Toward 2015
Transcription
Toward 2015
Global Digest November 2014 www.pharmexec.com Pharm Exec Global Digest: The Year of Living Openly Changes to our format in the New Year Europe and transparency in 2015 Brazil: Revising Growth Forecasts magenta cyan yellow black Toward 2015 mark wragg/GettyImages ‘Warehousing’ and the HCV Treatment Landscape Stricter EU Guidelines for 2015 Upcoming regulatory developments in Europe, stalling growth in Brazil, and innovations in data-driven decision making. Events Cloud Technology and the Industry: A Five-Year Outlook Upcoming pharma conferences around the world ES531767_PEGD1114_001.pgs 11.17.2014 23:11 ADV Pharm Exec Global in 2015 Changes are afoot at PEGD Towers, but it’s business as usual and we’re all set to provide a faster, smoother reader experience in 2015. A s of next month (December 2014), Pharm Exec Global Digest will cease to be a digital magazine and will go forward as a monthly e-newsletter, known as Pharm Exec Global Direct. (Long-term readers of this publication will know that we like to change its title at least once every two years.) The digital magazine format has been an interesting one to work with, but with the pace of our online world becoming ever more ‘breakneck’, we are keen to make access to our new content as speedy and as convenient as possible. The move to the e-newsletter format will enable readers to link more rapidly to the Contents WORLD CLASS R&D MEETS WORLD CLASS R&R. From the Editor Transparency in Europe articles, blogs, events, longform features and other new content on our Pharmexec site, which, in tandem with PEGD’s changing format, is being revamped for launch in December. The new site, long in the making, will be faster and smoother and geared to improving and enhancing the user experience. I hope you’ll contine to enjoy our offering. Here’s to a successful 2015! Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events Bugaboo Provincial Park, British Columbia Julian Upton Editor At a life science meeting in Canada, your delegates will exchange breakthrough ideas with some of the leading minds in medical research, medical equipment and pharmaceuticals. And afterwards they can experience some of the best leisure activities anywhere. Put the Business Events Canada (BEC) team to work for you and set the bar high for your next meeting, convention or incentive. As part of the Canadian Tourism Commission, we’ll ensure your delegates have exciting landscapes to explore, both natural and urban. And of course, incredible venues to inspire them. BusinessEventsCanada.ca 2 magenta cyan yellow black ES531766_PEGD1114_002.pgs 11.17.2014 23:11 ADV Contents 2015: The Year of Living Openly Regulators underscored transparency and harmonization in 2014, and 2015 is likely to see the trend intensify. 3 magenta cyan yellow black From the Editor Transparency in Europe Dakshayini Kulkarni looks at the regulators’ new emphasis on transparency and harmonization. T he past year has brought significant changes not only in regulatory mandates and guidances but also regarding a broader overall emphasis on coordination of information and processes. The regulators have prioritized transparency and harmonization for some time but underscored them to an even greater degree in 2014, and 2015 is likely to see the trend intensify. Improvement in the oversight of companies’ pharmacovigilance systems will also be a priority in the year ahead. Regulators have again taken steps aimed at improving patient safety — and, indeed, at encouraging patients to become moreactive participants in their own health. And companies will have to determine how to respond to some of those developments. Perhaps one of the paramount Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events ER_Creative/GettyImages ES531783_PEGD1114_003.pgs 11.17.2014 23:12 ADV Contents Regulators will be expecting stricter integration of data... A meeting of minds Since June 2014, companies have been working to meet the requirements of the eXtended EudraVigilance Medicinal Product Dictionary (XEVMPD). They have had approximately six months — from mid-June until the end of December 2014 — to update their records and must begin maintaining their data immediately after submitting it. The XEVMPD is about the transparency and harmonization of data by requiring that companies submit and maintain their product information so as to be able to provide the European Medicines Agency (EMA) with an inventory of all of their medicines authorized in the European Union (EU). It also requires closer communication and tighter synchronization between regulatory affairs and pharmacovigilance, with a view to describe the process for identifying, collecting, and verifying product information and then loading the product information into the XEVMPD, as well as for processing acknowledgements received from the XEVMPD system. In addition to continuing to maintain their product data for the XEVMPD during 2015, companies will also have to prepare to respond to the Identification of Medicinal Products (IDMP). That response must include consumer health From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing more consumer-preferred dose forms. superior products. better line extensions. ʺ 2014 Catalent Pharma Solutions. All rights reserved. OSDrC is a registered trademark of Sanwa Kagaku Kenkyusho Co. themes of the year — one that will only grow in the year ahead — is the narrowing gap between pharmacovigilance and regulatory. All of those trends require pharmaceutical companies to improve their business processes and the ways they manage regulatory information across the enterprise. We offer a wide range of unique, proven technologies and highly versatile dose forms to meet a variety of consumer needs. With our market-ready products, formulation expertise, delivery technologies and reliable supply network we help you deliver superior products and gain a competitive advantage in the market. Brazil Pharma Growth RP SCHERER SOFTGEL ADVANCED DELIVERY TECHNOLOGIES TECHNOLOGIES Versatile, proven dose forms that provide innovative solutions for more active ingredients. liqui-gels® capsules vegicaps® capsules softdrop™ lozenges Advanced, innovative technologies that work with a broad range of actives and release profiles. osdrc® optidose™ technology zydis® fast-dissolve tablets Events Catalent. More products. Better treatments. Reliably supplied.ª + 1 888 SOLUTION (765 8846) solutions@catalent.com www.catalent.com/consumerhealth 4 magenta cyan yellow black ES531778_PEGD1114_004.pgs 11.17.2014 23:12 ADV Contents details regarding where and how to source their data and what processes and technologies they’ll need for supporting data collection and archiving. The IDMP will see regulatory affairs and pharmacovigilance activities become more entwined by virtue of its being a set of global standards that create a harmonized and neutral data model for describing product information. Without greater collaboration between safety and regulatory, there is the potential for uncertainty in the assessment of signals, which could result in regulators’ issuing warnings. Furthermore, the IDMP could be used in inspections and in chemistry, manufacturing, and controls and could involve information not generally found in a dossier, further emphasising the need for internal harmonization and process integration. The IDMP will be a major focus in 2015, especially if companies are to take a strategic approach to adoption and use it as an opportunity to improve the management of corporate data for broader purposes. By the middle of 2015, implementation guides from the International Organization for Standardization and the European Medicines Agency will start to become available, but even before then, companies will need to prepare their solutions and processes for managing the IDMP. In addition to having internal processes and regulatory information management solutions in place, companies will want to improve their interdepartmental collaboration to make sure data can be accessed and shared seamlessly. From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Whatever direction you’re heading in, we’ll help you get there. We’ve harnessed the capabilities of our 5,500 local experts in 22 countries to help you navigate challenges and to create solutions that are insightful and ingenious. Making sure patients and healthcare professionals get the treatment, care and information they need, driving your success. www.ashfeldhealthcare.com COMMERCIAL | CLINICAL | HEALTHCARE COMMUNICATIONS | INSIGHT & PERFORMANCE Ashfeld Safety in the spotlight Events MARKET ACCESS | MEDICAL INFORMATION | MEETINGS & EVENTS | PHARMACOVIGILANCE We’ll make it happen JD1283 The year ahead will bring 5 magenta cyan yellow black ES531780_PEGD1114_005.pgs 11.17.2014 23:12 ADV Contents one of the major regulatory requirements to the fore: the pharmacovigilance system master file, or PSMF. Implementing the PSMF has posed challenges... A PSMF is a detailed description of the pharmacovigilance system used by the marketing authorization holder with respect to its authorized medicinal products. The purpose of the PSMF is to improve the oversight and accountability of pharmacovigilance data. Many companies have already had some experience with the PSMF because it’s been a requirement for new Marketing Authorization Applications since July 2012, but its influence will become most widely felt from July 2015, when it becomes a requirement for all marketing authorizations. The PSMF helps companies improve oversight of their pharmacovigilance systems, but implementing it has posed challenges — in part because its requirements affect many company functions and procedures and because its maintenance is resource intensive. However, the PSMF is both a requirement and a good tool for providing oversight for inspectors and the qualified person for pharmacovigilance (QPPV). Other regulator actions further characterize the ongoing focus on safety and accountability. In September 2014, the Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency announced it was leading a consortium in a three-year project to develop new ways of gathering information on suspected adverse drug reactions. The idea behind the project is to develop a mobile app so that both healthcare professionals and the public can report suspected adverse drug reactions to national EU regulators. In its second year of operation, EudraVigilance received 35,600 patient reports, compared with 21,600 the previous year... In early October 2014, the European Medicines Agency began making available through a single website certain information on the suspected side effects of a further, 1,700 active substances contained in drugs. The information includes products authorized by national authorities in the EU. Until the announcement, the website contained suspected-side-effects information on only centrally authorized products. Rollout of public access to lists of the suspected side effects of all medicines available in the EU is expected to occur during the next few years. Since July 2012, the new EU pharmacovigilance legislation has required that all adverse drug reactions from medication errors at the EU level be reported to EudraVigilance, the EU database of adverse drug reactions. Since then, the number of side effects reported directly by patients to national regulatory authorities or pharmaceutical companies within the European Economic Area has increased significantly. In the second year of operation of the legislation, EudraVigilance received 35,600 patient reports, compared with 21,600 in the year preceding the legislation. That was in addition to reports received from healthcare professionals. The agency is also making it easier for patients to From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events 6 magenta cyan yellow black ES531781_PEGD1114_006.pgs 11.17.2014 23:13 ADV Contents report side effects directly to the authorities in the EU member states by publishing information leaflets in all official EU languages. The legislation demonstrates a clear commitment to public transparency and patient engagement. Beyond regulations, EMA has been working hard to improve transparency and dialogue with industry. Clearer, more open processes On April 2, 2014, the European Parliament approved the new European Union Clinical Trials Regulation, which is expected to come into force in May 2016. The regulation will be binding in all EU member states without the need for any national implementing legislation, thereby ensuring consistent execution of the directive throughout all member states. One aspect of the directive aims to increase transparency, with all results — including negative ones — to be published in the European Clinical Trials Database. Information regarding clinical trials with paediatric and nonpaediatric participants as well as protocol-related and resultsrelated information would be made accessible to the public. As important, though, is the need to improve the clinical trial process. According to the European Commission, 2007 to 2011 saw a 25% reduction in the number of clinical trial applications; and delays in the launching of trials rose by 90% during those years. The new regulation is envisaged to be less bureaucratic and is intended to simplify and harmonize the administrative provisions for clinical trials of investigational medicinal products across the EU. The European Commission estimates that all of the changes could save researchers €800 million a year. The new authorization procedure has a centralized system for the approval of clinical trials; the sponsor will have to submit an application via a single portal, which in turn will be linked to an EU database. Regardless of the number of participating member states, the sponsor has to submit only a single application for a clinical trial. The new regulation will also follow a risk-based approach; trials deemed to be low risk will be subject to lighter regulation. This will benefit trials involving existing medicines if their use in the trial is either in accordance with the terms of the marketing authorization or based on published scientific evidence of safety and efficacy. Regulators are also tightening the laws around medical device stand-alone software... Beyond regulations, the EMA has been working hard to improve transparency and dialogue with industry. Recently, the agency introduced several initiatives to demonstrate its commitment to sharing information, including holding quarterly meetings with industry stakeholder organizations on key pharmacovigilance issues and issuing a newsletter to keep QPPVs informed. From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events Beyond pharmaceuticals While regulations for pharmaceutical products have been tightening for 7 magenta cyan yellow black ES531782_PEGD1114_007.pgs 11.17.2014 23:13 ADV Contents many years, medical devices have seen very little change. Directive 98/79/EC — In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices (IVDMD) — has been in its present form since 1998 and has not kept pace with state-of-the-art regulatory requirements and developments in technologies related to in vitro diagnostic medical devices. Around 40,000 existing lab tests Europe wide will have to undergo a new conformity assessment. That changes with the new EU IVDMD regulation, which comes into effect around 2016. When it does, 80% of in vitro diagnostic devices will have to undergo conformity assessment by a notified body under a risk classification mechanism. (Currently, most such devices are self-certified.) The regulation is likely to make conformity assessment procedures more stringent and introduce new requirements for notified bodies. Both new and existing devices will have to comply with the requirements, which for many manufacturers implies time-consuming and costly tasks. Around 40,000 existing lab tests Europe wide will have to undergo a new conformity assessment. Regulators are also tightening the laws around medical device standalone software, including apps. There are a number of categories for classifying software as a medical device, including where it is used for diagnosis; prevention; monitoring of treatment; alleviation of disease or injury or handicap; for investigation, replacement, or modification of the anatomy or of a physiological process; or to control conception. Companies’ commitment to open and clear processes will become all the more important... Any software or app that performs a calculation or interprets or interpolates data wherein the raw data is not reviewed by a healthcare professional may be considered a medical device. Such so-called decision support and decision-making software and apps will have to undergo the conformity assessment process before being allowed on the market. information, their data transparency, and their commitment to open and clear processes will become all the more important and will determine their ability to respond to change. About the author Dakshayini (Daks) Kulkarni is Senior Pharmacovigilance Officer at ProductLife Group. From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Making progress In light of significant regulatory and pharmacovigilance requirements in the year ahead — in particular, the IDMP and the PSMF — the ways companies manage, access, and share their Events 8 magenta cyan yellow black ES531779_PEGD1114_008.pgs 11.17.2014 23:12 ADV Contents Cloud of Dreams — Industry Outlook through 2020 “Pharma commercial teams, doctors, and patients will benefit from getting the right information at the right time...” 9 magenta cyan yellow black New innovations in cloud technology will enable faster time to market for new therapies, evolving business models, and new ways to support physicians and patients, say Matt Wallach, Brian Longo, Dan Goldsmith, Guillaume Roussel, and Jan van den Burg. W atson, meet George Jetson. Four years ago, IBM’s “Watson” supercomputer famously outplayed human competitors on television game show, Jeopardy. Today, Watson’s power is derived from the cloud and 24 times faster, 2,400% smarter and 90% smaller … and, consequently, being put to more practical use. In 2014, Sloan Kettering Cancer Center developed the first Watson-based cognitive computing innovation for oncology — clinicians taught Watson how to process, analyze, and interpret the meaning of complex clinical information. Since then, Watson has ingested more than 600,000 pieces of medical evidence and two million pages of text from 42 medical From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events Blend Images/John Lund/GettyImages ES531784_PEGD1114_009.pgs 11.17.2014 23:12 ADV Contents journals and clinical trials in the area of oncology research. It also has the power to sift through 1.5 million patient records representing decades of cancer treatment history, such as medical records and patient outcomes, and provide physicians with evidencebased treatment options, all in a matter of seconds. The once far-away notions of the future depicted in the 1960s-era cartoon, The Jetsons, no longer seem so space-age. For certain, the Jetsons’ robot maid is nothing compared to Watson — thanks, in part, to cloud computing. What else does this revolutionary technology have in store for the life sciences industry? Midway through the decade, the cloud is no longer a pipe dream. Now proven, it’s delivering unprecedented agility and innovation. Below, experts from Veeva Systems forecast what’s next for the cloud and how it will impact the life sciences industry over the next five years. “Data derived from across the industry will provide a trueto-life picture of customers’ preferences...” 1. The cloud will remove the barriers to collaboration “The life sciences industry has operated in siloes for decades, with teams and functional areas isolated by an array of client/server systems. Inherently social, humans do well when in collaboration, and business processes naturally span areas and people. Yet technological limitations have created disjointed processes and workflows, keeping teams disconnected and limiting progress. Cloud technology will eliminate traditional boundaries. New systems will support how we collaborate and communicate innately … not the other way around. End-to-end connected solutions powered by the cloud will finally bring together actionable, aggregated data, compliant content, and real-world interactions with customers, including patients. Since the cloud is a service, all the back-end processing and integrations are handled ‘behind the curtain’ — shielding the complexity from users. Just like with Amazon and Google, pharma commercial teams, doctors, and patients will benefit from getting the right information at the right time, without having to manage how it all comes together. And what’s most profoundly different is how software evolves; it just keeps getting better and better over time. It will all just happen seamlessly in the cloud, empowering companies with a foundation for easy knowledge sharing, unimpeded collaboration, and continuous innovation.” — Matt Wallach 2. The cloud will deliver derived customer data “Life sciences companies are driving toward an integrated, multichannel customer engagement strategy, but the definition of ‘customer’ has expanded. It now includes payers, physicians, administrators, pharmacists, and even patients, so it’s difficult to pinpoint customer needs and preferences. With the cloud, life sciences companies will be able to finally capture this data accurately and gain insight about how the industry as a whole is interacting across all customer types and channels, based on real-world actions … not inferences from extrapolated surveys or limited data sets. Data derived from across the industry will provide a true-to-life picture of customers’ preferences so companies can interact with them on their terms. With data no longer buried inside each company’s own From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events 10 magenta cyan yellow black ES531807_PEGD1114_010.pgs 11.17.2014 23:14 ADV Contents database, it can be amassed industry-wide to provide insight based upon actual behavior. No more conjecture or extrapolations. Instead, the industry will leverage the cloud to derive data and craft precise communications that are timely, relevant, and meaningful to doctors and patients, ultimately resulting in better patient outcomes.” — Brian Longo 3. The cloud will usher in an era of total transparency “The EFPIA Disclosure Code will drive the life sciences industry toward greater visibility of key data across the value chain. “In a world where every speaker fee, conference ticket, or consulting engagement is documented and disclosed to the public, data quality is paramount. Cloud-based master data management systems will not only deliver full-value transfer transparency across all touch points to comply with EFPIA, but also provide life sciences companies with the opportunity to aggregate data and insight immediately for better, more informed, and targeted customer interactions, based on a holistic view of customer behavior. “With the cloud providing global and readily accessible information, the ‘game’ will drastically change. A central, authoritative source of customer data will allow easy, agile information sharing across teams and geographies, empowering customer-facing groups with the actionable data needed to make the right decisions. “Spend transparency is just the start of this journey. These initiatives will trigger a shift in mindset, spurring all business areas across life sciences to proactively improve transparency. Life sciences companies will continue to invest in process streamlining and automation, further enabling themselves to manage the challenges of global expansion in an increasingly complex commercial landscape.” — Guillaume Roussel “A central, authoritative source of customer data will allow easy, agile information sharing across teams and geographies...” 4. Global analytics will drive communications worldwide “The cloud will bring a new generation of global insight, allowing companies to scrutinize brand performance, determine content effectiveness, and gain customer insight from across the world. “On the macro level, these analytics will facilitate marketing strategies tailored to an aggregated global insight. On the micro level, predictive, real-time analytics will be used to orchestrate better customer experiences by anticipating and influencing individual interactions. “Ultimately, global cloudbased analytics will drive a seismic shift towards dataand insight-led marketing and sales, guiding both the content and the audience for customer engagement worldwide.” — Jan van den Burg From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology 5. Life sciences IT will move as fast as the business “Historically within life sciences, IT has lagged 9–18 months behind business innovation. IT was inherently limited by the technology that was available. Every time there was a new business need, market shift, or change in regulatory requirements, the enterprise was forced to wait for IT to catch up because systems were difficult to implement and change. As a result, the IT function became reactionary. “Ultimately, this has slowed the pace of innovation and HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events 11 magenta cyan yellow black ES531800_PEGD1114_011.pgs 11.17.2014 23:13 ADV Contents marginalized the impact of technology in life sciences. “Being constantly connected in the cloud, from anywhere, will fuel real-time, data-driven decisions.” “The cloud, however, supports agility and rapid change so IT can stay current and even get ahead of the business to inspire new approaches. In fact, what used to take 18 months can now be accomplished in just a couple of months or weeks by leveraging the cloud. Many global life sciences organizations like J&J, Eli Lilly, and AstraZeneca are realizing the tremendous advantage of shorter innovation cycles thanks to cloud computing. Over the next few years, the entire industry will move a magnitude faster, and IT capabilities will grow in unison with the business for a significant surge in novel, life-enhancing drug therapies.” — Dan Goldsmith 6. The cloud will drive innovation at 5G speeds “Mobile ‘offline’ applications are all the rage these days, but they will one day be obsolete. Fundamental to this disruption is the ability to reliably link any device to the Internet and ensure connectivity at all times. This may seem farfetched when two-thirds of the world’s population still lacks Internet access, and even in developed nations, consistent, seamless online access is a challenge. “Major developments that leverage advancements in technology and materials science are being made to change that. Google’s Project Loon, for example, is an array of high-altitude balloons that form a wireless network to provide Internet access to people in remote areas and in the wake of natural disasters. “Ubiquitous connectivity eliminates the necessity for offline applications — a huge advantage. And being constantly connected in the cloud, from anywhere, will fuel real-time, data-driven decisions.” — Brian Longo Sources 1. PharmaVOICE, “IBM’s Watson and Healthcare,” September 2014 by Robin Robinson. 2. Fox News, “IBM’s Watson Helps Mayo Clinic Match Cancer Patients with Clinical Trials,” September 11, 2014 by Brian Mastroianni. 3. Markets and Markets, North American Cloud Computing Market — Predictions through 2018. Manager of Commercial Cloud; Jan van den Burg, VP, Commercial Strategy, Europe; and Guillaume Roussel, Director of Strategy, Veeva Network, all at Veeva Systems. From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events About the Authors Matt Wallach is President and Co-Founder; Dan Goldsmith is General Manager, Europe; Brian Longo is General 12 magenta cyan yellow black ES531803_PEGD1114_012.pgs 11.17.2014 23:14 ADV Contents ‘Warehousing’ in the HCV Treatment Landscape The battle against hepatitis C (HCV) is a relatively new and highly dynamic one. From the Editor Transparency in Europe Chris Smith and Sarah Brown discuss the HCV treatment landscape and explore why ‘warehousing’ is defining the battle against HCV. T he battle against hepatitis C (HCV) is a relatively new and highly dynamic one. The viral disease was only discovered in the 1980s and, according to WHO estimates, some 3% of the world’s population are now infected with HCV, with more than 170 million chronic carriers. Through the evolution of the disease, different ‘strains’ — known as genotypes — have achieved varying prevalence across different regions; genotype 1 prevails in the USA and Europe, genotype 4 dominates in North Africa and the Middle East, and genotype 3 affects the majority of patients in India and many other Asian countries. A dynamic treatment landscape Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events From initial discovery of the disease to the present day, the approaches used to treat HCV have changed dramatically. The very first non-target13 magenta cyan yellow black exipreess/GettyImages ES531805_PEGD1114_013.pgs 11.17.2014 23:14 ADV Contents specific therapies of interferon and ribavirin (from Roche and Merck) had low cure rates (otherwise known as sustained virological response or SVR rate), long treatment durations (24–48 weeks depending on the genotype) and a poor side effect profile. Today, we have drugs that target specific stages of the HCV life cycle and which have also started to overcome the aforementioned challenges. At the same time, overall HCV treatment remains low. Many carriers remain undiagnosed. Another contributory factor is the high proportion of diagnosed patients with unconventional lifestyles, e.g. drug users. The other explanation lies in the nature of the disease itself. HCV is a slow-progressing disease and can take 10–20 years to show symptoms and do damage. This can result in the lack of a sense of urgency to treat. Given the drugs’ highly unpleasant side-effects and the prospect of newer, more efficacious HCV drugs in the pipeline, some patients and their doctors choose to wait for better treatments. This is known as ‘warehousing’. Some patients and doctors choose to wait for better treatments. This is known as ‘warehousing’. The warehousing phenomenon Back in 2011, Vertex/Janssen’s Incivek and Merck’s Victrelis — the first-generation protease inhibitors or PIs — changed the HCV treatment landscape and proved the occurrence of warehousing beyond a doubt. As the first new HCV treatments to enter the US market in 9 years, they were responsible for a dramatic increase in treatment rates — e.g. in the US, a rise from 19% to 28% in a single quarter (Q4 2011), according to Ipsos Healthcare’s HCV Global Therapy Monitor. Then in 2013, Gilead’s NS5B inhibitor, Sovaldi, and Janssen’s second generation PI, Olysio, arrived on the US market. In the year prior to these launches, US HCV treatment rates had been showing a quarter-on-quarter decline, dropping to just 11% by the time of launch. The period immediately after launch saw treatment rates rise to 17% (Q1 2014). Again, this is a clear indication that doctors were warehousing their patients in anticipation of better treatments. Ipsos’ data also confirms that Sovaldi and Olysio have since delivered significantly higher SVR rates than ever before (c90% of treated patients) and far fewer side effects than with older regimens. A global trend Although the approval dates for the aforementioned treatments have varied on a global scale, the trend of warehousing patients prior to product launches has been mirrored in key markets. Looking first at France and Germany (where local market approval processes mean acute changes in treatment choice), we have observed some slight variances versus the US, but the same overall warehousing activity. Immediately after the first PIs were made available, treatment rates rose but rapidly stabilised and then declined again. Since then, the proportion of warehoused patients has been growing over time. In the lead up to the Sovaldi launch, it peaked at two in three untreated genotype 1 patients in France and one in two in Germany. Following the approval of Sovaldi, treatment rates significantly increased. Turning to Asia and more specifically Japan (where we typically see faster new product approvals than in the EU5), similar trends can be seen in spite of market nuances. Up until July 2014, the proportion of patients From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events 14 magenta cyan yellow black ES531799_PEGD1114_014.pgs 11.17.2014 23:13 ADV Contents on treatment had remained relatively unchanged over time. However, in the run-up to the launches of Daklinza and Sunvepra (also from BMS), the proportion of untreated patients “waiting for better treatments” increased for both genotype 1 and 2 patients. A third round of warehousing? So against this backdrop, what is the state of play today? Is it record HCV treatment levels given the availability of more efficacious and more tolerable products than ever before? Not quite. Returning to our US example, whilst we saw a sharp rise in treatment after last year’s Sovaldi/Olysio launches, it did not equal the 2011 upsurge following the launch of the first generation PIs. This same trend can be seen in other markets, for example in France with the launches of both Sovaldi and, more recently, BMS’ Daklinza. The question is, why haven’t they? The answer is, almost certainly, further warehousing. Despite the growth of warehousing, it is not always a smooth transition to treatment once new products are launched. Around the time of the Sovaldi / Olysio launches, a number of new HCV treatments were in the final stages of the US new products approval process — namely, Gilead’s Harvoni (Sovaldi + ledipasvir), BMS’s Daklinza (already launched in Japan and France), and AbbVie’s 3D regimen. All of these offer the possibility of an alloral treatment for shortened durations and with very tolerable side effect profiles. It appears that doctors are now using the latest products to treat those patients with the most urgent needs, e.g. those with advanced liver damage, or who are strongly motivated to undergo treatment and obtain a cure. Meanwhile, they are still warehousing those patients able to delay treatment, e.g. those with no or little liver damage and slow disease progression. Once again, this is in anticipation of the plethora of products currently in development. US doctors state they are looking towards an all-oral regimen, greater efficacy, and a shortened length of therapy (which the pipeline of HCV treatment is likely to provide in the near future), while in Japan and EU5 the top attribute doctors are looking for is “greater efficacy than PIs”. Accordingly, when we analysed the untreated pool of patients immediately after the launches of Sovaldi and Olysio, we saw that the proportion of patients stated as not being treated due to “waiting for better treatment” had significantly declined. Following this initial decline, however, the proportion of patients now being warehoused prior to Gilead’s Harvoni rises to one in two. Issues and considerations Despite the growth of warehousing, it is not always a smooth transition to treatment once new products are launched. A key challenge that doctors and patients face when evaluating new treatment options is, unsurprisingly, cost. Harvoni, for example, is priced at $94,500 for a 12-week regimen in the United States. This initial outlay could save healthcare systems significant sums by preventing later expenditure on treating the complications of a long term hepatitis C infection (the CDC estimates that HCV-related mortality may increase two to three fold in the next 10 years as patients’ disease advances, which can be prevented with effective treatment). Timely treatment also removes the possibility of transmission. However, it is difficult for healthcare providers to see the benefits of this investment From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events 15 magenta cyan yellow black ES531804_PEGD1114_015.pgs 11.17.2014 23:13 ADV Contents when the return is only gathered gradually over a lifetime. The cost debate has led to a degree of push-back from payers, the latter requiring qualifiers to grant access to treatment — e.g. advanced fibrosis, abstinence from substance abuse for more than 12 months, and doctors needing extensive experience in treating HCV. Patients may also be influenced by cost considerations, with 17% of untreated patients in the US, 23% in the EU and 33% in Japan cited to be refusing treatment at this time. An interesting area to observe closely in the near future will be the pricing strategy of the upcoming pipeline drug launches. With comparable efficacy and side effect profiles, how will the new entrants capture market share? At this time, it is unclear how these products will be priced, but a price war could be on the cards — with patients and payers likely to gain some benefit from the intensified competition. A comprehensive cost/benefit analysis is needed to ensure that treatment is optimally deployed. The future outlook Despite new therapies only coming to market very recently, we have treatment rates that have never reached a maximum threshold before stabilizing. The proportion of patients now waiting for better treatment is increasing, indicating a third round of warehousing. To date, warehousing has helped create a substantial pool of patients now available for newer market entrants. In summary, all signs indicate that warehousing to date has helped create a substantial pool of patients now available for newer market entrants. This will no doubt contribute to what is likely to be a recordbreaking post-launch uptake for Harvoni (launched in the US on October 10th). With several all-oral regimens still awaiting imminent approval — providing doctors with more choice, extremely high efficacy, low pill burden, and shorter treatment durations — we are likely to see the treatment rate change once again. With some promising products still further down the pipeline, namely Merck’s combinations and Achillion’s NS5A and NS3 inhibitors, will we see a fourth round of warehousing? Or a stunted rise until HCV treatment has all the ingredients available on the market? Our view is that Harvoni et al have the attributes that doctors are looking for. They may seek shorter treatment durations, but with such good SVR they are likely to accept a 12-week regimen. So, we may not see further warehousing in its traditional form (simply waiting for better treatments), but a shift to cost- and accessbased warehousing, which would certainly put healthcare systems in a challenging position. Overall, it is unlikely that treatment rates will soar, but the 25% levels we saw following the first gen PIs are probably a realistic expectation. As in all things, only time will tell. Unless otherwise sourced, all treatment data comes from Ipsos HealthcareÕs HCV Global Therapy Monitor. US and EU5 data are collected quarterly (online) and Japan data annually (pen and paper). Doctor/patient sample sizes are as follows: US Ð 150 / 2100; EU5 Ð 240 / 3360; Japan Ð 80 / 800. About the Authors From the Editor Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events Chris Smith is a Senior Manager and Sarah Brown is Research Director, Global Antiviral Therapy Monitors, both at Ipsos Healthcare. 16 magenta cyan yellow black ES531802_PEGD1114_016.pgs 11.17.2014 23:14 ADV Contents Moderation in local industrial production and a slower inflow of foreign capital are causing Brazil’s economic boom to cool off. 17 magenta cyan yellow black Brazil’s Economic Boom to Slow in 2015 From the Editor Transparency in Europe The Brazilian economy is being impacted by internal and external factors, and forecast figures are being quickly revised downwards, writes Hellen Berger. T he Brazilian economy is being impacted by internal and external factors, and forecast figures are being quickly revised downwards. Market research released by Brazil’s Central Bank revised average analysts’ projections for economic growth in 2014 down to 0.70% from 0.90% four weeks earlier(1). In June 2014, the Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) stated that the local economy was projected to grow by 1.8% in 2014. Projection figures keep slipping on a weekly basis (2). The HKTDC research identifies moderation in local industrial production and a slower inflow of foreign capital as reasons for Brazil’s economic boom cooling off after recording growth levels of 7.5% in 2010. The research shows, however, that because there are signs of worldwide Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events Conrado Tramontini/GettyImages ES531768_PEGD1114_017.pgs 11.17.2014 23:11 ADV Contents economic recovery and sustained commodity demand, the economy could see growth of approximately 2.1% in 2015, “as the world economy improves”(2). After hosting the World Cup in 2014, the country’s presidential election in October 2014, and the planning of the Summer Olympics in 2016, the economic situation has become unstable, unpredictable, and uncomfortable for companies, consumers, and investors. These players all await political, social, and economical clarification to go forward with start-ups, investments, and acquisitions, including the pharmaceutical sector. Reasons to be cheerful Analysts believe the sector will continue its growth pattern, however, because of the country’s strong domestic demand and large foreign reserves, as well as wide potential for growth as the Brazilian population ages and becomes wealthier. Specialist Rodrigo Leifert, intelligence analyst at São Paulo-based consulting company Tendências Consultoria Integrada, expects pharmaceutical production to grow approximately 3.8% in 2014, and to maintain a similar growth pattern for the next five years, considering Brazil’s Statistics and Geography Institute (IBGE) projections for the sector. The sector will continue its growth pattern, however, because of Brazil’s strong domestic demand and large foreign reserves... Renato Tamarozzi, executive director of the Brazilian Association of Pharmaceutical Commerce (ABCFARMA), is optimistic for the future of retail sales. Tamarozzi told PharmTech that he expects retails sales of pharmaceutical products to grow approximately 12% in 2014 and believes the twodigit pattern should continue for the next five years. He says Brazil’s growth potential in terms of retail sales could lie in the poorer areas of the country, as these needy areas tend to grow faster than the richer southeast where access to pharmaceutical drugs is easier and the competition is fierce. Public figures from Visiongain’s Brazilian Pharmaceutical Market Report predicts that the country’s pharma market would reach $41.3 billion in 2017, with fast expansion, and by 2024 will be contributing strongly to world medical revenues(3). References 3. Visiongain, Brazilian Pharmaceutical Market Report (Nov. 21, 2013). About the Author From the Editor Hellen Berger is a business correspondent based in São Paulo, Brazil. For the full version of this article, click here. Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing Brazil Pharma Growth Events 1. Brazil Central Bank, Market Report (Aug. 25, 2014). 2. HKTDC, HKTDC Emerging Markets Research (June 11, 2014). 18 magenta cyan yellow black ES531769_PEGD1114_018.pgs 11.17.2014 23:11 ADV EVENTS Contents From the Editor PHARMACEUTICAL COMPLIANCE CONGRESS 2015 January 27–28, 2015: Washington, DC Widely recognized as the most comprehensive, senior-level compliance meeting, CBI’s Pharmaceutical Compliance Congress (PCC) attracts more than 400 industry leaders. With an expert speaking faculty and a who’s-who in compliance in attendance, PCC is the must-attend event for your organization in 2015. ONCOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION AND MARKET ACCESS February 24–25: San Francisco, CA Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology Content includes ACA and their impact of product uptake and pricing; Immunotherapy, nanotechnology, and beyond; US and global oncology product forecasting; and more. HCV Drug Warehousing For further information, visit HTTP:// WWW.CBINET.COM/CONFERENCE/ PC15108#.VDFNK_2DZFM Brazil Pharma Growth For further information, visit http://www.cbinet. com/conference/pc15001#. VDfmqP2dzfM Events Dennis Flaherty/GettyImages Karsten May/GettyImages 19 magenta cyan yellow black ES531806_PEGD1114_019.pgs 11.17.2014 23:14 ADV Contents From the Editor agaliza/Thinkstock Images Transparency in Europe Cloud Technology HCV Drug Warehousing 10TH ANNUAL SUMMIT ON BIOSIMILARS Jan 29–30, 2015: Washington, DC CBI’s Annual Summit on Biosimilars focuses on the assessment of market access, strategies for effective commercialization and options for interchangeability. http://www.cbinet.com/conference/ pc15014#.U-oO5P2dzfM lightkey/GettyImages GLOBAL TRANSPARENCY AND REPORTING CONGRESS April 15–16, 2015: London, UK At this event, experts from across the globe will discuss updates on the EFPIA disclosure code; the status of EFPIA disclosure implementation; communication with HCP on transparency; feedback from the sales force; valuable case studies on managing regional requirements; privacy and data protection implications for reporting; and much more. Brazil Pharma Growth Events For further information, visit HTTP://WWW.CBINET.COM/CONFERENCE/PC15105#. VFEH2PSSWEK 20 magenta cyan yellow black ES531801_PEGD1114_020.pgs 11.17.2014 23:14 ADV August 2014 www.pharmexec.com Global Digest Google Glass UBISTART A new US– France initiative offering payouts the best to Big Datnew a in start-ups Global Digest Mission Pharmaceutical Executive Global Digest provides industry intelligence so managers in the international pharmaceutical community can advance their business, management and marketing practices to gain competitive advantage. 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