Huerfano County 2.2011 - Division of Homeland Security and
Transcription
Huerfano County 2.2011 - Division of Homeland Security and
Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Multi-Jurisdictional All-Hazards Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan FOR Huerfano County SITUATED WITHIN THE State of Colorado Version Date: March, 2011 John Galusha, County Administrator Huerfano County john@huerfano.us Plan Approvable Pending Adoption: 3/16/11 This Plan encompasses the Colorado jurisdiction of: Huerfano County, Colorado Unincorporated Huerfano County Town of LaVeta City of Walsenburg Gardner Fire Protection District La Veta Fire Protection District Huerfano County Fire Protection District This Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan represents the work of Huerfano County, the City of Walsenburg, the Town of LaVeta and the Gardner, La Veta and Huerfano County Fire Protection Districts. This report encompasses the best efforts of the plan’s participants to comply with guidance from the State of Colorado, Division of Emergency Management, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency. Also, in accordance with FEMA guidance, it places additional emphasis on the flooding hazard. While it is believed to be fully responsive to the requirements of the state and federal governments, it is understood and acknowledged by all participants that the disaster mitigation planning process is dynamic and requires periodic review, analysis and amendment. Page 1 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan This page intentionally left blank Page 2 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Table of Contents Table of Contents Introduction……………………………………………………………4 Project Planning and Methodology………………................7 Community Profile……………………………………………………13 Hazards in Huerfano County………………………………………22 Risk Assessment………………………………………………………106 Hazard Mitigation…………………….....................................112 Plan Maintenance and Adoption………………………………….116 Appendices Appendix A: Mitigation Actions……………………………………120 Appendix B: Plan Participation……………………………………132 Appendix C: Pubic Survey Risk Assessment………………….135 Appendix D: STAPLEE Sample Template……………………….138 Appendix E: Risk Assessment Data Collection Template…142 Appendix F: Hazard Maps……………………………………………144 Page 3 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Introduction Natural hazards such as wildfire, high winds and tornadoes, avalanche and severe winter storms are typical occurrences of life in Colorado. These and other natural events regularly impact our daily life in Huerfano County, Colorado, and sometimes quite severely. It is not enough to focus solely on natural hazards in today’s world however, because human-caused hazards such as gas leaks or spills, technology failures, random and hard-to-predict violence and terrorism add a serious dimension to the natural threats faced by Huerfano County and its residents. To assist in reducing the impact on safety, property and critical infrastructure caused by these hazards, Huerfano County and its incorporated jurisdictions (sometimes collectively referred to herein as ‘Huerfano County’) are updating and supplementing their planning efforts through development of the Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan (“PDMP” or the “Plan”) that follows. As part of this comprehensive planning process, the County is also updating its current Emergency Management Plan. The PDMP process requires that each jurisdiction included in and requesting approval of the plan must document that it has been formally adopted. In this case, the communities listed in the tables below have actively participated in the Plan development and have adopted the Plan along with Huerfano County. In conjunction with these communities, Huerfano County has previously implemented formal and informal joint emergency response initiatives that have proved beneficial to County residents. The County and these communities, specifically LaVeta and Walsenburg, have elected to develop a multi-jurisdictional Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan designed to leverage their common characteristics and planning resources, and to better prepare for the variety of natural and manmade hazards the community faces. Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 To help protect the Nation from disasters, especially those considered to be naturally occurring ones, the U.S. Congress passed the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act, enacted as the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (DMA 2000). With this legislation the Federal government placed an emphasis on pre-disaster mitigation of potential hazards. Most relevant to state and local governments under the DMA 2000 are its amendments to Sections 203 (Pre-Disaster Hazard Mitigation) and 322 (Mitigation Planning). Further guidance has been published in the Local Multi-Hazard Mitigation Planning Guidance, published by FEMA in July, 2008, that includes a Plan Review Crosswalk, consistent with the Stafford Act and the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968, as amended by the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2004 (P.L. 108-264) and 44 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part 201 – Mitigation Planning, and is inclusive of all amendments through October 31, 2007. Section 203 of the DMA 2000 establishes a "National Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund" to support a program that will "provide technical and financial assistance to state and local governments to assist in the implementation of pre-disaster hazard mitigation measures that are costeffective and designed to reduce injuries, loss of life, and damage and destruction of property, including damage to critical services and facilities under the jurisdiction of the state or local governments." Section 322 of the DMA 2000 provides a new and revitalized approach to mitigation planning by: Page 4 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan • Establishing a requirement and delivering new guidance for state, local and tribal mitigation plans; • Providing for states to receive an increased percentage of Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) funds (from 15 percent to 20 percent) if, at the time of the declaration of a major disaster, they have in effect an approved State Mitigation Plan that meets criteria defined in the law; and • Authorizing up to seven percent (7.0%) of the HMGP funds available to a state to be used for development of state, local and tribal mitigation plans. Huerfano County applied for and received funds from the State of Colorado to support development of this Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan and to comply with the DMA 2000. Through the leadership of the County Administrator and Emergency Management Coordinator and a voluntary team of Huerfano County emergency professionals and County residents, a common plan for their county and incorporated towns has been prepared. This Plan, as described herein, is known as the Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan. Purpose, Goals and Objectives The essential purposes of this planning effort are stated below: • To protect life, safety and property by reducing the potential for future damages and economic losses that result from natural and human-caused hazards; • To support future grant requests for pre- and post-disaster initiatives; • To speed recovery and redevelopment following future disaster events; • To demonstrate Huerfano County’s commitment to hazard mitigation principles; and • To comply with federal and state legislation and guidance for local hazard mitigation planning The most critical components of the Plan are a set of recommended pre-disaster mitigation actions that help to reduce the potential negative impacts caused by the prioritized hazards. Specific goals and objectives have been established to deliver tangible benefits to the County through mitigation actions that have been justified and prioritized using accepted practices and the methodology described in this document. Huerfano County and its participating towns have formally adopted this Plan and established a process to periodically evaluate and modify its goals, objectives and mitigation actions as part of ongoing Plan maintenance. Scope of the plan The Plan’s focus is on those hazards determined to pose the highest risk as indicated by Huerfano County’s risk assessment. Priority is given to hazards with greater potential to affect health and safety, impact emergency response capability or create distress to property and critical infrastructures within Huerfano County. Huerfano County carefully considered a variety of natural hazards and human-caused threats pursuant to the planning process, and the hazards and mitigation actions detailed herein are those prioritized by the County and its plan partners. Future versions of the Plan will reevaluate hazards and, if appropriate, prioritize new hazards and develop associated potential mitigation actions documented in updated versions of the Plan. Project Participants The Plan leveraged the various skills and interests associated with the participating jurisdictions. It was developed by a multi-disciplined group consisting of emergency planners and responders, local government officials, and other subject matter experts within the private and public sectors. Project participants represented Huerfano County, the Town of La Page 5 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Veta, the City of Walsenburg, as well as the Huerfano County, La Veta and Upper Huerfano Fire Protection Districts. Residents within Huerfano County actively contributed to Plan development by participating in the risk assessment and by providing valuable input to the draft Plan. Subsequent versions of the Plan will seek to include an even broader set of stakeholders while continuing its focus on public participation. Huerfano County, its participating jurisdictions and agencies provided important contributions to the Plan, and, where appropriate, the Plan distinguishes information unique to each jurisdiction. Authority The Plan has been developed in accordance with current state and federal rules and regulations governing local hazard mitigation plans, including: • Section 322, Mitigation Planning, of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act, as enacted by Section 104 of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (P.L. 106390); • Local Multi-Hazard Mitigation Planning Guidance, published by FEMA in July, 2008. • The State of Colorado, Department of Emergency Management, Office of the Governor. The authorities for jurisdictions participating in this Plan have adopted the plan effective as of the dates shown in the following tables. Huerfano County PDMP Adoption Schedule Jurisdiction Adopting Authority Plan Adoption Date Huerfano County Board of County Commissioners La Veta Town Council Walsenburg City Council Huerfano County Fire Protection District Board La Veta Fire Protection District Board Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District Board The Plan will be monitored and revised periodically in accordance with legislation and rules covering mitigation planning and as described in a subsequent section of this document. Plan Organization The Plan follows a format consistent with those adopted by FEMA and the State of Colorado. The Plan includes sections covering: • Introduction • Project Planning and Methodology • Community Profile • Risk Assessment • Hazard Mitigation Strategy • Plan Maintenance and Adoption • Appendices Page 6 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Project Planning and Methodology This section describes the hazard mitigation planning process undertaken by Huerfano County to create a Plan and provide a framework for periodic Plan review and improvement. Huerfano County and its towns are subject to many different human-caused and natural hazards, but they generally share a common geography, demographic and economic base. Huerfano County has implemented the planning methodology using a process based on widely recognized best practices, guidance from FEMA and the Colorado Division of Emergency Management, and input from the private sector and Huerfano County’s respective constituents and emergency services professionals. Topics describing this process include: • The planning team and the project charter process • Plan coordination and team meetings • Hazards identification and prioritization, with additional emphasis on flooding hazards • Risk determination and impact on critical infrastructure • Identification and selection of mitigation strategies • Implementation of mitigation strategies • Plan maintenance and updates This Plan was developed to meet requirements under the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (DMA 2000), but although the DMA 2000 mandates mitigation planning for natural disasters only, state and local planners have been encouraged to include manmade hazards such as various HAZMAT, methane gas leakage and terrorist issues into its planning model. Huerfano County recognizes that planning for human-caused hazards will serve to increase overall preparedness, and that an all-hazards approach is encompassed by this Plan. THE PLANNING TEAM Project participants This Plan was developed using input from a cross-functional set of project participants representing Huerfano County. Notwithstanding the expertise available, Huerfano County planners understand that the plan’s undertaking required a substantial commitment and additional resources to coordinate the effort. With funding through the Colorado Division of Emergency Management, Huerfano County selected Coalfire Government Systems, Inc., a Colorado company specializing in issues of risk management and emergency planning, to provide planning guidance and prepare the draft Plan based on input from the project participants. As listed in the following tables, the project planning team consists of individuals representing Huerfano County and their respective communities who have adopted the Plan. The project approach requires the involvement of community residents, officials, including emergency response professionals, and representatives from the private sector. The planning team considered guidance from FEMA and interviewed a variety of stakeholders about possible project participants. As this planning process continues, Huerfano County intends to broaden participation to improve plan quality. NOTE: The following tables should be expanded, deleted, revised or updated according to participation, as appropriate. Page 7 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County and Participating Jurisdictions Project Participant General Project Role Huerfano County County Administrator, Huerfano County Emergency Manager and Director, Geographical Information Systems, Huerfano County County Commissioner, Huerfano County Assessor, Huerfano County Director, Planning, Huerfano County Director, LA/H Health Department, Huerfano County Director, Road & Bridge Department, Huerfano County Sheriff, Huerfano County Fire Chief, Huerfano County Fire District Local Emergency Planning Committee, Huerfano County Fire Chief, Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District • Huerfano County Project Manager and sponsor for, and attendee of, regular project meetings • Coordinate subject matter expertise on mitigation planning • Review and approve public survey • Coordinate hazard identification and prioritization • Coordinate identification of critical infrastructure • Support the risk assessment and identification of mitigation options and recommendations • Collection of existing emergency and mitigation plans • Coordinate public hearings for plan review • Survey participant • Review draft documents • Review and approve public survey • Survey participant • Attend and support project kickoff meeting • Provide land use information as available • Review and approve public survey • Participate in survey • Provide data relative to county demographics • Attend and support project kickoff meeting • Review and revise draft plans • Provide planning information as available • Attend and support project kickoff meeting • Mitigation action input • Review and plan input • Attend and support project kickoff meeting • Provide hazard identification and analysis support • Analysis of hazard mitigation actions • Provide hazard identification and analysis support • Analysis of hazard mitigation actions • Provide hazard identification and analysis support • Analysis of hazard mitigation actions • Review draft documents • Attend and support document release to entities for review and approval • Review of draft documents • Provide hazard identification and analysis support • Analysis of hazard mitigation actions • Review draft documents City of Walsenburg City Administrator, Walsenburg Chief, Walsenburg Police Department Director , Spanish Peaks Regional Health Center • Review plan • Review plan • Review plan Town of La Veta (and La Veta Fire Protection District) Mayor, Town of La Veta Chief, La Veta Police Department Fire Chief, La Veta Fire District President of the Board, La Veta Fire Protection District • Project planning and approval • Review draft documents • Review draft documents • Provide hazard identification and analysis support • Analysis of hazard mitigation actions • Provide hazard identification and analysis support regarding landslide issues Page 8 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The Huerfano County Local Emergency Planning Committee contributed to the review, guidance and approval of the Plan. These Local Emergency Planning Committee members include: Huerfano County Local Emergency Planning Committee • Huerfano County Office of Emergency Management • Huerfano County Sheriff’s Office • Huerfano County Ambulance • Huerfano County Board of County Commissioners • Huerfano County Search and Rescue Group • Colorado Forest Service • City of Walsenburg • Town of LaVeta • • • • Walsenburg Police Department Huerfano County Fire Protection District Spanish Peaks Regional Health Center American Red Cross, Pueblo Chapter The State of Colorado, Division of Emergency Management, was consulted pursuant to the State’s hazard mitigation planning efforts. Experts from government agencies and private organizations outside Huerfano County also contributed to the plan. In some instances these non-County expert resources contributed to this project as part of the Huerfano County Safety Council. The non-County experts listed in the following table, however, provided detailed input to the plan collected through a series of interviews, plan analysis activities and plan reviews. These non-county experts are summarized in the following table. Resources Not Employed by the County or Participating Jurisdictions Contributing to the PDMP Development Project Participant General Project Role Meteorologist, National Weather Service Captain, Colorado State Patrol Regional Planner, Colorado Division of Emergency Management Director, American Red Cross Chris Hill, Consultant Sr. Vice President, Coalfire Government Systems, Inc. • • • • • • Provide hazard identification and analysis support Analysis of hazard mitigation actions Review draft documents Provide traffic data Analysis of hazard mitigation actions Review draft documents • • • • • Review draft documents PDMP Consultant for project planning Project kick-off facilitator Draft Plan development Hazard identification, risk Assessment and mitigation guidance PDMP Consultant for project planning Project kick-off facilitator Draft Plan development Hazard identification, risk Assessment and mitigation guidance • • • • Community participation Huerfano County recognizes that community members can provide valuable contributions and, in some cases, special expertise to the hazard mitigation planning process. The methodology used in developing this Plan attempted to maximize valuable public involvement by utilizing two reliable survey techniques. Public comment was collected through both hardcopy and web-based surveys to expand the potential for broader public participation. As part of this process, the planning team also collected input from professionals in emergency management, fire services, medical and health services, law enforcement, planning, Page 9 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan government administration, community development, and others serving in the public and private sectors. The community’s opinions of the hazards most threatening to their environment were used to help identify and prioritize hazards and direct mitigation efforts. Public involvement also provided information that identified critical infrastructures subject to hazard impact. Sample survey forms and tabulated survey results are attached to the Plan as Appendix C. Project Initiation and team coordination Project planning was initiated through a project charter meeting conducted in Walsenburg on August 5th, 2008. The purpose of the meeting was to introduce county officials and residents to the planning team, assemble primary project participants and confirm contact information, project activities, milestones, deliverables, schedules, roles and responsibilities. The meeting resulted in a charter document created to guide Plan development. As noted previously, the plan is formulated from the input from a large group of participants and stakeholders. To accommodate various participant scheduling issues and provide an efficient vehicle to manage the planning activities in a secure environment, Huerfano County utilized a secure project portal accessible from the Internet. The project portal helps in organizing planning activities and preserving project communications. It also assists with issues of document retention and destruction. Portal access rights are developed based on authority granted by the County project manager. Below is a screen shot of the Huerfano County portal home page. Page 10 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Hazard Identification The United States is vulnerable to a variety of natural hazards that sometimes seriously threaten life and property, can cause lingering damage to critical facilities and the disruption of vital services. Unfortunately events of a generally localized nature confirm that risks continue to exist from human-caused hazards that range from car or military accidents to domestic and international terrorism to bizarre random acts of extreme violence such as the recent killings of legal immigrants studying for their citizenship tests in Binghamton, NY. The planning team considered a comprehensive list of hazards and used risk assessment activities to prioritize certain hazards for mitigation actions that would be appropriate for Huerfano County. Risk Assessment A risk assessment was conducted to analyze hazards, determine loss estimates and establish a supportable basis for the selection of acceptable mitigation actions. The risk assessment encompassed these activities: • Public input - Using community surveys discussed previously in this section, citizens provide input on hazards and hazard impact within the planning area. • Risk assessment – Based on subject matter expertise provided by emergency services professionals within Huerfano County and experts in the private sector, hazards were ranked and impact estimated. • Identification of critical infrastructure – Resources, facilities and services within the planning area were evaluated for hazard impact and loss expectancy. The outcome of these activities allowed Huerfano County to identify and profile hazards affecting the county and the incorporated towns of LaVeta and Walsenburg. The planning team used this information to determine vulnerabilities and provide the factual basis for the mitigation actions selected. Review of Current Plans, Studies and Reports To validate potential mitigation options and to coordinate outcome from the Plan with existing mitigation strategies and plans, planning studies, emergency planning reports, and other documents currently covering prioritized hazards within Huerfano County were reviewed. These existing plans and documents reviewed are summarized in the Hazard Mitigation section of this document. Mitigation Planning The risk assessment process identified hazards considered a priority within Huerfano County, and the planning team developed and documented goals and objectives to guide mitigation planning efforts. The team also developed and evaluated strategies for implementing justified and prioritized mitigation actions. The Huerfano County PDMP team conducted research, reviewed plans and interviewed experts to collect potential mitigation actions for these prioritized hazards. Potential mitigation actions and strategies then were evaluated using the FEMA-recommended STAPLEE methodology, which seeks to identify options acceptable and appropriate for the community. STAPLEE evaluates mitigation options by comparing them to these criteria: Social acceptance, Technical merit, Administrative support, Political support, Legal support, Economic viability and the Environment. Mitigation alternatives were also evaluated for costbenefit and compared to current mitigation projects underway. The results of this process defined the mitigation actions included with the plan submitted for adoption by Huerfano County and their participating jurisdictions. Page 11 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Implementation strategies for prioritized mitigation actions were developed at a strategic level to guide follow-on planning efforts. All targeted mitigation strategies were assigned points of contact within Huerfano County. Plan Maintenance and adoption Inasmuch as the planning process is a dynamic one, Huerfano County will periodically review the final plan and determine whether any significant changes have occurred that would require modifications to proposed mitigation actions and the Plan document. As discussed in the Plan Maintenance section of this document, the planning team has selected specific timeframes and criteria and assigned roles for Plan review and update. It is anticipated that the Huerfano County Communication Advisory Board will be responsible for the review and update of the Plan. Public input is important to the development and maintenance of the plan, and Huerfano County will continue to seek input from many sources, including residents. Significant modifications to the Plan also necessitate adoption by the appropriate governing bodies within the County. Page 12 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Community Profile - Huerfano County, CO Geography Huerfano County is one of the 17 original Colorado counties, also known as the original divisions of the Colorado Territory. Located in the southeastern part of the state, Huerfano’s main population centers are the county seat, Walsenburg, LaVeta and the Village of Gardner. All lie within floodplains. In 1866, the southern part of the county was split off to form Las Animas County. In 1870 Huerfano was again divided apportioned and the eastern section became part of Otero County, a smaller portion went to Pueblo County and another to Las Animas County. Also in 1870, more changes led to part of southern Fremont County being added to Huerfano. Huerfano’s neighbors today are Pueblo to the northeast, Las Animas to the southeast, Costilla to the southwest, Alamosa to the west and Saguache and Custer counties to the northwest. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the county has a total area of 1,593 square miles, of which 1,591 square miles is land and 2 square miles is water. Since the County encompasses two major physiographic areas, the Rocky Mountains and the Great Plains, it includes a variety of land forms, vegetation and climactic conditions. Elevations in the County vary from 5,280 feet where the Cucharas River exits the County, to 14, 345 feet at the summit of Blanca Peak. The Sangre de Cristo Mountains ridge line forms the western boundary of Huerfano County, while the East and West Spanish Peaks lie on the County’s southern border. The Greenhorn Mountain is located on the northern border. From these high points, the terrain slopes in an irregular fashion downward through subalpine and montane forests of pine, fir, spruce and aspen to meadows, foothills, hogback ridges and grasslands that are rich and vibrant in color and replete with wildlife. These in turn are etched with many streams, arroyos and steeply cut canyons. In the central part of Huerfano County, massive dikes, sills and intrusive rock formations highlight the landscape. The two principal rivers in the County are the Huerfano and the Cucharas. They originate high in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and descend to the plains. Near the northeast border of the County, the Cucharas flows into the Huerfano, and that in turn joins the Arkansas River in eastern Pueblo County. Most of the county’s population lives in these two river valleys, with most residing in the city of Walsenburg, the town of LaVeta and the unincorporated towns of Gardner and Cuchara. Page 13 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County’s climate varies wildly, and ranges from mild to warm and sunny, to severe snow and windy conditions in the wintertime. It is semi-arid and seasonally windswept in the eastern part, but cool and moist at the higher elevations. Daily temperatures can vary widely within the county. Annual precipitation ranges from a low of 10 inches a year in the eastern edge of the county to forty inches or more in the Spanish Peaks. Above 10,000 feet, the spring snowmelt provides the primary source of surface moisture, while below the summer rains are the main source of runoff. Those rains often come in the form of violent storms. Huerfano County and its surrounding area contain an abundance of beautiful sights and locations that largely remains remote and unexplored. Each road leads to a number of scenic destinations. One such notable locale that has been discovered is the Great Sand Dunes National Park which has 130 square miles of sand dunes situated just beyond the western border of the county. Its location makes Huerfano County a gateway to the sights and natural wonders of the region. Interstate 25 runs north and south and borders the mountains to the west and the high plains on the east. Highway 160 stretches from the eastern plains of Colorado over several scenic mountain passes, and from this road one can access the Great Sand Dunes National Park, an alligator farm, the Denver & Rio Grande Scenic Railroad, and the Cumbres Toltec Scenic Railroad, in addition to numerous historic sites. Along the way there are many bucolic sites, including farms, valleys, ranches, lakes, and plenty of wildlife. Highway 12, also known as the Highway of Legends, moves south from Highway 160 to La Veta, Cuchara and ultimately to Trinidad, where the route ends. There are incredible views of mountains and valleys, and this area enjoys an abundance of lakes and forests. Hunting, hiking, camping, bike-riding, bird watching and many other outdoor activities are enjoyed by residents and visitors to the area. Mining was once the engine that drove most of the growth of Huerfano County, especially coal and silver mining. Although the mines are long gone, their legacy remains firmly etched in the County’s history. Occasional and unwelcome reminders of that industry occur even today when methane gas leaks from old mines breach their confines and create environmental hazards. Nonetheless, coal was once king for many years in the County, and the heritage of its coal mining towns is still celebrated to this day. DEMOGRAPHICS Huerfano’s population through July, 2007 is estimated to be 7,837 compared to a population total of 7,862 in the census of 2000. During those same years the average household size remained steady at slightly more than two. In the year 2000, the county had 3,082 households with 1,920 families residing therein. County population density was 5 people per square mile. The racial makeup of the county was 80.96% White, 2.75% Black or African American, 2.70% Native American, 0.39% Asian, 0.08% Pacific Islander, 9.41% from other races, and 3.71% from two or more races. 35.14% of the population was Hispanic or Latino of any race. Twenty-five percent of the 3,082 households had children under the age of 18, and 48% were married couples living together. Approximately 10% had a female householder with no husband present, and 38% were non-families. Nearly 33% of all households were made up of individuals and 14% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. This latter statistic becomes especially important in considering emergency response and evacuation issues. Page 14 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The average household size of Huerfano County in 2000 was 2.25 and the average family size was 2.85. The age of the population was spread out with 21% under 18, 7% from 18 to 24, 27% from 25 to 44, 27% from 45 to 64, and 17% who were 65 years of age or older. The median age was 42 years. For every 100 females there were approximately 119 males, and for every 100 females age 18 and over, there were 123 males. The median income for a household in Huerfano County was $25,775, and the median income for a family was $32,664. Males had a median income of $24,209 versus $21,048 for females. The per capita income for the county was $15,242. About 14% of families and 18% of the population were below the poverty line, including 24% of those under age 18 and 12% of those ages 65 or over. In 2002, the per capita personal income in Huerfano County had increased to $18,486. This was an increase of 22% from 1997. The 2002 figure was 60% of the national per capita income, which was $30,906. HISTORY The word “Huerfano” means “orphan” in Spanish. The county was named after the Huerfano River, which originally got its name from the Huerfano Butte, an isolated cone shaped butte located near the river. From the Huerfano County government website, some of the colorful history of the area is described below. Huerfano County first began as a crossroads in the American west years before the arrival of European settlers. Taos Pueblo, a former major Native American trading center in northern New Mexico, has existed for over 1,000 years. Trading routes spread out from Taos in every direction, but perhaps one of the most used trailheads north from Taos into the San Luis Valley, crosses east over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and continues through the gap between Rough Mountain and Sheep Mountain. From here, it follows Oak Creek to the Huerfano River, continuing to the eastern edge of the Wet Mountains and then north along both the Wets and the Front Range to the South Platte River. Here the trail forks, with one branch heading north, and the other following the South Platte into Nebraska. In the past, native tribes took this trail through Huerfano County. Near where the Oak Creek branches off from the Huerfano River, a settlement called Badito was founded. Although the Zebulon Pike Expedition in 1806-07 is recognized as the first American expedition to officially enter Huerfano County, over 1400 Europeans are noted to have passed through Badito along the way to Taos Trail. After Pike's expedition notified the Spaniards in Santa Fe of their arrival, the Spaniards responded by building a fort along the southeastern edge of the Wet Mountains, close to Badito, in 1819-20. During the Mexican Revolution in 1820, the Spanish were forced to abandon the fort. Also during this year, William Becknell made the first recorded traverse of the Santa Fe Trail from Missouri to Santa Fe and back. Although Becknell didn't approach Huerfano County, he established a trail that brought thousands of travelers west. A number of these travelers split off from the Mountain Branch of the Santa Fe Trail and headed west, past Huerfano Butte and up the Huerfano, over Sangre de Cristo Pass and into the San Luis Valley. Like latter day bootleggers or smugglers, this route was preferred by traders heading to Taos who sought to avoid customs officials in Santa Fe. In the earlier days of American governance, Badito was the main center of business and the official county seat before Walsenburg became more established and the county offices were moved there. Badito also declined as the fur trading industry began to shrink. Today, Walsenburg is the county hub with roads heading cross-country in all directions. Due in part to the intersection of I-25 with US 160 and State Highways 10 and 69, over 4 million vehicles make the drive down Main Street per year. Some of Huerfano County’s towns are decribed in more detail below: Page 15 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Cuchara The town of Cuchara is situated on the eastern slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in the heart of the Cucharas River Valley. The town is surrounded by the San Isabel National Forest with its multitude of lakes, mountains and wilderness. On the east side of town is the West Spanish Peak. The Cuchara River flows along the edge of town. Cuchara is located at an elevation of 8,600 feet, and enjoys an average annual precipitation of 36 inches. Its terrain is that of an alpine mountain valley filled primarily with aspens, ponderosas and blue spruce. Temperatures in January range from an average high of 45 to a low of 10, whereas in July, the daily high is usually in the 70’s with a low of 52. The population of the town at the time of the 2000 census was 150. As one leaves south from town, on Highway 12, also called the Scenic Highway of Legends, some of the most spectacular aspen groves and wild iris fields in Colorado can be observed. Crossing over the nearby Cucharas River leads to Bear Lake and Blue Lake. The highway then winds through several switchbacks until it finally opens out at the top of Cuchara Pass, at an elevation of 9,995 ft. At this point, Forestry Road 46 goes east and crosses Cordova Pass on the shoulder of the West Spanish Peak and continues eastward through the Apishapa Arch, Gulnare and Aguilar to I-25. About 8 miles south of Cuchara Pass is North Lake State Wildlife Area, an excellent fishing area. A little further south is Monument Lake Park, a full service facility on the shores of Monument Lake. Gardner Gardner, Colorado is situated in the Huerfano River Valley, about halfway between the Wet Mountains and the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. Historically, it's hard to separate Gardner from the original settlements in the Upper Huerfano Valley. This area was first criss-crossed for years by Ute, Comanche and Apache hunting parties and then the Spanish Conquistadors and the French trappers. A few groups of Americans periodically visited the area, but actual settlers did not arrive until the late 1850's. Gardner was founded along the route of the stage line from Westcliffe/Silver Cliff to Walsenburg. When Silver Cliff was a booming mining town the area was heavily trafficked. Over the years however, settlements in the Upper Huerfano faded away and much of the area's business and population shifted to Gardner. In the late 1960's, the Gardner area became a popular refuge for hippies and those interested in communal living. Many came from more urban locales however, and had no practical idea of the realities of daily life in a very rural, semi-arid area. Libre is one community from these Page 16 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan times that still exists but the lifestyle there is much different than that envisioned by the idealists of the 1960s. Today, Gardner grows slowly. It is an unincorporated town but operates schools that serve students from the northern and western area of Huerfano County. Highway 69 is completely paved and most of the road is part of the Frontier Pathways Scenic and Historic Byway. Just north of Gardner is where County Road 550 heads west past Malachite, Red Wing, Chama, and Sharpsdale before reaching the San Isabel National Forest. Surrounding Gardner are various Forest Service access roads leading east into the Wet Mountains and west to the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. Southwest of town is the ARCO Sheep Mountain CO2 Project. La Veta La Veta is situated on the eastern side of La Veta Pass through the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and at the northern opening of the Cuchara River Valley. Just south of town is the foot of the West Spanish Peak. La Veta is surrounded by the Great Dikes of the Spanish Peaks, which are large, vertical granite formations that emanate outward from the Spanish Peaks. The town today is known throughout Colorado as an artist colony, although there remain many cattle ranchers and an a few elk ranchers. As of the 2000 census, LaVeta had 924 people, 429 households, and 251 families residing in the town. The population density was 748 people per square mile. There were 552 housing units at an average density of 447 per square mile. The racial makeup of the town was 92% white, with about 11% of the remainder Hispanic or Latino. There were 429 households out of which 27% had children under the age of 18, 45% were married couples living together, approximately 10% had a female householder with no husband present, and 41% were non-families. Thirty-five % of all households were made up of individuals and about 15% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.15 and the average family size was 2.79. Page 17 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan In the town itself the population was spread out with 25% under the age of 18, 5.0% from 18 to 24, 25% from 25 to 44, 29% from 45 to 64, and 16% who were 65 years of age or older. The median age was 43 years. For every 100 females there were 92.1 males. For every 100 females age 18 and over, there were 86.9 males. The median income for a household in the town was $29,342, and the median income for a family was $35,156. Males had a median income of $30,417 versus $21,691 for females. The per capita income for the town was $18,489. About 15% of families and 16% of the population were below the poverty line, including 24% of those under age 18 and 15% of those ages 65 or over. LaVeta is located at an elevation of 7,000 feet where it receives an average of about 18 inches of precipitation per year. Its terrain is that of an alpine mountain valley that abuts mountains and high plains. January’s high temperature is about 48, with a low of 19. July temperatures range from an average high of 91 to a low of 58. The old La Veta Pass Train Station, now the new La Veta Town Hall Walsenburg The City of Walsenburg is the county seat and most populous city of Huerfano County. The city population was 4,182 at the 2000 census. Walsenburg sits at an elevation of 6,126 feet, and has an average annual precipitation of only 16 inches. The Walsenburg terrain is that of an irregular plateau broken by numerous narrow fertile valleys in the east, rising to the Culebra Range of the Sangre de Cristo in the west and the Spanish Peaks in the south. January’s average temperatures are a high of 48 and a low of 19, while July’s average temperatures range from a high of 91 to a low of 58. Page 18 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Walsenburg’s story can be traced back 150 years when waves of settlers from New Mexico started moving into an area know by the native Tribes as Huajatolla, meaning “Breasts of the Earth”. The current name of Walsenburg comes from Fred Walsen, a local merchant who had opened a trading post there. Mostly because of Fred Walsen, a large number of Germans had settled in and around the plaza by the 1870’s. Fred Walsen opened the first coal mine in the county just west of town in 1876. The Walsen Mine was the largest and most productive coal mine in Huerfano County. During the latter half of the 1800's and early 1900's, this area produced over 500 million tons of coal from various mines in the county. According to some historic references, the population of the county reached as high as 20,000, but the mines became "nonproductive" when Colorado began to enforce the state's mining safety regulations and with the development of oil and natural gas as the fuels of choice. Walsenburg struggled after the coal industry left, just like other mining towns in southern Colorado and other states. Walsenburg had been on the upswing in recent years, adding new businesses and a growing tourism industry. The recent loss of the private prison in Walsenburg, discussed in more detail in the section about “Jail/Prison Escapes” below, has added to the problems of the county caused in part by the recent economic recession. As of the census of 2000, there were 1,497 households, and 881 families residing in the city. The population density was 1,795 people per square mile. There were 1,723 housing units at an average density of 740 square miles. The racial makeup of the city was 75% white, 5% African American, 3% Native American, 12% from other races, and 4% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race constituted 51% of the population. There were 1,497 households out of which 26% had children under the age of 18, 41% were married couples living together, 14% had a female householder with no husband present, and 41% were non-families. Thirty-seven % of all households were made up of individuals and 19% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.25 and the average family size was 2.95. Page 19 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan In the city the population was spread out with 21% under the age of 18, 9% from 18 to 24, 31% from 25 to 44, 21% from 45 to 64, and 18% who were 65 years of age or older. The median age was 38 years. For every 100 females there were 133 males, and for every 100 females age 18 and over, there were 141 males. The median income for a household in the city was $22,005, and the median income for a family was $26,218. Males had a median income of $20,347 versus $19,020 for females. The per capita income for the city was $11,562. About 20% of families and 21% of the population were below the poverty line, including 26% of those under age 18 and 14% of those ages 65 or over. Fire Protection Districts Huerfano County has three fire protection districts. They are the Huerfano County Fire Protection District, the La Veta Fire Protection District and the Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District. The Huerfano County Fire District has the largest response area, including the City of Walsenburg and the entire I-25 corridor. The La Veta Fire Protection District response area includes the Town of La Veta, parts of the US Highway 160 corridor, and areas east and north of the Town, including Cuchara. The Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District response area includes Gardner and the northeastern portion of Huerfano County. The following map shows the response areas for each district: Page 20 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan COUNTY AIRPORTS The Spanish Peaks Airfield, also known as the Huerfano County Airport, is located about 5 miles north of Walsenburg. The terminal building is considered small but adequate. The main runway is paved and 4900 feet long and 60 feet wide. Other airports in the county are Cuchara Valley at La Veta Airport, Golden Field, Gardner, Johnson Field, Walsenburg, North La Veta Landing Field, La Veta, and Walsenburg Landing Field. DAMS Huerfano County has a total of five Class I and three Class II dams. A Class I dam is one whereby a failure results in the probable loss of life. A Class II dam is one that may experience significant structural damage but not loss of human life. The phrase “significant damage” refers to structural damage where humans live, work or recreate, or to public or private facilities exclusive of unpaved roads and picnic areas. “Damage” refers to rendering these structures uninhabitable or inoperable. PRESIDENTIAL AND U.S.D.A - Declared Disasters Huerfano County experienced a number of Disaster Declarations in the past 20 years, including United States Department of Agriculture Disaster Declarations for drought and Presidential Disaster and Emergency Declarations for a variety of other disaster occurrences. The tables below list these declarations: Huerfano County Year Type declaration Disaster 2002 Presidential Disaster Wildfires 2002 USDA Disaster Drought 2003 Presidential Emergency Snow 2004 USDA Disaster Drought 2005 USDA Disaster Ongoing drought, Crop diseases, Insect infestations 2006 USDA Disaster Drought, Fire, Heat, High Winds Page 21 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Hazards in Huerfano County Colorado is vulnerable to a number of natural hazards that have the potential to seriously threaten life and property. Damage to critical facilities and disruption of vital services caused by natural hazards has a significant impact on the victim communities. In addition to natural hazards, recent local, national and international events remind us that risks also exist due to human-caused hazards. Such threats present themselves in many forms, ranging from accidents on our roadways to domestic and international terrorism. One example of random, unanticipated violence occurred in the town of Granby, Colorado in June, 2004, made national headlines and resulted in the death of the deranged perpetrator and substantial property damage to several buildings in the town. The section below discusses that incident and all other hazards deemed to have a potential impact on Huerfano County. It further focuses on those “priority” hazards facing the county as selected by a consensus of citizens and experts. Those hazards expected to have significant loss potential are identified as Priority Hazards. Other hazards with less potential impact or with fewer effective mitigation actions available are discussed later in this section and are referred to as ‘Other Hazards’. The determination of the Priority Hazards was made through a multi-step qualitative risk assessment process. The qualitative risk tasks included numerous interviews and surveys of emergency response and planning professionals, online and written surveys of county residents and independent historical research, which drew information from many and varied sources. Based on this process, five hazards were found to pose the greatest threats to Huerfano County and were prioritized as discussed in the following section. PRIORITIZED HAZARDS Based on the risk assessment, the planning team prioritized these hazards for further analysis and mitigation planning: • • • • • Wildfires Winter Storms High Winds/Tornadoes Methane Gas HAZMAT/Transported Of secondary concern to the planning team were the hazards of Drought, Lightning and Thunderstorms and Motor Vehicle Crashes. Flooding issues received special consideration by the planning team as well. The team determined that the five top prioritized hazards posed a greater overall risk to life, safety, critical infrastructure and vital services. Future iterations of the PDMP will possibly include mitigation actions for hazards other than those prioritized by this Plan. Page 22 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan WILDFIRES Huerfano County is not unique in the State of Colorado for its exposure to the devastating effects of wildfire. In fact, the entire Rocky Mountain region has been plagued with wildfires in the past several years and this hazard consistently tops the pre-disaster planning rankings as the most severe problem facing the state’s counties. The wildfire situation has been exacerbated by the onset of severe drought conditions for much of this decade throughout the western U.S. The wildfire threat as posed by three classes of fire is described briefly below: Surface fire: This is the most common wildfire type and it burns along the floor of a forest, moving slowly while killing or damaging trees. Surface fires play an important role in reducing low vegetation and woody, moss, lichens and litter strata, which helps to temporarily reduce the chance of such fuels leading to severe crown fires. Ground fire: These fires, which are usually started by lightning or human carelessness, burn on or below the forest floor. Ground fires reduce the accumulation of organic matter and carbon storage, and contribute to smoke production during active fires and long after the flames have ended. Ground fires can also damage and kill large trees by killing their roots and the lower stems. Crown fire: Such fires are spread rapidly by wind and move quickly by jumping along the tops of trees. Crown fires generally pose the largest immediate and long-term ecological effect and the greatest threat to human settlements near wildland areas. Wildfire in Colorado is topographically separated into three fire demand zones. The Alpine zone is characterized by high altitude and primarily populated with spruce and fir. The Montane zone is next, and is populated by ponderosa pine and aspen woodlands. At the lowest but most densely populated elevations, the Pinon / Juniper zone is semi-arid and includes scrub oak woodlands. Homes and cabins, subdivisions, resorts, recreational areas, organizational camps, businesses and industries are all located within high fire hazard areas. Recreational demands in popular mountain areas such as those found in Huerfano County place more people in wild lands during holidays, weekends and vacation periods. Adding to the potential fire hazard are residents and visitors who sometimes lack adequate education or preparation for a blaze that can sweep through the brush and timber in a matter of minutes. The 2002 wildfire season was particularly memorable because it was the worst in United States history, with some 2.3 million acres burned, 2.1 million more than in 2000. Colorado suffered terribly that year, with 4,612 wildfires that burned over 619,000 acres and cost approximately $152 million in suppression costs. Approximately 81,400 people were Page 23 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan evacuated and about 1,000 structures burned. In addition, nine lives were lost. Based on a ten-year average, Colorado typically experiences 3,119 wildfires with a loss of 70,000 acres per year. History shows that many of Colorado’s wildfires are caused by lightning strikes from thunderstorms that regularly pass through the state during the summer months. Huerfano County experiences its share of such weather and, in fact, thunderstorms and lightning strikes were ranked in the planning survey as one of the more severe natural hazards faced by the county. Many of the subsequent storms fail to produce rain, and the lightning strikes sometimes create small hotspots of fire that have the potential to grow into larger blazes. The hotspots can spread over a large area and are very challenging for fire crews to locate and control. They also strain the responding departments, fire suppression equipment and supplies, and many times the hotspots occur deep within a forest and go undetected until a larger fire erupts. Wildfires – Huerfano County Profile The Colorado State Forest Service (CSFS) estimated that about 15%, or more than 153,700 acres of Huerfano County’s total of 1,019,181 acres are at a moderate to high hazard of risk to wildfire. According to CSFS, in 1999 there were 34 subdivisions totaling 210,000 acres in the Wildland/Urban Interface (WUI) area. WUIs are defined as the line, area, or zone where structures and other human development meet or intermingle with undeveloped wildland or vegetative fuels. This situation places Huerfano in the top ten of Colorado counties at potential risk based on the number of square miles of undeveloped land in the wildland interface. Page 24 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Page 25 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan AREAS OF CONCERN - LAVETA The highest fire dangers are found in the Cuchara Valley. This includes the town of La Veta as well as Cuchara. The severe drought of 2002 posed perhaps the gravest threat in the recent past, but fortunately the area was spared from any wildfires during that time. The county participates in the Emergency Fire Fund, which addresses the issue of wildfire management and costs that exceed the resources of a county to deal with the situation alone. The “Red Zone”, Huerfano County and nearby areas Page 26 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Some of the county’s wildfire-threatened acreage is at risk due to the presence of the Mountain Pine Beetle as depicted in the map below: Although not nearly as severe as the pine beetle threat experienced in several northern Colorado counties, the map clearly shows the presence of this highly destructive force in Huerfano County. Some information about the pine beetle and its capabilities is provided below: Mountain Pine Beetle The mountain pine beetle (MPB) is historically the primary cause of mortality in the old, slowgrowing ponderosa, lodgepole and limber pines in Colorado. According to experts who have studied the problem, this is the insect that causes the most significant damage to the state’s low and mid-elevation pine forests. The mountain pine beetle attacks and kills trees in a manner similar to a pest known as the ips beetle. The MPB only produces one generation per year however, and it generally attacks trees that lack vigor due to old age and crowding, drought, fire, mechanical damage or root disease. During the early stages of an outbreak, attacks are largely limited to trees under stress. As the beetle population increases, attacks often spread to healthy trees in the afflicted area. The density and similar ages of many of Colorado’s ponderosa pine and mixed conifer forests is a significant influence in the size and rate of spread of the current outbreak. Scientists estimate that many stands are at least twice as dense as is desirable for natural resistance to bark beetles, and MPB populations have nearly doubled each year since the mid 1990s. In 2005, over 425,000 acres of Colorado forests were infested with mountain pine beetle, and in 2006 that figure rose to 660,000 acres. The situation, despite all the attention it has received, appears to be worsening in many areas of the state. Page 27 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Wildfires in the second half of the 19th century, including several in the dry year of 1851, were widespread in Colorado. Many lodgepole pine forests on the west side of Rocky Mountain National Park and east of Grand Lake regenerated after the 1851 fires. In the late 1800s and early 1900s, settlers harvested trees for mining, railroads and housing. The combination of wildfires and human settlement activity led to large sections of forest starting over at about the same time. These forests have since matured to a size susceptible to mountain pine beetle attack. Lodgepole pines at about 80 years of age and older are highly susceptible to the mountain pine beetle. Future landscapes will be vulnerable to another outbreak as widespread as this one if a more balanced distribution of ages is not reached. Forest researchers estimated in 2006 that the MPB had destroyed 7.4 million trees on 1.5 million acres of national forest lands in Colorado. Counties hit hardest were Jackson, Routt and Larimer in the north; Grand, Pitkin, Summit, Park and Chaffee in the west, and Gunnison, Saguache, Huerfano, Archuleta, San Miguel, Montrose and Ouray in the south and southwest. Through 2008, it was estimated that Huerfano County had accrued over 26,000 acres of damage to its ponderosa pine forests since 1996 as a result of MPB activity. Once MPB successfully infests a tree it is doomed. Preventive spraying before attack may protect individual high-value trees if done prior to the beetles’ normal flight time in mid-July through September. At the landscape scale, thinning that reduces competition, improves tree vigor and lessens fire hazard is an excellent option for mitigation and can be followed by the reintroduction of fire where appropriate. Mountain pine beetle trapped in pitch The following risk map has highlighted yellow areas which illustrate existing development in fire-prone areas (forested areas adjacent public lands that have been developed); all other development is shown in red; public lands are shown in green. Page 28 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Wildfires - Historical Experience Huerfano County was one of many Colorado counties included in the Presidential Disaster Declaration of 2002 due to the severe wildfires experienced that year. Event 1: On April 30, 2008, a resident lost two outbuildings and a vehicle when a wildfire started after tree branches downed power lines. The fire consumed 300 acres of low grass and brush about 5 miles north northwest of Stonewall between Monument Lake and North Lake. Damage from the fire was placed at $30,000. Event 2: A wildfire occurred in the summer of 2008 when a blaze, sparked by lightning, lasted for over 3 days in an area north of Walsenburg. The fire burned approximately 80 acres at the intersection of County Roads 120 and 103 near the Rock Spring Arroyo, and required the assistance of firefighters from Pueblo and Pueblo West. An aircraft made at least one drop over the fire, and a Hotshot firefighting team from Rifle also flew in to assist with the effort. No homes were threatened in this incident, and there were no reported injuries and no evacuations. Event 3: A human-caused fire that started on private land tore through northeastern parts of Sheep Mountain, and threatened several structures during June, 2006. The 100-acre Sheep Fire was 20 percent contained after the second day of the blaze. Ground crews, along with air support, were faced with rocky terrain and thick, burning brush, piñon and juniper trees. Dry conditions mixed with low humidity levels and moderate winds made fire containment difficult. The fire broke out on private property about six miles southwest of Gardner and about 25 miles northwest of Walsenburg. It spread to some state and federally owned land the next day. A natural gas plant in the area was threatened on the second day, but was out of danger by the afternoon. Members of the Colorado Wildfire Academy were pulled from training activities in Cortez to help in the effort. In all, about 100 acres burned, and 80 firefighters participated in the containment effort. The cause was determined to be human. Page 29 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan At that time, Huerfano County had been under a burn ban since January 13, 2006, after the human-caused Mauricio Canyon Fire destroyed more than 3,000 acres and five homes in Huerfano and Las Animas counties. Event 4: On January 8, 2006, two wind-whipped wildfires that came to be known as the Maurico Canyon fire destroyed at least five houses in southern Colorado and forced the evacuation of several hundred residents. No injuries were reported. The fires burned over 5,400 acres in Huerfano and Las Animas counties. Two-hundred fifteen homes were evacuated in Las Animas County, but no number was given for Huerfano because deputies had to go door-to-door due to the lack of a reverse 911-system. Winds gusting up to 50 mph prevented authorities from using airplanes to drop slurry on the fires. Two, 20-men federal crews were called in to battle the fires from a training event in northeastern Colorado. 2006 – smoke clouds atop LaVeta Pass WINTER STORMS Winter storms pose dangers to Colorado residents that have long been recognized. Because of the rural nature of Huerfano County, extended power outages present the greatest risk to the county’s residents when winter storms strike. Travelers on major highways in the county also face the risk of being stranded during severe winter storms. Winter storms occur frequently throughout the state, and not just in the “high” country. They vary significantly in size, strength, intensity, duration and impact in Huerfano County. Strong winds create snowdrifts that block roads, create dangerous wind chill factors and sometimes lead to the extended power outages that can become life threatening. The National Weather Service issues a wind chill advisory when wind and temperature combine to produce wind chill values of 20 to 35 degrees below zero, significantly raising the potential for hypothermia and frostbite affecting health and safety. Hypothermia is the most common winter weather killer in Colorado. Ice accumulation is also a hazard because it creates difficult and sometimes dangerous travel conditions. It also impacts the safety of the more vulnerable elements of the population such as the elderly and physically impaired. Winter Storms – Huerfano County Profile Winter weather storm systems from the northwest usually start in early November in Huerfano County, and deposit large amounts of snow on leeward sides of mountain ridges. Winter weather can continue in the highest elevations until early June. Low temperatures are often below zero, and snowfall averages well over 100 inches in the higher elevations. Page 30 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan High winds often accompany the area’s winter storms. These winds can produce sizable snowdrifts that can cause residents and travelers to be stranded for hours in potentially life threatening conditions. The problem is exacerbated by cell phone coverage that can be limited in some of the mountainous areas of Huerfano County. Hypothermia and carbon monoxide poisoning are also threats to some, especially those stranded travelers unfamiliar with the area and unprepared for the conditions. Besides impacting transportation, winter storms often batter and destroy utility lines and cause structural collapse. Sometimes the repair and removal costs of storm damage are very significant. Ice accumulation poses a hazard in Huerfano County during many winter storms, particularly when it impacts some of the area’s main transportation arteries such as I-25, US 160 and SRs 10, 12 and 69, respectively. These are the most important corridors for the transport of people and the provisions needed for the continuity of normal life. A blockage due to vehicle crashes on these roads can cause major disruptions to Huerfano County and beyond. The Thanksgiving Day 2004 rockslide that damaged and closed I-70 in the Glenwood Canyon area provides a good example of the widespread problems that can ensue from a natural hazard incident in a major transportation corridor. The mountainous areas of Huerfano County that include such areas of beauty as the Spanish Peaks, Sangre de Cristos and Wet Mountains are naturally impacted by severe winter storms. Hikers, snowmobilers and snowshoers are sometimes trapped in the wilderness by sudden climate changes. When these victims become stranded in remote areas, rescue personnel themselves can be endangered and specialized equipment is sometimes needed for an effective response. Winter Storms - Historical Experience In 2003, Huerfano County was one of 29 Colorado counties that experienced a Presidential Disaster Declaration due to the massive winter storm of March 16-20. The insurance industry estimates the blizzard of March 2003 was the most expensive winter storm from snow and ice damage in Colorado history. The estimated price tag was at least $93.3 million from more than 28,000 claims filed (102.2 million in 2006 dollars). Most of the larger carriers activated their emergency catastrophe teams who specialize in handling disaster claims. This estimate includes damage to homes and automobiles and excludes the large commercial building losses resulting from the blizzard. The lion’s share of the damage was the result of wet, heavy snow which caused roofs, porches, awnings, carports and outbuildings to collapse. Significant damage from downed trees and limbs was also incurred, along with claims for wind, snow melt leakage, food spoilage and out-of-pocket living expenses for people forced from their homes due to storm damage. Most of the damage to motor vehicles was caused by the crushing weight of the snow rather than by weather-related accidents. In December 2006 two snow emergencies were declared by the State and President. The first storm lasted from December 18-22; the second followed from December 28-31. The first storm hit the Denver metro area and south hard, while the second pummeled the southeast part of the state. Two counties in the southeast exceeded record snowfall at one station by 150%. Sixteen counties were designated for public assistance for snowfall for the first storm: ten counties were declared for the second storm, including Huerfano. Information about other significant winter storms that impacted the county is readily available. Some of those are described below in some detail. Based on the collective experiences of the planning team, it was estimated that winter storms, generally close I-25 approximately two to three times each season. Highway 160 is a major transportation artery running through Huerfano County, but despite its occasional closure during severe winter storms, county officials characterize the community as adequately prepared. Page 31 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The most common causes of road closures are drifting snow and ice. Aside from the winter storm event of March, 2003, some other notable winter storm events are listed below: Event 1: On November 28, 2006, a winter storm moved across the Four Corners area and then east along the Colorado/New Mexico border producing some heavy snow amounts across mainly higher elevations of southern Colorado. Heavy snow accumulations occurred over the higher reaches of the Sawatch Range in central Colorado, the eastern San Juan and La Garita Mountains of southwest Colorado, and the Sangre de Cristos, Wet, and Rampart Range Mountains and adjacent terrain of eastern Colorado. Some of the higher snow totals were recorded at La Veta. Event 2: On April 10, 2005, a powerful early spring blizzard caused snow drifts up to 8 feet as well as closed schools, businesses and roads, including large sections of I-25 in southern Colorado. Travelers were stranded at highways and airports until the storm subsided. Some of the higher snow totals were accompanied by wind gusts up to 50 mph at times along with visibilities under 1/4 mile. Twenty-two to 24 inches of snow covered the communities of Cuchara and La Veta, while 28 inches of snow fell on Walsenburg. Event 3: A blizzard event that began on October 24, 1997, and ended the next day caused $1.2 million in damages over the affected area, which included the Upper Huerfano River Basin and Walsenburg. Event 4: On December 16, 1996 a winter storm dropped 8 inches of snow in Huerfano County at both Walsenburg and Cuchara. The snowfall, along with rapidly dropping temperatures and brisk winds produced very icy road conditions, and numerous traffic accidents were reported in Colorado Springs and the rest of the broadly affected area that included Huerfano County. Page 32 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan HIGH WINDS/TORNADOES Tornadoes are defined as localized, violently destructive windstorms occurring over land, especially in the midwestern United States. They are characterized by a long, funnel-shaped cloud that is composed of condensation and containing debris that extends to the ground and marks the path of greatest destruction. The path of a single tornado can be dozens of kilometers long, but tornados rarely last longer than 30 minutes. A tornado can move as fast as 125 mph. Internal wind speeds can exceed 300 mph. Powerful tornados have lifted and moved objects weighing more than 300 tons a distance of 30 feet and tossed homes greater than 300 feet away from their foundations. High winds may not be as fearsome as tornadoes, but their damages can be severe nonetheless. Some of the specific kinds of high winds are described below: Straight-line wind is the most common type of wind and, as the name suggests, it generally blows in a straight line. Straight-line wind speeds range from very low to very high. High winds associated with intense low pressure can last for upward of a day at a given location. Straight-line winds occur throughout the US and its possessions as shown in the figure below. Huerfano County is in the target zone of these winds. Down-slope winds flow down the slope of mountains. These kinds of winds often have very high wind speeds and frequently occur in Colorado. In the continental US, mountainous areas are referred to as “special wind regions”, and are shown in the first figure below. Huerfano County and its neighboring area lie in a special wind region. No model building codes provide guidance on wind speeds in special wind regions. Page 33 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Page 34 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan High Winds/Tornadoes– Huerfano County Profile Like many other areas of the state, Huerfano County is subject to frequent, often intense gusts of high winds. Although they are not usually life-threatening, high winds can disrupt daily activities, cause damage to buildings and other structures and increase the potential of other hazards. Some areas with little ground cover experience intense gusts of dust and road debris, which becomes a hazard for travelers and an occasional disruption for local services. High winds in the winter sometimes cause complete whiteouts and create significant snowdrifts and transportation problems. High winds can accelerate wildfires, which can cause grave danger to firefighters, emergency response personnel and residences or other structures which fins themselves in their path. Damage to structures happens regularly because of high winds, but it is usually minimal and goes unreported. Effects of the high winds may be seen in roof damage, cracked windows and damage to trees and landscaping. A tornado is a violent and extreme extension of the high wind hazard, and is characterized by a twisting, funnel-shaped cloud extending to the ground. Tornadoes are most often spawned in Colorado by thunderstorm activity when cool, dry air meets and overrides a layer of warm, moist air. This forces the warm air to rise rapidly. Damage caused by a tornado is the result of the excessive wind velocity and the wind-borne debris it creates. Lightning and large hail is a frequent byproduct of these serious windstorms. According to the National Weather Service, tornado wind speeds range from 40 to more than 300 miles per hour, and the most violent tornadoes have rotating winds of 250 miles per hour or more and are capable of causing tremendous destruction. Tornadoes often cause the greatest damages to structures of light construction such as residential homes and, particularly, mobile homes. Colorado ranks ninth among the 50 states in frequency of tornadoes, but only thirty-eighth in the number of related deaths. Colorado ranks thirty-first in injuries and thirtieth for the cost of repairing damage caused by tornadoes. When these statistics are compared to other states by the frequency of tornado occurrence per square mile, Colorado ranks 28th and 37th, respectively, for injuries per area and costs per area. Between 1950 and 1995 Colorado experienced 1,161 tornadoes, which caused two fatalities. The risk of death from tornadoes in Colorado in any one year is 1 in 49,715,910. Between 1950 and 1995 the state had 157 injuries involving tornadoes, and the total cost of their damage was placed at more than $68 million. Tornadoes have been reported nine months of the year in Colorado, with peak occurrences between mid-May through mid-August. June is by far the month with the most recorded tornadoes. Tornadoes occur at all times of the day, with more than half occurring between 3pm and 6pm, and about 88 percent occurring between 1pm and 9pm MDT. Some of the topography of Huerfano County limits the occurrence of tornadoes in the area but they can occur statewide, with the greatest number developing in the plains east of Interstate 25. According to the state’s reports of Windstorm events, 16 reported incidents of high winds occurred in Huerfano County between January 1, 1993 and July 31, 2000. No deaths or injuries were reported, and damages totaled $1.7 million. More recently, on December 30, 2008, widespread damage occurred across the state after high winds reached speeds above 100 mph. State Farm Insurance, whose coverage accounts for about a quarter of the state, said their claims alone topped $2 million dollars. Page 35 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Examples of high winds and tornadoes in Huerfano County abound, and the following are just a few of the more recent or prominent ones: High Winds/Tornadoes– Historical Experience Event 1: On June 18, 2007, for the first time in more than 30 years, the San Isabel National Forest-San Carlos Ranger District experienced a significant blowdown event. An extreme wind event toppled spruce and Douglas fir trees in Custer and Huerfano Counties between Deer Peak and the Greenhorn Mountains. Event 2: On January 26, 1999, a swift moving weather system brought 3 to nearly 8 inches of snow to Mineral County and nearby areas. In the southeast part of the area, wind gusts between 60 and 100 mph occurred for several hours in the afternoon. In and around Walsenburg, winds gusted up to 98 mph. Power was off and on in the Walsenburg area for several hours, trees were uprooted and power poles were snapped off. Three semi-trailers were tipped over, two on I-25 and one on Highway 160. One driver received minor injuries.. One roof was peeled off a house. Event 3: On December 5, 1996, strong winds occurred from the Sangre de Cristo mountains and east for most of the day, as a powerful jet stream moved across Colorado. Sustained winds of 30 to 50 mph prevailed across the entire area before tapering off by late afternoon of the 5th. Winds gusts of between 70 and 100 mph were recorded in the mountains west of and into Colorado Springs. Extensive damage occurred across the Wet Mountain Valley. Numerous power lines, smaller buildings, house and vehicle windows, and large trees were destroyed or damaged. The Pines Ranch, 10 miles northwest of Westcliffe in the northwest Wet Mountain Valley reported hundreds of large Ponderosa pines blown down and snapped off. In Huerfano County, winds estimated at over 100 mph, damaged the Picketwire Lodge. Event 4: On May 25, 1993, a tornado developed two miles southwest of the town of La Veta and moved north to two miles west of La Veta before dissipating. The tornado touched down periodically along its track. Two barns were destroyed and at least 20 pine and cottonwood trees (up to 100 feet tall) were uprooted. Downed trees had to be removed from several roads. Estimates placed damages at approximately $500,000. There were no deaths or injuries. A total of six tornado events were recorded in Huerfano County between 1950 and 2007. Two injuries have been documented along with $528,000 in property damages. The F1 level tornado in 1993 was responsible for about $500,000 of those property damages. Page 36 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan TRANSPORTED HAZARDOUS MATERIALS (HAZMAT) FEMA defines Hazardous Materials as chemical substances that, if released or misused, can pose a threat to the environment or health. These chemicals are used in industry, agriculture, medicine, research and consumer goods and come in the form of explosives, flammable and combustible substances, poisons and radioactive materials. According to information from the Colorado Division of Emergency Management, the Environmental Protection Agency sorts HAZMAT into these categories: toxic agents, hazardous wastes, toxic pollutants, hazardous substances and extremely hazardous substances. The US Department of Transportation uses these categories: explosive; blasting agent; flammable liquid; flammable solid; oxidizer; organic peroxide; corrosive material; compressed gas; flammable compressed gas; poison; irritating materials; inhalation hazard; etiological agent; radioactive materials; and other regulated material. These substances are most often released as a result of transportation accidents or because of chemical accidents in plants or fixed-facilities. In Huerfano County, transportation concerns have caused the county to consider this a priority risk. According to the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE), HAZMAT transportation events are those which involve ground, rail, water, air or pipeline transport and occur outside the boundaries of a fixed-facility. Also included as transportation events are the releases which are discovered upon offloading at a fixed-facility, but which happened during transportation of the materials. HAZMAT incidents consist of the release of liquid and/or gaseous contaminants from fixed or mobile containers. These can be caused by intentional terrorist attacks as well as by accident. A HAZMAT incident may last for hours, days, or longer, depending on the nature of the release. In addition to the primary release, explosions and/or fires can result from a release, and contaminants can be extended beyond the initial area by persons, vehicles, water, wind and wildlife. HAZMAT incidents also occur as a result of natural hazard events such as floods, hurricanes, tornadoes and earthquakes, which in addition to triggering a HAZMAT incident can also hinder response efforts. For example, Hurricane Floyd in September 1999, caused communities along the Eastern United States to be faced with flooded junkyards, disturbed cemeteries, deceased livestock, floating propane tanks, uncontrolled fertilizer spills and a variety of other environmental contaminants that caused widespread concern. This unhealthy scenario was repeated in areas of Florida during the series of nearly constant hurricanes that struck the state during 2004. Hazardous materials in transport are especially vulnerable to sabotage or misuse and, in the wrong hands, pose a significant security threat. The security of hazardous materials in transportation poses unique challenges as compared to security at fixed facilities because of the constantly changing environment surrounding a moving vehicle. Most hazardous materials are frequently transported in large quantities, and once mobile, they are susceptible to theft, interception, detonation or release. When transported in proximity to large population centers, accidental or intentional acts can have deadly consequences. The Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance (HSEES) system, maintained by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry of the US Department of Health and Human Services, actively collects information to describe the public health consequences of acute releases of hazardous substances. The only exception made is for petroleum when that is the only substance released. Colorado is a participating state in this registry. Page 37 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan In 2005, a total of ninety-nine transportation events were reported in the state. In 90 events, only one substance was released; the remainder saw the release of two substances, and in one instance, three substances were released. The most commonly reported categories of substances released were paints and dyes, volatile organic compounds, “other” substances not further described and acids. During this reporting period, ten events resulted in a total of fifteen victims, of whom 3 died. The most frequently reported injury was trauma, and an evacuation was ordered for one event. Of the ninety-nine transportation-related events, 94 occurred during ground transport (e.g., truck, van, or tractor), 4 involved transport by rail and only 1 involved a pipeline. Trucks were involved in eighty-nine of the ground transportation events. Of those, eighty involved non-tanker trucks and 9 involved tanker trucks. The remainder of the ground transportation incidents occurred during transport in vans, automobiles and “other”. Of the 4 rail-related incidents, 2 occurred from a tank car, 1 from a boxcar and 1 was described only as “other”. The largest proportions of transportation-related events occurred due to releases en route to their destination that were later discovered at fixed facilities (39), and from a moving vehicle or vessel (33). The most common primary factor involved in the releases was human error (68), with improper filling, loading or packing as the most frequently reported secondary factor (43). One Colorado incident in 2005 involved an evacuation and injuries when a truck containing calcium carbide rolled over, releasing calcium carbide and diesel fuel to the environment. Two responders were injured due to exposure to the calcium carbide and two residences Page 38 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan were evacuated as a precaution. Another event involved an inhalation exposure to a police officer when a box trailer was discovered leaking a gelling agent at a port of entry. The officer was treated and released from the hospital. Decontamination on persons without injuries occurred in three incidents. One individual was decontaminated after a collision with a mobile methamphetamine lab, three responders were decontaminated on the scene of a broken open tote of sodium hypochlorite and eight responders were decontaminated after responding to a leaking tote of a hypochlorite solution. Huerfano County reported one Transported HazMat incident in 2005. According to HSEES statistics, for 2006, a total of 204 acute hazardous substances events were recorded in Colorado. A total of 58 events occurred in fixed facilities, with the most frequent taking place in Adams (100), Denver (24) and El Paso (10) counties. Page 39 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Of the 146 transportation-related events recorded in the state during 2006, 140 occurred during ground transport (e.g., truck, van, or tractor), 4 involved transport by rail, and 2 from a pipeline. Most ground transportation events involved trucks. The largest proportions of transportation-related events occurred due to releases en route that were later discovered at fixed facilities (83) and from a moving vehicle or vessel (31). Of the 146 transportationrelated events, 26 involved a release that occurred during unloading of a stationary vehicle or vessel. A total of 215 substances were released in all events. The individual substances most frequently released were paint, sulfuric acid, mixtures and sodium hydroxide. A total of 76 victims were involved in 14 events. Of the 14 events with victims, 5 events involved only one victim, and 1 involved two victims. Of all victims, 26 were injured in fixed facility events and 50 were injured in transportation events. Evacuations were ordered in six events. Of these, one-third were of buildings or affected parts of buildings; another third were of a circle/radius, and the final third had no defined criteria. The number of people evacuated ranged from 5 to 350 people, and lasted from one to twenty-four hours in duration. None of the events that occurred in 2006 had in-place sheltering ordered by an official. The chief of the Huerfano County Fire Protection District advised that a few semi-trailer trucks turn over occasionally, but there have been no significant hazardous materials spills as a result. Huerfano County had no reported HazMat incidents in 2006 or 2007. When hazardous materials are not controlled due to improper use or accidents, they can quickly create a dangerous and/or life threatening situation. Because of the mountainous terrain found in some areas of Huerfano County area, the potential for accidents involving transported hazardous materials is very real. Page 40 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Transported HAZMAT - Historical Experience According to figures from CDPHE, Huerfano County reported six HAZMAT incidents between the years 1993-2004, with four resulting in injuries. This experience contrasts sharply with that of Adams County, which reported 1592 incidents during the same period. But as noted in the Colorado HAZMAT route map below, Huerfano County is crisscrossed by official routes which, combined with mountain terrain and periodic winter storms, create a regular potential for transported incidents. Page 41 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan METHANE GAS LEAKS Natural gas is a gas consisting primarily of methane. It is associated with fossil fuels, in coal beds, as methane clathrates, and is created by methanogenic organisms in marshes, bogs, and landfills. It is an important fuel source, a major feedstock for fertilizers, and a potent greenhouse gas. Natural gas is often informally referred to as simply “gas”, especially when compared to other energy sources such as electricity. Before natural gas can be used as a fuel, it must undergo extensive processing to remove almost all materials other than methane. The by-products of that processing include ethane, propane, butanes, pentanes and higher molecular weight hydrocarbons, elemental sulfur, and sometimes helium and nitrogen. Coal-bed methane is a form of natural gas extracted from coal seams. Coal-bed methane is gas trapped in coal deposits. It is the same type of gas people might burn in their kitchen range. Explosions caused by natural gas leaks occur a few times each year. Individual homes, small businesses and boats are most frequently affected when an internal leak builds up gas inside the structure. Frequently, the blast will be enough to significantly damage a building but leave it standing. In these cases, the people inside tend to have minor to moderate injuries. Occasionally, the gas collects in concentrated enough quantities to cause a deadly explosion, disintegrating one or more buildings in the process. The gas usually dissipates readily outdoors, but can sometimes collect in dangerous quantities if weather conditions are right. However, considering the tens of millions of structures that use the fuel, the individual risk of using natural gas is very low. At the beginning of this planning project, Huerfano County’s planning team provided information about the county’s problems associated with methane gas leakages. During the fall of 2008, those concerns received some much welcomed attention from Colorado politicians. In October, United States Congressman John Salazar toured some of the sites county residents claimed had been impacted by methane gas drilling operations. Incidents including water wells running dry or becoming contaminated, and homes being evacuated because of methane gas drilling operations were reported by residents. One dairy farm reported experiencing contamination of water used for both livestock and corn crops. The corn was used for feed purposes. The source of the problem was alleged to be water from the Cuchara River contaminated with methane. Because of methane seepage into private water wells, the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission ordered the wells shut down in 2007. Based on his own observations and findings, Rep. Salazar asked the governor of Colorado to become involved in finding a solution to the problem. Notwithstanding the well shutdown in 2007, some Huerfano residents continued to believe that coal bed methane was migrating into their wells and that some are drying up as a result. Farmers and ranchers also express fears that continued drilling for coal bed methane could contaminate groundwater. Because of concerns over the dangerous buildup of gases and the threat posed to some local drinking-water wells, the Walsenburg felt compelled to clarify that its municipal water supply is still safe. Providing some validity to the concern of many Huerfano County residents is a drilling practice known as “fracking,” which is short for hydraulic fracturing. As a common aspect of natural-gas extraction worldwide, fracturing operations inject water, sand, and a mixture of chemicals at high pressure into rock formations thousands of feet below the surface. The pressure-generated forces open existing fractures in the rock and allow gas to rise through the wells. The practice makes drilling possible in areas that 10 to 20 Page 42 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan years ago would not have been profitable, including parts of Colorado, which accounts for approximately 6 percent of all natural gas produced in the US. Unlike traditional oil and gas drilling, coal bed methane operations pursue relatively shallow coal seam strata that contain drinkable water as defined by the Environmental Protection Agency. The process “dewaters” the coal seam, which removes the pressure and lets the methane gas detach from the coal. The pressures in the coal seam can be as high as 300 psi from the trapped water. Once the water is removed, the methane migrates to the surface. This takes place through the conduit of the methane gas well, but sometimes the gas escapes into domestic wells or natural or induced fractures in the subsurface layers. The main concerns of most Huerfano County residents center on the composition of the fluid used in the fracking process. Most comes back to the surface, but some 30 to 40 percent is never recovered, according to some industry estimates. The extracted water goes into an onsite pond in some operations, and it is not supposed to percolate into the surface soil or the areas that provide well water. The methane produced in the coal bed is supposed to go directly into a pipeline that runs to the end users. H Herfano Coal-bed active gas wells map In addition to the chemicals used in fracking, the general operation of the drilling process uses diesel fuel as a lubricant during the drilling operation. Chemicals used in the cleaning of Page 43 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan machinery may also pose another environmental problem. The components of hydraulic fracturing fluid are proprietary, and energy companies rigorously defend their intellectual property in order to maintain their competitive posture. Their trade secrets are protected by the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which exempted hydraulic fracturing from regulation under the Safe Drinking Water Act. Along with the unknown makeup of the chemicals, the other key question for determination is what happens to the injected fluid that fails to return to the surface? One researcher believes that 65 chemicals are probable fluid components, but some cite 200 as a more likely figure. One recommendation of recent research is that groundwater sampling be expanded to determine whether these chemicals or their byproducts are present in areas where hydraulic fracturing is practiced. Chemicals such as benzene, glycol-ethers, toluene, 2(2-methoxyethoxy) ethanol, and nonylphenols were identified in the fracturing fluids, and all of these are reported to be linked in other research to various health disorders when humans receive too much exposure. Companies that conduct many of the drilling operations in Huerfano County are naturally receiving much of the blame for methane gas leakage problems. One company was operating fifty-six coal bed methane wells west of Walsenburg for several years when it was discovered that local water wells were contaminated with methane. The problem grew so severe that some of the residents claimed the methane amounts in their water supplies were high enough for the water to catch fire. Several homes needed the installation of methane monitoring devices to alert the owners to hazardous gas conditions. The Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission ordered those wells shut down in 2007. Representative Salazar has recommended that the governor designate someone to be the sole point of contact for all state agencies involved, and also asked for a comprehensive study to determine exactly how much damage has been done. Congressman John Salazar (right) examines dead corn leaves with a Huerfano County farmer who says methane gas drilling has contaminated the water flow to his dairy farm east of Walsenburg causing his corn crop to fail. Methane Gas – Historical Experience Event 1: One farm has had issues with water quality affecting both livestock and corn crops. The corn is used for feed. Approximately 300 acres of corn have allegedly suffered because irrigation water from the Cuchara River has been contaminated with water from drilling operations at over 50 nearby wells. It is believed that the release water is high in bicarbonates which releases salt, which negatively impacts the quality of crops. Event 2: One resident, who owns property near the River Ridge Ranch east of town, experienced an explosion on his property when methane in his water well ignited. His well had functioned without incident for more than a dozen years when, in June, 2007, an explosion occurred in the well house. The jolt of the explosion was felt by the resident and his wife at Page 44 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan their nearby home. Since the explosion, he has set up methane gas monitors in his home, and state officials have set up a ventilation system at the well. When the gas monitors sound, the family has to turn everything off and evacuate their home. FLOODING (INCLUDING FLASH AND SEASONAL FLOODING) Floods are one of the most common hazards in the United States. Flood effects can be local, impacting only a neighborhood or community, or very widespread, affecting entire river basins and multiple states. The following are some historical statistics about the state of Colorado’s flooding situation: • • • • Flood prone areas have been identified in 22 cities and towns and in all of Colorado’s counties; Over 150,00 people are living in Colorado’s floodplains; There are estimated to be more than 62,000 homes and 12,000 commercial industrial and business structures in identified floodplains; The value of this property, structures and contents is estimated to exceed 6 billion dollars Colorado Water Basins Page 45 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Of all the river basins in the state, the Arkansas River basin encompasses the greatest surface area at more than 28,000 miles. The river basin includes 18 counties and extends over the entire southeastern corner of Colorado. Elevation in the basin ranges from 14,000 feet at the headwaters near Leadville to approximately 3,300 feet at the Colorado-Kansas border. The major population centers of the basin are Colorado Springs and Pueblo. Huerfano County lies within the southwestern section of the basin. Floods are not all alike. Some may develop slowly over the course of a few days. But flash floods can develop in an instant, often giving few, if any, warning signs. Flash floods can form a formidable wall of roaring water that carries mud, rocks, and other sorts of debris, sweeping away most objects in its path. Overland flooding can occur outside of a river or stream, like when a levee is breached, but can still be destructive. Flooding can also occur when a dam breaks, producing effects similar to flash floods. Low lying areas near water or downstream from a dam are especially vulnerable and require nearby residents to be duly vigilant and prepared. Even very small streams, gullies, creeks, culverts, dry streambeds, or lowly situated grounds that seem harmless in dry weather can flood. Every state is at risk from this hazard and Colorado is no different. The Cucharas River is the source of drinking water for Cuchara, the Town of La Veta, and the City of Walsenburg. The Cucharas River originates in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in southwest Huerfano County, Colorado. Its headwaters are located near Cucharas Pass (9,941 feet) south-southwest of the town of Cuchara in the San Isabel National Forest land which is administered by the U.S. Forest Service San Carlos Ranger District. Obstructions, both natural and man-made, within the floodways impede floodflows, creating backwater and increased heights. Debris washing downstream during floods often collects against bridges, reducing the waterway openings and impeding the floodflow. This created a damming effect and causes greater backwater depths with increased overbank flooding. Water pressure on bridges and embankments can result in stress damage or destruction of the structure involved. A pronounced increase in flow velocities usually occurs downstream from obstructions, thus extending the flood damage potential. Natural obstructions to flood flow along the streams include trees, brush and other vegetation growing in channel areas. Manmade obstructions are the various bridges and their approach embankments. Some of these concerns are present in Huerfano County, especially near Cuchara. Huerfano County Land Use Growth and land use patterns in areas of the county raise concerns in the context of natural hazard issues, including those of flooding. A brief summary of recent land use patterns and projected growth follows: The recent current pattern of land use in the Cuchara area includes a combination of medium to medium-high density residential development along the floor of the valley in different locations, with additional residential development extending to the west along Baker Creek. In the recent past, about 750 acres of land in the Cucharas Sanitation and Water District was planned for development. About 1,400 remaining acres includes land used for livestock grazing and steeply sloped walls of the valley. Approximately one half of that area is believed to be ill-suited for development due to severe slopes, soil instability problems and flood hazards, leaving about 700 acres of land available for future development. Page 46 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The La Veta area has continued its upward trend since 1970’s population of 589 residents, to 924 in 2000, and 980 in 2006. It is projected that the current 27% growth rate will continue or even accelerate. As a result, residents will have to confront many land use issues, but flooding does not appear to be high on that list. Walsenburg had a population of 4,182 according to the 2000 census. The 1990 census population was 3,300 indicating a 26% increase in growth within the community over that ten year period. The estimated population in July 2005 was 3,946, a decrease in numbers from 2000-2005 by 5.6%. Although it is unknown at this time what the future population trend will be for Walsenburg, the Division of Local Government forecasts a population growth of 3% annually in Huerfano County. Flooding is a moderate issue of concern for this town. An important land use issue confronting the unincorporated areas, between the Cucharas District and the town of La Veta and between the towns of La Veta and Walsenburg, is the potential for divisions of existing ranches and other agricultural lands into large lot (35 or more acres) residential subdivisions. Colorado law allows the division of property into lots with a minimum of 35 acres without County review. The subdivision of such lots into smaller parcels requires the approval of the Huerfano County Board of County Commissioners. As these communities in Huerfano County, plan for the inevitability of future growth, they must cope with issues of flooding. Some of the principles which must be weighed when making such plans are: • • • • • • Preserve and Restore Floodplains Where Possible Be Prepared for Floods Help People Protect Themselves from Flood Hazards Prevent Adverse Impacts and Unwise Uses in the Floodplain Prevent Adverse Impacts from Development and Redevelopment Acknowledge the Values of Structural Flood Control Measures FEMA provides further direction in mitigating flooding issues per a state guidance document issued in August, 2007. The key section states that an analysis should include information about the population affected by funding, the number of structures affected, the number of critical facilities affected and the potential dollar loss associated with flooding. The projected vulnerability associated with future development should be identified as it pertains to future population, future number of structures and future potential loss. Shifts in population should be considered, as well as land use changes and the impact of any mitigation projects. Huerfano County NFIP Participation Huerfano County, along with the Town of La Veta and the City of Walsenburg participate in the National Flood Insurance Program. There are no repetitive loss properties in Huerfano County. Since the County, La Veta and Walsenburg joined the NFIP, there have been a total of two paid claims from flood events. The most current mapping of the regulatory floodplain was completed in 1986. The following tables summarize their participation, including the number of policies in force: Huerfano County NFIP Participation Information Category Data Category Data Date Joined NFIP 10/1/1986 10 CRS class/discount N.A. Number of Policies in force Insurance in Force $1,186,200 Page 47 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County NFIP Participation Information Category Data Category Data CAV date N.A. Number of Paid Losses 1 CAC date N.A. Total Losses Paid $768.70 Date of Current FIRM 10/1/1986 Substantial Damage claims since 1978 0 Town of La Veta NFIP Participation Information Category Data Category Data Date Joined NFIP 9/29/1986 35 CRS class/discount N.A. Number of Policies in force Insurance in Force CAV date N.A. Number of Paid Losses 0 CAC date N.A. Total Losses Paid $0 Date of Current FIRM 9/29/1986 Substantial Damage claims since 1978 0 $5,409,300.00 City of Walsenburg NFIP Participation Information Category Data Category Data Date Joined NFIP 9/29/1986 61 CRS class/discount N.A. Number of Policies in force Insurance in Force CAV date N.A. Number of Paid Losses 1 CAC date N.A. Total Losses Paid $1,115.56 Date of Current FIRM 9/29/1986 Substantial Damage claims since 1978 0 $4,744,000.00 *Source: FEMA Community Information System Huerfano County Property Discussion According to FEMA statistics from 2007, a total of seven hundred sixty-seven Huerfano County residents live in a flood hazard area. While not a large number in raw terms, it represents approximately 10 percent of the county’s current population. Additionally, 293 “one to four” family structures and 164 “other” structures are present in those flood hazard areas. There are 40 “repetitive loss” structures present in the state, but none are located in Huerfano County. A repetitive loss (RL) property is defined as any insurable building for which two or more claims of more than $1,000 were paid by the National Flood Insurance Program within any rolling ten-year period, since 1978. A RL property may or may not be currently insured by the NFIP. Currently there are over 122,000 RL properties nationwide. FEMA maintains a Community Information System database which allows the agency to calculate flood at-risk ratings for the entire country. Values are assigned to four factors which collectively identify flooding risk. These factors include the county’s population living in the flood hazard area, the number of 1-4 family structures present in those areas, the number of repetitive loss structures and Class I and II dams present in the county. Based on these factors and the values assigned to them, various sections of Huerfano County are considered to be at a moderate risk of flooding. Page 48 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan In 2008, Huerfano County residential property values were estimated at a total of $433,525,427. Total Building Loss by County based on HAZUS *Source: State of Colorado Flood Mitigation Plan Page 49 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan HAZUS-MH 100 year Floodplains in Colorado *Source: State of Colorado Flood Mitigation Plan The following table provides an estimation of potential losses for Huerfano County from a 100-year event to structures and contents in terms of dollars. The estimation was generated through a Level 1 HAZUS study that the Colorado Division of Emergency Management provided to Huerfano County. The study’s estimates are based on data from the 2000 Census. The study was conducted for the county as a whole and does not separate out individual jurisdictions. 100 Year Flood Event Estimated Building and Content Losses (Millions of Dollars) Area Building Content Inventory Total Residential 7.74 5.12 0.00 12.85 Commercial 0.88 2.50 0.06 3.43 Industrial 0.39 0.92 0.20 1.51 Others .14 0.84 0.01 1.00 Total 9.14 9.38 0.27 18.79 The following table is the HAZUS generated estimate of “essential” facility losses. This is again a county-wide estimate based off of the 2000 census. Individual jurisdictions are not separated out. 100 Year Flood Event Estimated Losses to Essential Facilities Classification Fire Stations Total 0 At least Moderate 0 At Least Substantial 0 Loss of Use 0 Page 50 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan 100 Year Flood Event Estimated Losses to Essential Facilities Classification Total At least Moderate At Least Substantial Loss of Use Hospitals 1 0 0 0 Police Stations Schools 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 La Veta La Veta is one of the main population areas in Huerfano County that lies within a floodplain. The Cucharas River has been described as creating a high risk of exposing the town of La Veta to the risk of flooding. The Cucharas (also known as the Cuchara River) has its headwaters on the eastern slope of the Culebra Range of the Rocky Mountains. The river drains an area of about 735 square miles and flows in a northeasterly direction for about 59 miles from its source to its junction with the Huerfano River. The Cucharas River Valley is divided into three sections: (1) the mountainous headwater section above La Veta, with deep and narrow gorges; (2) a comparatively wide alluvial valley some 30 miles long below La Veta; and (3) a canyon section through which the Cucharas River flows to its junction with the Huerfano River. The headwater section of the Cucharas River above La Veta is very mountainous, reaching an altitude of 13,623 feet above mean sea level. The mountain slopes are steep and rough and support dense stands of spruce-fir, ponderosa pine, and pinon pine-juniper. Middle Creek has its source in the Culebra Range west of La Veta and flows in an easterly direction for about seven miles to join the Cucharas River just north of La Veta. The watershed characteristics are similar to those of the Cucharas River. Potential Impact Population: LaVeta had 924 people, 429 households, and 251 families residing in the town in 2000. The population density was 748 people per square mile. There were 552 housing units at an average density of 447 per square mile. Of the 429 households, 27% had children under the age of 18, 45% were married couples living together, approximately 10% had a female householder with no husband present, and 41% were non-families. Thirty-five % of all households were made up of individuals and about 15% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.15 and the average family size was 2.79. Number of structures in floodplains: Small portions of four building lots in the Grandote Peaks Golf and Country Club lie within the 100 year floodplain. Approval to build will require approval of the Huerfano Board of County Commissioners. Growth prospects: The La Veta area has continued a slow growth trend since its 1970’s population of 589 residents. Those numbers increased to 924 in 2000, and 980 in 2006. It is projected that the current growth rate will continue or even accelerate, despite the recent economic downturn. Page 51 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan As a result, residents will have to confront many land use issues, and flooding is one of them, although it does not appear to be the most critical. Developments in the flood plains are primarily residential, but also include a mobile home park, cabins and two motels. Some of these developments were located on the bank of the Cucharas River. Transportation facilities crossing the streams and the floodplains are the Denver and Rio Grande Western Railroad and Colorado State Highway 12. Past LaVeta Floods Definitive data on velocities, magnitude, and duration of past floods in LaVeta are not readily available. Two flooding events did occur in 1923 and 1946. The 1923 flood was reported as being caused by the failure of the Mill Lake Dam, and was described as being "very bad" in La Veta. The only particular damage that was remembered was that the railroad bridge was washed out. The 1946 flood occurred during April or May. The highway bridge was washed out and the railroad bridge was only saved by placing loaded railroad cars on the bridge. The railroad bed at each end of the bridge was washed out however. It was reported that considerable water from the Dyer Ditch flowed down Main Street (Colorado State Highway 12). Walsenburg The Cucharas River rises in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains about 35 miles west of Walsenburg, and flows 62 miles in a general north-easterly direction through Huerfano and Pueblo Counties to join the Huerfano River about 30 miles above its mouth. The Cucharas River Basin is about 50 miles long and has a maximum width of about 20 miles. Like LaVeta, Walsenburg also lies in the floodplain of the Cucharas River. In fact, the Cucharas floodplain includes approximately half of the town and poses a high risk of flooding to it. The chief of the Huerfano Fire Protection District reported that the northwest area of Walsenburg was once considered at risk, but the runoff problem for that area was mitigated when a nearby dam was constructed. However runoff volume sometimes threatens a bridge in the area when the river rises significantly. According to the county assessor, flooding is a concern along the Cucharas, but it has caused little property damage in her experience. Existing developments on the flood plains in the Walsenburg area are primarily residential but include commercial and industrial developments. Large amounts of the flood plains are rural land. Although large areas of open space exist, limited flood plain development is anticipated in the future because of the controls imposed by the flood insurance program. A 1977 study showed Walsenburg was subject to flooding not only from the Cucharas River, but also from Bear Creek, and the North Walsenburg Ditch. Although records did not indicate that any large floods had occurred in the past, this report indicated that large floods are possible in the future. Properties present in flood hazard areas included residential, commercial, industrial and agricultural land. In 1995, a study of flooding issues in Walsenburg concluded there were two primary issues of concern facing Walsenburg. Findings were issued and recommendations for two distinct projects were made. The first finding indicated a capacity problem with the existing Number 4 Ditch, also known as the Holita Ditch, along Colorado Avenue due to a storm drain that provides an outlet to the ditch on the west end. Flooding along the ditch may occur during storm events as a result of flow from the storm drain entering into the ditch. The peak flows at the storm sewer outfall for various recurrence intervals were unknown at the time, and the Page 52 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan city sought to address potential flood hazards by conducting a study that would lead to a mitigation project. The second primary issue involved a reservoir on the west side of the city that serves as a flood control facility for Walsenburg. The reservoir is located on a ditch that receives storm water runoff from a large drainage basin to the west of the city. The city was concerned over the current FEMA floodplain delineation in the area of the North Walsenburg Flood Control Dam overflow, and believed that the North Walsenburg Ditch had the capacity to handle the flood flows if culverts at some of the street crossings were upgraded. Upon completion of the field survey and collection of data, a feasibility study was recommended to address the following topics: community description, community inventory, description of problems and needs, project analyses and potential flood control solutions for the Holita and North Walsenburg ditches. Potential Impact Population: As of the census of 2000, there were 1,497 households, and 881 families residing in the city. The population density was 1,795 people per square mile. There were 1,723 housing units at an average density of 740 square miles. The racial makeup of the city was 75% white, 5% African American, 3% Native American, 12% from other races, and 4% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race constituted 51% of the population. There were 1,497 households out of which 26% had children under the age of 18, 41% were married couples living together, 14% had a female householder with no husband present, and 41% were non-families. Thirty-seven % of all households were made up of individuals and 19% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.25 and the average family size was 2.95. Page 53 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Growth prospects: Past Walsenburg Floods: Little evidence of serious flooding in Walsenburg could be found from research. Nearly 75 years ago, local citizens reported that flooding occurred on August 6, 1936 when a railroad bridge collapsed and, along with trees and other debris, plugged the river channel, causing substantial damage to Walsenburg and the immediate vicinity. The storm that caused the floodinq also caused serious flooding along the Huerfano River that runs a few miles north of Walsenburg. Page 54 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan 1907 Cucharas River flood, Walsenburg The Colorado Office of Emergency Management conducted a brief survey several years ago, which was updated in 2007 with certain plans. Huerfano County indicated that it had floodplain regulations in effect at that time. The following communities participate in the National Flood Insurance Program: the unincorporated areas of Huerfano County, the town of La Veta, and the City of Walsenburg. As a condition to participating in the program, each participant has committed to restrict the building of structures in the flood-hazard areas delineated by FEMA FIRM (Flood-InsuranceRate Map) panels. This approach helps minimize the each participating community’s vulnerability to flood damages to existing structures, and its restrictions prohibiting new construction in unincorporated flood plain areas offer county residents additional protections from the hazard of flooding. According to NOAA, flash floods in the United States are responsible for more deaths than any other thunderstorm phenomena. On a year to year basis in Colorado, only lightning is deadlier. Flash flooding is often the byproduct of the occurrence of very heavy rains falling in a short period of time over a small geographic area, all of which combine to cause normally small streams to turn violent. Flooding as a natural hazard is a problem for Huerfano County, and the terrain in some the area increases the potential for severe flooding. Seasonal flooding occurs in mountainous areas of Huerfano County during the spring when the mountain snow pack starts its melting process. Heavy rainfall sometimes combines with that runoff and causes some rivers and streams to swell out of their banks. These seasonal floods can begin as spring runoff appears Page 55 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan following the first daily warmup. If the warming trend persists in a basin where the snow pack has elevated water content, serious flooding can ensue. The total duration of snowmelt floods is usually over a period of weeks rather than days. They yield a larger total volume in comparison to other varieties of floods in Colorado. Peak flows are generally not as high as flows for the other types of floods. A single cold day or cold front can interrupt a melting cycle and cause the rising water to temporarily decline and stabilize until the cycle begins anew. Once snowmelt floods have peaked, the daily decreases are moderate, but fairly constant. Snowmelt flooding typically occurs in May, June, and early July. Some flooding can be predicted by weather reports, but many times smaller flash floods are a result of a microburst system, which overwhelms both natural and constructed drainage systems. Such failures often cause excessive damage to towns, industry and farms in the floodplain areas. Emergency services, transportation, power, water and wastewater services, business and hazardous materials storage can be substantially disrupted, which can affect the population located in or near the flooded area. Huerfano County has one hundred reservoirs, five Class I and three Class II dams. The dams have emergency preparedness plans in place. Damage to Huerfano County’s Class I and II dams could prove to be severely disruptive and even deadly to county residents, as well as to others. Class I and Class II dams are defined as follows: Page 56 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Class I: A dam shall be placed in Class I when failure would result in probable loss of human life. Class II: Significant damage is expected, but not loss of human life. The phrase “Significant damage” refers to structural damage where humans live, work or recreate, or to public or private facilities exclusive of unpaved roads and picnic areas. The term “damage” refers to rendering these structures uninhabitable or inoperable. Cucharas Reservoir Rehabilitation The Huerfano-Cucharas Irrigation Company provides irrigation water to farmers in the Arkansas valley. The company was organized in 1944 and owns and operates the Cucharas Reservoir, which is located east of Walsenburg. The dam has a capacity of more than 35,000 acre feet, is 145 feet high rock fill dam that has been enlarged several times since its original construction in 1914. In May, 1987, and while the reservoir was full to the spillway crest, the dam developed extensive seepage. Immediate action was taken to lower the water level and avoid a complete failure. It was determined that some of the upstream concrete had failed and was allowing large quantities of seepage flow to occur through the embankment. Portions of the concrete facing were repaired in 1987 and 1988, but seepage again occurred and the reservoir was drained to its present restricted height of 100 feet or 7,500 acre feet of storage capacity. The dam has performed adequately at this level of restriction and has only had moderate seepage since then. The spillway is however deemed inadequate and the condition of the embankment and foundation is unknown. Additionally, the silt level in the reservoir has significantly accumulated, but that condition appears to have been adequately remediated. The dam’s storage restriction has been in place since 1988, with a deadline of October 1, 2010 to either rehabilitate it or replace it with a new one. Failing to implement either of these solutions would cause the dam to be placed in a “zero no-storage restriction” status, followed by an order to breach the dam and remove it as a hazard. While structural issues with the present dam embankment make permanent higher reservoir storage infeasible, the dam has been adequate for the past 23 years at the current restricted level. Consequently, and after Page 57 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan weighing its alternatives, the company decided to rehabilitate the existing dam to permit a reduced level of storage at 7,500 acre feet. The rehabilitation project involves lowering the spillway, replacing outlet gates, installing a satellite monitoring system and updating the dam’s Emergency Action Plan. Some possible solutions to issues of flooding in Huerfano County are set out below, and are also noted in Appendix A. These potential solutions incorporate some of the principles noted above. Impoundment: Impoundments are projects that store flood water. There are many variations in the design of impoundments and each site presents a unique set of issues to be worked through. The primary goal of an impoundment project is to control flooding, but other benefits include erosion control, sedimentation, wetland development, stream flow maintenance, water supply, lake improvement and recreation. Costs may be prohibitive however, and other possible negative effects may be obstruction of fish migration, interruption of riparian corridors, unnatural stream flows, conversion of wetlands and other vegetative changes. Because of the potential negative impact of an impoundment project, site selection and design are critical. Flood control benefits must be balanced with land use rights, economic impact, and social needs, among other things, prior to the commencement of an impoundment project. Some of the best candidates for flood impoundment include sites that are drained or poorly drained wetlands, flood prone croplands, irregularly shaped fields or areas of farmland that have proven difficult to tend. Acequias An “acequia” is a Spanish term derived from Arabic which means irrigation ditch or canal. They are actually more sophisticated than the description suggests in that they are engineered canals that carry water from a river or stream to distant farmlands. Based on the flow of gravity, acequias move water in a snake-like pattern following the contour of the land, turning slightly up a hill or around large trees and boulders to control the flow of water. The acequia system is the oldest water management system in the United States and traces its origins to the water systems of medieval Europe and northern Africa. Page 58 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Flooding – Other Historical Experiences Huerfano County’s experience is that of frequent but not usually deadly flooding events. Event 1: On July 23, 2008, two miles east southeast of Farisita, heavy rain from a slow moving thunderstorm produced flash flooding near mile marker 17. No injuries or property damage were reported. Event 2: On July 19, 2007, heavy thunderstorms caused Highway 69 around mile marker 11, about 8 miles east of Gardner, to close due to flooding. Heavy thunderstorm rain also produced several areas of flash flooding over sections of southern Colorado. No property damage or injuries were reported. Event 3: On July 25, 2006, heavy thunderstorm rains and subsequent flooding caused road damage about 2 miles southeast of La Veta. Event 4: On July 16, 2004, a thunderstorm with very heavy rain caused flash flooding about 10 miles northeast of Walsenburg. Severe erosion occurred on area gravel and dirt roads. Event 5: On July 6, 2002, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches in a short time frame caused flooding of irrigation and other ditches as well as areas of deep water in parking lots in the vicinity of Walsenburg. Event 6: On August 29, 2000, heavy rain caused some small stream flooding as well as road flooding approximately 17 miles northwest of Walsenburg. Event 7: On May 1, 1999, the most significant river flooding along the Arkansas River since about 1965 was caused by widespread and persistent rainfall, especially along the eastern slopes of the southeast mountains. Widespread rainfall totals in excess of 8 inches in 40 hours Page 59 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan was recorded, while some locations received in excess of 13 inches of rain in 48 hours. The heavy rain event led to widespread river flooding, especially along the Arkansas River as well as the Fountain Creek watershed. By the morning of May 2nd portions of northern La Junta were under 5 to 6 feet of water, which damaged or destroyed over 250 homes and businesses. Nearly 100 other structures were damaged or destroyed. Many irrigation ditches in southeast Colorado sustained damage to channels and gates. Agricultural lands were swept away, and the channel of the Arkansas River was significantly altered in many locales. Significant flooding occurred between Rocky Ford and La Junta along the Arkansas River. There were numerous roads washed out and bridges destroyed by the flood waters. Huerfano County was not as severely impacted as some other areas, but overall property damage was placed at $4.2 million, while crop damages totaled $3.6 million. Event 8: Going back to the early part of the 20th century, on August 6, 1908 while driving across a dry arroyo, John Wondergern, a sixteen-year-old boy, was caught by a flood of water in a dry arroyo near Maitland. The water came down in a wall six feet high, drowning John. His more fortunate younger brother was spared only by being washed into a wire fence from which he could seek safety. Other Hazards (not ranked as “priority”) To conform to FEMA’s guidance for PDMP development and to consider as many potentially relevant hazards as possible, the Huerfano County planning team reviewed a comprehensive list of hazards in addition to those prioritized above. The other hazards considered by the planning team include natural and manmade hazards and are set forth in some detail below: ASTEROID/COMET IMPACT Asteroids are rocky, metallic objects that orbit the Sun but are too small to be considered planets. They are also known as minor planets, and those measuring less than ten meters across are called meteoroids. Asteroids range in size from Ceres, which has a diameter of about 1000 kilometers, down to the size of pebbles. Sixteen asteroids have a diameter of 240 kilometers or greater. They have been found inside Earth's orbit to out beyond Saturn's orbit. Most are contained within a main belt that exists between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter. Some have orbits that cross Earth's path and some have struck the Earth over the years. One of the best preserved examples is the well known Barringer Meteor Crater near Winslow, Arizona. Comets and asteroids have sometimes been grouped together, and a few objects have ended up being dual-listed because they were first classified as minor planets but later showed evidence of cometary activity. Conversely, some and, perhaps, even all comets are eventually depleted of their surface volatile ices and become asteroids. A further distinction between the two objects is that comets typically have more eccentric orbits than most asteroids. Actually most "asteroids" with notably eccentric orbits are probably dormant or extinct comets. The night skies of Huerfano County are generally devoid of the light pollution often found in more densely populated, highly lit areas. Meteor viewing is a somewhat routine pastime as a result. Despite the thrill of witnessing a meteor flash, hazards varying in degrees of severity are posed by some of the objects entering earth’s atmosphere. The main concern faced by Huerfano residents is about the damage that can be done when a large celestial object impacts the county. The likelihood of such an incident may be relatively small, but the discovery in June, 2004 of a new, “near-Earth object”, known as “2004 MN4” a 320 meter Page 60 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan wide asteroid, caused astronomers to refine their initial calculations from one chance in 170, to a greater one that the stone object, will hit the earth as soon as April, 2029. Also known as Apophis, further investigations have since shown this asteroid will pass harmlessly by, but at a distance of between 15,000 to 25,000 miles. In March, 2009, it was reported in March, 2009, that a 200-foot wide asteroid zoomed past Earth at an altitude of 40,000 miles, swerving just far enough from the planet to avoid total destruction. Called “2009 DD45”, the space body was discovered by Australian astronomers. Although 40,000 miles seems like a safe distance, it's only about one-seventh of the way to the moon and less than twice as far into space as most satellites orbit. Had 2009 DD45 slammed down onto the Earth, it would have exploded with the force of a large nuclear blast somewhere in the Pacific Ocean west of Tahiti. Astronomers believe this asteroid is likely to return for another series of near misses since it appears to be drawn in by our planet's gravity. An astronomer at the University of Western Ontario in Canada, said the last rock "as large or larger than this to come this close was in 1973 and the next time will be in 2029 when Apophis makes its close approach." 253 Mathilde, a C-type asteroid measuring about 50 kilometers (31.1 mi) across An earthly impact with such objects would be cataclysmic. They would act like huge, violently destructive missiles, and would carry the potential to cause massive destruction and loss of life. Based on the estimated size of Apophis, it is estimated that a strike on land would destroy an area about the size of Texas. If the asteroid hit water the resulting tsunamis would be larger than anything ever experienced. Some scientists state that even if the asteroid misses the earth in 2029, its gravitational effects may be such that it develops an “orbit match up” with our planet which brings it close again in the years 2034 through 2038, and possibly even later. An impact by even a 1 kilometer or greater diameter object could have serious global environmental consequences and societal ramifications, and a 3 kilometer asteroid could threaten the future of human civilization. Because of uncertainties of location, it is reasonable to assume that unprecedented global consequences would result even from a smaller impact. Beyond that, impacts by much smaller asteroids, approximately 100 - 200 meters in size, are much more likely and could trigger a regional catastrophe of a magnitude that governmental agencies are ill-prepared to deal with. “Near Earth” objects of less than 30 meters diameter cannot cause significant damage on the ground, although psychological reactions to an unexpected blast in the upper atmosphere the equivalent of 1 megaton of TNT could have serious adverse consequences. Despite the discovery of 2004 MN4 and 2009 DD45, and some evidence that future serious impacts with Earth are highly likely, there are no credible forecasts of asteroid strikes in the Huerfano planning area. Furthermore, there are no known mitigation strategies that Huerfano Page 61 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan County could undertake on its own and, for that simple reason, asteroids and comets represent a hazard beyond the scope of this planning effort. AVALANCHE An avalanche is a rapid flow of snow down a slope, triggered by either natural causes or human activity. Typically occurring in mountainous terrain, an avalanche can mix air and water with the descending snow. Powerful avalanches have the capability to entrain ice, rocks, trees, and other material on the slope; however avalanches are always initiated in snow, are primarily composed of flowing snow, and are distinct from mudslides, rock slides, rock avalanches, and serac collapses from an icefall. In mountainous terrain avalanches are among the most serious objective hazards to life and property, with a tremendous destructive capability due to the potential capability of carrying enormous masses of snow rapidly over large distances. Avalanches often occur on grades steeper than about 20 to 30 degrees and can reach speeds of 200 miles per hour. They can exert enough force to destroy buildings and uproot large and healthy trees. A powder snow avalanche Avalanches are a significant threat as development and recreation increase in Colorado’s mountain areas. Data show the incidence of avalanches has increased, as have the number of people affected by these events. Information from avalanche accidents shows that they occur in about one-third of the states, and most frequently in much of the West where they are the most lethal form of mass movement. Mortality prompted by snow avalanches exceeds the average mortality due to earthquakes and all other forms of slope failure combined on an annual basis. On some instances, avalanches affect a significant sector of the public, involve a number of private organizations and require cooperation and action by government agencies at the federal, state and local levels. The avalanche hazard causes economic loss to residents, businesses, transportation systems and government agencies and can have a negative impact on the local economy of the affected area. From 1950 to 2007, Colorado experienced more than double the number of avalanche-related fatalities as Alaska, the next most dangerous state. In the Sangre de Cristo range of Huerfano County, conditions conducive to avalanches have occurred during the winter as a result of heavy snow accumulation on steep slopes. Page 62 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The Sangre de Cristo area of Huerfano County exhibits susceptibility to avalanche activity. Some visitors travel into the backcountry ill-equipped and without an adequate appreciation for the dangers that avalanches pose. The rescue and recovery of those caught in avalanches is sometimes a labor-intensive process and a dangerous task for the emergency personnel Page 63 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan involved. It is not uncommon for the number of rescue personnel acting in an avalanche response operation to far exceed the number of people who are caught in the avalanche. Fortunately, such efforts have not been a frequent requirement of Huerfano County emergency personnel, and there have been no reported avalanche-related fatalities in the county between 1950 and 2007. As a result, participants in the survey conducted pursuant to this planning effort did not see the need to rank the avalanche threat to Huerfano County as one requiring priority status. DISEASE OUTBREAK The potential for an outbreak of disease in Huerfano County appears to be no greater or worse than that facing any other largely rural county in the state of Colorado. The hazard is one rarely experienced, but it poses an insidious risk to the residents of Huerfano County if it ever does strike. All persons who reside in the area are theoretically at some risk of falling ill in the event that a disease outbreak occurs. Damages and losses that might accompany a human disease outbreak are primarily limited to effects on human populations and health, and would typically leave structures, utilities or transportation largely unaffected. Impacts on public health and safety facilities might occur, but some buildings, furnishings and belongings that come into contact with a diseased person may need to be destroyed should they be deemed infectious. In addition to the human losses associated with a disease outbreak, other damages or losses associated with an outbreak or outbreaks would most likely include economic losses associated with work absences or a loss in productivity due to disease; adverse impacts on hospitals and other health care facilities and staff, and the fear and emotional anxiety that would accompany a severe outbreak. The economic impact also depends on the attack and fatality rates of the disease, its duration, the behavior and preparedness of households and businesses, as well as the capacity and preparedness of health care systems. All of these factors are relative unknowns at this time, but they can be influenced through plan preparation and public education. Supply and demand will also affect the economy during a disease outbreak. The supply side will be affected by social isolation and quarantine, absenteeism, the disruption of essential services, telecommuting, and caring for sick family and friends. The supply side will also be affected by disruptions in transport, trade, payment systems, and major utilities services. The demand side will be affected by decreased spending and investing, much as we are experiencing on a nationwide basis during the current economic recession. If a severe pandemic like that of 1918 occurs, the long term impacts will influence tourism and exports, and trade and transportation restrictions may be enacted. In short, the global financial system will be severely damaged. A pandemic of influenza, or flu, occurs when a new flu virus rapidly spreads from human-tohuman and country-to- country around the world. A new virus can spread rapidly because most people lack the requisite immunity to ward it off. Pandemics are not simply especially bad flu seasons, and in fact, they are not seasonal at all. Pandemics can happen any time of year. The difference between a pandemic and an epidemic is stark. An epidemic is an outbreak of a disease that occurs in one or several limited areas, like a city, state, or country. Once the disease spreads beyond the borders of several countries and affects many countries, it has reached pandemic proportions. As we have come to learn, pandemic influenza is not a new threat to man. Historically, there have been a number of such outbreaks, and many experts believe we are soon due for Page 64 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan another. Avian influenza has moved across the world, and it kills more than 60% of its victims. The Avian Flu or Bird Flu is of concern now; specifically the H5N1 virus. This virus has infected many birds in Asia, and has had a 100% fatality rate in chickens. Ducks and geese are an incubator for the disease, and pass the virus along to other birds. When the virus adapts and finds the ability to efficiently transmit from human to human is when concern about pandemic influenza is raised. The emergence of a new virus also means that new vaccines must be developed, and this process can take months to years to prepare and distribute. Further mutations in currently circulating strains of Avian Flu could launch new infections in human beings, and if that happens, hundreds of thousands if not millions could be in jeopardy and many countries would be affected. While work has been underway to prepare for such a biological event there is more to be done because of the belief that a widespread pandemic influenza event could destroy the security of the nation. In the last century, several pandemics of influenza occurred, with the largest, most damaging one occurring in 1918. Influenza is a highly contagious respiratory virus that is responsible for some 36,000 deaths in the United States each year. Approximately five to twenty percent of the population is sick with the flu each year, and it is estimated to cause over 200,000 hospitalizations annually. Every year the influenza virus makes natural minor changes in the genetic pattern as the virus replicates. This is called “Antigenic drift”. An annual flu shot is needed because of this yearly mutation, and the newly mutated virus has the potential to start a pandemic outbreak of influenza. During the 20th century three pandemics occurred. The 1918 “Spanish Flu” killed approximately 40 million people world wide and 675,000 in the United States. This particular flu virus was so potent that it even killed healthy young adults, which is rare. In 1957-58, the “Asian Flu”, killed approximately 4 million people worldwide and 70,000 in the US. In 1968-69, the “Hong Kong” flu killed approximately 4 million people worldwide and 34,000 in the US. In those years, and especially in 1918, citizens and the country were more self-sufficient, traveled less and by slower means, communication was considerably slower, there were fewer people and they had a narrower range of contacts, households were larger and stockpiled food. And much like the people of the Middle Ages in the time of the bubonic plague, they were largely unprepared for such outbreaks of disease. In 2009, people move about much more rapidly and communicate constantly. Increased population generally means more personal contact. Households aren’t as crowded, but very little stockpiling of food and supplies take place, with impulse or “on-demand” buying being more typical. There are more elderly immune-compromised people in the population. Globalization, increased drug resistance, and climate change are among the factors contributing to the growing threat from various infectious diseases. The preparedness for such horrific diseases is better, but still requires improvement. Some other major disease threats currently facing the United States include such diseases as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), which is the sixth leading cause of death in the United States. More than 90,000 Americans have been infected by MRSA. Approximately 3.2 million Americans have hepatitis C infections, which causes an estimated $15 billion a year expenditure for health-care. HIV/AIDS is another disease which affects about 1.2 million Americans. Also, re-emerging diseases, such as measles, mumps and tuberculosis, which were thought to be nearly eliminated in the United States pose a threat too. Page 65 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Communicable diseases that are monitored by the World Health Organization include both familiar and some exotic threats such as anthrax, avian influenza, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF), dengue hemorrhagic fever, Ebola hemorrhagic fever, hepatitis, influenza, Lassa fever, Marburg hemorrhagic fever, Nipah Virus (NiV) Infection, Plague Rift Valley fever, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), smallpox, tularemia and Yellow fever. Several reasonable planning assumptions can be made about a pandemic scenario: • Localities must be prepared to rely on their own resources to respond, at least initially. The effect of influenza on individual communities can be prolonged (weeks to months) in comparison to other types of disasters. • Health care workers and other first responders may be at higher risk of exposure and illness than the general population, adding to further strain on the health care system. • Outbreaks can be expected to occur simultaneously throughout much of Colorado and, possibly, the entire country. This will prevent shifts in human and material resources that usually occur in response to other disasters such as flooding. • Of those who become ill with influenza, approximately 50% will seek outpatient medical care. • The typical incubation period (interval between infection and onset of symptoms) for influenza is two days. • Persons who become ill may “shed” virus and can transmit infection for up to one day before the onset of illness. Viral shedding and the risk of transmission will be greatest during the first two days of illness. Children usually shed the greatest amount of virus and therefore are likely to pose the greatest risk for transmission. • On average, infected persons will transmit the infection to approximately two other people. • In an infected community, a pandemic outbreak will last about six to eight weeks. • Multiple waves (periods during which community outbreaks occur across the country) of illness could occur with each wave lasting 2-3 months. Historically, the largest waves have occurred in the fall and winter, but the seasonality of a pandemic cannot be predicted with certainty. • Effective prevention and therapeutic measures, including vaccine and antiviral agents, will be delayed and in short supply. • Widespread illness in the community could increase the likelihood of sudden and potentially significant shortages of personnel in other sectors that provide critical public safety services. Some reports estimate that at least 170,000 Americans die each year from infectious diseases, and that number will very likely increase dramatically during a major disease outbreak. The Centers for Disease Control estimates that anywhere from 90 million to 200 million people could become ill from the flu in the next pandemic in the US alone, and they estimate that up to 1.9 million deaths could occur. Casualties of this magnitude would simply overwhelm the health care system in the United States. DISEASE OUTBREAK – Historical Experience Page 66 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The Colorado Department of Health and Environment maintains statistics about diseases that pose a threat or have impacted Huerfano County in the recent past: One case of MRSA was reported in 2008. In 2007, Huerfano County experienced one case of chronic Hepatitis B, and ten cases of chronic Hepatitis C. Two individuals in the county contracted influenza which required hospitalization and one case each of viral meningitis, pertussis and West Nile virus were reported. In 2006, Huerfano experienced 13 cases of chronic Hepatitis C, six cases of influenza that required hospitalization, five cases of varicella (chicken pox), and one each of hantavirus, chronic hepatitis B, legionellonis (Legionnaires’ disease), salmonellosis and STEC (the toxin producing e.coli) Fortunately, no major disease outbreaks have occurred in the state in recent memory, but many experts are worried that the nation and, indeed, the world are overdue for an outbreak of pandemic flu. Interestingly, the first national risk assessment conducted recently in Great Britain described pandemic flu as the most serious threat facing that nation, one even greater than that posed by terrorism. Notwithstanding some of the ominous warnings being sounded by health experts in the past decade or so, Huerfano County’s planning team believes this threat should be ranked as a non-priority one. DROUGHT Drought is a normal climate feature that occurs almost everywhere. Its features however vary from region to region, and the definition of a drought depends on differences in regions, needs, and perspectives. As an example, drought in Libya might occur when annual rainfall is less than 180 millimeters, but in Bali, drought might be considered to occur after a period of only a week without rain. In the most general sense, drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, resulting in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector. However it is defined, drought cannot be viewed solely as a physical phenomenon due to its potentially far-reaching effects. High temperatures, high winds and low humidity can worsen drought conditions and can make areas more susceptible to wildfire. Human needs, demands and actions sometimes hasten drought-related impacts. Droughts are generally categorized as one of four types: • Meteorological • Agricultural • Hydrological • Socio-economic Briefly, meteorological droughts are typically defined by the level of “dryness” wherein actual precipitation is less than the normal amount of precipitation over a certain period of time. As the name implies, agricultural droughts are based on deficiencies in soil moisture with regard to the demands of plant life. Emphasis tends to be placed on factors such as soil water deficits, water needs based on differing stages of crop development and water reservoir levels. Hydrological drought is directly related to the effect of precipitation shortages on surface and groundwater supplies. Human-based factors, such as changes in land use, sometimes impact the hydrologic characteristics of a basin. Lastly, socio-economic drought is Page 67 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan the result of water shortages that limit the ability to supply water-dependent products in the marketplace. Drought has always played a prominent role in Colorado’s history, and it is one of the most destructive of all natural hazards. Unlike some other natural hazards, its onset is slow and silent but the effects can linger for years. Geographically, drought can occur locally, regionally or statewide. The impacts from drought are non-structural and generally affect the economy and environment of the afflicted area. A drought event can be a short term or multi-year event, much like the drought that severely affected Colorado in the past several years. Scientific studies have shown that Colorado has experienced drought periods lasting ten years and longer. Research suggests that multi-year droughts typically have one peak year that is more dramatic and more devastating than all of the others. Recorded information suggests that 2002 was the peak year of the most recent drought event. The risk of drought is generally uniform across the Huerfano County area and will track conditions in the rest of the region. Annual precipitation is fairly consistent across the county with variations occurring with the change in topography from mountain to valley floors. Different areas of Huerfano County receive an average precipitation ranging from about 10 inches at the county’s eastern edge to 36 inches or more in the Cuchara area. With such levels, any real decrease in moisture over a prolonged period of time can negatively impact the region. Along with individuals and families, local industries such as tourism, farming and recreation can be disrupted at a parcel level by the effects of a drought. According to its land use plan, Huerfano County has a problem with water availability due to problems of in terms of time and space. What this means in essence is that the most abundant water supply isn’t located in an area of the county where it is most needed. The Page 68 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan upper portions of Huerfano County enjoys the most plentiful supply of water, whereas irrigated land is found primarily in the lower part of the county. The water supply is generally considered adequate, and sometimes excessive during the spring during the early stages of the growing season, but is generally deficient by the time of the late growing season as summer comes to an end. In times of drought, the issue of the distribution of water resources can cause great hardship on local farmers. Throughout Huerfano County, the amount of rain that falls can vary wildly from year to year, producing periods of flood and drought on an alternating basis. Maximum annual amounts of precipitation can be nearly three times greater than the minimal annual precipitation as recorded in the county’s measuring stations. Networks of irrigation ditches and small reservoirs alleviate some of the seasonal and annual variations, but the county’s agricultural production remains largely dependent on natural climate patterns. The county has substantial groundwater resources but it is of uneven quality and has been in greater demand due to continued development over the years. Snow depth and water content measurements taken at the principal snow course measuring stations in Huerfano County can exhibit similarly broad fluctuations. The annual stream flows on the Cucharas and Huerfano rivers have exhibited variations ranging up to 1,000 percent. These are the county’s two main rivers and, as a practical matter, the extremes in flow measurement represent the difference between flood conditions and periods of severe drought. Huerfano County was declared a disaster area on several occasions by the USDA due to drought events occurring between 2000 and 2008. In 2008, agricultural values for Huerfano County lands were assessed at $6,811,861, a far lower number than the putative values. DROUGHT - Historical Experience Event 1: 2008 Huerfano County was one of several counties in Colorado designated as primary natural disaster areas by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) because of losses caused by drought that occurred between January and September, 2008. Event 2: 2005-2006 Huerfano County was twice designated as a primary natural disaster area by the USDA due to a combination of drought, fire, high winds, heat, insect infestation and crop diseases during this period. Event 3: 2003 Drought and insects were the major causes for Huerfano being designated as a natural disaster area by the USDA during this year. Event 4: The Drought of 2002 The severity and impact of this drought deserve an expanded discussion. That year’s drought actually had its beginnings in the fall of 1999. After a very wet spring in 1999 and a soggy August, precipitation patterns reversed and the fall of 1999 was very dry across most of Colorado. The winter of 1999-2000 remained dry with below average snow Page 69 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan accumulation and significantly warmer than average temperatures. The mountains west of Huerfano in southwestern Colorado were especially particularly hard hit by a shortage of snow for winter recreation and summer water supply. The winter was followed by a very dry spring and early summer in 2000 over northeast Colorado and the South Platte watershed, and drought conditions emerged shortly after. By then, the entire western United States was in the midst of a severe drought that resulted in the most severe wildfire season on record. The hot summer of 2000 continued the pattern. Page 70 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The 2001 water year was not as severe but was still relatively dry. While spring and summer precipitation was close to normal, hotter than average temperatures for the second summer in a row resulted in high evaporation rates and continued the depletion of soil moisture and surface water supplies. This weather background set the stage for the next year, which became infamously known as the drought of 2002. Beginning in September 2001, storm systems became more infrequent and precipitation sparse. Much of western and southern Colorado, including Huerfano County, received less than half the normal amount of September precipitation and temperatures were several degrees warmer on average across the state. Later fall weather patterns were promising but precipitation levels proved to be disappointing, and the pattern continued that way until late November. Only then did significant snow fall. Dry powdery snow blanketed a large area and was quite deep in the mountains by the end of the month. Snow pack water content remained below average however, and this late November snowfall was the only significant stormy period for the year. In fact, many areas of the state picked up less than half the December average and east of the mountains only a few millimeters of moisture were measured. January, 2002 brought seasonally lower temperatures and above average snowfall for the southeastern plains of Colorado, but such precipitation east of the mountains typically does little to replenish overall water supplies. Southwestern Colorado was the driest portion of the state with many locations in the San Juan, Animas and Dolores watersheds receiving less than 10% of the 30- year average. The snow pack water content by the end of February, 2002 was only 80% of average at best in portions of northern Colorado. Southern Colorado was even worse where the snow pack water content was measured at only about 40-50% of average. March storms did not contribute the significant wet snows that Colorado spring snowstorms typically produce. Furthermore, the storms nearly skipped southeastern Colorado completely. Most of the state was very dry with nearly half at less than 50% of average. By the end of March, the statewide snow water equivalent, as a percent of average, was a mere 52% and all portions of Colorado’s mountains were far below average. April brought the reality of drought as none of the usual spring storms that dump heavy and widespread precipitation materialized. Almost no precipitation fell in eastern Colorado, and mountain precipitation was also virtually nonexistent. To worsen the situation, April temperatures soared to record highs, especially in the mountains, and mountain snow melted or evaporated at an alarming rate. Relative humidity on several afternoons often fell to below 10%. Fire danger, which is generally at low levels through early June, was already high by mid April, and the first severe forest fire of the season ignited near Bailey on April 23rd. Persistent strong winds also occurred and were accompanied by higher than average temperatures. Farmers had to use supplies of irrigation water earlier than normal, and that resulted in premature depletion of the already limited water supplies. May was even worse than April for precipitation, and only the northern Front Range area received significant moisture. At a time of year when Colorado’s rivers and streams are normally roiling, there were only occasional glimpses of a normal spring snowmelt runoff. Irrigation water demand was high, but it was clear that supplies would not last through the growing season and counties and many municipalities began to face the possibility that available water supplies might not meet the typical summertime demand. Many areas implemented strict water conservation regulations. More forest fires broke out as Page 71 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan June and July brought relentless summer heat. Vegetation that normally grows lush and tall during the spring barely greened up. By June, relative humidity often dropped to less than 10%, and bans on outside burning were enforced statewide. Temperatures routinely climbed above 100 degrees at lower elevations east and west of the mountains. Little precipitation fell for the entire month over western Colorado. To the east of the mountains, a few thunderstorms occurred and some local areas enjoyed respectable rainfall amounts. Parts of far eastern Colorado, for example, reported more than 10 centimeters of rain in June. But with the persistently high temperatures, frequent strong winds, and low humidity, the rain barely greened the native vegetation. Winter wheat crop conditions continued their rapid deterioration, and ranchers sold or moved all or parts of their herds in response to the poor range conditions and high cost of feed. The most severe fires of the season broke out in June, including the Hayman fire southwest of Denver. That blaze quickly grew to be the largest documented forest fire in Colorado. Wildfire smoke could be seen almost every day, but as humidity rose later in the summer, fires spread more slowly, and some were successfully extinguished. July is normally the most lightning prolific month of the year, but in 2002 thunderstorms were few. This helped the fire situation by reducing the number of natural ignitions. Some locations enjoyed showers and thunderstorms during July, and a few localized areas, mostly in or near the mountains, ended up with near average rainfall for the month. But most areas remained dry. The eastern plains were parched with most areas reporting less than 30% of their average July precipitation. Even where irrigation water held out, crops withered under the stress of heat and low humidity. Many area water supplies dried out, irrigation was curtailed, and crop failure ensued. By late July, Colorado was in a serious drought, and this condition was pronounced in Huerfano County. Furthermore, drought conditions were not limited just to Colorado, but extended over much of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States. By mid-August, the drought situation was being compared to the great Dust Bowl of the 1930s. As the month drew to a close, a subtle change in weather patterns brought a round of spring-like thunderstorms loaded with hail and high winds to portions of eastern Colorado. The hail did little damage, however, since so few crops were still growing in late August. For the state as a whole, August precipitation was still below average, but unlike previous months some large areas of eastern Colorado received heavy rains. More than double the August average was observed from eastern Weld County down to northwest Kit Carson County. Humid and stormy weather continued into September and, for the first time since August 2001, the majority of Colorado received above average rainfall. Temperatures were still warmer than average, but with the cooler air of fall, frequent showers and a few soaking rains, grass actually began to green up a bit. Parts of Colorado accumulated at least double the average monthly rainfall. Even the bone-dry areas of southwest Colorado received some much-needed moisture with some areas reporting more than 10 centimeters of moisture for the month. With cooler weather and the growing season ending, the worst of the 2002 drought had passed. Page 72 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The severity of the drought had a devastating effect on the state and local economies. Colorado’s economy suffered an estimated $1.1 billion impact on agriculture, tourism and recreation. Ranchers in southern Colorado sold 80% of their herds due to lack of water, outfitters estimated recreational visitation was down 40% and fishing licenses sales were down by 93,000. This decline had a $1.8 million impact alone on the state’s Division of Wildlife. Within Huerfano County, drought effects were visible in more than the agricultural sector. Numerous summertime visitors to the area come for camping, hiking, fishing and outdoor activities. Many of the visitors are in-state residents of Colorado, and they enjoy a variety of campgrounds for long weekends and brief getaways. The drought of 2002 caused the region to go into a full fire ban and many campgrounds and forest areas were closed to the public. These measures predictably deterred many would-be tourists from the region and their tourist dollars were spent elsewhere. EARTHQUAKE An earthquake is the motion or trembling of the ground produced by a sudden displacement of rock in the Earth's crust. Earthquakes occur as the result of crustal strain, volcano activity, landslides, or the collapse of caverns, and the affect can be massive. Earthquakes can sometimes be felt over hundreds of thousands of square miles, cause damage to property measured in the tens of billions of dollars, result in loss of life and injury to hundreds of thousands of persons and cause major social and economic disruptions. Colorado is a region of minor earthquake activity, although there are many uncertainties about that characterization because of the short time period for which historical data is available. According to the Department of Local Affairs (DOLA), Colorado’s earthquake hazard and risk has historically been rated lower than most knowledgeable scientists in the state consider justified. As a result, local emergency managers are generally unaware of the size and consequences of an earthquake that could occur in the state. FEMA’s HAZUS 99 study gave the state an estimated Annualized Earthquake Loss (AEL) of $5.8 million, which ranked Colorado 30th in the nation. The northwestern and southwestern corners, and the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in the south-central section of the State, have had no activity in historic times. Eastern Colorado is nearly aseismic, with just a few epicenters in the Arkansas and Platte River Valleys. Most shocks in the history of this State have centered west of the Rocky Mountain Front Range. Earthquakes in Colorado, 1867-1996 Page 73 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan More than 500 earthquake tremors of magnitude 2.5 or higher have been recorded in Colorado since 1867. More earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 to 3 probably occurred during that time, but went unreported because of the sparse distribution of population and limited instrument coverage in much of the state. For comparison, more than 20,500 similar-sized events have been recorded in California during the same time period. The largest known earthquake in Colorado occurred on November 7, 1882 and had an estimated magnitude of 6.5. The location of this earthquake was in the northern Front Range west of Fort Collins. Relative to other western states, Colorado’s earthquake hazard is higher than Kansas or Oklahoma, but lower than Utah, and significantly lower than that of Nevada and California. Even though the seismic hazard in Colorado is low to moderate, it is likely that future damaging earthquakes will occur, and it is reasonable to expect future earthquakes as large as the one of magnitude 6.5. Calculations based on the historical earthquake record and geological evidence of recent fault activity suggest that an earthquake of magnitude 6 or greater may be expected somewhere in Colorado every several centuries. Although no specific information was located for earthquake activity in Huerfano County, nearby areas have some identified and suspected fault areas, some of which are located in Costilla County. The following information is derived from DOLA’s Earthquake Evaluation Report based on the HAZUS 99 study: Page 74 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County HAZUS 99 Earthquake Loss Estimate Population 7,862 % Growth since 1990 County size (sq.mi) 30.8% 1,578 Inventory value $1,983.50 M Faults within county Alvarado; Bear Creek; Farista Faults; Greenhorn; Ilse; La Veta Faults West (LC), Westcliffe (LC), Wet Mountains South (LC) Historical Earthquakes None Faults analyzed for county Goodpasture N Sangre de Cristo Previous Studies None HAZUS Risk Goodpasture M6.0 – 0 fatal, $3.7 Million (-0.18%) N Sangre: M7.5 – 0 fatal, $37.8 Million (-1.9%) M6.5 – 0 fatal, $2.3 Million (-0.1%) Page 75 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan EARTHQUAKES – Historical Experience Event 1: In the early morning hours of October 4, 2008 a 3.4 magnitude earthquake was experienced in the Trinchera Peak area. The epicenter was first marked as being about 4.16 miles southwest of Trinchera Peak. The epicenter was later determined to be about 12.3 miles southeast of East Spanish Peak, and about 5 miles south of the town of Gulnare. No damage occurred, but the quake was felt in Gulnare and also in Cuchara. Event 2: In October 1966, a southeast Colorado tremor rocked a 15,000 square-mile area of the State and bordering New Mexico. Minor damage, in the form of broken windows and dishes and cracked walls and plaster, occurred at Aguilar, Segundo, Trinchera, and Trinidad. Event 3: According to the website kmitch.com/Huerfano/news, during March, 1925 an unusually pronounced earthquake was reported at Pueblo and along the Greenhorn range as far west as Rosita. No other details were forthcoming about the tremor. It is difficult to accurately forecast the timing or location of future damaging earthquake activity. Over the years seismic activity has been detected in and close to Huerfano County, but no significant events have been recorded to date. It is largely for that reason that this potentially destructive hazard is considered by county residents and experts as a relatively minor threat. Page 76 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan LANDSLIDES/ROCKSLIDES Landslides, including rock fall and other debris flow, exist as a natural hazard in almost every state in the United States. They are a serious geologic hazard, and sometimes present a threat to human life. More often they result in a disruption of everyday services, including emergency response capabilities. Landslides and rockslides can and do block transportation routes, dam creeks and drainages and contaminate water supplies. When these hazards affect transportation routes they are frequently expensive to clean-up and can have significant economic impact on the affected area. FEMA describes debris flows, sometimes referred to as mudslides, mudflows, lahars, or debris avalanches, as common types of fast-moving landslides. These flows most often occur during or after periods of intense rainfall or rapid snow melt. They typically start on steep hillsides and liquefy and accelerate to speeds of about ten miles per hour. They can exceed thirty-five miles per hour in more extreme cases. Debris flows have a consistency ranging from watery mud to a thick, rocky paste that can carry large items such as boulders, trees and cars and damage road surfaces. Flows from many different sources can combine in channels, and increase in destructive power. These flows continue and grow in volume with the addition of water, sand, mud, boulders, trees and other materials it picks up on its descent. When the flows reach flatter ground, the debris spreads over a broad area, sometimes accumulating in thick deposits that can cause significant destruction in developed areas. Wildfires sometimes lead to destructive debris-flow activity. In July 1994, the tragic wildfire on Storm King Mountain, west of Glenwood Springs killed fourteen firefighters. It also stripped the slopes of vegetation, and the heavy rains that followed in September caused numerous debris flows from the mountain, one of which blocked Interstate 70 and threatened to dam the Colorado River. A tragic situation was also made worse two months later because of the debris flow. Rock falls, sinkholes, subsidence, swelling or expansive soils and debris flows are all considered geologic hazards related to landslides. The Texas Creek Boulder Field is one of the most interesting such fields in the Sangre de Cristo Range. The feature gives the impression of a moonscape. A portion of the massive boulder field lies at 11,500 feet, high in the Texas Creek drainage. The Texas Creek Boulder Field is a prime example of landslide topography. Cabin-size boulders are common on the east flank of the Sangre de Cristo Range, northwest of Westcliffe, Colorado. Composed of sandstone and conglomerate, the huge boulders represent numerous rock falls and rock slide events, during the last 50,000 years of earth history. Rock falls and rock slides are the dominant types of landslide features in the upper Texas Creek area, where huge blocks of sandstone and conglomerate have slid and tumbled downslope. The blocks were derived from nearby exposures of Late Paleozoic Sangre de Cristo Formation. A landslide scar is visible near the head of the valley, providing evidence of where some of the blocks tumbled from the local bedrock. Page 77 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Contributing factors that promote landslides are present at the head of the Texas Creek Drainage. These include inclined bedding that slants 25 to 30 degrees downslope, steep topography, and a source of moisture from snow melt to saturate rock masses and lubricate bedding planes and fractures within the bedrock. Fortunately, this spectacular field is remotely located in high wilderness area and poses no threat to any population center in nearby Huerfano County. The state’s most recent Landslide plan did not identify any areas of unusual susceptibility in Huerfano County. Colorado’s plan compiled the identified areas of vulnerability into different priorities described in three distinct categories or tiers based upon the severity of the threat. The three categories are further described as: • • • Tier One listings are serious cases needing immediate or ongoing action or attention because of the severity of potential impacts. Tier Two listings are very significant but less severe; or where adequate information and/or some mitigation actions have taken place; or where current development pressures are less extreme. Tier Three listings are similar to Tier Two but with less severe consequences or primarily local impact. Overall most of Huerfano County is considered a “low” level landslide hazard area according to the state map as set forth below. AREA OF CONCERN: LaVeta Notwithstanding the relative freedom from harmful landslides enjoyed by most of the county, one specific area has been identified as a potential threat to life and property. That is the area immediately above the “Tourist Train”, as it is popularly known, in LaVeta. The Rio Grande Scenic Railroad features several routes that serve communities in the San Luis Valley area, including LaVeta to the east. Two of the train routes, the LaVeta Mountaineer and the Ft. Garland Limited include stops in LaVeta. The former climbs historic Page 78 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan La Veta pass, which is the highest point in which a standard gauge train crosses a mountain pass in the United States at an elevation of 9,242 ft. This train features daily departures from Alamosa and runs seven days a week from Memorial Day through about October 17th. It winds through country ranging from agricultural flatlands to colorful foothills to cliff-sided mountains, much of which is inaccessible by motor vehicle, on its way to La Veta. A two-hour stop for lunch allows passengers to relax in the park, do some shopping and gallery-browsing, or have lunch at one of La Veta’s local restaurants and cafes. On weekends and all concert dates, the Ft. Garland Limited leaves La Veta at 10:00 am for a round trip to Fort Garland. Powered by a diesel-electric, the LaVeta to Fort Garland train allows two hours for lunch and a visit to historic Fort Garland. In 2010, this train will provide transportation on all concert dates for the “Roots and Boots” concert series, open air concerts high in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains that are only accessible by train. Huerfano County experts report areas of landslide activity above the Rio Grande’s tracks in the LaVeta area, but so far no large incidents have been experienced. Rock falls and landslides have tended to be minor in nature on this line as a result of the rock formations and alignment. The most common ones are single rocks coming off the cuts into the ditching alongside the track. The ditching has been successful in stopping the falling rocks that have broken loose and tumbled down to the area of the train. The most rock fall prone area is described as that running from Fir Eastbound at the tunnel approaches and the big cut/ day lighted tunnel. No incidents of significant impact operationally or financially have occurred in recent memory, nor have any injuries to passengers occurred. As a precaution, all passenger trains are preceded by an inspection vehicle. The most frequent bits of rock fall during breakup when frost comes out. The railroad line also takes a proactive approach to identifying and tracking rocks in motion. In the event of an incident, the rocks are broken up manually with hammers. Sometimes backhoes are used. Although landslides and rock falls are considered a potential threat to the train, the problem is minimized to a certain extent by the simple fact that any particular stretch of track is occupied by a passenger train under the busiest conditions for only about 30 seconds out of a 24 hour day, and then only on those days that the train actually operates. Furthermore, the passenger train runs only after a preceding run is made by the inspection train. Page 79 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan LIGHTNING/THUNDERSTORMS According to the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration (NOAA), lightning is a gigantic electrostatic discharge between the cloud and the ground, other clouds, or within a cloud. Scientists do not understand yet exactly how it works or how it interacts with the upper atmosphere or the earth’s electromagnetic field. According to many experts in the field of natural hazards, lightning is the most dangerous and frequently encountered weather hazard that people experience each year. It is the second most frequent killer in the United States (floods and flash floods are the number one cause of weather related deaths in the US), and lightning typically kills more people annually than do tornadoes or hurricanes. It should be noted that those averages experienced a one year exception in 2005 caused entirely by the rampant devastation of Hurricane Katrina. The annual national thirty year average of lightning-related fatalities is 44. Despite better education and awareness, the ten year average number of fatalities between 1997 -2007 has risen to 62 annually. Many more are injured annually, and unfortunately, those who are struck by lightning and do survive are often plagued with a variety of long-term, debilitating symptoms, including memory loss, attention deficits, sleep disorders, numbness, dizziness, stiffness in joints, irritability, fatigue, weakness, muscle spasms, depression, and an inability to sit for long. Lightning is the leading summer weather-related killer in Colorado. Hikers and climbers in the mountains of Huerfano County who are caught in lightning storms are in particular danger, as are children or even adults playing or relaxing in open areas. While lightning frequently accompanies thunderstorms, the presence of a thunderstorm is not necessary for lightning to occur. Lightning can strike as far away as 10 miles from any precipitation. Tourists or visitors Page 80 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan to the region are sometimes surprised by the rapidity with which a thunderstorm can build in the mountains, and they can easily be caught unprepared in a storm. Late spring and summer thunderstorms will appear quickly and depart rapidly, but sometimes leave behind evidence of their brief existence. Heavy rains can trigger another hazard, flash flooding, which can wash out roads and disrupt transportation routes. Lightning often sparks isolated fires, or “hot spots”, that leave firefighters scrambling to contain before they spread. Hailstorms derived from thunderstorms are serious threats in Colorado and often cause damage to structures and property in the impacted area. In Colorado, cloud to ground lightning flashes occur nearly a half a million times annually. With all the outdoor activities available to residents and visitors in the state, it is surprising that the state doesn’t average more than three fatalities and 15 injuries on an annual basis. Notwithstanding the comparative frequency of lightning strikes in Colorado, Huerfano County is not considered an especially high risk area as are, for example, sections of El Paso and Larimer Counties, or even areas of moderate risk such as sections of Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Douglas, Elbert, Fremont, Jefferson, La Plata, Las Animas, Lincoln, Mesa, Moffat, Montezuma, Park, Pueblo, Rio Blanco, Routt, Grand and Weld Counties. The following map estimates number of cloud to ground lightning flashes (in thousands) that occur annually in Colorado’s counties. Page 81 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan According to the National Weather Service, eleven people were injured by lightning strikes in Huerfano County between August, 1994 and July, 2006. LIGHTNING – Historic Experience Event: On August 3, 1994, six people in a car at Lathrop State Park were injured when lightning struck the vehicle. Page 82 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan In a related matter, thirty-five hail events have been recorded in Huerfano County between 1968 and 2003. VOLCANIC ERUPTION It is estimated that more than 75 percent of the earth's surface above and below sea level, including the seafloors and some mountains, originated from volcanic eruption. Emissions from these volcanoes formed the Earth's oceans and atmosphere, and volcanoes can also cause tsunamis, earthquakes and dangerous flooding. A volcano is an opening, or rupture, in the earth’s surface or crust, which allows hot, molten rock, ash, and gases to escape from below. Volcanic activity involving the extrusion of rock tends to form mountains or features resembling mountains over a period of time. Volcanoes are generally found where tectonic plates diverge or converge. A mid-oceanic ridge, for example the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, has examples of volcanoes caused by divergent tectonic plates pulling apart. The Pacific “Ring of Fire” has numerous examples of volcanoes caused by convergent tectonic plates coming together. By contrast, volcanoes are usually not created where two tectonic plates slide past one another. Volcanoes can also form where there is stretching and thinning of the Earth's crust such as in the African Rift Valley, the Wells Gray-Clearwater volcanic field and the Rio Grande Rift in North America, and the European Rhine Graben with its Eifel volcanoes. Volcanoes can be caused by mantle plumes. These so-called hotspots, such as those found in Hawaii, can occur far from plate boundaries. Hotspot volcanoes are also found elsewhere in the solar system, especially on rocky planets and moons. There are more than 500 active volcanoes in the world, more than half of which are part of the Ring of Fire, the region that encircles the Pacific Ocean. More than fifty volcanoes in the United States have erupted one or more times in the past 200 years. The most volcanically active regions of the nation are in Alaska, which is currently quite active into the early part of 2009, Hawaii, California, Oregon and Washington. While the danger area around a volcano typically covers a radius of approximately 20 miles, some danger might exist as far as 100 miles away. The beginning of the Tertiary period (65 to 1.8 million years ago) coincides with the birth of the Rocky Mountains. The event is known as the Laramide Orogeny (orogeny means "mountain building"). The cause of the Laramide Orogeny extends back more than 200 million years. At the end of the Triassic period, the great super continent known as Pangea began to break apart, and North America began to separate from Europe. Far to the west, the North American crustal plate began colliding with and over-riding the Pacific-Farallon Plate. The collision between the two plates caused the crust to buckle and fold. The folding began in California and gradually moved eastward until it reached Colorado some 60 million years ago. During the Tertiary period, the stresses caused by the colliding plates to the west forced several crustal "wedges" upwards, forming the Colorado Front Range and the southern Rocky Mountains. In some areas, the mountain building was accompanied by volcanic eruptions. The uplift and volcanism of the early to mid-Tertiary period established the highland that would serve as the headwaters for the Gunnison River. Snowmelt from the Sawatch Range to the east, the West Elk Mountains to the north and the San Juans to the south provided an ample supply of water to what would eventually become the Gunnison Basin. Geologists believe that the modern Gunnison River became established in its current course about 10 to 15 million years ago, just after the last eruptions in the San Juans and West Elks. This Page 83 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan coincides with the beginning of a period of rapid uplift of the Great Basin and Colorado Plateau provinces that lie between the Rockies and the Sierra Nevada Range in California. Of more specific interest to Huerfano County are the Spanish Peaks. Uplift of the Black Hills and the Central Texas Uplift began as the continental interior was raised and the last Cretaceous sea was displaced some 65 to 70 million years ago. These stood well above the surrounding plains long before any sediments from the Rocky Mountains began to accumulate at their bases. In southern Colorado and northern New Mexico, molten rock entered the sedimentary layers between 22 and 26 million years ago. The Spanish Peaks were formed at this time from hot magma that domed up the surface layers but did not break through. The magma has long since cooled and solidified and been exposed by erosion. Elsewhere the magma reached the surface, forming volcanoes, fissures, and basalt flows. A great thickness of basalt flows accumulated between about 8 and 2 million years ago at Raton Mesa and Mesa de Maya. Volcanism in the area has continued intermittently, and the cinder cone of Capulin Mountain in New Mexico was created by explosive eruption only 10,000 to 4,000 years ago. Part of the Spanish Peaks area lies in Huerfano County, and extends into Las Animas County. The Peaks are considered one of the best exposed examples of igneous dikes known. These dikes were formed when molten igneous material was forced into a fracture or fault before becoming solidified. There may be over 500 such dikes in the area. A few years ago the US Geological Survey (USGS) evaluated volcanic activity potential across the country for the first time many years, and rated the Dotsero crater on the east end of Glenwood Canyon, which erupted as recently as four thousand years ago, as a moderate threat for its potential to hurl volcanic ash into the skies at such an altitude as to pose a hazard to airplanes flying through the heavily trafficked area. Dotsero Volcano While the threat of such an eruption of Dotsero is not deemed imminent, perhaps not even a concern for several generations, the USGS reports that any volcano which has been active in the last 10,000 years could become active again. Eruptions of volcanoes pose hazards that include lateral blasts, which are sideway explosions that can launch large chunks of rock at very high speeds for several miles. These explosions can kill by impact, burial, or heat and may have enough force to knock down entire forests. Most of the deaths caused by the Mount St. Helens volcanic eruption in Page 84 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan 1980 were a result of lateral blast and tree blow-down. Additionally, molten lava flow can cause property destruction, injury and death, and the gases emitted from a volcano can pose a severe health hazard to those who breathe them. Lava Flow, Kilauea, Island of Hawai’i HUMAN-CAUSED HAZARDS FEMA considers "manmade” hazards (also referred to as “human-caused) to include those of a technological nature as well as ones involving terrorism. These are different from the natural hazards reviewed above in that they arise from human activity. In contrast, while the risks presented by natural hazards sometimes may be increased or decreased as a result of human activity, they exist in nature and are not inherently or intentionally created by humans. The term "technological hazards" refers to the origins of incidents that can arise from human activities such as the manufacture, transportation, storage and use of hazardous materials. To distinguish from intentionally-caused or terrorist events, this definition assumes that technological emergencies are accidental and their consequences unintended. The term "terrorism" refers to intentional, criminal, malicious acts designed to further a political or social agenda. Human-caused hazards reviewed for this plan run the gamut from the catastrophic to relatively benign or limited in limited in scope. They include such hazards as potentially catastrophic Weapons of Mass Destruction events; widespread flooding caused unintentionally, motor vehicle and airplane accidents, hazardous materials spills and prison breaks. The following discussion reflects the relative ranking of these hazards by Huerfano’s survey participants: AIRPLANE CRASHES Periodic airplane crashes are an unfortunate fact of life in mountain and rural regions. Colorado’s often unpredictable and occasionally violent weather and beautiful, but rugged terrain often creates a hazard for air travelers, especially those who attempt to negotiate the mountain in smaller craft. Although research dating back to 1991 revealed a number of airplane crashes in areas surrounding Huerfano County, the recent history for the county itself did not reveal a large number of aviation incidents. Huerfano County features a number of small airports. The Spanish Peaks Airfield, known as the Huerfano County Airport, is located about 5 miles north of Walsenburg. The main runway is paved and is 4900 feet long and 60 feet wide. Other airports are Cuchara Valley at La Veta Airport; Golden Field in Gardner; Johnson Field, Walsenburg; North La Veta Landing Field, La Veta ; Walsenburg Landing Field, Walsenburg North. Page 85 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan According to Federal Aviation Administration records, Huerfano County has experienced four accidents, two with fatalities from 1991 to 2009. None of the accidents occurred in the past 10 years. AIRPLANE CRASHES – Historic Experience Event 1: On July 06, 1999 two people were killed when a Cessna 182J, entered into instrument conditions shortly after takeoff from the Cuchara Valley Airport. The pilot was not instrument rated and had no instrument experience. A witness observed the aircraft exit the base of an overcast cloud layer at high speed in a steep dive, and it impacted the ground and disintegrated with a scatter pattern that extended for 1,900 feet. The airspeed indicator was recovered with the needle jammed at 190 miles per hour. Factors leading to the crash were the pilot's inadvertent flight into instrument meteorological conditions, a low ceiling, her failure to maintain control of the aircraft and lack of instrument experience. Event 2: On July 26, 1998 , a Beech H35, crashed with two fatalities just below LaVeta Pass. The non-instrument rated private pilot and his passenger were en route from Buckeye, Arizona, to Oshkosh, Wisconsin. The plane had landed and was refueled in Alamosa and, according to the lineman who serviced the airplane, the passenger was apprehensive and expressed concern about the weather conditions. Other pilots had attempted to fly through La Veta Pass and were forced to turn back because the pass was obscured. The lineman said that the weather looked ominous when the plane departed. It had been raining intermittently, the sky was overcast and the mountains to the east were obscured. The airplane was found four days later on the south face of Mount Maestas at about the 9,000 foot level, just below La Veta Pass. No mechanical malfunction was detected from an examination of the wreckage. Subsequent investigation blamed the crash on the pilot's poor judgment by intentionally flying into instrument meteorological conditions without proper certification. Other factors included his failure to obtain a weather briefing, and the existing weather conditions that included clouds, rain, and limited visibility. Event 3: On January 1, 1994, a CESSNA 177RG crashed about 11 miles northwest of LaVeta leaving two occupants seriously injured, two more with minor injuries and one uninjured. The pilot had entered LaVeta Pass at an altitude of about 8,000, when he encountered turbulence and downdrafts as he neared the summit. The airplane failed to generate the necessary lift and stalled. Moderate to extreme turbulence was reported in the area. The cause of the accident was determined to be the pilot’s improper decision to enter LaVeta Pass at an inadequate altitude, which compromised the plane’s ability to climb. Turbulence and downdrafts were contributing factors as well. Event 4: On December 01, 1991 three occupants of a CESSNA T210M escaped injury after the pilot was forced to put the plane down due to a mechanical problem. Shortly after takeoff from LaVeta airport, the pilot heard a “clunk” and lost manifold pressure. He reversed course back to the airport, but was forced to land on a snow-covered highway. The subsequent investigation revealed that the number one connecting rod had broken at the end of the crankshaft. There were also issues with oil blockage, a lack of lubrication and high heat distress throughout the engine. The cause of the incident was determined as the failure of the connecting rod due to a lack of lubrication. Although a few Heurfano residents who participated in the planning survey for this project rated airplane crashes as a significant manmade hazard for the county, nearly twenty years of history belie that notion. While plane crashes are certainly a tragedy for those directly impacted, the scope of these has been such that this hazard was not officially ranked as a significant one Page 86 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan ARSON According to the United States Fire Administration statistics of 2005, Colorado ranked as the second lowest in fire-related deaths per capita with a rate of 5.6 per million population, a slight increase from two years before. Only the state of Hawaii had a lower fire-related death rate. The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting Program defines arson as any willful or malicious burning or attempting to burn, with or without intent to defraud, a dwelling house, public building, motor vehicle or aircraft, personal property of another. In 2007, 14,197 law enforcement agencies reported 64,332 arsons. Arsons involving structures (residential, storage, public, etc.) accounted for 42.9 percent of the total number of arson offenses. Mobile property was involved in 28 percent of arsons, and other types of property such as crops, timber, fences, etc. accounted for 29 percent of reported arsons. The average dollar loss due to arson was $17,289. Arsons of industrial/manufacturing structures resulted in the highest average dollar losses, an average of $114,699 per arson event. In 2007, arson offenses decreased by almost 7 percent when compared with arson data reported in 2006. Notwithstanding the low fire-related death statistics cited above, at one time in the 1990’s arson was a significant problem in Colorado, with a rate that at the time was the third highest in the country. The chart below shows the most recent statistics compiled for the state as of 2007: Property Classification Number of Offenses Value of Property Loss Single Occupancy Residential Structure 111 $1,792,797 Other Residential Structure 40 $2,644,612 Storage Facilities 22 $221,655 Industrial/Manufacturing Facilities 1 $3 Other Commercial Structures 18 $44,161 Community or Public Structures 54 $253,799 All Other Structures 53 $430,062 Motor Vehicles 223 $966,311 Other Mobile Property 5 $2,253 All Other Property 568 $546,020 Grand Total 1,131* $6,901, In all of Colorado in 2007, 308 arrests were made for arson, with 204 of those arrested, or 66%, being persons under the age of 18. Arson is the single greatest cause of fires in records repositories throughout the United States, and because records centers represent government, they may be targets of planned or random violence. In some cases, the arsonist is someone known to the center’s staff. Page 87 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan While arson is an issue of concern both nationwide and as well as in Colorado, the Colorado Bureau of Investigation (CBI) reports only a few incidents of that crime in Huerfano County from 2005-2007: According to the CBI, the Walsenburg Police reported two arson events in 2007, while the Huerfano County Sheriff and LaVeta Police reported none. The Huerfano Sheriff had one event and one arrest in 2006, and the Walsenburg Police also reported one arson event and an arson arrest that year. Walsenburg also reported one arson-related event in 2005. While these numbers are fairly low, it does not mean that the planning team should ignore the issue. Effective multi-hazard preparedness by county emergency responders is vital to reducing or eliminating the loss of life and property during any significant fire event, including incidents of arson. The chief of the Huerfano County Fire Protection District advised that he recalled four or five arson events in the past few years, including incidents targeting a residence, an apartment house and a car. There have been no commercial buildings targeted by arsonists. He attributes the arson events to the local drug trade. No civilians were hurt in these events, but a couple of firemen suffered minor injuries. Despite the relatively few reported arson events in Huerfano County, the two incidents described below occurred in Walsenburg during 2008: ARSON – Historic Experience Event 1: During November, 2008, a three-alarm fire destroyed two empty houses in Walsenburg in late November. By the time the first firefighters arrived on scene, the blaze was already out of control according to the fire chief. The fire started in an abandoned building that was known locally as a vagrant’s hangout. High winds gusting as much as 20 miles an hour pushed the fire into the next door house within minutes, and a nearby occupied duplex was evacuated and suffered only minimal smoke damage. Businesses nearby had no damage, but the two houses that caught fire were a total loss. La Veta and Gardner Fire Departments both sent three members each to assist. Walsenburg responded with ten firefighters and three engines on scene, most of them staying for 12 hours in the freezing cold and dark. Arson was immediately suspected, and the CBI was called in to investigate. Event 2: In February, 2008, an apartment building in Walsenburg was destroyed by fire under suspicious circumstances, and three people were left homeless as a result. According to the police report, a flammable liquid was poured underneath the front door of the apartment and then set ablaze. The building, an old Victorian house that had been converted into five apartments, had been evacuated by the time Huerfano County firefighters arrived. An occupant told investigators he heard footsteps in the foyer just minutes before smoke began pouring into his ground floor apartment early in the morning. Another resident called 911 when smoke began filling her apartment, which is across the hall from the subject residence. She told investigators that she heard footsteps outside her door as well. Only three of the apartments were occupied at the time of the fire, and no injuries were reported. All residents told authorities that they had no idea who would have targeted their building for arson. The fire consumed the foyer and much of the east side of the building, and Page 88 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan the entire east portion of the building was rendered structurally unsound. The Colorado Bureau of Investigation was called in to investigate. CIVIL DISTURBANCE Potential losses and damages associated with civil disturbances historically have been associated with looting, rioting, vandalism and personal injuries. Most major episodes of civil disturbance that have resulted in death, injury or the destruction of property have occurred in large cities with major socioeconomic problems and social justice issues. College campuses and nearby areas are sometimes the site of protests or bad behavior, such as that associated with parties or sporting events. In Colorado, the occasional riots on the “hill” in Boulder come to mind, as do the annual protests associated with the Columbus Day marches in Denver. Fortunately, this past year saw some events with the potential for violence conclude peacefully. The Democratic National Convention was successfully held in Denver with virtually no disturbances or arrests. Another potentially combustible situation was the nearspontaneous tax day protest held on April 15th, but that event was a model of citizen protest. Annual or occasional events such as music festivals or rock concerts attended by large gatherings of youth create a venue for spontaneous civil disturbances, but available data does not accurately predict the potential for such occurrences in Huerfano County. Law enforcement and civil authorities must rely on their experience, observation and reliable intelligence sources to develop and analyze relevant information in advance of the incident. Local officials may acquire information about issues of concern in the county that could result in future disturbances. For example, it is easy to imagine an area of new development becoming a target for anti-growth protesters. Huerfano County does not currently have such inviting targets under development that would normally attract that kind of unwanted attention, but activists and extremists in many environmental and animal rights movements sometimes prefer more rural areas for the cloak of anonymity they seemingly offer. Such individuals or groups probably pose a greater threat as domestic terrorists or arsonists than as catalysts for civil disturbance. Civil disturbances are a minimal risk faced by Huerfano County. It is not one that rises to a level of priority for the planning team. Popular social events sometimes require private security, and promoters or sponsors usually hire off-duty sheriff’s officers or local policemen to provide such protection. Since the promoters draw from the existing ranks of law enforcement personnel, this practice does not add additional numbers of security forces to those already available through the sheriff’s office and local departments. There could be a sudden need for additional law enforcement personnel in the event of a civil disturbance, but resources from adjoining counties should be readily available to meet the demand. EXTREME ACTS OF VIOLENCE Extreme acts of violence are unfortunately seen in news headlines all too frequently and examples of these tragedies are too readily available. Mass murders and school shootings are the most notorious, eye-catching events and they are not confined to our national borders. Just recently, a small town in southwest Germany became the site of the largest secondary school shooting when a 17 year old killed 15 and took his own life. As a German politician sadly remarked in the aftermath of the rampage, “We need to recognize that there is no such thing as absolute security." Columbine taught us that assumptions that “it can’t happen here” are unwise, at best. Page 89 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan But such violence is not confined to school settings. Difficult to predict and hard to mitigate in advance, extreme or random acts of violence can severely impact a community and leave long-lasting effects. One memorable example occurred in the United States and was caused by the Washington, DC snipers in 2002. During a period in the fall of that year, a 17 year old roamed the metropolitan Washington, DC area with another man and randomly killed ten people and wounded several others with high-powered weapons. The pair literally terrorized the region, while much of the press and local citizenry, still mindful of the 9/11 attacks, speculated that the snipers were part of a plot planned and executed by foreign terrorists. Much closer to home here in Colorado we had Columbine, an event that occurred nearly 10 years ago. Another more recent event that drew national attention happened in Grand County in June, 2004. In an almost surreal incident, Grand County resident Marvin Heemeyer, a local businessman, used his skills as a welder to equip and armor a 50-ton bulldozer in order to exact a personal vendetta on the town of Granby. During his siege, which lasted many hours and caused the evacuation of residents and the closure of town roads, Heemeyer thwarted repeated attempts by law enforcement officials to end his act of rampage that had been triggered by an adverse zoning decision. In the hours before he committed suicide, Heemeyer destroyed or heavily damaged buildings that included Granby's town hall and library, a concrete batch plant, a bank, the town's newspaper offices, an electric cooperative building, a store, an excavating business and a house owned by the town's former mayor. More than 200 rounds of ammunition were fired in vain by law enforcement in an effort to stop him. Fortunately nobody was injured in the incident. The bulldozer used to carry out the rampage has since become part of Granby lore, and is known as “Killdozer.” The Columbine shootings, Heemeyer’s act of vengeance and the DC sniper case were clearly very serious incidents and had the potential to create even more damage and bodily injury. These acts are unpredictable but in a way, foreseeable; symptoms of the random manmade threats seemingly facing some unfortunate victims on a regular basis. While nearly impossible to predict and difficult to stop before someone is harmed, emergency managers everywhere have to ask, “What if an incident like these happens in my community?” And how does one mitigate against acts as bizarre and well-planned as Columbine, Killdozer and the DC snioers? Planning and training for known threats and hazards is difficult enough, but planning and training for the unforeseen, while difficult at best, is a challenge faced by many of our emergency responders in these times. The best preparation for random incidents is to seek a broad level of preparation through regular planning, training and exercising. FLOOD DUE TO HIGH FLOW EVENT BREACH BY INTENTIONAL OR INADVERTENT HUMAN INVOLVEMENT Dams have proven to be attractive targets in times of conflict, and they are considered by many security experts to be inviting targets for terrorists. The terrorist's desire to create chaos by destroying a dam may be difficult to realize though since it is not a simple task. Given their imagination and persistence however, it is a concern that must be addressed. Great sums of money have been spent since 9/11 on dam assessments and security and law enforcement and counterterrorism and counterterrorism experts are acutely aware of the problems posed by these targets. Huerfano County is the home to some 54 dams, five of which are categorized as Class I dams, and three that are considered Class II. Class I dams are defined as those in which failure would result in the probable loss of human life. Class II dams are those in which significant damage can be expected, but not loss of human life. “Significant damage” means structural damage to areas where people live, work or play, or to public or private facilities exclusive of unpaved roads and picnic areas. “Damage” specifically refers to rendering the affected structures uninhabitable or inoperable. Page 90 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Terrorism is only one of the threats posed to dams. Threats range from simple human mistakes to operational mismanagement to unnecessary oversights, all of which can potentially cause dam failure. These risks can act in combination with other hazards to aggravate the possibility of failure, and should be included in the risk analysis of any significant dam. For example, different pieces of mechanical equipment, manhole covers and rock riprap are sometimes attractive to trespassers and vandals. Dirt bikes and all-terrain vehicles can severely degrade the vegetation on embankments, and worn down areas lead to erosion and more serious problems such as instability of the dam slope face. Although not necessarily a human-triggered event, the consequences of a major landslide into a water reservoir can be very serious. Landslides can cause sizable wave action or even displace reservoir water, causing it to overtop and otherwise de-stabilize the dam. One such event occurred in Vajont Dam in Italy in 1963 when the combination of a third drawing-down of the reservoir coupled with heavy rains triggered a landslide of about 260 million cubic meters of forest, earth, and rock, which fell into the reservoir at speeds up to 68 mph. The resulting displacement of water caused 50 million cubic meters of water to overtop the dam in a wave estimated at 250 meters in height. Despite the force behind the wave, the dam's structure was largely undamaged as only the very top area of masonry was washed away. However, the tsunami-like wave caused by the landslide totally destroyed the village of Longarone and the small villages of Pirago, Rivalta, Villanova and Faè, killing 1,450 people. Many other nearby small villages were largely wrecked. Deaths were estimated at between 1,900 and 2,000 people in total. Damage was also caused by the air displacement created by the immense "splash" in surrounding villages.” So although research into Huerfano’s experience with dam failures yielded no historical experiences, given the consequences of a catastrophic dam failure, this may be a hazard for Huerfano County officials to examine more closely when considering future mitigation activities. Another human activity that poses a risk is the tendency for people to create communities near or below dams. The construction of residences, buildings and other structures in the potential flood zone creates new risks, and will most likely create increased risks in the future. Notwithstanding these potential perils, the hazard of a human-caused high-flow event is considered low by the Huerfano County planning team. HAZARDOUS MATERIALS (HazMat) – FIXED INSTALLATIONS Fixed facilities are defined as organizations that store hazardous waste at their facility as well as all hazardous waste sites. Fixed-facility hazardous materials events can occur inside or outside of buildings, but always within the facility premises. Also defined as fixed-facility events are situations such as offloading of transportation vehicles where an employee of the facility or transportation company drops a box, for example, or punctures a container with a forklift. These differ from transportation events such as releases which are discovered upon offloading at a fixedfacility, but which happened during the transportation of the hazardous materials. Other examples of fixed-facility events include, but are not limited to, HazMat problems that occur at industrial sites, farms, schools, private residences, hospitals and others. Page 91 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan For more than a decade, the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment has maintained a record of its HazMat surveillance activities. Statistics available from the most recent report of the Colorado Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance, indicate that between the years of 2002 - 2005, Colorado experienced 261 fixed-facility events. During 252 events (97%), one substance was released. Two substances were released in approximately 1.5% of the events, and one event involved the release of sixteen substances. During this period, 42 events (16% of all reported events) resulted in a total of 177 victims, of whom 2 (1%) died. Employees (91) accounted for the largest group of those injured, followed by the general public (37) and students (30). Victims sustained a total of 295 injuries or symptoms. Some victims had more than one injury or symptom. Of all reported injuries or symptoms, the most common were respiratory irritation (110), trauma (46) and eye irritation (43). Seventy-seven (44%) of the victims were decontaminated. An evacuation of the facility or area was ordered in 31 (12%) events. The most common primary factor involved in the releases was human error (109. or 42%). Improper filling, loading or packing was the most frequently reported secondary factor (32, or 22%). The counties with the most frequent number of fixed-facility events were Adams (89), Denver (25), El Paso (23) and Jefferson (22). These same statistics indicate that Huerfano County reported no HazMat events between 2002 and 2005 at a fixed-facility, and the survey respondents did not rank this hazard as a priority one. JAIL/PRISON ESCAPE The problems and crimes associated with population growth in both the state and Huerfano County over the past few decades can create the need for increased law enforcement services and facilities to house the growing inmate population. Housing pressures on current facilities continue to increase, and sometimes lead, at least in part, to increased incidences of jail or prison escape. These events, while not frequent, can understandably create heightened tension and fear in nearby communities. The Huerfano County Correctional Center (HCCC) is a level III state facility located just east of I-25 in Walsenburg. It houses medium custody offenders and has a capacity of 752 beds. HCCC houses offenders for the Arizona Department of Corrections and employs approximately 190 staff members. Level III facilities are described as those which generally have towers, a wall or double perimeter fencing with razor wire and detection devices. The perimeter of these facilities is continuously patrolled. Generally medium classified level inmates and lower levels may be housed in a Level III facility, but inmates of generally higher, or more violent criminal classifications, are not incarcerated therein. Page 92 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County Correctional Center The pressing inmate housing needs of other states have impacted Huerfano County. In an effort to relieve the critical shortage of beds and overcrowded conditions that ensue, the State of Arizona contracted for prison beds in other jurisdictions beginning in 2002. HCCC is one of three prisons in other states chosen by Arizona to house up to 2,100 inmates. The relocated Colorado inmates have gone to private prisons in Crowley, Bent and Kit Carson counties. In calendar year 2007, a total of 44 incidents occurred at the HCCC, including six assaults on staff, 12 other assaults and 21 fights. Between the years of 2004 – 2007, no escapes were reported from HCCC. Huerfano County itself has a county jail located in Walsenburg. The jail was built in 1986 and was designed to hold 60 prisoners, who are generally those serving sentences or awaiting sentencing, and who cannot afford to post a bond for their release. Huerfano County Courthouse and Jail, Walsenburg Page 93 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan An expansion of the existing facility is possible in the future, but is most likely limited to a vertical addition because of the construction of a judicial center on the grounds nearby. A recent state law requires all law-enforcement officers to report to the Bureau of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (BICE) any suspected illegal immigrant who is arrested. The overall Huerfano County jail population ranges from 30 to 45 inmates at any given time, and generally none are illegal aliens. Compared to some other Colorado counties, illegal aliens are not an unusually high percentage of the inmate population, but it does add to increased pressure on detention facilities when the turnover rate of inmates housed is slowed by such indefinite holds. The sheriff’s office reported a total of 21 employees in the year 2007. Employee Total Numbers Number of Officers Number of Civilians 21 9 12 Huerfano County sheriff’s office and crime-related statistics as provided by the Colorado Bureau of Investigation are provided below for 2007: Reported Offenses Number Months Reported 12 0 Murder/Manslaughter 0 Negligent Manslaughter 0 Forcible Rape 0 By Force 0 Attempted 1 Robbery 1 By Firearm 0 Knife/Cutting Instrument Other Dangerous Weapon 0 0 StrongArm 21 Assaults 0 Firearm 1 Knife/Cutting Instrument Other Dangerous Weapon 1 2 Hands/Fist/Feet 17 Other Assaults 7 Burglary 2 Forced Entry 5 Unlawful Entry Page 94 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan 0 Attempted 107 Larceny/Theft 15 Motor Vehicle Theft 15 Auto 0 Truck 0 Other 0 Arson Total Number of Offenses 151 In addition to the offenses reported by the Huerfano County Sheriff’s Office, the Walsenburg Police Department reported 169 offenses in 2007, including 44 assaults, 32 burglaries and 85 larcenies. The LaVeta Police Department reported 6 offenses that year, consisting of 5 assaults and 1 burglary. Reported Arrests Adult Murder Juvenile 0 0 Non Negligent Manslaughter 0 0 Manslaughter By Negligence 0 0 Forcible Rape 0 0 Robbery 0 0 Aggravated Assault 3 0 Burglary 0 0 Larceny 1 0 Motor Vehicle Theft 3 0 Other Assaults 4 2 Arson 0 0 Forgery 0 0 Fraud 2 0 Embezzlement 0 0 Stolen Property 0 0 Vandalism 0 0 Weapons 1 0 Prostitution 0 0 Other Sex Offenses 0 0 Drug Violations 4 0 Gambling 0 0 Other Family Offenses 5 0 DUI 6 0 Page 95 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Liquor Law Violations 0 0 Drunkenness 0 0 Disorderly Conduct 0 0 Vagrancy 0 All Other Offenses 101 Curfew Violations Runaways Total Number of Arrests 130 2 In addition to the numbers arrested by the Huerfano County Sheriff’s Office, the Walsenburg Police Department arrested 271 adults and 43 juveniles during 2007. The LaVeta Police Department also arrested 11 adults that same year. An issue related to jails has recently caused a cloud on Huerfano County’s economic future. It was announced in March, 2010 that the town's second-biggest employer, the Huerfano County Correctional Center, was set to lay off 188 employees and close its doors on April 2, making the area’s prospects for an immediate financial rebound unlikely. Walsenburg businessman Joe Kancilia was quoted in the Denver Post as saying "The economy of this town is zilch. The prison closing down is going to hurt." Walsenburg is one of many small Colorado towns where privately run prisons drive the economy. But many states, including Colorado, are cutting their contracts with private jailers. Corrections Corporation of America announced it would close the Walsenburg prison after Arizona said earlier this year that it was withdrawing all of its 700 inmates from the facility. In late March, the last inmate was set to board a bus headed for a newly constructed stateowned prison in Arizona. It is believed that the Huerfano prison, just east of Interstate 25, will remain closed until CCA enters a contract with Colorado, or with another state overflowing with prisoners and enough money to ship them to Walsenburg. Walsenburg stands to lose up to $300,000 a year because of lost utilities, taxes and fees paid by the prison, according to city administrator Alan Hein. The city had laid off a fifth of its staff of 50 since November because of recession-related budget shortfalls. Last week, Hein laid off five more employees, including two police officers, because of the prison closure. Huerfano County will lose $135,000 a year in payments it received from the prison that it had used to buy two sheriff's department cars the past year. The county also used prison payments to contribute $500 a month to the nonprofit business that runs the Fox Theater, the only movie theater in town. Page 96 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan 188 jobs leaving: The Huerfano County Correctional Center in Walsenburg was slated to shut down April 2. The last inmates at the privately run prison were scheduled to leave at the end of March for a newly built facility in Arizona. JAIL/PRISON ESCAPE - Historic Event In 2000, a man being held on charges of stabbing his girlfriend 50 times and abandoning her in a ditch escaped from the Huerfano County jail. The man bore a tattoo that read, "1Surenos-3" on the back of his neck, indicating a gang affiliation. MILITARY ACCIDENTS Military accidents of all kinds were another hazard considered by the planning team, but little evidence is available to indicate these kinds of incidents should receive priority treatment. Recent military accidents include the December, 2008 crash of a Marine jet in a San Diego neighborhood that killed four members of a family. Then in March, 2009, an F-22 crash in the California desert took the life of the test pilot, but fortunately no others. Closer to home, one notorious incident occurred in Colorado and received nationwide attention because of the mysterious circumstances surrounding the event. In April, 1997 an A10 Warthog, flown by Captain Craig Button and carrying four 500-pound bombs, veered off course from a training mission in Arizona and was tracked by radar and visual sightings to the vicinity of New York Mountain in Eagle County. Residents near the flight path and crash site reported hearing loud explosions and seeing heavy smoke. The debris of Captain Button’s plane was subsequently found on the side of a 12,500-foot peak about 15 miles southwest of Vail. At the time of the incident, only two years removed from the bombing of the Murrah Building in Oklahoma City, rumors were rampant that Captain Button’s plane may have been hijacked by terrorists or, perhaps, was willingly turned over to radicals. The onboard presence of bombs and the suspicious fact that the plane had veered as much as 800 miles off-course in southwestern Colorado only added to the concerns. After a lengthy investigation the crash was officially ruled a suicide. Events such as these are spectacular and command headlines for a time, but are rare and difficult to specifically mitigate. The Huerfano County planning team accordingly ranked this category low on their list of area hazards. Page 97 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan MOTOR VEHICLE CRASHES (Single and Multi-Vehicle) The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), in its annual report on mortality, includes automobile crashes under the very general category of Unintentional Injuries. Fatalities due to motor vehicle traffic crashes comprise a significant proportion of all fatalities due to unintentional injuries, especially at younger ages. While vehicle crashes are not considered a natural hazard, nature’s contribution to the problem cannot be ignored and sometimes can be quite substantial. A combination of typically severe Colorado winter weather, especially in the mountainous areas, topography and wildlife habits has combined with the characteristics of the county’s rural roads to cause crashes to be considered as a hazard for the area. Snow plowing can be a dangerous undertaking in bad weather, and following a snow plow too closely on a slippery day can be dangerous, too. That happened in January, 2009 when a driver from Colorado Springs rear-ended a Colorado Department of Transportation snow plow on Interstate 25. The driver of the snowplow was unaware of the situation and dragged the motorist’s vehicle nearly a half-mile before being alerted by other drivers. The incident happened at mile marker 64 on I-25 in Huerfano County, and fortunately no one was injured. According to the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration, Colorado suffered 642 traffic fatalities in 2003, 667 in 2004, 606 in 2005, 535 in 2006 and 554 in 2007. This is a welcome trend. As seen in the chart below, Huerfano County’s traffic fatalities during those same years were 9 in 2003, 4 each in 2004 and 2005, 6 in 2006 and 5 in 2007. Traffic Safety Facts Huerfano County, Colorado 2003-2007 Fatalities by Person/Crash Type Fatality Type Fatalities Fatalities Per 100,000 Population 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total Fatalities 9 4 4 6 5 113.3 51.74 51.39 76.56 63.80 (1) Alcohol-Impaired Driving (BAC=.08+) Fatalities 1 1 0 2 1 12.58 12.93 0.00 (2) Single Vehicle Crash Fatalities 3 2 3 4 5 37.75 25.87 38.54 51.04 63.80 (3) Large Truck Involved Crash Fatalities 3 1 1 0 1 37.75 12.93 12.85 0.00 25.52 12.76 12.76 Page 98 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Fatality Type Fatalities Fatalities Per 100,000 Population 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (4) Speeding Involved Crash Fatalities 1 3 1 2 0 12.58 38.80 12.85 25.52 0.00 (5) Rollover Involved Crash Fatalities 6 2 3 5 2 75.51 25.87 38.54 63.80 25.52 (6) Roadway Departure Involved Crash Fatalities 9 3 3 4 4 113.3 38.80 38.54 51.04 51.04 (7) Intersection (or Intersection Related) Crash Fatalities 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 Passenger Car Occupant Fatalities 1 1 1 0 2 12.58 12.93 12.85 0.00 Light Truck Occupant Fatalities 8 3 2 5 1 100.7 38.80 25.69 63.80 12.76 Motorcyclist Fatalities 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.76 0.00 Pedestrian Fatalities 0 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.76 Bicyclist (or Other Cyclist) 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.52 Other more detailed statistics compiled about Huerfano County were made available by the Colorado State Patrol (CSP) and have been provided in spreadsheet format to the county. These provide an insight into the number of crashes on the roads patrolled by the CSP, which are the more heavily trafficked ones in the county. Only those crashes with fatalities are listed above. Within the CSP, each of the six district commanders selected the “most dangerous” stretches of state or federal highways in their territory based on the historical number of fatal and injury crashes, as well as the causes of such crashes. There were 18 such targeted highway segments, also called “highway safety zones”, named in 2008. The CSP did not include any of Huerfano County’s roadways within its most dangerous stretches of highway for the year. MOTOR VEHICLE CRASHES (Single and Multi-Vehicle) – Historic Experience Recent Event: The Colorado State Patrol investigated a fatal car crash in Huerfano County that occurred during March, 2009. The State Patrol reported that a 1-year-old girl was ejected and killed in a rollover accident on I-25, near milepost 55, about five miles north of Walsenburg. Authorities said there were five passengers in the 1997 Ford Expedition when it rolled, and an adult female and the 1-year-old were ejected from the vehicle. Those two were reportedly the only ones not wearing seatbelts. The 1-year-old was pronounced deceased at the scene. Alcohol and drugs are not suspected in this crash. TERRORISM – INTERNATIONAL AND DOMESTIC Terrorism is defined in the United States Code of Federal Regulations as "the unlawful use of force and violence against persons or property to intimidate or coerce a government, the civilian population, or any segment thereof, in furtherance of political or social objectives." Page 99 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan When terrorism strikes, victim communities will almost certainly receive assistance from State and Federal agencies operating in concert with the existing National Incident Management System (NIMS). While the FBI is the lead investigative agency, FEMA is the lead agency for supporting State and local response to the consequences of terrorist attacks. Terrorism is often categorized as "international" or “domestic”, and the distinction refers not to where the terrorist act occurs but rather to the origin of the individuals or groups responsible. For example, the 1995 bombing of the Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City was an act of domestic terrorism, whereas the attacks of September 2001 are considered international because of Al-Qaeda’s involvement. For the purposes of consequence management, the origin of the terrorist is less important than the results of the attack on life and property. Thus the distinction between domestic and international terrorism is not as relevant to effect mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery actions as it is to assist the counterterrorism investigator’s understanding of the groups behind the threat. Although the militia movement has been around for many years, it gained notoriety in the wake of deadly standoffs at Ruby Ridge, Idaho, in 1992 and Waco, Texas, in 1993. The movement garnered further publicity following the Oklahoma City bombing in 1995, although it was erroneously linked to that terrible act. At its peak, the movement had hundreds of groups and thousands of members. But the Murrah bombing created backlash both from within and outside of groups, and right-wing militias experienced some decline afterward. Many experts believe the current economic crisis and proposed expansion of the government will cause a resurgence in their numbers and popularity, and this concern was recently voiced in a report issued by the Department of Homeland Security. The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) monitors the militia movement and reports that it has undergone a revival in some areas. It is not believed that Colorado is one of those states with an active group, but it difficult to believe no activity is taking place given our state’s history, its natural beauty and remote locations which prove to be so attractive to such groups as they conduct their clandestine meetings and activities. The ADL provided two recent reports about both domestic and international terrorism activities. In March, 2009, an undercover operation termed “Red Swastika”, resulted in the indictment of five white supremacists in Omaha, NE. Agents with the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) arrested the men on drugs and weapons charges in February, 2009. During the undercover investigation, authorities allegedly purchased numerous firearms, including assault rifles, pistols and a Taser, some which were reportedly stolen, as well as over 5,000 rounds of ammunition and narcotics from the men. The charges ranged being a felon in possession of a firearm to conspiracy of possession with intent to deliver and possession of a firearm in furtherance of a drug trafficking crime, conspiracy to distribute cocaine, and conspiracy to distribute methamphetamine. The suspects allegedly told the undercover ATF agent that they were members of the United Aryan Soldiers white supremacist gang. Some of the members had originally met each other in prison, which is common among these types of groups. One of the suspects was affiliated with the Creativity Prison Ministries, an offshoot of the white supremacist Creativity Movement. Another recent, very high profile case resulted in the December, 2008 conviction of five men in Camden, New Jersey on charges of conspiring to murder members of the U.S. military at Fort Dix, NJ. The men were all Muslim immigrants who lived in southern New Jersey and Page 100 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Philadelphia. It is believed they were motivated by their hatred of Jews and Zionism. The jury acquitted the men of attempted murder. Evidence against the defendants was drawn from secretly taped conversations between them and FBI informants, including discussions about Jews and Zionism. During one recorded conversation about the plot to attack Fort Dix, one man, an American citizen who was born in Jordan, told an undercover informant that his first choice would be to kill Jews in Israel, "I love to kill Jews. I tell you this, in all honesty, it is a dream of mine." Some of the conversations also demonstrated the conspirators motivation was 'avenge' the supposed crimes of Zionism against the Palestinian Arabs. Other evidence presented at trial included jihadist propaganda videos, clips of dead American soldiers, and videos of beheadings of kidnapping victims that were in the possession of the defendants. Another, slightly less recent example involving a white supremacist occurred in Colorado during October, 2006, when Nicholas Vovos of California, was sentenced to 38 years in state prison. Vovos was convicted of attempted murder and assault on peace officers, stemming from a shootout with police in Colorado on July 3, 2005, in which his wife was killed. Vovos also faced murder charges in California, where prosecutors had to determine whether to seek the death penalty. During the sentencing hearing, Vovos' hair was cut short so that the "Muscoy Boy" tattoo on the back of his head was clearly visible. According to authorities, the tattoo refers to the town in California where Vovos was a member of a skinhead group. Potential militia activity was detected in Colorado in November, 2005 when the FBI arrested a Denver firefighter for weapons offenses. Information developed though an undercover operation led to reports that the suspect may have harbored strong anti-government sympathies, but he was subsequently convicted on a single charge of selling an illegal machine gun. Eco-terrorism is another subset of domestic terrorism and another potential threat to Huerfano County and the state of Colorado. While the list of confirmed terrorism-related events in Colorado is not long, it is highlighted by the notorious act committed by the ecoterrorist group, the Earth Liberation Front (ELF), at the Vail Ski Resort in October, 1998. Three buildings and portions of four chair lifts were destroyed by fire and damages placed at approximately $12 million were incurred. In a letter sent to news-media outlets, ELF claimed responsibility for the arson "...to stop the destruction of natural habitat and the exploitation of the environment." It stated the Vail expansion plans would "...ruin the last, best lynx habitat in the state. Putting profits ahead of Colorado's wildlife will not be tolerated. This action is just a warning. We will be back if this greedy corporation continues to trespass into wild and unroaded areas." As a footnote to the letter, the Colorado Division of Wildlife reports that the lynx is doing fine since its reintroduction to the state in 1999. The ominous threat advanced in the letter remains unfulfilled more than a decade later, and those allegedly responsible for the fires were indicted federally in December, 2005, and subsequently convicted. Despite the successes of law enforcement , additional extremists associates are willing and eager to take up their cause, and they too have demonstrated an ability to strike at economic interests that do not measure up to their rigid notions of acceptable growth. Page 101 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Vail, 1998 Ecoterrorism and its aftermath While Huerfano County is not a likely target of international terrorists who try to create sensational and deadly events where possible, the quality of living offered by its communities and its sparsely populated area make the county an attractive area to live or retire for many. As a result of its rural nature and remote areas, Huerfano County could become a desirable location for such radical groups rather than the actual target of future fringe elements of society such as eco-terrorists and militias. It is up to local law enforcement working in concert with state and federal authorities to develop an appropriate balanced level of intelligence in order to monitor the possible rise of such groups. URBAN FIRE (ACCIDENTAL) Another hazard profiled by Huerfano County is that posed by urban fires. Although not an urban area by any stretch of the imagination, the term “urban” is used in this context for Huerfano’s planners to distinguish the more populous communities of the county, such as Walsenburg and LaVeta, from the clearly rural areas. These urbanized areas have larger populations and higher densities of people and buildings than does the rest of the county. Major structural fires sometimes have a severe impact on a community, especially smaller remote ones. In addition to inventory loss and damage, which can be complete, structural fires can cause serious injury and death, as well as strain public safety infrastructure such as fire departments, hospitals, power and water supplies. In 2002, seventy-four % of fatal fires occurred in structures, and 94% of those were on residential properties. Although most fires occur outdoors, fatal fires occur most frequently in structures. In 2002, outdoor fires accounted for 40% of all fires but only 3% of fatal ones. A natural concern in some of the more remote areas of Huerfano County is the availability of fire suppression equipment and infrastructure (e.g., fire hydrants and water sources) to rural populations. A study based on information obtained about urban fires more than a decade ago found the following: • • • The leading cause of outdoor fires in urban areas was incendiary or of suspicious origin. While outdoor fires were most numerous, structure fires accounted for the vast majority of fire deaths, injuries and property loss associated with urban fires. Fires of incendiary or suspicious origin predominated among non-residential structure fires, accounting for 30 percent of fires. Page 102 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan • • • • • • Cooking fires accounted for over one-quarter of all residential fires. Those of incendiary and suspicious origin ranked second, followed by heating and electrical distribution. The leading causes of residential fires were relatively consistent throughout the four major regions of the country. In every region (Northeast, Midwest, South, and West) cooking fires were the leading cause. Incendiary or suspicious origin was the second leading cause in every region but the Northeast, where heating fires were ranked second. The leading causes of fatal residential fires were also relatively consistent across the country. Smoking was the leading cause of fatal home fires in every region except the West, where fires of incendiary or suspicious origin ranked first. A higher proportion of residential structure fires occurred in apartments in urban areas compared to the United States as a whole. This is thought to be due to the fact that more of the urban housing stock is of a multifamily nature. The prevalence of apartments in the urban housing stock may also account for the reduced number of heating fires. Heating fires in rural areas are often associated with chimneys and woodstoves, or other alternate heating devices. Most apartments have central heating only, reducing the risk of fires associated with alternative sources of heat. Fifty-four percent of urban home fires occurred where no working smoke detectors were present. Similarly, 69% of fires with one or more fatalities occurred in homes not protected by operating smoke detectors. These rates are similar to, though slightly lower than, rates for the country as a whole. The urban fire was not deemed a priority hazard for this planning effort. Certain data categories, including the construction characteristics of structures in the area such as building materials used (e.g., wood vs. brick, fire detection equipment, age, etc.), proximity to forested areas and availability of fire suppression infrastructure was not identified for this project. Based on available information, all structures in the study area are at some risk of being destroyed or seriously damaged by a fire, particularly those made of combustible building materials and located in remote areas of the county where response time is greater. As a general matter, buildings constructed of wood are more likely to burn down than buildings constructed with bricks or concrete. Urban fires occur occasionally in the study area, and while the effects are localized, impact can sometimes be severe. As in many mountain and rural communities, problems that exacerbate the fire hazard include the fact that many homes and other structures in the area tend to be isolated from emergency services. Although damages to individual buildings and other structures can be great, and death and injury can ensue, the impacts to most critical facilities and utilities would likely be localized and of short duration. There are two-hundred ten square miles within the LaVeta Fire Protection District. This area covers the Cuchara Valley. The town of LaVeta is the home to Station #1, and #2 is in Cuchara. Each station maintains an ambulance, brush truck, engine, squad and tender. Like most other departments, many of the calls within this district are related to medical issues. Most other responses have to do with structure and wildland fire calls, as well as for mutual aid to neighboring fire departments in Walsenburg, Gardner and adjacent counties. LaVeta FPD can provide basic life support emergency medical services and works with Walsenburg Ambulance to provide advanced life support transportation. The Huerfano County Fire Protection District is located in Walsenburg and is locally run. It is currently staffed by 18 volunteers. The chief of the Huerfano County Fire Protection District advised that the vast majority of urban fires in his area are residential rather than commercial Page 103 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan in nature. The Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District serves the Redwing area through two stations, and has 20 volunteers available to meet the needs of the community. Statistics for 2003, Colorado fire departments responded to approximately 362,467 incidents of all types. Of these, approximately 14,786 were fires. These fires resulted in an estimated 22 civilian fire deaths, 150 civilian fire-related injuries, and $72.4 million in estimated (direct) property loss. Additionally, approximately 66 firefighters were injured in the line-of-duty during the year. URBAN FIRE (ACCIDENTAL) - Historic Experience Event 1: In February, 2009, five family members escaped a house fire in the LaVeta area without injury. The fire was believed to have started in the attic, possibly in the chimney. Part of the ceiling fell, spilling burning ashes into the main living area of the family home. The homeowners planned to repair the house, which primarily consisted of smoke and water damage. The La Veta Fire Protection District responded with 10 personnel and the Huerfano County Fire Protection District arrived with two tender trucks to supply water to the fire. Event 2: Page 104 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan In January, 2009, firefighters from the La Veta Fire Protection District responded to a house fire in Paradise Acres. The home was a total loss. The owners were seasonal residents and the home was unoccupied at the time of the fire. LaVeta FPD response: Pleasant View Apartments fire, October, 2006 Hazards Risk by Jurisdiction Although these prioritized hazards affect all jurisdictions within the planning area, hazard risk and potential impact varies by jurisdiction. Impact from hazards for the jurisdictions participating in this plan is estimated in the Risk Assessment section. Page 105 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Risk Assessment Guidance from the DMA 2000 prescribes that planning areas, such as Huerfano County, consider risk priorities and potential losses for all areas covered by the plan. Risks related to each jurisdiction should also be assessed for vulnerabilities and loss potential specific for those jurisdictions. Huerfano County conformed to this guidance by conducting the following risk assessment activities to establish risk potential and hazard impact within the planning areas: • Public Risk Assessment Input • Identification of Critical Infrastructure • Risk Assessment • Risk of hazard impact Huerfano County used the risk assessment activities discussed in this section to identify hazards that pose the highest risks to Huerfano County. The planning team determined that these hazards justify mitigation planning and are, therefore, the focus of the mitigation actions described in this PDMP: • Wildfires • Winter Storms • High Winds/Tornadoes • Methane Gas Leaks • HazMat-Transported Future versions of the PDMP will build on the risk assessment for these hazards, and can encompass further analysis and re-evaluation of additional hazards not prioritized in this first plan. Drought is one example of a hazard that may be re-prioritized. Per FEMA guidance, the flooding hazard received added emphasis in this plan although it was not designated a priority risk. New floodplain maps should be available for county review and use later in 2009, and these will provide further usable information for future planning efforts. Public Risk Assessment Input Public comment was collected through a printed and online survey to increase the opportunity for public participation. As part of this survey process, the planning team also sought input from professionals in emergency management, fire services, medical and health services, law enforcement, planning, government administration, community development, transportation, and others in public and private sectors. The community surveys were conducted according to this general methodology: 1) Survey population was identified as: a. Community residents b. Emergency responders c. Certain government officials and administrative staff d. Those with relevant subject matter expertise, such as those in planning, law enforcement , healthcare, community development, fire and emergency responders, and elements of the private sector 2) Survey notices were issued using: a. Newspaper advertisements b. Public noticing in libraries and selected government offices Page 106 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan 3) 4) 5) 6) c. Individual invitations to groups such as fire departments, law enforcement and others d. Postings on the Huerfano County official website Web-based and conventional survey mediums were used, including: a. Forms with drop boxes at various public places such as library and government offices b. A web-based survey accessed through the County website Survey questions were developed for general community members and those in emergency services The surveys were conducted to allow ample time for response. a. The survey launch was early September, 2009 b. The survey concluded in early November, 2009, allowing ample time for responses to be provided Data collection and reporting a. No personal data was acquired through this survey. Respondent names were requested on a volunteer basis only for survey validation b. Survey results were compiled and analyzed by the planning team The intent of the survey was to sample a broad set of stakeholders within the planning area. This survey was not conducted to scientific standards, but the responses from community members allowed for public input, and were found to be generally consistent with those from known experts. They are considered valid overall. The public survey results of the top ranked hazards are summarized in Appendix C. Risk Assessment The planning team developed and implemented a risk assessment to identify potential hazards and their impact on Huerfano County and its critical infrastructure and services. This approach was intended to collect specific input from emergency professionals and others with relevant expertise on hazards affecting the planning area. Templates were created as illustrated in Appendix E to help project participants rank hazard impact according to criteria shown in the following table. Variable Criteria A Probability of Hazard Event B Potential Magnitude C Impact to Health and Safety Scoring Metric % Chance in any given year is the number of hazard events over 100 yrs. 1 - Unlikely - Occurs greater than every 100 years 2 - Occasional - Occurs only every 11 to 100 years Considered an “once in a lifetime” event 3 - Likely - Occurs in the range of about once every 10 years 4 - Expected - Annual event or assumed to occur at least once per year. What are loss expectations for property and life? What is the severity of the hazard? 5 - Catastrophic: more than 50% area / population/ infrastructure affected, 4 - Critical: 25% - 50%, 3 - Medium: 10% - 25%, 2 - Low: less than 10% affected 1 – Negligible 1 - Low (Less than 5% of affected area population or maximum of 5 people affected) 2 - Moderate (between 5% - 10% of affected area population or maximum of 20 people affected) 3 - High (between 10% - 20% affected or maximum of 50 Page 107 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Variable D Criteria Impact to Property Scoring Metric people affected) 4 - Extreme (more than 20% or over 50 people affected) 1 - Low (Less than 5% of personal property/ agriculture land in hazard area impacted) 2 - Moderate (Between 5%-10% impacted) 3 - High (between 10%-20% affected) 4 - Extreme (more than 20% affected) Includes losses to commercial revenues, tourism, etc. Losses include direct revenues and opportunity losses such as downtime. 1 - Low (Less than $10,000 losses on local economy/businesses) 2 - Moderate (more than $10,000 but less than $50,000) 3 - High (expected losses more than $50,000 and less than $200,000) 4 - Extreme (expected losses more than $200,000) E Economic Impact F Impact to Infrastructure and Critical Facilities 1 - Low (Less than 5% of personal property/ agriculture land in hazard area impacted) 2 - Moderate (Between 5%-10% impacted) 3 - High (between 10%-20% affected) 4 - Extreme (more than 20% affected) Impact to First Responders 1 - Low (less than 5% loss of operational efficacy) 2 - Moderate ( 5% - 10% loss in efficacy) 3 - High (10% - 20% loss in efficacy) 4 - Extreme (more than 20% loss of operational effectiveness) G These criteria were developed based on HAZUS-MH, a risk assessment model endorsed by FEMA and accepted by emergency management planners nationwide. HAZUS-MH is a standardized loss estimation software program designed to determine damage and economic loss potential. Risk assessment scoring was also conducted according to HAZUS-MH using a formula of (based on variables in the above table): Composite Risk Score = (b + c + d + e + f + g) * (a / 100) Using the formula cited above, results of the risk assessment were tabulated to produce a composite risk score, which was used to prioritize hazards for mitigation. The Composite Risk Score is intended to provide a relative indication of risk impact within the planning areas. It is important to note, however, that these scores were but one element used to determine the hazards prioritized for mitigation actions under this plan. The planning team also considered results from the Public Survey and recommendations from experts contributing to the Plan. Huerfano County considers its respective emergency services professionals and various experts from the private sector as crucial sources for determining risks from hazards within the planning area. The risk assessment templates were developed to allow a broad set of these professionals and experts to deliver comprehensive input in a standardized manner. Risk assessment activities mentioned above provided input to the model to augment the standard HAZUS-MH datasets and improve the model results. HAZUS-MH was originally developed to model loss potential from earthquake, hurricane winds and coastal flooding, which are hazards not prioritized by this plan. Huerfano County recognizes that hazard modeling, such as that supported by HAZUS-MH, is a valuable tool to planning. Although input and data for some of the prioritized hazards is not Page 108 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan presently sufficient to produce adequate model results, Huerfano County may wish to consider resource requirements to acquire or access additional geospatial data in these areas for future updates to this Plan. As a result of the foregoing risk assessment activities, Huerfano County and their participating jurisdictions prioritized these hazards for mitigation planning. This assessment includes an indepth review and consideration of the potential flooding hazards faced by the county: Huerfano County and Participating Jurisdictions Hazard Wildfire Winter Storm High Winds/Tornadoes Methane Gas Leaks HazMat – Transported Flooding Huerfano County completed the risk assessments using processes most effective for their project teams. Huerfano County, under direction from its County Administrator and Emergency Management Coordinator, conducted three meetings where project participants reviewed then completed the qualitative risk assessment in workgroup settings. Probability of Future Hazard Occurrence In order to assess probability of future events within Huerfano County and it, an analysis of historical occurrences of the five prioritized hazards and flood was conducted. Data sources including the National Climatic Data Center, SHELDUS, information provided by Huerfano County officials and residents, and the 2011 State of Colorado Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (State Plan) were analyzed. Because of variances in available data from hazard to hazard, the range of dates also varied. Estimates of probability of future occurrence were therefore generated based on the individual hazard data’s correlating span of time. Based on the methodology used in the 2011 State Plan, probability was broken down into the following categories: • • • • Expected - Annual event or assumed to occur at least once per year. Likely - Occurs in the range of about once every 10 years. Occasional - Occurs only every 11 to 100 years. Considered an “once in a lifetime” event. Unlikely - Occurs greater than every 100 years. Hazard Wildfire Number of Events Probability of Future Occurrence 6 Likely 42 Likely 59 Expected 10 Likely Winter Storms High Winds Tornadoes Comment Events from 2000-2010 (SHELDUS and local information) Events from 1950-2010 (SHELDUS, State of Colorado Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan) Events from 1950-2010 (SHELDUS) Events from 1950-2010 Page 109 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Number of Events Hazard Probability of Future Occurrence Comment (SHELDUS, NCDC) Methane Gas Hazmat Flooding 2 N/A 6 Likely 11 Likely Data too limited to estimate probability Events from 1992-2004 Events from 1950-2010 (SHELDUS, NCDC) Hazard Risk by Jurisdiction The risk assessment activities conducted as part of this project provided the planning team with sufficient information and justification to describe hazard threats to the jurisdictions covered by this plan as shown in the table below. Huerfano County and participating jurisdictions elected to rank each hazard according to a risk scale defined by: Low – Hazard impact causes minor disruption to critical infrastructure and emergency services. Risks to life or safety are minor, and hazard impact causes little disruption to Huerfano County. Moderate – Hazard impact causes some disruption to critical infrastructure and emergency services, but the likelihood of such disruption directly contributing to personal injury, loss of life or extensive property damage is not significant. • High – Hazard impact results in disruption to critical infrastructure and emergency services and contributes to personal injury, fatalities or extensive property damage. This section does not predict the likelihood of a hazard incident, as was done above, but rather it describes expected impact from the hazard if such incident occurs. Hazard Risk By Jurisdiction Wildfire Winter Storms High Winds/ Tornadoes Methane Gas Leaks HazMat Transported Flooding Gardner Area (Including Upper Huerfano FPD) M H H L L M Cuchara H H M L L H La Veta (Including La Veta FPD) H H M L L M Walsenburg L M H M H M H/M* H H H/L** L M Community Unincorporated Huerfano County (Including Huerfano County FPD) *Mountainous/Plains areas **Varies by coal deposit locations Page 110 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The Planning team also considered the potential for the occurrence and future impact from the prioritized hazards. Expert input indicates a reasonable probability that the prioritized hazards will continue to affect the planning area to some extent in the foreseeable future. Based on average population growth projections and property value increases, it was determined that the future impact potential from these hazards would increase in the absence of effective mitigation actions. Hazard Impact on Critical Infrastructure The planning team reviewed Huerfano County’s critical infrastructure. Homeland Security Presidential Directive 7 identified 17 critical infrastructure and key resource sectors that require protective actions to prepare for, or mitigate against, a terrorist attack or other hazards. The sectors are: • Agriculture and food. • Banking and finance. • Chemical. • Commercial facilities. • Commercial nuclear reactors including materials and waste. • Dams. • Defense industrial base. • Drinking water and water treatment systems. • Emergency services. • Energy. • Government facilities. • Information technology. • National monuments and icons. • Postal and shipping. • Public health and healthcare. • Telecommunications. • Transportation systems including mass transit, aviation, maritime, ground or surface, rail and pipeline systems. Impact from the prioritized hazards was ranked as low, moderate or high for the identified critical infrastructures within Huerfano County. Findings from risk assessment activities were used to determine hazard impact on the critical infrastructure. Notwithstanding hazard impact on critical infrastructure, however, Huerfano County weighted mitigation actions for hazards affecting life and safety. Due to the potentially sensitive nature of the critical infrastructure inventory, and in keeping with State of Colorado practices for controlling critical infrastructure identification, Huerfano County monitors access to this information through the county’s Emergency Management Coordinator. This information is available on a need-to-know basis by application to the Emergency Management Coordinator identified in this Plan. Hazard Vulnerability Based on Projected Land Use and Demographics Based on land use and population growth projections, over the next 10 years Huerfano County anticipates steady but not explosive population growth, particularly along the wildland–urban interface and adjacent to major transportation corridors. In the absence of effective mitigation measures, these projections indicate increasing loss potential from the prioritized hazards identified in this plan. Demographic projections predict some continued population growth of part time residents, including some who may be inexperienced with the challenges posed by Huerfano County’s Page 111 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan natural hazards. Like many parts of the country, part-time residents include a growing senior citizen population that can be at greater risk from these hazards and less capable of dealing with emergency response requirements. This at-risk population will likely impose increased demands on Huerfano County’s emergency services capabilities. Hazard Mitigation The risk assessment identified and prioritized these hazards for further mitigation planning: • Wildfires • Winter Storms • High Winds/Tornadoes • Methane Gas leaks • HazMat – Transported • Flooding These hazards were prioritized, in part, by their historical and broad impact (or potential for broad impact) on Huerfano County’s residents, economy, critical infrastructure and vital services. Also strongly considered due to their past and possible future impacts on the county were the hazards of flooding, lightning/thunderstorms and drought. Flooding in particular was critically analyzed for its potential to create future hazards to the populace and structures, both residential and commercial, located in the county. Huerfano County has adopted mitigation strategy guidance from FEMA that suggests a riskanalysis method that uses two general categories for pre-disaster mitigation: • Actions to reduce the frequency and/or severity of hazard events • Actions that reduce the vulnerability of community assets The mitigation actions set forth in this section draw broadly on those concepts and from a collection of respected resources. For example, some of the proposed mitigation actions were suggested by survey and project participants from Huerfano County. Other potential actions were found during the course of research conducted for the project and are provided for additional analysis and consideration by county officials and interested citizens. Mitigation Goals and Objectives To serve as a blueprint for Huerfano County’s PDMP and to comply with FEMA guidance from the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program Final Rule, Huerfano County identified goals and objectives for mitigation actions. These goals and objectives provide metrics to gauge results of mitigation actions and to guide PDMP updates and improvements. A mitigation goal is a broad guideline that explains what is to be achieved, and it serves as the vision for mitigation actions. Objectives, on the other hand, are specific steps or measurable actions needed to achieve the goals. The planning team considered and developed goals and objectives as part of the mitigation actions, and those goals and objectives are summarized with related proposed mitigation actions below. Goals and associated objectives and mitigation actions are listed in Appendix A of this document. Existing Hazard Mitigation Reports, Studies and Programs Huerfano County has plans in place, studies either completed or in process, and programs underway that identify, assess or mitigate the hazards identified above and others impacting the planning area. These existing actions are summarized in the following tables. Page 112 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County Existing Hazard Mitigation Reports, Studies and Programs Jurisdiction and Lead Mitigation Relevant Mitigation Action Agency Category Hazard(s) Huerfano County Commissioners Huerfano County Wildfire Regulations Land Use and Zoning Huerfano County Geologic Hazard Regulations Huerfano County Drainage Standards Huerfano County Town of LaVeta City of Walsenburg Commercial and Industrial Standards LaVeta Master Plan Walsenburg Master Plan Colorado Div. of Emergency Management Colorado Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2004 and updates Property Protection Property Protection Property Protection Property Protection Property Protection Prevention Prevention Various Wildfire All hazards Rockslide / Landslide, Avalanche Flooding HAZMATTransported Flooding Flooding All hazards The planning team recognizes the benefit of incorporating, as appropriate, mitigation actions resulting from the PDMP with current and future hazard mitigation reports, studies, programs, including capital improvement plans, building codes reviews, hazard site reviews and permitting. A “Mitigation Update Committee”, a subgroup of the Huerfano County Planning Committee discussed in the Plan Update and Maintenance section of this document, will work with the participating jurisdictions to facilitate the necessary coordination Proposed Mitigation Actions Huerfano County evaluated a broad set of mitigation actions for the prioritized hazards. Mitigation actions for these hazards were categorized into six groups: • Prevention • Property protection • Public education and awareness • Natural resource protection • Emergency services • Structural projects Potential mitigation actions were determined though direct research and, in some instances, interviews with public and private sector experts summarized in the table below. These efforts were supported by input from community residents and independent research by the planning team. The table includes a partial but representative list of sources consulted for potential mitigation actions relevant to the prioritized hazards. Page 113 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Potential Mitigation Action Sources for various hazards Interviews and Document Reviews Conducted for Potential Prioritized Hazard Mitigation Actions • Wildfire Chief, Huerfano County Fire Protection District • Chief and Board President, La Veta Fire Protection District • Chief Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District • Huerfano County wildfire regulations • Proposed Wildfire Plan, Huerfano County • Huerfano County Administrator • Huerfano County Emergency Manager • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Winter Storm • Director, Road and Bridge, Huerfano County • Director, Huerfano County Public Works • U.S. Weather Service High Winds/Tornadoes • NOAA Methane Gas Leaks • DEM • Huerfano County Administrator • Chief, Huerfano County Fire Protection District HAZMAT - Transported Flooding (Seasonal and Flash Floods) Domestic and International Terrorism Jail/Prison Escape • Colorado Dept. of Transportation • Colorado State Patrol • Huerfano County Administrator • Chief, Huerfano County Fire Protection District • Director, Road and Bridge, Huerfano County XXXX • State Water Conservation Board • John Mencer, FBI (Retired) • Colorado Department of Corrections • Sheriff, Huerfano County • Chiefs of Police, LaVeta and Walsenburg Once collected, mitigation actions were evaluated using the STAPLEE methodology, which is a standard methodology approved by FEMA, that seeks to objectively evaluate mitigation options and ensure those selected are consistent with and complementary to other community goals and objectives The results of the STAPLEE evaluation process produced prioritized mitigation actions for implementation within the planning area. A summary of STAPLEE evaluation criteria is shown in the table below. STAPLEE Mitigation Action Evaluation Criteria Overview S - Social Actions are acceptable to the community if they do not adversely affect a particular segment of the population, do not cause unreasonable impact to lower income people, and if they are compatible with the community’s social and cultural values. T - Technical Actions are technically most effective if the provide long-term reduction of losses and have minimal secondary adverse impacts. A – Administrative Proposed actions can have the necessary staffing and funding. P - Political Public support for the action is evident and all stakeholders have had an adequate opportunity to participate in the process. L - Legal The jurisdiction or agency implementing the action has the legal authority to do so. E - Economic An evaluation of whether or not the proposed action is cost-effective, as determined by a cost-benefit review and able to be funded. Page 114 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan STAPLEE Mitigation Action Evaluation Criteria Overview E - Environmental Verification that the proposed actions do not have an adverse environmental effect, comply with existing environmental laws and are consistent with the jurisdiction’s environmental goals. An example of the STAPLEE analysis tool used by the planning team is shown at Appendix D. The planning team considered the risk analysis, input from all project stakeholders and results of the STAPLEE evaluation to identify the hazard mitigation goals, objectives specific actions to be undertaken by each County and their participating jurisdictions. These goals, objectives and mitigation actions are listed in appendices to this Plan covering the jurisdictions as shown in the following table: Participating Jurisdictions Huerfano County, Colorado Town of LaVeta Town of Walsenburg Huerfano County Fire Protection District La Veta Fire Protection District Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District Mitigation Action Implementation The mitigation actions identified in Appendix A include an accompanying implementation priority, the jurisdiction(s) and appropriate agency responsible for implementing the action, potential funding sources, and a preliminary timeline. The actions identified in Appendix A represent a list of mitigation actions adopted by each participating jurisdiction. The actions will be implemented in order of priority, as resources become available. They are prioritized using the STAPLE/E (Social, Technical, Administrative, Political, Legal, Economic, and Environmental) method that is commonly used in local hazard mitigation plans. It serves as a benefit-cost analysis that enables the participating jurisdictions to identify how and where to begin implementing the identified actions. All six jurisdictions will implement as many of these actions as possible. Implementation will require continued attention, as well as available funding and other resources. These efforts will be led by a mitigation working group. Upon completion of this plan, the working group will be formed under direction of the county administrator and emergency manager, and will include the three participating jurisdictions as well as others representing agencies such as finance, facilities, health, parks and recreation, fire, law enforcement and others. Given the relatively compact size of Huerfano County’s governing bodies, it is likely the county commissioners will be involved as well. As is the case with all county and local governmental entities, resources are very limited in Huerfano County, and implementing some actions identified will depend on the availability of outside funding. The mitigation working group will work to expand its analysis of each action beyond what has already been provided in the plan. Analysis will be ongoing through implementation and should eventually include an evaluation of the implemented action’s effectiveness. Areas of analysis could be expanded to include the following: Page 115 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Mitigation Implementation Planning Mitigation Action description Jurisdiction(s) or local area(s) covered by the Mitigation Action Mitigation Category (prevention, structural, etc.) Relevant Hazard(s) addressed by the action Priority (High, Medium, Low) Estimated Cost for implementation of the mitigation action Potential Funding Sources Cost / Benefit Analysis Results Lead or Responsible Department Implementation Schedule Implementation Status Environmental review for required studies and approvals Action effectiveness Plan Maintenance and Adoption Plan Maintenance The Plan is intended to be a ‘living’ document that informs stakeholders about hazard mitigation projects and plans undertaken by Huerfano County and their participating jurisdictions. Huerfano County fully understands the need to regularly review and update the PDMP based on evolving hazards, new mitigation techniques and changes in land use and critical infrastructure within the planning area. This review and update occurs on a schedule that, at a minimum, meets provisions, rules and laws covering hazard mitigation planning. This section provides a general overview of Huerfano County’s PDMP maintenance process. Mitigation Update Committee Huerfano County has designated the following participants of the Mitigation Update Committee (the Committee). These individuals will guide plan maintenance and update activities, ensure that the information in the Plan is current and disseminate information to stakeholders within their respective jurisdiction. In addition, this committee will initiate the formal process to update the plan no later than four years after FEMA approves this plan. Initiation of the process will include assembling the appropriate stakeholders, reviewing and analyzing this plan for continued accuracy and relevance, evaluating the effectiveness of mitigation actions and identifying new opportunities to reduce risks throughout Huerfano County. Page 116 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Update Committee Point-of-Contact Review Schedule Huerfano County Emergency Manager Annually Huerfano County County Administrator Annually Town of LaVeta Town Manager Annually City of Walsenburg Town Manager Annually La Veta Fire Protection District Fire Chief Annually Huerfano County Fire Protection District Fire Chief Annually Upper Huerfano Fire Protection District Fire Chief Annually Others as necessary Public Participation in Plan Maintenance Although Committee members represent the participating jurisdictions and have point-ofcontact responsibility for PDMP maintenance, Huerfano County also understands the need for direct public input to the plan update effort. To facilitate public involvement of the plan maintenance process, the Committee will establish guidelines, some of which can include: • Copies of the plan will be made available at certain public libraries and at other public buildings within Huerfano County. • Announcements regarding the location and availability of the plans will be periodically made in local newspapers, at safety council meetings and in other ways deemed appropriate by the hazard mitigation update committees. • Copies of the plan and proposed updates will be posted to the county’s website along with instructions for public participation in contributing to the maintenance process. • Public meetings will be held prior to adoption of plan updates where citizen comments will be collected, their concerns discussed and ideas shared. • The Committee will incorporate public ideas and comments into the plan maintenance process and adjust the plan as appropriate. Annual Plan Review The Plan will be reviewed by the Committee annually or when: • Determined appropriate by the Update Committee • Significant changes occur within the planning area involving threat impact or potential impact • Changes occur to mitigation actions that are part of the Plan Page 117 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan As part of the annual Plan review, the Mitigation Update Committee will follow a process that: • Requests input from project stakeholders not represented on the Update Committee, including members of the public. This input will include information on projects and programs important to mitigation planning. • Makes minor adjustments to the plan to keep mitigation actions in line with approved goals and objectives • Allows for a formal approval process for major changes to the Plan • Makes changes, as appropriate, to the Mitigation Update Committee Plan Review Criteria The Planning team has defined initial criteria for evaluating the Plan, and these criteria will be modified and approved by the Mitigation Update Committee as appropriate. When evaluating the Plan, the Committee will, among other things, assess whether: • Mitigation goals and objectives address current and expected conditions • The nature and magnitude of threats have changed • Current resources are appropriate for implementing the Plan • The mitigation actions underway continue to be compatible with STAPLEE criteria and any other criteria determined relevant by the Update Committee • The maintenance process includes a cross-functional set of participants, including members of the public and representatives of the jurisdictions involved in the Plan • Mitigation actions encounter problems in implementation • Mitigation actions are achieving their planned outcomes • Mitigation actions are coordinated with other planning studies, reports and programs undertaken or otherwise in effect in Huerfano County and participating jurisdictions. Huerfano County’s Hazard Mitigation Update committee will meet periodically to ensure that mitigation actions are incorporated into any current planning activities. As an example, certain mitigation actions affect Huerfano County’s land use policies, zoning ordinances, capital improvement plans and wildfire plans. Following PDMP adoption, the update committee will work with agencies and departments within their respective jurisdictions to align mitigation actions in the PDMP to these policies, plans and regulations, some of which are identified elsewhere in this document. Huerfano County believes that this process will allow the plan to effectively address the hazard mitigation requirements within the planning area and incorporate input from a broad cross section of stakeholders, including community members. Plan Adoption Huerfano County and jurisdictions represented by this document will adopt the Plan according to this general process: • Posting of the draft plan with public notice to allow community members to review and comment on the plan prior to adoption • A first reading as part of the Board of County Commissioners meetings, the Town/City Council meetings or the fire district board meetings, whichever venue is appropriate Page 118 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan • A second reading, if necessary, as part of the Board of County Commissioners meetings the Town/City Council meetings, or Fire District board meetings, whichever venue is appropriate • Final adoption by the respective jurisdictions with execution by the proper jurisdiction officials The public posting of the draft Plan will occur using an Internet (web) posting along with distribution of the draft to public sites such as libraries, government offices. Announcements of the public postings will be made through local newspapers and using Huerfano County’s website. Every five years, the updated plan will be re-submitted for adoption following the general process outlined above. Page 119 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Appendix A – Mitigation Actions for Huerfano County This appendix describes mitigation actions and associated goals and objectives for the prioritized hazards adopted by Huerfano County, the Town of La Veta, the City of Walsenburg and the Huerfano County, La Veta and Upper Huerfano Fire Protection Districts. The hazards identified for mitigation include: • Wildfire • Winter Storms • High Winds/Tornadoes • Methane Gas Leaks • Hazardous Materials - Transported (HAZMAT – Transported) • Flooding Page 120 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Wildfire Goal: Reduce wildfire occurrences and severity on Huerfano County Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Objective 1 Improve emergency response capability for wildfire within the planning area Mitigation Action 1.1 Identify then certify all privately owned bridges with load limits to support emergency response Medium Timeline County Road & Bridge, County GIS, County OEM Local, USFS, Colorado Forest Service 2-4 Years County Road & Bridge; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts County OEM Foundations, Federal Programs 2-4 Years Local 1-2 Years Mitigation Action 1.2 Acquire 4-wheel drive pumper trucks Mitigation Action 1.3 Have County staff certified by the National Wildfire Coordinating Group Objective 2 Enhance community policies and procedures as preventive measures to reduce wildfire impact Mitigation Action 2.1 Adopt County-wide Wildfire regulations Mitigation Action 2.2 Strengthen and formalize oversight and enforcement for compliance to land use standards (H.B. 1041) Mitigation Action 2.3 Implement code changes so that new developments have dual ingress / egress to support emergency response and evacuation Medium Mitigation Action 2.4 Develop, implement and promote subdivision wildfire protection protocols Medium Medium High High County OEM, County Administration County Local 1-2 Years Local 3-6 Years County OEM, County Administration Local 3-6 Years Upper Huerfano, Huerfano and La Veta Fire Districts Local, State Forest, USFS 2-4 Years Low Page 121 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Wildfire Goal: Reduce wildfire occurrences and severity on Huerfano County Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Objective 3 Mitigation Action 3.1 Reduce the wildfire threat to critical infrastructure, including residential and commercial property Develop and implement a voluntary wildfire protection program for residents within wildfire / urban interface Develop and implement fuelreduction projects Mitigation Action 3.2 Mitigation Action 3.3 Objective 4 Mitigation Action 4.1 Timeline High High Identify high risk critical structures within the wildland / urban interchange and develop fire protection strategies appropriate for those structures High Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts; USFS, State Forest Service Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts; Private Owners Local 1-2 Years USFE, BLM, Local, Private 1-2 Years Local, Private 1-2 Years Local 2-4 Years Improve public education of wildfire, mitigation and response. Provide community awareness education classes/ seminars/ advertising/ brochures/ etc… Medium County OEM; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts Page 122 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Winter Storm Goal: Minimize the impact of Winter Storms on Huerfano County and participating jurisdictions within the County Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Timeline Sources Agency Objective 1 Improve emergency response capability for winter storm response within the planning area Mitigation Action 1.1 Identify and improve bridges within the planning area that are inadequate for emergency response Medium County Road & Bridge, County OEM CDOT, Energy Impact 2-4 years County GIS, County OEM FEMA, CDEM 3-6 Years County OEM Local 0-1 Year County Disptach, County OEM HLS 3-6 Years Mitigation Action 1.2 Incorporate GIS layer for LandOwnership Parcels into emergency-response procedures Objective 2 Improve early notification capabilities for Winter Storm events Mitigation Action 2.1 Establish Storm Ready Programs, adapted for Winter Storms, within the County Mitigation Action 2.2 Expand radio coverage within the counties to better support the All Hazard warning / alert system (NOAA weather alert system) Objective 3 Provide for support of citizens significantly impacted by Winter Storm events Mitigation Action 3.1 Identify at-risk or shut-in residents Mitigation Action 3.2 Develop coordinated management strategies for plowing snow and clearing roads of fallen trees; clearing debris from both public and private property. Low Medium Low Highh Medium County LE, County OEM, County Ambulance County Road & Bridge, County OEM; City of Walsenburg Public Works Local 0-1 Year Local, San Isabel 2-4 Years Page 123 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Winter Storm Goal: Minimize the impact of Winter Storms on Huerfano County and participating jurisdictions within the County Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Timeline Sources Agency Reduce risk to public City of Local, San Isabel 2-4 Years infrastructure from severe Walsenburg, storms. Partner with other Public Works, Mitigation agencies such as Public Works to Town of La Veta; Medium Action 3.3 document known hazard areas. County OEM, County Road & Bridge, San Isabel Page 124 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan High Wind/Tornadoes Goal: Reduce impact on life, safety and property from High Winds/Tornadoes Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Objective 1 Mitigation Action 1.1 Mitigation Action 1.2 Mitigation Action 1.3 Timeline Improve emergency response capability for High Winds/Tornadoes response within hazard areas The County should consider promoting the use of NOAA AllHazard radios as a primary notification system to forward weather advisories to the general public and special locations. The County may consider evaluating the different types of notification systems currently being used along with new types of notification technology. Implement warning and alert systems with specific coverage of the highest hazard areas Implement, if necessary, and publicize emergency shelters for use immediately following a high wind/tornado event with resulting property damage County OEM, County Dispatch CDEM, HLS, Local 1-2 Years County Dispatch, County OEM CDEM, HLS, FEMA, Local 1-2 Years County OEM CDEM, HLS, FEMA, Local 3-6 Years High High Low Objective 2 Minimize threat to human life and property posed by High Winds /Tornadoes Mitigation Action 2.1 Consider planting windbreaks to protect farmsteads, buildings and open fields from high winds Low County Administration Arbor Day, D.O.W., CDOT Page 125 3-6 Years Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan High Wind/Tornadoes Mitigation Action 2.2 Goal: Reduce impact on life, safety and property from High Winds/Tornadoes Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Consider promoting construction County Local standards and techniques to Administration, strengthen public and private County OEM, City Medium structures against severe wind of Walsenburg, damage Town of La Veta Objective 3 Improve training and public awareness for High Winds/Tornadoes mitigation Mitigation Action 3.1 Review local building codes to determine if revisions are needed to improve the structures ability to withstand greater wind velocities High County Administration, County OEM; City of Walsenburg, Town of La Veta Local Page 126 Timeline 2-4 Years 1-2 Years Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Methane Gas Leaks Goal: Reduce impact on life, safety and property from Methane Leaks Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Objective 1 Identify areas of County vulnerable to future Methane Leaks Mitigation Action 1.1 Conduct review of past events to identify potential future patterns of methane leakage Objective 2 Improve emergency response capability for Methane Leak leaks within hazard areas Mitigation Action 2.1 Consider formalizing a warning system that includes methane gas leak alerts. Potential outlets include newspapers, the county website, radio, television and reverse 911. Mitigation Action 2.2 Ensure Emergency responders and other County staffs receive appropriate training in methane gas leak issues. Mitigation Action 2.4 Update Mutual Aid Agreements, particularly with San Luis Valley area counties. Mitigation Action 2.5 Objective 3 Ensure an adequate county work force is available in the event of an extensive methane gas leak High Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission; County OEM USGS, COGCC, EPA Timeline 1-2 Years County Dispatch, County OEM USGS, COGCC, EPA, FEMA, Local 1-2 Years County OEM COGCC, Local 1-2 Years County OEM Local 2-4 Years County OEM; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts Local 2-4 Years High High Medium Medium Improve training and public awareness for Methane Leak mitigation Page 127 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan HAZMAT - Transported Goal: Reduce the potential for impact from transported hazardous materials to the public the County participating jurisdictions Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Timeline Sources Agency Objective 1 Mitigation Action 1.1 Mitigation Action 1.2 Identify and characterize facilities and companies that regularly receive or transport hazardous material Conduct a survey in selected business parks to identify use, storage and transportation of hazardous materials Update and validate previously completed assessments of the quantity and frequency for transported petroleum products in incorporated areas within the County Mitigation Action 1.3 Distribute results of the petroleum assessments to all relevant stakeholders, particularly Fire Departments Mitigation Action 1.4 Conduct commodity flow studies of main highways and railroads through the county. Objective 2 Mitigation Action 2.1 High Medium Medium High CSP, CDOT; County LE, County OEM; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts CSP, CDOT, CDPHE; County LE, County OEM; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts CSP; County LE, County OEM; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts County Public Works, CDOT Local 1-2 Years CDOT, Local 2-4 Years Local 2-4 Years Local, State 1-2 Years Local 1-2 Years Improve public / private response capabilities for HAZMAT incidents Plan and execute HAZMAT exercises, including private stakeholders identified in the surveys (see Objective 1) High CSP, CDOT; County LE, County OEM; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts, Page 128 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan HAZMAT - Transported Goal: Reduce the potential for impact from transported hazardous materials to the public the County participating jurisdictions Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Timeline Sources Agency Mitigation Create a county-wide HAZMAT County LE, County CDEM, Local, FEMA 1-2 Years Action 2.2 response plan OEM; Upper Huerfano, High Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts Mitigation Coordinate county-wide HAZMAT County Dispatch, Local 2-4 Years Action 2.3 response resources Medium County OEM, County LE Mitigation Ensure Emergency responders County OEM FEMA,CDEM, CSP 1-2 Years Action 2.4 and other County staff receive High appropriate training in HazMat issues Mitigation Action 2.5 Objective 3 Mitigation Action 3.1 Mitigation Action 3.2 Consider formalizing a warning system that includes HazMat and Methane Leak alerts (see above, methane gas leaks, Mitigation Action, 2.1). Potential outlets include newspapers, the county website, radio, television and reverse 911. County Dispatch, County OEM FEMA, Local, EPA 1-2 Years High Improve training and public awareness for Methane Leak mitigation Provide community awareness education classes/ seminars/ advertising/ brochures/ etc… Identify county areas with most vulnerable segments of the population such as the elderly and the very young. High County OEM USGS, COGCC, CDPHE 1-2 Years High County OEM, County LE; Upper Huerfano, Huerfano County and La Veta Fire Districts Local 1-2 Years Page 129 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Flooding Goal: Reduce impact on life, safety and property from Floods Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Objective 1 Improve emergency response capability for Flooding response within hazard areas Mitigation Action 1.1 Upgrade Warning system(s) Mitigation Action 1.2 County Dispatch Local, FEMA, Core of Engineers 2-4 Years County Dispatch, County OEM Red Cross, Local 2-4 Years County OEM Local 2-4 Years FEMA, Local, CDEM 1-2 Years Medium Publicize emergency shelters for use immediately following a widespread flooding event, particularly in the area of Cucharas River Timeline Medium Mitigation Action 1.3 Update Mutual Aid Agreements, especially with San Luis Valley and other nearby counties. Objective 2 Improve training and public awareness for Flood mitigation Mitigation Action 2.1 Develop public awareness programs to notify stakeholders in hazard areas of policies and regulations in the areas Objective 3 Improve planning and regulations aimed at enhancing Flood mitigation Mitigation Action 3.1 Continue to participate in the National Flood Insurance Program by implementing and improving upon effective floodplain and stormwater management practices, including improved mapping, public information, and where feasible, structural projects. Medium County OEM High County Administration Core of Engineers, CWCB, State Engineer, Local, Energy Impact High Page 130 1-2 Years Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Flooding Mitigation Action 3.2 Goal: Reduce impact on life, safety and property from Floods Jurisdiction and Potential Funding Action Priority Responsible Sources Agency Update mapping of flood prone County OEM, Local areas and incorporate into GIS County GIS High for public distribution Mitigation Action 3.3 Conservation easements may be used to protect environmentally significant portions of parcels from development. They do not restrict all use of the land; rather, they direct development to areas of land that are not environmentally significant. Mitigation Action 3.4 Obtain drainage easements for planned and regulated public use of privately owned land for permanent water retention and drainage. Mitigation Action 3.5 Wetland Protection With special soils and hydrology, wetlands serve as natural collection basins for floodwaters. Wetlands act like sponges to collect water, filter it, and release it slowly into rivers and streams. Protecting and preserving wetlands can go a long way toward preventing flooding in other areas. Mitigation Action 3.6 3.5 Expand use of risk assessment to guide future land use and policy formation Timeline 1-2 Years County GIS; Private, Foundations Local, Private, GOCO 3-6 Years County Administration; City of Walsenburg, Town of La Veta Local, GOCO 2-4 Years County Administration; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers State Engineer, EPA, CWCB, GOCO, Ducks Unlimited 2-4 Years Local, HLS 1-2 Years Low Medium Medium County OEM High Page 131 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Appendix B – Plan Participation Huerfano County - Charter Meeting 8/5/08 Page 132 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Page 133 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Huerfano County – PDMP meeting attendees – 3/4/10 Page 134 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Appendix C – Pubic Survey Risk Assessment Huerfano County surveyed residents to collect public input on risks from natural and human-caused hazards within the participating jurisdictions. This survey was accessible electronically through the Internet and in hardcopy form distributed at designated public locations within Huerfano County. A summary of the tabulated results from this survey are listed in the table below. This information was used to complement Huerfano County PDM planning efforts. Huerfano County will not necessarily invest mitigation resources according to the priority assigned to these hazards as a result of this survey. In some cases, mitigating activities will not produce adequate benefits compared to implementation and maintenance costs. This survey was used, however, to provide general guidance to planning activities related to Huerfano County PDMP initiative. Total No. of Public Survey Respondents 41 The hazards below were ranked on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 describing hazards with the most impact on Huerfano County. The values shown represent the average ranking for each hazard from all respondents. Hazards highlighted in bold indicate those the Planning team elected to prioritize for remediation in this plan. Flooding from spring runoff, flash flooding and intentionally caused flooding due to a dam breach were hazards that were all evaluated and analyzed, but that did not receive a designation as priority ones. Emergency responders were asked to identify themselves as part of the survey, and such respondents comprised slightly less than 25 % of the survey takers. HAZARD Drought Winds Winter Storms Wildfire Lightning HazMat – Transported Motor Vehicle Crashes Methane Leaks (Natural) Flooding (all types) AVERAGE SCORE 7.1 6.92 6.84 6.77 5.92 5.97 5.74 5.61 4.3 Page 135 Huerfano County Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan The following represents the public survey form used to collect the public input. Huerfano County, Colorado Pre-Disaster Mitigation Plan Development Public Survey Introduction Huerfano County is participating in a federally-funded effort in accordance with the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 to develop a pre-disaster mitigation plan to reduce risk from natural and humancaused hazards. The input of all County residents is sought through this public survey about possible hazards facing the County. The survey is available electronically through the Huerfano County website and in paper form in libraries, town halls and the County courthouse in Walsenburg. Your participation in this short survey is greatly appreciated and will contribute to the quality of the County’s emergency planning efforts. The survey will be available from September 15th through October 6th, 2008 Respondent Name: _________________________________ Are you 18 years old or older: (YES Please record today’s date: DATE: If you reside in a town, which one? _________________________________ Do you reside in unincorporated Huerfano County? (YES Are you an Emergency Response Professional? NO) / / 2009 NO) (YES NO) If so, are you a (check those that apply): Firefighter _______ Law enforcement _______ EMS _______ Healthcare professional _______ Mountain Rescue _______ Other public safety _______ Page 136 PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Development Public Survey Form In your opinion, which of the following hazards and their potential consequences most threaten life, health and property in your community? Please rate each hazard from 1 – 10 1 – Least threatening 10 – Most threatening Natural Hazards (Please circle your responses) Wildfire 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Winter Storm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Seasonal Flooding (seasonal rains, melting snow) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Flash Flooding (caused by high run-off due to excessive rain and drainage failure) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Landslides 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Avalanche 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Drought 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Tornado 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 High Winds 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Lightning/Thunderstorms 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Earthquake 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Disease Outbreak 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Volcanic Eruption 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Asteroid/Comet Impact 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Methane Gas Leaks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Human-Caused Hazards (Please circle your responses) Flood due to Dam Breach 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 International Terrorism 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Domestic Terrorism 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Transportation of Hazardous Materials 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Fixed Installations of Hazardous Materials 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Urban Fire (Accidental) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Airplane Crashes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Military Accident 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Arson 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Extreme Acts of Violence (eg. Granby incident) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Civil Disturbance 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Motor Vehicle Crashes (single vehicle) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Motor Vehicle Crashes (multiple vehicles) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Jail Escape 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Other Hazards – Natural or Human-caused (please write in relevant hazard) Manmade Gas Leaks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 Appendix D – STAPLEE Sample Template The following table is an example of the STAPLEE template as used by the planning team to validate mitigation actions encompassed by this Plan. Each planning team member assessed each potential action item individually. The assessment for each criterion (consideration) was defined by: (-) negative response – indicates that the criteria would have a negative impact on the adoption of the associated mitigation action. (0) neutral response - indicates that the criteria would have a neutral impact on the adoption of the associated mitigation action. (+) positive response - indicates that the criteria would have a positive impact on the adoption of the associated mitigation action. The results of the actual STAPLEE analysis are available through the Huerfano County project manager. Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 138 PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN HAZARD 1.1. Identify and certify all privately owned bridges with load limits to support emergency response 1.2 Acquire 4 wheel drive pumper trucks 1.3. Have County staff certified by the National Wildfire Coordinating Group 1.4 Other ? + + + + + o - 0 + + + + + + + + 0 0 Consistent with Federal Laws 0 Objective 1 Reduce Wildfire occurrences and severity on Huerfano County Consistent with Community Environ. Goals Effect on HAZMAT / Waste Sites - Effect on Endangered Species + Effect on Land / Water Outside Funding Required Environmental Contributes to Economic Goals Cost of Action Benefit of Action Economic Potential Legal Challenge Existing Local Authority State Authority Legal Public Support Local Champion Political Support Political Maintenance and Operations Staffing Administrative Secondary Impacts Long Term Solution Technical Feasibility Technical Effect on disadvantaged population segment Social Community Acceptance Ranking Criteria Considerations ----> For Alternative Actions | | \/ Reduce impact on life, safety and property from Wildfire Funding Allocation GOAL 1 Wildfire HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Objective 2 Enhance community policies and procedures as preventive measures to reduce Wildfire impact 2.1. Adopt proposed County-wide wildfire regulations 2.2. Strengthen and formalize oversight and enforcement for compliance to land use standards (H.B. 1041) 2.3 Implement code changes so that new developments have dual ingress/egress to support emergency response and evacuation 2.4 Develop, implement and promote subdivision wildfire protection protocols Objective 3 Reduce the Wildfire threat to critical infrastructure, including residential and commercial property 3.1 Develop and implement a voluntary wildfire protection program for residents within wildfire/urban interchange Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 140 Consistent with Federal Laws Consistent with Community Environ. Goals Effect on HAZMAT / Waste Sites Effect on Endangered Species Effect on Land / Water Environment Outside Funding Required Contributes to Economic Goals Benefit of Action Economic Potential Legal Challenge Existing Local Authority State Authority Legal Public Support Local Champion Political Support Political Maintenance and Operations Funding Allocation Admin. Staffing Secondary Impacts | | \/ Technical Technical Feasibility Community Acceptance Considerations ----> For Alternative Actions Effect on disadvantaged population segment Social Long Term Solution Ranking Criteria HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Objective 3 Reduce the Wildfire threat to critical infrastructure, including residential and commercial property 3.2 Develop and implement fuel-reduction projects 3.3 Identify high risk critical structures within the wildland/urban interchange and develop fire protection strategies appropriate for those structures Objective 4 Improve public education of Wildfire, mitigation and response 4.1 Provide community awareness education classes/seminars/advertis ing/brochures, etc. Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 141 HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Appendix E – Risk Assessment Data Collection Template For each jurisdiction participating in Plan development, a risk assessment was conducted for the hazards prioritized as a result of the public survey and expert input. Project participants completed a risk assessment tool, an example of which is listed below. The results of this risk assessment were used to rank hazards according to high, medium or low risk as illustrated in the Risk Assessment section of this Plan. Risk Assessment Template Note: This document assesses impact of hazard on community. List all probable incidents for all hazard types. This spreadsheet uses a qualitative scoring model. Pointing the cursor over the table header cell (red dot) gives the scoring criteria for assessment. Natural Hazard: Wildfire Location % Chance of Hazard Event Potential Magnitude Impact to Life and Health Impact to Property Economic Impact Impact to Infrastructure and Critical Facilities Impact to First Responders Total Score A description of the criteria and scoring for this risk template is listed on the following page. Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 142 HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Hazard Risk Criteria Location Description Scoring Metrics Geographic location (i.e., 120 square miles in north-east part of county, coordinates of location etc.) What are loss expectations for life and safety? What is the severity of the hazard? This might require Historical data, hazard maps, expert judgment. Not applicable Impact to Life and Health What are loss expectations for life and safety? Impact to Property What are loss expectations for property? Economic Impact Includes losses to commercial revenues, tourism, etc. Losses include direct revenues and opportunity losses such as downtime. Impact to Infrastructure and Critical Facilities Impact includes service disruption, structural damage, displacement costs, etc. Impact to First Responders Impact includes affect on operational efficiency, equipment or personnel 5 - Catastrophic: more than 50% area / population/ infrastructure affected, 4 - Critical: 25% - 50%, 3 - Medium: 10% - 25%, 2 - Low: less than 10% affected 1 – Negligible affect 1 - Low (Less than 5% of affected area population or maximum of 5 people affected) 2 - Moderate (between 5% - 10% of affected area population or maximum of 20 people affected) 3 - High (between 10% - 20% affected or maximum of 50 people affected) 4 - Extreme (more than 20% or over 50 people directly affected) 1 - Low (Less than $10,000 losses on local economy/businesses) 2 - Moderate (more than $10,000 but less than $50,000) 3 - High (expected losses more than $50,000 and less than $200,000) 4 - Extreme (expected losses more than $200,000) 1 - Low (expected damages less than $50,000) 2 - Moderate ( expected damages between $50,000 - $500,000) 3 - High (between $500,000 - $ 1 MM) 4 - Extreme (in excess of $ 1 million) 1 - Low (less than 5% loss of operational efficacy) 2 - Moderate ( 5% - 10% loss in efficacy) 3 - High (10% - 20% loss in efficacy) 4 - Extreme (more than 20% loss of operational effectiveness) Potential Magnitude Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution 5% - 1 event in 20 years 20% - approx. 2 events in 10 yrs. time 100% - one event in any year 200% - two events in any year Page 143 PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Appendix F – Hazard Maps WILDFIRE THREAT/PINE BEETLE DAMAGE PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN COALBED METHANE GAS MAPS HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 146 HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN HAZMAT ROUTES Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 147 HUERFANO COUNTY PRE-DISASTER ALL-HAZARDS MITIGATION PLAN HYDROGRAPHY FEATURES INCLUDING DAMS Draft Version – Not for Public Distribution Page 148