Three-Dimensional Airflow Through Fronts and MidlaXtude Cyclones
Transcription
Three-Dimensional Airflow Through Fronts and MidlaXtude Cyclones
Three-DimensionalAirflowThrough FrontsandMidla8tudeCyclones ImportanceofAirFlows • Greatinsightsintocyclonestructuresand evolu8oncanbederivedfromunderstanding theairflowsinmidla8tudesystems. • Greatadvanceshavebeenpossibleduringthe pastseveraldecadesusingmodeloutput. • Airflowsandtrajectoriesprovideamore fundamentalunderstandingthantradi8onal (frontal)approaches.(Notallkeystructures areassociatedwithfronts!) SomeHistory 1800’s • ThermalTheory conceptualmodel wasdominantin the1830sandfor severalsubsequent decades. • Warmcorewith hurricane-like circula8on Low Espy 1831 MajorDebatesonCycloneAirflows DuringtheMid-1800s Espy Redfield Loomis Loomis(1841):FirstAirFlow Schema8cOverColdFront By1860stheideaoftwomainairflows (warmandcold)wasbecomingaccepted cold Fitz-Roy 1863 warm Bythebeginningofthe20thcenturytheidea ofthreemainairflowswasbeingsuggested. TheNorwegianCycloneModel (Bjerknes1918andlater)wasthe FirsttoConnecttheConceptof Three-DimensionAirflowswiththe CloudsandTemperature StructuresofMidla8tudeFronts andCyclones • Ahugeadvance,butaswewillseeithadits deficiencies NorwegianCycloneModelConcept ofAirFlowsinCyclones MissingKeyIngredients • Drydescendingairstreamsinthemidtoupper troposphere. • Forward-8l8ngfrontalstructures • Rela8onshipsofupperlevelshortwave troughsandridgeswithlowertropospheric structures. • Andmore… 1930s-1950s • Theavailabilityof radiosondedata paintedarevised picturesofthreedimensional airflowsand structures. PalmenandNewton(1969) 1950s-1980s • Manyofthesestudiesusedrela8veflow isentropicanalysis---assumingsystemisinsteady stateanddisplayedflowrela8vetothesystemto giveapictureoftrajectoriesandver8calmo8ons. • Airtrajectoriesfollowthetaorthetaesurfaces dependingwhetherairparcelsareunsaturated orsaturated. • EliassenandKleinschmidt57,Browningand Harrold69,Harold73,Carlson80,Browning86, Youngetal.,87,Browning90 ConveyorBelts • Manyofthesestudiesdescribedthemajor airflowsincyclonesasoccurringinalimited numberofdiscreteairstreamsorconveyor belts. The Conveyor BeltModel ofCyclone Airflows (Carlson, 1980) ClearerVersion! ThreeMainAirstreamsor “ConveyorBelts” • Warmconveyorbelt(WCB) – associatedwithmostofcloudsandprecipita8on incyclones. – beginsatlowlevelswithinthesouthernpartof thewarmsectorandclimbsan8cyclonicallyabove thewarmfront. • Coldconveyorbelt(CCB) – Originatesincold,low-levelan8cyclonicflowtothe northeastofthecycloneandmoveswestward (rela8vetotheeastward-movingcyclone)northof thewarmfront. – Undercutsthewarmconveyorbelt(WCBmovesover theCCB) – Twoideaswhathappensnext: • Carlson(1980):Coldconveyorbeltthenrisesandemerges beneaththewesternedgeoftheWCB(producingthe westernextensionofthecommahead)andthenascends an8cyclonicallytomergewiththeWCB. • Browning(1990):partoftheCCBdescendscyclonically aroundthelowcentertoaposi8onbehindthecoldfront. • DryAirstreamordryintrusion – Descendscyclonicallyfromtheuppertroposphere orlowerstratosphereintothelowertroposphere andthenascendoverthecyclone – Ofenadvancesoverthewarmsectorofthe cyclone – ThewarmsectorisofenNOTaregionofuniform warm,moistair! AirflowandConveyor-BeltStudiesHaveSuggestedStructures NotDescribedintheNorwegianCycloneModel Splitand Upper “Cold” Front (Browning andMonk 1982) • • • Forward-8l8ng Upperfrontis moreofamoisture thantemperature front Leadstopoten8al instability Split“Cold”Front • Ofenseethisonsatellitepictures,witha separa8onbetweensurfacefrontandmiddle/ upperclouds. Terminology:Anafrontversus Katafront • Anafront:backwardleaning.Sinkingoncold sideandrisingmo8ononwarmside. warm cold • Katafront: descenton bothsidesof coldfront (generally stronger descenton warmside). Notmuch precipita8on withfront warm cold StrengthsandWeaknessesofthe ConveyorBeltModel • Strengths – Ifyouignorethedetails,onecanofeniden8fy threemainbroadairstreamsincyclonesandfronts – Getsusawayfromthinkingthatalltheweather ac8onisrelatedtofrontalboundaries.Notonly ver8calmo8onisdirectlyrelatedtofronts. • Weaknessess • Itiscanbeagreatsimplifica8ontoconsideronlythree airstreams • Thereareallkindsofintermediarytrajectories 1980s-now:TheModelRevolu8on • Realis8cmodelsimula8onathighresolu8on allowsthecrea8onofthree-dimensional trajectories. • Moderngraphicspromotesvisualiza8on—a majorchallenge. • Anearlyexample:ThePresident’sDayStorm of1993: hjp://www.atmos.washington.edu/ academic/videos/PresidentsDayStorm.html TrajectoriesforaRela8vely “Classical”CaseoverNorth America:December14-16,1987 (MassandShultz,1993) Realis8cMM5Simula8on Model-Based Trajectories Dry Moist CanWeUseTrajectoriestoUnderstand WhyPrecipita8onLeadstheColdFront? TheOceanRangerStorm(1982)