community research quarterly - Fairbanks North Star Borough
Transcription
community research quarterly - Fairbanks North Star Borough
Fairbanks North Star Borough Community Research Center PO Box 71267 Fairbanks, Alaska 99707-1267 (907) 459-1000 COMMUNITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY A Socio - Economic Review Spring 2014 Volume XXXVII, No. 1 COMMUNITY RESEARCH CENTER The Community Research Center is located on the second floor of the Borough Administration Building at 809 Pioneer Road. Office and Research Library hours are Monday through Friday 8:00 a.m. to Noon and 1:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. CITATION Tabular and summary information contained herein may be reproduced without special permission. It is requested that any information reproduced be cited as follows: Fairbanks North Star Borough, Community Research Center, Community Research Quarterly, Vol. XXXVII, No. 1, 2014. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The Community Research Center would like to thank the many persons, businesses, government agencies and organizations who contributed to this report. FNSB has established a policy of equal opportunity in employment, service, programs and activities. COVER PAGE Tanana Valley Railroad Museum, located at Pioneer Park, is home to the Tanana Valley Railroad Engine #1, which was assembled in 1989 and is the oldest operating locomotive in Alaska and the Yukon Territory. 1 Photo taken by Nancy Durham, Planner III, of the Fairbanks North Star Borough. 1 More information about the Railroad Engine #1 can be found at the Pioneer Park website: http://www.co.fairbanks.ak.us/pioneerpark FAIRBANKS NORTH STAR BOROUGH COMMUNITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY A Review of Socio - Economic Trends Volume XXXVII, Number 1 Spring 2014 BOROUGH MAYOR Luke Hopkins COMMUNITY PLANNING DEPARTMENT Bernardo Hernandez, Director COMMUNITY RESEARCH CENTER Jennifer K. Nachtrieb, (ed.) Documentation Coordinator II Fairbanks North Star Borough, Community Research Center PO Box 71267, Fairbanks, Alaska 99707-1267 Phone: (907) 459-1212; e-mail: jnachtrieb@fnsb.us WEBSITE: http://co.fairbanks.ak.us/CommunityPlanning/CRC © 2014 Table of Contents Page A Spotlight on Community Economic Trends Fairbanks Economy at a Glance Economic Indicators Bank Deposit & Loan Summary Bankruptcies Filed Notices of Default Foreclosures Fairbanks International Airport Freight Fairbanks International Airport Transit Freight Fairbanks International Airport Revenue Landings Fairbanks International Airport Passengers Alaska Highway Statewide Entering Passengers Alaska Highway Statewide Exiting Passengers Alaska Highway Statewide Net Annual Migration Trends Alaska Highway Statewide Net Monthly Migration Alaska Railroad Passengers Alaska Railroad Freight Tonnage and Revenue Dollars Hotel / Motel Room Receipts Quarterly Hotel / Motel Room Receipts Annual Hotel / Motel Room Receipts University of Alaska Museum Visitors Delinquent Property Taxes Alaska Native Corporations Annual Shareholders and Revenue Dollars Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) Applicant by Zipcode and Amounts Employment Civilian Labor Force Unemployment Rates Average Unemployment Insurance Claimants and Payments Unemployment Insurance Claimants and Payments Average Monthly Employment Estimates by Industry Annual Average Monthly Employment by Industry Annual Average Monthly Wage by Industry Annual Average Monthly Employment by Earned Income and Labor Force Alaska's Per Capita Income by Borough and Census Area Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages by Industry a Spring 2014 NEW i-vi 1-2 3-19 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 16 17 18 19 20-28 20-21 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Community Research Quarterly Table of Contents Page Housing 29-34 Apartment/Multi-Plex Vacancy Rates Rental Housing Units Available Average Monthly Rents for Available Housing Units Residential Housing Sales Annual Average Residential Housing Sales New Structures Annual Report 29 30 31 32 33 34 Cost of Living 35-43 C2ER Cost of Living Index Consumer Price Index-U for All Items Consumer Price Index-U (Anchorage) Consumer Price Index-U for All Items (U.S. City Average) Cost of Food at Home for a Week Average Self-service Unleaded Gasoline Prices Electric Customers Natural Gas Customers and Rates Telephone Customers Cellular Phone Statewide Customers Water Customers 35-36 36 37 37 38 39 40 41 42 42 43 Population & Social Conditions 44-55 Population Counts & Estimates Military Population Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Counties of Alaska Superior Court Filings Distribution of Population, Police and Lawyers District Court Filings Criminal Offense Summary Traffic Accidents Alcoholic Beverages Distributed or Sold Air Quality Summary-Maximum 8 Hour Carbon Monoxide Concentrations Precipitation Snowfall Average & Record Temperatures Air Quality Summary-Particulate Matter (PM 2.5) Monitoring-AQI 44 45 46 47 47 48 49 50 51 52 52-53 53 54 55 NOTE FROM THE EDITOR: Fairbanks Largest Employer's by Organization/Business page will no longer be included in this publication due to the data no longer being available. If you have a change in your address information and wish to continue to receive the hard copy of the Community Research Quarterly please advise this office as soon as possible so the database can be altered before the next mailing. In an effort to conserve on postage costs, if your issue of the Community Research Quarterly is returned for any reason, we will not attempt to resend. Thank you for your cooperation. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 b A SPOTLIGHT ON COMMUNITY ECONOMIC TRENDS* *SPOTLIGHT SOURCE: Some growth for Fairbanks after 1 percent loss in 2013, By Alyssa Shanks, Economist, ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS, Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section, January 2014, Volume 34, Number 1, ISSN 0160-3345. Read ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS at http://labor.alaska.gov/trends/. i Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly EMPLOYMENT FORECAST FOR 2014 “Some growth for Fairbanks after 1 percent loss in 2013” By ALYSSA SHANKS Economist SOURCE: ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS, Employment Forecast 2014, Some growth for Fairbanks after 1 percent loss in 2013, Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section, January 2014, Volume 34, Number 1, ISSN 0160-3345. Alyssa Shanks, an economist for the Department of Labor in Anchorage, specializes in the employment and wages of the Interior, Gulf Coast, and Northern economic regions. To reach her, call (907) 269-4863, or e-mail Alyssa.Shanks@alaska.gov. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 ii Some growth for Fairbanks aŌer 1 percent loss in 2013 By ALYSSA SHANKS S everal years of relatively stable job growth in Fairbanks was interrupted in 2013 as the borough’s employment declined by 1 percent, driven primarily by job losses in construction and federal government. (See exhibits 1 and 2.) stores, though those businesses are a fairly small portion of retail employment. General merchandise stores such as Fred Meyer and Walmart make up nearly 30 percent of the industry, and stability in these larger stores led to steady employment for the industry overall in 2013. With the end of the construction downtown and the addition of several new businesses, such as REI, Walgreen’s, and Kay Jewelers, retail employment in Fairbanks is expected to hold steady this year. The employment outlook for 2014 is a bit more promising, with forecasted growth of 0.5 percent, though it wouldn’t be quite enough to regain last year’s losses. Attrition in utilities Construction lost ground in 2013 Fairbanks’ construction industry had a difficult year in 2013, losing 100 jobs despite visible construction projects around the borough. The main cause was a switch from mostly vertical construction — houses and other buildings — to horizontal construction projects, or the building of roads, highways, and bridges. Horizontal construction requires more heavy equipment and fewer workers. New structures of all types were down significantly from 2012 to 2013, according to the Fairbanks North Star Borough. This led to a decline in construction jobs, particularly specialty trade contractors, which include framing, glass and glazing, roofing, and siding contractors. (See Exhibit 3.) With no new large housing projects planned for 2014, employment in vertical construction is expected to remain at the same level as last year. Overall, the construction industry is forecasted to grow somewhat in 2014, as six additional highway construction projects slated for the Parks Highway will increase employment in the heavy and civil engineering piece of the construction industry. New stores, but few new jobs Road construction disrupted shopping downtown last year and put pressure on some of the area’s JANUARY 2014 Utilities make up approximately 17 percent of the transportation, warehousing, and utilities sector in the Fairbanks North Star Borough. While transportation and warehousing have been a source of stable employment for years, Fairbanks’ power companies have lost jobs. This highly automated utilities sector has not undergone major changes, but has steadily lost employees over the last two years through attrition, or not replacing employees who retire. However, the job losses through the end of 2013 were large enough that additional losses in 2014 are unlikely. 1 Some Job Recovery Forecasted Fairbanks borough, 2003 to 2014 3.7% 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 2003 2004 2005 2006 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 -1.0% -1.0% *Preliminary Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS 2013* 11 2014 2 Construction, Health Care Expected to Balance out Government Losses Fairbanks North Star Borough employment forecast, 2013 and 2014 Total Nonfarm Employment2 Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Retail Trade Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Educational5 and Health Services Health Care Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Total Government Federall6 State7 Local8 2012 Monthly 2013 Monthly Average Average1 39,300 38,900 1,500 1,500 2,600 2,500 600 600 7,900 7,800 4,700 4,700 2,500 2,400 500 500 1,400 1,400 2,500 2,400 5,200 5,300 3,800 3,900 4,200 4,200 1,200 1,200 11,700 11,500 3,300 3,100 5,400 5,400 3,000 3,000 Change Percentage 2012 to Change 2012 2014 Monthly Change 2013 to 2013 Average 2013 to 2014 -400 -1.0% 39,100 200 0 0% 1,500 0 -100 -3.8% 2,600 100 0 0% 600 0 -100 -1.3% 7,800 0 0 0% 4,700 0 -100 -4.0% 2,400 0 0 0% 500 0 0 0% 1,400 0 -100 -4.0% 2,400 0 100 1.9% 5,400 100 100 2.6% 4,000 100 0 0% 4,200 0 0 0% 1,200 0 -200 -1.7% 11,500 0 -200 -6.1% 3,000 -100 0 0% 5,400 0 0 0% 3,100 100 Percentage Change 2013 to 2014 0.5% 0% 4.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.9% 2.6% 0% 0% 0% -3.2% 0% 3.3% 1 Preliminary estimates Excludes the self-employed, fishermen and other agricultural workers, and private household workers. For estimates of fish harvesting employment and other fisheries data, go to labor.alaska.gov/research/seafood/seafood.htm. 3 Private education only 4 Excludes uniformed military 5 Includes the University of Alaska. Variations in academic calendars from year to year occasionally create temporarily large over-the-year changes. 6 Includes public school systems. Variations in academic calendars from year to year occasionally create temporarily large over-the-year changes. 2 Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section 3 Financial sector remains low Construction Jobs Took a Hit in 2013 Fairbanks North Star Borough, 2000 to 2013 The general slowdown of the Fairbanks economy in 2013 limited the need for new jobs in the financial sector. Individuals and businesses also seem to be sitting on their money instead of reinvesting, as shown by a decrease in the value of loans with an increase in account deposits. 3,000 2,500 2,000 Specialty Trade Contractors 1,500 1,000 ConstrucƟon of Buildings 500 HeavLJĂŶĚŝǀŝůŶŐŝŶĞĞƌŝŶŐŽŶƐƚƌƵĐƟŽŶ 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* *Preliminary Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section The uncertainty during the first of half of 2013 surrounding the possible movement of the F-16 Squadron from Eielson Air Force Base may have reduced the number of military families that might otherwise have purchased homes during the year. This uncertainty likely spilled over into other private industries and reduced investments on a broad scale. With the F16s remaining in Fairbanks and no deployments scheduled for this year, this industry may see an increase in 12 ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS JANUARY 2014 the coming year, but it’s unlikely to be enough to move the industry average by much. 4 Health Care Grows, Social Services Steady Fairbanks North Star Borough, 2000 to 2013 6,000 Health care still growing 5,000 Health care has grown consistently for decades, gaining 100 jobs in 2013 and forecasted to produce another 100 in 2014. Hospital employment, which makes up 45 percent of all health care in the borough, has been stable since 2010 and will likely continue that trend. (See Exhibit 4.) 4,000 3,000 Health Care 2,000 The vast majority of the growth has come from ambulatory, nursing, and residential care and will continue into 2014 as an aging population increases the demand, especially for nursing and residential care. 1,000 Social Services 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section The pace of health care’s growth has slowed with time, however, a trend that conflicts with the increasing need of an aging population and makes the industry’s distant future uncertain. Whether the industry continues to grow after 2014 will depend somewhat on whether borough residents stay in the area as they get older. Social services structure changes Employment in private social services has been fairly stable for more than a decade in the Fairbanks area and will continue to be stable into 2014. (See Exhibit 4.) The makeup of support services jobs has changed, though, with strong growth in individual and family services, which makes up 34 percent of all social services, mostly offset by losses in child day care, vocational rehabilitation, and emergency relief. More visitors, but not more jobs Preliminary counts of borough visitors were up slightly in 2013, though bed tax receipts for the third quarter of 2013 were down 11 percent compared to 2012. These numbers seem contradictory, so it’s likely the additional visitors were mostly day-visitors or visitors staying with area residents. There were no other increases elsewhere in the leisure and hospitality industry in 2013. JANUARY 2014 The 2013-2014 winter closure of the Princess Hotel will likely reduce employment in 2014, but it will be a boon to the remaining hotels hosting aurora borealis-viewing tourists this winter. Additional jobs from expected increased winter and summer tourism in 2014 would balance employment losses from the closure of the Princess Hotel. Fewer federal job declines Federal employment has been declining through attrition and budget cuts since 2008, and fell by an additional 200 jobs in 2013. Due to the 400 jobs lost between 2008 and 2013, losses are likely to number just 100 in 2014. When it comes to reducing payroll spending, the low-hanging fruit has already been plucked — additional declines in federal employment may have to start coming from layoffs instead of just retirements. University enrollment inches up Jobs at the University of Alaska Fairbanks remained stable in 2013 as enrollment increased slightly. Enrollment had declined each year since 2010 after a long-term upward trajectory, likely an after-effect of the recent national recession. (See Exhibit 5.) ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS 13 2012 2013 5 With increased enrollment and fairly stable university budgets, employment at the university as well as state government as a whole is unlikely to change in Fairbanks in 2014. Upward Bump for UAF Enrollment University of Alaska Fairbanks, 1998 to 2013 10,000 More kids will mean more jobs 9,000 8,000 Public education makes up nearly two-thirds of all local government employment in the Fairbanks North Star Borough, and schools will likely need more jobs this year. Enrollment went up last year, and fall increases in both employment and enrollment will carry over into 2014. 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 This growth will likely continue for several years due to increasing numbers of borough children entering their school-age years, prompting an increase in employment as well. Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section This month in Trends history JANUARY 1966 N ineteen-sixty-five registered the greatest year-to-year workforce gains since statehood. Backed up by this substantial boost, the January workforce level topped all comparable months, in spite of the seasonal employment dip over the last 30 days. Manufacturing, trade, finance, services, and state and local government segments reached employment heights never before recorded for this time of year. Correlating with this growth, personal income, at an adjusted annual rate, continued climbing and marked a 64 percent rise since 1958. 14 Alaska figured in the national military construction cutback announced recently, with the postponement of a $15 million program. Several construction bid invitations issued by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers have been canceled, with the Air Force taking the largest losses. The value of total mineral production during the past year exceeded the 1964 level, due primarily to natural gas and crude oil output, as stated by the U.S. Bureau of Mines. In spite of a striking rise in gas production over December 1964, the yearly average was down, while oil production rose steadily but at a slower pace. Alaska Economic Trends has been published in Alaska since 1961. Historical articles are available at labor.alaska.gov/trends as far back as 1978, and complete issues are available from 1994. ALASKA ECONOMIC TRENDS JANUARY 2014 ECONOMY AT-A-GLANCE Fairbanks North Star Borough Economic Indicator Reporting Period BANKING Total Bank Deposits (millions of $) Total Bank Loans (millions of $) BANKRUPTCIES Business Non-Business TRANSPORTATION Fairbanks International Airport Incoming Freight (thousands of lbs.) Outgoing Freight (thousands of lbs.) Transit Freight (thousands of lbs.) Revenue Landings Incoming Passengers Outgoing Passengers Alaska Highway (statewide) Entering Passengers Exiting Passengers EMPLOYMENT Total Employment Mining and Logging Construction Manufacturing Trade/Transportation/Utilities. Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Other Services Government 1st Qtr '14 One Period Ago % Change from 4th Qtr. '13 One Year Ago % Change from 1st Qtr. '13 $1,063.7 $655.9 -0.9% -1.0% 5.5% -2.9% 2 14 0.0% 75.0% -50.0% 1,440 7,344 683 5,291 110,144 106,982 -5.3% 1.6% -27.6% 5.7% 13.8% 3.0% 7.1% 30.4% -56.5% 8.0% 10.2% 2.6% 7,248 5,329 -8.2% -39.1% 0.4% 3.3% 37,500 1,400 1,900 600 7,800 500 1,200 2,000 5,400 3,800 1,200 11,700 -4.8% -22.2% -26.9% 20.0% -4.9% -16.7% -7.7% -20.0% 0.0% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1% -12.5% -9.5% 20.0% 2.6% 0.0% -7.7% -20.0% 1.9% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% Current Data Period NOTE: Employment numbers rounded to nearest 100. 1 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Fairbanks Economy at a Glance (continued) Fairbanks North Star Borough Economic Indicator Reporting Period (annual/by qtr.) CONSTRUCTION New Structures Annual Report (2013) Reporting Period (annual/by qtr.) REAL ESTATE Single Family Houses Number Sold Average Price RENTALS Residential Rentals Rental Units Advertised Average Rent (2 bdrm. apartment) MILITARY Military Active Duty Personnel (FFY2) Military Dependents (FFY2) POPULATION++ FNSB (Census annual)* City of Fairbanks* (annual) City of North Pole* (annual) FNSB (DCCED annual)^ FNSB (ADOL annual)** City of Fairbanks** (annual) City of North Pole** (annual) Current Data Period One Period Ago One Year Ago Annual 288 - -31.4% 1st Qtr. '14 4th Qtr. '13 1st Qtr. '13 125 $191,984 -8.8% -4.3% -20.9% -13.1% 690 $1,215 -4.4% -1.5% 51.6% 2.1% 7,771 11,098 -2.9% -3.0% -3.3% -5.1% 100,436 32,324 2,214 99,632 99,632 32,204 2,209 - 0.2% 0.9% 2.8% -0.7% -0.7% 0.4% 2.2% SOURCE: (1) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, July 1st estimates. 2013 Population Estimates. PEPANNRES Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Counties of Alaska: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013, also Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population in Alaska: now known as *Intercensal Estimates of the Resident Population for Incorporated Places and Minor Civil Divisions: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2013, May 2014. Geographic change notes defined at: http://www.census.gov. (2) Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; and US Census Bureau. Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^, and Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^. All numbers are based on 2010 Census geography. ADOL website: http://laborstats.alaska.gov, February 2014. (3) Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development (DCCED), Division of Community and Regional Affairs, 2013 Commissioner Certified Estimates, January 15, 2013. DCCED Certified numbers may vary from ADOL population estimates as a result of the Population Estimate Appeal process available to incorporated communities on a yearly basis, as well as annual revisions by ADOL. Once certified, DCCED numbers may be applied for two consecutive calendar years. DCCED website: http://www.commerce.state.ak.us/dca/commdb/CF_COMDB.htm. NOTE: The FNSB numbers include population for all communities within the Borough plus Fort Wainwright Army Base and Eielson Air Force Base. ** U.S. Census and ADOL estimated numbers may be revised annually. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 2 ECONOMIC INDICATORS BANK DEPOSIT & LOAN SUMMARY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2014, End of Quarter 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Loan-to-Deposit Ratio 1 2 3 4 2007 1 2 3 4 2008 1 2 3 4 2009 1 2 3 4 2010 1 2 3 4 2011 1 2 3 4 2012 1 2 3 4 1 2013 BANK DEPOSIT & LOAN SUMMARY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2014 2007 2008* 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Deposits March 31 June 30* Sept. 30 Dec. 31 -------------------------------------------Millions of Dollars---------------------------------------------------$699.9 $751.1 $786.9 $873.8 $938.3 $957.0 $1,007.8 $1,063.7 $731.2 $754.6 $826.9 $889.4 $929.3 $983.6 $1,023.2 $752.7 $807.4 $847.0 $927.1 $966.3 $1,021.4 $1,064.8 $762.1 $782.3 $887.0 $949.2 $960.3 $1,014.6 $1,073.7 Loans -------------------------------------------Millions of Dollars---------------------------------------------------$610.5 $629.1 $685.4 $660.0 $646.9 $619.5 $675.3 $655.9 $650.9 $653.7 $701.4 $674.4 $651.6 $644.7 $681.8 $659.8 $662.9 $669.0 $656.0 $636.1 $685.6 $669.8 $634.6 $673.0 $667.6 $676.0 $636.7 $679.1 $662.8 March 31^ June 30* Sept. 30 Dec. 31* SOURCE: Denali State Bank, First National Bank of Alaska, Mt. McKinley Bank, Northrim Bank, Wells Fargo Bank Alaska, N.A. (local branches), personal communications 2007-2014. * Adjustment made to data entered March-June 2008 in October 2008. ^ Calculation adjusted loan value only, November 2007. 3 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators TOTAL BANKRUPTCIES FILED Alaska Fourth Judicial District, Fairbanks Office 2007-2013 200 150 100 Combined Bankruptcies 50 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 0 BANKRUPTCIES FILED Alaska Fourth Judicial District, Fairbanks Office 2007-2014 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013*^ 2014* 20 25 21 32 98 20 22 41 40 123 31 54 42 48 175 38 39 38 33 148 40 37 35 33 145 24 26 31 20 101 28 26 13 8 75 14 9% 26% 42% -15% -2% -30% -26% 3 9 8 4 24 6 6 7 2 21 0 2 2 2 6 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 4 41% -13% -71% -67% -50% 0% 300% 122 144 181 150 146 102 79 Nonbusiness 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total % Change from Previous Year Business 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total % Change from Previous Year Combined Annual Total 2 SOURCE: U.S. Courts website: http://www.akb.uscourts.gov, and personal communications with FNSB Collections Department, May 20072014. NOTE: Revised formulas and chart, Novermber 18, 2013. Beginning in January 2009 the U.S. Bankruptcy Court changed the way they report bankruptcy cases. Due to staffing changes the information is no longer individually entered. They now use the nationwide formatting which does not sort business and non-business categories. FNSB will research the cases reported in effort to separate the two categories. * Beginning First Quarter 2010 bankruptcy records reflect refined research documenting through FNSB Collections Department who utilizes PACER (Public Access To Court Electronic Records). ^ 3rd Quarter 2013 numbers were change to remove count of bankruptcy appeal case and correct a miscount in business cases. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 4 Economic Indicators NOTICES OF DEFAULT Fairbanks Recording District* 2008-2014 ^ January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 21 17 16 16 25 27 25 20 27 27 14 25 20 32 26 21 18 18 34 26 20 16 16 24 20 26 15 21 25 30 22 23 26 19 11 14 14 33 27 22 15 18 13 25 21 12 14 20 8 20 25 14 26 24 23 22 27 21 12 12 30 20 13 16 18 16 25 24 17 19 19 33 260 271 252 234 234 250 % Change 2013-14 29 -3% 17 -15% 12 -8% 2014 SOURCE: Recorder's Office, Alaska Department of Natural Resources website: http://www.dnr.alaska.gov, 2008-2014. NOTE: Notices of default indicate the terms of a Deed of Trust or Mortgage have been breached, i.e. delinquency of payments. The notices need not result in foreclosures because deficiencies can be corrected. There can be multiple notices if a default is corrected but the Deed of Trust or Mortgage terms are breached again in the future. A single notice can be for more than one parcel. Notices are tabulated by date of initiation. ^ Current data supersedes previous figures reported. The data presented only reflects the number of notice of defaults that have been recorded and does not reflect any effect of amendments, modifications or terminations of notice of defaults. Please contact the Community Research Center for any additional questions. * Fairbanks Recording District includes (bolded communities may reside in the FNSB) A.G.M.(Camp); Alaska Lodge; Alatna; Alder Creek; Alder Creek Camp; Alexanders Village; Allakaket; Amy Creek; Arctic City (Aband); Aurora Lodge; Barlett; P.O. (Ester); Bear Paw; Bearman Cabin; Beaver; Beaver Cr. Yukon; Bend S.C.; Berry; Berry Camp; Bettles; Bettles Field (Evansville); Biedermans Camp; Big Delta; Big Horn; Big Lake; Birch Creek; Black Jack Cabin; Bonanza; Bonanza Bar; Boundary; Burnt Paw; Cache; Canyon Creek Camp; Canyon Vil; Caribou; Caribou Bar; Caro; Cathedral Bluffs; Cathedral Rapids; Central; Chalkyitsik; Chandalar; Chapman; Chatanika; Chena; Chena Hot Springs; Chicken; Chisana; Christian; Circle; Circle Hot Springs; Cleary Summit; Coal Creek; Cold Foot; College; Crooked Creek; Dahten; Dall; Dalton; Delta Junction; Demarcation Pt; Diamond; Dome; Dome Creek; Donnelly; Doran; Dot Lake; Eagle; Eagle Creek; Eagle Village; Eielson Air Force Base; Ester (Bartlett; P.O.); Evansville (Bettles Field); Fairbanks; Fairbanks Creek Camp; Fiftysix Mile Cabin; Fish Camp; Fishook; Flume Creek; Fort Greely; Fort Hamlin; Fort Wainwright; Fort Yukon; FortyMile R.H. (Tetlin Junction); Fortysix Mile Cabin; Fossil Cr. S.C.; Fox; Franklin; Glacier; Glacier (Mine); Gold Bench; Goldstream; Graehl; Healy Lake; Heinie Creek; Henshaw Cabin; Horsfeld ; Jack Wade; Joe Ward Camp; John Herbert Village; Johnnie Frog Cabin; Johnson River; Joseph; Kantishna; Kochumstuk; Lake Harding Store; Lake Minchumina; Larson Cabin; Liberty; Lilywig Creek; Livengood; Log Cabin Inn; Mansfield Village; Martin; McCallum; Miller House; Millers Camp (Aband); Millers R.H.; Montana Creek Camp; Moose Creek; Mudbank Cabin; Murphy Dome; Muskeg; Myrtle Creek; Nabesna; Nabesna Village; Nation (Aband); Ninemile Cabin; Nineteen Mile; Nolan; North Pole; North Slope; Northway; Northway Junction; Old Camp; Old Rampart; Old Saulich; Olnes; Oscars Cabin; Poker Creek; Yukon Post & Scoby; Richardson; Riverside; Roosevelt; Salcha; Salchakat; Salmon; Salmon River; Sam Creek; Saulich; Scottie Creek; Seventeen mile; Shaw Creek Lodge; Shuman House; Silver Fox R.H.; Sixtymile (Glacier P.O.) Yukon; Sourdough Camp; South Fork; Standard; Steele Creek; Stephens (Stevens); Swede Boys Camp; Tanacross; Ten Mile; Tenderfoot; Tetlin; Tetlin Jct; Thirtysix Mile; Cabin Tok (Junction); Toklat; Tolovana; Tramway Bar; Tsukon Cabin; Twentyfour Mile Cabin; Twentytwo Mile Village; Two Rivers; United States Camp; Venetie; Venetie Landing; Wallen; West Fork (Aband); White Eye; Wild Lake; Willow House; Wiseman; Woodchopper (Aband); Woodchopper Creek. 5 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators FORECLOSURES Fairbanks Recording District* 2008-2014 ^ January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5 9 6 7 10 10 5 8 11 14 4 13 12 20 16 14 12 13 20 10 14 20 15 15 15 12 13 14 13 10 13 16 21 13 10 15 11 10 10 14 7 15 12 12 11 9 19 14 14 11 18 9 18 10 17 12 8 9 18 18 19 9 7 22 14 6 22 25 13 27 16 13 21 6 24 102 181 165 144 162 193 % Change 2013-14 11% -33% 243% SOURCE: Recorder's Office, Alaska Department of Natural Resources website: http://www.dnr.alaska.gov, 2008-2014. NOTE: Foreclosures in this table indicate the loss of property by a borrower as a result of an Affidavit of Foreclosure, Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure, Relinquishment, Trustee Deed, or Judicial Deed of Foreclosure. More than a single parcel may be affected by the foreclosure. ^ Current data supersedes previous figures reported. * Fairbanks Recording District includes (bolded communities may reside in the FNSB) A.G.M.(Camp); Alaska Lodge; Alatna; Alder Creek; Alder Creek Camp; Alexanders Village; Allakaket; Amy Creek; Arctic City (Aband); Aurora Lodge; Barlett; P.O. (Ester); Bear Paw; Bearman Cabin; Beaver; Beaver Cr. Yukon; Bend S.C.; Berry; Berry Camp; Bettles; Bettles Field (Evansville); Biedermans Camp; Big Delta; Big Horn; Big Lake; Birch Creek; Black Jack Cabin; Bonanza; Bonanza Bar; Boundary; Burnt Paw; Cache; Canyon Creek Camp; Canyon Vil; Caribou; Caribou Bar; Caro; Cathedral Bluffs; Cathedral Rapids; Central; Chalkyitsik; Chandalar; Chapman; Chatanika; Chena; Chena Hot Springs; Chicken; Chisana; Christian; Circle; Circle Hot Springs; Cleary Summit; Coal Creek; Cold Foot; College; Crooked Creek; Dahten; Dall; Dalton; Delta Junction; Demarcation Pt; Diamond; Dome; Dome Creek; Donnelly; Doran; Dot Lake; Eagle; Eagle Creek; Eagle Village; Eielson Air Force Base; Ester (Bartlett; P.O.); Evansville (Bettles Field); Fairbanks; Fairbanks Creek Camp; Fiftysix Mile Cabin; Fish Camp; Fishook; Flume Creek; Fort Greely; Fort Hamlin; Fort Wainwright; Fort Yukon; Forty-Mile R.H. (Tetlin Junction); Fortysix Mile Cabin; Fossil Cr. S.C.; Fox; Franklin; Glacier; Glacier (Mine); Gold Bench; Goldstream; Graehl; Healy Lake; Heinie Creek; Henshaw Cabin; Horsfeld ; Jack Wade; Joe Ward Camp; John Herbert Village; Johnnie Frog Cabin; Johnson River; Joseph; Kantishna; Kochumstuk; Lake Harding Store; Lake Minchumina; Larson Cabin; Liberty; Lilywig Creek; Livengood; Log Cabin Inn; Mansfield Village; Martin; McCallum; Miller House; Millers Camp (Aband); Millers R.H.; Montana Creek Camp; Moose Creek; Mudbank Cabin; Murphy Dome; Muskeg; Myrtle Creek; Nabesna; Nabesna Village; Nation (Aband); Ninemile Cabin; Nineteen Mile; Nolan; North Pole; North Slope; Northway; Northway Junction; Old Camp; Old Rampart; Old Saulich; Olnes; Oscars Cabin; Poker Creek; Yukon Post & Scoby; Richardson; Riverside; Roosevelt; Salcha; Salchakat; Salmon; Salmon River; Sam Creek; Saulich; Scottie Creek; Seventeen mile; Shaw Creek Lodge; Shuman House; Silver Fox R.H.; Sixtymile (Glacier P.O.) Yukon; Sourdough Camp; South Fork; Standard; Steele Creek; Stephens (Stevens); Swede Boys Camp; Tanacross; Ten Mile; Tenderfoot; Tetlin; Tetlin Jct; Thirtysix Mile; Cabin Tok (Junction); Toklat; Tolovana; Tramway Bar; Tsukon Cabin; Twentyfour Mile Cabin; Twentytwo Mile Village; Two Rivers; United States Camp; Venetie; Venetie Landing; Wallen; West Fork (Aband); White Eye; Wild Lake; Willow House; Wiseman; Woodchopper (Aband); Woodchopper Creek. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 6 Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FREIGHT* 2008-2014 2008 Incoming January February March April May June July August September October November December Total Outgoing January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -------------------------------------Thousands of Pounds-----------------------------------------710 616 477 1,007 307 449 418 724 647 482 459 500 425 467 802 6,189 637 1,120 587 470 555 879 627 739 597 557 618 914 657 1,752 652 680 622 1,557 633 1,810 615 663 600 983 658 709 678 698 728 1,045 673 754 716 759 814 1,035 706 857 803 707 750 930 947 611 637 699 635 714 529 574 524 574 460 552 529 501 539 599 425 10,845 13,411 9,903 8,347 7,330 36,872 33,916 33,565 38,154 -7% 10% 18% 6,996 -------------------------------------Thousands of Pounds-----------------------------------------2,182 1,806 2,189 2,883 2,666 1,871 2,205 2,681 2,257 2,760 1,539 2,590 2,365 2,561 2,677 5,667 3,191 2,776 2,721 1,394 2,578 2,935 3,216 2,929 2,482 2,670 2,781 3,077 2,836 1,863 2,587 4,112 3,162 3,126 3,188 2,511 3,340 3,574 3,740 3,595 3,624 3,600 3,017 3,830 3,658 2,930 3,513 3,402 3,650 3,956 3,619 2,768 3,202 3,652 3,233 4,143 3,003 3,407 2,951 3,023 2,660 2,857 3,043 2,479 2,595 2,254 2,623 2,310 1,982 2,866 2,017 2,542 2,775 2,725 2,203 34,723 % Change 2013-14 18% 8% 85% 32,821 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. NOTE: UPS made a sizeable stop in March 2009. Everts Air Fuel notable stop in May-June 2010. Sizeable stop by a domestic carrier in January 2011. Kalitta Air stopped at FAI March 2011. Frontier Flying Service, Lynden Air Cargo, and Tatonduk Outifitters boosted numbers in May 2012. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. 7 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TRANSIT FREIGHT*^ 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % Change 2013-14 -------------------------------------Thousands of Pounds-----------------------------------------299 463 572 886 276 631 313 341 298 1,543 235 282 270 219 335 14,296 1,118 258 361 670 151 338 302 296 297 750 276 261 245 342 344 326 291 307 361 1,574 342 370 109 4,334 359 327 341 397 250 5,168 350 593 321 350 215 329 292 8,508 305 926 40 1,294 268 451 309 348 151 317 748 993 293 211 469 553 940 364 350 301 323 January February March April May June July August September October November December Total 13,876 18,922 16,681 4,281 4,898 -50% -19% -77% 3,695 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. NOTE: On average FAI should see between 70-100 operations from Volga-Dnepr Airlines per year. Ukraine-based Antonov Design Bureau, made transit landings Feb-Mar 2010. ^ International Airlines: Evergreen and Volga-Dnepr made non-routine stops at FAI in July-August 2008. UPS made a sizeable stop in March 2009. Asiana, Cathay Pacific, China Air, Nippon Cargo, Atlas Air, China Cargo, and Evergreen International plus domestic carriers Fed Ex and UPS had transit landings in September and November 2010. Cathay Pacific and Nippon Cargo boosted numbers reported in Apr 2012, Jan and Mar 2013. Cathay Pacific, Nippon Cargo and China Air increase values in Sept 2012. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TRANSIT FREIGHT 2008-2014 16,000 14,000 Thousands of Pounds 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 J/14 J/13 J/12 J/11 J/10 J/09 J/08 0 J=January/Year Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 8 Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REVENUE LANDINGS 2008-2014 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 J/14 J/13 J/12 J/11 J/10 J/09 J/08 0 J=January/Year FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REVENUE LANDINGS* 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1,758 1,766 2,019 1,868 2,208 2,571 2,686 2,820 2,503 2,009 1,668 1,802 1,610 1,653 1,907 1,836 2,039 2,370 2,481 2,464 2,338 1,922 1,650 1,813 1,643 1,601 1,900 1,810 1,906 2,410 2,510 2,641 2,523 1,957 1,567 1,791 1,673 1,551 1,935 1,797 2,070 2,416 2,368 2,751 2,544 1,942 1,760 1,820 1,614 1,588 1,836 1,712 2,085 2,360 2,349 2,447 2,167 1,715 1,459 1,532 1,508 1,578 1,813 1,742 1,983 2,431 2,398 2,631 2,258 1,862 1,585 1,561 Total 25,678 24,083 24,259 24,627 22,864 23,350 % Change 2013-14 1,569 4% 1,649 4% 2,073 14% 2014 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. 9 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PASSENGERS* 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % Change 2013-14 Incoming January February March April May June July August September October November December 33,333 31,801 35,869 30,386 45,270 60,012 60,249 64,713 39,664 31,565 28,568 31,534 32,118 29,051 33,266 28,065 40,536 51,532 54,055 54,191 37,907 47,049 31,077 31,855 32,275 29,677 34,689 29,191 40,531 51,352 56,896 57,370 37,040 35,120 29,939 32,823 33,897 30,763 39,085 30,449 41,461 51,949 55,490 57,039 38,298 32,048 30,024 31,408 33,555 31,566 37,380 30,156 42,888 56,506 57,927 58,021 39,404 31,710 30,085 31,250 34,474 31,104 38,735 29,853 41,734 53,673 59,516 57,174 38,093 33,781 29,534 33,512 34,000 32,849 43,295 -1% 6% 12% Total 492,964 470,702 466,903 471,911 480,448 481,183 Outgoing January February March April May June July August September October November December 29,821 31,495 35,259 29,871 40,420 54,765 58,257 58,267 44,796 34,349 28,909 34,171 29,763 28,742 32,379 27,517 35,530 48,923 52,252 50,500 43,105 35,654 31,291 36,778 28,908 28,955 34,426 29,076 36,495 47,899 54,198 53,742 44,985 36,204 30,499 36,844 30,157 29,911 38,609 29,943 37,776 48,027 52,019 53,832 45,230 33,996 30,905 35,921 29,447 31,231 37,143 29,746 40,461 50,765 55,564 56,668 45,283 33,915 30,909 36,169 30,946 30,457 38,519 29,952 38,411 49,715 56,807 56,543 45,978 35,712 30,748 37,428 30,299 32,386 44,297 -2% 6% 15% Total 480,380 452,434 462,231 466,326 477,301 481,216 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Transportation & Public Facilities, Fairbanks International Airport, "Fairbanks International Airport Statistical Report", 2008-2014. NOTE: Numbers do not include passengers in transit. Arctic Winter Games took place in Fairbanks March 2014. * Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 10 Economic Indicators ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE ENTERING PASSENGERS* Via the Yukon Territory 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2,108 2,365 3,681 5,168 11,033 17,887 16,946 13,246 5,987 3,832 2,096 2,145 2,388 2,419 3,958 4,899 12,447 22,929 24,187 18,311 7,954 3,803 2,783 2,237 2,216 2,139 3,434 5,662 11,989 23,610 21,002 16,553 5,829 3,949 2,547 2,334 2,213 2,350 3,992 5,068 11,732 22,411 22,964 20,063 7,901 3,512 2,424 2,016 1,868 2,037 3,688 4,611 10,430 21,800 24,446 18,903 7,409 3,489 2,426 1,854 1,888 1,970 3,358 4,592 10,290 22,299 23,400 18,272 7,661 3,296 2,467 2,132 Total 86,494 108,315 101,264 106,646 102,961 101,625 % Change 2013-14 2,171 15% 1,905 -3% 3,172 -6% 2014 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Immigration and Naturalization Service, District 32, (Tok) personal communications, 20082014. NOTE: This entry point includes statewide travel for automobiles on the Alaska Highway and, during the summer, the Taylor Highway (Poker Creek). * Current year figures subject to revisions. ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE EXITING PASSENGERS* Via the Yukon Territory 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1,783 1,812 2,455 2,608 6,990 15,502 22,729 21,827 10,585 3,657 2,054 1,573 1,491 2,018 2,380 2,884 7,057 13,932 20,196 20,089 10,522 4,145 2,781 1,998 1,688 1,643 2,542 3,155 7,358 14,771 24,479 11,766 11,196 4,673 2,070 1,613 1,483 1,657 2,297 2,615 6,771 15,473 22,377 20,734 10,341 4,470 2,213 1,867 1,485 1,553 2,617 2,719 6,171 14,116 20,212 20,268 9,859 3,485 2,074 1,942 1,640 1,376 2,142 2,962 6,092 15,021 19,144 20,783 10,157 4,135 3,035 1,582 Total 93,575 89,493 86,954 92,298 86,501 88,069 % Change 2013-14 1,597 -3% 1,457 6% 2,275 6% 2014 SOURCE: Canadian Customs Border Services, Area Ports, Yukon Government, 2008-2014. NOTE: This exit point includes statewide travel for automobiles on the Alaska Highway (Beaver Creek) and, during the summer through September 15th, the Taylor Highway (Little Gold). * Current year figures subject to revisions. 11 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE NET ANNUAL MIGRATION TRENDS 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 Net Migration 1996 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 -20,000 -25,000 -30,000 1995 Number of Passengers Via the Yukon Territory 1995-2013 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Immigration and Naturalization Service, District 32, and Customs Border Services, Area Ports, Yukon Government, Canada, personal communications 1995-2013. ALASKA HIGHWAY STATEWIDE NET MONTHLY MIGRATION* Via the Yukon Territory 2008-2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 325 553 1,226 2,560 4,043 2,385 -5,783 -8,581 -4,598 175 42 572 897 401 1,578 2,015 5,390 8,997 3,991 -1,778 -2,568 -342 2 239 528 496 892 2,507 4,631 8,839 -3,477 4,787 -5,367 -724 477 721 730 693 1,695 2,453 4,961 6,938 587 -671 -2,440 -958 211 149 383 484 1,071 1,892 4,259 7,684 4,234 -1,365 -2,450 4 352 -88 248 594 1,216 1,630 4,198 7,278 4,256 -2,511 -2,496 -839 -568 550 574 448 897 Net -7,081 18,822 14,310 14,348 16,460 13,556 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Immigration and Naturalization Service, District 32, and Customs Border Services, Area Ports, Yukon Government, Canada, personal communications 2008-2014. NOTE: Numbers denote the difference between the number of passengers entering and exiting statewide Alaska on the Alaska Highway and the Taylor Highway (summer only through September 15th). * Current year figures subject to revisions. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 12 Economic Indicators ALASKA RAILROAD PASSENGERS Alaska 2007-2013* Passengers* ARR Ridership Cruiseline Railcars TOTAL 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 219,370 345,430 218,833 323,838 206,410 264,376 171,975 233,160 193,293 218,916 204,331 211,159 223,577 266,105 % Chg 2012-13 9.4% 26.0% 564,800 542,671 470,786 405,135 412,209 415,490 489,682 17.9% SOURCE: Alaska Railroad Corporation, Markets, Sales, Services, Anchorage, Alaska, personal communications, 2007-2014. * ARR ridership numbers include ridership only on scheduled services. ALASKA RAILROAD FREIGHT TONNAGE Alaska 2007-2013 Tons 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 % Chg 2012-13 -------------------------in millions of tons-------------------------------Bulk Petroleum Coal (local) Coal (export) Gravel Other 2,230 766 342 2,377 742 1,910 761 471 2,776 681 1,657 762 801 2,306 637 1,254 791 1,051 2,614 622 1,292 836 1,195 2,252 619 1,057 838 961 2,003 702 947 793 634 2,025 711 -10.4% -5.4% -34.0% 1.1% 1.3% TOTAL 6,457 6,599 6,163 6,332 6,194 5,561 5,110 -8.1% 2013 % Chg 2012-13 $ 100,021 $ 96,575 -3.4% SOURCE: Alaska Railroad Corporation, Markets, Sales, Services, Anchorage, Alaska, personal communications, 2007-2014. ALASKA RAILROAD FREIGHT REVENUE DOLLARS* Alaska 2007-2013 Revenue 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ---------------------------------in millions of dollars--------------------------------TOTAL $ 94,341 $ 98,914 $ 87,515 $ 87,019 $ 98,045 SOURCE: Alaska Railroad Corporation, Markets, Sales, Services, Anchorage, Alaska, personal communications, 2007-2014. * Current data supercedes all previous data. 13 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 Quarter 2010 2011 2012 2013 1st 2nd 3rd 4th $5,549,520 $14,817,922 $27,183,699 $6,887,983 $6,317,082 $13,757,533 $26,099,065 $7,429,594 $6,603,066 $14,464,988 $28,737,266 $8,886,940 $7,170,000 $14,031,111 $25,686,646 $10,909,172 Total $54,439,124 $53,603,274 $58,692,260 $57,796,929 2014 $8,202,072 % Change 2013-14 14.4% SOURCE: City of Fairbanks, Finance Dept.; City of North Pole, Finance Dept.; FNSB, Financial Services, personal communications, 2010-2014. NOTE: Room receipt figures are based on hotel/motel bed tax which is 8%. Receipts are calculated on taxes paid. There is a time lag between collection and reporting of these taxes. * Due to accrual adjustments the current data will supersede previous figures reported. FIRST QUARTER HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1994-2014 1st Quarter Comparisons $9,000,000 $8,000,000 $7,000,000 $6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $0 Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 14 Economic Indicators ANNUAL HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS* Fairbanks North Star Borough 1993-2013 Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1st Qtr. $1,912,664 $2,139,404 $2,342,331 $2,344,161 $2,414,719 $2,551,863 $3,055,908 $3,274,010 $3,745,458 $3,421,975 $4,269,920 $4,282,186 $4,341,420 $4,396,630 $5,253,550 $4,928,353 $5,554,495 $5,549,520 $6,317,082 $6,603,066 $7,170,000 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. Annual Total $6,509,495 $7,282,236 $8,112,819 $8,651,705 $7,794,574 $10,173,376 $10,093,298 $9,923,679 $10,072,118 $9,279,386 $8,951,462 $11,444,548 $11,991,395 $13,755,407 $14,703,344 $15,450,099 $11,750,227 $14,817,922 $13,757,533 $14,464,988 $14,031,111 $13,079,188 $14,218,355 $14,946,769 $15,188,972 $18,608,324 $17,682,597 $18,457,738 $17,456,009 $17,394,993 $15,610,143 $18,034,906 $24,397,446 $26,148,408 $27,784,543 $29,164,266 $29,652,248 $25,311,523 $27,183,699 $26,099,065 $28,737,266 $25,686,646 $2,910,413 $3,889,047 $3,811,319 $3,189,160 $3,526,383 $4,296,950 $4,567,227 $4,959,298 $7,476,847 $7,457,382 $6,161,282 $6,245,425 $6,416,203 $6,628,268 $7,198,573 $7,251,731 $7,176,965 $6,887,983 $7,429,594 $8,886,940 $10,909,172 $24,411,760 $27,529,042 $29,213,238 $29,373,998 $32,344,000 $34,704,786 $36,174,171 $35,612,996 $38,689,416 $35,768,886 $37,417,570 $46,369,605 $48,897,426 $52,564,848 $56,319,733 $57,282,431 $49,793,210 $54,439,124 $53,603,274 $58,692,260 $57,796,929 % Chg fr Prev Yr 15.6% 12.8% 6.1% 0.6% 10.1% 7.3% 4.2% -1.6% 8.6% -7.5% 4.6% 23.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.1% 1.7% -13.1% 9.3% -1.5% 9.5% -1.5% SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough, City of Fairbanks, and City of North Pole, Finance Departments, personal communications 1993-2013. NOTE: Room receipt figures are based on hotel/motel bed tax which is 8%. Receipts are calculated on taxes paid. There is a time lag between collection and reporting of these taxes. City of North Pole was added beginning second quarter 2009. * Due to accrual adjustments the current figure supersede previous figures. ANNUAL HOTEL/MOTEL ROOM RECEIPTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1993-2013 30% 25% 20% Percentage Change 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% 15 Spring 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 -15% Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA MUSEUM VISITORS Fairbanks, Alaska 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2,236 4,502 3,394 2,328 5,767 15,275 16,548 14,709 7,567 3,249 1,886 2,437 1,647 4,465 3,725 2,272 5,367 14,051 16,587 14,193 7,698 4,207 2,567 3,785 1,705 3,199 4,230 2,525 4,303 12,517 14,169 12,851 6,743 2,841 2,124 2,588 2,235 3,969 5,934 2,911 5,100 11,236 13,668 12,536 7,137 3,534 1,718 3,662 3,170 3,705 6,871 2,664 4,859 10,956 14,746 12,993 8,163 6,116 4,206 6,013 4,697 6,201 9,634 Total 79,898 80,564 69,795 73,640 84,462 % Change 2013-14 48% 67% 40% SOURCE: University of Alaska Museum, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, personal communications 2009-2014. NOTE: Numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. The Fairbanks Children's Museum opened October 2013 in the museums auditorium and will remain there until April 2014. Arctic Winter Games took place March 2014. Beginning January 2014 and continuing throughout 2014, a Wells Fargo sponsorship will pay entrance fees for active-duty military families. UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA MUSEUM VISITORS Fairbanks, Alaska 1998-2013 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Museum Visitors 0 Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 16 Economic Indicators DELINQUENT TAX ACCOUNTS Fairbanks North Star Borough December Billing 1996-2013 Year Taxable Parcels Base Mill Rate Total Outside of Cities* 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Delinquent Parcels % of December 1st delinquency @ 1st notice 4,129 11.0818 4,015 10.7101 3,987 10.5629 3,933 10.3049 3,871 10.0676 4,134 10.6946 3,677 9.4395 3,770 9.5814 3,693 9.2795 3,565 8.8218 3,358 8.2171 3,845 9.2091 3,680 8.7125 3,785 8.9004 3,581 8.3882 3,526 8.1975 3,850 8.9195 3,907 9.0423 July 1st 15.1740 15.1010 15.4520 16.1840 15.3430 15.5430 15.4050 15.4030 15.2240 14.8110 14.4910 13.7440 12.7900 12.7000 12.9730 12.9990 12.9700 12.9710 Foreclosure Parcels 37,259 37,488 37,745 38,166 38,450 38,655 38,953 39,347 39,797 40,411 40,866 41,752 42,238 42,526 42,691 43,013 43,164 43,208 Parcels Available at Sale** Foreclosure % Rate 17 28 18 17 19 22 19 12 16 12 11 20 20 17 15 NA NA NA 0.0005 0.0007 0.0005 0.0004 0.0005 0.0006 0.0005 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004 - SOURCE: FNSB Finance Department, Treasury and Budget, Tax Foreclosure Data, personal communication, 1996-2014. NOTE: As of May 5, 2014 there are 1,619 delinquent accounts (or 3.747 percent of the total taxable parcels for the calendar year of 2012). Foreclosure data has about a 2 1/2 year lag on release. All tax billing must be mailed by July 1st: taxes are due and payable on July 1st according to State and Local statutes. * The base mill levy (which includes non-areawide + areawide + solid waste district taxes). DELINQUENT TAX ACCOUNTS Fairbanks North Star Borough December Billing 1996-2013 12.0000 10.0000 Percentage 8.0000 6.0000 4.0000 Delinquent Parcels-December 1st 2.0000 17 Spring 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0.0000 Community Research Quarterly Economic Indicators ALASKA NATIVE CORPORATIONS SHAREHOLDERS Statewide 2007-2012 Native Regional Corporation 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sealaska Corp. Doyon, Ltd. Calista Corp. NANA Regional Corp. Arctic Slope Regional Corp. Bristol Bay Native Corp. Cook Inlet Region, Inc. Bering Straits Native Corp. Koniag, Inc. The Aleut Corporation Chugach Alaska Corp. Ahtna, Inc. The 13th Regional Corp.* 19,443 16,000 13,000 11,495 9,616 8,200 7,419 6,334 3,633 3,547 2,002 1,200 NA 20,174 17,500 13,000 12,044 9,616 8,400 7,693 6,334 3,633 3,547 2,002 1,200 NA 20,594 17,974 13,000 12,400 10,445 8,600 7,693 6,334 3,695 3,656 2,002 1,547 5,500 20,860 18,300 13,000 12,700 10,725 9,000 8,100 6,700 3,695 3,717 2,300 1,649 NA 21,300 18,566 12,600 13,086 11,000 9,100 7,545 6,333 3,908 3,759 2,100 1,740 NA 2012 Rank 21,000 18,700 12,600 12,500 11,000 9,000 7,500 6,300 3,800 3,700 2,500 1,700 NA % chg 2011-12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 -1.4% 0.7% 0.0% -4.5% 0.0% -1.1% -0.6% -0.5% -2.8% -1.6% 19.0% -2.3% - SOURCE: Alaska Business Monthly, "Power List", January 2007-2010 and September issue, 2011-2014, website: www.akbizmag.com, and Native Corporation personal communications, May 2013. NOTE: There is a lag time in reporting and numbers are subject to revision. These Native Regional Corporations were established between 1971-1972, except The Thirteenth Corporation which began in 1975. NA Not available at press time. * The 13th Regional Corporation has been inactive for several years and has no formal status. ALASKA NATIVE CORPORATIONS ANNUAL REVENUE Statewide 2007-2012 Native Regional Corporation Arctic Slope Regional Corp. Bristol Bay Native Corp. NANA Regional Corp. Chugach Alaska Corp. Calista Corp. Doyon, Ltd. Sealaska Corp. Cook Inlet Region, Inc. Bering Straits Native Corp. Ahtna, Inc.* Koniag, Inc. The Aleut Corporation The 13th Regional Corp.** 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ---------------------In Millions of Dollars-------------------$1,777.5 $2,297.3 $1,945.1 $2,331.7 $2,550.0 $2,600.0 $1,006.1 $1,294.9 $1,391.6 $1,667.2 $1,965.5 $1,965.0 $975.5 $1,175.5 $1,257.8 $1,600.0 $1,800.0 $1,800.0 $900.1 $951.9 $1,105.3 $937.0 $765.8 $709.0 $138.4 $224.1 $224.0 $230.6 $300.5 $404.0 $280.5 $306.1 $308.5 $458.6 $468.4 $338.0 $203.2 $125.8 $201.0 $223.3 $259.5 $311.6 $119.9 $11.1 $79.9 $188.3 $200.8 $238.0 $76.1 $113.3 $162.3 $190.3 $206.0 $213.0 $136.2 $196.1 $231.0 $200.0 $243.0 $189.0 $128.2 $101.3 $116.0 $149.6 $131.1 $126.9 $154.2 $116.1 $146.1 $143.5 $159.4 $116.3 NA NA NA NA NA NA Rank % chg 2011-12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% -7.4% 34.4% -27.8% 20.1% 18.5% 3.4% -22.2% -3.2% -27.0% - SOURCE: Alaska Business Monthly, "Power List", January 2006-2010 and September issue, 2011-2014, website: www.akbizmag.com, and Native Corporation personal communications, May 2013. NOTE: There is a lag time in reporting and numbers are subject to revision. Beginning in 2006, the 13th Regional Corporation has limited reporting. In 2008 the stock market decline affected some corporate revenue margins. * Numbers revised during personal communication with Ahtna accounting, May 2010. NA Not available at press time. ** The 13th Regional Corporation has been inactive for several years and has no formal status. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 18 Economic Indicators PERMANENT FUND DIVIDEND APPLICANT MAILING ADDRESS BY CITY* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2008-2014 ^ by zipcode 99701 99702 99703 99705 99706 99707 99708 99709 99710 99711 99712 99714 99716 99725 99775 99790 Total 3,316 684 1,216 4,984 240 963 1,279 4,356 331 332 1,965 264 79 159 125 4 % Change 2012-13 2.5% 19.0% -6.6% 0.8% -3.9% -5.5% -3.0% 2.2% -1.3% -1.6% 1.3% -1.0% 2.6% -4.5% -7.3% 33.3% 58,426 19,786 59,413 21,385 58,493 20,294 59,211 20,377 59,192 20,248 59,471 20,297 0.4% 2008 2009 2010¹ 2011¹ 2012¹ 2013¹ Adult Child Adult Child Adult Child Adult Child Adult Child Adult Child 9,685 970 1,564 11,758 1,247 4,429 5,441 12,759 1,228 1,180 5,745 699 337 705 679 - 3,324 795 1,219 4,575 270 1,140 1,375 3,993 306 375 1,818 258 66 159 113 - 9,952 886 1,963 11,969 1,215 4,357 5,474 12,872 1,273 1,156 5,775 718 348 736 719 - 3,281 783 1,724 5,025 281 1,170 1,523 4,251 350 386 1,956 279 73 179 124 - 9,891 692 1,484 11,902 1,180 4,209 5,448 12,902 1,255 1,102 5,854 693 350 743 788 - 3,143 605 1,254 4,934 268 1,086 1,451 4,223 363 348 2,001 274 66 169 109 - 10,095 714 1,540 12,163 1,153 4,107 5,364 13,143 1,263 1,116 5,983 689 346 717 818 - 3,204 612 1,300 4,923 267 1,063 1,397 4,299 352 357 1,978 260 69 179 117 - 10,270 682 1,519 12,218 1,124 3,980 5,193 13,210 1,211 1,086 6,023 703 347 739 878 9 3,231 580 1,318 4,905 257 1,027 1,306 4,299 342 340 1,973 273 77 179 138 3 10,519 818 1,435 12,274 1,087 3,769 5,026 13,533 1,202 1,071 6,132 702 356 718 817 12 Adult + Child by Year 78,212 80,798 78,787 79,588 79,440 79,768 - % Chg in applicants by year 1.7% 3.3% -2.5% 1.0% -0.2% 0.4% - f SOURCE: Alaska Department of Revenue; website: www.pfd.state.ak.us/forms/AnnualReports, 2008-2014. NOTE: The Alaska Permanent Fund was established by a constitutional amendment effective February 21, 1977. The amendment stated that contributions to the fund must consist of at least 25 percent of mineral lease rentals, royalties, royalty sales proceeds, Federal mineral revenue sharing payments, and bonuses received by the State. Enacted legislation (Ch. 18 SLA1980) has modified this contribution rate to the Permanent Fund from 25 percent to 50 percent. As a result, any future revenues transferable from Beaufort Sea production and any future lease sale bonuses will be subject to the 50 percent rate. * The figures above ONLY represent PFD applicants who applied for and received the dividend. This is not representative of the FNSB population as a whole as there are those who do not apply for nor qualify for the PFD. ¹ Military applicants declined in 2010 which affected the results. ^ Current data supersedes previous figures reported. PERMANENT FUND DIVIDEND AMOUNTS 1999-2013 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 19 Spring 2014 2013 2011 2009 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999 $0 Community Research Quarterly EMPLOYMENT CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES* Fairbanks MSA, Alaska and the United States 2008-2014 F A I R B A N K S M S A A L A S K A U N I T E D S T A T E S January February March April May June July August September October November December Average January February March April May June July August September October November December Average January February March April May June July August September October November December Average 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.5 5.5 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.9 6.4 5.8 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.4 6.3 6.5 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.4 6.9 6.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 4.8 5.2 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.5 7.1 5.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 6.8 6.9 7.6 6.7 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.3 7.1 8.0 8.3 8.2 7.7 7.5 8.0 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.7 7.8 8.2 7.7 8.5 8.9 9.0 8.6 9.1 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.7 9.3 8.5 8.3 8.1 7.2 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.2 6.8 7.0 6.9 9.2 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.8 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.8 8.1 8.0 10.6 10.4 10.2 9.5 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.0 9.3 9.1 9.6 7.9 7.6 7.3 6.7 6.3 6.9 6.2 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.4 6.8 6.7 8.8 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.3 7.7 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.7 7.6 9.8 9.5 9.2 8.7 8.7 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.2 8.3 8.9 7.5 7.4 7.1 6.5 6.0 6.6 6.1 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.6 6.2 6.2 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.2 6.8 7.3 6.6 6.2 5.9 6.0 6.4 7.0 6.9 8.8 8.7 8.4 7.7 7.9 8.4 8.6 8.2 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.6 8.1 7.2 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.6 6.4 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.8 7.8 7.4 7.0 6.6 6.3 6.9 6.0 5.8 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.5 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.1 7.3 7.8 7.7 7.3 7.0 7.0 6.6 6.5 7.4 6.5 6.6 6.3 7.4 7.7 7.4 7.0 7.0 6.8 SOURCES: Alaska Department of Labor, Research and Analysis Section, website: http://www.laborstats.alaska.gov, and personal communications 2008-2014. U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, and website: http://www.bls.gov, 2008-2014. NOTE: Rates presented are "not seasonally adjusted". A change in the way the labor force statistics are calculated for boroughs and census areas makes data prior to 2000 not comparable with later data. * May be subject to revision. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 20 Employment CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES Fairbanks MSA, State of Alaska, the United States 2008-2014 Alaska Fairbanks MSA U. S. Percentage Unemployed 12.0 9.0 6.0 3.0 J/14 J/13 J/12 J/11 J/10 J/09 J/08 0.0 J = January/Year AVERAGE UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE CLAIMANTS AND PAYMENTS 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Spring 2014 $2,000,000 Payment $1,800,000 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 $0 2003 21 Claimants Average Monthly Amount of Payments Average Number of Claimants per Month Fairbanks North Star Borough 2003-2013 Community Research Quarterly Employment UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE CLAIMANTS AND PAYMENTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2013 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 % Chg. 2012-13 Number of Claimants January February March April May June July August September October November December 1,589 1,532 1,485 1,214 958 873 776 697 581 735 1,061 1,307 1,586 1,587 1,481 1,289 1,035 994 937 849 689 1,004 1,262 1,511 1,913 1,854 1,770 1,606 1,427 1,335 1,226 1,166 1,050 1,356 1,776 1,987 2,180 2,060 2,006 1,678 1,424 1,250 1,180 1,124 1,052 1,331 1,646 1,923 2,236 2,074 1,949 1,620 1,379 1,206 1,158 1,187 1,068 1,239 1,636 1,932 3,203 3,014 3,126 2,662 2,317 1,920 1,592 1,534 1,527 1,763 2,129 2,655 2,658 2,587 2,608 2,303 2,093 1,808 1,436 1,446 1,283 1,503 1,864 1,925 -17% -14% -17% -13% -10% -6% -10% -6% -16% -15% -12% -27% Average 1,067 1,185 1,539 1,571 1,557 2,287 1,960 -14% Number of Payments January February March April May June July August September October November December 6,218 5,285 5,053 5,066 3,245 2,844 3,216 2,358 1,798 2,627 3,369 5,186 5,242 5,311 5,080 5,520 3,682 3,870 3,106 2,798 2,881 2,042 3,732 6,171 5,745 6,391 7,587 5,642 5,075 5,696 4,276 4,702 3,597 4,104 6,841 6,740 7,271 7,374 7,073 6,065 4,979 4,231 3,979 4,480 3,537 3,882 6,693 6,698 8,820 7,175 7,092 5,856 5,666 4,086 3,891 4,758 3,559 4,653 5,460 6,476 7,034 6,879 7,676 5,141 3,997 4,384 3,319 3,068 3,658 3,559 4,848 7,642 8,110 8,353 9,963 7,221 6,431 6,512 4,534 5,261 3,867 4,382 6,673 5,968 15% 21% 30% 40% 61% 49% 37% 71% 6% 23% 38% -22% 46,265 49,435 66,396 66,262 67,492 61,205 77,275 26% Total Amount of Payments ----------------------------------Thousands of Dollars------------------------------January $1,364 $1,170 $1,299 $2,202 $2,482 $1,943 $2,265 February $1,144 $1,174 $1,535 $2,222 $2,011 $1,881 $2,284 March $1,092 $1,092 $1,863 $2,078 $1,976 $2,060 $2,667 April $1,084 $1,183 $1,823 $1,744 $1,622 $1,359 $1,948 May $704 $782 $1,380 $1,434 $1,519 $1,060 $2,052 June $603 $815 $1,565 $1,190 $1,070 $1,124 $1,661 July $659 $647 $1,148 $1,066 $1,013 $830 $1,127 August $476 $580 $1,257 $1,154 $1,235 $773 $1,298 September $367 $613 $997 $951 $960 $958 $967 October $550 $438 $1,149 $1,052 $1,236 $955 $1,127 November $740 $820 $2,020 $1,895 $1,496 $1,343 $1,808 December $1,155 $1,375 $2,052 $1,879 $1,790 $2,149 $1,625 17% 21% 29% 43% 94% 48% 36% 68% 1% 18% 35% -24% Total 27% $9,938 $10,689 $18,088 $18,867 $18,412 $16,435 $20,829 SOURCE: Alaska Dept. of Labor & Workforce Development, Research & Analysis Section, personal communications 2007-2014. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 22 Employment AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES BY INDUSTRY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2014 Reporting Period Year-to-Date Average % Change 2014 2013 2013-14 2014 Industry Jan. Feb. Mar. Jan-Mar Jan-Mar Jan-Dec Mining and Logging Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans/Warehouse/Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Svcs Educational & Health Services Health Care Leisure & Hospitality Other Services Government Federal Government State Government Local Government 1,300 1,800 600 7,800 700 4,700 2,400 500 1,300 2,000 5,400 3,900 3,800 1,200 11,400 2,700 5,400 3,300 1,400 1,900 500 7,800 700 4,600 2,500 500 1,200 2,000 5,400 3,900 3,800 1,200 11,800 2,700 5,600 3,500 1,500 1,900 600 7,700 700 4,600 2,400 500 1,200 2,000 5,500 4,000 3,900 1,200 11,800 2,800 5,600 3,400 1,400 1,900 600 7,800 700 4,600 2,400 500 1,200 2,000 5,400 3,900 3,800 1,200 11,700 2,700 5,500 3,400 1,300 1,800 500 7,400 700 4,500 2,200 500 1,300 2,300 5,300 3,900 3,700 1,200 11,900 3,100 5,400 3,500 7.7% 5.6% 20.0% 5.4% 0.0% 2.2% 9.1% 0.0% -7.7% -13.0% 1.9% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% -1.7% -12.9% 1.9% -2.9% Total Nonfarm 37,100 37,500 37,800 37,500 37,300 0.5% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. State website: http://labor.alaska.gov/research/ces/ces.htm, 2014. NOTE: These data exclude self-employed workers, fishers, domestics, and unpaid family workers. Government includes employees of public school systems and the University of Alaska. -Numbers may not sum due to rounding. -Beginning January 2001, wage and salary employment estimates were published under a new classification system. The Standard Industrial Classification system (SIC) has been replaced by the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Data prior to 2001 are comparable only at the Total Nonfarm and Government levels. -As of January 2001, certain federally-recognized tribal entities were moved to Local Government, which created a series break for Total Government and Local Government. Please see the April 2002 Alaska Economic Trends publication for a detailed explanation. 23 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Employment ANNUAL AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2012 Industry Natural Resources & Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting Mining Construction Construction of Buildings Heavy Construction Specialty Trade Contractors Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Food & Beverage General Merchandise Transportation & Warehousing Air Transportation Transit & Ground Passenger Information Telecommunication Financial Activities Finance & Insurance Credit Intermediation, etc. Real Estate, Renting & Leasing Real Estate Professional & Business Services Professional, Scientific, Technical Services Management of Companies & Enterprises Administrative & Waste Services Educational & Health Services Health Care & Social Assistance Leisure & Hospitality Accommodation Food Services & Drinking Places Other Services Membership Organizations, etc. Repair & Maintenance Government Federal Government State Government Local Government Unclassified Establishments 2009 1,108 40 1,068 2,490 743 229 1,519 639 7,738 656 4,537 456 1,355 2,141 606 278 533 309 1,558 887 534 671 407 2,174 1,300 57 817 4,541 4,384 4,001 927 2,591 1,251 610 434 11,816 3,469 5,289 3,058 7 2010 1,161 45 1,117 2,641 751 374 1,517 604 7,642 654 4,551 471 1,341 2,020 607 299 497 296 1,553 877 517 676 428 2,368 1,515 53 800 4,910 4,675 4,084 969 2,671 1,116 510 403 12,072 3,495 5,487 3,090 39 2011 1,330 48 1,282 2,596 771 404 1,421 575 7,760 661 4,659 463 1,338 2,016 593 295 549 293 1,445 799 510 647 404 2,511 1,539 120 852 4,951 4,720 4,129 1,029 2,691 1,132 509 403 12,010 3,434 5,461 3,115 29 2012 1,517 49 1,468 2,618 806 331 1,482 556 7,910 705 4,734 480 1,352 2,077 595 303 548 297 1,427 805 513 622 387 2,517 1,494 118 905 5,155 4,910 4,189 1,074 2,672 1,183 500 421 11,677 3,264 5,445 2,968 27 % Change 2011-12 14.1% 2.1% 14.5% 0.8% 4.5% -18.1% 4.3% -3.3% 1.9% 6.7% 1.6% 3.7% 1.0% 3.0% 0.3% 2.7% -0.2% 1.4% -1.2% 0.8% 0.6% -3.9% -4.2% 0.2% -2.9% -1.7% 6.2% 4.1% 4.0% 1.5% 4.4% -0.7% 4.5% -1.8% 4.5% -2.8% -5.0% -0.3% -4.7% -6.9% Total Industries 37,855 38,688 39,018 39,323 0.8% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages-Annual Review 2012, (data are preliminary and subject to revision). NOTE: Blanks in the Total Earnings and Average Monthly Earnings columns due to confidentiality; data are suppressed. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 24 Employment ANNUAL AVERAGE MONTHLY WAGE BY INDUSTRY Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2012 Industry Natural Resources & Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting Mining Construction Construction of Buildings Heavy Construction Specialty Trade Contractors Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Food & Beverage General Merchandise Transportation & Warehousing Air Transportation Transit & Ground Passenger Information Telecommunication Financial Activities Finance & Insurance Credit Intermediation, etc. Real Estate, Renting & Leasing Real Estate Professional & Business Services Professional, Scientific, Technical Services Management of Companies & Enterprises Administrative & Waste Services Educational & Health Services Health Care & Social Assistance Leisure & Hospitality Accommodation Food Services & Drinking Places Other Services Membership Organizations, etc. Repair & Maintenance Government Federal Government State Government Local Government Unclassified Establishments 2009 $7,414 $1,793 $7,624 $5,656 $5,524 $6,896 $5,534 $4,370 $3,390 $4,037 $2,501 $2,343 $2,302 $4,523 $3,674 $2,366 $4,251 $5,058 $3,745 $4,006 $3,720 $3,399 $3,213 $3,719 $4,107 $5,564 $2,971 $3,465 $3,499 $1,487 $2,349 $1,240 $2,363 $1,977 $3,275 $4,176 $4,946 $3,980 $3,641 $3,291 2010 $7,348 $1,711 $7,574 $5,922 $5,382 $6,217 $6,117 $4,416 $3,240 $4,035 $2,549 $2,358 $2,342 $3,849 $3,693 $2,272 $4,258 $5,026 $3,878 $4,238 $3,914 $3,410 $3,236 $3,848 $4,229 $5,871 $2,996 $3,472 $3,512 $1,487 $2,183 $1,278 $2,369 $1,852 $3,389 $4,297 $5,220 $4,004 $3,774 $2,081 2011 $7,311 $1,506 $7,530 $5,881 $5,406 $6,809 $5,874 $4,618 $3,274 $4,223 $2,563 $2,417 $2,340 $3,858 $3,552 $2,307 $4,123 $5,407 $3,847 $4,086 $3,997 $3,552 $3,269 $3,891 $4,199 $6,321 $2,990 $3,642 $3,691 $1,531 $2,189 $1,303 $2,483 $1,949 $3,625 $4,423 $5,469 $4,077 $3,877 $1,641 2012 $7,559 $1,513 $7,761 $6,146 $5,222 $7,863 $6,261 $4,664 $3,307 $4,345 $2,603 $2,402 $2,328 $3,808 $3,389 $2,419 $4,096 $5,262 $3,907 $4,166 $4,113 $3,572 $3,343 $4,137 $4,443 $7,241 $3,227 $3,684 $3,737 $1,550 $2,159 $1,327 $2,394 $1,916 $3,497 $4,549 $5,585 $4,172 $4,101 $1,451 % Change 2011-12 3.4% 0.5% 3.1% 4.5% -3.4% 15.5% 6.6% 1.0% 1.0% 2.9% 1.6% -0.6% -0.5% -1.3% -4.6% 4.9% -0.7% -2.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 0.6% 2.3% 6.3% 5.8% 14.6% 7.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% -1.4% 1.8% -3.6% -1.7% -3.5% 2.8% 2.1% 2.3% 5.8% -11.6% Total Industries $3,738 $3,789 $3,870 $3,968 2.5% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages - Annual Review 2012, (data are preliminary and subject to revision). NOTE: Blanks in the Total Earnings and Average Monthly Earnings columns due to confidentiality; data are suppressed. 25 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Employment ANNUAL AVERAGE MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT By Earned Income and Labor Force Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2012 EARNED INCOME DATA -----------------Annual Average------------------Year Wage and Salary Employment¹ Self-employed² [1] Military Active Duty Personnel³ 2009 2010 2011 2012 % change 2011-12 37,900 2,812 9,280 38,900 2,618 8,235 39,000 2,970 9,315 39,600 2,487 8,797 1.5% -16.3% -5.6% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section,¹Monthly Employment Statistics (MES); ²US Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates; ³FNSB Community Research Quarterly, 2009-2011, October 2013. NOTE: [1] Because the US Census did not have the self-employment question on the 2010 Census there is no actual data to verify, however, the US Census ACS Estimates are the next best resource with 6.2% (in 2009), 5.8% (in 2010), 6.3% (in 2011). and 5.4% (in 2012) Definition of Employment: These are all persons who, during the reference week (the week including the 12th day of the month), (a) did any work as paid employees, worked in their own business or profession or on their own farm, or worked 15 hours or more as unpaid workers in an enterprise operated by a member of their family, or (b) were not working but who had jobs from which they were temporarily absent because of vacation, illness, bad weather, childcare problems, maternity or paternity leave, labor-management dispute job training, or other family or personal reasons, whether or not they were paid for the time off or were seeking other jobs. Each employed person is counted only once, even if he or she holds more than one job. Definition of Unemployment: Included are all persons who had no employment during the reference week, were available for work, except for temporary illness, and had made specific efforts to find employment some time during the 4 week-period ending with the reference week. Persons who were waiting to be recalled to a job from which they had been laid off need not have been looking for work to be classified as unemployed. LABOR FORCE DATA -----------------Annual Average------------------2009 2010 2011 2012 % change 2011-2012 Civilian Labor Force²¹ Military Active Duty Personnel²² 45,856 9,280 46,939 8,235 46,859 9,315 46,566 8,797 -0.6% -5.6% Total Labor Force 55,136 55,174 56,174 55,363 -1.4% na 38 1,000 -811 Year Total Labor Force Growth 2009-2012 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section,²¹Unemployment Data-Fairbanks North Star Borough Labor Force (not seasonally adjusted); ²²FNSB Community Research Quarterly, 2009-2012, October 2013 . na not available. Definition of Labor Force: Included are all persons in the civilian non-institutional population classified as either employed or unemployed. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 26 Employment ALASKA'S PER CAPITA INCOME BY BOROUGH AND CENSUS AREA 2008-2012 United States Alaska Haines Borough Skagway Municipality Denali Borough Ketchikan Gateway Borough Juneau City and Borough Anchorage Municipality Bristol Bay Borough North Slope Borough Sitka City and Borough Petersburg C.A. Valdez-Cordova C.A. Yakutat City and Borough Kodiak Island Borough Southeast Fairbanks C.A. Kenai Peninsula Borough Fairbanks North Star Borough Matanuska-Susitna Borough Lake and Peninsula Borough Yukon-Koyukuk C.A. Dillingham C.A. Hoonah-Angoon C.A. Northwest Arctic Borough Nome C.A. Wrangell City and Borough Bethel C.A. Aleutians West C.A. Prince of Wales-Hyder C.A. Aleutians East Borough Wade Hampton C.A. 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $40,873 $39,357 $40,163 $42,298 $43,735 $45,145 $44,275 $45,725 $48,114 $49,436 $56,918 $55,719 $57,353 $50,597 $49,915 $50,895 $44,643 $48,762 $42,908 $46,315 $44,375 $41,432 $43,751 $40,910 $41,982 $40,752 $35,795 $33,068 $38,259 $35,275 $33,870 $35,328 $30,986 $30,412 $27,316 $21,840 $59,969 $54,441 $58,032 $50,536 $48,895 $49,044 $48,028 $49,965 $41,729 $43,140 $44,583 $39,722 $40,393 $43,904 $40,068 $41,705 $40,693 $36,672 $35,539 $39,164 $33,414 $35,350 $35,438 $33,349 $32,545 $28,861 $30,476 $26,098 $22,619 $68,765 $58,322 $60,413 $52,209 $50,929 $50,479 $51,046 $51,959 $44,845 $47,886 $46,200 $41,118 $44,113 $44,775 $41,531 $41,980 $41,787 $38,674 $38,207 $40,835 $36,429 $38,506 $38,417 $35,759 $34,130 $30,194 $32,015 $26,999 $24,166 $78,941 $66,400 $65,990 $54,462 $53,428 $52,643 $52,295 $50,012 $49,192 $47,884 $47,772 $46,551 $46,030 $47,328 $44,040 $44,851 $44,848 $42,496 $42,746 $43,163 $41,498 $39,483 $39,723 $38,718 $35,663 $33,759 $32,767 $29,760 $25,600 $82,323 $68,730 $68,449 $56,477 $55,167 $54,570 $54,474 $50,918 $50,583 $49,907 $49,767 $47,710 $46,907 $45,849 $45,541 $45,432 $45,333 $44,915 $44,866 $43,268 $42,872 $41,145 $40,679 $39,359 $35,543 $35,525 $33,542 $30,265 $25,367 Rank in State 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 % Chg 2011-12 3.4% 2.7% 4.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 1.8% 2.8% 4.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.9% -3.1% 3.4% 1.3% 1.1% 5.7% 5.0% 0.2% 3.3% 4.2% 2.4% 1.7% -0.3% 5.2% 2.4% 1.7% -0.9% SOURCE: Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce, Regional Economic Information System, at website: http://www.bea.gov/regional/index.htm, CA1-3 Table, May 2014. NOTE: Per capita personal income was computed using Census Bureau midyear population estimates. Estimates for 2000-2012 reflect county population estimates available as of March 2013. Data provided are preliminary estimates and may be subject to change. Rank in State numbers are reflecting most current year. Last updated: November 21, 2013 - new estimates for 2012; revised estimates for 2008-2011. No calculation or data available. 27 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Employment QUARTERLY CENSUS OF EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES BY INDUSTRY* Fairbanks North Star Borough By Quarter --2Q 2013 Avg Mo-- --3Q 2013 Avg Mo-- % Chg from prev Qtr Industry Employmt Wage Employmt Wage Employmt Wage 1,525 $7,423 1,686 $7,315 10.6% -1.5% Natural Resources & Mining 92 $1,428 52 $1,648 -43.5% 15.4% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting Mining 1,436 $7,929 1,634 $7,495 13.8% -5.5% Construction 2,352 $5,802 3,093 $6,832 31.5% 17.8% Construction of Buildings 645 $4,914 818 $5,720 26.8% 16.4% Heavy Construction 375 $7,060 531 $7,994 41.6% 13.2% Specialty Trade Contractors 1,332 $5,878 1,743 $7,004 30.9% 19.2% Manufacturing 604 $4,777 662 $4,355 9.6% -8.8% Trade, Transportation & Utilities 7,859 $3,319 8,159 $3,366 3.8% 1.4% Wholesale Trade 732 $4,413 753 $4,533 2.9% 2.7% Retail Trade 4,657 $2,549 4,743 $2,589 1.8% 1.6% Food & Beverage 459 $2,241 477 $2,233 3.9% -0.4% General Merchandise Stores 1,277 $2,277 1,311 $2,478 2.7% 8.8% Transportation & Warehousing 2,063 $3,902 2,249 $3,954 9.0% 1.3% Air Transportation 554 $3,877 555 $4,114 0.2% 6.1% Transit & Ground Passenger 278 $2,824 289 $2,008 4.0% -28.9% Information 480 $4,442 488 $4,374 1.7% -1.5% Telecommunication 246 $6,122 233 $6,328 -5.3% 3.4% Financial Activities 1,422 $3,882 1,447 $3,875 1.8% -0.2% Finance & Insurance 783 $4,065 788 $4,057 0.6% -0.2% Credit Intermediation, etc. 511 $3,771 507 $3,963 -0.8% 5.1% Real Estate, Renting & Leasing 639 $3,658 659 $3,656 3.1% -0.1% Real Estate 407 $3,449 421 $3,395 3.4% -1.6% Professional & Business Services 2,375 $4,061 2,538 $4,191 6.9% 3.2% Professional, Scientific, Technical Services 1,420 $4,409 1,555 $4,546 9.5% 3.1% Management of Companies & Enterprises 119 $6,859 124 $5,631 4.2% -17.9% Administrative & Waste Services 836 $3,070 859 $3,340 2.8% 8.8% Educational & Health Services 5,268 $3,806 5,274 $3,717 0.1% -2.3% Health Care & Social Assistance 4,946 $3,805 5,059 $3,775 2.3% -0.8% Leisure & Hospitality 4,348 $1,577 4,717 $1,635 8.5% 3.7% Accommodation 1,185 $2,175 1,431 $2,027 20.8% -6.8% Food Services & Drinking Places 2,783 $1,315 2,743 $1,456 -1.4% 10.7% Other Services 1,158 $2,416 1,186 $2,364 2.4% -2.2% Repair & Maintenance 420 $3,488 417 $3,482 -0.7% -0.2% Membership Organizations, etc. 493 $1,931 510 $1,885 3.4% -2.4% Government 11,505 $4,755 11,073 $4,592 -3.8% -3.4% Federal Government 3,130 $5,763 3,026 $5,520 -3.3% -4.2% State Government 5,458 $4,039 5,375 $4,601 -1.5% 13.9% Local Government 2,917 $5,012 2,672 $3,521 -8.4% -29.7% Unclassified Establishments 61 $1,606 83 $1,999 36.1% 24.5% Total Industries 38,959 $3,998 40,407 $4,042 3.7% 1.1% SOURCE: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) fka Employment & Earnings Summary, State of Alaska website: http://almis.labor.state.ak.us, 3rd Qtr. 2013. * All numbers are preliminary and subject to revision. There is an approximate 6 month lag in data release. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 28 HOUSING APARTMENT / MULTI-PLEX VACANCY RATES ^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 --------------------------------------Percent Vacant -------------------------------------March ^ June September December 6.9 7.6 8.9 10.1 8.8 10.2 13.3 15.5 8.7 2.1 6.1 9.6 9.5 8.3 12.7 14.7 15.0 SOURCE: FNSB Community Research Center Rental Survey, 2009-2014. NOTE: Vacancy rates are based on a sample of 3,000 to 4,000 rental units and include data for apartments, duplexes, tri-plexes and larger multi-plex rental properties. They do not include single-family houses, mobile homes or cabins. Changes in seasonal apartment availability may also factor into the Fall and Winter figures. Vacancy influences: The Ft. Wainwright Army 172nd Stryker Brigade was deployed to Iraq in Fall-Winter 2008-09, SpringSummer 2011-12, and the Military Police in Fall-Winter 2013-2014. Ft. Wainwright base housing privatized and contracted management to New Haven Communities in May 2009 with addtitional new construction through 2013. Weeks Field Estates has replaced Fairview Manor with 130 affordable housing units in 2009-2011. Walden Estates, once off-base military housing, privatized and placed 150 units; 3-5 bdrms., on the market for sale or rent (27:duplexes; 23:4-plexes; 4:houses) in June 2010 (PHII). The Ft. Wainwright Army 1st Battalion, 52nd Aviation Regiment deploy March 2014. ^ Correction made to March 2011 data on June 24, 2011. APARTMENT / MULTI-PLEX VACANCY RATES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 20% 18% Vacancy Rate 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 29 Spring 2014 Mar 2013 Dec Mar 2012 Dec Mar 2011 Dec Mar 2010 Dec Mar 2009 Dec Mar 0% Community Research Quarterly Housing RENTAL HOUSING UNITS AVAILABLE ^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 ------------- Apartments -------------- ---------------- Houses ---------------- Mobile Total Eff. 1-BR 2-BR 3+BR 1-BR 2-BR 3-BR 4+BR Homes Cabins Rentals 2010 March June September December 2011 March ^ June September December 2012 March June September December 2013 March June September December 2014 March % Change 2012-13 Dec. 38 34 70 51 95 64 121 173 93 107 112 143 74 108 103 80 5 2 1 5 5 5 16 15 16 8 36 18 6 6 15 12 NA 2 6 2 16 10 21 23 348 346 501 522 41 40 84 64 146 170 199 242 120 180 239 214 66 116 100 134 5 4 9 9 11 16 25 17 8 45 45 19 15 7 12 22 1 3 3 3 12 30 35 26 425 611 751 750 30 10 29 24 159 35 65 114 121 57 103 128 41 18 114 141 1 0 3 1 4 8 9 4 15 9 38 12 9 5 16 13 4 3 1 NA 21 29 28 22 405 174 406 459 20 22 30 23 114 72 100 182 124 128 166 236 147 119 163 118 2 4 5 8 7 9 23 19 18 19 48 80 10 11 23 17 2 2 3 7 11 18 32 32 455 404 593 722 25 154 271 137 8 12 39 14 10 20 690 25% 35% 119% -7% 300% 71% 117% 40% 400% 82% 52% SOURCE: Community CommunityResearch ResearchCenter Centerrental rental surveys, 2006-2010, including major apartment complexes and Fairbanks Daily surveys, 2010-2013, including mostmost major apartment complexes, Fairbanks Daily NewsNews-Miner advertisements during the week surrounding thethe 19th of March, June, September December. Miner advertisements, and http://www.craigslist.com during week surrounding the 19th of and March, June, September and March. NOTE: Birchwood Apartments (400 units; 3-5 which once on-base was privatized andthem started advertising Aging Fairview Manor demolished the bdrm.) last units in thewere fall 2011. Weeks housing Field Estates has replaced withpublic 130 affordable May 2007. Apts. became a partonce of this surveymilitary in Junehousing, 2007. privatized Alpine Lodge (16 Units: efficiencies) entered themarket marketforas housing UnitsBirchwood in 2009-2011. Walden Estates, off-base and placed 150 units; 3-5 bdrms. on the seasonal rental housing beginning 4th Quarter 2007. Lazelle Units:3-4 bedrooms) appeared on market survey 2007. sale or rent (27:duplexes; 23:4-plexes; 4:houses) in June 2010Estates (PHII). (37 By September 2010 all units were under contract withSeptember none available The Ft. Wainwright 172nd Brigade to Iraq Fall 05-06 andfooter againforFall 08-09. Walden Estates, once off-base for rent. B&B's comeArmy off survey in Stryker May & back on indeployed September. See Vacancy Rates military deployments. NA represents not military available.housing, placed 40 units on the market for sale or rent (18 duplexes; 18 4-plexes; 4 houses) March 2010. ^ Correction made to March 2011 data on June 24, 2011. RENTAL HOUSING UNITS AVAILABLE Houses 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Community Research Quarterly Mar 2013 Dec Mar 2012 Dec Mar 2011 Dec Mar 2010 Dec Mar 2009 Dec Apartments Mar Number Available Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 Spring 2014 30 Housing AVERAGE MONTHLY RENTS FOR AVAILABLE HOUSING UNITS ^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2010-2014 ---------------- Apartments -------------------- ------------------- Houses ----------------------- Mobile Eff. 1-BR 2-BR 3+ BR 1-BR 2-BR 3-BR 4+ BR Homes 2010 March June September December 2011 March ^ June September December 2012 March June September December 2013 March June September December 2014 March % Change 2013-14 Dec. Cabins $617 $685 $842 $737 $817 $874 $901 $901 $1,028 $1,063 $1,124 $1,102 $1,763 $1,837 $1,613 $1,583 $960 $1,125 $950 $840 $1,489 $1,310 $1,288 $1,319 $1,516 $1,606 $1,649 $1,588 $2,073 $1,903 $2,101 $2,098 NA $1,300 $795 $925 $562 $535 $589 $608 $644 $723 $833 $770 $904 $901 $906 $897 $1,143 $1,136 $1,073 $1,100 $1,571 $1,642 $1,629 $1,693 $990 $1,137 $969 $863 $1,350 $1,318 $1,248 $1,141 $1,481 $1,632 $1,647 $1,728 $2,245 $2,187 $2,233 $2,217 $850 $800 $750 $866 $570 $628 $657 $599 $722 $600 $951 $905 $926 $885 $908 $927 $1,163 $1,133 $1,185 $1,155 $1,454 $1,462 $1,901 $1,861 $1,100 $1,268 $1,433 $1,381 $1,586 $1,664 $1,775 $1,650 $2,104 $1,720 $2,140 $2,107 $725 $881 $1,000 NA $557 $595 $661 $571 $656 $645 $959 $768 $920 $920 $919 $1,047 $1,190 $1,181 $1,215 $1,234 $1,720 $1,797 $1,698 $1,698 $912 $981 $1,035 $1,011 $1,185 $1,369 $1,390 $1,243 $1,787 $1,664 $1,661 $1,820 $2,215 $2,437 $2,185 $1,951 $1,200 $625 $858 $900 $570 $520 $635 $615 $700 $1,036 $1,215 $1,609 $1,015 $1,291 $1,523 $2,217 $1,022 $611 13% 2% -6% 11% 9% -15% 0% -15% 7% $850 NA $950 $900 7% SOURCE: Community Research Center rental surveys, 2010-2014, including most major apartment complexes, Fairbanks Daily News-Miner advertisements, and http://www.craigslist.com during the week surrounding the 19th of March, June, September and December. NOTE: Aging Fairview Manor demolished the last units in the fall 2011. Weeks Field Estates has replaced them with 130 affordable housing Units in 2009-2011. Walden Estates, once off-base military housing, privatized and placed 150 units; 3-5 bdrms. on the market for sale or rent (27:duplexes; 23:4-plexes; 4:houses) in June 2010 (PHII). By September 2010 all units were under contract with none available for rent. B&B's come off in May & back on in September. See Vacancy Rates footer for military deployments. NA Not available ^ Correction made to March 2011 data on June 24, 2011. AVERAGE MONTHLY RENTS FOR AVAILABLE HOUSING UNITS Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 $1,400 $2,500 $1,500 $800 $600 $1,000 $400 2 Bdrm. Apts. $200 3 Bdrm. Houses 31 $500 Spring 2014 Mar 2013 Dec Mar 2012 Dec Mar 2011 Dec Mar 2010 Dec 2009 Mar $0 Dec $0 Mar Avg. Apt. Rent Values $2,000 $1,000 Avg. House Rent Values $1,200 Community Research Quarterly Housing RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2012-2014** Quarter 2012 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. 2012 Total 2013 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. 2013 Total 2014 1st Qtr. 2014 Total % Chg. 4th Qtr. 2013-14 % Chg. ANNUAL 2012-13 1 Bedroom # Price 2 Bedroom # Price 3 Bedroom # Price 4 Bedroom # Price 5+ Bedroom # Price Total # Sold Avg.Price 8 $107,000 11 $108,668 15 $125,533 10 $86,600 23 26 41 18 $156,582 $162,511 $156,251 $152,544 81 95 110 57 $220,186 $233,418 $231,445 $221,887 25 30 52 19 $293,744 $276,064 $271,592 $234,584 7 2 9 6 $307,957 $192,500 $261,110 $285,133 144 164 227 110 44 $109,099 108 $157,211 343 $227,744 126 $271,471 24 $275,062 645 $218,143 12 $116,741 9 $81,666 14 $118,369 9 $114,611 22 26 45 22 $179,311 $167,436 $152,495 $137,713 88 93 145 73 $222,038 $229,575 $231,950 $201,386 30 34 51 23 $277,129 $301,022 $299,159 $270,673 6 9 17 10 $286,066 $252,544 $297,294 $248,432 158 171 272 137 44 $109,649 115 $158,175 399 $223,618 138 $290,081 42 $274,467 738 $221,947 $220,776 $221,111 $221,238 $203,884 $220,983 $227,757 $229,644 $200,527 10 $89,520 15 $144,251 68 $189,023 24 $256,482 8 $241,243 125 $191,984 10 $89,520 15 $144,251 68 $189,023 24 $256,482 8 $241,243 125 $191,984 -17% -23% -32% -20% -23% -15% -20% -7% 33% -16% -21% -13% 0% 1% 6% 1% 16% -2% 10% 7% 75% 0% 14% 2% SOURCE: Greater Fairbanks Board of Realtors and Alaska/Multiple Listing Service, Inc., personal and computer printout communications 2012-2014. Fairbanks Area MLS District data maintained by the Board or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market, and neither the Board nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for accuracy of the data. * Does not include houses without bedrooms or sales of housing with zero lot lines. ** The Year-End Total number of sales includes the calculated average price of sales. RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014, Quarterly Data 350 $400,000 Sales $350,000 $300,000 250 $250,000 200 $200,000 150 $150,000 100 $100,000 50 Average Selling Price Total Number Sold 300 Average Selling Price $50,000 $0 2009 2010 2011 2012 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 0 2013 1 Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 32 Housing ANNUAL AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013 1 Bedroom # Price Year 2 Bedroom # Price 3 Bedroom # Price 4 Bedroom # Price 5+ Bedroom # Price Total # Sold Avg. Selling Price % Chg fr prev yr Total # Avg. Sold Price 2000 59 $53,824 180 $92,473 396 $140,714 140 $173,130 41 $187,028 816 $131,679 11.3% 2.7% 2001 61 $63,591 233 $94,299 432 $150,035 162 $176,423 47 $188,765 935 $137,025 14.6% 4.1% 2002 43 $68,595 175 $100,499 295 $158,241 130 $213,208 50 $201,706 693 $151,545 2003 59 $74,127 204 $107,667 410 $170,379 173 $204,159 47 $237,134 893 $159,751 28.9% 5.4% 2004 65 $93,531 164 $120,336 441 $178,733 147 $214,663 39 $240,959 856 $170,080 -4.1% 6.5% 2005 55 $95,452 160 $135,749 439 $207,847 163 $244,873 38 $266,373 855 $196,785 -0.1% 15.7% 2006 64 $107,793 158 $148,952 554 $220,860 194 $262,791 46 $288,256 1016 $213,613 18.8% 8.6% 2007 58 $107,211 176 $170,842 541 $228,359 194 $271,421 41 $288,301 1010 $222,084 -0.6% 4.0% 2008 59 $107,872 135 $155,583 493 $218,826 159 $277,801 19 $306,389 865 $214,151 -14.4% -3.6% 2009 46 $109,055 154 $161,362 465 $224,245 171 $264,285 40 $287,474 876 $217,845 59 26 44 44 $115,540 $109,868 $109,099 $109,647 139 104 108 115 493 332 343 399 198 142 126 138 936 639 645 738 1.3% 1.7% 6.8% -0.5% -31.7% 2.4% 0.9% -1.7% 14.4% 1.7% 53 $94,657 158 $136,880 2010 2011 2012 2013 Annual Average 2000-13 $147,941 $165,225 $157,211 $158,175 $223,043 $222,347 $227,744 $223,618 431 $199,642 $266,623 $265,592 $271,471 $290,081 160 $242,609 47 35 24 42 $269,378 $281,853 $275,062 $274,467 40 $256,653 $216,659 $221,939 $218,143 $221,947 -25.9% 10.6% 841 $192,375 SOURCE: Greater Fairbanks Board of Realtors and Alaska/Multiple Listing Service, Inc., personal and computer printout communications 20002013. Fairbanks Area MLS District data maintained by the Board or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market, and neither the Board nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for accuracy of the data. * Does not include houses without bedrooms or housing with zero lot lines. ** The Year-End Total number of sales includes the calculated average price of sales. ANNUAL RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SALES* 1,200 $300,000 1,000 $250,000 800 $200,000 600 $150,000 400 $100,000 Total # Sold Avg. Selling Price 200 $50,000 0 Spring 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 $0 2000 33 Average Selling Price Total Number Sold Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013 Community Research Quarterly Housing NEW STRUCTURES BY UNIT ANNUAL REPORT* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2003-2013* City of Fairbanks Year Built 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* Total 2003-2013 Average 2003-2013 SFR Cabin 66 61 68 69 62 13 11 16 16 11 14 1 City of North Pole Fairbanks Multi Total Family 14 80 4 65 14 82 14 83 181 243 141 154 326 337 78 95 34 50 26 37 38 24 10 36 42 37 29 11 2 9 3 5 1 1 856 1,264 185 37.0 1.0 77.8 114.9 16.8 SFR 538 667 632 585 554 270 272 269 251 197 153 Cabin 113 92 109 113 96 84 96 85 96 118 70 Multi Family Cabin 407 Balance of Borough Year Built 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* Total 2003-2013 Average 2003-2013 SFR 14 2 8 2 2 0 - North Pole Total 10 50 42 39 37 11 2 11 5 5 1 28 213 5.6 19.4 NEW CONSTRUCTION (All) Multi Family 52 100 83 84 55 15 28 68 326 17 26 FNSB Balance Total 703 859 824 782 705 369 396 422 673 332 249 SFR 614 764 742 691 645 294 285 294 270 213 168 Cabin 113 92 109 113 96 84 96 86 96 118 70 Multi Family 66 118 97 100 244 156 354 148 362 43 50 New Construction Total 793 974 948 904 985 534 735 528 728 374 288 4,388 1,072 854 6,314 4,980 1,073 1,738 7,791 398.9 97.5 77.6 574.0 452.7 97.5 158.0 708.3 SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough Assessing Department, personal communications, 2006-2014. NOTE: Assessing figures are collected and updated daily but stabilize one quarter after calendar year close and prior to May certification date. The term Multi-family is indicative of structures having more than one residential unit, such as a duplex, triplex, 4plex, etc. Structures with Mother-in-law apartments are not usually regarded as multi-family. Single Family Residential (SFR) abbreviated above. SFR includes condominiums, and townhouses. In some instances, cabins and mobile homes are viewed as SFR (however, cabins are not necessarily year-round residential units, and mobile homes are not always located on a lot with a foundation). The mobile home classification is typically considered transient stock (because they can easily be relocated). The by Structure count was replaced with a "by unit" count beginning February, 2010. * Current data supersedes previous figures reported and current year is YTD (year to date) data. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 34 COST OF LIVING C2ER COST OF LIVING INDEX* For Selected Cities First Quarter 2014 City West: Fairbanks, AK Anchorage, AK Kodiak, AK Juneau, AK Phoenix, AZ San Diego, CA Denver, CO Boise, ID Kalispell, MT Rio Rancho, NM Seattle, WA Pierre, SD South: Miami, FL Atlanta, GA Lafayette, LA Springfield, MO Tulsa, OK Memphis, TN Dallas, TX North Central: Indianapolis, IN Grand Rapids, MI Madison, WI Northeast: New York, NY Philadelphia, PA Boston, MA Raleigh, NC Richmond, VA Avg. of 288 Urban Areas Msc. Composite Grocery Trans- Health Goods & Index Items Housing Utilities portation Care Services 100% 13.48% 26.05% 9.95% 12.63% 4.89% 33.01% 136.4 127.0 133.1 130.9 95.5 131.6 106.6 95.3 96.2 93.4 118.2 101.4 122.0 123.5 139.6 128.6 99.8 105.0 100.3 94.4 103.7 95.1 107.9 106.6 136.3 155.5 138.9 157.1 92.0 203.3 121.2 87.0 86.5 80.6 141.6 114.4 241.6 95.0 160.6 149.5 98.6 108.3 98.1 93.7 90.7 88.4 99.6 90.3 111.5 105.0 131.1 112.4 101.2 111.9 99.8 104.1 90.8 99.3 117.9 90.3 149.7 138.7 140.5 150.4 105.9 108.9 105.6 98.9 103.6 96.8 111.8 93.8 118.0 122.2 117.1 109.8 91.8 103.9 102.8 99.3 103.4 101.7 110.6 97.9 110.5 97.6 97.9 92.4 89.1 84.9 95.7 106.5 103.6 95.6 97.0 92.7 92.3 101.5 125.9 92.5 98.1 74.1 65.6 69.4 73.2 98.5 93.0 93.0 96.6 98.3 86.5 101.5 112.6 100.3 102.8 91.9 97.6 91.3 99.1 104.3 96.3 85.8 101.8 97.0 94.2 100.5 103.8 99.7 100.0 102.5 98.8 89.8 107.2 94.5 92.0 106.3 93.2 92.6 100.6 81.7 77.5 116.2 93.5 91.8 97.5 96.3 104.1 104.9 104.5 92.8 122.9 103.1 98.5 101.6 220.3 118.8 135.6 94.6 100.6 145.9 115.1 118.2 103.0 101.0 443.8 133.7 168.4 80.1 87.0 140.7 125.4 133.8 103.9 107.2 127.5 108.1 108.9 101.7 98.6 110.0 95.0 118.0 104.7 103.2 150.2 114.3 130.2 95.5 109.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 SOURCE: Council for Community and Economic Research (C2ER), Cost of Living Index, Comparative Data for 288 Urban Areas, First Quarter 2014, May 2014. NOTE: This Cost of Living Index does not measure inflation (price change over time). Because each quarterly report is a separate comparison of prices at a single point in time, and because both the number and the mix of participants changes from one quarter to the next, Index data from different quarters cannot be compared. The Index reflects cost differentials for professional and executive households in the top income quintile. For inflation data contact the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at www.bls.gov. * Item percentages change so please watch for current percentages. 35 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living C2ER COST OF LIVING INDEX For Selected Cities 2013 Annual Average Data 160.0 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 National Average = 100 Memphis, TN Springfield, MO Rio Rancho, NM Kalispell, MT Atlanta, GA Richmond, VA Denver, CO Seattle, WA Anchorage, AK San Diego, CA Fairbanks, AK 0.0 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX-U FOR ALL ITEMS Anchorage & U.S. City Annual Average 2003-2013 240.000 220.000 200.000 180.000 160.000 U.S. City Average 140.000 Anchorage 120.000 Community Research Quarterly 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 100.000 Spring 2014 36 Cost of Living CONSUMER PRICE INDEX-U*^ Anchorage, Alaska 2008-2013 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan. - June Average July - Dec. Average 187.659 191.335 190.032 193.456 194.834 195.455 200.278 202.576 205.215 206.617 % Change 2012-13 210.853 2.7% 213.910 3.5% Annual Average 189.497 191.744 195.144 201.427 205.916 212.381 % Change from Previous Year 4.6% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 2.2% 3.1% 2013 3.1% SOURCE: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes Pacific Cities and U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted, 2008-2013. NOTE: 1982-1984 = 100 * For All Urban Consumers. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX-U* FOR ALL ITEMS U.S. City Average 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 January February March April May June July August September October November December 211.143 212.193 212.709 213.240 213.856 215.693 215.351 215.834 215.969 216.177 216.330 215.949 216.687 216.741 217.631 218.009 218.178 217.965 218.011 218.312 218.439 218.711 218.803 219.179 220.223 221.309 223.467 224.906 225.964 225.722 225.922 226.545 226.889 226.421 226.230 225.672 226.665 227.663 229.392 230.085 229.815 229.478 229.104 230.379 231.407 231.317 230.221 229.601 230.280 232.166 232.773 232.531 232.945 233.504 233.596 233.877 234.149 233.546 233.069 233.049 Annual Average 214.537 218.056 224.939 229.594 232.957 % Change from Previous Year -0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 2.1% 1.5% % Change 2013-14 233.916 1.6% 234.781 1.1% 236.293 1.5% 2014 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes Pacific Cities and U.S. City Average, not seasonally adjusted, 2009-2014. NOTE: 1982-1984=100; All items. 3rd Qtr. 2013 - federal government shutdown pushed back the release dates for data. * For All Urban Consumers. 37 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living COST OF FOOD AT HOME FOR A WEEK Selected Alaskan Communities June 2013 Family of 2 19-50 years 51-70 years Family of 4 with: Children, 2-5 years Children, 6-11 years Individuals Children: 1 years 2-3 years 4-5 years 6-8 years 9-11 years Males: 12-13 years 14-18 years 19-50 years 51-70 years 71+ years Females: 12-13 years 14-18 years 19-50 years 51-70 years 71+ years SOURCE: NOTE: Anchorage Bethel Cordova Fairbanks KenaiSoldotna Valdez $98.60 $93.58 $201.83 $191.56 $148.98 $141.40 $100.23 $95.13 $101.01 $95.87 $129.28 $122.70 $143.56 $164.56 $293.86 $336.85 $216.92 $248.65 $145.94 $167.29 $147.08 $168.59 $188.24 $215.77 $24.20 $26.48 $27.39 $35.15 $39.71 $49.53 $54.20 $56.06 $71.96 $81.28 $36.56 $40.01 $41.38 $53.11 $60.00 $24.60 $26.92 $27.84 $35.74 $40.37 $24.79 $27.12 $28.06 $36.01 $40.68 $31.74 $34.72 $35.91 $46.09 $52.07 $42.91 $44.28 $47.48 $43.37 $43.59 $87.83 $90.63 $97.18 $88.77 $89.23 $64.83 $66.90 $71.74 $65.63 $65.87 $43.62 $45.01 $48.26 $44.09 $44.32 $43.96 $45.36 $48.64 $44.43 $44.66 $56.26 $58.06 $62.25 $56.86 $57.16 $42.91 $42.22 $42.22 $41.65 $40.52 $87.83 $86.43 $86.43 $85.26 $82.94 $64.83 $63.80 $63.80 $62.93 $61.22 $43.62 $42.92 $42.92 $42.34 $41.19 $43.96 $43.26 $43.26 $42.67 $41.51 $56.26 $55.36 $55.36 $54.61 $53.13 Alaska Cooperative Extension Service, UAF, "Cost of Food . at Home for a Week," June 2013. There will be a 6 month lag in this report due to press timelines. COST OF FOOD AT HOME FOR A WEEK FAMILY OF 4 WITH CHILDREN AGE 6-11 YEARS Selected Alaskan Communities June 2013 Bethel $336.85 $248.65 Cordova Valdez $215.77 Kenai-Soldotna $168.59 Fairbanks $167.29 Anchorage $164.56 $0 Community Research Quarterly $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 Spring 2014 38 Cost of Living AVERAGE SELF-SERVICE UNLEADED GASOLINE PRICES* Fairbanks North Star Borough 2009-2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 January February March April May June July August September October November December $2.539 $2.599 $2.559 $2.559 $2.679 $2.859 $3.159 $3.299 $3.349 $3.479 $3.369 $3.329 $3.279 $3.349 $3.349 $3.499 $3.499 $3.499 $3.529 $3.529 $3.529 $3.529 $3.559 $3.559 $3.629 $3.699 $3.919 $4.109 $4.229 $4.179 $4.039 $3.919 $3.919 $4.019 $4.059 $3.979 $3.919 $3.999 $4.309 $4.449 $4.579 $4.369 $4.049 $3.989 $4.069 $4.209 $4.019 $3.829 $3.779 $3.939 $4.179 $4.169 $4.169 $4.189 $4.159 $4.069 $3.999 $3.889 $3.769 $3.719 $3.649 $3.679 $3.799 Annual Average $2.982 $3.476 $3.975 $4.149 $4.002 % chg 2013-14 -3.4% -6.6% -9.1% SOURCE: Community Research Center gasoline price survey and personal communications with Totem Chevron on Gaffney Road in Fairbanks, Alaska, 2009-2014. NOTE: Figures reflect prices at the self-serve pump for unleaded gasoline. Price is a monthly average of full months business. Only national gasoline retail chain outlets are surveyed. Factors that may influence the price fluctuations include seasonality in the demand for gasoline, changes in the cost of crude oil, product supply/demand imbalances, proximity of supply, supply disruptions, competition in the local market, environmental programs, operating costs, and World oil supply/demand. Recent examples include the natural disaster named Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) which took out 25% of the US Crude oil production and 15% of the US refinery capacity. Some major pipelines were impacted by either shutdowns or reduced operating rates. The Deep Water Horizon Oil Spill in the Gulf of Mexico (April 2010). Other factors are political unrest such as the riots in the Middle East including Egypt, and Libya (JanuaryApril 2011). It is known that retail prices are likely to remain elevated as long as some refineries remain shut down and the U.S. gasoline market continues to stretch supplies to their limit. * Beginning December 2010 this survey changed to monthly reporting. ANNUAL AVERAGE SELF-SERVICE UNLEADED GASOLINE PRICES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2013 4.500 4.000 3.500 3.000 2.500 Annual Average Unleaded Self-Serve Gasoline Price 2.000 1.500 1.000 0.500 39 Spring 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 0.000 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living ELECTRIC CUSTOMERS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1998-2013 2013 2012 2011 Residential 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 Commercial 2010 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 ELECTRIC CUSTOMERS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1998-2013 GVEA Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Residential 30,411 31,196 31,271 32,118 32,626 33,638 33,981 34,837 35,554 36,395 36,860 37,154 37,530 37,835 38,011 38,103 Total Customers Commercial 5,534 5,469 5,651 5,796 5,887 5,962 5,989 6,155 6,322 6,471 6,678 6,865 6,922 6,900 6,794 6,894 35,945 36,665 36,922 37,914 38,513 39,600 39,970 40,992 41,876 42,866 43,538 44,019 44,452 44,735 44,805 44,997 % chg from prev yr 1.0% 2.0% 0.7% 2.7% 1.6% 2.8% 0.9% 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 1.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% SOURCE: Golden Valley Electric Association (GVEA), Member Services, personal communications, 1998-2014. NOTE: Beginning in 1997, the commercial numbers include headbolt heaters counted at apartment complexes; those apartments with active service at time of survey. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 40 Cost of Living NATURAL GAS CUSTOMERS Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013 Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Residential 68 152 195 231 290 341 355 463 463 441 463 463 463 464 ---------------- Commercial -----------------Small 103 205 277 308 385 379 510 591 611 643 624 622 624 629 Large 3 10 11 18 19 19 21 26 29 30 31 34 34 31 Total Subtotal 106 215 288 326 404 398 531 617 640 673 655 656 658 660 174 367 483 557 694 739 886 1,080 1,103 1,114 1,118 1,119 1,121 1,124 % Change From Prev. Yr. 135.1% 110.9% 31.6% 15.3% 24.6% 6.5% 19.9% 21.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% SOURCE: Fairbanks Natural Gas, LLC., personal communications 2000-2014. NOTE: Current data supercede previous figures reported. Adjustment- percent change column formula carried incorrectly (2010-2011), correction made October 2011. NATURAL GAS PRICES Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013* ------- Commercial -------Year Residential 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $6.96 $7.59 $8.56 $8.56 $9.81 $11.28 $12.97 $21.23 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 $23.35 Small Large $6.78 $7.41 $8.38 $8.38 $9.63 $11.07 $12.73 $20.83 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $22.91 $6.66 $7.29 $8.26 $8.26 $9.51 $10.94 $12.58 $20.60 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 $22.66 Annual Average $6.72 $7.35 $8.32 $8.32 $9.57 $11.01 $12.66 $20.72 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 $22.79 % Change From Prev. Yr. 0.0% 9.4% 13.2% 0.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 63.7% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% SOURCE: Fairbanks Natural Gas, LLC., personal communications 2000-2014. NOTE: Price listed per Mcf (1,000 cubic feet) or 1 MMBtu's (1,000,000 btu's). FNG supplier changed in October 2006. Two steps in rate change occurred between October 2006 and May 2007 due to new supplier costs. * 1999-2000 gas rates remained the same. Adjustment- percent change column formula carried incorrectly (2009-2010), correction made October 2011. 41 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Cost of Living TELEPHONE CUSTOMERS**^ Fairbanks North Star Borough 2000-2013 -----------------Residential---------------- ---------Commercial--------- Year ACS GCI Total ACS GCI Total 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 37,055 36,600 31,218 30,208 29,639 29,590 30,191 31,015 31,401 37,358 37,822 33,712 28,833 22,684 1,032 4,788 5,699 6,632 7,187 8,916 9,585 10,419 12,395 12,549 10,965 9,378 7,321 37,055 37,632 36,006 35,907 36,271 36,777 39,107 40,600 41,820 49,753 50,371 44,677 38,211 30,005 17,437 17,224 14,691 11,899 11,708 11,679 11,916 13,151 13,457 13,805 13,088 13,367 13,130 13,213 4,342 5,422 5,288 5,540 5,491 5,818 6,517 6,812 6,988 6,625 6,766 6,777 6,820 17,437 21,566 20,113 17,187 17,248 17,170 17,734 19,668 20,269 20,793 19,713 20,133 19,907 20,033 SOURCE: ACS (Alaska Communications Services), personal communications, 2001-2013 and GCI (General Communication Inc.), personal communications, 2002-2014. NOTE: Numbers reflect telephone lines in service; multiple lines may be held by a single residence or business. Lines listed as residential may include small business and residential. GCI entered the FNSB market in June 2001. Calculations: Our preliminary figures for 1998 were received as a total amount only. A split between Residential and Commercial was made based on 1997 customer percentages. In 2004 ACS declined participation and the calculated figures used since are based on 2003 customer percentages. ** Numbers may be subject to revision. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 42 Cost of Living WATER CUSTOMERS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1998-2013 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Commercial Water 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 Residential Water WATER CUSTOMERS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1998-2013 --------------- Residential ------------------ Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 College Utilities 1,655 1,544 1,578 1,588 1,614 1,639 1,678 1,730 1,785 1,806 1,837 1,842 1,851 1,857 1,879 1,886 Golden Heart Utilities 4,186 4,412 4,431 4,451 4,513 4,552 4,588 4,636 4,685 4,694 4,713 4,721 4,724 4,713 4,768 4,768 North Pole Utilities* 236 193 247 258 229 232 289 303 451 *474 477 477 477 576 584 584 Total 6,077 6,149 6,256 6,297 6,356 6,423 6,555 6,669 6,921 6,974 7,027 7,040 7,052 7,146 7,231 7,238 -------------- Commercial -----------------College Utilities 148 280 302 307 317 339 348 343 353 365 373 376 387 389 383 390 Golden Heart Utilities 2,089 1,599 1,598 1,613 1,633 1,653 1,663 1,683 1,706 1,726 1,744 1,757 1,774 1,771 1,757 1,756 North Pole Utilities* 125 122 119 116 128 128 138 142 153 ^98 84 86 86 100 98 98 Total 2,362 2,001 2,019 2,036 2,078 2,120 2,149 2,168 2,212 2,189 2,201 2,219 2,247 2,260 2,238 2,244 . SOURCE: College Utilities System Accounting Department and Utilities Services of Alaska, personal communications 1998-2014 City of North Pole, personal communications 1998-2014 NOTE: Utilities Services of Alaska administers Golden Heart Utilities (City services) and College Utilities (University services). * Beginning in 2007 multi-family residential was shifted from commercial rates to residential rates in the City of North Pole. In 2011, City of North Pole water customers increased due to sulfolane plume in groundwater and private water wells. 43 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly POPULATION & SOCIAL CONDITIONS POPULATION COUNTS & ESTIMATES** Fairbanks, North Pole and the Fairbanks North Star Borough 2003-2013, Selected Years F A I R B A N K S N O R T H P O L E F N S B 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 * * * * * * * ^ ^ ^ ^ * * * * * * * ^ ^ ^ ^ * * * * * * * ^ ^ ^ ^ U.S. Census Bureau (1) 30,469 30,839 30,946 30,636 31,184 31,212 31,083 31,535 32,012 32,254 32,324 1,728 1,796 1,848 1,873 1,967 2,008 2,045 2,117 2,172 2,205 2,214 86,885 89,043 90,431 90,545 93,545 94,552 95,238 98,190 99,276 100,141 100,436 Ak. Department of Labor (2)* 29,156 30,402 31,478 30,580 32,266 31,694 32,346 31,535 30,621 32,033 32,204 1,617 1,548 1,624 1,675 2,013 2,233 2,199 2,117 2,104 2,158 2,209 83,714 87,555 90,381 90,953 95,354 96,423 96,631 97,581 97,909 100,320 99,632 Ak. Dept of Commerce (3) 29,156 30,402 31,478 30,580 32,266 31,694 32,346 31,535 30,621 32,033 32,204 1,617 1,548 1,624 1,675 2,013 2,233 2,199 2,117 2,104 2,158 2,209 84,979 87,608 96,888 96,888 97,970 98,660 97,581 97,581 97,909 100,320 99,632 SOURCE: (1) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, July 1st estimates. 2013 Population Estimates. PEPANNRES Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Counties of Alaska: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013, also Table: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population in Alaska: now known as *Intercensal Estimates of the Resident Population for Incorporated Places and Minor Civil Divisions: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2013, May 2014. Geographic change notes defined at: http://www.census.gov. (2) Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section; and US Census Bureau. Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^, and Alaska Population Estimates by Borough, Census Area, City and Census Designated Place (CDP), 2010-2013, Vintage 2013 ^. All numbers are based on 2010 Census geography. ADOL website: http://laborstats.alaska.gov, February 2014. (3) Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development (DCCED), Division of Community and Regional Affairs, 2013 Commissioner Certified Estimates, January 15, 2013. DCCED Certified numbers may vary from ADOL population estimates as a result of the Population Estimate Appeal process available to incorporated communities on a yearly basis, as well as annual revisions by ADOL. Once certified, DCCED numbers may be applied for two consecutive calendar years. DCCED website: http://www.commerce.state.ak.us/dca/commdb/CF_COMDB.htm. NOTE: The FNSB numbers include population for all communities within the Borough plus Fort Wainwright Army Base and Eielson Air Force Base. ** U.S. Census and ADOL estimated numbers may be revised annually. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 44 Population and Social Conditions MILITARY POPULATION Ft. Wainwright Army Base*^ By Federal Fiscal Year Quarter: 2011-14 Ft. Wainwright Army Base 2011 2012 2013 2014 FFY Qtr. FFY Months Military Active Duty Personnel Military Families Total 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar 6,996 7,358 7,549 7,736 7,453 7,278 6,379 6,441 6,132 6,164 6,568 6,475 6,142 5,895 8,517 8,858 9,097 9,097 9,097 9,009 10,152 9,998 9,157 8,863 9,082 9,038 8,628 8,299 15,513 16,216 16,646 16,833 16,550 16,287 16,531 16,439 15,289 15,027 15,650 15,513 14,770 14,194 % Change (same Qtr.) fr/prev/yr 5.1% 17.7% 12.1% 14.2% 6.7% 0.4% -0.7% -2.3% -7.6% -7.7% -5.3% -5.6% -3.4% -5.5% SOURCE: Fort Wainwright Army Base (FWA), Plans, Analysis and Integration Office (PAIO), and ALCOM, Alaskan Command, 2011-2014. NOTE: Using Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) reporting periods: FFY1Q: Oct-Dec; FFY2Q: Jan-Mar; FFY3Q: Apr-Jun; FFY4Q: Jul-Sept. 3rd Qtr. 2013 - federal government shutdown pushed back the release dates for data. ^ Prior to deployment a build up of replacements occurs. * Does not include contract civilian positions or BLM. MILITARY POPULATION Eielson Air Force Base* By Federal Fiscal Year Quarter: 2011-2014 Eielson Air Force FFY Base Qtr. 2011 2012 2013 2014 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 FFY Months Military Active Duty Personnel Military Families Total Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar 1,909 1,912 1,914 1,887 1,893 1,893 1,918 1,931 1,900 1,873 1,883 1,866 1,862 1,876 2,974 2,998 3,022 2,954 2,953 2,953 2,939 2,866 2,846 2,832 2,900 2,840 2,815 2,799 4,883 4,910 4,936 4,841 4,846 4,846 4,857 4,797 4,746 4,705 4,783 4,706 4,677 4,675 % Change (same Qtr.) fr/prev/yr -1.1% -0.2% -2.2% 0.5% -0.8% -1.3% -1.6% -0.9% -2.1% -2.9% -1.5% -1.9% -1.5% -0.6% SOURCE: ALCOM, Alaskan Command, 2011-2014. NOTE: Using Federal Fiscal Year (FFY) reporting periods: FFY1Q: Oct-Dec; FFY2Q: Jan-Mar; FFY3Q: Apr-Jun; FFY4Q: Jul-Sept. 3rd Qtr. 2013 - federal government shutdown pushed back the release dates for data. * Does not include contract civilian positions or BLM. 45 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions POPULATION OF ALASKA ANNUAL ESTIMATES OF THE RESIDENT POPULATION FOR COUNTIES OF ALASKA 2008-2012 United States Alaska Anchorage Municipality Fairbanks North Star Borough Matanuska-Susitna Borough Kenai Peninsula Borough Juneau City and Borough Bethel C.A. Kodiak Island Borough Ketchikan Gateway Borough Nome C.A. Valdez-Cordova C.A. North Slope Borough Sitka City and Borough Northwest Arctic Borough Wade Hampton C.A. Southeast Fairbanks C.A. Yukon-Koyukuk C.A. Prince of Wales-Hyder C.A. Aleutians West C.A. Dillingham C.A. Petersburg C.A. Aleutians East Borough Haines Borough Wrangell City and Borough Hoonah-Angoon C.A. Denali Borough Lake and Peninsula Borough Bristol Bay Borough Skagway Municipality Yakutat City and Borough 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 304,093,966 306,771,529 309,326,225 311,587,816 313,914,040 687,455 698,895 714,046 723,860 731,449 281,554 94,552 84,079 53,655 31,110 16,762 13,262 13,319 9,231 9,458 8,841 8,835 7,466 7,392 6,904 5,585 5,393 4,769 2,991 2,404 2,225 1,803 1,606 1,040 967 627 287,677 95,238 86,885 54,796 30,857 16,860 13,505 13,294 9,313 9,492 9,105 8,844 7,467 7,469 6,955 5,495 5,465 5,537 4,776 3,775 3,084 2,486 2,331 2,144 1,817 1,612 976 975 665 293,400 98,267 89,777 55,594 31,418 17,083 13,631 13,542 9,548 98,674 9,462 8,908 7,535 7,462 7,067 5,588 5,596 5,535 4,868 3,827 3,152 2,502 2,371 2,149 1,834 1,634 1,002 960 660 296,108 99,286 91,930 56,426 32,240 17,468 13,913 13,685 9,892 9,730 9,536 8,914 7,727 7,648 7,126 5,748 5,755 5,521 4,989 3,842 3,178 2,555 2,383 2,120 1,844 1,661 1,034 939 662 298,610 100,272 93,925 56,900 32,556 17,746 14,239 13,779 9,915 9,717 9,643 9,046 7,810 7,809 7,144 5,770 5,751 5,547 5,034 3,844 3,161 2,552 2,403 2,129 1,875 1,654 991 959 668 Rank % Chg in 2011-12 State 0.7% 1.0% 1 0.8% 2 1.0% 3 2.2% 4 0.8% 5 1.0% 6 1.6% 7 2.3% 8 0.7% 9 0.2% 10 -0.1% 11 1.1% 12 1.5% 13 1.1% 14 2.1% 15 0.3% 16 0.4% 17 -0.1% 18 0.5% 19 0.9% 20 0.1% 21 -0.5% 22 -0.1% 23 0.8% 24 0.4% 25 1.7% 26 -0.4% 27 -4.2% 28 2.1% 29 0.9% SOURCE: Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce, Regional Economic Information System, at website: http://www.bea.gov/regional/index.htm, CA1-3 Table, March 2013. NOTE: Per capita personal income was computed using Census Bureau midyear population estimates. Estimates for 2008-2012 reflect county population estimates available as of March 2013. Data provided are preliminary estimates and may be subject to change. Rank in State numbers are reflecting most current year. Last updated: November 21, 2013 - new estimates for 2012; revised estimates for 2008-2011. No calculation or data available. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 46 Population and Social Conditions SUPERIOR COURT FILINGS* Fairbanks, Alaska FY 2006-2013 Type of Filing 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 % Change 2012-13 Felony Violent Property Fraud/Forgery Drugs Traffic Other 742 192 150 42 126 108 124 675 167 154 143 118 93 598 149 170 86 116 77 650 151 203 108 112 76 780 188 246 148 116 82 694 187 204 91 92 120 665 172 220 89 73 111 608 168 213 67 59 101 -9% -2% -3% -25% -19% -9% Probate Adoption Estates Sanity/Alcohol Guardianship¹ Minor Settlements² Other 642 107 136 289 93 14 3 651 102 155 291 80 14 9 692 122 155 326 76 7 6 724 125 136 371 75 7 10 662 111 145 281 98 20 7 687 130 151 270 101 17 18 627 116 160 206 125 14 6 658 103 168 212 148 17 10 5% -11% 5% 3% 18% 21% 67% Domestic Relations Divorce Dissolution of Marriage Support/Custody Other 709 266 293 122 28 857 378 338 114 27 830 356 330 120 24 746 332 258 117 39 1,029 451 359 178 41 920 474 273 150 23 843 483 203 128 29 850 455 220 155 20 1% -6% 8% 21% -31% Other Civil Filings 320 342 301 321 293 290 305 295 -3% Children's Matters 372 346 294 184 232 188 305 227 -26% 2,785 2,871 2,715 2,625 2,996 2,779 2,745 2,638 -4% Total SOURCE: NOTE: ¹ ² * Alaska Court System, Alaska Court System Annual Report, website: http://courts.alaska.gov/annualrep.htm, 2006-2013. The State's fiscal year runs from July 1 through June 30. Reciprocal support relabeled support/custody in 2005. Guardianships, Conservatorships, Protective Proceedings. Minor Settlements, Emancipations. Fraud/Forgery is no longer being reported as its own category. Numbers may be subject to revision. DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION, POLICE AND LAWYERS Fairbanks, Alaska FY 2006-2013 Population Total Number of Police Police p/1000 Population Total Number of Lawyers Lawyers p/1000 Population 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 91,557 101 1.1 181 2.0 91,557 118 1.3 181 2.0 95,858 123 1.3 259 2.7 90,085 128 1.4 260 2.9 93,970 182 1.9 263 2.8 97,781 159 1.6 253 2.6 2013 % Change 2012-13 97,701 100,732 120 137 1.2 1.4 256 206 2.6 2.0 3.1% 14.2% 16.7% -19.5% -23.1% 2012 SOURCE: Alaska Court System, Alaska Court System Annual Report, website: http://courts.alaska.gov/annualrep.htm, 2006-2013. NOTE: The State's fiscal year runs from July 1 through June 30. Population numbers reflect ADOL population vintage estimates plus a 4th Judicial District inclusive calculation dated October 2010, represented by Superior Court Trial Site. 47 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions DISTRICT COURT FILINGS^ Fairbanks, Alaska FY 2007-2013 Type of Filing 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 % Change 2012-13 Misdemeanor Violence Theft/Fraud Drugs Traffic Other 3,717 484 378 119 1,505 1,231 3,892 472 391 128 1,643 1,258 3,686 404 457 75 1,572 1,178 4,857 528 449 126 1,809 1,945 4,124 490 460 107 1,466 1,601 3,346 453 486 112 1,276 1,019 3,063 456 455 103 1,193 856 -8% 1% -6% -8% -7% -16% Traffic (based on dispositions) Equipment Speeding Alcohol/Drugs Improper Driver Behavior Other Moving/Maneuvers Other/Minor Offense/Infraction 9,301 2,202 2,377 206 2,629 1,589 298 8,448 2,033 2,168 163 2,307 1,375 402 8,751 1,997 2,803 137 2,311 1,238 265 9,314 1,876 3,010 281 2,603 1,124 420 7,843 1,798 2,209 213 1,872 1,220 531 8,965 2,236 2,483 163 2,185 1,044 854 9,299 2,462 2,412 110 2,164 804 1,347 4% 10% -3% -33% -1% -23% 58% Small Claims 1,303 1,596 1,379 1,449 1,237 690 797 16% Other Civil Filings Civil/Property Damage Debt/Contract Civil Prot. Orders/Dom. Violence* General/Other 1,729 283 353 791 302 1,915 238 560 836 281 1,701 182 533 706 280 1,974 246 567 866 295 2,036 237 773 832 194 2,045 253 557 1,125 110 1,843 233 327 1,003 280 -10% -8% -41% -11% 155% 16,050 15,851 15,517 17,594 15,240 15,046 15,002 0% Total SOURCE: Alaska Court System, Alaska Court System Annual Report, website: http://courts.alaska.gov/annualrep.htm, 2007-2013. NOTE: The State's fiscal year runs from July 1 through June 30. Category not reported. ^ Sub-category classifications changing in 2007. # Other (2008) categories includes: Protection Order Violations, Public Order and Other. * In FY2013 Domestic Violence data was grouped under Civil Protective Order Case group which includes petitions for domestic violence, stalking and sexual assault protective orders. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 48 Population and Social Conditions CRIMINAL OFFENSE SUMMARY Fairbanks and North Pole Police Departments and Detachment D of the Alaska State Troopers 2008-2012 Criminal Homicide Forcible Rape Assault* Robbery Burglary Ak. State Troopers 2 Fairbanks Airport Police 0 Fairbanks Police 0 North Pole Police 8 0 3 0 14 0 41 4 498 6 793 28 12 0 28 3 229 1 141 12 Motor Vehicle Theft 118 3 127 14 8 UAF Police Dept Total 2008 Ak. State Troopers 2 Fairbanks Airport Police 0 Fairbanks Police 0 North Pole Police 9 UAF Police Dept Total 2009 Ak. State Troopers 2 Fairbanks Airport Police 0 Fairbanks Police 0 11 5 0 0 0 0 5 4 0 1 0 59 30 0 62 2 2 96 22 0 70 32 1,357 692 13 895 67 12 1,679 763 8 1,085 0 43 9 0 47 1 0 57 13 0 33 9 392 289 0 194 14 5 502 287 1 149 1 263 182 4 92 8 4 290 144 0 101 95 1,609 699 17 1,126 79 83 2,004 667 7 1,117 1 North Pole Police 0 UAF Police Dept Total 2010 Ak. State Troopers 2 Fairbanks Airport Police 0 Fairbanks Police 0 0 5 1 0 2 2 2 96 31 0 17 57 24 1,937 702 13 738 1 0 47 7 0 33 12 7 456 376 0 130 7 0 252 160 2 76 78 74 1,943 772 11 1,026 1 North Pole Police 1 UAF Police Dept Total 2011 0 0 3 0 0 48 31 17 1,501 3 0 43 9 4 519 2 3 243 69 64 1,942 NA 0 4 NA 0 29 NA 3 644 NA 0 37 NA 0 130 NA 1 112 NA 14 1,137 0 0 4 0 0 29 24 17 688 0 0 37 15 3 148 5 0 118 53 79 1,283 100.0% 70.6% -13.9% 2.8% 3.5% 42.2% 9.7% Yr Category Ak. State Troopers 2 Fairbanks Airport Police 0 Fairbanks Police 1 North Pole Police 2 UAF Police Dept Total 2012 % Change 2011-2012 (w/o Troopers #s) Larceny 482 33 921 78 SOURCE: Alaska State Troopers, D Detachment, personal communications, 2007-2013; State of Alaska, Department of Public Safety, Division of Administrative Services, Information Systems 2000 to include their publication "Crime Reported in Alaska, 2011 Uniform Crime Reporting", http://www.dps.state.ak.us/Statewide/UCR.aspx, 2013. NOTE: There is a two year lag in data availability. * Includes simple and aggravated assault. ** 2012 numbers are preliminary and may be subject to revision. NA Not available at press time. 49 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1989-2011 ------------ All Accidents -------------Property Only Injury Fatal Total 1,439 522 12 1,973 1,568 490 3 2,061 1,597 539 7 2,143 1,645 484 10 2,139 1,595 494 14 2,103 1,452 448 5 1,905 1,352 441 7 1,800 1,402 429 7 1,838 1,371 548 11 1,930 1,214 495 8 1,717 1,272 489 12 1,773 1,268 450 12 1,730 1,183 487 9 1,679 920 434 5 1,359 1,337 491 7 1,835 1,494 496 10 2,000 1,373 454 10 1,837 982 317 13 1,312 1,093 374 19 1,486 1,121 372 2 1,495 1,151 356 5 1,512 1,190 400 12 1,602 1,112 461 5 1,578 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % Change 2010-11 SOURCE: NOTE: -7% 15% -58% ------- Alcohol-related Accidents ------Property Only Injury Fatal Total 97 81 6 184 90 89 0 179 117 71 3 191 96 69 4 169 89 84 3 176 86 57 4 147 83 66 7 156 82 58 4 144 85 77 6 168 60 56 2 118 64 48 5 117 80 39 5 124 54 53 5 112 43 63 3 109 55 37 2 94 57 46 1 104 41 25 7 73 29 27 5 61 37 30 11 78 24 14 1 39 48 27 2 77 47 32 6 85 37 37 1 75 -1% -21% 16% -83% -12% Alaska DOT/PF, Traffic & Safety Section, Alaska Traffic Accidents, 1989-2012. There is a one years lag in data release. TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS Fairbanks North Star Borough 1988-2011 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 Property Only 1,000 Injury & Fatality 800 600 400 200 Community Research Quarterly 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 0 Spring 2014 50 Population and Social Conditions ANNUAL ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES DISTRIBUTED OR SOLD* Fourth Judicial District 1993-2012 Year 1993# 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000# 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 10 Yr/Avg --------------------IN GALLONS-------------------Liquor Wine Beer 147,971 140,573 1,971,294 174,206 172,048 2,239,190 157,502 169,369 2,163,870 156,754 186,899 2,124,892 153,440 175,481 2,123,419 161,313 182,293 2,256,574 163,599 188,063 2,397,989 165,256 189,689 2,381,779 169,696 201,823 2,300,564 186,477 220,965 2,375,380 159,510 218,309 2,263,094 179,574 228,859 2,363,897 189,249 237,384 2,322,680 193,641 254,251 2,297,600 186,879 254,344 2,298,831 203,539 283,329 2,205,837 235,351 311,889 2,532,419 223,669 283,058 2,415,629 243,091 319,420 2,331,426 235,860 312,264 2,319,975 205,036 270,311 2,335,139 Total % Change Gallons fr/prev Yr. 2,259,838 -8.9% 2,585,444 14.4% 2,490,741 -3.7% 2,468,545 -0.9% 2,452,340 -0.7% 2,600,180 6.0% 2,749,651 5.7% 2,736,724 -0.5% 2,672,083 -2.4% 2,782,822 4.1% 2,640,913 -5.1% 2,772,330 5.0% 2,749,313 -0.8% 2,745,492 -0.1% 2,740,054 -0.2% 2,692,705 -1.7% 3,079,659 14.4% 2,922,356 -5.1% 2,893,937 -1.0% 2,868,099 -0.9% 2,810,486 SOURCE: Alaska Department of Revenue, Report of Alcoholic Beverages Distributed or Sold, 1993-2012. NOTE: The 4th Judicial District includes Fairbanks, Bethel, Delta Jct., Ft. Yukon, Galena, Healy, Nenana, Rampart, Tanana and Tok. * Beginning in 2003, qualifying beer includes the category malt beverage in its total. # 1993 totals revised January 1998. 2000 totals revised July 2001. ^ 2013 data not available at press time. 51 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions AIR QUALITY SUMMARY - MAXIMUM 8 HOUR CARBON MONOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS Fairbanks 2005-2013, Winter Months 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 January February March October November December -------------------Carbon Monoxide Concentrations (in parts per million) -----------------4.3 4.9 3.3 3.5 3.3 5.0 4.2 2.4 2.7 4.5 4.0 3.4 3.1 2.7 3.6 3.3 3.6 3.6 2.1 2.4 1.8 3.6 1.6 2.3 2.6 1.3 3.2 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 3.2 ~ 1.6 4.0 1.4 2.4 2.8 2.8 3.1 4.5 ~ 2.2 2.4 1.6 4.9 3.8 2.5 3.6 5.4 ~ 2.1 2.5 2.0 January February March October November December ------------------------------ Number of Days Exceeding Limits -----------------------------------0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ 0 0 0 Total SOURCE: NOTE: * ** 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Fairbanks North Star Borough, Dept. of Environmental Services, personal communications 2004-2012. Monitoring for Fairbanks is only required for the period of October through March. This 8-hour period averages the most vehicles in use in the downtown area. Clean Air Act of 1977 limit for carbon monoxide (CO) is an 8-hour average of 9 parts per million (ppm). PRECIPITATION Fairbanks 2006-2013 Month January February March April May June July August September October November December ------------------------------ Precipitation* in Inches -----------------------------2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Avg.** 0.22 0.50 0.93 0.52 0.03 0.19 0.69 0.79 0.58 0.76 0.12 0.18 0.59 0.15 1.62 0.42 0.48 0.42 0.22 0.20 0.10 1.09 0.09 0.15 0.74 0.26 0.25 0.40 0.10 1.27 0.09 0.29 0.07 0.07 0.66 0.31 0.18 0.86 0.50 0.05 0.24 0.04 0.73 0.15 0.60 0.71 1.88 2.08 1.55 1.36 1.77 1.39 0.43 1.37 2.24 3.67 4.12 0.06 3.11 1.70 1.72 1.01 2.16 2.16 1.52 2.66 2.72 1.46 1.60 1.45 2.02 1.88 0.56 1.58 0.64 0.53 1.19 0.65 0.55 1.74 1.10 0.56 0.51 0.76 0.50 0.45 0.32 1.38 0.59 0.83 0.09 0.11 0.28 0.31 1.71 0.46 0.29 1.74 0.67 0.48 0.31 0.50 0.36 0.23 0.95 1.19 0.78 0.64 Total 8.58 11.36 14.02 8.37 10.31 9.52 10.62 10.65 10.81 SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, National Environmental Satellite, Data & Information Service, National Climatic Data Center, Local Climatological Data--Fairbanks, 2006-2013. * Includes the water equivalent of snowfall. ** Based on Period of Record (POR) which begins with the January data month and the number of years used to compute the mean. POR = 30 YRS. Normal, Means, and Extremes - Fairbanks (PAFA) showing 30 year Normals (1981-2010); normal (inches), 2013. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 52 Population and Social Conditions PRECIPITATION AND SNOWFALL Fairbanks 2006-2013 Snowfall 80.00 Precipitation 70.00 Inches 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 0.00 SNOWFALL Fairbanks 2006-2013 ----------------------------------------- Snowfall in Inches -------------------------------------------Month 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 January February March April May June July August September October November December 4.0 13.2 4.7 3.3 0.0 T 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.6 1.4 7.8 8.9 1.6 3.3 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 4.2 6.0 14.4 5.4 1.4 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 1.8 12.2 6.5 12.2 9.2 14.1 15.5 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.3 7.4 6.8 1.0 2.5 1.6 T 0.1 0.0 T 0.0 0.0 T 11.6 4.1 3.1 30.3 2.9 1.7 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 4.2 9.2 12.2 9.6 7.5 14.7 T T 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 7.1 4.2 18.6 2013 Average * 9.9 10.3 10.7 8.1 6.2 4.9 9.9 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.7 10.8 17.6 13.2 14.3 12.1 Total 39.4 33.5 68.6 58.5 20.9 63.6 61.7 72.0 65.0 SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, National Environmental Satellite, Data & Information Service, National Climatic Data Center, Local Climatological Data--Fairbanks, 2006-2013. T Trace. * Based on Period of Record (POR) which begins with the January data month and the number of years used to compute the mean. POR = 30 YRS. Normal, Means, and Extremes - Fairbanks (PAFA) showing 30 year Normals (1981-2010); normal (inches), 2013. 53 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly Population and Social Conditions AVERAGE AND RECORD TEMPERATURES Fairbanks 2013 Record High Average Monthly Temperature 2013 Record Low 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan -80 AVERAGE AND RECORD TEMPERATURES Fairbanks 2006-2013 Month 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Average* High Low January February March April May June July August September October November December -22.0 5.6 3.0 29.5 49.7 58.1 61.3 54.4 49.5 31.7 -9.8 -1.9 -6.5 -6.6 -6.4 37.6 51.1 61.6 64.4 60.5 47.1 21.2 11.5 -3.2 -9.1 -5.8 15.4 29.5 49.9 60.2 60.6 55.0 46.7 15.1 -1.3 -7.7 -11.8 -1.4 5.6 31.2 51.6 60.3 66.5 54.5 48.5 30.7 -1.1 -2.7 -5.2 13.3 26.7 51.2 66.5 69.0 72.1 69.8 58.6 36.3 19.2 -10.2 4.0 5.7 25.4 43.8 64.7 69.9 71.1 66.5 58.7 37.3 0.4 14.4 -26.9 5.9 4.5 36.9 47.9 61.6 60.9 56.3 45.6 22.5 -8.8 -17.3 -2.6 -1.4 7.1 18.0 44.3 66.8 64.3 59.4 43.8 36.1 6.1 -4.5 1.1 10.0 25.4 44.5 61.0 71.6 72.7 65.9 54.6 31.9 10.9 4.8 52 47 56 76 89 96 94 93 84 72 49 47 -61 -58 -49 -24 -1 29 35 27 3 -27 -46 -62 25.8 27.7 25.7 27.7 38.9 38.5 24.1 28.1 37.9 96 -62 Average SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, National Environmental Satellite, Data & Information Service, National Climatic Data Center, Local Climatological Data--Fairbanks, 2006-2013. * Based on Period of Record (POR) which begins with the January data month and the number of years used to compute the mean. POR = 30 YRS. Normal, Means, and Extremes - Fairbanks (PAFA) showing 30 year Normals (1981-2010); normal (inches), 2013. The POR on the High/Low = 62 YRS. Community Research Quarterly Spring 2014 54 Population and Social Conditions AIR QUALITY SUMMARY - PARTICULATE MATTER (PM 2.5) MONITORING-AQI Fairbanks North Star Borough 2007-2013 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 --------------PM 2.5 Average Concentration (in micrograms/cubic meter) ------------January February March April May June July August September October November December 26.0 26.7 16.6 8.9 7.4 9.2 8.4 7.3 * 14.1 19.0 26.7 27.6 31.7 10.5 8.4 4.1 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.3 10.6 24.7 30.6 19.2 15.0 5.5 3.0 1.7 6.3 34.1 37.9 2.9 8.3 22.5 30.9 39.5 19.5 10.0 5.4 8.6 8.5 9.2 0.9 0.5 7.6 12.4 28.3 27.6 22.8 14.4 5.7 5.5 5.5 3.7 2.6 4.6 9.0 23.1 16.7 24.0 16.5 10.7 6.2 3.7 4.5 3.0 6.5 7.8 17.0 61.3 77.3 43.7 27.0 19.0 7.8 7.6 16.8 14.3 14.8 4.4 16.2 28.0 48.9 ------------------- Number of Days Exceeding Limits (35.5 ug/m3) ------------------January February March April May June July August September October November December 4 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 * 0 0 9 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 9 5 2 0 0 0 0 9 8 0 0 5 14 15 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 11 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 9 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 16 25 14 8 2 0 0 3 3 2 0 2 9 16 Total 20 32 43 28 33 55 59 SOURCE: Fairbanks North Star Borough, Air Quality Monitoring Program, website: http://www.fnsb.us/airquality, personal communications, May 2014. NOTE: Monitoring for Fairbanks North Star Borough is required by the Federal Clean Air Act. EPA strengthened the air quality standards for particle pollution in 2006. FNSB (PM2.5) data is collected from multiple locations within the borough. The PM-2.5 particulate values are from BAM samplers correlated to a co-located FRM sampler. Additional locations have been added to the original State Building Air Monitoring Station in recent years. And the average monthly value, is from the location with the highest particulate value. PM2.5 Definition: PM stands for particulate matter suspended in air. PM followed by a number refers to all particles with a certain maximum size (aerodynamic diameter). All smaller particles are included. PM2.5 is particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of up to 2.5 µm, referred to as the fine particle fraction (which per definition includes the ultrafine particles). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, website: http://www.epa.gov/pmdesignations. * Insufficient data to classify. Key Facts You Should Know About Particle Pollution Particles in the air can cause or aggravate a number of health problems and have been linked with illnesses and deaths from heart or lung diseases. At highest risk from particle pollution are people with heart or lung disease, older adults (possibly because they may have undiagnosed heart or lung disease), and children whose lungs are still developing and who are more likely to have asthma and are more active outdoors. Particles of concern include both very small, "fine" particles (that can only be seen through an electron microscope) and somewhat larger "coarse" dust particles. Fine particles have been more clearly linked to the most serious health problems. 55 Spring 2014 Community Research Quarterly FNSB VICINITY MAP Date of Incorporation: January 1, 1964 Form of Government: Second Class Borough Type of Government: Population (2013) US Census: Size: Borough Mayor, 3 yr. Term Assembly, 9 Members Elected at large, 3 yr. Terms 100,436 7,361 square miles 19,065 square kilometers Certified Assessed Valuation (2013): $8,100,556,328 (non-pipeline) $ 947,537,770 (pipeline) Fairbanks North Star Borough Community Research Center PO Box 71267 Fairbanks, AK 99707-1267 TO: