of laws and customs along radical new lines consistent with radical new dispensations has only just begun. How many Christian students, teachers, professors, counselors, priests, nuns, ministers, doctors, pharmacists, businessmen, and politicians of the future will run afoul of rules against ever-expanding definitions of “hate group” and “hate speech”? How many will be ostracized, or worse, in their schools and workplaces, as some already have been, for “extremism”? How many will see their children penalized for religious beliefs that seemed unremarkable in America until the day before yesterday? will the United States now go the way of great Britain, where a couple was recently forbidden to adopt a child because they were practicing Christians and therefore on the wrong side of current right thinking? will we follow Canada, where, as Mark Steyn reports, Catholic schools are required to include gay-straight alliances subversive of Catholic moral teaching? Father Raymond de Souza of the Archdiocese of Kingston, ontario, recently commented that many young priests he knows think “the prospect of one of us spending some time in jail for teaching the faith is not a distant or unlikely proposition, it is a plausible reality to be prepared for.” will men and women of the cloth in the United States someday say the same? if that were the whole picture, despair would abound. But it isn’t. For 2,000 years, Christianity has weathered severe storms, surviving discrimination and outright persecution. Are we really and only now facing the Church’s terminal decline? Does the sexual revolution, alone among all cultural influences inimical to the Church throughout history, render F ollowing Mary Eberstadt is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. This essay is adapted from her new book, How the West Really Lost God: A New Theory of Secularization. M AY 20, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 35 the cross and all it stands for obsolete? A contrarian case can be made that things aren’t as grim as they seem—or, conversely, that they aren’t nearly as invigorating as they seem to their adversaries. The case for cautious optimism shares many facts with the case for pessimism. In fact, the case for optimism is more or less the case for pessimism turned on its head and examined from a different angle. For over a hundred years, sociology has broadcast the death of God—prematurely, it turns out, because sociologists have ignored the part played in religious belief by that great institution with which religion’s fate appears inextricably entwined: the family. History shows that, in case after case, one pillar is only as strong as the other. Religion, and specifically Christianity, from London to Athens, from Barcelona to Paris and back, it has grown ever clearer that the welfare states of the West are overextended and ultimately unsustainable. Nor is this just a matter of euros and cents. The eventual civilizational implosion of the welfare state, one can argue, will be a gamechanger for family decline. Easier divorce and more widespread illegitimacy, along with related developments, have been taken more or less in stride for decades now, in the belief that the state can do what was once done by competent families: care for the young, tend to the sick and old, provide for the home. Family decline has so far been premised on Western affluence. In the 1970s, sociologist David Popenoe predicted that one consequence of diminished Western affluence might be exactly the revival of the institution of the family. After all, Is a revival of the natural family possible—and, with it, a revival of Christianity? The answer is and will continue to be yes. waxes and wanes according to the strength of marriage and family formation. Across the Western world, the first ten to 15 years after World War II saw a religion boom in conjunction with the Baby Boom. The decades since the 1960s, conversely, have seen rising out-of-wedlock childbearing and falling birthrates in conjunction with a religion bust. Family and faith are historically bound together in ways that intrinsically historicist sociology has wholly ignored. So one way of considering the future of Christianity is to ask another question: Is a revival of the natural family possible—and, with it, a revival of Christianity? The answer is and will continue to be yes. B EGIN by meditating on an insight from the late Pitirim Sorokin, founder of Harvard’s sociology department and one of the seminal social thinkers of the mid 20th century. Sorokin wrote at a time when sociology was practiced not through finely granulated statistical analysis but rather with the broadest possible brush and the widest historical canvas imaginable. In Man and Society in Calamity (1942), Sorokin dedicated his powers to a project broadly applicable to the present moment—in his case, to disentangling the ways in which historical catastrophes of various kinds, principally wars, famines, and pestilence, set countervailing social forces into motion. Reviewing wide swaths of human history, Sorokin spied a general rule: “The principal steps in the progress of mankind toward a spiritual religion and a noble code of ethics have been taken primarily under the impact of great catastrophes.” Calamity, as he saw it, is not only a possible inducement to religious revival but may even be its sine qua non. Is the Western world today home to a calamity of sufficient dimensions to prove Sorokin’s rule once more? Since 2008, when the global financial crisis first burst into the consciousness of the mass of Western voters, followed by riots he observed, families perform a function crucial to all societies, doing for free what would otherwise cost money to accomplish. “The importance of this family care-giving function,” he writes, “becomes clear when we consider what might happen if modern societies ever again fall into a serious economic depression.” Could the post-welfare Western state end up imparting economic value to marriage, childbearing, and family ties, as the pre-industrial agricultural state did for many centuries? One needn’t imagine a full-scale crisis to see how the pressures of a shrinking and ageing Western population might make the family look like a grossly undervalued stock. As Stanley Kurtz observed presciently in “Demo graphics and the Culture War,” an article in Policy Review three years before the financial collapse of 2008: It wouldn’t take a full-scale economic meltdown, or even a relative disparity in births between fundamentalists and secularists, to change modernity’s course. Chronic low-level economic stress in a rapidly aging world may be enough. There is good reason to worry about the fate of elderly boomers with fragile families, limited savings, and relatively few children to care for them. A younger generation of workers will soon feel the burden of paying for the care of this massive older generation. . . . Modernity itself may come in for criticism even as a new appreciation for the benefits of marriage and parenting might emerge. Tantalizing evidence from the crash of 2008 shows just the sort of unintended consequences of economic adversity mentioned by Kurtz. Consider divorce. An economic crisis turns divorce, always expensive, into a luxury item. According to figures from the American Academy of Matrimonial Lawyers, the divorce rate in the U.S. dropped 24 percent in 2008 and 57 percent in 2009, following the housing collapse. The rates then began creeping back up in 2010, as the economy improved. Like other observers, the president of the AAML was certain that the drop was in response to harder times. 35 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 4/30/2013 11:22 PM Page 36 Another inadvertent consequence of the economic crisis has been the return of many adult children to the homes of their parents. Though undertaken for financial reasons, might not the movement of the “boomerang generation” back to the nest also have the effect of reinforcing family bonds? Hard times, in short, have a way of driving people back to what’s most elemental. This leads to another reason for cautious optimism about the future of family and faith: People learn. Marriage rates and childbearing among relatively affluent, educated American women, for example, are on the uptick (even as marriage continues to implode further down the socioeconomic ladder). Two can live more cheaply than one, as Robert J. Samuelson reflected in a recent column on the relationship between personal wealth and family structure, and it’s rea- ning of infanticide and abortion, and its overall attentiveness to the family contributed to a demographic advantage for believers. All those conditions still obtain. Consider one more fact in support of traditionalists. In Family and Civilization (1947), Carle Zimmerman, another Harvard sociologist, demonstrated that throughout history the family has followed a pattern: It grows stronger after a period of decay has incurred mounting social costs. Zimmerman argued that family strength is cyclical and that the problems resulting from periods of weak and atomized families lead to counter-cycles of strong family formation. Finally, there remains on the side of contrarianism what might be called Christianity’s secret weapon. Throughout history, men and women have been drawn to the Church precisely because of the traditional moral code that so many Family strength is cyclical and the problems resulting from periods of weak and atomized families lead to counter-cycles of strong family formation. sonable to think that more people will come to realize as much. One reason better-off women are a little more inclined toward children and traditional family may be that they have learned from the past, particularly from the tolls associated with alternative structures. If more people learn the same lesson, the natural family—and, with it, the churches— might enjoy a recovery. Current, historically low rates of natural-family formation and their attendant problems are not longstanding. Single motherhood, for example, cheered by feminists in the name of “liberation” less than a generation ago, is now widely seen for what it really is: an inhumanly difficult task for almost any woman, let alone poorer women, who are more likely to be unmarried. Likewise, “Career first” is now a slogan that many educated younger women reject, including many feminists. Maybe future generations will be more kindly disposed to the idea that more is merrier than were their forebears in the 20th and early 21st centuries. It’s possible to imagine a turnaround of family-formation rates across the West both because the economics of subsidizing familial decline will have become untenable and because the social cost of alternatives to traditional families will have become more obvious to many people than it is today. T HeRe’S another reason not to write the obituary for Christianity and the traditional family quite yet: demography. As Phillip Longman and eric Kauf mann have independently documented, and as Jonathan Last energetically explores in his riveting book What to Expect When No One’s Expecting, believers have babies, and nonbelievers don’t. And among believers, the most religious have the most babies. Over time, as those who look at the numbers agree, this simple fact will tilt Western populations toward religious belief. Sociologist Rodney Stark argues that Christianity grew from a small sect to a world religion precisely because the Church’s prizing of marriage, its ban36 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m people today love to hate. The pagans, the early Christians were instructed, could have it all: their idols, their infanticide, their contraception, their abortions, their sexual libertinism; the Christians couldn’t. And on the list went. From the beginning, these “no”s were fundamental teachings of Christianity (and in many cases, also of Judaism), but they were not only prohibitions. They were also teachings that drew many people in, fallen but serious human beings who recognized the teachings as somehow true. And such re mains the case, as the legions of Western converts down to this very day go to show, sometimes in some pretty sophisticated places. As a caution against the notion that anything ever is inevitable, let us consider the last boomlet of faith across the West, during the years immediately following World War II. So pervasive was religious practice in the United States then that Will Herberg, the foremost sociologist of religion in America during the mid 20th century, could observe in his classic book Protestant, Catholic, Jew that the village atheist or freethinker was a disappearing figure, that agnosticism was in decline, and that “the pervasiveness of religious identification may safely be put down as a significant feature of the America that has emerged in the past quarter of a century.” Those words were written only decades ago. Religion ebbs and flows in the world in ways not dreamed of by sociologists. Belief does not simply enter and leave the earth as a unidirectional force, like a comet. Christianity in particular engages with that other spiral, the one of family, in a deli cate, profound dynamic of mutual dependence. None of which is to say that Western believers today can count on seeing brighter days for either institution in their lifetimes. In the short run, to reverse John Maynard Keynes, we’re all dead. As for the long run, though, several signs point the way not just to hope but to likely revival. Therein lies a limited but real case for optimism about the twinned futures of family and faith. M AY 20, 2013 lileks:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 11:23 PM Page 37 Athwart BY JAMES LILEKS Let Us Rage Together HE Sanctioned F-Bomb finally appeared in the wake of the Boston bombings. Speaking at a televised baseball game, Red Sox player Big Papi said, “This is our [bleepin’] city.” The FCC not only declined to scold, but approved: The chairman tweeted that Papi “spoke from the heart,” which makes everything okay. You could say the same thing of Mother Tsarnaev’s lunatic screechings, but never mind. Contrast with a poor TV anchorperson in North Dakota who mumbled the F-bomb while looking at his script, unaware that his mic was on. He also said something was gay, which gets you banned from the profession for two lifetimes. If he had, however, said “gay” and sworn in disgust over a terrorist attack on an LBGT advocacy center by tea partiers, he would probably be looking at Matt Lauer’s job right now. Authenticity, man! That’s what proper sanctioned cussing is: authentic. Quality cable shows like Mad Men use profanity like a drop of Tabasco, and it has tang; it’s real. Network TV will be next. Because it’s real. No one seems to realize that if Papi had called the bombers “herkenheiming fishbinding ocelot tossers,” we would have gotten the point and remembered him all the better. But no. Our Bleepin’ Town. Readjust your Thornton Wilder theater programs accordingly. Ah, you say: If occasional cussing’s okay in the context of art, why not in public life? Don’t bring up standards, Grandpa. Standards kept the Smothers Brothers from joking about the Vietnam War; ergo, all standards must go. Well, not all; if something is hurtful or hateful to select tender demographics, standards are terribly important, and part of encouraging a Positive Space where nowhere is heard a discouraging word. But outside of that, eff ’em. For example: Previous standard for a college student: study hard, get good grades, be graduated to the sound of sonorous Elgar, then beaver away in a good job. New standard: topless pope protests. KDKA-TV reported: T Students at Carnegie Mellon say it’s freedom of expression, but the Catholic Diocese of Pittsburgh calls it inappropriate and disrespectful. At an annual art school parade, a female student dressed up as the pope, and was naked from the waist down while she passed out condoms. Even more, witnesses say the woman had shaved her pubic hair in the shape of a cross. As songwriter Neil Innes once said, “I’ve suffered for my art, now it’s your turn.” CMU issued a statement about the artistically reordered nether-hair, saying: “We are continuing our review of the incident. If our community standards or laws were violated, we will take appropriate action.” How? If they left it up to the student to come up with an Mr. Lileks blogs at www.lileks.com. “artistic” form of suspension, she’d probably work a cross into it. As for the “community standards,” the Carnegie Mellon student code of conduct says that students “must show a commitment to honesty without compromise, as well as truth without equivocation and a willingness to place the good of the community above the good of the self.” So, no, she didn’t violate community standards, since they no doubt praise a raspberry blown to the gynophobic patriarchy. It was honest and authentic in its rage. It struck a blow. Pope Francis probably read the news story with a trembling hand, convinced this sort of honesty can only call into question two millennia of established religion. Good thing she didn’t go topless too or everyone would begin to doubt the Old Testament as well. They’re doing topless priest-mocking over in Belgium. There’s a feminist group called FEMEN, known for showing up topless with feminist slogans scrawled on their bosoms— talk about the medium being the message. They crashed a press conference and threw holy water on a priest while screaming abuse, possibly because the Church doesn’t admit the possibility that Jesus was a cross-dresser. Put the trans in transubstantiation, man. The priest would have been excused if he’d stood up and shouted “HARLOTS BE GONE!” and shot lightning out of his fingertips— church attendance would have soared—but he simply bowed his head and prayed for them. The photographs of the tableau may not convince an atheist that God is real, but they certainly make you believe in the previously mythical harpies. Who are we to judge, though? Until he’s run a mile braless in their scratchy T-shirts, who among us can judge the wrath of the FEMEN or the disenfranchised Carnegie Mellon student? Anger is a guarantee of authenticity; if something is truly felt, it must be truly true. The art of one’s utterance takes a backseat to the quantity of honesty. But it’s real, and that’s what matters today. Studies of the last Obama campaign showed that e-mails with casual subject lines—“Hey” or “Are you in?” or entreaties to make sure Barack knew you “had his back”—appealed well to younger voters. They sounded so inarticulate and slackercasual they had to be real. Perhaps the GOP could vault over the slacker-chat tone and go right for the new age of Authentic Sanctioned Eff: swearing at every turn, sending out Mitch McConnell stripped to the waist to yell at Hillary Clinton for Benghazi answers, shaving a dollar sign into his pubic hair to “explore the relationship between politics and money.” They would fail to attract new voters and drive away their base, but they would make these things so uncool that politicians would say “Gosh” and “ma’am,” protesters would hone arguments instead of cheap shocks, and the culture would look to artists who create beauty instead of empty acts of theatrical narcissism. They’d lose the 2014 election, but if that’s the trade-off? Worth it. 37 longview--ready:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 2:50 PM Page 38 The Long View Ali Ba’Nasri: I agree. Qu’Turush: And then she should be set on fire. Ali Ba’Nasri: I agree. Transcript from the Al Jazeera political talk show The Al-Irshad Group Sunday, May 5, 2013 Al-Irshad: Issue One! Boston Bonanza Brou-Ha-Ha! In the aftermath of the Boston Marathon jihad demonstration by our brothers-in-arms the Tsarnaevs, questions have emerged about their reliance on the largesse of the Great Satan! Question: Is receiving WIC and/or other assistance, including Section 8 housing, from the American taxpayer a crime against Islam? Most Exalted Imam and syndicated columnist Qu’Turush? Qu’Turush: No, no, no. Look. We’ve been through this and through this. What the Tsarnaev family did was apply for funds that were available to all who qualified. There’s really no scandal here. We need to stop stigmatizing folks who just need a helping hand. That’s what these social services are there for. That’s what we pay our taxes for. Salil Faqtb: We? What is this “we,” you filthy son of a whore-mongering pig? You are like the shopkeeper who sells coffee to the Jew! Qu’Turush: Allow me to finish! Allow me to finish, you devil! Die! Die! Die! Salil Faqtb: The warrior who lives off of the enemy is like the handful of dates that harbor the stone! Al-Irshad: Political consultant Salil Faqtb, let me break in here— Qu’Turush: Please, brother. I’m trying to get a word in edgewise, here. All I’m saying is— Al-Irshad: And what about the American wife? Qu’Turush: She should continue to receive whatever the system allows. 38 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Al-Irshad: So we have agreement at last, between syndicated columnist Qu’Turush and Baath strategist Ali Ba’Nasri! Exit question: Tsarnaev sayonara! As the fervor dims from the events in Boston, we ask ourselves, where are the next youngsters coming from who are willing to engage in jihad? With the Twitter and the Facebook and the Spotify, many of our young men find themselves bespoiled and feminized. Is there hope for our young, I ask you political consultant Salil Faqtb! Salil Faqtb: Brother, there is only doom and hellfire for our young. They travel to the West and construct incendiary devices made entirely of cooking utensils, like females. Like common brazen whores and prostitutes! Qu’Turush: I don’t think you’re seeing the pressure-cooker bombs in context— Salil Faqtb: Do not speak to me of context, you blaspheming hypocrite homosexual agnostic Jew-loving libertine dog. Qu’Turush: The root causes of that pressure cooker— Salil Faqtb: Prepare to die! Qu’Turush: Get off me! Get off me! Al-Irshad: Gentlemen! Gentlemen! Please! Ali Ba’Nasri: Can I break in here? I think the real question isn’t where is the next generation of jihadists coming from, but why are the Americans doing such a better job teaching it than we are? My nephew is studying physics at Harvard, and let me tell you, when it comes to understanding just how evil and twisted the American system is, he’s way, way ahead of anything we’ve got over here. I mean, just the other day he was explaining to me how obvious it was that what happened in Boston was an inside job. Al-Irshad: But it wasn’t. It was us. BY ROB LONG Ali Ba’Nasri: Oh, right. I keep forgetting that. Salil Faqtb: Of course you do! Your nephew is studying physics! In the West! There is no such thing as physics! Your nephew should be tied into a sack and dropped from a minaret! Ali Ba’Nasri: Well, maybe. But that would be physics, right? Salil Faqtb: I will taste your blood before this show is over! Die, you perverted monster with diseased genitals! Qu’Turush: You see, this is the problem. We need to reach out to the middle. We’re only talking to the very small minority of folks who think nuclear weapons are the be-all and end-all. What about pipe bombers? What about the boys in Boston? They were making some inroads in a very blue state. Salil Faqtb: They were JINOs! Jihadists in name only! Brothers! Am I the only one who sees it? They used a cooking utensil! They may as well have been wearing dresses! Al-Irshad: Last question. On a scale of one to ten, one being impossible and ten being metaphysical certitude— Salil Faqtb: Both are impossible for man. Both are the repository of the Divine. Please allow me to disembowel you immediately. Al-Irshad: What is the likelihood that our movement is becoming rapidly decentralized? Qu’Turush? Qu’Turush: I’d say a six. Luckily for us, American universities and local governments remain a wonderfully hospitable place to nurture jihad. But that could change. Al-Irshad: Ali Ba’Nasri? Ali Ba’Nasri: Ten. Have you seen what’s happening on Kickstarter? Exciting stuff for jihad, let me tell you. There’s an app for that. Al-Irshad: Salil Faqtb? Salil Faqtb: Please remain motionless while I pour gasoline upon you. Al-Irshad: You’re all incorrect! The answer is three! Bye bye! M AY 20, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:06 PM Page 39 Books, Arts & Manners A Grief Observed DAVID FRENCH The Little Way of Ruthie Leming: A Southern Girl, a Small Town, and the Secret of a Good Life, by Rod Dreher (Grand Central, 288 pp., $25.99) COURTESY OF ROD DREHER W hat I felt when I picked up Rod Dreher’s new book was, simply, dread. From the dust jacket, I knew it dealt with his sister’s untimely death from cancer. If it was written well, it would rip apart my old wounds—wounds inflicted by seeing too much premature death in too short a time. If it wasn’t, I had another kind of dread—that of voyeuristically reading about someone else’s pain against the backdrop of an excessively idealized small southern town. there is a genre of conservative writing and thought that takes rural america and elevates it, drains it of the brokenness that plagues the rest of our nation, and turns it into an unrecognizable Disneyland of simple folks just doin’ good. But I know better. I grew up in a small southern town, and—like Dreher—have returned to the South after years of northeastern wanderings, moving from New York to upstate New York and then to Philadelphia be fore settling in my family’s longtime home town of Columbia, tenn. (perhaps Mr. French is a senior counsel at the American Center for Law and Justice and a co-author (along with his wife, Nancy) of Home and Away: A Story of Family in a Time of War. better known as the “Mule Capital of the World”). I love my town, and the people in it, but they are people, and people are fallen. Dreher’s book begins with the story of his childhood in Louisiana. his little sister, Ruthie, loved him, but was different from the start. Rod was bookish, intellectual, and questioning. Ruthie loved the outdoors, the rural life, and the town where they lived. Rod left as soon as he had the chance, at age 16, to go to boarding school. Ruthie stayed for the rest of her life. the writing is both intimate and distant. Dreher’s subject is people he knows better than anyone else, but he steps back from them stylistically and intellectually. the book reads a bit like an authorized, insider biography of a celebrity or political leader, respectful as it identifies and evaluates formative events—but it is also painfully honest. Rod left home, but he also kept looking back, often desperate to reconcile with a father who seemed to scorn his choices. he also looked back to his sister, who made a life as a teacher and seemed to open her heart and life to everyone but her brother. his family felt that Rod was rejecting them; Rod felt rejected and misunderstood by his family. Ruthie, after all, saw Rod’s lifestyle as mystifying and strange. She was a publicschool teacher; Rod and his wife homeschooled. She lived in one place and had one job; he couldn’t stay in a city for long and hopped from job to job. In one painful vignette, she even refused to eat a French meal Rod and his wife had prepared, believing it was a symbolic rejection of their simpler southern way. then Ruthie was diagnosed with cancer. In the hallmark version of this story, the cancer would claim Ruthie’s life, but it would also bring a family together in a spasm of forgiveness and healthy perspective. Death would come, but so would closure, and healing. But Dreher doesn’t shrink from the sometimes terrible realities. Yes, there is healing and forgiveness, but there is also stubbornness and denial. Some wounds aren’t healed, and are even ripped open further amidst the unimaginable stress of a terminal-cancer diagnosis. It turns out that a person with cancer is still a person, and a family rallying to support a stricken sister, wife, mother, and daughter is still a family. Ultimately, this is what makes Dreher’s book so powerful. as Ruthie nears the end of her life, the prose is compassionate but remorseless. You know what’s coming, Rod Dreher and Ruthie Leming 39 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:06 PM Page 40 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS you see the family make mistakes, and you know there’s no remedy. When a daughter decides to distance herself from her mother in the final weeks of her mother’s life, you know it won’t end well. As Ruthie dies, and as Rod sees not just the outpouring of love from friends and neighbors but also the outpouring of grief (a grief that you’ll feel yourself; I read those pages on a flight from Boston to Nashville and had to close the book while I composed myself), he decides to come home. These are the most difficult passages of the book. Ruthie’s loss tore a gaping hole in the lives of her family but also in an entire community. Such voids aren’t left by people who live just in a “little way,” but only by those who live in a noble, honorable, and loving way. As an imperfect family and an im perfect community cling to each other, Dreher comes to a convicting conclusion: During the decade leading up to Ruthie’s death, I had spent my professional life writing newspaper columns, blog posts, and even a book, lamenting the loss of community in American life. I had a reputation as a pop theoretician of cultural decline, but in truth I was long on words, short on deeds. . . . My friends and I talked a lot about the fragmentation of the modern family, about the deracinating effects of late capitalism, about mass media and the erosion of localist consciousness, about the consumerization of religion and the leviathan state and every other thing under the sun that undermines our sense of home and permanence. The one thing that none of us did was what Ruthie did: Stay. And so, he moves back to his tiny Louisiana home town. But this is no fairy tale, and there is no “happily ever after.” Back home, the challenges keep mounting, as he discovers Ruthie disliked his lifestyle even more than he knew. Each page contains yet another surprising and disturbing revelation. Though all is not well back at home, he feels called to “accept the limitations of a place, in humility.” And this is where the book’s deeper social significance lies. It seems that we now live in the era of “lean in”: As the underclass fragments, and families collapse, the elite strains to achieve—leaning into careers, rejecting limitations, 40 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m and often scorning those who don’t jump into the global marketplace with both feet. Live your dream, they say, as hard as you can, as fast as you can, as long as you can. But Dreher’s book is about something completely different: not leaning in, but leaning on, creating and sustaining communities where imperfect people lean on one another as they struggle together through sickness, through grief, and even through conflict. We lean on and are leaned upon, ready to jettison ambition in order to serve and to sustain. The book inspires, moves, and convicts. Dreher introduces readers to his patron saint, Benedict of Nursia. Benedict took a vow of “stability,” asking his monks to settle down, to embrace “the discipline of place and community.” But this vow often conflicts with the goal of ambition, and the desire to exercise influence. Dreher is too smart and wise to draw rigid boxes, to declare that we should all stay in small communities near home. But he does remind us that amidst the avalanche of contemporary hand-wringing about values, ideas, and communities, someone has to actually live those values. Someone has to walk the talk. And Ruthie walked. When you lose someone close to you, there is often a desperate desire to tell that person’s story—not just to preserve memories but also to honor her and to sustain the meaning of her life. In this book, Dreher has done much more than honor his sister or preserve her memory. He’s shown us a way—perhaps the best way—to build our culture and to strengthen our families. Simply put: Be there—for your family, your friends, and your community. Live not to achieve, but to serve. There is, of course, no single way to “lean on” rather than “lean in,” but the very decision to do so should transform the focus and object of our lives. But lean on (and be leaned upon) with eyes wide open, not with expectations of creating utopia but in stead with the realization that unless millions of us choose the “little way,” there will be no good way left. Man is still fallen, small towns struggle much as big towns, and—absent selfsacrifice—we’d struggle even more. It’s not policy that redeems a culture, but character and commitment, lived in towns large and small, in the way of Ruthie and her loving brother, Rod. The Tribes Of PostAmerica JOHN O’SULLIVAN Back to Blood, by Tom Wolfe (Little, Brown, 720 pp., $30) T oM WoLfE long ago declared a preference for the great, teeming, socially panoramic novels of the 19th century—in which a plot of ambition and scandal brings together a rich variety of characters from the overclass, the underclass, and the classes in between—over the novel of internal reflection and exquisite sensibility where what little happens is of great significance for a particular examined life. This preference for Dickens over Virginia Woolf, so to speak, or for Trollope over Henry James, is a very scandalous one, because it is probably shared by most readers. That more or less ensures that it will be viewed with suspicion, if not distaste, by most critics. Mr. Wolfe, moreover, has compounded this offense of taste by actually writing (by my estimation) at least three great social novels: The Bonfire of the Vanities, A Man in Full, and now Back to Blood. The main character in all of these novels is, of course, America itself, whose energy and disarray provide all the other characters with their dreams and nightmares. Like any other character, however, Tom Wolfe’s America is subject to change and decay, even perhaps to dissolution. And in Back to Blood that ominous possibility is beginning to seem possible. That in turn creates exaggerated difficulties for Wolfe’s other characters. He has sometimes (and plausibly) argued that status anxiety is the motive force of M AY 20, 2013 LITTLE, BROWN books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:06 PM Page 41 most social lives. People are moved to act in order to establish their social status, to improve it, or to defend it. Most of the time their actions are ordinary enough—studying at night school, say, or “marrying up”—but sometimes the prospect of social ruin or social triumph drives them to extreme actions, murder for instance, or martyrdom. Whatever the nature of someone’s social anxiety, he will face unusually tangled and baffling difficulties in a society whose splintering standards and broken guideposts no longer give him clear directions on how to behave. But that is the dilemma facing only some of the players in Back to Blood; others are liberated by the collapse of older standards. For Wolfe’s vision of the America emerging from the chaos of modernity is eerily similar to the Rome of Antiquity before Constantine. Where that antiquity was pre-Christian, this New Antiquity is post-Christian. Its original brand of Protestant Christianity no longer influences the politics, institutions, and laws of the nation it once shaped. The WASP elites, for whom Protestantism was long a mark of respectability and soundness, no longer even pretend to believe. It is a genuine religious faith for only a tiny number of people. Its secular expressions, “Ameri can exceptionalism” and “the American Creed,” are in only slightly better shape. The former provoked President Obama into an embarrassed meandering as he sought to reconcile his cosmopolitan disdain for it with its popularity among the rubes; the latter has been redefined into its opposite, an umbrella term covering a multitude of tribes and their different customs, namely multiculturalism. This transformation from the Great Republic to the New Antiquity has happened in large measure in order to accommodate the growing number of immigrant groups forcing their way into the metropolis. It is a colder and crueler world: Inside the cultural ghettos, the new tribes of post-America retain much of their old affections and loyalties; outside them, they treat others with wariness and distrust. And they are slow to develop a common attachment to their new “home.” Wolfe touched upon this New Antiquity shaped by immigration in A Man in Full, where he had Conrad Hensley make his way across America on an underground railroad for the undocumented (provided with their documents, naturally) and discover Stoicism as a means of coping. But here he deepens the comparison with ancient times by giving another meaning to multiculturalism as well as its ethnic one. As mainline WASP Christianity shrivels, other cults flourish in its place: the ethnicity cult, of course; the arts cult for the very rich; the sex cult for the young; the celebrity cult for professionals; the psychology cult for billionaire clients; a religion cult (nontraditional religion, of course) for the perplexed; and the cult of wealth for everyone. Only the Gods of the Copybook Headings are missing from this teeming agora through which Wolfe’s characters pursue their fantasies and flee from their anxieties. It is a world of fear, superstition, and constant insecurity as people try to adapt to the new, always shifting social reality. Nestor Camacho is a Cuban-American cop whose status anxiety derives from the fact that he is the lone Cuban in the maritime department of the Miami police. Nestor is brave and good, as we quickly realize, and he also proves to be the wise counselor that his name suggests. Initially, however, it is he who needs counseling. His troubles arise when, from a sense of duty but also to win the approval of his fellow cops, Nestor performs an astounding physical feat in the course of rescuing a would-be Cuban immigrant from death. This rescue, however, also prevents the refugee from setting foot on land and thus from winning asylum. To the cops he is now a credit to his profession; to the Cuban community he is a traitor to his race. Even his own family shuns him. At this low point in his fortunes, but coincidentally, Nestor’s girlfriend, Magdalena, leaves him to become the mistress of a would-be-famous psychiatrist, Norman Lewis, who specializes in treating sex-addiction cases among the very rich. Magdalena is fundamentally a decent girl, but she is foolishly in thrall to celebrity and to Norman’s near-fame, and Norman, though a priest in the psychiatry cult, is a secret worshiper in the cult of sex. His real faith emerges when he takes Magdalena to what starts as a regatta for young WASP kids but ends up as a large open-air orgy by the sea. Disgusted by the evident fact that Norman wants her to take part in these festivities, she decides to transfer her affections elsewhere. Soon, a glamorous Russian billionaire and art collector, Sergei Korolyov, wanders into view at a cocktail party, and asks her for her telephone number. We already know a great deal about Sergei from the other characters. Edward T. Topping IV, the understandably insecure WASP editor of the Miami Herald and a minor deacon in the cult of art, regards him with nervous awe as a public and private benefactor. Topping had smiled complicitly from the head table on behalf of his newspaper when Korolyov donated billions of dollars’ worth of hitherto unknown paintings by masters of modern art to a new museum bearing the billionaire’s name. It was the high point of his editorship so far. But Topping’s ace investigative reporter, John Smith, also a WASP, is less starry-eyed about the Russian. Smith is Tom Wolfe 41 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:06 PM Page 42 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS a devotee in the temple of truth (a real, if inadequate, deity) and takes his religion seriously. He knows Korolyov to be a Russian mafioso with terrible crimes to his credit. He also suspects him of having the promised art treasures forged by an émigré Russian painter as part of an elaborate fraud that Smith can’t quite make out. In order to solve the puzzle, Smith seeks out Nestor— now famous owing to his acrobatic exploit on the patrol boat—to find the painter/forger and expose the mafioso. Nestor, meanwhile, is on a roll. Taking part in a police raid on a drug den, he overpowers a huge and brutal crack dealer under the admiring eyes of Ghislaine Lantier, a beautiful Haitian girl of good family who is present in the crack house looking after neglected children on behalf of a fashionable charity, South Beach Outreach. Im pressed by Nestor’s bravery, and his kindness to her, Ghislaine seeks his help to prevent her foolish but harmless young brother from being con victed of a serious crime. He succeeds in that, reinforcing Ghislaine’s admiration, and also in tracking down, with John Smith, the Russian painter and his forgeries. That leads to a front-page story on Korolyov, which, unfortunately for Magdalena, appears in the early morning of the night on which she has slept with him. Korolyov dismisses her fairly brusquely (as if, she reflects, taking out the garbage), pauses briefly to arrange to have the painter murdered, and then takes off in his private plane back to Mother Russia. His scheme to use the prestige of his museum donations as the basis for selling other fake masterpieces to dealers for billions is now in ruins. Magdalena, who has seen her status soaring heavenwards, now looks at herself in a new, harsh, and glaring light, literally so in the oligarch’s bathroom, and also metaphorically, as someone ex posed as a cheap whore. She now thinks fondly of Nestor and their happy times together. But Nestor is basking in the admiration of his fellow cops again, along with John Smith, and also in Ghislaine’s smiles. Who will Nestor end up with . . . but I will leave you in suspense on that. Wolfe’s characters, driven by status, are for the most part seeking to rise in a slippery world and getting into difficul42 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m ties as a result. There are exceptions, interesting ones: Ghislaine is anxious not for herself but only for her young brother, who is so desperately prey to status anxiety that he is almost drawn to crime and self-destruction by the desire to be accepted in the ethnic-gang subworld of Miami kids. She is admirable in her uncomplicated goodness, also perhaps a little unrealistic. Korolyov, an intelligent criminal, thinks status comes out of the barrel of a gun. Other people’s status is something to be manipulated, as he successfully manipulates Topping, in order to advance his criminal interests. He is, alas, a very realistic picture of evil. John Smith is a WASP who has found in journalism a respectable way of upholding WASP ideals in this treacherous New Antiquity. Like his colonial namesake, he survives amid other tribes by wit and coolness. Topping suffers most from status fears. He is like an officer in a long, losing war—the WASP in gradual retreat before the new post-American tribes. Inevitably, he cuts a somewhat pathetic figure. But he has learned a thing or two in the campaigns, and Wolfe allows him a final flourish of deceptive leadership as he boldly oversees the Korolyov exposé he has been quietly obstructing. Magdalena is, as her name suggests, a good girl gone bad who will now make good again. She will no longer be deceived by sex, celebrity, or power. Like her namesakes, she is the sadder but wiser girl. And Nestor—well, Nestor was never pursuing a higher status, he was defending a decent status he had chosen on other (decent) grounds. Nestor has an internal moral compass and, given that, he will navigate his way through the ethnic suspicions of Miami and its various worlds. And Nestor, like Smith, is brave—which in Wolfe is always the key to someone’s worth. As always, Wolfe is a very entertaining read. The book has great set pieces— the seaside orgy, the strip club, the drug raid, the editorial debate over whether to run the exposé of Korolyov. It tells sad but rumbustious truths about modern America; in describing Miami, it explains the Boston bombers. Only one mystery remains: One sour critic said that Wolfe was writing less about Miami than about himself. What on earth must he think Wolfe is like? No Aquatic Tarts? C H A R L E S C . W. C O O K E Worlds of Arthur: Facts and Fictions of the Dark Ages, by Guy Halsall (Oxford, 384 pp., $34.95) ‘W Hy is it,” I once asked a friend at Oxford, “that I have to write 2,000 words per essay and you only have to write 800? After all, we do the same subject.” She bristled slightly at the suggestion. “No, we don’t, Charles. you study modern history and I study medieval history and nobody knows anything about medieval history—bugger all, in fact. There’s not much to write.” We really do know “bugger all” about the early medieval period, and what we think we know changes all the time. Written primary sources are thin on the ground and most of the archaeological evidence is still buried under it. Nonetheless, although it is placed slap-bang in the middle of a historical wilderness, one story is burned into our collective memory: King Arthur’s. Dark Ages be damned, we have a legend and we’re sticking with it. Guy Halsall, a professor at the University of york, has set out to address this paradox. In Worlds of Arthur, he examines not just the Arthurian myth but the entire period during which Roman Britain “fell” and an Anglo-Saxon “invasion” allegedly took its place. His work sits at the confluence of mystery and history, raising the awkward, compelling question of how much value we put on objective truth. “The study of King M AY 20, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:06 PM Page 43 Arthur has been insular for too long,” Halsall complains, and it has been hijacked by profit-seeking “amateur enthusiasts” who, in thrall to Winston Churchill’s vain hope that “it is all true, or it ought to be; and more and better besides,” pretend to hordes of willfully gullible readers that they have unlocked the “secret” at last. “Medieval writers and their audiences expected different things from ‘history,’” Halsall allows early on, because “medieval people did not have a category of ‘factual history’ separate from what today might be thought of as ‘historical fiction,’ ‘alternative history,’ through the evidence. He notes that the Historia Brittonum, the first datable source to mention Arthur, was written 300 years after he supposedly existed, creating a vacuum into which existing legends were readily sucked. In the ninth-century Anglo-Saxon Chronicle, Halsall concedes, there “could be snippets of sixth-century fact”—but “it is impossible now to disentangle them from the narrative and structure of its authors’ propaganda and from the huge dose of myth, legend, and pun with which they injected it.” likewise, there is no reason to take the Welsh Annals “very seriously,” nor Welsh heroic Halsall doesn’t even accept the terminology of the question. In what is by far and away the book’s best section, “New Worlds,” we are treated to a scintillating reevaluation of the period. Halsall’s contention is that the Roman period was not as Roman as is popularly imagined, nor was the barbaric period as barbaric. Roman hegemony had all but collapsed by 435, Halsall contends, meaning that a fifth-century Arthur was unlikely to be fighting to preserve it. Moreover, the threat from outside was not as discrete as it is made out to be: The “barbarians” had adequate exposure to Roman influence Halsall confesses to being a “romantic, Arthurian agnostic”: He wishes “that Arthur had existed” but is aware that there is “no evidence” that he did. or even ‘fantasy.’” Moral truths, he adds, were often more important to writers of the epoch than accuracy, because their works were contrived primarily to assuage contemporary concerns. Nevertheless, this does not excuse modern historians from the author’s contempt. As much as anything, his book is a polemic in favor of academic discipline. Halsall confesses to being a “romantic, Arthurian agnostic”: He wishes “that Arthur had existed” but is aware that there is “no evidence” that he did. “Poetry creates the myth,” held Jean-Paul Sartre, but “the prose writer draws its portrait.” Worlds of Arthur is very definitely written in prose. At this point, the fable’s keener devotees might ask, “All right, killjoy, but which Arthur are you talking about?” A fair question. To be sure, the Arthur of Merlin, Guinevere, and so much Camelot flim-flam is widely conceded to be fanciful folly. (To paraphrase Monty Python, “strange women lying in ponds distributing swords” is no basis for serious history.) But what of the supposedly historical Arthur, with whom every schoolchild is familiar? What of the man who played the heroic role in fighting for civilization against the onslaught of barbarism? Halsall has little more time for this iteration than he does for the fairy tale. Knocking it down as he goes, a touch irritably at times, he takes us patiently poetry, which may have been full of attractive stories for a people that felt threatened but which has little to recommend it in the way of veracity. By the time Halsall is done, he has constructed a convincing case that the written sources make “depressing reading” for those who are set on believing in any Arthur who would be worth believing in. Books that claim that the written record aids their cause, the author insists, should “be rejected immediately and out of hand. Such attempts represent fiction, no more and no less.” What about archaeology, a typical refuge of the more creative Arthurian optimists? Is there anything in the record to indicate that a man named Arthur was a champion of Roman civilization against Saxon barbarism? KOAN PRACTICE On one hand, what Is it not? But on one hand it Isn’t everything. The beer I do not drink With the friend I have never met In the café that doesn’t exist. —JASON LEE STEORTS and generally desired to settle within the Roman Empire, not to destroy it. And the Saxons? They, and the oftignored Angles and Jutes, didn’t so much “invade” as they formed Romanblessed war bands that garrisoned areas of importance while the military went off to fight civil wars of larger imperial import. The truth is, to borrow a favored academic word, “complex.” And complexity is no friend of lore. At one point, the author lets his frustration with his adversaries translate into open belligerence, writing: “The locations of all of these battles are unknown and unknowable. This is of supreme importance if reading modern pseudo-histories so I’ll say it again: THE loCATIoNS of All THESE BATTlES ARE uNKNoWN ANd uNKNoWABlE.” Such combativeness is unsurprising, coming as it does from a man who made the British press when he lambasted his truant students for missing the “chance to hear (probably) the most significant historian of early medieval Europe under the age of 60 anywhere in the world give 16 lectures on his current research.” But at points, I confess, I had some sympathy with those students. Halsall is clearly a brilliant man, but when he is not fulminating against people he doesn’t like, he can be terribly dry. I suppose he can’t help it here; this book is dry because a book like this must be dry. Shakespeare, too, corrupted 43 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:06 PM Page 44 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS our national knowledge of history with the considerable poetic license that he took, and any book that endeavored to set the record straight would inevitably suffer from an inability to be even half as entertaining as that it sought to correct. Like Shakespeare’s versions of events, the Arthur myths survive be cause they make great stories, and great stories endure. Pathologies endure, too. The modern resurgence of the Arthurian legend came at the height of the Victorian era, at an odd crossroads during which the success of the Industrial Revolution was felt to be costing England its Ruritanian idyll and at which the success of the Empire was causing more selfconscious elites to worry aloud about going the way of the Romans. When the British Parliament burned to the ground in 1834, the queen’s robing room in the House of Lords was decorated with Arthurian themes, instilling the new with the virtues of the old. Likewise, in the New World, Americans at the height of their post-war boom rechristened the youthful Kennedy administration as “Camelot.” The details may have changed, but neither the urge to return to the romance of nature nor Western anguish at the prospect of decline has disappeared. We remain in search of ideals toward which we might strive. Fiction remains preferable to fact. At the end of the classic 1962 western The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance, a newspaperman learns a dark, potentially ruinous secret about an American hero, written evidence of which he proceeds to crumple up and throw in a fire. “You’re not going to use the story?” asks the hero. “No, sir,” the newspaperman replies. “This is the West, sir. When the legend becomes fact, print the legend.” In Worlds of Arthur, Guy Halsall is almost certainly correct: The legend becomes fact if you look at it properly. Nonetheless, this is still the West and Halsall has managed to write perhaps the only book on Arthur this year that will not be profitable. Such are the trials of academics and truth tellers. The rest of the Arthurian aficionados, meanwhile, will shake themselves off from the scolding, thank the professor for his opinion, and continue to do what they have always done: Print the legend and be damned. 44 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Big Brother At Your Table JULIE GUNLOCK The Food Police: A Well-Fed Manifesto About the Politics of Your Plate, by Jayson Lusk (Crown Forum, 240 pp., $24) T HERE has been an explosive growth in government power in recent years, from the healthcare system to the financialservices sector. Compared with such breathtaking assaults on liberty as Obamacare, New York mayor Michael Bloomberg’s ban on large sodas might seem to be an issue that conservatives can shrug off. But Jayson Lusk’s new book explains that government’s growing intrusion into Americans’ eating habits should not be ignored. Politicians now think it’s perfectly appropriate to try to limit the amount of soda people consume; to tinker with food manufacturers’ recipes by restricting the use of certain ingredients (including sugar, salt, and trans fats); to ban toys in Happy Meals and restrict what restaurants offer their customers. Lusk is more than qualified to tackle these issues. In fact, his curriculum vitae almost makes him look like a double agent: He could easily be mistaken for the food nannies about whom he writes. An agricultural-economics professor at Oklahoma State, Lusk has written about food and agriculture policy for more than 100 peer-reviewed publications and has served on the editorial councils of seven Julie Gunlock is a senior fellow at the Independent Women’s Forum and directs its Culture of Alarmism Project. top academic journals. If this impressive academic career doesn’t give him that whiff of liberalism, there is also this: He wrote the book while taking a sabbatical in Paris. But that Lusk is hardly a food nanny becomes clear on the very first page, when he says the food police are “totalitarians” who “seek control over your refrigerator, by governmental regulation when they can or by moralizing and guilt when they can’t.” He explains that the catastrophic predictions often made by the food nannies are nothing more than the “hysterics of an emerging elite” and admits he’s being polite by using the term “food police” instead of the more accurate terms “food fascists” and “food socialists.” His tone is unapologetic when he says that today’s food police are less like Andy Griffith than like the Gestapo. Lusk begins by identifying members of the food police, who “play on fears and prejudices while claiming the high mantle of science and impartial journalism.” No longer just a few über-healthy academics and public-health activists, the modern food police now include among their ranks talk-show hosts, politicians, and celebrity chefs. Lusk says “it is impossible to turn on the TV, pick up a book about food, or stroll through the grocery store without hearing a sermon on how to eat.” The regulators have even enlisted A-list Hollywood actresses to spread the message. Joining Lusk’s book on bookstore shelves this spring is a cookbook by Gwyneth Paltrow—but this cookbook is not just another collection of favorite family recipes. Paltrow promotes an “elimination diet” that entails removing a long list of items from the family grocery list, including, but not limited to: coffee, alcohol, eggs, sugar, shellfish, soy, dairy, wheat, meat, and processed food. What qualifications does Paltrow possess that make her an expert on human dietary health? The Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics states that to become a registered dietitian, one must pass an examination after completing an accredited bachelor’s- or master’s-degree program. According to Paltrow’s Wikipedia entry, the actress “briefly” studied anthropology at the University of California, Santa Barbara, before dropping out to act, but never completed any studies in nutrition or dietetics. This hasn’t stopped her from M AY 20, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:07 PM Page 45 moralizing on what foods Americans should be eating. Lusk explains that more and more people are buying into this sort of pseudoexpertise on food issues. Once, while giving a presentation on writing, he discovered that his audience was far more interested in discussing food policy: I engaged in a lively discussion with about seventy-five graduate students and professors of English. I wasn’t surprised that they had questions about food and agriculture, and I was happy to answer them. What surprised me was the absolute moral certitude permeating the air. Many in the room had no doubt they were being poisoned and fattened up by an out-of-control food system. What facts did these folks have to bolster their case? Nothing more than what was presented in [the 2008 documentary] Food, Inc., along with a few innuendos picked up in the Sunday paper. I would never have dared question them on the finer points of Shakespeare or Dostoyevsky. Yet they were certain that my explanations for why food is produced the way it is were wrong. Great self-confidence, combined with a highly ideologized view of food issues, is a syndrome afflicting much of the foodpolice establishment. Lusk doesn’t deny that there are problems with food production and manufacturing in America. He shares the food police’s “unease with the present state of farm policy,” saying that it is an “anachronistic throwback” that survives on “the political power of the farm lobby” and results in such bizarre policies as paying farmers not to farm and foodassistance programs that drive up the price of food. But he disagrees with the intrusive regulatory solutions proposed by the food police: Where I part with [food activist Michael] Pollan and his fellow foodies is in their conclusions that “like so many government programs—what subsidies need is not the ax, but reform that moves them forward.” What makes the food police think the government will get it right this time? They like to talk about market failures but are apparently blind to the abundance of government failures. If the process is so corruptible by corporate interests and mega farms, as they claim it is, then Uncle Sam is incapable of working in our food interests, and all the preaching of hope and change is nothing more than smoke and mirrors. Lusk also disagrees with the food regu- lators’ view that the general public are low-information eaters who lack the smarts to differentiate between a slice of greasy pizza and a vitamin- and nutrientrich leafy green salad. According to Lusk, it is these low expectations that make the regulators so devoted to “nudge theory,” which holds that since fallible human beings are incapable of acting in their own best interests, government must step in to make their lives better. Lusk says that even though nudge theory is “pseudoscientific,” it has “permeated the highest centralize the feeding of children by government agencies. Hillary Clinton famously floated this idea over a decade ago in her pleasant-sounding yet ultimately creepy big-government love story It Takes a Village. Most recently, MSNBC political commentator Melissa Harris-Perry cheerfully corrected parents on the silly notion that “your kid is yours and totally your responsibility,” suggesting instead that Americans view their offspring with the “collective notion of these are our children.” levels of regulatory decision making” at various government agencies and “is the engine behind the new food paternalism.” Food paternalism dovetails perfectly with the regulators’ view of the freemarket system and individual freedom in general: They believe in the need for “Uncle Sam’s helping hand.” Lusk writes that the food police’s “readiness to empower government to control food businesses; to centrally direct agricultural output through heavy taxes, subsidies, and public-agency purchasing requirements; and to override consumers’ free choice with everything from a gentle nudge to outright ingredient bans is slowly leading us down the road to serfdom.” Government intervention is the only solution identified by the majority of modern thinkers on food policy. First lady Michelle Obama’s strategy to solve the childhood-obesity problem was not to encourage parents to take a greater role in their children’s nutritional development, but to increase the number of children enrolled in federal school-feeding programs; to, in effect, Instead of making us better off, Lusk warns, giving the government more power over food decisions would “usher in a more stagnant, less dynamic world, and . . . breed a generation of children unwilling or unable to imagine how to improve their diets through mathematics, chemistry, biology, and engineering.” Lusk doesn’t want his children to live in a society preoccupied with the romanticized ideas of the past, but in one that’s innovative in how it creates and distributes food—“feeding the world’s hungry with higher-yielding, more nutritious crops, and developing space-age technologies that make tasty food at the push of a button.” Lusk makes a strong case that the food police are a major obstacle to the kind of innovation we need. Their intransigence on many of the benefits of food modernization—from genetically modified food to industrial farming and synthetic fertilizers, and even modern conveniences such as large-scale grocery stores and today’s shipping methods—is the kind of thinking that will, as Lusk warns, ultimately doom us to poverty. 45 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:07 PM Page 46 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS Film The Place Off The A-List R O S S D O U T H AT FOCUS FEATURES W hat are we to make of Ryan Gosling? In certain ways, he’s one of the premier actors of his generation—the thinking woman’s sex symbol, the heartthrob who actually cares about his craft, with the mix of cool, intelligence, and vulnerability that we associate with a-list leading men. Yet he’s made disappointingly few movies that are actually successful as movies, rather than as showcases for his magnetism and dramatic chops. It’s not for want of trying: Gosling has appeared in a lot of interesting small films and a lot of respectable bigger ones, and he’s single-handedly made flawed experiments more watchable and elevated trashy melodramas above their station. But none of his movies has united critics and audiences in the way that true stardom usually requires. So while it feels like he could end up in the same league as Nicholson, Pacino, and Newman, his filmography doesn’t merit those comparisons. he’s been headlining movies for more than a decade, but he’s still waiting for a Chinatown or Cuckoo’s Nest, a Godfather or Serpico, a Butch Cassidy or Cool Hand Luke. For a little while, his latest film seems like it might be that breakthrough. The Place Beyond the Pines has promising ingredients. the director is Derek Cianfrance, who helmed Gosling’s best small movie to date, the art-house downer Blue Valentine. the cast is stellar—Gosling shares top billing with Bradley Cooper, another actor obviously hungry for an adult form of stardom; he shares great scenes and chemistry with the australian character actor Ben Mendelsohn; and they’re joined by Rose Byrne, Eva Mendes, and Ray Liotta in supporting roles. and Pines has big ambitions: It’s at once intimate and sprawling, weaving multiple lives and generations into a story of crimes and 46 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m punishments, fathers and sons, all set against the deep greens and rusting redbrowns of Schenectady, N.Y. the first act belongs to Gosling’s character, Luke. We see him first as a tattooed body headed into a carnival tent for his motorcycle act—a wild spin around the interior of a globe-shaped metal “Cave of Death.” then we see him reconnect with a local woman (Mendes) with whom he had a fling the last time he passed through Schenectady—and with whom, he discovers, he had a child as well. this intelligence persuades him to stay put when the carnival moves on, and the place he finds to crash belongs to an auto mechanic (Mendelsohn) who happens to be a retired bank robber. their easy friendship, Luke’s motorcycle skills, and his desire to provide for his kid all point in the same direction: Soon enough he’s speeding into arcs of both Gosling and Cooper are the set-up for a dénouement involving their teenage sons, their families’ buried secrets, and the long shadow of the past. this last leap, unfortunately, is a disaster for the film. the boys are miscast: the lanky, pasty Dane Dehaan is believable as Gosling’s son but not as Mendes’s, while the pouty, puffy Emory Cohen looks and talks more like a refugee from a Long Island variation on Jersey Shore than the son of Cooper and Byrne’s WaSPy upstate couple. Dehaan at least can act; Cohen evinces no such talent. their story is supposed to vindicate the movie’s sprawl and shifting points of view; instead, it makes everything that’s happened since Gosling ceded the spotlight feel like a waste of time. Indeed, with the possible exception of There Will Be Blood, I can’t think of another recent Ryan Gosling, Eva Mendes, and Anthony Pizza in The Place Beyond the Pines banks instead of tents, and speeding back out with bags of ill-gotten cash. the robberies go well until they don’t, at which point the movie shifts perspectives, introducing Cooper’s character, a straight-arrow Schenectady cop named avery with a wife (Byrne), a son, and a powerful politician father whose shadow he’s trying to escape. here the bankrobbery plot gives way to a policecorruption plot, in which Cooper’s avery learns about Realpolitik the hard way, even as his relationship with his family frays. and then finally the story leaps forward 15 years, and we realize that the movie with such a stark drop-off in quality from the first hour to the last. the ambition animating The Place Beyond the Pines is still impressive, and Cianfrance’s film is memorable and immersive despite ultimately feeling like a misfire. But for anyone following its star’s not-quite-fulfilled career, and hoping that he finds the vehicles his talent deserves, that “not quite, not quite” feeling is all too familiar. Once again, alas, Ryan Gosling has made an interesting-but-flawed movie that’s worth seeing mostly because it has Ryan Gosling in it. M AY 20, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 4/30/2013 4:07 PM Page 47 City Desk The Object Of Beauty RICHARD BROOKHISER I wrote for the weekly on pink paper for 20 years, and I still look at it from time to time. It was the city’s perfect high-low venue, running the gamut from auteurtheory film criticism to dirt diving (did it mock the dirt, or just grub it up? the satirist’s problem, from Martial on). the last issue I saw featured a russian lad who is about to go mega. His project in the land of the free is to attend dance parties and take pictures of young women who take off some or most of their clothing for him. He also shakes up champagne bottles and spritzes the foam into their yowza-ing mouths, a service he calls the champagne facial. He then posts these pictures on his website. “I kind of had to build a character to stand out from everyone else taking photos” at parties, he told the pink paper. the character he built: “dark and making fun of sluts. . . . If you post a photo of a chick, no one cares,” but if you post it with an insult, “then you start a conversation.” It sounds like the punchline of a Yakov Smirnoff joke—what a country!—but the young russian is making a career of it. thanks to the buzz his site generates, he gets paid to shoot parties; soon he hopes to do coffeetable books and tV. what caught my eye in the story was a comment by the reporter that the young russian “is hardly the first entrepreneur to convince a woman to take her clothes off.” the predecessor the reporter cited went mega in the late Nineties—a technological era ago— when he shot videos of young women who took off some or all of their clothing at Mardi Gras or spring break, and marketed them via infomercials. You all know the name of his franchise. But so swift is time’s arrow that the reporter did not cite an even earlier predecessor, who went mega in the Seventies, two technological eras ago. He stalked the streets of the city in a silver-lamé jumpsuit, carrying a video camera over his shoulder—this was when video cameras were the size and weight of pig carcasses. He would ask young women to take off some or all of their clothing, and even to have sex with him, then pull together both his acceptances and his rejections and show them on public-access tV. I know about him because the great Keith Mano once followed him around, schlepping the video camera. In a lifetime of trying, Keith had found someone as indefatigable and in-your-face as he was (Keith was a much better writer, of course). But the predecessors stream back even farther than that. Priscilla Buckley told me that she was once playing golf with her mother when a man asked to play through. Mrs. Buckley was notably cold to him, Priscilla asked why. “He is Harry thaw,” Mrs. Buckley said curtly. Harry thaw—the socialite who beat a murder rap by pleading insanity, now free on the links. the crime for which he had been unpunished: shooting the architect Stanford white in the restaurant atop the old Madison Square Garden. His motive: white had seduced Mrs. thaw when she was a model and chorine, taking off some or all of her clothing, so that white and his artist friends could paint her, photograph her, or otherwise enjoy her company, many, many technological eras ago. eras change, the dance never. the young women may be chorine/models or dim-bulb pedestrians or drunken revelers or dancing publicity hounds, but they all possess the human form divine—more exactly, the female human form divine, which is divinest. Sorry, Donatello’s David, sorry, gay men: You’re outvoted, you lose. women are what the world goes round, and we have been going round them since the Venus of willendorf. Genesis says there is a father God back behind the generative process, but as far as we can see we all come from women and we just can’t turn away. the young women who attract so much attention never change: they are all stupid. they have at best only the crudest notions of their own power, and never calculate motives or consequences. Giving a young woman a young woman’s body makes as much sense as giving ten teenagers Lamborghinis and telling them to drive in figure 8s around a parking lot. the artists never change. they may be great architects or creepy auteurs or sleazy promoters or sleazy auteurpromoters. But they are bound hand and foot, sinew and synapse, to their subject, the female human form divine. Feminists and other moralists may say they are exploiters and users. they wield the paintbrush, box camera, video camera, digital camera; they occupy the power position, gazing the male gaze, which is omnipotent. why then do they all gaze at the same thing, instead of, say, Arcturus? whose position is truly powerful? only the stupefying ignorance of young women prevents them from comprehending the stupefying emptiness of the men who cluster round them. empty, not untalented. the real abilities of artists are widely misunderstood. they are often credited with intelligence and, since the romantic era, originality, but these are not their attributes. Most artists have no intelligence (and whether they have it or not is irrelevant) and none have originality. their great merit is getting the job done. they work hard and they hit their marks. when some geezer, looking at art he dislikes, says, My threeyear-old could do that, he is exactly wrong. Neither his three-year-old nor his 30-year-old could do that. Art is done by artists. they need the guidance of patrons and tradition, though, or their art, however competent, will be meretricious: impulsive, lowest-common-denominator. ride them with a whip and artists will give you Mary Magdalene or the three Graces. Let them go and you’ll get sluts in clubs. I knew the pink paper would not disappoint. 47 backpage--READY:QXP-1127940387.qxp 5/1/2013 3:12 PM Page 48 Happy Warrior BY MARK STEYN Jihad Abhors a Vacuum we in the omniscient pundit class were all Afghan experts. Post-Boston, we are all Chechen experts. Strictly between us, I can count what I know about Chechens on one leg. A couple of years ago, while I was in Copenhagen picking up an award from the Danish Free Press Society, a one-legged Chechen prematurely selfdetonated in the Hotel Jørgensen while assembling a bomb. His device, using the same highly volatile TATP as in the London Tube bombings, was intended for my friends at Jyllands-Posten, publishers of the famous Mohammed cartoons, to whom I chanced to be giving an interview. All things considered, I’m glad the poor fellow pre-activated in his hotel room rather than delivering his package in the midst of my photo shoot. His name was Lors Doukaiev, and he had traveled from his home in Liège, Belgium, in order to protest the Mohammed cartoons by exploding a bomb on September 11. Got that? A citizen of Belgium is blowing up a newspaper in Denmark on the anniversary of a terrorist attack on America. So whatever was bugging him didn’t have a lot to do with Chechnya. In Boston, before he was run over by his brother and found himself committing the jihadist faux pas of greeting his 72 virgins with tire tracks from head to toe, young Tamerlan Tsarnaev had apparently put on his Amazon wish-list the book The Lone Wolf and the Bear: Three Centuries of Chechen Defiance of Russian Rule. Yet while the Chechen-nationalist struggle has certainly become more Islamic in the last two decades, it’s a bit of a mystery what it has to do with Jutland newspapers and Massachusetts marathons. Lors Doukaiev and Tamerlan Tsarnaev were young men in their mid twenties who had lived in the West for much of their lives. Both were boxers. Aside from the fact that Lors was one-legged and Tamerlan wasn’t, the quotes their friends and neighbors offered in the wake of their sudden notoriety are more or less interchangeable: “He was perfectly integrated. He was jovial and very open.” That was Fabian Detaille, young Doukaiev’s trainer at the Cocktail Boxing Club in Droixhe, speaking to Belgian radio, but it could just as easily have been one of Tamerlan’s boxing buddies on NPR in Boston. The Washington Post covered much of the Tsarnaev narrative under the headline “A Faded Portrait of an Immigrant’s American Dream.” The story is about what you’d expect from the headline but the “faded portrait” is fascinating—a photograph of the family before they came to America: young Mr. and Mrs. Tsarnaev with baby Tamerlan, and Uncle Muhamad with a Tom Selleck moustache and Soviet military uniform. If you only know Ma Tsarnaeva from her post-Boston press conferences as a head-scarfed harpie glorying in her sons’ martyrdom and P OST-9/11, Mr. Steyn blogs at SteynOnline (www.steynonline.com). 48 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m boasting that she’ll be shrieking “Allahu akbar!” when the Great Satan takes her out too, the “faded portrait” is well worth your time: Back then, just before the U.S.S.R. fell apart, the jihadist crone looked like a mildly pastier version of an Eighties rock chick—a passable Dagestan doppelgänger for Joan Jett, with spiky black hair and kohl-ringed eyes. She loves rock ’n’ roll, so put another ruble in the jukebox, baby! Then she came to America and, after a decade in Cambridge, Mass., returned to her native land as a jihadist cliché—pro-sharia, pro-terrorist, pro-martyrdom, proslaughter. She arrived here as Joan Jett, and went back all black heart. The Tsarnaevs were a mixed marriage. Pop was Chechen, Mom was Dagestani, from the Z-list stan on Chechnya’s borders. But there’s really no such thing as a “Dagestani.” Dagestan is a wild mountain-man version of Cambridge, celebrating diversity until it hurts. Its population includes Azerbaijanis, whom you’ve heard of, because they’re from the stan that thinks it’s a jan. The rest of the guys are—stan well back—Avars, Dargins, Kumyks, Laks, Rutuls, Aghuls, Nogais, Tsakhurs, and Tabasarans. Oh, and Lezgians, a mountain tribe of fearsome female warriors high on fermented yak’s milk. I’m making that last bit up, but for a moment you weren’t sure, were you? Dagestan has everything except Dagestanis. They’re all in Ingushetia, maybe. For the last decade, I’ve been lectured by the nuanceyboys on how one can’t generalize about Islam, and especially about Islam in the West: There are as many fascinating differences between Mirpuri Pakistanis in Yorkshire and Algerian Berbers in Clichy-sous-Bois as there are between Nogais and Lezgians in Dagestan. No doubt. But, whatever their particular inheritance, many young Muslims in the West come to embrace a pan-Islamic identity. The Tsarnaev boys, for example, fell under the influence of an “Australian sheikh.” That’s to say, a sheikh born in Sydney. While back in the Caucasus in 2012, Tamerlan is rumored to have met William Plotnikov, a Toronto jihadist whose Siberian parents are such assimilated Canadians they winter as Florida snowbirds. When they came back, they found a note from William saying he’d gone to France for Ramadan. And thence east, to his rendezvous with the virgins. Like the photographs of Mrs. Tsarnaeva then and now, these are stories of dis-assimilation, of secularized Easterners who in the vacuum of Western multiculturalism search for identity and find a one-stop shop in Islamic imperialism. Either that, or it’s the local gym. Like Lors and Tamerlan, the Aussie sheikh and the Canuck terrorist were boxers. For African-Americans, boxing used to be the way out of the ghetto. For Western Muslims, boxing is apparently the way out of Cambridge, Mass.—and straight into jihad. M AY 20, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/29/2013 1:17 PM Page 1 Taught by Professor David Zarefsky IM ED T E OF IT northwestern university FE R LIM Argumentation: The Study of Effective Reasoning, 2nd Edition 70% 1 off O RD E R BY J U LY How to Make Your Point Reasoning, tested by doubt, is argumentation. We do it, hear it, and judge it every day. We do it in our own minds, and we do it with others. What is effective reasoning? And how can it be done persuasively? These questions have been asked for thousands of years—yet some of the best thinking on reasoning and argumentation is very new and represents a break from the past. Argumentation: The Study of Effective Reasoning, 2nd Edition teaches you how to reason. It teaches how to persuade others that what you think is right. And it teaches how to judge and answer the arguments of others—and how they will judge yours. With the help of Professor David Zarefsky, a nationally recognized authority on rhetoric, you’ll discover all the knowledge and insight you need for success in this vital part of everyday life. Offer expires 07/01/13 1-800-832-2412 www.thegreatcourses.com/7natr lecture titles 1. Introducing Argumentation and Rhetoric 2. Underlying Assumptions of Argumentation 3. Formal and Informal Argumentation 4. History of Argumentation Studies 5. Argument Analysis and Diagramming 6. Complex Structures of Argument 7. Case Construction Requirements and Options 8. Stasis—The Heart of the Controversy 9. Attack and Defense I 10. Attack and Defense II 11. Language and Style in Argument 12. Evaluating Evidence 13. Reasoning from Parts to Whole 14. Reasoning with Comparisons 15. Establishing Correlations 16. Moving from Cause to Effect 17. Commonplaces and Arguments from Form 18. Hybrid Patterns of Inference 19. Validity and Fallacies I 20. Validity and Fallacies II 21. Arguments between Friends 22. Arguments among Experts 23. Public Argument and Democratic Life 24. The Ends of Argumentation Argumentation: The Study of Effective Reasoning, 2nd Edition Course no. 4294 | 24 lectures (30 minutes/lecture) SAVE UP TO $185 DVD $254.95NOW $69.95 CD $179.95 NOW $49.95 +$10 Shipping, Processing, and Lifetime Satisfaction Guarantee Priority Code: 77823 Designed to meet the demand for lifelong learning, The Great Courses is a highly popular series of audio and video lectures led by top professors and experts. Each of our more than 400 courses is an intellectually engaging experience that will change how you think about the world. Since 1990, over 10 million courses have been sold. base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/15/2013 11:16 AM Page 1 THE WORLD IS OUR HOME YOU ARE OUR GUEST Our food in Diamond First Class is inspired by the world’s finest restaurants. Perhaps our on-board chef can tempt you with a perfectly aged tenderloin steak, prepared medium rare? With a galley filled with the freshest ingredients including organic eggs and vegetables farmed exclusively for us, please feel free to order off menu. After all, you are our guest. Washington D.C. to Abu Dhabi daily. Etihad also flies to over 15 destinations in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh.