2016 MultiFamily Presentation
Transcription
2016 MultiFamily Presentation
2016 PRESENTED BY BEAU BOURQUE Van Eaton & Romero NAI Latter & Blum NATIONAL MARKET PERFORMANCE SUPPLY - 306,000 units were completed in 2015; the most in a single year since 1989 PERFECT STORM OF DEMAND Source: Freddie Mac Multifamily Outlook 2016 2016 Space Markets Annual Renter & Owner Household Formations & Homeownership Rate Source: Freddie Mac Multifamily Outlook 2016 2016 NATIONAL MARKET PERFORMANCE SUPPLY - 306,000 units were completed in 2015; the most in a single year since 1989 PERFECT STORM OF DEMAND Space Markets Capital Markets Occupancies and Rent Growth remained strong. This coupled with another year of historically low interest rates continued to reign in investment capital, keeping average Cap Rates around 6% or lower and yielding investors a satisfactory return. Source: Freddie Mac Multifamily Outlook 2016 2016 PRODUCT TYPES Lafayette Parish Class A Class B Class C Mobile Home Park Senior & Assisted Living Student Housing 2016 SCOPE OF RESEARCH Lafayette Parish | Class A & B | 50+ Unit Complexes Class A Characteristics • Less than 15 years old • Trendy Design • High-Income Earning Tenants • Resort-style amenities • Upgraded appliances • 1 and/or 2 car garages • Demand the highest rent • Little or no deferred maintenance • Trade at lowest CAP Rates Complexes: 15 Total Units: 3,038 Sample Size: 2,422 Class B Characteristics • More than 15 years old • Middle-Income Earning Tenants • Fitness Center(s)/Pools(s)/Tennis Complexes: 30 Court(s) Total Units: 6,594 • Older / Basic Appliances Sample Size: 5,998 • Common Laundry Facilities • Lower rents than Class A w/some deferred maintenance issues • Trade at higher CAP Rates than Class A 2016 SUPPLY # of Existing Units Owner vs. Renter Occupied Housing Units Total Units (50+ Unit A & B Complexes) A 2,958 9,136 36,303 57,543 B 6,178 Owner 2016 Renter SUPPLY # of New Units (according to permits issued) 1,045 1262 476 266 280 242 268 173 2006 2016 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 DEMAND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (Low Unemployment = Low Vacancy) 12.0 10.0 Percent 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2006 2016 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 National Unemployment State Unemployment Lafayette Unemployment Lafayette Vacancy Rate 2014 2015 OCCUPANCY RATES (Class A & B) 99% 97% 96% 95% 95% 94% 95% 94% 90% 89% 2006 2016 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CLASS A RENTS 1, 2, and 3 Bedroom ($/month) $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 2012 2013 1 Bedroom 2016 2014 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom 2015 CLASS B RENTS 1, 2, and 3 Bedroom ($/month) $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 2012 2013 1 Bedroom 2016 2014 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom 2015 SUBMARKETS Units / Avg. Occupancy Rate North Lafayette (720/90%) Downtown (0) Midtown (2511/90%) Ambassador at Johnston (2,255/91%) Vermillion to Verot (2,759/88%) Verot to Hwy 89 (808/88%) Youngsville/Broussard (397/93%) 2016 NEW DEVELOPMENT La Veranda • • • • • • 2016 228 Apartment Units Units Feature built-in desks, stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, walk-in closets, and wood flooring throughout Clubhouse w/conference room game room and theatre Target Market – Young Managers and Executives earning b/t $40,000 and $90,000 per year Dog Park / Pet Center Children’s Playground / Rec BBQ and Picnic Area NEW DEVELOPMENT Robley Place • 248 Apartment Units • High-end appliances and finishes • Clubhouse w/ game room and business room • Pool & Fitness Center • Washer & Dryer hook-ups in each unit 2016 TRANSACTION ACTIVITY • • • • • • • • • 2016 Class B 384 12.4 acres Two-Story Buildings Brick & Siding Exterior Sale Price - $22,075,000 $57,487 / unit Value-Add Opportunity Ownership currently undergoing a multitude of upgrades CONCLUSION • 476 new Class A Units completed by the end of 2016, with another 650 units permitted and set for completion in 2017 • Unemployment Increase + New Supply => Another Slight Decrease in Overall Occupancy Rates by end of 2016 • Understanding Tapestry Segmentation and offering amenities to the target market will help owners attract the pool of tenants that exist in our current market • Capitalization Rates bottomed out in 2015 and should increase at least 50 basis points in our market, as investors associate lower occupancy rates with higher risk 2016