Petroleum Investment in the Arabian Gulf
Transcription
Petroleum Investment in the Arabian Gulf
OXFORD INSTlTUTE = = FOR ENERGY STUDIES Petroleum Investment in the Arabian Gulf Goran Bergendahl Oxford Institute for Energy Studies F5 1985 The contents of this paper are for the purposes of study and discussion and do not represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its members. Copyright 0 1984 Oxford I n s t i t u t e f o r Energy S t u d i e s ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Many persons have g i v e n v a l u a b l e comments t o the author concerning t h e content of this report. S p e c i a l thanks go to John Mugno, Citibank; Lakdasa W i j e t i l l e k e , Michael Pearson and Isaac Sam, World Bank; Jens Mb1 lenbach, Leo Drol l a s , Marshal 1 Hal 1 and J o h n Borkowski, B r i t i s h P e t r o l e u m . 1. PETROLEUM INVESTMENTS I N THE MIDDLE EAST 1 2. INVESTMENTS I N KUWAIT 4 3. INVESTMENTS I N QATAR 10 4. INVESTMENTS I N SAUDI ARABIA 16 5. INVESTMENTS I N THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES 26 6. CONCLUSIONS 34 MOTES 45 REFERENCES 46 FIGURES FIGURE 1 2 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES FOR THE MIDDLE EAST PETROLEUM INDUSTRY FLOW OF GAS PRODUCTS I N QATAR 3 12 TABLES TABLE 1 CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AND PETROLEUM REFINING IN KUWAIT 37 2 INVESTMENTS IN KUWAIT 38 3 CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AND PETROLEUM REFINING I N QATAR 39 INVESTMENTS IN QATAR 40 4 5 CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AMD PETROLEUM REFINING I N SAUDI ARABIA 41 6 INVESTMENTS IN SAUDI ARABIA 42 7 CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AND PETROLEDM REFINING IN TRE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES 43 INVESTMENTS I N TIIE UNITED A R A B EMIRATES 44 8 I n 1974 t h e t h i r t e e n OPEC c o u n t r i e s suddenly r e c e i v e d r e c o r d o i l r e v e n u e s of $114 b i l l i o n . The d i s p o s a l of t h a t income was as f o l l o w s : 35% was used t o f i n a n c e i m p o r t s of goods consumer goods and the remainder - - mainly the c u r r e n t account s u r p l u s - was p l a c e d a b r o a d , m a i n l y i n t h e f o r m of b a n k d e p o s i t s ( s e e s t a t i s t i c s i n Bergendahl 1984). When a second, e v e n l a r g e r wave of o i l r e v e n u e s ( $ 2 7 9 b i l l i o n ) reached t h e t h i r t e e n c o u n t r i e s i n 1980, a larger p r o p o r t i o n (some 64% o r $ 1 7 9 b i l l i o n ) was used d i r e c t l y f o r i m p o r t s . But t h i s t i m e a s u b s t a n t i a l p a r t of the r e m a i n d e r w a s p l a c e d i n t o l o n g e r - t e r m a s s e t s , s u c h a s s t o c k s , b o n d s and r e a l estate. Two years l a t e r o i l r e v e n u e s f e l l s l i g h t l y t o a l e v e l of $200 m i l l i o n and t h e c u r r e n t a c c o u n t s u r p l u s a l m o s t disappeared. What had happened? Did t h e OPEC c o u n t r i e s choose t o d i r e c t t h e i r s u r p l u s e s i n t o d o m e s t i c c o n s u m p t i o n o r into domestic i n v e s t m e n t s ? The a n s w e r reasons. i s not a s i m p l e o n e f o r a t l e a s t two F i r s t , t h e r e i s an enormous d i f f e r e n c e between t h e four low-absorbing OPEC c o u n t r i e s and t h e o t h e r nine. Kuwait, Qatar, S a u d i A r a b i a and t h e UAE a c c o u n t e d f o r o i l r e v e n u e s o f $ 6 2 b i l l i o n i n 1974, $206 b i l l i o n i n 1980 and $104 b i l l i o n i n 1982, w i t h more and more s p e n t on domestic consumption and i n v e s t m e n t s (39% i n 1 9 7 4 , 68% i n 1980, a n d 86% i n 1982). Secondly, s i n c e the "low-absorbers" by d e f i n i t i o n a r e u n a b l e t o consume most of t h e i r o i l revenues, t h e y t h e r e f o r e had s u b s t a n t i a l o p p o r t u n i t i e s for i n v e s t m e n t f r o m 1 9 7 4 t o 1982. F i g u r e 1 shows how t h e four low-absorbers h a v e t a k e n advantage of t h i s s i t u a t i o n by l e t t i n g p e t r o l e u m i n v e s t m e n t grow from $700 m i l l i o n in 1971 t o more than $14 b i l l i o n i n 1981. This implies a g r o w t h r a t e o f 35% p e r y e a r , a v e r y h i g h r a t e i n c o m p a r i s o n t o o t h e r OPEC c o u n t r i e s and t h e r e s t of t h e t h i r d world. The p r e s e n t s t u d y w i l l i n v e s t i g a t e the a c t i v i t i e s behind t h e s e s t a t i s t i c s . The purpose w i l l be t o f o l low up a c t u a l i n v e s t m e n t s made by t h e four low-absorbing t h e ten year p e r i o d 1973-82. r e l a t e d investments. Gulf c o u n t r i e s d u r i n g The emphasis w i l l b e on petroleum- However, o t h e r l a r g e - s c a l e i n v e s t m e n t s w i l l a l s o be included. The o u t l i n e i s a s f o l l o w s . The a n a l y s e s of a c t u a l investment a l t e r n a t i v e s a r e i n S e c t i o n s 2-5, w i t h one s e c t i o n e a c h for K u w a i t , Q a t a r , S a u d i A r a b i a and t h e U n i t e d Arab Emirates. c o n c l u s i o n s and a r e a s for f u r t h e r study w i l l Finally, be p r e s e n t e d i n S e c t i o n 6 . 2 Figure 1 Capital Expenditures for the Middle East Petroleum I n d u s t r y LNG-PLANTS I O I L b GRS EXTRRCTION ;I 1'1 REFINERIES PIPE LINES CHEHl CRL PLRNTS 3 The s m a l l kingdom o f K u w a i t , w i t h about 1.45 m i l 1 i o n i n h a b i t a n t s i n a n a r e a of 17,000 km2 , has one of t h e h i g h e s t p e r c a p i t a incomes i n t h e world. Though t h e country i s q u i t e young i t became i n d e p e n d e n t i n 1 9 6 1 - - i t s o i l h i s t o r y s t r e t c h e s back o v e r s e v e r a l decades. I n 1933, t h e Anglo-Persian O i l Company ( t o d a y B r i t i s h Petroleum) and t h e Gulf O i l Company a p p l i e d f o r a concession. One year l a t e r they formed t h e Kuwait O i l Company (KOC) which s t a r t e d t o e x p l o r e t h e c o n c e s s i o n a r e a i n 1936. d i s c o v e r e d i n Burgan i n Southern Kuwait. I n 1938 o i l was A f t e r t h e Second World War Burgan was d e v e l o p e d , and e x p o r t s s t a r t e d i n 1946. O i l was d i s c o v e r e d a t Margwa i n 1951 and a t al-Ahmadi i n 1952. A f t e r 1955 KOC s t a r t e d t o d r i l l i n Northern Kuwait. O i l was d i s c o v e r e d a t Raudhatain i n t h e same year, a t Bahra i n 1956, a t S a b r i y a h i n 1957, a t M i n a g i s h i n 1959 and a t Umm G u d a i r i n 1962. In 1974, t h e Government took o v e r 60% of t h e assets of KOC i n c l u d i n g a r e f i n e r y and a n LPG p l a n t a t al-Ahrnadi. The f ol lowing year t h e Government a c q u i r e d t h e remaining 40% e q u i t y . BP a n d G u l f O i l were g u a r a n t e e d l i f t i n g s of 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 b / d and 450,000 b / d r e s p e c t i v e l y a t a d i s c o u n t of 1 5 c e n t s / b a r r e l a n d w i t h 60 days’ c r e d i t . 4 I n 1947, t h e A m e r i c a n I n d e p e n d e n t O i l CO ( A m i n o i l ) a p p l i e d for a concession i n t h e N e u t r a l Zone. Drilling started in 1949 and o i l w a s d i s c o v e r e d a t Wafra in 1953 and a t U r n Gudair i n 1966. The company w a s t a k e n o v e r by t h e G o v e r n m e n t i n 1977 and was t r a n s f e r r e d t o KOC i n 1978. The o f f s h o r e r i g h t s of t h e Meutral Zone were o b t a i n e d i n 1957-8 by t h e A r a b i a n O i l Company (AOC), end t h e K u w a i t i Government o b t a i n e d 10% of t h e e q u i t y of AOC. O i l w a s discovered a t R h a f j i in 1960, a t Hout in 1962, a t L u l u i n 1 9 6 6 and a t D o r r a i n 1967, I n 1974 t h e Kuwaiti Government took o v e r a n a d d i t i o n a l 202 of t h e e q u i t y of AOC. The Kuwait N a t i o n a l Petroleum Company (KNPC) was e s t a b l i s h e d i n 1960 t o be owned j o i n t l y by t h e Government and by private Kuwaiti interests. It took over t h e domestic d i s t r i b u t i o n of p e t r o l e u m p r o d u c t s f r o m KOC, a n d i n 1975 t h e Government g a i n e d c o m p l e t e c o n t r o l of RNPC, The company now o p e r a t e s t h r e e r e f i n e r i e s , Mina A b d u l l a ( t a k e n o v e r from Aminoil i n 19781, Mina al-Ahmadi ( f o r m e r l y o p e r a t e d by KOC) and Shuaiba. In a d d i t i o n , t h e K u w a i t S h e l l P e t r o l e u m D e v e l o p m e n t Company and t h e Kuwait Spanish Petroleum Company d r i l l e d in Kuwait. unsuccessful l y Both companies are now d i s s o l v e d . The main i n v e s t m e n t s i n K u w a i t i c r u d e o i l p r o d u c t i o n were made b e f o r e 1970. about 3,300,000 b/d, C r u d e o i l p r o d u c t i o n p e a k e d i n 1972 a t a f t e r which c a p a c i t y u t i l i z a t i o n s u b s t a n t i a l l y t o a l e v e l of about 800,000 b/d i n 1982. declined Table 1 g i v e s d e t a i l s of t h i s development, and it can b e s e e n from t h e s e s t a t i s t i c s t h a t t h e d e c l i n e i n demand f o r crude o i l i s one f a c t o r 5 r e s p o n s i b l e € o r t h e d r o p i n p r o d u c t i o n . The e x p o r t of r e f i n e d p r o d u c t s has been more s t a b l e , a l t h o u g h t h e r e has been a s l i g h t d e c l i n e from a peak i n 1979. Refinery c a p a c i t i e s were expanded a t Shuaiba i n 1973-76 and a new Isomax u n i t was introduced i n 1978 ( s e e C e n t r a l Bank of K u w a i t , 1980, p42). I n 1979 t h e r e w a s a r e d u c t i o n i n o u t p u t c a p a c i t y a t Mina al-Ahmadi l e a d i n g t o an a l m o s t maximal u s e of r e f i n e r y c a p a c i t i e s t h a t year. Since t h e n Kuwaiti usage of i t s r e f i n e r y c a p a c i t y h a s d e c l i n e d t o a l e v e l of 0.57 i n 1981. In s p i t e of t h i s low u s e , Kuwait h a s d e c i d e d t o m o d e r n i s e and e x p a n d t h e p l a n t s in Mina a l - A h m a d i and i n Mina Abdul l a h . KPC's c a p i t a l was i n c r e a s e d by KD 1.5 b i l l i o n (=$5.4 b i l l i o n ) , t o c o v e r t h e o u t l a y (see MEED, May 1983, p9). For Mina al-Ahmadi, Japan Gasol i n e obtained a c o n t r a c t w o r t h between $500- 700 m i l l i o n f o r t h e i n s t a l l a t i o n of 11 new u n i t s by 1984. Later t h e same company o b t a i n e d an a d d i t i o n a l c o n t r a c t w o r t h a p p r o x i m a t e l y K D 325 m i l l i o n t o i n s t a l l an a d d i t i o n a l d e s u l p h u r i s a t i o n u n i t , a h y d r o c r a c k i n g u n i t , a n o t h e r vacuum d i s t i l l a t i o n u n i t and 8 f l u i d c a t a l y t i c cracking unit. The f i n a l s t r u c t u r e i s planned t o be completed i n 1986/87. Furthermore, t h e r e f i n e r y c a p a c i t y of Mina Abdul l a h w i l l be expanded up t o a l e v e l of 250,000 b/d a t a c o s t of KD 230 m i l 1ion. KPC's s u b s i d i a r y , Kuwait Santa Fe Braun Engineering and P e t r o l e u m P r o j e c t s Company g o t t h i s c o n t r a c t , i n c l u d i n g t h e u p g r a d i n g of e x i s t i n g u n i t s a n d t h e i n s t a l l a t i o n o f new p r o c e s s i n g u n i t s ( f o r d e t a i l s , s e e Arab O i l & Gas D i r e c t o r y , 1983 ~162). The aim i s t o e x p a n d r e f i n e r y o u t p u t by 93,000 b / d of naphtha, 50,000 b/d of g a s o l i n e , 118,000 b/d of ATK, 6 117,000 b/d of d i e s e l a n d 82,000 b / d of low s u l p h u r o i l . A t t h e same t i m e f u e l o i l p r o d u c t i o n w i l l b e r e d u c e d by a l m o s t 100,000 b / d . A l t o g e t h e r , t h i s means t h a t o u t p u t w i l l b e d o u b l e d from a b o u t 352,000 b / d t o d a y to 7 2 5 , 0 0 0 b / d w h e n t h e i n v e s t m e n t i s completed, 1 I n t h e petrochemical s e c t o r , Petrochemical I n d u s t r i e s Corporation (PIC) i s a wholly-owned PIC, s u b s i d i a r y of KPC. I n 1964, Gulf O i l and BP s e t u p t h e K u w a i t C h e m i c a l F e r t i l i z e r Company (KCPC) t o o p e r a t e a p e t r o c h e m i c a l p l a n t a t Shuaiba ( P l a n t A), producing urea, sulphuric acid, ammonia and ammonium I n 1 9 7 3 , PIC t o o k o v e r t h e s h a r e s o f BP a n d G u l f O i l sulphate. i n t h e company. Then i n 1977 t h e p l a n t c a p a c i t y was e x p a n d e d from 550 tonneslday t o 950 tonnes/day. PIC a l s o o p e r a t e s P l a n t B a t Shuaiba, which i n c l u d e s 2 u r e a u n i t s (670 tonnes/day) and 2 ammonia u n i t s (800 tonneslday). T h e s e u n i t s s t a r t e d t o o p e r a t e i n 1971-72, a n d i n 1 9 7 9 and 1981 two new ammonia u n i t s (1,000 tonneslday each) were c o n t r a c t e d . In 1980 a M e l a m i n e p l a n t a t S h u a i b a w e n t i n t o p r o d u c t i o n w i t h a c a p a c i t y of 15,000 t o n n e s / y e a r and at a c o s t of KD 1 0 m i l l i o n . The p r o j e c t i s owned by t h e K u w a i t M e l a m i n e Industries Company (KMIC). A p l a n t t o produce 420,000 t o n n e s l y e a r of a r o m a t i c s and 350,000 t o n n e s l y e a r of o l e f i n s was s c h e d u l e d for Shuaiba i n 1984. However, abandoned. t h e $1,3b c o n t r a c t t o t h e K P C subsidiary h a s b e e n I n s t e a d PIC e x p a n d e d i t s c a p a c i t y by b u y i n g 25% of t h e West German Company Hoechst (see Otaqui 1983, p. 19). PIC is a l s o p a r t i c i p a t i n g i n a n ammonia complex a t S i t r a , Bahrain. 7 Finally, P I C has s i g n e d a c o n t r a c t w o r t h KD 3.6 m i l l i o n w i t h Tokuyame Soda Company of Japan for t h e c o n s t r u c t i o n of a 7 5 tonneslday c h l o r i n e p l a n t a t Shuaiba. A second u n i t w i l l be a 150 tonneslday s a l t f a c i l i t y a t a c o s t of KD1.3m. T u r n i n g t o the n a t u r a l gas s e c t o r , t h e r e a r e t h r e e a r e a s from w h i c h i t is o b t a i n e d , namely t h e n o r t h and S a b r i y a ) , (Raudhatain t h e west ( M i n a g i s h , Umm G u d a i r and S o u t h Umm Gudair) and t h e s o u t h (Burgan and Magwa-Ahmadi). Most of t h e g a s i s sent by p i p e l i n e t o b e processed a t Shuaiba. Kuwait h a s two LPG p l a n t s , one i n Mina al-Ahmadi a n d a n o t h e r i n S h u a i b a , of w h i c h t h e t o t a l c a p a c i t y i s 5.5 m i l 1 i o n t o n n e s l y e a r (about 110,000 b/d i n terms of o u t p u t ) . However, the o p e r a t i o n i s f a r below c a p a c i t y , mainly because a s u b s t a n t i a l amount o f t h e gas i s “ a s s o c i a t e d ’ ’ ( w i t h t h e p r o d u c t i o n of c r u d e oil). Over t h e l a s t 1 5 y e a r s , Kuwait O i l T a n k e r s Company (KOTC), a KPC s u b s i d i a r y , h a s g r e a t l y expanded its t a n k e r f l e e t . I n 1981 i t owned 1 7 o i l t a n k e r s w i t h a c a p a c i t y of 2,408,000 dwt and four LPG c a r r i e r s of 71,650~11~ each. Furthermore, o r d e r s have b e e n p l a c e d for two l a r g e c r u d e c a r r i e r s (each o f 290,000 d w t ) and t h r e e p r o d u c t c a r r i e r s ( e a c h o f 65,000 dwt 1983). T h e K u w a i t i Government h a s f o r c e d - s e e MEED, May i t s customers t o use K u w a i t i t a n k e r s f o r a t l e a s t 50% of t h e i r p u r c h a s e s . M o s t LPG s a l e s go t o Japan. Kuwait has a l s o i n v e s t e d i n p i p e l i n e s f o r c r u d e o i l , n a t u r a l g a s and r e f i n e d p r o d u c t s . They a r e o p e r a t e d b y K O C e x c e p t f o r two s u b m a r i n e l i n e s f r o m Mina A b d u l l a h o p e r a t e d by KNPC. 8 Funds h a v e a l s o b e e n a l l o c a t e d for i n d u s t r i a l development. For example, received certain a t h e Shuaiba Area A u t h o r i t y (SAA) h a s amount for the expansion of its i n f r a s t r u c t u r e , and a J a p a n e s e c o n s o r t i u m h a s o b t a i n e d KD 113 m i l l i o n f o r t h e c o n s t r u c t i o n of e i g h t new 300MW t u r b i n e s a t Ras al-Zour t o b e completed about 1987. I n t o t a l , t h e l a r g e s t investment p r o j e c t s i n Kuwait h a v e b e e n t h e r e f i n e r y e x p a n s i o n i n Mina Al-Ahrnadi Abdullah. and Mina An o v e r v i e w of p l a n t s , d a t e s , c o s t s and o r g a n i s a t i o n s is p r e s e n t e d i n T a b l e 2. 9 3. IXVESRIEHTS IB QATAR Q a t a r i s s m a l l e r t h a n Kuwait, w i t h 230,000 i n h a b i t a n t s in a n a r e a of 1 0 , 2 0 0 km’, and the h i g h e s t GNP p e r c a p i t a i n t h e world (about $27,000 i n 1981). Qatar became independent i n 1971. I t s o i l h i s t o r y s t a r t e d i n 1931, when t h e Anglo-Persian O i l Company (now BP) c a r r i e d o u t a d e t a i l e d g e o l o g i c a l i n v e s t i g a t i o n of t h e area. The a c t u a l e x p l o r a t i o n was made by P e t r o l e u m D e v e 1opment Company ( w h i c h I a t e r became t h e Q a t a r P e t r o l e u r n Company) in a s s o c i a t i o n w i t h t h e Iraq P e t r o l e u m Company, p a r t l y owned by Anglo P e r s i a n O i l Company, O i l was found i n Dukhan i n 1938 and p r o d u c t i o n reached a l e v e l of 40,000 b/d. The w e l l s were s e a l e d d u r i n g t h e Second W o r l d War, a f t e r w h i c h p r o d u c t i o n r e - s t a r t e d i n 1947. A new t e r m i n a l was completed i n Umm Said from which shipments commenced in 1949. I n 1960, t h e S h e l l Company of Q a t a r found o i l o f f s h o r e a t Idd a l - S h a r g i and a t Maydan Mahzam. Ten years l a t e r a t h i r d o f f s h o r e f i e l d was d i s c o v e r e d a t Bul Hanine. In 1973, t h e Government of Qatar took o v e r 25% of Qatar Petroleum Company and She1 1 Company of Qatar. The Qatar General Petroleum C o r p o r a t i o n (QGPC) was e s t a b l i s h e d i n 1974 and a c q u i r e d a l l s h a r e s i n t h e s e two companies, The German f i r m W i n t e r s h a l l 10 signed a production agreement (1973) f o r t h e North oilfields, which was t r a n s f e r r e d t h r e e years l a t e r i n t o a production-sharing agreement. This agreement i s now terminated, and two o t h e r companies, t h e Holker Company of t h e U.S. and t h e Q a t a r O i l Company of Japan, h a v e a l s o re1 inquished t h e i r o f f s h o r e concessions, O i l was f o u n d a t Al-Bunduq Dhabi, in 1972. on t h e b o r d e r w i t h Abu P r o d u c t i o n i s shared e q u a l l y w i t h Abu Dhabi and managed by Abu Dhabi Marine Areas (ADMA). Qatar's concession i s h e l d by t h e Bunduq Company ( s e e E l M a l l a k h 1979, p34). QGPC The main e x p l o r a t i o n for o i l f i e l d s h a s now ended. had f i v e r i g s i n o p e r a t i o n i n 1981, t h r e e o n s h o r e and two The main p r o d u c t i o n of o i l t a k e s p l a c e on t h e Dukhan offshore. f i e l d ( o n s h o r e ) a n d on t h e t h r e e o f f s h o r e f i e l d s of I d d a l S h a r g i , M a y d a n Mahzam a n d B u l H a n i n e . ( F o r t h e s i z e of see T a b l e 3). production, O i l i s p r o d u c e d mainly f o r e x p o r t , with o f f s h o r e o i l being shipped from t h e H a l u l I s l a n d t e r m i n a l . A s u b s t a n t i a l p a r t of t h e s e e x p o r t s g o e s t o J a p a n , France, I t a l y and t h e Netherlands. Qatar Owns two r e f i n e r i e s , s i t u a t e d a t Umm Said. The f i r s t w i t h a c a p a c i t y of 12,000 b/d i s small, b u t t h e second one, completed i n 1983, can produce 50,000 b/d. These r e f i n e r i e s a r e o p e r a t e d by t h e N a t i o n a l O i l D i s t r i b u t i o n Company (NODCO). While t h e o i l r e s o u r c e s of Q a t a r are l i m i t e d and may b e d e p l e t e d i n t w e n t y years' n a t u r a l gas. time, t h e r e i s a n abundance of C o n s e q u e n t l y , n a t u r a l g a s i s used a s f u e l and f e e d s t o c k f o r i n d u s t r i a l a c t i v i t i e s i n Qatar. O n s h o r e n a t u r a l g a s i s o b t a i n e d a t t h e Dukham f i e l d 11 Figure 2 Flow of Gas Products in Qatar DISTRIBUTION I I PLANT 1 UMM S A I D I 1 I I \ DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION 12 1 LNG I RASLAFFAN' I PE.TF0CHEMICAL PLANT h LIZER b o t h as a s s o c i a t e d a n d n o n - a s s o c i a t e d g a s (see F i g u r e 2). Associated g a s i s o b t a i n e d as a s o l u t i o n g a s which i s s e p a r a t e d , c o l l e c t e d and c o m p r e s s e d and t h e n t r a n s m i t t e d t o a s t r i p p i n g p l a n t a t Fahahil. gas - One o u t p u t f r o m t h i s p l a n t i s a m e t h a n e r i c h s o l d through t h e domestic d i s t r i b u t i o n system main o u t p u t i s n a t u r a l g a s l i q u i d (NGL), - but the which is t r a n s f e r r e d by p i p e l i n e t o o n e of t h e NGL p l a n t s a t Umm S a i d . The o u t p u t f r o m t h i s p l a n t i s propane and b u t a n e f o r domestic u s e , g a s o l i n e f o r e x p o r t and a n e t h a n e r i c h gas s u p p l i e d t o a petrochemical p l a n t . Associated g a s can a l s o be produced d i r e c t l y from two s o - c a l l e d gas caps a t t h e Dukhan f i e l d , a l t h o u g h t h i s a l t e r n a t i v e is v e r y r a r e l y used. The non-associated gas a t t h e Dukhan f i e l d is o b t a i n e d a t Khuff. E i g h t p l a n t s a r e a v a i l a b l e , of w h i c h f o u r h a v e a c a p a c i t y of 2.8 m i l l i o n m 3 / d a y , and f o u r h a v e a c a p a c i t y o f 1.4 m i l l i o n m 3 /day. A t p r e s e n t , no more t h a n 40% of t h i s c a p a c i t y is used. The o f f s h o r e associated gas i s s e p a r a t e d and compressed a t t h r e e p l a t f o r m s and t r a n s m i t t e d t o t h e second NGL p l a n t a t Umm Said t o g e t h e r w i t h t h e s e p a r a t e d gas l i q u i d . NGL is obtained f o r export, ethane r i c h gas f o r t h e petrochemical p l a n t and methane r i c h g a s f o r f e r t i l i s e r production. Off s h o r e non-associated gas i s n o t c u r r e n t l y produced, b u t s u b s t a n t i a l reserves a r e a v a i l a b l e i n t h e North F i e l d ( s e e Petrie-Ritchie, 1982 and 1983). The t o t a l p r o d u c t i o n of n a t u r a l g a s in Q a t a r i n 1981 was a b o u t 12.2 m i l l i o n m3/day capacity. with a s u b s t a n t i a l l y higher I n o r d e r t o make b e t t e r u s e of t h e e x i s t i n g r e s e r v e s 13 and c a p a c i t i e s t h e Q a t a r i Government has d e c i d e d t o i n v e s t $5 b i l l i o n i n a new LNG p l a n t a t Ras L a f f a n . This project, a j o i n t v e n t u r e w i t h BP and CFP (Compagnie F r a n c a i s e d e s P e t r o l e s ) , w i l l make it p o s s i b l e t o p r o c e s s about 25 m i l l i o n m3/day of LNG. The f i r s t NGL f a c i l i t y a t Umm Said can produce 650,000 t o n n e s of LPG f r o m 310,000 b / d of o n s h o r e c r u d e . The s e c o n d f a c i l i t y c a n p r o d u c e 460,000 t o n s of LPG f r o m 3 7 5 , 0 0 0 b / d of o f f s h o r e crude, In J u l y 1 9 8 1 27% of t h i s c a p a c i t y was u s e d . A l l LPG is exported, Turning t o p e t r o c h e m i c a l production, t h e Qatar P e t r o c h e m i c a l s Company (QAPCO) i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e b e t w e e n t h e F r e n c h Company Cdf Chimie and QGPC, I t o p e r a t e s one e t h y l e n e p l a n t ( 7 7 0 t o n n e s l d a y ) and o n e p o l y e t h y l e n e (LDP) p l a n t (380 tonnes/day), b o t h in Umm Said. A t h i r d high-density p o l y e t h y l e n e p l a n t ( 1 9 0 t o n n e s l d a y ) i s a l s o s c h e d u l e d f o r Umm S a i d . Cdf and QGPC h a v e a l s o i n v e s t e d i n a p e t r o c h e m i c a l complex i n Dunkirk, France. The Q a t a r F e r t i l i z e r Company (QAFCO) o p e r a t e s two plants, e a c h p r o d u c i n g 900 t o n n e s l d a y of ammonia and 1,000 tonnes/day of urea. A t h i r d p l a n t i s scheduled. Most o i l is exported by f o r e i g n v e s s e l s (QGPC owns one t a n k e r ) f r o m H a l u l I s l a n d , Umm S a i d a n d R a s Abu Abbut ( r e f i n e d products). There are s e v e r a l l a r g e i n v e s t m e n t p r o j e c t s o u t s i d e t h e petroleum sector. At Umm Said, a n i r o n and s t e e l p l a n t (700,000 t o n n e s / y e a r ) has been b u i l t for t h e Qatar S t e e l Company (QASCO) a t a c o s t of about QR 1.6 b i l l i o n ( s e e E l M a l l a k h 1979, p87). w i l l use about 10 m i l l i o n m3 /day of n a t u r a l g a s a s f e e d s t o c k . 14 It A power and d e s a l i n a t i o n p l a n t a t R a s Abu Fontae n e a r Doha was i n i t i a t e d in 1977. The t o t a l c o s t i s e s t i m a t e d a t a b o u t QR 2.0 b i l l i o n , producing 612 MW power and 16,000 m i l l i o n m3 /day of d e s a l i n a t e d water. I n 1 9 6 7 t h e Q a t a r N a t i o n a l Cement Company s t a r t e d a cement f a c t o r y i n o r d e r t o u t i l i z e t h e l i m e s t o n e and c l a y a v a i l a b l e a t Umm Bab. P r o d u c t i o n is assumed t o b e 600,000 t o n n e s / y e a r a t a c o s t of a b o u t QR 0.8 b i l l i o n . T a b l e 4 g i v e s an o v e r v i e w of p l a n t s , d a t e s , c o s t s and o r g a n i s a t i o n s f o r t h e main i n v e s t m e n t s in Qatar. 15 4 . IBIIESTHEHTS IR SAHDI ARABIA Saudi Arabia has t h e l a r g e s t o i l r e s e r v e s i n the world (about 23 b i l l i o n tonnes), w i t h b o t h t h e l a r g e s t onshore (Ghawar) and t h e l a r g e s t o f f s h o r e ( S a f a n i a ) o i l f i e l d s . About 9.68 m i l l i o n i n h a b i t a n t s l i v e i n a n a r e a of 2,150,000 km. After a s u r v e y by t h e B r i t i s h Major Holmes i n 1923-25, o i l was d i s c o v e r e d i n B a h r a i n i n 1932. As a consequence, Standard O i l of C a l i f o r n i a (now Chevron) formed a s u b s i d i a r y , t h e C a l i f o r n i a Arabian Standard O i l Company (CASOC), which s t a r t e d t o e x p l o r e t h e Arabian peninsula. took o v e r 50% o f CASOC. I n 1937, t h e T e x a s O i l Company One y e a r l a t e r o i l w a s f o u n d at Dammam and t h e f i r s t e x p o r t s went from Ras Tanura i n May 1939. Then i n 1940 two o i l f i e l d s , Abu Hadriya and Abqaiq, were d i s c o v e r e d . I n 1944, CASOC was c h a n g e d i n t o Aramco, a n d i n 1 9 4 7 , S t a n d a r d O i l of New J e r s e y (now Exxon) and Socony Vacuum (now Mobil) j o i n e d Aramco, One y e a r l a t e r t h e l a r g e s t o i l f i e l d in t h e w o r l d was found a t Ghawar. In 1949, G e t t y Oil Company o b t a i n e d a n o i l c o n c e s s i o n for h a l f t h e N e u t r a l Zone ( t h e o t h e r h a l f had a l r e a d y been t o Aminoil by t h e Kuwaiti Government). given Wafra o i l f i e l d was found i n 1953, S o u t h Fuwaris i n 1963 and S o u t h Umm G u d a i r i n 1966. A S m e n t i o n e d in S e c t i o n 2 a b o v e , t h e A r a b i a n O i l Company (AOC) had 16 b e e n g r a n t e d t h e o f f s h o r e r i g h t s of t h e N e u t r a l Zone i n 1 9 5 7 , where o i l was found in K h a f j i in 1960 and i n Hout i n 1963. The Saudi Government took o v e r 25% of Aramco i n 1973 8n a d d i t i o n a l 352 i n 1974. The p r o c e s s of t o t a l t a k e o v e r s t a r t e d i n 1976 and f i n i s h e d i n 1981. Among t h e t h r e e companies managing c r u d e o i l p r o d u c t i o n in S a u d i A r a b i a a t p r e s e n t , expanding Aramco h a s b e e n most a c t i v e i n production capacity. 1948, p r o d u c t i o n A f t e r o i l was found i n Ghawar i n s t a r t e d in Saf a n i y a h (19571, i n K h u r s a n i y a h (19601, i n F a d i l i and K h u r a i s (19631, i n M a n i f a (19641, i n Abu Sa’fah (19661, i n B e r r i ( 1 9 6 7 ) a n d i n Z u l u f , Harmaliyah (1973). Daw1 (offshore), M a r j a n and F u r t h e r d i s c o v e r i e s h a v e been made at ‘Amad, Duhaynah, Hurayri, Jubah, N i t a and S a l s a 1 ( o f f s h o r e ) as w e l l a s a t e x i s t i n g s i t e s a t A b q a i q , Duhaynah, Jubah, J u r a y d and Z u l u f . By t h e end o f 1 9 8 1 Aramco had 1 6 onshore and 11 o f f s h o r e d r i l l i n g r i g s i n o p e r a t i o n . In a d d i t i o n , t h e r e a r e p l a n s for i n v e s t m e n t i n f o u r new “ c a n t i l i v e r ” o f f s h o r e d r i l l i n g platforms. The t o t a l p r o d u c t i o n c a p a c i t y of e s t i m a t e d a t 11-12 m i l l i o n b/d. Saudi Arabia is A t Khurais Aramco has i n v e s t e d i n w a t e r i n j e c t i o n s y s t e m s i n o r d e r t o m a i n t a i n this c a p a c i t y level, Furthermore, i n 1982 p r o d u c t i o n c a p a c i t y was investment i n g a s - o i l expanded by s e p a r a t o r p l a n t s (GOSPs) a t t h e Marjan and Z u l u f f i e l d s (more t h a n $500 m i l l i o n was a l l o c a t e d f o r t h i s purpose). The p r o d u c t i o n of crude o i l i n Saudi A r a b i a ( s e e T a b l e 5) p e a k e d a t 9.9 m i l l i o n b / d i n 1980, of w h i c h 97% came f r o m Aramco. The overwhelming p a r t of t h i s p r o d u c t i o n was exported. 17 In t h e middle of 1982 p r o d u c t i o n f e l l below 6 m i l l i o n b/d. The r e d u c t i o n i n s a l e s of crude o i l may l e n d support t o Saudi Arabia's d e c i s i o n t o go downstream and i n v e s t i n r e f i n e r y c a p a c i t y , This c a p a c i t y h a s expanded from 700,000 b/d i n 1977 t o 1,200,000 b/d i n 1983, and t h i s p r o c e s s seems s e t t o c o n t i n u e in the future. Ras Tanura is t h e o l d e s t and l a r g e s t r e f i n e r y i n S a u d i Arabia, It has been o p e r a t e d by Aramco since 1945, when i t had a a c a p a c i t y of 50,000 b/d. I t was expanded t o a l e v e l of 550,000 b / d i n 1976 a n d 713,000 b / d i n 1982. I t s m a i n p r o d u c t s a r e LPG, f u e l o i l , d i e s e l o i l and naphtha. Petromin (Petroleum and M i n e r a l O r g a n i s a t i o n ) was s e t up t o m a r k e t and d i s t r i b u t e oil p r o d u c t s . o p e r a t e s two r e f i n e r i e s , However, i t a l s o one i n Jeddah and t h e o t h e r i n Riyadh. The r e f i n e r y i n J e d d a h o r i g i n a l l y ( i n 1968) h a d a c a p a c i t y of 12,000 b / d , b u t was e x p a n d e d t o 70,000 b / d (in 1978) a n d t o 110,000 b / d ( i n 1982). There a r e p l a n s t o expand i t f u r t h e r up to a l e v e l of 265,000 b / d ( s e e Kingdom of S a u d i A r a b i a , 1 9 8 2 , p63). The J e d d a h r e f i n e r y p r o d u c e s g a s o l i n e , d i e s e l o i l , f u e l o i l and naphtha. I n Riyadh, t h e r e f inerg produces mainly g a s o l ine, d i e s e l o i l and a s p h a l t . It s t a r t e d i n 1974 a t a l e v e l of 15,000 b / d a n d when a new u n i t was c o m p l e t e d i n 1981, c a p a c i t y w e n t up t o 120,000 b / d . Two r e f i n e r i e s o p e r a t e i n t h e N e u t r a l Zone, i n b o t h c a s e s w i t h f u e l o i l a s t h e main product, I n Mina Saud, G e t t y O i l h a s p r o d u c e d 50,000 b / d s i n c e 1958. I n K h a f j i , t h e A r a b i a n O i l 18 Company has had a p r o d u c t i o n l e v e l of 30,000 b/d s i n c e 1966. P e t r o m i n o p e r a t e s two s m a l l l u b e o i l r e f i n e r i e s i n Jeddah i n a j o i n t v e n t u r e w i t h Mobil O i l . Two more were under c o n s t r u c t i o n at J u b a i l ( 1 2 , 0 0 0 b / d ) t o g e t h e r w i t h T e x a c o and C h e v r o n , and a t Yanbu (5,000 b / d ) i n p a r t n e r s h i p w i t h A s h l a n d , b u t b o t h h a v e now been scrapped. A t Yanbu, a s i x t h r e f i n e r y came into o p e r a t i o n a t t h e T h i s i n v e s t m e n t , w i t h a c a p a c i t y of 170,000 b e g i n n i n g o f 1983. b/d and a t a c o s t of $1.4 b i l l i o n , i s s c h e d u l e d t o m e e t domestic demand. It w i l l be f u l l y owned by Petromin. T h r e e l a r g e e x p o r t r e f i n e r i e s a r e under c o n s t r u c t i o n , i n J u b a i l (250,000 bid). b/d), Babigh (325,000 b/d) and Yanbu (250,000 The one in J u b a i l i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e between Petromin and S h e l l and w i l l produce naphtha (97,000 b/d), and h i g h s u l p h u r f u e l o i l (67,000 b/d). gas o i l (92,000 b/d) It is t o be completed i n 1985 a t an e s t i m a t e d c o s t of $1.4 b i l l i o n . The r e f i n e r y in Yanbu w i l l b e o p e r a t e d j o i n t l y by P e t r o m i n and Mobil. I t s p r o d u c t i o n i s s e t t o d i e s e l o i l . and h e a t i n g f u e l (71,000 b / d ) , (75,000 b/d), h e a v y o i l (53,000 b / d ) g a s o l i n e j e t f u e l (36,000 b/d) and naphtha (18,000 b/d). It was completed i n 1984 a t an e s t i m a t e d c o s t of $1.3 b i l l i o n . The r e f i n e r y p r o j e c t i n R a b i g h i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e between Petromin and t h e Greek f i r m P e t r o l a , and was i n t e n d e d t o b e c o m p l e t e d i n 1984-85 b u t h a s b e e n d e l a y e d by a t l e a s t two y e a r s ( s e e H a r v e y 1984). Its investment c o s t i s estimated a t $2.6 b i l l i o n . Two r e f i n e r y p r o j e c t s a t Juaymah and Q a s s i n h a v e been 19 c a n c e l l e d and a t h i r d a t A l - S h u k a i k h has b e e n " s h e l v e d " s i n c e September 1983. I n S a u d i A r a b i a t h e p r o d u c t i o n of a s s o c i a t e d t o t h a t of crude o i l . n a t u r a l gas i s I n t h e mid-l970's, o n l y 15% of t h e produced gas w a s u t i l i s e d , b u t by 1982 t h i s had i n c r e a s e d t o 42%. The growth i n n e t p r o d u c t i o n comes m a i n l y from t h e Ghawar f i e l d , where a Master Gas S y s t e m (MSG) has been e s t a b l i s h e d a t a c o s t of $12 b i l l i o n ( s e e Arab O i l & Gas D i r e c t o r y , 1983, p283). This g a s w i l l mainly be used as f e e d s t o c k i n t h e two i n d u s t r i a l c o m p l e x e s a t J u b a i l a n d Yanbu, b u t p r o d u c t s f r o m t h e MSG w i l l a l s o i n c l u d e LPG and g a s o l i n e f o r e x p o r t , for u s e in d o m e s t i c i n d u s t r y , f o r e l e c t r i c i t y g e n e r a t i o n and f o r water d e s a l i n a t i o n . The t o t a l s i z e of t h e MSG i s 625,000 b/d p r o c e s s e d a t t h r e e p l a n t s a t B e r r i (71,300 b / d ) , Shedgum (270,000 b / d ) and Uthmaniya (270,000 b / d ) , A t f u l l c a p a c i t y t h e MSG c a n p r o d u c e 290,000 b / d of sweet g a s , 537,000 b / d of NGL and 11.5 t o n n e s / d a y of s u l p h u r . The NGL i s t a k e n t o two f r a c t i o n a t i o n p l a n t s a t Juaymah and Yanbu w i t h a p r o c e s s i n g c a p a c i t y of 390,000 b/d a n d 300,000 b / d r e s p e c t i v e l y . T h e s e two p l a n t s p r o d u c e e t h a n e , propane, butane, pentane and n a t u r a l g a s o l i n e , Pipeline transportation plays a central r o l e i n the o i l and g a s s e c t o r s i n S a u d i A r a b i a . Between 1950 a n d 1975 T a p l i n e ( t h e Trans-Arabian P i p e l i n e Company) o p e r a t e d a 1213 km p i p e l i n e between Saudi Arabia and Lebanon w i t h a c a p a c i t y of 500,000 b/d. A f t e r 1975 it w a s in use f o r s h o r t e r p e r i o d s o n l y , u n t i l I s r a e l i bomb a t t a c k s f o r c e d it t o c l o s e down. Inside S a u d i Arabia a b o u t 45 d i f f e r e n t p e t r o l e u m p i p e l i n e s a r e o p e r a t e d by Aramco and t h r e e by P e t r o m i n ( s e e Arab O i l & Gas D i r e c t o r y , 1983, ~ 2 9 0 ) . Among 20 the largest and most i m p o r t a n t a r e t h e two l o n g - d i s t a n c e p i p e l i n e s connecting t h e o i l f i e l d s i n Abqaiq w i t h Yanbu a t t h e Red Sea. One of them c a l l e d P e t r o l i n e c a r r i e s crude o i l , and h a s I t was c o m p l e t e d i n 1981 a t a a c a p a c i t y of 1-85 m i l l i o n b / d , c o s t of $1.6 b i l l i o n , P e t r o l i n e h a s n e v e r o p e r a t e d a t f u l l c a p a c i t y . At t h e b e g i n n i n g of 1 9 8 2 t h e f l o w was 1.35 m i l l i o n b/d. I n s p i t e of e x c e s s c a p a c i t y t h e f e a s i b i l i t y of i n c r e a s i n g c a p a c i t y by a n a d d i t i o n a l 500,000 b / d , investigated. up t o m i l l i o n b/d 2.35 is being The c o s t of t h i s expansion is e s t i m a t e d a t $800- 1 , 0 0 0 m i l l i o n . The e x p a n s i o n i s j u s t i f i e d o n t h e grounds t h a t P e t r o l i n e can t h e n s u p p l y w e s t e r n r e f i n e r i e s in Yanbu and Rabigh w i t h o i l from e a s t e r n f i e l d s . There are a l s o p l a n s t o b u i l d a l a r g e s i z e o i l s t o r a g e c a v e r n d i r e c t l y connected t o t h e w e s t e r n end of P e t r o l i n e , Such a n i n v e s t m e n t w o u l d c o s t a b o u t $5,000 m i l l i o n ( s e e MEED, September 1983 and MEED, October 1983, ~13). The s e c o n d p i p e l i n e l i n k i n g t h e A b q a i q o i l f i e l d s t o Yanbu i s a h i g h - p r e s s u r e o n e f o r t h e t r a n s p o r t of N G L w h i c h w a s c o m p l e t e d i n 1980. I n t h i s w a y BGL p r o d u c e d a t Ghawar c a n b e t r a n s f e r r e d t o Yanbu e i t h e r f o r e x p o r t o r u s e as a f e e d s t o c k i n t h e Yanbu p e t r o c h e m i c a l complex. F u r t h e r m o r e , p a r t of t h e NGL w i l l be used a s a f u e l f o r t h e p a r a l l e l crude o i l l i n e . The c a p a c i t y of t h i s g a s p i p e l i n e i s 270,000 b/d of NGL and ethane. Saudi Arabia has a l s o made s u b s t a n t i a l i n v e s t m e n t s in p o r t capacities. The port of Ras Tanura can s i m u l t a n e o u s l y f i l l two s u p e r t a n k e r s (150,000-500,000 dwt). accommodate s h i p s u p to 700,000 dwt. The Juaymah p o r t c a n At Z u l u f , t h e r e i s 8 21 1.7 million-barrel f l o a t i n g storage vessel. t h r e e tanker loading berths, berths. The p o r t a t Yanbu has and t h e o n e a t R a b i g h has n i n e The p o r t a t Yanbu w i l l be expanded s u b s t a n t i a l l y by t h e e n d of t h e 1980s. The Kingdom o p e r a t e s w i t h 30 r e g i s t e r e d t a n k e r s w i t h a t o t a l c a p a c i t y of more t h a n 4 mil l i o n dwt. Turning t o t h e p e t r o c h e m i c a l s e c t o r , t h e r e are now f o u r p l a n t s i n o p e r a t i o n and s i x p r o j e c t s u n d e r w a y . One of t h o s e a l r e a d y i n o p e r a t i o n is t h e S a f c o f e r t i l i z e r p l a n t a t Dammam which was completed i n 1968. It u s e s n a t u r a l g a s as a f e e d s t o c k a n d has o n e s u l p h u r r e c o v e r y u n i t (30 t o n n e s s u l p h u r / d a y + 50 tonnes sulphuric acidlday), one u r e a u n i t ( 6 0 0 t o n n e s ammonia/day), o n e l a r g e r u r e a u n i t (1,100 t o n n e s u r e a j d a y ) as w e l l as water d e s a l i n a t i o n and c o o l i n g u n i t s , steam b o i l e r s and power g e n e r a t i o n u n i t s . Another u n i t i n o p e r a t i o n i s Petromin’s S u l p h u r i c Acid P l a n t ( P e t r o c i d ) a t Dammam. This was completed i n 1 9 7 1 and has a c a p a c i t y of 50 tonneslday. A t J u b a i l , t h e Al-Jubail F e r t i l i z e r Company i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e between t h e Saudi A r a b i a n B a s i c I n d u s t r i e s C o r p o r a t i o n (SASIC) a n d t h e Taiwan F e r t i l i z e r C o r p o r a t i o n . The p l a n t came i n t o o p e r a t i o n i n 1983 w i t h a n i n v e s t m e n t c o s t o f a b o u t $350 m i l lion. I t h a s a c a p a c i t y of 300,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of l i q u i d ammonia and 500,000 t o n n e s l y e a r of urea. f a c i l i t i e s a v a i l a b l e with 8 There a r e a l s o s t o r a g e c a p a c i t y of 20,000 tonnes of ammonia and 100,000 tonnes of urea. Also a t J u b a i l t h e Saudi Methanol Company (A1 Bazi) i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e between SABIC and a J a p a n e s e consortium headed by M i t s u b i s h i Gas. 22 I t produces 600,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of methanol, and was c o m p l e t e d i n 1983 a t a n i n v e s t m e n t c o s t of a r o u n d $300 million. O f t h e s i x p r o j e c t s under way, one is s i t u a t e d a t Yanbu and f i v e a t J u b a i l . A t Yanbu, SABIC and Mobil O i l w i l l o p e r a t e a j o i n t v e n t u r e c a l l e d Saudi Yanbu Petrochemical Company (YAMPET). The p l a n t w i l l i n c l u d e a n e t h y l e n e p l a n t (450,000 t o n n e s l y e a r ) , a low-density p o l y e t h y l e n e p l a n t (200,000 t o n n e s l y e a r ) , a h i g h d e n s i t y p o l y e t h y l e n e u n i t (90,000 t o n n e s l y e a r ) and a n e t h y l e n e g l y c o l p l a n t (200,000 t o n n e s / y e a r ) . The c o s t i s e s t i m a t e d a t $2.5 b i l l i o n and t h e p r o j e c t w i l l be completed i n 1985. A t J u b a i l , the Al-Jubail is 8 P e t r o c h e m i c a l Company (Remya) j o i n t v e n t u r e b e t w e e n SABIC and Exxon. i n v e s t m e n t c o s t e s t i m a t e d a t $1.1 The p l a n t , w i t h a n b i l l i o n , w i l l produce 260,000 t o n n e s l y e a r of low d e n s i t y p o l y e t h y l e n e (LDP). It w i l l come i n t o o p e r a t i o n in 1985. The S a u d i P e t r o c h e m i c a l Company (SADAF) i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e between SABIC and Pecten, a s u b s i d i a r y of S h e l l O i l . Its c o m p l e x at J u b a i l w i l l h a v e an a n n u a l p r o d u c t i o n c a p a c i t y of 656,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of e t h y 1ene, 295,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of s t y r e n e , 281,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of i n d u s t r i a l e t h a n o l , 454,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of e t h y l e n e d i c h l o r i d e , 377,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of c a u s t i c soda, 333,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of c h l o r i n e and 327,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of ethy lbenzene. The i n v e s t m e n t c o s t is e s t i m a t e d a t $2.9 b i l l i o n and t h e p l a n t is t o be completed i n 1985. The A r a b i a n P e t r o c h e m i c a l Company ( P e t r o k e r n y a ) i s owned by SABIC. It w i l l produce 500,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of e t h y l e n e and 350,000 t o n n e s / y e a r of e t h y l e n e g l y c o l . I t s investment c o s t 23 i s e s t i m a t e d a t $1.5 b i l l i o n and t h e p l a n t w i l l b e completed i n 1985. The E a s t e r n P e t r o c h e m i c a l Company ( S h a r q ) i s a j o i n t v e n t u r e b e t w e e n SABIC and a J a p a n e s e c o n s o r t i u m , This J u b a i l p l a n t i s t o b e c o m p l e t e d i n 1985 and w i l l h a v e a p r o d u c t i o n c a p a c i t y of 180,000 t o n n e s / y e a r f o r low d e n s i t y p o l y e t h y l e n e and 300,000 t o n n e s l y e a r f o r e t h y l e n e g l y c o l . The t o t a l i n v e s t m e n t c o s t is e s t i m a t e d a t $1.5 b i l l i o n . The N a t i o n a l Methanol Company ( I b n Sinaq) is a j o i n t v e n t u r e b e t w e e n SABIC ( 5 O X ) , C e l a n e s e A r a b i a n ( 2 5 x 1 , and T e x a s E a s t e r n A r a b i a n (25%). The p l a n t w i l l p r o d u c e m e t h a n o l w i t h a c a p a c i t y of 650,000 t o n n e s l y e a r . I t w a s c o m p l e t e d i n 1984 and t h e t o t a l c o s t is e s t i m a t e d a t $400 m i l l i o n . For m o s t of t h e s e p r o j e c t s e t h a n e and m e t h a n e a r e t h e f e e d s t o c k s , w h i c h a r e t o b e s u p p l i e d by P e t r o m i n . S h a r q and K e m y a w i l l g e t t h e i r s u p p l i e s of e t h y l e n e from P e t r o k e m y a a n d Sadef r e s p e c t i v e l y . When a l l t h e petrochemical i n v e s t m e n t s have been made, SABIC w i l l b e a b l e t o p r o d u c e a b o u t 1.6 m i l l i o n t o n n e s / y e a r o f ethylene, and 1.3 m i l l i o n t o n n e s l y e a r of u r e a , a s w e l l as minor q u a n t i t i e s of o t h e r petrochemicals. In addition, S a u d i A r a b i a h a s a l l o c a t e d a l o t of c a p i t a l t o o t h e r areas of i n d u s t r i a l development. Examples a r e $5.0 b i l l i o n for t h e a i r p o r t i n J e d d a h ( s e e B a i l e y 19811, $3.2 b i l l i o n f o r t h e a i r p o r t in R i y a d h , $1.1 b i l l i o n f o r a w a t e r p i p e l i n e b e t w e e n J u b a i l and R i y a d h ( s e e O'Sull i v a n 19801, $425 m i l l i o n and $430 m i l l i o n r e s p e c t i v e l y f o r water p i p e l i n e s t o A s i r and between Shuaiba and Mecca, 24 $370 m i l l i o n f o r a power s t a t i o n a t Riyadh, and a b o u t $275 m i l l i o n f o r s i l o s a t Riyadh, Dammam, Jeddah, Q a s s i n and Khamis. Saudi I r o n & S t e e l Company (Hadeed) has i n v e s t e d about $700 m i l l i o n in one p l a n t a t J u b a i l i n o r d e r t o produce 800,000 t o n n e s l y e a r of sponge i r o n and s t e e l b i l l e t s , rods and bars. It i s o p e r a t e d a s a j o i n t v e n t u r e b e t w e e n SABIC a n d K o r k - S t a h l o f West Germany, Saudi-Kuwait Another j o i n t v e n t u r e has been set up as t h e Cement M a n u f a c t u r i n g Company. SABIC is a l s o i n v o l v e d i n two l a r g e s c a l e a l u m i n i u m p r o j e c t s o u t s i d e S a u d i Arabia ( s e e MEED, November 1983). A t present, Saudi Arabia has an outstanding record i n t e r m s of d o m e s t i c i n v e s t m e n t s . main areas: distribution. refineries, They a r e c o n c e n t r a t e d in t h r e e petrochemical plants and gas The i n v e s t m e n t e x p e n d i t u r e e x c e e d s $35 b i l l ion. T a b l e 6 g i v e s a n o v e r v i e w of t h e a c t u a l p r o j e c t s i n terms of d a t e s , c o s t s and o r g a n i s a t i o n . 25 The United Arab Emirates (UAE) w a s c o n s t i t u t e d i n 1971 a s a u n i o n b e t w e e n s i x of t h e " T r u c i a l " S t a t e s - Abu D h a b i , D u b a i , S h a r j a h , Umm a l - Q i w a i n , Ajman and F u j a i r a h . l a t e r Ras al-Khaimah j o i n e d t h e group. Two months These s e v e n s t a t e s w i t h a p o p u l a t i o n o f a b o u t 1.1 m i l l i o n i n a n a r e a of 8 3 . 6 5 0 km2 ( l e s s t h a n t h a t of P o r t u g a l ) p o s s e s s o i l r e s e r v e s as l a r g e as t h o s e of North America, and 3% of world g a s r e s e r v e s . I n 1939 t h e T r u c i a l Coast Development O i l Company was g i v e n t h e first o i l concession of Abu Dhabi. The f i r s t w e l l was d r i l l e d i n 1950, b u t i t was n o t u n t i l 1960 t h a t oil w a s found a t Bab. F u r t h e r d i s c o v e r i e s were t h e n made a t B u t t a s a in 1962, a t Asab i n 1965, a t S a h i l i n 1972 and a t J o r m Y a f o u r i n 1973. At t h a t t i m e t h e company had changed i t s name t o t h e Abu D h a b i Petroleum Company (ADPC). In 1953 t h e d'Arcy O i l Company L t d g o t 8 c o n c e s s i o n r i g h t f o r t h e d e v e l o p m e n t of Abu Dhabi's areas. A new company - 6 5 years' offshore t h e Abu Dhabi Areas Company (ADMA) formed i n o r d e r t o make u s e of this concession. - was O i l was found a t Umm Shaif in 1959 and a t Zakum i n 1965. T h e Abu D h a b i N a t i o n a l O i l Company ( A D N O C ) was c o n s t i t u t e d i n 1 9 7 1 i n o r d e r t o g i v e t h e Government g r e a t e r 26 control over the o i l sector. I n 1 9 7 2 i t t o o k o v e r 25% of t h e s h a r e s of ADPC and ADMA, f o l l o w e d by a n a d d i t i o n a l 35% i n 1974. For o p e r a t i o n a l r e a s o n s two new s u b s i d i a r i e s were formed, namely ADMA-OPCO i n 1977 and ADC0 i n 1978. more than 90% of Abu Dhabi’s These two companies produce crude o i l output. The Abu D h a b i Company L t d (ADOCO) was g r a n t e d a n o f f s h o r e concession i n 1967. O i l w a s d i s c o v e r e d a t Mubarras in 1969. In 1 9 7 3 , t h e T o t a l Abu a l - B u k h o o s h O i l Company (TAB) was e s t a b l i s h e d i n o r d e r t o d e v e l o p t h e Abu al-Bukhoosh field. O i l had been d i s c o v e r e d by ADMA i n 1969. A c o n s o r t i u m h e a d e d b y Amerada H e s s h a s o b t a i n e d a n o f f s h o r e concession r e l i n q u i s h e d by ADMA. Oil was d i s c o v e r e d in 1972 s o u t h of Arzanah I s l a n d . The Abu Dhabi Marine Areas (ADMA) manage t h e Al-Bunduq f i e l d i n c o o p e r a t i o n w i t h Qatar ( s e e S e c t i o n 3 above). The Abu Dhabi s t a t e owned company N a t i o n a l Petroleum C o n s t r u c t i o n Company (NPCC) h a s b e e n w o r k i n g on a programme of w a t e r i n j e c t i o n and enhanced r e c o v e r y a t t h i s f i e l d s i n c e 1981. The f i r s t o i l concession of Dubai was g i v e n t o t h e I r a q P e t r o l e u m Company i n 1937. In 1 9 6 3 , t h e U S company Conoco t o o k over t h i s concession and e s t a b l i s h e d t h e Dubai P e t r o l e u m Company (DPC) . In 1 9 5 4 Compagnie F r a n c a i s e d e s P e t r o l e s (CFP) a n d H i s p a n o i l had e s t a b l i s h e d Dubai Marine Areas Ltd (DUMA) i n o r d e r t o manage a n o f f s h o r e c o n c e s s i o n i n Dubai. Then, i n 1 9 6 3 , DPC a c q u i r e d 50X of DUMA’S c o n c e s s i o n , b u t s o l d some of i t one y e a r later t o Wintershall, T e x a c o and Sun O i l , The DUMA-DPC 27 c o o p e r a t i o n has l e d t o d i s c o v e r i e s and p r o d u c t i o n of o i l i n f o u r fields - Fateh (14661, F a t e h South-West (19701, Rashid (1973) and F a l a h (1976). A s n o o f f s h o r e i s l a n d i s a v a i l a b l e , DPC h a s c o n s t r u c t e d t h r e e underground s t o r a g e t a n k s ("khazzans"), each i n t h e f o r m of a g i a n t i n v e r t e d champagne g l a s s ( s e e D i x o n , 1983). Arc0 I n t e r n a t i o n a l O i l and Gas Company, a s u b s i d i a r y t o A t l a n t i c R i c h f i e l d , o b t a i n e d a n onshore concession i n 1980. One year l a t e r t h e B r i t i s h N a t i o n a l O i l C o r p o r a t i o n (BNOC) took o v e r o n e - t h i r d of i t . Then, i n 1982, o i l and g a s were d i s c o v e r e d a t t h e Margham f i e l d . DUMA-DPC accounts f o r t h e total c r u d e o i l p r o d u c t i o n i n Dubai u n t i l t h e Margham f i e l d comes i n t o o p e r a t i o n , A t the t i m e when o t h e r OPEC c o u n t r i e s were f o r c e d t o c u t t h e i r p r o d u c t i o n , D u b a i s u c c e e d e d in k e e p i n g i t s p r o d u c t i o n a l m o s t c o n s t a n t a t a l e v e l of about 350,000 b/d2. I n Shar ia, t h e C r e s c e n t P e t r o l e u m Company ( C P C ) o b t a i n e d an o f f s h o r e c o n c e s s i o n a t Abu Musa i n 1970. O i l was d i s c o v e r e d a t t h e H u b a r a k f i e l d i n 1972 a n d o i l p r o d u c t i o n s t a r t e d in 1974. However, t h e p r o d u c t i o n l e v e l has d e c l i n e d s u b s t a n t i a l l y s i n c e then. Amoco, a s u b s i d i a r y of Standard O i l Company of I n d i a n a , obtained a concession i n 1978 f o r an a r e a a t t h e border w i t h Oman. I n 1980 o i l was d i s c o v e r e d a t S a j a a , and p r o d u c t i o n s t a r t e d i n 1982. Mubarak a n d S a j a a a r e t h e o n l y p r o d u c i n g f i e l d s i n Sharjah. W h i l e t h e p r o d u c t i o n a t Mubarak h a s d e c l i n e d f r o m 60,000 b/d i n 1974 t o 9,900 b/d i n 1980, t h e Sajaa f i e l d s t a r t e d 28 i n 1982 a t a r a t e of 25,000 b / d o f l i g h t o i l and 7 m i l l i o n rn3 / d a y of n a t u r a l g a s , w i t h t h e g o a l of p r o d u c i n g f o u r t i m e s a s much i n f o u r years. I n Ras al-Kaimah s e v e r a l e f f o r t s t o o b t a i n crude o i l were made, b u t s o f a r t h e r e h a s b e e n no d i s c o v e r y w o r t h commercial e x p l o i t a t i o n . Umm a l - Q i w a i n f o u n d n a t u r a l g a s i n 1 9 7 6 but n o c r u d e o i l has yet been obtained. The two r e m a i n i n g e m i r a t e s F u i a i r a h and Aiman h a v e announced p l a n s for d r i l l i n g , b u t no r e a l p r o g r e s s has yet been made. In t o t a l , t h e c r u d e o i l p r o d u c t i o n of t h e UAE r e a c h e d i n 1977, i t s peak but since then, s u b s t a n t i a l l y . As i n o u t p u t has d e c l i n e d t h e o t h e r Gulf c o u n t r i e s , t h e UAE h a v e t r i e d t o expand p r o d u c t i o n of r e f i n e d products. (see T a b l e 7). Before 1976, available. Nar w i t h t h e UAE had no r e f i n e r y c a p a c i t y I n t h a t year Abu Dhabi opened i t s r e f i n e r y a t Umm a l a c a p a c i t y of 15,000 b/d. Feedstock comes by p i p e l i n e f r o m Bab. A s t h e o r i g i n a l r e f i n e r y a t Umm al-Nar soon proved t o b e i n s u f f i c i e n t , ADNOC took t h e d e c i s i o n t o b u i l d a s e c o n d r e f i n e r y a t t h e same p l a c e b u t w i t h a c a p a c i t y four t i m e s a s l a r g e (60,000 b/d), The new r e f i n e r y i s s c h e d u l e d t o come i n t o o p e r a t i o n in 1985. In c o n n e c t i o n w i t h t h i s new r e f i n e r y , two d e s a l i n a t i o n units w i l l be a v a i l a b l e a t a c o s t of Dh 105 m i l l i o n (about $28 m i l 1ion), I n 1 9 7 7 ADNOC announced t h a t an a d d i t i o n a l r e f i n e r y was t o b e b u i l t a t Ruwais. I t s i n i t i a l c a p a c i t y w a s s e t a t 120,000 29 b / d , w h i c h became a v a i l a b l e i n 1981, t h e i n v e s t m e n t c o s t s were I n 1 9 8 2 , h o w e v e r , it was d e c i d e d t o expand t h i s $600 m i l l i o n . c a p a c i t y by 45,000 b/d a t a c o s t of about $300 m i l l i o n . The main p r o d u c t s from t h e Umm al-Nar r e f i n e r y a r e g a s oil, f u e l o i l and g a s o l i n e , c o n c e n t r a t e s on f u e l o i l , gas o l i n e w h i l e t h e Ruwais r e f i n e r y gas o i l , naphtha, k e r o s e n e and . I n 1 9 7 4 , K u w a i t and Abu D h a b i s i g n e d a c o n t r a c t t o b u i l d a 100,000 b / d r e f i n e r y i n Ras a l - K h a i m a h w i t h c r u d e o i l d e l i v e r i e s coming from Kuwait. N a t u r a l g a s p l a y s a n i m p o r t a n t r o l e in t h e e n e r g y s e c t o r of t h e UAE. Most o f t h e gas i s a s s o c i a t e d . I n Abu D h a b i t h e o n s h o r e f i e l d s of Asab, Bab a n d B u t t a s a a r e s u p p l i e d w i t h t r e a t m e n t f a c i l i t i e s and c o n n e c t e d t h r o u g h p i p e l i n e s t o t h e Ruwais f r a c t i o n i n g p l a n t . T h i s p r o c e s s i n g and d i s t r i b u t i o n s y s t e m ( t h e Gasco p r o j e c t ) was c o n s t r u c t e d i n 1977-81 a t a c o s t of $2,120 m i l l i o n 3 . produce At c a p a c i t y t h e f r a c t i o n i n g p l a n t c a n 4 6 , 0 0 0 b / d of p r o p a n e , 46,000 b / d of b u t a n e and 67,000 b/d of pentrane. A s s o c i a t e d g a s f r o m t h e o f f s h o r e f i e l d s of Umm S h a i f , Upper Zakum and Lower Zakum i n c o m b i n a t i o n w i t h n o n - a s s o c i a t e d g a s (cap gas) from Uweinat and Thamama F w i l l p r o v i d e 7 m i l l i o n m3/day of i n p u t t o a n LNG p l a n t on Das I s l a n d , T h i s p l a n t came i n t o o p e r a t i o n i n 1979, w i t h t h e purpose of p r o v i d i n g Japan w i t h LNG and LPG.4 I n a second p h a s e , t h i s p l a n t w i l l be p r o v i d e d w i t h s e v e n s t o r a g e t a n k s ( t h r e e for LNG and four f o r LPG) a t a n i n v e s t m e n t c o s t o f a b o u t $570 m i l l i o n ( s e e MEED, 1983). 30 19 August, I n D u b a i , a n LPG p l a n t h a s b e e n in o p e r a t i o n s i n c e 1980 w i t h a p r o d u c t i o n c a p a c i t y of 1.5 m i l l i o n m 3 / d a y of d r y gas. Most of t h e g a s is u s e d as f e e d s t o c k for t h e a l u m i n i u m p l a n t a t J e b e l A l i . The LPG p l a n t s i m u l t a n e o u s l y produces 11,000 b/d of propane, 7,000 b/d of b u t a n e and 7,000 b/d of condensates. The i n v e s t m e n t c o s t f o r this LPG p l a n t w a s $400 m i l l i o n and i t was f i n a n c e d t h r o u g h two E u r o l o a n s , o n e i n 1 9 7 7 a n d a n o t h e r i n 1 9 7 9 , a m o u n t i n g t o $230 m i l l i o n and $120 m i l l i o n r e s p e c t i v e l y (see Arab O i l & Gas D i r e c t o r y , 1983, ~ 3 8 1 ) . I n Sharjah, t h e r e i s an ambitious p r o j e c t t o c o n s t r u c t a g a s p i p e l i n e from t h e Sajaa f i e l d t o an onshore p l a n t f o r the p r o d u c t i o n of 1 3 , 0 0 0 b / d of LPG, 7,500 b / d of p r o p a n e and 6 , 0 0 0 b / d o f b u t a n e ( s e e D i x o n 1 9 8 3 , p.23). The t o t a l c o s t i s e s t i m a t e d a t $300 m i l 1ion. S e v e r a l i m p o r t a n t i n v e s t m e n t s h a v e b e e n made in t h e transport sector. I n 1 9 7 7 , i t was d e c i d e d t o b u i l d a 1 0 2 km u n d e r w a t e r p i p e l i n e b e t w e e n t h e o f f s h o r e Zakum f i e l d and Abu The c o s t was e s t i m a t e d a t $20.5 m i l l i o n . Dhabi. Terminals have been b u i l t a t J e b e l Dhama, Das I s l a n d , Abu al-Bukhoosh, Mubarraz, Delrna I s l a n d ( f o r $750 m i l l i o n ) and a t Z i r k u I s l a n d ( f o r $600 m i l lion) . Abu Dhabi has i n v e s t e d i n s e v e r a l t a n k e r s . One 269,000 dwt t a n k e r was c o n s t r u c t e d i n 1975 ( a t a c o s t of $34.5 m i l l i o n ) , one 260,000 dwt t a n k e r a l s o in 1975 and one 136,000 dwt t a n k e r i n 1976. In a d d i t i o n t h e Abu D h a b i N a t i o n a l T a n k e r s Company h a s ordered s e v e n o t h e r petroleum p r o d u c t tankers. I n t h e p e t r o c h e m i c a l s e c t o r ADNOC has o r g a n i s e d a j o i n t 31 v e n t u r e w i t h Compagnie F r a n c a i s e d e s f e t r o l e s (CFP) t o c o n s t r u c t a f e r t i l i s e r complex a t Ruwais. Associated gas w i l l b e used a s f e e d s t o c k i n o r d e r t o produce u r e a (1,500 t o n n e s l d a y ) and ammonia (1,000 t o n n e s l d a y ) . The o u t p u t w i l l b e e x p o r t e d . The p l a n t is a l m o s t ready f o r o p e r a t i o n and w i l l have r e q u i r e d $200 m i l l i o n i n investments. A PVC p i p e p r o d u c t i o n p l a n t h a s b e e n o p e r a t i n g a t Masfah i n Southern Abu Dhabi s i n c e 1976. Also in Abu Dhabi a f e r t i l i s e r p l a n t has been producing u r e a (75,000 t o n n e s l y e a r ) and ammonia ( 3 0 0 , 0 0 0 t o n n e s l y e a r ) a t Multan s i n c e 1979. Another f e r t i l i s e r p l a n t w i t h an e s t i m a t e d i n v e s t m e n t c o s t of $300 m i l l i o n i s c l o s e t o o p e r a t i o n . It w i l l a l s o p r o d u c e u r e a (500,000 t o n n e s / g e a r ) and ammonia (330,000 tonneslyear), I n Dubai, t h e world's l a r g e s t d r y d o c k came i n t o o p e r a t i o n in 1979 a t a c o s t of $485 m i l l i o n . However, i t has been of v e r y l i t t l e use up t o t h e p r e s e n t t i m e (see The Economist, 19 February, 1983, p30). In 1976, a n aluminium smelter w a s c o n t r a c t e d i n Dubai. I t s c a p a c i t y is i n t e n d e d t o b e 1 3 5 , 0 0 0 t o n n e s / y e a r . In c o n n e c t i o n w i t h t h i s p l a n t t h e r e w i l l be a d e s a l i n a t i o n p l a n t and a power s t a t i o n . The t o t a l c o s t o f t h e p r o j e c t i s e s t i m a t e d a t more t h a n $1,000 m i l l i o n . l o a n s ( f o r $380 m i l l i o n , I t i s f i n a n c e d by t h r e e d i f f e r e n t $230 m i l l i o n a n d $225 m i l l i o n r e s p e c t i v e l y ) . D u b a i dry g a s w i l l b e u s e d a s a f e e d s t o c k a n d t h e r e w i l l a l s o be a s u p p l y of g a s from Abu Dhabi. I n v e s t m e n t s i n t h e U n i t e d Arab E m i r a t e s a r e m a i n l y concentrated i n r e f i n e r i e s , 32 gas p r o c e s s i n g and g a s d i s t r i b u t i o n in Abu D h a b i . An overview of t y p e s o f p l a n t s , d a t e s , c o s t s and organisations i s given i n Table 8. 33 This p r e s e n t a t i o n has been devoted i n v e s t m e n t s i n t h e f o u r "low-absorbing" t o petroleum OPEC c o u n t r i e s ; Kuwait, Q a t a r , S a u d i A r a b i a and t h e U n i t e d Arab E m i r a t e s , for t h e ten year p e r i o d 1973-82. The r e s u l t s a r e as f o l l o w s : U p t o 1 9 7 5 i n v e s t m e n t i n t h e p e t r o l e u m s e c t o r was dominated by oil e x t r a c t i o n . T h i s is no l o n g e r t h e case, e x p e n d i t u r e i s c o n c e n t r a t e d on n o n - a s s o c i a t e d First, n a t u r a l gas t o obtain a feedstock f o r c e r t a i n basic industries. Examples a r e d e v e l o p m e n t of t h e Khuff f i e l d and t h e N o r t h f i e l d i n Qatar. Secondly, s u b s t a n t i a l c a p i t a l o u t l a y s are also d i r e c t e d to t h e u s e of a s s o c i a t e d g a s . F o r e x a m p l e , t h e d e v e l o p m e n t of t h e Master Gas System i n Saudi A r a b i a has g e n e r a t e d o u t l a y s of about $12 b i l l i o n . Thirdly, s i n c e about 1980 a n n u a l c a p i t a l e x p e n d i t u r e s f o r l i q u i f i e d n a t u r a l gas (LNG) h a v e b e e n l a r g e r than f o r o i l and g a s e x t r a c t i o n t o g e t h e r , The annual o u t l a y s f o r r e f i n e r y c o n s t r u c t i o n a r e a l s o n o t f a r from t h i s amount ( s e e F i g u r e 1). T h i s r e c e n t and m a s s i v e c o n c e n t r a t i o n of capital e x p e n d i t u r e on n a t u r a l g a s a n d d o w n s t r e a m a c t i v i t i e s i s u n d e r s t a n d a b l e in t h e s e c o u n t r i e s w h i c h a t p r e s e n t a r e l o s i n g t h e i r market s h a r e s of 34 c r u d e oils, But i t s m a g n i t u d e , concentrated i n such a s h o r t t i m e period, r a i s e s questions concerning t h e demand f o r r e f i n e r y p r o d u c t s , p e t r o c h e m i c a l s and LNG. R e f i n e r i e s a r e being expanded s i m u l t a n e o u s l y i n Mina a l - Ahmadi and Mina A b d u l l a h (Kuwait), i n Urn Said (Qatar) in J u b a i l , Yanbu and Rabigh (Saudi Arabia) and in Ruwais and Umm al-Mar (Abu Dhabi). An e q u a l l y s h o r t p e r i o d of t i m e i s being d e v o t e d t o t h e expansion of LNG c a p a c i t y a t Ras L a f f a n (Qatar) and a t Das I s l a n d (Abu D h a b i ) . Petrochemical plants are being developed s i n u l t a n e o u s l y a t S h u a i b a ( K u w a i t ) , a t Umm S a i d ( Q a t a r ) , a t J u b a i l and Yanbu (Saudi Arabia) and a t R u w a i s (Abu Dhabi). T h i s b r i n g s u s t o t h e c o n c l u s i o n t h a t K u w a i t , Qatar, S a u d i A r a b i a a n d t h e U n i t e d Arab E m i r a t e s h a v e s i m u l t a n e o u s l y chosen to e n t e r on a l a r g e s c a l e t h e m a r k e t s f o r r e f i n e r y p r o d u c t s , f o r 1i q u i f i e d n a t u r a l g a s , and f o r petrochemicals. It is obvious t h a t t h e s e c o u n t r i e s w i l l f a c e s t r o n g c o m p e t i t i o n w i t h e x i s t i n g producers. However, t h e s t r o n g e s t c o m p e t i t i o n w i l l be b e t w e e n t h e four c o u n t r i e s t h e m s e l v e s . To some e x t e n t such t e n s i o n s h a v e been e l i m i n a t e d through j o i n t v e n t u r e s w i t h Western f i r m s , where e x i s t i n g market c h a n n e l s can be used, Examples a r e t h e i n v o l v e m e n t of She1 1 and Mobil O i l i n S a u d i r e f i n e r ies and w i t h B r i t i s h Petroleum i n t h e North F i e l d gas e x t r a c t i o n i n Qatar. Such t e n s i o n s h a v e a l s o b e e n r e d u c e d t h r o u g h d i r e c t i n v e s t m e n t i n f o r e i g n p e t r o l e u m f irrns w i t h an e x i s t i n g c a p a c i t y t o d i s t r i b u t e and s e l l t h e s e p r o d u c t s , e x a m p l e i s Kuwait’s The m o s t i n t e r e s t i n g t a k e o v e r of Gulf’s d i s t r i b u t i o n n e t w o r k in Northern Europe. The c o n c l u s i o n of t h i s a n a l y s i s i s t h a t t h e r e is a s t r o n g need t o i n v e s t i g a t e f u r t h e r t h e i n d u s t r i a l o r g a n i s a t i o n of 35 t h e petroleum s e c t o r and r e l a t e d a c t i v i t i e s . Special attention s h o u l d then be g i v e n t o t h e comparative a d v a n t a g e or d i s a d v a n t a g e of t h e Gulf c o u n t r i e s i n t h e p r o d u c t i o n , t r a n s p o r t a t i o n and marketing of o i l products. A systems approach i s necessary to carry o u t t h i s task. R e f i n e r i e s and p e t r o c h e m i c a l p l a n t s a r e s o i n t e r d e p e n d e n t t h a t i t i s o f t e n impossible t o study production separately. The same i n t e r d e p e n d e n c y c o n c e r n s t h e e x t r a c t ion of o i l and a s s o c i a t e d gas. Production c o s t s and s a l e s p r i c e s have t o be a n a l y s e d f o r d i f f e r e n t c o n f i g u r a t i o n s of p l a n t s . C o s t s of t r a n s p o r t a t i o n must b e compared i n order t o d i s c o v e r t h e c o m p a r a t i v e a d v a n t a g e of each new p l a n t i n d i f f e r e n t markets. The i n v e s t m e n t programme c a r r i e d out by t h e f o u r Gulf c o u n t r i e s o v e r t h e p e r i o d 1973-82 is o u t s t a n d i n g i n modern times. It would be e x t r e m e l y i n t e r e s t i n g t o a n a l y s e what e f f e c t it has had and w i l l h a v e on t h e i n d u s t r i a l o r g a n i s a t i o n of t h e p e t r o l e u m sector. 8 tudy 36 . P r o j e c t e v a l u a t i o n procedures must be c e n t r a l t o such a Q) U 0 LI m w VI 0 01 F U B 0 F.1 W E 0 .rl cl u s a O M a m 8 h El rd a E 0 c) 01 c cl U4 0 as 0 VI L1 a -3 aJaJ 0 Ucl P (D rd hQ m h m u rl 37 E 0 0 h w E-r 4 !A 0 w pc w E-r U 7 0 N 1 rl aj I 3 EL H .Pi m 38 (d w c m a Er; N 00 m d 0 \ 0 P - m a o a a o a .am CO00 NN 4 4 4 . 0 4 0 4 4 . 0 39 40 vloooo Lo r00Nlncr) vld ro r - 0 V I 0 0 0 0 VI rOrnNVIrrl VI VI - 0 m o o 0 0 rn 00 VIhNVIcr) N VI l - - 0 m m o o o 0 0 h vrd-NLocrl VI n a 4 hl 4 Q\ Q1 00 O 00 I mm m 0 n H U 41 G .rl a 0 = U L, U 01 $4 PI &I a a 8 & CO 00 00 0 m h V clt* d 0 G cd s U p1 E 42 c\l CO m 4 0 m QI 4 03 h m rl h h m rl ro r- m 4 m h m 4 -5 h m 4 m h o\ 4 s 0 ....... 4 m v n ) w F F I ~ t . . idcl-sr: 43 vz 0 w H 4 n aJ 3 m a 1 44 1. In p a r a l l e l w i t h t h i s development, KPC h a s t a k e n o v e r Gulf O i l ' s r e f i n e r i e s and d i s t r i b u t i o n n e t w o r k i n B e l g i u m , t h e N e t h e r l a n d s , Luxemburg and Scandinavia. At a c o s t of about $150m R P C g o t a c c e s s t o a 7 5 , 0 0 0 b / d r e f i n e r y and t h e Europort l u b e p l a n t i n the N e t h e r l a n d s (see MEED, May 1983 p9). 2. The p r e r e q u i s i t e f o r t h i s b e h a v i o u r h a s been s i m u l t a n e o u s d e c l i n e i n output from Abu Dhabi. 3, Out of t h i s amount $ 1 , 6 9 4 m i l l i o n was f i n a n c e d by t h e Abu Dhabi Investment Authority. 4. There have been s e v e r a l inc,idents a t t h i s o p e r a t i o n caused by poor q u a l i t y equipment ( s e e McKechnie 1983 ~174). the 45 Arab O i l and Gas D i r e c t o r y (1983): The Arab P e t r o l e u m Research Centre, Arab O i l and G a s D i r e c t o r y , Paris. B a i l e y , R. ( 1 9 8 1 ) : "Countdown B e g i n s f o r J e d d a h A i r p o r t , " MEED, 17 A p r i l . B e r g e n d a h l , G. ( 1 9 8 4 ) ; "The Management of OPEC's F i n a n c i a l Surpluses", Oxford I n s t i t u t e f o r Energy S t u d i e s , Working Paper, F2. C a n t r e l l , A. ( 1 9 8 4 ) : "Ref i n e r i e s - W o r l d w i d e Construction", & Gas J o u r n a l Report, A p r i l 23. C e n t r a l Bank of Kuwait ( u n d a t e d ) : The K u w a i t i Economy i n Ten Years. Economic Report f o r t h e Period 1969-1979, Kuwait. C h a s e M a n h a t t a n ( 1 9 8 1 ) : C a p i t a l I n v e s t m e n t s o f t h e World Petroleum I n d u s t r y 1981, New York. Dixon, A. ( 1 983) : "DPC Makes L i g h t of Off s h o r e D i f f i c u l t i e s " , HEED 28 January. ?- Dixon, A. (1983): "Sharja F u e l s Revenues w i t h Gas", MEED, 8 July. E c k s t e i n , 0. (1961): Water Resource Development, Cambridge, Mass. - The E c o n o m i s t ( 1 9 8 3 ) : "Inheritance A S u r v e y of Economic Development i n t h e Arabian P e n i n s u l a " , The E c o n o m i s t , F e b r u a r y 19. H a r v e y , N. ( 1 9 8 4 ) : "What F u t u r e €or Arab R e f i n e r i e s " , February. MEED, 3 - Achievements of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (1982): Saudi Arabia t h e F i r s t and Second Development F l a n s 1390-1400 (1970-1980), M i n i s t r y of P l a n n i n g , Riyadh. PicKechnie, G. (1983): " O i l and Gas F i e l d Development Finance'' i n Energy Finance by McKechnie, G. (edit.), Euromoney F'ubl. London. El M a l l a k h , R. ( 1 9 7 9 ) : Q a t a r : D e v e l o p m e n t of an O i l Economy, Croorn H e l m , MEED (1983); Report, May. London. "KPC Heads Downstream f o r S t a b i l i t y " , MEED S p e c i a l MEED ( 1 9 8 3 ) : "UAE: Adagas Loan R e f l e c t s B a n k i n g C o n f i d e n c e " , MEED, 19 August. MEED (1983): "The Last of t h e Megaprojects", MEED, 9 September. 46 MEED (1983): "Petrochemicals-Dynamo or Drain", MEED, 2 1 October. MEED (1983): "Domestic Heavy I n d u s t r y P r o j e c t s " , Report November. OAPEC (1983): HEED S p e c i a l Ninth Annual S t a t i s t i c a l Report 1980-81, Kuwait. OAPEC (1984): Tenth Annual S t a t i s t i c a l Report 1981-82, Kuwait. OPEC B u l l e t i n : O i l Market Review, 1982-84 ( v a r i o u s i s s u e s ) . O'Sul l i v a n , E. (1980): " S a u d i s Modify F l o w of Water C o n t r a c t s " , MEED, 7 March. O t a q u i , S. (1983): "Kuwait's Economy D e f i e s C r a s h and C r i s i s , " MEED, 26 August. P e t r i e - R i t c h i e , S. (1982): " D e c i s i o n D a y A p p r o a c h e s f o r Qatar's North F i e l d Gas Development", MEED, 20 August. P e t r i e - R i t c h i e , M. (1983): MEED S p e c i a l Report, August. "When the S p e n d i n g Had t o S t o p , " 47 OXFORD INSTITUTE FOR ENERGY STUDIES 57 WOODSTOCK ROAD, OXFORD OX2 6FA ENGLAND TELEPHONE (Oj865) 311377 FAX (01865) 310527 E-mail: pubiications@oxfordenergy.org http:Ilwww.oxfordenergy.org
Similar documents
PDF Slides
Why can’t I get a screening breath test today? • Validation studies – breast cancer, TB • More statistical power in blinded studies Æ convince the world • Regulatory approval and insurance payment...
More information