Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County
Transcription
Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County
Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County T April 2010 Region C Water Planning Group D R AF Prepared for: Prepared by: Freese and Nichols, Inc Alan Plummer Associates, Inc CP&Y, Inc Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Region C Water Planning Group TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 1. Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................... 1.1 2. Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 2.1 2.1 3.1 Revisions to Population and Demand Projections ........................................................ 3.1 3.2 Recommended Population Projections ............................................................................. 3.6 3.3 Recommended Water Demands for Water User Groups ......................................... 3.10 3.4 Recommended Water Demands for Wholesale Water Providers ........................ 3.15 T 4. Population and Demand Projections ......................................................................................... 3.1 Evaluation of Current Supplies ..................................................................................................... 4.1 AF 3. Meetings to Collect Data ........................................................................................................... 2.1 4.1 Surface Water................................................................................................................................ 4.1 4.2 Groundwater ................................................................................................................................. 4.1 Comparison of Current Supplies to Projected Demand ..................................................... 5.1 6. Proposed Revisions to Water Management Strategies ...................................................... 6.1 7. Estimated Costs for Proposed Water Management Strategies ....................................... 7.1 8. Implementation Plan for Proposed Water Management Strategies ............................ 8.1 9. Alternative Water Management Strategies ............................................................................. 9.1 D R 5. 10. Conclusion ........................................................................................................................................... 10.1 APPENDICES Appendix 1 ........................................................................................................................................ References Appendix 2 ............................................................................... Summary Tables by Water User Group Appendix 3 ................................................................................................................................ Cost Estimates Appendix 4 ........................................................................................... Assumptions for Costs Estimates Appendix 5 ................ Technical Memorandum – Steam Electric Power Demand Projections Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County i LIST OF TABLES Page Table 2.1 Meetings with WUGs and WWPs ........................................................................................ 2.3 Table 3.1 Recommended Population Projections in Study Area .............................................. 3.8 Table 3.2 Recommended Population Projections for Entities Split by County................... 3.9 Table 3.3 Recommended Municipal Per Capita Water Use Projections in Gallons per Person per Day .......................................................................................................................... 3.12 Table 3.4 Recommended Demand Projections in Acre‐Feet per Year ................................. 3.13 Table 3.5 Recommended Population and Demand Projections Expected to be Supplied by Dallas Water Utilities ............................................................................................ 3.15 T Table 3.6 Recommended Population and Demand Projections Expected to be Supplied by North Texas Municipal Water District .......................................................... 3‐16 Table 3.7 Recommended Population and Demand Projections Expected to be Supplied by Tarrant Regional Water District ...................................................................... 3‐17 AF Table 6.1 Summary Information for Ables Springs WSC .............................................................. 6.1 Table 6.2 Summary Information for College Mound WSC ........................................................... 6.2 Table 6.3 Summary Information for Crandall ................................................................................... 6.3 Table 6.4 Summary Information for Forney ...................................................................................... 6.5 R Table 6.5 Summary Information for Kaufman County Irrigation ............................................. 6.6 Table 6.6 Summary Information for Kaufman County Other ..................................................... 6.7 Table 6.7 Summary Information for Kaufman County Steam Electric Power .................... 6.8 D Table 6.8 Summary Information for Mabank .................................................................................... 6.9 Table 6.9 Summary Information for Post Oak Bend City ........................................................... 6.10 Table 6.10 Summary Information for Scurry .................................................................................. 6.11 Table 6.11 Summary Information for Talty ..................................................................................... 6.12 Table 6.12 Summary Information for Terrell .................................................................................. 6.13 Table 7.1 Capital Costs for Proposed Water Management Strategies by Category .......... 7.1 Table 7.2 Capital Costs for Proposed Water Management Strategies by WUG .................. 7.1 Table 8.1 Implementation of Proposed Water Management Strategies ................................ 8.1 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County ii LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 2.1 Kaufman County Study Area ........................................................................................... 2.2 Figure 3.1 Recommended Population Projections for Kaufman County ........................... 3.7 Figure 3.2 Recommended Municipal Demand Projections for Kaufman County ......... 3.11 Figure 3.3 Recommended Total Demand Projections for Kaufman County .................. 3.11 D R AF T Figure 10.1 Total Demands and Supplies for Kaufman County .............................................. 10.1 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County iii Region C Water Planning Group Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 1. Executive Summary As part of the 2011 Region C water planning process, several special county studies were included to more closely examine the water management strategies for those counties. Kaufman County is one of the counties included in the study. The purpose of this study is to analyze alternative approaches to provide water to the northern portion of Kaufman County and analyze alternative potential uses for Lake Terrell. Water management strategies (WMSs) were changed based on information obtained from meetings with various water user groups (WUGs) in Kaufman County as well as from T surveys mailed to every WUG in Region C. Several WMSs were revised to reflect new demand projections as determined in the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). The population AF and demand projections in the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1) are greater than the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) projections from 2020 to 2060. Cost estimates and an implementation plan for water management strategies are also included in this report. The majority of WUGs in Kaufman County rely solely on surface water provided by R North Texas Municipal Water District (NTMWD), Tarrant Regional Water District (TRWD), and Dallas Water Utilities (DWU). Additional sources in the county include D Lake Tawakoni, Lake Terrell, and reuse. __________________ (1) Superscripted numbers in parenthesis match references in Appendix A. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 1.1 KAUFMAN N COUNTY COU URTHOUSE T AF Kaufman Co ounty Populatio on 40 00,000 90,000 25 50,000 10 00,000 5 50,000 0 D 20 00,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 80,000 70,000 Ac‐ft/Yr R 30 00,000 15 50,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2050 20660 2010 20 020 2030 Currently Available Supply 2050 0 2060 Demand 20 060 Kaufman C County Deman nd (% of total) (% off total) 10% 5% Municipal Irrigation n Irrigation Livestockk Manufaccturing 2040 Reecommended Strategiess 20 000 Kaufman C County Deman nd Municipaal Kaufman County Supplies & Dem mands 100,000 35 50,000 Population 2000 Popula ation: 71,313 3 060 Populatio on: 349,385 Projected 20 County Seatt: Kaufman Economy: M Manufacturin ng; government/services River Basin((s): − Trin nity (95%), Sab bine (5%) 13% 1% 2% 4 4% Livestock 19% % Manufactturing 66% Mining Mining Steam Ellectric Power Steam Eleectric Power To otal=15,523 accre‐feet 80% T Total= 77,308 a acre‐feet 1.2 Draft Wa ater Supply Study for Ka aufman Cou unty 2060 DEMANDA (ACFT/YR) WATER USER GROUP CURRENT SUPPLIES Ables Springs WSC 1,828 SRA sources (through MacBee WSC) College Mound WSC 2,623 NTMWD sources Combine 447 DWU sources (through Combine WSC) 1,189 DWU sources Crandall 2,362 NTMWD sources Forney Forney Lake WSC Gastonia‐Scurry WSC High Point WSC Kaufman Kemp 7,048 2,014 2,255 939 3,029 296 NTMWD sources, Garland reuse NTMWD sources NTMWD sources NTMWD sources NTMWD sources TRWD sources Mabank 1,323 TRWD sources 94 2 Oak Grove 283 Post Oak Bend City 982 Scurry 186 AF MacBee WSC Mesquite SRA sources NTMWD sources NTMWD sources (through Kaufman) 4,948 NTMWD sources (through Forney) Terrell West Cedar Creek MUD 24,643 NTMWD sources 3,180 TRWD sources Irrigation 2,916 Livestock 1,545 Manufacturing Mining 1,061 84 Cedar Creek Lake (TRWD), NTMWD sources, Direct reuse, Local supplies, Nacatoch Aquifer, Trinity Aquifer Local supplies, Nacatoch Aquifer, Woodbine Aquifer NTMWD sources Local supplies Steam Electric Power 10,000 Reuse from Garland (through Forney) County‐Other 2,020 Nacatoch Aquifer, NTMWD sources, Terrell (NTMWD), TRWD sources R 11 NTMWD sources (through Rose Hill SUD) NTMWD sources (through Gastonia‐ Scurry SUD) DWU sources Seagoville D Talty Purchase water from NTMWD & connect to Tawakoni WTP Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from Combine WSC (DWU) Purchase additional water from Seagoville (DWU) Purchase additional water from NTMWD, Purchase water from DWU (through Seagoville) Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase water from Forney (NTMWD) Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from TRWD Purchase additional water from TRWD, Water treatment plant expansion Water treatment plant expansion Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from Kaufman (NTMWD) Purchase additional water from Rose Hill SUD (NTMWD) Purchase additional water from Gastonia‐ Scurry SUD (NTMWD) Purchase additional water from DWU Purchase additional water from Forney (NTMWD) Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from TRWD, Water treatment plant expansions Purchase additional water from NTMWD, Supplemental wells in Nacatoch & Trinity Aquifers Supplemental wells in Nacatoch & Trinity Aquifers Purchase additional water from NTMWD None Purchase water from Forney (NTMWD), TRA reuse, Reuse from Garland (through Forney) Purchase additional water from NTMWD, Purchase additional water from TRWD, Supplemental wells in Nacatoch Aquifer T Combine WSC RECOMMENDED STRATEGIESB A B Kaufman County portion only Water conservation is a strategy for every municipal user group Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 1.3 2. Introduction The 2011 Region C Water Plan (1) includes special county studies funded by the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB). The consultant team for the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1) includes Freese and Nichols, Inc. (FNI), Alan Plummer and Associates (APAI), Chiang, Patel & Yerby, Inc. (CPY), and Cooksey Communications. The special county studies are aimed at analyzing approaches to developing and implementing the water management strategies for the counties. The Kaufman County Study is one of these projects. Many of the water management strategies are in line with the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). However, several of the Water User Group (WUG) demands have increased in T the long term and those water management strategies have been reevaluated. This report summarizes the analysis and recommendations for meeting water demand AF projections for WUGs in Kaufman County and potential alternative uses for Lake Terrell. The study area is shown in Figure 2.1. 2.1 Meetings to Collect Data Freese and Nichols, Inc. (FNI) met with six water user groups (WUGs) in Kaufman R County in the fall of 2009. An additional seven WUGs were contacted via telephone, but phone calls were not returned from four of the seven WUGs contacted. Table 3.1 lists D the meetings held and the meeting participants. At each in‐person meeting, FNI presented the finalized population and demand projections for the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). Several of the WUGs, including Forney and Crandall, did not agree with the new projections. These issues will be better addressed in the next round of planning once the 2010 Census has been completed. The current water supply for each entity, the recommended water management strategies as presented in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2), and any suggested adjustments to those recommendations were discussed. In many cases the entities plan to implement the recommended strategies, although the amounts of supply may change. In several cases the entities are pursuing other water supply options to meet their future needs. Current and future infrastructure projects were also discussed. Several of the Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 2.1 WUGs presented FNI with cost estimates of their near term projects as well as historical water use data. The information obtained in these meetings was used to supplement or update proposed management strategies. Cost estimate information provided was used to update Appendix Q of the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). Table 2.1 Meetings with WUGs and WWPs Date Entity Meeting Type Telephone Attendees Paula Weber, Richard Simmons, Keeley Brown, Amy Kaarlela, Dusty Brannum Shirley Blakely, Chad Wilson, Keeley Brown, Amy Kaarlela, Dusty Brannum Heath Kaplan, Keeley Brown, Amy Kaarlela Mike Shook, Richard Dormier, Keeley Brown, Amy Kaarlela Alan Smirl, Keeley Brown Telephone Josh Liles, Dusty Brannum 10/14/2009 Ables Springs WSC In person Forney 10/8/2009 Forney Lake WSC Gastonia‐Scurry SUD 11/2/09 In person In person In person R 10/14/2009 Kaufman T 11/3/2009 In person AF 11/5/09 College Mound WSC Crandall 10/14/2009 Telephone Telephone 9/21/09 Terrell In person 11/23/09 West Cedar Creek MUD Telephone D 10/15/2009 Rose Hill SUD 11/2/09 Talty WSC Richard Underwood, Keeley Brown, Amy Kaarlela, Dusty Brannum Vickie Armstrong, Amy Kaarlela Kim Langley, Dusty Brannum Sonny Groessel, Steve Rogers, Amy Kaarlela, Tom Gooch Tony Ciardo, Dusty Brannum Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 2.2 Figure 2.1 Kaufman County Water Supply Service Areas COLLIN COUNTY LAKE RAY HUBBARD DALLAS COUNTY LAKE TAWAKONI HUNT COUNTY TR ROCKWALL COUNTY V RI Y IT IN B SA E IV ER BA R ER IN SI BA N SI N ABLES SPRINGS WSC HIGH POINT WSC DALLAS FORNEY LAKE WSC FORNEY or k n Tri AF TALTY WSC st F Ea TALTY ity Riv SEAGOVILLE NEW TERRELL CITY LAKE TERRELL T MESQUITE er CRANDALL COMBINE POST OAK BEND CITY COMBINE WSC MACBEE SUD COLLEGE MOUND WSC R KAUFMAN D OAK GROVE GASTONIA - SCURRY WSC KAUFMAN COUNTY VAN ZANDT COUNTY ELLIS COUNTY ¬ RIVER RESERVOIR Trinity Ri ver KEMP WEST CEDAR CREEK MUD RIVER BASIN DIVIDE SERVICE AREA KAUFMAN COUNTY BOUNDARY NAVARRO COUNTY COUNTY BOUNDARY 0 3 BARDWELL LAKE 6 12 Miles Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County MABANK CEDAR CREEK RESERVOIR HENDERSON COUNTY FOREST GROVE RESERVOIR 2.3 3. Population and Demand Projections 3.1 Revisions to Population and Demand Projections The following section discusses the revisions to the population and demand projections as adopted in the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). Municipal per capita water use (measured in gallons per capita per day) and population projections are used to project future water demand. Municipal per capita water use is the sum of residential, commercial, and institutional water use divided by the population served. The Region C Consultant Team collected available historical and projected population data for each entity through the in‐person or phone meetings. Additional T historical population data was gathered from the Texas State Data Center (3), the U.S. Census Bureau (4), and the North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG) (5). AF FNI also gathered population projections developed by the NCTCOG and those approved by the Texas Water Development Board for regional water planning. Additional input from entities was obtained through surveys mailed to each WUG in Region C. Crandall R No revisions to Crandall’s population and demand projections were made in the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). However, after meeting with Crandall’s city staff, it D appears the TWDB approved population projections for the City may be low. The City has ample of room for growth and has plans to annex multiple areas around the City. The City also expects increased growth because of easy access to the City of Dallas via major highways. Crandall’s growth will be reexamined in the 2016 round of planning. The new projections will likely be more reflective of the City’s growth because of the 2010 Census numbers. College Mound WSC The population projections for College Mound WSC were changed based on a meter count provided by College Mound WSC. College Mound WSC recommended using the assumption of three people per meter to estimate their population. The revised projections are lower than 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) projections for the entire Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.1 planning period. The demand projections were changed based on the decreased population projections. Forney The City of Forney’s population was increased in 2010 based on recent data. The TWDB recommended an increase from 2010 through 2060, but based on historical data, the projections from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) are more in line with Forney’s current growth trends. After meeting with Forney, it seems several of their customers have Certificates of Convenience and Necessity (CCNs) within Forney’s city limits. This may have caused double counting of population between High Point WSC and Forney. Because the population and demand estimates had been finalized at the time of the T meeting, this issue will undergo further consideration in the next round of planning. The Forney Lake WSC AF demand for Forney was increased in 2010 based on the increased population. Forney Lake WSC is located in both Kaufman and Rockwall Counties with approximately 50 percent of the population in each county. The population for Forney Lake WSC was significantly decreased for the entire 50 year planning period based on the current R population as submitted by Forney Lake WSC to North Texas Municipal Water District (NTMWD). The demand was decreased based on the changes to population. D GastoniaScurry SUD Gastonia‐Scurry SUD’s population and demand projections were decreased for the entire planning period. Gastonia‐Scurry SUD had no disagreement with their population projections in their survey response but their population was decreased because of the addition of Scurry as a separate WUG. The demand projections were decreased relative to the decreases in population. High Point WSC The population estimate for High Point WSC was decreased based on the current Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) Utilities Database meter count. The current population was determined by assuming three people per meter. This current population estimate was used to revise the future projections by reducing them Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.2 proportionately. Demands were decreased based on the changes to population estimates. The municipal per capita values are the same as those in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). Kaufman The City of Kaufman’s population projections were not changed from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). The municipal per capita value for 2010 was increased based on recent data. The demand projection for 2010 increased based on the change to municipal per capita. Kaufman County Other The County Other population includes any rural population not included in a water user T group. Kaufman County Other projections were decreased because of the two new WUGs that were added in Kaufman County. Post Oak Bend City and Scurry are now AF considered WUGs because their population reached at least 500 people since the 2006 Plan. A portion of the population from County Other is now counted as Post Oak Bend City and Scurry’s population. The demand was decreased based on the changes to population. The municipal per capita values are the same as those presented in the 2006 Kemp R Region C Water Plan (2). D The population estimate for Kemp was increased based on Texas State Demographer data. The 2007 State Demographer population estimate for Kemp is 1,361. The 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) projects Kemp’s population as 1,133 for the entire 50 year planning period. Demands were increased based on the changes to population estimates. The municipal per capita values are the same as those in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). Mabank The City of Mabank’s population was increased based on a recommendation by the TWDB. The City’s demand increased based on the changes made to the population projections. The municipal per capita values are the same as those in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.3 Mesquite The majority of the City of Mesquite is located in Dallas County, with a very small portion crossing over into Kaufman County. There was no change to the population and demand projections from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) for the Kaufman County segment of the City. However, the municipal per capita usage was increased because commercial growth in Mesquite is much greater than the municipal growth. Post Oak Bend City Post Oak Bend City was added as a WUG in the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). The City’s population reached at least 500 since the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) which is the criteria a city must meet to be considered a WUG. Population projections for Post Oak T Bend City were provided by the TWDB. A municipal per capita usage of 115 gallons per capita per day (gpcd) was assumed as the baseline gpcd for water supply corporations. projections. Scurry AF The demand for the City was calculated based on the population and per capita usage Surry is another WUG that was added to the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). Population R projections for the City were provided by the TWDB. A municipal per capita usage of 115 gpcd was assumed. The demand for the City of Scurry was calculated based on the D population and per capita usage projections. Talty The City of Talty’s population was reduced in 2010 based on their survey response. The growth of the City has slowed recently, but their survey indicates they feel growth will be back in line with the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) projections by 2020. Based on recent data, the municipal per capita usage was increased for the 50 year planning period. The demand for 2010 decreased from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) projection, but increased from 2020 through 2060 because of the increase to per capita usage. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.4 Terrell Based on information from Terrell’s water provider (NTMWD) and Terrell’s Master Plan, the City’s population projections were increased for the planning period. The City’s demand was increased based on the changes to the population projections. West Cedar Creek MUD Based on West Cedar Creek MUD’s current meter count from the TCEQ Water Utilities Database and a factor of three persons per meter, FNI estimated their current population. From that estimate FNI revised the future projections proportionately. West Cedar Creek MUD’s population was decreased for all years based on the calculation described above. Their demand was decreased based on the changes to the population T projections. Additional County Aggregated Projections AF The Region C Consultant Team examined the demand projections developed in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) for county‐other, manufacturing, mining, irrigation, livestock, and steam electric power. In Kaufman County, only the steam electric power demands were adjusted for the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). R The steam electric power demands in Kaufman County were changed based on projections developed in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) and by the Bureau of D Economic Geology (BEG) in the study Water Demand Projections for Power Generation in Texas (4). The new steam electric demand projections for Kaufman County are significantly lower than those in the 2006 Plan and higher than the BEG projections. Kaufman County currently has one steam electric power plant owned by FPLE Forney LLP. Kaufman County is designated as a non‐attainment area and it is unlikely new plants will be constructed (See Appendix 5). Areas failing to meet the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for ozone are designated as non‐attainment areas. The 2010 projection did not change from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2), however the 2020 through 2060 demand projections were decreased. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.5 Water User Groups Whose Population and Demand Projections are Unchanged Population and demand projections remain unchanged for several water user groups. The population and demand projections presented in the 2006 Region C Water Ables Springs WSC Combine Combine WSC Crandall Kaufman County – Irrigation Kaufman County – Livestock Kaufman County – Manufacturing Kaufman County ‐ Mining MacBee SUD Mesquite Oak Grove Seagoville R D 3.2 AF T Plan (2) remain as previously projected for the following water user groups: Recommended Population Projections In general, the population in Kaufman County is increasing more than projected in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). The revised recommended projections are based on information provided by the entities and historical population estimates. The total recommended population projections for Kaufman County are lower than the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) projections for 2010 and higher from 2020 to 2060. Table 3.1 presents recommended population projections for each water user group in the study area, as well as what was previously projected in the 2006 Region C Water Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.6 Plan (2). Figure 3.1 shows the population projections for Kaufman County. Table 3.1 lists the population projections for the WUGs in Kaufman County. The population projections for entities split between counties or regions are shown in Table 3.2. The projections shown are the population projections for the entire entity, not just the Kaufman County portion. Figure 3.1 Recommended Population Projections for Kaufman County 375,000 T 275,000 225,000 175,000 125,000 75,000 2010 AF Population 325,000 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Year 2011 Plan D R 2006 Plan Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.7 2006 Plan Projections 2011 Plan Projections 2010 4,809 2020 6,529 2030 8,297 2040 10,257 2050 12,683 2060 15,693 10,530 1,547 2,730 14,426 4,373 12,000 10,200 8,000 4,761 8,256 1,133 13,042 1,921 3,897 14,426 5,933 24,000 11,000 10,000 5,982 10,864 1,133 15,624 2,306 5,096 14,426 7,537 30,000 11,500 11,648 7,237 13,020 1,133 18,485 2,732 6,425 14,426 9,314 35,000 12,000 14,122 8,628 14,753 1,133 22,027 3,260 8,071 14,426 11,515 39,000 12,500 17,186 10,350 16,484 1,133 26,421 3,914 10,112 14,426 14,245 42,803 13,000 20,986 12,486 19,883 1,133 2010 4,809 9,150 1,547 2,730 13,767 4,373 13,000 3,531 7,322 3,102 8,256 1,400 AF T Water User Group Ables Springs WSC College Mound WSC Combine a Combine WSC a County ‐ Other Crandall Forney Forney Lake WSC a Gastonia ‐ Scurry SUD High Point WSC a Kaufman Kemp R Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Table 3.1 Recommended Population Projections in Kaufman County 2020 6,529 11,333 1,921 3,897 13,767 5,933 24,000 3,938 9,211 3,898 10,864 1,700 2030 8,297 13,576 2,306 5,096 13,767 7,537 30,000 4,922 10,730 4,715 13,020 2,000 2040 10,257 16,062 2,732 6,425 13,767 9,314 35,000 6,153 13,054 5,622 14,753 2,000 2050 12,683 19,140 3,260 8,071 13,767 11,515 39,000 7,691 15,944 6,744 16,484 2,000 2060 15,693 22,958 3,914 10,112 13,767 14,245 42,803 9,613 19,541 8,136 19,883 2,000 D Mabank a 2,367 2,889 3,425 4,019 4,755 5,667 2,637 3,219 3,816 4,478 5,298 6,314 a MacBee SUD 277 348 421 502 602 726 277 348 421 502 602 726 a Mesquite 2 3 4 6 8 10 2 3 4 6 8 10 Oak Grove 928 1,141 1,360 1,602 1,902 2,274 928 1,141 1,360 1,602 1,902 2,274 Post Oak Bend City Not a WUG in 2006 Plan 659 1,075 1,754 2,862 4,671 7,623 Scurry Not a WUG in 2006 Plan 678 789 918 1,068 1,242 1,445 a Seagoville 17 27 37 48 62 79 17 27 37 48 62 79 Talty 2,447 3,832 5,256 6,834 8,788 11,211 1,800 3,832 5,256 6,834 8,788 11,211 Terrell 15,196 18,642 21,664 23,650 25,599 28,445 16,185 45,005 65,000 85,000 97,000 110,000 a West Cedar Creek MUD 8,972 12,971 17,081 21,635 27,274 34,269 7,079 10,234 13,477 17,070 21,519 27,038 Kaufman County Total 112,971 148,580 177,072 205,571 237,625 277,783 103,249 162,664 208,009 254,609 297,391 349,385 a Kaufman County portion only 3.8 AF T 2006 Plan Projections 2011 Plan Projections Water User Group 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Ables Springs 5,227 7,046 8,956 11,153 14,106 17,943 5,227 7,046 8,956 11,153 14,106 17,943 WSC Combine 2,393 2,969 3,474 4,019 4,702 5,563 2,393 2,969 3,474 4,019 4,702 5,563 Combine WSC 4,122 5,737 7,202 8,795 10,785 13,285 4,122 5,737 7,202 8,795 10,785 13,285 Forney Lake WSC 18,200 22,000 23,000 24,000 25,000 26,000 6,300 7,875 9,844 12,305 15,381 19,226 High Point WSC 5,218 6,619 8,030 9,589 11,509 13,877 3,400 4,313 5,232 6,248 7,499 9,042 Mabank 2,708 3,254 3,814 4,433 5,199 6,149 3,074 3,729 4,401 5,142 6,058 7,194 MacBee WSC 8,496 9,931 11,211 12,326 13,956 16,019 8,496 9,931 11,211 12,326 13,956 16,019 Mesquite 160,002 195,003 225,004 242,006 249,008 250,610 142,002 165,003 180,004 183,168 183,445 183,501 Seagoville 16,668 19,183 21,352 23,699 25,536 27,517 13,017 16,327 19,537 22,848 25,536 27,517 West Cedar 21,673 28,602 35,601 43,119 52,374 63,933 17,100 22,567 28,089 34,021 41,323 50,443 Creek MUD D R Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Table 3.2 Recommended Population Projections for Entities Split by County 3.9 3.3 Recommended Water Demands for Water User Groups The municipal water demand projections presented in this section are based on per capita dry‐year water use and the adopted population projections from the previous section. The per capita dry‐year water uses presented in this section are based on the per capita water uses from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2), which include water savings from plumbing code requirements for low‐flow fixtures. Adjustments to per capita water use from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) were made to Kaufman (2010 only), Mesquite, Seagoville, and Talty. The changes to Kaufman, Seagoville, Talty were made based on recent per capita water use data. Mesquite’s per capita use was adjusted T because the commercial growth is much greater than the population growth in Mesquite. Table 3.4 summarizes the municipal per capita water use projections for this AF study. Municipal per capita water use is the sum of residential, commercial, and institutional water use divided by the population served. Figure 3.2 shows the 2006 and 2011 Plan municipal demand projections. For each entity the population projections was multiplied by the projected municipal R per capita water use to establish the projected demand. Table 3.5 lists the adopted demand projections for this study. D Non‐municipal water demand projections including manufacturing, steam electric power, irrigation, mining, and livestock are reported on a county‐wide basis. Projections of the non‐municipal water demands were based on the projections from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). Projections for manufacturing, irrigation, and livestock did not change from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) for any of the counties in Region C. The steam electric power demands were revised based on available new information, which included recent power plant development activity, mothballing of existing plants, and the Bureau of Economic Geology report (6) released in 2008. Appendix 5 contains a technical memorandum detailing the revisions to steam electric power demands for Region C. Table 3.5 shows the projected demands for Kaufman County. Figure 3.3 shows the total demands for Kaufman County from the 2006 and 2011 Region C Water Plans (1, 2). Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.10 Figure 3.2 Recommended Municipal Demand Projections for Kaufman County Municipal Demand (af/y) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 2020 2030 2040 2050 T 2010 2060 Year 2011 Plan AF 2006 Plan 95,000 Total Demand (af/y) D 85,000 R Figure 3.3 Recommended Total Demand Projections for Kaufman County 75,000 65,000 55,000 45,000 35,000 25,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Year 2006 Plan Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 2011 Plan 3.11 Table 3.3 Recommended Municipal Per Capita Water Use Projections in Gallons per Person per Day 2006 Plan Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 95 107 105 104 104 74 91 104 103 102 2060 104 102 2010 95 74 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 107 105 104 104 91 104 103 102 2060 104 102 105 107 104 103 102 102 106 107 104 103 102 102 Combine WSC County ‐ Other Crandall Forney 100 135 149 144 107 134 151 150 106 133 149 148 105 132 148 147 105 131 148 147 105 131 148 147 100 135 149 144 107 134 151 150 106 133 149 148 105 132 148 147 105 131 148 147 105 131 148 147 Forney Lake WSC Gastonia ‐ Scurry SUD 195 94 192 107 190 105 188 103 187 103 187 103 195 94 192 107 190 105 188 103 187 103 187 103 High Point WSC Kaufman Kemp 95 125 143 107 141 140 105 138 137 104 137 134 103 136 132 103 136 132 96 143 143 107 141 140 105 138 137 104 137 134 103 136 132 103 136 132 Mabank 195 MacBee SUD 116 Mesquite Oak Grove Post Oak Bend City Scurry 160 119 189 188 187 187 194 191 188 188 187 187 115 115 116 116 116 116 115 115 116 116 116 157 154 153 152 116 113 112 111 Not a WUG in 2006 Plan Not a WUG in 2006 Plan 152 111 165 119 115 115 164 116 115 115 168 113 115 115 168 112 115 115 168 111 115 115 168 111 115 115 128 314 206 103 125 314 200 105 143 403 210 90 139 400 206 103 138 397 203 106 136 395 201 105 136 394 200 105 136 394 200 105 R 192 132 315 210 90 D Seagoville Talty Terrell West Cedar Creek MUD a Region C portion only T Combine AF Water User Group Ables Springs WSC a College Mound WSC 127 314 203 106 125 314 201 105 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 125 314 200 105 3.12 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Table 3.4 Recommended Demand Projections in Acre‐Feet per Year Water User Group Ables Springs WSC College Mound WSC 2010 512 873 Combine a 2060 1,828 3,019 2010 512 758 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 783 976 1,195 1,478 1,155 1,582 1,853 2,187 2060 1,828 2,623 230 269 315 372 447 182 230 269 315 372 447 Combine WSC County ‐ Other Crandall Forney 306 2,182 730 1,936 467 2,166 1,004 4,033 605 2,150 1,258 4,973 756 2,133 1,544 5,763 949 2,117 1,909 6,422 1,189 2,117 2,362 7,048 306 2,082 730 2,097 467 2,066 1,004 4,033 605 2,051 1,258 4,973 756 2,036 1,544 5,763 949 2,020 1,909 6,422 1,189 2,020 2,362 7,048 Forney Lake WSC a Gastonia ‐ Scurry SUD 2,228 842 2,366 1,199 2,448 1,370 2,527 1,629 2,618 1,983 2,723 2,421 771 771 847 1,104 1,048 1,262 1,296 1,506 1,611 1,840 2,014 2,255 High Point WSC a Kaufman Kaufman County ‐ Irrigation Kaufman County ‐Livestock 507 1,156 2,916 1,545 717 1,716 2,916 1,545 851 2,013 2,916 1,545 1,005 2,264 2,916 1,545 1,194 2,511 2,916 1,545 1,441 3,029 2,916 1,545 330 1,322 2,916 1,545 467 1,716 2,916 1,545 555 2,013 2,916 1,545 655 2,264 2,916 1,545 778 2,511 2,916 1,545 939 3,029 2,916 1,545 760 813 869 928 993 1,061 760 813 869 928 993 1,061 82 83 84 79 80 81 82 83 84 Kaufman County ‐Steam Electric Power Kemp a Mabank a MacBee SUD 3.13 Mesquite a R D Kaufman County ‐ Manufacturing Kaufman County ‐Mining AF T 182 a 2006 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 1,478 783 976 1,195 1,329 1,820 2,133 2,517 79 80 81 8,979 17,798 20,808 24,478 28,950 34,403 8,979 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 181 178 174 170 168 168 224 267 307 300 296 296 517 621 725 846 996 1,187 576 692 808 943 1,110 1,323 36 45 54 65 78 94 36 45 54 65 78 94 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Table 3.4, Continued Oak Grove Post Oak Bend City Scurry 124 3 Seagoville a Talty Terrell 863 3,575 West Cedar Creek MUD a Kaufman County Total 1,348 4,302 1,849 4,926 2,404 5,325 11 3,943 6,372 124 85 87 3 148 138 102 4 172 226 118 5 201 369 138 7 236 602 160 9 283 982 186 11 813 1,717 2,337 3,024 3,878 4,948 3,807 10,385 14,780 19,138 21,731 24,643 904 1,497 2,028 2,545 3,208 4,031 714 1,181 1,600 2,008 2,531 3,180 31,936 47,306 54,886 62,777 72,079 83,724 30,609 43,906 52,411 60,848 68,246 77,308 D R Kaufman County portion only 3.14 3,091 5,735 283 AF T a 148 172 201 236 Not a WUG in 2006 Plan Not a WUG in 2006 Plan 4 5 7 9 3.4 Recommended Water Demands for Wholesale Water Providers A number of regional and local wholesale water providers (WWPs) supply water throughout Kaufman County. Regional wholesale water providers in Kaufman County include: Dallas Water Utilities (DWU) North Texas Municipal Water District (NTMWD) Tarrant Regional Water District (TRWD) Local wholesale water provides include: Forney Seagoville Terrell West Cedar Creek MUD AF T Tables 3.5 through 3.7 show the recommended population and demand projections R expected to be supplied by DWU, NTMWD, and TRWD. D Table 3.5 Recommended Population and Demand Projections Expected to be Supplied by Dallas Water Utilities DWU Customers in Study Area Population Served by DWU Seagoville Combine WSC a Combine a Crandall Population served by DWU in Study Area Demand Supplied by DWU Seagoville Combine WSC a Combine a Crandall Demand on DWU in Study Area a 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 62 10,785 4,702 7,473 23,022 79 13,285 5,563 10,199 29,126 9 1,268 537 1,239 3,053 11 1,562 635 1,692 3,900 17 4,122 2,393 0 6,532 27 5,737 2,969 1,976 10,709 37 7,202 3,474 3,520 14,233 3 462 282 0 747 4 688 356 334 1,382 5 855 405 588 1,853 Includes Dallas and Kaufman Counties Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 48 8,795 4,019 5,272 18,134 7 1,035 463 874 2,379 3.15 Table 3.6 Recommended Population and Demand Projections Expected to be Supplied by North Texas Municipal Water District 2030 8,956 4,017 30,000 2,616 5,256 1,302 9,844 10,730 918 13,020 1,360 2,604 4 1,754 65,000 13,576 2,616 5,208 178,781 2040 2050 11,153 14,106 4,042 4,042 35,000 39,000 3,124 3,750 6,834 8,788 1,475 1,648 12,305 15,381 13,054 15,944 1,068 1,242 14,753 16,484 1,602 1,902 2,951 3,297 6 8 2,862 4,671 85,000 97,000 16,062 19,140 3,124 3,750 5,901 6,594 220,316 256,746 1,299 1,644 670 670 5,763 6,422 364 433 3,024 3,878 445 476 204 202 2,592 3,222 1,506 1,840 138 160 2,264 2,511 300 296 407 404 1,121 1,121 1 1 369 602 19,138 21,731 D R AF T NTMWD Customers in Study Area 2010 2020 Population Served by NTMWD Ables Springs WSC a 0 7,046 Crandall 4,373 3,957 Forney 13,000 24,000 b High Point WSC (50%) 1,700 2,157 Talty WSC 2,447 3,832 Kaufman County Other (10%) 826 1,086 b Forney Lake WSC 6,300 7,875 Gastonia ‐ Scurry SUD 7,322 9,211 Scurry 678 789 Kaufman 8,256 10,864 Oak Grove 928 1,141 Kaufman County Other (20%) 1,651 2,173 c Mesquite 2 3 Post Oak Bend City 659 1,075 Terrell 16,185 45,005 College Mound WSC 9,150 11,333 b High Point WSC (50%) 1,700 2,157 Kaufman County Other (40%) 3,302 4,346 Total Population Served by NTMWD 78,479 138,049 Demand Supplied by NTMWD (Ac‐Ft/Yr) Ables Springs WSC a 0 845 Crandall 730 670 Forney 2,097 4,033 High Point WSC b (50%) 181 259 Talty WSC 813 1,717 Kaufman County Manufacturing (60%) 365 390 Kaufman County Other (10%) 208 207 Forney Lake WSC b 1,376 1,694 Gastonia ‐ Scurry SUD 771 1,104 Scurry 87 102 Kaufman 1,322 1,716 Oak Grove 224 267 Kaufman County Other (20%) 416 413 Kaufman County SEP (1 MGD) 0 1,121 c Mesquite 0 1 Post Oak Bend City (through Rose Hill SUD) 85 138 Terrell 3,807 10,385 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 1,054 670 4,973 308 2,337 417 205 2,096 1,262 118 2,013 307 410 1,121 1 226 14,780 3.16 2060 17,943 4,046 42,803 4,521 11,211 1,988 19,226 19,541 1,445 19,883 2,274 3,977 10 7,623 110,000 22,958 4,521 7,953 301,923 2,090 670 7,048 522 4,948 509 202 4,028 2,255 186 3,029 296 404 1,121 2 982 24,643 Table 3.6, Continued College Mound WSC High Point WSC a (50%) Hunt County Other Kaufman County Manufacturing (40%) Kaufman County Other (40%) Total NTMWD Demand in Study Area 758 181 108 243 833 14,605 1,155 259 128 260 826 27,690 1,582 308 157 278 820 35,443 1,853 364 203 297 814 43,136 2,187 433 313 318 808 49,672 2,623 522 485 340 808 57,713 a Includes Kaufman and Hunt Counties Includes Kaufman and Rockwall Counties c Kaufman County Portion Only b Table 3.7 Recommended Population and Demand Projections Expected to be Supplied by Tarrant Regional Water District R D Demand Supplied by TRWD Kaufman County Irrigation Kaufman County Other (20%) Kemp Mabank a West Cedar Creek MUD a Seven Points b Tool b Demand on TRWD in Study Area a 2020 2030 2,753 1,400 3,074 17,100 1,402 2,618 28,347 2,753 1,700 3,729 22,567 1,681 2,990 35,420 2,753 2,000 4,401 28,089 1,956 3,357 42,556 100 416 224 671 1,724 188 405 3,728 100 413 267 801 2,604 222 452 4,859 100 410 307 931 3,335 254 500 5,837 2040 2050 2,753 2,753 2,000 2,000 5,142 6,058 34,021 41,323 2,238 2,582 3,733 4,192 49,887 58,908 100 100 407 404 300 296 1,083 1,269 4,002 4,860 288 330 548 610 6,728 7,869 T 2010 AF TRWD Customers in Study Area Population Served by TRWD Kaufman County Other (20%) Kemp Mabank a West Cedar Creek MUD a Seven Points b Tool b Population Served by TRWD in Study Area Includes Kaufman and Henderson Counties b Located in Henderson County Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 3.17 2060 2,753 2,000 7,194 50,443 3,016 4,771 70,177 100 404 296 1,507 5,933 385 695 9,320 4. Evaluation of Current Supplies 4.1 Surface Water The surface water sources for water user groups in Kaufman County include NTMWD supplies, TRWD supplies, DWU supplies, Lake Tawakoni (SRA supplies), and reuse. All of the municipal WUGs, with the exception of Kaufman County Other, use only surface water supplies. Lake Terrell is owned by the City of Terrell and was once used as a supply source for the City of Terrell. Terrell has recently increased their supply from NTMWD and has discontinued the use of Lake Terrell as a municipal water supply. Terrell is considering T building a pipeline from Lake Terrell to Lake Tawakoni and selling the water to SRA or NTMWD, selling water for local irrigation purposes, or leaving the lake as is. Terrell has 4.2 Groundwater AF applied for TWDB planning funds to look into other alternative uses of Lake Terrell. Groundwater supplies are used to help meet the demands for irrigation, livestock, and county other. Pumping occurs in the Nacatoch, Woodbine, and Trinity Aquifers. The R total groundwater availability in Kaufman County is 1,910 acre‐feet per year according to the available managed available groundwater (MAG) reports. Of the 1,910 acre‐feet D per year available, 703 acre‐feet per year is allocated to WUGs in Kaufman County. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 4.1 5. Comparison of Current Supplies to Projected Demand The revised projected demands in the study area are lower than those shown in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) for 2010 and higher from 2020 to 2060. Many of the WUGs plan on continuing to use their current supply source and increase the amount supplied to them. A few of the WUGs plan on pursuing alternative or additional water sources. The water management strategies for several WUGs have been revised to meet D R AF T increased demands. The proposed revisions are discussed in the following section. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 5.1 6. Proposed Revisions to Water Management Strategies This section describes the proposed water management strategy adjustments from the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1). Appendix 2 includes a summary table of demand and supply for each water user group in Kaufman County. The Kaufman County supply mainly consists of surface water from regional wholesale water providers. Ables Springs WSC Ables Springs WSC is currently a customer of MacBee WSC but will cease operation with them in the fall of 2010. At that time the NTMWD Tawakoni Plant [Sabine River Authority (SRA) source] will be online. Ables Springs plans to get any current and future supply from the Plant. Table 6.1 summarizes Ables Springs WSC’s future water supply T plans. AF Table 6.1 Summary Information for Ables Springs WSC Ables Springs WSC (Region C and D) R Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 5,227 7,046 8,956 11,153 14,106 17,943 556 845 1,054 1,299 1,644 2,090 556 845 1,054 1,299 1,644 2,090 D Currently Available Water Supplies SRA sources (through MacBee SUD) Total Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 845 1,054 1,299 1,644 2,090 9 5 33 7 52 9 91 13 118 16 825 394 1,299 944 596 1,644 1,116 840 2,090 0 0 0 69 11 No longer a WMS 0 0 13 688 117 845 745 248 1,054 Surplus or (Shortage) 965 965 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from SRA & participate in MacBee SUD water treatment plant Purchase water from NTMWD & connect to Tawakoni WTP Purchase additional water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 422 Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 0 0 6.1 College Mound WSC College Mound WSC gets all of its water from NTMWD through three separate delivery points. The delivery points include the Kaufman 4‐1 line, a direct line from NTMWD, and a supply line from Terrell. The Kaufman 4‐1 group includes Gastonia‐ Scurry SUD, College Mound WSC, Rose Hill SUD, and Crandall. The water from the Terrell supply line is purchased through Terrell, but NTMWD is the original source. College Mound WSC plans to upsize the Terrell supply line, from an eight inch line to a 12‐inch line by 2020. The line to be replaced is approximately 3.5 miles long. College Mound WSC’s water supply plans are outlined in Table 6.2. 2011 Plan Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 9,150 11,333 13,576 16,062 19,140 22,958 758 1,155 1,582 1,853 2,187 2,623 758 1,155 1,582 1,853 2,187 2,623 AF College Mound WSC Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand T Table 6.2 Summary Information for College Mound WSC R Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply D 1,118 1,118 1,177 1,177 1,256 1,256 1,400 1,400 13 215 464 676 931 1,223 55 160 215 86 378 464 108 568 676 136 795 931 172 1,051 1,223 0 0 0 13 0 13 Surplus or (Shortage) 940 940 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 745 745 0 0 0 Combine WSC See Section 9 for an alternative water management strategy listed for Combine WSC. Crandall North Texas Municipal Water District (NTMWD) supplies all of Crandall’s water through the Kaufman 4‐1 consortium. The Kaufman 4‐1 consortium is comprised of Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.2 Crandall, College Mound WSC, Gastonia‐Scurry SUD, and Rose Hill SUD. Crandall owns 26.7 percent of the Kaufman 4‐1 facilities. The City currently uses more than their contracted amount. This is possible because Gastonia‐Scurry WSC is not using their entire contracted amount. Crandall approached NTMWD about additional facilities, but NTMWD is not able to put in additional facilities until the Kaufman 4‐1 line is used at full capacity. Crandall has sought to purchase additional capacity from the other Kaufman 4‐1 users, but none are willing to sell any of their capacity. Crandall is now pursuing purchasing water from Dallas Water Utilities (DWU) through Seagoville. Crandall is currently seeking an amendment to the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) to construct a supply line from T Seagoville to Crandall. The agreement for water will be with DWU. The DWU water will be passed through Seagoville and Crandall will pay Seagoville a “facility charge.” Table AF 6.3 shows Crandall’s future water supply plans. Table 6.3 Summary Information for Crandall D R Crandall Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 4,373 5,933 7,537 9,314 11,515 14,245 730 1,004 1,258 1,544 1,909 2,362 730 1,004 1,258 1,544 1,909 2,362 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 715 715 545 545 474 474 426 426 385 385 358 358 15 459 784 1,118 1,524 2,004 140 20 342 617 1,119 189 26 503 806 1,524 253 32 752 967 2,005 0 0 0 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Purchase water from DWU (through Seagoville) Total Water Management Strategies 9 6 0 0 15 60 12 123 264 459 103 16 223 443 785 0 0 0 Surplus or (Shortage) Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.3 Forney The City of Forney’s current sources include NTMWD supplies and reuse from the City of Garland. The reuse from Garland is used only for steam electric power purposes. Forney is a member city of NTMWD and has no plans to obtain future supplies from any other entities. The City has two pump stations that deliver treated water from NTMWD. Pump station 1 has a 13 million gallon per day (mgd) maximum capacity. Pump station 2 has a current (Phase I) capacity of 13 mgd. A 15 mgd expansion (Phase II) has already been designed and was slated for construction before the current decline in the economy. Another 15 mgd expansion (Phase III) is planned, but will not be constructed until the City needs it. The pump station is already designed for these expansions with a T build‐out capacity of 43 mgd. Cost estimates for Phases I and II were provided to Freese and Nichols, Inc. by the City’s Engineer. It is estimated that each expansion will cost AF approximately five million dollars. Forney’s current water management strategies are in line with the strategies in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). The amount of supply from NTMWD is increased in 2010 to meet the increased demands. Table 6.4 summarizes the updates to the water D R management strategies for Forney. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.4 Table 6.4 Summary Information for Forney 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 Forney 2060 Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 13,000 24,000 30,000 35,000 39,000 42,803 2,097 4,033 4,973 5,763 6,422 7,048 10,546 11,452 12,146 12,916 13,868 15,060 12,643 15,485 17,119 18,679 20,290 22,108 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Garland Reuse Total Supply 6,588 8,979 15,567 7,097 8,979 16,076 8 1,101 2,284 3,444 4,723 6,032 292 22 787 1,101 454 33 1,797 2,284 617 41 2,786 3,444 803 48 3,872 4,723 1,028 55 4,949 6,032 0 0 0 T 6,256 8,979 15,235 AF 37 0 0 37 29 0 0 D Kaufman 5,856 8,979 14,835 R 5,405 8,979 14,384 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) 3,656 8,979 12,635 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) See Section 9 for an alternative water management strategy listed for the City of Kaufman. Kaufman County Irrigation In the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) purchasing additional water from TRWD was a water management strategy (WMS). This is not included as a WMS in the 2011 Plan. Purchasing water from NTMWD was also listed as a WMS in the 2006 Plan. This strategy is now a current supply for Kaufman County Irrigation. Water management strategies for Kaufman County Irrigation include conservation, additional water from NTMWD, and supplemental wells in the Nacatoch and Trinity Aquifers. Table 6.5 summarizes Kaufman County Irrigation’s water supply plans. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.5 Table 6.5 Summary Information for Kaufman County Irrigation 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 Kaufman County Irrigation Projected Water Demand Irrigation Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies Cedar Creek Lake (TRWD) Direct Reuse NTMWD Sources Irrigation Local Supply Nacatoch Aquifer Trinity Aquifer Total Supply 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 92 758 1,469 64 4 185 2,572 3 R Water Management Strategies Water Conservation Purchase water from NTMWD Supplemental wells in Nacatoch & Trinity Aquifers Total Water Management Strategies 2,916 2,916 67 758 1,146 64 4 185 2,225 59 758 1,037 64 4 185 2,107 52 758 963 64 4 185 2,026 344 551 691 809 890 177 514 0 691 212 597 0 809 247 643 0 890 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 72 272 0 344 140 411 0 551 1 0 0 Kaufman County Other Rose Hill SUD is not considered a WUG in the 2011 Region C Water Plan (1), but based on information obtained via telephone, it is recommended Rose Hill SUD be included as a WUG in the next round of planning. Rose Hill SUD has 1,396 connections and the average day use in 2008 was 0.257 mgd which qualifies it as a WUG. Rose Hill SUD currently has three sources of supply including Terrell, Kaufman 4‐1 line, and the Old Kaufman line. The Terrell supply was discontinued in November 2009. The other two lines are supplied by NTMWD. In place of the supply from Terrell, Rose Hill SUD will get water directly from NTMWD via the Terrell Line. Rose Hill has a tap on this line and a Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 2,916 2,916 D 2,916 2,916 Surplus or (Shortage) 78 758 1,276 64 4 185 2,365 AF Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 2,916 2,916 T 100 576 1,984 64 4 185 2,913 2060 6.6 storage tank at the tap location. A new pipeline will be built to access this water in the very near future. The new infrastructure will consist of about a one mile 12‐inch pipeline, a meter, and chlorine treatment. The estimated cost of this project is $1.1 million. A contract with NTMWD exists that allows Rose Hill to take up to 100 million gallons per year from this line. Table 6.6 summarizes the water supply plans for Kaufman County Other. Table 6.6 Summary Information for Kaufman County Other T 2010 13,767 2,082 2,082 AF Kaufman County Other Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 13,767 13,767 13,767 13,767 2,066 2,051 2,036 2,020 2,066 2,051 2,036 2,020 241 1,437 411 2,089 241 1,177 379 1,797 241 1,015 320 1,576 241 905 275 1,421 241 812 239 1,292 241 755 208 1,204 0 269 475 615 728 816 68 152 49 0 269 91 293 92 0 476 99 397 120 0 616 105 481 142 0 728 112 552 152 0 816 0 0 0 R Currently Available Water Supplies Nacatoch Aquifer NTMWD Sources TRWD Sources (part through Mabank) Total Supply 2060 13,767 2,020 2,020 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) D Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from NTMWD Purchase water from TRWD Supplemental wells in Nacatoch Aquifer Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) 25 0 0 0 25 32 0 0 Kaufman County Steam Electric Power The water management strategies for Kaufman County Steam Electric Power have been adjusted as shown in Table 6.7 to reflect the changes in projected demands. Steam electric power demands from the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) were reevaluated Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.7 using more recent studies and improved methodologies for determining steam electric power water use (See Appendix 5). The projected demands for Kaufman County steam electric power water use have been significantly reduced since the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). Steam electric power demands in Kaufman County are currently met using reuse from Garland (through Forney) and 1 MGD of treated water from the City of Forney. Table 6.7 Summary Information for Kaufman County Steam Electric Power Currently Available Water Supplies Reuse from Garland (through Forney) Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) T AF Kaufman County Steam Electric Power Projected Water Demand Steam Electric Power Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 8,979 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 8,979 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 D 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 0 1,021 1,021 1,021 1,021 1,021 0 0 0 0 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 7,721 7,721 7,721 Surplus or (Shortage) 8,979 8,979 R Water Management Strategies Purchase water from Forney (NTMWD) TRA reuse Reuse from Garland (through Forney) Total Water Management Strategies 0 7,721 7,721 Mabank The City of Mabank currently purchases water from TRWD. According to Mabank’s survey response, the City has a 20‐year contract with TRWD that allocates between 1,140 and 1,870 acre‐feet per year. This contract amount is greater than the projected 2060 demand for both Kaufman and Henderson Counties. The City will purchase additional water from TRWD to meet their increased demands, but will need a water Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.8 treatment plant expansion to meet all of the City’s future demands. Table 6.8 summarizes Mabank’s water supply plans. Table 6.8 Summary Information for Mabank 2011 Plan Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Mabank (Henderson and Kaufman County) Projected Population 3,074 3,729 4,401 5,142 6,058 7,194 Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand 671 801 931 1,083 1,269 1,507 Total Projected Water Demand 671 801 931 1,083 1,269 1,507 R Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from TRWD Water Treatment Plant Expansions Water treatment plant expansion (1 MGD) a Total Water Management Strategies D 735 735 726 726 731 731 750 750 776 776 6 66 205 352 519 731 6 0 0 560 6 69 2 0 560 71 169 3 32 560 205 206 4 142 560 352 253 4 262 560 519 313 5 413 560 731 0 5 0 0 0 0 Surplus or (Shortage) a Not included in total to avoid double counting 665 665 T Need (Demand ‐ Supply) AF Currently Available Water Supplies TRWD Sources Total Supply Post Oak Bend City Post Oak Bend City was not large enough to be considered a WUG in the 2006 Plan. However, since the 2006 Plan, the City’s population has reached at least 500 and the City is now deemed a WUG. The City currently purchases water from Rose Hill SUD who is supplied by NTMWD sources. Post Oak Bend City’s water supply plans are outlined in Table 6.9. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.9 Table 6.9 Summary Information for Post Oak Bend City 2010 Post Oak Bend City Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 659 2,862 226 226 369 369 2060 4,671 7,623 602 602 982 982 83 83 112 112 160 160 234 234 346 346 524 524 2 26 66 135 256 458 20 114 134 35 221 256 61 397 458 0 0 0 T 2 0 2 6 20 26 12 55 67 0 0 0 R Scurry 138 138 AF Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package NTMWD supplies (through Rose Hill SUD) Total Water Management Strategies 1,754 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 1,075 85 85 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD supplies (through Rose Hill SUD) Total Supply Surplus or (Shortage) 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 Since the 2006 Plan the City of Scurry’s population has reached at least 500 and Scurry D now considered a WUG. The City currently purchases water from Gastonia‐Scurry SUD is who supplied by NTMWD sources. Table 6.10 summarizes Scurry’s future water supply plans. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.10 Table 6.10 Summary Information for Scurry 2010 Scurry Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 678 918 102 102 1,068 118 118 1,242 138 138 2060 1,445 160 160 186 186 83 83 88 92 99 85 83 83 88 92 99 2 19 35 50 68 87 T 85 2 4 6 8 9 11 0 15 29 43 59 75 2 19 35 51 68 86 0 0 0 AF Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package NTMWD supplies (through Gastonia‐Scurry SUD) Total Water Management Strategies 0 0 0 R Talty Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Surplus or (Shortage) 789 87 87 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD supplies (through Gastonia‐Scurry SUD) Total Supply 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 D The City of Talty receives their water from Forney who uses NTMWD sources. Because of Talty’s increase in per capita usage, the additional demands will be supplied through Forney with NTMWD sources. Water supply plans for Talty are summarized in Table 6.11. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.11 Table 6.11 Summary Information for Talty 2010 Talty Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 1,800 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply Terrell 6,834 8,788 808 808 1,397 1,397 1,652 1,652 1,921 1,921 2,227 2,227 2,641 2,641 5 320 685 1,103 1,651 2,307 160 12 931 1,103 238 16 1,397 1,651 345 20 1,942 2,307 0 0 0 T 5 0 0 5 60 6 253 319 104 9 571 685 0 0 0 R 5,256 AF Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from Forney (from NTMWD) Total Water Management Strategies 3,832 2060 11,211 813 1,717 2,337 3,024 3,878 4,948 813 1,717 2,337 3,024 3,878 4,948 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Surplus or (Shortage) 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 D Terrell purchases water from NTMWD and plans to continue to do so. The City plans to develop a second treated water delivery point from NTMWD. Terrell’s Master Plan discusses plans for a pipeline from NTMWD’s Tawakoni WTP to the Terrell Pipeline. New ground storage, a new pump station, and new pipelines to the City’s distribution system are all part of this planned second point of delivery. This second point of delivery is is a water management strategy for the City of Terrell. Lake Terrell is no longer used as a municipal supply and alternative uses for the lake are being considered. Terrell has filed an application for planning grant assistance with the Texas Water Development Board. The grant will be used as funding for a study to determine the best use of Lake Terrell and facilities needed to comply with Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) dam safety regulations. Possible alternative uses include building a pipeline to Lake Tawakoni and selling the water to SRA or NTMWD, selling Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.12 water for irrigation purposes, or building a pipeline to the new NTMWD water treatment plant to supplement Lake Tawakoni sources. Terrell’s water supply plans are outlined in Table 6.12. Table 6.12 Summary Information for Terrell 2010 16,185 3,807 2,184 5,991 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply D R Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) 5,690 10,443 12,548 14,290 14,719 15,620 5,690 10,443 12,548 14,290 14,719 15,620 AF Need (Demand ‐ Supply) T Terrell Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 45,005 65,000 85,000 97,000 110,000 10,385 14,780 19,138 21,731 24,643 2,693 3,215 3,606 4,138 4,862 13,078 17,995 22,744 25,869 29,505 301 2,635 5,447 8,453 11,150 13,885 53 0 248 301 628 20 1,987 2,636 1,168 61 4,218 5,447 1,668 102 6,683 8,453 2,089 125 8,936 11,150 2,593 143 11,150 13,885 0 0 0 0 0 0 Water User Groups with No Revisions to Water Management Strategies The water user groups in Kaufman County that have no revisions to water management strategies as presented in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) include the following: Combine Combine WSC Forney Lake WSC Gastonia – Scurry SUD Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.13 High Point WSC Kaufman County – Irrigation Kaufman County – Livestock Kaufman County – Manufacturing Kaufman County ‐ Mining Kaufman County – Other MacBee SUD Mesquite Oak Grove Seagoville West Cedar Creek MUD D R AF T Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 6.14 7. Estimated Costs for Proposed Water Management Strategies The estimated costs for water management strategies were updated and are included in Appendix 3. Total capital costs for the Kaufman County Study Area through the year 2060 are estimated to be $118 million. The capital costs are broken down by category in Table 7.1 and by WUG in Table 7.2. Refer to Appendix 3 for additional details. Table 7.1 Capital Costs for Water Management Strategies by Category Capital Cost During Study Period $87,543,901 $4,246,938 $0 $26,085,000 $117,875,839 T Water Management Strategy Category AF Transmission Facilities Supplemental Wells New Water Treatment Plants Water Treatment Plant Expansions Total Capital Costs for Study Area R Table 7.2 Capital Costs for Water Management Strategies by WUG D Water User Group Ables Springs WSC College Mound WSC Crandall Forney Kaufman Kaufman County Irrigation Kaufman County Livestock Kaufman County Other Kaufman County Steam Electric Power Mabank MacBee SUD Terrell West Cedar Creek MUD Total Capital Costs for Study Area Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Capital Cost During Study Period $3,194,350 $2,569,400 $6,104,000 $10,000,000 $21,302,400 $6,244,870 $2,306,133 $646,935 $19,544,676 $4,156,000 $7,381,000 $19,878,075 $14,548,000 $117,875,839 7.1 8. Implementation Plan for Proposed Water Management Strategies Implementation of the Kaufman County Water Supply System includes developing water management strategies for surface water sources. For surface water sources, the implementation plan for water management strategies includes the following components: Obtain water rights and/or develop water supply contracts Obtain required permits T Design and construct required facilities Table 8.1 is a list of recommended water management strategies with approximate in‐ service dates. AF Table 8.1 Implementation of Proposed Water Management Strategies Project Connect to NTMWD Tawakoni Water Treatment Plant Pipeline to Seagoville (DWU) Connect to NTMWD Tawakoni Water Treatment Plant TRA reuse Purchase water from NTMWD Water Treatment Plant Expansion of 1 MGD Water Treatment Plant Expansion of 2 MGD Connect to NTMWD Tawakoni Water Treatment Plant Water Treatment Plant Expansion of 5 MGD D R Owner Ables Springs WSC Crandall Kaufman Kaufman County ‐ Steam Electric Power Kaufman County ‐ Steam Electric Power Mabank MacBee SUD Terrell West Cedar Creek MUD Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County Approximate In‐service Year 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2030 2010 2020 2030 8.1 9. Alternative Water Management Strategies In general, most of the water user groups in the study area indicated that their future water supply plans are in line with the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). However, two alternative strategies were identified for Combine WSC and the City of Kaufman. Tables summarizing the future water supply plans for all WUGs in Kaufman County can be found in Appendix 2. Combine WSC Combine WSC currently purchases DWU water from Seagoville. Combine WSC has expressed an interest in purchasing water directly from DWU and has talked with DWU about this. Combine WSC would continue to use its existing infrastructure, but would T have a direct contract with DWU rather than a contract with Seagoville. AF Kaufman Kaufman purchases water from NTMWD and plans to continue to do so. NTMWD water from the Tawakoni Plant is a possible alternative future strategy. Kaufman would be interested in the possibility of a shared pipeline with other entities to deliver water from the plant. Kaufman’s existing pipeline will carry them well into the future if growth D R continues as projected. Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 9.1 10. Conclusion In the near term, the projected growth in Kaufman County has decreased since the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). However, population and demand projections have increased since the 2006 Plan for 2020 through 2060. The water management strategies recommended in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2) have been adjusted to account for these changes to projected demands. For most water management groups, their currently planned water management strategies are in line with the strategies presented in the 2006 Region C Water Plan (2). Figure 10.1 shows the total projected demands, current water supplies, and recommended water management strategies for Kaufman County. T D R AF Table 10.1 Total Demands and Supplies for Kaufman County Draft Water Supply Study for Kaufman County 10.1 T AF APPENDIX 1 D R REFERENCES APPENDIX 1 REFERENCES (1) Freese and Nichols, Inc., Alan Plummer Associates, Inc., Chiang, Patel & Yerby, Inc., and Cooksey Communications, Inc.: 2011 Region C Water Plan, prepared for the Region C Water Planning Group, Fort Worth, September 2010. (2) Freese and Nichols, Inc., Alan Plummer Associates, Inc., Chiang, Patel & Yerby, Inc., and Cooksey Communications, Inc.: 2006 Region C Water Plan, prepared for the Region C Water Planning Group, Fort Worth, January 2006. (3) Texas State Data Center and Office of the State Demographer: 2007 Total Population Estimates for Texas Places, [Online], Available URL: http://txsdc.utsa.edu/tpepp/2007_txpopest_place.php T (4) United States Census Bureau: Census 2000 Data for the State of Texas; Population by County, Population by Place, [Online], Available URL: http://www.census.gov/census2000/states/tx.html, May 2005. D R AF (5) North Central Texas Council of Governments: 2009 Current Population Estimates, Arlington, [Online], Available URL: http://www.nctcog.org/ris/demographics/population/2009PopEstimates.pdf, April 2009. (6) Bureau of Economic Geology: Water Demand Projections for Power Generation in Texas, prepared for the Texas Water Development Board, Austin, August 2008. T AF APPENDIX 2 D R SUMMARY TABLES BY WATER USER GROUP Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ Ables Springs WSC (Regions C &D) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies SRA sources (through MacBee SUD) Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from SRA & participate in MacBee SUD water treatment plant Purchase water from NTMWD & connect to Tawakoni water treatement plant Purchase additional water from NTMWD Purchase additional water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) 2020 7,046 556 556 845 845 1,054 1,054 1,093 1,093 1,093 1,093 0 0 9 0 0 2060 17,943 2010 5,227 2020 7,046 1,299 1,299 1,644 1,644 2,090 2,090 556 556 845 845 1,054 1,054 1,087 1,087 1,074 1,074 1,046 1,046 1,015 1,015 965 965 0 0 0 225 598 1,075 0 89 116 9 5 1,168 1,264 1,121 1,121 Not a WMS in the 2006 Plan 9 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 8,956 11,153 2050 14,106 38 52 68 Not a WMS in the 2006 Plan Not a WMS in the 2006 Plan Not a WMS in the 2006 Plan 38 1,173 1,189 2060 17,943 1,299 1,299 1,644 1,644 2,090 2,090 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 845 1,054 1,299 1,644 2,090 33 7 52 9 69 11 91 13 118 16 825 394 1,299 944 596 1,644 1,116 840 2,090 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 13,576 16,062 0 0 No longer a WMS 1,257 1,380 0 0 13 659 305 422 2050 22,027 2060 26,421 2010 9,150 688 117 845 0 745 248 1,054 2010 10,530 2020 13,042 873 873 1,329 1,329 1,820 1,820 2,133 2,133 2,517 2,517 3,019 3,019 758 758 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Lake Tawakoni Lake Terrell Total Supply 342 213 161 716 512 187 140 839 666 168 127 961 716 158 119 993 794 148 111 1,053 892 134 101 1,127 745 940 745 940 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 157 490 859 1,140 1,464 1,892 13 215 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from NTMWD (through Terrell) Purchase water from NTMWD (through Terrell) Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 18 716 75 1,103 1 103 97 1,480 1 480 122 1,424 1 424 153 2,241 2 241 194 2,593 2 593 13 55 734 1,178 1,577 1,546 2,394 2,787 0 13 160 215 Surplus or (Shortage) 577 688 930 895 0 0 2010 2,393 2020 2,969 718 406 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 3,474 4,019 2050 4,702 2060 5,563 2010 2,393 2020 2,969 282 282 356 356 405 405 463 463 537 537 635 635 282 282 356 356 405 405 235 235 245 245 256 256 260 260 264 264 271 271 281 281 121 160 207 277 371 11 Currently Available Water Supplies DWU Sources (through Combine WSC) Total Supply 208 208 D Combine (Dallas and Kaufman Counties) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand T 286 College Mound WSC Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 1,206 964 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 15,624 18,485 2050 14,106 546 College Mound WSC Combine ( Dallas and Kaufman Counties) 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 8,956 11,153 2010 5,227 2020 11,333 2050 19,140 2060 22,958 1,853 1,853 2,187 2,187 2,623 2,623 1,118 1,177 No longer a supply No longer a supply 1,118 1,177 1,256 1,400 1,256 1,400 676 931 1,223 86 108 No longer a WMS No longer a WMS 378 568 464 676 136 172 795 931 1,051 1,223 0 0 2050 4,702 2060 5,563 463 463 537 537 635 635 305 305 327 327 349 349 362 362 75 100 136 188 273 1,155 1,155 1,582 1,582 R AF Ables Springs WSC (Regions C & D) 464 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 3,474 4,019 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 74 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from Combine WSC (DWU) T t lW t M Total Water Management Strategies t St t i 5 73 78 18 162 180 23 218 241 28 297 325 34 374 408 43 391 434 4 7 11 15 60 75 23 77 100 28 108 136 34 154 188 43 230 273 4 59 81 118 131 63 0 0 0 0 0 0 Surplus or (Shortage) Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ Combine WSC (Dallas and Kaufman Counties) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 7,202 8,795 2020 5,737 462 688 855 462 688 Currently Available Water Supplies DWU Sources Total Supply 340 340 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from Seagoville (from DWU) Total Water Management Strategies 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 7,202 8,795 2050 10,785 2060 13,285 2010 4,122 2020 5,737 1,035 1,268 1,562 855 1,035 1,268 1,562 462 282 744 688 356 1,044 855 405 1,260 454 454 517 517 571 571 613 613 650 650 715 715 824 824 122 234 338 464 655 912 29 8 118 126 34 314 348 45 460 505 58 665 723 76 888 964 98 961 1,059 4 114 309 2010 4,373 2020 5,933 167 259 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 7,537 9,314 730 730 1,004 1,004 1,258 1,258 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 512 512 545 545 584 584 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 218 459 674 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Purchase water from DWU (through Seagoville) Total Water Management Strategies 24 6 373 403 63 90 123 19 25 31 674 899 917 Not a WMS in the 2006 Plan 756 1,014 1,071 Surplus or (Shortage) 185 297 2010 12,000 2020 24,000 Surplus or (Shortage) Crandall Crandall Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) 1,035 463 1,498 1,268 537 1,805 1,562 635 2,197 949 949 861 861 1,175 1,175 1,255 1,255 220 311 637 630 942 12 17 29 45 175 220 68 243 311 87 550 637 112 518 630 143 799 942 147 0 0 0 0 2050 11,515 2060 14,245 2010 4,373 2020 5,933 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 7,537 9,314 2050 11,515 2060 14,245 1,544 1,544 1,909 1,909 2,362 2,362 730 730 632 632 711 711 800 800 715 715 1,004 1,004 1,258 1,258 1,544 1,544 1,909 1,909 2,362 2,362 545 545 474 474 426 426 385 385 358 358 1,562 15 459 784 1,118 1,524 2,004 169 39 1,593 228 49 1,926 1,801 2,203 9 6 0 0 15 60 12 123 264 459 103 16 223 443 785 140 20 342 617 1,119 189 26 503 806 1,524 253 32 752 967 2,005 603 641 0 0 0 0 2050 39,000 2060 42,803 2010 13,000 2020 24,000 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 30,000 35,000 2050 39,000 2060 42,803 1,936 4,033 4,973 5,763 6,422 7,048 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1,936 4,033 4,973 5,763 6,422 7,048 2,097 10,546 12,643 4,033 11,452 15,485 4,973 12,146 17,119 5,763 12,916 18,679 6,422 13,868 20,290 7,048 15,060 22,108 5,405 8,979 14,384 5,856 8,979 14,835 6,256 8,979 15,235 6,588 8,979 15,567 7,097 8,979 16,076 1,358 1,358 578 67 2 988 1,057 479 912 340 159 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 30,000 35,000 2,189 2,309 2,361 Not a WMS in the 2006 Plan 2,189 2,309 2,361 2,390 2,386 2,390 2,386 3,656 8,979 12,635 1,844 2,664 3,402 4,032 4,662 8 1,101 2,284 3,444 4,723 6,032 249 17 2,709 2,975 350 38 3,554 3,942 455 52 3,423 3,930 561 59 5,356 5,976 674 65 5,750 6,489 37 0 0 37 292 22 787 1,101 454 33 1,797 2,284 617 41 2,786 3,444 803 48 3,872 4,723 1,028 55 4,949 6,032 1,131 1,278 528 1,944 1,827 29 0 0 0 0 0 D Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Garland Reuse Total Supply 2060 13,285 1,198 Forney Forney Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2050 10,785 T 2010 4,122 R AF Combine WSC (Dallas and Kaufman Counties) Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ 2020 22,000 Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 3,975 3,975 4,732 4,732 4,896 4,896 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 2,789 2,789 2,568 2,568 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 1,186 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) Gastonia‐Scurry SUD Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 9,844 12,305 2050 25,000 2060 26,000 2010 6,300 2020 7,875 5,054 5,054 5,236 5,236 5,446 5,446 1,376 1,376 1,694 1,694 2,096 2,096 2,274 2,274 2,070 2,070 1,948 1,948 1,844 1,844 1,359 1,359 1,379 1,379 2,164 2,622 2,984 3,288 3,602 17 134 4 2,026 2,164 260 26 3,180 3,466 312 30 3,500 3,842 366 32 3,006 3,404 422 34 4,370 4,826 484 36 4,444 4,964 978 1,302 1,538 2010 8,000 2020 10,000 1,220 420 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 11,648 14,122 842 1,199 1,370 Gastonia‐Scurry SUD y 2050 15,381 2060 19,226 2,592 2,592 3,222 3,222 4,028 4,028 1,482 1,482 1,646 1,646 1,850 1,850 2,150 2,150 315 614 946 1,372 1,878 17 0 0 17 80 7 229 315 124 10 480 614 176 14 756 946 246 17 1,108 1,372 342 21 1,515 1,878 1,362 0 0 0 0 2050 17,186 2060 20,986 2010 7,322 2020 9,211 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 10,730 13,054 2050 15,944 2060 19,541 1,629 1,983 2,421 1,199 1,370 1,629 1,983 2,421 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 591 591 651 651 636 636 667 667 738 738 820 820 844 844 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 251 548 734 962 1,245 1,601 14 224 404 600 851 1,138 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 16 429 445 59 805 864 73 980 1,053 93 967 1,060 120 1,654 1,774 155 1,975 2,130 14 0 14 51 174 225 74 331 405 96 504 600 123 728 851 158 980 1,138 Surplus or (Shortage) 194 316 529 529 0 0 0 2020 6,619 2050 11,509 2060 13,877 2010 3,400 2020 4,313 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 5,232 6,248 0 2010 5,218 319 98 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 8,030 9,589 2050 7,499 2060 9,042 556 556 793 793 944 944 1,117 1,117 1,328 1,328 1,601 1,601 362 362 517 517 728 728 865 865 1,044 1,044 179 179 210 210 218 231 218 231 No longer a supply No longer a supply 436 462 249 249 278 278 498 556 High Point WSC (Kaufman & Rockwall Counties) (Kaufman & Rockwall Counties) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 1,104 102 1,206 1,262 118 1,380 1,506 138 1,644 1,840 160 2,000 2,255 186 2,441 982 982 976 976 1,044 1,044 1,149 1,149 1,303 1,303 R AF 842 771 87 858 616 616 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources (through Forney) NTMWD Sources (through Terrell) Lake Tawakoni Lake Terrell Total Supply 297 359 377 403 445 497 66 50 413 58 44 461 53 39 469 49 37 489 46 35 526 42 31 570 358 420 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 143 332 475 628 802 1,031 4 97 180 266 367 488 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from Forney (from NTMWD) Total Water Management Strategies 10 451 461 39 663 702 50 786 836 63 762 825 80 1,197 1,277 102 1,387 1,489 4 0 4 21 76 97 33 147 180 42 224 266 53 314 367 68 420 488 Surplus or (Shortage) 318 370 361 197 475 458 0 0 0 0 0 0 D High Point WSC (Kaufman and Rockwall Counties) 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 23,000 24,000 2010 18,200 T Forney Lake WSC Forney Lake WSC (Kaufman & Rockwall (Kaufman & Rockwall Counties) Counties) Projected Population Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ Kaufman Kaufman Projected Population Projected Water Demand 1,716 2,013 2060 19,883 2010 8,256 2020 10,864 2,264 2,511 3,029 1,716 148 1,864 2,013 172 2,185 2050 16,484 2060 19,883 2,264 201 2,465 2,511 236 2,747 3,029 283 3,312 1,156 1,716 2,013 2,264 2,511 3,029 1,322 124 1,446 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 811 811 931 931 935 935 927 927 935 935 1,026 1,026 1,419 1,419 1,517 1,517 1,545 1,545 1,566 1,566 1,578 1,578 1,768 1,768 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 345 785 1,078 1,337 1,576 2,003 27 347 640 899 1,169 1,544 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 15 0 590 605 97 16 1,153 1,266 82 2 1,439 1,523 100 5 1,346 1,451 120 5 2,094 2,219 155 6 2,471 2,632 23 12 0 35 123 16 208 346 110 18 512 640 137 20 742 900 167 23 980 1,169 213 27 1,304 1,544 Surplus or (Shortage) Surplus or (Shortage) 260 481 445 114 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 643 629 8 0 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 0 0 2010 2020 2,916 2,916 125 576 64 4 769 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2050 2060 2010 2020 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 109 92 79 67 758 972 1,116 1,359 Not a current supply in the 2006 Plan 64 64 64 64 4 4 4 4 Not a current supply in the 2006 Plan 935 1,132 1,263 1,494 57 1,659 1,784 100 576 1,984 64 4 185 2,913 64 4 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 2,916 92 758 1,469 64 4 185 2,572 78 758 1,276 64 4 185 2,365 67 758 1,146 64 4 185 2,225 59 758 1,037 64 4 185 2,107 52 758 963 64 4 185 2,026 551 691 809 890 140 177 411 514 No longer a WMS 0 0 551 691 212 597 247 643 0 809 0 890 0 0 2,147 1,981 1,784 1,653 1,422 1,132 3 344 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation Purchase water from NTMWD Purchase water from TRWD Supplemental wells in Nacatoch & Trinity Aquifers Total Water Management Strategies 4 , 2,666 30 0 2,700 72 , 2,671 37 0 2,780 140 , 2,594 64 0 2,798 177 , 2,208 57 0 2,442 212 , 2,654 89 0 2,955 247 , 2,540 85 0 2,872 4 0 72 272 0 4 0 344 553 799 1,014 789 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 1,533 1,740 1 0 Kaufman County ‐ Livestock Projected Water Demand Livestock Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies Livestock Local Supply Nacatoch Aquifer Woodbine Aquifer Total Supply 2010 2020 1,545 1,545 1,622 73 121 1,816 2050 2060 2010 2060 2,916 2,916 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Surplus or (Shortage) 2050 T Kaufman County ‐ Irrigation Projected Water Demand Irrigation Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies Cedar Creek Lake (TRWD) Direct Reuse NTMWD Sources Irrigation Local Supply Nacatoch Aquifer Trinity Aquifer Total Supply Kaufman County ‐ Livestock 1,156 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 13,020 14,753 2050 16,484 2020 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2050 2060 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,545 1,622 73 121 1,816 1,622 73 121 1,816 1,622 73 121 1,816 1,622 73 121 1,816 1,622 73 121 1,816 1,622 73 200 1,895 1,622 73 200 1,895 1,622 73 200 1,895 1,622 73 200 1,895 1,622 73 200 1,895 1,622 73 200 1,895 D Kaufman County ‐ Irrigation 2020 10,864 R AF Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 13,020 14,753 2010 8,256 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Water Management Strategies Supplemental wells in Nacatoch & Woodbine Aquifers Total Water Management Strategies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 271 271 271 271 271 271 350 350 350 350 350 350 Surplus or (Shortage) Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2050 2060 2010 813 813 869 869 928 928 993 993 1,061 1,061 Currently Available Water Supplies Lake Terrell NTMWD Sources Tawakoni Total Supply 108 352 143 603 101 291 134 526 97 266 130 493 97 251 130 478 97 244 130 471 97 237 126 460 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 157 287 376 450 522 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 0 569 569 1 696 697 15 758 773 22 757 779 Surplus or (Shortage) 412 410 397 329 2006 Plan Projections j 2030 2040 Kaufman County ‐ Mining Projected Water Demand Mining Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2010 2020 760 760 813 813 760 662 760 662 601 0 151 254 23 960 983 25 1,025 1,050 0 0 0 1 150 151 15 239 254 461 449 0 0 2050 2060 2010 2020 79 79 80 80 81 81 82 82 83 83 84 84 79 79 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Water Management Strategies Total Water Management Strategies 0 0 0 0 0 0 Surplus or (Shortage) 7 6 3 2010 14,426 2020 14,426 5 4 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 14,426 14,426 2,182 2,182 2,166 2,166 2,150 2,150 483 241 1,129 234 2,087 420 241 904 189 1,754 95 412 Kaufman County ‐ Other Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies Lake Tawakoni Nacatoch Aquifer NTMWD Sources TRWD Sources (part through Mabank) Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from NTMWD Purchase water from TRWD Supplemental wells in Nacatoch Aquifer Total Water Management Strategies 29 1,615 36 0 1,680 Surplus or (Shortage) 1,585 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2020 869 869 2050 928 928 2060 993 993 1,061 1,061 570 567 570 567 338 423 494 22 316 338 23 400 423 25 469 494 0 0 2011 Plan Projections j 2030 2040 0 0 No longer a supply 615 590 No longer a supply 615 590 2050 2060 80 80 81 81 82 82 83 83 84 84 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 6 3 2 2050 14,426 2060 14,426 2010 13,767 2020 13,767 5 4 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 13,767 13,767 2050 13,767 2060 13,767 2,133 2,133 2,117 2,117 2,117 2,117 2,082 2,082 2,066 2,066 2,036 2,036 2,020 2,020 2,020 2,020 377 241 782 159 1,559 351 241 701 135 1,428 325 241 638 114 1,318 295 241 580 97 1,213 241 1,437 411 2,089 241 1,177 379 1,797 No longer a supply 241 241 1,015 905 320 275 1,576 1,421 241 812 239 1,292 241 755 208 1,204 591 705 799 904 0 269 475 615 728 816 T 2020 760 760 Currently Available Water Supplies Other Local Supply Total Supply Kaufman County ‐ Other 2010 R AF Kaufman County ‐ y Mining Kaufman County ‐ Manufacturing Projected Water Demand Manufacturing Demand Total Projected Water Demand D Kaufman County ‐ Manufacturing 2,051 2,051 87 1,780 64 0 1,931 94 1,784 110 0 1,988 101 1,519 97 0 1,717 108 1,686 157 0 1,951 115 1,612 161 0 1,888 25 0 0 0 25 68 152 49 0 269 91 293 92 0 476 99 397 120 0 616 105 481 142 0 728 112 552 152 0 816 1,519 1,397 1,012 1,152 984 32 0 0 0 0 0 Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ Kaufman County ‐ Steam Electric Power Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2010 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2020 2060 2010 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2020 2050 2060 17,798 17,798 20,808 20,808 24,478 24,478 28,950 28,950 34,403 34,403 8,979 8,979 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Currently Available Water Supplies Reuse from Garland (through Forney) Total Supply 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 8,979 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 5,979 14,798 17,808 21,478 25,950 31,403 0 1,021 1,021 1,021 1,021 1,021 Water Management Strategies Purchase water from Forney (NTMWD) TRA reuse Reuse from Garland (through Forney) Total Water Management Strategies 0 0 5,979 5,979 1,214 7,500 12,600 21,314 2,358 7,500 12,600 22,458 3,011 7,500 12,600 23,111 4,826 15,000 12,600 32,426 5,772 15,000 12,600 33,372 0 0 0 0 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 1,121 1,000 6,621 8,742 0 6,516 6,476 1,969 0 7,721 7,721 2020 1,133 2050 1,133 2060 1,133 2010 1,400 2020 1,700 7,721 7,721 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2,000 2,000 7,721 2010 1,133 4,650 1,633 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 1,133 1,133 2050 2,000 2060 2,000 181 181 178 178 174 174 170 170 168 168 168 168 224 224 267 267 307 307 300 300 296 296 296 296 194 194 155 155 129 129 108 108 90 90 77 77 222 222 245 245 239 239 202 202 175 175 152 152 0 23 45 62 78 91 2 22 68 98 121 144 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from TRWD Total Water Management Strategies 6 30 36 12 53 65 8 89 97 8 77 85 9 120 129 9 114 123 2 0 2 9 13 22 14 54 68 15 83 98 16 106 122 17 127 144 Surplus or (Shortage) 49 42 51 32 0 0 0 2020 3,254 2050 5,199 2060 6,149 2010 3,074 2020 3,729 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 4,401 5,142 0 2010 2,708 52 23 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 3,814 4,433 2050 6,058 2060 7,194 591 591 699 699 807 807 933 933 1,089 1,089 1,288 1,288 671 671 801 801 931 931 1,083 1,083 1,269 1,269 1,507 1,507 635 635 609 609 596 596 592 592 586 586 588 588 665 665 735 735 726 726 731 731 750 750 776 776 0 90 211 341 503 700 6 66 205 352 519 731 Surplus or (Shortage) Currently Available Water Supplies TRWD Sources Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Mabank (Henderson & Kaufman Counties) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies TRWD Sources Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from TRWD Water Treatment Plant Expansions Water treatment plant expansion (1 MGD) a Total Water Management Strategies 0 139 Surplus or (Shortage) 183 42 0 97 D Kemp Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand T 8,979 8,979 Kemp Mabank (Henderson and Kaufman Counties) 2050 R AF Kaufman County ‐ Steam Electric Power 124 2 207 151 3 413 182 3 425 222 4 771 273 4 873 6 0 0 69 2 0 169 3 32 206 4 142 253 4 262 313 5 413 0 333 0 567 0 610 0 997 0 1,150 560 6 560 71 560 205 560 352 560 519 560 731 243 356 269 494 450 0 5 0 0 0 0 Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ 2010 Currently Available Water Supplies SRA Sources Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Treatment Expansions Water treatment plant expansion (2 mgd) a Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) Mesquite (Kaufman County Only) Mesquite Mesquite (Kaufman County Only) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2020 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 421 502 277 348 36 36 45 45 54 54 71 71 75 75 0 2060 2010 2020 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 421 502 602 726 277 348 65 65 78 78 94 94 36 36 45 45 54 54 80 80 86 86 91 91 95 95 71 71 75 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 35 30 26 21 2006 Plan Projections 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 4 6 13 2010 2020 2 3 0 0 1 1 1 1 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 0 0 1 1 1 1 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 0 0 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Surplus or (Shortage) 0 0 928 2020 1,141 124 124 148 148 172 172 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources (through Kaufman) Total Supply 87 87 80 80 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 37 68 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from Kaufman (from NTMWD) Total Water Management Strategies 2 63 65 Surplus or (Shortage) 28 2060 602 726 65 65 78 78 94 94 80 80 86 86 91 91 95 95 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 4 6 0 1,120 0 1,120 2 1,120 3 1,120 3 1,120 4 1,120 6 1 36 32 28 25 2011 Plan Projections 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 4 6 17 6 2060 2010 2020 8 10 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 2050 2060 8 10 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 1,360 1,602 0 0 0 0 0 0 2050 1,902 2060 2,274 928 2020 1,141 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 1,360 1,602 2050 1,902 2060 2,274 201 201 236 236 283 283 124 124 148 148 172 172 201 201 236 236 283 283 80 80 82 82 88 88 96 96 122 122 120 120 122 122 128 128 136 136 151 151 92 119 148 187 2 28 50 73 100 132 7 100 107 9 123 132 12 120 132 15 197 212 19 231 250 10 0 10 20 7 27 29 21 50 37 36 73 47 54 101 58 74 132 39 40 13 64 63 8 0 0 0 0 0 D 2010 2050 2050 0 Oak Grove Oak Grove Oak Grove Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2050 T MacBee SUD (Kaufman County Only) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand R AF MacBee SUD (Kaufman County Only) 2010 Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ Post Oak Bend City 2020 2060 2010 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 1,754 2,862 659 85 85 138 138 226 226 83 83 112 112 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 2 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package NTMWD supplies (through Rose Hill SUD) Total Water Management Strategies Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD supplies (through Rose Hill SUD) Total Supply 2050 Not a WUG in the 2006 Plan Surplus or (Shortage) Scurry 2010 2020 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD supplies (through Gastonia‐Scurry SUD) Total Supply 2060 369 369 602 602 982 982 160 160 234 234 346 346 524 524 26 66 135 256 458 2 0 2 6 20 26 12 55 67 20 114 134 35 221 256 61 397 458 0 0 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 918 1,068 0 0 2050 1,242 2060 1,445 2010 2020 678 789 87 87 102 102 118 118 138 138 160 160 186 186 83 83 83 83 88 88 92 92 99 99 19 35 50 68 87 2 0 2 4 15 19 6 29 35 8 43 51 9 59 68 11 75 86 0 0 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 37 48 0 0 85 85 Not a WUG in the 2006 Plan Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 2 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package NTMWD supplies (through Gastonia‐Scurry SUD) Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) Seagoville Seagoville Projected Population Projected Water Demand Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand (Kaufman County Only) Customer Demand (Kaufman and Dallas County) Total Projected Water Demand 2050 2060 7,623 2010 2020 17 27 R AF Scurry Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2050 4,671 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 37 48 2050 2060 62 2010 79 3 4 5 7 9 11 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 3 4 5 7 9 11 3 3 3 3 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 0 1 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Purchase water from DWU Total Water Management Strategies 0 0 0 Surplus or (Shortage) 0 2020 17 27 3 744 747 4 1,044 1,048 5 1,260 1,265 2050 2060 62 79 7 1,498 1,505 9 1,805 1,814 11 2,197 2,208 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 989 989 1,109 1,109 1,259 1,259 1,195 1,195 1,533 1,533 1,628 1,628 2 3 5 7 0 0 6 310 281 580 D Currently Available Water Supplies DWU Sources Total Supply T 2010 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 2020 1,075 Post Oak Bend City Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 3 3 0 5 5 1 6 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 0 310 310 0 281 281 1 579 580 0 0 0 0 0 242 61 0 0 0 0 Table A2‐1 Summaries by Water User Group ‐Acre‐Feet per Year‐ Talty 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 5,256 6,834 2020 3,832 863 863 1,348 1,348 1,849 1,849 Currently Available Water Supplies NTMWD Sources Total Supply 587 587 719 719 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 276 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from Forney (from NTMWD) Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2060 11,211 2010 1,800 2020 3,832 2,404 2,404 3,091 3,091 3,943 3,943 813 813 1,717 1,717 2,337 2,337 846 846 973 973 1,139 1,139 1,323 1,323 808 808 1,397 1,397 629 1,003 1,431 1,952 2,620 5 24 1 441 466 59 5 905 969 96 8 1,321 1,425 145 10 1,427 1,582 213 13 2,578 2,804 304 16 3,217 3,537 190 340 852 2010 15,196 2020 18,642 422 151 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 21,664 23,650 2050 25,599 Terrell Terrell Projected Population Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 5,256 6,834 2050 8,788 2050 8,788 2060 11,211 3,024 3,024 3,878 3,878 4,948 4,948 1,652 1,652 1,921 1,921 2,227 2,227 2,641 2,641 320 685 1,103 1,651 2,307 5 0 0 5 60 6 253 319 104 9 571 685 160 12 931 1,103 238 16 1,397 1,651 345 20 1,942 2,307 917 0 0 0 0 2060 28,445 2010 16,185 2020 45,005 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 65,000 85,000 2050 97,000 2060 110,000 3,575 4,302 4,926 5,325 5,735 6,372 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 3,575 4,302 4,926 5,325 5,735 6,372 3,807 2,184 5,991 Currently Available Water Supplies Lake Terrell NTMWD Sources Tawakoni (SRA) Total Supply 1,490 0 1,981 3,471 1,570 0 2,086 3,656 1,621 0 2,155 3,776 1,644 0 2,186 3,830 1,656 0 2,201 3,857 1,671 0 2,222 3,893 5,690 10,385 2,693 13,078 14,780 3,215 17,995 19,138 3,606 22,744 No longer a current supply 12,548 14,290 No longer a current supply 10,443 12,548 14,290 10,443 R AF 5,690 T 2010 2,447 Talty 21,731 4,138 25,869 24,643 4,862 29,505 14,719 15,620 14,719 15,620 Need (Demand ‐ Supply) 1,594 2,216 2,771 3,139 3,534 4,150 301 2,635 5,447 8,453 11,150 13,885 Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from NTMWD Total Water Management Strategies 100 28 3,727 3,855 218 78 4,588 4,884 292 142 5,077 5,511 361 181 4,333 4,875 438 195 6,356 6,989 539 214 6,842 7,595 53 0 248 301 628 20 1,987 2,636 1,168 61 4,218 5,447 1,668 102 6,683 8,453 2,089 125 8,936 11,150 2,593 143 11,150 13,885 Surplus or (Shortage) 3,751 4,238 5,111 5,116 0 0 0 2020 28,602 2050 52,374 2060 63,933 2010 17,100 2020 22,567 0 0 2011 Plan Projections 2030 2040 28,089 34,021 0 2010 21,673 4,361 3,380 2006 Plan Projections 2030 2040 35,601 43,119 2050 41,323 2060 50,443 1,724 593 2,317 2,604 674 3,278 3,335 754 4,089 4,002 836 4,838 4,860 940 5,800 5,933 1,080 7,013 Projected Water Demand Municipal Demand Customer Demand Total Projected Water Demand Currently Available Water Supplies TRWD Sources Total Supply Need (Demand ‐ Supply) Water Management Strategies Water Conservation ‐ Basic Package Water Conservation ‐ Expanded Package Purchase water from TRWD Water Treatment Expansions Water treatment plant expansion (5 mgd) a Water treatment plant expansion (5 mgd) Total Water Management Strategies Surplus or (Shortage) a 2,184 3,300 4,227 5,072 6,160 7,520 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,184 3,300 4,227 5,072 6,160 7,520 1,355 1,355 D West Cedar Creek West Cedar Creek MUD MUD (Kaufman and (Kaufman and Henderson Counties) Henderson Counties) Projected Population 1,429 1,429 1,461 1,461 1,477 1,477 1,492 1,492 1,504 1,504 2,273 2,273 2,332 2,332 2,302 2,302 2,278 2,278 2,269 2,269 2,270 2,270 1,871 2,766 3,595 4,668 6,016 44 946 1,787 2,560 3,531 4,743 171 227 292 375 483 1,350 2,425 3,825 4,049 6,181 7,024 31 13 0 0 0 1,391 0 0 2,596 0 0 4,052 0 0 4,341 0 0 6,556 0 0 7,507 0 136 20 0 789 0 347 38 0 3,146 2,800 443 46 0 4,254 2,800 45 945 212 272 26 31 0 0 1,549 2,257 2,800 2,800 No longer a WMS 1,787 2,560 3,530 4,743 562 725 1,286 746 1,888 1,491 1 0 0 0 829 41 Water treatment plant amounts are not included in the totals to avoid double counting 0 0 T AF APPENDIX 3 D R COST ESTIMATES Table A3‐1 Costs Estimates for Supplemental Wells to Maintain Current Groundwater Production Capacity Water User Group Kaufman Kaufman Kaufman Kaufman Kaufman Aquifer Nacatoch Trinity Nacatoch Woodbine Nacatoch # Wells in 2009 1 1 1 1 1 Well Capacity (gpm) 150 150 150 150 150 Well Depth (ft) Installation Schedule 2010 2020 500 500 500 2,400 500 2030 2040 Construction Costs (including engineering, contingencies, and permitting) 2050 2060 1 1 1 1 1 D R AF T Kaufman County ‐ Irrigation Kaufman County ‐ Irrigation Kaufman County ‐ Livestock Kaufman County ‐ Livestock Kaufman County ‐ Other County 2011 Region C Water Plan 2010 $0 2020 $646,935 $646,935 $646,935 $1,659,198 $646,935 2030 2040 $0 2050 $0 2060 $0 $0 Table A3‐2 Water Treatment Plant Expansions Water User Group Construction Time (Months) WTP expansion of 1 MGD WTP expansion of 2 MGD WTP expansion of 5 MGD 18 18 18 Capital Costs (including engineering, contingencies & interest) 2010 2020 2030 $4,156,000 $7,381,000 $14,548,000 D R AF T Mabank MacBee SUD West Cedar Creek MUD Water Management Strategy 2011 Region C Water Plan 2040 2050 2060 Table A3‐3 Ables Springs WSC ‐ Connection to NTMWD Tawakoni Plant Ables Springs WSC 1,614 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline ‐ 12" Right of Way Easements (ROW) Pipeline ‐ 8" Right of Way Easements (ROW) Upsize existing 4" pipeline Replace existing 8" pipeline Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Permitting and Mitigation Unit 12 in. 20 ft. 8 in. 15 ft. 8 in. 8 in. 5,000 5,000 5,900 5,900 2,500 5,000 LF LF LF LF LF LF 30 HP 0.2 MG R CONSTRUCTION TOTAL Quantity 2 1 LS LS AF Pump Station(s) Booster Pump Stations Ground Storage Tank Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size D Interest During Construction (12 months) TOTAL COST Unit Price Cost $52 $12 $34 $9 $34 $34 $258,000 $60,000 $203,000 $53,000 $86,000 $172,000 $250,000 $1,082,000 $601,800 $246,750 $1,203,600 $246,750 $508,000 $1,958,350 T Owner: Amount: $26,000 $ , , $3,066,350 $128,000 $3,194,350 ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs $232,000 $45,000 $53,000 $330,000 UNIT COSTS (Until Amortized) Per Acre‐Foot of treated water Per 1,000 Gallons $204 $0.63 UNIT COSTS (After Amortization) Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons $61 $0.19 2011 Region C Water Plan Table A3‐3, Continued Phase II Upsize existing infrastructure for a total of 1,914 Ac‐Ft/Yr Amount: 1,914 Ac‐Ft/Yr Pump Station Booster Pump Station Ground Storage Tank Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size Quantity Unit 18 in. 5,000 LF $77 $387,000 $116,000 $503,000 10 HP 0.2 MG 1 1 LS LS $538,000 $246,750 $538,000 $246,750 $275,000 $1,059,750 CONSTRUCTION TOTAL AF Permitting and Mitigation Interest During Construction (12 months) TOTAL COST D R ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs Unit Price T CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Cost $14,000 $1,576,750 $66,000 $1,642,750 $119,000 $22,000 $29,000 $170,000 UNIT COSTS (Until Amortized) Per Acre‐Foot of treated water Per 1,000 Gallons $89 $0.27 UNIT COSTS (After Amortization) Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons $27 $0.08 2011 Region C Water Plan Table A3‐4 Upsizing of College Mound WSC line to Terrell College Mound WSC 1,400 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Permitting and Mitigation CONSTRUCTION TOTAL Quantity Unit 12 in. 18,480 LF $52 $954,000 $286,000 $1,240,000 140 HP 1 LS $ 892,400 $892,400 $312,000 $1,204,400 AF Pump Station(s) Booster Pump Station Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size TOTAL COST R Interest During Construction (12 months) D ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Treated Water ($0.70 per 1,000 gallons) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs UNIT COSTS Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons 2011 Region C Water Plan Unit Price T Owner: Amount: Cost $22,000 $2,466,400 $103,000 $2,569,400 $187,000 $26,000 $319,000 $38,000 $570,000 $407 $1.25 Table A3‐5 Pipeline from Crandall to Seagoville (DWU) Crandall 2,400 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline Right of Way Easements (ROW) Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Permitting and Mitigation CONSTRUCTION TOTAL 12 in. 20 ft. 700 HP R Interest During Construction (12 months) TOTAL COST D ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs UNIT COSTS Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons 2011 Region C Water Plan Quantity 33,264 33,264 1 Unit Unit Price Cost LF LF $52 $12 $1,716,000 $399,000 $635,000 $2,750,000 LS $2,268,000 $2,268,000 $794,000 $3,062,000 AF Pump Station(s) Booster Pump Station Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size T Owner: Amount: $48,000 $5,860,000 $244,000 $6,104,000 $443,000 $63,000 $89,000 $595,000 $248 $0.76 Table A3‐6 Forney Pump Station Capacity Increase in 2020 and 2040 Owner: Amount: Forney 33,600 Ac‐Ft/Yr Total Capital Cost of Pump Station Expansions* Size Quantity Unit Unit Cost 15 MGD 2 LS $5,000,000 ANNUAL COSTS (During Amortization Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs T AF R D $10,000,000 $726,000 $300,000 $1,026,000 *Cost estimates provided by the City of Forney's engineer 2011 Region C Water Plan Cost Table A3‐7 City of Kaufman ‐ Pipeline to Connect to the NTMWD Alternative WMS Kaufman 3,000 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline Right of Way Easements (ROW) Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Permitting and Mitigation CONSTRUCTION TOTAL 16 in. 20 ft. 750 HP 0.7 MG D R Interest During Construction (12 months) TOTAL COST Quantity 155,760 155,760 1 1 Unit Unit Price Cost LF LF $69 $12 $10,716,000 $1,869,000 $3,776,000 $16,361,000 LS LS $2,392,000 $516,400 $2,392,000 $516,400 $1,018,000 $3,926,400 AF Pump Station(s) Booster Pump Station Ground Storage Tank Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size T Owner: Amount: $163,000 $20,450,400 $852,000 $21,302,400 ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs $1,548,000 $164,000 $216,000 $1,928,000 UNIT COSTS (Until Amortized) Per Acre‐Foot of treated water Per 1,000 Gallons $643 $1.97 UNIT COSTS (After Amortization) Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons $127 $0.39 2011 Region C Water Plan Table A3‐8 Terrell ‐ Second Point of Delivery Connection to NTMWD Terrell 8,800 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline* Pipeline Pipeline Boring and Casing Boring and Casing Subtotal of Pipeline Size 30 in. 24 in. 38 in. 48 in. Pump Station(s)* Booster Pump Station Ground Storage Tank Subtotal of Pump Station(s) CONSTRUCTION TOTAL 21,000 16,500 200 300 1 1 Unit Unit Price $223 $179 $744 $1,091 $4,683,000 $2,953,500 $148,800 $327,300 $8,112,600 LS LS $3,596,000 $2,170,000 $3,596,000 $2,170,000 $5,766,000 D R Interest During Construction (12 months) TOTAL COST Cost LF LF LF LF AF Contingency (25%)* Engineering/Survey (10%)* 3.0 MG Quantity T Owner: Amount: $3,469,650 $1,734,825 $19,083,075 $795,000 $19,878,075 ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs $1,444,000 $114,000 $265,000 $1,823,000 UNIT COSTS (Until Amortized) Per Acre‐Foot of treated water Per 1,000 Gallons $207 $0.64 UNIT COSTS (After Amortization) Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons $43 $0.13 * Values obtained from City of Terrell's Impact Fee Update : Water CIP Costs 2011 Region C Water Plan Table A3‐9 Kaufman County Irrigation ‐ Pipeline with Reuse from NTMWD Unknown 1,805 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline Right of Way Easements (ROW) Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Permitting and Mitigation CONSTRUCTION TOTAL 14 in. 20 ft. 50 HP R Interest During Construction (12 months) TOTAL COST D ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Reuse Water ($0.25 per 1,000 gallons) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs UNIT COSTS Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons 2011 Region C Water Plan Quantity 31,680 31,680 2 Unit Unit Price Cost LF LF $60 $12 $1,907,000 $380,000 $686,000 $2,973,000 Ea $645,000 $1,290,000 $452,000 $1,742,000 AF Pump Station(s) Booster Pump Station Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size T Owner: Amount: $38,000 $4,753,000 $198,000 $4,951,000 $360,000 $9,000 $147,108 $62,000 $578,108 $320 $0.98 Table A3‐10 Kaufman County Steam Electric Power Pipeline for Forney/Garland Forney/Garland 6,621 Ac‐Ft/Yr CAPITAL COSTS Pipeline Pipeline Right of Way Easements (ROW) Engineering and Contingencies (30%) Subtotal of Pipeline Permitting and Mitigation CONSTRUCTION TOTAL TOTAL COST Unit 20 in. 20 ft. 26,400 26,400 LF LF $90 $12 $2,384,000 $317,000 $810,000 $3,511,000 1100 HP 1 LS $ 3,001,200 $3,001,200 $1,050,000 $4,051,200 R Interest During Construction Quantity AF Pump Station(s) Booster Pump Station Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Subtotal of Pump Station(s) Size D ANNUAL COSTS Debt Service (6% for 30 years) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Reuse Water ($0.25 per 1,000 gallons) Operation & Maintenance Total Annual Costs UNIT COSTS Per Acre‐Foot Per 1,000 Gallons 2011 Region C Water Plan Unit Price T Owner: Amount: Cost $65,000 $7,627,200 $318,000 $7,945,200 $577,000 $167,000 $539,612 $119,000 $1,402,612 $212 $0.65 Table A3‐11 Trinity River Authority Kaufman County Reuse for Steam Electric Power Owner: Trinity River Authority 1,000 ac‐ft/yr CAPITAL COSTS Size Transmission Facilities Pipeline (Suburban) Right of Way Easements (Suburban) Pipeline Eng &Contingencies (30%) Pipeline Subtotal 16 in. 79,200 20 ft. 79,200 80 HP Interest During Construction TOTAL CAPITAL COST ANNUAL COSTS D R Debt Service (6%, 30 years) Pipeline O&M (1%) Pump O&M (2.5%) Electricity Purchase of Reuse Water TOTAL ANNUAL COST Unit Price Cost LF LF $69 $ 5,449,000 $12 $ 950,000 $ 1,635,000 $ 8,034,000 LS $933,076 $ 933,076 $ 327,000 $ 1,260,076 $ 77,000 (12 months) $ 390,000 AF Permitting and Mitigation 1 Units T Pump Station Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Pump Station Subtotal Quantity $ 9,761,076 Cost $ 709,000 $ 65,000 $ 28,000 $ 17,000 $ 82,000 $ 901,000 Phase 1 Unit Costs (Pre‐Amortization) Cost per acre‐ft Cost per 1000 gallons $ 901 $ 2.77 Phase 1 Unit Costs (After Amortization) Cost per acre‐ft Cost per 1000 gallons $ 192 $ 0.59 2011 Region C Water Plan Table A3‐12 Kaufman County Steam Electric Power Pipeline for Treated Water from Forney (NTMWD) Owner: NTMWD 1,121 ac‐ft/yr CAPITAL COSTS Pump Station Engineering and Contingencies (35%) Pump Station Subtotal Size Quantity Units 8 in. 15 ft. 15,840 15,840 LF LF $34 $ 545,000 $9 $ 143,000 $ 164,000 $ 852,000 60 HP 1 LS $664,400 $ 664,400 $ 233,000 $ 897,400 Interest During Construction TOTAL CAPITAL COST ANNUAL COSTS AF Permitting and Mitigation Unit Price T Transmission Facilities Pipeline NTMWD Right of Way Easements (Suburban) Pipeline Eng &Contingencies (30%) Pipeline Subtotal (12 months) Cost $ 15,000 $ 74,000 $ 1,838,400 Cost $ 134,000 $ 7,000 $ 20,000 $ 40,000 $ 91,362 $ 292,362 Phase 1 Unit Costs (Pre‐Amortization) Cost per acre‐ft Cost per 1000 gallons $ 261 $ 0.80 Phase 1 Unit Costs (After Amortization) Cost per acre‐ft Cost per 1000 gallons $ 141 $ 0.43 D R Debt Service (6%, 30 years) Pipeline O&M (1%) Pump O&M (2.5%) Electricity ($0.09 kWh) Reuse Water ($0.25 per 1,000 gallons) TOTAL ANNUAL COST 2011 Region C Water Plan T AF APPENDIX 4 D R ASSUMPTIONS FOR COST ESTIMATES MEMORANDUM TO: File, NTD08492 FROM: Simone Kiel, Rachel Ickert SUBJECT: Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects DATE: May 6, 2009 Introduction 1. The evaluation of water management strategies requires developing cost estimates. Guidance for cost estimates may be found in the TWDB’s “General Guidelines for Regional Water Plan Development (2007-2012)”, Section 4.1.2. Costs are to be reported in September 2008 dollars. 2. All cost estimates should be checked by construction services and discipline leaders in the appropriate areas, including Environmental Science. 3. We have developed standard unit costs for installed pipe, pump stations and standard treatment facilities developed from experience with similar projects throughout the State of Texas. These estimates are to be used for all SB1 projects, unless more detailed costing is available. All unit costs include the contractors’ mobilization, overhead and profit. The unit costs do not include engineering, contingency, financial and legal services, costs for land and rights-of-way, permits, environmental and archeological studies, or mitigation. The costs for these items are determined separately in the cost tables. 4. The information presented in this memorandum is intended to be ‘rule-of-thumb’ guidance. Specific situations may call for alteration of the procedures and costs. Note that the costs in this memorandum provide a planning level estimate for comparison purposes. 5. It is important that when comparing alternatives that the cost estimates be similar and include similar items. If an existing reliable cost estimate is available for a project it should be used where appropriate. All cost estimates must meet the requirements set forth in the TWDB’s “General Guidelines for Regional Water Plan Development (2007-2012)”. 6. The cost estimates have two components: • Initial capital costs, including engineering and construction costs, and T:\Task 4 - Water Mgmt Strategies\Costs\MEMO_Costs_Update_May09.doc FREESE AND NICHOLS ! 4055 INTERNATIONAL PLAZA, SUITE 200 ! FORT WORTH, TEXAS 76109-4895 TELEPHONE: 817-735-7300 ! METRO: 817-429-1900 ! FAX: 817-735-7491 Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 2 of 13 • Average annual costs, including annual operation and maintenance costs and debt service. TWDB does not require the consultant to determine life cycle or present value analysis. In general, unless you are putting together a complex scenario with phased implementation or are planning on using State funding, annual costs are sufficient for comparison purposes and a life-cycle analysis is not required. ASSUMPTIONS FOR CAPITAL COSTS: Conveyance Systems Standard pipeline costs used for these cost estimates are shown in Table 1. Pump station costs are based on required Horsepower capacity and are listed in Table 2. The power capacity is to be determined from the hydraulic analyses conducted from a planning level hydraulic grade line evaluation (or detailed analysis if available). Pipelines and pump stations are to be sized for peak pumping capacity. • Pump efficiency is assumed to be 75 percent. • Peaking factor of 2 times the average demand is to be used for strategies when the water is pumped directly to a water treatment plant. (or historical peaking factor, if available) • Peaking factor of 1.2 to 1.5 is to be used if there are additional water sources and/or the water is transported to a terminal storage facility. • Ground storage is to be provided at each booster pump station along the transmission line unless there is a more detailed design. • Ground storage tanks should provide sufficient storage for 2.5 to 4 hours of pumping at peak capacity. Costs for ground storage are shown in Table 3. Covered storage tanks are used for all strategies transporting treated water. • Costs for elevated storage tanks are shown in Table 4. • When a pipeline discharges into a reservoir or river, use project-specific discharge structure costs if available. If no project-specific information is available, the costs in Table 5 may be used to estimate discharge structure costs. Water Treatment Plants Water treatment plants are to be sized for peak day capacity (assume peaking factor of 2 if no specific data is available). Costs estimated for new conventional surface water treatment facilities and expansions of existing facilities are listed in Table 6. These costs include all facilities from the point where raw water enters the plant to the discharge side of the high service pump station. Specifically, the following major components are included: 1. 2. Rapid Mixing Flocculation Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 3 of 13 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Sedimentation Filtration Finished water storage (i.e. clearwell) Disinfection Chemical Feed Backwash Reclamation Sludge Handling High Service Pumping Alternative: Can substitute solids contact clarification for items 2 & 3. Costs for membrane treatment (direct filtration with no removal of dissolved salts) are analogous to conventional treatment costs and include the following major components: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Pre-filtration (strainers) Membrane Filtration (microfiltration, ultrafiltration, NOT reverse osmosis) Finished Water Storage (i.e. clearwell) Disinfection Chemical Feed Backwash Reclamation High Service Pumping Conventional treatment does not include advanced technologies, such as ozone or UV treatment. All treatment plants are to be sized for finished water capacity. • For reverse osmosis plants for surface water, increase construction costs shown on Table 6 by the amount shown on Table 7 for the appropriate size plant that will be used for RO. If groundwater is the raw water source, use only the costs in Table 7. These costs were based on actual cost estimates of similar facilities. • The amount of reject water generated by reverse osmosis treatment is dependent upon the incoming quality of the raw water. Final treatment goals should be between 600 and 800 mg/l of TDS. (This provides a safety margin in meeting secondary treatment standards.) For reverse osmosis treatment of brackish water (1,000 – 3,000 mg/l of TDS), assume that 20 percent of the raw water treated with membranes is discharged as reject water, unless project-specific data is available. For brackish water with TDS concentrations between 3,000 and 10,000 mg/l, assume 30% reject water. Desalination of seawater or very high TDS water will have a higher percent of reject water (50 to 60%). Minimal losses are assumed for conventional treatment facilities. • Costs for ion exchange facilities are shown on Table 8. For these facilities it is assumed that 2 to 3 percent of the raw water would be discharged as reject water. Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 4 of 13 New Groundwater Wells The costs for new water wells can be calculated using the formulas in Table 9. Costs include well pumps and motors. It is assumed that the cost of irrigation wells is approximately 60% of the cost for municipal and industrial wells. Well depth will be estimated by county and aquifer. For expansion of existing well fields for municipal water providers, an additional $160,000 per well for connection to the existing distribution system is assumed. Connection costs and conveyance systems for new well fields will be determined on a case-by-case basis. New Reservoirs Site-specific cost estimates will be made for reservoir sites. The elements required for reservoir sites are included in Table 10. Lake intake structures for new reservoirs will be determined on a case-by-case basis. Generally, costs for construction of such facilities prior to filling of the reservoir will be less than shown on Table 2. Other Costs • Engineering, contingency, construction management, financial and legal costs are to be estimated at 30 percent of construction cost for pipelines and 35 percent of construction costs for pump stations, treatment facilities and reservoir projects. (TWDB Guidelines) • Permitting and mitigation for transmission and treatment projects are to be estimated at 1 percent of the total construction costs. For reservoirs, mitigation and permitting costs are assumed equal to twice the land purchase cost, unless site specific data is available. • Right-of-way costs for transmission lines are estimated per linear foot of ROW using the unit costs in Table 11. If a small pipeline follows existing right-of-ways (such as highways), no additional right-of-way cost is assumed. Large pipelines will require ROW costs regardless of routing. • The costs for property acquisition for reservoirs are to be based on previous cost estimates, if available. If no site specific data is available, land costs will be based on the median rural land cost published by the Texas A&M Real Estate Center website for 2007 or a minimum of $2,000 per acre, whichever is higher. • Costs for power supply to pump stations, water treatment plants, and well sites have not been included in the unit costs. If a detailed study including power supply costs is available for a particular project, the costs will be included accordingly. The costs for power supply can be highly variable and depend on the location of the project and available power supply in the area. Power supply costs may or may not be a significant cost element of a project. Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 5 of 13 Interest during construction is the total of interest accrued at the end of the construction period using a 6 percent annual interest rate on total borrowed funds, less a 4 percent rate of return on investment of unspent funds. This is calculated assuming that the total estimated project cost (excluding interest during construction) would be drawn down at a constant rate per month during the construction period. Factors were determined for different lengths of time for project construction. These factors were used in cost estimating and are presented in Table 12. ASSUMPTIONS FOR ANNUAL COSTS: Annual costs are to be estimated using the following assumptions: • Debt service for all transmission and treatment facilities is to be annualized over 30 years, but not longer than the life of the project. Debt service for reservoirs is to be annualized over 30 years. [Note: uniform amortization periods should be used when evaluating similar projects for an entity.] • Annual interest rate for debt service is 6 percent. • Water purchase costs are to be based on wholesale rates reported by the selling entity when possible. In lieu of known rates, a typical regional cost for treated water and raw water will be developed. • Operation and Maintenance costs are to be calculated based on the construction cost of the capital improvement. Engineering, permitting, etc. should not be included as a basis for this calculation. However, a 20% allowance for construction contingencies should be included for all O&M calculations. Per the “General Guidelines for Regional Water Plan Development (2007-2012)”, O&M should be calculated at: o 1 percent of the construction costs for pipelines o 1.5 percent for dams o 2.5 percent of the construction costs for pump stations, storage tanks, meters and SCADA systems o Assume O&M costs for treatment facilities are included in the treatment cost • Surface water treatment costs are estimated at $0.70 per 1,000 gallons for conventional plants and $1.24 per 1,000 gallons of finished water for surface water plants with reverse osmosis. Assume cost for treatment of groundwater by reverse osmosis is $0.65 per 1,000 gallons. If only a portion of the water will be treated with RO, apply costs proportionately. Treatment for nitrates is estimated at $0.40 per 1,000 gallons. Treatment for groundwater (assuming chlorination only) is estimated at $0.30 per 1,000 gallons. These costs include chemicals, Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 6 of 13 labor and electricity and should be applied to amount of finished water receiving the treatment. • Reject water disposal for treatment of brackish water is to be estimated on a caseby-case basis depending on disposal method. If no method is defined, assume a cost of $0.35 per 1,000 gallons of reject water. [This value represents a moderate cost estimate. If the water were returned to a brackish surface water source, the costs would be negligible. If evaporation beds or deep well injection were used, the costs could be much higher.] • Pumping costs are to be estimated using an electricity rate of $0.09 per Kilowatt Hour. If local data is available, this can be used. Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 7 of 13 Table 1 Pipeline Costs (does not include ROW) Diameter (Inches) 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 132 144 Notes: Base Installed Rural Cost with Urban Cost with Assumed ROW Cost Appurtenances Appurtenances Width ($/Foot) 24 31 39 47 55 62 70 82 105 132 167 196 244 288 332 401 469 538 616 704 782 870 977 1,075 1,212 1,466 1,730 ($/Foot) 26 34 43 52 60 69 77 90 116 145 184 215 269 317 366 441 516 591 677 774 860 957 1,075 1,183 1,333 1,613 1,903 ($/Foot) 39 52 65 77 90 103 116 135 174 215 276 323 374 435 495 591 697 799 914 1,045 1,161 1,290 1,451 1,596 1,801 2,177 2,569 (Feet) 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 Assumed Temporary Easement Width (Feet) 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 80 80 80 80 80 80 100 100 100 100 a Costs are based on PVC class 150 pipe for the smaller long, rural pipelines. b Appurtenances assumed to be 10% of installed pipe costs. c For urban pipelines, costs were increased by 35% for cost with appurtenances. For pipes 42"and smaller, additional costs were added. d Adjust costs for obstacles (rock, forested areas) and easy conditions (soft soil in flat country). Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 8 of 13 Table 2 Pump Station Costs for Transmission Systems Horsepower 5 10 20 25 50 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Booster PS Lake PS with Intake Costs Costs $516,000 $538,000 $564,000 $591,000 $645,000 $742,000 $1,118,000 $1,484,000 $1,441,000 $1,914,000 $1,795,000 $2,387,000 $2,032,000 $2,698,000 $2,150,000 $2,860,000 $2,268,000 $3,021,000 $2,516,000 $3,343,000 $2,634,000 $3,505,000 $2,870,000 $3,817,000 $4,182,000 $5,562,000 $5,020,000 $6,677,000 $6,095,000 $8,107,000 $6,988,000 $9,293,000 $8,063,000 $10,723,000 $8,923,000 $11,867,000 $9,890,000 $13,154,000 $10,965,000 $14,583,000 $12,255,000 $16,299,000 $20,425,000 $27,165,000 $26,875,000 $35,744,000 $33,325,000 $44,322,000 $38,700,000 $51,471,000 $44,075,000 $58,620,000 $49,450,000 $65,769,000 Note: 1. Lake PS with intake costs include intake and pump station. 2. Adjust pump station costs upward if the pump station is designed to move large quantities of water at a low head (i.e. low horsepower). See Rusty Gibson for appropriate factor. 3. Assumed multiple pump setup for all pump stations. Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 9 of 13 Table 3 Ground Storage Tanks Size (MG) 0.05 0.1 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 5 6 7 8 10 12 14 With Roof Without Roof $125,000 $106,000 $183,000 $156,000 $438,000 $333,000 $634,000 $469,000 $796,000 $591,000 $957,000 $714,000 $1,086,000 $821,000 $1,215,000 $928,000 $1,355,000 $1,023,000 $1,505,000 $1,118,000 $1,720,000 $1,303,000 $2,075,000 $1,505,000 $2,446,000 $1,740,000 $2,822,000 $2,069,000 $3,746,000 $2,752,000 $4,671,000 $3,419,000 $5,595,000 $4,085,000 Note: Costs assume steel tanks smaller than 1 MG, concrete tanks 1 MG and larger. Table 4 Elevated Storage Tanks Size (MG) 0.5 0.75 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Cost $1,333,000 $1,537,000 $1,742,000 $2,301,000 $2,870,000 $3,376,000 Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 10 of 13 Table 5 Discharge Structures Capacity (MGD) 0.5 1 2 5 10 60 80 120 Cost $32,000 $33,000 $37,000 $43,000 $54,000 $140,000 $160,000 $240,000 Table 6 Conventional Water Treatment Plant Costs Plant Capacity (MGD) 1 3 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 New Conventional Conventional Plants Plant Expansions $5,800,000 $2,900,000 $10,600,000 $7,400,000 $17,500,000 $12,900,000 $22,400,000 $16,000,000 $29,100,000 $20,900,000 $35,400,000 $26,100,000 $47,600,000 $35,700,000 $60,000,000 $45,500,000 $72,600,000 $54,400,000 $84,900,000 $63,500,000 $96,600,000 $72,200,000 $107,900,000 $81,400,000 $118,500,000 $90,500,000 $130,200,000 $100,200,000 Note: Plant is sized for finished peak day capacity. Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 11 of 13 Table 7 Additional Cost for Reverse Osmosis Treatment Plant Capacity (MGD) 0.5 1 3 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 60 Reverse Osmosis Facilities Cost $1,300,000 $1,600,000 $3,200,000 $7,200,000 $9,800,000 $14,200,000 $18,300,000 $25,500,000 $31,400,000 $36,600,000 $40,700,000 Note: Plant is sized for finished water capacity. Table 8 Groundwater Nitrate Treatment Treatment Capacity (MGD) 0.25 1.0 3.0 Ion Exchange Plant Cost $800,000 $1,700,000 $3,900,000 Note: Plant is sized for finished water capacity. Table 9 Cost Elements for Water Wells Well Diameter (inches) 6 8 10 12 15 Typical Production Range (gpm) 50-100 100-250 250-400 400-500 500-600 Estimated Cost per LF a=1 for PWS/Industrial or 0.6 for Irrigation $80,000 + $125a $80,000 + $175a $85,000 + $200a $85,000 + $250a $90,000 + $300a Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 12 of 13 Table 10 Cost Elements for Reservoir Sites Capital Costs Embankment Spillway Outlet works Site work Land Administrative facilities Supplemental pumping facilities Flood protection Studies and Permitting Environmental and archeological studies Permitting Terrestrial mitigation tracts Engineering and contingencies Construction management Table 11 Pipeline Easement Costs Pipeline Diameter (inches) 6 to 8 10 to 36 42 to 72 78 to 108 114 to 144 Cost per Linear Foot Rural County $3.00 $5.00 $7.00 $9.00 $12.00 Suburban County $9.00 $12.00 $17.00 $23.00 $29.00 Urban County $21.00 $28.00 $41.00 $55.00 $69.00 Highly Urbanized Area Evaluate on a case-by-case basis Note: Suburban County is defined as a county immediately bordering the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. Table 12 Factors for Interest During Construction Construction Period 6 months 12 months 18 months 24 months 36 month construction Factor 0.02167 0.04167 0.06167 0.08167 0.12167 Cost Estimating for SB1 Projects May 6, 2009 Page 13 of 13 Figure 1 Pipe Costs Cost per Linear Foot $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pipe Diameter (Inches) Rural Pipe Urban Pipe 120 140 160 T AF APPENDIX 5 TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM – D R STEAM ELECTRIC POWER DEMAND PROJECTIONS TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM ALAN PLUMMER ASSOCIATES, INC. Region C Water Planning Group Steam Electric Power Demand Projections PROJECT: 0312-041-01 DATE: August 31, 2009 PREPARED FOR: Region C Water Planning Group PREPARED BY: Alan Plummer Associates, Inc. Background T The 2006 Region C Plan (hereafter referred to as the 2006 Plan) included projections for municipal demands, as well as non-municipal demands such as irrigation, livestock, AF manufacturing, mining, and steam-electric power. As part of the 2011 update to the Region C Water Plan, steam electric power demands were reviewed to determine if changes should be made to the future projections. In the 2006 Plan, projections of the steam electric power demand were based on the analysis of historical trends and Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) R draft projections. The power industry reports annual water consumption associated with steam electric power as part of the Texas Water Development Board’s Survey of Ground and Surface D Water Use. In 2003, the TWDB in conjunction with a research project team consisting of industry representatives developed “Power Generation Water Use in Texas for the Years 2000 Through 2060” (hereafter referred to as the 2003 Report). The objective and purpose of this research project was to develop improved methodologies for projecting water demands by the steam electric generation water use sector for a 50 year planning horizon, as well as develop actual projections for this sector on a regional and county specific basis throughout the state of Texas. A summary of the methodology utilized in this project is included below. A more detailed outline of the methodology used in the 2003 Report is included in Attachment A. • An electric demand growth factor was determined from the projections of the Public Utility Commission of Texas. This factor was extrapolated over a 50-year planning period and resulted in a 2% statewide annual electric demand growth rate. 1 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_final.docx DRAFT • Consumptive water use for various generating and cooling technologies was determined and applied to 214 generating plants in Texas. • The base year (2000) water demand for each plant was calculated by taking actual generation by fuel type and applying water use factors. Projections for 2010-2060 were calculated on unit by unit basis. • The 2010 and 2020 water demand for coal fired, nuclear, and conventional gas was based on 2000 demand adjusted by a correction factor for linear trending. The 2030 – 2060 factors were increased at the same rate despite fuel/generation types. The projections and methodology of the 2003 Report were utilized during the development of the steam electric power consumption projections included in the 2006 Plan. In cases where T historical data appeared to be questionable, basic data was sought to confirm or correct D R Plan is included in Table 1. AF information. A summary of the stream electric power consumption projections from the 2006 2 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Table 1. 2006 Region C Steam Electric Power Water Consumption Projections 2010 2020 Year 2030 2040 2050 2060 1,901 1,581 1,260 1,473 1,733 2,050 2,436 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13,749 12,264 10,842 11,918 13,230 14,829 16,778 631 524 418 489 575 680 808 744 14,237 20,379 23,825 28,027 33,148 39,391 5,638 5,152 4,748 5,184 5,717 6,366 7,157 13,004 18,210 20,524 0 0 0 2,387 28,234 33,398 39,692 0 0 0 0 2,308 2,376 2,458 2,559 2,681 0 3,674 4,296 5,053 5,977 7,102 8,979 17,798 20,808 24,478 28,950 34,403 2,465 0 0 AF 23,999 R T 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 30 4,617 5,397 6,349 7,509 8,923 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,903 4,158 3,419 4,168 5,081 6,194 7,550 0 3,949 5,653 6,609 7,774 9,195 10,927 43,071 71,471 95,640 110,542 128,709 150,855 177,848 D County Collin County Cooke County Dallas County Denton County Ellis County Fannin County Freestone County Grayson County Henderson County Jack County Kaufman County Navarro County Parker County Rockwall County Tarrant County Wise County Region C Total 3 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Recent Studies In 2008, the TWDB in conjunction with the Bureau of Economic Geology (BEG) developed “Water Demand Projections for Power Generation in Texas” (hereafter referred to as the BEG Report). The BEG Report stated that future water demand in Texas for the electric generation sector depends on: the rate of economic growth and resultant future demand for electric power; the future mix of generation capacity (natural gas combined cycle, pulverized coal, advanced coal, nuclear etc.); whether or not a price is put on carbon dioxide emissions (for mitigation of global warming) such that some power plants have incentive to employ carbon capture and storage technologies; and the extent and success of future efficiency programs. T Considering the difficulties associated with projecting future water demand in the steam electric power industry, the BEG Report attempted to project electric power demand and associated AF water needs in Texas over the next fifty years using the scenarios described in Table 2. As noted in Figure 1, the base year in the BEG Report is assumed to be the year 2006. The BEG Report compiled water consumption data from the TCEQ for 2006 and the TWDB for 2001-2005 (2006 was not available at the publish date of the BEG Report). A summary of the methodology developed in the BEG Report is included in Figure 1. A more detailed outline of the R methodology used in the BEG Report is included in Attachment A. D Table 2. Scenarios for Electricity Generation in Texas Scenario Annual Electric Sales Growth* Natural Gas Prices Carbon Price causes Carbon Capture to be implemented 1L 1BAU 2L 2BAU 3L 3BAU 4L 4BAU Low BAU Low BAU Low BAU Low BAU High High High High Low Low Low Low No No Yes Yes No No Yes Yes * L = Low Usage Scenario, BAU = “Business as Usual” Usage Scenario 4 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Figure 1. Water Consumption for Steam-Electric: Projection Methodology from BEG Report Calculate “Today’s” Water (2006) • • TCEQ data for surface water consumption o 2001 – 2006 data (use 2006 values if possible) TWDB data for groundwater consumption o 2001 – 2005 data EIA data for net electricity generation (EIA-920/906) o 2001 – 2006 Data (use values to match water data) 2006 Results Near term plant additions PUCT data ERCOT data TCEQ data Estimate: • Capacity factor by power plant (generation unit) type • Typical values for “gal/kWh” for new plants Calculate: • Ac-ft/yr for each o County o RWPA o Fuel, generator, cooling combination • Electricity generated in each county per o Fuel type • “gal/kWh” per county per fuel type o Use of Matlab computer code to take Excel input and then output to Excel Given: • Assume: • • • Projection for annual electricity generation, per fuel and generation type, for Texas overall County specific information (from Scenario 2015 1BAU) remains constant % of fuel type “gal/kWh” per fuel type Calculate: • Ac-ft/yr for each o County o RWPA o Fuel, generator, cooling combination AF Calculate: • ”gal/kWh” for power plant facilities o Use greater of 2006 value or average over 2001-2006 time span o Estimate for facilities with insufficient data • Ac-ft/yr for each o County o RWPA o Fuel, generator, cooling combination • Electricity generated in each county per o Fuel type Given: • • • • • Long Term Projection (2020-2060) T Given: • Near Term Projection (2007-2015) D R * The method for projecting future water demand for electricity generation starts with 2006 calculations (“today”), moves to a near term projection (through 2015), and then uses the distribution of water demand from 2015 to project into the long term future through 2060. 5 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Projection Discrepancies A February 2009 memorandum from the TWDB to Jim Parks, Region C Water Planning Group Chair, entitled “Steam-Electric Water Demand Projections For The 2007-2012 Planning Cycle” provides the following analysis of the BEG Report: “At the state level, BEG projections are based on a sound methodology; and although lower in the near-term, they do not differ substantially from projections used in the 2007 State Water Plan over the planning horizon. However, when allocating projected energy generation at the local and regional level, the BEG used assumptions that differ from previous TWDB studies resulting in large deviations from the 2007 State Water Plan. Some of these deviations appear valid; however, some are based on assumptions that do T not appear realistic. “ AF Accordingly, the memorandum solicits an opinion from each planning group regarding steam electric projections for the 2007-2012 planning cycle. The memorandum requests that Region C determine whether they wish to plan for steam electric demands based on the 2006 Plan projections or the projections provided as Scenario 2L of the BEG Report. Attachment C D Report. R provides a graphical representation of the discrepancies between the 2006 Plan and the BEG 6 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Region C Methodology In response to the request from the TWDB memorandum, an analysis of available projections and data was initiated by the Region C Planning Group. After reviewing the background usage data in Region C from the 2003 Report and the BEG Report, data from the TCEQ, TWDB, and several direct reuse providers was requested. In order to gain an accurate comparison of historical consumption between all data sources, the year 2006 was chosen for comparison. 2006 was the only year in which historical usage was available for all data sources. As noted in Table 3, the historical usage data from all sources is significantly less than the 2006 Plan projections for the year 2006. No one source appears to fully account for all steam electric T power plants in Region C. The TCEQ historical data accounts for steam electric power water consumption from steam electric power plants with water rights. The TWDB historical data AF provides usage on a county wide level, making it difficult to interpret individual plant contributions. The BEG historical data for 2006 attempted to reconcile the TWDB and TCEQ data, but used estimates for plants not accounted for in either data set. For this reason, an attempt was made in this study to collect data on an individual plant basis for the Year 2006 (see “Best Available Data for 2006” column). The “Best Available Data for 2006” column in Table 3 • R represents the data received from the TCEQ with several exceptions: Usage numbers for Spencer (Denton County), FPLE (Kaufman County), and Tractebel D (Ellis County) were collected from the reuse provider. The TWDB data does also not appear to account for steam electric power consumption that is satisfied by reuse. • Usage numbers for Newman, Olinger, Jack, and Freestone were taken from the BEG estimates (no TCEQ data was available). 7 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Table 3. Base Year Comparisons AF T Best Available 2006 Plan Data for 2006 2006 BEG 2006 TWDB Projections County (acre-feet/year)* (acre-feet/year) (acre-feet/year) (acre-feet/year) Collin 531 531 525 1,709 Cooke 0 0 0 0 Dallas 1,675 1,598 1,443 12,858 Denton 644 395 639 567 Ellis 706 975 0 8,840 Fannin 281 325 361 5,346 Freestone 12,173 10,168 9,936 16,128 Grayson 0 0 0 0 Henderson 57 117 25 2,418 Jack 2,162 2,162 0 0 Kaufman 8,018 5,814 0 5,387 Navarro 0 0 0 0 Parker 0 3 9 32 Rockwall 0 0 0 0 Tarrant 1,300 1,053 3,054 4,456 Wise 2,100 2,205 0 2,369 TOTAL 29,646 25,346 15,992 60,111 *Newman (Dallas County), Olinger (Collin County), Jack, and Freestone taken from BEG report - no TCEQ data. Spencer (Denton County), FPLE (Kaufman County), and Tractebel (Ellis County) were collected from the reuse provider. R Senate Bill 1 requires planning efforts to account for the “drought of record” conditions, which typically correspond to below normal rainfall conditions. In some cases this may correspond to a year of high electric consumption. However, as alluded to in the BEG report, many factors, D including natural gas prices may affect steam electric power water consumption. The year 2000, which was the base year in the 2003 Report, was representative of a “worst case scenario” year. The year 2000 was both the driest year for the majority of the regions in the state and a year with low natural gas prices. The BEG Report’s goal was to use only 2006 TCEQ data because they are the latest available, and 2006 was considered a dry year and thus a good baseline or “worse case scenario” for estimating water diversions for power plants. The BEG Report considered natural gas prices in its scenarios, but not when selecting a base year. The closing and mothballing of existing plants, the emergence of increased air quality regulations in the early 2000s, and rising natural gas prices likely decreased stream electric power water consumption in Region C from 2000-2006. For the 2011 Planning Cycle, the use of 8 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT the Year 2000 for a base year is not appropriate for these reasons. The use of the Year 2006 is also not entirely appropriate based on the high natural gas prices. The “Best Available Data for 2006” accounts for more consumption than both the BEG and TWDB collected data for 2006, but is still over 30,000 acre-feet/year less than the 2006 Plan projections. Considering the climatic similarities between the Years 2000 and 2006, it is unlikely that a decrease in natural gas prices would have doubled the stream electric water consumption in 2006. With this information in mind, this study does not attempt to develop projections from a base year, but to modify existing projections to account for the observed 2006 data being roughly half of what was originally projected in the 2006 Plan. T An outline of the data collection procedure and methodology for the 2011 Region C Plan is included in Attachment B. The 2011 Region C Plan methodology for steam electric power AF demands includes the comparison of the 2006 Plan and BEG Report projections with consideration to both near term and long term demands. In addition to modifying the existing projections to reflect less usage than anticipated in 2006, this study also considers the construction of new plants and the mothballing of existing plants. In the near term the “mothballing” of the Luminant Northlake plant was considered in the 2010 projections for Dallas R County. In addition, the construction of Waxahachie LS Power (Fannin County), Ellis Power (Navarro County), Babcock and Brown (Navarro County), and Corsicana (intake and plant D located in Freestone County) Plants were considered in the 2020 projections. Construction of the Panda Plant (Grayson County) was considered in the 2010 projections. The estimated water consumption for these plants and the BEG and 2006 Plan projections by county are included in Table 4. As noted in this table, demand projections for new plants in Grayson and Navarro counties are not included in either the 2006 Plan or the BEG projections. 9 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Table 4. Comparison of Near Term Consumptions Changes and Projections County Estimated Near Term Water Consumption Changes* in Region C 2010 Demand 2020 Demand (acre(acre-feet/year) feet/year) -80 +4,480 +6,726 +4,480 +5,600 +13,440 2010 Projections (acrefeet/year) BEG 2006 Plan BEG 4,290 1,169 0 7,636 0 0 2006 Plan 10,842 4,748 0 20,524 0 0 T Dallas 3,367 12,264 Fannin 1,261 5,152 Fannin/Grayson** 0 0 Freestone 9,323 18,210 Grayson 0 0 Navarro 0 0 OVERALL REGION C +5,520 +29,086 * Due to the construction of new plants and the mothballing of existing plants. 2020 Projections (acrefeet/year) Proposed Projections AF **The construction of a new plant in this area would require supply from both counties. After considering which projection best matched both the near term (through 2020) and long term demands (through 2060) for each county, a decision was made to select one of the following: R Preferred option: If the near term and long term projections for either the BEG or 2006 Plan are reasonable, choose either projection for a county through the duration of the projections (2010-2060). Hybrid option: If the near term projection for either the BEG Report or 2006 Plan is reasonable, but the long term projection is not, choose the 2010 projection that is most reasonable and modify the most appropriate projection pattern by adding or deducting the difference from each decade. D • The 2006 Plan projections were chosen in the case of Kaufman County in the near term. The BEG Report projections were in chosen in the case of Collin, Dallas, Ellis, Henderson, Parker, Tarrant, and Wise counties in the near term. A hybrid projection was developed for all other counties throughout the planning period in the near term. The BEG Report projections were in chosen in the case of Ellis, Parker, and Wise counties in the long term. A hybrid projection was developed for all other counties throughout the planning period in the long term. This information is displayed graphically in Tables 5 and 6. The proposed 2011 Region C Proposed 10 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Projections are included in the Table 7 with changes shown in red. Figure 2 compares the various D R AF T projections through 2060. Attachment C includes a county-by-county comparison. 11 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Table 5. Near Term Decision 2006 Plan Hybrid No Demand X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X T County Collin* Cooke Dallas* Denton* Ellis* Fannin Freestone Grayson Henderson Jack Kaufman* Navarro Parker* Rockwall* Tarrant* Wise BEG Report X AF * Denotes a non-attainment county. Table 6. Long Term Decision BEG Report 2006 Plan Hybrid X No Demand X X X R County Collin* Cooke Dallas* Denton* Ellis* Fannin Freestone Grayson Henderson Jack Kaufman* Navarro Parker* Rockwall* Tarrant* Wise X D X X X X X X X X X X X * Denotes a non-attainment county. 12 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Table 7. Proposed 2011 Region C Projections T 2020 715 0 4,290 744 698 6,363 18,210 8,963 427 2,500 10,000 8,000 22 0 2,448 1,245 64,625 AF 2010 771 0 3,367 644 981 1,261 12,173 5,600 460 2,162 8,979 0 24 0 2,640 1,751 40,813 D R County Collin Cooke Dallas Denton Ellis Fannin Freestone Grayson Henderson Jack Kaufman Navarro Parker Rockwall Tarrant Wise Region C Total 2011 Region C Proposed 2030 2040 2050 1,000 1,200 1,600 0 0 0 11,918 12,000 12,000 844 944 1,044 1,450 3,741 5,754 11,474 11,910 12,443 20,524 23,999 28,234 12,326 12,326 12,326 7,000 8,000 9,000 2,700 2,900 3,100 10,000 10,000 10,000 13,440 13,440 13,440 28 56 75 0 0 0 4,168 5,000 5,000 1,216 1,878 2,042 98,088 107,394 116,058 13 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT 2060 2,000 0 12,000 1,144 7,878 13,092 33,398 12,326 10,000 3,300 10,000 13,440 102 0 5,000 2,748 126,428 D R AF T Figure 2. Comparison of Region C Steam Electric Water Use Projections 14 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Attachment A D R AF T Projection Methodologies 15 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Water Use Projection Methodology Power Generation Water Use in Texas – 2000-2060 2003 Report 1. Projected electric demands statewide (assume all generation occurs in Texas) a. Determined electric demand growth factor from projections of Public Utility Commission of Texas. Extrapolated over 50-year planning period. b. Determined per capita electric use factor from existing data (population and total electric use) for last two decades. Used that factor with TWDB population projections to get total electric use through 2060. c. Two methods yielded similar results. Used 1.a. Believed most reliable. Resulted in 2% statewide annual electric demand growth rate. AF T 2. Determined statewide water requirements. a. Determined consumptive water use for various generating and cooling technologies. Applied to 214 generating plants in Texas. Gave water demand projections (low, medium, and high) through 2060. Selected medium scenario. 3. Water demand for each generating plant in Texas estimated as a percentage of statewide demand. R a. For base year (2000) water demand for each plant was calculated by taking actual generation by fuel type and applying water use factors. Projections for 2010-2060 calculated on unit by unit basis. D b. 2010 and 2020 water demand for coal fired, nuclear, and conventional gas based on 2000 demand adjusted by a correction factor for linear trending. c. For 2030 – 2060 factors were increased at the same rate despite fuel/generation types. 4. Individual plant projections were summed by county/region. 16 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Water Use Projection Methodology Power Generation Water Use in Texas 2010-2060 BEG Report 1) Current Consumption: Consumption data was obtained from TCEQ and TWDB concerning water intake, diversion, and return of surface and groundwater. a. The TCEQ data was given preference due to the year 2006 being available for analysis. However, the TCEQ data only accounted for about half of the electricity produced in Texas. Water consumption and electrical generation was calculated for the single year of 2006 as a “worst case scenario.” T b. In addition to the TCEQ 2006 data, average water consumption values from 20012006 were calculated from the TCEQ data and average values from 2001-2005 were calculated from the TWDB data. Both averages were divided by the electricity generated at a facility within the years of interest. This step provided more data, but some plants were still left with no information. Fuel Prime Mover CC GT ST CC Once-through or Cooling Tower? cooling tower cooling tower cooling tower Once-through or recirculating Once-through or recirculating Once-through or recirculating cooling tower Once-through or recirculating Any D R NG NG NG NG AF c. For power plants with no TCEQ/TWDB data, gal/kWh factors were assigned depending on the type of plant. NG GT NG ST Coal (any) Coal (any) ST ST Nuclear ST Water consumption rate (gal/kWh) 0.23 0.05 0.70 0.23 0.05 0.35 0.60 0.35 0.60 * NG = Natural Gas, CC = Combined Cycle, GT = Gas Turbine, ST = Steam Turbine 17 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT 2) Near-Term/Long Term Methodology (see figure below): Calculate “Today’s” Water (2006) • • TCEQ data for surface water consumption o 2001 – 2006 data (use 2006 values if possible) TWDB data for groundwater consumption o 2001 – 2005 data EIA data for net electricity generation (EIA-920/906) o 2001 – 2006 Data (use values to match water data) 2006 Results Near term plant additions PUCT data ERCOT data TCEQ data Estimate: • Capacity factor by power plant (generation unit) type • Typical values for “gal/kWh” for new plants Calculate: • Ac-ft/yr for each o County o RWPA o Fuel, generator, cooling combination • Electricity generated in each county per o Fuel type • “gal/kWh” per county per fuel type o Use of Matlab computer code to take Excel input and then output to Excel Given: • Assume: • • • Projection for annual electricity generation, per fuel and generation type, for Texas overall County specific information (from Scenario 2015 1BAU) remains constant % of fuel type “gal/kWh” per fuel type Calculate: • Ac-ft/yr for each o County o RWPA o Fuel, generator, cooling combination AF Calculate: • ”gal/kWh” for power plant facilities o Use greater of 2006 value or average over 2001-2006 time span o Estimate for facilities with insufficient data • Ac-ft/yr for each o County o RWPA o Fuel, generator, cooling combination • Electricity generated in each county per o Fuel type Given: • • • • • Long Term Projection (2020-2060) T Given: • Near Term Projection (2007-2015) D R * The method for projecting future water demand for electricity generation starts with 2006 calculations (“today”), moves to a near term projection (through 2015), and then uses the distribution of water demand from 2015 to project into the long term future through 2060. 18 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Attachment B 2011 Region C Methodology 19 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_final.docx DRAFT I. Data Collection – (Annual water or power consumption, type of plant, status to include in a spreadsheet deliverable) a. Historical i. Industry 1. Major Sources (will cover 85% of 2006 demand in BEG Report) a. Luminant – Collin, Lake Ray Hubbard, Northlake, Valley, Big Brown, Trinidad, Eagle Mountain b. City of Garland – Olinger, Newman, Lewisville, Spencer c. Exelon – Mountain Creek, Handley d. FPLE – Janet Sims can request from City of Garland (reuse water from Duck Creek) (APAI has data for all but 2008). e. Brazos Electric Power Coop – North Texas, Jack f. Wise County Power R AF T 2. Minor Sources (remaining 15% of 2006 demand in BEG Report) a. Devon Gas Service, Weatherford Municipal Utility System, City of Fort Worth, City of Whitesboro, Freestone Power Generation – Calpine, USACE – Denison, WM Renewable Energy, ANP Operations, Ennis Tractebel, Rock-Tenn, State Farm Mutual, UTD, City of Denton ii. TWDB 1. Historical data available through 2006. iii. TCEQ 1. Collects historical data on a yearly basis. D b. Historical Estimates (when historical data is not available) i. Industry guidance on gal/kwh (modify table from BEG report). c. Projected Use i. 2003 TWDB Report ii. BEG Report 20 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_final.docx DRAFT II. Decision Process for Region C SEP Water Consumption Projections a. Near Term Projections i. Compare available usage data with base years for 2003 and BEG Reports. ii. Compare available usage data with 2010 projections for 2003 and BEG Reports. iii. Consider climatology (precipitation and temperature), natural gas prices, etc. while analyzing historical data. Use allocated water rights as a “sanity check.” iv. On a county-by-county basis, identify the 2010 projection (2003 or BEG Report) that is mostly likely to correspond to the base year. AF T b. Long Term Projections i. Consider county specific growth limitations 1. Mothballing of plants, non-attainment counties, water rights ii. Consider planned plants/expansions of existing plants. Use allocated water rights as a “sanity check.” iii. On a county-by-county basis, identify the projection pattern that is most likely to correspond to future demand projections. D R c. County-by-county Decision i. After considering which projection best matches both the near term and long term demands for each county, make the following choice: 1. Preferred option: If the near term and long term projections for either the BEG or 2003 report are reasonable, choose either projection for a county through the duration of the projections (2010-2060). 2. Hybrid option: If the near term projection for either the BEG or 2003 report is reasonable, but the long term projection is not, choose the 2010 projection that is most reasonable and modify the most appropriate projection pattern by adding or deducting the difference from each decade. 21 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_final.docx DRAFT D R AF T Attachment C Projection Comparisons Including Proposed Region C 2011 Projections 22 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_final.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-1. Region C Steam Electric Power Demands 23 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-2. Collin County Steam Electric Power Demands 24 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-3. Cooke County Steam Electric Power Demands 25 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-4. Dallas County Steam Electric Power Demands 26 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-5. Denton County Steam Electric Power Demands 27 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-6. Ellis County Steam Electric Power Demands 28 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-7. Fannin County Steam Electric Power Demands 29 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-8. Freestone County Steam Electric Power Demands 30 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-9. Grayson County Steam Electric Power Demands 31 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-10. Henderson County Steam Electric Power Demands 32 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-11. Jack County Steam Electric Power Demands 33 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-12. Kaufman County Steam Electric Power Demands 34 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-13. Navarro County Steam Electric Power Demands 35 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-14. Parker County Steam Electric Power Demands 36 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-15. Rockwall County Steam Electric Power Demands 37 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-16. Tarrant County Steam Electric Power Demands 38 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Figure A-17. Wise County Steam Electric Power Demands 39 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT D R AF T Attachment D Projection Summary Table 40 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT Historical Basic Info Regulatory Information Reclaimed Water Consumption County Company City of Garland Plant Name Ray Olinger Water Right No. 32 Diversion Amount Value (acre-feet/year) Status 2,000 Non-attainment county? 2004 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2005 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2007 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes TWDB Water Consumption TCEQ Water Consumption 2008 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2000 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2001 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2002 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2003 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2004 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2005 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2007 Usage (acrefeet/year) 42 52 0 0 0 35 0 28 Collin Luminant Generation Company LLC Collin mothballed in 2004 City of Garland CE Newman Exelon Generation Co LLC Mountain Creek 3408 6,400 yes 4,732 1,334 1,627 1,439 1,084 1,258 696 648 Luminant Generation Company LLC Lake Hubbard 43 4,500 yes 5,153 1,684 414,583 0 817 731 705 688 Luminant Generation Company LLC North Lake 2365/1932 1000/9550 yes 1,801 4,293 1,470 0 1,691 2,857 247 408 Rock-Tenn Rock-Tenn Dallas Mill yes State Farm Mutual Auto Insurance Co State Farm Insurance Medical Center yes University of Texas at Dallas UTD Exelon Power Mountain Creek planned yes ? Parkdale mothballed? yes City of Denton Ray Roberts 2335 mothballed? yes City of Garland Lewisville 1780 City of Garland Spencer WM Renewable Energy LLC DFW Gas Recovery ANP Operations Co Midlothian Energy Facility Ennis Tracetebel Power Co LLP Ennis Tracetebel Power Co LLP ? Waxahachie T planned to mothball, currently operational yes mothballed? yes yes planned 4900 16,400 Merchant Power Plant - planned no Grayson Luminant Big Brown Update Whitesboro USCE - Tulsa District Denison Panda Energy Sherman Luminant Generation Company LLC Trinidad Luminant Generation Company LLC Forest Grove 5040 781 0 0 0 0 0 1,901 1,278 1,194 923 734 530 525 16,165 10,817 12,541 11,902 12,874 12,775 1,443 631 514 0 689 415 799 639 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,525 2,768 3,051 2,585 2,440 2,104 361 20,130 6,941 2,164 3,794 4,289 4,350 9,936 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,860 464 910 410 150 230 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 110 703 703 703 209 9 3,988 5,165 1,573 1,102 5,010 4,157 3,054 0 644 173 708 706 861 14,150 8,549 no 4,692 2,362 7,021 1,708 8,352 0 0 13 8,761 1 9,008 281 9,936 208 9,543 no planned no no no planned 4970 Henderson 4,000 mothballed? 18? no no 4,557 1,521 219 0 46 42 57 70 no 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Brazos Electric Power Coop Inc Jack Energy Facility Gamesa Energy Barton Chapel Wind 1 Kaufman FPLE Forney LLP Forney Energy Center Ellis Power Ellis Power planned no Navarro Babcock and Brown (Navarro Energy) Babcock and Brown (Navarro Energy) planned no ? Corsicana planned no Brazos Electric Power Coop Inc North Texas Weatherford Mun Utility System Weatherford City of Fort Worth Village Creek WWTP Exelon Generation Co LLC Handley 3391 10,120 Luminant Generation Company LLC Eagle Mountain 451 4,636 Jack Parker 388 no no City of Whitesboro 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes planned Calpine 2005 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes LS Power Calpine - Freestone Power Generation LP 2004 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes D Freestone 2003 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes LS Power Big Brown Power Company LLC (Luminant) Big Brown 1,859 R AF ? Fannin Fannin/ Grayson 2002 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes Denton Valley NG Power Company LLC (Luminant) Valley 2001 Usage (acrefeet/year) yes Dallas Ellis 2000 Usage (acrefeet/year) no planned no yes 2147 75 6,265 6,522 8,018 yes 28 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 yes 3,890 2,026 3,256 2,664 1,807 1,510 1,300 1,008 yes 1,362 450 1,573 1,097 448 125 0 0 yes yes Tarrant ? North Main Devon Gas Service Bridgeport Gas Processing Plant 18? ? mothballed? yes no Wise County Power Co LP Wise County Power LP 2273 ? no Wise TOTAL 41 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT 0 0 6 0 0 2,333 2,100 1,241 36,666 21,530 432,795 5,200 14,668 17,899 15,322 13,842 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 56,236 28,057 22,136 22,108 26,615 25,154 15,992 Comparison of 2006 Projections/ Actual Consumption Past Projections Basic Info 2006 Region C Water Demand Projections Company City of Garland Plant Name Luminant Generation Company LLC Collin City of Garland CE Newman Exelon Generation Co LLC Mountain Creek Luminant Generation Company LLC Lake Hubbard Luminant Generation Company LLC North Lake Rock-Tenn Rock-Tenn Dallas Mill State Farm Insurance Medical Center University of Texas at Dallas UTD Exelon Power Mountain Creek ? Parkdale City of Denton Ray Roberts City of Garland Lewisville City of Garland Spencer WM Renewable Energy LLC DFW Gas Recovery ANP Operations Co Midlothian Energy Facility Ennis Tracetebel Power Co LLP Ennis Tracetebel Power Co LLP ? Waxahachie Valley NG Power Company LLC (Luminant) Valley Fannin LS Power LS Power Merchant Power Plant - Big Brown Power Company LLC (Luminant) Big Brown Calpine - Freestone Power Generation LP Calpine Luminant Big Brown Update City of Whitesboro Whitesboro USCE - Tulsa District Denison Panda Energy Sherman Luminant Generation Company LLC Trinidad Luminant Generation Company LLC Forest Grove Henderson Brazos Electric Power Coop Inc Jack Energy Facility Gamesa Energy Barton Chapel Wind 1 FPLE Forney LLP Forney Energy Center Jack Kaufman Navarro Parker 2050 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2060 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2010 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2020 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2030 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2040 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2050 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2060 Usage (acrefeet/year) 1,581 1,260 1,473 1,733 2,050 2,436 771 715 602 740 594 782 10,842 11,918 TWDB BEG 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2006 Usage (acrefeet/year) 0 525 531 2006 Region C Plan Projections Best Available Sources - Actual Usage 2006 Usage 2006 Usage (acre(acre-feet/year) feet/year) Ellis Power Ellis Power Babcock and Brown (Navarro Energy) Babcock and Brown (Navarro Energy) ? Corsicana Brazos Electric Power Coop Inc North Texas Weatherford Mun Utility System Weatherford City of Fort Worth Village Creek WWTP Exelon Generation Co LLC Handley Luminant Generation Company LLC Eagle Mountain Tarrant ? North Main Devon Gas Service Bridgeport Gas Processing Plant Wise County Power Co LP Wise County Power LP 13,230 14,829 16,778 3,367 4,290 3,791 5,075 Wise TOTAL 4,643 6,178 1,709 531 1,648 1,443 1,598 12,858 1,675 (TCEQ data used for all plants except Newman where no data was present. BEG estimates where used for Newman). 524 418 489 575 680 808 348 318 254 281 182 234 644 0 639 395 567 644 14,237 20,379 23,825 28,027 33,148 39,391 981 698 1,450 3,741 5,754 7,878 706 0 0 975 8,840 706 5,152 4,748 5,184 5,717 6,366 7,157 1,261 1,169 1,019 1,334 1,182 1,569 281 361 325 5,346 281 18,210 20,524 23,999 28,234 33,398 39,692 9,323 7,636 14,270 18,468 24,429 26,397 9,936 9,936 10,168 16,128 12,173 (TCEQ data used for all plants except Freestone where no data was present. BEG estimates where used for Freestone). 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 D Grayson 2040 Usage (acrefeet/year) R AF State Farm Mutual Auto Insurance Co Denton Freestone 2030 Usage (acrefeet/year) 12,264 Dallas Fannin/ Grayson 2020 Usage (acrefeet/year) TCEQ Ray Olinger Collin Ellis 2010 Usage (acrefeet/year) Reclaimed Sources T County 2006 BEG Water Demand Projections 2,387 2,308 2,376 2,458 2,559 2,681 460 427 342 383 253 328 57 25 117 2,418 57 0 3,674 4,296 5,053 5,977 7,102 1,502 1,068 1,043 1,611 1,752 2,357 0 0 2,162 0 2,162 8,979 17,798 20,808 24,478 28,950 34,403 4,186 2,977 2,907 4,490 4,883 6,570 0 0 5,814 5,387 8,018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 4,617 5,397 6,349 7,509 8,923 24 22 28 56 75 102 0 9 3 32 0 4,158 3,419 4,168 5,081 6,194 7,550 2,640 2,448 2,082 2,614 2,167 2,861 1,300 3,054 1,053 4,456 1,300 3,949 5,653 6,609 7,774 9,195 10,927 71,471 95,640 110,542 128,709 150,855 177,848 42 1,751 1,245 1,216 1,878 2,042 2,748 26,614 23,013 29,004 40,671 47,956 58,004 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT 8,018 9,368 2,100 0 2,205 2,369 2,100 15,322 15,992 25,346 60,111 29,647 Projection Adoption and Revised Region C Projections Basic Info Near Term Projection Used (2010 and 2020) Company City of Garland Plant Name Luminant Generation Company LLC Collin City of Garland CE Newman Exelon Generation Co LLC Mountain Creek Luminant Generation Company LLC Lake Hubbard Luminant Generation Company LLC North Lake Dallas Hybrid Rock-Tenn Rock-Tenn Dallas Mill State Farm Mutual Auto Insurance Co State Farm Insurance Medical Center University of Texas at Dallas UTD Exelon Power Mountain Creek ? Parkdale City of Denton Ray Roberts City of Garland Lewisville 2006 Plan Hybrid Notes 2010 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2020 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2030 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2040 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2050 Usage (acrefeet/year) 2060 Usage (acrefeet/year) X The BEG projections most closely match current consumption in the near term. The BEG projections were fairly consistent (approximately 600 acre-feet/year) through the reminder of the planning period despite the presence of a mothballed facility which could potentially re-open. The 2006 Plan showed a radical increase through 2060, which is unrealistic considering the counties nonattainment designation. 771 715 1,000 1,200 1,600 2,000 Since Dallas County is designated as a non-attainment county, it is unlikely that new plants will be constructed. The water demand was capped in the long term to correspond to recent high demands. 3,367 4,290 11,918 12,000 12,000 12,000 Data for Denton County was obtained from reclaimed water provider. Actual consumption in 2006 was more than either projection, so a hybrid was used. 644 744 844 944 1,044 1,144 BEG most closely corresponds to predicted consumption. 981 698 1,450 3,741 5,754 7,878 BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X Data for Denton County was obtained from reclaimed water provider. Actual consumption in 2006 was more than either projection, so a hybrid was used. X City of Garland Spencer WM Renewable Energy LLC DFW Gas Recovery ANP Operations Co Midlothian Energy Facility Ennis Tracetebel Power Co LLP Ennis Tracetebel Power Co LLP ? Waxahachie BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X LS Power LS Power Merchant Power Plant - X X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. 1,261 3,000 4,748 5,184 19,169 6,366 X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not 0 6,726 13,452 13,452 13,452 13,452 X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. 12,173 18,210 20,524 23,999 28,234 33,398 X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. 5,600 5,600 5,600 5,600 5,600 5,600 BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X A mothballed facility is planned to be online in the long-term scenario. The water consumption was provided by industry representatives. 460 427 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. X A new plant is planned in this county in the near term that was not accounted for previously. 2,162 2,500 2,700 2,900 3,100 3,300 The 2006 Plan most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X One SEP plant is currently in Kaufman County. Since Kaufman County is designated as a nonattainment county, it is unlikely that new plants will be constructed. 8,979 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 New plants are planned in this county in the near term that were not accounted for previously. X New plants are planned in this county in the near term that were not accounted for previously. 0 8,000 13,440 13,440 13,440 13,440 BEG most closely corresponds to predicted consumption. 24 22 28 56 75 102 2,640 2,448 4,168 5,000 5,000 5,000 Valley NG Power Company LLC (Luminant) Valley Fannin/ Grayson BEG X X Fannin Notes R AF Ellis 2006 Plan Ray Olinger Collin Denton BEG T County 2011 Modified Region C Water Demand Projections Long Term Projection Used (2030 on) Big Brown Power Company LLC (Luminant) Big Brown Grayson Calpine - Freestone Power Generation LP Calpine Luminant Big Brown Update City of Whitesboro Whitesboro USCE - Tulsa District Denison Panda Energy Sherman Luminant Generation Company LLC Trinidad D Freestone Henderson X Luminant Generation Company LLC Brazos Electric Power Coop Inc Jack Energy Facility Gamesa Energy Barton Chapel Wind 1 FPLE Forney LLP Forney Energy Center Jack Kaufman Navarro Parker Forest Grove Ellis Power Ellis Power Babcock and Brown (Navarro Energy) Babcock and Brown (Navarro Energy) ? Corsicana Brazos Electric Power Coop Inc North Texas Weatherford Mun Utility System Weatherford City of Fort Worth Village Creek WWTP Exelon Generation Co LLC Handley Luminant Generation Company LLC Eagle Mountain ? North Main Tarrant Devon Gas Service Bridgeport Gas Processing Plant Wise County Power Co LP Wise County Power LP Wise TOTAL X X X X BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. X BEG most closely corresponds to observed consumption. 43 F:\projects\0312\041-01\Wrk\Chapter 2 - Population and Demand\Steam Electric Power\SEPMemo_r03.docx DRAFT X X X Since Tarrant County is designated as a non-attainment county, it is unlikely that new plants will be constructed. The water demand was capped in the long term to correspond to recent high demands. BEG most closely corresponds to predicted consumption. 1,751 1,245 1,216 1,878 2,042 2,748 40,813 64,625 98,088 107,394 129,510 126,428