Australia Hardwood Market Research Report
Transcription
Australia Hardwood Market Research Report
Australia Hardwood Market Research Report Prepared by Dr Peter Volker Forestry Tasmania for Chile Nitens P.I.T. Australia Hardwood Market Research Report Prepared by Dr Peter Volker Forestry Tasmania for Chile Nitens P.I.T. August 2009 Correspondence should be addressed to: Dr Peter Volker Forestry Tasmania PO Box 207 Hobart TAS 7001 AUSTRALIA Email: peter.volker@forestrytas.com.au Tel: +61 3 6233 7444 All Rights Reserved This report is for the exclusive use of the Chile Nitens PIT group members. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including, but not limited to, photocopying recording or otherwise, nor may any part of this publication be distributed to any person not a full-time employee of a member of the Chile Nitens PIT group without prior consent of the author. Chile Nitens PIT group members agree to take all reasonable measures to safeguard this confidentiality. Disclaimer Although great care has been taken to ensure accuracy and completeness of this report, no legal responsibility can be accepted by Forestry Tasmania for information expressed within. Cover photo E. nitens small sawlogs being delivered to FEA sawmill at Bell Bay to produce EcoAsh® lumber. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence ii . Table of contents 1 2 Introduction_____________________________________________________________ 1 1.1 Purpose of this Report ________________________________________________________ 1 1.2 Background of Chile hardwood forest and processing ______________________________ 1 Overview of the Australian macro–economy and Forest Industries __________ 3 2.1 Australia Macro-economy _____________________________________________________ 3 2.2 Australia's Forest Industries ___________________________________________________ 4 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.3 3 4 Economic and social contribution ____________________________________________________ Wood production and consumption___________________________________________________ Trade __________________________________________________________________________ Australia – Chile Free Trade Agreement_______________________________________________ Outlook ________________________________________________________________________ 4 4 5 6 7 Australia Relevant Timber Industries – growing and processing _____________________ 8 Australia Hardwood Market _____________________________________________ 10 3.1 Demand and supply of hardwood products ______________________________________ 10 3.2 Forecast in the future years ___________________________________________________ 13 3.3 Product Sourcing ___________________________________________________________ 14 3.4 Role of plantation eucalypts___________________________________________________ 15 Issues Analyses and Market Opportunities _______________________________ 16 4.1 What are macro-economic variables in Australia economy in term of hardwood products? 16 4.2 What are the driving forces of the demand for the hardwood products in Australia market?_________________________________________________________________________ 16 4.3 5 What is situation of opportunities in term of Chile hardwood products in Australia? ___ 16 Learning from previous experience in Australia, Chile and elsewhere ______ 18 5.1 Processing plantation eucalypts________________________________________________ 18 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 5.2 Silviculture of eucalypt plantations for high value timber __________________________ 22 5.2.1 5.2.2 5.2.3 6 Sawing________________________________________________________________________ 18 Veneer production _______________________________________________________________ 19 Drying ________________________________________________________________________ 20 Thinning and pruning ____________________________________________________________ 22 Tree breeding __________________________________________________________________ 22 Protection from pests and diseases __________________________________________________ 23 Conclusions and Recommendations _____________________________________ 24 Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence iii Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence iv Australian Market Research Peter Volker 1 Introduction Dr Peter Volker (Field Services Manager) and Mr Sandy Chen (Export Manager) from Forestry Tasmania were engaged by the Chile E. nitens PIT Project. A visit to Chile was conducted from April 21 to May 1, 2009 to inspect E. nitens plantations, processing factories and transport infrastructure. This has provided background information, which has led to recommendations to develop the industry in Chile (see below). This report provides an overview of the Australian forest industry with particular focus on the eucalypt plantation industry in the context of management for high value products (ie products other than pulpwood). This aspect is relevant to the participants in the Chile Nitens PIT project. Comparisons are made with the Chile E. nitens plantation sector. 1.1 Purpose of this Report This report is to be read in conjunction with the report on General Market Strategy (Chen and Volker 2009)1 which outlines a proposal for future development of the nitens industry to support silviculture, harvesting, processing and marketing of the E. nitens pruned and thinned plantation resources in Chile. 1.2 Background of Chile hardwood forest and processing We visited Chile in April 2009 to meet with members of the Chile Nitens PIT project. We held discussions with senior managers at timber processing plants and inspected their factories. We also inspected a number of plantations in Regions IX, X and XIV that had been managed with thinning and pruning regimes to produce clear, defect-free timber. Our observations included the following: - Three major companies control 70% of the log supply - These three companies have not shown any interest in processing E. nitens for veneer or sawn timber, however should they decide to do so they have resources and will exert a strong market pull. - Prices for E. nitens in the pulpwood market are lower than E. globulus and while nitens is preferred for some pulp grades it is not likely to gain attractive prices for smaller private growers. - E. nitens non-industrial private growers have made significant investment in thinning and pruning with a total of about 8,000 ha treated in this way. - Pruning has been done to a high standard and thinning has been carried out on time as far as we could observe. - E. nitens growth rates are exceptional and in some cases match the highest productivity for eucalypt plantations anywhere in the world. - There appears to be a substantial amount of the resource that is ready to utilise in high value processing; finding markets for this is becoming urgent. - There are very few threats to the E. nitens resource at the moment from pests and diseases, droughts or fire. Protection efforts are very important. A single incursion of a pest or disease could be disastrous. - Labour costs are low which enables intensive manual operations such as pruning and manual thinning to be carried out economically – this situation may change as the economy grows. 1 Chen, S. and Volker, P.W. 2009. General Market Strategy. Report for Chile E. nitens PIT Group. Forestry Tasmania. 16pp. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 1 Australian Market Research - - - - - - - Peter Volker Chile needs regional development to sustain communities and economies outside the major urban centres. Road and transport infrastructure is good and forests are generally accessible. Winter logging is a problem where there are no established roads, especially on private property. The railway system is not in operation at the moment. Concepcion is the only major shipping port with sufficient infrastructure for container handling. Average trucking distance from Region X and XIV is about 600km. Chile has strong international trade. Chile imports goods from China and there is opportunity to utilise shipping capacity and containers for return shipping of forest products. Corral port is used for bulk shipping of woodchips relying on barge transport from various storage facilities on Rio Valdivia. There is no infrastructure for container handling and road access is a problem. There are a number of processors in from Puerto Montt to Concepcion who have been utilising eucalypts, however primary production is generally with radiata pine. Timber processing technologies used in Chile are comparable with major timber processing infrastructure in developed economies. We visited a number of factories producing highly value-added products such as doors, furniture components, decorative panels, flooring with a range of native forest timbers and locally grown plantation species, all these factories expressed a desire to use the eucalypt resource. Low labour costs make Chile highly competitive in commodity products. Problems have been encountered where equipment, sawing patterns, peeling thickness and drying techniques used for radiata pine have been applied to eucalypts. Considerable technical difficulties with processing of eucalypts as veneer or sawn timber has had a negative effect on confidence although there is a willingness to overcome these problems. Experiences with processing of E. nitens have been both positive and negative. Appearance and uniform colour are viewed in a positive manner. Strength is also better than radiata so there are applications which can use these characteristics. Problems in drying sawn timber and veneer have contributed to negative perceptions and low recovery rate of high value products. Fast growth rate of Chile E. nitens has resulted in reduced basic density which can lead to reduced surface hardness – an issue for flooring products and furniture. Sawmills tended to produce backsawn timber from eucalypts and then encountered difficulties with drying, making the wood only suitable for low grade use such as pallet timber. This is a common problem with eucalypts and more care needs to be taken with drying back sawn timber. Where quarter (radial) sawing has been used, combined with low temperature kiln drying, such as the Stück factory in Tome, products have been of high quality, similar to high quality timber in Australia. There has been a significant amount of work undertaken in Chile on the E. nitens resource and how to add value to it over the past 5 years with INFO/CORFO Informes Técnicos Nos 164,165, 166, 172 and 175. These form the basis of moving forward with industrial processing of the resource. There is a good core of people with technical knowledge and others with commercial experience. The people within Chile E. nitens PIT are well placed to take advantage of these resources to move the industry forward to create jobs and economic development for this region of Chile. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 2 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 2 Overview of the Australian macro–economy and Forest Industries 2.1 Australia Macro-economy The following paragraphs are taken from a recent IMF Article IV Consultation in Australia2. It points to a strong economy, which is in a good position to cope with the global financial crisis. 1. 2. Box 1: Summary of Australian economic outlook Following a prolonged expansion, reflecting sound macroeconomic policies and favourable terms of trade, global events have slowed Australia’s economic growth well below trend. Declining commodity prices, tightening credit conditions in global capital markets, and slowing world growth have reduced activity as well as household and business confidence. However, the downturn has been milder than in most other advanced countries. This is because of strong commodity exports, a flexible exchange rate, a healthy banking sector, and a timely and significant macro policy response. With growing evidence that the global slowdown would have a significant domestic impact, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) early and substantive reduction in the cash rate helped support domestic demand as the external environment deteriorated. Further, the RBA’s measures to provide liquidity and the government’s introduction of guarantees on deposits and wholesale funding enabled the financial system to continue to provide credit. In addition, the enviable fiscal position, resulting from a string of surpluses that had eliminated Commonwealth net debt, created fiscal space that allowed a sizable stimulus to be delivered. The Outlook and Risks 3. The near-term growth outlook remains weak and highly uncertain. Real GDP is projected to decline by ½ percent in 2009, as lower commodity income, rising unemployment, and weak confidence reduce domestic demand. The recovery will likely be slow. Growth is projected to rebound to about 1½ percent in 2010, led by government spending, as households and businesses deleverage. Output will likely remain below potential for a number of years, reducing core inflation. The current account is projected to remain in deficit, with net foreign liabilities relative to GDP rising, as Australia will remain an attractive destination for foreign investment, especially in the resource sector. 4. In our view, risks to the outlook are balanced. On the downside, the world economy could take longer to recover, with significant spillovers to Australia through commodity sector incomes, external demand, and international capital markets. Domestically, a sharper than expected deterioration in banks’ asset quality, possibly stemming from lower house prices, could constrain credit and deepen the downturn. A high impact tail risk would be a decline of investor confidence in the banks or the sovereign. However, this is highly unlikely given the low level of public debt and track record of sound macroeconomic policies. On the upside, a key risk is stronger-than-expected demand from China. A further upside risk is that domestic and foreign economies could be more responsive than expected to the considerable policy stimulus currently in place. Australia’s economy has been relatively stable over the past 10 years with reasonably strong economic growth, low interest rates and low inflation. Australia is reliant to a large extent on its wealth of mineral resources, coal, primary industries (forests, fisheries and agriculture) to provide export commodities and support its manufacturing industries. Compared with Chile, Australia has high labour costs. Therefore resource extraction and manufacturing industries must rely on a high degree of mechanisation to improve productivity and reduce unit labour costs. The current Australian minimum wage is AUD $14.31 per hour3. 2 3 See http://www.imf.org/external/np/ms/2009/062309a.htm See http://www.fairpay.gov.au/fairpay/WageSettingDecisions/ Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 3 Australian Market Research Peter Volker Table 1: Australian main macroeconomic indicators GDP Growth Interest rates (%) Inflationc Consumer a b (%) (%) Price Indexd Short term Long term 2000-01 2.0 5.8 5.8 6.0 132.2 2001-02 3.9 4.6 5.9 2.9 136.0 2002-03 3.2 4.8 5.4 3.1 140.2 2003-04 4.1 5.3 5.7 2.4 143.5 2004-05 2.8 5.5 5.4 2.4 147.0 2005-06 3.0 5.7 5.4 3.2 151.7 2006-07 3.2 6.3 5.8 2.9 156.1 2007-08 3.7 7.3 6.2 3.4 161.4 a 90 day bank bills, b10 year Treasury bonds,cPercentage change in the Consumer Price Index, d1989-90 = 100 In many respects Australia and Chile have similarities. Population size is similar 21 millions and 16 millions respectively. Both countries have diversified economies with primary industries such as mining, fisheries, forestry, agriculture and manufacturing industry. Chile has the advantage of lower labour costs but our impression is that productivity is probably lower. Chile and Australia have high degree of urbanisation of the population with increasing wealth. Housing construction is a big driver for consumption of forest products in both countries. Increased wealth brings higher demand for high quality products such as furniture and appearance grade products for walls, joinery products and floors. Both countries have large population to their north, which provide significant market opportunities. Transport infrastructure is very important in both countries for efficient movement of goods through the country and export from shipping ports. 2.2 Australia's Forest Industries 2.2.1 Economic and social contribution Forest industries contribute significantly to the economic and social well being of rural and regional Australia. These industries occur across a range of sectors including forest growing and management, timber harvesting and haulage, timber saw milling, processing and manufacturing, pulp and paper manufacturing and timber merchandising. Forest industries are Australia's second largest manufacturing industry with an annual turnover of AU$21.4 billion. The industry contributes around 0.6 per cent to Australia's Gross Domestic Product and 6.7 per cent of manufacturing output. Approximately 76,800 people are directly employed in Australia’s forest and wood products industry, including 13,200 people in the forestry and logging sectors and 63,600 people in the wood manufacturing sectors. The yearly wages paid are AU$3.57 billion or an average of AU$46,484 per person. 2.2.2 Wood production and consumption In 2007-08, 28 million cubic metres of logs were harvested from Australia’s production forests for a gross value of around $1.9 billion (Table 2). Around two-thirds of this log harvest was from plantations with the reminder from native forests. Australia’s total log Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 4 Australian Market Research Peter Volker harvest has increased by 35 per cent over the past ten years consisting of a 75 per cent increase in logs harvested from plantations and a 10 per cent decrease in logs from native forests over this period. During 2007-08, Australia’s log harvest produced: - 5.4 million m3 of sawnwood - 1.8 million m3 of wood based panels; - 1 million m3 of roundwood; - 1.1 million tonnes of softwood woodchips; - 5.0 million tonnes of eucalypt woodchips; and - 3.3 million tonnes of paper and paperboard. 2.2.3 Trade Australia has traditionally carried a deficit in the trade of its forest and wood products. While total exports of wood products in 2007–08 were AU$2.4 billion, imports were $4.3 billion, representing a trade deficit of AU$1.9 billion (Table 2). Most of this deficit is in paper products as they account for around half ($2.2 billion) of Australia’s imports in 2007–08. Sawn wood is also a significant import valued at AU$492 million in 2007–08 (Table 2). Nearly half of all imported sawn wood comes from New Zealand mostly in the form of softwood timber. Significant wood product imports also come from countries such as China, Malaysia and Indonesia. The main export from Australia is wood chips with 6.2 million tonnes exported during 2007–08 with a value of over AU$1 billion (Table 2). This represents 43% of Australia’s wood product exports. Of Australia’s total woodchip exports in 2007-08, 87% was to Japan. In 2007–08, exports to Japan made up 39% of the value of Australia’s total wood product exports, while exports to New Zealand and China accounted for 15% each of the total value. In 2007-08 imports from Chile were mainly in the form of dressed sawn wood amounting to 34,200 m3 with a value of AU$20 million. This compares with imports from New Zealand 297,100 m3, Canada 84,100 m3, Czech Republic 77,300 m3 and Germany 40,100 m3. All of these imports were either rough sawn or dressed softwood lumber. Other major imports to Australia in 2007-08 were veneer 31,500 m3 (AU$1048 million), plywood 237,000m3 (AU$645 million) , particle board 100,000 k m3 (AU$340 million), hardboard 32,000m3 (AU$875 million) and MDF 68,000m3 (AU$33 million) (Table 2). Figure 1: E. nitens plantation timber Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 5 Australian Market Research Peter Volker Table 2: Overview of the Australian forest industry Unit 1997-98 2002-03 2006-07 2007-08 Percentage change from: 10 years 5 years last ago ago year Plantation area Broadleaved Coniferous Total '000 ha '000 ha ‘000 ha 335 936 1272 676 988 1666 883 1010 1903 950 1014 1973 183% 8% 55% 40% 3% 18% 7.5% 0.4% 3.7% Plantations established Broadleaved Coniferous Total '000 ha '000 ha '000 ha 54 12 66 31 11 42 76 11 87 66 6 72 23% -46% 10% 110% -42% 71% -13.2% -40.0% -16.5% Logs harvested Native broadleaved Plantation broadleaved Coniferous Total ’000 m3 ’000 m3 ’000 m3 ’000 m3 9937 206 11 016 21158 10314 1594 13911 25819 8551 4052 14580 27182 8940 4607 14913 28461 -10% 2134% 35% 35% -13% 189% 7% 10% 4.6% 13.7% 2.3% 4.7% Gross value of log production Broadleaved Coniferous Total $m $m $m 516 586 1102 699 777 1476 843 869 1713 976 895 1872 89% 53% 70% 40% 15% 27% 15.8% 3.0% 9.3% Volume of production Sawnwood Wood-based panels Paper and paperboard ’000 m3 ’000 m3 kt 3851 1554 2542 4668 2030 3061 5163 1743 3192 5371 1800 3281 39% 16% 29% 15% -11% 7% 4.0% 3.3% 2.8% Apparent consumption Sawnwood Wood-based panels Paper and paperboard ’000 m3 ’000 m3 kt 4589 1530 3466 5378 1900 3784 5348 b 1800 4183 5806 1981 4338 27% 29% 25% 8% 4% 15% 8.6% 10.1% 3.7% Employment '000 78 83 83 77 -1% -8% -7.8% Housing activity Dwelling unit commencements '000 148 170 152 159 7% -7% 4.2% 784 423 227 144 1339 1697 3071 810 505 369 206 1466 2158 4086 611 418 430 276 1796 2270 4271 784 492 483 284 1847 2248 4412 0% 16% 112% 97% 38% 33% 44% -3% -2% 31% 38% 26% 4% 8% 28.4% 17.7% 12.4% 2.8% 2.8% -1.0% 3.3% 310% 71% -46% -42% 6% 1% 13% 33% 18% -18.6% -17.1% -11.5% -13.5% -1.8% -2.3% 3.6% 12.8% 4.9% Imports Sawnwood Wood-based panels Paper and paperboard Total ’000 m3 $m ’000 m3 $m kt $m $m Exports Sawnwood ’000 m3 38 82 416 338 778% $m 30 70 145 120 302% Wood-based panels ’000 m3 215 503 309 274 28% $m 81 188 126 109 35% Paper and paperboard kt 415 742 805 790 90% $m 318 630 650 635 100% Woodchips kt 4315 5437 5952 6166 43% $m 646 808 950 1072 66% Total $m 1348 2091 2355 2471 83% (from: ABARE 2009, Australian forest and wood products statistics, September and December quarters 2008) ($ = Australian Dollars; $m = millions of dollars, kt = 1000 tonnes, ‘000m3 = 1000 cubic metres) 2.2.4 Australia – Chile Free Trade Agreement Australia and Chile entered into a Free Trade Agreement, which came into force on 6 March 2009. The A-C FTA covers trade in goods, services and investment and is truly liberalising with commitments that go beyond both countries’ WTO commitments. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 6 Australian Market Research Peter Volker The A-C FTA delivers the most comprehensive outcome on goods in any such agreement negotiated with another agricultural producing country since the Closer Economic Relations Agreement with New Zealand. Tariffs on all existing merchandise trade, in both directions, will be eliminated by 2015. The vast majority of Australian goods exported into Chile – and Chilean goods exported to Australia - will enter duty free from entry into force of the FTA on 6 March 2009. Two-way trade between Australia and Chile is growing fast – up from A$574 million in 2006 to A$856 million in 2007. Australia is the 4th-largest foreign investor in Chile, with around US$3 billion of direct investment. 2.2.5 Outlook Australia is well placed to take advantage of the long-term expansion of wood and fibre markets in the Asia-Pacific region. Australia's domestic market also provides a solid investment platform for strategies to replace imports and develop export opportunities. The high quality of Australia’s production forest resource and world-competitiveness of supporting infrastructure, such as transport and manufacturing, make Australia’s forest sector an attractive investment opportunity. As such, there is a range of future investment planned in Australia’s forest industries including investment in hardwood and softwood sawmills, pulp and paper mills, wood product export facilities and engineered wood product mills. The reliance on Japan for export of hardwood woodchips has caused considerable problems during the past 12 months. Demand is down by 40% and stockpiles are building up. Prices for export plantation blue gum have held steady at AUD$207.40 per bone dry tonne, free on board. Native forest chips are at about $160/bdt FOB but price varies with quality, based on pulp yield. Spot sales of chips at reduced prices have been made into Chinese markets. There is still strong demand for hardwood sawn-timber and other products in Australia. Domestic production is supplemented by imports from near neighbours. There has been some concern that at least 30% of imported hardwood products in Australia is the result of illegal logging practices. Timber sourced from Indonesia, Malaysia and China is thought to originate from illegal logging operations in Pacific Island countries (Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands), internal illegal activities in Indonesia and Malaysia and operations in other south-east Asian nations. The Australian government is taking actions to address this issue and there is also a strong consumer led push for chain of custody certification. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 7 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 2.3 Australia Relevant Timber Industries – growing and processing The timber processing industry is undergoing significant change in Australia. As discussed before softwood timber is replacing hardwood timber in the market. In addition the native-forest hardwood sawmilling industry is undergoing significant change. Table 3 demonstrates the decline in number of small sawmills taking less than 15,000 m3 of log intake per annum in both hardwoods and softwood sectors. Table 3: Number of sawmills in Australia, by log intake Log intake (m3/yr) Less than 3 000 3 000 to less than 15 000 15 000 to less than 45 000 45 000 to less than 75 000 75 000 to less than 100 000 More than 100 000 Total 1996 -97 672 160 40 10 4 0 886 hardwood 1999 -00 602 180 59 12 4 5 862 2006 -07 337 101 55 7 1 1 502 1996 -97 146 61 26 1 7 15 256 softwood 1999 2006 -00 -07 151 13 68 41 27 21 8 8 3 3 22 22 279 108 1996 -97 818 221 66 11 11 15 1142 total 1999 -00 753 248 86 20 7 27 1141 2006 -07 350 142 76 15 4 23 610 There is an increasing shift to larger sawmills with high log input. Since these figures were published there has been two softwood mills opened in Australia with log inputs about 1 million m3 per annum. These new mills have a high level of technology with such improvements as three-dimensional log scanning, improved cutting patterns to maximize sawn recovery and minimum kerf. The technology has been taken up in the softwood sector more than the hardwood sector. Most of the hardwood sawing in Australia is from native forest eucalypts. Sawmills are generally based on large circular break-down saws for large diameter logs in excess of 100cm LED. Further log breakdown is usually done by stationary bandsaws with logs passed through in a reciprocating motion. Modern mills use high-tension, thin-kerf saws and are fully automated (eg ITC Sawmill at Huon in Tasmania visited by Chile group in 2007). The native hardwood resource is changing to a smaller diameter regrowth resource where the average LED is around 60cm. In some ways this resource is easier for sawmills to handle and is suitable for increased automation and higher throughput with high-speed saws. There are other outside influences on the availability of native forest eucalypt resource including increasing ENGO pressure to stop native forest logging, increased area of native forest taken out of production through declaration of national parks. There is also evidence of declining international customer interest in woodchips from native forest sources due to low pulp yield and more availability of high pulp yield plantation resources throughout the world. The move into plantation resources and away from native forests also means that large timber beams and larger dimension boards are no longer being produced from native forest resources. Engineered wood products such as LVL made from plantation resources then replace these lumber products. As markets develop there is also increased production of plywood, MDF, particleboard and other reconstituted wood products to Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 8 Australian Market Research Peter Volker utilise residues from plantation operations. In the past two years a significant biofuel industry has emerged to produce wood pellets from plantation residues. Figure 2: Tasmanian oak flooring Figure 4: Eucalypt veneer and plywood press Figure 3: E. nitens boards from HewSaw Figure 5: Tasmanian oak parquetry flooring Figure 6: Rotary peeled eucalypt veneer Figure 7: Recently thinned E. nitens plantation in Tasmania (8 years old). Figure 8: Demonstration of pruning on clearwood production (E. nitens) Figure 9: Cutting clearwood from a pruned log (E. nitens) Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 9 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 3 Australia Hardwood Market 3.1 Demand and supply of hardwood products The area of plantations in Australia increased from 1.63 million hectares in 2003 to 1.82 million hectares in 2006. Nearly all the increase was in hardwood (mostly pulpwood) plantations, from 503,000 hectares in 2000 to 807,000 hectares in 2006. 4500 New South Wales Victoria Queensland South Australia Western Australia Tasmania 4000 3500 Volume ('000 m3) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Figure 10: Australian softwood sawn timber production Growth in sawn-timber markets has been filled entirely by softwood (Figure 10). The demand for hardwood sawn-timber has remained relatively static for the past 20 years and is showing signs of declining (Figure 11). In Australia most of the hardwood logs for sawmilling and veneer processing are sourced from native forests. Increased areas of native forest in Australia are being removed from production as they are put into conservation reserves. Existing production is being sourced from regrowth native forests where log sizes are generally smaller than previous experience from older native forests. The softwood timber has replaced hardwood in structural applications in the housing market. Hardwood timber is now used mostly for floorboards, decorative panels and furniture. Hardwood beams are also used as structural elements in buildings, but face increased competition from laminated beams using softwood. Australia and Chile have similar softwood processing industries, based predominantly on radiata pine. These include sawn timber, plywood, MDF, particle board and engineered wood product manufacturers. Chile has a greater area of softwood plantations spread over a smaller geographical area than Australia. Much of Australian softwood timber use is for domestic markets and imported timber also comes from New Zealand. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 10 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 1400 1300 New South Wales Victoria Queensland South Australia Western Australia 2005-06 2006-07 Tasmania 1200 1100 Volume ('000 m3) 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2007-08 Year Figure 11: Australian hardwood sawn timber production In Australia there is no substantial use of plantation eucalypts for sawmilling. Forestry Tasmania is the only enterprise that has established substantial area of thinned and pruned plantations. The estate size of these plantations aimed at high value timber products is approximately 20,000ha with most of the estate planted since 1993. From about 2020 onwards it is expected that this estate will yield 150,000 m3 per year of pruned logs, which meet sawlog specifications. There is only one company producing sawn timber from plantation eucalypts. Forest Enterprises Australia (FEA) produces EcoAsh (Figure 12) which is aimed at the house construction market (see http://www.fealtd.com/ecoash/index.php). EcoAsh is produced from E. nitens plantations Box 2: Forest Enterprises Australia eucalypt sawmill The new FEA sawmill in Bell Bay, Tasmania has potential capacity of 1,000,000 tonnes of timber a year. It is amongst the few sawmills in Australia that is capable of processing both hardwood and softwood and, of these, it is the only one that is commercially processing plantation grown hardwood. Logs up to 6.2 metres long by 750 millimetres in diameter first enter a high-speed 150 metre per minute Nicholson A8 de-barker which is installed with the green mill to eliminate most double handling of logs. The full scan and set greenmilling line was supplied by Optimil of Canada. It scans, rotates and angles the logs and a computerised chipper gives each log two flat faces. The line also incorporates a four-band breakdown saw, an edger and a 'cut on the curve' profiling and ripping saw. This high-tech facility optimises the number of boards which can be cut from each log, without a requirement for 'batching' logs of similar diameter. Ultimately, the result is much higher sawn timber yields than traditional mills, with FEA aiming to achieve over 56% useable sawn timber. The remaining timber after sawing becomes woodfibre for export by SmartFibre. The Bell Bay Sawmill also includes three high-temperature 140 cubic metre Windsor kilns, which can dry softwood in less than 24 hours and a low temperature Windsor kiln for hardwood. Heat for the kilns is supplied by the complex's own 20 megawatt steam boiler fuelled by sawdust and planer residue. This provides 70% of the mill's operating energy requirements. (Source: http://www.fealtd.com/feat/index.php) Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 11 Australian Market Research Peter Volker The single pass chipping and sawing process described above may have benefits for relieving growth stress normally encountered with sawing of young, fast-grown eucalypts. The drying process for eucalypts is also different to that required for radiata pine. One of the advantages of EcoAsh over softwood is better nail holding capacity, which is an advantage for builders during construction. However, there are issues with drying young, fast grown eucalypts. The market and production is small so it will take some time to get market acceptance. The price is relatively cheap (Table 4) but this is possibly due to attempts to gain market confidence by offering a lower price than competing softwood products. In Australia the common house construction method is a timber frame, clad with plasterboard on the inside and bricks, concrete or timber on the outside. Up until the 1980s the most common framing material was air-dried eucalypt timber. This has been replaced by kiln-dried softwood timber over the past 30 years. This explains the growth in softwood lumber sales and the decline in hardwood production. In recent years steel framing has entered the market. Retail prices for hardwood products are relatively low (Table 4), which reflects strong competition. In the flooring market there is strong competition from laminated flooring with timber veneer, plastic and paper over veneer finishes, these are laid on MDF, hardboard or plywood bases. In structural timber there is competition from softwood and LVL. Hardwood timber is expensive to produce due to low recovery rates in sawmills (30 to 35%), long drying times (one year air dried +17 weeks kiln dried) and quality degrade during drying. Sawmills are adding value by prefabrication of roof trusses, floor trusses and wall-frames. The advantage of hardwood over softwood is that smaller dimension timber can be used for the same application and hardwood is suitable for outside use. Figure 12: EcoAsh® timber from plantation grown E. nitens Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 12 Australian Market Research Peter Volker Table 4: Retail prices (per lineal metre) of common timber grades in Australia Product Flooring (dressed, tongue and groove) Structural Source Tasmanian Oak Flooded gum (standard) (E. grandis) Flooded gum (select) Spotted gum (Corymbia maculata) Tasmanian oak (E. regnans, obliqua, delegatensis) EcoAsh (4.8 m length) Radiata pine LVL (softwood) Dimension 85 x 19 130 x 19 80 x 19 130 x 19 80 x 19 130 x 19 80 x 19 130 x 19 70 x 35 90 x 35 115 x 35 190 x 35 110 x 45 120 x 45 140 x 45 190 x 45 240 x 45 90 x 35 90 x 35 240 x 45 Price (AUD) $5.12 $7.72 $4.99 $9.35 $5.83 $10.54 $6.29 $9.35 $3.49 $4.99 $7.19 $12.99 $7.89 $9.99 $11.99 $16.99 $21.99 $2.99 $3.70 $24.99 3.2 Forecast in the future years Softwood plantations produce about two-thirds of Australia's log supply; that proportion has been increasing steadily for several years because native forest hardwood supply has declined, while softwood plantation supply has increased. Based on current plantings: • softwood sawlog and pulpwood supply is expected to plateau by 2010 • hardwood pulpwood supply will increase substantially by 2010, providing increased opportunities for exports and paper manufacture • the supply of hardwood sawlogs from plantations is considerably lower than the supply from native forests and, while increasing, is expected to remain considerably lower for many years Figure 13 : Forecast supply of logs in Australia Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 13 Australian Market Research Peter Volker The projected pulpwood supply from eucalypt plantations in Australia could be as high as 15 million green tonnes per year in the period 2015-19, whereas sawlog supplies from eucalypt plantations will only reach about 258,000 m3 per year at the same time (Figure 13). The increased quantity of pulpwood from eucalypt plantations has the potential for a strong negative impact on prices through a significant oversupply. There is interest in expanding the area of eucalypt plantations managed for sawn timber and veneer with thinning and pruning regimes. However, it will be difficult as softwood sawn timber has gained significant market share and there is a lack of confidence in the hardwood sawmilling sector that plantation timber will be of suitable quality to replace existing sawn timber sourced from native forests. Any change in log supply would require substantial restructure of the hardwood sawmilling sector. 3.3 Product Sourcing Forestry Tasmania has pioneered the production of rotary peeled veneers from eucalypts aimed at container floor and house flooring markets in China and Japan respectively. The standard of logs required for producing this type of veneer is not too high, with logs diverted from the pulp stream. Plantation grown logs would be ideal with pruned logs able to produce face grade veneers and unpruned logs suitable for core veneer. At the moment there are two rotary peeled veneer factories operating in Tasmania with a total log intake per factory of 150,000m3 per year with veneer billet recovery of 120,000 m3 with veneer recovery of about 80%. Most of the logs for these rotary peeler operations are sourced from regrowth native forests. These forests are in the order of 100 to 300 years age and are very slow grown. Thinnings are taken from forests at about 30 years age. They are of mixed species including E. regnans, delegatensis, obliqua and E. globulus. The logs that are used are taken from the supply of logs, which were destined for the woodchip export market. Therefore the rotary peeled veneer market has increased the value of these resources. Sawn timber in Australia is sourced from a number of eucalypt species depending on location. In Tasmania and Victoria the main sources of native forest timber are E. regnans, delegatensis and obliqua which are all sold as lumber under the generic name of Australian Oak. In NSW the majority of timber sold is Corymbia maculata (Spotted gum), E. nitens (Shining gum) and E. grandis (Flooded gum). In Western Australia the main species are E. diversicolor (Karri) and C. marginata (Jarrah). In Tasmania E. globulus (Tasmanian blue gum) is preferred for high strength structural or engineering uses such as large beams, bridges and decking, put in place in a green state. Once it is dry it is very hard and difficult to work with. The majority of plantations in southern Australia are E. globulus aimed at the pulp market. These stands have no thinning or pruning and many of them are committed to be harvested at age 10 years. In Tasmania and Victoria E. nitens has been planted mostly for pulpwood but as stated before there is a small area of thinned and pruned plantations aimed at sawn timber and veneer. Not many of these stands have direct sawlog regimes, most are managed on commercial thinning regimes which produce pulpwood or small sawlogs from the thinned trees. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 14 Australian Market Research Peter Volker Unless there is a dramatic change in forest policy in Australia, the majority of eucalypt sawn-timber will continue to come from native forest sources. The characteristic of this resource is changing as the old-growth and older regrowth stands are being replaced by regrowth stands with smaller trees. This is also leading to a change in the industry with more modern, high throughput multi-saw technology being adopted in sawmills. 3.4 Role of plantation eucalypts Plantation eucalypts will continue to be a minor source of hardwood sawlogs in Australia for some years. In Tasmania, the first substantial volumes of pruned sawlogs will be harvested from about 2020 onwards. There is increased interest in the private sector in growing eucalypts on sawlog regimes. The main areas of activity at present are in Tasmania, with E. nitens and northern NSW and Queensland with E. dunnii, E. pilularis and Corymbia maculata among a number of other species. Plantations of African mahogany (Khaya senegalensis) and Teak (Tectona grandis) are also being established in tropical Australia on sawlog regimes. Timber from these is expected to appear on the market in the 2020s. Figure 14: Eucalypt seedling nursery. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 15 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 4 Issues Analyses and Market Opportunities 4.1 What are macro-economic variables in Australia economy in term of hardwood products? The main driver of timber consumption in Australia is domestic housing construction. This is measured in terms of new housing starts and renovation or extension of existing buildings. Household spending capacity is also a strong driver of demand for high quality furniture, doors, flooring and appearance grade products. 4.2 What are the driving forces of the demand for the hardwood products in Australia market? Materials used in domestic house construction are driven by a combination of fashion, industry standards, performance and price. Australians have used eucalypt timber for 200 years in domestic house construction, industrial buildings and engineering structures. There has been gradual replacement over the past 20 years with softwood sawn timber in housing and cheaper furniture. Engineered wood products (LVL, structural plywood) are replacing solid eucalypt timber in engineering applications and reconstituted wood products (MDF, particle board, hardboard) are gaining increasing market share in utility applications. Steel frames for houses are also gaining market share, especially in regions where termite damage to timber poses a high risk. In recent years there are also environmental and regulation disincentives emerging for use of traditional eucalypt hardwood products. For example in Victoria, a new green energy rating for new house construction places an energy penalty on the traditional timber “floating floor” method of construction (ie timber floorboards placed on floor joists) in favour of solid concrete slab construction. 4.3 What is situation of opportunities in term of Chile hardwood products in Australia? Chile hardwood products in Australia face competition from the existing products already available in Australia. The biggest concern is the established prices for products available in Australia from domestic timber supplies or imported timber, especially from south-east Asia. There is market acceptance of eucalypt timber for a range of uses. Plantation grown timber, especially from Certified (FSC or PEFC) forests, is accepted although there is no clear market preference as yet. Consumption is determined on performance and price. Marketing of Chile hardwood products would require considerable effort to differentiate the produce from other products available. The positive factor is that Chilean hardwood is plantation grown and it is from eucalypts, which Australians are familiar with. It will have the same characteristics as locally grown plantation timber and if market acceptance is strong, could add to availability of limited local production. The existence of a free-trade agreement between Chile and Australia is an advantage. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 16 Australian Market Research Peter Volker Disadvantage is transport distance and cost and possible quarantine measures required. Lyptus imports from Brazil were stopped for this reason. Australia is a relatively small market with established supplies of domestic eucalypt timber which is facing increasing competition from imported tropical hardwoods, domestically produced softwood, engineered and reconstituted wood products. In terms of Australian markets it would be better to produce value-added appearance grade products such as furniture, doors, flooring, panels and joinery products. There is strong competition in Australia for products from many domestic and imported sources. The question for Chilean timber producers should be – is it worth the effort? Chile producers need to consider if their resources are better spent in establishing other markets including domestic, Latin American and North American markets. Chile E. nitens growers who have invested in pruning and thinning have a unique resource. Manufacturers in resource deficient countries like China would be interested in sourcing logs, but it would be better for Chile to do as much processing and value-adding on-shore as possible. Figure 15: Nico Brack and Peter Volker with pruned E. nitens at Fundo El Trebol. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 17 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 5 Learning from previous experience in Australia, Chile and elsewhere 5.1 Processing plantation eucalypts Innes et al. (2007)4 studied the economics of processing plantation grown eucalypts using existing sawmill technology in Australia that had been designed for native forest resources. Washusen and Innes (2008)5 provides a more comprehensive discussion of processing plantation grown eucalypts. Their major findings are summarised in the following discussion. 5.1.1 Sawing The major constraint to processing plantation-grown eucalypts appears to be growth stresses. These can result in poor sawing accuracy, board distortion and end-splitting (de Fégely 2004)6. Single-saw systems commonly used in older mills in Australia and observed in older mills in Chile can be used effectively applying either back-sawing or quarter-sawing strategies. - As log length increases, sawing performance falls away as the bending of logs and flitches during sawing increases. This phenomenon is common for native forests as well as plantation grown material. - Sawing accuracy is difficult to control. - Saw kerfs can be quite large. - Sawing strategies have been designed to allow for the lack of sawing accuracy and estimated shrinkage of boards during drying. In quarter-sawing the thickness shrinkage can be high (tangential shrinkage is usually higher than radial shrinkage) the target size will be 31 mm to produce a dried board of 25 mm. - In the worst case scenario where: (i) a quarter-sawing strategy is applied;(ii) large-diameter circular saws are used for log break-down and re-sawing; (iii) no line-bar is applied; and (iv) the target green thickness is 31 mm; recovery can be poor and performance deteriorates as log diameter declines. Consequently mills prefer logs over about 40 cm mid diameter. - Back-sawing can increase yields (see work of Juan Carlos Valencia). - The reciprocating action (repeated back and forward movement of logs) is inefficient, especially for short-length, small-diameter (<60cm), plantationgrown logs. Multi-saw technology combined with appropriate log rotation produces cutting patterns that release growth stresses far more symmetrically around the log than is possible with single saws. - These systems increase volume throughput, improve sawing accuracy and with twin-saws reduce saw kerf. 4 Innes, T., Greaves, B., Washusen, R. and Nolan, G. 2008. Determining the economics of processing plantation eucalypts for solid timber products. FWPA Report PN04.3007. 80pp. (Available from www.fwpa.com.au). 5 Washusen, R. and Innes, T. 2008. Processing plantation eucalypts for high-value timber. In: Plantation Eucalypts for High-Value Timber: Enhancing investment through research and development. (Eds. A.G. Brown & C.L. Beadle) RIRDC Publication No 08/113. 92-109. (https://rirdc.infoservices.com.au/items/08-113) 6 De Fégely, R. 2004. Sawing Regrowth and Plantation Hardwoods with Particular Reference to Plantation Hardwoods. Part B Survey Results. FWPRDC Report PN02.1308. FWPRDC. 19pp (Available from www.fwpa.com.au). Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 18 Australian Market Research - - Peter Volker Systems have relatively high throughput for their cost. Sawing accuracy is improved especially with back-sawing techniques. A limitation is strict log diameter requirements, which can be maximum 45cm sed. Could be overcome by purchasing equipment suitable for the resource supply. Programming of log turning is critical to avoid degrade from splitting due to growth stresses especially in smaller diameter logs. Linear multi-saw systems with chipper profilers are usually associated with softwood mills where longitudinal growth stresses are not a constraint to sawmilling. - In Australia, trials with HewSaw 200 and 250 mills have given good results. - These systems apply chippers to remove wood from around the log to produce a profiled cant simultaneously with or just ahead of small diameter circular saws (Figure 16). Figure 16: HewSaw chipping, sawing and profiling process - - - The HewSaw R200 and R250 have log-diameter ranges of 14-25 cm and 1434 cm respectively. Total log volume input is upwards of 120 000 m3 per year in a single shift. In E. nitens the most important characteristic related to growth stress in these systems is bow in boards near the log periphery. This could be eliminated during drying. These systems can produce longer boards as product value is related to board length. FEA has used an Optimil system to produce EcoAsh® from larger diameter logs of pine and E. nitens. 5.1.2 Veneer production Rotary peeling of eucalypts has been proven to be effective by Forestry Tasmania. There are specific technical issues with rotary peeling which can be the difference between success or failure. Trials in softwood peeling mills are useful to determine the process but eucalypts are harder and knife angle needs to be adjusted to cater for this. In addition veneer thickness is very important to the success of follow-up drying processes and eucalypt veneers need to be thinner and cater for shrinkage during drying. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 19 Australian Market Research Peter Volker The E. nitens pruned log resource is ideally suited to produce face-grade veneer, which has much higher value. Unpruned logs can be used for internal veneers and plywood backing sheets. Incorporating eucalypts into plywood products increases strength and durability. Eagon Plywood informed us that concrete form work plywood made from pine only has five repeat uses, whereas with eucalypt they can get 25 repeat uses. Forestry Tasmania has developed eucalypt rotary peeled veneer for the shipping container floor market as well as domestic house floor market in Japan. E. nitens could be important for this market due to its light and uniform colour. 5.1.3 Drying Drying degrade in plantation grown eucalypts is similar to that experienced with native forest grown timber. Degrade is value limiting for appearance grade timber but not for structural grades. Thus control of drying degrade is much more important when processing high-value pruned logs for appearance products than when converting unpruned logs to produce structural or pallet-grade material. In E. nitens the most common form of drying degrade is surface and internal-checking (Figure 17). Forestry Tasmania is examining the feasibility of breeding to reduce or eliminate this problem. Figure 17: E. nitens floorboard showing internal checking Drying regimes for eucalypt timber require a high degree of control of temperature and humidity, but can be done with equipment with minimal capital outlay.7,8, such as solar kiln technology9 ( Figure 18). 7 Nolan, G and Innes, TC and Redman, A and McGavin, R, (2003) Australian Hardwood Drying Best Practice Manual Part 1, University of Tasmania, Launceston, pp. 219 (available from www.fwpa.com.au in pdf) 8 Nolan, G and Innes, TC and Redman, A and McGavin, R,(2003) Australian Hardwood Drying Best Practice Manual Part 2, University of Tasmania, Launceston, pp. 312 (available from www.fwpa.com.au in pdf) 9 http://www.solarkilns.com/home/index.htm Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 20 Australian Market Research Peter Volker Figure 18: An example of a solar kiln for drying eucalypts Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 21 Australian Market Research Peter Volker 5.2 Silviculture of eucalypt plantations for high value timber 5.2.1 Thinning and pruning These topics have been well-researched and are reported in Valencia and Cabrera (2008)10. The main issue is to determine how much of the thinned and pruned resource is available and over what time period it can be supplied. Thinning and pruning requires significant investment in the early stage of the plantations. While labour costs in Chile are relatively low this is a relatively cheap operation. However, it is important to consider the impact of increasing labour costs, especially in thinning operations and move towards mechanical thinning operations using fellerbunchers and forwarders in future. There should also be consideration of direct sawlog regimes if the market for pulpwood or other residues is not profitable. 5.2.2 Tree breeding The implementation of a tree-breeding program needs careful consideration. The major companies in Chile have their own internal breeding programs. At the moment they are focussed on pulpwood production. Therefore their priority is on pulp yield and quality characteristics associated with the customers for their pulp. The members of the E. nitens PIT need to consider if there is value in running their own breeding and seed production program or whether the output of the major company programs will provide adequate qualities for their requirements. The focus on high-value, solid-wood products such as sawn timber or veneer may require a different focus in breeding. First, it must be determined which traits are most important to increase value of the resource. Probably the most important trait to increase the suitability of E. nitens for these uses is an increase in strength and hardness, which is probably related to basic density. This needs to be studied. The approach to breeding E. nitens in Australia is reviewed in Hamilton et al. (2008)11. Forestry Tasmania has adopted a breeding objective of maximising pulpwood production per hectare whilst maintaining or enhancing recovery of logs for solid-wood products (Kube and Raymond 2001)12. FT has now incorporated an objective to reduce checking in solid timber as an important trait. Tree breeding programs require long-term commitment of funds. They can generate huge amounts of data, which is complex to manage and analyse. In many parts of the world, breeding co-operatives have been formed to manage these programs. In Australia 10 Valencia B., J.C. and Cabrera P., J.A. 2008.Eucalyptus nitens en Chile: desarrollando silvicultura de alto valor. Informe Técnico 175. INFOR, CORFO. 108pp. 11 Hamilton, M., Joyce, K., Williams, D., Dutkowski, G. and Potts, B. 2008. Achievements in forest tree improvement in Australia and New Zealand. 9. Genetic improvement of Eucalyptus nitens in Australia. Australian Forestry 71, 82-93. 12 Kube, P.D. and Raymond, C.A. 2001. Genetic parameters for Eucalyptus nitens solid wood traits and relationships with pulpwood traits. In: IUFRO Symposium on Developing the Eucalypt for the Future. CD-ROM. INFOR, Valdivia. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 22 Australian Market Research Peter Volker the Southern Tree Breeding Association Incorporated is an industry co-operative which runs a radiata pine and Eucalyptus globulus breeding programs. Figure 19: Collecting seed from E. nitens at Forestry Tasmania Oigles Rd Seed Orchard in Tasmania (Dec 2008) Figure 20: Chile E. nitens delegation visit Forestry Tasmania Oigles Rd E. nitens Seed Orchard (2007) STBA has provided services, through a subsidiary company, PlantPlan Genetics Pty Ltd, to E. nitens breeders to assist with analysis of 20 years of data from many tens of trials belonging to a number of companies. In this analysis the companies all contributed their data, but could only see the results for their own material. The pooled data, from across Australia’s main E. nitens breeders gave much more power to the analysis. Pedigrees of all material were important to the analysis. In most cases there were good records of the original seed collections from the native forest sources. It is likely that seed exported to Chile is from the same seed collections. It would be possible to incorporate any suitable data that is available from Chile based trials, provided that pedigree information is available. This would allow a comparison of performance across the two countries and could also provide genetic linkage to predict performance of material currently not planted in Chile. In the short term growers who are interested in solid-wood products and producing pulp should consider purchasing advanced generation seed from Australia. 5.2.3 Protection from pests and diseases There is significant risk to the Chile Eucalyptus nitens resource from invasion by exotic pests or disease. The exotic nature of the species with lack of natural predators for any introduced insect pests makes the current plantations vulnerable. A feature of the Chile E. nitens is there is very little defoliation from any pests or diseases. This contrasts with plantations in Tasmania where annual defoliation by Chrysoptharta bimaculata can result in loss of about 50% of the crown foliage. In this case up to 97% of the potential defoliator population is controlled by natural predators, before severe defoliation occurs. The example of New Zealand E. nitens is a classic case. In the late 1970s E.nitens grew very well and plantation programs commenced. The introduction of a Paropsis beetle soon spread rapidly and most trees were killed as soon as they reached adult foliage. There was a lot of work done on biological control and it wasn’t until the early 1990s that there was sufficient confidence that the problem had been overcome to recommence Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 23 Australian Market Research Peter Volker widespread plantations of E. nitens. However, recent introductions of other eucalypt pests have been a cause for concern in New Zealand. Therefore it is very important that forest health is constantly monitored. It is important to set up a system of checking exotic planting of eucalypts especially near shipping ports, airports and storage facilities for containers. This is effective if it can be done in collaboration with quarantine authorities, managers of parks and gardens and experienced forest entomologists and pathologists. If insect or pest incursions are found in these areas they should be addressed immediately. Once such incursions are detected in large plantation areas it may be too late to act. 6 Conclusions and Recommendations 6.1 6.2 Conclusions • Chile E. nitens PIT growers have a unique and valuable resource that is ready for market in the form of a large quantity of pruned logs. • There are processors within the group who could take advantage of this resource but they need to overcome some technical issues with processing and markets are not developed. • In terms of processing facilities for timber, Chile and Australia are similar in the softwood sector. Chile has much greater internal pulp processing capacity and does not rely on export woodchips as does Australia. • In terms of market for timber products, Australia is well served from domestic and international suppliers. Most of the trade deficit in timber products is due to imports of pulp and paper products. • Plantation eucalypt products from Chile would be viewed favourably especially if there was a certification stamp (ie FSC or PEFC). • There is not much experience with processing or utilising plantation eucalypt timber in Australia. Until now the only commercial experience is by FEA with their EcoAsh® product. • There were sales of Brazilian sourced eucalypt timber marketed as Lyptus, but it has not made a huge impression on Australian market. The importation was stopped due to quarantine issues. • The Australian market for timber products is highly competitive, and due to local supply, prices are not high. • There is strong competition from imported hardwood products coming from SE Asia. Recommendations • In the short term Chile E. nitens PIT members should focus on a production system that: a) is achievable, utilises the positive characteristics of the existing E. nitens resources, b) learns from experience of other processors of plantation eucalypt logs (eg Lyptus from Brazil, EcoAsh from Australia) including those producing veneer products, c) is sustainable in terms of log supply and consistency of quality, Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 24 Australian Market Research Peter Volker d) is at a scale that is achievable and affordable but can be rapidly expanded when required, e) is aimed at the high quality end of the market to utilise the unique pruned log resource and benefits from added value, and f) protects the PIT growers and processors from competition from the three major companies (strategy outlined in Chen and Volker report), especially in commodity markets. • Chile E. nitens producers should consider joint venture partnerships with Australian producers such as Forest Enterprises Australia and Forestry Tasmania to establish a brand for E. nitens products in international markets. This would assist with scale of supply from both regions and help establish markets in important areas like China and USA. • Chile E. nitens processors need to overcome technical difficulties in processing eucalypt timber and develop markets (addressed in Chen and Volker report). • There may be a quarantine issue with selling Chilean eucalyptus timber in Australia. This should be investigated further before effort is spent on market development. • Chile E. nitens growers should consider the most efficient arrangement to either: a) establish their own tree improvement program; or b) secure supply of genetically improved E. nitens seed which meets their requirements to improve the wood quality of the resource which will supply their processors. Forestry Tasmania report for Chile E. Nitens P.I.T. Group Commercial-in-confidence 25