investors presentation – q2 2015
Transcription
investors presentation – q2 2015
INVESTORS PRESENTATION – Q2 2015 LEGAL DISCLAMER This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws (“forward-looking statements”), including, but not limited to, statements relating to future expectations of our revenues, operating margins, SG&A, earnings and adjusted net earnings, cash flows from operations, operating performance, investment in capital and programs; strategy, market opportunity and vision; Martinrea’s views on the outlook of the automotive industry; Martinrea’s ability to capitalize on opportunities in the automotive industry as well as other forward-looking statements. The words “continue”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “intend”, “believe”, “plan” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by Martinrea in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that Martinrea believes are appropriate in the circumstances. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expected or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause such differences include, but are not limited to, North American and global economic and political conditions; the highly cyclical nature of the automotive industry and the industry’s dependence on consumer spending and general economic conditions; Martinrea’s dependence on a limited number of significant customers; Martinrea’s reliance on critical suppliers for components and the risk that suppliers will not be able to supply components on a timely basis or in sufficient quantities; competition; the factors discussed under the headings “Industry Highlights” and “Trends and Risks and Uncertainties” in Martinrea’s most recent Management Discussion and Analysis and Annual Information Form filed with applicable securities commissions, as well as other risk factors identified therein, available at www.sedar.com, and the documents incorporated by reference into such documents. These factors should be considered carefully, and readers should not place undue reliance on Martinrea’s forward-looking statements. If any of such risks actually occur, they could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations. In that case, the trading price of our common shares could decline, perhaps materially. We provide forward-looking statements solely for the purpose of providing information about management's current expectations and plans relating to the future. You are cautioned that such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Except as required by law, we do not undertake or accept any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in our expectations or any change in events, conditions, assumptions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. 2 COMPANY OVERVIEW • Martinrea is a leading Tier One supplier of automotive parts, assemblies and modules – Revenues have grown from $1.1 billion in 2009 to $3.6 billion in 2014 representing a CAGR of 26% – Large book of new business awards • The second largest North American metalformer in terms of revenue • A top three supplier of fluid management systems by revenue in North America • A global market leader in aluminum parts through Martinrea Honsel • Growth strategy is focused on prudent and profitable growth – Through a combination of greenfield organic growth initiatives coupled with complementary business acquisitions • Content on some of the largest and leading platforms in the automotive industry with both the North American domestic and foreign OEMs – Strong relationships with these OEMs have led to repeat business opportunities and trusted supplier status • Operates under a decentralized business model with an “owner‐manager culture” – Each business unit is centered on areas of expertise and responsible for its own bottom line – The Central Management Group is responsible for overall strategic direction and financial decisions • Operates 44 facilities in Canada, US, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, Slovakia, Spain and China – Currently employs over 14,000 trained and motivated employees – Over 9,000,000 square feet of manufacturing space with expansion potential and multiple expansions occurring • Strong, independent, experienced board of directors – Deep knowledge of automotive, finance, governance • Martinrea trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “MRE” – The 52 week stock price range is $8.95 ‐ $14.44 3 MARTINREA’S EVOLUTION NOV 2001 Acquires plant from Acquires majority Royal Laser Oxford Automotive of Honsel Acquires changes name to: DEC 2005 JULY 2011 ThyssenKrupp Budd Fabco Martinrea International Inc. North America JUN 2002 DEC 2006 Acquires Rea International APR 2002 Acquires Pilot Industries DEC 2002 Acquires Depco International MAY 2006 Acquires SKD Automotive MAR 2009 Acquires balance of Honsel AUG 2014 4 OUR VISION Our vision for the future is to be the best, preferred and most valued automotive parts supplier in the world in the products and services we provide our customers. 5 OUR MISSION Our Mission is to deliver: ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Outstanding quality products and services to our customers Meaningful opportunity, job satisfaction and job security to our people through competitiveness and prudent growth Superior long term investment returns to our stakeholders Positive contributions to our communities as good corporate citizens 6 TOP 10 PRINCIPLES PRINCIPLES: Our success will be based on the execution of our guiding principles, applied with integrity, in all that we do: 1. 2. 3. 4. We make great, high quality products Every plant/division must be a centre of excellence Be disciplined. Discipline is Key We attract, train and work with excellent people, and we get our people to perform well 5. We are a team 6. Challenges make us better 7. Think Different 8. Work hard, play hard 9. The Golden Rule – Show Dignity and Respect 10. Our leadership team has to drive these messages consistently and simply. Leadership means having the will to ensure we get the right things done the right way. 7 MARTINREA’S GLOBAL PRESCENCE SLOVAKIA 1 Division CANADA 13 Divisions GERMANY US 3 Divisions CHINA 2 Divisions 13 Divisions MEXICO 9 Divisions SPAIN 2 Divisions BRAZIL 1 Division 8 BUSINESS OVERVIEW A leading Tier One supplier in the development and production of quality metal parts, assemblies and modules, fluid management systems and complex aluminum products Steel Metal Forming and Assemblies Fluid Handling Systems Capabilities include: • High‐pressure hydroforming • Roll‐forming • Stamping • Hot stamping • Blanking dies, progressive dies, stage dies, transfer dies Designs & engineers complete systems in: • Engine & transmission • Fuel storage & delivery • Power steering & brakes • Exhaust and emission control • HVAC Aluminum Die Casting (Martinrea Honsel) Aluminum casting and machining capability in: • Engine blocks • Transmission housings • Structural components • Body‐in‐white frames 9 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Steel Metal Forming (North America) Second largest North American metal former by revenue Fluid Handling (North America, China, Slovakia) Top three supplier in North America Leader in growth since 2005 Light Metal Components (Worldwide) Leading supplier of light metal components Primary Competitors Primary Competitors Primary Competitors Other Competitors Other Competitors Other Competitors Viewed as primary consolidators in the industry Viewed as primary consolidators in the industry Viewed as primary consolidators in the industry 10 NORTH AMERICAN PLATFORM PORTFOLIO Current Top 10 Platforms in North America 1 GM Equinox / Terrain 2 Ford Escape/Focus 3 Ford Fusion/Edge 4 Chrysler Cherokee/Commander 5 GM Pickups, SUVs 6 Chrysler 300/Challenger/Charger 7 Ford F Series Super Duty 8 GM Malibu/Impala 9 Chrysler 200 10 Chrysler Minivan 11 ACQUISITION OF 45% INTEREST IN MARTINREA HONSEL • On August 6, 2014, Martinrea acquired the 45% equity interest in the Martinrea Honsel Group held by Anchorage Capital LLC for total proceeds of €160 million representing an EV/LTM EBITDA multiple of approximately 5.8x • Strategic reasons for acquiring full ownership of Martinrea Honsel included: Strategic and Operational Trend to lighter weight aluminum based solutions, provides significant growth opportunities and complements Martinrea’s steel capabilities in certain products like engine cradles Allows Martinrea to invest necessary capital into Martinrea Honsel to take advantage of opportunities and position it favourably for long‐term growth without being hindered by Anchorage’s constraints as a financial sponsor Removes capital allocation distortions caused by having one business not wholly owned Martinrea Honsel maintains operations in jurisdictions that are seen as being key areas of growth, including Spain, Mexico and Brazil; growth prospects in China are significant Financial The acquisition of the minority interest is accretive on a net income basis Opportune time to transact at a relatively attractive price compared to what Martinrea would be required to pay based on the put option or once the growth begins to materialize Strong financing markets and access to capital to finance the purchase Permits Martinrea to tap into Martinrea Honsel’s borrowing capacity/EBITDA 12 MARKET TRENDS ‐ ALUMINUM A previous short term trend analysis predicted 144 kilograms of aluminum content by 2015. The current trend analysis and market evidence supports a forecast of 150 kg per vehicle in 2015, and the theoretical CO2 based analysis supports 180 kg by 2020 Source: EAA Aluminum Penetration in Cars – Final Report March 13, 2012; Ducker Analysis 13 MARKET TRENDS – ALUMINUM ENGINE BLOCKS 100% 90% 80% % of Total Engines in Aluminum 70% 60% North America 50% Europe Brazil 40% China 30% 20% 10% 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Year Source: IHS Automotive 14 MARTINREA HONSEL PRODUCT FOCUS Engine Blocks 15 MARTINREA HONSEL PRODUCT FOCUS Structural Components 16 HIGHLIGHT OF RECENT NEW BUSINESS AWARDS Annualized Revenue at Peak Volumes SOP Aluminum knuckles and control arms $200,000,000 2015‐2018 Equinox, Terrain – steel metal forming $175,000,000 2017 Aluminum engine cradle For Cadillac (Omega) $40,000,000 2015‐2016 Malibu –steel metal forming, assembly and fluid handling $40,000,000 2015 6.6L DMAX engine – fluid handling $10,000,000 2016 Fusion, Edge, MKS – steel metal forming and fluid handling $100,000,000 2014‐2016 2.0L aluminum engine block $100,000,000 2018 Minivan line – steel metal forming $25,000,000 2016 Pentastar V6 aluminum engine block ‐ incremental machining volume $15,000,000 2016 V8 AMG aluminum engine block $25,000,000 2016 Aluminum cross member for C‐Class $25,000,000 2016 Aluminum transmission casing $20,000,000 2015 V4 aluminum diesel engine block $35,000,000 2018 I4 aluminum engine block $20,000,000 2015 Customer Products 17 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK – AUTOMOTIVE Consumer confidence remains steady; North America looks good; Europe recovery is slow; Asia is a large market Positive factors in North America • New auto affordability at or near record lows (app. 23 weeks) • Consumer debt levels in U.S. are improving • U.S. housing market strengthening • Oil and gas prices have dropped • Financing is available at low rates • New auto inventory remain at modest levels • Average vehicle age still exceeds 10 years • Auto sales and production volumes are still increasing • Customer base remains healthy 18 TOMORROW’S OPPORTUNITIES 18,000,000 US Car and Light Truck Sales We are here 17,000,000 16,000,000 Annual Sales 15,000,000 14,000,000 13,000,000 12,000,000 11,000,000 Recession 10,000,000 9,000,000 Year • The future looks good and volumes should be strong for the next few years • Industry has gone through tough times but has rebounded - Annual population growth 1.0%; over the next two decades additional 25 million drivers per decade - Vehicle population aging, scrapping over 14 million per year - New vehicles have more features; may be more economical to drive 19 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Top‐line Growth Improving Operating Margins Significant Investment in Future Growth Reasonable Capital Structure • Revenue has recovered from trough in 2009 • Revenue has grown from ~$1.1 bn in 2009 to ~$3.6 bn in 2014 • Revenue for first half of 2015 of ~$1,902 mm • Operating margins are expected to continue to increase due to increased capacity utilization and productivity / efficiency improvements • Expect stability in SG&A • Made significant investment in future growth and has been at the high end of comparable peer group • Continues to invest in future product programs to maintain a strong revenue backlog • LTM Capex/Total Sales is 5.4%, above average, building base for future • Net debt to total capital of 49% • Net debt/LTM EBITDA ratio of 2.31x • Reasonable capital structure and coverage ratios • Capital structure expected to strengthen 20 REVENUE 4,000 3,500 In Millions Of Dollars 3,000 2,500 2,000 $3,599 $3,705 $3,222 1,500 $2,901 $2,193 1,000 $1,689 500 $1,138 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM Revenue growth from 2009 to 2014 was significant (CAGR 26%). Growth is expected to continue but at a more normalized pace. 21 ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME MARGIN 8% Adjusted Operating Income Margin % >6% 6% 4.9% 4.6% 4.1% 4.1% 4% 2% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2017F Operating income margins are expected to improve by 50% from 2014 to 2017 on increased capacity utilization and productivity / efficiency improvements. Note: Operating income margins presented have been adjusted for unusual and other items noted in the Company’s MD&A 22 ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS PER SHARE Full Year Financials Quarterly Financials $1 .40 11 5 $0 .45 40 1.24 $1 .20 0.98 $1 .00 0.88 75 0.79 $0 .80 0.61 $0 .60 55 $105 $82 35 $67 $0 .35 30 $0 .30 0.28 25 0.27 $0 .25 0.23 0.21 20 $33 0.17 $0 .20 $30 15 $73 $0 .40 0.36 $0 .40 $83 $0 .15 $24 $0 .20 $52 15 In Millions Of Dollars In Millions Of Dollars 0.97 0.39 35 95 10 -0.05 $23 $19 $18 $0 .10 $14 $0 .00 5 $0 .05 -$4 -$0 .2 0 -5 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 LTM $0 .00 0 Q4 2 013 Net Earnings* Q1 2 014 Q2 2 014 Q3 2 014 Q4 2 014 Q1 2 015 Q2 2 015 Diluted Net Earnings Per Share* Net Earnings* Diluted Net Earnings Per Share* Management expects record net earnings in 2015. Q3 2015 FD EPS expected to be between $0.27 and $0.31. *Note: Adjusted for Unusual and Other Items noted in the Company’s MD&A 23 CASH FLOW / CAPEX Operating Cash Flow CAPEX 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 $282 $259 $237 $201 100 100 $204 $201 2014 LTM $180 $149 $142 $146 50 50 $91 $89 $51 $24 0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM The Company is a significant cash flow generator. Cash flow from operations is expected to increase as margins improve and the business continues to expand. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Martinrea has made significant investment in future growth. 24 STEEL METAL FORMING 25 MARTINREA HEAVY STAMPINGS Ford Escape – C520 26 MARTINREA HEAVY STAMPINGS Ford Escape – C520 27 MARTINREA HOT STAMPINGS ‐ DETROIT 28 HIGH PRESSURE ALUMINUM DIE CASTING 29 LOW PRESSURE ALUMINUM DIE CASTING 30 MARTINREA HONSEL SPAIN – NEW ALUMINUM FACILITY Automatic Assembly Line for Jaguar LandRover Knuckles/Control Arms 31 MARTINREA HONSEL MEXICO ‐ FUTURE EXPANSION High Pressure Die Casting 32 MARTINREA HONSEL MEXICO ‐ NEW ALUMINUM FACILITY Low Pressure Die Casting 33 MARTINREA HONSEL – MACHINING CAPABILITIES Jaguar Engine Block Machining Line 34 MARTINREA RIVERSIDE, MISSOURI – NEW METALLICS FACILITY 35
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investors presentation – q4 2015
Source: North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content Study June 2014; Ducker Analysis
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