Abstract (English) - Faculty of Science
Transcription
Abstract (English) - Faculty of Science
! ! SKSM23 SKSM23 2015 Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ke-23 24-26 November 2015 Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor Bahru BUKU ABSTRAK Versi Bahasa Inggeris ! Memacu Transformasi Negara Melalui Sains Matematik http://science.utm.my/sksm23 ! Abstract Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ke – 23 24 – 26 November 2015 Scientific Secretariat 23rd SKSM Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik § ii § Contents APPLIED & INDUSTRIAL MATHEMATICS 1) Bai Bithaman Ajil (Bba) Modelling By Qardhul Hassan Concept . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2) Robust Optimization Profit Sharing Ratio With Straight Line Depreciation Modelling . . 3) Using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) in Modeling the Survival of Diabetes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4) Integration Of Fuzzy Logic And Neural Network . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5) Group Iterative Methods For The Solution of Two-Dimensional Time-Fractional DiÆusion Equation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6) Simulation Of Undular Bores Propagation With Damping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7) Self Organizing Map As A Tool For Cluster Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8) The Use Of Artificial Neural Network And Multiple Linear Regressions For Stock Market Forecasting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9) Solving Robin Problem In Bounded Doubly Connected Regions Via An Integr Equation With The Generalized Neumann Kernel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10) The Method Of Lines Solution Of The Forced Korteweg-De Vries-Burgers Equation With Variable Coe±cient (FKdVB) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11) Mathematical Modelling Of Fluid Flow Under EÆect Of Sclera Buckling . . . . . . . . . . 12) Modeling Minority Classes Of Stencil Printing Process Defects With Machine Learning Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13) Accelerating Activation Function In Higher Order Logic Programming . . . . . . . . . . . 14) Performance Analysis Of Activation Function In Higher Order Logic Programming . . . . 15) Modifying Activation Function In Neuro Symbolic Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16) Activation Function Comparison In Neural-Symbolic Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17) A Long Waves Propagation In Two-Layer Fluid Over A Circular Bowl Pit . . . . . . . . . 18) Natural Convection In An Oblique Porous Cavity With Non-Uniform Heating . . . . . . . 19) Development Of Tsunami Inundation Map For Penang Using TUNA-RP . . . . . . . . . . 20) Assessing Potential Impact Of Tsunami On Penang Island Via TUNA-RP Simulation . . 21) Pile Formation Of Drill Cuttings From Oil And Gas Exploration In Siakap - North Petai Field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22) Unsteady Free Convection Flow Of Rotating Mhd Second Grade Fluid In A Porous Medium Over An Oscillating Plate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23) TUNA-WQ: A 2D Mathematical Model For Water Quality Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . 24) Simulation Of Suspended Drill Cuttings From OÆshore Oil And Gas Platform . . . . . . . 25) Food Chain Model With Competition Interaction In An Environment Enriched By A Biotic Resource . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26) Thermal Radiation In Unsteady MHD Free Convection Flow Of JeÆrey Fluid With Ramped Wall Temperature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11 12 12 13 14 15 15 16 17 18 18 SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik 27) G-Jitter Induced MHD Free Convective Flow Of Nanofluid Past A Vertical Permeable Stretching Sheet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28) High Accuracy Numerical Solution On Rotated Grid For Navier-Stokes Equation . . . . . 29) MHD Second Grade Fluid On Unsteady Free Convection Flow With Ramped Wall Temperature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30) ADM Solution For MHD Boundary Layer Flow Over A Nonlinearly Stretching Sheet In The Presence Of Viscous Dissipation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31) Numerical Solution Of Cheng-Minkowycz Natural Convection Nanofluid Flow Over A Vertical Plate With Zero Flux . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32) Rational Cubic Ball Curves For Monotone Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33) Stability Analysis Of Mhd Thermosolutal Marangoni Convection Boundary Layer Flow . . 34) Kinematic And Kinetic Study Of Lower Limb Segment In Skating Activity . . . . . . . . 35) Modeling Of Microbial Approach In A Wastewater Treatment Process: A Case Study Of MPHO In Taman Timor Oxidation Pond, Johor, Malaysia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36) Modelling Relationship Of PM10 Concentration And Location Of Air Quality Monitoring Stations In Malaysia Using Network Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38) A Comparison Between Adomian Decomposition Method And Variational Iteration Method For Solving Delay DiÆerential Equation With Initial Condition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39) Influence Of A Uniform Magnetic Field On Ferrofluid Containing Cylindrical Shaped Nanoparticles Flowing Over An Oscillating Plate With Ramped Wall Temperature . . . . 40) The Stability Of Soret Induced Convection In Doubly DiÆussive Fluid Layer With Feedback Control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41) Improving The Performance Of Chilli Sauce Manufacturing Process Using Simulation Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42) Magneto-Convection In An Inclined Lid-Driven Cavity With Non-Uniform Heating On Both Sidewalls . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43) The Onset Of Rayleigh-Bnard Electroconvection In A Micropolar Fluid With The Presence Of Feedback Control And Parabolic Temperature Profile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44) BirkhoÆ Averages For Keller’S Skew Product System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45) Harmonic Polygon’s Method For Solving Nonlinear Ordinary DiÆerential Equation Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46) The Performance Of Fixed And Variable Step Size Algorithms In Simulating The Solution Of Stochastic Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47) Modelling The Cancer Growth Process By Stochastic DiÆerential Equations With The EÆect Of Heparan Sulfate (HS) As Anticancer Therapeutics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48) Convective Boundary Conditions For Mixed Convection Flow Of A Horizontal Circular Cylinder In A Nanofluid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49) Consistent Linguistic Fuzzy Preference Relation With Multi-Granular Uncertain Linguistic Information For Solving Decision Making . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50) The EÆect Of Incomplete Mixing On Cubic Autocatalysis In A Continuous Stirred Tank Reactor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51) Adomian Decomposition Method With Chebyshev Polynomials For Solving Fuzzy DiÆerential Equations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52) Product Design Based On Soft Set Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53) Optimization Of Upper Extremity Muscles During Archery Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . 54) Network Modeling Of PM10 Concentration In Malaysia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55) Stability Analysis Of MHD Stagnation Point Flow Towards A Permeable Stretching / Shrinking Surface In A Carreau Fluid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . § iv § 19 20 20 21 22 22 23 24 24 25 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 30 31 31 32 33 33 34 35 35 36 36 Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 56) A Hybrid Fuzzy Classifier With Particle Swarm Optimization For Class Imbalance Classification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57) A Two-Phase Iterative Procedure For The Production-Inventory-Distribution Routing Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58) Mathematical Analysis For Unsteady Dispersion Of Solute With Chemical Reaction In Blood Flow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59) Modified Artificial Bee Colony For The Integrated Inventory Routing Problem With Backordering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60) Visualization Of Vibration Of Ideal And Realistic Strings In An Acoustic Guitar By Using MATHEMATICA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61) Inventory Model For A Multi-Stage Palm Oil Mill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62) Pricing Of New York Temperature Index Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63) MHD Flow Past A Vertical Plate That Applies Arbitrary Shear Stress To The Fluid with Ramped Wall Temperature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64) Approximations Of Stochastic Navier - Stokes Equation By Using Stochastic Finite DiÆerence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65) Simulation Of Lotka Volterra Model Using Some Non-Standard Schemes . . . . . . . . . . 68) Mathematical Modeling Of Free Convection Boundary Layer Flow On Solid Sphere With Viscous Dissipation EÆects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69) Denoising Using New Thresholding Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70) Exact Solutions And Lattice Boltzmann Modeling For Shallow Water Equations . . . . . 71) A New Type Of Fuzzy Control Point In Space Curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72) Coordination Of Production Scheduling And Vehicle Routing Problem With Release And Due Date . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73) A Model Of Unsteady Blood Flow In Complex Microcirculatory Networks . . . . . . . . . 74) Consignment Inventory Model With Buyer’S Capacity Constraint . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75) Simpler Hydrostatics Component of UNBabc Mapping Function Using Nonlinear curve fitting Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76) Simpler Mathematical Modelfor Wet Component Neill’S Mapping Function . . . . . . . . 77) A Study Of Civil Engineering Maintenance In Government Hospital Buildings . . . . . . . 78) The Extended Runge-Kutta-Like Fourth Order Method For Solving Logistic Equation Of Tumor Growth Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79) Extended Basic Integer Programming Models For Multiple Scheduling Problems . . . . . 80) A Structurally Unstable Bistable System When Synthesis And Degradation Of Protein Are Taken Into Account . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81) Numerical Simulation And Analytical Validation Of A Gas Flow Through Stored Grain . 82) The Adomian Decomposition Method for Multicell Spheroid Model of Avascular Tumor Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83) A Simulated Annealing Approach For Redesigning A Warehouse Network Problem . . . . 84) Heat Transfer Analysis Of Water Based Carbon Nanotubes Over A Stretching Cylinder . 85) Mathematical Modelling Of Expressway Tra±c Noise In Penang . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86) Comparative Study Of Free Vibration Of Anti-Symmetric Angle-Ply Laminated Plates . . 87) Constrained Data Visualization Using Rational Cubic Ball Function . . . . . . . . . . . . 88) Hydromagnetic Mixed Convection Flow Over An Exponentially Stretching Sheet With Fluid-Particle Suspension . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90) Numerical Modelling Of Parametric Instability Problem For Composite Plate Using Finite Element Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92) Diagonal Quasi-Newton Updating Formula Using The Log-Determinant Norm . . . . . . . § v § 37 38 39 39 40 41 41 42 42 43 44 44 45 46 46 47 48 48 49 50 51 51 52 52 53 53 54 55 55 56 57 57 58 SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik 93) Modelling And Optimization For Palm Oil Plantation Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 94) Solution Of Fuzzy Fractional DiÆerential Equations Using Homotopy Analysis Method . . 59 95) Bezier Curve Modeling For Intuitionistic Fuzzy Data Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 97) Analysis Of Blood Flow Through A Catheterized Stenosed Artery Using Mathematica . . 60 98) Modifed And Hybrid Conjugate Gradient Methods With Their Convergence Analysis: A Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 101) Challenge In Applying Quantitative Analysis On Bull Semen Quality In Malaysia . . . . 62 102) Early Detection of Ganoderma boninense in Oil Palm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 103) Integrated Model of Continuous Berth Allocation Problem and Quay Crane Scheduling With Non-Crossing Constraint . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 APPLIED MATHEMATICS & COMPUTING 65 1) Forecasting Crude Oil Production using Quadratic Regression and Layer Recurrent Neural Network Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 2) On The Fusion Of Regression And Neural Network Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 3) Kullback Lieber Divergence for Image Evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 4) Cholesky Factor Updating In Recursive Least-Squares Based System Identification . . . . 67 5) A 3(2) Pair Pseudo Runge-Kutta Method For Delay DeÆerential Equation . . . . . . . . . 68 6) Assorted Matrix Decomposition Method In Solving Fully Fuzzy Linear System For Triangular Fuzzy Matrices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 7) Near-Zero Solution Of Fully Fuzzy Linear System With Arbitrary Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 8) Magnetohydrodynamic Flow Of Dusty Fluid Over Stretching Sheet With Hall EÆect . . . 70 9) Conformal Mapping Of Multiply Connected Regions Onto Logarithmic Spiral Slit With Finite Straight Slit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 10) Reinitiated Laplace Homotopy Ananlysis Method For Solving Integral Equations . . . . . 71 11) GC Rational Ball Curves With An Application To Cranio-Facial Image Reconstruction . 72 12) The Computation Of Zeros Of Ahlfors Map For Doubly Connected Regions . . . . . . . . 72 13) Bond Stretching Model For The Diatomic Molecules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 15) Constrained Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm For Optimization Problems . . . . . . . . . . 74 16) Forecasting The Mortality Rates Of Malaysian Population Using Lee-Carter Method . . . 74 2 18) Some Results on the Stability of the ODE Model for Tumor Cells Population Dynamics . 75 19) Data Analytic Platform For Processing Big Scaled Satellite Images . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 20) A New PRP-Based Hybrid Conjugate Gradient Method For Unconstrained Optimization . 76 21) Task Scheduling For Directed Cyclic Graph Using Partitioning Technique . . . . . . . . . 77 22) Exact Solution For A Ising Model On Cayley Tree Of Order 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 23) The Performance Of Pde-Based Image Denosing On Radiographic Images . . . . . . . . . 78 24) Activation Function Comparison In Neural-Symbolic Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 25) Dominant Points Detection For Planar Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 26) New Block Runge-Kutta Method With Various Weights For Solving StiÆ Ordinary DiÆerential Equations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 27) Genetic Algorithm For Multi-Period Outbound Inventory Routing Problem For Split Delivery . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 28) Preconditioned Jacobi-Type Iterative Methods For Solving Fredholm Integral Equations Of The Second Kind . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 29) Tools In Data Science For Better Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 31) Derivation Of BBDF-Æ For Solving Ordinary DiÆerential Equations . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 § vi § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 32) Integration Of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Sets And Analytic Hierarchy Process: Implication To Computational Procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34) A New Types Of Spline Modelling Using Fuzzy Linguistic Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . 35) Application Of Disc Bezier Curve In Designing Wide Font . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36) Bezier-Like Spiral Transitions For Design Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37) Facility Layout Problem Using Single Row Routing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38) Haralick Texture And Invariant Moments Features For Breast Cancer Classification . . . . 39) Integer Linear Programming Model for Timetabling Problem . 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PURE MATHEMATICS 1) 2) 3) 5) 7) 8) 9) 10) 11) 12) 13) 14) 15) 16) 17) 18) 19) 20) 22) 23) 25) 26) 27) 28) 29) 30) 31) 32) 33) 34) 35) 83 84 84 85 85 86 87 88 Atom Bond Connectivity Index Of Graph With Two Edges Added . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-Total Edge Product Cordial Labeling Of Wheel Related Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . °§ -Derivations On Semiprime °-Rings With Involution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sandwich-Type Theorem For Analytic Functions Of Koebe Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Schur Multiplier Of Pairs Of Groups Of Order p3 q . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A Bohr Phenomenon On The Punctured Unit Disk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Multiplicative Degree Of A Dihedral Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Cubed Commutativity Degree Of Some Dihedral Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Central Subgroups Of The Nonabelian Tensor Squareof Torsion Free Space Groups . Improvement To Scalar Multiplication On Koblitz Curves By Using Non-Adjacent Pseudo ø °Adic Form . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . On The Number Of Eigenvalues Of The Two-Particle Schrödinger Operator On A Lattice On Decompositon Of Complete Graphs Into Hamilatonian Circuits And Cyclic Designs . Pairwise Nearly Compact And Nearly Paracompact Bitopological Spaces And Its Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Cyclic Conjugacy Separability Of Certain HNN Extensions Of Cyclic Conjugacy Separable Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . An Even And Odd Situation For The Multiplier Of Scalar Multiplication With NonAdjacent Pseudo ø °Adic Form . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Some Constructions On Total Labellings Of M Triangles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . On The Shortest Path In Some k°Connected Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Orbit Graph Of Metacyclic 3-Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Elliptic Curve Cryptography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Starlikeness Of Triple Integral Operators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Groups And Graphs In Probability Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Harmonic Starlike Functions With Respect To Symmetric Points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Linear Maps Preserving Classical Adjoint On Tensor Products Of Symmetric Matrices . . The Spectral Properties Of The Discrete SchröDinger Operator With Non-Local Potential Moufang Loop of Odd Order p31 p32 · · · p3n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Generative Capacity Of Weighted Simple And Semi-Simple Splicing Systems . . . . . An Exact Number Of Compatible Pair Of Some Nontrivial Actions For Cyclic Group Of 2-Power Order . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . On Simultaneous Pell Equations x2 ° my 2 = 1 and y 2 ° 5z 2 = 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . On The Cardinality Of The Set Of Solutions To Congruence Equation Associated With Polynomial Of Degree Eleven . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DiÆerentiating The Persistency And Permanency Of Two Stages Dna Splicing Languages Via Yusof-Goode (Y-G) Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Moufang Loops Of Odd Order P 4 Q3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . § vii § 88 88 89 89 90 90 91 92 92 93 93 94 94 95 95 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 100 100 101 101 102 102 103 103 104 SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik 36) Analysis Of Tumor Population And Immune System Interaction Model . . . . . . . . . . . 37) On The Upper Bounds Of The Decomposition Values Of The Scalar k For The Elliptic Scalar Multiplications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38) Element Orders In Finite Groups And Their Relations With Other Group Invariants . . . 39) Some remarks on Common Fixed Points Problems in Hilbert Spaces . . . . . . . . . . . . 40) McCoy condition in skew verion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41) Non-Coprime Graph Of A Finite Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . EDUCATIONAL MATHEMATICS 2) Low Performance Students’s Motivation Level Towards Teaching And Learning Using Geogebra Learning Module . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3) Integrating History Of Mathematics To Promote Creative And Critical Thinking In Algebra Among Students In Selangor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4) Cooperative Learning Practices Survey Among Students Of Foundation Engineering Universiti Tenaga Nasional . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5) Enjoy Learning Mathematics With Magic Maths . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6) Fostering Problem Solving And Performance Assessment Among Malaysian Mathematics Teachers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8) Year Five Pupils’ Informal Understanding Of Proportional . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9) The Computation Of Some Properties Of Additive And Multiplicative Groups Of Integers Modulo n Using C++ Programming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10) Visualisation Of Curve, Area And Volume Using Mathematica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11) Predicting The Performance Of Undergraduate Engineering Students In Mathematics I Courses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12) Integrating Mathematical Thinking Oriented Problem Solving Approach With Blended Learning Open Source Science Or Math Studies (BLOSSOMS) Modules . . . . . . . . . . STATISTICS 104 105 106 106 107 107 109 109 110 110 111 112 112 113 114 114 115 117 1) Adjustment To Lead Leverage Levels And The Timing Element In Issuing Equity: Empirical Evidence From Firm Level Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2) Statistical Modeling Nonlinear Mix EÆects Model In Girth Growth Of Rubber Tree . . . . 3) Distinguishing The Impacts Of Oil Demand And Oil Supply On Volatility Of Inflation: A Comparative Study On Oil Importing Versus Oil Exporting Countries . . . . . . . . . . . 4) An Investigation On The Impacts Of Oil Price Shocks On Domestic Inflation: A SVAR Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5) A System Dynamics Model For Analyzing The Eco-Aquaculture System With Policy Recommendations: Case Study On Integrated Aquaculture Park (i SHARP), Setiu, Terengganu, Malaysia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6) Sample Selection Model With Bootstrap Approach: Case Study Of The Malaysian Population And Family Survey 1994 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7) Nonparametric Predictive Inference For Bivariate Data With Non-Parametric Copula . . 8) Modification Of Two-Step Method In Estimating The Parameters Of Stochastic DiÆerential Equation Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9) Change-Point Non Mixture Cure Model For Interval-Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 11) Volatility Spillover EÆect Between Foreign Exchange Rates And Gold Market . . . . . . . 12) Bivariate Copulas Functions For Flood Frequency Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13) Parameter Estimation Using Probability Generating Function Based Minimum Power Divergence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . § viii § 117 117 118 119 119 120 121 122 123 123 124 125 Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 14) Modeling Hydraulic Conductivity Using Minimum Relative Entropy (MRE) Based On Hydrogeologic Characteristics In Groundwater . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16) Predicting The Inflation Rate In Malaysia Using Sukuk Term Structure . . . . . . . . . . 17) Flood Hydrograph Using Functional Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18) The Relationship Between Population Ageing And Economic Growth: A Comparison Between Asia And Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19) Instantaneous Causality Approach toMeteorological Variables Bond . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21) Analysis Of The Oil Price Fluctuations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23) Comparison Of Several Variants Of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) On Forensic Analysis Of Paper Based On IR Spectrum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24) EÆects Of Scatter-Correction Pre-Processing Methods And Spectral Derivative Algorithms On Forensic Classification Of Paper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25) Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modelling Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo . . . . . . . . . . 26) Characteristic And Classification Of PM10 Concentrations In Selected Industrial Areas In Malaysia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27) A Comparative Study Of Mixture Cure Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28) Flood Frequency Analysis At Ungauged Site Using Modified Group Method Of Data Handling With Topological Kriging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29) The Quadratic Estimating Function On Zero Inflated GARCH Model . . . . . . . . . . . 30) Selecting Probability Distribution Of Regions And At-Site For Peninsular Malaysia Streamflow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32) Modelling And Forecasting Monthly Crude Oil Prices Of Pakistan: A Comparative Study Of ARIMA, GARCH And ARIMA-Kalman Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33) Forensic DiÆerentiation Of Paper By ATR-FTIR Spectroscopy Technique And Partial Least Squares-Discriminant Analysis (PLS-DA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34) Genetic Algorithms For Wavenumber Selection In Forensic DiÆerentiation Of Paper By Linear Discriminant Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35) Statistical Modeling Of Extreme Temperature In Malaysia Using Generalized Pareto Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36) Multinomial Logistic Regression Modelling of Stress Level Among Secondary School Teachers in Kubang Pasu district, Kedah . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37) Bivariate Copula In Johor Rainfall Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38) Bias Correction Of General Circulation Model (GCM) Data Around Kelantan River Basin 39) Estimating Half Life For Levy Driven Carma Processes With Stochastic Volatility . . . . 40) Modeling Multinomial Logistic Regression on Smokers AÆected By the Smoke-Free Campaign in the Area of Melaka . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41) Credit Card Fraud Detections Based On RIDIT Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42) Generalized Additive Models (GAMS) Approach In Modelling Rainfall Data Over Johor Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43) Temporal Dynamic Of Trend In Wind Speed With State Space Model . . . . . . . . . . . 45) Experimental Design And Statistical Analysis In Rotating Disc Contactor (RDC) Column 46) Pre-Test Estimator For Concentration Parameter Of Circular Normal Distribution . . . . 47) Plus Tra±c Highway: An Analysis Based On Time Series Similarity Approach . . . . . . 49) Assessing The Performance Of Probability Distributions For Fine Resolution Rainfall In Peninsular Malaysia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50) Selected Models For Correlated Tra±c Accident Count Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51) Robust Linear Discriminant Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52) EMD-DR Models For Forecasting Electricity Load Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . § ix § 125 126 127 128 128 129 129 130 131 132 132 133 134 134 135 135 136 137 137 138 139 139 140 141 141 142 143 144 144 145 146 146 147 SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik 53) Bayesian Analysis Of Change Point Problems For Time Series Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54) Comparative Analysis On The Performance Of Stochastic DiÆerential’S Parameter Estimation Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56) Comparison between Bayesian Structural Equation Models with Ordered Categorical Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57) Robust PC with Wild Bootstrap Estimation of Linear Model in the Presence of Outliers, Multicollinearity and Heteroscedasticity Error Variance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59) Estimation Parameters Using Bisquare Weighted Robust Ridge Regression Brlts Estimator In The Presence Of Multicollinearity And Outliers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61) A New Approach For Fishery Landing Forecasting Based On Empirical Mode Decomposition And ARIMA Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62) Analysis On The Future Monthly Rainfall Amount In Johor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63) An ARIMA-GARCH Model for Synthetic Generation of Wind Speed Time Series Data . . 64) The Neyman-Scott White Model For Malaysia Rainfall Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65) On The Performance of New Generalized-M Estimator to Rectify Multicollinearity caused by High Leverage Collinearity Enhancing Observation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . § x § 147 148 149 149 150 151 151 152 153 153 Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru APPLIED & INDUSTRIAL MATHEMATICS MGI 01 - BAI BITHAMAN AJIL (BBA) MODELLING BY QARDHUL HASSAN CONCEPT NURFADHLINA ABDUL HALIMa , ABD AZIZ ARRASHID ABD RAJAKb & SAIFUL HAFIZAH JAAMAN @ SHARMANc a,b School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030, Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia lina@umt.edu.my, abdulazizarrashid@yahoo.com c School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600, Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia shj@ukm.my ABSTRACT Bai Bithaman Ajil (BBA) is a buy-sale property instrument. BBA model consist of payment for principal and profit margin. Nevertheless, the fixation of profit margin in this contract is unclear and the conformity of this contract towards the law of Shariah is still in doubt. Hence, a new approach is introduce to explain and all in all exclude the element of riba in the transaction. Qardhul hassan is a benevolent loan without any additional payment in its principal. Thus, the transaction which applied this concept is conforming towards Shariah. This paper explain the existing BBA model and the early development of the modified BBA which entails the application of qardhul hassan concept. The results prove that the modified BBA composed from the concept of qardhul hassan is better than the existing BBA model. Keywords: Bai Bithaman Ajil ; qardhul hassan; Shariah; riba; Islamic banking. MGI 02 - ROBUST OPTIMIZATION PROFIT SHARING RATIO WITH STRAIGHT LINE DEPRECIATION MODELLING § 1 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik NURFADHLINA ABDUL HALIMa , SHAR NIZAM SHARIFb & SAIFUL HAFIZAH JAAMAN @ SHARMANc a,b c Pusat Pengajian Informatik Dan Matematik Gunaan Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030, Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu lina@umt.edu.my, sharzdgreat@gmail.com Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Dan Teknologi Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600, UKM Bangi, Selangor shj@ukm.my.edu ABSTRACT An existing robust optimization of profit sharing ratio (PSR) model has been developed and applied into Islamic hire purchase instrument aims to provide fairer situation to all parties involved in Islamic hire purchase contract. Robust optimization of PSR is build based on profit loss sharing approach which highly recommended by Syaria’ to avoid riba and gharar transaction. However, an existing robust optimization of PSR does not take depreciation which is straight line and declining balance into consideration. Nevertheless, this research only consider on straight line depreciation. Straight line depreciation is depletion of asset values constantly over its expected useful life. This matter exposed the lessor into void risk situation where the lessee does not fulfill the hire purchase contract. Thus, this research proposed a modified model for existing robust optimization of PSR with straight line depreciation parameter enhancement. This new modified robust optimization of PSR with straight line depreciation model comply Syaria’, better and more equitable compare to the existing model. Keywords: profit sharing ratio; Islamic hire purchase; straight line depreciation. MGI 03 - USING THE ADAPTIVE NEURO-FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM (ANFIS) IN MODELING THE SURVIVAL OF DIABETES MAMMAN MAMUDAa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia maanty123@gmail.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT Medical diagnosis is the extrapolation of the future course and outcome of a disease and a sign of the likelihood of recovery from that disease. Diagnosis is important because it is used to guide the type and intensity of the medication to be administered to patients. A hybrid intelligent system that combines § 2 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru the fuzzy logic qualitative approach and Adaptive Neural Network with the capabilities of getting a better performance is required. In this paper, a method for modeling the survival of diabetes patient by utilizing the application of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is introduced with the aim of turning data into knowledge that can be understood by people. The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) approach implements the hybrid learning algorithm that combines the gradient descent algorithm and a recursive least square error algorithm to update the antecedent and consequent parameters. The combination of fuzzy inference that will represent knowledge in an interpretable manner and the learning ability of neural network that can adjust the membership functions of the parameters and linguistic rules from data will be considered. The proposed framework can be applied to estimate the risk and survival curve between diÆerent diagnostic factors and survival time with the explanation capabilities. Keywords: Hybrid Intelligent System, Neuro-Fzzy, Fuzzy Inference System, Gradient Descent Algorithm, Recursive Least Square Error Algorithm. MGI 04 - INTEGRATION OF FUZZY LOGIC AND NEURAL NETWORK MAMMAN MAMUDAa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia maanty123@gmail.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT Every intelligent technique has particular computational properties such as ability to learn, explain decisions that make them suited for particular problems and not for others. The limitation of using an individual intelligent technique to learn or explain decisions have been a central driving force behind the creation of hybrid intelligent systems where two or more technique can be combined. For example, while neural network have the positive attributes of adaptation and learning, they have the negative attribute of a ”black box” syndrome. Also, fuzzy logic has the advantage of approximate reasoning but the disadvantage that it lacks an eÆective learning capability. Hybrid systems are important when considering the varied nature of application domains. In this paper, the concept of fuzzy logic will be incorporated into the neural network to enable a system to deal with cognitive uncertainties in a manner more like humans. The fuzzy IF- THEN rules by regular fuzzy neural nets such as (fuzzy input/output signals and fuzzy weights) will be implemented using the fuzzy rules that can be trained by steepest descent method to learn the parameters of the membership function that represent the linguistic terms in the rules. Keywords: Fuzzy Logic, Neural Network, Intelligent Technique, IF-THEN Rules, Fuzzy Weights. § 3 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 05 - GROUP ITERATIVE METHODS FOR THE SOLUTION OF TWO-DIMENSIONAL TIME-FRACTIONAL DIFFUSION EQUATION ALLA TAREQ BALASIMa & NORHASHIDAH HJ. MOHD. ALIb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pinang Malaysia alkhazrejy@yahoo.com, shidah ali@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT Variety of problems in science and engineering may be described by fractional partial diÆerential equations (FPDE) in relation to space and/or time fractional derivatives. The diÆerence between time fractional diÆusion equations and standard diÆusion equations lies primarily in the time derivative. Over the last few years, iterative schemes derived from the rotated finite diÆerence approximation have been proven to work well in solving standard diÆusion equations. However, its application on time fractional diÆusion counterpart is still yet to be investigated. In this paper, we will present a preliminary study on the formulation and analysis of new explicit group iterative methods in solving a two-dimensional time fractional diÆusion equation. These methods were derived from the standard and rotated CrankNicholson diÆerence approximation formula. Several numerical experiments were conducted to show the e±ciency of the developed schemes in terms of CPU time, memory requirements and computational complexity. Keywords: Finite diÆerence schemes, Explicit group methods, Time fractional diÆusion equation, Caputo’s fractional derivative. MGI 06 - SIMULATION OF UNDULAR BORES PROPAGATION WITH DAMPING WEI KING TIONGa , KIM GAIK TAYb , CHEE TIONG ONGc & KANG LENG CHIEWd a,d b Department of Computational Science and Mathematics, Faculty of Computer Science and Information Technology Universiti Malaysia Sarawak 94300 Kota Samarahan, Malaysia wktiong@fit.unimas.my, klchiew@fit.unimas.my Department of Communication Engineering, Faculty of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Universiti Tun Hussein Onn 86400 Parit Raja, Malaysia tay@uthm.edu.my c Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia § 4 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia octiong@utm.my ABSTRACT Propagation of undular bores with damping was considered in the framework of perturbed extended Korteweg-de Vries (peKdV) equation. We consider two types of damping terms for the peKdV equation, namely linear and Chezy frictional terms, which describes the turbulent boundary layers in the fluid flow. Solving the peKdV equation numerically using the method of lines shows that under the influence of damping, the leading solitary wave of the undular bores will split from the nonlinear wavetrain, propagates and behaves like an isolated solitary waves. Moreover, the undular bore with thick leading wave will transform into KdV-like solitary wave under stronger eÆect of damping. The amplitude of the thick leading wave will remain the same for some time even though there is damping eÆect. In general the amplitude of the leading wave and the mean level of the undular bore decreases due to the eÆect of damping. Keywords: undular bores; damping; solitary wave. MGI 07 - SELF ORGANIZING MAP AS A TOOL FOR CLUSTER ANALYSIS ABDU MASANAWA SAGIRa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia ams13 mah013@student.usm.my, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT The Kohonen Self Organizing Feature Map or Self Organizing Map (SOM) for short, is the most acceptable algorithm in the unsupervised learning technique for cluster analysis. It is an important tool to map high - dimensional data sets onto a low - dimensional discrete lattice of neurons. This feature is used for clustering and classification of data. Clustering is the process of grouping data elements into classes or clusters so that items in each class or cluster are as similar as possible. In this paper we present an overview of Self Organizing Map, its applications, architecture and training algorithm as well. Computer simulations have been analyzed based on samples of data for clustering problems. Keywords: Cluster analysis; Computer simulations, Self Organizing Map; SOM Architecture; Training algorithm. § 5 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 08 - THE USE OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK AND MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSIONS FOR STOCK MARKET FORECASTING ABDU MASANAWA SAGIRa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia ams13 mah013@student.usm.my, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In the recent economic crises, one of the precise uniqueness that all stock markets have in common is the uncertainty. An attempt is made to forecast future index of the Malaysia Stock Exchange Market using artificial neural network models and a traditional forecasting tool - Multiple Linear Regressions. This paper starts with a brief overview of artificial neural network and machine learning models used for prediction. System design, data formation and data normalization using MINITAB software were described. Training algorithm, Multiple Linear Regressions Model and Network parameter models were presented. Best training graphs showing the Training, Validation, Test and all Regression values have been analyzed. Keywords: Artificial Neural Network, Machine Learning Models, Multiple Linear Regressions Model, Stock Market, Training algorithm. MGI 09 - SOLVING ROBIN PROBLEM IN BOUNDED DOUBLY CONNECTED REGIONS VIA AN INTEGR EQUATION WITH THE GENERALIZED NEUMANN KERNEL SHWAN HASSANa , ALI H. M. MURIDb & MUNIRA ISMAILc a,b,c b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia kakshko0@gmail.com, muniraismail@utm.my UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (UTM-CIAM) Ibnu Sina Institute for Scientific and Industrial Research, UTM, 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia alihassan@utm.my ABSTRACT This paper presents a new boundary integral equation method for the solution of Robin problems in bounded doubly connected regions. We show how to reformulate the Robin problems as a Riemann- § 6 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Hilbert problem which lead to systems of integral equations. Related diÆerential equations and normalizing conditions are also constructed that give rise to unique solutions. Numerical results on several test regions are presented to illustrate the solution technique for the Robin problems when the boundaries are su±ciently smooth. Keywords: Robin problem; Riemann-Hilbert problem; Integral equation; Generalized Neumann kernel; Doubly connected region. MGI 10 - THE METHOD OF LINES SOLUTION OF THE FORCED KORTEWEG-DE VRIES-BURGERS EQUATION WITH VARIABLE COEFFICIENT (FKdVB) NAZATULSYIMA MOHD YAZIDa , KIM GAIK TAYb , WEI KING TIONGc , YAN YEE CHOYd , AZILA MD SUDINe & CHEE TIONG ONGf a,d,e Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Technology and Human Development Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia 86400 Parit raja, Batu Pahat, Johor, Malaysia nazatulsyima91@yahoo.com, yychoy@uthm.edu.my, azzila@uthm.edu.my b c Department of Communication Engineering, Faculty of Electric and Electronic Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia 86400 Parit raja, Batu Pahat, Johor, Malaysia tay@uthm.edu.my Department of Computational Science and Mathematics, Faculty of Computer Science and Information Technology Universiti Malaysia Sarawak 94300 Kota Samarahan, Malaysia wktiong@fit.unimas.my f Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia octiong@utm.my ABSTRACT In this paper, the application of the method of lines (MOL) to the Forced Korteweg-de Vries-Burgers equation with variable coe±cient (FKdVB) was presented. The method of lines is a powerful technique for solving partial diÆerential equations by typically using finite-diÆerence approximations for the spatial derivatives and ordinary diÆerential equations (odes) for the time derivative. The MOL approach of the FKdVB equation led to a system of odes. Solution of the system of odes was obtained by applying the Fourth Order Runge Kutta (RK4) method. In order to show the accuracy of the presented method, the § 7 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik numerical solutions obtained were compared with its progressive wave solution in terms of maximum absolute error at certain time. It was seen that the maximum absolute errors are in order of 10°6 . Keywords: FKdVB Equation; The Method of Lines; System of DiÆerential Equation; Runge Kutta. MGI 11 - MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF FLUID FLOW UNDER EFFECT OF SCLERA BUCKLING LIM YEOU JIANNa , ZUHAILA ISMAILb , SHARIDAN SHAFIEc & ALISTAIR FITTd Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia jiann8807@hotmail.com, zuhaila@utm.my, sharidan@utm.my a,b,c Faculty of Technology, Design and Environment Oxford Brookes University Headington Campus Gipsy Lane, Oxford, OX3 OBP, United Kingdom. afitt@brookes.ac.uk d ABSTRACT In this paper, a phenomenon of fluid flow through a detached retina with sclera buckling treatment is studied. To understand the fluid flow, a paradigm mathematical model is developed and is approximated by the lubrication theory. The eÆect of the sclera buckling on the behaviour of the liquefied vitreous humour, which cause the reattachment of the retina, is analyzed and discussed. The velocity profile and pressure distribution are computed theoretically. Based on the analysis, it is found that the size of the sclera buckling do aÆects the velocity and pressure distribution in the human eye. It is important to comprehend the eÆect of the sclera buckling on the dynamics of the vitreous humour in order to improve the sclera buckling treatment on curing retinal detachment. Keywords: retinal detachment; sclera buckling; lubrication theory. MGI 12 - MODELING MINORITY CLASSES OF STENCIL PRINTING PROCESS DEFECTS WITH MACHINE LEARNING ALGORITHM SIEW JIT-PINGa , LOW HENG-CHINb & TEOH PING-CHOWc a,b Department of Mathematical Science § 8 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia jps.usm@gmail.com, hclow@cs.my Wawsan Open University 54, Jalan Sultan Ahmad Shah 10050, Penang, Malaysia pcteoh@wou.edu.my c ABSTRACT Stencil printing process (SPP) has been a challenge on surface mount technology (SMT) printed circuit board (PCB) manufacturing, and the phenomena is evident by the frequent use of solder paste inspection equipment, or substituted by non-value added activity of manual inspection. Using automated stencil printing machines controlled by computers, defect rates have been reduced to 1.0% level, but SPP still constituted at least 50% of defects in the finished PCB product. Initial analysis using generalized linear model did not produce results that correlated with actual observations as defects are a minority class, which lead to the use of machine learning algorithm. The objective of this paper is to use data mining techniques to dissect defects data, and then characterize the observations that occur in conjunction with actual production run variables using a suitable machine learning algorithm to identify special causes which can be used as a learning point by the manufacturing crew for continuous improvement. Comparison runs from various machine learning algorithms indicated that artificial neural network is superior in two aspects of speed and accuracy, but lacking in model information. The results from a 9 months period of study indicated a significant reduction in the rate of defects, touching the ultimate goal of zero defects in SPP. Keywords: stencil printing; machine learning; artificial neural network. MGI 13 - ACCELERATING ACTIVATION FUNCTION IN HIGHER ORDER LOGIC PROGRAMMING MOHD SHAREDUWAN MOHD KASIHMUDDINa , & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM Penang Malaysia iwanmaidin@gmail.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT A strategy for finding optimum solutions in higher - order logic programming in Hopfield Neural Network is vital to ensure the network achieve the best convergent rate. Activation Function is used to transform the activation level of a unit (neuron) into output signal. The aim of this study is to justify how well Hyperbolic Activation Function outperforms Unipolar Activation Function in doing logic programming § 9 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik in Hopfield Neural Network. The comparisons of Unipolar Activation Function and Hyperbolic Activation Function doing logic programming in Hopfield neural network will be examined by using Microsoft Visual C++ 2010 Express software. Performance for both Unipolar Activation Function and Hyperbolic Activation Function doing logic programming will be evaluated based on global minima ratio, running time and hamming distance. Computer simulations have proven that the output produced by Hyperbolic Activation Function has a higher global minima ratio, lower running time and lower Hamming Distance. The results obtained from the computer simulation demonstrate the eÆectiveness, accelerating features of Hyperbolic Activation Function compared to Unipolar Activation Function. Keywords: Activation function; Hyperbolic Activation Function; Unipolar Activation Function; Hopfield Neural Network. MGI 14 - PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF ACTIVATION FUNCTION IN HIGHER ORDER LOGIC PROGRAMMING MOHD. ASYRAF MANSORa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia asyrafalvez@live.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT Higher-order logic programming in Hopfield neural network is a vital paradigm to solve numerous combinatorial optimization problem and pattern recognition. Hence, activation function can be integrated as catalyst or accelerating techniques of doing higher order logic programming in Hopfield network. Obviously, the McCulloch-Pitts learning rule is widely used in higher order logic programming. Hereby, we proposed the Bipolar sigmoid and Hyperbolic activation function trained by Wan Abdullah’s method by integrating energy minimization scheme in order to speed up the training process. Computer simulations are carried out to authenticate the performance of Hyperbolic activation function, Bipolar sigmoid activation function and McCulloch-Pitts function (Logistic Function) in higher order Hopfield network. We used Microsoft Visual C++ 2013 as a platform of simulating, training and testing the network. Therefore, evaluations are made between these activation functions to see which one is superior in the aspects of global solutions, hamming distance, complexity and computation time. It was proven by the computer simulations that Hyperbolic activation function outperformed Bipolar sigmoid activation function and McCulloch-Pitts function. Keywords: Higher-order logic programming; Hopfield neural network; Hyperbolic activation function. § 10 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MGI 15 - MODIFYING ACTIVATION FUNCTION IN NEURO SYMBOLIC INTEGRATION MOHD SHAREDUWAN MOHD KASIHMUDDINa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM Penang Malaysia iwanmaidin@gmail.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT Activation Function is a dynamic transfer function that translates input signal to output signals. Architecture with incorporated activation functions is used to do logic programming in Hopfield neural network. The proposed activation function is based on Unipolar Activation Function. The aim of this study is to investigate the features of Unipolar Activation Function and compare it with McCulloch-Pitts Activation Function which is proposed by Wan Abdullah. The comparisons of Unipolar Activation Function and McCulloch-Pitts Activation Function doing logic programming in Hopfield neural network will be examined by using Microsoft Visual C++ 2010 Express software. The detailed comparison on the performance of Unipolar Activation Function and McCulloch-Pitts Activation Function doing logic programming will be discussed based on global minima ratio, running time and hamming distance. Studies showed that the output produced by Unipolar Activation Function has a higher global minima ratio, lower running time and lower hamming distance. The result obtained from the computer simulation indicates the beneficial features of Unipolar Activation Function compared to McCulloch-Pitts Activation Function. This finding leads to significant implication on the choice of activation function used in order for user to produce optimum and desired output. Keywords: Activation function; Unipolar Activation Function; Hopfield Neural Network. MGI 16 - ACTIVATION FUNCTION COMPARISON IN NEURAL-SYMBOLIC INTEGRATION MOHD. ASYRAF MANSORa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia asyrafalvez@live.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT The activation function is a dynamic paradigm for doing logic programming in Hopfield neural network. In neural-symbolic integration, the activation function used to metamorphose the activation level of a unit (neuron) into an output signal. The proposed activation function is Bipolar sigmoid activation function. The main goal of this research is to compare and analyze the performance of proposed activation § 11 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik function paradigm with another sign function, namely McCulloch-Pitts function based on Wan Abdullah’s method. In this study, we evaluate experimentally the diÆerences between both functions through computer simulations. Computer simulations are conducted to demonstrate the ability of Bipolar sigmoid function and McCulloch-Pitts function doing the logic programming in Hopfield neural network. Microsoft Visual C++ 2013 is used as a platform for training and testing. The performance of Bipolar sigmoid activation function and the McCulloch-Pitts function were discussed holistically by comparing the global minima ratio, Hamming distance and training or computation time. It was proven by computer simulations that the Bipolar sigmoid activation function has a better performance, provides good solutions and achieves an acceptable stability compared to the McCulloch-Pitts function. Keywords: Activation function; Logic programming; Hopfield neural network; Hamming distance; Global minima ratio. MGI 17 - A LONG WAVES PROPAGATION IN TWO-LAYER FLUID OVER A CIRCULAR BOWL PIT FATIMAH NOOR HARUNa School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia fnoor hh@umt.edu.my a ABSTRACT This study is conducted to study the long wave propagation in two layer fluid model over a circular bowl pit by using the analytical solution. The equation used in this study is the mild-slope equation and linear shallow water equation. The methods used to solve this problem are separation of variable and Frobenius series. The mild-slope equation used in this research is a power fool tool to study wave refraction and diÆraction over the circular bowl pit in a constant depth region. As part of verification process, we have reduced our solution to one-layer fluid and find that our solution agree well with the existing solution. After solving this problem analytically, we find that the depth and the radius of bowl fit have significance eÆect to the surface wave elevation, ¥. Besides, the density ratio also give significance eÆect to the surface wave elevation. Keywords: mild-slope equation; analytical solution; Frobenius series. MGI 18 - NATURAL CONVECTION IN AN OBLIQUE POROUS CAVITY WITH NON-UNIFORM HEATING § 12 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru CHEONG HUEY TYNGa , S. SIVASANKARANb & ZAILAN SIRIc Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hueytyng 6re@yahoo.com, sd.siva@yahoo.com, zailansiri@um.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT The present numerical study investigates natural convective flow and heat transfer in an oblique cavity filled with heat-absorbing or heat-generating porous medium. Sinusoidal temperature is applied in the left wall of the cavity while the right wall is maintained at a lower temperature. The bottom and top walls are kept to be adiabatic. The Darcy model is adopted for fluid flow through the porous medium. The governing equations are solved using the finite diÆerence method with various values of wall inclination, internal heat generation parameter and Rayleigh numbers. The results are presented in the form of isotherms, streamlines and Nusselt numbers. The heat transfer rate of oblique cavity is more enhanced at high Rayleigh numbers. Also, the heat transfer rate decreases upon the raise of the internal heat generation parameter. Keywords: natural convection; oblique cavity; porous medium; non-uniform heating. MGI 19 - DEVELOPMENT OF TSUNAMI INUNDATION MAP FOR PENANG USING TUNA-RP TAN WAI KIATa , TEH SU YEANb & KOH HOCK LYEc School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia wk.tan@outlook.com, syteh@usm.my a,b USCI University Jalan Menara Gading, 56000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hocklyekoh@yahoo.com c ABSTRACT As an essential part of the tsunami early warning system, tsunami inundation maps provide critical information on tsunami inundation along the coastal areas. This information provides the basis for authorities to make informed decisions on tsunami disaster evacuation and coastal development plans. These inundation maps are also used to highlight the vulnerability of coastal areas to better prepare the coastal communities for timely response to impending tsunami events. Maximum inundation distance and maximum run-up height simulated by a tsunami model based on past and potential future tsunami events are used to produce such inundation maps. In this paper, we present the in-house two-dimensional § 13 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik tsunami run-up and inundation model codenamed TUNA-RP. Under a national project, TUNA-RP is used to produce the inundation maps for northwest Peninsular Malaysia, a known tsunami hotspot. TUNA-RP solves the nonlinear shallow water equations (NSWE) by leap-frog finite diÆerence scheme on a staggered grid coupled with a moving boundary algorithm to project the run-up of tsunami waves onto the dry land. The simulated results of TUNA-RP compare well with the measured results of a large scale laboratory experiment benchmark that investigated run-up of solitary waves on a circular island. A tsunami inundation map for Penang produced by simulations driven by the bathymetry and topography data from NOAA will be presented in this paper. Keywords: tsunami inundation map; TUNA-RP; Penang; disaster management. MGI 20 - ASSESSING POTENTIAL IMPACT OF TSUNAMI ON PENANG ISLAND VIA TUNA-RP SIMULATION LEE KEXINa , TAN WAI KIATb , TEH SU YEANc & KOH HOCK LYEd Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia wk.tan@outlook.com, syteh@usm.my a,b,c USCI University Jalan Menara Gading, 56000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hocklyekoh@yahoo.com d ABSTRACT The Indian Ocean tsunami that occurred on December 26, 2004 resulted in the death of over 200,000 people worldwide, of which 52 deaths happened in Penang Island, Malaysia. This devastating event highlighted the vulnerability of Malaysian coastal communities living in aÆected areas to potential future tsunamis. To assess potential impact of tsunami, numerical tsunami models are used to project the maximum inundation distance and maximum run-up height along the coastal areas. In this paper, the in-house one-dimensional tsunami run-up model codenamed TUNA-RP is used to investigate the relations between the steepness of beach slope and tsunami impacts, such as inundation distance and run-up height. The simulation results of TUNA-RP show that the inundation distance and run-up height decrease exponentially as the steepness of beach slope increases. Simulations are performed to project the inundation distance and run-up at several high-risk coastal areas in Penang island, such as Teluk Bahang, Batu Feringghi and Tanjung Bungah, the results of which will be presented in this paper. Keywords: TUNA-RP; tsunami runup and inundation; Penang. § 14 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MGI 21 - PILE FORMATION OF DRILL CUTTINGS FROM OIL AND GAS EXPLORATION IN SIAKAP-NORTH PETAI FIELD SITI NASUHA NASIRa , KH’NG XIN YIb , LIM YONG HUIc , TEH SU YEANd & KOH HOCK LYEe School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia syteh@usm.my a,b,c,d USCI University Jalan Menara Gading, 56000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hocklyekoh@yahoo.com e ABSTRACT The vibrant and flourishing oil and gas exploration and production industry in Malaysia helps to stimulate the country’s economy. During the process of drilling an oil well, drill cuttings with various characteristics and sizes are produced. Among the disposal options of drill cuttings, onsite disposal of these cuttings is practically the simplest option and the least expensive. The disposed drill cuttings will ultimately deposit onto the seabed to form piles around the vicinity of the platform. These accumulated cuttings on the seabed might result in growth inhibition, mortality, and smothering of marine organisms besides aÆecting pipe laying and maintenance operations. Model simulations are used to provide a perspective on the areal extent of accumulations of cuttings on the seabed and to investigate potential mitigation measures. For this purpose, an in-house particle tracking model TUNA-PT has been developed. In this paper, we use TUNA-PT to simulate the pile formation pattern of drill cuttings discharged during an oil and gas exploration and production drilling operation in Siakap-North Petai (SNP) Field located oÆshore of Sabah. Due to the energetic ocean environment of South China Sea, the drill cuttings are spread over a large area, thereby decreasing the pile height. Our simulation study indicates that the disposed drill cuttings will not pose adverse impact to the benthic environment and will not hinder pipe laying and maintenance operations. Keywords: oil and gas; TUNA-PT; drill cuttings; mount formation. MGI 22 - UNSTEADY FREE CONVECTION FLOW OF ROTATING MHD SECOND GRADE FLUID IN A POROUS MEDIUM OVER AN OSCILLATING PLATE AHMAD QUSHAIRI MOHAMADa , ILYAS KHANb & SHARIDAN SHAFIEc a,c Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia ahmadqushairi91@yahoo.com, sharidan@utm.my § 15 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik College of Engineering Majmaah University P.O. Box 66, Majmaah 11952, Saudi Arabia ilyaskhanqau@yahoo.com b ABSTRACT In this paper, the analytical solutions for unsteady free convection flow of rotating second grade fluid over an isothermal oscillating vertical plate are investigated. The eÆect of magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) flow in a porous medium is also considered. The governing equation for momentum is modeled in a rotating system such that both fluid and plate rotate in unison with uniform angular velocity. This phenomenon is modeled in the form of partial diÆerential equations together with initial and boundary conditions. Some suitable non-dimensional variables are introduced. The corresponding non-dimensional momentum and energy equations with conditions are solved using Laplace transform technique. Expression for velocity and temperature fields are obtained and displayed graphically for diÆerent values of second grade fluid (Æ), rotation (!), magnetic (M ) and porosity (K) parameters as well as Grashof number (Gr) and Prandtl number (P r). Results obtained satisfied all the initial and boundary conditions and able to reduce to the published results from the literature as limiting cases. Keywords: second grade fluid; rotating; free convection; oscillating; MHD; porous medium. MGI 23 - TUNA-WQ: A 2D MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR WATER QUALITY SIMULATION MICHAEL CHONG SUENG LOCKa , TEH SU YEANb & KOH HOCK LYEc School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia mcslock11@outlook.com, syteh@usm.my a,b USCI University Jalan Menara Gading, 56000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hocklyekoh@yahoo.com c ABSTRACT Increasing demand for potable water coupled with decreasing number of water resources due to pollution create a challenge in providing sustainable sources of potable water. It is therefore vital to protect our existing waters from pollution while achieving economic and social development. Water quality models are useful tools for simulation and prediction of the levels, distributions and risks of pollutants discharged into a certain water body. Mitigation measures for reducing the environmental impact can be further explored via model simulations. These model-predicted impacts and mitigation measures provide a basis for environmental management agencies to make the right decisions. There are various wellknown models available for water quality simulation, namely WASP, AQUASEA and MIKE, but these § 16 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru models are either limited in their application or licensed. To provide an alternative to these models, we develop an in-house two-dimensional water quality simulation model codenamed TUNA-WQ. As an in-house model, TUNA-WQ can be revised and adapted to broaden the applicability of the model. We begin the paper by introducing the development of TUNA-WQ, starting from specifying the equations and numerical methods employed. This is followed by verification of the model through comparison with analytical model and other water quality models. To demonstrate the application of TUNA-WQ, we conclude the paper by presenting the TUNA-WQ simulated suspended sediment plumes in the top water column due to discharge from an oÆshore oil and gas exploration platform in the South China Sea. Keywords: TUNA; water quality; suspended sediment; oil and gas. MGI 24 - SIMULATION OF SUSPENDED DRILL CUTTINGS FROM OFFSHORE OIL AND GAS PLATFORM NURUL SYAZWANI MANSORa , MICHAEL CHONG SUENG LOCKb , TEH SU YEANc & KOH HOCK LYEd School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia mcslock11@outlook.com, syteh@usm.my a,b,c USCI University Jalan Menara Gading, 56000 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hocklyekoh@yahoo.com d ABSTRACT OÆshore oil and gas exploration activities often involves installation of flow lines and subsea facilities, well drilling, well completion and testing, host tie-ins, production and lastly subsea intervention and prevention. The disposal of drill cuttings from well drilling operation generates suspended solids (SS), thereby raising concerns on its negative impact on marine environment. These drill cuttings disposed oÆshore compose of particles with various properties. Larger and heavier cuttings will settle quickly onto the seabed and form a pile while lighter and smaller cuttings will remain suspended in the water column. To assess the impact of these SS on the marine ecosystem, a modeling study is required. This paper presents a simulation study on the transport of SS in the water column due to drill cuttings disposed by an oÆshore oil and gas exploration platform in Siakap North - Petai Field. The hydrodynamic flow and transport model AQUASEA, developed by Vatnaskil Consulting Engineers, is used for this purpose. Simulated SS plumes subject to the pre-dominant semi-diurnal tidal flow will be presented and the impact of the drill cuttings disposal on the marine environment will be discussed. Keywords: oil and gas; AQUASEA; drill cuttings; suspended sediments. § 17 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 25 - FOOD CHAIN MODEL WITH COMPETITION INTERACTION IN AN ENVIRONMENT ENRICHED BY A BIOTIC RESOURCE HAMIZAH MOHD SAFUANa & SUHAILI BINTI MUSAb a Mathematics and Statistics Department, Faculty of Science, Technology and Human Development Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia 86400 Batu Pahat, Johor, Malaysia hamizahs@uthm.edu.my Department of General Study (Academic) Kolej Poly-Tech MARA, Tingkat 3,Bangunan Tabung Haji Jalan Timah Sari, 83000 Batu Pahat, Johor suhaili musa@gapps.kptm.edu.my b ABSTRACT Ecology is a study that deals with the dynamics of species population and that the population interacts among themselves in an environment. Population interactions can be divided into two types - intraspecific or interspecific. Intra-specific interaction is the competition within the same species while an interspecific interaction is the competition with diÆerent species. These competitions generally describe the interactions of population to compete for available food/resource. The resource could be a free resource or a shared resource. Thus competition among species can be defined as interaction that leads to a change in the fitness of the population to survive with a given resource. There are two types of resource in the ecosystem that is abiotic and biotic. Abiotic resource is the non-living components such as chemical or physical factors that can aÆect the ability of the population to survive or reproduce, while a biotic resource is the living component in the ecosystem. Resource is generally finite and limited that can be related to the concept of carrying capacity, where carrying capacity defines as the maximal abundance of the population in a given environment. It is a limiting factor and without it the population growth is beyond control. There are many systems of diÆerential equations in population modelling that deal with constant carrying capacity, in this study, however, we investigate on changing environment that is modelled through a state-variable where the carrying capacity represents a biotic resource in a food chain model. The food chain model consists of a two species populations that share the same resource. This study investigates population growth model that involves a food chain with competition in an environment enriched with biotic resource. Keywords: carrying capacity; population growth, competition; stability; bifurcation. MGI 26 - THERMAL RADIATION IN UNSTEADY MHD FREE CONVECTION FLOW OF JEFFREY FLUID WITH RAMPED WALL TEMPERATURE NOR ATHIRAH BINTI MOHD ZINa , ILYAS KHANb & SHARIDAN SHAFIEc a,c Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science § 18 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia norathirah24@gmail.com, sharidan@utm.my College of Engineering Majmaah University P.O. Box 66, Majmaah 11952, Saudi Arabia ilyaskhanqau@yahoo.com b ABSTRACT This research studies the influence of thermal radiation in unsteady magnetogydrodynamic (MHD) free convection flow of JeÆrey fluid with ramped wall temperature. The fluid is taken as electrically conducting under the action of a magnetic field applied in a direction perpendicular to the flow. The problem is modelled in terms of partial diÆerential equations with some physical conditions. Appropriate dimensionless variables are employed to the governing equations and solved numerically using Finite DiÆerence Method (FDM). Numerical results for velocity and temperature profiles are obtained, displayed graphically for embedded parameters and discussed in details. On one hand, it is found that velocity increases with increasing Grashof number, radiation parameter and time for both ramped and isothermal wall temperature. On the other hand, increasing Prandtl number, Hartmann number and material parameter of JeÆrey fluid decreases fluid velocity. Besides that, increasing Prandtl number tends to decrease the thermal boundary layer thickness whereas it decreases with increasing radiation parameter. Keywords: JeÆrey fluid; thermal radiation; MHD, free convection; ramped wall temperature. MGI 27 - G-JITTER INDUCED MHD FREE CONVECTIVE FLOW OF NANOFLUID PAST A VERTICAL PERMEABLE STRETCHING SHEET NORAIHAN AFIQAH RAWIa , NOR ATHIRAH MOHD ZINb & SHARIDAN SHAFIEc Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia nafiqah38@gmail.com, tyera rif@yahoo.com, sharidan@utm.my a,b,c ABSTRACT The unsteady two dimensional convective boundary layer flow of nanofluid past a vertical permeable stretching sheet associated with the eÆect of g-jitter is studied in this paper. Two diÆerent types of water based nanofluid are considered in this paper which are copper (Cu) and aluminium oxide (Al2 O3 ). Both of them are the nanoparticles. The governing boundary layer equations in the form of partial diÆerential equations are transformed into nonlinear coupled ordinary diÆerential equations and solved numerically using an implicit finite-diÆerence scheme known as Keller-box method. The eÆects of amplitude of modulation, frequency of oscillation, nanoparticle volume fraction, magnetic, and buoyancy parameters on the velocity and temperature profiles, as well as skin friction and Nusselt number are discussed in § 19 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik details. An excellent agreement is observed between the current and earlier published results for some special cases. Keywords: g-jitter; free convection; nanofluid; Keller-box. MGI 28 - HIGH ACCURACY NUMERICAL SOLUTION ON ROTATED GRID FOR NAVIER-STOKES EQUATION SAM TEEK LINGa & NORHASHIDAH HJ. MOHD. ALIb Institute of Engineering Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Kampus Pauh Putra 02600 Arau, Perlis, Malaysia tlsam@unimap.edu.my a School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia shidah ali@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT A new high accuracy finite diÆerence scheme in solving the two dimensional Navier-Stokes equation is presented. The fourth-order scheme is derived from the rotated nine-point finite diÆerence discretization formula applied to the equation as a stream-function and vorticity formulation. Numerical solutions are obtained for diÆerent Reynolds numbers and mesh sizes. The iterative procedure of the rotated ninepoint scheme is found to require lesser execution timings and iteration numbers compared to the existing nine-point compact method resulting in faster convergence rate. Keywords: rotated grid; Navier-Stokes; fourth-order scheme. MGI 29 - MHD SECOND GRADE FLUID ON UNSTEADY FREE CONVECTION FLOW WITH RAMPED WALL TEMPERATURE ZULKHIBRI ISMAILa , ILYAS KHANb , NADIRAH MOHD NASIRc , RAHIMAH JUSOH @ AWANGd , MOHD ZUKI SALLEHe & SHARIDAN SHAFIEf a,c,d,e Faculty of Industrial Science & Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang § 20 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 26300 Kuantan, Pahang, Malaysia zulkhibri@ump.edu.my, nadirah@ump.edu.my, rahimah@ump.edu.my, zuki@ump.edu.my b f College of Engineering Majmaah University PO Box 66, Majmaah 11952, Arab Saudi ilyaskhanqau@yahoo.com Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia sharidan@utm.my ABSTRACT In this paper, unsteady magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) second grade fluid on free convection flow in a porous medium past an infinite inclined plate is studied. The analytical solutions have been obtained by using Laplace transform method under the boundary condition of ramped wall temperature. The analytical expressions for non-dimensional skin-friction, Nusselt number and Sherwood number are computed. Result shows that the fluid velocity decreases and then increases on decreasing second grade parameter. Keywords: porous medium; second grade fluid; unsteady free convection flow; Laplace transform; ramped wall temperature. MGI 30 - ADM SOLUTION FOR MHD BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW OVER A NONLINEARLY STRETCHING SHEET IN THE PRESENCE OF VISCOUS DISSIPATION N.F.M. NOORa & I. HASHIMb a Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia drfadiya@um.edu.my School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi Selangor, Malaysia b ABSTRACT EÆect of viscous dissipation on MHD thermal boundary layer flow over a nonlinearly stretching sheet is studied. The Navier-Stokes equations and the heat equation are reduced to two nonlinear ordinary diÆerential equations via similarity transformations. ADM approach is presented in the solution of the resulting equations. The influences of various parameters on the velocity and temperature profiles are also visualized and discussed. § 21 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: ; ADM; viscous dissipation; nonlinear stretching. MGI 31 - NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF CHENG-MINKOWYCZ NATURAL CONVECTION NANOFLUID FLOW OVER A VERTICAL PLATE WITH ZERO FLUX NAJWA AHDA RAMLYa & N. F. M. NOORb Institut Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia najwa.ahda@siswa.um.edu.my, drfadiya@um.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT The natural convection flow of nanofluid in Cheng-Minkowycz problem along a vertical plate is considered. The governing equations are converted into non-dimensional forms using similarity transformation variables. The resulting system of nonlinear diÆerential equations is solved numerically. The influence of diÆerent parameters are demonstrated through profiles of velocity, temperature and nanoparticle volume fraction. Keywords: nanofluid; natural convection flow; vertical plate, heat and mass transfer. MGI 32 - RATIONAL CUBIC BALL CURVES FOR MONOTONE DATA AYSER NASIR TAHATa , ABD RAHNI MT PIAHb & ZAINOR RIDZUAN YAHYAc School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM Pulau Pinang, Malaysia aysertahat@yahoo.com, arahni@usm.my a,b Engineering Mathematical Institute Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Pauh Putra Campus 02600 Arau Perlis, Malaysia zainor.yahya@gmail.com c § 22 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT A problem of monotonicity preserving interpolation is discussed in this presentation. If a given set of data is monotonic, we want the interpolant to also be monotonic. A rational interpolation scheme is developed. This scheme utilizes piecewise rational cubic Ball functions with four shape parameters in its description. Su±cient conditions to preserve the shape inherent in the data are derived. Three parameters will be allowed for a designer to further refine or control the shape of the curve, if desired. The arithmetic mean algorithm is used to approximate the first derivative at each data point. The degree of smoothness is C 1 . A number of numerical examples are presented. Keywords: Monotone Curve, Interpolation, Rational Cubic Ball. MGI 33 - STABILITY ANALYSIS OF MHD THERMOSOLUTAL MARANGONI CONVECTION BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ROHANA ABDUL HAMIDa & ROSLINDA NAZARb Institute of Mathematical Engineering Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Pauh Putra Campus 23600 Arau, Perlis, Malaysia rohanahamid@unimap.edu.my a b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia rmn@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT In this paper, the steady magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) Marangoni convection boundary layer flow over a flat surface in the presence of the heat generation and the chemical reaction with the eÆects of the fluid suction/injection is investigated. The governing equations are transformed into ordinary diÆerential equations using some similarity transformations which are then solved numerically using the bvp4c function in Matlab. From the numerical results, dual solutions are found to exist within a certain range of the thermosolutal surface tension ratio. A stability analysis is performed to determine the physically realizable solution and it is found that the first solution is stable while the second solution is not stable. Keywords: stability analysis; boundary layer; MHD; Marangoni convection; dual solutions. § 23 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 34 - KINEMATIC AND KINETIC STUDY OF LOWER LIMB SEGMENT IN SKATING ACTIVITY MARYAM SOFIA SAIPUDDINa & AZMIN SHAM RAMBELYb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia maryamsofia.ms@gmail.com, asr@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT This study aims to develop an ankle joint model using Kane’s Method to obtain torque values at the ankle joint during skating activity using roller blades. Two male and female subjects with mean age of 22 years, weight 52.8 kg and height 163.25 cm involved in the study. Recording and capturing of the activities were accomplished using four infrared cameras and Nexus system was used to obtain kinematics parameter. Equation of motion was obtained using Kane’s method and kinetics parameter was produced. Results showed that higher torque value is obtained at the ankle joint compare to other joints during outward rotational movement. This is due to greater force value is needed to stabilize oneself and prevent from falling during spinning phase. In conclusion, torque value at the ankle joint is required to maintain stability during rotational movement especially in skating activity. Keywords: roller blades, Kane’s method; kinematic and kinetic. MGI 35 - MODELING OF MICROBIAL APPROACH IN A WASTEWATER TREATMENT PROCESS: A CASE STUDY OF MPHO IN TAMAN TIMOR OXIDATION POND, JOHOR, MALAYSIA AMIR S. A. HAMZAHa , AKBAR BANITALEBIb , ALI H. M. MURIDc , ZAINAL A. AZIZd , HAZZARITA RAHMANe , NORAZELAH HAMDONf a,b,c,d Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia asahamzah@gmail.com, akbar.banitalebi@utm.com c,d UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia alihassan@utm.my, zainalabdaziz@gmail.com J-Bio Microbe Industries Sdn. Bhd. Jalan Mega 1/5, Taman Perindustrian Nusa Cemerlang 81550 Nusajaya, Johor, Malaysia e,f § 24 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru hazzarita@jbmi.my, norazelah@jbmi.my ABSTRACT In this study, we consider the application of biological based product mPHO that contains phototrophic bacteria for degradation of pollutant (bacteria Coliform) in Taman Timor Oxidation Pond, Johor, Malaysia. A mathematical model is developed to describe the reaction between microorganism and pollutant. The model facilitates to determine the optimum amount of mPHO for achieving the maximum decontamination of pollutant in the oxidation pond. A partial diÆerential equation model with coupled equation is developed, and the parameters of the model are estimated using the real data collected from the oxidation pond under study. The numerical simulations are also presented to illustrate the performance of the proposed model. Keywords: Mathematical Model; Phototrophic Bacteria; Oxidation Pond. MGI 36 - MODELLING RELATIONSHIP OF PM10 CONCENTRATION AND LOCATION OF AIR QUALITY MONITORING STATIONS IN MALAYSIA USING NETWORK METHOD NORSUHAILI MAHAMED RASIDIa , SAKHINAH ABU BAKARb & FATIMAH ABDUL RAZAKc Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Teknologi Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor norsuhaili90@gmail.com, sakhinah@ukm.edu.my, fatima84@ukm.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT This study highlights the advantage of network analysis in assessing an air pollutant called as particulate matters of size less the 10 micrometer, PM10 . The aim of the study is to build a network model based on the concentration of PM10 data and the location of the air quality stations. Then, the behavior of the model was studied using certain network measurements. The concentration data of PM10 and the location of air quality monitoring stations in Malaysia were combined to obtain the correlation between the selected 39 air quality monitoring stations. The network model, G = (V, E) consists of a set of nodes, V representing air quality monitoring stations and a set of edges, E representing the correlation value of the combined data. Threshold and simulation methods have been implemented to determine the appropriate interval correlation on the network. In this study, five network measurements were used to analyze the network which are degree centrality, closeness centrality, betweenness centrality, local clustering coe±cient and local assortativity as well as the influence of the exact location of the stations on the network model. Network analysis was performed to identify the important nodes (hubs) in the network. The network model of air quality based on the concentration of PM10 and the exact location of air quality monitoring stations were built successfully using the threshold value of 0.664. The results show that several of air quality monitoring stations are suggested to be closed to optimize the number of the stations in Malaysia. § 25 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: Optimization, air quality, PM10 , location of stations, network science. MGI 38 - A COMPARISON BETWEEN ADOMIAN DECOMPOSITION METHOD AND VARIATIONAL ITERATION METHOD FOR SOLVING DELAY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION WITH INITIAL CONDITION HAMOOD. M. YOUSEFa & A. I. B. Md. ISMAILb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang,Malaysia hamood102@yahoo.com, izani@cs.usm.my a,b ABSTRACT The aim of this study is to obtain a semi-analytical solutions for linear and nonlinear delay diÆerential equations by two diÆerent approaches. A semi-analytical approaches beads on Adomian Decomposition method and Variational Iteration Method are presented. A comparative study between these methods is illustrated by solving two examples involving linear and nonlinear Delay diÆerential equations. Keywords: Adomian Decomposition Method; Delay diÆerential equations; Variational iteration method. MGI 39 - INFLUENCE OF A UNIFORM MAGNETIC FIELD ON FERROFLUID CONTAINING CYLINDRICAL SHAPED NANOPARTICLES FLOWING OVER AN OSCILLATING PLATE WITH RAMPED WALL TEMPERATURE ASMA KHALIDa , ILYAS KHANb & SHARIDAN SHAFIEc a b a,c Department of Mathematics SBK Women’s University Quetta 87300, Pakistan awaisiasma@gmail.com College of Engineering Majmaah University Majmaah 11952, Saudi Arabia ilyaskhanqau@yahoo.com Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia § 26 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor sharidan@utm.my ABSTRACT This paper studies the influence of a uniform magnetic field on ferrofluid containing cylindrical shaped nanoparticles. Water is taken as base fluid. Two types of nanoparticles, magnetite (F e3 O4 ) and nonmagnetic (Al2 O3 ) are added to the base fluid. The flow is unsteady and the ferrofluid is considered as an electrically conducting due to a uniform magnetic field applied in a perpendicular direction to the plate. Flow is considered over an oscillating vertical plate with ramped wall temperature. The problem is modelled in terms of partial diÆerential equation with physical conditions. Exact solutions of the problem are foundusing the Laplace transform technique for both cases of ramped and isothermal wall temperature. Corresponding results of velocity and temperature for F e3 O4 nanoparticles are plotted and compared. It is found that ramp velocity and temperature are smaller in magnitude than isothermal velocity and temperature. Comparative results of F e3 O4 and Al2 O3 are also studied. Expressions for skin-friction and Nusselt number are computed in tables. In this work, cylindrical nanoparticles are chosen because of their abundant applications in biology and medicine. Keywords: Ferrofluids; MHD flow; cylindrical nanoparticles; magnetite (F e3 O4 ), non-magnetic (Al2 O3 ), ramped wall temperature. MGI 40 - THE STABILITY OF SORET INDUCED CONVECTION IN DOUBLY DIFFUSSIVE FLUID LAYER WITH FEEDBACK CONTROL NOR FADZILLAH MOHD MOKHTAR a Institut for Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia norfadzillah.mokhtar@gmail.com a ABSTRACT Linear stability analysis is performed to study the Soret induced convection in a doubly diÆusive fluid layer heated from below. The eÆect of a feedback control on the onset of steady convection is investigated theoretically using Galerkin technique. The eigenvalues are obtained for free-free, rigid-rigid, free-rigid boundaries combination with isothermal temperature boundary condition. The influence of various doubly diÆusive parameters on the onset of convection has also been analyzed. It is found that the onset of motion can be stabilize by using the feedback control in all cases. Keywords: double-diÆusive; stability analysis; feedback control. § 27 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 41 - IMPROVING THE PERFORMANCE OF CHILLI SAUCE MANUFACTURING PROCESS USING SIMULATION APPROACH CHOONG-YEUN LIONGa , SITI HAJAR AB HAMIDb & IREEN MUNIRA IBRAHIMc a,b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia lg@ukm.edu.my, sitihajar.abhamid@yahoo.com.my c Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Universiti Teknologi MARA (Perak) 35400 Tapah, Perak, Malaysia ireen607@perak.uitm.edu.my ABSTRACT Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) plays an important role in the country economic development and growth. Food processing industry is one of the industrial SMEs that has contributed to the national economy and provides for the local needs. An increasing demand for better quality of food products means food processing entrepreneurs need to improve on the quality of product and operation in order to be competitive. Therefore, a study has been carried out on the operation of PM Agriculture and Trading Company in producing chilli sauce products. A simulation model was developed using Arena software to illustrate the processes involved in producing the chilli sauce. The simulation model was used to observe the bottlenecks in the production process. The observations show that there are number of elements that need to be focused on in order to increase the production, i.e. labour utilization time for each process, processing time for each process, waiting time for each process, total number of production and total number of labour. A number of improvement models have been developed to overcome the problems. Analysis on the best improvement model indicates that an increase in production by 71 percent can be achieved. Keywords: simulation model; Arena; waiting time; processing time; manufacturing. MGI 42 - MAGNETO-CONVECTION IN AN INCLINED LID-DRIVEN CAVITY WITH NON-UNIFORM HEATING ON BOTH SIDEWALLS S. SIVASANKARANa a Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia sd.siva@yahoo.com ABSTRACT § 28 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru An unsteady combined magneto-convective flow and heat transfer in an inclined lid-driven square cavity with sinusoidal boundary temperature at the vertical sidewalls in the presence of uniform magnetic field is numerically investigated. The top and bottom walls of the cavity are thermally insulated. The governing equations are numerically solved by using finite volume method. Results are discussed for the various combinations of the governing parameters, inclination angle of the cavity, phase deviation, amplitude ratio, Richardson number and the Hartmann number. The non-uniform heating provides a better heat transfer than a constant temperature distribution. Keywords: mixed convection; MHD; inclined cavity; amplitude ratio; phase deviation. MGI 43 - THE ONSET OF RAYLEIGH-BNARD ELECTROCONVECTION IN A MICROPOLAR FLUID WITH THE PRESENCE OF FEEDBACK CONTROL AND PARABOLIC TEMPERATURE PROFILE ZAILAN SIRIa , ADIBAHb & ROSE IRNAWATY IBRAHIMc Institute of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia zailansiri@um.edu.my, nazdila dib09@siswa.um.edu.my a,b Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Sains Islam Malaysia 71800 Bandar Baru Nilai, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia rose.irnawaty@usim.edu.my c ABSTRACT The onset of Rayleigh-Bnard electro convection in micropolar fluid with the presence of feedback control is analysed using the classical linear stability analysis. Parabolic and inverted parabolic temperature profile is used in the study. The influence of various parameters has been analysed. The results showed that the onset of convection can be delayed in the presence of feedback control. Keywords: Rayleigh-Bnard; electroconvection; micropolar fluid; feedback control; parabolic temperature profile. MGI 44 - BIRKHOFF AVERAGES FOR KELLER’S SKEW PRODUCT SYSTEM UMMU ’ATIQAH MOHD ROSLANa & PETER ASHWINb § 29 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia ummuatiqah@umt.edu.my a b Center for Systems, Dynamics and Control, CEMPS, Harrison Building University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QF, United Kingdom P.Ashwin@exeter.ac.uk ABSTRACT We study a skew (asymmetric) product dynamical system proposed by Keller (2014) where we investigate diÆerent behaviour of invariant graph by finding its critical values of parameter r. It is well-known that invariant graph connects between the base space to the fibre space of skew product systems. We are also interested to examine the BirkhoÆ averages for periodic points of Markov map where these points are computed by the method of symbolic dynamics. In addition, we work towards the spectrum of these averages where we manage to produce graph of periodic points with their associated averages. From this result, we verify that period-1 orbit maximizes the measure (i.e. the average) while period-3 orbit minimizes the measure (i.e. the average). Keywords: skew product dynamical systems; BirkhoÆ averages; symbolic dynamics. MGI 45 - HARMONIC POLYGON’S METHOD FOR SOLVING NONLINEAR ORDINARY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION PROBLEMS NURHAFIZAH MOZIYANA MOHD YUSOPa & ,MOHAMMAD KHATIM HASANb a Science Computer Department, Faculty of Defense Science and Technology Universiti Pertahanan Nasional Malaysia 57000, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia moziyana@upnm.edu.my Faculty of Technology and Science Universiti Kebangassan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Malaysia mkh@ukm.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT There are many benefits to improve methods of Euler for solving Ordinary DiÆerential Equation (ODE) problems. The Euler methods oÆer benefits such as simple implementation and low cost computational application. However the accuracy and instabilities factor persuades researcher to use another complex method to replace Euler methods. In this paper, we develop an algorithm applying Harmonic Mean on modified Euler methods to solve the nonlinear ODE problems. The main purpose of this research is to proposed new algorithm that called is Harmonic Polygon’s method. The Harmonic Polygon’s Method § 30 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru can provide new advantages that Euler method can oÆer. Four set of nonlinear ODE problems are solved via three method which is Euler method, Polygon’s method and Harmonic Polygon’s method. The result obtain shows that Harmonic Polygon’s method produce high accuracy results. Keywords: Modified Euler; Nonlinear; Euler. MGI 46 - THE PERFORMANCE OF FIXED AND VARIABLE STEP SIZE ALGORITHMS IN SIMULATING THE SOLUTION OF STOCHASTIC MODEL NOOR AMALINA NISA ARIFFINa & NORHAYATI ROSLIb Faculty of Science & Industrial Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang, Lebuhraya Tun Razak 26300 Gambang, Pahang, Malaysia amalinanisa1188@gmail.com, norhayati@ump.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT Modelling of the physical systems by using stochastic diÆerential equations (SDEs) have become an intensive research over last few years. However, the analytical solution of SDEs is often hard to be found. Hence solving this model numerically is required. Stochastic models predict the behavior of the state process that subject to noise. The implementation of fixed step size in simulating the solution of stochastic model is sometime become ine±cient. Variable time-stepping algorithm for integrating SDEs is more e±cient than their fixed step size counterparts. This paper is devoted to the investigation the performance of simulating the solution of stochastic model by using fixed and variable time-stepping schemes. Numerical algorithms of fixed and variable step size of stochastic Runge-Kutta method are presented. Numerical experiment is performed to show the eÆectiveness of variable time-stepping approach in comparing with fixed step size counterparts. Keywords: stochastic diÆerential equation; fixed step size; variable time-stepping; algorithm (please give 3-5 keywords). MGI 47 - MODELLING THE CANCER GROWTH PROCESS BY STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS WITH THE EFFECT OF HEPARAN SULFATE (HS) AS ANTICANCER THERAPEUTICS MAZMA SYAHIDATUL AYUNI MAZLANa , NORHAYATI ROSLIb & NINA SUHAITY AZMIc Faculty of Industrial Sciences and Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang, Lebuhraya Tun Razak 26300 Gambang, Pahang a,b,c § 31 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ayunihafiz@gmail.com, norhayati@ump.edu.my, nina@ump.edu.my ABSTRACT A stochastic model is introduced to describe the growth of cancer aÆected by anticancer therapeutics of Heparan Sulfate (HS). The parameters values of the stochastic model are estimated via maximum likelihood function. The numerical method of 4-stage stochastic Runge-Kutta (SRK4) will be employed to solve the model numerically. The e±ciency of the stochastic model is measured by comparing the simulated result with the experimental data. Low values of root mean-square error (RMSE) of stochastic model with random eÆect indicate good fit. Keywords: Stochastic model; Heparan Sulfate; maximum likelihood method; 4-stage stochastic Runge Kutta. MGI 48 - CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY CONDITIONS FOR MIXED CONVECTION FLOW OF A HORIZONTAL CIRCULAR CYLINDER IN A NANOFLUID NORHAFIZAH MD SARIFa , NAZILA ISHAKb , HASMAWANI HASHIMc , MUHAMMAD KHAIRUL ANUAR MOHAMEDd , ABID HUSSANANe , MOHD ZUKI SALLEHf & ROSLINDA MOHD NAZARg Applied & Industrial Mathematics Research Group, Faculty of Industrial Sciences & Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang 26300 UMP Gambang, Pahang, Malaysia norhafizah@ump.edu.my, nazilaishak@gmail.com, hasmawani@shahputra.edu.my, baa khy@yahoo.com, abidhussnain utm @yahoo.com, zukikuj@yahoo.com a,b,c,d,e,f g School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science & Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia rmn72my@yahoo.com ABSTRACT The steady mixed convection flow over horizontal circular cylinder in nanofluid has been investigated numerically for the case of convective boundary conditions where the bottom surface of the cylinder is heated by convection from hot fluids. Three diÆerent types of nanoparticles namely Cu (cuprum), Al2 O3 (aluminium) and T iO2 (titanium) The steady mixed convection flow over horizontal circular cylinder in nanofluid has been investigated numerically for the case of convective boundary conditions where the bottom surface of the cylinder is heated by convection from hot fluids. Three diÆerent types of nanoparticles namely Cu (cuprum), (aluminium) and (titanium) were considered. These nanoparticles presence in the fluids increases the thermal conductivity up to approximately two times and thus enhancing the performance of the heat transfer. Nanofluid model proposed by Tiwari and Das has been chosen in this study as this model has been successfully applied in several papers. The governing equations for this problem consists a set of partial diÆerential equations and are being solved using implicit finite diÆerence § 32 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru techniques. Result for the skin friction coe±cient, Nusselt number, as well as temperature and velocity profile are presented for the various values of governing parameters, namely the Prandtl number Pr, mixed convective ∏, nanoparticle volume fraction ¡, the coordinate along the surface of the cylinder x and conjugate parameter ∞. In this study, the eÆects of these governing parameters on the heat transfer and boundary flow are thoroughly analysed and discussed. Keywords: mixed convection; nanofluids; convective boundary conditions; horizontal circular cylinder; numerical methods; boundary layer. MGI 49 - CONSISTENT LINGUISTIC FUZZY PREFERENCE RELATION WITH MULTI-GRANULAR UNCERTAIN LINGUISTIC INFORMATION FOR SOLVING DECISION MAKING SITI AMNAH BINTI MOHD RIDZUANa & DAUD MOHAMAD SECONDb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Science UiTM, Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia amnahridzuan@gmail.com , daud@tmsk.uitm.edu.my ABSTRACT Multi-granular information in decision making is an approach used to cater heterogeneity in the evaluation process which normally presented using linguistic form. It may sometimes occur that decision maker use non homogeneous scales in the evaluation. This will increase the complexity in computation. This paper proposed a hybrid decision making model that combines the multi-granular uncertain linguistic information and consistent linguistic preference relations (CLFPR) to cater this problem. The proposed method ables to evaluate the alternatives or criteria based on the diÆerent opinion with a diÆerent scales and at the same time using a minimum number of pairwise comparisons. The method uses several interval form of linguistic judgment as its multi-granular representation to give decision makers flexibility in the evaluation. The evaluation will be aggregated into CLFPR values and the final preference of the alternative will be determined using a method of ranking fuzzy numbers. An illustrative example will be given to show the eÆectiveness of the proposed method. Keywords: Multi-granular uncertain linguistic information; Consistent linguistic fuzzy preference relations (CLFPR); Ranking fuzzy numbers. MGI 50 - THE EFFECT OF INCOMPLETE MIXING ON CUBIC AUTOCATALYSIS IN A CONTINUOUS STIRRED TANK REACTOR AISHA ALIYU YAKUBUa & YAZARIAH MOHD YATIMb § 33 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia ihsaan4sulaiman@yahoo.com, yazariahmy@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In this study, a cubic autocatalytic reaction model with linear decay in a continuous stirred tank reactor is analyzed. It describes the behavior of two chemicals (reactant and autocatalyst) flowing into the reactor. The tank is partitioned into two compartments, namely the highly agitated region and the less agitated region with chemical transfer between them. The behavior of the model is studied numerically in the presence and in the absence of an autocatalyst. The model shows that in the presence of an autocatalyst, there is a slight diÆerence in the concentration of the chemicals in the diÆerent compartments. The chemicals in the highly agitated region will reach an equilibrium state faster than that of the less agitated region, with the concentration of the reactant decreases while the concentration of the autocatalyst increases. In the absence of the autocatalyst, the concentration of the reactant increases until it reaches an equilibrium state. Keywords: Continuous stirred tank reactor; cubic autocatalysis; incomplete mixing. MGI 51 - ADOMIAN DECOMPOSITION METHOD WITH CHEBYSHEV POLYNOMIALS FOR SOLVING FUZZY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS AMIRAH RAMLIa , ROKIAH @ ROZITA AHMADb , UMMUL KHAIR SALMA DINc & ABDUL RAZAK SALLEHd School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia amirahramli86@gmail.com, rozy@ukm.edu.my, ummul@ukm.edu.my, aras@ukm.edu.my a,b,c,d ABSTRACT In this paper an Adomian decomposition method with Chebyshev polynomials is applied for solving fuzzy diÆerential equations based on generalized Hukuhara diÆerentiability. This paper is divided into six sections. A numerical example are given to illustrate the e±ciency of the method and the comparison with the existing method is discussed. Keywords: Adomian decomposition method; Chebyshev polynomial; Fuzzy diÆerential equations, Hukuhara diÆerentiability. § 34 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MGI 52 - PRODUCT DESIGN BASED ON SOFT SET THEORY R.U. GOBITHAASANa , NURFARHANA HASSANb & KENJIRO T. MIURAc Faculty of Informatics & Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia gr@umt.edu.my, uk29106@student.umt.edu.my a,b Dept. of Engineering Shizuoka University Hamamatsu Campus, Japan tmkmiur@ipc.shizuoka.ac.jp c ABSTRACT The first stage of product design is a simple sketch by a stylist. The features of the product can easily be expressed using words, for example, thin, sharp and etc. This paper delves into a preliminary stage of product design based on the needs of potential customers. Taking into consideration of an anatomy of a speaker, we first classify its main feature which attracts potential customers. These features are expressed using appropriate semantics which is represented with suitable variations of words. The final speaker design is proposed based on the selections of words expressed by the customer using soft set theory. The outcome of the design obtained from sot set is then compared to the preference of the customer to identify the significance of the study. Keywords: Computer aided geometric design; soft set; product design. MGI 53 - OPTIMIZATION OF UPPER EXTREMITY MUSCLES DURING ARCHERY ACTIVITY MUHAMMAD SHAHIMI ARIFFINa & AZMIN SHAM RAMBELYb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia msa.mushariÆ@gmail.com, asr@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT This study aimed optimize muscle stress forces capable of doing the work during archery activity. An upper limb model of a body was developed comprised of 12 muscles and six joints of the arm segments and the upper trunk. Optimization method using Lagrange multiplier was applied to obtain the muscle stress during the performance of archery. The objective functions involved were non-linear functions of quadratic and cubic. The best solution for the muscle stress forces were obtained from part E of the draw arm and part H for the bow arm in the simulation. § 35 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: archery; optimization; Lagrange multiplier. MGI 54 - NETWORK MODELING OF PM10 CONCENTRATION IN MALAYSIA MUHAMMAD NAZIRUL AIMAN ABU SUPIANa , SAKHINAH ABU BAKARb & FATIMAH ABDUL RAZAKc School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Selangor, Malaysia nazirulsupian@gmail.com, sakhinah@ukm.my, fatima84@ukm.my a,b,c ABSTRACT Air pollution is not a new phenomena in Malaysia. The Department of Environment (DOE) monitors the country’s ambient air quality through a network of 51 stations. The air quality is measured using the Air Pollution Index (API) which is mainly recorded based on the concentration of particulate matter, PM10 readings. The continuous air quality monitoring (CAQM) stations are located in various places across the country. In this study, a network model of air quality based on PM10 concentration for selected CAQM stations in Malaysia has been developed. The model is built using a graph formulation, G = (V, E) where vertex, V is a set of CAQM stations and edges, E is a set of correlation values for each pair of vertices. The network measurements such as degree distributions, closeness centrality, and betweenness centrality are computed to analyse the behaviour of the network. As a result, a rank of CAQM stations has been produced based on their centrality characteristics. Keywords: air quality; network modeling; centrality; PM10 ; network science. MGI 55 - STABILITY ANALYSIS OF MHD STAGNATION POINT FLOW TOWARDS A PERMEABLE STRETCHING / SHRINKING SURFACE IN A CARREAU FLUID KOHILAVANI NAGANTHRANa & ROSLINDA NAZARb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia kohi kk@yahoo.com, rmn@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT § 36 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru In this study, the magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) stagnation point boundary layer flow of a Carreau fluid towards a permeable stretching/shrinking surface (sheet) is considered. The governing boundary layer equations are transformed to a system of ordinary diÆerential equations from the system of partial diÆerential equations by using the similarity transformation, so that it can be solved numerically by the bvp4c programme in Matlab software. The variations of the numerical solutions for the skin friction coe±cients as well as the velocity profiles are obtained for several values of the governing parameters. It is found that dual solutions exist when the sheet is stretched and shrunk. Stability analysis is performed to determine which solution is stable and valid physically. Results from the stability analysis show that the first solution (upper branch) is stable and physically realizable, while the second solution (lower branch) is unstable. Keywords: stability analysis; Carreau fluid; stretching/shrinking sheet; boundary layer; MHD. MGI 56 - A HYBRID FUZZY CLASSIFIER WITH PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION FOR CLASS IMBALANCE CLASSIFICATION AIDA ALIa , SITI MARIYAM SHAMSUDDINb & ANCA L. RALESCUc UTM Big Data Centre Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia aida@utm.my, mariyam@utm.my a,b c School of Computing Science and Informatics University of Cincinnati Ohio, USA anca.ralescu@uc.edu ABSTRACT Most current classification approaches assumed the underlying training set is evenly distributed. In learning class imbalanced classification, the training set for one class (majority) far surpassed the training set of the other class (minority), in which, existing accuracy-driven methods report bias performance results. In class imbalance learning, the main challenge is not solely on imbalanced class distribution but on the degree of data overlapping between classes. Large number of features in data sets with class imbalance problem, leads to a crucial need to find relevant features since not all features are discriminant. Also, feeding a system with all irrelevant features may reduce the accuracy performance of some classifiers and introduce expensive computing cost. Fuzzy Classifier (FC) is used as a new strategy in addressing not only the class imbalance problem but also in improving the classification by taking into account the distribution of data within each class. The experiments investigate the eÆect of imbalanced datasets of various class distributions on Fuzzy Classifier. In this study, a novel hybridization of Fuzzy Classifier with a wrapper based method using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for feature selection scheme is proposed. Comparison studies are carried out to evaluate the proposed methods in classifying imbalanced data sets with standard Fuzzy Classifier, Nave Bayes (NB), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and k-Nearest § 37 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Neighbour (k-NN). Evaluation analysis shows that the proposed method demonstrate better classification performance compared to other methods especially in the case of extremely imbalanced datasets with highly overlap problem. Keywords: imbalanced dataset; class imbalance learning; classification; optimization; Fuzzy classifier. MGI 57 - A TWO-PHASE ITERATIVE PROCEDURE FOR THE PRODUCTION-INVENTORY-DISTRIBUTION ROUTING PROBLEM DICKY LIM TEIK KYEEa & NOOR HASNAH MOINb Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia dickylim@siswa.um.edu.my, noor hasnah@um.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT With globalization, the need to better integrate production and distribution decisions has become ever more pressing for manufacturers trying to streamline their supply chain. The integration of Production, Inventory and Distribution Routing Problem (PIDRP) presents a challenging problem for manufacturers trying to optimize their supply chain. In this paper, the PIDRP is modelled as a one-to-many distribution system, in which a single warehouse or production facility is responsible for restocking a set of customers whose demands are deterministic and time-varying. The demand can be satisfied from either inventory held at the customer sites or from daily production. A fleet of homogeneous capacitated vehicles for making the deliveries is also considered. Capacity constraints for the inventory are given for each customer and the demand must be fulfilled on time, without delay. The aim of solving the PIDRP model is to minimize the overall cost of coordinating the production, inventory and transportation over a finite planning horizon. We propose an iterative procedure commonly known as MatHeuristic algorithm, an optimization algorithm designed by the interpolation of metaheuristics and mathematical programming techniques, to solve the model. In Phase 1, we construct routes in each period with the assumption that all the demands are satisfied in the given period by Variable Neighborhood Search, then the mixed integer programming is solved in Phase 2 to obtain the production schedules, quantity to be delivered and the inventory levels at the production facility and the customer sites. Based on the output from Phase 2, the routes are improved and the algorithm iterates until some stopping criteria is met. The model is solved by using Concert Technology of CPLEX 12.5 Optimizers with Microsoft Visual C++ 2010. Computational experiment is conducted to test the eÆectiveness of the algorithm. Keywords: Production-Inventory-Distribution Routing Problem; MatHeuristics; Mixed Integer Programming; Variable Neighbourhood Search. § 38 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MGI 58 - MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS FOR UNSTEADY DISPERSION OF SOLUTE WITH CHEMICAL REACTION IN BLOOD FLOW NURUL AINI JAAFARa , YAZARIAH MOHD YATIMb & D. S. SANKARc School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia nurulaini math@yahoo.com, yazariahmy@usm.my a,b Engineering Mathematics Unit, Faculty of Engineering Institut Teknologi Brunei Jalan Tungku Link, Gadong BE 1410, Brunei Darussalam sankar ds@yahoo.co.in c ABSTRACT The eÆect of the chemical reaction on the unsteady dispersion of solute in blood flow through (i) pipe and (ii) channel between parallel plates is analyzed mathematically, assuming the blood as Casson fluid. Derivative series expansion method is applied to solve the resulting convective diÆusion equation. It is found that the dispersion coe±cient, eÆective axial diÆusivity, relative eÆective axial diÆusivity and magnitude of the dispersion function decrease with the increase of the rate of chemical reaction. The aforesaid flow measurements are considerably higher when the solute disperses in the flow through pipe than when it disperses in the flow through channel between parallel plates. Estimates of the percentage of decrease in the dispersion coe±cient and eÆective axial diÆusivity are significantly lower when the solute disperses in pipe than when it disperses in channel between parallel plates. Keywords: Unsteady dispersion of solute; Chemical reaction; Blood flow; Casson fluid model; EÆective axial diÆusivity. MGI 59 - MODIFIED ARTIFICIAL BEE COLONY FOR THE INTEGRATED INVENTORY ROUTING PROBLEM WITH BACKORDERING HUDA ZUHRAH AB HALIMa & NOOR HASNAH MOINb Institut Sains Matematik Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia hudazuhrah@gmail.com, noor hasnah@um.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT We consider a one to many inventory routing problem network consisting of a depot and geographically dispersed customers. We assume that the depot has su±cient supply of items that can cover customers’ § 39 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik demand throughout the planning horizon. A fleet of heterogeneous vehicles transports a single item to meet the customers’ demand. A holding cost is incurred at the customers’ site and backorders with penalty are allowed. The backorder may occur due to insu±cient vehicle capacity or when the backorder cost is less than the transportation cost, making it more economical to delay the orders. The objective of Inventory Routing Problem with Backorder (IRPB) is to minimize the overall cost comprising of the transportation cost, inventory holding cost and the backorder cost. In this paper, a swarm based heuristics; Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) is developed to solve the IRPB. We modify the ABC algorithm by incorporating an exchange neighborhood heuristics with the aim of reducing the backorder as well as the inventory. The backward transfer is used to reduce the backorder whilst the forward transfer focuses on decreasing the inventory. Both mechanisms are implemented concurrently and we allow the transfer to at most one period. We run the algorithm on a set of benchmark problems and the results are compared to Abdelmaguid et al (2009). Keywords: Artificial Bee Colony, Inventory Routing, Backordering. MGI 60 - VISUALIZATION OF VIBRATION OF IDEAL AND REALISTIC STRINGS IN AN ACOUSTIC GUITAR BY USING MATHEMATICA AHMAD ALIF BIN KAMALa & YAZARIAH MOHD YATIMb School Of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia aak13 mm006@student.usm.my, yazariahmy@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In this project, the research on vibration of acoustic guitar string in ideal and realistic environment is studied and visualized by using Mathematica software. The one dimensional wave equation is used and modified to model the ideal and realistic string and solved by the method of separation of variables to obtain the displacement function of the string. The general equations that govern the ideal, damped, stiÆ, and damped stiÆ string lead to diÆerent assumption and require other physics aspects to obtain the solutions. Fourier series is applied to obtain values for important constant in the solutions. A program is made to allow users to input plucking height, plucking position, natural frequency of string, damping coe±cient, and stiÆness parameter to observe the diÆerent modes of vibration on the string. The outputs of the program are the fundamental tone and overtones or harmonics of the string, as well as the timbre of the sound produced by the modelled string. Plucking height aÆects the amplitude of the displacement of the string. With manipulation of plucking position, the changes can be seen in the diversity of amplitude distribution. As for natural frequencies, the higher it is the more the oscillation happened in equal time interval. Large damping coe±cient makes the vibration of string to reach the equilibrium position faster. Greater value of stiÆness parameter induces more frequencies in the shape of vibration. For an ideal string, the displacement oscillates in an infinitely constant manner, in contrast to the damped string where the displacement approaches its equilibrium position as time approaches infinity. In stiÆ string, § 40 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru the oscillation is infinite, but the period of vibration is reduced and stiÆness complicates the waveform. The damped stiÆ string has both qualities in it and is used to reproduce the sound of acoustic guitar. Keywords: mathematical modelling; wave equation; damped string; stiÆ string; acoustic guitar. MGI 61 - INVENTORY MODEL FOR A MULTI-STAGE PALM OIL MILL ADAM BAHARUMa & ELAINE LAU YING MANb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia adam@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In the palm oil industry, production cost for crude palm oil varies from time to time. Therefore, accurate decisions on production volume and timing are critical. The major cost influencing factors and specific unit cost involved in production of crude palm oil can be obtained by adopting economic lot size inventory models. This helps the palm oil millers to make accurate decision as well as optimizing the production cost. This paper attempts to incorporate the economic lot size models in the palm oil industry to identify the major cost influencing factors in its production. The compatibility of inventory control models with the current industry constraints and procedures were examined in order to determine the usefulness of the economic lot size models in this particular industry. Keywords: inventory, varying lot size, equal-unequal sized batches. MGI 62 - PRICING OF NEW YORK TEMPERATURE INDEX INSURANCE MUKMINAH DARUSa & CHE MOHD IMRAN CHE TAIB School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia mukminah.darus@yahoo.com.my, imran@umt.edu.my a ABSTRACT This paper discusses the autoregressive processes to model the temperature dynamics. We take the data of daily average temperatures (DATs) from New York as our empirical case. The analysis shows § 41 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik the appropriateness of autoregressive in fitting the temperature dynamics. We employ the findings to price the temperature based weather insurance. In addition, we also compare the result of dynamical temperature modelling with result from burn analysis. Burn analysis was known as classical approach. Keywords: daily average temperatures; autoregressive processes; temperature dynamics. MGI 63 - MHD FLOW PAST A VERTICAL PLATE THAT APPLIES ARBITRARY SHEAR STRESS TO THE FLUID WITH RAMPED WALL TEMPERATURE ARSHAD KHANa , ILYAS KHANb & SHARIDAN SHAFIEc a,c Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia arsh math@yahoo.com, sharidan@utm.my b College of Engineering Majmaah University P.O. Box 66, Majmaah 11952, Saudi Arabia ilyaskhanqau@yahoo.com ABSTRACT This paper concentrates on the exact analysis of free convection flow of viscous fluid past a vertical plate with arbitrary shear stress and ramped wall temperature. The fluid is considered to be electrically conducting and passing through a porous medium. The partial diÆerential equations governing the problem are first written in dimensionless form and then solved for the exact solutions using Laplace transform method. The velocity and temperature for various parameters of interest are underlined. It is found that velocity is decreasing function of wall shear stress in both cases of ramped and constant wall temperature. Keywords: Free convection; Wall Shear stress; Ramped wall temperature; MHD MGI 64 - APPROXIMATIONS OF STOCHASTIC NAVIER-STOKES EQUATION BY USING STOCHASTIC FINITE DIFFERENCE HUSNA NURAIIN HAMIDIa , ZAINAL ABDUL AZIZb & ARIFAH BAHARc a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia § 42 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik b,c SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru UTM-Centre of Industrial and Applied (UTM-CIAM) Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia zainalaz@utm.my, arifah@utm.my ABSTRACT Navier-Stokes equations describe the nonlinear physical system of the motion of viscous fluid substances. However, due to the presence of noise in the physical system as temporal fluctuation of its internal variables, stochastic Navier-Stokes equations need to be developed. Stochastic Navier-Stokes equations describe the nonlinear dynamics of stochastic processes defined on space-time continuum and have been widely used to model many applications in engineering and mathematical sciences. In this paper, we considered the numerical solutions of stochastic linearized Navier-Stokes equations of Ito type using stochastic finite diÆerence methods. Besides, the convergence, consistency and stability are presented for the numerical scheme. Keywords: Stochastic Navier-Stokes; Saul’yev Method; Saul’yev/Robert and Weiss Method. MGI 65 - SIMULATION OF LOTKA VOLTERRA MODEL USING SOME NON-STANDARD SCHEMES MOHAMMAD KHATIM HASANa , JUMAT SULAIMANb & SAMSUL ARIFFIN AMDUL KARIMc a Center for Artificial Intelligence Technology, Faculty of Information Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia mkh@ukm.edu.my b School of Science and Technology Universiti Malaysia Sabah 84800 Kota Kinabalu, Sabah jumat@ums.edu.my Department of Fundamental and Applied Science Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, Bandar Seri Iskandar 31750 Tronoh, Perak samsul ari±n@petronas.com.my c ABSTRACT In this paper, we will simulate behavior of Lotka-Volterra model using various scheme of non-standard finite diÆerence method. The method will be compared with result of Runge-Kutta-Fehlberg. The model incorporate interference between predators and prey, which stabilize interactions. Non-standard schemes with various non-local modelling and denominators will be implemented to simulate the model. The behaviour of the simulation will be compared and analysed. § 43 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: Lotka-Volterra; non-standard method; predator-prey interaction. MGI 68 - MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF FREE CONVECTION BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ON SOLID SPHERE WITH VISCOUS DISSIPATION EFFECTS MUHAMMAD KHAIRUL ANUAR MOHAMEDa , MOHD ZUKI SALLEHb , NOR AIDA ZURAIMI MD NOARc & ANUAR ISHAKd a,b,c Applied & Industrial Mathematics Research Group, Faculty of Industrial Science and Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang 26300 UMP Kuantan, Pahang, MALAYSIA baa khy@yahoo.com, zukikuj@yahoo.com, aidaz@ump.edu.my d School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA anuar mi@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT Present study considered the mathematical modeling of free convection boundary layer flow on a solid sphere with viscous dissipation eÆects and constant wall temperature. The nonlinear parabolic partial diÆerential equations are transformed by non-dimensional variables before being solved numerically using the finite diÆerence scheme known as Keller-box method. Numerical solutions are obtained for the local Nusselt number and skin friction coe±cient as well as temperature and velocity distributions. The features of the flow and heat transfer characteristics for various values of Prandtl number and Eckert number are analyzed and discussed. It is found that, as Prandtl number increases, the Nusselt number increases while skin friction coe±cient decreases. Contrary with Eckert number, the increase of Eckert value results to the decrease of Nusselt number while skin friction coe±cient increases. Keywords: Boundary layer flow; Free convection; Solid sphere; Viscous dissipation. MGI 69 - DENOISING USING NEW THRESHOLDING METHOD SAMSUL ARIFFIN ABDUL KARIMa , MOHD TAHIR ISMAILb , MOHAMMAD KHATIM HASANc , JUMAT SULAIMANd & HAMZAH SAKIDINe a,e Department of Fundamental and Applied Sciences, Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, Bandar Seri Iskandar, 31750 Tronoh, Perak Darul Ridzuan, Malaysia § 44 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru samsul ari±n@petronas.com.my, hamzahs@petronas.com.my b School of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 USM Minden, Penang, Malaysia mtahir@cs.usm.my Jabatan Komputeran Industri Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia khatim@.ukm.edu.my c Program Matematik dengan Ekonomi Universiti Malaysia Sabah Beg Berkunci 2073, 88999 Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia jumat@ums.edu.my d ABSTRACT This paper discusses the wavelet transform by using new technique to calculate the threshold values. Our new threshold methods was used to denoise the signal that obtained from Petroleum Engineering applications. From numerical results the new threshold values outperform the common threshold methods such as global threshold, minimax and SURE. Some mathematical derivation will be discussed in details. Keywords: wavelet transform; threshold values; denoising. MGI 70 - EXACT SOLUTIONS AND LATTICE BOLTZMANN MODELING FOR SHALLOW WATER EQUATIONS Sara Zergania a Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Skudai Johor Bahru Malaysia sarazergani@yahoo.com ABSTRACT The main purpose of this study is to investigate the standard of Lattice Boltzmann Method (LBM) for shallow water flows in order to handle two dimensional flows. The LBM and its implementation in solving Shallow Water Equation (SWE) for physically significant nonlinear partial diÆerential equations were also studied.An analytical solution of steady and two dimensional SWE was derived from a cubic algebraic form of SWE, and obtained the analytical solution of unsteady and two-dimensional SWE from sub inertial and super inertial frequency quadratic algebraic form of SWE. The numerical solution of the two dimensional SWE was generated by applying the LBM. The LBM numerical result of SWE was then compared graphically with the SWE result obtained via the finite diÆerence method (FDM). Our findings revealed that simulation via LBM is more stable than FDM in the microscopic sense. § 45 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: Shallow Water Equations, Lattice Boltzmann Method, Two Dimensional Flows. MGI 71 - A NEW TYPE OF FUZZY CONTROL POINT IN SPACE CURVE ABD FATAH BIN WAHABa , MOHD SALLEHUDDIN HUSAINb & MOHAMMAD IZAT EMIR ZULKIFLYc Pusat Pengajian Informatik & Matematik Gunaan Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia fatah@umt.edu.my, salleh 85s@yahoo.com, emir zul@yaho.com a ABSTRACT The control point is the most important element in the production of Spline curve or surface model. This is because any changes of control points in the spline model eÆect the shape of the resulting curve or surface. Wahab and colleagues have introduced fuzzy control points to solve the problem of uncertainty prevailing in the spline modeling. However, based on this concept, this paper will discusses a new type of fuzzy control point that can generates a spline space curve model in 3-dimensional. This is because the generated control point is a 3-dimensional that meets the basic concepts of fuzzy set was introduced by Zadeh. However, this paper only taking a Bezier model as a numerical example in the discussed model. Keywords: space curve; fuzzy set; spline; control point. MGI 72 - COORDINATION OF PRODUCTION SCHEDULING AND VEHICLE ROUTING PROBLEM WITH RELEASE AND DUE DATE FARHANA JOHARa , SYARIFAH ZYURINA NORDINb & CHRIS POTTSc a,b c Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia farhanajohar@utm.my School of Mathematics, Faculty of Social and Human Sciences University of Southampton SO17 1BJ United Kingdom c.n.potts@soton.ac.uk § 46 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT This work is concerned with solving the vehicle routing problem (VRP) which takes into account the customer’s release and due date. The problem studied can also be categorized as a non-classical VRP as the departure times of vehicles depend on the dates of orders released from the production line and become available for the distribution process. The problem is investigated through two stages. In the first stage, vehicle routing problem with release and due date (VRPRDD) is treated. At the beginning of the planning, it is assumed that the dates where the customer orders become available are known. A mathematical formulation is developed to represent the problem which solved by several heuristics, i.e. Variable Neighborhood Search (VNS), Large Neighborhood Search (LNS) and Tabu Search (TS). The algorithms are written in C++ and run on a PC computer with an Intel PentiumCore by using 56’s Solomon instances with some modification. DiÆerent kinds of vehicle routing problem have been tackled in order to see the performance of proposed heuristics. The results are then compared in order to find the best method which yields the least routing cost solution. From the outcome obtained, VNS is proved to be the best algorithm which generates the least cost solution to our problem. Further investigation has been carried out in stage two which considers the extension of VRPRDD. The coordination of production sequence and vehicle routing (PS-VRPRDD) is the main subject to our problem studied in which the best production sequence will leads to the least routing. Classical decomposition approach, namely Alternateis used which decompose the problems into two sub-problems, i.e. production sequence and vehicle routing. The results proved that eÆective coordination shows the large potential savings that attract the interest of industrial distributors in optimizing their distribution process in practice Keywords: VRP with release and due dates, coordination of production scheduling and vehicle routing. MGI 73 - A MODEL OF UNSTEADY BLOOD FLOW IN COMPLEX MICROCIRCULATORY NETWORKS W. R. W. ABDULLAHa , O. E. JENSENb & A. A. HILLc a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia wrukaida@utm.my School of Mathematics University of Manchester United Kingdom oliver.jensen@manchester.ac.uk b c Department of Health and Life Sciences University of West of England United Kingdom § 47 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik antony.hill@uwe.ac.uk ABSTRACT This project addresses blood flow in the systemic microcirculation, which is formed by networks of small capillaries having diameters comparable in size to the blood cells passing through them. We solve sets of coupled nonlinear partial diÆerential equations to describe unsteady blood flow in networks with multiple nodes. The model incorporates empirical descriptions of blood rheology in capillaries, particularly the Fahraeus eÆect, the Fahraeus-Lidqvist eÆect and the phase-separation eÆect. The coupled advectiondiÆusion equations are solved using finite-diÆerence-based numerical methods and demonstrate the longlived transient response of the flow through the network to inlet perturbations. Keywords: Microcirculation; Hematocrite; Fahraeus-Lidqvist eÆect; Phase-separation eÆect. MGI 74 - CONSIGNMENT INVENTORY MODEL WITH BUYER’S CAPACITY CONSTRAINT Siti Suzlin Supadia , Mohd Omarb & Nurul Fatehah Abdullahc Institut Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia suzlin@um.edu.my, mohd@um.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT In this research we will consider an integrated inventory problem in which vendor produces a single product and periodically delivers it to the buyer on the basis of a consignment policy. It is assumed that the demand rate vary with time. The objective of this research is to minimize the inventory holding cost subject to buyer’s warehouse capacity constraint. We develop the mathematical formulation for the problem and find the optimal solution for the proposed model numerically. The convexity will be established to ensure the existence of the unique optimal solution. The sensitivity analysis will be carried out to demonstrate the eÆects of changing parameter values on the optimal solution of the system. Keywords: Consignment; capacity constraint; inventory; integrated. MGI 75 - SIMPLER HYDROSTATICS COMPONENT OF UNBabc MAPPING FUNCTION USING NONLINEAR CURVE FITTING METHOD SITI RAHIMAH BATCHAa , HAMZAH SAKIDINb & ASMALA AHMADc § 48 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Fundamental and Applied Sciences Department Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS Bandar Seri Iskandar, 32610, Perak, Malaysia sitirahimahbatcha@gmail.com, hamzah.sakidin@petronas.com.my a,b Information Technology and Communication Faculty Universiti Teknikal Malaysia Melaka Hang Tuah Jaya, 76100 Durian Tunggal, Melaka, Malaysia casmala@utem.edu.my c ABSTRACT Mapping function models should be simplified to improve the method of calculation of tropospheric delay. For UNBabc mapping function, there are 11 mathematical operations to be carried out for getting the mapping function value. To ensure faster calculation, there is a need to simplify the mapping function models. The UNBabc mapping function models for hydrostatics component is given in a form of continued fraction. This model has been selected to be simplified, due to its ability to achieve mapping function value, down to 2 degree of elevation angle. The comparison between the original models with the simplified models can be shown by using regression method and calculation of sum of error. The number of mathematical operation can be reduced after the process of simplification of the model. Keywords: mapping function; tropospheric delay; UNBabc MGI 76 - SIMPLER MATHEMATICAL MODELFOR WET COMPONENT NEILL’S MAPPING FUNCTION HAMZAH SAKIDINa & SITI RAHIMAH BATCHAb Department of Fundamental & Applied Sciences Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS 32610 Bandar Seri Iskandar, Perak, Malaysia hamzah.sakidin@petronas.com.my, sitirahimahbatcha@gmail.com a ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to simplify mathematical models for Neill’s Mapping Function to reduce the operation number of the model. Mapping function scale factor can be used to amplify the zenith tropospheric delay to form total tropospheric delay. Mapping functions for the wet (non-hydrostatics) part is in the form of continued fractions (with the elevation angle as the variable) which is quite tedious in calculation. Mapping function values for original model can be obtained after 11 mathematical operations for Neill Mapping Function (NMF) wet component. It is better to simplify the mapping function models to allow faster calculation and also better understanding of the models. For this simpler model can give only 4 operations which is 63.6% reduction in number of operations. Keywords: Mapping function, wet, elevation angle. § 49 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 77 - A STUDY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING MAINTENANCE IN GOVERNMENT HOSPITAL BUILDINGS MOHD FAIZ MOHAMMAD ZAKIa , WAN ZUKI AZMAN WAN MUHAMADb , AFIZAH AYOBc , NUR FITRIAH ISAd & MUHAMMAD AMIR HAZIQ ABD RAHIMe School of Environmental Engineering Universiti Malaysia Perlis 02600 Arau, Perlis, Malaysia faizzaki@unimap.edu.my, afizah@unimap.edu.my, are mare19@yahoo.com.my a,c,e Institut Matematik Kejuruteraan Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Kampus Pauh Putra 02600 Arau, Perlis , Malaysia wanzuki@unimap.edu.my b Faculty of Engineering Technology Universiti Malaysia Perlis 02100 Padang Besar, Perlis, Malaysia nurfitriah@unimap.edu.my d ABSTRACT Technical maintenance management was established to monitor the serviceability of some assets or buildings in providing the conducive environment to end users. Hospital classified as the most complex and heavily used buildings in government sectors and requires e±cient maintenance schedule due to its functions to occupied patient almost all the time. Therefore, the scope of a maintenance management system in the government hospital is to ensure the preservation of its assets from defects and failures, thus optimize its function to serve the community accordingly. This research seeks to investigate the type of defects that normally occurred at the selected government’s hospitals within Northern Peninsular Malaysia and the process of daily maintenance activities is to assess the hospital building performance with respect to their services and maintenances. In addition, this research also focuses the major problems that may arise during maintenance activities, thus oÆers the eÆective strategies to overcome them. In order to obtain the data, a set of questionnaire has been prepared and distributed to the selected hospitals. Data obtained from the survey is analyzed using Statistical Package of Social Science (SPSS) software. The result of the study presents the feedback and suggestion from the maintenance staÆ about the overall defects that have been identified in the government hospital building. Most of the respondents agreed that cracking is the major defect occurred in the selected hospital building. Improper installation during construction recognized as the vital factor leads to cracking in building structure. Based on the analysis, insu±cient cost tends to constrain the maintenance work activities. Keywords: Building Maintenance, Defects, Statistic Analysis. MGI 78 - THE EXTENDED RUNGE-KUTTA-LIKE FOURTH ORDER METHOD FOR § 50 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru SOLVING LOGISTIC EQUATION OF TUMOR GROWTH MODEL NOR ATIRAH IZZAH ZULKEFLIa , NORMAH MAANb , YEAK SU HOEc & NOR AFIFAH HANIM ZULKEFLId Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia noratirahizzah@gmail.com, normahmaan@utm.my, s.h.yeak@utm.my, norafifahhanim.z@gmail.com a,b,c,d ABSTRACT This paper applies the Runge-Kutta-like fourth order method for solving logistic equation of tumor growth model. This method using lower number of function evaluations. The properties of the method are given. It is found that the method used will enhance the order of accuracy of the solutions compare with the classical Runge-Kutta fourth order method. The numerical solution of the tumor growth model is also discussed and analyzed. Keywords: Extended Runge-Kutta-like; Tumor growth model; Logistic equation. MGI 79 - EXTENDED BASIC INTEGER PROGRAMMING MODELS FOR MULTIPLE SCHEDULINGPROBLEMS NUR AIDYA HANUM AIZAMa & STEPHANIE LEONG PUI SIMb a,b School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia aidya@umt.edu.my ABSTRACT Numerous approaches have been done to solve scheduling problems from various fields. Many researchers tend to restrict their models to its own field. Thus, researchers have to repeat the whole procedure to create a new model to solve another field or aspect of the situation. This whole repetition will be costly and time consuming. The main objective of this study is to develop general basic models to solve multiple scheduling problems. The extended general models formed were based on three types of scheduling problems; nurse, university course and examination with the common requirements obtained in the literature. Additional general constraints were also added to the model. All together there are 6 constraints employed in this research. A 0-1 integer programming is used to construct and solve these models with the support of AIMMS mathematical software. The results obtained showed that the models formed. Keywords: scheduling; scheduling problems; integer programming; AIMMS mathematical software. § 51 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 80 - A STRUCTURALLY UNSTABLE BISTABLE SYSTEM WHEN SYNTHESIS AND DEGRADATION OF PROTEIN ARE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT FUAADA MOHD SIAMa & MICHAEL GRINFELDb a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia fuaada@utm.my Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of Strathclyde Livingstine Tower Level 9 26 Richmond Street, Glasgow, G1 1XH, United Kingdom m.grinfeld@strath.ac.uk b ABSTRACT Bistability (or more generally multistability, the coexistence of two or more stable steady states in a dynamical system) is an important property of many dynamical systems in biology. It furnishes an explanation for the ability of isogenic cells to present diÆerent stable expression profiles. In this work, we show analytically that the Cdc2-cyclin B/Wee1 system which exhibits bistability when all the proteins species are conserved, is not structurally stable when synthesis and degradation of one of the components are taken into account. Keywords: bystander eÆect; low dose ionizing radiation; bistable behavior; bifurcation; protein kinases. MGI 81 - NUMERICAL SIMULATION AND ANALYTICAL VALIDATION OF A GAS FLOW THROUGH STORED GRAIN ZAITON MAT ISAa & MOHAMAD DANIAL NAZRIb Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia zaitonmi@utm.my, mdanial6@yahoo.com.my a,b ABSTRACT This study is concerned with an application in grain industry where insects in a stored grain are killed using phosphine gas. During this process which is known as fumigation, the phosphine is injected at the bottom of the silo and distributed into the stored grain. The present study is conducted to investigate the flow distribution during the process for various type of storage configuration. Numerical simulation using available Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) software, for example, FLUENT, is widely known as cost and time eÆective. However, the numerical simulation needs to be validated before conducting § 52 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru such studies. For a simple case, the analytical solution exists. Therefore, the analytic solution for a simple case, can be used for validation and serve as basis for adopting a CFD software, FLUENT for an extended geometry and boundary conditions. The numerical results are found to agree well with the analytical results. Keywords: grain storage; porous medium; CFD. MGI 82 - THE ADOMIAN DECOMPOSITION METHOD FOR MULTICELL SPHEROID MODEL OF AVASCULAR TUMOR GROWTH NORHASIMAH MAHIDDINa a 1Centre of Foundation Studies for Agriculture Science, a Institute For Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang,Selangor ,Malaysia NorhasimahMahiddin@upm.edu.my ABSTRACT The Adomian decomposition method is applied to multicell spheroid model of avascular tumour growth. In comparison with existing techniques, the decomposition method is highly eÆective in terms of accuracy and rapid convergence. This paper presents a further insight into multicell spheroid model for avascular tumour growth in the decomposition method approach and for steady-state condition. Keywords: Adomian decomposition method; Avascular tumor growth; Multicell spheroid model; Mathemathical biology; Nonlinearity. MGI 83 - A SIMULATED ANNEALING APPROACH FOR REDESIGNING A WAREHOUSE NETWORK PROBLEM ROZIEANA BINTI KHAIRUDDINa & ZAITUL MARLIZAWATI ZAINUDDINb a Faculty of Industrial Sciences & Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang 26300 UMP Gambang, Pahang, Malaysia rozieana@ump.edu.my UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics & Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science b § 53 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310, UTM Johor Bahru, Johor DarulTa’azim, Malaysia zmarlizawati@utm.my ABSTRACT Faced with increasing competition, mounting cost pressure and to take advantage of the economies of scale, many companies consider downsizing their distribution networks in ways that involve consolidation or phase-out of some of their existing warehousing facilities. Therefore,if the economic situationchanges afteracertainperiod of timethe existingnetworkmodel will need to be changedtogetthe optimalcostunderthe current economic conditions. This paper develops a mixed-integer linear programming model for a one-echelon warehouse network redesign problem with warehouses and customers zones. The main contribution of this study is in considering delivery lead times and capacity constraint for existing warehouses. A Simulated Annealing algorithm is proposed to tackle the problem. The corresponding numerical results demonstrate the practicality of the proposed model and solution method. Keywords: warehouse location; redesign; consolidation. MGI 84 - HEAT TRANSFER ANALYSIS OF WATER BASED CARBON NANOTUBES OVER A STRETCHING CYLINDER RIZWAN UL HAQa & N.F.M. NOORb a b Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Computing Capital University of Science and Technology Islamabad, 44000 Pakistan dr.rizwan@jinnah.edu.pk, r.haq.qau@gmail.com Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia ABSTRACT The present article is dedicated to examine the combined eÆects of single and multiple wall carbon nanotubes numerically within water that flows due to a stretching cylinder. The mathematical model based on Navier-Stokes and energy equations is constructed.Magnetohydrodynamics and prescribed heat flux areintroduced at the surface of the stretching cylinder. The viscosity and eÆective thermal conductivity for carbon nanotubes are also considered. The carbon nanotubes and curvature parameters demonstrate dominant eÆects in the profiles of velocity, temperature, skin friction and Nusselt number. Keywords: MHD; CNT; nanofluid; stretching cylinder. § 54 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MGI 85 - MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF EXPRESSWAY TRAFFIC NOISE IN PENANG KOK LINGYAPa & HAJAR SULAIMANb a Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia hajars@usm.my ,yapkokling1@gmail.com ABSTRACT It is a renowned fact that tra±c noise has become the major contribution towards the overall noise pollution scenario. Tra±c noise from an expressway creates problems for adjoining areas, especially in high tra±c volumes and high speeds. The present work discusses the fundamentals of acoustics and analysis of vehicular tra±c noise. Data was collected to carry out a comparative analysis with two existing tra±c noise prediction models; namely, NAISS and Burgess. A suitable site along TunDr Lim Chong Eu Expressway was chosen for data collection. Based on the readings and analysis of the data, it was found that NAISS depicts a better predictive capability compared to Burgess. A further study was done to develop a new model according to the features and characteristics of tra±c flows on the expressway. This new tra±c noise prediction model is called Penang Noise Model (PNM). PNM was shown to give an acceptable value of the coe±cient of determination and hence proves to be well reliable in predicting the level of tra±c noise on the expressway (when the number of heavy vehicles is known). A further two samples t-test done on PNM proves its capability in giving a good prediction of the level of tra±c noise at TunDr Lim Chong Eu Expressway. Keywords: Heavy vehicles; Tra±c Noise; Tra±c noise prediction model. MGI 86 - COMPARATIVE STUDY OF FREE VIBRATION OF ANTI-SYMMETRIC ANGLE-PLY LAMINATED PLATES K.K.VISWANATHANa , K.KARTHIKb , Z. A. AZIZc & ANDY. V. S. S. SANYASIRAJUd a,b,c UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (UTM-CIAM) Ibnu Sina Institute for Scientific & Industrial Research Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia visu20@yahoo.com, ttsvasu@yahoo.com, zainalaz@utm.my a,b,c Department of Mathematic Indian Institute of Technology Madras d § 55 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Chennai 600036, India. sryedida@iitm.ac.in ABSTRACT In this study free vibrations of anti-symmetry angle-ply composite plates including shear deformation under clamped-clamped boundary conditions are presented. Two types of numerical methods are adopted to analyze the problem. The spline of third order degree and radial basis functions are applied simultaneously to approximate the displacement function and rotational function. Comparative study have been made for analyzing the frequency parameters with respect to the material properties, number of layer, fiber orientations, side-to-thickness ratio and aspect ratio and the results are depicted in terms of tables and graphs. Keywords: Free vibration; anti-symmetric; angle-ply; splines; radial basis function. MGI 87 - CONSTRAINED DATA VISUALIZATION USING RATIONAL CUBIC BALL FUNCTION WAN ZAFIRA EZZA WAN ZAKARIAa & JAMALUDIN MD ALIb a b School of Industrial Technology Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia ezzafira@usm.my School of Mathematical Science Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia jamaluma.cs@usm.my ABSTRACT The main purpose of this paper is shape preserving interpolation for visualization of constrained data that will be smooth and pleasant. A rational cubic Ball function with three shape parameters will be introduced and used. A rational cubic Ball functionis constructed according to the shape of the data that areconstraint between two lines using appropriate conditions on each of the shape parameters. Keywords: shape preserving interpolation; constrained data; rational cubic Ball function; shape parameters. § 56 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MGI 88 - HYDROMAGNETIC MIXED CONVECTION FLOW OVER AN EXPONENTIALLY STRETCHING SHEET WITH FLUID-PARTICLE SUSPENSION Siti Nur Haseela Izania & Anati Alib a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia snhaseela izani@yahoo.com, anati@utm.my ABSTRACT The present paper deals with the study of a convective heat transfer characteristics of an incompressible viscous dusty fluid over an exponentially stretching surface with an exponential temperature distribution. The similarity transformation are used to reduce the system of governing partial diÆerential equations into set of non-linear ordinary diÆerential equations which then solved numerically using Runge-KuttaFehlberg forth-fifth method (RKF45) with the help of Maple. The influence of physical parameters like the Prandtl number, mixed convection parameter, the local fluid-particle interaction parameter, Eckert number and the magnetic parameter on the flow and heat transfer characteristics are analyzed and discussed in details through tables and graph. The behavior of velocity and temperature profile of hydromagnetic mixed convection flow with fluid-particle suspension are assumed to have specific exponential functions forms. The present numerical results are compared with the earlier published results. Keywords: Dusty fluid; two phase flow; mixed convective parameter; heat transfer characteristics; exponentially stretching surface. MGI 90 - NUMERICAL MODELLING OF PARAMETRIC INSTABILITY PROBLEM FOR COMPOSITE PLATE USING FINITE ELEMENT METHOD Z. Yusofa & Z.A. Rasidb Intelligent & Dynamic of Structures (IDS) iKohza, Malaysia-Jalan International Institute of Technology Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Jalan Sultan Yahya Petra 54100 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia zarinayusof91@gmail.com a Jabatan Kejuruteraan Mekanik Kejituan Malaysia-Jalan International Institute of Technology Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Jalan Sultan Yahya Petra 54100 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia arzainudin.kl@utm.my b § 57 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT Parametric instability as compared to force resonance may occur in a structure when the frequency of loading is at a fraction of the natural frequency of the structure. As such the structure may experience fatigue failure due to arametric instabilitymerely at loading less than critical load. In this paper, parametric instability analysis of composite plate subjected to periodic compressive loading has been conducted using finite element method (FEM). The FEM formulation is based on thefirst order shear deformation theory. The Mathieu-Hill type equation that described the parametric instability of the composite plate was developed using the Hamilton’s principle. This equation was solved using the Bolotin’s method that reduces the Mathies-Hill equation to a couple of eigen-value problems. Usingthe developed FEM source codes, the instability chart or the Strut-Ince diagrams were drawn to show the instability regions for several cases of composite types and parameters. The results of the dynamic instability region were validated with the results from past literatures. It was found that as the static load parameter is increased, the center for dynamic instability region is shifted to the left and in the case of symmetric angle-ply composite plate, the angle of µ = 45o gives the highest center of instability. Keywords: Parametric instability; Mathieu-Hill equation; Laminated composites; Strut-Ince diagram. MGI 92 - DIAGONAL QUASI-NEWTON UPDATING FORMULA USING THE LOG-DETERMINANT NORM HONG SENG SIMa , WAH JUNE LEONGb , CHUEI YEE CHENc & SITI NUR IQMAL IBRAHIMd Institute for Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43300 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia hongseng0505@hotmail.com a,b,c,d Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43300 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia leongwj@upm.edu.my, cychen@upm.edu.my, iqmal@upm.edu.my b,c,d ABSTRACT Quasi-Newton method has been widely used in solving unconstrained optimization problems. The popularity of this method is due to the fact that only the gradient of the objective function is required at each iterate. Since second derivatives (Hessian) are not required, quasi-Newton method is sometimes more e±cient than the Newton method, especially when the computation of Hessian is expensive. On the other hand, standard quasi-Newton methods required full matrix storage that approximates the (inverse) Hessian. Hence, they may not be suitable to handle problems of large-scale. In this paper, we develop quasi-Newton updating formula diagonally using log-determinant norm such that it satisfies the weaker secant equation. The Lagrange multiplier is approximated using the Newton-Raphson method that is associated with weaker secant relation. An executable code is developed to test the e±ciency of § 58 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru the proposed method with some standard conjugate-gradient methods. Numerical results show that the proposed method performs better than the conjugate gradient method. Keywords: quasi-Newton method; log-determinant norm; weak secant relation; diagonal. MGI 93 - MODELLING AND OPTIMIZATION FOR PALM OIL PLANTATION MANAGEMENT AKBAR BANITALEBIa , MOHD ISMAIL ABD AZIZb , ZAINAL ABDUL AZIZc & NORYANTI NASIRd UTM Center for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Ibnu Sina Institute for Scientific and Industrial Research Universiti Teknologi Malaysia UTM 81310, Skudai, Johor, Malaysia akbar.banitalebi@utm.my, mismail@utm.my, zainalaz@utm.my, noryanti4@live.utm.my a,b,c,d ABSTRACT In this paper, the problem of palm oil plantation management is considered. A non-linear mathematical model is proposed considering two state variables as the density of the young palm oil trees and the part of biomass that can produce oil. In the modelling process, it is assumed that the rate of planting new young trees and the rate of felling ine±cient trees can be controlled. It is further assumed that the oil production rate is directly proportional to the biomass of palm oil plantation. A system of delay diÆerential equations is developed to study the behaviour of palm oil plantation. The resulting optimal control problem is also solved to estimate the control variables while the objective is to maintain the biomass at a certain level and maximize the oil palm production in a long period. Numerical simulations are given to illustrate the results. Keywords: Palm Oil Plantation Management; Optimal Control; Mathematical Modeling. MGI 94 - SOLUTION OF FUZZY FRACTIONAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS USING HOMOTOPY ANALYSIS METHOD LEE M Oa , N. KUMARESANb & KURU RATNAVELUc a Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia § 59 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik drnk2008@gmail.com ABSTRACT In this paper, solution of fuzzy fractional diÆerential equations are obtained using Homotopy Analysis Method (HAM). HAM is the generalization of various methods like Homotopy Perturbation method, Adomin Decomposition Method. HAM solution is more accurate when it is compared with the solution computed by existing method. Illustrative numerical examples are presented for the proposed method. Keywords: Fractional DiÆerential Equations; Fuzzy Systems; Homotopy Analysis Method. MGI 95 - BEZIER CURVE MODELING FOR INTUITIONISTIC FUZZY DATA PROBLEM ABD FATAH WAHABa , MOHAMMAD IZAT EMIRb & MOHD SALLEHUDDINc Pusat Pengajian Informatik dan Matematik Gunaan Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Nerus, Terengganu, Malaysia fatah@umt.edu.my, emir zul@yahoo.com, salleh 85s@yahoo.com a,b,c ABSTRACT The solution of a problem that involves uncertainty data that is characterized by complex process in which the phenomenon of incomplete information obtained is di±cult to handle. Various mathematical models have been developed to handle problems involving uncertainty data. This paper introduced new concept of geometric modeling with intuitionistic fuzzy called Intuitionistic Fuzzy Bezier. A new intuitionistic control point is defined and developed. Next, the control point is blended with the spline basis function to generate Intuitionistic Fuzzy Bezier Model and the Intuitionistic Fuzzy Bezier Curve is shaped. Keywords: Intuitionistic fuzzy; Bezier; Intuitionistic fuzzy Bezier; Control Point; Intuitionistic fuzzy Bezier curve. MGI 97 - ANALYSIS OF BLOOD FLOW THROUGH A CATHETERIZED STENOSED ARTERY USING MATHEMATICA TAY CHAI JIANa & NORSARAHAIDA AMINb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science § 60 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia cjtay3@utm.my , norsarahaida@utm.my ABSTRACT A mathematical analysis on blood flowing through a catheterized stenosed artery is carried out using Mathematica , where a package has been developed to solve a Newtonian model of blood flow that can be extended to solve and simulate other fluid models and boundary conditions. Investigation centres on the eÆect of inserting a catheter, which is a tube, used amongst others in patients who are bedridden and whose blood pressure needs to be measured and monitored continuously. Inserting a catheter in an artery is expected to alter some characteristics of blood flow such as velocity, the wall shear stressand the streamlines. The present model considers the catheter and the artery to be in an eccentric position which is more realistic as opposed to the usual concentric position The governing equations are solved analytically by a perturbation method. Results show that the eccentricity causes the axial velocity and wall shear stress to increase. There is also a trapping bolus which occurs in the region between the wall of stenosis and the wall of catheter for small values of eccentricity parameter. Keywords: perturbation; Mathematica; analytical solution; blood flow; catheter. MGI 98 - MODIFED AND HYBRID CONJUGATE GRADIENT METHODS WITH THEIR CONVERGENCE ANALYSIS: A REVIEW IBRAHIM ABDULLAHIa & ROHANIN AHMADb Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia rohanin@utm.my a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Federal University Dutse (FUD P.M.B 7156, Dutse, Jigawa State, Nigeria ibrahim.abdullahi@fud.edu.ng a,b ABSTRACT Conjugate Gradient (CG) methods are widely used for solving unconstrained optimization problems. The paper reviews the development of CG methods in recent times and their convergence properties. Keywords: Unconstrained optimization; Conjugate gradient; Convergence; Descent algorithm.. § 61 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MGI 101 - CHALLENGE IN APPLYING QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS ON BULL SEMEN QUALITY IN MALAYSIA ZAINAL ABDUL AZIZa , ARIFAH BAHARb , MOHD SHAHIR SHAMSIR OMARc , zaitul marlizawati zainuddind & NORHAIZA AHMADe 1UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Ibnu Sina Institute for Industrial and Scientific Research 81310, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor Bahru, Johor. a,b,d c e Department of Biosciences and Health Sciences Faculty of Biosciences & Medical Engineering 81310, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor Bahru, Johor. Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science 81310, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor Bahru, Johor. ABSTRACT There is a huge challenge in managing quality control (QC) for Malaysian semen production centres (MSPCs) supplying bull semen to breeders and State Department of Veterinary (SDV). MSPCs are moving away from subjective semen assessment that is largely uncorrelated to field fertility, to objective semen analyses that incorporate computer assisted sperm analysis (CASA) and flow cytometry. A quantitative analysis (QA) approach to semen analysis using a combination of CASA and flow cytometry can provide MSPCs with the highest QC for bull semen production. This paper will describe how this QA approach could be applied in MSPCs to establish QC procedures of bull semen production before the release of the product in the field. Keywords:: Quality control; quantitative analysis; CASA; flow cytometry; bull semen. MGI 102 - EARLY DETECTION OF GANODERMA BONINENSE IN OIL PALM ARIFAH BAHARa , NORHAIZA AHMADb , ZAINAL ABDUL AZIZc , shajarahtunnur jamild , ZAHARAH IBRAHIMe , ZAITUL MARLIZAWATI ZAINUDDINf 1UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Ibnu Sina Institute for Industrial and Scientific Research Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor a,c a,b,c,f Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia § 62 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor d e Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor Department of Biosciences and Health Sciences, Faculty of Biosciences & Medical Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor ABSTRACT A new technology device studied by our industry partner has a capability to detect specific VOCs (volatile organic compounds). The device is a very high speed, highly sensitive electronic sensor. The industry partner is in the process of confirming which volatile organic compounds that could strongly indicate the presence of the Ganoderma fungi. This study is conducted on 47 trees which consist 188 points of inspection and 18 VOCs are analysed. It reveals that up to 5 components based on PCA with about 75% proportion of variance explained from the data could be selected. Biplots of the components show that Status 3 (severely infected) could be separated easily from Status 1 (healthy) and Status 2 (infected without fruiting body). PLS-DA (partial least squares - discriminant analysis) is also carried out to determine the percentage of detection accuracy. It is chosen because the response variable (Status 1-3) is categorical. Based on PLS-DA plot, it seems that most of the VOCs that contribute to Status 1 including Thiopene and Pyran. While other VOCs contribute to Status 3. It does not seem any of the VOCs have any influence on Status 2. The accuracy is 61.2%. Keywords: Principal Component Analysis (PCA); partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA); Ganoderma boninense (G.b); volatile organic compounds, electronic sensor. MGI 103 - INTEGRATED MODEL OF CONTINUOUS BERTH ALLOCATION PROBLEM AND QUAY CRANE SCHEDULING WITH NON-CROSSING CONSTRAINT ZAITUL MARLIZAWATI ZAINUDDINa , AZYANZUHAILA HASAN BASRIb & NURHIDAYU IDRISc b,c a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310, Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia azyan z@yahoo.com, nhidayu5@gmail.com UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics and Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310, Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia § 63 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik zmarlizawati@utm.my ABSTRACT EÆective berth and quay crane scheduling improves service levels of container terminal. This study integrates Continuous Berth Allocation Problem and Quay Crane scheduling and focuses on non-crossing constraint. Quay crane (QC) interference is an important feature of QC operations. Practically, QCs along the same berth are mounted on the same tracks, which forbid them from crossing each other at any instant. To better model the situation, non-crossing constraint is added to the integrated mathematical model of continuous berth allocation problem and quay crane scheduling. The results obtained emphasize the eÆect of non-crossing constraint to quay crane scheduling. Keywords: integrated; continuous; berth; quay crane; non-crossing. > > > > > > >> § 64 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru APPLIED MATHEMATICS & COMPUTING MPSK 01 - FORECASTING CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION USING QUADRATIC REGRESSION AND LAYER RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORK MODELS AUGUSTINE PWASONGa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia davougus@gmail.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In this study, a quadratic regression model and a two layered layer recurrent neural network (TLLRNN) method were used to model forecasting performance of the daily crude oil production data of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC). The two methods were applied on the diÆerence series and log diÆerence series of the NNPC series. The results indicate that the two layered layer recurrent neural network model have better forecasting performance greater than the quadratic regression method based on the mean error square sense. The root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) were applied to ascertain the assertion that the two layered layer recurrent neural network method have better forecasting performance greater than the quadratic regression method. The outcome of the analysis also indicates that modeling forecasting performance of the NNPC data with the log diÆerenceseries of the data gives greater forecasting performances than modeling with the diÆerence series of the NNPC data irrespective of the method used in modeling with the series. These results were achieved from 1 day ahead predictions, 3 days ahead predictions and 5 days ahead predictions for 50 days sample length, 100 days sample length, 200 days sample length, 400 days sample length and 800 days sample length. Autocorrelation functions emerging from the increment series, that is, diÆerence series and log diÆerence series of the daily crude oil production data of the NNPC indicates significant autocorrelations and significant partial autocorrelations. The data used in this study is a time series data obtained from the daily crude oil production of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) for a period of six years (1st January, 2008 - 31st December, 2013). The analysis for this study was simulated using MATLAB software, version 8.03. Keywords: Regression, neural network, root mean square error, mean absolute error, forecasting. § 65 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MPSK 02 - ON THE FUSION OF REGRESSION AND NEURAL NETWORK MODELS AUGUSTINE PWASONGa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia davougus@gmail.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In this paper, a feed forward neural network model and a quadratic regression model are fused together to form a hybrid model that was applied on the daily crude oil production data of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) to forecast the daily crude oil production of the NNPC. The fusion was made possible by the Bayesian model averaging technique, which was used to obtain a combined forecast from the two separate methods, that is, the feed forward neural network method and the quadratic regression method. The model resulting from the fusion was applied on the diÆerence series and log difference series of the NNPC series. The results indicate that the combined forecast have better forecasting performance greater than the stand alone methods based on the mean error square sense. The root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) were applied to ascertain the assertion that the combined forecast has better forecasting performance greater than the stand alone forecast. The outcome of the analysis also indicates that modeling forecasting performance of the NNPC data with the log diÆerence series of the data gives greater forecasting performances than modeling with the diÆerence series of the NNPC data irrespective of modeling with hybrid or stand alone methods. The data used in this study is a time series data obtained from the daily crude oil production of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) for a period of six years (1st January, 2008 - 31st December, 2013). The analysis for this study was simulated using MATLAB software, version 8.03 Keywords: Bayesian model averaging, regression, neural network, root mean square error, mean absolute error, forecasting. MPSK 03 - KULLBACK LIEBER DIVERGENCE FOR IMAGE EVALUATION Hang See Phenga , Siti Mariyam Shamsuddinb & Razana Alweec a,b UTM Big Data Centre, Ibnu Sina Institute for Scientific and Industrial Research Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Skudai Johor seepheng@gmail.com; mariyam@utm.my c Soft Computing Research Group, Faculty of Computing Universiti Teknologi Malaysia § 66 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 81310 Skudai Johor ABSTRACT Medical imaging has been expanding ever since to give diagnostic information through diÆerent types of modalities. Currently, there are many types of modalities such as Computed Tomography (CT) scans, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI), X-rays (plain radiography), Positron Emission Tomography (PET) scan and Ultrasonographic diagnostics (USG), available in the field of medical and surgical. These modalities are widely used in clinical diagnosis and development of research in education. In terms of image quality, the qualitative analysis was always used to evaluate the quality of output image from classification results. By qualitative analysis, the researchers were able to judge the precision of detected lesion and hence calculated the accuracy of detection through the testing cases. However, the qualitative analysis was sometimes subjective and the verification from more than one radiologist was needed to confirm the results of classification. Therefore, the quantitative analysis was also needed to ensure the results from the classification algorithm can be assessed objectively. In this study, we propose pixelbased approach of Kullback Lieber (KL) divergence in assessing the medical images. Unlike the standard statistical analysis, the evaluation using KL divergence does not require testing of hypothesis or confidence interval construction based on the mean and standard deviation. The proposed framework of KL is useful to provide a descriptive measure for the purpose of summarizing data.Firstly, both of the original and computed images are normalized where the sum of all intensities is equal to one. Then, the probability distribution is calculated by column using function of hist(HO) and hist(HA) and each of the column are expressed as data vector hOi = (hO1 , hO2 , hO3 , hOi ) and hAi = (hA1 , hA2 , hA3 , hAi ) respectively. In the computation of probability distribution, the function of hist bins the elements in each data vector of HO and HA into 10 equally spaced containers and return the amount of elements in each container as row vector. The results have shown that the proposed framework of Kullback Lieber divergence is promising in presenting better final images quantitatively. Keywords: Quantitative analysis, Kullback Leibler (KL) divergence, Medical imaging. MPSK 04 - CHOLESKY FACTOR UPDATING IN RECURSIVE LEAST-SQUARES BASED SYSTEM IDENTIFICATION KAH WAI CHEAHa & NOOR ATINAH AHMADb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia ckw31888@hotmail.com, nooratinah@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In this paper, we describe the Cholesky factor updating for the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm. This factorization technique is based on orthogonal transforms and involves only rank-one updating or a rank-one downdating of a matrix. The updating and downdating procedures are stabilized in which § 67 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik the singular values of the correlation matrix are shifted by utilizing an initialized Cholesky factor. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates the shifted singular values improve the positive definiteness and the conditioning of the correlation matrix which in turn results in a more stable algorithm. The round oÆ errors of Cholesky factor are also nicely bounded due the orthogonalization. Stability of the RLS algorithm with Cholesky factor rank-one updating is demonstrated via adaptive identification of a nonlinear Volterra system. In quantized form, while the conventional RLS algorithm is only stable for a short duration, the RLS algorithm with Cholesky factor rank-one updating is shown to be stable for much longer duration. Keywords: System identification; Cholesky rank-one update and downdate factorization; RLS. MPSK 05 - A 3(2) PAIR PSEUDO RUNGE-KUTTA METHOD FOR DELAY DEFFERENTIAL EQUATION LIM TIAN HWEEa Foundation Programme University of Reading Malaysia 80000 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia t.h.lim@reading.ac.uk a ABSTRACT Although explicit pseudo Runge-Kutta methods are less popular than explicit Runge-Kutta methods (because they need two initial values), they are less expensive in terms of functional evaluation. In the past, research has been done in constructing high order pseudo Runge-Kutta methods. In this paper, a low order embedded pair of pseudo Runge-Kutta method will be presented. First, a third order method is constructed by minimizing the error bound follow by a second order method. The stability of the new method is studied. A number of test problems are solved by the new method. The numerical results are shown and compared with the existing method. Keywords: Explicit Pseudo Runge-Kutta Method; Delay DiÆerential Equation; Low Order; Error Bound. MPSK 06 - ASSORTED MATRIX DECOMPOSITION METHOD IN SOLVING FULLY FUZZY LINEAR SYSTEM FOR TRIANGULAR FUZZY MATRICES WAN SUHANA WAN DAUDa , NAZIHAH AHMADb & KHAIRU AZLAN ABD AZIZc a Institute of Mathematics Engineering, § 68 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Kampus Pauh Putra 02600, Arau, Perlis wsuhana@unimap.edu.my b School of Quantitative Sciences, College of Arts & Sciences Universiti Utara Malaysia 06010, Sintok, Kedah nazihah@uum.edu.my c Department of Sciences Mathematics and Statistics Universiti Teknologi MARA Perlis khairu493@perlis.uitm.edu.my ABSTRACT Fully Fuzzy Linear System (FFLS) happens when there is a fuzzy value on both sides of the linear systems. This system is quite significant now since most of the linear systems play with uncertainties of parameters especially in engineering, financial, and so on. Many researchers become attracted with FFLS and they also introduced various methods to solve the FFLS. In this paper, we intend to discuss on the matrix decomposition methods in solving fully fuzzy linear system for triangular fuzzy matrices. Ultimately, we will analyze the most e±cient method by look into the complexity level and computation time. Our hope is this study will encourage researchers to appreciate the use of matrix decomposition methods for understanding linear equations and with that it will be easier for them to choose the right method in order to solve the FFLS. keywords: Fully Fuzzy Linear System (FFLS); Matrix decomposition; Triangular fuzzy matrices. MPSK 07 - NEAR-ZERO SOLUTION OF FULLY FUZZY LINEAR SYSTEM WITH ARBITRARY TRAPEZOIDAL FUZZY NUMBERS WAN SUHANA WAN DAUDa & NAZIHAH AHMADb Institute of Mathematics Engineering Universiti Malaysia Perlis Pauh Putra Campus 02600, Arau, Perlis wsuhana@unimap.edu.my a b School of Quantitative Sciences, College of Arts & Sciences Universiti Utara Malaysia 06010, Sintok, Kedah nazihah@uum.edu.my § 69 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT Previously, many authors have proposed a various techniques using direct and indirect methods for finding positive solutions of the positive Fully Fuzzy Linear Systems (FFLS). However, there are only a few authors have studies on solving FFLS which didn’t put any restriction on the fuzzy parameters. Thus, it will give some limitation to the users in solving any real linear system of equations. In this study, we are interested to solve the FFLS which the fuzzy numbers are neither positive nor negative or known as Near-zero (N -zero). We will employ some arithmetic properties of trapezoidal fuzzy numbers inspired by Abhinav Bansal (2011). Additionally, some numerical examples will be illustrated. Keywords: Fuzzy Linear System (FFLS); Near-zero; Trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. MPSK 08 - MAGNETOHYDRODYNAMIC FLOW OF DUSTY FLUID OVER STRETCHING SHEET WITH HALL EFFECT SHARENA MOHAMAD ISAa , ANATI ALIb & SHARIDAN SHAFIEc Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia sharena ina@yahoo.com, anati@utm.my, sharidan@utm.my a,b,c ABSTRACT The eÆect of hall current on dusty fluid, viscous, incompressible and electrically conducting fluid over vertical surface of stretching sheet is studied.A convective boundary condition is applied and compared with usual boundary conditions of constant surface temperature. The governing partial diÆerential equations are transformed into ordinary diÆerential equations by using similarity transformation. The resulting diÆerential equations are solved numerically by using Runge Kutta Fehlberg forth-fifth method (RKF45 Method) with help of Maple Software. The eÆect of magnetic parameter, fluid-particle interaction parameter, Hall parameter and Biot number are presented graphically. Keywords: dusty fluid; magnetohydrodynamic; Hall eÆect; convective boundary condition. MPSK 09 - CONFORMAL MAPPING OF MULTIPLY CONNECTED REGIONS ONTO LOGARITHMIC SPIRAL SLIT WITH FINITE STRAIGHT SLIT Arif A.M. Yunusa , Mohamed M. S. Nasserb & Ali H.M. Muridc a Faculty of Science and Technology § 70 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Universiti Sains Islam Malaysia 71800 Bandar Baru Nilai, Nilai,Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia arifasraf@hotmail.com Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science King Khalid University, P.O. Box 9004, Abha, Saudi Arabia mms nasser@hotmail.com b c UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Ibnu Sina Institute for Scientific and Industrial Research Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 UTM Johor Bahru,Johor, Malaysia alihassan@utm.my ABSTRACT This paper presents a boundary integral equation method with the adjoint generalized Neumann kernel for conformal mapping of multiply connected regions. The canonical region is the entire complex plane bounded by a finite straight slit on the line Im w = 0 and finite logarithmic spiral slits. Some linear boundary integral equations are constructed from a boundary relationship satisfied by an analytic function on a multiply connected region. These integral equations are uniquely solvable. The kernels involved in these integral equations are the generalized Neumann kernel and the adjoint generalized Neumann kernels. Keywords: Conformal mapping; Boundary integral equations; Multiply connected region; Generalized Neumann kernel. MPSK 10 - REINITIATED LAPLACE HOMOTOPY ANANLYSIS METHOD FOR SOLVING INTEGRAL EQUATIONS LEM KONG HOONGa a Department of Physical and Mathematical Science, Faculty of Science Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Jalan University, Bandar Barat 31900 Kampar, Perak, Malaysia lemkh@utar.edu.my ABSTRACT The complexity of the deformation equation increases exponentially with the order of approximation. Consequently, implementing the Laplace homotopy analysis method (LHAM) under high deformation order can be very computationally costly and lengthy and even cause computational paralysis in cases. Here, the LHAM is modified in a reinitiated manner wherethe low order results are initiated for further approximation using truncated Maclaurin expansions. This modified approach manages to avoid § 71 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik high order approximation butstill promises accurate approximate series solution. This approach greatly improves the e±ciency of LHAM in solving integral equations. Keywords: Laplace transform; homotopy analysis method (HAM); integral equations. MPSK 11 - GC2 RATIONAL BALL CURVES WITH AN APPLICATION TO CRANIO-FACIAL IMAGE RECONSTRUCTION ABDUL MAJEEDa & ABD RAHNI MT PIAHb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM Pulau Pinang, Malaysia abdulmajeed@ue.edu.pk, arahni@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT The aim of cranio-facial re-construction is to re-construct a fractured bone contour of an anatomical region. In this manuscript, we re-construct fractured cranio-facial images using GC2 rational Ball curves. The proposed interpolant have four free parameters and a genetic algorithm is used to optimize these parameters. The emphasis is laid on the accuracy and smoothness of re-constructed images. This manuscript also includes a clinical case of a fractured skull vault to show diverse application of the proposed algorithm. Keywords: CT scan data; Boundary extraction; Corner detection; Genetic algorithm; cranio-facial reconstruction. MPSK 12 - THE COMPUTATION OF ZEROS OF AHLFORS MAP FOR DOUBLY CONNECTED REGIONS KASHIF NAZARa , ALI W.K. SANGAWIb & ALI H.M. MURIDc Department of Mathematics COMSATS Institute of Information Technology P.O.Box 54000 Defence Road OÆ Raiwind Road Lahore Pakistan knazar@ciitlahore.edu.pk a b Department of Mathematics, School of Science, Faculty of Science and Science Education University of Sulaimani § 72 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 46001 Sulaimani, Kurdistan, Iraq alisangawi2000@yahoo.com c UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (UTM-CIAM), Ibnu Sina Institute, of Science and Industrial Research Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia alihassan@utm.my ABSTRACT The relation between the Ahlfors map and the Szegö kernel S(z, a) is classical. The Szegö kernel for a multiply connected region is a solution of a Fredholm integral equation of the second kind with the Kerzman-Stein kernel. The exact zeros of the Ahlfors map are unknown except for the annulus region. This paper presents a numerical method for computing the zeros of the Ahlfors map for any bounded 0 0 doubly connected region. The method depends on the values of S(z(t), a), S (z(t), a) and µ (t) where µ(t) is the boundary correspondence function of Ahlfors map. A formula is derived for computing S 0 (z(t), a). 0 An integral equation is constructed for solving µ (t). The numerical examples presented here prove the eÆectiveness of the proposed method. Keywords: Ahlfors map; Szegö kernel; Adjoint Neumann kernel; Generalized Neumann kernel. MPSK 13 - BOND STRETCHING MODEL FOR THE DIATOMIC MOLECULES TAN AI-PINGa , YEAK SU-HOEb & RIADH SAHNOUNc a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia aptan317@hotmail.com, s.h.yeak@utm.my c Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia riadh@kimia.fs.utm.my ABSTRACT The previous studies had shown that general piecewise polynomial was used as bond stretching functional in order to represent the chemical reaction for diÆerent combination of two atoms hydrocarbon compounds. In this paper, Bond stretching model is further investigated by applied to seven homonuclear diatomic molecules, which are Br2 , Cl2 , F2 , H2 , I2 , N2 , and O2 compounds. Data were computed from Gaussian 09 software. Density functional theory method with hybrid functional of Beck 3-term correlation functional and Lee, Yang, and Parr exchange functional were chosen in the calculation. Parameter § 73 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik sets were obtained via curve fitting with data collected for each compound in a range of distances. Bond stretching model with corresponding parameter set were calculated and presented in graphic form. The results are not exactly fitted but it is considered achieve in good agreement with the each set of data collected. Keywords: Bond Stretching Polynomial; Force Field; Diatomic Molecules. MPSK 15 - CONSTRAINED ARTIFICIAL BEE COLONY ALGORITHM FOR OPTIMIZATION PROBLEMS SOUDEH BABAEIZADEHa & ROHANIN AHMADb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia babaeizadeh.s@gmail.com, rohanin@utm.my ABSTRACT Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) algorithm is a well known swarm intelligence algorithms which have shown a competitive performance with respect to other population-based algorithms. However, this algorithm has poor exploitation ability. To address this issue, an Improved Constrained Artificial Bee Colony (icABC) algorithm is proposed where three new solution search equations are introduced respectively to employed bee, onlooker bee and scout bee phases. This algorithm is tested on several constrained benchmark Problems. The numerical results demonstrate that the icABC is competitive with other state-of-the-art constrained ABC algorithm under consideration. Keywords: Artificial Bee Colony, Swarm intelligence, Constrained optimization. MPSK 16 - FORECASTING THE MORTALITY RATES OF MALAYSIAN POPULATION USING LEE-CARTER METHOD NURAINI NGATAMANa , ROSE IRNAWATY IBRAHIMb & MAZLYNDA MD YUSUFc Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Sains Islam Malaysia 71800 Nilai, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia nuraini.ngataman@gmail.com, rose.irnawaty@usim.edu.my, mazlynda@usim.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT § 74 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru The population of many countries might undergo dramatic changes in the coming decades due to continuous increases in life expectancy. The sustained reduction in mortality rates and its systematic underestimation has been attracting the significant interest of researchers in recent years because of its potential impact on population size and structure, social security systems, and (from an actuarial perspective) the life insurance and pensions industry worldwide. Among all projection methods, the Lee-Carter method has been widely accepted by the actuarial community. This paper explores the use of the Lee-Carter method to forecast the mortality rates for Malaysian population. The index of the level of mortality for each gender, and the shape and sensitivity coe±cients for 18 age groups were obtained through the LeeCarter method. The Singular Values Decomposition (SVD) is used to forecast the general index for the time period that goes from 2011 to 2030. Since the model involves nonlinear equations that are explicitly di±cult to solve, the Matrix Laboratory Version 7.0 (MATLAB 7.0) software will be used in the study. The empirical data sets of Malaysia population for the period of 1981-2010 and for both genders will be considered. Keywords: Forecasting; Mortality rates; Lee-Carter method; Singular Values Decomposition. MPSK 18 - SOME RESULTS ON THE STABILITY OF THE ODE MODEL FOR TUMOR CELLS POPULATION DYNAMICS AMIN OROJIa & MOHD OMARb Institute of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia amin.oroji@siswa.um.edu.my, mohd@um.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT In this paper we considered a mathematical model for the population dynamics of a heterogeneous tumor treated by external beam radiotherapy. We developed this model by using a system of ordinary diÆerential equations to represent tumor cell’s population dynamics after the application of dose fractions. The model is based on four main parameters, the probability that a target of a cell becomes deactivate after a dose fraction (q) the probability that a target becomes active again after body immune system’s repair mechanism (r), the probability that a cell gives birth after the application of a dose fraction (µ) and the number of the targets in each cell (m). We examine the stability of the system by applying Routh-Hurwitz theorem where each cell contains two or three targets (m = 2/3). We show that the ODE system is stable for any 0 < r < 1 where the treatment parameter (q) exceeds 1.0. Furthermore, q = 1.0 is the minimum value such that the ODE system becomes stable corresponding to any value of repair parameter (r) where m equal two or three. Finally, the system stability region corresponding to diÆerent values of birth parameter (µ) and the number of targets in each cell (m) are studied numerically. Keywords: Tumor Cell; Population Dynamics; Stability Analysis; Routh-Hurwitz Theorem; Mathematical Modeling. § 75 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MPSK 19 - DATA ANALYTIC PLATFORM FOR PROCESSING BIG SCALED SATELLITE IMAGES SITI SOPHIAYATI YUHANIZa , SITI MARIYAM SHAMSUDDINb & KAMILIA KAMARDINc Advanced Informatics School Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 54100, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia sophia@utm.my, kamilia@utm.my a,c Big Data Centre Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310, Johor Bahru, Johor mariyam@utm.my b ABSTRACT In the application of monitoring natural disasters, data scientists may use satellite images and any other related data to make decisions. The current satellites data are growing fast, that can reach terabytes per day that are downloaded from many diÆerent sources. These data are important that contain patterns and hidden knowledge that can be extracted from machine learning methods. This knowledge facilitates people in making critical decisions in various domains, such as monitoring disasters or as a simple case of monitoring tra±c. For the data to be meaningful, a platform that can handle large volume of data in high speed is needed to process these data. The platform should allow parallel mechanism to cope with high volume of data and allow for collaborative work. A Hadoop-based data analytic platform is proposed to provide the framework for integration of various format of data, unstructured data and high volume of data. Keywords: satellite images, data analytic platform, data science. MPSK 20 - A NEW PRP-BASED HYBRID CONJUGATE GRADIENT METHOD FOR UNCONSTRAINED OPTIMIZATION MUHAMMAD FAUZI BIN EMBONGa , MUSTAFA MAMATb & MOHD RIVAIEc Department of Computer Science and Mathematics Universiti Teknologi MARA(UiTM) Terengganu Kampus Kuala Terengganu, 21080 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia fauziembong@yahoo.com, rivaie75@yahoo.com a,c Faculty of Informatics and Computing Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin(UniSZA) Kampus Tembila, 22200,Besut, Terengganu, Malaysia must@unisza.edu.my b § 76 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT A new hybrid conjugate gradient method parameter is computed based on PRP method . It is shown that both for uniformly convex functions and for general nonlinear functions the new proposed algorithm with exact line search is globally convergent. Numerical comparisons with some similar CG algorithms show that the new proposed hybrid computational scheme outperforms the PRP method and some other hybrid methods. keywords: Conjugate gradient; unconstrained optimization; global convergence; hybrid method. MPSK 21 - TASK SCHEDULING FOR DIRECTED CYCLIC GRAPH USING PARTITIONING TECHNIQUE WAN NOR MUNIRAH ARIFFINa & SHAHARUDDIN SALLEHb Institut Matematik Kejuruteraan Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Kampus Pauh Putra 02600 Arau, Perlis munirah@unimap.edu.my a b Matematical Sciences Department, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia ss@utm.my ABSTRACT The problem of scheduling a task graph of parallel program onto a parallel and distributed computing system is a well-defined NP-complete problem that has received a large amount of attention. In this paper, the theoretical graph application using partitioning technique is presented to assign a number of tasks onto processors. This paper focus on a problem of reducing directed-weighted cyclic graph into directed acyclic graph. A combination of ant colony algorithm and auction algorithm is tested to the problem. Our simulation model found that the proposed techniques and algorithms are easy to be implemented. Keywords: Graph partitioning; task scheduling; ant colony algorithm; auction algorithm. MPSK 22 - EXACT SOLUTION FOR A ISING MODEL ON CAYLEY TREE OF ORDER 5 MOHD HAKIM BIN JAMILa & PAH CHIN HEEb § 77 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru a,b Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Department of Computational and Theoretical Sciences, Kulliyyah of Science International Islamic University Malaysia 25200 Kuantan, Pahang, Malaysia ab@u.my, pahchinhee@iium.edu.my ABSTRACT We investigate an Ising model with two restricted competing interactions (nearest neighbors, and onelevel neighbors) on the Cayley tree of order 5. We found an exact solution for the Ising model. Our result of the critical curve shows the existence of the phase transition, also confirming a conjecture of the critical curve. Keywords: recurrent equation; critical curve; phase transition. MPSK 23 - THE PERFORMANCE OF PDE-BASED IMAGE DENOSING ON RADIOGRAPHIC IMAGES SUHAILA ABD HALIMa , ARSMAH IBRAHIMb & YUPITER HP MANURUNGc a,b c Center of Mathematics Studies, Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Universiti Teknologi MARA 40450 Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia suhaila@tmsk.uitm.edu.my, arsmah@tmsk.uitm.edu.my Advanced Manufacturing Technology Center, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering Universiti Teknologi MARA 40450 Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia yupiter.manurung@salam.uitm.edu.my ABSTRACT Image is normally contaminated by noise during its acquisition process. To deal with this problem, image denoising is introduced as the preliminary process in image processing. The approach of performing image denoising is currently an active research area as the techniques used frequently have some advantages or disadvantages, depending on the quality of the image used. The commonly used spatial filters, such as median, mean and Gaussian filters would cause blurring eÆect on image. Therefore, a PDE-based image denoising will be introduced to overcome the problem. The technique is selected because it has a good denoising eÆect and hence, a better edge preservation on image. In this paper, a second-order PDE and a fourth-order PDE are computationally solve using finite diÆerence scheme and implemented on radiographic images for the purpose of removing image noise. Then, the performances of the models are evaluated using peak signal to noise ratio (PSNR) to evaluate the image quality. In addition, the blockiness eÆect of the processed image is measured using Tchebichef moment. Results have shown that the fourth-order PDE performed better in term of image quality and it is able to reduce the blockiness eÆect on noisy images, as compared to the second-order PDE. § 78 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru keywords: partial diÆerential equation; image denoising; finite diÆerence; Peak Signal to Noise Ratio;Tchebichef moment. MPSK 24 - ACTIVATION FUNCTION COMPARISON IN NEURAL-SYMBOLIC INTEGRATION MOHD. ASYRAF MANSORa & SARATHA SATHASIVAMb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia asyrafalvez@live.com, saratha@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT The activation function is a dynamic paradigm for doing logic programming in Hopfield neural network. In neural-symbolic integration, the activation function used to metamorphose the activation level of a unit (neuron) into an output signal. The proposed activation function is Bipolar sigmoid activation function. The main goal of this research is to compare and analyze the performance of proposed activation function paradigm with another sign function, namely McCulloch-Pitts function based on Wan Abdullah’s method. In this study, we evaluate experimentally the diÆerences between both functions through computer simulations.Computer simulations are conducted to demonstrate the ability of Bipolar sigmoid function and McCulloch-Pitts function doing the logic programming in Hopfield neural network. Microsoft Visual C++ 2013 is used as a platform for training and testing. The performance of Bipolar sigmoid activation function and the McCulloch-Pitts function were discussed holistically by comparing the global minima ratio, Hamming distance and training or computation time. It was proven by computer simulations that the Bipolar sigmoid activation function has a better performance, provides good solutions and achieves an acceptable stability compared to the McCulloch-Pitts function. keywords: Activation function; Logic programming; Hopfield neural network; Hamming distance; Global minima ratio. MPSK 25 - DOMINANT POINTS DETECTION FOR PLANAR DATA LIM AI HUIa & KONG VOON PANGb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia Pulau Pinang, Malaysia § 79 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik rachelim79@gmail.com, kongvp@usm.my ABSTRACT Dominant points detection was considered to extract a number of important points from a set of data points collected from some scientific phenomena or analytical studies. The extracted data points shall able to reflect the original shape of the data. Here, a method to detect the dominant points is proposed using an exclusive formula which involved eigenvalues of the covariance matrix. Concept of region of support which played an vital role in dominant point detection also is discussed. A few samples where the data points are regularly spaced and irregularly spaced are used to test the e±ciency of the method. The graphical results are presented to show shape preservation of the dominant points to the shape of the data. keywords: dominant points; covariance matrix; eigenvalues; region of support; shape preservation. MPSK 26 - NEW BLOCK RUNGE-KUTTA METHOD WITH VARIOUS WEIGHTS FOR SOLVING STIFF ORDINARY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS SAUFIANIM JANA AKSAHa , ZARINA BIBI IBRAHIMb & YONG FAEZAH RAHIMc a,b Institute for Mathematical Research, Deparment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia zarinabb@upm.edu.my c Centre of Foundation Studies for Agricultural Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia yfaezah@upm.edu.my ABSTRACT This paper discusses the development of a new block Runge-Kutta (NBRK) method with various weights for solving stiÆ ordinary diÆerential equations (ODEs). Stability properties of the method with various weights are investigated. Performance of the proposed method in terms of maximum error and computational time is compared with third order RK (RK3) method and modified weighted RK3 method based on Centroidal Mean (MWRK3CeM). Comparison between weights used is also analyzed. Numerical results show that the proposed method outperformed the MWRK3CeM and the RK3 method. Keywords: block; weighted; Runge-Kutta; stiÆ ODE. § 80 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MPSK 27 - GENETIC ALGORITHM FOR MULTI-PERIOD OUTBOUND INVENTORY ROUTING PROBLEM FOR SPLIT DELIVERY NUR ARINA BAZILAH BINTI AZIZa a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia nurarina@utm.my ABSTRACT The Inventory Routing Problems (IRP) is an important component of Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) policies. This study addresses an outbound distribution network with split inventory delivery consisting of an assembly plant and many geographically dispersed customers. Split deliveries are used to reduce total fleet cost to meet the customer’s demand. We consider a finite horizon, multi-periods and singleproduct where a fleet of capacitated homogeneous vehicles, housed at a depot, transport products from the assembly plant to the customers to meet the demand specified by the customers in each period. The demand for each customer is deterministic and time-varying. A formulation is provided in this study and a genetic algorithm model based on allocation first, route second method that considers both the inventory and transportation cost is proposed. Keywords: inventory routing problem; genetic algorithm; split delivery. § 81 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MPSK 28 - PRECONDITIONED JACOBI-TYPE ITERATIVE METHODS FOR SOLVING FREDHOLM INTEGRAL EQUATIONS OF THE SECOND KIND MOHANA SUNDARAM MUTHUVALUa a Department of Fundamental and Applied Sciences, Faculty of Science and Information Technology Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS 32610 Bandar Seri Iskandar, Perak, Malaysia mohana.muthuvalu@petronas.com.my ABSTRACT In this paper, performance analysis of the preconditioned Jacobi-type iterative methods for solving linear systemarise from Fredholm integral equations of the second kind is investigated. The formulation and implementation of the proposed methods are presented. Also, several numerical results are included to support the theoretical results of this paper. Keywords: Fredholm integral equation; Linear system; Preconditioned Jacobi; Convergence analysis. MPSK 29 - TOOLS IN DATA SCIENCE FOR BETTER PROCESSING NUR SYAHELA HUSSIENa , SARINA SULAIMANb & SITI MARIYAM SHAMSUDDINc Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia nursyahela 90@yahoo.com, sarina@utm.my, mariyam@utm.my a,b,c ABSTRACT Data analysis is one of important phase indata science researches. There are many tools that can be used in analyzing the dataset to get the experiment results either for classification, clustering and others. However, the researchers concern about how to increase the e±ciency and eÆectivenessof analyzing their dataset. In this paper, three open sourcetoolsincluding the Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis (WEKA), Konstanz Information Miner (KNIME) and Salford Predictive Modular (SPM)are compared to identify the better processing tools in evaluating the data science. All these kind of tools have their own characteristic, which is WEKA can handle pre-processing then analyses the data based on diÆerent algorithms and it is suit to use for classification, regression, clustering, association rules, and visualization. The algorithms can be applied directly to analyze a dataset or canbe called bythe Java code. Meanwhile KNIME is more on graphically looked and easy to understand the flow of the processing in analyzing the datasets. Furthermore, SPM is a highly accurate and ultra-fast analytics and also data mining platform for any size, complexity or organization.The results illustrated that these three tools were capable to analyze and evaluate the dataset in the e±cient and eÆective manner. Keywords: data science; e±cient and eÆective processing; WEKA; KNIME; SPM. § 82 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MPSK 31 - DERIVATION OF BBDF-Æ FOR SOLVING ORDINARY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS ISKANDAR SHAH MOHD ZAWAWIa & ZARINA BIBI IBRAHIMb a Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia iskandarshahmz@yahoo.com b Institute for Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400, Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia zarinabb@upm.edu.my ABSTRACT In this paper, the BBDF-Æ of order three is derived in a constant step sizefor solving first order ordinary diÆerential equations (ODEs). The coe±cients of formula are generated using Maple software package. The influence of parameter Æ is considered to produce approximate solutions at two points simultaneously within a block. Several experiments are included to show the capability of the proposed method. Numerical results indicate that the BBDF-Æ is suitable for solving ODEs and competes well with existing method. Keywords: block; stiÆ; dissipation; stability. MPSK 32 - INTEGRATION OF INTERVAL TYPE-2 FUZZY SETS AND ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS: IMPLICATION TO COMPUTATIONAL PROCEDURES LAZIM ABDULLAHa & LIANA NAJIBb School of Informatics & Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia alazim m@umt.edu.m, bliananajib89@gmail.com a,b ABSTRACT The fuzzy sets theory has been developed tremendously since 1965 from a typical notation of single membership of fuzzy sets to the recent footprint of uncertainty of interval type-2 fuzzy sets. It has been successfully integrated in many multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods including analytic hierarchy process (AHP). It seems that fuzzy sets are well-fitted with AHP thereby innovates a version of interval type-2 fuzzy AHP. However, eÆect of this integration toward computational procedures of AHP is rarely investigated. This paper describes the integration and investigates its implication to the computational procedures. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the implication. § 83 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: Computational procedures; fuzzy numbers; multi-criteria decision making; analytic hierarchy process. MPSK 34 - A NEW TYPES OF SPLINE MODELLING USING FUZZY LINGUISTIC APPROACH ABD FATAH WAHABa & MOHD SALLEHUDDIN HUSAINb a,b Pusat Pengajian Informatik & Matematik Gunaan, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia fatah@umt.edu.my, salleh 85s@yahoo.com ABSTRACT The problem of fuzzy linguistic data is di±cult to analyse. By the existing approaches are not be able to describe the data in the form of a geometric figure which smooth and continuous. This is because the generalization of the problems of linguistic data in the form of curves and surfaces require a new of the models which characterized by a fuzzy linguistic. In this paper introduces a new types of fuzzy spline models such as fuzzy Bezier splines and fuzzy B-splines by using the definition of fuzzy linguistic control points.For the eÆectiveness of the model, some numerical examples are given at the end of this paper. Keywords: Linguistic fuzzy control point, Fuzzy linguistics Bezier spline, Fuzzy linguistics B-spline. MPSK 35 - APPLICATION OF DISC BEZIER CURVE IN DESIGNING WIDE FONT SITI MARIAM ISMAILa , NURUL HUSNA HASSANb , MAZWIN TANc & NORASRANId Bahagian Asas Teknikal UniKL Spanish Institute (Msi) Kulim, Kedah sitimariam.ismail@unikl.edu.my, mazwin@unikl.edu.my, norasrani@unikl.edu.my, Nurul Husna@unikl.edu.my a ABSTRACT There are various methods or techniques to construct smooth curves, but sometime it needs an eÆort to understand those methods. Bezier representation is commonly used in generating curves due its interesting properties and stabilizes in calculating. The control points play important roles for shape § 84 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru designing. One of interesting application is font design where outline curves of font are constructed. In this paper we apply a diÆerent approach by replacing the control points with the parametric function of disc in facilitates the design of wide fonts. Thus, diÆerent shapes and diÆerent font sizes can be produced. Keywords: Bezier curve, parametric function of disc. MPSK 36 - BEZIER-LIKE SPIRAL TRANSITIONS FOR DESIGN ENVIRONMENT AZHAR AHMADa , GOBITHAASAN R. U.b & JAMALUDDIN M. ALIc Faculty of Sciences and Mathematics Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris 35900 Tanjung Malim, Perak, Malaysia azhar.ahmad@fsmt.upsi.edu.my a Faculty of Sciences and Technology Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terenganu, Malaysia gr@umt.edu.my b School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia jamaluma@cs.usm.my c ABSTRACT This paper presents the composition of G2 curves by joining line segments and circular arcs with quartic Bezier-like spiral transitions. Curvature analysis on quartic Bezier-like is carried out to obtain a smooth geometric interpolation up to G3 continuity. The results indicate that the proposed spiral transitions can be found in simple and flexible manner as compared to the standard quartic Bezier. This paper ends with number examples of application in product design which preserves the functional and aesthetic aspect for the product. Keywords: transition curve, quartic Bezier-like, curvature. MPSK 37 - FACILITY LAYOUT PROBLEM USING SINGLE ROW ROUTING NOR AINA MOHMUDa & SHAHARUDDIN SALLEHb § 85 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia naina25@live.utm.my, ss811.me@gmail.com a,b ABSTRACT This paper presents a new approach for solving single row facility layout problem in manufacturing system. Given n single row equidistance facilities and its pair, the objective is to minimize the energy function, F. The energy function is defined as a summation of the product of energy level and the distances between facilities. Minimum energy function will lead to optimal path. Hence, the problem is model as a single row routing problem to obtain the energy level and the path for automated guided vehicle, AGV to move from one facility to another. Simulated annealing algorithm is employed for solving this problem.The experimental results are obtained for diÆerent sets of machines. Keywords: Single-row facility layout; single-row routing; simulated annealing. MPSK 38 - HARALICK TEXTURE AND INVARIANT MOMENTS FEATURES FOR BREAST CANCER CLASSIFICATION SITI SALMAH YASIRANa , SHAHARUDDIN SALLEHb & ROZI MAHMUDc Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Faculty of Sciences Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia sitisalmah@tmsk.uitm.edu.my, ss@utm.my a,b Faculty of Medicine Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400, Serdang, Selangor. Malaysia rozi@medic.upm.edu.my c ABSTRACT Classification of breast cancer is essential in determining the type of treatment that should be applied. Thus, a Computer Aided Diagnosis (CADx) may assist radiologists in making appropriate decision based on the classification results. In this paper, the classification is divided into two categories; to classify the cancer into benign and malignant (two classes) and to classify the character of the background tissue either fatty, glandular or dense (multi class). The HaralickTexture features and Invariants moments was proposed as the features extraction. There are three phases conducted in this study. The first phase is the pre-processing phase. This is followed by the features extraction phase where combination of moment based features with addition of four features was proposed. The final phase is the classification phase by using SVM classifiers. Results obtained shows that the accuracy of the proposed features is 90.5% and 77.5% for two classes and multi class respectively. Keywords: Mammograms; Haralick texture features; Invariants Moments; SVM; multi class classifications; ROC. § 86 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MPSK 39 - INTEGER LINEAR PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR TIMETABLING PROBLEM Syarifah Zyurina Nordina & Nur Aisyah Ramlib Department of Mathematical Science Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor szyurina@utm.my, penyu 28@yahoo.com a,b ABSTRACT In this paper, we consider the existence of extra requirements to the basic model of the timetabling problem. The requirements that need to be fulfilled by the scheduler are personal needs from certain customers. The customers demand to schedule their task within a specific range of time. The customer also suggests consecutive time of the task within the maximum time required a day. Our objective is to schedule a feasible timetable that can fulfill all the requirements from the customer by maximizing thetimeslot of task allocation. An integer linear programming model is presented for the timetabling problem that considers extra requirement from the customers. A case study is implemented using AIMMS 3.10 package and CPLEX as the solver. The case study is taken from Department of Mathematics, UniversitiTeknologi Malaysia. The results show that the model able to produce a feasible schedule that satisfies all the requirements by the customers. Keywords: timetabling problem, integer linear programming. > > > > > > >> § 87 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik PURE MATHEMATICS MT 01 - ATOM BOND CONNECTIVITY INDEX OF GRAPH WITH TWO EDGES ADDED MOHAMAD NAZRI HUSINa & ROSLAN HASNIb School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia naz reyhusin@yahoo.com, hroslan@umt.edu.my a,b ABSTRACT Let G a graph. Theatom-bond connectivity index of G, denoted by ABC(G), is defined as the sum of the µ ∂1 du + d v ° 2 2 weight of all edges uv of G, where du denotes the degree of a vertex in G. The ABC du dv index provides a good model for the stability of linear and branched alkanes as well as the strain energy of cycloalkanes. K.C. Das, I. Gutman and B. Furtula in [Chemical Physics Letters 511(2011), 452-454] proved that the ABC index necessary increases when a new edge is inserted into a graph. With the same motivation, in this paper, we investigate the eÆect of ABC index of a graph when any two edges are added. Keywords: : Atom-bond connectivity index, Graph. MT 02 - 3-TOTAL EDGE PRODUCT CORDIAL LABELING OF WHEEL RELATED GRAPHS ROSLAN HASNIa & ALMOTHANA AZAIZEHb School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia hroslan@umt.edu.my, alm2410@yahoo.com a,b ABSTRACT For a graph G = (V (G), E(G)), an edge labeling function f : E(G) ! {0, 1, . . . , k ° 1} where k is an integer, 2 ∑ k ∑ |E(G)|, induces a vertex labeling function f § : V (G) ! {0, 1, . . . , k ° 1} such that f § (v) is the product of the labels of the edges incident to v (mod k). This function f is called k-total § 88 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru edge product cordial labeling (or simply k-TEPC) of G if |(vf (i) + ef (i)) ° (vf (j) + ef (j))| ∑ 1 for all i, j 2 {0, 1, . . . , k ° 1}. In this paper, 3-total edge product cordial labeling for a family of wheel related graphs is determined. Keywords: Graph labeling, Total edge product cordial labeling, Wheel related graph. MT 03 - °§ -DERIVATIONS ON SEMIPRIME °-RINGS WITH INVOLUTION ALI KAREEM KADHIMa , HAJAR SULAIMANb & ABDUL-RAHMAN HAMMED MAJEEDc School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia hajar@cs.usm.my, ali.kareem1978@yahoo.com a,b Department of Mathematics University of Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq ahmajeed6@yahoo.com c ABSTRACT Let M be a 2-torsion free semiprime °-ring with involution satisfying the condition that aÆbØc = aØbÆc (a, b, c 2 M and Æ, Ø 2 °). An additive mapping d : M ! M on a °-ring M with involution is called a °§ -derivation if d(xÆy) = d(x)Æy § + xÆd(y). In this paper, we will prove that if d is a °§ -derivation which d(x) = aÆx + xÆa§ for all x 2 M, Æ 2 ° and a fixed element a 2 M , then d = 0. Keywords: semiprime °-ring ; semiprime °-ring with involution; °§ -derivation. MT 05 - SANDWICH-TYPE THEOREM FOR ANALYTIC FUNCTIONS OF KOEBE TYPE MOHD NAZRAN MOHAMMED PAUZIa & SAIBAH SIREGARb a,b Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science and Biotechnology Universiti Selangor 45600 Bestari Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia nazran@unisel.edu.my, saibah@unisel.edu.my § 89 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT We investigate the new class Hb of analytic functions with Koebe type. The subordination, superordination, best dominant result for that class has obtained. The overall calculation used several diÆerential and other inequalities, derived su±cient conditions for starlikeness of the class Hb (Æ, Ø, ∞) of n°fold symmetric analytic functions of Koebe type. Keywords: Sandwich-type theorem, superordination, subordination, analytic functions, Koebe type. MT 07 - THE SCHUR MULTIPLIER OF PAIRS OF GROUPS OF ORDER p3 q ADNIN AFIFI NAWIa , NOR MUHAINIAH MOHD ALIb , NOR HANIZA SARMINc & SAMAD RASHIDd Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia adnin afifi@yahoo.com, normuhainiah@utm.my, nhs@utm.my a,b,c d Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Islamic Azad University Cawangan Firoozkooh, Tehran, Iran samadrashid47@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Let (G, N ) be a pair of groups in which N is a normal subgroup of G. Then, the Schur multiplier of pairs of groups (G, N ), denoted by M (G, N ), is an extension of the Schur multiplier of a group G, which is a functorial abelian group. In this research, the Schur multiplier of pairs of all groups of order p3 q for distinct primes p and q and p < q is determined. Keywords: Schur multiplier; pairs of groups; groups of order p3 q. MT 08 - A BOHR PHENOMENON ON THE PUNCTURED UNIT DISK ROSIHAN M. ALIAa & ZHEN CHUAN NGb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia § 90 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia rosihan@usm.my, zc ng2004@yahoo.com ABSTRACT This paper establishes the Bohr inequality with respect to the spherical chordal distance for the class of analytic functions mapping the unit disk in the complex plane into the punctured unit disk. Keywords: Bohr phenomenon; Punctured disk; Bohr radius; Spherical chordal distance. MT 09 - MULTIPLICATIVE DEGREE OF A DIHEDRAL GROUP NORARIDA ABD RHANIa , NOR MUHAINIAH MOHD ALIb , NOR HANIZA SARMINc , AHMAD ERFANIANd & MUHANIZAH ABDUL HAMIDe Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia arida.ar@gmail.com, normuhainiah@utm.my, nhs@utm.my, muhanizah.maths@yahoo.com a,b,c,e d Department of Pure Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences Ferdowsi University of Mashhad Mashhad, Iran erfanian@staÆ.um.ac.ir ABSTRACT Let G be a group and H any subgroup of G. The commutativity degree of a finite group G is defined as the probability that a pair of elements x and y chosen randomly from a group G, commute. The concept of commutativity degree has been extended to the relative commutativity degree of a subgroup H, which is defined as probability that a random element of subgroup, H commutes with another random element of a group G. This research extends the concept of relative commutativity degree to the multiplicative degree of a group G, which is defined as the probability that the product of a pair of elements x, y chosen randomly from a group G, is in H. This research will focus only on a dihedral group. Keywords: commutativity degree; multiplicative degree; dihedral group. § 91 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MT 10 - THE CUBED COMMUTATIVITY DEGREE OF SOME DIHEDRAL GROUPS MUHANIZAH ABDUL HAMIDa , NOR MUHAINIAH MOHD ALIb , NOR HANIZA SARMINc & AHMAD ERFANIANd Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia muhanizah.maths@gmail.com, normuhainiah@utm.my, nhs@utm.my a,b,c d Department of Pure Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical Sciences and Center of Excellence in Analysis on Algebraic Structures Universiti Ferdowsi Mashhad Mashhad, Iran erfanian@um.ac.ir ABSTRACT Let G be a finite group. The commutativity degree of a group is the probability that a random pair of elements in the group commute. Furthermore, the nth power commutativity degree of a group is a generalization of the commutativity degree of a group which is defined as the probability that the nth power of a random pair of elements in the group commute. In this research, the nth power commutativity degree for some dihedral groups is computed for the case n equal to 3, called the cubed commutativity degree. Keywords: commutativity degree; dihedral groups; finite groups. MT 11 - THE CENTRAL SUBGROUPS OF THE NONABELIAN TENSOR SQUAREOF TORSION FREE SPACE GROUPS SITI AFIQAH MOHAMMADa & NOR HANIZA SARMINb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia afiqahmohammad91@gmail.com, nhs@utm.my ABSTRACT Space groups of a crystal expound its symmetry properties. One of the symmetry properties is the central subgroup of the nonabelian tensor square of a group. It is a normal subgroup of the groupwhich can be ascertained by finding the abelianisation of the group and the nonabelian tensor square of the abelianisation of the group. In this research, our focus is to explicate the central subgroup of the nonabelian tensor square of the torsion free space groups of a crystal which are called the Bieberbachgroups. § 92 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Keywords: Central Subgroup, Nonabelian Tensor Square, Bieberbach groups. MT 12 - IMPROVEMENT TO SCALAR MULTIPLICATION ON KOBLITZ CURVES BY USING NON-ADJACENT PSEUDO ø °ADIC FORM FARIDAH YUNOSa , KAMEL ARIFFIN MOHD ATANb , MOHD RUSHDAN MD SAIDc & MOHD REZAL KAMEL ARIFFINd a Institute for Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia faridahbintiyunos@gmail.com Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia kamel@upm.edu.my, mrushdan@upm.edu.my, rezal@upm.edu.my b,c,d ABSTRACT Non-adjacent Pseudo ø °adic form (pseudoTNAF) for elliptic scalar multiplication on Koblitz Curve was studied and developed by some researchers since 2012. This is an alternative to ø °adic non adjacent form (TNAF) and reduced ø °adic non adjacent form (RTNAF) methods that was produced earlier. The objective of this paper is to improve the eÆectiveness of the scalar multiplication algorithm. This is achieved by transforming an integer multiplier of the scalar multiplication to an element in the form of pseudoTNAF. Subsequently, a proof that the density of the pseudoTNAF Hamming weights (HW) is less four percents than the HW of both TNAF’s and RTNAF’s expansions is given. Keywords: density; Koblitz curve; scalar multiplication; Hamming weights; adic. MT 13 - ON THE NUMBER OF EIGENVALUES OF THE TWO-PARTICLE SCHRÖDINGER OPERATOR ON A LATTICE MUKHIDDIN I. MUMINOVa a Department of Mthematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Malaysia mukhiddin@utm.my § 93 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT We consider the Hamiltonian of a system of two quantum mechanical particles moving on the ∫°dimensional lattice and interacting via short range potential. We first will talk some well known spectral properties of two-particle discrete Schrödinger operator h(k), k 2 (°º, º]∫ . Next, we will discuss on new results about finiteness of embedded eigenvalues for some class two-particle discrete Schrödinger operators. Keywords: discrete Schrödinger operator; discrete spectrum; absence of singular spectrum. MT 14 - ON DECOMPOSITON OF COMPLETE GRAPHS INTO HAMILATONIAN CIRCUITS AND CYCLIC DESIGNS HASLINDA IBRAHIMa , SHARMILA KARIMb , MAIZON MUHD DARUSc & KHALED MATARNEHd a Department of Mathemamatics, College of Science University of Bahrain P.O. Box 32038 Kingdom of Bahrain hibrahim@uob.edu.bh Pusat Pengajian Sains Kuantitatif, College Arts and Sciences Universiti Utara Malaysia 06010 Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia Linda.combinatorics@gmail.com, mila@uum.edu.my, maizonmohddarus@gmail.com, matarnehk@yahoo.com a,b,c,d ABSTRACT This paper provides a glimpse of decomposition of complete graph into visualization of distinct hamiltonian circuits using butterfly method. Several distinct classes of hamiltonian circuits will be presented. Then, we will discuss further how complete graph can be decomposed into array cyclic designs towards constructing nonrepeated triple systems. Keywords: Complete graph, Hamiltonian circuits, array cycle design, triple system. MT 15 - PAIRWISE NEARLY COMPACT AND NEARLY PARACOMPACT BITOPOLOGICAL SPACES AND ITS APPLICATIONS ZABIDIN SALLEHa § 94 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik a SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia zabidin@umt.edu.my ABSTRACT In this paper, we shall introduce and study the pairwise nearly compact and paracompact bitopological spaces and investigate some of their characterizations. Moreover we study the pairwise nearly compact and pairwise nearly paracompact bitopological spaces by using -property. Furthermore the Lindelöf and pairwise nearly Lindelöf bitopological spaces are also discussed. Finally, we suggest some ideas to apply the spaces mention above to study the topological entropy which is using to measure the complexity of dynamical systems. Keywords: compact, paracompact; nearly compact; nearly paracompact; topological entropy. MT 16 - CYCLIC CONJUGACY SEPARABILITY OF CERTAIN HNN EXTENSIONS OF CYCLIC CONJUGACY SEPARABLE GROUPS LIM HUI MINa , WONG KOK BINb & WONG PENG CHOONc Institut Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Universiti of Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia deniselim17@gmail.com, kbwong@um.edu.my, wongpc@um.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT A group G is said to be cyclic conjugacy separable (c.c.s.) if for each x 2 G and each cyclic subgroup < y > of G such that no conjugate of x in G lies in < y >, then there exists a finite homomorphic image Ḡ of G such that no conjugate of x̄ in Ḡ lies in < ȳ >. In this paper, we show that certain HNN extensions of cyclic conjugacy separable groups are cyclic conjugacy separable. We then apply our results to HNN extensions of polycyclic-by-finite groups. Keywords: cyclic conjugacy separable; subgroup separable; HNN extensions. MT 17 - AN EVEN AND ODD SITUATION FOR THE MULTIPLIER OF SCALAR MULTIPLICATION WITH NON-ADJACENT PSEUDO ø °ADIC FORM SYAHIRAH MOHD SUBERIa , FARIDAH YUNOSb & MOHD RUSHDAN MD SAIDc § 95 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Institute of Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia syahirahsuberi@ymail.com, faridahbintiyunos@gmail.com, mrushdan@upm.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT An algorithm for elliptic scalar multiplication (SM) on Koblitz Curve where the multiplier of SM is in the form of pseudo ø °adic non adjacent form (pseudoTNAF) was developed by some researchers since 2012. This expansion is equivalent to ø °adic non-adjacent (TNAF) and reduced ø °adic non-adjacent form (RTNAF) that was produced earlier. Some properties for the multiplier of SM was proposed in order to guess the secret message. For the same reason, the objective of this paper is to give three new properties for such multiplier based on an even and odd situation an element of ring Z(ø ). Keywords: Koblitz curves; scalar multiplication; ø °adic non-adjacent form. MT 18 - SOME CONSTRUCTIONS ON TOTAL LABELLINGS OF M TRIANGLES CHEN HUEY VOONa , LIEW HOW HUIb & YIM KHENG HOWc a,b,c Department of Mathematical and Actuarial Sciences, Lee Kong Chian Faculty of Engineering and Science Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman Jalan Sungai Long, Bandar Sungai Long, Cheras 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia chenhv@utar.edu.my, liewhh@utar.edu.my, tidusyimhome@hotmail.com ABSTRACT Let mK3 = (Vm , Em ) be a finite disconnected graph consisting of m disjoint triangles K3 , where Vm is the set of vertices, Em is the set of edges and both Vm and Em are of the same size 3m. A total labelling of mK3 is a function f which maps the elements in Vm and Em to positive integer values, i.e. f : Vm [ Em ! {1, 2, ...}. Let c be a positive integer. A triangle is said have a c°Erdosian triangle labelling if it is a total labelling f : Vm [ Em ! {c, c + 1, ..., c + 6m ° 1} such that f (x) + f (y) = f (xy) for any x, y 2 Vm and an edge xy 2 Em joining them. In order to find all the c-Erdosian triangle labelling, a straight forward is to use the exhaustive search. The combinatorial explosion has limited the exhaustive search to only m < 5. By studying the constant sum of vertex labels, we propose a strong permutation approach, which allows us to generate a certain classes of c°Erdosian triangle labelling up until m = 8. Keywords: graph labelling; total labelling; c°Erdosian. § 96 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MT 19 - ON THE SHORTEST PATH IN SOME k°CONNECTED GRAPHS K. A., SIMa , T. S., TANb & K. B., WONGc Institute of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia kbwong@um.edu.my, tstan@um.edu.my, simkaian@gmail.com a ABSTRACT Suppose G is a connected graph and u and v are two distinct vertices in G. Let P [u, v] be the shortest path in G with endpoints u and v. Let S = {|V (P [u, v])| : u, v 2 / V (G)} and t(G) = maks{s : s 2 S}. A graph G is said to be k°connected if it has more than k vertices and removal of fewer than k vertices ∑ ∏does n°2 not disconnect the graph G. We show that in a k°connected graph G with n vertices, t(G) ∑ +2. k We also present some graphs where the equality holds. Keywords: graph, shortest path; k°connected MT 20 - THE ORBIT GRAPH OF METACYCLIC 3-GROUPS SITI NORZIAHIDAYU AMZEE ZAMRIa , NOR HANIZA SARMINb & SANAA MOHAMED SALEH OMERc a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia norzisan@gmail.com, nhs@utm.my c Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Benghazi Benghazi, Libya mohamedsana51@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Let G be a metacyclic 3-group of negative type of nilpotency class two. In this paper, ≠ is a set of all subsets of all commuting elements of G of size three in the form of (a, b), where a and b commute. The probability that an element of a group G fixes a set ≠ is one of extensions of the commutativity degree that can be obtained under group action on set. This probability is the ratio of the number of orbits to the order of ≠. In this paper, the orbits that obtained from the probability of group element fixes a set are applied to graph theory, particularly to the orbit graph. Keywords: metacylic 3-group, commutativity degree, group action on a set, orbit graph. § 97 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MT 22 - ELLIPTIC CURVE CRYPTOGRAPHY AIMI ZULLIAYANA ROSLIa & SUZIANA AIDA OTHMANb a,b Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM) Kelantan 18500 Machang, Kelantan, Malaysia zullia068@kelantan.uitm.edu.my, suziana554@kelantan.uitm.edu.my ABSTRACT The study of the use of elliptic curve for public key cryptosystem has been developed almost 25 years ago. The strength of the elliptic curve cryptosystem relies on the solution of elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem (ECDLP). This study will concentrate on elliptic curve cryptography based on prime field. This study introduces some basic operations in modulo arithmetic for better understanding of techniques of calculations which are necessary to perform modulo arithmetic at the end of calculations. Besides that, this study introduces method of validating the domain parameters of an elliptic curve together with the operations and rules used when dealing with the points on an elliptic curve. The method for encoding a message (plaintexts) into the integer form is also presented in this study. This study also will introduce the method for embedding plaintexts using points on an elliptic curve. Lastly, this study shows an implementation of encryption and decryption process for elliptic curve cryptography using one of the major algorithm namely ElGamal algorithm. The implementation of Di±e-Hellman key exchange algorithm using elliptic curve is also shown in this study. In executing examples for more obvious illustration, Mathematica software version 7.0 is used. Keywords: cryptosystem; elliptic curve; modulo arithmetic. MT 23 - STARLIKENESS OF TRIPLE INTEGRAL OPERATORS YAO LIANG CHUNGa & SEE KEONG LEEb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia yaoliang 1228@yahoo.com, sklee@cs.usm.my a,b ABSTRACT The main objective of this paper is to discuss su±cient condition for a function analytic in an open unit disk to be starlike of order Ø in concerned with third-order diÆerential inequalities. Connections are also made to earlier known results. Keywords: DiÆerential subordinations; starlike function; convex function. § 98 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MT 25 - GROUPS AND GRAPHS IN PROBABILITY THEORY NOR HANIZA SARMINa , MUSTAFA ANIS EL-SANFAZb & SANAA MOHAMED SALEH OMERc a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia nhs@utm.my, Kabeto sanfaz@yahoo.com b,c Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science University of Benghazi Benghazi, Libya mohamedsana51@yahoo.com ABSTRACT In this paper, G denotes a dihedral group of order 2n and ≠ denotes the set of all subsets of all commuting elements of size two in the form of (a, b) where a and b commute and |a| = |b| = 2. By extending the concept of commutativity degree, the probability that an element of a group fixes a set can be acquired using the group actions on set. In this paper, the probability that an element of G fixes the set ≠ under regular action is computed. The results obtained are then applied to graph theory where their related graphs are found. Keywords: dihedral group, commutativity degree; probability theory, group action; graph theory. MT 26 - HARMONIC STARLIKE FUNCTIONS WITH RESPECT TO SYMMETRIC POINTS ADNAN G. ALAMOUSHa & MASLINA DARUSb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Malaysia adnan omoush@yahoo.com, maslina@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT Here a new class of complex-valued harmonic functions with respect to symmetric points is introduced. Coe±cient bounds, distortion and various properties are obtained. Keywords: Harmonic univalent, starlike functions, Hadamard product, symmetric points. § 99 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MT 27 - LINEAR MAPS PRESERVING CLASSICAL ADJOINT ON TENSOR PRODUCTS OF SYMMETRIC MATRICES LAU JIN TINGa Institut Sains Matematik Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia jtlau@siswa.um.edu.my a ABSTRACT Motivated from the study of linear preservers on tensor speces in quantum information science, we present a characterization of linear maps preserving classical adjoint on sums of tensor products of symmetric matrices over a field of characteristics not two. Keywords: Tensor products; linear preservers; classical adjoint; symmetric matrices. MT 28 - THE SPECTRAL PROPERTIES OF THE DISCRETE SCHRÖDINGER OPERATOR WITH NON-LOCAL POTENTIAL ZAHRIDDIN MUMINOVa , NUR’AZAH ABDUL MANAFb & UTKIR KULJANOVc MJIIT University Teknologi Malaysia KL Jalan Semarak, 54100 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia zimuminov@gmail.com, 2azahmanaf@gmail.com a,b Samarkand State University University Boulevard 15 703004, Samarkand, Uzbekistan utkir nq83@mail.ru c ABSTRACT On the three-dimensional lattice , the spectrum of the discrete Schrdinger operator is studied, whose potential consists of non-local and constructed via multiplication and shift operators. The discrete spectrum, threshold eigenvalues and resonances are explicitly derived. Keywords: Discrete Schrödinger operators, threshold resonance, eigenvalues, lattice. § 100 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MT 29 - MOUFANG LOOP OF ODD ORDER p31 p32 · · · p3n ANDREW RAJAHa & LOIS ADEWOYE ADEMOLAb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia andy@cs.usm.my, loisola@yahoo.com a,b ABSTRACT All Moufang loops of order p3 q 3 where p and q are odd primes with p < q and q 6= 1 (mod p) were shown to be associative. In this paper, we generalize this result to Moufang loops of order p31 p32 · · · p3n . Keywords: Moufang loop; order; nonassociative. MT 30 - THE GENERATIVE CAPACITY OF WEIGHTED SIMPLE AND SEMI-SIMPLE SPLICING SYSTEMS YEE SIANG GANa , WAN HENG FONGb , NOR HANIZA SARMINc & SHERZOD TURAEVd a,b,c d Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia ysgn88@gmail.com, fwh@utm.my, nhs@utm.my Department of Computer Science, Kulliyyah of Information and Communication Technology International Islamic Universitiy Malaysia 53100 Jalan Gombak, Selangor D.E., Malaysia sherzod@iium.edu.my ABSTRACT The mathematical modelling of splicing systems (H systems) was initiated by Head in 1987. By restricting the splicing rules of splicing systems, some variants of splicing systems such as simple and semi-simple splicing systems have been developed. Due to the limitation on the generative power of the variants of splicing systems, weights have been used as the restrictions in the variants of splicing systems recently, namely weighted one-sided splicing systems, weighted simple splicing systems and weighted semi-simple splicing systems. In this paper, we investigate the generative power of weighted simple and semi-simple splicing systems by considering diÆerent and specified weighting spaces and weighting operations. In addition, the generative power of weighted simple and semi-simple splicing systems are generalised by relating their generated threshold languages to the Chomsky hierarchy. Keywords: weights, simple, semi-simple, splicing systems, generative power. § 101 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MT 31 - AN EXACT NUMBER OF COMPATIBLE PAIR OF SOME NONTRIVIAL ACTIONS FOR CYCLIC GROUP OF 2-POWER ORDER SAHIMEL AZWAL SULAIMANa , MOHD SHAM MOHAMADb & YUHANI YUSOFc Faculty of Industrial Sciences & Technology Universiti Malaysia PAHANG, Lebuhraya Tun Razak 26300 Gambang, Kuantan Pahang Darul Makmur titus1704@yahoo.com, mohdsham@ump.edu.my, yuhani@ump.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT The nonabelian tensor product has its origins in connection of a generalized Van Kampen theorem. Nonabelian tensor products between two groups are defined when the actions act compatibly on each other. By necessary and su±cient conditions on the actions to be compatible, an exact number of the compatible pair for nontrivial actions is determined. This paper will give an exact number of the compatible pair of actions for cyclic group of 2-power order but focused only when one of the actions has order two. Keywords: Compatible actions; cyclic groups;nonabelian tensor product. MT 32 - ON SIMULTANEOUS PELL EQUATIONS x2 ° my 2 = 1 AND y 2 ° 5z 2 = 1 NURUL AMIRAH SIHABUDINa , SITI HASANA SAPARb & MOHAMAD AIDIL MOHAMAD JOHARIc Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia nurulamirah101191@gmail.com, sitihas@upm.edu.my, mamj@upm.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT The objective of this paper is to find the solution to the Simultaneous Pell equations x2 ° my 2 = 1 and y 2 ° 5z 2 = 1 where m is any positive integer that is not a perfect square and (m, p) = 1. By considering the parity of x, y and z, the pattern of the solutions will be obtained. Then, the lemma and theorem will be developed. Keywords: Pell equation; simultaneous equation; parity. § 102 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru MT 33 - ON THE CARDINALITY OF THE SET OF SOLUTIONS TO CONGRUENCE EQUATION ASSOCIATED WITH POLYNOMIAL OF DEGREE ELEVEN SURIANA LASARAIYAa , SITI HASANA SAPARb & MOHAMAD AIDIL MOHAMAD JOHARIc Institute for Mathematical Research INSPEM Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang Selangor, Malaysia Suriana13Lasaraiya@gmail.com, sitihas@putra.upm.edu.my a,b b,c Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang Selangor, Malaysia aidil@putra.upm.edu.my ABSTRACT Let p be a prime and f (x, y) be a polynomial in Zp [x, y]. For Æ > 1, it is defined that the exponential 2ºf (x) P sums associated with f modulo a prime pÆ is S(f ; q) = xmodq e q . It is shown that the estimation of S (f ; q Æ ) is depends on the number and p°adic sizes of common roots of the partial derivatives polynomials of f . In order to estimate the p°adic sizes of common zeros of partial derivative polynomials associated with polynomial of degree eleven, the Newton polyhedron technique will be used. Then, the indicator diagram will be constructed and analyzed. After that, the estimation of the cardinality of the set of the solutions will be determined. Keywords: Cardinality; p°adic sizes; Newton polyhedron. MT 34 - DIFFERENTIATING THE PERSISTENCY AND PERMANENCY OF TWO STAGES DNA SPLICING LANGUAGES VIA YUSOF-GOODE (Y-G) APPROACH MOHAMMAD HASSAN MUDABERa , YUHANI YUSOFb & MOHD SHAM MOHAMADc a Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Natural Sciences Kabul Education University Fshar District, Kabul, Afghanistan hmudaber@yahoo.com Faculty of Industrial Sciences & Technology Universiti Malaysia PAHANG, Lebuhraya Tun Razak 26300 Gambang, Kuantan Pahang Darul Makmur yuhani@ump.edu.my, mohdsham@ump.edu.my b,c § 103 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT Predicting the existence of restriction enzymes sequences on the recombinant deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) fragments, after accomplishing the manipulating reaction, via mathematical approach is considered as a convenient way in terms of DNA recombination. In terms of mathematics, for this characteristic of the recombinant DNA strands, which involve the recognition sites of restriction enzymes, is called persistent and permanent. Normally diÆerentiating the persistency and permanency of two stages recombinant DNA strands using wet-lab experiment is expensive and time-consuming due to running the experiment at two stages as well as adding more restriction enzymes on the reaction. Therefore, in this research, by using a Yusof-Goode (Y-G) model the diÆerence between persistent and permanent splicing languages of two stages is investigated restricted to a cutting site per string. Two theorems were presented, which show the persistency and non-permanency of two stages DNA splicing languages. Keywords: Y-G splicing system; persistent; permanent; two stages splicing languages. MT 35 - MOUFANG LOOPS OF ODD ORDER P 4 Q3 ANDREW RAJAHa & LOIS ADEWOYE ADEMOLAb a,b School of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia andy@usm.my, loisola@yahoo.com ABSTRACT We show that all Moufang loops of order p4 q13 . . . qn3 where p < q1 < . . . < qn are distinct primes, are associative if and only if 3 < p, and for all i, j 2 1, . . . , n, p and qi is not a factor of (qj ° 1)). Keywords: Moufang loop, Order, Associative. MT 36 - ANALYSIS OF TUMOR POPULATION AND IMMUNE SYSTEM INTERACTION MODEL NOR AZIRAN AWANGa & NORMAH MAANb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia naziran283@gmail.com, normahmaan@utm.my § 104 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT Immune system plays a vital role in controlling the tumor growth. Therefore, this paper proposes a new mathematical model that describes tumor-immune interaction, focusing on the role of natural killer (NK) cell and CD8+ T cell. The tumor population is subdivided into two diÆerent phases, namely interphase and mitosis. This model used Ordinary DiÆerential Equations (ODEs) and the functions involved in the model represents tumor-immune growth, responses and interaction between the cells. The stability and analysis of the model is carried out. From the analysis, it shown that the stability curve limits tumor growth region. The curve from the model lie below the curve of the model with single immune response (CD8+ T cell). This result concluded that the proposed model with involvement of NK cell suppression will lower the tumor growth region. Keywords: tumor growth; natural killer (NK); TCD8+ cell. MT 37 - ON THE UPPER BOUNDS OF THE DECOMPOSITION VALUES OF THE SCALAR k FOR THE ELLIPTIC SCALAR MULTIPLICATIONS FARWINA ANWARa & HAILIZA KAMARULHAILIb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia sitinoorfarwina@yahoo.com, hailiza@cs.usm.my a,b ABSTRACT In this paper, upper bounds of the decomposition values for the scalar k in the elliptic scalar multiplication are computed. Namely, the scalar k of the scalar multiplication kP of a point P which has a large prime order n lying on elliptic curve group E(Fp ) over a finite prime field Fp . In the implementation of Elliptic Curve Cryptography, multiplication operations are considered costly , especially multiplications involving big numbers. In view of this, many research has been initiated to reduce the cost of multiplication operations. One of the e±cient methods was proposed in 2011 by Gallant, Lambert and Vanstone, which is known as the GLV method. In the GLV method, the scalar k was decomposed into two smaller p values which must not exceed n, so that multiplication operations would only involve much smaller scalars. However, in the GLV method, there were limited number of scalars k for which the decompop sition values are less than n. Therefore, to complement the GLV work, Ruma and H.Kamarulhaili in 2013, proposed a modified method which is called the integer sub-decomposition (ISD) method. In the ISD method, those decomposed values of k are further sub-decomposed into the desired smaller values. In both the GLV and the ISD methods, there is an underlying strategic method to compute the decomposition values of the scalar k which is called the shortest lattice method. The conception of the decomposition and sub decomposition of the scalar k to compute the scalar multiplication kP uses e±ciently computable endomorphisms √1 , √2 and √3 of elliptic curve E over Fp , and can be illustrated as follows. kP = k1 P + √1 (P )k2 § 105 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik . For when, max{|k1 |, |k2 |} ∏ relation. p n, we then further sub decomposed the above relation into the following kP = k11 P + k12 √2 (P ) + (k21 + k22 √3 )√1 (P ) p for max{|k11 |, |k12 |, |k21 |, |k22 |} ∑ C n for some explicit constant C > 0. The integers k1 , k2 , k11 , k12 , k21 , k22 are the decomposition values of the scalar k. give the upper bounds of all these values k1 , k2 , k11 , k12 , k21 , k22 individually. Keywords: Elliptic Curve Cryptography, E±ciently Computable endomorphism, Scalar Multiplication, Integer Decomposition Method. MT 38 - ELEMENT ORDERS IN FINITE GROUPS AND THEIR RELATIONS WITH OTHER GROUP INVARIANTS ANGELINA CHIN YAN MUIa a Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia acym@um.edu.my ABSTRACT In this talk we present some recent results on sums and products of element orders in finite groups. We also discuss their relations with some other group invariants. In particular, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the sum of element orders of a finite group in terms of the exponent of the group, the order of its center and the number of conjugacy classes in the group. Keywords: element order; finite group; group invariant. MT 39 - SOME REMARKS ON COMMON FIXED POINTS PROBLEMS IN HILBERT SPACES A. KILICMANa & L.B. MOHAMMEDb a,b Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang Selangor, Malaysia akilic@upm.edu.my, lawanbulama@gmail.com § 106 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT In the present study, we propose a new algorithm for solving split common fixed point problems for the class of finite family of strict pseudocontractive mappings in Hilbert spaces and also proved convergence problem in the new algorithms. The results extend, improve and generalize several well known results in the literature. Keywords: Iterative Algorithm; Strict Pseudocontractive; Split Common Fixed Point; Weak and Strong Convergence. MT 40 - MCCOY CONDITION IN SKEW VERION Hamideh Pourtaheriana & Isamiddin. S. Rakhimovb a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang, Malaysia h poortaherian@yahoo.com b bInstitute of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Putra Malaya 43400 UPM Serdang, Malaysia risamiddin@gmail.com ABSTRACT This paper deals with the Æ°McCoy ring in general setting. We generalize the notions of McCoy ring by considering McCoy condition on skew polynomial ring instead of polynomial ring. In this paper the relationship between rings in skew version is considered. Finally the extension of ring is Æ°McCoy investigated Keywords: McCoy; Skew polynomial ring; Armendariz ring. NON-COPRIME GRAPH OF A FINITE GROUP AHMAD ERFANIANa a Department of Pure Mathematics and Center of Excellence in Analysis on Algebraic Structure Ferdowsi University of Mashhad § 107 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Mashhad, Iran erfanian@math.um.ac.ir ABSTRACT In this article, we introduce the non-coprime graph associated to the finite group G with vertex set G{e} such that two distinct vertices are adjacent whenever their orders are relatively non-coprime. Some numerical invariants like diameter, girth, dominating number, independence and chromatic numbers are determined and it has been proved that the non-coprime graph associated to a group is planar if and only if a group is isomorphic to Z2 , Z3 , Z4 , Z2 £ Z2 , Z5 , Z6 or S3 . Moreover, we prove that non-coprime graph of a nilpotent group G is regular if and only if G is a p-group, where p is prime number. Furthermore, a connection between the non-coprime graph and the famous prime graph has been stated here Keywords: Nilpotent group, abelian group, non-coprime, diameter, girth, dominating number, > > > > > > >> § 108 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru EDUCATIONAL MATHEMATICS MP 02 - LOW PERFORMANCE STUDENTS’S MOTIVATION LEVEL TOWARDS TEACHING AND LEARNING USING GEOGEBRA LEARNING MODULE MUHAMAD HAFIZHUDDIN ABDUL RAHMANa & MARZITA PUTEHb Bahagian Tajaan Pendidikan Kementerian Pendidikan Malaysia Aras 1, Blok 2251, Bangunan Mustapha Kamal Jalan Usahawan 1,63000 Cyberjaya, Selangor hapiez@yahoo.com a b Jabatan Matematik, Fakulti Sains dan Matematik Kampus Sultan Azlan Shah Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris marzita@upsi.edu.my ABSTRACT Students with low level of performance were found to have low motivation in learning Mathematics. This research paper presents way to gauge motivation level among students with low performance during Mathematics lesson by using the GeoGebra Module. Students were exposed to the GeoGebra Learning Module for learning Trigonometry II through a 2-hour Mathematics workshop. The participants for this research are 39 students with low performance from Muar, Johor. The data analysis which applies the Instructional Material Motivational Scale shows an overall students’ high motivation level at (M = 1.90). The mean for attention subscale was (M = 1.9), relevance was (M = 1.95), confidence was (M = 2.09) and satisfaction was (M = 1.64). These findings show that students retain positive level of motivation towards the GeoGebra Learning Module. Thus, it shows that the GeoGebra Module is a potential module that increases the motivation level among students with low performance to learn Mathematics. Keywords: GeoGebra; Motivation; Trigonometry, Mathematics, Learning Module. § 109 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MP 03 - INTEGRATING HISTORY OF MATHEMATICS TO PROMOTE CREATIVE AND CRITICAL THINKING IN ALGEBRA AMONG STUDENTS IN SELANGOR MOHD FAIZAL WAHIDINa , ASMAH AHMADb & SAIBAH SIREGARc Faculty Education & Social Science Universiti Selangor (UNISEL) 40000 Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia md fw@live.com , drasmah@unisel.edu.my, saibah@unisel.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT A more meaningful climate needed in the process of teaching and learning (T & L) to ensure that students are more confident with mathematics. Many educators believe that students will remember and love math if knowledge is meaningful to him. Encompasses not only the mastery of learning skills knowledge alone, but involves emotional development, attitudes, values and artistry internal aesthetics also influenced by the T & L (Saniah et al., 2000). This paper aims to discuss the implementation of the history of mathematics in teaching mathematics KBSM for Algebra topics. Construction of a web-based and module will try to provide exposure and new alternative to the teachers on how to integrate history of mathematics in teaching so that students are more interested in further enhancing creative and critical thinking and student motivation. In addition, students’ understanding of a mathematical concept to be stronger with exposure solution mathematical renown figures of various civilizations.. Keywords: History of mathematics; Algebra; Teaching Module; Teaching Aids. MP 04 - COOPERATIVE LEARNING PRACTICES SURVEY AMONG STUDENTS OF FOUNDATION ENGINEERING UNIVERSITI TENAGA NASIONAL MOHD ARIFF AHMAD TARMIZIa & AHMAD ZAKI MOHAMAD AMINb a,b Department of Computer Science and Information Technology Universiti Tenaga Nasional 43000 Kajang, Selangor Arif@uniten.edu.my, AZaki@uniten.edu.my ABSTRACT Teaching is an activity related to the dissemination of knowledge covering the activities of planning, management, delivery, supervision and evaluation. Teaching also involves a process to deliver and contribute ideas and to facilitate the construction of knowledge, define standards and promotes creativity, helps a student to learn and challenging students to achieve optimum potential. The present educational research on mathematics teaching and learning strategies using foundation cooperative engineering student at the Universiti Tenaga Nasional. This study also discusses the elements that are involved in cooperative learning. This study used qualitative methods, descriptive and narrative. Where the sample consisted § 110 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru of 144 students of basic civil engineering, mechanical engineering and electrical engineering. This study uses a questionnaire consisting of two sections. The first part of the instrument is to get background information of respondents. While the second part of the instrument are the elements found in group learning activities. The study found that cooperative learning activities as a whole is high. Gender and diÆerence of the cost is taken by students does not give a significant diÆerence to the group activities in the classroom. While the elements involved in group learning activities each have positive and significant correlation is high. The results obtained using SPSS program, version 18.0 for windows. This study is expected to help the administration and the teachers to always ensure eÆective teaching and learning on the run can provide high motivation for all her future students. Keywords: cooperative, basic engineering, planning activities. MP 05 - ENJOY LEARNING MATHEMATICS WITH MAGIC MATHS SELVARAJU A/L MUNANDYa a a Presiden Pertubuhan Magik Matematik maths raju@yahoo.com JDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia ABSTRACT Mathemagics or ’Magic Maths’ consists of a series of non-conventional maths formulas that turn Mathematics into a fun subject and create innovative minds. The magical system could help steer the country towards a knowledge economy.The magic formulas, based on Ancient Indian Scriptures, were in use by the United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Intel Corporation, Microsoft, IBM and India, for its competitive exams preparations. The high speed mental mathematics could speed up math calculation by up to 1500 % and turn students into human bio-calculators. Mathemagics presents varieties of methods which can be used according to one’s needs in solving even the most di±cult math problems. This is unlike the conventional system consisting of rigid, sometimes monotonous, procedures that are uniformly applied to all problems of a given type.The conventional method of calculation was not user - friendly with hardly any room for choice and experimentation. A seemingly di±cult calculation like 998 x 997 can be solved in less than five seconds and even mentally. There is also a unique method to check the accuracy of answers to addition, subtraction, multiplication and division, in keeping with the basic needs of students for faster calculations with 100 Innovation of the formula would make students become more confident and gain self - esteem while cultivating an interest for numbers and help eliminate math - phobia in them. The system also opens a new horizon for mathematics lovers as it presents a wider platform for experimentation in the subject. Besides, it promotes development of the right brain which governs the ability to solve complex calculations that require the use of visualization, photographic memory, speed reading and sub-conscious learning together with the left - brain that is employed by students for 90 % of subjects taught at school. § 111 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: Innovation; fun; formula; magic; speed.. MP 06 - FOSTERING PROBLEM SOLVING AND PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT AMONG MALAYSIAN MATHEMATICS TEACHERS MADIHAH KHALIDa a Department of Curriculum and Instruction, Kulliyyah of Education International Islamic University Malaysia 50728, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia madihahkhalid@iium.edu.mm ABSTRACT Problem solving is considered important in the learning of mathematics because it develops the logical thinking aspect of doing mathematics. Thus it allows students to reason, communicate ideas, and employ knowledge to new and diÆerent contexts of problems and situations. In the most recent Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) result on problem-solving, Malaysian 15 year olds scored 422, which is significantly below the OECD average of 500. One of the rationale of the unsatisfactory performance is that our students’ ability to solve problems are not nurtured at the mainstream school. This paper will touch on some implication from the problem-solving result from PISA, the pedagogical approach of Malaysian mathematics teachers in teaching and learning of mathematics, and suggestions on how to implement lesson study to encourage teaching of mathematics through problem solving. At the same time, eÆective assessment of problem solving requires more than just looking at answers but needs the analysis of process. Therefore, in the evaluation process of problem solving in mathematics, the role of performance assessment will be examined - for example how it can be implemented together to satisfy the School-based assessment needs. Finally, results of a few research on problem solving and lesson study approach will be presented. The researcher’s own research on lesson study, problem solving and performance assessment will be used as examples and discussed. Keywords: problem solving, mathematics lesson study, performance assessment. MP 08 - YEAR FIVE PUPILS’ INFORMAL UNDERSTANDING OF PROPORTIONAL FAZURA MOHD NOORa , SHARIFAH NORUL AKMAR SYED ZAMRIb & LEONG KWAN EUc a,b,c Department of Mathematics and Science Education, Faculty of Education Universiti Malaya 50603, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia § 112 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru cikgufazu@gmail.com, snorul@um.edu.my, rkleong@um.edu.my ABSTRACT This study aims to identify primary school pupils’ informal understanding and solving problems strategies related to proportional. This qualitative study involved seven Year Five pupils who were selected through purposive sampling. Data were collected using clinical interview technique can show the pupils’ strategies and in-depth justification for each activity is shown. This article presents the analysis of the pupils’ responses related to two proportional tasks. The findings showed that the strategies of proportional problem solving used by students relate to their informal understanding. Students do not just rely on one strategy, yet switched to a more appropriate strategy when solving proportional problems. The findings of this study may provide information to mathematics teachers that every student has diÆerent strategy to solve proportional problems and teachers need to diversify activities to encourage students’ proportional thinking. Keywords: informal understanding; proportional problems; strategies. MP 09 - THE COMPUTATION OF SOME PROPERTIES OF ADDITIVE AND MULTIPLICATIVE GROUPS OF INTEGERS MODULO n USING C++ PROGRAMMING NOR MUHAINIAH MOHD ALIa , NUR AZURA NOOR AZHUANb , NOR HANIZA SARMINc & FARHANA JOHARd Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia normuhainiah@utm.my, zooragurl92@yahoo.com, nhs@utm.my, farhanajohar@utm.my a,b,c,d ABSTRACT This research is focused on two types of finite abelian groups which are the group of integers under addition modulo n, and the group of integers under multiplication modulo n, where n is any positive integer at most 200. The computations of some properties of the group including the order of the group, the order and inverse of each element, the cyclic subgroups, the generators of the group, and the lattice diagrams get more complicated and time consuming as n increases. Therefore, a special program is needed in the computation of these properties. Thus in this research, a program has been developed by using Microsoft Visual C++ Programming. This program enables the user to enter any positive integer at most 200 to generate answers for the properties of the groups. Keywords: Microsoft Visual C++, abelian group, lattice diagram, cyclic subgroup. § 113 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik MP 10 - VISUALISATION OF CURVE, AREA AND VOLUME USING MATHEMATICA UMAIRA AZMIa & SUZIANA AIDA OTHMANb a b School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia umaira8585@yahoo.com Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM) Kelantan 18500 Machang, Kelantan, Malaysia suziana554@kelantan.uitm.edu.my ABSTRACT The aim of this study is to integrate the use of Mathematica software as teaching aid in visualisation and application of definite integral. The topics that have been focusing are area under a curve, area between two curves, surface area and volume of revolution. The Mathematica software programming language and algorithm are used as an alternative to replace the traditional method in computations for each topic mentioned. Moreover, this study also analyzes and discusses the comparison of results between Mathematica software with traditional method and continues with some error or mistake which can occurs without referring the correct visualisation image. In conclusion, Mathematica can be used as a major visual reference for Mathematics subject in foundation level. Keywords: teaching aid; visualisation; definite integral. MP 11 - PREDICTING THE PERFORMANCE OF UNDERGRADUATE ENGINEERING STUDENTS IN MATHEMATICS I COURSES SITI AISYAH ZAKARIAa , SYAFAWATI MD SAADb , NOR HIZAMIYANI ABDUL AZZIZc & NORNADIA MOHD YAZIDd Institute of Engineering Mathematics, Universiti Malaysia Perlis 02600 Arau, Perlis, Malaysia aisyahzakaria@unimap.edu.my, syafawati@unimap.edu.my, hizamiyani@unimap.edu.my, nornadia@unimap.edu.my a,b,c,d ABSTRACT The paper aims to explore the academic performance among gender (measured by cumulative grade point average (CGPA) in the first semester for three year period) of undergraduate engineering students § 114 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru in Mathematics courses at a local university. It also examines the influenced of gender toward academic performance and to find the significance diÆerence between genderin this three year period. A random sample of 1000 students drawn from engineering students was chosen. Descriptive statistics were used to present the main characteristics of the student. The study relied on analysis mean and independent samples t -test to analyses the data collected. The results generated revealed that the means of cumulative grade point average (CGPA) for Mathematics I was slightly below 3 for both gender. The result of independent-samples t-test methods courses diÆers significantly across the gender for three year period. There are a number of limitations between male and female associated with this study. Second, this study also has limitation about the diÆerence academic background of the students that will give impact to their performance in their result at university. The present study is the first attempt to explore the performance of undergraduate engineering students among gender in the Mathematics I courses. Keywords: Academic Performance, Undergraduate Students, Mean Analysis, Independent-Samples t°test. MP 12 - INTEGRATING MATHEMATICAL THINKING ORIENTED PROBLEM SOLVING APPROACH WITH BLENDED LEARNING OPEN SOURCE SCIENCE OR MATH STUDIES (BLOSSOMS) MODULES AISHA MAHMOODa , YUDARIAH MOHAMMAD YUSOFb & MOHD FAUZI OTHMANc Centre for Engineering Education Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia aisha.mahmood@namal.edu.pk, yudariah@utm.my b Malaysia-Japan International Institute of Technology Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 54600 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia fauzi@fke.utm.my a ABSTRACT Research indicated that the major practices of engineers rely on mathematical thinking skills.Mathematical thinking and learning in engineering education must address the rapidly changing technological innovations and the associated expectations in terms of the quality of learning experiences. Thus, future engineers need to be actively engaged in deep and meaningful mathematical thinking and learning rather than passive information transmission during their engineering mathematics. This paper presents some results of a study carried out to investigate the potential of blended learning and its implication in supporting mathematical thinking among prospective engineers.Mason’s et.al. problem solving approach is integrated with BLOSSOMS modules first to produce activity based worksheets and then to conduct blended learning sessions to cultivate mathematical thinking skills among first year engineering students using duet teaching and collaborative learning approaches.The two staged interpretive data analysis is used to explore and interpret the data. The findings showed that blended learning can positively aÆect students’ learning, thus supporting students to think mathematically in the blended learning environment. § 115 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: mathematical thinking; mathematical learning; mathematics learning environment; blended learning. > > > > > > >> § 116 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru STATISTICS ST 01 - ADJUSTMENT TO LEAD LEVERAGE LEVELS AND THE TIMING ELEMENT IN ISSUING EQUITY: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM FIRM LEVEL DATA HAFEZALI IQBAL HUSSAINa & NOOR HAFIDZAH JABARULLAHb a b University of Kuala Lumpur Business School, Malaysia. *hafezali@unikl.edu.my Universiti Kuala Lumpur - ICOLE - British Malaysia Institute. ABSTRACT The dynamic trade-oÆ view of capital structure is based on partial adjustment models finds that firms adjust towards target levels. In this paper, we estimate the speed of adjustment based on the first diÆerence of the lead (t+1) leverage levels (actual lead) and lag (t-1) leverage levels (actual lag) to the first diÆerence of simulated lead (target) leverage levels and lag levels (actual lag leverage) for firm level data. Consistent with the literature we find that firms adjust the lag (current) leverage levels faster to lead levels when they are above lead levels relative to periods when they are below lead levels. This is due to managerial actions in minimizing present value of bankruptcy costs when firms are above lead values. Bringing in the market timing view of capital structure, we measure deviation of market prices to predicted theoretical values, we find that speed of adjustment is influenced by equity mispricing. We find that firms adjust faster to lead levels when lag levels are above lead levels and are influenced by the deviation of equity prices from theoretical value of prices. Keywords: Financial statistics, speed of adjustment, timing of equity issues. ST 02 - STATISTICAL MODELING NONLINEAR MIX EFFECTS MODEL IN GIRTH GROWTH OF RUBBER TREE MUHAMMAD FADHIL BIN MARSANIa & WAN ZAWIAH WAN ZINb a b School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science University Science Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang, Malaysia fadhilmarsani@gmail.com School of Mathematical Sciences,, Faculty of Science and Technology § 117 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia w zawiah@ukm.my ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to compare 6 nonlinear growth models, namely the Negative exponent, Monomolecular, Gompertz, Logistik, Log-logistik and Weibull in describing the girth growth across age in rubber trees. All the nonlinear growth models were fitted as nonlinear mixed eÆects through Maximum Likelihood estimation method for Classical approach using nlme package in R software and MCMC estimation method for Bayesian approach using WinBUGS software. Random and fix eÆect parameter identified by observing 95% confidence interval for each parameter in the model and comparison of nested model using Anova. The goodness of fit of these six models was compared in terms of AIC, BIC and DIC. The results showed that Monomolecular model appear to be the best model fitted girth growth of the rubber tree data under both approaches. In addition, the estimation results to be quite close to the two methods due to non-informative priors were used for the Bayesian approach. The estimated non-informative prior for the posterior distribution of parameter can be set as new priors in estimating others girth growth of rubber trees data for future study. Keywords: nonlinear growth; maximum likelihood estimation method; MCMC estimation method; fix eÆects, random eÆects. ST 03 - DISTINGUISHING THE IMPACTS OF OIL DEMAND AND OIL SUPPLY ON VOLATILITY OF INFLATION: A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON OIL IMPORTING VERSUS OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES SIOK KUN SEKa & RUE NING LOWb School of Mathematical Sciences University Science of Malaysia 11800 Minden, Penang, Malaysia sksek@usm.my, rnlow0622@hotmail.com a,b ABSTRACT Historical data show that oil price can have significance eÆects on domestic inflation. However, the eÆects may vary across countries over diÆerent time frames. In this study, we investigate how the nature of shocks (oil demand and oil supply) can determine the volatility of inflation between oil importing and oil exporting countries. Our main purpose is to distinguish the eÆects of oil demand and oil supply on determining the volatility of inflation in terms of oil dependency factor. A threshold GARCH model is applied on the data ranging from 1973M1 onwards till 2015M1. There are ten oil importing and ten oil exporting countries respectively. Our results suppose to reveal diÆerent impacts of oil demand and oil supply on the volatility of inflation. Comparative results between oil importing and oil exporting countries may also provide useful information on the understanding of oil price shocks on the volatility of inflation based on oil dependency factor. § 118 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Keywords: oil demand; oil supply; volatility of shocks; domestic inflation. ST 04 - AN INVESTIGATION ON THE IMPACTS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS ON DOMESTIC INFLATION: A SVAR APPROACH SIOK KUN SEKa & HAZEL LIMb School of Mathematical Sciences University Science of Malaysia 11800 Minden, Penang, Malaysia sksek@usm.my, lavender.hazel@hotmail.com a,b ABSTRACT Oil price can have influential eÆects on inflation as oil is used as the main source in many productions. In this paper, we perform comparative analyses on studying the impacts of oil price shocks on determining the domestic inflation in two groups of countries, i.e. oil importing versus oil exporting countries. In particular, we look into the eÆects of oil supply and oil demand shocks on determining the domestic inflation. A structural vector autoregressive model is used in analyzing the eÆects of orthogonalized shocks on inflation. A Blanchard-Quah identification is applied on the long-run impact matrix. We focus the analyses on ten oil importing and ten oil exporting countries respectively. The data ranging from 1973M1 onwards till 2015M1. Our results suppose to provide useful information on the understanding of oil price shocks on domestic inflation based on oil dependency factor. The results also reveal how domestic inflation react to oil supply and oil demand shocks across the world main oil importing and oil exporting groups. Keywords: oil price shock; SVAR; long run impact; domestic inflation. ST 05 - A SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR ANALYZING THE ECO-AQUACULTURE SYSTEM WITH POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS: CASE STUDY ON INTEGRATED AQUACULTURE PARK (i SHARP), SETIU, TERENGGANU, MALAYSIA L. MUHAMAD SAFIIHa , M.N. AFIQb , A.R. NAEIMc , A. M. IKHWANUDDINd , H. MADZLIe , I. MARZUKIf & Z. SYERRINAg a Institute of Biotechnology Marine & Kenyir Research Institute, d Institute Aquaculture Tropical University Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia § 119 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik safiihmd@umt.edu.my, ikhwanuddin@umt.edu.my School of Informatics & Applied Mathematics, d School of Fisheries & Aquaculture Sciences, e School of Maritime Business & Management, f School of Marine & Environmental Science University Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu, Malaysia afiqramlee@yahoo.com, naeim300489@yahoo.com, adzli@umt.edu.my, marzuki@umt.edu.my, syerrina@umt.edu.my a,b,c,g ABSTRACT The sustainability of aquaculture industry strongly dependence on numerous factors such as environmental, ecology, economics, industry, human behaviour, policy and many other factors. The interdependence of this factors is called as eco-aquaculture. It’s an approach in aquaculture that studies a balance between ecological and economic bene?ts to promote the sustainable development of both. However, eco-aquaculture field has not been widely studied, especially in Malaysia. The core of an eco-aquaculture system is the process of material-energy production and consumption, which generates the eÆect ecological and economic. If the material-energy production and consumption cannot continuously develop, then the eco-aquaculture system will decline. Therefore, to fundamentally enhance the sustainable development capacity of an eco-aquaculture system, the integrated simulation and analysis of the material-energy ?ow processes and the trends of process generates the ecological and economic positive-negative eÆects should be addressed. Hence, this paper proposed a scienti?c method for analysing the environmental and economic eÆects of eco-aquaculture and simulating their long-term trend. Thus, we build a system dynamics model of the eco-aquaculture system named ”SD-AQEP” to simulate quantitatively material and energy ?ow in the local eco-aqua cultural industry chain, evaluate and analyse the integrated effects of the ecological-economy and their long-term evolution trends, identify the defects of the system and then make recommendations to improve system performance until 2050. In this study, we focus on the eco-aquaculture system particularly at Integrated Aquaculture Park (i SHARP), Setiu, Terengganu; Malaysia. This study has important theoretical and practical values in seeking the sustainable development mode of regional ecological economy system, and more importantly is that the ”SD-AQEP” model and approach can provide a basis for similar ecological economic modelling structure. Keywords: System Dynamic; eco-aquaculture; ecological modelling; policy recommendations. ST 06 - SAMPLE SELECTION MODEL WITH BOOTSTRAP APPROACH: CASE STUDY OF THE MALAYSIAN POPULATION AND FAMILY SURVEY 1994 L. MUHAMAD SAFIIHa & W. A. WAN SALIHAb a,b Department of Mathematical, School of Informatics and Applied Mathematic University Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia safiih@umt.edu.my, salihaalwi@gmail.com § 120 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT Sample selection model or knows as sample select is a part of econometric field. Sample selection model has been widely used in various fields since Heckman introduce an estimation. However, the estimates will be diverted due to the standard error. Error of this research is variation produced by the experimental units found in the same treatment and carried out under the same experimental conditions. Bootstrap approach was introduced to the sample selection model. The study was developed Parametric Sample Selection Model (PSSM) with bootstrap approach called Parametric Bootstrap Sample Selection Model (BPSSM). This model tested by Monte Carlo Simulation and real data. Monte Carlo Simulation shows that the proposed estimation model provides eÆective when the standard error is getting smaller. The eÆectiveness of the developed model was tested using real data. In this study, The Malaysian Population and Family Survey 1994 (MPFS-1994) was used and identified decrease the standard error of the data. As conclusion, bootstrap approach conducted on a sample selection model shows the eÆectiveness of the standard error. Keywords: PSSM; BPSSM; Bootstrap; MPFS-1994. ST 07 - NONPARAMETRIC PREDICTIVE INFERENCE FOR BIVARIATE DATA WITH NON-PARAMETRIC COPULA NORYANTI MUHAMMADa , FRANK P.A. COOLENb & TAHANI COOLEN-MATURIc Faculty of Industrial Sciences & Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang 26300 Gambang, Kuantan, Pahang, Malaysia noryanti@ump.edu.my a b Department of Mathematical Sciences Durham University Durham, DH1 3LE, UK frank.coolen@durham.ac.uk c Durham University Business School Durham University Durham, DH1 3LB, UK tahani.maturi@durham.ac.uk § 121 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT Many real-world problems of statistical inference involve bivariate data and dependency including engineering, medical, financial; insurance and agriculture. This study presents a new non-parametric method for prediction of a future bivariate observation, by combining nonparametric predictive inference (NPI) for the marginals with non-parametric copula specifically using kernel methods to take dependence structure into account. NPI is a frequentist statistical framework for inference on a future observation based on past data observations. NPI uses lower and upper probabilities to quantify uncertainty and is based on only few modelling assumptions. While, copula is a well-known statistical concept for modelling dependence of random variables. A copula is a joint distribution function whose marginals are all uniformly distributed and it can be used to model the dependence separately from the marginal distributions. In this research, we estimate the copula density using kernel method and use diÆerent type of bandwidth selections and type of bandwidths. In the presented method, the imprecision in the marginals leads us to study a good characteristics on choosing the bandwidth for prediction. We investigate the performance of this method via simulations and discuss results to show how our method performs for diÆerent sample sizes. We also apply the method to data sets from the literature and briefly outline related challenges and opportunities for future research. Keywords: Bivariate data; Copula; Kernel method; Lower and upper probability; Nonparametric Predictive Inference. ST 08 - MODIFICATION OF TWO-STEP METHOD IN ESTIMATING THE PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION MODELS NUR HASHIDA MD. LAZIMa , HALIZA ABD. RAHMANb & ARIFAH BAHARc Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia nhashida2@gmail.com, halizarahman@utm.my, arifah@utm.my a,b,c ABSTRACT Two-step method is introduced as an alternative method to classical methods in estimating the drift and diÆusion parameters of the stochastic diÆerential equation models. Previous study indicated that this method provides high percentage of accuracy of the estimated diÆusion parameter of Lotka-Volterra model with simulated data. In this paper, a new improvement of Two-step method is acquired by applying Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression estimator in the first step of this method as an replacement of regression spline with truncated power series basis. The estimated parameters for simulated data with diÆerent sample size of Bachelier model is presented, including comparisons between two diÆerent kernel bandwidth methods, namely an optimal technique and a cross-validation technique. The performance of the proposed new methods are evaluated via the Mean Square Error (MSE) criterion. The results show that our modified Two-step method with cross-validation technique performs better than optimal technique. § 122 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Keywords: stochastic diÆerential equation; two-step method; bandwidth; Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression estimator. ST 09 - CHANGE-POINT NON MIXTURE CURE MODEL FOR INTERVAL-CENSORED DATA NOOR AKMA IBRAHIMa , FAUZIA AL TAWEABb , JAYANTI ARASANc & MOHD RIZAM ABU BAKARd a,c,d Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Malaysia jayanti@upm.edu.my, mrizam@upm.edu.my Institute for Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Malaysia nakma@upm.edu.my, fauziataweab@yahoo.com a,b ABSTRACT Medical and public health researches often involve the analysis of survival data with long-term survivors at which some subjects are highly susceptible to the adverse event of interest while some are assumed to be at much less risk and are hence expected to be cured. Survival models that incorporate the cure fraction in the analysis known as cure fraction models have received much attention in recent years and have become a very useful tool in the analysis of survival data. We develop the non-mixture cure models to allow for a change-point eÆect in covariate considering interval-censored data. Simulation studies are carried out under various conditions to assess the performance of the models that have been developed. The simulation results indicate that the proposed models and the estimation procedures can produce e±cient and reasonable estimators with low censoring rate. Keywords: Bounded Cumulative Hazard Model, Maximum Likelihood Estimate, Lognormal distribution, Covariates. ST 11 - VOLATILITY SPILLOVER EFFECT BETWEEN FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES AND GOLD MARKET PUNG YEAN PINGa & MAIZAH HURA BINTI AHMADb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia § 123 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia pyppung@yahoo.com, maizah@utm.my ABSTRACT As the interaction between international and domestic financial markets increases, the interaction between gold and financial markets is increasing as well. Today the financial attributes of gold play a more evident role in dominating the gold price. Taking into account time-varying and dynamic properties of volatility spillover eÆect in the financial market, the current study examines the time-varying volatility relationship between gold market and foreign exchange rates via the bivariate-BEKK. One of the purposes of the study is to determine whether gold volatility is aÆected by their own pre-fluctuations, with aggregation and lasting properties, and the bi-directional volatility spillover between the gold market and foreign exchange rates. Keywords: bivariate-BEKK; gold prices; foreign exchange rates; volatility spillover. ST 12 - BIVARIATE COPULAS FUNCTIONS FOR FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS NORIZZATI SALLEHa , FADHILAH YUSOFb & ZULKIFLI YUSOPc a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science University of Teknology Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia norizzatisalleh@gmail.com, fadhilahy@utm.my Water Resources Alliance University of Teknology Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia zulyusop@utm.my c ABSTRACT Bivariate flood frequency analysis oÆers improved understanding of the complex flood process and useful information in preparing flood mitigation measures. However, di±culties arise from limited bivariate distribution functions to jointly model major flood variables that are inter-correlated and each has different univariate marginal distribution. To overcome this di±culties, a Copula based methodology is presented in this study. Copula are functions that link univariate distribution functions to form bivariate distribution functions. The objective of this study is to propose a methodology to derive bivariate joint return periods of flood variables, namely peakflow, flood duration and flood volume. Five Copula familes namely Clayton, Gumbel, Frank, Gaussian and t Copulas were evaluated for modelling the joint dependence between peakflow-flood volume, peakflow-flood duration and flood volume-flood duration. The performance of four parameter estimation methods, namely inversion of Kendall’s tau, inversion of Spearman’s rho, maximum likelihood approach and inference function for margins for coosen copula’s families are investigated. The analysis used 35 years hourly discharge data of Johor River from which § 124 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru the annual maximum were derived. Generalized Pareto and Generalized Extreme Value distribution were found to be the best to fit the flood variables based on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. Clayton Copula was choosen as the best fitted Copula function based on the Akaike Information Criterion goodness-of-fit test. On performing a simulation based on a Cramer-von Mises as a test statistics to asses the performance of Copula distributions in modelling joint dependence structure of flood variables, it is found that Clayton Copula are well representing the flood variables. Thus, it is concluded that, the Clayton Copula based joint distribution function was found to be eÆective in preserving the dependency structure of flood variables. The Clayton Copula function is then used for obtaining the bivariate joint return periods of flood characteristics, which can be useful for risk based design of water resources projects. Keywords: Flood variables; Bivariate Copula; Joint Return Periods. ST 13 - PARAMETER ESTIMATION USING PROBABILITY GENERATING FUNCTION BASED MINIMUM POWER DIVERGENCE TAY SIEW YINGa , NG CHOUNG MINb , ONG SENG HUATc Institute of Mathematical Sciences University of Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia ssiewy@gmail.com, ngcm@um.edu.my, ongsh@um.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT Parameter estimation through the use of minimum density-based divergence has been investigated by many researchers. In this paper, we propose a probability generating function based minimum power divergence for parameter estimation. The performance of the proposed divergence is studied for the negative binomial distribution. A brief comparison with maximum likelihood estimation and with some probability generating function based estimations ensued. It is found that the proposed divergence performed better in smaller sample sizes. Keywords: minimum density power divergence; probability generating function; negative binomial distribution. ST 14 - MODELING HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY USING MINIMUM RELATIVE ENTROPY (MRE) BASED ON HYDROGEOLOGIC CHARACTERISTICS IN GROUNDWATER TAY CHIEW SIAa , ARIFAH BAHARb & HALIZA ABD. RAHMANc § 125 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Department of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia janice 1309@yahoo.com, halizarahman@utm.my a,c b UTM Centre for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (UTM-CIAM) Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia arifah@utm.my ABSTRACT Minimum relative entropy (MRE) is a general method of inference about an unknown probability density when there exists a prior estimate of the density and new information in the form of constraints on expected values. It is used to determine the priori probability density function required for a Bayesian solution. This seems perfectly reasonable and in keeping with the spirit of both the Bayesian and entropic philosophies. Highly parameterized and CPU?intensive groundwater models are increasingly being used to understand and predict flow and transport through aquifers. Despite their frequent use, these models pose significant challenges for parameter estimation and predictive uncertainty analysis algorithms, particularly global methods which usually require very large numbers of forward runs. Therefore, we present a general methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis that can be utilized in these situations. Our goal is to model hydraulic conductivity using hydrogeologic characteristics with MRE. By using the Newton-Raphson method and Taylor method to run the convergence tests, the result shows that the estimation of prior distribution using MRE converges faster than using formal Bayesian. It is also less costly because it requires less forward runs. Keywords: Minimum relative entropy (MRE); Bayesian; Newton-Raphson; Taylor; Hydrogeologic characteristics; Hydraulic conductivity. ST 16 - PREDICTING THE INFLATION RATE IN MALAYSIA USING SUKUK TERM STRUCTURE HUMAIDA BANU SAMSUDINa & DINI NAZIHA BINTI MOHAMADb a,b Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains & Teknologi Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia humaida@ukm.edu.my § 126 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ABSTRACT Inflation has a big impact on our lives. Therefore, the ability to forecast inflation rate accurately is vital. One of the methods used to predict inflation rate is by observing the term structure. There have been many studies done on conventional bonds but hardly any on sukuk. Therefore, this study aims to test the viability of the term structure of sukuk on predicting the inflation rate in Malaysia, with and without taking into factor term premiums, and comparing the predictions with that of the conventional bond. The results are also compared to a benchmark autoregressive (AR) model of the inflation rate. The study is limited to Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) and Government Investment Issues (GII) data from October 2006 to March 2014. Consumer Price Index data from 2005 until 2014 were also collected to calculate inflation. The one-month interest rate was used to observe the existence of term premium. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model was chosen to forecast six-month-ahead inflation rates using GII and MGS data as well as bond data that accounted for term premiums. The first part of the analysis revealed that term premiums are nonzero and not constant. Furthermore, forecasting results showed that without taking term premiums into consideration, neither MGS nor GII term structure was able to predict accurately the six-month-ahead inflation rate. However, the term structure incorporating term premiums resulted in a better forecast of the inflation rate compared to the benchmark AR model. As such, it is hoped that this will spur more interest in the development of sukuk and Islamic economics in terms of research. Keywords: inflation rate; conventional bonds; sukuk. ST 17 - FLOOD HYDROGRAPH USING FUNCTIONAL DATA ANALYSIS SHARIFFAH SUHAILA SYED JAMALUDINa a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia suhailasj@utm.my ABSTRACT In Malaysia, the phenomenon of extreme rainfall events particularly floods which are highly unpredictable, contributed to the lost of millions of ringgits and the worst cases, risk lives. Locally, the magnitude of recent floods seems to be increasing and occurs more frequently. To overcome the flood risks and having eÆective planning and management of water resources, river flows must be continuously measured. In practice, a river may have various shapes of flood hydrographs. The shape of a hydrograph varies in each river basin and each individual storm event. The objective of this study is to propose a new framework in hydrological application using the hydrographs as functional data. The main input in this study is daily streamflow series from Sg. Kelantan River Basin which constitutes a hydrograph throughout the year. Entire hydrograph as a curve with respect to time can be considered as a single observation within the functional context. Functional descriptive statistics and functional principal component are the functional data analysis tools which are introduced in this study. It is concluded that the method of functional data § 127 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik analysis which treats the whole hydrograph as a function is more representative of the real phenomena and makes better use of available data. Keywords: flood hydrograph; functional data analysis; streamflow; river basin. ST 18 - THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AGEING AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A COMPARISON BETWEEN ASIA AND EUROPE BRENDAN LO RICKa & SEK SIOK KUNb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM Penang, Malaysia Brendanlorick@gmail.com, sksek@usm.my a,b ABSTRACT Asia has witnessed robust economic growth since the 1960s and the so-called ”East Asian economic miracle”. Today, emerging markets in Asia have managed to maintain rapid growth even when the world’s main economies suÆer from debt and banking crises. However, declining total fertility rate (TFR), increasing life expectancy, continuous change of birth and death patterns, and increasing share of old age population in the age distribution in Asia exert significant pressure on its economies. Therefore, using both the old age and youth dependency ratios, this paper analyses the relationship between population ageing and economic growth in 10 Asian countries and is compared to 10 European countries between 1970 to 2010. Using the panel cointegration methods as well as dynamic panel OLS techniques, the empirical result shows that the old age dependency ratio has no significant eÆect on economic growth. This is attributed to the diÆerent phases of ageing among the nations as well as various policy implications. Keywords: Population Ageing, Autoregressive Distributed Lag, Old Age Dependency Ratio, Asia, Europe. ST 19 - INSTANTANEOUS CAUSALITY APPROACH TOMETEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES BOND SITI MARIAM NORRULASHIKINa , FADHILAH YUSOFb & IBRAHIM LAWAL KANEc a,b Jabatan Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia § 128 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru mariam.norrulashikin@gmail.com, fadhilahy@utm.my c Jabatan Matematik dan Sains Komputer Umaru Musa Yar’adua University 2218, Katsina State, Nigeria ibrahimlk131@gmail.com ABSTRACT This paper aims to establish a relationship between selective meteorological variables such as temperature, humidity, wind speed and rainfall that contribute in the climate change in Peninsular Malaysia. Regression analysis, Instantaneous Causality and Impulse Response Function analysis were applied to the variables. The results reveal that humidity is positively related to rainfall with a strong relation between them. The instantaneous causality between wind speed to other variables conclude that the capability to predict the series of temperature, humidity and rainfall based on the histories of all observable variables is unaÆected by the omission of wind speed’s history. Keywords: Meteorological variables, Climate change, Impulse response, Instantaneous Causality, Peninsular Malaysia. ST 21 - ANALYSIS OF THE OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONS ARIFAH BAHARa , ZAITUL MARLIZAWATI ZAINUDDINb , NORSHELA MOHD NOHc & KHO CHIA CHENd a,b,c,d Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia Arifah@utm.my ABSTRACT Recently, crude oil price become volatile and would be the hot issue to be discussed in every country. Oil price fluctuations have major impact on overall economy. In this study, we focus on analysis of oil price fluctuations. The foundational model for this paper is stochastic diÆerential equation that describes the evolution of oil price. The aim of this study is to analyze oil price fluctuations using Brownion motion. Keywords: Crude oil; Oil Price Fluctuations; Stochastic DiÆerential Equation; Brownion Motion. ST 23 - COMPARISON OF SEVERAL VARIANTS OF PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS (PCA) ON FORENSIC ANALYSIS OF PAPER BASED ON IR SPECTRUM § 129 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik LOONG-CHUEN, LEEa , CHOONG-YEUN, LIONGb , KHAIRUL OSMANc & ABDUL AZIZ JEMAINd Forensic Sciences Program, Faculty of Health Sciences Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Jalan Raja Muda Abdul Aziz, 50300 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia lc lee@ukm.edu.my, khairos@medic.ukm.my a,c b,d School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Malaysia , lg@ukm.edu.my, azizj@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a commonly used unsupervised exploratory analysis technique. It is also frequently used in dimensionality reduction. This preliminary paper investigates the feasibility of three variants of PCA, i.e. independent PCA (iPCA), sparse PCA (sPCA), and sparse independent PCA (siPCA) on forensic classification of paper based on their IR spectral data. After that, a Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) models were built using the Principal Components (PC) produced by the PCA and the three aforementioned variants. The performances of all those four LDA models, i.e. PCA-DA, iPCA-DA, sPCA-DA and siPCA-DA, were evaluated via leave-one-out cross-validation on the data set. The results obtained show that iPCA-DA and siPCA-DA are the most eÆective models with 100.0% classification accuracy. Then, the eÆectiveness of siPCA and iPCA models was evaluated based on posterior probability used for predictions of class membership that are derived from leave-one-out cross-validation. As a conclusion, siPCA is identified as the best classification model. Keywords: PCA; independent PCA; sparse PCA; sparse independent PCA; IR spectrum. ST 24 - EFFECTS OF SCATTER-CORRECTION PRE-PROCESSING METHODS AND SPECTRAL DERIVATIVE ALGORITHMS ON FORENSIC CLASSIFICATION OF PAPER LOONG-CHUEN, LEEa , CHOONG-YEUN, LIONGb , KHAIRUL OSMANc & ABDUL AZIZ JEMAINd Forensic Sciences Program, Faculty of Health Sciences Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Jalan Raja Muda Abdul Aziz, 50300 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia lc lee@ukm.edu.my, khairos@medic.ukm.my a,c b,d School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Malaysia § 130 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru lg@ukm.edu.my, azizj@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT Infrared (IR) spectral data are always influenced by undesired random and systematic variations. As such, pre-processing of spectral data is normally required before chemometric modeling. Two most widely used pre-processing techniques, i.e. scatter-correction methods and spectral derivatives, were used to pre-process 150 IR spectral data of paper. The algorithms investigated in this preliminary study are Standard Normal Variate (SNV), Multiplicative Scatter Correction (MSC), Savitzky-Golay (SG) and Gap-Segment (GS). Clustering among three studied varieties of paper, i.e IK Yellow, One Paper and Save Pack, is then visually examined in a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) plot. Based on the scores plot of PCA, separation of the three varieties of paper is greatly enhanced after pre-processed. The most significant improvement is obtained with the one after being pre-processed via 1st derivative. It is concluded that 1st derivative using the GS algorithm with window size of 15 produced the best separation. Keywords: Standard Normal Variate (SNV); Multiplicative Scatter Correction (MSC); Savitzky-Golay derivative; Gap-segment derivative; IR spectrum. ST 25 - BAYESIAN SPATIO-TEMPORAL MODELLING USING MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO NUR ROSLEZZAH RAMLAYa & ADRIANA IRAWATI NUR IBRAHIMb a,b Institute of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia adrianaibrahim@um.edu.my ABSTRACT Spatio-temporal model consist of observations that are measured over time as well as space. The data are collected at a number of spatial locations which vary continuously over a study region. The spatiotemporal modelling has been developed through problems in a variety of fields such as geostatistics, economics, environmental, climatology as well as meteorology. The main purpose of our study is to investigate the conditionally specified (i.e. hierarchical) Bayesian approach to the spatio-temporal modelling of air pollution data. Using this approach, we update the model’s parameters and estimate the spatially averaged pollution concentration from the posterior distribution by employing the Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling method (see Lee & Shaddick (2010)). An example is then applied to illustrate the implementation of this method. Keywords: Spatio-temporal model; Bayesian; Markov chain Monte Carlo. § 131 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ST 26 - CHARACTERISTIC AND CLASSIFICATION OF PM10 CONCENTRATIONS IN SELECTED INDUSTRIAL AREAS IN MALAYSIA HAZRUL ABDUL HAMIDa , AHMAD SHUKRI YAHAYAb , NOR AZAM RAMLIc & AHMAD ZIA UL-SAUFIEd a aculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia 86400, Batu Pahat, Johor hazrul@uthm.edu.my School of Civil Engineeringn Universiti Sains Malaysia 14300, Nibong Tebal, Penang b,c d Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia ABSTRACT This research will concerned about coarse particles that are ten micrometers in diameter or smaller (PM10 ) since previous research shown that particles larger than ten micrometers in diameter did not penetrate the body’s defences in nose, mouth, and upper airways so unlikely to have respiratory eÆects. Report from Department of Environment Malaysia shows that industrial sources contribute the highest percentage of particulate matter in 2011. Three monitoring stations (Nilai, Kuching and Perai) represent industrial areas in Malaysia were selected and the characteristic of PM10 concentrations from 2003 to 2009 were compared by using descriptive statistics. Besides, the behaviour of PM10 concentration was also compared and assessed using classification and statistical test. Hierarchical cluster analysis using Ward’s method was used to classify the PM10 concentration in to several clusters with the similar characteristic. Bar chart and ANOVA was used to review in detail the behavior of PM10 concentrations at each sites. Result shows that the PM10 concentrations reached the peak at 8 am for Nilai and 9 am for Kuching and Perai. Results for hierarchical cluster analysis was supported by descriptive statistics where the year with high mean and outliers mean and the numbers of outliers will be in the same cluster. Keywords: PM10 concentrations, cluster analysis, Ward’s method, air quality. ST 27 - A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF MIXTURE CURE MODEL OH YIT LENGa & ZARINA MOHD KHALIDb Faculty of Business, Multimedia University Jalan Ayer Keroh Lama, 75450 Melaka Malaysia yloh@mmu.edu.my a b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science § 132 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia zarinamkhalid@utm.my ABSTRACT Survival analysis is time to event analysis. The time refers to a time from a well define origin until the occurrence of the interest event. Most of the survival models assumed that all individuals in the study will experience the event of interest. However, in some cases, they are a fraction of individuals who will never experience the event of interest and this fraction of individuals is known as cured fraction. This study focus on a Mixture Cure Survival model which includes a cured faction. Besides that, in some cases, the survival time is influenced by observed factors. These factors are included in the survival model as covariates. In this study, two mixture cure survival models are used to analyze survival data with covariate and a cured fraction. The first model includes covariate in the parameterization of the hazard while the second model allows the cured fraction to depend on covariate. This study aims to compare the performances of the two models. A simulation study is conducted to achieve the aim of this study. The survival time is assumed to follow the Weibull distribution Keywords: cured, covariate. ST 28 - FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS AT UNGAUGED SITE USING MODIFIED GROUP METHOD OF DATA HANDLING WITH TOPOLOGICAL KRIGING BASRI BADYALINAa , ANI SHABRIb & NUR AMALINA MAT JANc Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia basribadyalina@gmail.com, ani@utm.my, namalinamatjan@gmail.com a,b,c ABSTRACT This paper propose a model based geostatistical model are developed to obtain an improved flood quantile estimation at ungauged sites. Topological kriging was used to create a number of region of Peninsular Malaysia according to streamflow data of station used in this study. It takes both the area and the nested nature of catchments into account. The main appeal of the method is that it is a best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) adapted for the case of stream networks without any additional assumptions. Hosking and Wallis homogeneity test on the region obtain from topological kriging had shown the region are homogenous. Then modified Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) are applied to identify the functional relationship between flood quantiles and the physiographic variables. The proposed model are applied to 60 cathments in Peninsular Malaysia. The jackknife procedure was implemented to evaluate the performance of proposed models. Results of proposed model are compare with original Group Method of Data Handling and conventional model for ungauged that is linear regression (LR). The modified Group Method of Data Handling has the best performance among all models in terms of prediction accuracy § 133 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Keywords: GMDH; topological kriging. ST 29 - THE QUADRATIC ESTIMATING FUNCTION ON ZERO INFLATED GARCH MODEL NURUL NAJIHAH MOHAMADa , IBRAHIM MOHAMEDb & MOHD SAHAR YAHYAc Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia aliphnull86@yahoo.com, imohamed@um.edu.my; mohdsahar@um.edu.my a,b,c ABSTRACT The integer valued time series have been widely discussed lately (see Ferland et.al(2006), Zhu(2011,2012)). In many biomedical and public health problem, there occurs many zeroes in the data set. Due to this, our scope of work considered the zero inflated Poisson GARCH model namely ZIPINGARCH(p,q). The estimation of parameter are very significant in our types of analysis. Hence, for this paper, we consider quadratic estimating function (QEF) method whereby this technique have been shown to be more informative when the first four moments is known (Thavaneswaran et.al, 2014). Here, we derive the optimal QEF function for ZIPINGARCH (p,q) and closed form expression for the information gain is also discussed in some detail. Keywords: integer-valued time series; ZIPINGARCH(p,q); ;Quadratic estimating function (QEF). ST 30 - SELECTING PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF REGIONS AND AT-SITE FOR PENINSULAR MALAYSIA STREAMFLOW NUR AMALINA MAT JANa , ANI SHABRIb & BASRI BADYALINAc Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia namalinamatjan@gmail.com, ani@utm.my, basribadyalina@gmail.com a ABSTRACT The aim of this study is to discuss the comparative assessment of five probability distributions in providing the regions and at-site of annual maximum streamflow in Malaysia. The regional frequency analysis based § 134 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru on L-moments was used to estimate the annual maximum streamflow. The investigated area was divided into three regions statistically homogeneous in terms of L-moments ratio. Using thegoodness-of-fit test, Z-Dist, the regional frequency distributionfunctions for each group and each stations are then selected. In this study, fivethree parameter distributions generalized logistic (GLO),generalized extreme-value (GEV), generalized pareto distributions (GPA), Pearson Type III (P3), and three parameter Lognormal (LN3) were fitted to the three homogeneous regions. Keywords: Regional frequency; L-moments; probability distribution; goodness-of-fit test. ST 32 - MODELLING AND FORECASTING MONTHLY CRUDE OIL PRICES OF PAKISTAN: A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF ARIMA, GARCH AND ARIMA-KALMAN MODELS MUHAMMAD AAMIRa & ANI SHABRIb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia aamirkhan@awkum.edu.pk, ani@utm.my ABSTRACT Crude oil is one of the most important commodity in the world. This study comprising of developing a more appropriate model for forecasting the monthly crude oil prices of Pakistan. In this study three time series models are used namely Box-Jenkins ARIMA (Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average, GARCH (Generalized Auto-regressive Conditional Hetero-scedasticity) and ARIMA-Kalman Filter for modelling and forecasting the monthly crude oil prices of Pakistan. The capabilities of ARIMA, GARCH and ARIMA-Kalman in modelling and forecasting the monthly crude oil prices are evaluated by using Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC), MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error). It can be concluded that the hybrid model of ARIMA-Kalman Filter perform well as compared to the Box-Jenkins ARIMA and GARCH models. Keywords: ARIMA; GARCH; Kalman ; Crude Oil; Forecasting. ST 33 - FORENSIC DIFFERENTIATION OF PAPER BY ATR-FTIR SPECTROSCOPY TECHNIQUE AND PARTIAL LEAST SQUARES-DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS (PLS-DA) LOONG-CHUEN LEEa , CHOONG-YEUN LIONGb , KHAIRUL OSMANc & ABDUL AZIZ JEMAINd § 135 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Forensic Sciences Program, Faculty of Health Sciences Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Jalan Raja Muda Abdul Aziz, 50300 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia lc lee@ukm.edu.my, khairos@medic.ukm.my a,c b,d School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Malaysia lg@ukm.edu.my, azizj@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT The infrared (IR) spectral data of white paper from diÆerent manufacturers tends to be not diÆerentiable. Discrimination between paper types could contribute to solve cases involving fraudulent documents. In this preliminary study, three varieties of white paper were purchased from local stationery shops in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The papers were classified according to their manufacturers using Partial Least Squares-Discriminant Analysis (PLS-DA) and sparse PLS-DA (sPLS-DA) models. The error rates for the two models on the training and the test data sets were estimated. Results show that the performance of the two models are comparable. Classification accuracy as high as 100% can be achieved when the models are built using four to six latent variables. Keywords: PLS-DA; forensic science, classification; IR spectrum. ST 34 - GENETIC ALGORITHMS FOR WAVENUMBER SELECTION IN FORENSIC DIFFERENTIATION OF PAPER BY LINEAR DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS CHOONG-YEUN LIONGa , LOONG-CHUEN LEEb , KHAIRUL OSMANc & ABDUL AZIZ JEMAINd a,d School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Malaysia lg@ukm.edu.my, azizj@ukm.edu.my Forensic Sciences Program, Faculty of Health Sciences Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Jalan Raja Muda Abdul Aziz, 50300 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia lc lee@ukm.edu.my, khairos@medic.ukm.my b,c ABSTRACT Selection of the most significant variables, i.e. the wavenumber from an infrared (IR) spectrum is always di±cult to be achieved. In this preliminary paper, the feasibility of genetic algorithms (GA) in identifying most informative wavenumbers from 150 IR spectra of papers was investigated. The list of selected wavenumbers was then employed in Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA). GA procedure was repeated 30 § 136 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru times to get diÆerent lists of variables. The performances of LDA models were estimated via leave-oneout cross-validation. A total of six to eight wavenumbers were identified to be valuable variables in the GA procedures. All the 30 LDA models achieve correct classification rates between 97.3% to 100.0% . Therefore the GA-LDA model could be a suitable tool for diÆerentiating white papers that appeared to be highly similar in their IR fingerprints. Keywords: genetic algorithms; linear discriminant analysis; forensic science; classification; IR spectrum. ST 35 - STATISTICAL MODELING OF EXTREME TEMPERATURE IN MALAYSIA USING GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION HUSNA HASANa & NUR HANIM MOHD SALLEHb School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Penang, Malaysia husna@cs.usm.my, nurhanim sh@yahoo.com a,b ABSTRACT Extreme events can cause severe consequences for human population and ecosystem. One of the most interesting extreme events is a temperature event which exceeds over a relatively high threshold. In this study, the Generalized Pareto (GP) distribution has been chosen in modeling the peaks over threshold of the extreme values of the annual temperature series at eighteen meteorological stations in Malaysia. The choice of threshold as a key factor in obtaining forecasting result is assessed carefully. L-Moment (LMOM) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) methods are used to estimate the parameter and the return level is determined. Keywords: extreme temperature; Generalized Pareto distribution; return level. ST 36 - MULTINOMIAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODELLING OF STRESS LEVEL AMONG SECONDARY SCHOOL TEACHERS IN KUBANG PASU DISTRICT, KEDAH NOR AMIRA MOHAMADa , ZALILA ALIb , NORLIDA MOHD NOORc & ADAM BAHARUMd Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia a,b,c,d § 137 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT Multinomial logistic regression is used to model the outcomes of a categorical dependent variable with more than two categories and predicts the probabilities of the diÆerent possible outcomes based on several independent variables. Mathematically, for k categories of the response variable, the multinomial logit model consists of k-1 binary logit model that estimate the eÆect of the predictors on the probability of success in that category, in comparison to the reference category. The development of the model consists of selection procedures used in selecting important predictor variable and diagnostics tools used to examine for multicollinearity and to detect strongly influential outliers. The overall model is evaluated using the goodness of fit tests and the pseudo R-squares. The significance of each predictor variable is tested using the likelihood ratio test and the odds ratio is used to assess the contribution of individual predictors. This study used multinomial logistic regression model to determine stress level among secondary school teachers in Kubang Pasu district, Kedah based on their demographic profiles and workplace environment. The result indicated that stress levels among school teachers are related to age, marital status, workload, job responsibility, and interaction between age with job responsibility. Keywords: multinomial, multicolinearity, goodness of fit. ST 37 - BIVARIATE COPULA IN JOHOR RAINFALL DATA KONG CHING YEEa , JAMALUDIN SUHAILAb , FADHILAH YUSOFc & FOO HUI MEANd Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia chingyeekong87@gmail.com, suhailasj@utm.my, fadhilahy@utm.my, huimean87@gmail.com a,b,c,d ABSTRACT Copula is a probability distribution that allows a joint distribution function build from diÆerent univariate marginal distribution function. Rainfall data in Malaysia is believed that is belongs to extreme values. Gumbel, Clayton and skew t copula are good in detect the dependent extreme values. Five rain gauge stations in Johor will be used in this study. The most suitable copula function that best suit the bivariate relation among the five stations will be studied. The Akaike information criterion will be the used as the moderator to decide the best suit copula function. Gumbel copula is the best suit copula function among the five rain gauge stations. Keywords: Gumbel copula; Clayton copula; skew t copula. § 138 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ST 38 - BIAS CORRECTION OF GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL (GCM) DATA AROUND KELANTAN RIVER BASIN MUHAMMAD SAIFUL ADHAM SHUKORa , FADHILAH YUSOFb & ZULKIFLI YUSOPc Water Resources Alliance Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia msaifuladham@gmail.com, zulyusop@utm.my a,c b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia fadhilahy@utm.my ABSTRACT It is well known that general circulation model(GCM) precipitation output cannot be used to force hydrological or other impact models without some form of prior bias correction. In this study bias correction was used as an algorithm to correct the GCM precipitation output data in producing the internally consistent fields that have almost the same statistical intensity pattern as the observations. Twenty five rainfall stations around Kelantan river basin were used in this study. Two sets of data consist of observed and simulated GCM that were obtained from Drainage and Irrigation Department(JPS) and National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia(NAHRIM) were used. The study focus on two periods, namely calibration and validation. Relationship between the historical observed data and historical simulated GCM data from 1971 to 2000 was established by applying a curve fitting using nth polynomial function. Goodness of fit test was used to determine which order of polynomial function to be the bestfit order in fitting the data. The result showed that the bias corrected GCM data distributed using polynomial degree of four has the best-fit for the data. The results may also be presented in form of graphs. In the validation periods, the polynomial degree of four function showed a very good fit as well. Hence, the result may be implemented on the future simulated GCM data for future analysis. Keywords: General Circulation Model; Bias Correction; Curve Fitting; Goodness of Fit Test. ST 39 - ESTIMATING HALF LIFE FOR LEVY DRIVEN CARMA PROCESSES WITH STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY CHE MOHD IMRAN CHE TAIBa , BRENDA LOPEZ CABRERAb & AHMAD ZULHAZIM MOHD ZAINUNc a,c School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 21030 Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia imran@umt.edu.my § 139 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik b School of Business & Economics Universiti Humboldt 10999 Berlin, German lopezcab@wiwi.hu-berlin.de ABSTRACT In this paper, we analyze empirically the daily average temperature (DATs) of New York. Based on the characteristics of the data, we propose to use a general class of Levy-driven continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process and extend the model with stochastic volatility for pricing of temperature futures. Here, the deseasonalized DATs are modeled by a high order of autoregressive and hence the proposed model is estimated. The presence of mean reversion properties, which measure the speed of reverting process, plays an important role for a stationary model such as CARMA process. Therefore, the concept of half life is applied to measure the mean reversion in which involves the simulation of the distribution of half life. Next, from the resulting half life, we derived the prices of temperature futures. Keywords: CARMA processes; stochastic volatility; half. ST 40 - MODELING MULTINOMIAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION ON SMOKERS AFFECTED BY THE SMOKE-FREE CAMPAIGN IN THE AREA OF MELAKA NUR AIN ABD AZIZa , ZALILA ALIb , NORLIDA MOHD NORc & ADAM BAHARUMd a School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 USM, Pulau Pinang ABSTRACT Multinomial logistic regression is used to model the outcome of a polytomous variable with categorical more than two categories and the predictors are nominal, ordinal, interval and ratio. This model is used to predict the probabilities of the diÆerent possible outcomes of a categorically distributed dependent variable, given a set of independent variables. Multinomial logistic regression model also estimates a separate binary logistic regression model for each indicator variable. The result is j-1 binary logistic regression models. Each one tells the eÆect of the predictors on the probability of success in that category, in comparison to the reference category. The model is validated by selection of predictor variables, test of regression coe±cients, a significant test of the overall model, goodness-of-fit measures and validation of predicted probabilities using odds ratio. This study used the multinomial logistic regression techniques to examine smokers’ status that were aÆected by the Smoke-Free Melaka Campaign (SFMC) in the area of Melaka based on the demographic profile, awareness of the campaign, smoking behavior and discussion, perception and opinion of the campaign. The results indicated that the characteristics of smokers aÆected by the campaign were related to gender, age, the types of advertisement: radio, posters/signage, shop windows, side buses and smoking behavior if a non-smoking family is present and also the interaction § 140 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru between age over 40 years old with advertisement on radio and interaction between advertisement on shop windows with advertisement on side buses. Keywords: multinomial logistic regression model, indicator variable, odds ratio. ST 41 - CREDIT CARD FRAUD DETECTIONS BASED ON RIDIT ANALYSIS NORBAITI TUKIMANa & NORHAIZA AHMADb a,b a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia norhaiza@utm.my Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Science Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia baiti09@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Detection of fraud is one of the important agenda concerning the financial and insurance sectors to protect themselves from loss. Identifying potential credit card fraudsters from a huge database of credit card holders often in the form of ordered measurement but not on an interval scale can be intimidating since such variables do not allow numeric treatments. This paper compares diÆerent groups of credit card holder attributes based on their credit card history using an unsupervised scoring approach namely RIDIT (Relative to an Identified Distribution). The mean ridit comparison of two groups estimates the probability that a randomly-selected credit card holder from one will have higher chance of having a bad credit card history than a randomly-selected credit card holder from the other. These scores are significantly tested for verification. We illustrate the method using German Credit card data set retrieved from UCI Machine Learning Data. Keywords: Fraud; RIDIT; Score. ST 42 - GENERALIZED ADDITIVE MODELS (GAMS) APPROACH IN MODELLING RAINFALL DATA OVER JOHOR AREA NOR HANISAH SUHAIMIa , SHARIFFAH SUHAILAb & NORHAIZA AHMADc a,b,c Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science § 141 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia nhanisah87@gmail.com, suhailasj@utm.my, norhaiza@utm.my ABSTRACT Observations of rainfall data are always changing over time. With the concern over climate change, this study is done to demonstrate how Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) could be utilized to model daily rainfall amount over Johor area. Hence, in modeling rainfall amount, Cyclic Cubic Spline is used as the smoothing technique. This research concentrated on the daily rainfall series with the duration period of 1980 to 2011 from six rainfall stations in Johor area. The results indicated that the rainfall stations demonstrate diÆerent behaviours of rainfall patterns. Based on the resulting curves with fitted smoothing parameters, a good summary of statistics of the six stations were obtained. The results from the model will then be used to compare the rainfall patterns among the stations. Keywords: daily rainfall series, smoothing technique, generalized additive model, cyclic cubic. ST 43 - TEMPORAL DYNAMIC OF TREND IN WIND SPEED WITH STATE SPACE MODEL ’AAISHAH RADZIAH JAMALUDINa , FADHILAH YUSOFb & IBRAHIM LAWAL KANEc a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia aaishahradziah@gmail.com, fadhilahy@utm.my c Department of Mathematics and Computer Science Umaru Musa Yar’adua University Katsina State, Nigeria ibrahimlk131@gmail.com ABSTRACT Wind speed play an important role in electrical energy generated. Information regarding wind energy potential is important in both energy related modeling and for decision making in the policy community. While wind speed datasets with high spatial and temporal resolution are often ultimately used for detailed planning, simpler assumptions are often used in analysis work. An accurate representation of the wind speed model and forecast is needed in order to properly characterize wind pattern and wind energy potential. Using a conventional method which is based on Box-Jenkin approach, this paper model and forecast the wind speed data in Senai station. The ability of conventional ARMA model was proven in this paper. ARMA (2,3) was found to be an adequate model and perform very well in predicting the wind speed data for 365 days ahead with just a little error. In addition, this study explores and introduces a new forecasting model; dynamic linear model which is based on state space approach. State space § 142 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru approach model is found to be more interesting and eÆective in modeling and forecasting since no data transformation is required. At the end of the study the comparison will be made between conventional method and state space approach method. Keywords: wind energy; box-jenkins; dynamic linear model. ST 45 - EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS IN ROTATING DISC CONTACTOR (RDC) COLUMN SITI AISYAH ZAKARIAa , WAN NURUL AIFFAH ISMAILb , NOR FASHIHAH MOHD NOORc & WAN NOR MUNIRAH ARIFFINd Institute of Engineering Mathematics Universiti Malaysia Perlis Kampus Pauh Arau, 02600 Arau, Perlis aisyahzakaria@unimap.edu.my, aiÆah@unimap.edu.my, norfashihah@unimap.edu.my, munirah@unimap.edu.my a,b,c,d ABSTRACT Liquid-liquid extraction is one of the most important separation processes. DiÆerent kinds of liquid-liquid extrator such as Rotating Disc Contactor (RDC) Column being used in industries. The study of liquidliquid extraction in an RDC column has become a very important subject to be discussed not just amongst chemical engineers but mathematician’s as well. In this study, the performance of small diameter column RDC using the chemical system involving cumene/isobutryricasid/water are analyzed by the method of design of the experiments (DOE). DOE are applied to estimate the eÆect of four independent. For second method is Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) to justify the relationship between the input variables and output variables and also to determine which variable are more influence for both output variable. The input variables for both method include rotor speed (Nr); ratio of flow (Fd); concentration of continuous inlet (Ccin); concentration of dispersed inlet (Cdin); interaction between Nr with Fd; interaction between Nr with Ccin; interaction Nr with Cdin. Meanwhile the output variables are concentration of continuous outlet (Ccout) and concentration of dispersed outlet (Cdout) on RDC column performance. By using this two method, we have two linear models represent two output of Ccout and Cdout for MLR. Lastly, the researcher want to determine which input variable that give more influence to output variable by using this two method. Based on the result, we obtained that rotor speed (Nr) more influence to dependent variable, Ccout and concentration of continuous inlet (Ccin) more influence to dependent variable, Cdout according the two method that was used. Keywords: Rotating Disc Contactor (RDC) Column; Design of Experiment (DOE); Multiple Linear Regression (MLR). § 143 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ST 46 - PRE-TEST ESTIMATOR FOR CONCENTRATION PARAMETER OF CIRCULAR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION ROSSITA M.YUNUSa a Institute of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Malaya 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia rossita@um.edu.my ABSTRACT This paper proposes a pre-test estimator for the concentration parameter of circular normal distribution. Based on hypothesis testing on the mean direction, the pre-test estimator of the concentration parameter is formulated. The performance of the pre-test estimator is studied through its bias and mean squared error for simulated data. The proposed estimator has shown positive results, when compared with the maximum likelihood and the restricted estimators, for large concentration parameter. Keywords: von-Mises; Neyman’s test; preliminary test. ST 47 - PLUS TRAFFIC HIGHWAY: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON TIME SERIES SIMILARITY APPROACH NORHAIDAH MOHD ASRAHa , MAMAN ABDURACHMAN DJAUHARIb & ISMAIL MOHAMADc a,c a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia ismailm@utm.my Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Technology and Human Development Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia 86400 Parit Raja, Batu Pahat, Johor, Malaysia norhaida@uthm.my Institute of Mathematical Research Universiti Putra Malaysia, UPM Serdang 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia maman abd@upm.edu.my b ABSTRACT Highway is the backbone of a country’s transportation system. The highway development is very important to a country to overcome the demand for e±cient road transportation. Better interconnected road § 144 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru network is crucial to increase the economic activities and social development in a country. The Malaysian government is highly committed towards the development of road network. Projek LebuhrayaUsahasama Berhad (PLUS) is one of the highway operators in Malaysia. It is also the largest highway concessionary or build-operate-transfer (BOT) operator company in Malaysia. As the largest highway concessionary in Malaysia, the network analysis of PLUS highway development was studied in this paper. The data used were based on the number of vehicles that enter and exit each PLUS toll plazas from Juru (JRU) toll plaza to Skudai (SKD) toll plaza. The relationships between the toll plazas were studied by using minimal spanning trees and the overall centrality measures were used to determine the most influential toll plazas among the states. Based on the results, some recommendations are forwarded to the PLUS highway to improve the services and to increase the tra±c e±ciency. Keywords: centrality measures; minimal spanning tree; network topology; topological properties of toll plaza. ST 49 - ASSESSING THE PERFORMANCE OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS FOR FINE RESOLUTION RAINFALL IN PENINSULAR MALAYSIA NORZAIDA ABASa , ZALINA M. DAUDb & SITI MUSLIHA MAT RASIDc a,b,c UTMRazak School of Engineering and Advanced Technology, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Jln Sultan Yahya Petra, 54100, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia zaida.kl@utm.my, zalina.kl@utm.my, mimwausin 89@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Determining a probability distribution that provides a good fit in modelling rainfall series at fine resolution has long been an area of interest in hydrological studies. Theoretically, stochastic rainfall models are assembled by having parameters to represent the physical attributes of rainfall process. Therefore it is imperative that appropriate distributions are used to describe the parameters so that credible rainfall series is generated. The generated data serve as inputs to other hydrological models to explore the behavior of hydrologic systems. Malaysia’s tropical rainfall has high rainfall variability in time and space, which resulted in diÆerent rainfall distribution over the region. Keeping this in mind, the study aims at identifying the best distribution to represent rain cell intensity of a regionalised space time model. The performance of four probability distributions namely Mixed-Exponential, Gamma, Weibull and Generalized Pareto are assessed and compared. Simulations of hourly rainfall series for each distribution are carried at out of sample site. Performance assessments between the distributions are conducted using Root Mean Square Error, Akaike Information Criterion, Bayesian Information Criterion, Kolmogrov-Smirnov Test and Anderson-Darling Test. Results revealed that mixture type distributions tend to perform better. Overall, Generalized Pareto is the best distribution to represent tropical rain intensity. Keywords: distribution fitting; stochastic model; rainfall intensity. § 145 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ST 50 - SELECTED MODELS FOR CORRELATED TRAFFIC ACCIDENT COUNT DATA ZAMIRA HASANAH BINTI ZAMZURIa a School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600, Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia zamira@ukm.edu.my ABSTRACT The development of tra±c accident models in the literature was reviewed, and a gap identified. Accident counts are correlated in many ways. Random eÆect models were introduced to cater for unexplained heterogeneity. The sources of the unexplained of heterogeneity were identified as spatial, temporal and categorical. Multiple models were introduced to cater one or two of these factors. There is no model to date, which is able to incorporate three sources of variation and provide information on the correlation structure. Hence, we review three selected models for correlated count data. Through simulation study, the stability of these models is assessed. The strength and the weakness of these models are also identified to evaluate their potential to be incorporated as one model. Keywords: count data; tra±c accident; statistical model. ST 51 - ROBUST LINEAR DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS SHARIPAH SOAAD SYED YAHAYAa , LIM YAI FUNGb , HAZLINA ALIc & ZURNI OMARd Pusat Pengajian Sains Kuantitatif, Kolej Sains & Sastera Universiti Utara Malaysia 06010 Sintok, Malaysia sharipah@uum.edu.my, yaifung@uum.edu.my, hazlina@uum.edu.my, zurni@uum.edu.my a ABSTRACT Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) is the most commonly employed method for classification. This method which creates a linear discriminant function yields optimal classification rule between two or more groups under the assumptions of normality and homoscedasticity. However, the calculation of parametric LDA highly relies on the sample mean vectors and pooled sample covariance matrix which are sensitive to non-normality. To overcome the sensitivity of this method towards non-normality as well as homoscedasticity, this study proposes a new robust LDA method. In this method, an automatic trimmed mean and its corresponding winsorized mean are employed to replace the mean vector in the parametric LDA. Meanwhile, for the covariance matrix, this study introduces two robust approaches namely the winsorization and the multiplication of Spearman’s rho with the corresponding robust scale estimator used in the trimming process. Simulated and real financial data are used to test the performance of the proposed method in terms of misclassification rate. The numerical result shows that the new method performs better if compared to the parametric LDA and the robust LDA with S-estimator. § 146 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Keywords: Discriminant Analysis; Classification; Normality; Homoscedasticity; Robust; trimmed mean; Winsorized. ST 52 - EMD-DR MODELS FOR FORECASTING ELECTRICITY LOAD DEMAND NURAMIRAH AKROMa & ZUHAIMY ISMAILb a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia nuramirah2@utm.my, zuhaimy@utm.my ABSTRACT Forecasting electricity demand is a vital process since electricity is a hard-to-store resource. To accurately forecast electricity demand, this paper proposes a novel method combining Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and Dynamic Regression namely EMD-DR method. EMD is a technique for detecting non-stationary and nonlinear signal, while Dynamic Regression approach is a method that involves lagged external variables. The EMD-DR method was applied to a half-hourly of electricity demand (kW) and reactive power (var) of Malaysia; where the reactive power data act as exogenous variable for Dynamic Regression method. This paper demonstrates that the proposed EMD-DR model provides a better forecast compared to a single Dynamic Regression model. Keywords: Empirical Mode Decomposition, Dynamic Regression, Interpolation, Reactive Power. ST 53 - BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF CHANGE POINT PROBLEMS FOR TIME SERIES DATA CHEE NIAN LEEa & HONG CHOON ONGb a Department of Physical and Mathematical Science, Faculty of Science Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman 31900 Kampar, Malaysia leecn@utar.edu.my a,b School of Mathematical Sciences Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800 Pulau Pinang hcong@usm.my § 147 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT Alterations or sudden changes within a sequence of temporal observations always create disturbance to data analysis. The manoeuvre to detect this alterations or changes in any temporal data may allow researchers to identify the aberration in every block of segments. The Bayesian method proposed by Barry and Hartigan has greatly fitting the analysis of change point problems through product partition model. We study Bayesian analysis for change point problem with Markov sampling computation onBritish coal mine accident. The result provides accurate change point and posterior means estimation. Keywords: Bayesian analysis; change pointproblem; segmentation; time series. ST 54 - COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS ON THE PERFORMANCE OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL’S PARAMETER ESTIMATION METHODS HALIZA ABD.RAHMANa , ARIFAH BAHARb & FUAADA MOHD. SIAMc a,c b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia halizarahman@utm.my, fuaada@utm.my UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (UTM-CIAM) Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia arifah@utm.my ABSTRACT In this study, the classical SDE’s parameter estimation and a two-step method with Bayesian regression spline are discussed. The classical estimation methods are the maximum likelihood and non-parametric estimation. In the two-step method, the existing non-parametric estimator is utilised to estimate the average drift parameter. To estimate the diÆusion term parameter, a new non-parametric criterion is proposed together with the proof of its consistency. Results from the application to population data show the Two-step method is a good alternative to the classical methods providing the least Mean Square Error for the chosen case study. Keywords: stochastic diÆerential equation; maximum likelihood estimation; non-parametric estimation, two-step method. § 148 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru ST 56 - COMPARISON BETWEEN BAYESIAN STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELS WITH ORDERED CATEGORICAL DATA Thanoon Y. Thanoona , Robiah Adnanb & Seyed Ehsan SaÆaric a,b Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia ytthanoon2@live.utm.my, robiaha@utm.my Education Development Centre Sabzevar Universiti Sains Perubatan 9613873136-319, Sabzevar, Iran ehsanreiki@yahoo.com c ABSTRACT In this paper, ordered categorical variables are used to compare between linear and nonlinear Bayesian structural equation models, Gibbs Sampling method is applied for estimation and model comparison. Statistical inferences, which involve estimation of parameters and their standard deviations, and residuals analyses for testing the posited model, are discussed. The proposed procedure is illustrated by a simulation data obtained from R program. Data results are obtained from WinBUGS program. Keywords: Nonlinear Structural Equation Models; Latent Variables; Ordered Categorical Data. ST 57 - ROBUST PC WITH WILD BOOTSTRAP ESTIMATION OF LINEAR MODEL IN THE PRESENCE OF OUTLIERS, MULTICOLLINEARITY AND HETEROSCEDASTICITY ERROR VARIANCE BELLO ABDULKADIR RASHEEDa , ROBIAH ADNANb , SEYED EHSAN SAFFARIc & KAFI DANO PATId Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia arasheedbello@yahoo.com, robiah@utm.my, kafi dano@yahoo.com a,b.d c Centre of Education, Sabzevar Universiti Sains Perubatan Sabzevar, Iran ehsanreiki@yahoo.com § 149 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ABSTRACT The regression model estimator is considered an e±cient if it robust and resistance toward the presence of heteroscedasticity variance, multicollinearity or unusual observations called outliers. However, regard to these problems, the wild bootstrap and robust wild bootstrap are no longer e±cient since it could not produce the smallest variance. Hence this research investigates the use of robust PC with wild bootstrap techniques on regression model as an estimator for real and simulation data in a situation where multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity and multiple outliers are presence. This paper proposed a robust procedure based on the weighted residuals which combine the Tukey bisquare weighted function, principal component analysis (PCA) to remedy the multicollinearity problems, least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator, robust location and scale, and the wild bootstrap sampling procedure of Wu’s and Liu that remedy the heteroscedasticity error variance. The RPCWBootWu and RPCWBootLiu was obtained through a modified version of RBootWu and RBootLiu. Finally, based on the real data and simulation study, the performance of the RPCWBootWu and RPCWBootLiu is compared with the existing RBootWu, RBootLiu and also with BootWu and BootLiu using the biased, RMSE and standard error. The numerical example and simulation study shows that the RPCWBootWu and RPCWBootLiu techniques have proven to be a good alternative estimator for regression model with lower standard error values. Keywords: Wild Bootstrap, Heteroscedasticity, Multicollinearity and Multiple Outliers PACS. ST 59 - ESTIMATION PARAMETERS USING BISQUARE WEIGHTED ROBUST RIDGE REGRESSION BRLTS ESTIMATOR IN THE PRESENCE OF MULTICOLLINEARITY AND OUTLIERS KAFI DANO PATIa , ROBIAH ADNANb , BELLO ABDULKADIR RASHEEDc & MUHAMMAD ALIAS MD.Jd Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Malaysia kafi dano@yahoo.com, robiaha@utm.my, arasheedbello@yahoo.com, muhamad jedi@yahoo.com a,b,c,d ABSTRACT This study presents an improvement to robust ridge regression estimator. We proposed two methods Bisquare ridge least trimmed squares (BRLTS) and Bisquare ridge least absolute value (BRLAV) based on ridge least trimmed squares RLTS and ridge least absolute value (RLAV) respectively. We compared these methods with existing estimators, namely ordinary least squares (OLS) and Bisquare ridge regression (BRID) using three criteria: Bias, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Standard Error (SE) to estimate the parameters coe±cients. The results of Bisquare ridge least trimmed squares (BRLTS) and Bisquare ridge least absolute value (BRLAV) are compared with existing methods using real data and simulation study. The empirical evidence shows that the results obtain from the BRLTS are the best among the three estimators followed by BRLAV with the least value of the RMSE for the diÆerent disturbance distributions and degrees of multicollinearity. § 150 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Keywords: multicollinearity; ridge regression; outliers; Bisquare weighted ridge least absolute value; Bisquare weighted ridge least trimmed squares. ST 61 - A NEW APPROACH FOR FISHERY LANDING FORECASTING BASED ON EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION AND ARIMA MODEL ANI SHABRIa a Department of Science Mathematics, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310, Johor, Malaysia ABSTRACT This paper proposes a new approach for fishery landing forecasting method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. This hybrid model is formulated specifically to address di±culties in modelling fishery landing which has inherently high nonlinear, non-stationary and seasonality. At first, EEMD was applied to decompose the time series into a series of diÆerent scales of intrinsic mode function (IMF). Then ARIMA is implemented to forecast every extracted IMFs independently. Finally, the forecast of proposed model is obtained by aggregating all forecasting results of the sub-series. To assess the eÆectiveness of this model, monthly fishery landing data from East Johor of Peninsular Malaysia, has been used as a case study. The result shows that the proposed EEMD-ARIMA yield better forecast than ARIMA and EMD-ARIMA models. Keywords: fishery landing, forecasting, ARIMA, EEMD, EMD, ST 62 - ANALYSIS ON THE FUTURE MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNT IN JOHOR FADHILAH YUSOFa & ZULKIFLI YUSOPb a b Jabatan Sains Matematik, Fakulti Sains Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 81310 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia fadhilahy@utm.my Institute of Environmental and Water Resource Management (IPASA) Faculty of Civil Engineering Universiti Teknologi Malaysia § 151 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia bf@um.edu.my ABSTRACT Floods and droughts are the two main disasters aÆecting living things and economics in Johor. These disasters can happen anytime in a year. One way to minimize the impacts of the disasters is to study the rainfall pattern in Johor. This involves analyzing the trend of the monthly rainfall amount whereby the Mann Kendall and Sequential Mann Kendall methods are used. The results show that there is no significant trend in the monthly rainfall amount time series. However, the positive trend reflects a possibility of increasing monthly amount in the future. Droughts and floods potential are analysed using Standardise Precipitation Index (SPI) on both historical and future rainfall data. The percentages of wet events increase more than 50% and in that events the extremely wet increase more than double. The percentages of dry events also increase of below 50% but the percentages of extremely dry decrease by almost 30%. Average severity and intensity of drought also show a decrease. Therefore, we can conclude that in the future, Johor is expected to have more wet events with the extremely wet events is expected to increase two folds. Drought episodes even though will occur but with less severe and less intense. Keywords: Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI); Mann Kendall; Sequential Mann Kendall; drought; flood. ST 63 - AN ARIMA-GARCH MODEL FOR SYNTHETIC GENERATION OF WIND SPEED TIME SERIES DATA Nurulkamal Masserana School of Mathematical Sciences Centre for Modeling and Data Analysis (DELTA), Faculty of Sciences and Technology Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia a ABSTRACT An accurate modeling of the fluctuations of wind speed data can always provide a beneficial eÆect, particularly in regard to wind energy conversion systems. Regarding this matter, a statistical modeling process and analysis has been widely used in the process of wind energy assessment to provide better insight into the behaviors and the variability of the wind regime in a particular area.In fact, a good statistical model will provide accurate forecasting of the wind speed. This will minimize scheduling errors and increase the reliability of the electric power grid. This study investigated the eÆect of the mean and volatility on the realizations of the wind speed by using a combination of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model and the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model (ARIMA-GARCH model). The results that were obtained show that the ARIMA-GARCH model is able to better forecast the wind speed data than is a single ARIMA model. Thus, it can be conclude that the ARIMA-GARCH model is a good model to use when describing the characteristics of wind speed data. § 152 § Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Keywords: Time Series Model; Wind Speed Modeling; Wind Energy. ST 64 - THE NEYMAN-SCOTT WHITE MODEL FOR MALAYSIA RAINFALL DATA NORAZLINA ISMAILa , PAUL COWPERTWAITb & BARRY MCDONALDc a Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor Bahru, 81310, Johor, Malaysia ai-norazlina@utm.my School of Computer and Mathematical Sciences Auckland University of Technology, AUT Tower Auckland, New Zealand bpaul.cowpertwait@aut.ac.nz b c New Zealand Institute for Advanced Study Massey University, Albany, Auckland, New Zealand cB.McDonald@massey.ac.nz ABSTRACT Rainfall in Malaysia has a significant diurnal variation in the daily data. To allow a rainfall model to display the diurnal variation, Neyman-Scott white noise (NSWN) model was chosen to describe the rainfall process in Malaysia with additional indicator to represent the diurnal pattern. The indicator variable is assumed to be independent of the main point process models. Since the point processes are assumed stationary for every month, then the indicator variables are assumed non-stationary for every two hour block. The two hour block was chosen because the diurnal variation can still be seen in the plot. Two models were developed, X-NSWN model and Markov X-NSWN model. Both models are compared based on the model statistical properties. The comparison shows that assuming dependency between the hours in the two hour blocks, improved the fitting of the derived statistical properties to the related historical values. Thus the Markov X-NSWN model is the best model to fit the hourly Malaysia rainfall data. Keywords: Neyman-Scott white noise; diurnal rainfall; point process. ST 65 - ON THE PERFORMANCE OF NEW GENERALIZED-M ESTIMATOR TO RECTIFY MULTICOLLINEARITY CAUSED BY HIGH LEVERAGE COLLINEARITY ENHANCING OBSERVATION § 153 § SKSM23 UTM, Johor Bahru Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik HABSHAH MIDIa & MOHAMMED A. MOHAMMEDb a Faculty of Science and Institute For Mathematical Research University Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang Selangor, Malaysia habshahmidi@gmail.com, mohammedam23@yahoo.com ABSTRACT The commonly used methods such as the ridge regression, jackknife ridge regression and latent root regression are often used to remedy the problem of multicollinearity caused by correlated among predictor variables. However, many statistics practitioners are not aware that High Leverage Collinearity Enhancing Observations (HLCEO) is another source of multicollinearity. In this regard,employing those methods may produce misleading conclusions about the fitting of regression model which may produce invalid inferential statement and incorrect prediction. In this paper, we developed a new bounded influence Generalised M-estimator that we call MGM estimator to remedy multicollinearity problem caused by HLCEO. The developed method incorporates two of our new developed diagnostics measures namely the Diagnostic Robust Generalised Potential (DRGP) and the Modified Generalised DFFITS (MGDFFITS). The results of our study indicate that the MGM estimator is the most e±cient method to rectify multicollinearity problem which is caused by HLCEO. Keywords: DFFITS, Generalized -M; High Leverage Points; Multicollinearity; High Leverage Collinearity Enhancing Observations > > > > > > >> § 154 § ! ! ! ! http://science.utm.my/mathematics !