koctas - Kingfisher
Transcription
koctas - Kingfisher
KOCTAS May 16th, 2012 Istanbul I d Index ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Macroeconomic Environment Retail Market in Turkey Business Highlights Commercial Overview E Economy, P People l and dS Society i t United Kingdom Population - mn* Age Structure St t e France Poland Turkey 63,0 65,6 38,4 74,8 Population Growth** Median age (years)** 17,3% 66,2% 16,5% 0,6% 40,0 18,5% 64,7% 16,8% 0,5% 39,9 14,7% 71,6% 13,7% -0,08% 38.5 26,6% 67,1% 6,3% 1,2% 28,5 GDP (purchasing power parity) - bn USD USD*** GDP (official exchange rate) - bn USD*** GDP - real growth rate*** GDP - per capita - USD*** 2.250 2 250 2.481 1,1% 35.900 2.214 2 214 2.808 1,7% 35.000 765,6 765 6 531,8 3,8% 20.100 1.026,0 1 026 0 763,1 8,5% 10.444 0-14 15-64 >65 Source: CIA – The World Factbook, *July 2012 estimation; **2012 estimation; ***2011 With 75 million population and 8,5% growth in 2011, Turkey has the 16th largest economy in the world. Europe’s Europe s Biggest Economies (GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity, Trillion Dolar, 2010) Greece Switzerland Austria Sweden d Belgium Netherlands P l d Poland Turkey Spain Italy France UK Germany 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, September 2011 Turkish economy is the 6th largest economy in Europe. 2.0 2.5 3.0 Sectoral Based GDP Growth GDP Growth (%) Real estate, renting and Agriculture, Wholesale Transport, business hunting and and retail storage and Home forestry Manufacturing Construction trade communication ownership act act. Other Total 12.8% 10.5% 2.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 2.6% 5.2% 12.6% 10.4% 5.3% 9.3% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 3.8% 2.8% 0.9% 4.5% 22.0% 15.4% 7.2% 11.3% 9.0% 21.7% 23.7% 18.7% 21.2% 14.0% 7.5% 13.4% 12.7% 10.4% 6.0% 13.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 1.3% 2010 growth 2 4% 2.4% 13 6% 13.6% 18 3% 18.3% 13 6% 13.6% 10 6% 10.6% 1 8% 1.8% 7 6% 7.6% 4 7% 4.7% 9 2% 9.2% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 7.1% 5.0% 4.2% 6.7% 14.9% 9.1% 9.2% 5.2% 15.3% 13.0% 10.2% 7.0% 17.3% 14.2% 11.5% 3.9% 12.4% 12.4% 12.0% 6.8% 2.0% 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 10.3% 7.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.3% 6.3% 7.8% 3.9% 11.9% 9.1% 8.4% 5.2% 2011 g growth 5.2% 9.4% 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 1.9% 9.3% 6.5% 8.5% Real GDP Growth 11% 9% 9.2% 8.4% 7% 6.9% 5% % 8.5% 4.7% 3% 0.7% 1% -1% -3% -5% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Years -4.8% Despite the slowdown in the last quarter, quarter GDP growth was realized by 8.5% 8 5% at the end of the year 2011. 2011 Wholesale & retail trade sector growth was 11.4% in 2011. The annual GDP growth expectation is between 1.5-4% for year-end 2012. GDP Growth Rate GDP Growth Rate (Annual Average, %) 8 7 6 5 4 3 7.2 5.3 2 4.3 4.4 1 3.5 1.5 0 1982-1986 1987-1991 1992-1996 1997-2001 2002-2006 2007-2011 Source : TURKSTAT, Undersecretariat of Treasury Annual average GDP growth of Turkey ise 3.5% 3 5% between 2007 and 2011 mainly due to the global economic crisis especially in 2008 and 2009 -4% Maintenanceand repair of dwelling Mar-12 Jan-12 Nov-11 Sep-11 Jul-11 May-11 Mar-11 Jan-11 Nov-10 Sep-10 Jul-10 May-10 Mar-10 Jan-10 Mar‐12 Jan‐12 Nov‐11 Sep‐11 Jul‐11 May‐11 Mar‐11 Jan‐11 Nov‐10 Sep‐10 Jul‐10 May‐10 Mar‐10 Jan‐10 Nov‐0 09 Sep‐0 09 Jul‐0 09 May‐09 PPI Nov-09 Sep-09 Jul-09 May-09 09 Mar‐0 Jan‐09 Nov‐0 08 Sep‐0 08 Jul‐0 08 May‐08 08 Mar‐0 Jan‐08 Nov‐0 07 Sep‐0 07 Jul‐0 07 May‐07 Mar‐0 07 20% Mar-09 Jan-09 Nov-08 Sep-08 Jul-08 May-08 Mar-08 Jan-08 Nov-07 Sep-07 Jul-07 May-07 Mar-07 Inflation Inflation Rates CPI 15% 10% CPI (YoY): 10.4% PPI (YoY): 8.2% 5% 0% ‐5% Sectoral Inflation Rates 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% -2% 0% Housing maintenance i t and d repair : 7.36% Furniture, household equipment i t and d house maintenance services : 11.76% Foreign i Exchange h Rates TRL / EURO TRL / USD Linear (TRL / EURO) Linear (TRL / USD) EURO apreciated by 8% and USD apreciated by 14% compared to April 2011 Apr--12 Feb--12 Dec--11 Oct--11 Aug--11 Jun--11 Apr--11 Feb--11 Dec--10 Oct--10 Aug--10 Jun--10 Apr--10 Feb--10 Dec--09 Oct--09 Aug--09 Jun--09 Apr--09 Feb--09 Dec--08 Oct--08 Aug--08 Jun--08 Apr--08 Feb--08 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.0 18 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 Dec--07 RL / FX TR EURO & USD vs. Turkish Lira K G Koc Group Overview: The only Turkish company in “Fortune Global 500” list, rising to 250nd palace in the 2010 rankings. The Group was named as `Most Admired Company` in the world in the energy sector in Fortune’s 2012 rankings. Combined revenues corresponding to 9% of Turkey’s GDP in 2011. Consolidated revenues were TL75,740m in 2011 with TL5,490m operating profit. Exports corresponding to 11% of Turkey’s total exports. Operates in 23 countries in automotive, durable goods, food, retailing, energy, financial services, tourism, construction and IT industries. The Group employed 80,987 poeple, of which 73,339 3,339 work o in Turkey u ey a and d 7,648 ,6 8 ab abroad. oad International Alliances: I d Index ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Macroeconomic Environment Retail Market in Turkey Business Highlights Commercial Overview P iti Position off Retail R t il Sector S t in i Turkey T k Retail Sector is the 4th biggest sector after energy, education and health sectors in Turkey, estimated sector size is around 200 billion dollars and the share of organized retail sector is 40% in total. According to the studies, as of 2010, there are 2 2.7 7 million employess working in retail sector in Turkey. The number of Shopping Malls in Turkey end of tthe and exceeded e ceeded 298 98 at tthe ee do e 2011 0 a d itt is expected to be 360 as of 2013. The rentable areas in malls were 6.7 million sqm at the end of 2010 and they are also going to be 10 million sqm in 2013. Turkish retail sector is the 7th biggest sector in Europe and 10th in the world. H Home IImprovementt M Market k t in i Turkey T k Total HI Market** Ma ket** 86,6% Traditional Organized (37 stores) (10 stores) 13,4% (5 stores) Organized Market Shares** HI MARKET $10 bln (2 stores) Praktiker 12% (5 stores) 14% 43% Bauhaus IKEA Tekzen (79 stores) (7 stores) 15% Leroy Baumax 12% 2% * As of March 2012 ** No official data for 2011 and available calculations are based on estimations. 2% Koçtaş Competition Overview Kırklareli Bartın Kastamonu Edirne İstanbul Tekirdağ Yalova Zonguldak Karabük Kocaeli Düzce Sakarya Bolu Çankırı Bursa Çanakkale Artvin Samsun Ordu Amasya Tokat Çorum Rize Trabzon Giresun GümüşhaneBayburt Bilecik Ankara Balıkesir Kırıkkale Manisa Uşak Tunceli Nevşehir Kayseri Aydın Denizli Konya Muğla Kahraman Maras Niğde Burdur Adana Karaman Antalya y Iğdır Erzurum Ağrı Muş Bingöl Bitlis Elazığ Malatya Aksaray Isparta Kars Sivas Kırşehir Afyon Ardahan Erzincan Yozgat Eskişehir Kütahya İzmir Sinop Diyarbakır Batman Adıyaman Gaziantep Şanlıurfa Kilis Mersin Siirt Sırnak Mardin Osmaniye Hatay Store number 37 10 7 5 79 2 5 Cities 19 6 3 4 40 2 5 Van Hakkari I d Index ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Macroeconomic Environment Retail Market in Turkey Business Highlights Commercial Overview Koçtaş Timeline 1955 Founded by Vehbi Koc as a wholesale retailer. 1996 Entered into the Home Improvement p retailing g business. 2000 50%-50% JV agreement with Kingfisher Group. 2001 Opening of first large format store in Kartal, Istanbul. 2005 Opening of first shopping mall store in Sisli, Istanbul. As of December 2011, total store numbers reached to 36 in 19 cities with 185k sqm selling space and Total net sales are £332m. 2011 In 2011, DIY & Home Improvement market constitutes 13.4% of the total market and Koctas’s share is about 43% in organized market. The first new concept store of Eryaman was opened in October 2011. 2012 Mar In the first quarter of 2012 2012, total selling space reached to 190k sqm with the opening of Gaziemir store in İzmir that is our 37th store in Turkey. 10 stores 76k sqm d Medium 15 stores 71k sqm 11 stores 38k sqm KPIs Sales l (TL ( m)) Sales growth (%) Number of Stores Selling Space (sqm k) Staff number 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 50 74 49% 5 26 381 112 50% 5 26 474 150 35% 7 35 744 277 84% 10 57 1.140 404 46% 15 78 1.666 543 35% 21 108 2.051 643 18% 26 135 2.338 776 21% 30 160 2.492 5 26 326 40 913 35 776 30 277 10 5 0 50 74 5 5 2002 2003 112 5 150 7 500 21 26 30 36 400 300 15 200 10 2004 2005 2006 Number of Stores 900 600 404 15 1,000 700 543 20 913 18% 36 185 2.964 800 643 25 2011 100 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Sales (TL m) Average sales growth in the last 5 years is 37% 2011 TL L m KPIs I d Index ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Macroeconomic Environment Retail Market in Turkey Business Highlights Commercial & Marketing Overview Brand Awareness (Unaided Recall) What is the first brand you remembered in home improvement and diy sector? 2007 (n=508) (n 508) KOÇTAŞ 37 BAUHAUS 30 PRAKTİKER 29 IKEA TEKZEN CARREFOUR 2008 (n=550) (n 550) 2009 (n=539) (n 539) 43 41 24 20 17 2010 (n=551) (n 551) 16 52 27 33 24 31 16 39 27 17 23 9 12 12 9 7 11 7 8 6 4 7 6 2 ARÇELİK 6 2 2 2 DİĞER 6 6 3 5 AKLIMA BİR YER GELMİYOR 56 10 METRO 1 23 26 24 2011 (n=555) (n 555) 13 Base: 550 respondents from İstanbul, İzmir, Ankara, Bursa, İzmit, Antalya /April 2011 19 43 9 2011 Brand Awareness Research (conversion & awareness) 65 60 stürme) sion(Dönüs Convers KOÇTAŞ 55 50 BAUHAUS 45 IKEA PRAKTİKER 40 35 30 TEKZEN 25 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Total Awareness(Toplam Bilinirlik) 110 115 120 2011 Brand Awareness Research (conversion & retention) 60 KOÇTAS 55 Rettention(Tuttma) 50 45 IKEA 40 BAUHAUS 35 PRAKTIKER 30 25 TEKZEN 20 25 30 35 40 45 Conversion(Dönüstürme) 50 55 60 C t Customer P Profile fil 39 yrs old Target g consumers Families Young couples Teenagers 50‐50% male‐ female Working g on it 63% married Well‐educated 37% AB, 33% C1 SEC 46% visit alone High internet usage – 66% 66%* usage 54% visit with family/friends to get info, make research, enter facebook *42% in Turkey Source: Koçtaş Customer Profile Survey, 2010, will be updated in July 2012 Price & payment conditions Product quality & variety Convinience Important factors in DIY shopping P Price ice Pe Perception ception Resea Research ch Which DIY / home improvement store have the lowest prices? 50.5 Koçtaş 18.6 Ikea 15.2 Praktiker 7.4 Tekzen 5.1 Bauhaus %15 %18 %7 %13 0.8 Leroy Merlin Baumax 0.2 Carefour 0.2 Yok / ucuz bılduğu marka yok 10 1.0 Bilmiyor / fikri yok / hatırlamıyor 1.0 0 %33 2009 results for comparison 10 20 30 40 50 60 Base: 1105 people who live in İstanbul, Ankara , İzmir, Bursa, Antalya, Adana, Kayseri, Malatya, Konya & Trabzon and shop from DIY stores held on 15June-15July 2011 / compared with 2009 results CRM Activities y ytd 2012 %50 of turnover with ith parocards Min 300 CRM campaigns i yearly 600.000 SMS SMS yearly 500.000 Mailing yearly 2,5 million KOCTAS KART alive , ! %50 0f them are ACTIVE! 136 cards in 2011 30.000 trade cardholders approx. Min 12% of total sales with trade cards 600 active cards, March YTD 5% paropoint gift 10% discount for Fabel paints Special campaigns for paint shopping