Mexico`s New Energy Industry
Transcription
Mexico`s New Energy Industry
Mexico’s New Energy Industry Secretary of Energy June 20th, 2016 #EnergiaMX THROUGHOUT THE VALUE CHAIN OIL&GAS INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES DOWNSTREAM PETROCHEMICALS PRODUCTION MIDSTREAM DISTRIBUTION AND UPSTREAM EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION OF HYDROCARBONS EXPANSION OF THE GAS PIPELINE NETWORK STORAGE NETWORKS FOR GASOLINE AND DIESEL LIQUEFACTION AND REFINING: COMPRESSION TERMINALS AND REGASIFICATION OF NATURAL GAS TERMINALS GASOLINE AND DIESEL PRODUCTION COGENERATION PROJECTS IN REFINERIES AND GAS PROCESSING CENTERS NATURAL GAS AND LP GAS COMMERCIALIZATION RETAIL: GASOLINE AND DIESEL 2 INVESTING IN MEXICO: UPSTREAM • Open participation in exploration and production activities through bidding rounds organized by the State. • Competitive and flexible contract models, based on international best practices. • Greater certainty for investors through an Exploration and Extraction Five Year Plan.* *Available at: http://www.gob.mx/sener/acciones-y-programas/plan-quinquenal-de-licitaciones-para-la-exploracion-y-extraccion-dehidrocarburos-2015-2019-7652 3 ROUND ONE 1. 1 1. 2 1. 3 Exploration in Shallow Waters Extraction in Shallow Waters Extraction in Onshore Fields 2 Contracts awarded 3 Contracts awarded 25 Contracts awarded 4 INVESTING IN MEXICO: ROUND ONE 30 CONTRACTS AWARDED* 3 28 BIDS NEW COMPANIES OF FOR 7 COUNTRIES HYDROCARBONS 18 MEXICAN COMPANIES * 24 SIGNED AWARDED: 69% (33 OF 48 BLOCKS) MORE THAN 70% OF INCOME FOR THE STATE CONTRACTS 7 BILLION USD OF INVESTMENT 5 Exploration in Deep Water • License Contract ROUND ONE FOURTH BID • 10 exploration areas • 24 000 km² • Depth range: 500 -3,600 m • Resources: super light, light and heavy oil, gas and wet gas • Prospective resources: 10, 889 Mmboe*. • 26 companies began qualification process. • Awarding date: December 5th Mexico’s new contracting model is designed to balance risks, attract investment and access to technology. *Mmboe: Million Barrels of Oil Equivalent 6 EXPANSION OF THE GAS PIPELINE NETWORK Increase natural gas based power generation (cheaper and cleaner) Meet natural gas industrial demand in the country 7 NATURAL GAS INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Source: Pemex Institutional Database, 1997-2015; Energy Information System, SIE, 2016. MMcf: Million cubic feet 8 EXPANSION OF THE GAS PIPELINE NETWORK (2012-2019) Mexicali Operational Gas Pipelines to 2012 Los Algodones I y II Operational Gas Pipelines to 2016 Nogales “Sásabe-Pto. Libertad” Naco Agua Prieta Sásabe Sásabe In development Pipelines Cd. Juárez / El Hueco Pipelines Projects San Isidro “Tarahumara” Samalayuca San“San Isidro-Samalayuca” Isidro Ojinaga “Samalayuca-Sásabe” Acuña Ojinaga Pto. Libertad “Ojinaga-El Encino” “El Encino-Topolobampo” “Pto. Libertad-Guaymas” Guaymas “Guaymas-EL Oro” El Encino LNG Regasification Centers Petrochemical Facilities Gas Processing Centers Piedras Negras “El Encino-Laguna” Colombia El Oro Topolobampo Gas Interconection before 2012 Gas Interconection after 2012 Cd. Mier Reynosa / Argüelles “NET Mexico” Escobedo La Laguna Camar Río Bravo Los Ramones “El Oro-Mazatlán” go Matamoros Durango “La Laguna- Ags.” “Matamoros-Tuxpan” “Los Ramones” Mazatlán “Zacatecas” Zacatecas “Villa de Reyes-Ags-Guadalajara” Guadalajara Additional 10, 000 KM Altamira Naranjos S.L.P. Ags V. Reyes Tamazunch . ale “Tamazunchale-El Sauz” Tuxpa Apaseo el n Tul Alto Pedro “Tuxpan-Tula” Nativit a Escobedo as “Morelos” Mérida Cancún Huexca Estimated Investment: 16 billion USD Jáltipa n Lázaro Cárdenas Acapulco Salina Cruz FIVE YEAR PLAN Available in Spanish at: http://www.gob.mx/sener/acciones-y-programas/plan-quinquenal-de-gas-natural-2015-2019 MMcf: Million of cubic feet Cd. Nvo. Pemex Pemex “Ampliación Mayakán” 9 Tapachula INVESTING IN MEXICO: MID, DOWNSTREAM AND OIL PRODUCTS Low oil prices improve refining margins and present opportunities to invest in the expansion of Mexico’s midstream and downstream infrastructure to satisfy domestic demand and take advantage of regional opportunities in the North American market. 10 INVESTING IN MEXICO: MIDSTREAM AND OIL PRODUCTS Oil Refineries Storage and Distribution Centers (TAR) to 2012 Storage and Distribution Centers (TAR) to 2016 Pipelines to 2012 Pipelines to 2016 Railway Infrastructure for Petroleum Products Maritime Terminals Terrestrial Imports Maritime Imports “Topolobampo-Culiacán” The variety of North American crudes allows for the optimization of existing regional refining infrastructure to fulfill the current and growing demand for fuels and other oil derived products. “Minatitlán-Villa Hermosa” “Pajaritos-Salina Cruz” TAR Pto. Chiapas 11 DOWNSTREAM INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Mexico’s dependency on imports has grown over the past decade, aiming to revert this tendency, the Energy Reform provides a legal framework for companies to participate throughout the value chain. Source: Pemex Institutional Database, 1997-2015; Energy Information System, SIE, 2016. Mbd: Million barrels per day 12 GRADUAL MARKET LIBERALIZATION: GASOLINE AND DIESEL Transition to market prices for gasoline and diesel retail Pemex product offering and other suppliers 2017 2015 Maximum prices for gasoline and diesel, adjusted according to expected inflation.* • Magna Gasoline: $13.16/l • Premium Gasoline: $13.95/l • Diesel: $13.77/l 2018 Free prices based on market conditions Public retail: Pemex and other brands 2016 onwards Imports: Exclusive by Pemex Until March 31, 2016 Free imports From April 1, 2016 SENER HAS AUTHORIZED 64 PERMITS FOR GASOLINE AND 96 FOR DIESEL** * Fiscal and Federal Income Law 2016. ** Up to June 10th 2016 13 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN ELECTRICITY SPOT MARKET POWER GENERATION NEW TRANSMISSION LINES TRADING OF: ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE CAPACITY COLLABORATE WITH CFE IN DEVELOPING TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION LINES CLEAN ENERGY CERTIFICATES (CECS) TRANSMISSION RIGHTS AUCTIONS 14 NEW ELECTRICITY MODEL POWER GENERATION Short Term Transactions Subsidiary “A” Subsidiary “B” ELECTRIC MARKET ELECTRIC MARKET CENACE Independent System Operator RETAILIN RETAILING G CONSUPTI CONSUMPTION ON Unregulated Supply Qualified Users Spot Market Basic Service Users Subsidiary “C” Private Parties Long Term Contracts Auctions and Contracts Regulated Supply and Contracts CFE legal division Transmission Distribution 15 INVESTMENT IN POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION LINES 2016-2030 New Power Generation Capacity, 2016-2030 100 80 57 MW new capacity GW 60 • Additional 57 Gigawatts • 28, 000 Km of transmission lines • 400 new power plants (63% of which is clean energy) • $131 billion dollar investment → 75% power generation ($98 billion) 40 Competitive CFE 20 CFE PPAs 0 Existing Retired New Private → 13% for power distribution ($17 billion) → 12% for transmission lines ($16 billion) *Source: National Electric System Development Program (PRODESEN) 2016-2030 16 CLEAN ENERGY MAIN GOALS • Mexico has defined a clean power generation goal of 35% by 2024 • By 2030, 63% of electric infrastructure will be for clean power generation* • By 2021, 31% of the power will come from renewable sources * • 40 obsolete power plants will be retired and replaced with cleaner sources* RENEWABLE ENERGY NATIONAL INVENTORY Renewable energy potential and probed resources are registered in the Renewable Energy National Inventory http://inere.energia.gob.mx - * The National Electric System Development Program (PRODESEN) available at https://www.gob.mx/sener/acciones-y-programas/programa-de-desarrollo-del-sistema-electriconacional-33462 17 FIRST LONG TERM AUCTION WIND 19% • 18 winning bids from 11 companies • Additional 2,085 MW • 2,600 million USD of investment (3 years) • 5.3 million of Clean Energy Certificates SOLAR 81% • 75% increase in existing renewable capacity Second Auction results: September 30th 18 SENER www.gob.mx/sener Follow Round 1: www.ronda1.gob.mx Renewable Energy National Inventory : http://inere.energia.gob.mx/version4.5/ 19
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