yakutat community and economic indicators
Transcription
yakutat community and economic indicators
YAKUTAT COMMUNITY AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS prepared for City and Borough of Yakutat prepared by Sheinberg Associates June 2012 Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators Table of Contents INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................................................1 ECONOMIC STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES .............................................................................1 Strengths, Assets and Competitive Advantages ............................................................. 1 Weaknesses and Challenges ........................................................................................... 2 DEMOGRAPHICS ..............................................................................................................4 GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS .......................................................................................5 TOP ECONOMIC SECTORS ...................................................................................................7 Top Employers ................................................................................................................ 8 GOVERNMENT ................................................................................................................9 COMMERCIAL FISHING AND SEAFOOD PROCESSING ...................................................................9 Seafood Processing ....................................................................................................... 11 VISITOR INDUSTRY ......................................................................................................... 12 Sports Fishing in Yakutat ............................................................................................... 12 Yakutat Passenger Transportation................................................................................ 14 TOTAL RESIDENT INCOME ................................................................................................ 15 Mailbox Economy.......................................................................................................... 15 Subsistence ................................................................................................................... 16 MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENT TRENDS .................................................................................... 16 COST OF LIVING ............................................................................................................. 17 Housing ......................................................................................................................... 18 Energy ........................................................................................................................... 19 Electricity Use................................................................................................................ 20 INTRODUCTION The City and Borough of Yakutat asked Sheinberg Associates to assist it with three related tasks in 2012 to help the Assembly set strategic direction for the community. 1. Prepare updated Community and Economic Indicators report; 2. Develop a Tool to Track and easily review ongoing Capital Improvement Projects; and 3. Facilitate one or more Strategic Planning and Direction-Setting sessions. This Community and Economic Indicators Report is the first deliverable for this project. ECONOMIC STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES Strengths, Assets and Competitive Advantages 1. A fishing community since its inception, Yakutat has a rich and healthy seafood economy. Despite its small size it is the 53rd top 100 U.S. port based on seafood volume. 2. When all types of government employment are combined this is Yakutat’s top economic sector, accounting for more than a third of all wages. Government generally provides steady year round employment, which supplements Yakutat’s other top sectors that are more seasonal: commercial fishing and seafood processing and tourism. 3. Yakutat is attractive to high-end independent travelers due to its world-class sports fishing and other unique attributes such as surfing. Despite the recent decline in tourism to the area due to the global recession, tourism is likely to increase again over the next couple years. 4. Yakutat is served twice daily by the Alaska Airlines jet, and is the smallest community in Alaska to receive this high level of service. 5. Yakutat has one of the strongest subsistence economies of Alaska’s coastal areas. The region is rich with abundant food resources. 6. Diversified Personal Income: There are a number of self-employed individuals in Yakutat. Approximately 11% of all personal income coming to Yakutat is from self-employment (31% of all employment related income is through self-employment). Yakutat’ “Mailbox Economy” is also significant, with 35% of the community’s total income coming from sources that include retirement, dividends, interest and rent. 7. Yakutat has opportunities for alternative energy in bio-mass, tidal and wave energy as well solar and wind, which could provide some relief to high power and heating costs if developed. 8. Yakutat has a successful history of grant-writing and obtaining project funding. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 1 9. The dynamic forelands environment and complex glacial system is unique generating high level academic and research interest. Portions of two national parks and the largest national forest are within the Borough. 10. There is a vibrant Tlingit culture. Weaknesses and Challenges 1. The community has lost 18% of its population over the last decade. 2. Yakutat is the most remote community in the State; the closest neighboring community is 150 air miles away (Haines, via Canada). Yakutat is approximately 225 miles northwest of Juneau and 220 miles southeast of Cordova. All commerce and access must occur via air or sea, which is expensive. 1 3. If the Hubbard Glacier causes a washout of the Situk River system the fisheries here could be lost for many years. 4. Fishing and processing jobs are a key economic sector, leaving the Yakutat economy vulnerable to pricing and harvest fluctuations that are outside of local control. 5. Ongoing conflict between commercial and sports fishermen in the Tsiu River area is damaging. 6. Yakutat’s diesel based power rates of $.49 per kWh (small commercial rate for May 2012) make it difficult to attract new businesses. 7. The economy is seasonal. The number of those employed in Yakutat’ increases 67% in the summer. 8. While overall employment is up over the decade, employment and payroll have declined since 2006. 9. Wages are low compared to other places. 10. Almost three-quarters of schoolchildren (73%) qualify for free lunch (less than $36,222 for family of four). The number getting free lunches has increased significantly in recent years, pointing to an increase in families at or near poverty levels. 11. Approximately 20% of housing stock is in poor condition. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 2 OVERVIEW: YAKUTAT BOROUGH COMMUNITY AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS DEMOGRAPHICS Population 2 Net In-Migration 3 Median Age 4 Births K-12 School District Enrollment 5 Number of Permanent Fund Dividend Applications 6 Number Dwelling Units (Borough-wide) 7 Of total, number seasonally occupied dwelling units Number of Dwelling Units in Yakutat CDP Number Residential Electric Customers 8 GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS Total Labor Force9 Total Payroll (includes self-employed) 10 Total Private Sector Payroll Average Wage 11 Unemployment Rate 12 Student Free Lunch Eligibility (% of students) (2006 & 2012) 13 TOTAL RESIDENT INCOME IN YAKUTAT BOROUGH 14 Borough Income from Mailbox (% of total income 15 ) Borough Income from Wage & Salary (w adjustments & supplements) Borough Income from Proprietors & Self-employment TOP ECONOMIC SECTORS 16 Government 18 Government earnings as a % of all earnings Total Government Payroll Government Employment Commercial Fishing & Seafood Seafood earnings as a % of total earnings 19 Seafood (processing + comm. fishing) earnings 20 Fishermen and Crew (Yakutat Residents) 21 Seafood Processing Jobs 22 Yakutat Pounds Landed (comm. pounds) 23 Estimated Gross Earnings (Ex-Vessel Value)24 State Shared Fisheries Business & Landing Taxes 25 Number commercial vessels homeported 26 June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators 2010 662 -7 39.7 9 117 628 450 2000 808 -74 37.2 8 167 698 499 131 178 383 271 2010 300 $15.2 million $9.9 million $33,422 11.0% 385 232 2006 311 $16.4 million $12.1 million $32,659 9.6% -26% -0.5% 17% % CHANGE -4% -7% -18% 2% 1.4% 73% 50% 23% 2009 YAKUTAT 35% 2009 JUNEAU 32% 2009 ALASKA 31% 54% 64% 60% 11% 4% 17 2010 2006 Top Industry 35% 26% $5.4 million $4.3 million 142 142 Second Industry 23% 19% $3.5 million $3.1 million 177 170 82 92 3.2 million 2.0 million $4.3 million $212,917 111 $2.6 million $171,676 109 % CHANGE -18% -91% 7% 13% -30% -10% -10% 9% % CHANGE 9% 26% 0% 4% 12% 4% -11% 61% 66% 24% 2% page 3 Tourism Sector Tourism Wages as a % of all earnings 27 Total Tourism Wages 28 Bed, Rental Vehicle & Sales Tax 29 Sports Fishing Anglers 30 Total Sports Fish Harvested MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENT TRENDS Full True Value (real & personal prop. values) 31 Property Tax Revenue 32 YAKUTAT PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION Total Passenger Arrivals Alaska Airline Passenger Arrivals 33 AMHS Passengers Arrivals 34 Air Freight Arrival (in pounds) 35 Third Industry 19% 23% $2.8 million $3.7 million $766,519 $913,967 7,119 7,304 41,456 38,585 2010 2000 $69.7 million $44.6 million $ 402,753 $227,656 2010 2006 10,131 11,431 9,828 11,247 303 184 852,593 1,186,983 -4% -24% -16% -3% 7% % CHANGE 56% 77% % CHANGE -11% -13% 65% -28% DEMOGRAPHICS In 2011, Yakutat had 656 residents. Aside from a few unusual years, the population of Yakutat has been slowly declining since 1997—the peak year for population and employment in the borough. Since 1997, the borough population has declined by 20 percent. Much of this decline is associated with the descent and ultimate closure of the Icy Bay logging camp—located outside of the Yakutat community—in late 1990’s and early 2000’s.36 In contrast to the significant population decline of the Borough, the population of the Yakutat Census Designated Place (which excludes Icy Bay) only dropped 3% since 2000. Yakutat Borough Population, 1990-2011 662 656 2010 2011 686 2008 744 677 712 2006 2007 708 731 2004 2005 732 712 750 808 729 799 775 727 707 2003 600 680 650 722 700 705 750 770 800 822 850 550 500 450 2009 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 400 Source: US Census 2010 and ADOLWD June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 4 In the last decade, the number of Yakutat births ranged from one to ten (with nine between 2010 and 2011), while deaths ranged between one and six. Between 2008 and 2010, 13 more people moved from Yakutat to elsewhere in Alaska than those who moved to Yakutat (65 moved to Yakutat, 78 moved away). More migration (both in and out) happens between Yakutat and Juneau, than with any other community. Anchorage and Bristol Bay are other top in/out migration destinations. Based on available data, most in/out migration appears to occur within Alaska. 37 The age makeup of Yakutat is changing. Those 55 and older represented more than a quarter of the population (26%) in 2010, up from 14% in 2000. However—unlike the rest of Southeast Alaska—the Yakutat median age actually decreased slightly between 2005 and 2010 (from 39.9 to 39.7). Residents between the ages of 30 and 54 accounted for nearly half the population of the Yakutat Borough (48%) in 2000—that proportion fell to just over a third (36%) in 2010. Change in Population Distribution by Age, 2000-2010 2000 50% 2010 48% 40% 36% 30% 20% 26% 23% 19% 10% 19% 15% 14% 0% 0-14 15-30 30-54 55+ Source: ADOLWD, US Census analysis by Sheinberg Associates. In Yakutat, Alaska Natives/American Indians comprise half of the population. This is significantly higher than state average (19%) or Southeast Alaska regional average (22%). GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS Yakutat’s economic history over the last three decades or so has been similar to the story of most of Southeast Alaska. Until the mid-1990’s, Southeast Alaska had enjoyed nearly a century of growth. At this point, the regional timber industry began to decline and significant regional timber mill closures eliminated a major source of year round employment substantially affecting the economic health of the region including Yakutat. The economic prosperity in the Yakutat Borough peaked in 1997. In 1997, 119 jobs in the Yakutat Borough were forestry and logging related employment. By 1998, that number had decreased to 58 and by 2002 the average employment for that industry was four due to the June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 5 closure of the Icy Bay logging camp about 70 miles northwest of Yakutat and reduced timber harvest in the Yakutat community. The chart on the next page shows standard Alaska Department of Labor wages and employment in the City and Borough of Yakutat between 1993 and 2010, and wages that have been inflation-adjusted to 2010 dollars.38 This chart shows that over the last decade wages to the community have been flat but the spending power of those wages has not kept up with inflation. Using inflation adjusted dollars, between 2000 and 2010 the average wage actually fell by eight percent. Yakutat Borough Employment and Wages, 1993 to 2010 Employment (number of jobs) Wages Inflation adjusted Wages 25,000,000 500 19,000,000 17,000,000 15,000,000 300 13,000,000 11,000,000 200 9,000,000 Total Wages 21,000,000 400 7,000,000 5,000,000 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 100 1993 Total Employment 23,000,000 Source: ADOLWD; Anchorage Alaska Consumer Price Index (CPI) Yakutat wages are among the lowest in Alaska; the average annual wage in Yakutat Borough is the fifth lowest among Alaska’s 29 boroughs and census areas. The average annual Alaska wage is 46% higher than the average Yakutat wage. Yakutat’s average 2011 unemployment rate was 10.7%, higher than the state average of 7.6% for 2011, and the national rate of 8.9%. On average of 32 persons per month were looking for work in Yakutat in 2011 (ranging from 23 to 41, depending on the month). 39 Like many places in Southeast Alaska today, another trait of the Yakutat economy is its seasonality. In September 2010, the month with peak employment, employment was 410; in November, when employment is at its lowest just two months later, there were 245 employees, a reduction of 40%. This is not surprising in that two of Yakutat’s top three sectors are seasonal: seafood and tourism. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 6 TOP ECONOMIC SECTORS The three major sectors of the Yakutat economy are Government, Seafood (seafood processing, commercial fishing), and Tourism. Earnings from these three sectors account for 77% of all work related income. Retail is the fourth largest Yakutat sector. The chart below and the table on the following page combine standard wage and employment data from the Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development (ADOLWD) with US Census Non-employer data, in order to account for self-employment. Approximately 31% of all earned income was from self-employment in 2009, with 138 Yakutat resident’s reported selfemployment income to the IRS. (This type of analysis is especially important in Yakutat due to the high number of self-employed commercial fishermen). Yakutat Borough Annual Income (Wages & Self-Employment) by Industry, 2009-2010 State Government 5% Tourism (includes transportation) 19% Retail 5% Membership Organizations 3% Federal Government 11% Local and Tribal Government 19% Finance & Business 4% Hunting and forestry 2% Other (ADOL): Construction, Forestry, Health 3% Commercial Fishing and Seafood Processing 23% Other(Census): Retail, Education, Recreation, other 6% Source: Sheinberg Associates using ADOLWD (2010); US Census Non-employer data (2009) June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 7 Yakutat Borough Annual Work-Related Income and Employment (Employment & self-employment combined) by Industry, 2009-2010 INDUSTRY Commercial Fishing and Seafood Processing Local Government Tourism (includes transportation)* Federal Government Retail* State Government Finance & Business Membership Organizations Hunting and forestry* Construction* Non-disclosed Census: Trade, Education, Recreation, other Non-disclosed ADOL: Forestry, Construction, Fish Processing, Health Total WORK-RELATED INCOME $3,502,006 $2,902,913 $2,843,633 $1,752,998 $725,894 $711,384 $649,397 $464,134 $288,000 $161,000 $966,000 PERCENT OF TOTAL 23% 19% 19% 11% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 6% EMPLOYMENT 115 94 83 33 38 15 21 15 7 4 21 PERCENT OF TOTAL $304,225 2% 7 2% $15,271,584 100% 453 100% 25% 21% 18% 7% 8% 3% 5% 3% 2% 1% 5% *Total jobs and wages are slightly higher in this category. Some of the amounts in this category are classified, and full totals could not be calculated. Overall totals are accurate. Sources: ADOLWD Employment and Wage Data 2010; US Census 2009 Non-employer Statistics; ADOL Seafood Processing Workforce and Wages by Borough 2009. Note: Data in some categories was not disclosed due to the small amount of employments/employers and confidentiality requirements. Top Employers 40 Yakutat’s top employer for 2010 was the Yakutat Tlingit Tribe, while the top private employer was Yakutat Seafoods. Yakutat Borough’s top ten employers are: Top 10 Yakutat Borough Employers, 2010 (Residents Only) 1. Yakutat Tlingit Tribe 2. City and Borough of Yakutat 3. Yakutat School District 4. Yakutat Seafoods 5. Mallotts General Store 6. State of AK 7. AK Commercial Co. 8. Glacier Bear Lodge 9. Yakutat Tlingit Tribe Non-profit 10. Alaska Airlines Source: Alaska Local and Regional Information (ALARI) June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 8 GOVERNMENT Government is Yakutat’s largest economic sector, accounting to just over a third of all work related earnings and jobs in 2010. These are typically year-round family-wage jobs that are a critical stabilizing factor in the local economy. There were 142 government employees in the Yakutat Borough in 2010. Between 2006 and 2010, the proportion of total local work related earnings represented by government grew significantly—from 26% to 35%. Local and Tribal government accounted for 19% of all work related income in the Yakutat Borough in 2010 with the top three employers being Yakutat Tlingit Tribe, the City and Borough of Yakutat, and the Yakutat School District. The federal government accounted for 11% of all work related income in the Yakutat Borough in 2010. The top federal employer is the US Forest Service, followed by the Transportation Security Administration, and NOAA. The State of Alaska is responsible for just five percent of total employment income in Yakutat. The two State offices located in Yakutat include Alaska Department of Fish and Game, and the Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities. COMMERCIAL FISHING AND SEAFOOD PROCESSING Yakutat is now, and has historically been, a fishing community. Seafood related employment represents the most important private sector industry in Yakutat. Seafood wages—seafood processing wages plus commercial fishermen earnings—represent nearly a quarter (23%) of all local job related income. To compare, regionally, seafood earnings account for 13% of all wages. The largest private sector employer in the Yakutat Borough is Yakutat Seafoods. With such a high local dependence on commercial fishing, Yakutat is especially impacted by the annual changes to seafood values and abundance. Over the past two decades, there have been several cycles of high and low earnings years in the seafood industry. Earnings from recent years are significantly below the historical highs of previous decades (the 1980s and 1990s), but they represent a significant recovery from the early 2000’s.41 Between 2006 and 2010, most fisheries indicators were up in Yakutat, including the number of Yakutat commercial fishermen; total commercial seafood pounds landed, along with the ex-vessel value of that catch. The number of local seafood processors was up along with total seafood processing wages; pounds processed; and total value of seafood processed. The total sports fishing harvest was up as well. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 9 Yakutat Commercial Fishing & Seafood Statistics, 2000-2010 Yakutat (unique) permit holders 1 162 Yakutat Fishermen (who fished) 1 126 126 125 137 139 137 140 12% 46 45 45 53 29 52 37 -18% 172 171 170 190 168 189 177 4% 1,805,955 NA 2,006,779 2,352,615 2,167,409 2,225,685 3,236,462 61% $1,372,739 NA $2,559,788 $3,218,027 $3,266,486 $2,374,205 $4,261,390 66% 139 115 109 110 118 109 111 2% $137,327 $35,973 $152,850 $200,086 $244,777 $237,966 $169,470 11% 240 114 92 130 97 97 82 -11% 52 48 58 93 64 64 52 -10% $1,653,036 $987,877 $936,947 $1,321,407 $1,243,194 $1,233,339 $1,440,006 54% NA 78 78 89 68 81 NA 4% NA $1,987,000 $2,185,000 $2,808,000 $2,295,000 $2,062,000 NA 4% NA (100+) 73rd 50th 49th 64th 58th 53rd +3 places 2 Total Yakutat Residents who Fished 1, 2 1 Yakutat Pounds Landed (comm pounds) Total Ex-vessel Value 1 Commercial Vessels Home Ported in Yakutat 3 State Shared Business & Landing Fish Taxes to 8 CBY 5 Seafood Processing jobs Yakutat Residents 5 5 Seafood Processing wages Individual Yakutat Fishermen Tax Returns Self-employment commercial fisheries 9 wages 7 US Port rank (based on volume) 9 2006 163 2007 159 2008 163 2009 156 2010 153 CHANGE 2006-2010 -6% 2005 161 Yakutat Crew 2000 Sources: 1. Commercial fishing permit activity, estimated harvest and earnings by permit holders are from AK Commercial Fishery Entry Commission (CFEC) at: http://www.cfec.state.ak.us/gpbycen/2010/mnu.htm 2. Crew numbers are from ADF&G 2010 Crew license list, as reported to CFEC. 3. Vessel home port numbers are from CFEC – online at http://www.cfec.state.ak.us/plook/ 4. 2010 Population figures used to calculate percentage of resident skippers who fished plus crew is from DCCED AK Community Information Database online at: http://www.dced.state.ak.us/dca/commdb/CF_COMDB.htm 5. Processor Employment and Wages Data from ADOL http://labor.alaska.gov/research/seafood/statewide/AKSFPBorca.pdf 6. Processor 1st wholesale value by Census Area 2009 provided by Alaska Seafood Marketing Institute 7. National rank and NOAA total landings and value for selected ports is from NOAA Fisheries Office of Science & Technology:http://www.st.nmfs.noaa.gov/st1/commercial/index.html 8. Shared fish taxes from 2010 Dept of Revenue Shared Taxes report www.tax.alaska.gov/programs/sourcebook/index.aspx 9. Self-employment wages and numbers of fishers from U.S. Census Nonemployer Statistics (the US Census coordinates this information with Internal Revenue Service tax return data. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 10 In terms of fisheries taxes, Yakutat receives a share of the State’s fishery business tax based on how much processing occurs in the Borough—$390,043 in FY11; Yakutat has a fish tax ($35,665 in 2010), and a fish landing tax (21,052 in FY11). Each of these taxes were higher than in 2006. In the list of top 100 U.S. ports based on volume for 2010, Yakutat was 53rd. Seafood Processing Canneries and land-based seafood processors in Yakutat in 2010 included Alsek Fish, Captains Select Seafoods, Mystic Salmon, Yakutat Fisherman, and Yakutat Seafoods. Nearly five million pounds of seafood was processed at those facilities in 2010, with a wholesale value of $22.6 million, representing a 44% increase in net weight, and a near doubling of wholesale value over 2009. Seafood Production at Shorebased Plants in the Yakutat Borough, 2000 through 2010 YEAR 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2002 2001 2000 Change 2005-2010 PROCESSOR COUNT 4 5 5 6 5 5 2 3 3 3 -20% NET WEIGHT 4,951,930 3,507,595 4,274,792 4,954,834 4,221,196 3,433,652 Confidential 3,403,309 3,653,061 5,474,116 44% WHOLESALE VALUE $22,602,613 $11,383,943 $19,980,730 $20,851,020 $14,222,824 $10,439,995 Confidential $7,530,398 $8,302,992 $12,824,254 117% Source: ADF&G COAR Production database; Run 4/27/2012 Note: Borough is based on the port reported on the Intent to Operate. Yakutat Borough includes YAK (Yakutat). Wholesale value is reported in nominal dollars. Information is masked as confidential where fewer than 3 processors are reflected in the data. In 2010, there were 82 total seafood-processing workers in Yakutat who earned $1.44 million. This represents a 15% decrease in number of worker from 2009, but a 17% increase in earnings. Processor workforce and wages fell after 2000. Between 2000 and 2006, the number workers declined by 62%, and wages fell by 43%. Unlike many other communities, seafood processing jobs in Yakutat are largely held by Yakutat residents. Over the past five years, two-thirds of all Yakutat processing jobs held by Yakutat residents, compared to one-third of all seafood processing jobs regionally. 42 June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 11 Yakutat Seafood Processing Workforce 2005-2010 YEAR 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2000 Change 2000-2010 Change 2000-2006 PROCESSING WORKERS 82 97 97 130 92 114 240 -66% -62% PROCESSING WAGES $1,440,006 $1,233,339 $1,243,194 $1,321,407 $936,947 $987,877 $1,653,036 -13% -43% Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section. Note: Worker count does not differentiate between part-time, full-time, or temporary employment. VISITOR INDUSTRY Tourism related employment represents the third most important economic sector in Yakutat. Visitor industry related wages—leisure, hospitality, recreation, accommodation, and transportation—represent 19% of all local wages. To compare, regionally, visitor industry earnings account for 10% of all wages. The Yakutat area offers abundant recreation and opportunities for visitors. Much of the tourism in Yakutat is related to the areas sports fishing due to Yakutat’s renowned freshwater stream fishing. In the Yakutat Borough there are 41 businesses that provide lodging of some type, of these 27 are in the community and 14 are elsewhere within the Borough. There are 12 U.S. Forest Service cabins. Yakutat has also become a draw to surfers, due to its location on the outer coast and world-class surfing conditions. Alaska’s first surf shop opened in Yakutat in 1999. Cruise ships travel along the coast and into Yakutat and Disenchantment Bay, but do not stop and passengers do not disembark in Yakutat Borough. Sports Fishing in Yakutat Sports fishing, as noted, is popular with visitors to Yakutat, generating Borough revenue and contributing to sales to businesses and sales taxes. Sportfishing in Yakutat occurs throughout the Borough, from Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling. A wide variety of sport fishing opportunities exist in the Yakutat area. All five species of salmon are available in both fresh and salt water. Resident trout and Dolly Varden are present in many stream and lake systems. Yakutat Bay and the inner islands provide a wide variety of marine fish species such as halibut, salmon, rockfish, lingcod, and smelt. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 12 Yakutat Sportfish Anglers and Days Fished, 2000-2010 YEAR 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2000 Change 2000-2010 Change 2005-2010 ANGLERS 7,119 5,527 7,171 7,979 7,304 7,374 5,592 27% -3% DAYS FISHED 34,565 26,832 34,348 45,366 43,634 37,923 30,209 14% -9% AVG. DAYS PER ANGLER 4.9 4.9 4.8 5.7 6.0 5.1 5.4 -10% -6% Source: Alaska Sport Fishing Survey. Survey Area H. All waters of Alaska, including drainages, from but not including, Cape Suckling to and including Cape Fairweather. http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/sf/sportfishingsurvey/index.cfm?ADFG=area.home In 2010, 7,119 anglers participated in Yakutat sports fishing, each spending an average of five days fishing in the area. The number of those sports fishing in Yakutat rose until its peak in 2007, when it declined through 2009. Most tourism in the region experienced similar declines due to the global recession. Yakutat Sportfish Harvest (number of fish kept) Estimates by Species, 2000-2010 50,000 King Sockeye 40,000 Pink and Chum Coho 30,000 Rockfish Lingcod 20,000 Halibut 10,000 Dolly Varden Other 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Alaska Sport Fishing Survey. Survey Area H. All waters of Alaska, including drainages, from but not including, Cape Suckling to and including Cape Fairweather. http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/sf/sportfishingsurvey/ Over the last decade, the five species of salmon represented slightly more than threequarters (77%) of the sports fishing harvest in the region, with Coho alone representing nearly half (48%) of the total harvest during that ten year period. Rockfish harvests June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 13 have changed the most over the past decade—representing nine percent of the total sports fishing harvest in 2010—up from just two percent of the total harvest in 2000. In terms of total harvest (number of fish) the peak year for sports fishing in Yakutat was 2003. Yakutat Passenger Transportation Another component of the Yakutat visitor industry is evidenced by the three main forms of passenger transportation: Alaska Airlines jet service, small plane service, and Alaska Marine Highway System (AMHS) service. Alaska Airlines is the only passenger airlines with scheduled stops in Yakutat. Alaska Airlines serves Yakutat with two daily flights, one northbound and one southbound. Yakutat is the smallest community with this level service. In 2010, 9,828 passengers arrived in Yakutat via Alaska Airlines. This represents a decrease of 17% from 2005, but up three percent from the previous year. Arriving Alaska Air Passengers, Freight, and Mail, 2005-2010 YEAR 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Change 2005-2010 Change 2009-2010 POUNDS OF FREIGHT 1,191,858 1,186,983 1,217,265 1,172,777 918,768 852,593 -28% -7% POUNDS OF MAIL 313,786 288,936 298,489 271,701 251,516 232,022 -26% -8% TOTAL ARRIVING PASSENGERS 11,820 11,247 11,225 10,776 9,587 9,828 -17% 3% Source: Bureau of Transportation. Yakutat Coastal Airlines (YCA) and Alsek Air Service also provide passenger charter service to Yakutat and within the area. Freight and mail also come to and from Yakutat via Alaska Central Express (ACE), which provides scheduled cargo flights, passenger and cargo charters. (Passenger charters figures from Alsek, YCA and ACE are not included in the above table.) Alaska Marine Highway ferry service to Yakutat began in Yakutat in 1998. Yakutat is unique in that it is served only on the cross-gulf route. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 14 294 2011 250 303 276 300 2010 Arriving Ferry Passengers, 1997-2010 161 2009 184 162 148 2004 2008 140 2007 2006 2005 73 2002 52 1999 2001 30 1998 2000 0 0 1997 50 66 104 100 2003 150 158 200 Source: AMHS Annual Traffic Volume Reports TOTAL RESIDENT INCOME Mailbox Economy43 In Yakutat, job and self-employment income accounts for only about 65% of total personal income. The 35% mailbox income to Yakutat comes primarily from dividends, interest and retirement payments. Total Personal Income: City and Borough of Yakutat, 2009 Earnings by Place of Work (adjusted) 65% "Mailbox" income (retirement, dividends, interest, rent) 35% June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 15 Subsistence While not part of the local cash economy, subsistence activities are critically important to the overall Yakutat economy, lifestyle and culture. Data on subsistence shows documented by Yakutat Tlingit Tribe and ADF&G shows subsistence use in Yakutat to be one of the highest for any community along the Gulf of Alaska coast. Nearly all (91%) subsistence foods harvested in the Yakutat Borough are seafood. According to NOAA: Of the subsistence resource total, 54 percent was salmon, 19 percent was nonsalmon fish, 4 percent was land mammals, 8 percent was marine mammals, 1 percent was birds and eggs, 10 percent was marine invertebrates, and 4 percent was vegetation. 44 Yakutat residents use a stretch of about 200 miles of coastline, most of it within the Borough, for subsistence. Three comprehensive studies of subsistence use in Yakutat from 2000, 1987 and 1984, tracked this (Yakutat Tlingit Tribe and Subsistence Division of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game, 2000; Subsistence Division of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game, 1987 and 1984). These studies found: • Over 95% of Yakutat households use/receive subsistence resources. • Average household harvests for 2000, 1987 and 1984 are (respectively) 1,045, 1,385, and 1,107 pounds. • Total estimated per capita subsistence harvest has remained virtually the same over the last two decades at 385 pounds per capita for 2000. • The total estimated salmon harvest for household use by residents of Yakutat was 16,081 fish in 2000. • If these subsistence resources had been purchased at a grocery store, at an average of even $3 a pound, the value to each household in 2010 (using 2000 subsistence harvest numbers, and 270 households) the value would be $846,450 annually. MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENT TRENDS Total Yakutat taxes peaked in 2008—due, in-part, to a one-year severance tax on timber harvest—but 2008 was also the top year for sales tax receipts in Yakutat. Yakutat is the only community in Southeast Alaska with a local fish tax, and it applies to salmon rather than to fish in general (and thus does not apply to groundfish). June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 16 Yakutat Borough Taxes, 1996-2011 Other $1,600,000 $1,400,000 Fish Tax $1,200,000 $1,000,000 Bed and Vehicle Rental Tax Combined Real and Personal Property Tax $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 Sales Tax YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2000 Change 2001-2011 Change 2010-2011 Top Year BED & VEHICLE RENTAL TAX COMBINED $129,195 $116,288 $165,053 $42,364 56% 11% 2006 BOROUGH REAL & PERSONAL FISH TAX PROPERTY TAX $35,665 $402,302 $24,747 $402,753 $27,967 $400,831 $28,748 $227,656 99% 51% 44% 0% 2011 2010 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 $0 SALES TAX $668,760 $650,231 $742,752 $541,116 4% 3% 2008 TOTAL $1,235,922 $1,194,019 $1,336,603 $839,884 23% 4% 2008 Source: Alaska Taxable, DCCED COST OF LIVING Comprehensive cost of living surveys are not generally conducted in Yakutat; however, the 2008 Alaska Geographic Differential Study, conducted by the McDowell Group included a Yakutat cost of living analysis in a group with several smaller Southeast towns. 45 According to the findings of this study: • Food costs in Yakutat are 22% higher than Anchorage; • Transportation is 19% more expensive; • Clothing is 21% more expensive; • Household furnishing and appliances were 34% higher. • Housing is considerably less expensive—just two-thirds the cost of housing in Anchorage. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 17 Since housing represents a third of the total cost of living expenditures, the overall cost of living in Yakutat—according to this study—was just two percent higher compared to the base City of Anchorage. Housing There are 450 housing units in the Yakutat Borough, 40% of which (270) are occupied.46 All of the occupied housing units are within the Yakutat Census Designated Place (CDP)—which encompasses the populated areas of the Yakutat Borough. Of the 180 vacant units, 131 are used for seasonal and/or recreational use. An issue facing Yakutat is the condition of the housing stock. In 2004, 20% of the housing in town was “poor or very poor”, while 57% was in “good” condition and 23% was considered “fair”.47 In 2010, anecdotal evidence suggests that while several higher end homes have been built, there is still about 20% of the housing stock in “poor or very poor” condition. 48 The amount of housing stock in the Yakutat Borough as a whole declined by 10% between 2000 and 2010 (499 units to 450 units); however, the number of housing units in the Yakutat CDP declined by just one unit (less than one percent). The decline in housing units for the Borough is likely associated with the decline of Icy Bay logging camp. According to the Office of the State Assessor, the locally assessed value of all property in Yakutat in 2011 was $44.5 million. This was a 9.6% increase over 2010, but the tax roll had been mostly flat for the four previous years. The state’s full and true value (FTV) assessment for Yakutat in 2011 was $69.5 million; it has been slowly growing. Locally Assessed Property Value, 2000-2011 $50,000,000 $44,476,440 40,566,513 40,167,917 40,388,301 40,133,391 $35,248,583 $34,747,808 35,100,508 34,726,108 35,773,985 33,207,570 29,086,980 $45,000,000 $40,000,000 $35,000,000 $30,000,000 $25,000,000 $20,000,000 $15,000,000 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $10,000,000 Source: Alaska Taxable, DCCED June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 18 Energy High energy prices pose a challenge to economic development. Yakutat relies on diesel generation to meet its energy needs. Electricity costs are high due to the cost of both diesel fuel and its transshipment. While residential electricity costs are partially offset by the Power Cost Equalization program, commercial and industrial users face higher rates. In May of 2012, for example, the small commercial rate in Yakutat was $0.49 per kWh. 49 For the same amount of electricity, a Juneau small business owner pays $0.13 per kWh; although a small commercial customer in Tenakee Springs (another community powered only by diesel) pays $0.75 per kWh. Small Commercial kWh Rate May 2012 $0.75 Tenakee Springs IPEC Communities: Hoonah, Kake, Chilkat Valley, Angoon, and Klukwan. $0.61 $0.49 Yakutat $0.44 Cordova $0.13 Juneau $- $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 Note: These rates are based on 1,500 kWh use by a small commercial business during the month of May 2012. Rates vary month to month, due to changing fuel surcharges. Sources: Inside Passage Electrical Cooperative (IPEC); City of Tenakee Springs; Yakutat Power; AEL&P; Cordova Electric Cooperative Fuel is delivered to Yakutat via barge year-round and stored in bulk at the Delta Western tank farm. Fuel is delivered by truck to Yakutat Power, local businesses and residents. In the long term, fuel prices are expected to remain high and continue to apply increased economic pressure on this remote community. 50 In May of 2012, the residential electricity cost in Yakutat was 51 cents per kWh, a 93% increase (nearly doubling) from 27 cents in FY02 1. This price increase followed national fuel cost trends. Fuel prices lowered temporarily in 2009 due to the global recession, which caused demand for energy to shrink. 1 For 2012, 26.7 cents/kWh is the published rate, and the remaining 24.8 cents/kWh is the fuel surcharge. June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 19 Yakutat Residential Electricity Rate, 2002-2012 (Average Monthly based on monthly usage of 500 kWh, no PCE) $0.51 FY 07 $0.53 FY 06 $0.47 $0.41 FY 03 $0.32 FY 02 $0.42 $0.10 $0.29 $0.20 $0.27 $0.30 $0.36 $0.40 $0.53 $0.50 $0.44 $0.60 FY 11 May 2012 $FY 04 FY 05 FY 08 FY 09 FY10 Note: This rate is based on 500 kWh use by a residential user. Rates vary month to month, due to changing fuel surcharges. These rates are pre-PCE. Source: Alaska Energy Authority; Yakutat Power Electricity Use In 2011, Yakutat Power generated 6.68 million kWh of electrical power. Generally, peak electricity use occurs in September and the lowest demand varies between February, March and November, depending on the year. Yakutat Power has 425 customers; of which 277 (65%) are residential, 88 (21%) are commercial, 26 (6%) are community facilities, and 34 (8%) are state and federal facilities (year 2011). Despite comprising only one-fifth of total customer numbers, commercial customers purchased more than half (56%) of all kWh sold in 2011. Residents consumed 24% of electricity sold. 2011 Yakutat Power Statistics CUSTOMER TYPE Residential Commercial Community Facilities Federal/State Facilities Total kWh Sold NUMBER CUSTOMERS (AVERAGE ANNUAL) 277 88 26 34 425 ANNUAL KWH SOLD 1,442,604 3,387,105 436,601 742,784 6,009,094 ANNUAL BILLINGS $739,005 $1,526,067 $202,007 $337,087 $2,804,166 Source: Yakutat Power June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 20 ENDNOTES 1 Gustavus is the closest neighbor without having to pass through Canada – 160 air miles away. 2 2010 US Census 3 Alaska Department of Labor, Components of Population Change for Alaska Regions, Boroughs and Census Areas, 2000-2011 4 2010 US Census 5 Alaska Department of Education and Early Development 6 Permanent Fund Dividend Division 7 2010 US Census 8 Yakutat Power 9 Alaska Department of Labor 10 Alaska Department of Labor; Nonemployer Statistics (US Census). This analysis combines 2009 & 2010 data. 11 Alaska Department of Labor 12 Alaska Department of Labor 13 Alaska Department of Education and Early Development 14 In this income analysis, all income is considered, including non-employment related income. 15 US Bureau of Economic Analysis 16 In this sector analysis, percentages are based on the combination of wages and workplace earnings (earnings not connected to employment are not part of this analysis). 17 Some data in column combine 2010 data with the latest year available for self-employment data, 2009. 18 Alaska Department of Labor; Nonemployer Statistics (US Census). 19 Alaska Department of Labor; Nonemployer Statistics (US Census). 20 Alaska Department of Labor; Nonemployer Statistics (US Census). 21 22 Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Fishing and Seafood Industry Data 23 Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission 24 Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission 25 FY2010 and FY 2006 State Shared Taxes and Fees Annual Report 26 Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission 27 Alaska Department of Labor; Nonemployer Statistics (US Census). 28 Alaska Department of Labor; Nonemployer Statistics (US Census). 29 FY 2010 & FY 2006 Alaska Taxable 30 Alaska Department of Fish and Game. Alaska Sport Fishing Survey 31 FY 2010 and 2006 Alaska Taxable 32 FY 2010 & FY 2006 Alaska Taxable 33 US Bureau of Transportation Statistics June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 21 34 Alaska Marine Highway System 35 US Bureau of Transportation Statistics 36 Timber harvest at Icy Bay began in the late 1960s on State of Alaska lands through State timber sales planned and administered by the Division of Forestry and as result of the University of Alaska settlement that transferred timber rights to the University. Additionally, timber harvest has occurred on land owned by the Alaska Mental Health Trust. Most operations had ended by 2000. 37 Alaska Department of Labor. 38 The data source is the Alaska Department of Labor. Employment on measures the average annual number of monthly full-time and part-time workers by place-of-work. All employment for which wages and salaries are paid are counted; however, self-employment earnings (including those for commercial fishermen) are not included. No differentiation is made between full-time and part-time jobs. Inflation Adjusted Wages were calculated using the Anchorage Alaska Consumer Price Index (CPI). Yakutat does not have a CPI, and thus the Anchorage CPI is used as a proxy. Wages for each year were adjusted to 2010 numbers. Inflation is calculated using the following formula: 2010 Anchorage CPI divided by year X Anchorage CPI. This number is multiplied by the year X wages. 39 Alaska Department of Labor, www.akdoltest.ayera.net/labforce/index.cfm 40 Alaska Local and Regional Information (ALARI). ALARI’s Top Ten list only includes Yakutat residents, nonresident employment—such as fish processing—is excluded by this list. 41 Alaska Department of Labor Trends, June 2009. 42 Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section. 43 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal income is the income that a person receives from all sources. Income comes from three main sources: (1) wages and salary from jobs, (2) proprietors and selfemployment income, and (3) what’s technically termed “unearned income,” from sources such as retirement, dividends, interest, rent, social security, SSI, public assistance or welfare payments etc. This is also known as “Mailbox” Income. This refers to the economy beyond the simple “economic base” and the purchasing power not directly tied to current production in the area. 44 Alaska Groundfish Fisheries Programmatic SEIS, 2004. NOAA. Page 3.9-1 45 In this study, Yakutat was grouped with Elfin Cove, Gustavus, Hoonah, Pelican, Skagway, and Tenakee Springs. 46 2010 US Census. 47 2004 Sheinberg Associates Survey 48 City and Borough of Yakutat Comprehensive Plan, April 2010. Sheinberg Associates. 49 This rate is based on 1,500 kWh use by a small commercial business during the month of May 2012. Rates vary month to month, due to changing fuel surcharges. 50 Wave Energy Conversion Feasibility Study: Yakutat June 2012 - Yakutat Community and Economic Indicators page 22