Bio-based Polymers in the World - Bio
Transcription
Bio-based Polymers in the World - Bio
Market study on Bio-based Polymers in the World Capacities,Production and Applications: Status Quo and Trends towards 2020 PP PE PVC PET MEG Propylene PMMA PBT Ethylene Vinyl Chloride SBR PET-like Methyl Metacrylate Ethanol PU PC PHA PTT p-Xylene Sorbitol Isobutanol Isosorbide THF Glucose Lactic acid Adipic Acid HMDA Lysine PU Succinate Starch PEF Saccharose Superabsorbent Polymers 3-HP Lignocellulose Acrylic acid Natural Rubber Caprolactone PBS 1,4 Butanediol 1,3 Propanediol PLA PA PU Teraphtalic acid Plant oils Fructose Fatty acids Glycerol HMF FDCA Epichlorohydrin Polyols Diacids Other Furan-based polymers Natural Rubber Starch-based Polymers Lignin-based Polymers Cellulose-based Polymers Epoxy resins PA PU PU Edited by: Adriana Sanz Mirabal, Lena Scholz, Michael Carus Market study on Bio-based Polymers in the World Capacities,Production and Applications: Status Quo and Trends towards 2020 nova-Institut GmbH Edited by: Adriana Sanz Mirabal, Lena Scholz, Michael Carus February 2013 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ © nova-Institut 2013 The expert team of the Market Study (authors) has made every attempt to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information provided on this study. The included market and trend analyses and forecasts are performed to the best of the authors‘ knowledge and beliefs on the basis of the current state of knowledge and the latest research and inquiries. Nevertheless, authors, editors, and publisher do not warrant the information contained in this study, to be free of errors or will prove to be accurate. The information, conclusions and findings provided in this study are not intended as legal or financial advice. The authors cannot accept liability for actions taken based on the content of this Market Study. © 2013 nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Publisher: Michael Carus (v.i.S.d.P), nova-Institute GmbH, Chemiepark Knapsack, Industriestr. 300, 50354 Huerth Germany, Phone: +49 (0) 2233 48 14 40, Fax: +49 (0) 2233 48 14 50, contact@nova-institut.de, www.nova-institut.eu Layout: ftdesign - kreativ Büro www.ftd-kreativbuero.de All rights reserved (including those of the translation into other languages). No part of this publication shall be reproduced, transmitted, displayed, published, broadcast or resold in whole or in part in any form, without the prior written consent of the authors. Registered names, trademarks, etc. used in this study, even when not specifically marked as such, are not to be considered unprotected by law. The rights remain with the holders of the respective trademarks. The nomination of product- or service-designations serves exclusively the purposes of identification. Authors (in alphabetical order) Wolfgang Baltus, National Innovation Agency (NIA), Thailand Janpeter Beckmann, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Dirk Carrez, Clever Consult, Belgium Michael Carus, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Lara Dammer, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Roland Essel, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Harald Kaeb, narocon, Germany Jan Ravenstijn, Jan Ravenstijn Consulting, Netherlands Adriana Sanz Mirabal, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Lena Scholz, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Fabrizio Sibilla, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany Stephan Zepnik, Fraunhofer UMSICHT, Germany 4 Table of Content Table of Content 1 Executive Summary 2 Introduction 6 12 Market Data 3 Market Data 17 4 Qualitative analyses of selected bio-based Polymers 55 Trend reports 5 Policies impacting bioplastics market development 6 Bio-based polymers, a revolutionary change 100 7 Asian markets for bio-based resins 137 8 Environmental evaluation of bio-based polymers and plastics 168 9 Green Premium within the value chain from chemicals to bioplastics 186 10 Brands: Sustainability Strategies and Bioplastics Information from the fast moving consumer goods industries (focus packaging) 65 206 Company 11 Company Profiles 221 12 Company product index 349 13 List of Acronyms 358 5 Market Data 3 Market Data Table of Content 3.1. Polyamide (PA) 20 3.2. Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalat (PBAT) 24 3.3. Polybutylene succinate (PBS) 28 3.4. Polyethylene (PE) 31 3.5. Polyethylene Terephthalat (PET) 34 3.6. Polyhydroxy Alkanoate (PHA) 37 3.7. Polylactic acid (PLA) 42 3.8. Polypropylene (PP) 46 3.9. Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) 48 3.10. Starch Blends 50 17 Market Data 3.10 List of Tables Table 1: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polyamides 2011-2020 20 Table 2: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polybutylene Adipate Terephtalat 2011-2020 24 Table 3: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polybutylene succinate 2011-2020 28 Table 4: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polyethylene 2011-2020 31 Table 5: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polyethylene Terephthalat 2011-2020 34 Table 6: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polyhydroxy Alkanoate 2011-2020 37 Table 7: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polylactic acid 2011-2020 42 Table 8: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polypropylene 2011-2020 46 Table 9: Companies with (announced) capacities of Polyvinyl Chloride 2011-2020 48 Table 10: Companies with (announced) capacities of Starch Blends 2011-2020 50 3.11 List of Figures Figure 1: Evolution of production capacities for Polyamides 2011-2020 20 Figure 2: Actual volume of produced polyamides and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 21 Figure 3: Polyamides (PA): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (North) in kt/a 21 Figure 4: Polyamides (PA): Capacities, 2011-2020, Asia in kt/a 22 Figure 5: Polyamides (PA): Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 22 Figure 6: World‘s total capacity of Polyamides 2011 and 2020 23 Figure 7: Application sectors for Polyamides 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 23 Figure 8: Figure: Evolution of production capacities for Polybutylene Adipate Terephtalat 20112020 24 Figure 9: Figure: Actual volume of produced Polybutylene Adipate Terephtalat and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 25 Figure 10: Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalat (PBAT): Capacities, 2011-2020, Asia in kt/a 25 Figure 11: Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalat (PBAT): Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 26 Figure 12: World‘s total capacity of Polybutylene Adipate Terephtalat 2011 and 2020 26 Figure 13: Application sectors for Polybutylene Adipate Terephtalat 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 27 Figure 14: Evolution of production capacities for Polybutylene succinate 2011-2020 28 Figure 15: Actual volume of produced Polybutylene succinate and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 29 Figure 16: Polybutylene succinate (PBS): Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 29 55 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ © nova-Institut 2013 Figure 17: World‘s total capacity of Polybutylene succinate 2011 and 2020 30 Figure 18: Application sectors for Polybutylene succinate 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 30 Figure 19: Evolution of production capacities for Polyethylene 2011-2020 31 Figure 20: Actual volume of produced Polyethylene and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different region 32 Figure 21: Polyethylene (PE): Capacities, 2011-2020, America South in kt/a 32 Figure 22: World‘s total capacity of Polyethylene 2011 and 2020 33 Figure 23: Application sectors for Polyethylene 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 33 Figure 24: Evolution of production capacities for Polyethylene Terephthalat equivalents, Monoethylene glycol and para-Xylene 2011-2020 34 Figure 25: Actual volume of produced Polyethylene Terephthalat and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 35 Figure 26: Polyethylene Terephthalat (PET): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (North) in kt/a 35 Figure 27: Polyethylene Terephthalat (PET): Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 36 Figure 28: World‘s total capacity of Polyethylene Terephthalat 2011 and 2020 36 Figure 29: Evolution of production capacities for Polyhydroxy Alkanoate 2011-2020 37 Figure 31: Actual volume of produced Polyhydroxy Alkanoate and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 38 Figure 30: Polyhydroxy Alkanoate (PHA): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (North) in kt/a 38 Figure 32: Polyhydroxy Alkanoate (PHA): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (South) in kt/a 39 Figure 33: Polyhydroxy Alkanoate (PHA): Capacities, 2011-2020, Asia in kt/a 39 Figure 34: Polyhydroxy Alkanoate (PHA): Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 40 Figure 35: World‘s total capacity of Polyhydroxy Alkanoate 2011 and 2020 40 Figure 36: Application sectors for Polyhydroxy Alkanoate 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 41 Figure 37: Evolution of production capacities for Polylactic acid 2011-2020 42 Figure 38: Actual volume of produced Polylactic acid and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 43 Figure 39: Polylactic acid (PLA): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (North) in kt/a 43 Figure 40: Polylactic acid (PLA): Capacities, 2011-2020, Asia in kt/a 44 Figure 41: Polylactic acid (PLA): Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 44 Figure 42: World‘s total capacity of Polylactic acid 2011 and 2020 45 Figure 43: Application sectors for Polylactic acid 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 45 Figure 44: Evolution of production capacities for Polypropylene 2011-2020 46 Figure 45: Polypropylene (PP): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (South) in kt/a 47 Figure 46: World‘s total capacity of Polypropylene 2011 and 2020 47 56 Market Data Market Data Figure 47: Evolution of production capacities for Polyvinyl Chloride 2011-2020 48 Figure 48: Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC): Capacities, 2011-2020, America (South) in kt/a 49 Figure 49: World‘s total capacity of Polyvinyl Chloride 2011 and 2020 49 Figure 50: Evolution of production capacities for Starch Blends 2011-2020 50 Figure 51: Actual volume of produced Starch Blends and name plate capacities for 2011 in the different regions 51 Figure 52: Starch Blends: Capacities, 2011-2020, America (North) in kt/a 51 Figure 53: Starch Blends: Capacities, 2011-2020, America (South) in kt/a 52 Figure 54: Starch Blends: Capacities, 2011-2020, Asia in kt/a 52 Figure 55: Starch Blends: Capacities, 2011-2020, Europe in kt/a 53 Figure 56: Starch Blends: Capacities, 2011-2020, Oceania in kt/a 53 Figure 57: World‘s total capacity of Starch Blends 2011 and 2020 54 Figure 58: Application sectors for Starch Blends 2011; C: construction polymer, F: functional polymer 54 57 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ 5 © nova-Institut 2013 Policies impacting bioplastics market development Dirk Carrez, Clever Consult, Belgium Lara Dammer, Michael Carus, nova-Institut GmbH, Germany 5.1. 5.2. Introduction Stimulatin market demand 5.2.1. Dedicated policies promoting bio-based products and bioplastics 5.2.2. Mandates 5.2.3. Public procurement policies 5.3. Overcoming investment barriers: Taxes and Subsidies 5.3.1. US 5.3.2. Brazil 5.3.3. China 5.3.4. Thailand 5.3.5. Malaysia 5.4. Productspecificpolicies 5.5. Research and Innovation policies focussing on bio-based products 5.5.1. Europe 5.5.2. US 5.5.3. Japan 5.5.4. China 5.5.5. Brazil 5.5.6. South Korea 5.6. Non-dedicated policies impacting bioplastics 5.6.1. Europe 5.6.2. Brazil 5.7. Other 5.7.1. Feedstock-related policies 5.7.2. Bioenergy related policies 5.8. General Bioeconomy Strategies and Policies 5.8.1. Some examples 5.9. List of tables 5.10. Listoffigures 5.11. References 68 66 66 67 71 71 73 73 73 74 74 74 74 76 76 77 78 78 79 79 80 80 81 81 81 83 88 88 93 93 94 Policies impacting bioplastics market development Bio-based polymers, a revolutionary change 6 Bio-based polymers, a revolutionary change Jan Ravenstijn, Jan Ravenstijn Consulting, Netherlands 6.1. 6.2. 6.3. 6.4. 6.5. 6.6. 6.7. 6.8. 6.9. Introduction Market trends Technology trends Environmental trends Selected biopolymer families 6.5.1. Polyhydroxyalkanoates (PHA) 6.5.2. Polybutylenesuccinates (PBS) 6.5.3. Natural Oil Polyols and CO2-based polyols for polyurethanes (PUR) 6.5.4. Polyamides (PA): Customer views New business concepts 6.7.1. PharmafilterBV(TheNetherlands). 6.7.2. AvantiumTechnologiesB.V.(TheNetherlands). New value chain Listoffigures Jan Ravenstijn 101 102 103 105 109 109 113 120 126 131 133 133 134 134 136 103 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ 7 © nova-Institut 2013 Asian markets for bio-based resins Wolfgang Baltus, National Innovation Agency (NIA), Thailand 7.1. 7.2. 7.3. 7.4. Introduction 138 Asian markets for bio-based resins 138 Asia-Pacific region in numbers 142 Feedstock – Key to success in Asia-Pacific 144 7.4.1. Sugarcane 147 7.4.2. Cassava 148 7.4.3. Threats 150 7.4.4. Other feedstock and cost considerations 150 7.5. Policy Development 151 7.5.1. Stimulation of investment 151 7.5.2. End-of-life policy 152 7.6. Market growth factors 153 7.6.1. Environmental factors 153 7.6.2. Financial factors 153 7.6.3. Technical factors 154 7.7. Selected biopolymer families – limitations, challenges and chances in Asia Pacific 154 7.7.1. Polylactic acid (PLA) 154 7.7.2. Polybutylenesuccinate (PBS) 160 7.7.3. Bio-PE/Bio-PET 161 7.7.4. PHA 163 7.7.5. Polyamide 163 7.8. Case Study: The National Bioplastics Roadmap in Thailand – Situation and outlook after 4 years in operation 164 7.9. List of tables 166 7.10. List of figures 166 140 Asian markets for bio-based resins Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ 7.9 © nova-Institut 2013 List of tables Table 1: Global and Asian production capacities of selected bio-based polymers 2011 and 2020 142 Table 2: GDP data, population and stage of development for selected countries in Asia-Pacific 145 Table 3: Available Feedstock in Asian regions 148 Table 4: Available Biomass equivalents in Asia 149 Table 5: Main regions of cassava production, total yield and yield per hectare 153 7.10 List of figures Figure 1: Value chain from PLA/PBS plants (in millions of euros) 141 Figure 2: Municipal waste generation in selected AP countries in 2025. Size of bubble = population size 146 Figure 3: Plastic consumption per capita in selected AP countries versus gross net income per capita in 2010. Size of bubble = population size 146 Figure 4: Polymer value chain in Thailand, 2011 (PTIT 2012) 147 Figure 5: Benchmarking of different feedstocks for PLA in Thailand 148 Figure 6: Available Biomass Simulation (based on APEC, 2008) 149 Figure 7: Value Chain of PLA compared for different biomass input 150 Figure 8: Sugarcane production and yields for selected countries 151 Figure 9: Sugarcane price development 1980 – 2012 in Thailand 151 Figure 10: Prices of Thai domestic cassava compared to crude oil 152 Figure 11: Estimation of PLA demand in Asia 2012 (t/yr) - 2011. Total amount ~ 39,000 t/yr, import ratio for PLA: 71 % 159 Figure 12: NatureWorks LLC dominates the PLA market. 159 Figure 13: The collapse of the local PLA resin production in China 2007-2012. Source: CCM, China 160 Figure 14: Bioplastics market in Japan, 2007 and 2011 (Adapted from JSBI, 2012) 163 Figure 15: Ethylene prices and bio-PE price projections 165 Figure 16: Present PET value chain 166 170 Asian markets for bio-based resins Environmental evaluation of bio-based polymers and plastics 8 Environmental evaluation of bio-based polymers and plastics Roland Essel and Michael Carus nova-institut GmbH, Hürth, Germany 8.1. 8.2. 8.3. 8.4. 8.5. 8.6. 8.7. 8.8. 8.9. Introduction Results from recent life cycle assessments 8.2.1. CO2 emissions and fossil resource depletion 8.2.2. Other environmental impact categories Feedstock supply and use of by-products Geneticallymodifiedorganisms Biodiversity Land use 8.6.1. Land use change 8.6.2. Landuseefficiency Conclusion List of tables Listoffigures Roland Essel and Michael Carus 169 169 169 173 174 175 176 177 178 180 183 185 185 171 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ 8.8 Table 1: 8.9 © nova-Institut 2013 List of tables Comparison of non-renewable energy use and greenhouse gas emissions of petrochemical and bio-based polymers 175 List of figures Figure 1: Environmental impacts of different polymers in two impact categories: climate change and fossil resource depletion 173 Figure 2: Savings of fossil resources due to the production of bio-based polymers. Figure 3: Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions through production of bio-based polymers. 175 Figure 4: Relative changes in the eco-profile of Ingeo PLA. Figure 5: Average product-specific environmental impacts of bio-based materials in comparison to conventional materials 177 Figure 6: Comparison of greenhouse gas emissions and fossil resource depletion in the production of PHA from different feedstocks (Kim & Dale 2005, Harding et al. 2007) 178 Figure 7: Implications of biodiversity loss 180 Figure 8: Worldwide use of agricultural biomass harvested in 2008 181 Figure 9: Illustration of direct and indirect land-use changes 182 174 176 Figure 10: Land use per tonne of bio-based PLA, bio-based PE and bioethanol from five crops valid for both current agricultural practice and if all residues/co-products are used. 183 Figure 11: Avoided NREU per hectare of land for the various bio-based products relative to their fossil based counterparts 184 Figure 12: Annual sugar/starch yield for selected feedstocks. 185 Figure 13: Land use efficiency of photovoltaic panels compared to biofuels 186 188 Environmental evaluation of bio-based polymers and plastics Green Premium within the value chain from chemicals to bioplastics 9 Green Premium within the value chain from chemicals to bioplastics Janpeter Beckmann and Michael Carus nova-Institut GmbH, Germany 9.1. 9.2. Introduction GreenPremium-Useanddefinition 9.2.1. Introductory market observations 9.2.2. TypesofperformanceanddefinitionofGreenPremium 9.2.3. Green Premium market overview 9.3. Understanding the reasons for Green Premium prices 9.3.1. Explanations and individual expert opinions 9.3.2. Drivers 9.4. Summary and conclusions 9.5. List of tables 9.6. Listoffigures 9.7. References 187 187 187 190 193 199 199 201 202 203 203 204 Janpeter Beckmann 189 Brands: Sustainability Strategies and Bioplastics Information from the fast moving consumer goods industries (focus packaging) 10 Brands: Sustainability Strategies and Bioplastics Information from the fast moving consumer goods industries (focus packaging) Harald Kaeb, narocon InnovationConsulting, Germany 10.1. 10.2. 10.3. Introduction – Why read this Summary – what strikes the eye List of Drivers – Brand Motivation (not weighed or prioritized) 10.3.1. Sustainability targets in general & strategic 10.3.2.Specificdriversforincreaseduseofbioplastics(additional) 10.4. Company-specificaspects 10.4.1. Coca-Cola 10.4.2. Danone 10.4.3. Friesland-Campina 10.4.4. Henkel 10.4.5. Nestlé 10.4.6. Proctor & Gamble 10.4.7. Unilever 206 208 209 209 209 209 210 211 214 214 216 218 219 Harald Kaeb 209 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ © nova-Institut 2013 11 Company Profiles Table of Content 8.1 Acetati S.p.A. 228 8.2 Amyris 229 8.3 Anhui COFCO Biochemical & GALACTIC Lactic Acid Co., Ltd. 230 8.4 Anellotech Inc. 231 8.5 Anqing Hexing Chemical Co., Ltd. 232 8.6 Arizona Chemical 233 8.7 Arkema SA 234 8.8 Avantium Chemicals BV 236 8.9 BASF SE 237 8.10 Bayer MaterialScience 239 8.11 Bio-On Srl 240 8.12 BioAmber 241 8.13 BioBased Technologies LLC 243 8.14 BioMatera Inc. 244 8.15 Biomer 245 8.16 Biop Biopolymer Technologies AG 246 8.17 Bioplastech 247 8.18 BIOTEC Biologische Naturverpackungen GmbH & Co. KG 248 8.19 Braskem 249 8.20 Cardia Bioplastics Limited 250 8.21 Cargill Inc. 251 8.22 Cathay Industrial Biotech 252 8.23 Casda Biomaterials Co., LTD 253 8.24 Celanese Acetate LLC 254 8.25 Cereplast Inc. 255 8.26 Cerestech Inc. 256 8.27 Chemplast Sanmar Limited 257 8.28 Chengdu Dikang Biomedical Co., Ltd. 258 8.29 China New Materials Holding 259 224 Company product index Company product index 1,3-Propanediol DuPont METabolic EXplorer (METEX) 1,4-Butanediol BioAmber China New Materials Holding Genomatica Global Bio-Chem Novamont SpA Adipic acid DSM N.V. Rennovia Verdezyne Bio-paraxylene (bioPX) Anellotech Inc. Gevo Global Bioenergies Honeywell UOP M&G Group (Gruppo Mossi & Ghisolfi) Virent Butanol Cathay Industrial Biotech Cellulose acetate Acetati S.p.A. Celanese Acetate LLC Clarifoil Daicel Chemicals Industries Ltd. Eastman Chemical Company Rhodia Acetow WinGram Industry Co. Ltd. (Great River Qin Xin Plastic Manufacturer Co. Ltd.) 349 Market study on „Bio-based Polymers in the World“ © nova-Institut 2013 List of Acronyms AA Adipic Acid ABS Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene polymer ADM Archer Daniels Midland ACHEMA Ausstellungstagung für chemisches Apparatewesen AG Aktien Gesellschaft ARD Agro-industrie Recherches et Developpement ASTM American Society for Testing & Materials B2B Business to business BASF Badische Anilin und Soda Fabrik BCAP Biomass Crop Assistance Programme BCG Biotechnology Commercialization Grant BDO Butanediol BMC Bulk moulding compound BMBF Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung BMELV Bundesministerium für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke BNDES Brazilian Development Bank CA Cellulose Acetate CAP Common Agricultural Policy CCC Commodity Credit Corporation CEN European Committee for Standardization CLIB2021 Cluster Industrielle Biotechnologie e.V. CO2 Carbon dioxide DAB Diaminobutane DG Directorate-General DMC Double Metal Cyanides (catalyst) DNP Diversified Natural Products DOE United States Department of Energy Drop-in A bio-based polymer with a chemical structure identical to that of its petro-based DS Degree of substitution DSM Dutch State Mines 358 counterpart List of Acronyms