Eduardo García - SFERA - Solar Facilities for the European

COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL OF STE PLANTS
Eduardo Garcia Iglesias
Deputy Secretary General of Protermosolar
6‐28‐2012 Almeria
PROTERMOSOLAR
Spanish Solar Thermal Electricity Association
•Protermosolar, founded in 2004, has now more than 100 associated members and covers the whole value chain of the Solar Thermal Electric projects, from research centers to plant constructors along with engineering companies, component manufacturers, promoters, etc.
•All the operating plants in Spain as well as those others which are under construction or in an advanced planning stage in Spain (more than 2500 MW in total) belong to Protermosolar members. •Additionally, the largest operating plants in USA (SEGS, Nevada Solar 1 & Martin) as well as the ISCC in Morocco, Algeria and Egypt and most of the on going projects all around the world have been constructed or are also owned and operated by ESTELA and Protermosolar members. Content
1. Current Situation of Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in the world
Spanish Market 2. Cost of STE
3. Values of STE
4. Future
Current Situation of Solar Thermal
Electricity
(STE) in the world
USA
392 MW (3)
110 MW (1)
2 x 280 MW
250 MW (1)
9000 MW in advanced promotioni China
MENA
4 x 50 MW
MEXICO
1 x 90 MW
3 x 25 MW ISCC
15 MWequiv.
ISCC en Agua Prieta
1000 MW in promotion
1 x 100 MW
1 x 160 MW
India(> 2000 MW)
Programs in many countries
Anouncement in Saudi Arabia
(900
3 x 100
MWMW + 25
Sudáfrica
GW)
3 x 50 MW
Australia
1 x 100
3 x MW
10 MW
Chile
x 50
9 MWt coal1plant
boosting
1 xMW
35 MW in Liddell
MW
(Eskom)
40 MW coal250
plant
boosting
in Kogan Creek
10 MW t (Minería)
Programs
in Chinchilla
Namibia and Bostwana
250 MW Solar
Dawn in
Some hunderts of MW in promotion
40 MW Solar Oasis in Wyalla
Current Situation of Solar Thermal
Electricity (STE) in the world
90% of PTC
Operation
+
Construction
60% with
storage
The only large operational plant
in other European country, apart from Spain
5 MW
Archimede, Sicillia, Italy
Plants in operation in the USA
Kimberlina 5 MW
Bakersfild, California
Nevada Solar One 64 MW
Boulder City, Nevada
Sierra Sun Tower 5 MW
Lancaster, California
SEGS Plants (Total 354 MW)
Mojave desert, California
ISCC 75 MW equiv.
Martin County Florida
CSP as “fuel saver”
Our neighbors:
First Projects in the MENA Region
150 MW ISCC at Hassi R’Mel
470 MW ISCC at Ain Beni Mathar
146 MW ISCC at Kuraymat
100 MW in Abu Dhabi
Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in
Spain a story of success
Based in three main pillars:
Favorable and effective regulatory environment
(in spite of recent events)
Continuous support to R&D
& Educational programs
Capacity and commitment
of our industrial companies
Almeria Solar Platform (PSA) 1978‐2012
Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in
Spain a story of success
Objectives for STE:
PFER 1999‐2010: 200 MW for STE. Global objective of 12% of renewables in primary energy consumption.
PER 2005 – 2010: 500 MW for STE. Review of the PFER 1999‐2010 in order to reach the final objective of 12%.
PER 2011‐2020: 5.079 MW of STE. Global objective of 20% of renewables in primary energy consumption. More than 40% of renewables share in electricity.
Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in
Spain a story of success
Political support:
RD 2366/1994
Regulated Tariff
RD 2818/1998
Regulated Tariff
RD 841/2002
No specific tariff for STE
Review of tariffs and technologies.
Establishment of different groups of technologies. Creation of the solar group (for all solar technologies).
Modification of 2818/1998
Specific group for STE
First specific tariff for STE technology 0,120202 c€/kWh (2002)
Revision of tariffs and technologies
RD 436/2004
Regulated Tariff
Premiums
RD 661/2007
Regulated Tariff
Premiums
RD‐LEY 6/2009
Register of pre assignment
New tariff to boost the development of STE
Objective: 200 MW.
Objective: 500 MW. Increment of Tariffs and Premiums.
Cap & Floor system for the sale of electricity.
Possibility of hybridization with gas and biomass.
Pre register of 2.500 MW of STE power that are under the R.D. 661/2007 scope.
Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in
Spain a story of success
Research and development
Public and private investment in R&D since the early 80´s.
Reference R&D centers: Plataforma Solar de Almeria
Cener
CTAER
Tekniker
Universities …
Current Situation
Spain
• 1st country in installed capacity with 1.581 MW in operation
• 773,5 MW in construction
• 120,4 MW pre assigned to come on line before 2014
2.474,9 MW
By the end of 2013
Current Situation
Spain
www.protermosolar.com
Current Situation
Spain
SOLNOVA 1, 3 and 4 & PS 10 and PS 20
Current Situation
Spain
ANDASOL 1,
2 and 3
Current Situation
Spain
EXTRESOL 1
Current Situation
Spain
LA RISCA, Alvarado
Current Situation
Spain
LA FLORIDA, Alvarado
Current Situation
Spain
PUERTO ERRADO 1
Current Situation
Spain
Villarrobledo
Current Situation
Spain
Lebrija 1
Current Situation
Spain
GEMASOLAR, Fuentes de Andalucía
Current Situation
A success story with important drawbacks
☺ Quick deployment / 400 MW/year in the last 3 years
☺ Relevant macroeconomic impact
☺ Plant references / proven performances Inappropriate and unstable regulatory framework
Reduced learning curve effect
Current Situation
Spain
Records:
•
•
•
Peak production: 1.254 MWh on the 12 of June at 4:00 pm, covering 3,98% of the demand at that point
Day production: 19 GWh on the 13 of July, representing 2,7% of the demand.
Month: Last May STE produced 345 GWh which means 1,7% of the demand.
Breaking records every day…
Content
1. Current Situation of Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in the world 2. Cost of STE
3. Values of STE
4. Future
Cost of STE
50 MW PTC Without storage
Campo Solar
Estructura de inversión (€)
Estructura de inversión (%)
2010
2010
103.019.000
Tubos receptores
Espejos
Juntas rotativas
Unidad hidráulica + control local
Estructura metálica
Cimentación
Montaje de estructura, espejos y tubos receptores:
Movimiento de Tierras
Nave de Montaje
Aceite Térmico
Tuberías de unión de lazos, accesorios, válvulas, etc..
Isla de Potencia
72.899.000
Obra Civil
Equipos Mecánicos (incluyendo turbina de generación)
Equipos Eléctricos
Montaje Mecánico
Montaje Eléctrico
Equipo Instrumentación y Control
Montaje Instrumentación y control
Tubería, Valvulería y Soportes
Otros (Ingeniería, Promoción, etc..)
Estudios previos
Gestión de permisos y licencias
Servicios de ingeniería, dirección de obra, seguridad, salud y calidad
Otros
Total
54,1%
13.160.000
12.446.000
1.050.000
3.629.000
21.067.000
16.128.000
9.979.000
8.250.000
2.082.000
5.808.000
9.420.000
6,9%
6,5%
0,6%
1,9%
11,1%
8,5%
5,2%
4,3%
1,1%
3,0%
4,9%
38,3%
8.933.000
39.037.000
4.457.000
7.102.000
2.723.000
1.871.000
417.000
8.359.000
14.615.000
4,7%
20,5%
2,3%
3,7%
1,4%
1,0%
0,2%
4,4%
7,7%
282.000
279.000
9.282.000
4.772.000
190.533.000
0,1%
0,1%
4,9%
2,5%
100,0%
Cost of STE
50 MW PTC With storage
Estructura de inversión (€)
Campo Solar
2010
145.493.000
53,1%
Tubos receptores
Espejos
Juntas rotativas
Unidad hidráulica + control local
Estructura metálica
Cimentación
Montaje de estructura, espejos y tubos receptores:
Movimiento de Tierras
Nave de Montaje
Aceite Térmico
Tuberías de unión de lazos, accesorios, válvulas, etc..
Almacenamiento con Sales
18.801.000
17.780.000
1.500.000
5.184.000
30.096.000
23.040.000
14.256.000
11.000.000
2.082.000
8.297.000
13.457.000
40.778.000
Depósitos
Intercambiadores de Calor Sales/HTF
Calentadores de Sales
Sales
Obra Civil
Inversión Isla de Potencia
Estudios previos
Gestión de permisos y licencias
6,9%
6,5%
0,5%
1,9%
11,0%
8,4%
5,2%
4,0%
0,8%
3,0%
4,9%
14,9%
11.025.000
4.679.000
999.000
21.000.000
3.075.000
72.899.000
Obra Civil
Equipos Mecánicos (incluyendo turbina de generación)
Equipos Eléctricos
Montaje Mecánico
Montaje Eléctrico
Equipo Instrumentación y Control
Montaje Instrumentación y control
Tubería, Valvulería y Soportes
Otros (Ingeniería, Promoción, etc..)
Estructura de inversión (%)
2010
4,0%
1,7%
0,4%
7,7%
1,1%
26,6%
8.933.000
39.037.000
4.457.000
7.102.000
2.723.000
1.871.000
417.000
8.359.000
14.615.000
3,3%
14,3%
1,6%
2,6%
1,0%
0,7%
0,2%
3,1%
5,3%
282.000
279.000
0,1%
0,1%
Servicios de ingeniería, dirección de obra, seguridad, salud y calidad
9.282.000
3,4%
Otros
4.772.000
1,7%
Total
273.785.000
100,0%
Cost of STE
Comparison with PV and Wind
237
200
150
100
50
68
40
28
0
0.4
Wind 2011
PV 2011
last year
STE today
total
2
Content
1. Current Situation of Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in the world 2. Cost of STE
3. Values of STE
Technical
Macro Economical
4. Future
Values of STE
Availability
Values of STE
The CO2 concern
80% descarbonization means almost total abatement in the Power, Road
Transport and Building sectors
In order to follow the demand curve a great
amount of dispatchable RE power is necessary Source : Roadmap 2050 European Climate Foundation
Some recent data on
production in Spain
Electricity demand and CSP production on July 28th, 2011.
Source REE
Some recent data on
production in Spain
Production along July 2011
Source REE
Values of STE
PV or STE? Both of them, please
STE and PV share the same resource: the sun, but they have such distinct features that comparison in terms of competition is almost impossible. Both are undoubtedly forced to complement each other
Peak Power + Distributed Generation
Dispatchable Power Plants
Today prices should not confuse our perceptions:
Current learning curves correspond to 70 GW for PV and to less than 2 GW for STE
Paradoxically, STE can show much longer track record than PV regarding large plants and STE has much larger capacity factors.
Large deployment of fluent technologies like PV and Wind ‐as of today‐ will result in high curtailment figures and fossil backup support will be required. Therefore they can’t be the only solution for a “carbon free” generation system
Values
Macroeconomic Impact of the Solar Thermal
Electric Sector in Spain
Download: www.protermosolar.com
Available in Spanish and English
Benefits STE
Incentive policy for this technology was
an efficient economic and technological decision for Spain
Premiums: 185 M€
+ Avoiding subsidies for 24000 employees
+ Leadership of the Spanish industry
+ Reducing hourly pool price
+ Regional economical convergence
+ Local taxes Savings in CO2
rights: 5 M€
Savings from replacing imported fossil fuels: 24 M€
Fiscal contribution (S.S. Corporate and personal Taxes : 407 M€
Premiums: 185 M€
Contribution
to GDP: 1650 M€
Other results
Breakdown of GDP
contribution by industry sector
Other results
STE jobs
A very fruitful period in
Spain:A very fruitful period in Spain:
From the first large plants connected in 2008 till the new ones
From the first large plants connected in 2008 till the new ones
Spanish
Foreing
Past situation
Current Capabilities
Technology Development
Component manufacturing
Basic Engineering
Site Development
Project development
EPC
Detailed engineering
Construction
Operation and Maintenance
TOTAL LOCAL CONTENT
50%
80%
Jobs in a typical STE plant
in Spain
(50 MW, 7,5 h. alm.)
2214 one year equivalent jobs on the whole value chain
(promotion, engineering, comp. manufact.,& construction)
47 direct jobs for operation and related services during
its whole life
Values of STE
STE is the only dispachtable renewable technology with potential enough to meet the electricity needs worldwide and to achieve a carbon free generation system
Intermittent RE technologies ‐which has been largely developed until now‐ will cover only a minor part of the supply and they will always require additional investments in back up conventional fossil fuel plants
The cost of STE plants will show important reductions when passing from the current 2 GW installed to the current values of Wind (250 GW) and PV (70 GW)
Local content of STE plants will be the main drivers behind the support policies in many countries of the sun belt
Content
1. Current Situation of Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in the world 2. Cost of STE
3. Values of STE
4. Future
Future
IEA Estimations
Future
Does the current Spanish FiT
reflect the expected STE
generation costs?
Today
Current FiT
for “2007” projects
29,5 c€/kWh
Better DNI locations
Up to 30%
Large deployment,
scale factor from 2 to 50 GW 30%
Constrained learning curve 2007‐2011
15%
Unrestricted plant sizes
20%
c€/kWh ???
New plant designs
20%
Tomorrow
System & Component
innovations
20%
We will make it
but we need to hurry up!
Thank you for your attention!
eduardogiglesias@protermosolar.com
www.protermosolar.com
www.estelasolar.eu
www.stelaworld.org