Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment
Transcription
Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment
Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Final Report March 2015 1 March 2015 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Opinion Research Services The Strand, Swansea SA1 1AF Steve Jarman, Claire Thomas, Ciara Small, Dan Morris and Ian Woodward Enquiries: 01792 535300 · info@ors.org.uk · www.ors.org.uk © Copyright March 2015 Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0 Contains OS data © Crown Copyright (2014) 2 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Contents 1. Executive Summary......................................................................................................................... 6 Introduction and Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 6 Key Findings .................................................................................................................................................... 6 Additional Pitch Requirements – Gypsies and Travellers ............................................................................... 7 Additional Pitch Requirements – Travelling Showpeople .............................................................................. 7 Transit Provision ............................................................................................................................................. 7 2. Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 8 The Survey ...................................................................................................................................................... 8 Definitions ...................................................................................................................................................... 8 Legislation and Guidance for Gypsies and Travellers ..................................................................................... 9 Tackling Inequalities for Gypsy and Traveller Communities ........................................................................12 3. Methodology ................................................................................................................................ 14 Glossary of Terms .........................................................................................................................................14 Stage 1: Desk-Based Research ......................................................................................................................14 Stage 2: Stakeholder Engagement................................................................................................................15 Stage 3: Working Collaboratively with Neighbouring Planning Authorities.................................................15 Stage 4: Survey of Travelling Communities ..................................................................................................16 Stage 5: Bricks and Mortar Households .......................................................................................................18 Stage 6: Current and Future Pitch/Plot Requirements.................................................................................19 Stage 7: Conclusions .....................................................................................................................................20 4. Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople Sites and Population .................................................. 21 Sites in Wokingham Borough .......................................................................................................................21 Sites and Yards in Wokingham Borough.......................................................................................................21 Caravan Count ..............................................................................................................................................22 5. Stakeholder Engagement .............................................................................................................. 24 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................24 Focus Groups ................................................................................................................................................24 Telephone Interviews ...................................................................................................................................24 Discussion Agenda ........................................................................................................................................25 Reporting Engagement with Stakeholders ...................................................................................................25 Key Findings - Accommodation ....................................................................................................................25 3 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Engaging with Bricks and Mortar Households..............................................................................................26 Accommodation for Travelling Showpeople ................................................................................................27 Transit Provision and the Management of Unauthorised Encampments ....................................................27 Future Site Provision ....................................................................................................................................28 Cross Boundary Working and the Duty to Cooperate ..................................................................................28 Parish Council Responses .............................................................................................................................28 Neighbouring Local Authorities – Key Findings ............................................................................................28 Conclusions and Areas of Consideration ......................................................................................................29 6. Survey of Travelling Communities ................................................................................................. 30 Interviews with Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople ...........................................................30 Summary of Site Demographics ...................................................................................................................31 Occupation by Non-Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople ...........................................................31 Travelling Showpeople .................................................................................................................................33 7. Current and Future Pitch Provision ................................................................................................ 34 Pitch Provision ..............................................................................................................................................34 Supply of Pitches ..........................................................................................................................................34 Current Need ................................................................................................................................................34 Future Need .................................................................................................................................................35 Supply of Pitches ..........................................................................................................................................35 Current Unauthorised Developments and Encampments ...........................................................................36 Concealed Households .................................................................................................................................37 Bricks and Mortar .........................................................................................................................................37 Additional Pitch Provision: Future Need ......................................................................................................39 Temporary Planning Permissions .................................................................................................................39 Movement to and from sites and yards .......................................................................................................39 Population and Household Growth..............................................................................................................41 Overall Needs for Wokingham Borough ......................................................................................................44 Split to 2029 in 5 year Time Periods.............................................................................................................44 Needs for Plots for Travelling Showpeople ..................................................................................................46 8. Conclusions ...................................................................................................................................... 48 Introduction .................................................................................................................................................48 Gypsy and Traveller Future Pitch Provision .................................................................................................48 Travelling Showpeople .................................................................................................................................48 Stakeholder Engagement .............................................................................................................................49 4 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix A: Joint Methodology............................................................................................................ 50 Appendix B: Glossary of Terms ........................................................................................................... 100 Appendix C: Gypsy and Traveller Sites in Wokingham Borough (July 2014) .......................................... 102 Appendix D: Site Record Form ............................................................................................................ 103 Appendix E: Bricks & Mortar Adverts .................................................................................................. 105 Friends, Families of Travellers – May 2014 ................................................................................................105 World’s Fair – May 2014 ............................................................................................................................106 Appendix F: Transit Provision ………………………………………………………………………………………………………….….107 Appendix G: Neighbouring Local Authority Provision Summary ........................................................... 108 Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council ...................................................................................................108 Bracknell Forest ..........................................................................................................................................108 Hart District Council....................................................................................................................................108 Reading Borough Council ...........................................................................................................................109 Royal Borough of Windsor and Maidenhead (RBWM)...............................................................................109 Rushmoor Borough Council ........................................................................................................................109 South Oxfordshire District Council .............................................................................................................109 West Berkshire Council...............................................................................................................................110 5 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 1. Executive Summary Introduction and Methodology 1.1 The primary objective of the 2014 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment (GTAA) is to provide a robust assessment of current and future need for Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople accommodation in Wokingham Borough. The GTAA provides a robust and credible evidence base which can be used to aid the implementation of Development Plan policies and the provision of new Gypsy and Traveller pitches and Travelling Showpeople plots for the 15 year period to 2029. 1.2 As part of a collaborative commission between Wokingham, Reading, Bracknell, West Berkshire and Windsor & Maidenhead local authorities, a Joint Methodology on Modelling Current & Future Accommodation Needs was developed to provide a common approach for the five Berkshire authorities to utilise for the basis of their individual Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments. 1.3 The Wokingham Borough GTAA has sought to understand the accommodation needs of the Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople population in Wokingham Borough through a combination of deskbased research, stakeholder interviews and engagement with members of the Travelling Community living on sites and yards, as well as those living in bricks and mortar housing. A total of 50 interviews were completed with Gypsies and Travellers living on sites in Wokingham Borough; 6 interviews were completed with Travellers living in bricks and mortar; and 1 interview was completed with a representative of Travelling Showpeople families seeking to relocate to the Berkshire area. In addition 2 focus groups were held with Officers and Members from the Council; 13 telephone interviews were completed with wider stakeholders; and responses were received from 6 Parish Councils. Key Findings 1.4 The majority of households that were interviewed were English Travellers (58%), with Romany Gypsies making up 29% and Irish Travellers making up 13%. The site interviews identified that a high proportion of the population were younger and female, although there were instances where it was apparent that there were men present on sites but that they did not want to be recorded as being resident. As such the share of adults in the population in Wokingham Borough is almost certainly higher than shown by the household interviews. 1.5 Officers who were interviewed from the Council supported the expansion of Twyford Orchards public site and felt this characterised the positive way Wokingham Borough has attempted to meet the accommodation needs of Gypsies and Travellers. 1.6 Council Officers and wider Stakeholders raised a number of areas of consideration including the need to advertise the waiting list; to continue to improve engagement and communication with the Travelling Communities; to improve awareness of Gypsy and Traveller issues to Officers and Members; sharing best 6 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 practice across neighbouring local authorities; and exploring opportunities for joint transit provision with neighbouring local authorities if a need is identified. 1.7 Based upon discussions with representatives from the Council and neighbouring local authorities the Traveller population appears to be fairly static and there is little evidence of movement across local authority boundaries. The majority of the neighbouring local authorities have completed a GTAA and were working towards meeting the identified pitch and plot requirements. Additional Pitch Requirements – Gypsies and Travellers 1.8 Based upon the evidence presented in this study the additional pitch provision required for Gypsies and Travellers to 2029 in Wokingham Borough is for 52 net additional pitches, as detailed in the table below. These figures should be seen as the projected amount of provision which is necessary to meet the statutory obligations towards identifiable needs of the Gypsy and Traveller population arising in Wokingham Borough. A detailed breakdown which sets out the components that make up this additional need, together with any other issues that have been taken into consideration are included in Chapter 7 of this report, together with a detailed breakdown of sites and pitches (Appendix C) and the demographics of residents (Chapter 6). 1.9 The study has assumed (see pages 45-46) that the needs arising from all unauthorised pitches, concealed households, net movement from bricks and mortar, net migration and pitches with temporary planning permissions – less an identified supply of 19 pitches - are met in the first 5 years. In addition total new household formation of 46 is apportioned over the 5 year time periods based on a net compound growth rate of 2.00%. Table 1 Extra net pitch provision in Wokingham Borough in 5 Year Periods (Financial Year 01/04-31/03) 2014-2019 2019-2024 2024-2029 Total 21 15 16 52 Wokingham Borough Additional Pitch Requirements – Travelling Showpeople 1.10 Whilst the study has identified no direct evidence of need for Traveling Showpeople currently living in Wokingham Borough, from the contact with a representative for local Travelling Showpeople in Berkshire it is advisable that Wokingham Borough continue to keep open contact with Travelling Showpeople in order to explore further whether there is any future additional plot requirements specifically in the Wokingham Borough. Transit Provision 1.11 The study identified very limited levels of unauthorised encampments on land not owned by Gypsies and Travellers in Wokingham Borough over recent years. Combined with the fact that there are more effective mechanisms to accommodate visiting families, it is recommended that there is not a need for the Council to deliver any new transit provision at this time, but that the situation be closely monitored with neighbouring local authorities during the plan period, with a view to delivering future provision on a cross-border basis. 7 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 2. Introduction The Survey 2.1 Opinion Research Services (ORS) were commissioned by Wokingham Borough Council in February 2014 to undertake a Gypsy and Traveller (and Travelling Showpeople) Accommodation Assessment (GTAA). 2.2 The study seeks to provide an evidence base to enable the Council to comply with their requirements towards Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople under the Housing Act 2004, the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) 2012, the National Planning Practice Guidance 2012, and Planning Policy for Traveller Sites (PPTS) 2012. 2.3 The primary objective of the 2014 GTAA is to provide a robust assessment of current and future need for Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople accommodation in Wokingham Borough. This GTAA provides a robust and credible evidence base which can be used to aid the implementation of Development Plan policies and the provision of new Gypsy and Traveller pitches and Travelling Showpeople plots for the 15 year period to 2029. As well as identifying current and future permanent accommodation needs, it will also seek to identify whether or not the Council needs to plan for the provision of transit sites or emergency stopping places. The study was undertaken in parallel with GTAAs for Bracknell Forest, Windsor and Maidenhead and West Berkshire, and included the development of a Joint Methodology to ensure that a consistent methodological approach was followed. Whilst Reading Borough Council participated in the development of a Joint Methodology they have yet to progress with a GTAA. 2.4 We would note at the outset that the study covers the needs of Gypsies (including English, Scottish, Welsh and Romany Gypsies), Irish Travellers, New (Age) Travellers, and Travelling Showpeople, but for ease of reference we have referred to the study as a Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment. 2.5 This document summarises the key findings of the study, in particular where they relate to existing policies, or have implications for future policy decisions across the study area. Definitions 2.6 For the purposes of the planning system, the current definition1 for Gypsies and Travellers means: Persons of nomadic habit of life, whatever their race or origin, including such persons who on grounds only of their own or their family’s or dependants’ educational or health needs or old age have ceased to travel temporarily or permanently, but excluding members of an organised group of Travelling Showpeople or circus people travelling together as such. (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG), March 2012). 1 Changes to this definition are the subject of a consultation by CLG that ended in November 2014 8 Opinion Research Services 2.7 Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Within the main definition of Gypsies and Travellers, there are a number of main cultural groups which include: » Romany Gypsies » Irish Travellers » New (Age) Travellers. 2.8 Romany Gypsies and Irish Travellers are recognised in law as distinct ethnic groups and are legally protected from discrimination under the Equalities Act 2010. 2.9 Alongside Gypsies and Travellers, a further group to be considered is Travelling Showpeople. They are currently2 defined as: Members of a group organised for the purposes of holding fairs, circuses or shows (whether or not travelling together as such). This includes such persons who on the grounds of their family’s or dependant’s more localised pattern of trading, educational or health needs or old age have ceased to travel temporarily or permanently, but excludes Gypsies and Travellers as defined above. (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, CLG, March 2012). Legislation and Guidance for Gypsies and Travellers 2.10 Decision-making for policy concerning Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople sits within a complex legislative and national policy framework and this study must be viewed in the context of this legislation and guidance. For example, the following pieces of legislation and guidance are relevant when developing policies relating to Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople: » Planning Policy for Traveller Sites (PPTS), 2012 » National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF), 2012 » National Planning Practice Guidance (NPPG), 2012 » Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Needs Assessments Guidance, 2007 » The Human Rights Act 1998 (when making decisions and welfare assessments) » The Town and Country Planning Act, 1990 » Criminal Justice and Public Order Act, 1994 (Section 62a) » Anti-social Behaviour Act, 2003 » Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act, 2004 » Housing Act, 2004 (which requires local housing authorities to assess the accommodation needs of Gypsies and Travellers and Showpeople as part of their housing needs assessments. This study complies with this element of government guidance) » Housing Act, 1996 (in respect of homelessness). 2 The CLG consultation in 2014 sought views on whether those Gypsies and Travellers who have given up travelling permanently, for whatever reason, and apply for planning permission for a site, should be treated in the same way as those who do not lead a travelling life. 9 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 2.11 To focus on Gypsies and Travellers, the Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994 is particularly important with regard to the issue of planning for Gypsy and Traveller site provision. This repealed the duty of Local Authorities from the Caravans Act 1968 to provide appropriate accommodation for Gypsies and Travellers. However, at this time Circular 1/94 did support maintaining existing sites and stated that appropriate future site provision should be considered. 2.12 For site provision, previous Government guidance focused on increasing site provision for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople and encouraged Local Authorities to have a more inclusive approach to Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople within their Housing Needs Assessment. The Housing Act 2004 Section 225 requires Local Authorities to identify the need for Gypsy and Traveller sites, alongside the need for other types of housing, when conducting Housing Needs Surveys. Therefore, all Local Authorities were required to undertake accommodation assessments for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople either as a separate study such as this one, or as part of their main Housing Needs Assessment. 2.13 Local Authorities were encouraged rather than compelled to provide new Gypsy and Traveller sites by central Government. Circular 1/06 ‘Planning for Gypsy and Traveller Caravan Sites’, released by the CLG in January 2006, replaced Circular 1/94 and suggested that the provision of authorised sites should be encouraged so that the number of unauthorised sites would be reduced. 2.14 The Government announced that Planning for Gypsy and Traveller Caravan Sites (Circular 01/06) was to be repealed, along with the Regional Spatial Strategies, which were used to allocate pitch provision to local authorities. CLG published ‘Planning Policy for Traveller Sites’ in March 2012, which superseded these documents and set out the Government’s new policy for traveller sites. It should be read in conjunction with the National Planning Policy Framework (2012) and the National Planning Practice Guidance (2012). 2.15 A letter from the Parliamentary Under Secretary of State for the Department for Communities and Local Government in March 2014 sought to clarify the Government’s position on household formation rates and stated that current planning guidance will soon be updated3 and stated: ‘Following the recent consolidation of planning guidance we will be seeking to consult on updating and streamlining the remaining elements of traveller planning practice guidance and also on strengthening traveller planning policy. We will ensure that any new guidance supports councils to accurately assess their needs and would remove ambiguous references to the 3% growth rate figure, which, I stress, is only illustrative. This would, once published, have the effect of cancelling the last Administration’s guidance.’ ‘I can confirm that the annual growth rate figure of 3% does not represent national planning policy. The previous Administration's guidance for local authorities on carrying out Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments under the Housing Act 2004 is unhelpful in that it uses an illustrative example of calculating future accommodation need based on the 3% growth rate figure. The guidance notes that the appropriate rate for individual assessments will depend on the details identified in the local authority's own assessment of need. As such the Government is not endorsing or supporting the 3% growth rate figure, though in some cases we are aware that inspectors have, in considering the level of 3 CLG consulted on new guidance in autumn 2014 but this did not include any reference to household formation rates. 10 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 unmet local need when demonstrating specific traveller appeals, used the 3% growth rate figure in the absence of a local authority's own up-to-date assessment of need.’ 2.16 CLG launched a consultation on proposed changes to government policy on planning and Travellers in September 2014. This consultation addressed a number of issues including ensuring that the planning system applies fairly and equally to both the settled and traveller communities; further strengthening protection of sensitive areas and Green Belt; and addressing the negative impact of unauthorised occupation. It also included, in Annex A, proposals for revised guidance for completing GTAA studies which are in line with the approach used to complete this study. The consultation ended in November 2014 and Local Authorities will need to be aware of the implications should subsequent changes to national policy and guidance be made. Planning Policy for Traveller Sites (PPTS) 2.17 Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, which came into force in March 2012, sets out the direction of Government policy. Planning Policy for Traveller Sites is closely linked to the National Planning Policy Framework4. Among other objectives, the aims of the policy in respect of Traveller sites are (PPTS, Pages 12): 4 » Local planning authorities should make their own assessment of need for the purposes of planning. » To ensure that local planning authorities, working collaboratively, develop fair and effective strategies to meet need through the identification of land for sites. » To encourage local planning authorities to plan for sites over a reasonable timescale. » That plan-making and decision-taking should protect Green Belt from inappropriate development. » To promote more private Traveller site provision while recognising that there will always be those Travellers who cannot provide their own sites. » That plan-making and decision-taking should aim to reduce the number of unauthorised developments and encampments and make enforcement more effective. » For local planning authorities to ensure that their Local Plan includes fair, realistic and inclusive policies. » To increase the number of Traveller sites in appropriate locations with planning permission, to address under provision and maintain an appropriate level of supply. » To reduce tensions between settled and Traveller communities in plan-making and planning decisions. » To enable provision of suitable accommodation from which Travellers can access education, health, welfare and employment infrastructure. » For local planning authorities to have due regard to the protection of local amenity and local environment. http://planningguidance.planningportal.gov.uk/ 11 Opinion Research Services 2.18 2.20 March 2015 In practice, the document states that (PPTS, Page 3): » 2.19 Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Local planning authorities should set pitch targets for Gypsies and Travellers and plot targets for Travelling Showpeople, which address the likely permanent and transit site accommodation needs of Travellers in their area, working collaboratively with neighbouring local planning authorities. PPTS goes on to state (Page 3) that in producing their Local Plan local planning authorities should: » Identify and annually update a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide five years’ worth of sites against their locally set targets. » Identify a supply of specific, developable sites or broad locations for growth, for years 6-10 and, where possible, for years 11-15. » Consider production of joint development plans that set targets on a cross-authority basis, to provide more flexibility in identifying sites, particularly if a local planning authority has special or strict planning constraints across its area (local planning authorities have a duty to cooperate on strategic planning issues that cross administrative boundaries). » Relate the number of pitches or plots to the circumstances of the specific size and location of the site and the surrounding population’s size and density. » Protect local amenity and environment. Local Authorities now have a duty to ensure a 5 year land supply to meet the identified needs for Traveller sites. However, PPTS also notes on Pages 3-4 that: » Where there is no identified need, criteria-based policies should be included to provide a basis for decisions in case applications nevertheless come forward. Criteria-based policies should be fair and should facilitate the traditional and nomadic life of Travellers, while respecting the interests of the settled community. Tackling Inequalities for Gypsy and Traveller Communities 2.21 In April 2012 the Government issued a further document relating to Gypsies and Travellers titled ‘Progress report by the ministerial working group on tackling inequalities experienced by Gypsies and Travellers’ (CLG April 2012). 2.22 The aforementioned report contains 28 commitments to help improve the circumstances and outcomes for Gypsies and Travellers across a range of areas including: » Identifying ways of raising educational aspirations and attainment of Gypsy, Roma and Traveller children. » Identifying ways to improve health outcomes for Gypsies and Travellers within the proposed new structures of the NHS. » Encouraging appropriate site provision; building on £60 million Traveller Pitch Funding and New Homes Bonus incentives. » Tackling hate crime against Gypsies and Travellers and improving their interaction with the criminal justice system. 12 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 » Improving knowledge of how Gypsies and Travellers engage with services that provide a gateway to work opportunities, and working with the financial services industry to improve access to financial products and services. » Sharing good practice in engagement between Gypsies and Travellers and public service providers. 13 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 3. Methodology 3.1 As part of a collaborative commission between Wokingham, Reading, Bracknell, West Berkshire and Windsor & Maidenhead local authorities, a Joint Methodology on Modelling Current & Future Accommodation Needs was developed to provide a common approach for the five involved Berkshire authorities to utilise for the basis of their individual Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments. This is included in Appendix A to this report and a summary can be found below. 3.2 This methodology builds on work that ORS have developed over the past 10 years when completing GTAAs for local authorities across England and Wales. This has been updated in light of Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, as well as recent clarification set out by the Minister for Communities and Local Government in March 2014, with particular reference to new household formation rates (see paragraph 2.15). This methodology has been adaptive to recent changes in Planning Policy as well as the outcomes of Local Plan Examinations and Planning Appeals that ORS have been involved in. 3.3 The GTAA follows the guidance at the time of undertaking the study. Glossary of Terms 3.4 A Glossary of Terms can be found in Appendix B. Stage 1: Desk-Based Research 3.5 The first stage of the project sought to understand the background to the Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople population in the Wokingham Borough and surrounding areas. This comprised the collation of a range of important secondary data from the following available sources: » Census data. » Details of all authorised public and private sites and yards. » Site management records. » Waiting lists. » Caravan Counts. » Records of any unauthorised sites and encampments. » Relevant information from planning, housing, education, community safety, environmental health and health services. » Information on planning applications and appeals – including those that have recently been refused and those awaiting determination. » Information on any other current enforcement actions. » Existing GTAAs and other relevant local studies. 14 Opinion Research Services » 3.6 Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Existing policy, guidance and best practice. This data has been used to inform the stakeholder interviews and fieldwork and has also been analysed in conjunction with the outcomes of the other elements of the study to allow the completion of a thorough review of the needs of Travelling Communities in Wokingham Borough. Stage 2: Stakeholder Engagement 3.7 This study included extensive local stakeholder engagement. This involved a Focus Group with Council officers from Planning, Housing, Land Use and Transport, Enforcement, Environmental Health and Traveller Education. A Focus Group was also held with a selection of local Councillors. 3.8 Telephone interviews were conducted with a representative from the Local Health Board, a representative from the Gypsy and Traveller community, and a representative from the Showmen’s Guild. In addition a link to a short online survey was sent to each of the 17 Parish/Town Councils in Wokingham Borough. 3.9 The focus groups and stakeholder interviews covered the following key topics: » What dealings or relationships people have with Gypsies and Travellers » Experiences of any particular issues in relation to Gypsies and Travellers » Awareness of any Gypsy and Traveller sites either with or without planning permission and whether this varies over the course of a year » Any trends people may be experiencing with regard to Gypsies and Travellers (e.g. increase in privately owned sites or temporary sites) » What attracts Gypsies and Travellers to an area » Identification of any seasonal fluctuations that may occur » Awareness of any occurrences of temporary stopping by travellers » Identifying the relationship between the settled and travelling communities » Awareness of any travellers currently residing in bricks and mortar accommodation » Awareness of any cross boundary issues » Any other comments on the Gypsy and Traveller community in the study area Stage 3: Working Collaboratively with Neighbouring Planning Authorities 3.10 Interviews were also conducted with officers from neighbouring authorities and any other authorities where we identified a direct link with the needs of the study area – for example wider travelling routes etc. These interviews ensure that the GTAA addresses wider issues that may impact on the outcomes of the study. These stakeholders were identified as part of the desk-based review and in conjunction with officers from the Council. Interviews were conducted with officers from the following neighbouring authorities and covered the same broad issues as the local stakeholder interviews: » Basingstoke and Deane » Hart » Bracknell Forest » Reading 15 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment » Rushmoor » Windsor and Maidenhead » South Oxfordshire » Wycombe » West Berkshire March 2015 Stage 4: Survey of Travelling Communities 3.11 The outcomes of the desk-based research and stakeholder interviews allowed for the identification of all authorised and unauthorised sites and encampments in Wokingham Borough. This work identified 2 public sites, 18 private sites with permanent planning permission, 3 private sites with temporary planning permission and 5 unauthorised sites – 3 of which are tolerated. One Travelling Showpeople’s yard was identified although this only has planning permission for the storage of equipment. The location of these sites is shown on the map below, and full details of the sites can be found in Appendix C. 3.12 Interviewers sought to undertake a full demographic study of all pitches as a sample based approach very often leads to an under-estimate of current and future needs. All pitches (including those on current unauthorised sites that were present at the time of the study) were visited by experienced researchers who firstly determined whether the occupiers were Gypsies or Travellers and then conducted interviews with residents on as many pitches as possible to determine their current demographic characteristics, whether they have any current or likely future accommodation needs and how these may be addressed, and whether there are any concealed households or doubling-up. The interview was based around an approach that was agreed with the Council. A copy of the Site Visit Record Form can be found in Appendix D. This approach also allowed the interviewers to identify information about the sites and pitches that could help support any future work on possible site expansion by undertaking an overall assessment of each pitch/site. 3.13 Where it was not possible to undertake an interview, researchers captured as much information as possible about the site from site management or from residents on adjacent sites or pitches. 3.14 The first round of site fieldwork was undertaken during March 2014, with follow-up visits made during May and June 2014. Researchers were able to conduct interviews, or obtain information, for households on the majority of the sites that were identified. Whilst the dates of a number of site visits may have fallen during the months when some households travel we found little evidence of this during the fieldwork. A number of follow-up visits were also made to some of the sites to clarify the circumstances following the granting of planning permission either by the Council or through the appeal process. 16 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Map 1 Wokingham Borough GTAA Indicative Location of Sites (July 2014) Occupation by Non-Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople 3.15 Where caravans were found not to be occupied by Gypsies and Travellers or Travelling Showpeople this was also noted in the site/yard record form. The way that these pitches or plots are dealt with as part of 17 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 the calculation of supply and need be determined in discussion with the Council as careful consideration will need to be given to the planning permission for the site and associated conditions. Refusal to be Interviewed 3.16 During the course of a GTAA Study there can be instances where interviewers are refused access to a site or yard. In these circumstances paragraph 6 (a) of the PPTS will be considered which states that local planning authorities should pay particular attention to early and effective engagement with traveller communities…including discussing travellers accommodation needs with travellers themselves. Where access is denied fieldwork staff will seek to determine the demographic characteristics and needs of the residents as far as possible, and also whether residents on the site are able to meet their own needs. This information will be included in the calculation of current and future need, and the total number of pitches will be included in the base for new household formation. Where it is not possible to obtain any information on residents, and the site is occupied, the total number of permitted pitches will be included in the base for new household formation. Where residents are not willing to provide any information and state that they are able to meet their own current and future needs consideration will be given as to whether to exclude the site from the overall calculation of need. Stage 5: Bricks and Mortar Households 3.17 In order to ensure that the views of Gypsies and Travellers living in bricks and mortar accommodation who may wish to move on to a site are included in the study it was felt that the most practical approach was to work with the Council and utilise all available methods to identify as many households in bricks and mortar who may want to take part in an interview to determine their future accommodation needs, including a wish to move to a permanent pitch in the study area. 3.18 Contacts in bricks and mortar were sought through a wide range of sources including speaking with people living on existing sites to identify any friends or family living in bricks and mortar who may wish to move to a site, intelligence from the Council and other local stakeholders. These included the Council’s Advisory Service for Traveller Education and the Council’s Senior Community Development Officer. 3.19 Adverts were also placed on the Friends, Families and Travellers Community Website and in the World’s Fair publication.5 3.20 Through this approach a range of methods were used to publicise that a local study was being undertaken in order to give all households living in bricks and mortar who may wish to move on to a site the opportunity to make their views known. 3.21 As a rule it is not appropriate to extrapolate the findings from fieldwork with Gypsies and Travellers living in bricks and mortar households up to the estimated Gypsy and Traveller bricks and mortar population as a whole as the needs of all households are different. This study works on the reasonable assumption that those wishing to move will make their views known based on the wide range of publicity that was put in place. 5 Copies of these adverts can be found in Appendix E of this report 18 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Stage 6: Current and Future Pitch/Plot Requirements 3.22 The methodology to calculate future pitch and plot requirements has been developed over the past 10 years and has drawn on lessons from both traditional housing needs assessments and also from Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople Accommodation Assessments conducted across the country. This methodology has been tested on numerous occasions at local plan examinations and planning appeals and it felt to be a robust approach to estimate current and future needs. 3.23 To identify need Planning Policy for Traveller Sites requires an assessment for current and future pitch requirements, but does not provide a methodology for this. However, as with any housing assessment, the underlying calculation can be broken down into a relatively small number of factors. In this case, the key issue for residential pitches is to compare the supply of pitches available for occupation with the current and future needs of the population. The key factors in each of these elements are set out below and will be set out in more detail in the relevant chapter of this report: Supply of Pitches » Current vacant pitches. » Pitches currently with planning consent due to be developed within the study period. » Pitches vacated by people moving to housing. » Pitches vacated by people moving from the study area. Current Need 3.24 Total current need, which is not necessarily the need for additional pitches because they may be able to be addressed by space available in the study area, is made up of the following aspects (see list below). It is important to address issues of double counting by ensuring for example that a concealed household that is also on the waiting list for a public site is not included twice in the estimate of need: » Households on unauthorised sites or yards (i.e. unauthorised pitches or plots on Traveller’s own land) without planning permission that are not tolerated; » Households on unauthorised encampments (i.e. unauthorised pitches or plots on land not owned by Travellers) without planning permission that are not tolerated; » Concealed households. » Households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to sites. » Households on waiting lists for public sites. Future Need 3.25 Total future need is the sum of the following three components: » Households living on sites with temporary planning permissions. » New household formation. » In-migration. 19 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 3.26 Nationally, a household formation and growth rate of 3.00% net per annum has been commonly assumed and widely used in local Gypsy and Traveller assessments, even though there is no statistical evidence of households growing so quickly. The result has been to inflate both national and local requirements for additional pitches unrealistically. In this context, ORS has prepared a Technical Note on household formation and growth rates. The full paper included in the appendices to the Methodology which can be found in Appendix A. 3.27 The (compound) net household formation rate that will be used for this study will be based on evidence from the site surveys. The base for this calculation will include all current authorised households, all households identified as current need, including concealed households, movement from bricks and mortar and those on waiting lists not currently living on a pitch or plot, as well as households living on tolerated unauthorised pitches or plots who are not included as current need. Consideration will also be given to pitches not currently occupied by Gypsies and Travellers. 3.28 GTAAs should allow for likely in-migration (households requiring accommodation who move into the study area from outside) and out-migration (households moving away from the study area). Site surveys typically identify only small numbers of in-migrant and out-migrant households and the data is not normally robust enough to extrapolate long-term trends. At the national level, there is zero net migration of Gypsies and Travellers across the UK, but assessments should take into account local migration effects on the basis of the best evidence available. 3.29 Evidence drawn from stakeholder and site/yard interviews will be carefully considered alongside other relevant local circumstances. Unless such evidence indicates otherwise, net migration to the sum of zero will be used for the study 3.30 All of these components of supply and need are presented in clear tables which identify the overall net requirements for current and future accommodation for both Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople where needs are identified. The residential and transit pitch requirements for Gypsies and Travellers are identified separately from those for Travelling Showpeople and for each group the requirements are identified for the 5 year periods 2014-2019, 2019-2024 and 2024 to 2029. Stage 7: Conclusions 3.31 This stage of the study will draw together the evidence from Stages 1 to 6 to provide an overall summary of the requirements for Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople in Wokingham Borough. 20 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 4. Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showpeople Sites and Population Sites in Wokingham Borough 4.1 The main consideration of this study is the provision of pitches and sites for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople in Wokingham Borough. Definitions of accommodation provision for Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople can be found in the Glossary of Terms in Appendix B. The main focus of the study is upon how many extra pitches for Gypsies and Travellers and plots for Travelling Showpeople are required in Wokingham Borough. Sites and Yards in Wokingham Borough 4.2 In Wokingham Borough there are 2 public residential sites, 18 private residential sites with permanent planning permission, and 3 private residential sites with temporary planning permission. There is currently no public transit provision6. A total of 5 unauthorised sites were identified during the study period, 3 of which are classified by the Council as tolerated. These provide a total of 131 residential pitches in Wokingham Borough as of July 2014. One Travelling Showpeople yard was identified but, as detailed in paragraph 7.48, it does not have any residential planning consent. Full details of the location and status of these sites can be found in Appendix C. Table 2 Sites in Wokingham Borough Category Private with permanent planning permission Private sites with temporary planning permission Public Sites (Council or Registered Providers) Unauthorised Sites (3 sites with 7 pitches tolerated) TOTAL (Excluding Travelling Showpeople yard) Sites Pitches 18 3 2 5 28 77 7 35 12 131 Travelling Community Characteristics 4.3 The fieldwork element of the study sought to identify the gender, age and ethnicity of members of the Travelling Community living in Wokingham Borough. 6 A resolution to grant planning permission for 3 private transit pitches at Highfield Park was approved shortly after the end of the study period 21 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 4.4 The chart below at figure 1 shows the breakdown of ethnicity of households and age of household members and show higher numbers of English Gypsy and Traveller households than Irish and Romany Gypsy and Traveller households living in Wokingham Borough. This is based on information gathered during the site interviews which are covered in Chapter 5. 4.5 Households surveyed showed a mixed range of ages across their members, though (as with other studies carried out by elsewhere in England and Wales) a higher proportion of the population were younger and female. However, we would note that it is typical for Gypsy and Traveller studies to record relatively fewer males aged 18-60 years, many of whom travel on a more regular basis. There were also instances where it was apparent to interviewers that there were men present on sites but that they did not want to be recorded as being resident. As such the share of adults in the population in Wokingham Borough is almost certainly higher than shown by the household survey. This will be taken into consideration when determining the rate for new household formation. Figure 1 Ethnicity of Gypsy and Traveller Households in Wokingham Borough from site visits Figure 2 Age and Gender of Gypsies and Travellers in Wokingham Borough - Site Visits and 2011 Census for Wokingham Borough Caravan Count 4.6 Another source of information available on the Gypsy and Traveller population derives from the bi-annual Traveller Caravan Count which is conducted by each Local Authority in England on a specific date in January 22 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 and July of each year, and reported to CLG. This is a statistical count of the number of caravans on both authorised and unauthorised sites across England. With effect from July 2013, CLG has renamed the ‘Gypsy and Traveller Caravan Count’ as the ‘Traveller Caravan Count.’ This includes caravans lived in by both ethnic Gypsies and Travellers and non-Gypsies and Travellers. 4.7 As this count is of caravans and not households, it makes it more difficult to interpret for a study such as this because it does not count pitches or resident households. The count is merely a ‘snapshot in time’ conducted by the Local Authority on a specific day, and therefore any unauthorised sites or encampments which occur on other dates will not be recorded. Likewise any caravans that are away from authorised sites on the day of the count will not be included. As such it is not considered appropriate to use the outcomes from the Traveller Caravan Count in the calculation of current and future need as the information collected during the site visits is seen as more robust and fit-for-purpose. 23 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 5. Stakeholder Engagement Introduction 5.1 To be consistent with the guidance set out in Planning Policy for Traveller Sites and the methodology used in other GTAA studies conducted by ORS, a programme of stakeholder engagement was undertaken. This both provided background information about the Gypsy, Traveller and Travelling Showperson population in Wokingham Borough and also included engagement with neighbouring local authorities. 5.2 The majority of Local Authorities that ORS have worked with in recent years have opted for the following approach: » Semi-structured telephone interviews with stakeholders, and » A Parish/Town Council online or postal survey. 5.3 In addition to this, Wokingham Borough Council was keen to hold separate Focus Groups with Council Officers and Elected Members. It was felt that this approach would allow for further information sharing/discussion on important key issues. 5.4 The council also notified the Gypsy Council that a GTAA was being undertaken and invited them to take part and make a contribution to the study. Similar to the experience of other Local Authorities the Gypsy Council did not respond to the aforementioned invitation. Focus Groups 5.5 The council arranged two focus group meetings, facilitated by ORS which were held in May 2014. The officer group was attended by 8 officers from Environmental Health, Land Use and Transport, Enforcement, Housing, Development and Traveller Education. The Members group was attended by 3 Members and an additional interview was conducted over the telephone. Telephone Interviews 5.6 In addition to the Focus Groups telephone interviews were completed with wider stakeholders. Each stakeholder received an email outlining the study aims, objectives and timetable, which was followed-up with a telephone call to arrange a suitable time to undertake the interview. A total of 13 telephone interviews were completed with the following stakeholders: » Seven Council Officers representing neighbouring local authorities » A Community Development Worker » A representative of the NHS » A site owner » A representative of the Showman’s Guild 24 Opinion Research Services » Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 An Elected Member. Discussion Agenda 5.7 The main purpose of the Stakeholder Interviews was to gather additional information to support the evidence base to complete the assessment of need for Gypsies and Travellers. Additional information was gathered during the course of the interviews. The discussion agenda for the focus groups and interviews is set out in paragraph 3.9. Reporting Engagement with Stakeholders 5.8 The key findings in this section represent a balanced summary of the views expressed by the wide range of stakeholders that took part in the engagement programme that are of direct relevance to this GTAA study and the assessment of accommodation need for Gypsies Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. Key Findings - Accommodation Public Sites 5.9 There are two public sites in the area at Twyford Orchards and Carters Hill. 5.10 Officers referred positively to the extension to the Twyford Orchards site which will increase the site from 16 to 20 pitches. The site will be remodelled and significant improvements will be made including replacement of lighting and connections to the internet. 5.11 The Housing Allocations Team manages the waiting lists for the two public sites. The number of households on the waiting lists are said to be small but officers noted that because the turnover is low people’s expectations of moving onto a site are also low. Officers felt that it could be worthwhile to advertise the waiting list but expressed concern surrounding the management of expectations. 5.12 Officers also revealed that all those on the waiting list have expressed a preference for the Twyford Orchards site – not for Carters Hill. Officers suggested that the lack of interest in the Carters Hill site could be caused by the actual geographical location of the site. It was felt there was little the Council could do to make the site location more attractive to future potential tenants and officers explained that despite being in a ‘beautiful’ location it is isolated and not on a bus route which has led to a dependency on school transport and car ownership. Private Sites 5.13 Officers noted recent improvements to the quality of the sites in the area and attributed this to the Council’s employment of an Environmental Health Officer specifically to deal with site licencing, together with the liaison work that has been done with the Travelling Community. Overall, the quality of the smaller, owner occupied sites is better in comparison to the larger privately rented sites which are where most issues have arisen. Officers feared that some tenants are unaware of their rights to access good quality housing, and work to provide advice to the community is being carried out by the Environmental Health Officer. 5.14 Officers who visit the sites on a regular basis and Elected Members referred to four key issues on some of the larger private sites: 25 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment » Overcrowding » Breaching planning conditions » Breaches of health and safety and sewerage/drainage issues » Occupation by non–Gypsy and Travellers March 2015 5.15 Officers and Elected Members were aware that there are a number non–Gypsies and Travellers who through a variety of circumstances were living on the sites, particularly as the sites can offer a cheaper form of accommodation. The majority of Officers and Elected Members felt the Council needed to continue to work closely with site owners over this issue. Elected Members stressed the point that it creates extra and artificial demand for Gypsy and Traveller sites. 5.16 It was acknowledged that Officers are working hard with landowners in the area to tackle the four key issues that are being experienced on some of the private sites, for example by granting permission for more pitches in return for an agreement to resolve enforcement issues. Engaging with Bricks and Mortar Households 5.17 The issue of contacting Gypsy and Travellers living in bricks and mortar was given much attention during the Focus Groups and Officers in particular were keen to explore various ways of communicating with the community to ensure that their accommodation needs are also included within this study. 5.18 A number of ways of communicating with this community were agreed at the Focus Group and through the telephone interviews: Education » One Officer explained that around half of Traveller children in schools live in bricks and mortar accommodation. » An Officer contacted families by phone and explained the purpose of the study. If they wanted to take part, ORS sent them a letter (which included the recognisable Traveller Education logo on the letter) inviting them to take part in a telephone interview. » Of the 13 people who were sent a letter, 4 took part in the study. Housing » The Housing Contact Centre contacted families by phone and explained the purpose of the study. If the family wanted to take part ORS sent them a letter and conducted a telephone interview. Community Development » A Community Development Officer was aware of a number of families and offered to speak to them for the purposes of the study. » ORS developed a script and paper survey for use by the Officer. » One survey was returned using this method. 26 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Registered Providers 5.19 » Wokingham Borough Council work with three preferred Registered Providers: Catalyst; Housing Solutions Group; and Sovereign Housing Association Limited. » An Officer contacted each of the providers and asked them if they are aware of any Gypsy and Travellers in their accommodation. » The latter two responded and confirmed that they do collect ethnicity data which includes the category ‘Gypsy and Traveller’, but did not have anyone who have identified as being from this community. Elected Members were also aware of housed Travellers within their Wards and discussed how many have come to seek help from them about the following issues: » Education – many continue to drop out at secondary school age. » Falling behind with rent payments – which stems from literacy issues and understanding housing benefit and also fear of seeking help from the Local Authority. It was felt that this would get worse with the introduction of the Universal Credit. » Neighbour disputes – although it was felt that some of this was perceived rather than based on actual problems. Accommodation for Travelling Showpeople 5.20 There is only one Yard in Wokingham Borough. The Yard has planning permission for use for storage and not for residential purposes. 5.21 ORS spoke with a representative of the Showman’s Guild who was of the view that the size of Travelling Showpeople’s community is increasing while the sites are not getting larger; therefore, there are issues with overcrowding across the Berkshire area and the UK. The representative felt that Councils should provide more assistance to Showpeople to source appropriate, available and affordable pieces of land. Transit Provision and the Management of Unauthorised Encampments 5.22 Currently in Wokingham Borough there is no public transit provision available to Travellers who move through the area and wish to stay for a short while. There are said to be a small number of incursions per year and these do not occur for long. At the time of the study an application was being considered for 3 transit pitches on a private site. 5.23 One Officer was aware that the Royal Berkshire Hospital in Reading is a popular choice for Gypsies and Travellers across much of the south of England for maternity purposes and pointed out that, when someone is due to give birth, the extended family will often accompany them. Consequently this will mean that large groups will travel to the area yet there is no transit provision across the whole of Berkshire. 5.24 Elected Members were of the opinion that the area is also a popular destination for Travellers attending Royal Ascot and for family events such as funerals and weddings. 27 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 5.25 In terms of collating data on unauthorised encampments and understanding the needs of Travellers in transit, Wokingham Borough Council currently collects data on numbers of people, vans and vehicles, household make-up and any needs. 5.26 Elected Members were of the view that unauthorised encampments and the disruption caused has decreased in recent years – and the approach taken by the Council and the police should continue. Future Site Provision 5.27 Although most agreed that it was necessary to provide public pitches, Officers supported the fact that many private developers also provide Gypsy and Traveller accommodation in Wokingham Borough and also in surrounding local authorities. Cross Boundary Working and the Duty to Cooperate 5.28 Officers and Elected Members stressed the importance of working together and sharing information and reflected positively on the GTAA studies, noting that Planning Policy Officers across the Berkshire authorities meet quarterly to discuss Gypsy and Traveller issues. 5.29 Elected Members also felt that arranging a forum for planning portfolio holders across the Berkshire authorities could be beneficial. 5.30 It was also felt that within Berkshire demand and supply - varies across the area. Parish Council Responses 5.31 Responses were received from a total of six Parish Councils in Wokingham Borough. 5.32 Three of those who responded have had no or little experience of Gypsies and Travellers within their local area. Those who have had experience reported a range of issues including: » Limited numbers of short term encampments » The need to employ an external security company to prevent encampments » Occupation of pitches by non-Gypsies and Travellers » The length of time it is taking the Council to move on unauthorised caravans » That Gypsies and Travellers come to Wokingham Borough because it is on a travelling route, or to attend specific events » That overall the relationship is good between the settled community and those living on permitted sites, but not good with those moving on to unauthorised encampments. Neighbouring Local Authorities – Key Findings 5.33 In order to explore cross boundary issues ORS spoke to representatives of the following Local Authorities in order to get an understanding of issues relating to the Travelling community in their areas that could impact upon the outcomes of the GTAA for Wokingham Borough: » Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council 28 » Bracknell Forest » Hart District Council Opinion Research Services » Reading Borough Council » » Royal Borough of Windsor and Maidenhead South Oxfordshire District Council » West Berkshire Council » 5.34 Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Rushmoor Borough Council Officers from the neighbouring authorities were asked to provide some contextual information in relation to the accommodation situation for Gypsy and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople in their area. The key findings from the interviews can be found in Appendix G and conclusions and areas for consideration by the Council are presented below: Conclusions and Areas of Consideration 5.35 Officers supported the expansion of Twyford Orchards public site and felt this characterised the positive way Wokingham Borough has attempted to meet the accommodation needs of Gypsies and Travellers. 5.36 Stakeholders raised a number of areas of consideration: » Advertise the waiting list » Continue to work with the Gypsy and Traveller communities » Improve communication about Gypsy and Traveller issues – more information on the Council website » Provide education and awareness training to Elected Members including Member to Member briefings » Continue to work with the community to aid educational attainment » Discuss the possibility of joint transit provision with neighbouring areas » Continue to work with neighbouring local authorities and explore the possibility of working with wider neighbours. 5.37 Based upon discussions with representatives from neighbouring local authorities the Traveller population appears to be fairly static and there is little evidence of movement across local authority boundaries. The majority of the neighbouring local authorities have completed a GTAA and were working towards meeting the identified pitch and plot requirements. 5.38 It is difficult to determine the need for transit provision given there is a lack of awareness about wider travelling patterns. Most individual authorities are currently dealing with transit issues in isolation to their neighbours. It would be helpful to Wokingham Borough and neighbouring local authorities to share information on unauthorised encampments, develop a common protocol and methodology on collecting data on unauthorised encampments, track families’ travelling patterns across borders, develop and maintain a central database, and also record the extent to which unauthorised encampments require transit or permanent accommodation. 29 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 6. Survey of Travelling Communities Interviews with Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople 6.1 One of the major components of this study was a detailed survey of the Gypsy and Traveller and Travelling Showpeople population in Wokingham Borough. This aimed to identify current households with housing needs and to assess likely future household formation from within existing households, to help judge the need for any future site provision. As noted in the introduction, “Gypsy and Traveller” refers to: Persons of nomadic habit of life, whatever their race or origin, including such persons who on grounds only of their own or their family’s or dependants’ educational or health needs or old age have ceased to travel temporarily or permanently, but excluding members of an organised group of Travelling Showpeople or circus people travelling together as such (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, CLG, March 2012). 6.2 The desk-based research and stakeholder interviews sought to identify all authorised and unauthorised sites and encampments in the study area of Wokingham Borough. This identified 2 public sites; 18 private sites with permanent planning permission; 3 private sites with temporary planning permission; and 5 unauthorised sites – 3 of which are tolerated. One Travelling Showpeople Yard was identified but this does not have a residential planning consent. Figure 10 below identifies the sites that were visited during the course of the fieldwork. In addition six interviews were completed with members of the Gypsy and Traveller community who are currently living in bricks and mortar accommodation and details of these can be found in Section 7 of this report; an interview was conducted with a representative from the Showman’s Guild and details can be found in Chapters 5 and 7; and an interview was conducted with a representative acting on behalf of some Travelling Showpeople families in the Berkshire area and details can be found in Chapter 7. Table 3 Sites Visited in Wokingham Borough Public Sites Carters Hill, Hurst Twyford Orchards, Ruscombe Private Sites 23a Nine Mile Ride, Finchampstead 88a Reading Road, Finchampstead Belvedere Park, Barkham Highfield Park, Arborfield Hogwood Meadows, Finchampstead Honeysuckle Lodge, Finchampstead Lower Sandhurst Road, Finchampstead 30 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Meadowside Plot 1, Finchampstead Meadowside Plot 2, Finchampstead Nevi-Stanya, Swallowfield New Acres (including Kingsbridge and New Acres Extension), Wokingham Without Plot 1 Littlemore, Finchampstead Plot 2 Littlemore, Finchampstead Summerleigh, Finchampstead The Oaks, Ruscombe The Promise, Finchampstead Twin Oaks, Finchampstead Walkers Yard, Arborfield Temporary Sites Nelsons Lane, Hurst The Paddocks, Shinfield Wind in the Willows, Hurst Unauthorised Sites – Tolerated Pine Lodge, Finchampstead Wally’s Mobile Home Park, Charvil Woodside, Mole Road, Winnersh Unauthorised Sites – Not Tolerated Land at Fairlands, Farley Hill Pine Copse, Finchampstead 6.3 Interviewers sought to undertake a full demographic study of all pitches and a summary of the findings from each site can be found in the table overleaf. Summary of Site Demographics 6.4 Figure 11 also provides a summary of the resident demographics for sites in Wokingham Borough that were identified during the fieldwork. For those sites where it was possible to record demographics of residents there were a total of 120 adults and 58 children and teenagers (aged 0-17). This equates to 67% adults and 33% children and teenagers. These figures are not directly comparable with the chart in Figure 4 as it was not possible to record precise ages for all site residents. Occupation by Non-Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople 6.5 Where caravans were found not to be occupied by Gypsies and Travellers or Travelling Showpeople this was also noted in the site record form. A total of 12 pitches were identified as not being occupied by Gypsies and Travellers. Of these 9 were at Highfield Park and 3 were at New Acres. These households have been excluded from the base figure for the calculation of new household formation for the purpose of this study. 31 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Table 4 Site Characteristics and Demographics in Wokingham Borough (from site interviews) Site Total Pitches Interviews Completed Adults 15 11 17 23 0 20 8 16 6 5 Total Public Sites Private Sites with Permanent Permission 35 19 33 29 5 23a Nine Mile Ride, Finchampstead 1 0 - - - 88a Reading Road, Finchamstead 2 0 - - - Belvedere Park, Barkham 8 1 14 6 0 Highfield Park, Arborfield 12 2 4 0 0 Hogwood Meadows, Finchampstead 2 1 2 3 0 Honeysuckle Lodge, Finchampstead 2 0 - - - Lower Sandhurst Road, Finchampstead 1 0 - - - 2 1 2 2 0 2 1 2 0 0 3 0 - - - 21 10 23 11 2 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 3 1 0 Summerleigh, Finchampstead 1 0 - - - The Oaks, Waltham Road, Ruscombe 3 1 7 2 0 The Promise, Nine Mile Ride, Finchampstead 2 0 - - - Twin Oaks, Finchampstead 1 2 4 2 0 Walkers Yard, Arborfield 12 0 - - - Total Private Sites Private Sites with Temporary Permission 77 21 63 28 2 Nelson's Lane, Hurst 2 0 - - - The Paddocks, Shinfield 4 0 - - - Wind in the Willows, Hurst 1 0 - - - Total Temporary Sites Tolerated Sites Pine Lodge, Finchampstead 7 0 - - - 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 7 0 0 3 3 7 0 0 7 7 15 0 0 4 3 9 1 0 1 0 - - - 5 131 3 50 9 120 1 58 0 7 Public Sites Carters Hill Twyford Orchards Meadowside Plot 1, Park Lane, Finchampstead Meadowside Plot 2, Park Lane, Finchampstead Nevi-Stanya, Swallowfield New Acres (including Kingsbridge and Extension), Wokingham Without Plot 1 Littlemore, Park Lane, Finchampstead Plot 2 Littlemore, Park Lane, Finchampstead Wally's Mobile Home Park, Charvil Woodside, Mole Road, Winnersh Total Tolerated Sites Unauthorised Developments Land at Fairlands, Farley Hill Pine Copse, Nine Mile Lane, Finchampstead Total Unauthorised Sites TOTAL Children & Concealed Notes Teenagers Households 32 3 vacant pitches Only 16 pitches complete at time of fieldwork Site unoccupied at time of fieldwork Site unoccupied at time of fieldwork Access to the site was restricted and demographic information was provided by the owner 9 pitches occupied by non-Gypsies and Travellers Site interviews completed successfully Households reluctant to be interviewed Site unoccupied at time of fieldwork Site interviews completed successfully Site interviews completed successfully No contact possible with residents despite repeated visits 3 pitches occupied by non-Gypsies and Travellers Site interviews completed successfully Site interviews completed successfully Households reluctant to provide demographic information Site interviews completed successfully No interview possible - resident in hospital Site interviews completed successfully No Gypsies or Travellers on site at time of fieldwork Site unoccupied at time of fieldwork Households reluctant to provide demographic information Unable to access the site to interview residents Site interviews completed successfully Site interviews completed successfully Site interviews completed successfully Site interviews completed successfully Unable to access the site to interview residents March 2015 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Travelling Showpeople Hinton Road 6.6 Interviewers visited the yard at Hinton Road in May 2014 and found no evidence of occupation. The yard was being used for storage purposes as permitted by planning consent. 33 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 7. Current and Future Pitch Provision Pitch Provision 7.1 This section focuses on the extra pitch provision which is required by Wokingham Borough Council to 2029. This includes both current unmet needs and needs which are likely to arise in the future. This time period allows for robust forecasts of the requirements for future provision, based upon the evidence contained within this study and also secondary data sources. 7.2 This section concentrates not only upon the total extra provision which is required in the area for Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople, but also whether there is a need for any transit sites and/or emergency stopping place provision. 7.3 The key factors in determining current and future accommodation need are set out in the sections below. Separate assessments have been completed for Gypsies and Travellers and for Travelling Showpeople. Supply of Pitches » Current vacant pitches or plots. » Any pitches or plots currently with planning consent programmed to be developed within the study period. » Pitches or plots vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar. » Pitches or plots vacated by people moving from the study area. Current Need 7.4 7.5 Total current need, which is not necessarily the need for additional pitches because it may be able to be addressed by space available in the study area, is made up of the following: » Households on unauthorised sites for which planning permission is not expected. » Households on unauthorised encampments that are not tolerated for planning purposes. » Concealed households. » Households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to sites. » Households on waiting lists for public sites. It is important to address issues of double counting. For example potential in-migrants may already be included on a waiting list, or households on a waiting list may already be living as a concealed household on a permitted site or on an unauthorised encampment in the area. 34 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Future Need 7.6 Total future need is the sum of the following three components. Again it is important to address issues of double counting as, for example, potential in-migrants may already be on a waiting list: » Households living on sites with temporary planning permissions. » New household formation. » In-migration. Supply of Pitches 7.7 Planning records indicate that there are 35 authorised public pitches; 77 permanent private pitches; and 7 pitches with temporary planning permission in Wokingham Borough. In addition there are 12 pitches on unauthorised sites, 7 of which are tolerated. Table 5 Sites and Pitches in Wokingham Borough Category Private with permanent planning permission Private sites with temporary planning permission Public Sites (Council or Registered Providers) Unauthorised Sites (3 of which with 7 pitches tolerated) TOTAL (Excluding Travelling Showpeople yard) 7.8 7.9 Sites Pitches 18 3 2 5 28 77 7 35 12 131 The next stage of the process is to assess how much space is, or will become, available on existing sites. The main ways of finding this are through: » Current empty pitches. » New sites or site extensions which have already been granted permission, or are likely to gain planning permission in the foreseeable future, or sites which are likely to come back into use following refurbishment. » Pitches vacated by people moving to housing. » Pitches vacated by people moving from the study area. At the time of the study there were a total of 3 vacant pitches on the Carters Hill public site in Wokingham Borough. In addition there were 4 pitches under construction at the Twyford Orchards public site and 12 vacant pitches at Walkers Yard (a private site7). These will provide a potential supply of 19 pitches during the first 5 years of the study (2014-2019). 7 As set out in the Nelsons Lane Appeal Decision Notice (APP/X0360/A/13/2190825) at paragraph 38 the Inspector states that Walkers Yard would provide 12 rented pitches that would be suitable and available 35 Opinion Research Services 7.10 Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 There were also a further 5 vacant pitches on 3 small private family sites8 which have planning permission but at the time of the study had not been fully implemented. The Council has taken a cautious approach regarding the inclusion of vacant pitches on small sites for which planning consent is granted on the basis that these provide accommodation specifically for the applicant. Consequently for the purposes of this study, it is not considered in this instance that these 5 vacant pitches are available for immediate general occupation. Should additional information or evidence be provided through discussions with the land owners that these vacant pitches could be made available for general occupation, they could then form a component of supply. Table 6 Supply of Vacant Pitches in Wokingham Borough Site Pitches Carters Hill – Vacancies Twyford Orchards – Planning Permission not fully implemented Walkers Yard – Planning Permission not fully implemented TOTAL 7.11 3 4 12 19 There were no households identified on the public sites who said that they want to move to bricks and mortar accommodation and limited evidence of pitches likely to be vacated by people moving from the study area. Additional Pitch Provision: Current Need 7.12 The next stage of the process is to assess how many households are currently seeking pitches in the area. Groups of people who are likely to be seeking pitches will include those: » Households on unauthorised sites or yards (i.e. unauthorised pitches or plots on Traveller’s own land) without planning permission that are not tolerated; » Households on unauthorised encampments (i.e. unauthorised pitches or plots on land not owned by Travellers) without planning permission that are not tolerated; » Concealed households. » Households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to sites. » Gypsy and Traveller households on waiting lists for public sites. Current Unauthorised Developments and Encampments 7.13 The study has identified 12 pitches on unauthorised developments in Wokingham Borough. Of these 7 are classified by the Council as tolerated (from a planning perspective) so do not therefore make up a component of current need. As such there are a total of 5 pitches on unauthorised developments that do make up a component of current need. These are at Pine Copse (1) and Fairlands (4). No unauthorised encampments were identified that expressed a wish for a permanent pitch in Wokingham Borough. 8 88a Reading Road (2 permanent pitches), Lower Sandhurst Road (1 permanent pitch) and Nelson’s Lane (2 temporary pitches) 36 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Table 7 Pitches on Unauthorised Developments in Wokingham Borough Site Pitches 9 Fairlands Pine Copse TOTAL 7.14 4 1 5 Many Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments count all caravans on unauthorised sites as requiring a pitch in the area when in practice many are simply visiting or passing through, and some may be on sites that are tolerated for planning purposes. In order to remedy this the approach taken in this study is to treat need as either only those households on unauthorised sites already in the planning system (i.e. sites/pitches for which a planning application has been made), those otherwise known to the Local Authority as being resident in the area, or those identified through the household survey as requiring pitches. Concealed Households 7.15 The household survey and desk-based research also sought to identify concealed or doubled-up households on authorised sites that require a pitch immediately. A concealed household is either one who is living within another household and would wish to form their own separate family unit, but is unable to do so because of a lack of space on public or private sites, or an older individual living within an existing family unit in need of a new household due to overcrowding. Site interviews and analysis of the waiting lists for public sites identified a total of 7 concealed or doubled-up households in Wokingham Borough. These were at the Twyford Orchards public site and at New Acres. Table 8 Concealed Households in Wokingham Borough Site Pitches New Acres Twyford Orchards TOTAL 2 5 7 Bricks and Mortar 7.16 Identifying households in bricks and mortar has been frequently highlighted as an issue with Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments. The 2011 UK Census of Population identified a total of 93 Gypsy and Traveller households in Wokingham Borough10. A proportion of this total are also likely to be living on sites in Wokingham Borough. 7.17 As noted earlier, the study went to significant lengths to identify Gypsies and Travellers living in bricks and mortar and sought to obtain information from stakeholders, Council officers and on-site interviewees to identify Gypsy and Traveller households to interview. This process resulted in a total of 14 potential contacts to interview. Attempts were made to try and contact each of the contacts and a total of 6 9 Fairlands was unauthorised at the time of the study but has since been granted temporary planning permission at appeal 10 This includes Gypsies and Travellers living on sites and in bricks and mortar 37 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 interviews were conducted by staff at ORS with Gypsies and Travellers living in bricks and mortar in Wokingham Borough. These included the 4 contacts provided by Education and 1 from Community Development that are set out in Chapter 5, together with the owner of a private site who lives in a bungalow adjacent to the site who was spoken with during the site fieldwork. 7.18 All of the 6 families that Interviewers spoke to identified problems that they were experiencing in their current accommodation, and 5 of them expressed a desire to move back to a site. None of the families were on the waiting list for one of the public sites in the area. In these circumstances it is not as simple as identifying each of these households as being in immediate need for a pitch; likewise these needs cannot be ignored completely. The outcomes from the interviews indicate that 3 of these families are living in either privately owned or council accommodation and it is recommended that the Council should encourage these households to register their interest for a pitch on a public site by applying to the waiting lists. The other 2 families have more immediate needs11 and as such a need for 2 additional pitches is recommended in the first 5 years of the plan period (2014-19) to meet these more immediate needs. Table 9 Net Movement from Bricks and Mortar in Wokingham Borough Need Pitches Net movement from bricks and mortar TOTAL 7.19 2 2 It should be noted that in a number of recent GTAA studies that ORS have undertaken, representatives from the Travelling Community have reported high numbers of known households in bricks and mortar and they have encouraged them to come forward to take part in the studies. The actual number who eventually took part in the studies ranged from zero to six households per area, and a very small proportion of these wished to move back to sites. Therefore, while there is anecdotal evidence of many Gypsies and Travellers in housing, most appear to be content to remain there and when provided with the opportunity by national representatives to register an interest in returning to sites, few choose to do so. However the rate for new household formation (see Paragraph 7.39) allows for sufficient flexibility to provide for any households living in bricks and mortar that may not have been picked up in the study. Waiting Lists 7.20 Wokingham Council currently own and manage 2 permanent public sites (see Table 4). Information obtained from the Council in September 2014 indicated that there were 12 active applicants for pitches on these sites. 7.21 Analysis of the waiting list indicates that 5 active applicants are those already ‘doubled-up’ on the Twyford Orchards site and these have already been included as components of need as concealed households. Of the remaining 7 applicants 2 are currently living on a site in South Wales and will not be included as immediate need as they already have suitable accommodation outside of Wokingham Borough. Of the remaining 4 are living in bricks and mortar accommodation in Wokingham Borough and 1 has no fixed abode but is currently resident in Wokingham Borough. Given that no immediate need has been identified 11 One of these households is over-crowded and the other lives in a caravan on a driveway with no running water or toilet. 38 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 for the 4 households currently living in bricks and mortar; information from the Council’s Housing Need Officer confirmed that no contact had been possible with the household with no fixed abode to identify any immediate housing need, and that there is a current supply of pitches in Wokingham Borough should this household wish to be considered for a pitch; it is recommended that no additional pitches, other than those already identified as concealed households, are included for the purpose of this study. It should be noted that these are not the same households identified in Paragraph 7.18 as they all indicated that they were not on the waiting list for a pitch. Table 10 Need from Household on the waiting list in Wokingham Borough Need Pitches Waiting List TOTAL 0 0 Additional Pitch Provision: Future Need 7.22 The next stage of the process is to assess how many households are likely to be seeking pitches in the area in the future. There are three key components of future need. Total future need is the sum of the following: » Households living on sites with temporary planning permissions. » New household formation expected during the study period. » Migration to sites from outside the study area. Temporary Planning Permissions 7.23 There are currently 7 pitches on 3 sites in Wokingham Borough (see Table 11) that have temporary planning permission. This will be counted as additional need when calculating future pitch requirements as it has been assumed that these households will seek to remain in Wokingham Borough when their temporary permissions expire. Table 11 Pitches on sites with temporary planning permission in Wokingham Borough Site Pitches Wind in the Willows The Paddocks Nelson's Lane TOTAL 1 4 2 7 Movement to and from sites and yards 7.24 Assessments should also allow for likely in-migration (households requiring accommodation who move into the study area from outside) and out-migration (households moving away from the study area). Site surveys typically identify only small numbers of in-migrant and out-migrant households and the data is not normally robust enough to extrapolate long-term trends. At the national level, there is zero net migration 39 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 of Gypsies and Travellers across the UK, but assessments should take into account local migration effects on the basis of the best evidence available. 7.25 Evidence drawn from stakeholder and site/yard interviews has been carefully considered alongside other relevant local circumstances. Unless such evidence indicates otherwise, net migration to the sum of zero will be used for the study – which means that net pitch requirement are driven by locally identifiable need rather than speculative modelling assumptions. But where there are known likely in-migrant households they will be included in the needs figures – while stressing the potential for doublecounting across more than one local authority area. Likewise, where there is likely to be movement away the study area, the net effects will be taken into consideration when calculating current and future needs. 7.26 There are three main sources of in-migration that could account for additional needs in the study area. The first is out-migration from London. However, In ORS’s current or recent assessments in London (including Bexley, Camden; Hackney, Haringey, Lambeth, Lewisham and for the London Legacy Development Corporation) in the majority of cases show additional need – and work is being progressed to meet these needs. 7.27 The second potential source of in-migration is from local authorities with significant areas of Green Belt. A Ministerial Statement in July 2013 reaffirmed that: ‘The Secretary of State wishes to make clear that, in considering planning applications, although each case will depend on its facts, he considers that the single issue of unmet demand, whether for traveller sites or for conventional housing, is unlikely to outweigh harm to the Green Belt and other harm to constitute the ‘very special circumstances’ justifying inappropriate development in the Green Belt.’ 7.28 This position was reaffirmed in the CLG consultation on the revised policy for Gypsies and Travellers (September 2014), which suggests placing further restrictions on the development of Traveller sites in the Green Belt: ‘Subject to the best interests of the child, unmet need and personal circumstances are unlikely to outweigh harm to the Green Belt and any other harm so as to establish very special circumstances.’ 7.29 However, this does not remove the requirement for local authorities with Green Belt to assess their needs and provide pitches/plots where this is possible. Where this is not possible Paragraphs 178 and 179 of the NPPF set out that ‘Joint working should enable local planning authorities to work together to meet development requirements which cannot wholly be met within their own areas’. It is not the place of the Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment to assume one authority will meet the needs of another; and authorities unable to meet their own needs should work with neighbours to do so. This process is well established in general housing provision. Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONBs) may also need to address similar issues in the same way, given local authorities’ duty to conserve and enhance these areas. 7.30 The final main source of in-migration to the study area is from the closure of unauthorised sites and encampments. There are several well documented cases of large-scale movements of Gypsies and Travellers following enforcement action against unauthorised sites – for example, from Dale Farm in Essex. 40 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 7.31 If in-migration to a study area is a source of demand for pitches, out-migration is a source of supply. The potential for the supply of some pitches arising from out-migration includes households moving to other areas from private sites with general planning consent for Gypsy or Traveller occupation and selling the sites to other Gypsy and Travellers or for housing development; and households moving away from private sites with personal planning consents, so that the sites revert to their previous status. 7.32 In ORS assessments, the likely net effects of inward and outward movements to and from sites and yards are considered in the light of local circumstances in each local authority area and on the basis of evidence collected during the stakeholder interviews and fieldwork. 7.33 Evidence collected during the stakeholder interviews and fieldwork to identify movement of households in or out of Wokingham Borough identified a planning application that was submitted to the Council to expand a large existing pitch at Highfield Park to add 7 additional private pitches and 3 private transit pitches for family members that are currently travelling. Site visits conducted as part of the current and previous GTAA studies have identified no more than a total of 4 additional households living on the pitch at any one time. As such it is recommended that a total of 4 households be included as in-migration. 7.34 Given that no further evidence on the movement of households into or out of Wokingham Borough was found during the stakeholder interviews or fieldwork, and that there are vacant pitches on public sites, low numbers on waiting lists for public sites from outside of the area, and low levels of unauthorised developments and encampments, it is considered that there is no further in-migration to Wokingham Borough that should be addressed in this study. Beyond this, rather than assess in-migrant households seeking to develop new sites in the area, it is recommended that each case is assessed as a desire to live in the area and that site criteria rules are followed for each new site. It is therefore important for the Council to continue to follow its existing criteria-based planning policies for any new potential sites which do arise. Table 12 In-Migration to Wokingham Borough Site Pitches Highfield Park TOTAL 4 4 Population and Household Growth 7.35 Nationally, a household formation and growth rate of 3.00% net per annum has been commonly assumed and widely used in local Gypsy and Traveller assessments, even though there is no statistical evidence of households growing so quickly. The result has been to inflate both national and local requirements for additional pitches unrealistically. In this context, ORS has prepared a Technical Note on household formation and growth rates. The main conclusions are set out here and the full paper is included in the appendices to the Methodology that can be found in Appendix A. 7.36 Those seeking to provide evidence of high annual net household growth rates for Gypsies and Travellers have sometimes sought to rely on increases in the number of caravans, as reflected in caravan counts. However, caravan count data are unreliable and erratic – so the only proper way to project future population and household growth is through demographic analysis. 41 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 7.37 In fact, the growth in the national Gypsy and Traveller population may be as low as 1.25% per annum – much less than the 3.00% per annum often assumed, but still four times greater than in the settled community. Even using extreme and unrealistic assumptions, it is hard to find evidence that net Gypsy and Traveller population and household growth rates are above 2.00% per annum nationally. The often assumed 3.00% per annum net household growth rate is unrealistic and would require clear statistical evidence before being used for planning purposes. In practice, the best available evidence supports a national net household growth rate of 1.50% per annum for Gypsies and Travellers. However, some local authorities might allow for a household growth rate of up to 2.50% per annum, to provide a ‘safety margin’ and depending on the relative youthfulness of their area populations. In areas where on-site surveys indicate that there are fewer children in the Gypsy and Traveller population, the lower estimate of 1.50% per annum should be used. These conclusions are compatible with the latest planning guidance. 7.38 ORS assessments take full account of the net local household growth rate per annum for each local authority, calculated on the basis of evidence from the site surveys, and the ‘baseline’ will include all current authorised households, all households identified as in current need (including concealed households, movement from bricks and mortar and those on waiting lists not currently living on a pitch or plot), as well as households living on tolerated unauthorised pitches or plots who are not included as current need. The assessments of future need will also take account of modelling projections based on birth and death rates, and in-/out-migration. The (compound) net household formation rate that will be used for this study will be based on evidence from the site surveys. The base for this calculation will include all current authorised households, all households identified as current need, including concealed households, movement from bricks and mortar and those on waiting lists not currently living on a pitch or plot, as well as households living on tolerated unauthorised pitches or plots who are not included as current need. Consideration will also be given to pitches not currently occupied by Gypsies and Travellers. 7.39 The Technical Note on household formation supports a national net growth rate for the Gypsy and Traveller population of 1.50% using a population base from the 2011 Census where approximately 36% of the Gypsy and Traveller population were aged under 18. The household survey for Gypsies and Travellers in Wokingham Borough indicates that approximately 33% of the on-site population are children and teenagers aged under 18. While potentially a lower formation rate could have been used, ORS consider that it is appropriate to allow for future projected household growth for the Gypsy and Traveller population in Wokingham Borough to occur at an annual net growth rate of 2.00%. This is a generous rate, but will provide enough new pitches to accommodate all newly-forming households and also households in bricks and mortar who may not have been identified in the fieldwork (see Paragraph 7.17 and 7.18) and stakeholder engagement, to have their future needs met. 7.40 Based on a new household formation rate of 2.00% we estimate that a total of 46 additional pitches will be required during the study period as a result of new household formation, assuming that each forming household will requires a pitch of its own. This has used a base figure of 132 pitches. This is set out in Table 21 below and is made up of all current pitches on public and private sites with permanent or temporary planning permission; all pitches on unauthorised sites; concealed households; net movement from bricks and mortar; in-migration; and excluding 12 pitches not currently occupied by Gypsies and Travellers12. 12 9 at Highfield Park and 3 at New Acres 42 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Table 13 Base Figure for New Household Formation Category Pitches Public sites (Council or Registered Providers) (Appendix C) Private with permanent planning permission (Appendix C) Private sites with temporary planning permission (Appendix C) Unauthorised developments (including 7 pitches that are tolerated) (Appendix C) Concealed households (Table 8) Net movement from bricks and mortar (Table 9) In-migration (Table 12) Pitches occupied by non-Gypsies & Travellers (paragraph 6.5) TOTAL 35 77 7 12 7 2 4 -12 132 Table 14 New Household Formation in Wokingham Borough Category Pitches Base for new household formation Net compound formation @2.00% per annum over 15 years TOTAL PITCH REQUIREMENT 7.41 132 46 46 Note that the base population for the calculation of new household formation excludes 12 pitches with planning conditions for Gypsy and Traveller occupation that were found to be occupied by non-Travellers. 43 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Overall Needs for Wokingham Borough 7.42 The estimated gross extra provision that is required now and for the plan period to 2029 will be 71 additional pitches to address the needs of all identifiable Gypsy and Traveller households. This includes the existing households on unauthorised sites, sites with temporary planning permission, concealed households, movement from bricks and mortar, net migration and growth in household numbers due to new household formation. The supply of 19 pitches that has been identified reduces this to a net need for 52 additional pitches. Note that the new household formation excludes pitches that were not occupied by Gypsies and Travellers. Table 15 Extra Pitches which are required in Wokingham Borough from 2014-2029 Source of Requirement/Supply Supply of Pitches Additional supply from vacant public and private pitches Additional supply from pitches on new sites Pitches vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar Pitches vacated by households moving away from the study area Total Supply Current Need Pitches on unauthorised developments Households on unauthorised encampments Concealed households/Doubling-up/Over-crowding Movement from bricks and mortar Households on waiting lists for public sites Total Current Need Future Needs Households on sites with temporary planning permission In-migration New household formation (2.00%) Total Future Needs Total Excluding Non-Traveller Pitches Figure Current and Future Need Supply Net Pitch Requirement Figure 13 - - 19 0 - - - 0 - - - 0 - 19 Figure 14 Figure 15 Figure 16 Figure 17 5 0 7 2 0 14 - - Figure 18 7 - - Figure 19 Figure 21 4 46 57 71 19 52 Split to 2029 in 5 year Time Periods 7.43 In terms of providing results by 5 year time periods, the study has assumed that the needs arising from all temporary planning permissions, unauthorised pitches, concealed households, net movement from bricks and mortar and net migration – less the identified supply of 19 pitches – are met in the first 5 years. The figure for 2014-19 is set out in Figure 24 below. 44 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Table 16 Breakdown of need for 2014-2019 (excluding household formation) Category Pitches Pitches on unauthorised developments Concealed households Net movement from bricks and mortar Pitches on sites with temporary planning permission In migration Supply of vacant pitches TOTAL PITCH REQUIREMENT 7.44 5 7 2 7 4 -19 6 In addition the total new household formation of 46 is apportioned over the 5 year time periods based on a net compound growth rate of 2.00%. This is shown in the table below. Table 17 Breakdown of new household formation @2.00% Net Compound Growth Time period Pitches 2014-19 (0-5 years) 2019-24 (6-10 years) 2024-29 (11-15 years) TOTAL PITCH REQUIREMENT 7.45 15 15 16 46 These figures are combined to give the total requirement by 5 year time periods. This is shown in the table below. Table 18 Additional net pitch provision in Wokingham Borough in 5 Year Periods (Financial Year 01/04-31/03) Wokingham Borough 2014-2019 2019-2024 2024-2029 Total 21 (15+6) 15 16 52 45 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Needs for Plots for Travelling Showpeople 7.46 Planning records indicate that there is just 1 Travelling Showpeople yard in Wokingham Borough at Hinton Road and that it does not have any planning consent for residential occupation. Interviewers visited the yard in May 2014 and found no evidence of occupation and observed that the yard was being used for storage purposes as permitted by the planning consent. 7.47 An interview that was conducted with a representative from the Berkshire Showman’s Guild did not identify any specific issues relating to the needs of Travelling Showpeople in Wokingham Borough, although it did highlight issues of over-crowding on yards elsewhere in Berkshire. In addition a Travelling Showperson who responded to the advert in Worlds Fair who is currently based at an over-crowded yard in West London did not express a preference for a yard in Wokingham Borough but did express a preference for a yard in the nearby Maidenhead/Reading/Windsor areas. 7.48 An interview was also conducted with a representative who reported to act on behalf of 4 Travelling Showpeople families in the Berkshire area. The representative indicated that he had been trying to source land in Wokingham Borough and the wider Berkshire area for the last few years. 7.49 Whilst the study has identified no direct evidence of need for Traveling Showpeople currently living in Wokingham Borough, from the contact with the representative it is advisable that Wokingham Borough Council continue to keep open contact with Travelling Showpeople in order explore further whether there is any future additional plot requirements specifically in the Wokingham Borough. Transit/Emergency Stopping Site Provision 7.50 A public transit site provides a place for households in transit to an area to live for a limited period of time (usually between 4 and 12 weeks). It can also be used as an opportunity for enforcement action against inappropriate unauthorised encampments using powers in the Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994 (Section 62a). Further details about transit provision can be found in Appendix F. 7.51 At the time of the study there was currently no transit provision in Wokingham. However subsequently a resolution to grant planning permission was made for 3 private transit pitches at Highfield Park. The Council should note that the Police cannot use their powers under the Criminal Justice and Public Order Act to move Travellers from unauthorised encampments to private transit pitches. 7.52 Evidence from the CLG Caravan Count indicates that number of caravans on land not owned by Gypsies and Travellers has been consistently very low in Wokingham Borough, with none recorded during the last 3 counts. It should also be noted that transit sites are not always the most effective way to meet Travellers’ needs and other mechanisms such as flexibility in residential sites to accommodate visiting families are often considered more appropriate and easier to manage. 7.53 Whilst the stakeholder interviews did not identify any specific need for transit provision in Wokingham Borough, they did identify that if required it should be provided on a cross-border basis. 7.54 Therefore given the very limited levels of unauthorised encampments on land not owned by Gypsies and Travellers in Wokingham Borough over recent years that have been identified through the Caravan Count and Stakeholder interviews, combined with the fact that there are more effective mechanisms to 46 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 accommodate visiting families, it is recommended that there is not a need for the Council to deliver any new transit provision at this time, but that the situation be closely monitored with neighbouring local authorities during the plan period, with a view to delivering future provision on a cross-border basis. 47 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 8. Conclusions Introduction 8.1 This chapter brings together the evidence presented earlier in the report. It focuses upon the key issues of current and future site provision for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople, as well as considering transit provision. Gypsy and Traveller Future Pitch Provision 8.2 Based upon the evidence presented in this study the additional pitch provision required for Gypsies and Travellers to 2029 in Wokingham Borough is for 52 net additional pitches. These figures should be seen as the projected amount of provision which is necessary to meet the statutory obligations towards identifiable needs of the population arising in Wokingham Borough. 8.3 In terms of providing results by 5 year time periods, the study has assumed that the needs arising from all unauthorised pitches, concealed households, net movement from bricks and mortar, net migration and those with temporary planning permissions – less the identified supply of 19 pitches - are met in the first 5 years. In addition the total new household formation of 46 is apportioned over the 5 year time periods based on a net compound growth rate of 2.00%. Table 19 Extra net pitch provision in Wokingham Borough in 5 Year Periods (Financial Year 01/04-31/03) Wokingham Borough 2014-2019 2019-2024 2024-2029 Total 21 15 16 52 Travelling Showpeople 8.4 Whilst the study has identified no direct evidence of need for Traveling Showpeople currently living in Wokingham Borough, from the contact with the Travelling Showpeople representative it is advisable that Wokingham Borough Council continue to keep open contact with Travelling Showpeople in order explore further whether there is any future additional plot requirements specifically in the Wokingham Borough. Transit Sites 8.5 Given the very limited levels of unauthorised encampments on land not owned by Gypsies and Travellers in Wokingham Borough over recent years that have been identified through the Caravan Count and Stakeholder interviews, combined with the fact that there are more effective mechanisms to accommodate visiting families, it is recommended that there is not a need for the Council to deliver any new transit provision at this time, but that the situation be closely monitored with neighbouring local authorities during the plan period, with a view to delivering future provision on a cross-border basis. 48 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Stakeholder Engagement 8.6 As a result of the outcomes of the interviews with stakeholders ORS would recommend that the Council explore a range of opportunities in relation to Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. 8.7 Officers supported the expansion of Twyford Orchards public site and felt this characterised the positive way Wokingham Borough has attempted to meet the accommodation needs of Gypsies and Travellers. 8.8 Stakeholders raised a number of areas of consideration: » Advertise the waiting list » Continue to work with the Gypsy and Traveller communities » Improve communication about Gypsy and Traveller issues – more information on the Council website » Provide education and awareness training to Elected Members including Member to Member briefings » Continue to work with the community to aid educational attainment » Discuss the possibility of joint transit provision with neighbouring areas » Continue to work with neighbouring local authorities and explore the possibility of working with wider neighbours 8.9 Based upon discussions with representatives from neighbouring local authorities the Traveller population appears to be fairly static and there is little evidence of movement across local authority boundaries. The majority of the neighbouring local authorities have completed a GTAA and were working towards meeting the identified pitch and plot requirements. 8.10 It is difficult to determine the need for transit provision given there is a lack of awareness about wider travelling patterns. Most individual authorities are currently dealing with transit issues in isolation to their neighbours. It would be helpful to Wokingham Borough and neighbouring local authorities to share information on unauthorised encampments, develop a common protocol and methodology on collecting data on unauthorised encampments, track families’ travelling patterns across borders, develop and maintain a central database, and also record the extent to which unauthorised encampments require transit or permanent accommodation. 49 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Appendix A: Joint Methodology 50 March 2015 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Methodology Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments Modelling Current and Future Needs 31st March 2015 Opinion Research Services Spin-out company of Swansea University 1 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Opinion Research Services The Strand Swansea SA1 1AF 01792 535300 www.ors.org.uk Contact: Steve Jarman 01792 535331 steve.jarman@ors.org.uk As with all our studies, this research is subject to Opinion Research Services’ Standard Terms and Conditions of Contract. Any press release or publication of this research requires the advance approval of ORS. Such approval will only be refused on the grounds of inaccuracy or misrepresentation. © Copyright March 2015 2 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Contents 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 5 2. Context...................................................................................................................................... 6 Definitions ............................................................................................................................................ 6 Legislation and Guidance for Gypsies and Travellers ........................................................................... 6 Planning Policy for Traveller Sites (PPTS) ............................................................................................. 8 Tackling Inequalities for Gypsy and Traveller Communities .............................................................. 10 3. Methodological Overview Background .....................................................................................11 Desk-Based Research.......................................................................................................................... 11 Consultation with Stakeholders and Travelling Communities ........................................................... 12 Stakeholder Interviews ....................................................................................................................... 12 Work Collaboratively with Neighbouring Planning Authorities ......................................................... 13 Survey of Travelling Communities ...................................................................................................... 13 Occupation by Non-Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople ................................................. 14 Refusal to be Interviewed................................................................................................................... 14 Pre-Notification .................................................................................................................................. 15 Bricks and Mortar Households ........................................................................................................... 15 Timing of the Fieldwork ...................................................................................................................... 15 4. Analysis of Current and Future Accommodation Needs ..............................................................16 Pitch Provision .................................................................................................................................... 16 Supply of pitches or plots ................................................................................................................... 16 Currently vacant pitches or plots ....................................................................................................... 16 Any pitches or plots currently programmed to be developed within the study period .................... 17 Pitches or plots vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar .............................................. 17 Pitches or plots vacated by households moving out of the study area ............................................. 17 Current Need ...................................................................................................................................... 17 Households on unauthorised sites without planning permission ...................................................... 17 Households on unauthorised encampments ..................................................................................... 18 Concealed households/Doubling-up/Over-crowding......................................................................... 18 Households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to sites or yards ................................................. 18 3 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Households on waiting lists for public sites ....................................................................................... 18 Future Need ........................................................................................................................................ 19 Households living on sites or yards with temporary planning permissions ....................................... 19 New household formation expected during the study period ........................................................... 19 Movement to and from sites and yards ............................................................................................. 20 Final Outcomes ................................................................................................................................... 22 Provision for Gypsies and Travellers................................................................................................... 22 Provision for Travelling Showpeople .................................................................................................. 23 Transit Provision ................................................................................................................................. 23 Appendix A: Glossary of Terms .........................................................................................................25 Appendix B: Letter from Planning Minister .......................................................................................27 Appendix C: Site/Yard Record Form ..................................................................................................30 Appendix D: Bricks & Mortar Adverts ...............................................................................................32 Friends, Families of Travellers – May 2014 ........................................................................................ 32 World’s Fair – May 2014..................................................................................................................... 33 Appendix E: Technical Paper on Household Formation ......................................................................34 4 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 1. Introduction 1.1 This Methodology prepared by Opinion Research Services (ORS) seeks to offer a rigorous and comprehensive approach to the delivery of Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment (GTAA) studies for local planning authorities in Berkshire. This approach has been developed and successfully used by ORS to deliver GTAA studies for over 120 local authorities across England and Wales since the Planning Policy for Traveller Sites guidance was published in 2012. A Glossary of terms used can be found in Appendix A. 1.2 The Methodology sets out how the Berkshire Authorities will seek to explore a wide range of issues with members of the Travelling Community, including Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople, and other key local stakeholders in a quantitative and qualitative research manner. This will include a deskbased review of secondary data relating to local travelling communities, as well as existing policy, guidance and best practice; a review of existing GTAA’s and other studies where appropriate; interviews with Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople living in local authorised and unauthorised sites and encampments, and where possible in housed accommodation in each local authority area; interviews with key stakeholders including Council officers and representatives from the Travelling Community, including the Showmen’s Guild and the Gypsy Council; interviews with officers from neighbouring local authorities to assist in satisfying the Duty to Cooperate; detailed analysis to model the current and future demographics and accommodation needs of the Travelling Community; and final reporting of findings and recommendations. 1.3 The Methodology will deliver a robust GTAA study for each local authority in Berkshire that will meet the requirements and take account of relevant legislation and guidance, including: 1.4 » The Housing Act, 2004 » The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF), 2012 » Planning Policy for Travellers Sites (PPTS), 2012 » The Royal Town Planning Institutes (RTPI) Good Practice Note 4 – Planning for Gypsies and Travellers, 2007 » The requirements of Human Rights, Race Relation, Disability Discrimination, Data Protection and Freedom of Information legislation The outcomes for each local authority in Berkshire will be a study that will provide a robust and defensible evidence base that will enable the authorities to comply with their requirements towards Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople under the Housing Act 2004, the National Planning Policy Framework 2012 and Planning Policy for Traveller Sites 2012. The outcomes will provide each local authority with upto-date evidence about the accommodation needs of Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople in their area in five year bands for their individual development planning periods. It will also identify whether or not any of the local authorities need to plan for the provision of transit sites or emergency stopping places. 5 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 2. Context Definitions 2.1 For the purposes of the planning system, the current definition 1 for Gypsies and Travellers means: » 2.2 Persons of nomadic habit of life whatever their race or origin, including such persons who on grounds only of their own or their family’s or dependants’ educational or health needs or old age have ceased to travel temporarily or permanently, but excluding members of an organised group of Travelling Showpeople or circus people travelling together as such. (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, CLG, March 2012) Within the main definition of Gypsies and Travellers, there are a number of main cultural groups which are identified including: » Romany Gypsies; » Irish Travellers; and » New (Age) Travellers. 2.3 Romany Gypsies and Irish Travellers are recognised in law as distinct ethnic groups and are legally protected from discrimination under the Equalities Act 2010. 2.4 Alongside Gypsies and Travellers, a further group to be considered are Travelling Showpeople. They are defined as: » Members of a group organised for the purposes of holding fairs, circuses or shows (whether or not travelling together as such). This includes such persons who on the grounds of their family’s or dependants’ more localized pattern of trading, educational or health needs or old age have ceased to travel temporarily or permanently, but excludes Gypsies and Travellers as defined above. (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, CLG, March 2012) Legislation and Guidance for Gypsies and Travellers 2.5 Decision-making for policy concerning Gypsies & Travellers and Travelling Showpeople sits within a complex legislative and national policy framework and the undertaking of a GTAA must be viewed in the context of this legislation and guidance. For example, the following pieces of legislation and guidance are relevant when constructing policies relating to Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople: » 1 Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, 2012; Changes to this definition are the subject of the consultation by CLG that ended in November 2014 6 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 » National Planning Policy Framework, 2012; » National Planning Practice Guidance, 2012; » Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Needs Assessments Guidance, 2007; » Environmental Protection Act 1990 (for statutory nuisance provisions); » The Human Rights Act 1998 (when making decisions and welfare assessments); » The Town and Country Planning Act, 1990 (as subsequently amended); » Homelessness Legislation and Allocation Policies; » Criminal Justice and Public Order Act, 1994 (Section 62a); » Anti-Social Behaviour Act, 2003 (both as victims and perpetrators of anti-social behaviour); » Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act, 2004; » Housing Act, 2004, which requires local housing authorities to assess the accommodation needs of Gypsies & Travellers and Showpeople as part of their housing needs assessments; and » Housing Act, 1996 (in respect of homelessness). 2.6 The Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994 is particularly important with regard to the issue of planning for Gypsy and Traveller site provision. This repealed the duty of local authorities to provide appropriate accommodation for Gypsies and Travellers. However, Circular 1/94 did support maintaining existing sites and stated that appropriate future site provision should be considered. 2.7 For site provision, the previous government guidance focused on increasing site provision for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople and encouraging local authorities to have a more inclusive approach to Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople within their Housing Needs Assessment. The Housing Act 2004 required local authorities to identify the need for Gypsy and Traveller sites, alongside the need for other types of housing, when conducting Housing Needs Surveys. Therefore, all local authorities were required to undertake accommodation assessments for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople either as a separate study such as this one, or as part of their main Housing Needs Assessment. 2.8 Local authorities were encouraged rather than compelled to provide new Gypsy and Traveller sites by central government. Circular 1/06 ‘Planning for Gypsy and Traveller Caravan Sites’, released by the CLG in January 2006, replaced Circular 1/94 and suggested that the provision of authorised sites should be encouraged so that the number of unauthorised sites would be reduced. 2.9 The Government announced that Planning for Gypsy and Traveller Caravan Sites (Circular 01/06) was to be repealed, along with the Regional Spatial Strategies, which were used to allocate pitch provision to local authorities. CLG published ‘Planning Policy for Traveller Sites’ in March 2012, which superseded these documents and set out the Government’s new policy for traveller sites. It should be read in conjunction with the National Planning Policy Framework. 7 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs 2.10 2.11 March 2015 A letter from the Parliamentary Under Secretary of State for the Department for Communities and Local Government in March 2014 (see Appendix B) sought to clarify the Government’s position on household formation rates and suggested that current planning guidance would soon be updated: » ‘Following the recent consolidation of planning guidance we will be seeking to consult on updating and streamlining the remaining elements of traveller planning practice guidance and also on strengthening traveller planning policy. We will ensure that any new guidance supports councils to accurately assess their needs and would remove ambiguous references to the 3% growth rate figure, which, I stress, is only illustrative. This would, once published, have the effect of cancelling the last Administration’s guidance.’ » ‘I can confirm that the annual growth rate figure of 3% does not represent national planning policy. The previous Administration's guidance for local authorities on carrying out Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments under the Housing Act 2004 is unhelpful in that it uses an illustrative example of calculating future accommodation need based on the 3% growth rate figure. The guidance notes that the appropriate rate for individual assessments will depend on the details identified in the local authority's own assessment of need. As such the Government is not endorsing or supporting the 3% growth rate figure, though in some cases we are aware that inspectors have, in considering the level of unmet local need when determining specific traveller appeals, used the 3% growth rate figure in the absence of a local authority's own up-to-date assessment of need.’ CLG launched a consultation on proposed changes to government policy on Planning and Travellers in September 2014. This consultation addressed a number of issues including ensuring that the planning system applies fairly and equally to both the settled and traveller communities; further strengthening protection of sensitive areas and Green Belt; and addressing the negative impact of unauthorised occupation. It also included, in Annex A, proposals for revised guidance for completing GTAA studies which are in line with the approach set out in this Methodology. The consultation ended in November 2014 and Local Authorities will need to be aware of the implications should subsequent changes to national policy and guidance be made. Planning Policy for Traveller Sites (PPTS) 2.12 Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, which came into force in March 2012, sets out the direction of Government policy. Planning Policy for Traveller Sites is closely linked to the National Planning Policy Framework 2. Among other objectives, the aims of the policy in respect of Traveller sites are (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, Paragraph 4): 2 » Local planning authorities should make their own assessment of need for the purposes of planning. » To ensure that local planning authorities, working collaboratively, develop fair and effective strategies to meet need through the identification of land for sites. http://planningguidance.planningportal.gov.uk/ 8 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs 2.13 » To encourage local planning authorities to plan for sites over a reasonable timescale. » That plan-making and decision-taking should protect Green Belt from inappropriate development. » To promote more private Traveller site provision while recognising that there will always be those Travellers who cannot provide their own sites. » That plan-making and decision-taking should aim to reduce the number of unauthorised developments and encampments and make enforcement more effective. » For local planning authorities to ensure that their Local Plan includes fair, realistic and inclusive policies. » To increase the number of Traveller sites in appropriate locations with planning permission, to address under provision and maintain an appropriate level of supply. » To reduce tensions between settled and Traveller communities in plan-making and planning decisions. » To enable provision of suitable accommodation from which Travellers can access education, health, welfare and employment infrastructure. » For local planning authorities to have due regard to the protection of local amenity and local environment. In practice, the document states that (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, Paragraph 8): » 2.14 2.15 March 2015 Local planning authorities should set pitch targets for Gypsies and Travellers and plot targets for Travelling Showpeople, which address the likely permanent and transit site accommodation needs of Travellers in their area, working collaboratively with neighbouring local planning authorities. In producing their Local Plan local planning authorities should (Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, para. 9): » Identify and annually update a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide five years’ worth of sites against their locally set targets. » Identify a supply of specific, developable sites or broad locations for growth, for years 6-10 and, where possible, for years 11-15. » Consider production of joint development plans that set targets on a cross-authority basis, to provide more flexibility in identifying sites, particularly if a local planning authority has special or strict planning constraints across its area (local planning authorities have a duty to cooperate on strategic planning issues that cross administrative boundaries). » Relate the number of pitches or plots to the circumstances of the specific size and location of the site and the surrounding population’s size and density. » Protect local amenity and environment. Local Authorities now have a duty to ensure a 5 year land supply to meet the identified needs for Traveller sites. However, ‘Planning Policy for Traveller Sites’ also notes in Paragraph 10 that: 9 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs » March 2015 Where there is no identified need, criteria-based policies should be included to provide a basis for decisions in case applications nevertheless come forward. Criteria-based policies should be fair and should facilitate the traditional and nomadic life of Travellers, while respecting the interests of the settled community. Tackling Inequalities for Gypsy and Traveller Communities 2.16 In April 2012 the Government issued a further document relating to Gypsies and Travellers in the form of ‘Progress report by the ministerial working group on tackling inequalities experienced by Gypsies and Travellers (CLG April 2012)’. The report contains 28 commitments to help improve the circumstances and outcomes for Gypsies and Travellers across a range of areas including: » Identifying ways of raising educational aspirations and attainment of Gypsy, Roma and Traveller children; » Identifying ways to improve health outcomes for Gypsies and Travellers within the proposed new structures of the NHS; » Encouraging appropriate site provision; building on £60m Traveller Pitch Funding and New Homes Bonus incentives; » Tackling hate crime against Gypsies and Travellers and improving their interaction with the criminal justice system; » Improving knowledge of how Gypsies and Travellers engage with services that provide a gateway to work opportunities and working with the financial services industry to improve access to financial products and services; » Sharing good practice in engagement between Gypsies and Travellers and public service providers. 10 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 3. Methodological Overview Background 3.1 This section sets out the methodological approach that will be used to complete the GTAA studies for the Berkshire Authorities. This is based on the methodology developed by ORS over the past 10 years through the completion of GTAA studies for over 100 local authorities in England and Wales, and provides the required outputs from a Gypsy, Traveller (and Travelling Showpeople) Accommodation Assessment. The methodology has been updated in light of Planning Policy for Traveller Sites, as well as recent clarification set out by the Planning Minister in March 2014. The methodology has also taken on board the outcomes of Local Plan Examinations and Planning Appeals. Desk-Based Research 3.2 3.3 When undertaking a GTAA Study a range of important secondary data from available sources will be collated and considered. This will include the following: » Census data. » Details of all authorised public and private sites and yards. » Site management records. » Waiting lists. » Caravan counts. » Records of any unauthorised sites and encampments. » Relevant information from planning, housing, education, community safety and health services. » Information from planning applications and appeals – including those that have been refused and are awaiting determination. » Information on any other current enforcement actions. » Existing GTAA’s and other relevant local studies. » Existing policy, guidance and best practice. This data will be analysed in conjunction with the outcomes of the other elements of the consultation with Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople and other stakeholders to allow for the completion of a thorough review of the needs of Travelling Communities in each local authority area. 11 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Consultation with Stakeholders and Travelling Communities 3.4 Planning Policy for Traveller Sites states that in assembling the evidence base necessary to support their planning approach, local planning authorities should: » ‘Pay particular attention to early and effective community engagement with both settled and traveller communities (including discussing travellers’ accommodation needs with travellers themselves, their representative bodies and local support groups) » Co-operate with travellers, their representative bodies and local support groups, other local authorities and relevant interest groups to prepare and maintain an up-to-date understanding of the likely permanent and transit accommodation needs of their areas over the lifespan of their development plan working collaboratively with neighbouring local planning authorities.’ Stakeholder Interviews 3.5 Stakeholder consultation will be undertaken by telephone using a structured interview ‘Topic Guide’ that will be agreed by each local authority, and where local circumstances allow will be complimented by local focus groups. There can be benefits from using focus groups to complement the telephone interviews as it allows for a more in-depth discussion about local issues in a group environment and allows for the clarification of key issues at an early stage in the assessment process. Where focus groups are feasible a minimum of 2 will be completed in each local authority area. The first with a wide range of local stakeholders including Council officers from housing, planning, education, environment, community safety and community development; Gypsy and Traveller Support/Liaison Services; and local authority site management- and the second with Councillors that could include local Council Members, Cabinet Members and representatives from Overview and Scrutiny Panels and Regulatory Committees. Representatives from Ward and District Committees could also be considered to attend this focus group if such arrangements are in place. 3.6 Telephone interviews will be undertaken by trained interviewers and will include the same range of stakeholders who may be involved in the focus groups including officers from housing, planning, education, environment, community safety and community development; Gypsy and Traveller Support/Liaison Services; local authority site management; as well as a selection of local Councillors. 3.7 In addition a questionnaire, that will be agreed by each local authority, will be sent to any Parish and Town Councils operating in the given study area. Where there are no Parish or Town Councils other local representative groups such as Town Forums, Civic Societies and Neighbourhood Planning Groups will be approached. Telephone interviews will also be conducted with representative groups of the Gypsy and Traveller community, including the Showmen’s Guild, as part of the stakeholder consultation process. Where possible efforts will also be made to speak with Planning Agents that operate in each local authority. 3.8 The stakeholder interviews and focus groups will normally cover the following key topics: » What dealings or relationships people have with Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. » Experiences of any particular issues in relation to Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. 12 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs 3.9 March 2015 » Awareness of any Gypsy and Traveller sites and Travelling Showpeople Yards either with or without planning permission and whether this varies over the course of a year. » Any trends people may be experiencing with regard to Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople (e.g. increase in privately owned sites or temporary sites). » What attracts Gypsies & Travellers and Travelling Showpeople to an area. » Identification of any seasonal fluctuations that may occur. » Awareness of any occurrences of temporary stopping by Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. » Identifying the relationship between the settled and travelling communities including any positive or negative local circumstances. » Awareness of any Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople currently residing in bricks and mortar accommodation. » Awareness of any cross boundary issues, including travelling routes. » Any other comments. A standard letter will also be sent by each local authority to the Gypsy Council to request any views that they may have on the proposed study. The reason for requesting each local authority to contact the Gypsy Council is that experience from other GTAA studies is that this is more likely to elicit a response from the Gypsy Council. Work Collaboratively with Neighbouring Planning Authorities 3.10 Interviews will also be conducted with all neighbouring authorities and any other authorities where a direct link with the needs of the study area is identified – for example transit sites, wider travelling routes etc. These interviews will ensure that wider issues that may impact on this project will be fully understood. These stakeholders will be identified as part of the desk-based review and in conjunction with officers from the Council. Information will also be requested from neighbouring authorities on the status of their own GTAA studies and details of estimated current and future need and how these needs are being addressed. Survey of Travelling Communities 3.11 The desk-based research and stakeholder interviews will seek to identify all authorised and unauthorised sites and encampments in the study area. This will include permanent and temporary Gypsy and Traveller sites owned or managed by the Council or other Registered Providers, private sites and pitches with permanent and temporary planning permission, Travelling Showpeople yards and unauthorised sites and encampments. 3.12 A full demographic study of all pitches and plots will be undertaken as part of the approach to undertaking the GTAA as a sample based approach very often leads to an under-estimate of current and future needs which can be the subject of challenge at subsequent appeals and examinations. 13 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 3.13 All pitches (including those on current unauthorised sites, yards and encampments that are present at the time of the study) will be visited by experienced researchers. Once it has been determined that a pitch/plot is occupied by a Gypsy and Traveller or Travelling Showperson (using an agreed ‘screening process 3’) the researchers will conduct interviews with residents on as many pitches and plots as possible to determine their current demographic characteristics (including ethnicity, gender, age, household size), whether they have any current or likely future accommodation needs and how these may be addressed (including any specific geographic requirements), and whether there are any concealed households or ‘doubling-up’ on pitches or plots. 3.14 This approach also allows the researchers to identify information about the sites and yards that could help support any future work on possible site expansion by undertaking a physical assessment of each pitch, and an overall assessment of each site. A copy of the standard Site/Yard Record Form that is used to record information about each visit can be found in Appendix C. 3.15 Where no households are present researchers will seek to visit sites/yards a minimum of three times at different times of the day and days of the week. Where it is not possible to undertake an interview the researchers will endeavour to capture as much information as possible about each pitch/plot from sources including neighbouring residents and site management. This will record the number of caravans, demographic characteristics of the residents, evidence of children, any concealed households and a physical assessment of the pitch. Where possible an annotated plan of the pitch/plot will also be recorded. Occupation by Non-Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople 3.16 Where caravans are not occupied by Gypsies and Travellers or Travelling Showpeople this will also be noted in the site/yard record form. The way that these pitches or plots are dealt with as part of the calculation of supply and need will be determined in discussion with the relevant Council as careful consideration will need to be given to the planning permission for the site and associated conditions. Refusal to be Interviewed 3.17 During the course of a GTAA Study there can be instances where interviewers are refused access to a site or yard. In these circumstances paragraph 6 (a) of PPTS will be considered which states that local planning authorities should pay particular attention to early and effective engagement with traveller communities…including discussing travellers accommodation needs with travellers themselves. Where access is denied fieldwork staff will seek to determine the demographic characteristics and needs of the residents as far as possible, and also whether residents on the site are able to meet their own needs. This information will be included in the calculation of current and future need, and the total number of pitches will be included in the base for new household formation. Where it is not possible to obtain any information on residents, and the site is occupied, the total number of permitted pitches will be included in the base for new household formation. Where residents are not willing to provide any information and state that they are able to meet their own current and future needs consideration will be given as to whether to exclude the site from the overall calculation of need. 3 Researchers will ask households what their ethnic status is to determine whether they are Gypsies or Travellers 14 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Pre-Notification 3.18 It is important to take a full and robust approach to GTAA fieldwork. Whilst pre-notification is not necessarily advocated for all studies the most appropriate approach to any pre-notification issues will be discussed with each local authority. This will determine whether pre-notification is appropriate on all, some or none of the sites or yards in their respective area. Types of pre-notification may involve speaking with any site managers, Gypsy and Traveller Liaison Officers and community elders, sending out letters or visiting sites/yards, putting up posters and notices in the local press in order to make people aware of the purpose of the study. The approach taken and levels of pre-notification publicity will be set out in each individual local authority report. Bricks and Mortar Households 3.19 Many Planning Inspectors and appellants question the accuracy of GTAA assessments in relation to those Gypsies and Travellers living in bricks and mortar accommodation who may wish to move on to a site. As such all available methods will be used to identify as many households in bricks and mortar who may want to take part in an interview to determine their future accommodation needs, including a wish to move to a permanent pitch or plot. 3.20 Contacts will be identified through a wide range of sources including waiting lists for existing sites (the vast majority of Travelling Showpeople yards are in private ownership and do not have waiting lists), speaking with people living on existing sites or yards to identify any friends or family living in bricks and mortar who may wish to move to a site or yard, intelligence from site management, intelligence from the Council and other local stakeholders including Councillors and Parish Councils, information from Planning Agents and through placing adverts on social networks and social networking sites such as Friends and Families of Travellers on Facebook and in printed media such as World’s Fair and Travellers Times. Examples of these adverts can be found in Appendix D. Face-to-face or telephone interviews will be undertaken with any contacts that are identified. Through this approach every effort will be made to publicise that a local study is being undertaken in order to give all households living in bricks and mortar who may wish to move on to a site the opportunity to make their views known to us. 3.21 As a rule it is not recommended to extrapolate the findings from fieldwork with bricks and mortar households up to the estimated bricks and mortar population as a whole as this often leads to a significant over-estimate of the number of households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to a site or a yard. As such an assumption will be made that all those wishing to move will make their views known based on the wide range of publicity that will put in place and engagement with the Travelling Community. Timing of the Fieldwork 3.22 The transient nature of many travelling communities and subsequent seasonal variations in site and yard occupancy is of particular importance when seeking to engage with the Travelling Community. It is therefore important that the majority of fieldwork is undertaken during the non-travelling season where possible, and also to avoid days of known local or national events. However evidence from previous studies across the country does indicate that a large number of Gypsies and Travellers do remain on sites throughout the year and it is usually possible to identify the demographic characteristics of those who are not on site/yard at the time of the fieldwork through neighbouring residents and site management. 15 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 4. Analysis of Current and Future Accommodation Needs Pitch Provision 4.1 To identify current and future need, the March 2012 ‘Planning Policy for Traveller Sites’, requires an assessment for current and future pitch or plot requirements, but does not provide a suggested methodology for undertaking this calculation. However, as with any housing assessment, the underlying calculation can be broken down into a relatively small number of factors. In this case, the key issue for residential pitches is to compare the supply of pitches or plots available for occupation with the current and future needs of the Traveller population. It is also important to agree on a baseline date that the assessment is based on. The key factors in each of these elements are set out below: Supply of pitches or plots 4.2 Pitches or plots which are available for future use can come from a variety of sources. These include: » Currently vacant pitches or plots. » Any pitches or plots currently with planning consent programmed to be developed within the study period. » Pitches or plots vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar. » Pitches or plots vacated by households moving away from the study area. Currently vacant pitches or plots 4.3 At any one time it is likely that some pitches or plots will be vacant in any area, but this is often due to travelling or natural turnover as one household moves off a site or yard and another moves move on. For currently vacant pitches or plots it is important only to count pitches or plots on public or commercially run private sites or yards which have clear vacancies on them. 4.4 However where the vacant pitches or plots are on private sites or yards a decision will need to be made as to whether they can be considered as available supply as there may be circumstances where they are not available. Planning Policy for Traveller Sites is clear on how to consider new supply as being deliverable and available. Footnotes 7 and 8 on Page 3 state that: » 7 To be considered deliverable, sites should be available now, offer a suitable location for development now, and be achievable with a realistic prospect that development will be delivered on the site within five years and in particular that development of the site is viable. Sites with planning permission should be considered deliverable until permission expires, unless there is clear evidence that schemes will not be implemented within five 16 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 years, for example they will not be viable, there is no longer a demand for the type of units or sites have long term phasing plans. » 8 To be considered developable, sites should be in a suitable location for traveller site development and there should be a reasonable prospect that the site is available and could be viably developed at the point envisaged. Any pitches or plots currently programmed to be developed within the study period 4.5 This element is drawn from planning records to show sites or yards with planning permission which the Council reliably understand are going to be developed during the study period. This could also include land allocations in Local Development Plans. This judgement on whether to include such sites as available supply will be made following discussions with planning officers in each local authority. Pitches or plots vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar 4.6 This element is drawn from the site or yard surveys with each household seeking to move to bricks and mortar counted on a one for one basis with no extrapolation or assumptions about future moves. This is included in the final calculations under net movement to/from bricks and mortar. Pitches or plots vacated by households moving out of the study area 4.7 This element will also be identified from the site or yard surveys and will be combined with those moving to the area to provide an overall figure for net migration. Current Need 4.8 There are five components of current need. Total current need, which is not necessarily the need for additional pitches or plots because they may be able to be addressed by space available in the local authority, is made up of: » Households on unauthorised sites or yards (i.e. unauthorised pitches or plots on Traveller’s own land) without planning permission that are not tolerated; » Households on unauthorised encampments (i.e. unauthorised pitches or plots on land not owned by Travellers) without planning permission that are not tolerated; » Concealed households/Doubling-up/Over-crowding; » Households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to sites or yards; and » Households on waiting lists for public sites (which could also be households on unauthorised sites/encampments, concealed households, those in bricks and mortar and potential in-migrants so it is important that these are not double counted). Households on unauthorised sites without planning permission 4.9 In addition to information gathered from planning records, a survey will be carried out with residents on unauthorised developments to determine the number of households and to distinguish between those who want permanent accommodation in the area and those who require more temporary or transit provision. 17 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Long-term tolerated sites where enforcement action is not expedient and a certificate of lawful use would be granted if sought will not be counted as part of this component of need. Households on unauthorised encampments 4.10 Where it is possible during the fieldwork period a survey will be carried out with households living on unauthorised encampments to determine the number of households and to distinguish between those who want permanent accommodation in the area and those who require more temporary or transit provision. How this element is dealt with in the calculation of current need may differ between local authorities based on local policies regarding unauthorised encampments. Concealed households/Doubling-up/Over-crowding 4.11 There is no clear definition of a concealed household in either National Planning Practice Guidance or Planning Policy for Traveller Sites. 4.12 The 2011 Census uses 2 definitions which constitute concealed households. Firstly concealed families, where a couple or lone parent with children are living within a primary family, and secondly adult children living at home. 4.13 Where a concealed household under either of these definitions wishes to form their own separate family unit, but are unable to do so because for example of a lack of space on public or private sites or yards, they become a component of need. Information on concealed households is obtained from the site or yard survey and from analysis of waiting lists where they are present. 4.14 In addition the site interviews and desk-research will attempt to identify any instances of over-crowding or doubling-up where the number of caravans on a pitch or plot exceed the number permitted through planning conditions. 4.15 Care needs to be taken to avoid double-counting, which may be brought about with the same households being identified on more than one waiting list. Households in bricks and mortar wishing to move to sites or yards 4.16 Households in bricks and mortar seeking to move to sites or yards are counted on a one for one basis from within the site or yard survey with no extrapolation or assumptions about future moves. The difficulties surrounding contacting this group are well recognised as they tend to not self-identify and housing associations are not routinely collecting data that would help identify them. This Methodology sets out in Paragraph 3.19-3.21 the approach for making contact with bricks and mortar households. Households on waiting lists for public sites 4.17 The exact treatment of the waiting list will vary from local authority to local authority depending upon how well they are maintained and who is responsible for maintaining them. Any households on unauthorised sites or in bricks and mortar who have been counted elsewhere in the calculation are discounted from this component of need. If the waiting list is up-to-date all households will normally be included, but crosschecks will be undertaken to ensure that there is no double counting with the other components of need, and to confirm that everyone on the list is still actively looking to be housed on a site. In addition where it is 18 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 possible neighbouring authorities will also be contacted to identify whether individuals are on multiple waiting lists, and if necessary attempts will be made to speak with households to identify what their preferences would be. Future Need 4.18 The next stage of the process is to assess how many households are likely to be seeking pitches or plots in the area in the future. This would normally be for a period of 15 years, broken down by 5 year bands. However the overall time period will be determined with each individual local authority. There are three key components of future need. Total future need is the sum of the following: » Households living on sites or yards with temporary planning permissions; » New household formation expected during the study period; and » Migration to sites from outside the study area. Households living on sites or yards with temporary planning permissions 4.19 Temporary planning permissions are counted on a one for one basis from planning records unless there is evidence that the households do not intend to seek to reapply for a new permission. Household formation and growth rates 4.20 Nationally, a household formation and growth rate of 3% net per annum has been commonly assumed and widely used in local Gypsy and Traveller assessments, even though there is no statistical evidence of households growing so quickly. The result has been to inflate both national and local requirements for additional pitches unrealistically. In this context, ORS has prepared a Technical Note on household formation and growth rates. The main conclusions are set out here and the full paper is in Appendix E. 4.21 Those seeking to provide evidence of high annual net household growth rates for Gypsies and Travellers have sometimes sought to rely on increases in the number of caravans, as reflected in caravan counts. However, caravan count data are unreliable and erratic – so the only proper way to project future population and household growth is through demographic analysis. 4.22 In fact, the growth in the national Gypsy and Traveller population may be as low as 1.25% per annum – much less than the 3% per annum often assumed, but still four times greater than in the settled community. Even using extreme and unrealistic assumptions, it is hard to find evidence that net Gypsy and Traveller population and household growth rates are above 2% per annum nationally. 4.23 The often assumed 3% per annum net household growth rate is unrealistic and would require clear statistical evidence before being used for planning purposes. In practice, the best available evidence supports a national net household growth rate of 1.5% per annum for Gypsies and Travellers. 19 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 4.25 However, some local authorities might allow for a household growth rate of up to 2.5% per annum, to provide a ‘safety margin’ and depending on the relative youthfulness of their area populations. In areas where on-site surveys indicate that there are fewer children in the Gypsy and Traveller population, the lower estimate of 1.5% per annum should be used. These conclusions are compatible with the latest planning guidance. 4.26 ORS assessments will take full account of the net local household growth rate per annum for each local authority, calculated on the basis of evidence from the site surveys, and the ‘baseline’ will include all current authorised households, all households identified as in current need (including concealed households, movement from bricks and mortar and those on waiting lists not currently living on a pitch or plot), as well as households living on tolerated unauthorised pitches or plots who are not included as current need. The assessments of future need will also take account of modelling projections based on birth and death rates, and in-/out-migration. 4.27 Discussions with local authorities should consider any pitches not occupied by Gypsies and Travellers and whether these should be included or excluded from the calculations. Overall, the household growth rate used for the assessment of future needs will be informed by local evidence and included in the reports for each local authority. Movement to and from sites and yards 4.28 Assessments should also allow for likely in-migration (households requiring accommodation who move into the study area from outside) and out-migration (households moving away from the study area). Site surveys typically identify only small numbers of in- and out-migrant households and the data is not normally robust enough to extrapolate long-term trends. At the national level, there is nil net migration of Gypsies and Travellers across the UK, but assessments should take into account local migration effects on the basis of the best evidence available. 4.29 Evidence drawn from stakeholder and site/yard interviews should be carefully considered alongside other relevant local circumstances. Unless such evidence indicates otherwise, net migration to the sum of zero will be used for the Berkshire GTAA studies – which means that net pitch requirement are driven by locally identifiable need rather than speculative modelling assumptions. But where there are known likely in-migrant households they will be included in the needs figures – while stressing the potential for doublecounting across more than one local authority area. Likewise, where there is likely to be movement away from the study area, the net effects will be taken into consideration when calculating current and future needs. 4.30 There are three main sources of in-migration that could account for additional needs in the study area. The first is out-migration from London. However, the majority of ORS’s current or recent assessments in London (including Bexley, Camden; Hackney, Haringey, Lambeth, Lewisham and the London Legacy Development Corporation) identify additional need – and work is being progressed by the Boroughs to meet these needs. 20 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs 4.31 March 2015 The second potential source of in-migration is from local authorities with significant areas of Green Belt. A Ministerial Statement in July 2013 reaffirmed that: ‘The Secretary of State wishes to make clear that, in considering planning applications, although each case will depend on its facts, he considers that the single issue of unmet demand, whether for traveller sites or for conventional housing, is unlikely to outweigh harm to the Green Belt and other harm to constitute the ‘very special circumstances’ justifying inappropriate development in the Green Belt.’ 4.32 This position was reaffirmed in the CLG consultation on revised policy and guidance for Gypsies and Travellers (September 2014) which suggested placing further restrictions on the development of Traveller sites in the Green Belt: ‘Subject to the best interests of the child, unmet need and personal circumstances are unlikely to outweigh harm to the Green Belt and any other harm so as to establish very special circumstances.’ 4.33 However, this does not remove the requirement for local authorities with Green Belt to assess their needs and provide pitches/plots where this is possible. Where this is not possible Paragraphs 178 and 179 of the NPPF set out that ‘Joint working should enable local planning authorities to work together to meet development requirements which cannot wholly be met within their own areas’. It is not the place of the Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment to assume one authority will meet the needs of another; and authorities unable to meet their own needs should work with neighbours to do so. This process is well established in general housing provision. Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONBs) may also need to address similar issues in the same way, given local authorities’ duty to conserve and enhance these areas. 4.34 The final main source of in-migration to the study area is from the closure of unauthorised sites and encampments. There are several well documented cases of large-scale movements of Gypsies and Travellers following enforcement action against unauthorised sites – for example, from Dale Farm in Essex. 4.35 If in-migration to a study area is a source of demand for pitches, out-migration is a source of supply. The potential for the supply of some pitches arising from out-migration includes households moving to other areas from private sites with general planning consent for Gypsy or Traveller occupation and selling the sites to other Gypsy and Travellers or for housing development; and households moving away from private sites with personal planning consents, so that the sites revert to their previous status. 4.36 In ORS assessments, the likely net effects of inward and outward movements to and from sites and yards are considered in the light of local circumstances in each local authority area and on the basis of evidence collected during the stakeholder interviews and fieldwork. 21 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Final Outcomes 4.37 All of the components of supply and need will be presented in easy to understand tables which will identify the overall net requirement for current and future accommodation. Separate tables will be prepared for the current and future needs of Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. The need for transit provision will also be addressed. The total need will be broken down into 5 year bands and will include all current need and temporary planning permissions, together with new household formation based on the demographics identified during the site visits and any identified net migration. Provision for Gypsies and Travellers Current and Future Need Source of Requirement/Supply Future Supply of Pitches Additional supply from vacant public and private pitches Additional supply from pitches on new sites Pitches vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar Pitches vacated by households moving away from the study area Total Supply Current Need Households on unauthorised developments Households on unauthorised encampments Concealed households/Doubling-up/Over-crowding Movement from bricks and mortar Households on waiting lists for public sites Total Current Need Future Need Households on sites with temporary planning permission In-migration New household formation (Base number of households XXX and formation rate X.XX%) Total Future Needs Total = (Current and Future Need – Total Supply) 22 Supply Net Pitch Requirement Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Provision for Travelling Showpeople Current and Future Need Source of Requirement/Supply Supply Net Plot Requirement Future Supply of Plots Additional supply from vacant public and private plots Additional supply from plots on new yards Plots vacated by households moving to bricks and mortar Plots vacated by households moving away from the study area Total Supply Current Need Households on unauthorised developments Households on unauthorised encampments Concealed households/Doubling-up/Over-crowding Movement from bricks and mortar Households on waiting lists for public yards Total Current Need Future Need Households on yards with temporary planning permission In-migration New household formation (Base number of households XXX and formation rate X.XX%) Total Future Needs Total = (Current and Future Need – Total Supply) Transit Provision 4.38 4.39 GTAA studies often require the identification of demand for any transit sites or stopping places. While the majority of Gypsies and Travellers have permanent bases either on Gypsy and Traveller sites or in bricks and mortar and no longer travel, other members of the community either travel permanently or for part of the year. Due to the mobile nature of the population a range of sites can be developed to accommodate Gypsies and Travellers as they move through different areas. » Transit sites - full facilities where Gypsies and Travellers might live temporarily (for up to three months) – for example, to work locally, for holidays or to visit family and friends. » Stopping places - more limited facilities. » Temporary sites and stopping places - only temporary facilities to cater for an event. Transit sites serve a specific function of meeting the needs of Gypsy and Traveller households who are visiting an area or who are passing through on the way to somewhere else. A transit site typically has a restriction on the length of stay of usually around 13 weeks and has a range of facilities such as water supply, electricity and amenity blocks. 23 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 4.40 An alternative to or in addition to a transit site is an emergency stopping place. This type of site also has restrictions on the length of time for which someone can stay on it, but has much more limited facilities with typically only a source of water and chemical toilets provided. 4.41 Temporary stopping places can be made available at times of increased demand due to fairs or cultural celebrations that are attended by Gypsies and Travellers. A charge may be levied as determined by the local authority although they only need to provide basic facilities including: a cold water supply; portaloos; sewerage disposal point and refuse disposal facilities. 4.42 The Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994 (Sections 61, 62, 77 and 78) is particularly important with regard to the issue of Gypsy and Traveller transit site provision. Section 62A of the Act allows the police to direct trespassers to remove themselves and their vehicles and property from any land where a suitable transit pitch on a relevant caravan site is available within the same local authority area (or within the county in two-tier local authority areas). 4.43 It is necessary to investigate the role of transit sites when undertaking a GTAA study. This will seek to include analysis of records of unauthorised sites and encampments; the use of and capacity of existing transit provision where it is present; and where they are possible interviews with Gypsies and Travellers on these sites to identify whether their needs are for transit accommodation or the desire to settle down more permanently in any given locality. The outcomes of the interviews with Council Officers, Officers from neighbouring local authorities and other stakeholders will also be taken into consideration. 24 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Appendix A: Glossary of Terms Amenity block/shed Bricks and mortar Caravan Chalet Concealed household Doubling-Up Emergency Stopping Place Green Belt Household formation In-migration Local Plans Out-migration Personal planning permission Pitch/plot A building where basic plumbing amenities (bath/shower, WC, sink) are provided. Mainstream housing. Mobile living vehicle used by Gypsies and Travellers. Also referred to as trailers. A single storey residential unit which can be dismantled. Sometimes referred to as mobile homes. Households, living within other households, who are unable to set up separate family units. Where there are more than the permitted number of caravans on a pitch or plot. A temporary site with limited facilities to be occupied by Gypsies and Travellers while they travel. A land use designation used to check the unrestricted sprawl of large built-up areas; prevent neighbouring towns from merging into one another; assist in safeguarding the countryside from encroachment; preserve the setting and special character of historic towns; and assist in urban regeneration, by encouraging the recycling of derelict and other urban land. The process where individuals form separate households. This is normally through adult children setting up their own household. Movement into or come to live in a region or community Local Authority spatial planning documents that can include specific policies and/or site allocations for Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. Movement from one region or community in order to settle in another. A private site where the planning permission specifies who can occupy the site and doesn’t allow transfer of ownership. Area of land on a site/development generally home to one household. Can be varying sizes and have varying caravan numbers. Pitches refer to Gypsy and Traveller sites and Plots to Travelling Showpeople yards. 25 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs Private site Site Social/Public/Council Site Temporary planning permission Tolerated site/yard Transit provision Unauthorised Development Unauthorised Encampment Waiting list Yard March 2015 An authorised site owned privately. Can be owneroccupied, rented or a mixture of owner-occupied and rented pitches. An area of land on which Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople are accommodated in caravans/chalets/vehicles. Can contain one or multiple pitches/plots. An authorised site owned by either the local authority or a Registered Housing Provider. A private site with planning permission for a fixed period of time. Long-term tolerated sites or yards where enforcement action is not expedient and a certificate of lawful use would be granted if sought. Site intended for short stays and containing a range of facilities. There is normally a limit on the length of time residents can stay. Caravans on land owned by Gypsies and Travellers and without planning permission. Caravans on land not owned by Gypsies and Travellers and without planning permission. Record held by the local authority or site managers of applications to live on a site. A name often used by Travelling Showpeople to refer to a site. 26 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs Appendix B: Letter from Planning Minister 27 March 2015 ~~~ Department for Communities and Local Government Andrew Selous MP House of Commons London SW1A OAA Brandon Lewis MP Parliamentary Under Secretary of State Department for Communities and Local Government Eland House Bressenden Place London SW1E 50U Tel: 0303444 3430 Fax: 0303 444 3986 E-Mail: brandon.lewis@communities.gsi.gov.uk www.gov.uk/dclg 2 !I MAR 2014 I would like to thank you for raising the debate on traveller planning policy held on 4 February, in which you highlighted concerns about the use of the 3% annual growth rate for the traveller population in assessing future site needs. I can confirm that the annual growth rate figure of 3% does not represent national planning policy. Through powers in the Localism Act we revoked the last Administration's regional strategies, which imposed top-down traveller pitch targets on local councils, and through our planning policy for traveller sites returned to councils the freedom and responsibility to plan to meet their traveller community's site needs. In much the same way as we expect councils to plan to meet the housing needs of their settled community, our policy sets out that local authorities should undertake and update their own assessment of future traveller site need, based on robust evidence. The previous Administration's guidance for local authorities on carrylnq out Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments under the Housing Act 2004 is unhelpful in that it uses an illustrative example of calculating future accommodation need based on the 3% gmwth rate figure. The guidance notes that the appropriate rate for individual assessments will depend on the details identified in the local authority's own assessment of need. As such the Government is not endorsing or swpporting the 3% growth rate figure, though in some cases we are aware that inspectors have, in considering the level of unmet local need when deterrnlrunq specific traveller appeals, used the 3% growth rate igure in the absence of a local authority's own up-to-date assessment of need. I consider the current guidance is in need of up-dating Following the recent consolidation of planning glllidance (as announced in Nick Boles' recent written statement), we will be seeking to consult on updating and streamlining the remaining elements of traveller planning practice guialance and also on strengthening traveller planning policy, as outlined in my written statement of 17 January. We will ensure that any new guidance supports councils to accurately assess their needs and would remove ambiguous references to the 3% growth rate figllJlre,Which, I stress, is only illustrative. This would, once published, have the effect of cancelling the last Adminlstratlon's guidance. I will ask my 0 ficials to raise this matter with the Planning Inspectorate to re-confirm that planning policy requires local authorities to robustly assess their own needs. I hope this clarifies the Government's posftion on this issue and addresses the concerns you raise. I am placing this letter in the Library of the House, given the important policy points you raise and sending a copy to those MP's present at the debate on 4 February. BRANDON LEWIS MP Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Appendix C: Site/Yard Record Form Gypsy & Traveller Accommodation Assessment – Site/Pitch, Yard/Plot Record Site/Yard Survey Information Name of Local Authority Date of Site/Yard Visit Time of Site/Yard Visit Name of Interviewer(s) Name/Address of Site/Yard Type of Site/Yard Plot/Pitch Number (if applicable) Planning Status Council / Social / Private / Unauthorised Full Permission / Temporary Permission / Unauthorised Number of Caravans Number of other Buildings (include details) Family Demographics Caravan 1 Name of Family If family not present note who provided the information Romany Gypsy / Irish Traveller / Scots Gypsy or Traveller / Show Person / New Traveller / English Traveller / Welsh Gypsy / Non Traveller (specify) / Other (specify) Ethnicity of Family Person 1 Sex Age Person 2 Sex Age Concealed Households? Person 3 Sex Age Person 4 Sex Age Person 5 Sex Yes / No Details: Any future needs? 30 Age Person 6 Sex Age Person 7 Sex Age Person 8 Sex Age Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs Do any families want to move to bricks and mortar? Details and what waiting list(s) they are on Contacts for Bricks & Mortar Interviews Details of any friends or family living in bricks and mortar who want to move to a site: Any other information Site/Pitch Plan Sketch of Site/Pitch 31 March 2015 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs March 2015 Appendix D: Bricks & Mortar Adverts Friends, Families of Travellers – May 2014 32 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs World’s Fair – May 2014 33 March 2015 Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments: Methodology for Modelling Needs Appendix E: Technical Paper on Household Formation 34 March 2015 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Opinion Research Services Technical Note Gypsy and Traveller Household Formation and Growth Rates March 31st 2015 Opinion Research Services Spin-out company of Swansea University 1 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates As with all our studies, this research is subject to Opinion Research Services’ Standard Terms and Conditions of Contract. Any press release or publication of this research requires the advance approval of ORS. Such approval will only be refused on the grounds of inaccuracy or misrepresentation. © Copyright March 2015 2 March 2015 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Contents Household Growth Rates........................................................................................................................ 4 Abstract and conclusions ............................................................................................................................... 4 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 4 Compound growth......................................................................................................................................... 6 Caravan counts .............................................................................................................................................. 7 Modelling population growth........................................................................................................................ 8 Household growth ....................................................................................................................................... 12 Household dissolution rates ........................................................................................................................ 14 Summary conclusions .................................................................................................................................. 14 3 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Household Growth Rates Abstract and conclusions 1. National and local household formation and growth rates are important components of Gypsy and Traveller accommodation assessments, but little detailed work has been done to assess their likely scale. Nonetheless, nationally, a net growth rate of 3% per annum has been commonly assumed and widely used in local assessments – even though there is actually no statistical evidence of households growing so quickly. The result has been to inflate both national and local requirements for additional pitches unrealistically. 2. Those seeking to provide evidence of high annual net household growth rates for Gypsies and Travellers have sometimes sought to rely on increases in the number of caravans, as reflected in caravan counts. However, caravan count data are unreliable and erratic – so the only proper way to project future population and household growth is through demographic analysis (which, of course, is used to assess housing needs in the settled community). 3. The growth in the Gypsy and Traveller population may be as low as 1.25% per annum – a rate which is much less than the 3% per annum often assumed, but still at least four times greater than in the general population. Even using extreme and unrealistic assumptions, it is hard to find evidence that net Gypsy and Traveller population and household growth rates are above 2% per annum nationally. 4. The often assumed 3% per annum net household growth rate is unrealistic and would require clear statistical evidence before being used for planning purposes. In practice, the best available evidence supports a national net household growth rate of 1.5% per annum for Gypsies and Travellers. 5. Some local authorities might perhaps allow for a household growth rate of up to 2.5% per annum, to provide a ‘margin’ if their populations are relatively youthful; but in areas where on-site surveys indicate that there are fewer children in the Gypsy and Traveller communities, the lower estimate of 1.5% per annum should be used for planning purposes. Introduction 6. The rate of household growth is a key element in all housing assessments, including Gypsy and Traveller accommodation assessments. Compared with the general population, the relative youthfulness of many Gypsy and Traveller populations means that their birth rates are likely to generate higher-than-average population growth, and proportionately higher gross household formation rates. However, while their gross rate of household growth might be high, Gypsy and Traveller communities’ future accommodation needs are, in practice, affected by any reduction in the number of households due to dissolution and/or by movements in/out of the area and/or by transfers into other forms of housing. Therefore, the net rate of household growth is the gross rate of formation minus any reductions in households due to such factors. Of course, it is the net rate that is important in determining future accommodation needs for Gypsies and Travellers. 4 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 7. In this context, it is a matter of concern that many Gypsy and Traveller accommodation needs assessments have not distinguished gross and net growth rates nor provided evidence for their assumed rates of household increase. These deficiencies are particularly important because when assumed growth rates are unrealistically high, and then compounded over a number of planning years, they can yield exaggerated projections of accommodation needs and misdirect public policy. Nonetheless, assessments and guidance documents have assumed ‘standard’ net growth rates of about 3% without sufficiently recognising either the range of factors impacting on the gross household growth rates or the implications of unrealistic assumptions when projected forward on a compound basis year by year. 8. For example, in a study for the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister (‘Local Authority Gypsy and Traveller Sites in England’, 2003), Pat Niner concluded that net growth rates as high as 2%-3% per annum should be assumed. Similarly, the Regional Spatial Strategies (RSS) (which continued to be quoted after their abolition was announced in 2010) used net growth rates of 3% per annum without providing any evidence to justify the figure (For example, ‘Accommodation for Gypsies and Travellers and Travelling Showpeople in the East of England: A Revision to the Regional Spatial Strategy for the East of England July 2009’). 9. However, the guidance of the Department of Communities and Local Government (‘Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Needs Assessments: Guidance’, 2007) was much clearer in saying that: The 3% family formation growth rate is used here as an example only. The appropriate rate for individual assessments will depend on the details identified in the local survey, information from agencies working directly with local Gypsy and Traveller communities, and trends identified from figures previously given for the caravan count. [In footnote 6, page 25] 10. The guidance emphasises that local information and trends should always be taken into account – because the gross rate of household growth is moderated by reductions in households through dissolution and/or by households moving into bricks and mortar housing or moving to other areas. In other words, even if 3% is plausible as a gross growth rate, it is subject to moderation through such reductions in households through dissolution or moves. It is the resulting net household growth rate that matters for planning purposes in assessing future accommodation needs. 11. The current guidance also recognises that assessments should use local evidence for net future household growth rates. A letter from the Minister for Communities and Local Government (Brandon Lewis MP), to Andrew Selous MP (placed in the House of Commons library on March 26th 2014) said: I can confirm that the annual growth rate figure of 3% does not represent national planning policy. The previous Administration's guidance for local authorities on carrying out Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments under the Housing Act 2004 is unhelpful in that it uses an illustrative example of calculating future accommodation need based on the 3% growth rate figure. The guidance notes that the appropriate rate for individual assessments will depend on the details identified in the local authority's own assessment of need. As such the Government is not endorsing or supporting the 3% growth rate figure,’ 5 Opinion Research Services 12. Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Therefore, while there are many assessments where a national Gypsy and Traveller household growth rate of 3% per annum has been assumed (on the basis of ‘standard’ precedent and/or guidance), there is little to justify this position and it conflicts with current planning guidance. In this context, this document seeks to integrate available evidence about net household growth rates in order to provide a more robust basis for future assessments. Compound growth 13. The assumed rate of household growth is crucially important for Gypsy and Traveller studies because for future planning purposes it is projected over time on a compound basis – so errors are progressively enlarged. For example, if an assumed 3% net growth rate is compounded each year then the implication is that the number of households will double in only 23.5 years; whereas if a net compound rate of 1.5% is used then the doubling of household numbers would take 46.5 years. The table below shows the impact of a range of compound growth rates. Table 1 Compound Growth Rates and Time Taken for Number of Households to Double 14. Household Growth Rate per Annum Time Taken for Household to Double 3.00% 23.5 years 2.75% 25.5 years 2.50% 28 years 2.25% 31 years 2.00% 35 years 1.75% 40 years 1.50% 46.5 years The above analysis is vivid enough, but another illustration of how different rates of household growth impact on total numbers over time is shown in the table below – which uses a baseline of 100 households while applying different compound growth rates over time. After 5 years, the difference between a 1.5% growth rate and a 3% growth rate is only 8 households (116 minus 108); but with a 20-year projection the difference is 46 households (181 minus 135). Table 2 Growth in Households Over time from a Baseline of 100 Households Household Growth Rate per Annum 5 years 10 years 15 years 20 years 50 years 100 years 3.00% 116 134 156 181 438 1,922 2.75% 115 131 150 172 388 1,507 2.50% 113 128 145 164 344 1,181 2.25% 112 125 140 156 304 925 2.00% 110 122 135 149 269 724 1.75% 109 119 130 141 238 567 1.50% 108 116 125 135 211 443 6 Opinion Research Services 15. Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 In summary, the assumed rate of household growth is crucially important because any exaggerations are magnified when the rate is projected over time on a compound basis. As we have shown, when compounded and projected over the years, a 3% annual rate of household growth implies much larger future Gypsy and Traveller accommodation requirements than a 1.5% per annum rate. Caravan counts 16. Those seeking to demonstrate national Gypsy and Traveller household growth rates of 3% or more per annum have, in some cases, relied on increases in the number of caravans (as reflected in caravan counts) as their evidence. For example, some planning agents have suggested using 5-year trends in the national caravan count as an indication of the general rate of Gypsy and Traveller household growth. For example, the count from July 2008 to July 2013 shows a growth of 19% in the number of caravans on-site – which is equivalent to an average annual compound growth rate of 3.5%. So, if plausible, this approach could justify using a 3% or higher annual household growth rate in projections of future needs. 17. However, caravan count data are unreliable and erratic. For example, the July 2013 caravan count was distorted by the inclusion of 1,000 caravans (5% of the total in England) recorded at a Christian event near Weston-Super-Mare in North Somerset. Not only was this only an estimated number, but there were no checks carried out to establish how many caravans were occupied by Gypsies and Travellers. Therefore, the resulting count overstates the Gypsy and Traveller population and also the rate of household growth. 18. ORS has applied the caravan-counting methodology hypothetically to calculate the implied national household growth rates for Gypsies and Travellers over the last 15 years, and the outcomes are shown in the table below. The January 2013 count suggests an average annual growth rate of 1.6% over five years, while the July 2013 count gives an average 5-year rate of 3.5%; likewise a study benchmarked at January 2004 would yield a growth rate of 1%, while one benchmarked at January 2008 would imply a 5% rate of growth. Clearly any model as erratic as this is not appropriate for future planning. Table 3 National CLG Caravan Count July 1998 to July 2014 with Growth Rates (Source: CLG) Date Number of caravans 5 year growth in caravans Percentage growth over 5 years Annual over last 5 years. July 2014 20,035 2,598 14.90% 2.81% Jan 2014 19,503 1,638 9.17% 1.77% July 2013 20,911 3,339 19.00% 3.54% Jan 2013 19,359 1,515 8.49% 1.64% Jul 2012 19,261 2,112 12.32% 2.35% Jan 2012 18,746 2,135 12.85% 2.45% Jul 2011 18,571 2,258 13.84% 2.63% Jan 2011 18,383 2,637 16.75% 3.15% Jul 2010 18,134 2,271 14.32% 2.71% Jan 2010 18,370 3,001 19.53% 3.63% Jul 2009 17,437 2,318 15.33% 2.89% Jan 2009 17,865 3,503 24.39% 4.46% Jul 2008 17,572 2,872 19.54% 3.63% Jan 2008 17,844 3,895 27.92% 5.05% 7 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Jul 2007 17,149 2,948 20.76% 3.84% Jan 2007 16,611 2,893 21.09% 3.90% Jul 2006 16,313 2,511 18.19% 3.40% Jan 2006 15,746 2,352 17.56% 3.29% Jul 2005 15,863 2,098 15.24% 2.88% Jan 2005 15,369 1,970 14.70% 2.78% Jul 2004 15,119 2,110 16.22% 3.05% Jan 2004 14,362 817 6.03% 1.18% Jul 2003 14,700 Jan 2003 13,949 Jul 2002 14,201 Jan 2002 13,718 Jul 2001 13,802 Jan 2001 13,394 Jul 2000 13,765 Jan 2000 13,399 Jan 1999 13,009 Jul 1998 13,545 19. The annual rates of growth in the number of caravans varies from slightly over 1% to just over 5% per annum, but there is no reason to assume that these widely varying rates correspond with similar rates of increase in the household population. In fact, the highest rates of caravan growth occurred between 2006 and 2009, when the first wave of Gypsy and Traveller accommodation needs assessments were being undertaken – so it seems plausible that the assessments prompted the inclusion of additional sites and caravans (which may have been there, but not counted previously). It is also possible, of course, that the growth of caravan numbers reflects the provision on some sites of rental accommodation for non-Gypsy and Traveller migrant workers. 20. In any case, there is no reason to believe that the varying rates of increase in the number of caravans are matched by similar growth rates in the household population. The caravan count is not an appropriate planning guide and the only proper way to project future population and household growth is through demographic analysis – which should consider both population and household growth rates. Modelling population growth Introduction 21. The basic equation for calculating the rate of Gypsy and Traveller population growth seems simple: start with the base population and then calculate the average increase/decrease by allowing for births, deaths and in-/out-migration. Nevertheless, deriving satisfactory estimates is difficult because the evidence is often tenuous – so, in this context, ORS has modelled the growth of the national Gypsy and Traveller population based on the most likely birth and death rates, and by using PopGroup (the leading software for population and household forecasting). To do so, we have supplemented the available national statistical sources with data derived locally (from our own surveys) and in some cases from international research. None of the supplementary data are beyond question, and none will stand alone; but, when taken together they have cumulative force. In any case the approach we adopt is more critically self-aware than simply adopting ‘standard’ rates on the basis of precedent. 8 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Migration effects 22. Population growth is affected by national net migration and local migration (as Gypsies and Travellers move from one area to another). In terms of national migration, the population of Gypsies and Travellers is relatively fixed, with little international migration. It is in principle possible for Irish Travellers (based in Ireland) to move to the UK, but there is no evidence of this happening to a significant extent and the vast majority of Irish Travellers were born in the UK or are long-term residents. In relation to local migration effects, Gypsies and Travellers can and do move between local authorities – but in each case the inmigration to one area is matched by an out-migration from another area. Since it is difficult to estimate the net effect of such movements over local plan periods, ORS normally assumes that there will be nil net migration to/from an area. Nonetheless, where it is possible to estimate specific in-/out- migration effects, we take account of them, while distinguishing between migration and household formation effects. Population profile 23. The main source for the rate of Gypsy and Traveller population growth is the UK 2011 Census. In some cases the data can be supplemented by ORS’s own household survey data which is derived from more than 2,000 face-to-face interviews with Gypsies and Travellers since 2012. The ethnicity question in the 2011 census included for the first time ‘Gypsy and Irish Traveller’ as a specific category. While non-response bias probably means that the size of the population was underestimated, the age profile the census provides is not necessarily distorted and matches the profile derived from ORS’s extensive household surveys. 24. The age profile is important, as the table below (derived from census data) shows. Even assuming zero deaths in the population, achieving an annual population growth of 3% (that is, doubling in size every 23.5 years) would require half of the “year one” population to be aged under 23.5 years. When deaths are accounted for (at a rate of 0.5% per annum), to achieve the same rate of growth, a population of Gypsies and Travellers would need about half its members to be aged under 16 years. In fact, though, the 2011 census shows that the midway age point for the national Gypsy and Traveller population is 26 years – so the population could not possibly double in 23.5 years. Table 4 Age Profile for the Gypsy and Traveller Community in England (Source: UK Census of Population 2011) Age Group Number of People Cumulative Percentage Age 0 to 4 5,725 10.4 Age 5 to 7 3,219 16.3 Age 8 to 9 2,006 19.9 Age 10 to 14 5,431 29.8 Age 15 1,089 31.8 Age 16 to 17 2,145 35.7 Age 18 to 19 1,750 38.9 Age 20 to 24 4,464 47.1 Age 25 to 29 4,189 54.7 Age 30 to 34 3,833 61.7 Age 35 to 39 3,779 68.5 9 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates Age 40 to 44 3,828 75.5 Age 45 to 49 3,547 82.0 Age 50 to 54 2,811 87.1 Age 55 to 59 2,074 90.9 Age 60 to 64 1,758 94.1 Age 65 to 69 1,215 96.3 Age 70 to 74 905 97.9 Age 75 to 79 594 99.0 Age 80 to 84 303 99.6 Age 85 and over 230 100.0 March 2015 Birth and fertility rates 25. The table above provides a way of understanding the rate of population growth through births. The table shows that surviving children aged 0-4 years comprise 10.4% of the Gypsy and Traveller population – which means that, on average, 2.1% of the total population was born each year (over the last 5 years). The same estimate is confirmed if we consider that those aged 0-14 comprise 29.8% of the Gypsy and Traveller population – which also means that almost exactly 2% of the population was born each year. (Deaths during infancy will have minimal impact within the early age groups, so the data provides the best basis for estimating of the birth rate for the Gypsy and Traveller population.) 26. The total fertility rate (TFR) for the whole UK population is just below 2 – which means that on average each woman can be expected to have just less than two children who reach adulthood. Unfortunately, we know of no reliable national data on the fertility rates of the UK Gypsy and Traveller community so the modelling has to be inferential in using plausible (but never perfect) comparative data. One source is Hungary, where considerable detailed analysis has shown that its Roma population has a TFR of about 3. (For more information see: http://www.romaniworld.com/cessmod01.htm and http://www.tarki.hu/adatbank-h/kutjel/pdf/a779.pdf). 27. While it would be unsatisfactory to rely only on the Hungarian data (however well researched), it is significant that ORS’s own survey data is consistent with a TFR of about 3. The ORS data shows that, on average, Gypsy and Traveller women aged 32 years have 2.5 children (but, because the children of mothers above this age point tend to leave home progressively, full TFRs were not completed). It is reasonable, then, to assume an average of three children per woman during her lifetime. In any case, the TFR for women aged 24 years is 1.5 children, which is significantly short of the number needed to double the population in 23.5 years – and therefore certainly implies a net growth rate of less than 3% per annum. Death rates 28. Although the above data imply an annual growth rate through births of about 2%, the death rate has also to be taken into account – which means that the net population growth cannot conceivably achieve 2% per annum. In England and Wales there are nearly half-a-million deaths each year – about 0.85% of the total population of 56.1 million in 2011. If this death rate is applied to the Gypsy and Traveller community then the resulting projected growth rate is in the region of 1.15%-1.25% per annum. 10 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 29. However, the Gypsy and Traveller population is significantly younger than average and may be expected to have a lower percentage death rate overall (even though a smaller than average proportion of the population lives beyond 68 to 70 years). While there can be no certainty, an assumed death rate of around 0.5% to 0.6% per annum would imply a net population growth rate of around 1.5% per annum. 30. Even though the population is younger and has a lower death rate than average, Gypsies and Travellers are less likely than average to live beyond 68 to 70 years. Whereas the average life expectancy across the whole population of the UK is currently just over 80 years, a Sheffield University study found that Gypsy and Traveller life expectancy is about 10-12 years less than average (Parry et al (2004) ‘The Health Status of Gypsies and Travellers: Report of Department of Health Inequalities in Health Research Initiative’, University of Sheffield). Therefore, in our population growth modelling we have used a conservative estimate of average life expectancy as 72 years – which is entirely consistent with the lower-than-average number of Gypsies and Travellers aged over 70 years in the 2011 census (and also in ORS’s own survey data). On the basis of the Sheffield study, we could have supposed a life expectancy of only 68, but we have been cautious in our approach. Modelling outputs 31. If we assume a TFR of 3 and an average life expectancy of 72 years for Gypsies and Travellers, then the modelling projects the population to increase by 66% over the next 40 years – implying a population compound growth rate of 1.25% per annum (well below the 3% per annum often assumed). If we assume that Gypsy and Traveller life expectancy increases to 77 years by 2050, then the projected population growth rate rises to nearly 1.5% per annum. To generate an ‘upper range’ rate of population growth, we have assumed a TFR of 4 and an average life expectancy rising to 77 over the next 40 years – which then yields an ‘upper range’ growth rate of 1.9% per annum. We should note, though, that national TFR rates of 4 are currently found only in sub-Saharan Africa and Afghanistan, so it is an implausible assumption. 32. There are indications that these modelling outputs are well founded. For example, in the ONS’s 2012-based Sub-National Population Projections the projected population growth rate for England to 2037 is 0.6% per annum, of which 60% is due to natural change and 40% due to migration. Therefore, the natural population growth rate for England is almost exactly 0.35% per annum – meaning that our estimate of the Gypsy and Traveller population growth rate is four times greater than that of the general population of England. 33. The ORS Gypsy and Traveller findings are also supported by data for comparable populations around the world. As noted, on the basis of sophisticated analysis, Hungary is planning for its Roma population to grow at around 2.0% per annum, but the underlying demographic growth is typically closer to 1.5% per annum. The World Bank estimates that the populations of Bolivia, Cambodia, Egypt, Malaysia, Pakistan, Paraguay, Philippines and Venezuela (countries with high birth rates and improving life expectancy) all show population growth rates of around 1.7% per annum. Therefore, in the context of national data, ORS’s modelling and plausible international comparisons, it is implausible to assume a net 3% annual growth rate for the Gypsy and Traveller population. 11 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 Household growth 34. In addition to population growth influencing the number of households, the size of households also affects the number. Hence, population and household growth rates do not necessarily match directly, mainly due to the current tendency for people to live in smaller (childless or single person) households (including, of course, older people (following divorce or as surviving partners)). Based on such factors, the CLG 2012based projections convert current population data to a projected household growth rate of 0.85% per annum (compared with a population growth rate of 0.6% per annum). 35. Because the Gypsy and Traveller population is relatively young and has many single parent households, a 1.5% annual population growth could yield higher-than-average household growth rates, particularly if average household sizes fall or if younger-than-average households form. However, while there is evidence that Gypsy and Traveller households already form at an earlier age than in the general population, the scope for a more rapid rate of growth, through even earlier household formation, is limited. 36. Based on the 2011 census, the table below compares the age of household representatives in English households with those in Gypsy and Traveller households – showing that the latter has many more household representatives aged under-25 years. In the general English population 3.6% of household representatives are aged 16-24, compared with 8.7% in the Gypsy and Traveller population. Because the census includes both housed and on-site Gypsies and Travellers without differentiation, it is not possible to know if there are different formation rates on sites and in housing. However, ORS’s survey data (for sites in areas such as Central Bedfordshire, Cheshire, Essex, Gloucestershire and a number of authorities in Hertfordshire) shows that about 10% of Gypsy and Traveller households have household representatives aged under-25 years. Table 5 Age of Head of Household (Source: UK Census of Population 2011) All households in England Age of household representative Gypsy and Traveller households in England Number of households Percentage of households Number of households Percentage of households 790,974 3.6% 1,698 8.7% Age 25 to 34 3,158,258 14.3% 4,232 21.7% Age 35 to 49 6,563,651 29.7% 6,899 35.5% Age 50 to 64 5,828,761 26.4% 4,310 22.2% Age 65 to 74 2,764,474 12.5% 1,473 7.6% Age 75 to 84 2,097,807 9.5% 682 3.5% 859,443 3.9% 164 0.8% 22,063,368 100% 19,458 100% Age 24 and under Age 85 and over Total 12 Opinion Research Services 37. Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 The following table shows that the proportion of single person Gypsy and Traveller households is not dissimilar to the wider population of England; but there are more lone parents, fewer couples without children, and fewer households with non-dependent children amongst Gypsies and Travellers. This data suggest that Gypsy and Traveller households form at an earlier age than the general population. Table 6 Household Type (Source: UK Census of Population 2011) All households in England Household Type Gypsy and Traveller households in England Number of households Percentage of households Number of households Percentage of households Single person 6,666,493 30.3% 5,741 29.5% Couple with no children 5,681,847 25.7% 2345 12.1% Couple with dependent children 4,266,670 19.3% 3683 18.9% Couple with non-dependent children 1,342,841 6.1% 822 4.2% Lone parent: Dependent children 1,573,255 7.1% 3,949 20.3% 766,569 3.5% 795 4.1% Other households 1,765,693 8.0% 2,123 10.9% Total 22,063,368 100% 19,458 100% Lone parent: All children non-dependent 38. ORS’s own site survey data is broadly compatible with the data above. We have found that: around 50% of pitches have dependent children compared with 45% in the census; there is a high proportion of lone parents; and about a fifth of Gypsy and Traveller households appear to be single person households. One possible explanation for the census finding a higher proportion of single person households than the ORS surveys is that many older households are living in bricks and mortar housing (perhaps for health-related reasons). 39. ORS’s on-site surveys have also found more female than male residents. It is possible that some single person households were men linked to lone parent females and unwilling to take part in the surveys. It is also well documented that adult Gypsy and Traveller males travel far more frequently than females for work purposes. A further possible factor is that at any time about 10% of the male Gypsy and Traveller population is in prison – an inference drawn from the fact that about 5% of the male prison population identify themselves as Gypsies and Travellers (‘People in Prison: Gypsies, Romany and Travellers’, Her Majesty’s Inspectorate of Prisons, February 2014) – which implies that around 4,000 Gypsies and Travellers are in prison. Given that almost all of the 4,000 people are male and that there are around 200,000 Gypsies and Travellers in total, this equates to about 4% of the total male population, but closer to 10% of the adult male population. 40. The key point, though, is that since 20% of Gypsy and Traveller households are lone parents, and up to 30% are single persons, there is limited potential for further reductions in average household size to increase current household formation rates significantly – and there is no reason to think that earlier household 13 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 formations or increasing divorce rates will in the medium term affect household formation rates. While there are differences with the general population, a 1.5% per annum Gypsy and Traveller population growth rate is likely to lead to a household growth rate of 1.5% per annum – more than the 0.85% for the English population as a whole, but much less than the often assumed 3% rate for Gypsies and Travellers. Household dissolution rates 41. Finally, consideration of household dissolution rates also suggests that the net household growth rate for Gypsies and Travellers is very unlikely to reach 3% per annum (as often assumed). The table below, derived from ORS’s mainstream strategic housing market assessments, shows that generally household dissolution rates are between 1.0% and 1.7% per annum. London is different because people tend to move out upon retirement, rather than remaining in London until death. To adopt a 1.0% dissolution rate as a standard guide nationally would be too low, because it means that average households will live for 70 years after formation. A 1.5% dissolution rate would be a more plausible as a national guide, implying that average households live for 47 years after formation. Table 7 Annual Dissolution Rates (Source: SHMAs undertaken by ORS) Annual projected household dissolution Number of households Percentage Greater London 25,000 3,266,173 0.77% Blaenau Gwent 468.2 30,416 1.54% Bradford 3,355 199,296 1.68% 348 31,562 1.10% Exeter, East Devon, Mid Devon, Teignbridge and Torbay 4,318 254,084 1.70% Neath Port Talbot 1,352 57,609 2.34% Norwich, South Norfolk and Broadland 1,626 166,464 0.98% 633 53,558 1.18% 1,420 137,929 1.03% Area Ceredigion Suffolk Coastal Monmouthshire Newport Torfaen 42. The 1.5% dissolution rate is important because the death rate is a key factor in moderating the gross household growth rate. Significantly, applying a 1.5% dissolution rate to a 3% gross household growth formation rate yields a net rate of 1.5% per annum – which ORS considers is a realistic figure for the Gypsy and Traveller population and which is in line with other demographic information. After all, based on the dissolution rate, a net household formation rate of 3% per annum would require a 4.5% per annum gross formation rate (which in turn would require extremely unrealistic assumptions about birth rates). Summary conclusions 43. Future Gypsy and Traveller accommodation needs have typically been over-estimated because population and household growth rates have been projected on the basis of assumed 3% per annum net growth rates. 44. Unreliable caravan counts have been used to support the supposed growth rate, but there is no reason to suppose that the rate of increase in caravans corresponds to the annual growth of the Gypsy and Traveller population or households. 14 Opinion Research Services Gypsy and Traveller Methodology: Household Formation and Growth Rates March 2015 45. The growth of the national Gypsy and Traveller population may be as low as 1.25% per annum – which is still four times greater than in the settled community. Even using extreme and unrealistic assumptions, it is hard to find evidence that the net national Gypsy and Traveller population and household growth is above 2% per annum nationally. The often assumed 3% net household growth rate per annum for Gypsies and Travellers is unrealistic. 46. The best available evidence suggests that the net annual Gypsy and Traveller household growth rate is 1.5% per annum. The often assumed 3% per annum net rate is unrealistic. Some local authorities might allow for a household growth rate of up to 2.5% per annum, to provide a ‘margin’ if their populations are relatively youthful; but in areas where on-site surveys indicate that there are fewer children in the Gypsy and Traveller population, the lower estimate of 1.5% per annum should be used. 15 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix B: Glossary of Terms Amenity block/shed Bricks and mortar Caravan Chalet Concealed household Doubling-Up Emergency Stopping Place Green Belt Household formation In-migration Local Plans Out-migration Personal planning permission Pitch/plot Private site A building where basic plumbing amenities (bath/shower, WC, sink) are provided. Mainstream housing. Mobile living vehicle used by Gypsies and Travellers. Also referred to as trailers. A single storey residential unit which can be dismantled. Sometimes referred to as mobile homes. Households, living within other households, who are unable to set up separate family units. Where there are more than the permitted number of caravans on a pitch or plot. A temporary site with limited facilities to be occupied by Gypsies and Travellers while they travel. A land use designation used to check the unrestricted sprawl of large built-up areas; prevent neighbouring towns from merging into one another; assist in safeguarding the countryside from encroachment; preserve the setting and special character of historic towns; and assist in urban regeneration, by encouraging the recycling of derelict and other urban land. The process where individuals form separate households. This is normally through adult children setting up their own household. Movement into or come to live in a region or community Local Authority spatial planning documents that can include specific policies and/or site allocations for Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople. Movement from one region or community in order to settle in another. A private site where the planning permission specifies who can occupy the site and doesn’t allow transfer of ownership. Area of land on a site/development generally home to one household. Can be varying sizes and have varying caravan numbers. Pitches refer to Gypsy and Traveller sites and Plots to Travelling Showpeople yards. An authorised site owned privately. Can be owneroccupied, rented or a mixture of owner-occupied and rented pitches. 100 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Site Social/Public/Council Site Temporary planning permission Tolerated site/yard Transit provision Unauthorised Development Unauthorised Encampment Waiting list Yard March 2015 An area of land on which Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople are accommodated in caravans/chalets/vehicles. Can contain one or multiple pitches/plots. An authorised site owned by either the local authority or a Registered Housing Provider. A private site with planning permission for a fixed period of time. Long-term tolerated sites or yards where enforcement action is not expedient and a certificate of lawful use would be granted if sought. Site intended for short stays and containing a range of facilities. There is normally a limit on the length of time residents can stay. Caravans on land owned by Gypsies and Travellers and without planning permission. Caravans on land not owned by Gypsies and Travellers and without planning permission. Record held by the local authority or site managers of applications to live on a site. A name often used by Travelling Showpeople to refer to a site. 101 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix C: Gypsy and Traveller Sites in Wokingham Borough (July 2014) Total Permitted Pitches Total Tolerated Pitches Total Unauthorised Pitches Carters Hill, Hurst Twyford Orchards, Ruscombe 15 20 - - TOTAL PLOTS ON LOCAL AUTHORITY SITES 35 - - 8 12 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 - - 21 - - 3 1 3 2 2 1 1 12 - - 77 - - 2 4 1 - - 7 - - - 1 3 3 - - 7 - Land at Fairlands, Farley Hill Pine Copse, Nine Mile Lane, Finchampstead - - 4 1 TOTAL PLOTS ON UNAUTHORISED DEVELOPMENTS - - 5 119 7 5 Site Public Sites Private Sites with Permanent Permission Belvedere Park, Barkham Highfield Park, Arborfield Hogwood Meadows, Finchampstead Honeysuckle Lodge, Finchampstead Plot 1 Littlemore, Park Lane, Finchampstead Plot 2 Littlemore, Park Lane, Finchampstead Lower Sandhurst Road, Finchampstead Meadowside Plot 1, Park Lane, Finchampstead Meadowside Plot 2, Park Lane, Finchampstead New Acres (including Kingsbridge and New Acres Extension), Wokingham Without Nevi-Stanya, Swallowfield 23a Nine Mile Ride, Finchampstead The Oaks, Waltham Road, Ruscombe The Promise, Nine Mile Ride, Finchampstead 88a Reading Road, Finchampstead Summerleigh, Finchampstead Twin Oaks, Finchampstead Walkers Yard, Arborfield TOTAL PLOTS ON PRIVATE SITES WITH PERMANENT PERMISSION Private Sites with Temporary Permission Nelson's Lane Hurst The Paddocks, Shinfield Wind in the Willows, Hurst TOTAL PLOTS ON PRIVATE SITES WITH TEMPORARY PERMISSION Tolerated Sites – Long-term without planning permission Pine Lodge, Finchampstead Wally's Mobile Home Park, Charvil Woodside, Mole Road, Winnersh TOTAL PLOTS ON LONG-TERM TOLERATED PRIVATE SITES Unauthorised Developments TOTAL PITCHES 102 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix D: Site Record Form Gypsy & Traveller Accommodation Assessment – Site/Pitch Record (Use an additional form if more than 4 caravans present on the pitch) General Information Name of Local Authority Wokingham Date of Site Visit Time of Site Visit Name of Interviewer(s) Name/Address of Site/Yard Type of Site Plot/Pitch Number (if applicable) Planning Status Number of Caravans on Pitch Number of other Buildings (include details) Family Demographics Caravan 1 Name of Family Council / Social / Private / Unauthorised Full Permission / Temporary Permission / Unauthorised If family not present note who provided the information Romany Gypsy / Irish Traveller / Scots Gypsy or Traveller / Show Person / New Traveller / English Traveller / Welsh Gypsy / Non Traveller (specify) Ethnicity of Family How long have they lived here? Person 1 Person 2 Person 3 Person 4 Person 5 Person 6 Person 7 Person 8 Sex Sex Sex Sex Sex Sex Age Sex Age Sex Concealed Households? Age Age Age Age Age Yes / No Detail (including assessment of over-crowding): Any future needs? Why do you like living here? 103 Age Opinion Research Services Site/Pitch Plan Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment Sketch of Site/Pitch – any concerns? 104 March 2015 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix E: Bricks & Mortar Adverts Friends, Families of Travellers – May 2014 105 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment World’s Fair – May 2014 106 March 2015 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix F: Transit Provision Transit Provision Transit sites serve a specific function of meeting the needs of Gypsy and Traveller households who are visiting an area or who are passing through. A transit site typically has a restriction on the length of stay of around 13 weeks and has a range of facilities such as water supply, electricity and amenity blocks. An alternative to a transit site is an emergency stopping place. This type of site also has restrictions on the length of time for which a Traveller can stay on it, but has much more limited facilities with typically only a source of water and chemical toilets provided. Some authorities also operate an accepted encampment policy where households are provided with access to lighting, drinking water, refuse collection and hiring of portable toilets at a cost to the Travellers. The Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994 is particularly important with regard to the issue of Gypsy and Traveller transit site provision. Section 62A of the Act allows the Police to direct trespassers to remove themselves, their vehicles and their property from any land where a suitable pitch on a relevant caravan site is available within the same Local Authority area (or within the county in two-tier Local Authority areas). A suitable pitch on a relevant caravan site is one which is situated in the same Local Authority area as the land on which the trespass has occurred, and which is managed by a Local Authority, a Registered Provider or other person or body as specified by order by the Secretary of State. Case law has confirmed that a suitable pitch must be somewhere where the household can occupy their caravan and bricks and mortar housing is not a suitable alternative to a pitch. 107 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Appendix G: Neighbouring Local Authority Provision Summary Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council » Has completed a GTAA which covers the period up until 2017 and included a need of seven pitches; permission has been granted for two sites since the study was completed and decisions were pending on another two (at the time of interview) » The Council has in place a criteria based policy to assess any new planning applications and as sought to meet need through this approach » The Council will update this study so it will cover a ten year period. Bracknell Forest » At the time of the GTAA, ORS were also working with Bracknell Forest on its GTAA. » Prior to this Bracknell Forest were working towards meeting the need identified in the GTAA which was completed in 2006 and the partial review of the South East Plan. The study concluded that the Authority required three additional pitches for Gypsy and Travellers up to 2011. A separate Travelling Showpeople study was undertaken in 2007 and concluded a need for an additional four plots up to 2017. The partial review concluded a need for 15 Gypsy and Traveller pitches and two Travelling Showpeople plots up to 2016. » Since those studies were completed, the authority has granted permission for 14 Gypsy and Traveller pitches, so are currently one short of the need identified in the partial review. The authority has not felt it necessary to address the shortfall of Travelling Showpeople plots because the community has expressed no interest for any. » The officer was aware that, similar to Wokingham, some occupants of pitches were not members of the Gypsy and Traveller community. Hart District Council » Has completed a GTAA which covers 2012 -2017. The Council will update this study to go beyond that period. The 2012 GTAA found there was a need for approximately 20 pitches but caveated its numbers explaining there could be an element of double counting as the same families were possibly represented on more than one waiting list. » There are two public sites at Star Hill and Penny Hill which have been long established and are managed by Hampshire County Council. » A number of planning permissions have been granted. 108 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 Reading Borough Council » Within the Borough there is one privately owned Travelling Showpeople site. The Officer was not able to verify how many plots exist because the Council has been unable to get onto the site. » Unauthorised sites occur occasionally and at the time of interview there was one in the Borough. » There are various peaks of unauthorised encampments and there was said to have been an increase this year (2014). The Officer confirmed that many do visit the area to attend Reading Hospital to use maternity services; the unauthorised site was occupied by Travellers who had originally come to give birth at the hospital. » In terms of priorities, the Officer confirmed that the Borough needs to undertake its needs assessment and gather more intelligence locally about what people’s needs are and set the Borough’s strategy within a plan in terms of potential sites. Royal Borough of Windsor and Maidenhead (RBWM) » At the time of the GTAA, ORS were also working with RBWM Council on their GTAA to determine the total number of pitches in the area. » There are a number of unauthorised and tolerated sites within the area. RBWM are looking at solutions to deal with this issue and are awaiting the results of their GTAA. » There are said to be up to two short-term incursions per year which occur during July and August. Officers explained that because there is no transit provision across the Berkshire area, often Travellers will move back and forth between Local Authorities. Officers were keen to manage incursions in a more joined-up way. Rushmoor Borough Council » Rushmoor completed a GTAA in 2012 and the need was for one pitch between 2012-17. This need derived from in-migration and the actual need in the area is minimal as there are no Gypsy and Traveller sites within the area. » There are ten Travelling Showpeople plots spread over four yards and the GTAA found a need of 2 additional plots in period 2012-17. » The Borough is currently identifying sites to meet the aforementioned needs and engaging with the Showpeople community to fully understand their needs. » Unauthorised encampments occur occasionally (maximum of one per year) and are said to be the same groups moving around the wider Hampshire area. South Oxfordshire District Council » Within South Oxfordshire there are three public sites and one private site which is unauthorised. There are three Travelling Showpeople yards. 109 Opinion Research Services Wokingham Borough Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment March 2015 » The GTAA study was on-going at the time of interview and consultants looking for appropriate sites to meet the need identified in the GTAA. In doing this one of the aims is to extend sites so families can stay together. » The Gypsy and Traveller population in South Oxfordshire is said to be stable therefore the majority of need derives from household formation. » In terms of unauthorised encampments these occur occasionally. » The authority has received a number of what was termed ‘loose enquires’ from planning agents about any available sites in the area. West Berkshire Council » At the time of the GTAA, ORS were also working with West Berkshire Council on its GTAA. » Within the area, there are 58 pitches in total which includes 18 pitches on a public site, 38 private pitches with permanent permission and 4 unauthorised developments. There is 1 Travelling Showpeople yard. » There are a small number of unauthorised encampments annually but they are not considered to be a major problem by officers and members and the number of incursions appears to have remained static (although officers agreed there had been a decrease over recent years in West Berkshire). » Those interviewed were generally of the view that West Berkshire Council is meeting its Duty to Co-operate and that other neighbouring councils are too. 110