Liebe Leserinnen und Leser, immer mehr Unternehmen in
Transcription
Liebe Leserinnen und Leser, immer mehr Unternehmen in
Liebe Leserinnen und Leser, immer mehr Unternehmen in Deutschland Dies hinderte deutsche Internet-Geschäfte verkaufen ihre Produkte oder Dienstleistungen immerhin nicht daran – egal ob Riesen wie neben den herkömmlichen Vertriebswegen Otto und KupiVip oder mittlere wie Babyshop – über das Internet. Der Internet-Handel in im Russland-Geschäft Gewinne zu machen Deutschland ist im vergangenen Jahr um und beinahe 11% schneller gewachsen als der veranlasste gleichzeitig die Internet-Händler, offline-Handel. Der grenzüberschreitende zu wachsen. Die Rubelkrise2014 ihre Vertriebsstrategie zu optimieren, um die Handel wächst dabei jährlich um mehr als Situation zu 25%. Dies ist ein noch viel größerer Anstieg Profitiert haben als beim Onlinehandel innerhalb Deutschlands. Verbraucher Immer mehr Internet-Händler liefern also ihre preiswert einkaufen. ihren in Gunsten zu wenden. z.B. alle Discounter, den Krise-Zeiten da immer Waren ins Ausland. Ungeachtet Trotz der aktuellen Schwankungen schwierigen trauen sich viele deutsche Internet-Händler geopolitischen Situation spielt Russland im sich dem russischen Markt anzunähern. Dies Online-Handelsfluss mit Deutschland immer ist im Online-Handel leichter zu realisieren, da noch dieses Vertriebsmodell flexibler und somit eine momentanen der bedeutende Rolle. Bei den Einkäufen aus Europa bleibt Deutschland für Russland das zweitwichtigste Partnerland nach Großbritannien. Dies ist umso relevanter beim Online-Handel, da sich keine Sanktionen auf den B2C Versand nach Russland beziehen, so dass dieses Geschäftsmodell viele Vorteile gegenüber dem herkömmlichen Handel risikofester ist, als der Offline-Handel. Wer sich deshalb auf eine langfristige Präsenz auf den ausländischen Märkten einstellt und ohnehin den russischen Markt mit über 10 Mio im Ausland einkaufenden Verbrauchern abdecken möchte, könnte sein Vertriebsmodell gerade in der Krisenzeit austesten. Auch der verspricht. russische E-Commerce-Markt wächst um etwa Allerdings hat sich der Konflikt in der Ukraine 30% jährlich, so dass die Gewinne der dort und die darauf folgende Rubelkriseauf den ansässigen Internet-Händler noch lange alleine Handel und auch auf den Online-Handel mit durch das Markt-Wachstum steigen werden. Russland negativ ausgewirkt. Abgesehen vom Vertrauensschaden gegenüber Russland sank Wir handeln – mit Ihnen gemeinsam. durch die Rubel-Entwertung auch die Kaufkraft russischer Verbraucher. China nutzte daraufhin schnell die Gelegenheit, indem es Europa 2014 noch weitere 40% des grenzüberschreitenden Internet-Handels mit Russland nahm. Gerhard Handke Hauptgeschäftsführer Table of content Cross-border sales to Russia: summary .......................................................................... 3 I. German e-commerce market: overview ....................................................................... 4 II. Cross-border shipments in Germany.......................................................................... 10 III. German cross-border sales to Russia ....................................................................... 16 IV. Reasons for not shipping abroad .............................................................................. 21 Interviews ....................................................................................................................... 25 Cross-border sales to Russia: summary Russia with about 10 mln online-shoppers is one of the most interesting destinations in cross-border e-commerce, among other targets, such as US, France or China. However, entering a Russian market for a newcomer is now connected with higher risks, since a long-term planning is problematic for geopolitical and economical reasons. Another alarming factor is a decreasing purchasing power of Russian consumers, since ruble has lost 50% of its value within 2014. In spite of the risks, almost all European middle and bigger online stores being on the Russian market at the moment, are planning to keep selling in spite of the Ruble crisis or are currently adapting their marketing and sale strategy. As the local Russian ecommerce market is developing in a high tempo and new Russian online shoppers are coming, it is inevitable that also cross-border sales to Russia will be increasing by any geopolitical and economical situation. Anyway, the current domination of the Chinese goods among cross-border sales (70% in 2014 instead of 30% in 2013) shows, that China is basically ready to follow in the footsteps of European stores, if Europe reduces its sales or presses a hang-on bottom because of higher risks. An interesting peculiarity about the German cross-border business is the trend to open a local sales office in the country of destination. This brings them closer to the final consumer and provides a good basis for a high service quality. As a consequence, the most well-known German online-retailers Otto, KupiVip, Adidas or Lamoda are considered as local and not cross-border players. As local players, they also seem to be better protected from the ruble crisis, at least at the beginning. Another interesting feature of German e-commerce is a predominant usage of DHL logistics provider both for internal and cross-border shipments. On the one hand, there is consequently a big potential for development of alternative logistics services. On the other hand, it is slowed down by the high popularity of DHL, which makes it extremely hard for other international logistics providers to compete. On the one hand, Russian shoppers highly appreciate German market, including ecommerce, for its reliability, high standards and geographical closeness to Russia, so that there is a high demand on localized German online-retailers. On the other hand, there are still numerous technical obstacles keeping German internet shops away from shipping to Russia. These are customs procedure, language barrier, quality of local logistics, organization of returns, etc. Generally, there is a big demand on information among German online-stores on some basic cross-border questions such as VAP, finding a logistics partner in Russia or on legal issues. What is more, there is also a big demand among German online retailers on information about cross-border shipment to third countries in general or even to EU countries. This study aims to help e-tailers to clear up some business issues of their interest. Daria Bobrovskaya, e-commerce analysts 3 I. German e-commerce market: overview E-commerce in Europe According to the Austrian Chamber of Commerce, e-commerce sales in Europe are growing faster than in the US. The European e-commerce turnover made up EUR 112 bln in 2012, which allows to count with up to 191 bln EUR in 20171. In 2013, the B2C sales in e-commerce in Europe counted 363.1 bln EUR, according to statistics of the Association "Ecommerce Europe". That was 16.3 % more than last year2. The biggest and most important e-commerce markets in Europe are Great Britain, Germany and France. Together they make up 61% of Europe's total sales in ecommerce. The fastest growing e-commerce markets in Europe are located, however, in Central Europe. These are Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary. The average growth rate of 22.7 % in online sales here was well above the European average3. Germany: growth and trends The German e-commerce market counts the annual increase of 11%. The share of ecommerce in total retail sales is 7% and is expected to increase over the next five years to 10%4. Counting 63.9 million online shoppers, Germany posesses quantitatively Europe's largest potential for e-commerce development5. In 2012 around 77% of Internet users in Germany ordered a good in Internet. Consequently, Germany belongs together with Scandinavia, the United Kingdom or the Netherlands to online markets, where 60 to 80% of internet users regularly purchase online6. EMarketer (Statista) offers an overview of the (expected) e-commerce turnover in Germany from 2011 to 2018 (in bln USD)7: 1 WKO (Chamber of commerce, Austria). Research „E-Commerce. Leitfaden für den online Handel“. Publisher: WIFI Unternehmensservice der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich. Wien, 2013 2 http://www.ecommerce-europe.eu/press/european-e-commerce-grew-by-16-to-363-billion-in-2013 3 Dr. Katja Flinzner. Market overview of e-commerce in Europe: Leading markets. http://t3n.de/news/marktueberblick-e-commerce-europa-580228/ 4 WKO (Chamber of commerce, Austria). Research „E-Commerce. Leitfaden für den online Handel“. Publisher: WIFI Unternehmensservice der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich. Wien, 2013 5 Dr. Katja Flinzner. Market overview of e-commerce in Europe: Leading markets. http://t3n.de/news/marktueberblick-e-commerce-europa-580228/ 6 WKO (Chamber of commerce, Austria). Research „E-Commerce. Leitfaden für den online Handel“. Publisher: WIFI Unternehmensservice der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich. Wien, 2013 7 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/199790/umfrage/entwicklung-des-b2c-e-commerce-umsatzes-indeutschland 4 Umsatz in Milliarden US-Dollar 120 99,33 100 91,97 82,93 80 60 40 49,52 51,91 2012 2013 73,46 73,46 2014* 2015* 38,08 20 0 2011 2016* 2017* 2018* The German e-commerce market continues to grow. The rapid growth is driven by intensive technological developments and young entrepreneurs coming. However, the high concentration responds to a few top online-shops and online traders. 8 EMarketer (Statista) pictures the annual (expected) growth rate in online sales in Germany in 2011 to 20189: 25,0% 23,4% Jährliche Wachstumsrate 21,7% 22,1% 20,0% 17,4% 15,9% 15,0% 12,9% 10,9% 10,0% 8% 5,0% 0,0% 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* German online-retailers According to the German rates check service shopanbieter.de 388,500 companies were in the e-commerce environment in 2012 active. This number is made up as follows: 169,500 affiliated providers, 150,000 online stores and 105,500 commercial 8 WKO (Chamber of commerce, Austria). Research „E-Commerce. Leitfaden für den online Handel“. Publisher: WIFI Unternehmensservice der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich. Wien, 2013 9 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/324949/umfrage/wachstumsraten-des-b2c-e-commerce-umsatzes-indeutschland 5 Ebay dealers. 48.2% of German online stores also operate regional offline stores and 50.7% are active in marketplaces such as Amazon or Ebay10. According to Statista.de German Amazon generated a revenue of around EUR 5.8 billion euro in 2013. It is followed by Otto (1.9 billion euro) and Zalando (702 million euro). Alternate (366.9 million euro) and H & M (303.7 million euro) are new in the top 10 ranking. EBay was not a part of the rankings because of the company's revenue generated as a pure marketplace exclusively on commissions. The total online sales in Germany, according to the annual reports of the online retailers, were about 7.8 billion euro in 2013. This also comprises a service revenue (especially by marketplace sales) as well as all exports of amazon.de. Furthermore, the sales volume of javari.de, de.buyvip.com, audible.de and lovefilm.de (which is now Prime Instant Video) was included11. See the illustration below: 10 „Studie zu den Merkmalen und Potenzialen des Online-Handels an Oberrhein“. IT2RHINE-2020E-CommerceKonsortium, 2011 11 Statista: Quelle: Am 21. Oktober veröffentlichen Statista und das EHI die mittlerweile sechste Ausgabe der Studie „E-Commerce-Markt Deutschland". 6 According to the statistics agency Statista the top 10 retail and e-commerce websites most intensively used in 2013 - measured by WebValua Index (WVI) - were the marketplaces ebay.de and amazon, followed by eCoupons service payback.de, elite shopping club brands4friends.de, TV shopping 1-2-3.tv, generalist kaufland.de, brands discounter netto-online.de, video provider lovefilm.de, beauty shop qvc.de and online shop for house and garden tools westfalia.de. See the diagram below12: 0 10 20 30 WebValue Index 40 50 60 ebay.de amazon payback.de brands4friends.de 1-2-3.tv kaufland.de netto-online.de lovefilm.de qvc.de westfalia esprit vente-privee.com globus.de adlermode.com otto.de 70 80 72 71 65 63 61 61 59 58 58 57 57 57 56 56 56 Accordning to Statista, German online retailers are distributed by regions as following13: Anteil der Befragten Nordrhein-Westfalen Bayern Baden-Württemberg Niedersachsen Hessen Sachsen Rheinland-Pfalz Brandenburg Schleswig-Holstein Thüringen Sachsen-Anhalt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Saarland Bremen Berlin 25,4% 16,7% 13,9% 8,4% 8,1% 5,8% 5,1% 3,6% 3,5% 2,5% 2,1% 2% 1,2% 1% 0,5% 12 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/200353/umfrage/nutzungsintensitaet-von-handel-und-e-commercewebsites-nach-webvalue-index-wvi 13 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/167039/umfrage/verteilung-der-online-haendler-nachbundeslaendern 7 German logistics services The Austrian Chamber of commerce claimed 2013 that 59,4% of German internet retailers used the logistics services of Deutsche Post & DHL for online delivery. 2010 these were 50% and 2009 40,7% of all internet shops in Germany14. EBay consulted 859 online retailers that use eBay as a sales platform15: Anteil der Online-Händler 70% 30% 24% Deutsche Post DHL DPD GLS 13% 11% 10% Hermes Andere UPS Versanddienstleister The statistics 2010 to 2014 show, that the majority of German online retailers ship via Deutsche Post& DHL both throughout Germany and as cross-border. According to the independent survey of the publisher, the vast usage of DHL among German online-retailers may be explained by several reasons, e.g. o reputation and trust intensified by the German low risks mentality; o wide range of solutions for e-commerce; o peculiarity and easiness of IT integration. Here are some examples of motivation for highly usage of DHL in Germany according to our responders: "DHL is widely used perhaps because it is just the most well-known logistics provider known in Germany, so people just trust it. It is the first thing that comes to your mind to send via DHL&Deutsche Post - when you think of shipping something abroad. Moreover, they offer a regular pickup of goods. Besides that, DHL has a very wide range of solutions for any business. They have a fully automated process, they have been on the market for a long time. Some of our clients, by the way, are currently 14 WKO (Chamber of commerce, Austria). Research „E-Commerce. Leitfaden für den online Handel“. Publisher: WIFI Unternehmensservice der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich. Wien, 2013 15 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/167092/umfrage/genutzte-versanddienstleister-von-onlinehaendlern-in-deutschland 8 sending via DPD. But there is stereotype in Germany that the DPD delivery is of lower quality." (A German SEO consulting agency Design4you) "From the technical points of view, it is sometimes better that there is only one logistics provider, which can take control over the whole process. If there are several providers at different tracks, the complexity of the system becomes to high, so that it comes to mistakes more often". (a German freight company and customs service) "Most German internet shops - also our clients - work with DHL. For this reason we enable software integration of most common CMS and shop systems used in Germany with the system of DHL. We also do this for DPD and UPS at the moment. We do not work with Hermes or FedEx but will probably add them in the future". (proMO, a German e-commerce software provider) 9 II. Cross-border shipments in Germany Statistics: German cross-border According the research "Global cross-border B2C e-commerce" (2014), the worldwide leaders in B2C E-Commerce exports are the USA, the UK, Germany, the Nordic nations, the Netherlands and France. Together their online retail cross-border exports are forecasted to top EUR 100 billion by 2020. Germany was the secondpopular popular destination for cross-border online shopping abroad among European online shoppers in 2013, situated between the UK and France in the ranking. Both for import and export in B2C e-commerce Germany is one of the most active countries worldwide16. About 50% of German online retailers adapted their online stores to cross-border sales, according a PayPal research published in Ecommerce-Magazin17. According to another statistics, almost a third of all German online-retailers internationalizes their business, offering a localized online shops for foreign clients18. The current epayment barometer, a joint survey of ibi research, the business magazine Commerce and MasterCard, shows that 54 % of participating online stores in Germany were selling their goods abroad. Among stores with sales over 500,000 euro there were about 64% of the participants. Only 7% of surveyed participants do not accept orders from abroad19. iBi Research consulted German online stores, which sell abroad, to find out the distribution of the orders. The inquiry showed, that 82% of orders were given by German clients, 15% by EU clients and 3% by non-EU clients20. 16 Research GLOBAL CROSS-BORDER B2C E-COMMERCE 2014. April 2014, provided by yStats.com GmbH & Co.KG, Hamburg, Germany 17 To the survey: As a part of the PayPal eCommerce study German 500 online retailers were interviewed by telephone about their goods, e-commerce activities as well as the payment methods using a standardized CATI questionnaire in the period from 25.03.09 to 24.04.09. The PayPal commissioned study was conducted for the fourth time in a row by EuPD Research. 18 http://www.ecommerce-leitfaden.de/e-payment-barometer-online-haendler-verkaufen-aktiv-ins-ausland.html 19 http://www.ecommerce-leitfaden.de/e-payment-barometer-online-haendler-verkaufen-aktiv-ins-ausland.html 20 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/189743/umfrage/anteil-inlaendischer-und-auslaendischer-kundenbei-online-haendlern 10 90,0% 82% 80,0% Anteil der Kunden 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 15% 10,0% 3% 0,0% Inländische Kunden Außereuropäische Sonstige europäische Kunden Kunden The E-Commerce Magazin is wondering about the fact, that German online stores, in spite of technical provision of cross-border shipments, still prefer the inner German market to ship to. It claims that German online retailers potentially have the best opportunities of shipping. They are superior to their foreign competitors in many aspects thanks to the tough competition, low prices, good shipping conditions and a wide range of products21. iBusiness also claims a lacking exportation of online goods compare to other countries. According to a PayPal study German orders of online goods made up of € 263 million in 2013 for suppliers in the US. According to this, the German balance of online trade is rather modest: Exports exceed the imports only by about € 13 million. The export nation Germany is still catching up with the UK (€ 869 million) and the US (€ 132 million) in e-commerce22. German online shoppers buy abroad 92% of online shoppers in Germany still prefer shopping at domestic online retailers. German customers try to avoid purchases at online stores where a foreign language is required for a purchase order or other communication23. 21 http://www.e-commerce-magazin.de/versand-ohne-grenzen-dank-sauberer-adressdaten http://www.ibusiness.de/aktuell/db/651663jg.html 23 WKO (Chamber of commerce, Austria). Research „E-Commerce. Leitfaden für den online Handel“. Publisher: WIFI Unternehmensservice der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich. Wien, 2013 22 11 A report by Ipsos provides slightly different statistics. Therefore 77% of Germans shopp online and 40% of online shoppers also purchase abroad24. The most popular intra-European online-markets for German shoppers are Austria and Switzerland, as well as the USA among non-European markets25. According to another statistics, the top destinations for cross-border online shoppers in Germany were the UK, the USA and China in 201326. Regarding cross border shopping worldwide, this is also confirmed by a Pay-Pal study: the most popular foreign online shopping destinations worldwide are the United States (45%), the UK (37 %), China (26 %), Hong Kong (25 %), Canada (18 %), Australia (16 %)27. Online shoppers worldwide purchase in Germany Germany is one of the most popular countries in cross-border trade. Worldwide, it is number four among the most popular destinations in online shopping 28. Global Cross-Border B2C E-Commerce 2014 says that cross-border online shopping from the UK, Germany and the USA is popular in France, while also a quarter of online stores in France shipped internationally, supported by international demand for French fashion and beauty brands29. After the Pay-Pal analysis in the E-commerce Magazin, the German B2C export to other five markets studied amounted 2.9 billion euro in 2013 and is expected to rise by 2018 to 8.3 billion euro. This makes Germany a leading European online shopping destination. Here's a look at the German export market: 14% of online shoppers in the United States surveyed by Nielsen indicate to shop at German sites and buy German products worth up to 1.3 billion euro totally in 2013. 27% of the Chinese online shoppers buy at German online retailers; their purchases are worth 863 million euro in total. 24 http://www.e-commerce-magazin.de/studie-deutschland-ist-top-hotspot-fuer-den-internationalen-online-einkauf http://www.ecommerce-leitfaden.de/e-payment-barometer-online-haendler-verkaufen-aktiv-ins-ausland.html 26 Research GLOBAL CROSS-BORDER B2C E-COMMERCE 2014. April 2014, provided by yStats.com GmbH & Co.KG, Hamburg, Germany 27 http://www.derhandel.de/news/technik/pages/E-Payment-Onlineshopper-auf-Auslandstour-9888.html 28 http://www.e-commerce-magazin.de/studie-deutschland-ist-top-hotspot-fuer-den-internationalen-online-einkauf 29 Research GLOBAL CROSS-BORDER B2C E-COMMERCE 2014. April 2014, provided by yStats.com GmbH & Co.KG, Hamburg, Germany 25 12 19% of the British online shoppers buy on German websites; worth up to 619 million euro totally30. Also for Scandinavia and Eastern Europe, Germany is an important goal for online purchases abroad. 19 and 13 % of online consumers in these regions have ever shopped on a German website. Products from German stores are not only well sold in Europe, but also in non-EU continents. By all consumers from abroad who shop in Germany, 19 % come from China, followed by 12% from France and 11% from Russia31. Report of the German E-commerce Association BEVH The biggest German e-commerce association BEVH (Bundesverband E-Commerce und Versandhandel) has conducted a study in 2014 on cross-border shipments of their members. (The association counts about 661 members, according the their website data. BEVH members are among others 1-2-3.tv, Buch.de, Dress-for-less in Germany, IKEA Deutschland, Kaiser+Kraft, etc). The research showed the following results. The cross border activities of the BEVH member reached its highest point in spring 2014. Eight out of ten companies in the current evaluation "already deliver to consumers abroad" (77 %). The Federal Statistical Office reported that about 62 % of enterprises engaged in online trade "sold abroad" in 2012 (companies with ten employees and more, inquiry in May 2014). However, most online and mail order companies measure their foreign activities as only of a "low interest" (64 %). Most payments are made via payment systems (such as Paypal or Sofortüberweisung.de), by wire transfer or a credit card. See the illustration below: 30 http://wallaby.de/news/epayment/die-neue-gewurzstrase-internationaler-handel-p4561.html 31 http://www.e-commerce-magazin.de/studie-deutschland-ist-top-hotspot-fuer-den-internationalen-online-einkauf 13 What is more, most of the respondents not yet operating abroad are planning to do so in the future (81%). The most interesting shipping destinations of the companies surveyed were Austria (72 % of responses), followed by Switzerland (48 %) and France (31 %). However, most online and mail order companies measure their foreign activities only as of a "minor importance" (64 %). In addition, four out of ten companies (41 %) have a share of foreign customers up to 20%. Most cross-border deliveries are currently made by online stores, which sell technical-oriented products (85 %). The trend is following: the bigger the company, its turnover, the variety of goods, the number of employees, etc., the more intensively it is shipping abroad. BEVH also claims, that companies with investment planning and social media usage (78%) have a slightly above-average amount of cross-border shipments. Furthermore, currently the companies from North-East and South West of 14 Germany have a stronger international orientation than those from other regions of Germany. 15 III. German cross-border sales to Russia Popularity of Russia: the German perspective Based on the Pay Pal data the E-commerce Magazin (www.e-commercemagazin.de) affirms that Russia is one of the five most interesting export online markets for the US (41 %), the UK (36 %), Germany (75 %), Australia (67 %), China (55 percent) and Brazil (168 %)32. The EU is a third-dominating cross-border market for Russia after China and USA. Within Europe, Germany is taking the leading role after UK for transit and cross-border internet-sales to Russia. For the issues of VAT taxation, Russia is quite uncomplicated for shipments from the EU, including Germany. According to the EU legislation, for all deliveries to a non-EU country no VAT is foreseen, regardless of whether the consignee in a third-country a private or a commercial person is. Furthermore, cross-border shipments to private persons in third countries provide the same legal consequences and conditions of sales as to enterprises33. However, according to the ibi research at the University of Regensburg only 3% of German online stores look for Russian clients34: 0,0% Österreich Schweiz Benelux-Länder Frankreich Großbritannien Italien Skandinavien Spanien, Portugal USA Osteuropa (ohne Russland) Griechenland Russland Asien Australien Afrika Anteil der befragten Online-Händler 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0% 82% 54% 24% 21% 20% 16% 15% 15% 9% 8% 6% 3% 3% 3% % The independent analysis of BEVH members listed on their website allows the following statement. 49% of the companies listed in the member list do not ship 32 http://www.ibusiness.de/aktuell/db/651663jg.html Data Sheet on cross-border sales to private persons, p.8. IHK Berlin. June 25, 2014 34 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/4427/umfrage/auslaendische-absatzmaerkte-in-denen-online-shopskunden-werben 33 16 abroad (129 online-stores); 33% of BEVH members ship throughout EU (86 onlinestores); 11% of companies ship to Russia (28 companies) and 7% ship to other nonEuropean countries. See the illustration below: 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% only Germany/DACH EU others, non-EU Russia According to the analysis of the open member list of BEVH, the following online retailers currently offer a delivery to Russia (28 members): http://www.calida-shop.de http://www.landsend.de http://www.connox.de http://www.modelcarworld.de www.backwinkel.de http://www.nydj.de http://www.craft-sports.de http://www.oboy.de http://www.deerberg.de http://www.onmyskin.de https://www.louis.de http://www.kraemer-pferdesport.de http://www.dress-for-less.de http://www.derclub.de http://www.dt-shop.com http://www.skatedeluxe.com https://www.magnetix-wellness.com http://www.solvino.de http://www.esmeyer-shop.de https://www.runnerspoint.com http://www.fcbayern.de http://www.schulranzen-onlineshop.de http://www.hse24.de/ http://www.stylebop.com http://www.kidoh.de http://www.tbs-aachen.de http://www.kraehe.com http://www.trigema.de In spite of big affiliation of German e-commerce market to Russia there is still a limited amount of alternative shippers like DHL, DPD, SPSR or boxberry offering cross-border delivery from door to door to Russia, including customs clearance. The biggest flow is still being shipped by the Russian Post on the territory of Russia and by DHL&Deutsche Post on the German territory. 17 Popularity of Germany: the Russian perspective The interviews with leading German e-commerce and logistics providers (see the attachment) allowed partly to give an explanation on why Germany is that attractive for the Russian customers. Germany takes a leading (after United Kingdom) position in European cross-border shipments to Russia and CIS due to the following reasons: - profitable geographical location in the middle of Europe and still near to Russia; - relatively low costs in comparison to average European standards. Many internet-retailers and shippers like Kupi.Vip or boxberry have their European hubs located in Berlin for financial reasons; - reliable logistics within Germany; - image of German fabricants and suppliers as being of highly quality, stable and reliable; - high development of e-commerce infrastructure and market within Germany. Nonetheless, following reasons are speaking against purchasing in Germany for Russian customers: - traditionally these are United Kingdom and Italy being associated with fashion among Russian consumers; - a language barrier, as there is a limited amount of German internet-shops translated into Russian; - many German internet-shops still do not offer delivery to Russia. However, there are consolidators like Posrednik-Shop, RusBid, Eurosell and others closing this gap; - high prices due to ruble devaluation and fluctuations. Besides that, the most famous German internet-retailers like Otto group, adidas, Lamoda (the investment product of German investor Rocket Internet), Kupi.Vip or Kaiser+Kraft have a sales office in Russia and shall be considered as local retailers for this reason. Some also ship cross-border from Europe parallel to the local Russian business (e.g. Kupi.Vip: 2012 it has launched a cross-border project from Germany, Italy, UK and other countries). Consequently, German online-stores acting as Russian local players can currently offer better prices than their foreign 18 competitors as they were less touched by the rouble crisis in 2014. The major reason for Germans playing as locals on the Russian market comes partly from the German business mentality with a high priority of closeness to the Client, reliability, low risks strategy, stability and sustainability. Cross-border tendencies in 2014/2015 According to the interviews conducted with German major e-commerce players for this study, the volume of cross-border sales were growing in 2014 more slowly than 2013 and 2012. The reasons for that are the following: 1. Russian customers are saving up money; 2. The purchasing power of ruble is falling down; 3. The ruble fluctuation is connected with increasing risks, so that several international internet-retailers prefer to hang on and wait, till the currency is stable again. Following categories of retailers have lesser damage from the situation or are even profiting from it: 1. Local retailers, as they can correct their price policy more easily or offer local goods and services; 2. Discounters like Kupi.Vip, as they have adapted their business model to crises periods. Customers are eager to look for discounts if crisis is coming; 3. Retailers using drop-shipping model, as they have shorter logistics cycles and can adapt their prices smoothly. The Ruble devaluation and high fluctuation are affecting first of all small and middle internet retailers like consolidation companies, which operate by shipping consolidated parcels to CIS regions. Those are mostly either pessimistic about volumes of shipment in 2015 or are planning to restructure their cross-border business to Russia. Big and risk-ape international retailers with a wide net of suppliers are not planning to close or correct their cross-border strategy to Russia, as they still have some margin puffer, which allow them to correct their price policy more or less smoothly. 19 Whereas many European Internet-shops are rather careful hanging on or shipping less since the currency crisis in Russia, China is dominating up to 70-75% on the cross-border market. Nevertheless, the interviews showed that China was still a problematic alternative to European retailers for several reasons. Firstly, the Chinese currency yuan is strongly going up at the moment, so that Chinese goods are also getting more expensive, for Russian consumers. Secondly, most Chinese internet-shops still have difficulties with an IT-integration and preparation of customs documents (e.g. translation of customs registers) for the Russian customs service. This increases the cost of shipments from China, as it is necessary for e-commerce shippers to integrate the first shipping mile in China e.g. through a franchise model. Thirdly, over 95% of cross-border shipments from China are being shipped via the Russian Post. As Chinese retailers are being used to this way of shipping, it is complicated for them to switch to alternative logistics providers. The reduction of duty-free limit from 1000 euro monthly to 150 euro per parcel planned to be introduced in the second half of 2015 is going to affect some selected e-commerce players, but not the cross-border Internet-sales between Germany and Russia generally. Firstly, the average price check of most cross-border internetretailers is anyway less than 150 euro. Secondly, the mechanism of data and customs fee collection being worked out at the moment by the Russian Customs in collaboration with internet-retailers and shippers is going to deliberate shippers from the obligation to collect customs fee without having a working mechanism to do so. Most alternative shippers will even profit from the incensement of the amount of parcels. Generally, this is only a segment of absolutely luxury goods or those retailers misusing b2c duty free channels of delivery of in fact commercial shipments, will suffer from the new regulation. For now Russia is the only country with a high duty free limit of 1000 euro monthly. 20 IV. Reasons for not shipping abroad Whereas German e-commerce market is intensively expending on the EU and nonEU markets, there are still numerous technical, geographical, psychological and other obstacles both on the side of retailers and consumers, which prevent from shipping online. According to the iBi research 45% of respondent German online stores with the annual turnover of more than 500.000 Euro do not ship abroad because of the legal insecurity connected to cross-border; other vital reasons are marketing difficulties, logistics issues, complications by the payment, lack of information about foreign markets, etc35. See the illustration below: What is currently your biggest difficulty in selling to customers abroad? Händler mit einem Umsatz über 500.000 Euro (n=21) Händler mit einem Umsatz bis 500.000 Euro (n=58) Anteil der Befragten 0,0% 5,0% 10,0%15,0%20,0%25,0%30,0%35,0%40,0%45,0%50,0% 32% Schwierigkeiten beim Angebot eines Kundenservices in jeweiliger Sprache Rechtliche Unsicherheiten 21% Versandabwicklung ins Ausland sehr aufwendig 45% 33% 26% Übersetzungen der Website bzw. des Artikelangebots sehr aufwendig Unsicherheit bei der Zahlungsabwicklung Fehlende Informationen über ausländische Märkte 22% 31% 29% 28% 26% 18% 19% Mehrsprachenfähigkeit des Shops nicht gegeben Zu hoher Aufwand für das Online-Marketing im Ausland 9% Geltendmachung offener Forderung schwierig 9% Kulturelle Besonderheiten 5% Starke ausländische Konkurrenz vor Ort 5% Fremdwährungsrisiko 40% 36% 29% 29% 11% 8% 8% 3% 5% 5% Sonstiges From November 2014 to February 2015 we conducted an independent miniinvestigation among German online retailers as well as logistics, IT and other services to clear up their obstacles by cross-border shipments to Russia and also throughout the EU. There were 27 open interviews conducted with CEOs of German internet shops and e-commerce services (IT services, consulting agencies and logistics companies). In order not to influence the results, there were no fixed choice options offered. We could fix the following results. 35 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/189735/umfrage/schwierigkeiten-beim-verkauf-ins-ausland-beionline-haendlern 21 Most participants (22%) showed concerns about the procedure of customs clearance in Russia. A German internet-shops is claiming that “Russian customs is mega time and money consuming. Despite the fact that we are shipping to Russia since five years so far, the customs clearance is not getting easier”. Another internet shop is stating that “there are several categories of products that are just not easy to import to Russia because of customs conditions. These are mainly about foods and spirits”. Language barrier, organisation of returns and quality of local logistics in Russia were pointed out by 19% of participants. The language barrier was mostly mentioned by IT or logistics services in context of localization of an internet shop or preparation of customs papers. Organisation of returns from Russia was characterized as time and money consuming. Conserning the quality of local logistics in Russia our respondents were claiming low standards in meeting the shipping time because of the big size of the country, as well as a danger of robbery and fraud. 15% of respondents are worried about the actual geopolitical situation in Russia, which affected the purchasing power of Russians and the stability of ruble. Consequently, cross-border shipments to Russia is now related to higher risks and is based on lesser demand than usual. 15% of respondents are stating that they rather lack of information about the marketing, logistics and legal aspects of cross-border shipments to Russia. These are predominantly small and medium businesses. Some are pointing out that they would never enter the Russian market alone without having a reliable local partner, e.g. in logistics services. Some participants (11% each group) were making remarks about data security, organization of payments or the reduction of duty free limit. One participant mentioned the fact that according to the new legislation, international retailers are obligated to use local servers while selling to Russia. Up to him, “this may be impossible or hard to realize”. What the local organization of payments is concerned, some respondents observed that Russian clients use different payment systems, so it costs extra transaction fee while localizing the sales. Another problem in Russia is, according to them, a high rate of bar payments, which is hard to organize by cross-border shipments. Another important aspect was the fact that “a German retailer has no possibility to check the 22 validation of your credit card. It means, the German online-seller doesn’t know, if the data of a clients credit card is true or not”. Mostly small and medium-sized businesses like parcels consolidators were stating that a possible reduction of a duty free limit could affect their sales in Russia. On the contrary, logistics services were admitting, that they would probably profit from the technical reduction of a duty free limit. According to them, the same shipping volume would be split into smaller parcels. As a result, this would increase transaction costs for small internet shops or parcels consolidators but would rather have no influence or even a positive influence on shippers. Two companies were sharing their concerns about a too high competition on the local e-commerce market in Russia, so that they would rather not dare to compete with local players. Such technical issues as integration with a logistics provider or label scanning were described as problematic by one respondent each. 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 23 Similar results were shown, if only the voices of internet shops are taken into account. The answer was very much depending on the certain target group. Small and medium-sized businesses were mostly speculation about a possible reduction of the duty free limit or an access to the Russian market generally. At the same time, bigger internet shops or businesses, which are already integrated into the Russian market, were rather sharing their concerns about the quality of local logistics, the danger of high risks and decreasing volumes since 2014, or the practical organization of returns. 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% access to the customs reduction of decreasing market/lack clearance in duty free limit volums of Russia information local logistics in Russia returns risks To sum up, the survey shows that customs clearance in Russia and the organization of local logistics and returns are traditionally vital questions for all kinds of internet shops and e-commerce services, which are presented on the Russian market. Decreasing shipment volumes and higher risks are both new subjects, which have become especially important since the ruble crisis in 2014 (s. chapter III). The difficulty of access to the Russian e-commerce market is predominantly relevant for small businesses or those, which are just entering the Russian market. The concerns about the duty free limit are relevant to all market players, although their attitude to it is based on their business situation. 24 Interviews KupiVIP general manager Vladimir Kholyaznikov: “Crossborder now exceeds 25% of our total volumes and we expect strong growth in 2015″ Launched in 2008 by Oskar Hartmann, a German entrepreneur born in the former Soviet Union, KupiVIP quickly became Russia’s leading flash sales site in the field of fashion. When the cross-border e-commerce market emerged in Russia, the company lobbied against what Hartmann called – with some justification – “duty-free e-commerce.” But KupiVIP also launched its own cross-border business as early as 2012, combining domestic and international shipments in its catalog. Initially KupiVip was a domestic e-commerce project. Why did you launch cross-border business a few years ago? Like any classical domestic player, we understand that geographical borders, the borders between domestic and international markets, are being blurred in the modern world. So, at the end of 2011 and beginning of 2012, we actually launched a crossborder delivery project from Europe. Cross-border now accounts for more than 25% of our total volumes and is likely to increase in 2015. In the outerwear product category, the cross border share exceeds domestic flows, especially in the winter and spring seasons. Which countries are concerned? With our own international logistics, we deliver to the CIS from ten countries, mainly from Europe – in particular from Germany, Italy, France and Great Britain. Now we are integrating Turkey into the delivery system. They have quite high quality linens and leather goods. We are also entering the Asian countries. The main producer of fashionable shoes is Italy. About 70% of shoe production comes from there. Italy is traditionally linked with the world of fashion. But we work a lot with Germany, which consumers often associate with quality and a high level of accuracy. Moreover, Germany is the second largest fashion market. The country is in second place in Europe by retail volume. Since our business is built on liquidating leftovers from the fashion market, large retail volumes in a country are very important for us. The fact that our founder is of German descent also plays a role. He is familiar with the German market. Plus, the base cost is lower in Germany than in many other European countries. Renting space, logistics, labor are all cheaper in Berlin than the 25 European average. Plus the convenient central location – close to Russia, and with dependable logistics. We will expand the Asian base as well as the European, since it is in Asia where production of many fashion brands’ textiles and leather goods goes on. How do you manage the shipment process? The goods from our foreign suppliers (we work directly with brands and manufacturers) are sent to our German hub. We pack orders there and then either use our own delivery system (90%) or third-party suppliers to send the orders to our customers, depending on the region they are located in. Logistics prices are rising, especially for air delivery and so on. Therefore, we have to manoeuver it so that the consumer does not feel the rise in domestic services. Did your cross-border business grow or fall in 2014? In 2014, our cross-border volume approximately doubled, in line with the fast growth of the market. That was mostly tied to strong development of cross border ecommerce in Russia, desire of Russians to buy goods directly from Europe as well as attractive product and price offering. The growth during first three quarters was quite inspiring, but of course following the ruble’s fall in mid December, the growth isn’t as fast as we would like. However, we are trying to avoid increasing prices too sharply, even if this means smaller profits. In the premium segment, prices for Russian consumers increased by 40% on average, which obviously hasn’t been an advantage for us or for all European sellers. Now China is winning, occupying 70-75% of the cross-border market because of its inexpensive goods. We will be working on our cross-border strategy in 2015 and will adapt to the actual economic environment in Russia and neighboring countries. How have you prepared for a potential crisis in 2015? We have certain advantages over other Internet stores. First, we work directly with brands and producers worldwide, connecting them with consumers through our platform. This means that we do not have our own inventories but rather sell thirdparty products on our web sites, and organize end-to-end logistics after customers place orders. Thus our short buying cycle – not 8-12 months like many traditional Internet stores – allows us to react more flexibly to changing consumer behavior, and adjust the assortment and pricing on a daily basis. Everyday on KupiVIP.ru one can find up to 120 sale events (actions) from 50-60 vendors worldwide. Second, our discounted sales model came out of the crisis of 2008, when the population saw its real income decrease. In such crisis conditions, consumers tend to avoid impulsive purchases. They look for bargains to purchase the products they are accustomed to, which favors discount stores – which is precisely our business model. 26 Even our most pessimistic scenario for 2015 includes growth for both local and crossborder sales volumes. Obviously, we will grow not only due to our strong internal business performance, but also due to market growth, higher inflation – which raises the average purchase size – and so on. On average, we are expecting 20-25% growth in cross-border for 2015, depending on the exchange rate of the ruble. I think the market itself will growth by an average of 25% for the year. Will the potential lowering of the duty-free threshold affect you, if it occurs in 2015? Even if it is lowered to 150 euros per package, it won’t particularly affect us, since we work in the market price range of less than 150 euros, like most other Western crossborder merchants. Our Chinese colleagues have an average purchase size of about $25-35. Lowering the duty-free threshold will mainly affect those who use the B2C channel not for the intended purpose of their own commercial purchases, and this is quite reasonable and healthy for the Russian economy. 27 Leonid Zondberg, Commercial Director of DPD in Russia: "The tendencies in cross-border shipments to Russia shall change in 2015. Otherwise, Europe will just lose the Russian market." DPD is a global company. Which countries do you ship to as cross-border? Theoretically we are able to deliver to any place, as we are represented worldwide. Our biggest cross-border stream comes from the United States, Europe takes the second place. The UK is taking leading positions as this country is traditionally associated with stylish clothing, and what is more, there are many strong online retailers there. We also have a cross-border flow to and from Germany, France, and Italy. Especially the Italian market is interesting for us, as it is traditionally famous for fashion. But now the structure of the Russian cross-border e-commerce market is changing radically. You mean the increasing role of China in it? Exactly. DPD in Russia is now just beginning to work with China. Although our European colleagues have already followed this trend to deliver to Europe from Chinese online stores. This fact is particularly interesting, given that China shares only 5% share of the European cross-border market. EU hat a relatively low dury barrier, so that it is not that expensive for consumers to shop in Chinese online stores. For Russian online shoppers China plays an even more important role than in Europe. Why is this direction of cross border sales not that well represented among Russian delivery services? There are many technical difficulties related to shipments from China. DPD in Russia is for example one of the five companies involved in the customs experiment at the Russian customs service. We can do the customs clearance in Russia applying with a single register according to the simplified customs procedure. But still, shipments from China would mean some risks for us. You always need some Chinese company on the territory of China to take the first mile of delivery to collect passport data correctly, translate them from Chinese to Russian for the customs register, and so 28 on. So we just do not want to risk our licensed status of a customs representative we have, the more that we completely work on a legal way. It means, we really need a partner and a representative in China, so that we are working on this task at the moment. It is still difficult to tell you the exact deadline for that, as it is a long process. Does it actually make sense financially for you to work with China? Well, the thing is that the average costs of delivery from China are rather low - it is about $18. It means that if you want your delivery business from China to be efficient and profitable, you absolutely need a wide network of packstations or pick up points. Both networks are already very well developed in Europe but as for Russia, the infrastructure of pick up points is still emerging there. The expending Chinese ecommerce market is forcing us to bring this development in Russia forward. Would you call delivery from China still a promising work to do, given that a large amount of parcels from China is coming through illegal channels? You see, our single competitor in our business with China is the Russian Post, which daily delivers about 200-250 thousand orders. Therefore, it would be for us a great success even to obtain 1% of this stream. Competition on the delivery market of China would be useful for Russian Post, too, to make them optimize their service. A client needs to have a choice. It is also extremelly important to work with major Chinese clients such as AliExpress, so that they got used to alternative delivery. In fact, with regard to China, I do not see much sense in playing grey, since now the quality of official delivery services is high enough. Leonid, how do estimate your cross-border volume of DPD Russia in 2014? Generally, 95% of the business of DPD in Russia is related to inner logistics. The cross-border segment is considerably smaller, about 200-300 parcels a day or some tens of thousands per year. Although we are continuously increasing the network of our European customers and partners, our current number of parcels from Europe fells. It has happened since around mid-November in connection with the collapse of the ruble. 29 Now it is a port-New post-New-Year-season, so that that the shipment volume traditionally increases. The volume has not changed that sharply so far, but still we have a feeling that the customers started to buy necessary things only. Are you losing your customers due to the increase of their shipping volume? Not really, the old customs are not tending to go away and there are even new ones appearing. Furthermore, many online retailers have begun to localize the business in Russia, as e.g. Next, which has just started to sale from Russia - we are working with them in a way as with domestic Russian companies. But in terms of cross-border to Russia China is of course a more important market for Russia than Europe and USA. What are your plans in Russia in terms of cross-border for 2015? Well, we are of course planning to grow and discover new markets. The market forecast for cross-border in Russia in general also tends to be optimistic: the number of parcels will continue to grow each year by half, as it was before. In 2012 it was 20 million shipments, in 2013 - 40 million and in 2014 - 80 million shipments. The trend is going up. In 2015 the growth will continue of course, and I am looking forward to see the market growing by 25-30% in 2015. The shipping volume in 2015 will maybe even reach 100-150 million items. If this happens, cross-border will reach 50% of the total e-commerce flow in Russia, so that 2016 it can overtake the Russian domestic e-commerce. This means that Russia will be in fact the second Australia, where consumers shop mainly abroad. Will it change the situation in your eyes, if the duty-free barrier is reduced to 150€? According to our information since the last discussion panel of the customs committee it was decided that the duty free barrier remains the same for another six months. But in fact, we are interested in the reduction of the duty-free barrier indeed. But would it not lead to the fact, that cross-border shopping gets more expensive for consumers, so your shipment volume will decrease? Actually it is just the opposite. The duty-barrier of 150 € - it is actually calculated per parcel, not for a monthly order. Now logistics companies are practically forced to charge a fee themselves, as they need to collect costumers data and send them to 30 the customs. Actually, this shall be done in advance, before the parcel has not yet reached the customs. Is this circuit being already practically implemented? In cooperation with the Customs Service and payment system operators we just finalizing the mechanism for collecting customs fees. In August 2014 there was a successfully conducted experiment the online service. As a result, there was no longer than one hour passed from the moment of customers notification to the release of goods. The results are really encouraging, so that the service is going to be convenient for the recipient. Leonid, since 2014 there are many voices in Europe saying, it is not a good idea to enter the Russian market at the moment, including e-commerce. What is your opinion? From our experience, as I said, we are planning to involve new customers from Europe and also keep all former clients. I believe that the economic trend will change in 2015 and cross border e-commerce stream from Europe will increase again. Otherwise, Europe will lose the Russian market and will give it to China, Turkey, Soth Korea and other developing countries. Thank you very much for the interview! 31 Sergey Podkin of Boxberry on cross-border sales: “The volume of deliveries is falling, but this will not lead our market to catastrophe” Over the past few years Boxberry, a relatively new player on the Russian e-commerce shipment market, has been developing a competitive offer for deliveries and customs clearance from the USA and Europe to Russia. The company specializes in express cargo – sending packages worth up to 1,000 euros and weighing up to 31 kg. Part of the international delivery cycle is run out of the Boxberry office in Berlin. With which countries is Boxberry currently working with and which direction is being prioritized by the company? At the moment, we strive to cover as much as possible of the European and American markets. In 2014, we moved about 250,000 items. The great bulk of them – about 90% – is being sent out by US online stores. European Union countries and, especially, Germany, represent around 10% of all our international shipments at present. Today’s priority is the European Union. Here we carry out ground shipping from our warehouse in Berlin, engage in order fulfillment and customs processing. Of course, we could not ignore the market that is so popular today, China. This country is in our plans, but talk of getting started there is premature: there are a lot of nuances of a technical nature. In particular, Chinese online stores do not always have the opportunity to translate the names of their goods, which makes it difficult for them to collect data for Russian customs clearance. As Asian sellers prefer the principle of “cheap, even if it takes a long time,” many are happy to work with the Russian Post. Whether they are willing to change this principle in favor of “faster and inexpensive” is not yet clear. Therefore, we are not in a hurry to start delivering Asian goods. Are your direct rivals for deliveries from the European Union DPD и DHL? 32 I would not call DPD and DHL the competitors of Boxberry. We have different starting points, we are in different price segments, offering different methods and conditions of delivery. DPD and DHL are air-delivery premium operators with the subsequent tariffs. Boxberry offers ground delivery on a budget: inexpensive, but with predictable delivery times and the ability to keep track of the cargo on the company’s website. Speaking of your clients, who is Boxberry betting on: on fully fledged Internet stores or consolidators like Eurosell? In Germany and the European Union mediation services are not as strong as in the USA, so in Europe it is more convenient to work directly with online retailers. This spring, we plan to connect several major international clients. However, in the current economic climate it is difficult to predict how things will develop: it is not clear what will happen to the ruble, but an expensive dollar and euro have a very negative impact on the purchasing power of Russian consumers. People have started to save money and, accordingly, the delivery volumes are falling. Whether European online shops will enter the Russian market in such circumstances and organize a separate sales channel for Russia is unknown. What was the trend in cross-border e-commerce deliveries in 2014 — growth, stagnation or a decrease? Currently, the most important player in e-commerce in Russia is the government, which creates a certain political situation. As a result, the economic situation changes as well. The population starts to save, buy less, both in Russian stores as well as from abroad, so the volume of international shipping is reduced. The present indicators are not too frightening: the fall was not one of twofold or threefold, but only of around 10-15%. However, keep in mind that December is the peak season: many buy gifts for the New Year, so the decline in international shipping is not so noticeable. At another time, the effect would be more pronounced. However, any crisis is a temporary phenomenon, so it makes no sense to radically change the policy delivery. You just need time to adapt the delivery terms and prices to fit the demands of buyers and our customers. Of course, we will continue to cooperate with Europe and the USA, even in times of crisis. 33 In terms of the plans to reduce the customs duty-free limit from 1,000 euros per month, does Boxberry win or lose from these changes? It is too early to talk about it: all the changes are under discussion and the real decision is still pending. I think that in itself the decrease of the duty-free limit is unlikely to affect the number of items ordered. But if at the time the amount is agreed, the government had still not adopted a working mechanism for the payment of fees by the population (this question will be especially acute in the regions), we are faced with a serious problem. People will stop placing large orders from abroad simply because they will not understand how to pay the customs duties. What is your most optimistic and most pessimistic forecast for 2015? I do not believe in pessimistic scenarios such as the assumptions that “international shipping will be banned” and in addition to sanctions there will be barriers for international deliveries for private individuals from abroad. So let’s be optimistic: the ruble will stop depreciating, the exchange rate stabilizes, people will leave their saving mode, and therefore by the fall of 2015 we will restore the volume of international shipping. 34 Erik Bosgoed of Groupon International: “We may start exporting from Russia instead of importing” Groupon, which began operating in Russia in 2010, has asserted itself since then as a leader in the Russian coupon sales market. The site has also developed a cross-border business, selling virtually anything from smartphones to tableware and cappuccinators to Russian consumers. Erik Bosgoed, head of logistics at Groupon International GMBH Switserland, explained to East-West Digital News how this business was built, why it has been suspended due to the ruble crisis, and what can be expected next. This interview is an excerpt from an industry report recently published by EWDN. How and why did Groupon Russia start a cross-border business? Groupon has a central DC from where we forward to all EMEA countries, including Russia, the UAE, etc. There are also some issues peculiar to Russia – for instance, passport data. We have quite good IT integration in Russia, in fact, so we can collect passport data on our Russian website even before customs clearance. Another particularity of business in Russia is that the legal limit for duty-free purchases is still quite high – 1,000 euro per person and per month. In Europe it’s mostly 25 euro per parcel, so the Russian market seems very attractive for us on this point. With our buying power in EU, we can supply our customers in Russia with products of special interest to local consumers. What if the duty free limit is reduced to 150 euro per parcel? That could happen, but the effect would not be that great, since most of the items we ship to Russia are priced below 150 euro. The ruble’s fall certainly has a greater impact. You mean goods are getting too expensive for Russians? Not exactly. The problem is that we cannot make a reliable forecast for the future with such volatile currency fluctuations. If the ruble is losing more than 5% of its value 35 daily, we cannot set our pricing policy and we take a loss working with our suppliers – they are paid in euro. The fall of the ruble was just too fast and steep, so we decided to stop shipping to Russia for a while until the situation gets a bit more stable. Don’t you think it may take months or even years for the ruble to get stronger again? Aren’t you afraid of local competitors taking your niche? I am not talking about the ruble returning to the same position it occupied at the beginning of 2014. [Editor’s note: the Russian currency fell from around 30 rubles to more than 60 rubles per USD in one year.] But the current instability, which was caused by political factors, will not last forever. Once the “storm” is over, we can review the situation and adapt. We are waiting for these extreme currency fluctuations to stop so that we can define a proper pricing policy. It might also be that we start exporting from Russia instead of importing. Any situation offers opportunities, and Russia is interesting to work with in all cases. Recently we opened a new warehouse in Belgium with about 30,000 usable sq. meters. We’ve already shipped more than a million parcels from there. Such infrastructure makes international shipments, including those to Russia, much more flexible. We have thousands of suppliers from the EMEA region who can thus be connected to Russia. They are just one click away from starting business again with Russian consumers. Should the situation take a long time to stabilize, what kind of loss would this represent for Groupon? Actually, the loss would not be that great. If we do not sell to Russia, it’s just one market less; we already cover many others. The loss is difficult to estimate, as we had just started in Russia and we are still growing everywhere. Russia could be a big growth market, but since we have not yet reached its potential, the potential damage is rather small. Should we resume operations soon with a more stable currency, we could ship about 10,000 parcels per month to Russia this year. 36 Vitaliy Malykin, CEO of SEO consulting company Design4you: Most German online stores are blocked by their own fears and risk aversion. That's why they do not go to Russia. Since 2006 Design4you offers consulting about SEO optimization in e-commerce including cross-border business. The main office is in Cologne, Germany. Vitaly, your company offers SEO-optimization and consulting in entering the Russian market. From which source do you have such a huge database for ecommerce analytics? We offer analytics in addition to our main business, consulting and SEOOptimization. We translate news, statistics and others from Russian sites, give them an interpretation and our own assessments. We use many sources - Oborot, RBC, and so on. And we also conduct our own research - mainly on the German market of e-commerce. Recently e.g. we have tested the 15 largest German online stores to make up, how they can "catch up" the users that have gone. We have published a lot of materiel on, for example, how to reduce the duty-free barrier. We have been tracking this topic for about a year so far. Are you using publicly available information or do you have insider sources? In general, of course, we are using publicly available information. Sometimes we order paid research - e.g., RBC, especially for our customers. We mostly have firsthand information from the Ukraine, as I grew up there and still have a lot of friends business contacts there. So are there many clients planning to enter the Ukrainian market at the moment? Now we have frozen this direction of work. Our last case was not very successful. I will not tell any names, just get a brief summery. Some big German business was planning to open an online store with delivery to the CIS. We have decided to test the 37 market in late 2013 in the Ukraine, as it is the closest one to Germany and it is more convenient to deliver. They have made contracts with suppliers, logistics companies, hired employees, fixed ERP and CRM systems and launched an advertising campaign on the Ukrainian television. And they plans have just collapsed with the start of the Maidan protest. The project was closed, the company has suffered huge losses. And this has happened despite the fact, that it is basically quite easy to enter the Russian or Ukrainian market. "Basically easy" - it is about how much money? Well, I do not want to generalize, because it all depends on your strategy, indeed. It depends on whether you will set an advertising or not, and which one; How flexible your IT-system is; how much staff you are recruiting; what are your logistics costs, whether you have a representation office in Russia or not, and so on. In principle, it may be enough to have a five- or six-digit sum of money - this is just nothing for a large Internet shop. Small businesses can even afford less. The practical advantage of cross-border to CIS is that you do not need to pay any bribes to anyone - there are only substantial costs, and they are all very manageable. What exactly should a German online shop do to start shipping to Russia? First, you need to organize your delivery and parcels pick up. Most internet shops in Germany are doing it via DHL. Second, you organize your returns, which is considerably more difficult. Third, you connect your website with Russian payment systems. Then, preparing customs documents (it can be done electronically). Finally, you translate at least the most popular goods into Russian and run advertisement (mostly through yandex direct and google adwards). To enter Russia you do not obligatory need a Russian customer base, any new software, and so on. You can just start with basic investments and find our all necessary point by doing test shipments. The things is that most large online retailers in Germany do not work this way. They have a long-term budget planning and they carefully calculate all risks. In other words, they will not go to any new market just to see, if it brings money, and leave it after a couple of months. This would be an image loss for them. 38 Basically, most of the German online stores are stopped in their plans by their own fears and risk aversion. That's why they do not go to Russia - although they were able to do so. But do not you think their fears are often justified? After all, there are dozens of technical difficulties coming up in a practice - e.g. when they start shipping returns from Russia or make integration with a Russian logistics provider? It really depends on a product category. It depends on whether your product will be accepted by the Russian market or not. As a rule, luxury goods are success, especially discount ones. What logistics is concerned, basically, you can send any parcel, especially if the amount is small. But if you ship via DHL, you need to compete at least a pallet. Not all online stores ship that much to Russia, so that they would be able to complete a pallet. So the best way is to sale something of a smaller size or directly large amounts of anything. In contrast, heavy bulky goods are pretty expensive to ship. It's also much more work on customs documents and so on. Then, as I said, be sure to consider refunds. Certain categories of goods cannot be forwarded from the Russian Federation - we also dealt with such cases from our experience. By the way, why does the majority of online stores in Germany send to Russia via DHL? Isn't it practically a monopoly of DHL on the cross-border market? Yes, indeed. Perhaps it is because DHL is quite well known in Germany, so people trust it. To send via DHL & Deutsche Post is the first thing that comes to your mind, when you think about sending abroad. In addition, they offer a picking up service. Well, picking up is a standard service, which is being offered by practically every delivery company. Why do internet shops not think of e.g. DPD or Russian delivery companies like boxberry? Generally, DHL has a very wide range of solutions for any business. They have a fully automated process, as they have long been on the market. Some of our clients, by the way, are currently shipping via DPD. But there is a prejudice in Germany that 39 DPD offers a lower quality. Well, I'll tell you about my personal experience (I also have my own online store, and we ship throughout Germany). So, it is true that some customers have complained that if they have known the parcel would be shipped via DPD, they would not have ordered it. There are no particular reasons for it, indeed, but people just believe that DHL is better. Do you think it is technically easy to organize shipments to Russia? Well, yes, surely they are easy enough to organize. Of course there are some objective problems - quite a traditional list of them. It takes long to ship throughout Russia - but the local online stores face up to the same problem. What is more, people in most regions are ready to wait for several weeks for their parcel. Besides that, Russians are used to pay the courier in cash - and you also have to take it into account. What theft parcels losses is concerned - from my personal experience I can assure you, it has never happened to me yet, there was not a single parcel lost. So you think that the fears of some German online stores have no basis? Of course they do, especially if the internet store has not enough tested its delivery and immediately invests a large sum of money into a project. I have already described such a bad case to you ... But the highlights are the following: Russia has - at least for now - a negative image in Europe. Moreover, it is always changing the rules of the business game. So making business in Russia is just too unpredictable. However, do not you think that cross border loses its competitive advantages in comparison to the domestic players? As Russians say, if you do not risk, you never drink champagne. Well, I would not say that domestic companies in Russia ever have any competitive advantages towards the cross-border model. In my eyes, it is not cheaper to sell directly from Russia or Ukraine as to sell from abroad. You can judge yourself: you are forced to constantly pay bribes to any institution - to a fire inspection, tax inspection, customs service and so on. So I think that even despite the current difficulties, it is easier to ship as B2C from abroad than to organize a domestic business from Russian or Ukraine. 40 Nevertheless, the majority of big German internet businesses are playing on the Russian domestic market. Remember adidas, Otto or KupiVip. That's true, think of LaModa - the brainchild of Zalando and Rocket Internet. German online stores that can afford it, sell indeed from Russia and not engaged into the cross-border business. Is it such a German strategy to minimize the risks? Maybe. There are many factors that count, but if you just calculate the expenses, cross border is cheaper than local sales. As for me, for the sake of minimizing costs and increase a profit, you can take any risks. Frankly speaking, I do not see much sense in opening a representative office in Russia - is causes unnecessary costs and outlay. Do you think it is actually possible now, regarding the situation in the Ukraine and in Russia, to organize a profitable model of shipments to these countries? Sure it is. But it all depends on the niche, in which your goods are sold. There are some best-sellers which are well-sold any time, like baby products, auto parts or luxury goods. Most customers prefer now to hang on and not to enter the Russian or Ukrainian markets right now to avoid risks. I'll give you an example. One client of ours, a seller of industrial tubes in the B2C segment - has already prepared all the infrastructure, has translated all the positions into Russian and so on. But he has still not risked to enter the Russian market for its high risks at the moment. This mainly happens due to a decrease of purchasing power: it is not known, whether there will be a demand on German goods, if they are not "luxury". Thank you for the conversation! 41 Gordon Charles Thompson, CEO of Wummelkiste.de: The Russian online market is hyper competitive, which makes it difficult to enter the market without having your lunch eaten. But, Russia has many awesome programmers! Wummelkiste is an Educational company which focuses on making educational crafting kits which have a learning effect. They sell their kits on a subscription model, so parents and kids get a new box delivered each month to there mail box. Their head quarters are located in Berlin. Gordon, Wummelkiste is actually quite well-known in Germany. Do you also ship abroad? Our core business is selling educational crafting kits, which we sell online as a monthly subscription. These products are only available in Germany and Austria, due to language restrictions. We have had cooperation partners like Sony and Henkel. With these partners we have made educational products that have been sold all over the world, but Russia has not been one of the markets that we have shipped to. Have you got any other online projects? Yes! We have a very exiting project, which my team and I have been working on for the past 6 months. We are building games, which will help teach children the skills needed for reading, writing and math comprehension. We will sell our educational games all over the world. The fun thing about digital projects is that they scale very well, so you can get global distribution and relatively low cost. Also going to Eastern Europe, e.g. Russia? Russia is a very interesting market as it has a large population with lots of kids. This would be very applicable for us, but the problem is that competition in the digital space is very intense in Russia. There are many good programmers there, so when there is a good business idea that gains a little traction in Russia, the idea is cloned very quickly. There is also a lot of risk capital flouting around Russia. So your competitors can get good funding rather fast. This makes it a very hard environment 42 to compete in. Russia has the situation of too many chiefs and not enough Indians. Were as Western Europe tends to have too many Indians and not enough chiefs. What we do like a lot about Russia is its programmer and Angel Investors. The quality of the programmers that come out of Russia is excellent. The investors are able to make investment decisions very quickly, which is great when you have a fast moving business, which needs fast moving capital. So you do not take Russian market in account at all? We would not enter Russia alone. We would need the right partner to work with in order to enter the Russian market. We would also need to find a Russian language specialist to help us convert our games over to the Russian language, as our games are very strongly language based. Russia has many good programmers, so we often look for IT specialists there, so we will always have a little to do with Russia. Thank you for your comments! 43 Francesco D'Avella, CEO of the Platform Storeden: Russia is just a too huge country to ship there Storeden is a multichannel platform to built e-commerce with a native marketplace. The project was launched in Italy in September 2014 and was realized by the Italian company Projectmoon. Apart from providing a multichannel integration service for online stores, Storeden operates its own Internetshop on the same platform and is planning to ship abroad while expanding. Francesco, you've launched your marketplace not so long ago. How many online store are now in? Three hundred. But you are right, we are a very young project, we've started in September 2014, so we've just celebrated our fifth month' birthday. As we've launched our project in Italy, all our clients are Italian online stores so far. Most of them are of middle size, but there are also some big ones. We have e.g. such fashion brands as Versace, Red Valentino, Aquilano Rimondi, Elisabetta Franchi, Dolly and others. What is special about your business model? It's no usual marketplace, in fact. We do not only offer our Internet-platform to built ecommerce we have also a marketplace but is also allow integration of online-stores with other platforms like Facebook, Amazon, eBay and others. Some clients use storeden just as an integration service. Do you know how many of your clients ship outside Italy? It should be around 20%. Most of them ship to Europe, I mean throughout the EU. Mostly to Germany or UK, shipping mainly by DHL or UPS. We also have six or seven shops that deliver to Asia. Besides that, we have our own online-store on the Storeden platform and also thinking of going abroad. You know, we are like a little Amazon - a generalist but just smaller. 44 Do you also consider Eastern Europe for your expansion? Russia and Ukraine are huge markets in fact. Well, perhaps we'll do it later - for now it's just too early for us to think of going to Eastern Europe. Russia could be an important market for our production, that's for sure. But Russia is also very big, so it may come to difficulties with logistics there. We also need to localize our service, if we want to go to the Russian market, and it takes time. And it's time consuming to find a good logistics partner there, too. After all, I just feel like needing more information about the Russian market, for instance about customs, taxation, logistics, etc. Thank you very much and enjoy your sales! 45 Johannes Nielsen, Co-Founder of brandnooz: If the political situation stays like it is now, we won’t enter the Russian market. Johannes, how does brandnooz work? We help people discover new consumer products by shipping so called surprise boxes, mostly with new products, which are not being sold in local supermarkets yet. You can make a single order or subscribe to a monthly delivery. It's an interesting business model, because we also give corporate clients an opportunity to build awareness and trial as they introduce new products. Consumer good companies are willing to pay for this marketing support. Therefore we have two major revenue streams and a lot of fun with brandnooz. How big are you at the moment? We ship about 20.000 parcels per month, and it's just the beginning. We have our subscriber community in Germany, there are hundreds of comments for each new product on our web site, and so on. brandnooz is well established in Germany - try to google "new food" or "food box" in German and you will see our status. Do you ship only throughout Germany? For the time being we also ship to the Czech Republic. But we are considering other markets, as well. What about Russia, e.g.? Well, we were thinking about the Russian market, indeed. We do cooperate with Burda, and Burda is extremely active in Russia. Russia is a huge market, it's quite attractive in many ways. If so, are you planning to ship to Russia one day? Let's call it like this: if the political situation stays like it is now, not. It is too risky for us. We are a commercial project, which is to 100% financed by ourselves. So if we make a wrong investment, we'll fail. And each new foreign market is a huge 46 investment. It's for sure that we'll make losses during the whole first year, wherever we go. But if it turns out to be a wrong investment, these losses will never repay. Apart from this, we already had a negative experience while going to two new markets at the same time. While shipping to Germany and to the Czech Republic, we also tried to enter Poland. But we decided to stop the Polish operation for now to focus on the two existing markets. Does it mean, you've stopped your expansion to Eastern Europe? Well, we still have a sales agent in Poland, so that we can restart, if we want. But we've put the Polish project on hold to not overextend ourselves at a time where we’re still owner-financed. However, Eastern Europe is extremely attractive for us, because it represents our target group of brand-minded consumers who like to enjoy the good things in life. So we still see a big potential there. Thank you very much and good luck! Martin Wolthusen, CEO of Brillibrum: Asian region is not really priority. All textile is being produced in Vietnam and India anyway, so it's easier for locals to sell it. German internet store Brillibrum sells furniture and house accessories. They have just launched a new version of their online store and are also planning to expand abroad. Martin, how are things going at the moment? Quite well, actually. In 2014 we had 33% increase in our sales compared to 2013. So it's quite a good result, I think. We are on Amazon since 2014, so it's influenced our sales a lot. Brillibrum is German-speaking at the moment. Are you focused on the German market so much? Basically, not. It is true that we ship up to 70% throughout Germany, but 30% of our business is cross-border. We already ship to more than 50 countries all over the world. You said our internet store is basically in German. But we also sell through marketplaces, such as eBay, Amazon or a Japanese marketplace Rakuten. In fact, we do ship to every continent. 47 To which countries do you ship more? Apart from Germany, these are America, Australia, France, Italy and many others. Actually, Asian region is not really our priority, because the competition towards Chinese internet shops is enormous there. All textile items are produced in Asia - for instance in Vietnam and India - anyway, so it's much cheaper for Asia to sell it in their own region or to ship anywhere else. How do you ship abroad? As usual, we use DHL, DPD, German Post or other international postal services. In fact, if it's less than 2 kilo, we ship it as a letter. And you never have any problems shipping abroad? I mean customs, logistics, and so on. Not really, it goes quite well. I mean, if you aware of how it works, you just watch out at right places. You said you do ship to Russia. Were you touched by the ruble crisis anyhow? I wouldn't say that. We do not have such a big sales volume in Russia to be able to tell you the dynamics. It's all about some five parcels per month, maybe. So we didn't really start selling less to Russia, no. Does it mean, Russia is not your strategic priority? Not really. China is anyway a much huger market as Russia, so China may be rather attractive for many online retailers - however, not for us. At the moment we sell approx. the same amount to China as to Russia. And apart from this, it's the countries I've told you about. Yes, thank you a lot! 48 Vladislav Zaykin, cofounder of RusBid: "Cross border business was growing in Russia so rapidly in the recent years, that it seemed, it would always be like this" Vladislav, how does the RusBid model work? RusBid is a parcels consolidating service. Recipients from Russia and Ukraine make an order in a European internet shop stating our address. It is because many European online stores have no delivery to Russia and other CIS countries, we consolidate parcels in packages of 20-30 kg and send them to the destination address. Which European online stores do you work with? Well, we do not work with them directly, we just receive their orders. Usually it is about well-known fashion brands, baby goods or electronics. The Chinese and the American office of RusBid do the same. Russian customers are ordering more and more from Chinese online stores. Do you also see this trend? Well, not really. As for our Chinese colleagues, their shipping volumes are also falling since the ruble crisis. The Chinese currency is going up at the moment, so the goods are getting more and more expensive for Russians. And what about your German office? We have recently moved, so we now have a more spacious warehouse near Potsdam. However, our shipping volumes are falling, as you see. They have dramatically reduced since the middle of November, when the ruble devaluated rapidly. After that, the volume has fallen down sharply by 4-5 times. So now, despite the New Year boom, the number of parcels has not really increased. You also ship to Ukraine? Do you have the same situation there? The situation is similar there, indeed. In Ukraine the number of orders was falling since the beginning of 2014, which means after the Maidan demonstration. Now the amount of parcels is pretty the same for Russia and Ukraine. 49 Are you hoping for a correction of this trend? It would be desirable, of course, to have good news soon, but most likely is that there are no big changes expected in 2015. Our business is rather small, so if the current trends continues, our business will start to die off. Therefore, in the coming year we are planning to launch a new project - another online store, but this time just for the inner German market. Does it mean you take into account to stop working with Russia? No, I am not talking about the interruption of our business. Of course we will continue to ship to Russia and to Ukraine. But the current situation is unstable, so we cannot accurately predict it. That is why we need to minimize the risks and to redistribute our business. You see, the current situation is of course not catastrophic but still unpleasant. Crossborder business with Russia was growing that rapidly in the last few years, that it seemed, it would always be like this. It has a certain similarity with the oil price, where no one has expected the recession. Nevertheless, Russia is still a huge market for Europe, so we are planning to stay there. Thank you very much! 50 Giovanni Cappellotto, e-commerce strategist: Many other markets are no better than Russia. Brazil is the same, just with a high customs duty. Giovanni Cappellotto is one of best known e-commerce bloggers and consultants in Italy. Since 2008 he is regularly blogging on e-commerce including cross-border issues. Giovanni, which countries are especially attractive for Italian online stores? Well, I am strongly convinced that Europe is the most attractive place for shipping there at the moment. It touches especially Germany and UK, although there are many cons as well. Germany is easy to ship to, but there are just too many local player there, so the competition is just too high. The same is true for UK. If we speak about Eastern Europe, many Italian online stores ship to Czech Republic or Slovenia, as the situation is quite advantageous there. Which are the most crucial points to prevent Italians from shipping to Russia? Obviously the country is just too big, so that it obligatory comes to frictions in logistics. Another obstacle is customs. I spoke to many online stores - it is also true that sometimes some items get lost or stolen while shipping to Russia. Besides that, we should consider the political situation at the moment, which makes it too risky to enter the Russian market at the moment. What do you mean exactly by risky? There are many factors. The most significant one is the value of ruble, which leads to the decrease of cross-border volume. High inflation is also important. But apart from that risks, there are several categories of products that are just not easy to import to Russia because of customs conditions. I'm talking mainly about foods and spirits, which are quite typical for Italian exportation. It is as important for Italy as fashion articles. You say you regularly talk to Italian online stores shipping to Russia. What is your feeling - are they planning to stay on the Russian market and hang on, or are they leaving? 51 Most just stay and hang on or adapt their strategy. For I must say, many other markets are no better than Russia. Which markets are most important for Italy? Apart from the EU countries, which are obviously the most important ones, I would range it like this. China is extremely important, as it is a huge market, just by the number of consumers. America is important, too, which means US and Canada. Brazil and its Sao Paolo with 20 Mln people is also an important destination. Although Brazil is much worse than Russia. Duty is too high there and it comes to similar problems with local logistics and customs in Brazil. What about US? America is easier to import goods, indeed. Well, if you ask me, I would range it like this: UK, Germany, rest of EU and US follows. Thank you for your estimation! 52 Malcolm Lowry, Founder and CEO of "SouthWestFoods.co": When going abroad, we have to consider our margin and extra costs. SouthWestFoods (www.btjerky.com) is an example of a good business idea. This food service is taking profit of an empty market niche in Europe. The one-product online store was successfully launched on the German market in 2014. Now it is ready to go abroad. Malcolm, you are a one-product online-store. What do you sell? Well, SouthWestFoods is based in Berlin and we've launched our shop about half a year ago. The product we sell is quite new for Germany - it's beef jerky. We've taken this concept from the US, where it was already widely spread. So, how well have you been doing in Germany so far? As we've just launched our online-store, we are still having some difficulties with delivery at the moment, it still comes to delays sometimes. But the rest works ok, and we're planning to standardize the whole process in a couple of months. Why are you actually based in Germany? Wouldn't it be cheaper to ship crossborder from the US? No, it wouldn't. The reason is the high duty level, it's 19% while shipping from the US to Germany. And it's also quicker and smarter to organize the whole process in Germany. I know many internet-shops that refuse from shipping cross-border to Germany just because of a high duty barrier. In fact, we are quite successful with our product in Germany at the moment. There is no direct competition and Germany is also a big country with many potential clients. Are you planning to go abroad with your product? Sure. We've already started shipping to other EU countries. To begin with, UK is especcially interesting for us, but also other EU countries. You know, beef jerky is quite well known as a product in the US - but here in Europe it is just the beginning. Of course we also take non-EU countries into account to ship to. 53 Russia, too? Sure, why not. Until now we've never had Russian clients, but probably if we organize our sales to Russia well, it could work. However, I just need more information about several points. Taxation, customs, logistics, clients orientation, etc. - we just need to study all these fields, as we know too little about Russian customers. Besides that, I have no idea if B2C importation of meat is actually legal in Russia. You see, we've got quite a special product, so there are many points to be taken into account. But of course, if we decide to ship to Russia, we'll start with a test. What is going to influence your final decision on whether shipping to Russia and other countries, or not? There are many factors, but finally, it is all about our margins. There are a lot of extra costs coming for shipping abroad. There are e.g. costs for local payment providers, freight company, etc. So we have to consider all the costs and our final margin, when going abroad. Thank you a lot! 54 Andreas Stängle, software producer for e-commerce "proMO": Cross border is technically no big difference to internal shipments. It just costs more. ProMOis a German windows-based business standard software for small and medium online shops and Multi-Chanel-Companies aimed for controlling of the internal processes. Andreas, how can proMO help by cross-border shipments into non-EU countries, e.g. to Russia? Well, cross border as a process has technically no big difference from internal shipments in Germany. The biggest difference is the preparation of customs papers. Basically, our clients can prepare all necessary customs papers for shipment to any third country - like a customs declaration or other item-specific customs documents. For the rest of the process, it makes technically no difference if its local shipments or cross-border. Cross-border just costs more. But technically as I said, it makes no difference which label you print out with our software - an international one or for EU. The parcels just join your Russia-flow and are being taken by international DHL shipment - or it joins your German flow and is shipped to Germany. Does it make a difference in this case, which logistics provider an internet shop uses? Not really. Most German internet shops - also our clients - work with DHL. For this reason we enable software integration of most common CMS and shop systems used in Germany with the system of DHL. We also do this for DPD, UPS,GLS, UPS and many haulage contractorat the moment. You've mentioned that you choose the most common CMS shop systems for your software. Which are they in Germany? At the moment we use ten of them. These are Shopware, Magento, Xt:commerce, Websale, Oxid and some others. We can enable direct communication of a shipper with the internet-shop through our module or data transmission. Basically, we do not care which system our client really has - as far as our module is being used, we can technically enable their communication with the shipping service. 55 Is it possible to enable communication between the shippers and online-sellers system directly, without using your module? Yes it is, but in this case there will be no relation to the warehousing systems of the online-shop. It works like this: as soon as you have an consignees address in your system, you can automatically check where exactly it is stored in the your warehouse. So it allows an internet shop to keep all information in one place and have control over it. You do have some clients that ship abroad. Where do you see the biggest expenditures in cross-border? Well, generally shipping abroad is of course much more expensive than internal shipments. You should consider a shipping fee, insurance, internationalization costs, customs costs, etc. EU is also a big market, so many our clients ship only to EU, as it is in fact much easier and cheaper. As for me, the most difficult aspects about crossborder are localization of your business in the wide sense, and accounting. Thank you for sharing your ideas! 56