challenge - Idea to Product Competition
Transcription
challenge - Idea to Product Competition
Problem Analysis Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are a problem 60% of STIs are curable People are not getting tested Rate of US Commercial Health Plan Chlamydia Screening STIgma Free Inconvenience 100% Innovating Point of Care Diagnostics for Personal Healthcare Sexually Active Screened Women, Ages 16‐25 80% Time to Results 60% 37.50% 40% Sasha Cai Lesher-Perez Bethany Tong 20% Stigma 0% ʹ99 ʹ00 ʹ01 ʹ02 ʹ03 ʹ04 ʹ05 ʹ06 Idea to Product Global Competition Presentation November 4, 2010 People prefer to test themselves at home Source: WHO, CDC, Journal of Sexually Transmitted Diseases, July 2006, Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set (HEDIS) Solution Idea Development 2 Problem Idea Product Market Selection of STIs and Sampling Method 2008 US STI Incidence Microfluidics Small‐Scale Autonomously Run Herpes 3% Minimum Reagent Cost Portable Fast End Results Hepatitis HIV Syphilis < 1% Trichomoniasis Chlamydia Urine Blood • Chlamydia • Gonorrhea • Trichomoniasis • HIV • Syphilis • Hepatitis B Gonorrhea Multiplex Testing HPV Herpes Hepatitis HPV 39% Trichomoniasis 47% Vaginal Swab Physical Examination • Herpes • Pubic Lice • HPV HIV Syphilis Lab‐On‐A‐Chip Technology 3 Problem Idea Gonorrhea 2% Product Market 4 Source: CDC Product Design Product Design STIgma Free STI Diagnostic Device • Chlamydia • Gonorrhea • Trichomoniasis • Requires small urine sample • 20 minute binary readout • 98% specificity; 90% sensitivity • Easily disposable • $30 price point 5 Problem Idea Product Market Chlamydia 8% Problem Idea Product Market Intellectual Property Status Initial Target Market: Sexually Active Youth, 15-19 2008 United States Chlamydia Incidence Process fabrication and integration of a microfluidic platform utilizing biologic coupled electro‐mechanical detection of surface antigens Men 65+ Women 55‐64 T G C Local clinics were extremely receptive to STIgma Free Colleges / Universities Planned Parenthood 45‐54 Michigan 30 29 40‐44 Midwest 221 220 Northeast 261 208 West 119 241 South 253 161 Total 854 830 35‐39 Principal investigator permission Well documented time sheets 30‐34 University resources as external resource 25‐29 71% of reported cases 20‐24 15‐19 University of Michigan has no claim on the IP STIgma Free independently owns the IP Idea Problem 7 Source: Meetings with Tech Transfer, September 2010 Product 10‐14 Market Market Strategy: Small Clinics to Home Users STIgma Free Projected Sales (MM) STIgma Free STI Diagnostic $225 Small Clinics (B2B) $175 • Testing platform • Feedback • Validate efficacy • Willingness and ability • Volume sales • Build credibility $150 2000 3000 STIs C G $134 $76 $66 Gen‐Probe Roche BD C $44 $50 Home Users (B2C) $0 9 Problem Y2 Idea Y3 Product Y4 Y5 Market Source: Industry analysis, Interviews UHS, PP Product Development Timeline Engineering Prototype Biologics Prototype $1,500 $10,000 $50,000 Winter 2010 Spring 2011 Fall 2011 Sample Location 20 minutes Urine 6‐8 hours Urine 20 minutes Vaginal Swab 10 Problem Idea Product Market Form LLC (MEMS) Product Josh White, PhD Engineering Product Development (Microfluidics) Sasha Cai Lesher‐Perez, PhD (Microfluidics/Molecular) Biologics STIgma Free Rameshwar Rao, PhD (Clinical Diagnostic Assays) Jeremy Holzwarth, PhD (Biologics) File Full Patent Idea Patrick Ingram, PhD Winter 2011 Hire counsel to establish freedom to operate Problem Timing STIgma Free Org Chart Conceptual Prototype 11 Market T Genzyme $5 Y1 Product $98 $68 $21 Idea Problem G $75 File Provisional Patent 8 T $174 $100 Research existing IPs 4000 Competitive Advantage STIgma Free $125 $25 Fall 2010 1000 Company Small Clinical Home Market $200 Source: CollegeBoard, Industry analysis, Kalorama Information, Interviews Planned Parenthood Ann Arbor (PP) University of Michigan Health Services (UHS) 0 Source: CDC, Kalorama Research, STIgma Free Analysis Market Business Development Bethany Tong, MBA 12 Problem Idea Product Market Summary STIgma Free • Talented team • Home STI Diagnostic Device • Clear IP • Large and growing market • Solutions to significant health and social needs 13 Source: Industry analysis, Interviews Idea Problem Product Market Appendix: Larger Clinical Market Current Landscape: Large Clinical Market $500 Gen‐Probe Roche $404 $400 $300 $373 17% $100 Larger Clinical Market Penetration BD Other $430 Gen‐Probe BD Roche Other Curable STI Incidence Rate, 1999 STIgma Free Diagnostic Device can be used a POC device in developing countries Unpenetrated 17% 18% 32% $200 Appendix: Global Health 43% 33% New STI infections (millions) North America 156 14 Europe 408 39 Middle East 28% 31% Adult population (millions) Asia 46% 49% 50% 18% 1% $0 2007 2008 Approximately 700 million curable STIs worldwide (2010) 10% Latin America 2009 Source: CollegeBoard, Industry analysis, Kalorama Information, Interviews Planned Parenthood Ann Arbor (PP) University of Michigan Health Services (UHS) 15 Problem Idea Product 165 10 1,770 169 260 38 Australia 11 1 Africa 269 69 Total 3039 340 Market Source: World Health Organization Appendix: Chlamydia Appendix: Chlamydia trachomatis • Statistics • 1,210,523 infections reported to CDC in 2008 (underestimate) • 401.3 cases per 100,000 population, increase from 367.5 in 2007 and 102.5 in 1989 • Young women 15‐19 are most susceptible • Symptoms • Appear 1‐3 weeks after exposure • Women • Abnormal vaginal discharge, Burning sensation when urinating, Lower abdominal pain, Low back pain, Nausea, Fever, Pain during intercourse, Bleeding between menstrual periods • Men • Discharge from the penis, Burning sensation when urinating, Burning and itching around penis opening • Untreated • Women: PID, chronic pelvic pain, infertility, ectopic pregnancy • Antibiotics • Single dose of azithromycin • Week of twice daily doxycycline • • • Problem Idea Product Market Azithromycin Doxycycline Tetracycline Erythromycin Linked to prostatitis and epididymitis in men and cervicitis, pelvic inflammatory disease (PID), ectopic pregnancy, and acute or chronic pelvic pain in women Neisseria gonorrhoeae • • 17 Obligate human pathogen Estimated by CDC that about 1 million individuals in the United States are infected with chlamydia C. trachomatis infection can be effectively cured with antibiotics once it is detected CDC estimates that more than 700,000 persons in the U.S. get new gonorrheal infections each year. Only about half of these infections are reported to CDC. In 2006, the rate of reported gonorrheal infections was 120.9 per 100,000 persons In women, gonorrhea can cause of PID and in men, gonorrhea can cause epididymitis. Additionally, gonorrhea can spread to the blood or joints. This condition can be life threatening. Can spread to children of pregnant women causing gonococcal ophthalmia neonatorum . Similar antibiotics to Chlamydia can be used However, drug‐ resistant strains of gonorrhea are increasing. Appendix: Gonorrhea Appendix: Trichomoniasis • Statistics • 336,742 infections reported to CDC in 2008 (underestimate) • 111.6 cases per 100,000 population, numbers are somewhat stable • Symptoms • Appear 2‐30 days after exposure • Women • Asymptomatic, Abnormal vaginal discharge, Burning sensation when urinating, Bleeding between menstrual periods • Men • Asymptomatic, Discharge from the penis, Burning sensation when urinating • Untreated • Women: PID, internal abscesses, chronic pelvic pain, infertility, ectopic pregnancy • Men: epididymitis • Antibiotics • Single dose of azithromycin • Week of twice daily doxycycline • Drug resistant strains are increasing 19 Idea Problem Product • Statistics • Estimated 7.4 million new infections annually • Most common curable disease in young women • 85% of women have no symptoms • Symptoms • Appear 2‐30 days after exposure • Women • Abnormal vaginal discharge, Burning sensation when urinating, Irritation and itching of the genital area • Men • Asymptomatic, Irritation inside the penis, Discharge from the penis, Burning sensation after urination or ejaculation • Left untreated • Women: increase susceptibility to HIV infection • Treatment • Single dose of metronidazole or tinidazole Market 20 DANGERS! Associated with increased risk of transmission of HIV. May cause a woman to deliver a low‐birth‐ weight or premature infant. Associated with increased chances of cervical cancer Evidence implies that infection in males potentially raises the risks of prostate cancer development and spread due to inflammation • • • • • • FDA Device definition FDA Costs Specific Regulatory Codes 510 (k) Comparison Products Product Market Idea Product Market Total 3568 (no data for Georgia, Hawaii, New Hampshire) Midwest 1056 West 747 South 1289 Northeast 476 Michigan 119 [1] Midlej, V.; Benchimol, M. Trichomonas vaginalis kills and eats‐ evidence for phagocytic activity as a cytopathic effect. Parasitology 2010, 137, 65‐76 [2] American Social Health Association Appendix: FDA Process Idea Appendix: STI Clinics in the U.S. Appendix: Trichomonas vaginalis GENERAL • Caused by protozoan • Puts mechanical stress on host cells and then ingesting cell fragments after cell death [1] • Affects 7.4 million previously unaffected Americans each year [2] • The most frequently presenting new infection of the common sexually transmitted diseases [2] Problem 22 Problem Appendix: FDA Device Definition Federal Food Drug and Cosmetic Act 201 (h) Medical Device: “An instrument, apparatus, implement, machine, contrivance, implant, in vitro reagent, or other similar or related article, including a component part, or accessory which is: Recognized in the official National Formulary, or the United States Pharmacopoeia, or any supplement to them Intended for use in the diagnosis of disease or other conditions, or in the cure, mitigation, treatment, or prevention of disease, in man or other animals, or Intended to affect the structure or any function of the body of man or other animals, and which does not achieve any of itʹs primary intended purposes through chemical action within or on the body of man or other animals and which is not dependent upon being metabolized for the achievement of any of its primary intended purposes.ʺ Appendix: FDA Regulations and Preliminary Regulatory Strategy Appendix: FDA Cost 510 (k) for FY 2011 $4348 for Standard businesses $2,174 for small businesses (<$100 million in revenue) We want to avoid Pre‐Market Approval AT ALL COSTS $2,179 Must be on file for manufacturing site of device – this probably wouldn’t apply but I figured I’d put on there in case you wanted it But demonstrated clinical equivalence LKI, GPW, LKH, GPT, LJP, LJC – Chlamydia serological reagents (Class I) LGA – Oxidase test for gonorrhea (Class III) MKZ – “Multiplex Chlamydia/Gonorrhea test” (Class I) 21CFR866.3120 – Chlamydia serological reagents 21CFR866.2660 – Microorganism differentiation and identification device. Mostly applied to Trichomonas 21CFR866.2420 – Oxidase screening test for gonorrhea Appendix: Clinical Cost Estimates Gen-Probe Clinical costs per Dr. Newton’s estimates STD/Clinic related JWZ – Trichomonas Screening Kit (Class I) $59,075 for FY 2011 + Trials Appendix: 501(k) Comparison Products Regulatory Laws Establishment Registration Fee for FY 2011 There are 260 work days per year There are 2080 work hours per week At‐home related LCX – OTC Pregnancy Test Kit (Class II) NBW – OTC Blood Glucose (Class II) NFT, NFV, NFW, NFY – OTC Drug Tests (Class II) Large clinical machine (96 samples/run) ‐ $120,000 • Does extraction and PCR all‐in‐one • Only use for 3 years $120,000/3 = $40,000 per year $40,000/260 work days = $153.85 per day for use of the system Assume can run 80 samples per day $153.85/80 samples = $2 per test for machine use Appendix: Clinical Cost Estimates Gen-Probe Clinical Cost Estimates: Gen-Probe Device Clinical costs per Dr. Newton’s estimates Clinical costs per Dr. Newton’s estimates Reagents cost $25 per test Research technician ‐ $25/hour $200/day Machine cost Reagent cost Technician cost $2 $25 $5 $200 day/80 tests = $2.50 per test Total cost per test $32 Takes 2 technicians one to collect and one to analyze Standard PCR based test for G/C Research technicians cost $5 per test FDA Costs (assuming 510k) Costs to Manufacturing 510k filing fee Clinical trials Prototypes Legal fees for IP Fees for Attorneys/Consultants FDA Process $61,500 $30,000 $60,000 $20,000 Costs to manufacturing $171,500 $2,174 $31,000 •Assuming we test 500 total samples (500 Stigma Free ($30) and 500 tests ($32)) Registration fee for business Clinical & Administration Fees FDA costs to market $2,179 $35,000 $70,353 Home vaginal pH detection test Home UTI Test “The pHEM‐ALERT@ test measures vaginal pH and is intended for use by women who have any of the following vaginal symptoms: “The ACON UTI Urinary Tract Infection Test Strips are for the qualitative detection of Nitrite and Leukocytes in urine as an aid in the screening of urinary tract infection (UTI). It is intended for over‐the‐counter home use only.” [From 510k] Showed substantial equivalence to Bayer Multistix 10 SG Reagent Strips for Urinalysis Itching ‐ Burning ‐ Unpleasant odor ‐ Unusual discharge This test may help decide if these symptoms are caused by an infection that may require follow‐up by your healthcare provider. This test is only intended for women who have normal menstrual periods (periodic vaginal bleeding) or who may currently be pregnant. If you are pregnant, always discuss your symptoms and the result of this test with your healthcare provider and NEVER treat yourself.” [From 510k] Demonstrated substantial equivalence to current methods (2003) Class 2 medical device Over the counter product Male Infertility Tests First home male Infertility test (FertilMARQ) was designed and approved for the home‐use by the FDA in 2002Showed substatial equivalence to current fertility tests Conducted clinical trials by comparing results from trained professional and a home user Class 1 medical device “The predicate and the proposed device have the following similarities: assay format, test methodology, and assay matrix. The assays differ in their intended use setting (professional use in point‐of care setting versus over‐the‐counter) and their intended use (the predicate device also detects additional analytes that may provide information regarding the status of carbohydrate metabolism, kidney and liver function, acid‐base balance in addition to information about urinary tract infections).” “Conclusion: The submitted information in this premarket notification is complete and supports a substantial equivalence decision.” Pregnancy Tests 1976 ‐ FDA approval sought for Warner‐Chilcott e.p.t. “Early Pregnancy Test,” later dubbed “error Proof Test” Substantially equivalent to three other tests Predictor ACU‐TEST Answer Pregnancy tests are considered class 2 medical Devices The first home pregnancy tests were approved by the FDA by showing substantial equivalence to 3 clinic tests ‐ Predictor, ACU‐TEST, and Answer External Advisor Board Duane Newton, PhD Market Analysis Aileen Huang Saad,PhD Doug Neal Director, Clinical Microbiology & Virology Laboratories Center for Entrepreneurship Center for Entrepreneurship Charlotte A. Gaydos, DrPH, MPH Lindsay Klee Paul Kirsch Professor, Johns Hopkins University Associate Director Zell Lurie Institute Assistant Director, Commercialization Small Clinical Market Colleges / ‐ 4 Yr College / Universities > 2,000 students Universities ‐ Planned Parenthood Small Clinics Y1 enter MI @ 40% penetration Michigan 30 Y2 enter Midwest @ 20% penetration Y3 enter Northeast @ 20% penetration Midwest 221 Y4 enter West @ 20% penetration Y5 enter South @ 20% penetration Northeast 261 20% YOY growth University Health Services @ 40 tests per West 119 day, 5 days per week, for 36 weeks (9 mo) Planned Parenthood @ 25 tests per day, 5 South 253 days per week, 50 weeks per year (12 mo) All @ $30 price point Total 854 UHS @ 1.8 mm units by Y5, $53 mm rev PP @ 1.5 mm units by Y5, $45 mm rev Home Market, Enter Y4 Population US, 15‐24 = 43 million * 51% sexually active subset = 21.9 mm potential market of sexually active 15‐24 year olds 10% penetration, 15% YOY growth 2.5mm units by Y5 @ $30 price point $75mm USD top line sales Y5 Planned Parenthood 29 220 208 241 161 830 Problem Identification Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are a problem Enter clinic with “Monoplex” Assays Validate efficacy of test Expand to multiplex assay See notes 1 in 10 people worldwide has an STI 1 in 5 people ages 15‐24 contracts an STI each year in the U.S. $16.4 bn Preliminary Regulatory Strategy is the estimated direct medical costs associated with STIs in the U.S. Over 60% of the 15 million reported new cases of STIs in the U.S. are curable Source: World Health Organization (WHO), Center for Disease Control (CDC) Company STIgma Free Gen‐Probe BD Roche STIs C C C C G Timing Sample 20 minutes Urine 6‐8 hours Urine Location T G Urine 6‐8 hours Urine 20 minutes Vaginal Swab G Genzyme Source: Industry analysis, Interviews UHS, PP Electrical Components • TSMC Plastic Blow Molding • PTI Engineered Plastics Biologics G 6‐8 hours Idea Product Market Market Considerations Method Fabrication Summary of Competitive Landscape Problem 4 0 Distribution STIgma Free • Online platform FedEx Mass Distribution (CVS / Walgreens / Clinical) • Fischer Scientific • VWR • Long‐Term In‐ House T 41 Problem Idea Product Market Source: Industry analysis, Interviews 42 Problem Idea Product Market