Value Plays and Overvalued Players

Transcription

Value Plays and Overvalued Players
VA L U E P L AYS C O N S O L I DAT E D
QB Steve McNair, Baltimore Ravens
ADP - 15.03 / QB32 / No. 171 Overall
Selected by Dodds, Overton, Smith, and Tremblay
Overton - Though Steve McNair is entering his 13th season, he’s still
a warrior. He plays hurt, seldom misses a game, and performs in the
clutch. With Willis McGahee bringing speed and elusiveness to the
backfield and McNair’s three favorite receivers – Clayton, Heap, and
Mason – returning for another season, look for McNair to outperform
his draft position. With a QB32 ADP, he’s a steal as your QB2.
TE Heath Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers
ADP - 16.05 / TE18 / No. 185 Overall
Selected by Dodds, Overton, Pasquino, and Smith
Smith - In the past two seasons, Miller has finished as the 11th- and
13th-best fantasy tight end. It usually takes a young tight end awhile
to establish himself as a premier receiver in the NFL, and Miller is
expected to have a larger contribution this season. He has huge value
at TE18.
Players Receiving 3 Votes
NICK DOAN/ICON SMI
RB Edgerrin James, Arizona Cardinals
ADP - 3.1 / RB19 / No. 34 Overall
Selected by Bloom, Dodds, and Yudkin
Yudkin - Edge represents great value at RB19 with most guys
drafted that late in RBBCs. The Cardinals improved their OL, and
Whisenhunt will try to get 500+ rushing attempts this year with Edge
seeing a huge chunk of them. He had a 4.2 ypc and three 100-yard
rushing games over the last half of 2006. Give me the guy with 350
touches over guys splitting carries any day of the week and twice on
Tuesdays.
RB Jamal Lewis, Cleveland Browns
ADP - 7.03 / RB31 / No. 75 Overall
Selected by Brown, Hicks, and Overton
Brown - Lewis is running behind an improved offensive line, has
a terrific career track record, coming off a season in which he was
the 16th-ranked RB, and has no competition for playing time. Yet
he’s being taken after guys like Brandon Jacobs, Chester Taylor, and
Michael Turner? Getting a starting back as your RB3 is considered
gravy; getting him in the early seventh round is almost criminal.
TE Alge Crumpler, Atlanta Falcons
ADP - 7.06 / TE7 / No. 78 Overall
Selected by Hicks, Lammey, and Wimer
Hicks - Is Alge Crumpler the Rodney Dangerfield of tight ends? He
constantly gets no respect in fantasy circles. Last year, Crumpler finished higher in fantasy rankings than Heap, Shockey and Gonzalez,
but is going to get selected a round later? Take the value. Crumpler
has been super consistent over the years and even increased his
touchdown total in 2006.
by a receiving corps of Terrell Owens and a ton of unproven talent,
there is no reason to expect a significant drop-off in production.
Another top-24 finish from Glenn is great value from the WR35.
TE Randy McMichael, St. Louis Rams
ADP - 12.11 / TE14 / No. 143 Overall
Selected by Levin, Pasquino, and Wood
Levin - Former Dolphins OC Scott Linehan knows McMichael will
fill the role of a tough receiver over the middle, thus complementing
the team’s great outside receivers in Torry Holt and Drew Bennett.
McMichael has never finished outside the top 12 fantasy TEs even
with the poor QB play in Miami. Expect another top-10 finish from
this TE14. McMichael’s upside is even higher.
WR Brandon Jones, Tennessee Titans
ADP - 13.02 / WR52 / No. 146 Overall
Selected by Dowling, Grant, and Shick
Shick - Jones finished the 2006 season strong as half of his receptions and three of his four scores coming in the final six games. Drew
Bennett is gone, David Givens is hurt, and Jones has an opportunity
to jell with the Titans new savior, QB Vince Young. Jones has far more
upside than his current ADP indicates.
Players Receiving 2 Votes
RB Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings
ADP - 4.09 / RB24 / No. 45 Overall
Selected by Magaw and Tremblay
WR Terry Glenn, Dallas Cowboys
ADP - 9.04 / WR35 / No. 100 Overall
Selected by Levin, Wimer, and Yudkin
Levin - In each of the last two years, Terry Glenn has had more than
100 targets, 60 receptions and 1,000 yards. He has also accumulated
13 receiving TDs to give him WR12 and WR20 rankings. Surrounded
FOOTBALLGUYS.COM
Edgerrin James
Tremblay - Chester Taylor was the No. 11 fantasy RB last year, but
the much more talented Adrian Peterson is being drafted as the 24th
RB off the board. Talk of RBBC in Minnesota won’t last beyond the
first couple games of the season. The talent gap between Peterson
FREE DAILY EMAIL: http://footballguys.com/email
27