Distribution and Thawing of Permafrost in the Southern Part of the
Transcription
Distribution and Thawing of Permafrost in the Southern Part of the
Distribution and Thawinq of Perrnafrost lll the SorrthernPalt of the DiscorrtinuousPerrnafi'ostZone in Manitoba J. THIE1 ABSTRACT. This study was car.ied out to evaluate the environmental factors which influence the distribution and collapse of perennially frozen peats in the southern part of the discontinuous permafrost zone in Manitoba. The changes in permafrost bodies were measuredby means of aerial photography carried out over a period of 20 years. About 25 per cent of the once occurring permafrost is still present. Melting appears to have exceededaggradation of permafrost since about 150 years B.P. Two types of collapse were noticed: peripheral collapse around very small permafrost bodies: and a cehtral collapse for the larger bodies. The amount of collapsehas varied from 0 to 30 metres horizontally in a 20 year pcriod. RESUME. Drxtrt ntion et lonte dn permageldans la pattie sud de la zone de perma' pel tlisco,tinu au Manitoba. Ol a mene cette €tude dans le but d'6valuer les facteurs d'environnement qui influent sur la distribution et I'affaissementdes tourbes gelees dans la partie sud de la zone de permagel discontinu au Manitoba. On a mesur€ les changementsdans les massesde permagel par des photographiesa€riennesrecueillies sur une p6riode de 20 ans. Environ 25 pourcent du permagel de nallcre est encore pr€sent.Depuisenviron 150 ansA.P., la fonte du permagela 6t€ plus important€que son extension.On remarque deux types d'affaissement:un affaissementpdriph€rique autour de trCs petites massesde permagel et I'afiaissementpar le centre des masses plus grandes.Sur une p€riode de 20 ans, cet affaissementa vari€ entre 0 et 30 mCtrcs horizontalement. -ttcps.tu.rrpll)tntoeeb.'ktlou\uc)ttu l'fjal()llll.Pucnpornpatrctut )otrht o(tllpoctto?o 3a.r'?a)tttn. ?p:trbt.r?pttttrtosu 'lluttunofu l;r'I.tr nlJoBc;leHr r)rlcHIin B.rrItHnrr olipl;Iilllolr\el1 clx';16I rltl pIlclrp{'Jo. x'rnI(' tr l)rl3p] lnorI'o r( p3.rLIx 'Ixcrn \rl)3.IbI\ rp) HToIl lr 3lr"I('lltxlIfl 3otrbI ocrpoBHolo ToDrhsHrrrioB 1, rot(noil ro.Illt xiirl(Ptt ltlrl, lIPlt. lro\{onlll lirlJr'lrl,l\ \Iarrrrro6u. lLrrItn,nIrn tl)oB,rnrotrt t'crrrtr, npoB{);lnrloiin r('l,lrrt; 20 r,r" Ilprrf' rrrrrrrcrr'rro25'i trpex;re rrilxrtltorrx c ) n l { \ ' T t s o r r { E r u l r rxl c p 3 . - I t ' I \ r l ) J H T o B C ) I { e C T B I C T : l O l l l l ( l T o t l q e t o B I l t ' \ l i H l l l ' T T : r l l I T L H I I c .r r o B t r ; l r r r l o \ 1 \ 'r,r r r , u t . I or r l x ' o 6 ; l . r ; l r r l n U l l l l p x ; l { q n c i l \ ( l ) r t I l ' l \ r l , \ ' H T o H l ) U ,r('T T{)lll llrirr;r. Ilt,r,Iu oruoqctttl ;tB:r rnltlr lJt3l)l lIIcHIta: I)airl)}'In('Itl'c Hl r( prrrlrcprru;t.rfl o.rottt' rtlr._Il'r\ ri('l)t.ilHri r{r.1rJl, n l)rlP\nIoIIIK' B Itt Hrl)o J,Ifl oo. tLrnIIx r r a r c r r n o r . l i 4 r r r : n t t r n r l ' n o c p l t 3 l ) ) r r r c t l n c a r l ; ( B i r ; I I l r | r n r o r l r l r i l r I l l n t o ; ( I n ) .I . o r r . ' I)rcL o r 0 ; l { ) : 1 0r r r t } o B . INTRODUCTION Permafrost, especiallyon its sensitivesouthern fringe has to be studied on an ecosystembasis, for the environmental and biotic factors influencing its ecosystem are so intricately interrelatedthat only on such a basis can the dynamic aspects of perennial frosts be understood. In an attempt to assesssome of these complex ecological relationships, the distribution and thawing of perennially frozen peats in the southern portion of the discontinuous permafrost zone in Manitoba were studied, and the results are presented in this paper. lcanada Centre for Remote Sensing, Depa ment of Energy, Mines and Resources, C)ttawa.Ontario. 190 I ) I SI R I B L l I O N . { N D T H A W I N C O I ' P F R M A F R O S T P e r n r r l r o s it s d c h n c c aL s c l r t h n l i r t c r i l l sb l r . i D ga t c n t p e r a t u r e bclou 0'(l trrr t \ \ o o r - J l r o r L ' r c a r s\ .' a r i o u s z o n e ' so f i t h i L v cb e e n i d e | t i f i e d i n C l a n a d a( B r o $ D 1 9 6 7 )( ) n t h e h a s i so f t h c d i s t r i b L r l i oann c li r c q u c n c l o f p c r c n n i a l J ifr o z c n g r o u n t l i n r c ' l a t i o nt o a i r t c m p e r a t L r r cZs o . l t a i a n d T a r n o c a i( 1 9 6 9 ) h a v e m a p p e d i t i n \ I a n i t o b a o n t h c b a s i so f t h c o c c u n c n c co l p c r m a l r o s tl a n d f o r m so r r c m n a n t ' i n p c . r t .l n t h e s o u t h c r nl l f t o f i t s d i s c o n l i l u o r , rzso t e , p c r n l i i f r o s ti s g e n c n r l l r r e ' \ t r j c t c dt o p c x t l x n d si n $ h i c h p a l s a s ,p c a t p ) a t e a u sa n c l c o l l a p s cs c a r so c c L l r in lrLrunciirncc. I ) a l \ a \a r c n o u n i l s o I p c i i t ] a n d a n c lm i u e r a ls o i l u i t h a p c r c n n i a l l vI r o T e nc o r . Thcv arc generailvmuch lcss than 100 mctrcs in (liamctcr. anci varv in hciqhr b c t $ c c n I a n d 3 m . ( S j i j r sl 9 6 l ) a n t l m a y r e a c l r5 m . P e a tp l a t e a u sa r c c l c v a t c ( l l i a t p c a t l a n a lhsa r i n g a p e r c n n i a l l rl 'n r z c n c o r c . ' l h e v a r e u s u a l l yl o u . a n d s e l d o n , cxceed 120 n. in hcight. but nay covcr arcasol ovcr I km:. 1n thc south. pcrma frost in pcat plittcausdocs not Ltsuailvreach Lrndcrlling nrincral soil. ls it doc. i n p a l s a s( Z o l t a i l 9 7 l ) , b u t i r l b o l h c u \ c s t h c : r r c a s c o n c e r n e dm a y b e h c a r i l l wootletl rvith blirck spnrcc itntl white birch. Pitlsaslrnd pcat platcaus are sur roundcd by unfrozcn. \\ ter-satirftltedpeat]and. conrmonll rvilh leacJsof opcll \\'atcr. P a l s a sa n d p e a t p l a t e a u sa r c m o r p h o l t r - t i c lrl a r i a t i o n so f t h e s a m c p r o c e . , ( B r o u n 1 9 6 8 ) . I c c f o r n l t t i o n i r r p c a t d u r i n g r h c \ \ i n t c r c a u s e su p l i f t i n t . T h r pcat thus raisccl,if sullicir'n1i\ (lr\, itct\ as un inslrlttor and ma1' pt-cscr!c tht. frozcn core throughout 1he suntnrcr. ..\ftcr rctichinq thc ntaxintunt dc'grcc ol dcvcl{)pment pcrmittcil bl clintrtic untl locul conrlitions. thc permafrost ma\ bcgin 1o tlccav as l rcsult ol sonrc tlislurbirnccin thc balancc of thc fact{)rs ol u a l c f t r b l e . r ' e g e t a t i o ri.n s u l i r t i n rc:o r e r a n c lc l i n r l r t c . ' l h c d c c a l 0 r d e g r a c l t r t i o ] l s t a g eI o r p r L l s u rsi n t l p c r l p l r l c a l r \ i s n l r l k c d b v a c o l l a p s co l c i l c e s a n c l t h c p r c s e n c co i t h e r m ( r k i l r sllc a t u l c s ( B r o \ n l 9 6 i i ) . L i l l l c i s k n o \ \ l I a b o u t l l l e r u t . o l c l e ! f r d l t i o n o r c o l l a p s eo f p a l s a sa n c lp c a t p l a t e a r r s( .i ) l l a p s c s a c m s1 o l . r cl n i n l c g r i r lp a r t o i t h c l i f c c l c l e o f t h c t \ \ o l a n ( l f o r n r sr r n c Ll ) c c u r sr r n r i c rc o ( r lc l i n r r t i cc o D d i t i o n s1. h c p r c s c n c eo l p c a t p l i l t c l r . l s clLrrinirboth thc itggrl(lati()nanti riegratlation\tl!L-\ ncar thc sorlthern limit 1)i p c r m a i r ( r s (t Z o l l r i l 9 7 l ) : h o r r s t h u l r l c g r a c l a t i cd{ ro e \ n o t n c c c s \ a r i l vi n d i c a t e a n a m c l i o r a t i o ni n c i i n r a t t a i l c t r r h i c h h l \ b c c n s l i l t c d b r S r e n s s o n( 1 9 7 0 ) r \ i t h r c l e r c n c el o p a l s i r ri n S c a n c l i n i r r i l .t h a s b r c n \ u g g c s t c dt h a t a r c l a t i o n s h i p a n t Lr g - u a r i i n gp h a s c sa r t r lc l i n l a t i cc h a n g c s t: h c p r c s c n l c \ i s 1 sb c t \ \ c ' c ld c g l a c l i n g prcvirlcnceof clcgrldation orcr ai:g:liclalion in this iu-cl is clnrscclbl ltn ovcltll \ r ' i l r n r i n gl r c n d i n c l i n l l r t c( J r r h n : t o tct l a / . l ! 1 6 3 ) . \f lt IoDs r\ stLrdl'wes ma(lc ol cc()s\'\tcn)solcr a large ar.-a (about 1300 km.:) bv survc,vingancl analysin-ul rrrmbcr ol charactclistic clcmcnts both throucb thc intcrprctrtion of aeriltl phololrirphs rnrl br ntcans of sclectile llclcl sanrpling. Elcments rvhich can bc anal\scd bY these tcchniqucs are: relief. drrintcc. rt'ge lation. landlornl iin(l parcnt mrtcrial. ancl thc importancc of environmcntal rvhen aerial photographiccovcraqe changcsover pcriods oI time can bc asscssc-cl periociicalll. has bccn repcatecl DISTRIBUTION AND THAWING OF PERMAFROST l9l The resultsof four differentcoveragesof the study area by aerial photography are available:with oblique photographsin 1926; and with vertical photographs of 1:15,400,1:68,000and in 1946/47,1957and 1967,with scalesrespectively l:15,800. A preliminary photo-interpretationwas carried out to selectsites for ground truth stationsand a representativearea for detailedaerial-photographic analysis.After the fieldworkhad beencompleted,the relief, drainageflow, permafrost distribution, vegctation,fire history and surficial geologywere s(udiedand mapped from the aerial photographs. A detailed interpretation of sample areas (totalling about 225 km.2) and coveringa wide range of differentconditionswas done on the large-scalephotographs.The objectivewas to identify and measure changesin the size of permafrostbodies and relate theseto drainagecondition and flow, vegetation,forest fire history, thicknessof pcat, etc. Changesin the superficialextent of permafrostbodies were marked on the 1967 photograPhs. Percentagecollapse of permaffost was estimatedvisually and measuredin a horizontal line perpendicularto the permafrost edge. A scale with gradations of 0.1 mm. built into a magnifying system was used for the taking of measurements. DESCRIP'IION OF THE AREA The study arca is locatedin central Manitoba and is borderedby the latitude of 54' N, the longitudesof 99' W and 98o W, and Lake Winnipeg(Fig. 1). The climate is moist subhumid,and characterizedby relatively cool short summers' cold long winters and low precipitation.The averageair temperaturein July is Frc. l. Pcrmafrostandsurficialdcposits. t92 DISTRIBUTION AND THAWING OF PERMAFROST (1) Sedgefen with open water; (2) Tamarack-sedgepatterned fens; Ftc. 2, Vegetation ,_vpe.!. (3) Tamarack fens; (4) Black spruce- feathermosson permafrost; (5) Black spruc€- sphagnum, no permafrost; (6) White birch on permafrost; (7) Collapse scars. mainly with sedgesdrepanocladus and sphagnum:(8) Regeneration of black spruceon permafrost.40yearsafter a fire. about I 8' C, andin Januaryabout-22' C. Avcrageannualprecipitationis about 38 cm.(Weir1960). Topographically the areais veryflat,varyingbetweenabout218 m. and228 m. abovesealevel.During the Wisconsinice agesomelarge glacio-fluviallandforms were formed in the area. Later, as the glacial Lake Agassizcovered the area, lacustrine clays and silts were depositedand the glacio-fluvial deposits rvere modified by wave action into sandyplateauswith strand lines. After subsidence of the lake level,peat filled in over most of the area,forming layersup to 5 n. in thickness. As organic depositscover 95Vo oI the land area, the vegetationtypes are mainly ones associatedwith the different peatlands.They are shown in Fig. 2. patternedfens and tamarackfens are characteristicof saturated Tamarack-sedge minerotrophic to weakly minerotrophic wetlands,and black spruce-sphagnum raised bogs of wet ombrotrophic conditions.On perenniallyfrozen peat, black spruce-feathermoss communitiesare the most common,the sites usually having a relatively densecover of black spruce,mixed occasionnallywith white birch. The early vegetationin collapsescarsis commonly of a Carex-Drepanocladus type. In later stages,hummock-buildingsphagnummossesmay appear, while tamarack,white birch and black sprucemay finally invade the drier parts of the scar. In many parts of the area the vegetationhas been disturbedby forest fues which were startedby lightning. In order to evaluatethe influenceof such fires on permafrost,a map was drawn on the basisof a photographicinterpretation and other informationsuppliedby the Forest ProtectionBranch of the Manitoba Departmentof Mines, Resourcesand EnvironmentalManagement. Permafrostoccursin both shallow and deep organic deposits(Fig. 1) in peat plateausand palsas.Thicknessof permafrostwas not measured,but data from DISIRIBUTION AND lHAWINC OF PERtr{AFROST 193 surrounding areasgathcrcd b) thc aulhor indicated variations of from 0.5 m. to 5 nl. Permafrostin peat has a high ice content; and the averagemoisture content Ior the frozen peat plateau core is about 80% (Zoltai 1972). Layers of pure ice are rare and quite thin. The pcat dcpositsvary in thicknessfrom 0.5 m. to more than 3 m. and have a sedge, sphagnum, forest and feathermossorigin. The relatively well-drained pcat plateaus have forest peat, generally modcratclv dccomposcd. Betwccn pcrmafrost landforms moderately decomposed fen peat occurs in weakly minerotrophic areas, and relatively undecomposedsphagnum peat in morc ombrotrophic situations. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Distribution an(l development ol permalrost Permafrostdistribution is strongly rclated to vegctation,drainageand surficial deposits.Most permafrost and collapse scars- indicators of former existence of pcrmalrost - are found in the medium deep (1 m.-2 m.) peat deposits.These pcats tend to be ombrotrophic. with a semi-convcx rclicf. and shorv a radial fen-drainagepattern in between coalescentpeat plateaus and palsas (Fig. 6). The dccper, minerotrophic peats \&ith a scmi-concaverclicf, usually found in sedgeand tamarack fens. only occasionallycontain permafrosti here permafrost islands are seldom greater than 400 m. to 500 m. in lcngth,50 m. to 200 m. bcin-q common. They have a round or tear-drop shape. In the forested shallow p c r t r t l c s st h a n I m . t h i c l ) p e r m a l r o s tm a 1 o c c u r l o c a l l y . Thc present and past distributions of permafrost give rise to the suggestion that formation of permafrost started in the areas where black spruce-sphagnum communitieswere likely to exist, and confirmation of it is provided by the fact that young (incipient) peat plateaus generally occur undel dense (more than 4 per m.r) black sprucein a fcn, or nutrient-poorfen (Zoltai 1972). Such nutrientpoor conditions are predominant in such parts as have a convex relief which in the study area is usually causedby mineral substratathat form slight domcs or elseescarpments.Permafrostoccurrenceis a reflectionof the presenceof buried strandlines,glacio-fluviallandforms, bedrock escarpments,etc, AII peat platcaus and palsasexhibit a distinct pattcrn of drainage flow. Their smoolh forms are mor.rldcdby slow flows of ground watcr (Fig. 3), the tails of the teardrop shapes pointing in thc downflow direction. As permafrost tends to develop first of all in areas wherc clumps of black sprucc occur, pelmafrost bodiesmay be expectedto have a dominant growth vector in a down0ow direction, and ncw permafrost tcnds to develop in the tail area where the fen type of vegetation is gradually colonized by sphagnum and black spruce. When black spruce trees are established,seasonalfrost can pcnetrate deeper in winter, as the snow cover near the stem and under the branchcs is then considerably thinner than in the surrounding area. The shade of the branchesin summer provides better protection "young" permaagainstheat inflow (Zoltai and Tarnocai 1971). Only relatively frost bodies in fens with a poorly deflned and slow groundwater flow tend to have circular shaoes. r. ir " ,, 'i. ".,. ;:.', '.. l ,4 &, 'x, ;r* \, DISTRIBIJ'TION AND THAWING OF PER\,IAIRoS I 195 t,to. 4- Rel(titrt ol neltins 10 sizeol pernalIost la,Idlomt: (A) \hows completecollapseol' small palsas(l); some larger ones have undergoneperiphernlcollapse.(B) showsperipheral collapse(2) of a small p€at plateau,all the meltinghuvingoccurredovcr a periodof 20 yellr\' (C) showscentfal collapses(3) of a medium-sirepeat plateau.(D) sho!\'sa lLrrSepeat plateilu in which most of the permafrostdid thaw; only a small fringe of permafrost14)remainsfacing the fen, and lhe collapsing(5) is proceedingJromthe inside.(Scalesof picturesA'D are lhe Rate ol nelting ol pernwlrosl From aerial photographs it can be seen that a considcrable amount of thawing occurred throughout the study area over the pcriod from 1947 to 1967, and also from 1926 to 1947. No mcasurableaggradationof pcrmafrost occurred ovcr the aggrcgateperiod of about 40 years Retreat by edge collapse of permafrost landforms of lcss than 100 m. in dialtctcr was in the range of 15 m. to 20 m. ovcr a pcriod of 20 years.Ncarly all small peat platcausshowed activc collapse.Most Pcrmafrostbodics having a diamcter of 50 m. or lcss totally disappcarcdovcr a pcriod of 20 ycars (Fig. 4), collapse bcing gcncrallyperipheral. In fens nedium-sizedpcat plateaus(i.c., oncs with a diamctcr of about 100 nt. to 750 m.) melt at relatively slow ratcs. Thc proccss of collapsc starts in thc middle - probably first in thc lorm of a thcrmokarst holc in a maturc or ov!'rmaturc body. Alter a holc is formed, a slow collapscfrom thc insidc follows. thc rates of horizontal retreat bcing of lcss than 5 m. in 20 ycars.Rctrcat of the cdgcs by collapsecan bc from l0 m. to 20 m. ovcr a 20-1,carpcriod. Thc anrount rrf melting tcnds to bc high in areaswhere small fringcs of permafrost areasarc lcft. Usually thc outer edgesstart to collapsconly aft.-r thc inncr corc has largcly. or partially, collapsed.In cxccptionalcascsthc cxistcnccof a drainagechanncl front the insidc melting arca to the lowcr fcn arca sccmsto havc givcn risc to outcr-cdgL' melting. In largc pcat platcaus (over 750 m. in diamctcr) thc collapsing proccss also tends to start in thc ccntre corc, but closcstto thc hcadward part of thc landfotm. Thc cdge facing large fen arcas showslcss tcndencyto collapscthan do the edgcs facing the other permafrostbodies,though thc latter arc soparatedby small fentype drainage channels. The ratc of rctrcat by collapse of distinct cdge is of the order of l0-20 m. pcr 20 years.Othcr parts melted at ratcs of bctwcen 1 m. and r96 DISTRIBUTION AND 'IHAWING OF PERMAFROST 5 m. pcr 20 ycar period.Old collapscdparts of largepeat plateausfrcquently showcdsignsof transformation into a raiscdbog. Thc differcnccin typc of collapscas b.twccnsmallbodicsand largconesmay in fcns where bc rclatcdto agcor stagcof dcvclopmcnt. Smallbodies,especially pcrmafrostdevelopment is likcly to have startcdlater, nay bc expectcdto be oncs. )'oungcrthanthc mcdiumandlargc-sizcd in particularnoting By comparingthc 1926,1946/47 and 1967photographs, the tonesrcsultingfrom invadingvcgetation it waspossiblcto cstimatethc ageof scarsup collapscscars.By applyingthis tcchniqucto thc 1946/47 photographs, to 60 ycarsold could be mappcd.Analysisof the superficialextentof collapse scarsshowcdthat at onc timc about 60Ea of the total land area may havc been permafrost.Of this maximumabout25Vo is still present-i.e. about l5Vo of of the amountof the total land arca (Fig.5). On the basisof a measurcment thawingin relationto the former extentof pcrmafrost,it appearsthat degradation Ftc. 5. Meltinr: ol per,nalrost: The stereopair indicate permafrost distribution at different linesi the dotted line shows maximum distribution at any one time; the dark areas (RIGHT) still have permafrost(l967). irhile in the dark areas(LEFT) it meltedbetween1946and 1967. has been outpacing aggradation of new permafrost in this area for a considerable time.Most collapsescarswcrc foundto bc ratheryoung;theywereusuallyfilled rvith sedges,drcpanocladusand some sphagnum.The slightly older scarscontaincd more of the hummock-formingsphagnum,dwarf birch, bog laurel, leather Icaf, etc. On thc basisof thc agedominanceof the young and medium-agedscars and an extrapolationof thc prcscntrate of melting,it was estimatedthat extensive meltingstartedbetween100 and 200 yearsago, and has progresscdmost rapidly over about 120 yearsago titl thc present- a period during which morc than half thc total amountof meltinghastakenplace. Forest fires havc not had a mcasurablcinflucncc on the ratc of collapseof permafrost.For areas burned between 1900 and the present no change was noticed in rate of melting comparcdwith that for the non-burnedareasin the immediatevicinity(Fig. 6). Many of the matureblack sprucestandscoveringthe DISTRIBTJTION AND THAW]NO OF PERIIAFROS'T 197 Ftc. 6. Eflect of lorest fres: TOP LEFT indicalesno significantincreasein thrwing after forest fire-the area to the north of lhc brolen line \\rs burned abou! 40 yeafs ago. $hile active collapseedgesare the area to the soulb has not been bufned. IOP RICHT-some mature black spruceon permafrost;(C) - black rndicatedby arrows:(A) - tamarack;lB) spruce rcgeneration;(D)-pond remaining after complete collapseof permafro\l; (E)young collapsescar overgrolvnby regetation.BO_fTOi\l \ho$s suddencollapsecausedb) r andcolapsed rheburned or '*t ,' .,1;ilili:ji.r"l.SJ:i.'J,lX.,',""r.1"rhsr; burnlcomparison pcrmafrost are frequently of firc origin. a fact which indicatcs that. even in this southcrn discontinuouszonc, pe'rmafrostpcrsistsfor about 150 to 160 )cars aft!'r thc occurrcnccof fircs. lt is possiblcthat a fire dcstro]s the forest covcr without affectingthc pcat very much. Thc dricd pcat is a good insulator which prevcnts heat influx and thawing. Usualll'a rcgcnerationof dcnsc black sprucc or white birch (Fig. 2) occurscarly cnough to cnsurecontinuit) of protection.Some exccptions were howevcr found: for cxamplc a 1963 ire brought in its train a collapsc of a peat plateau about 700 m. long (Fig. 6). r98 DISTRIBUTION AND THAWING OF PERMAFROST Permafrost was found to within 20 m. of the shorelinc of Lakc Winnipeg, and the rate of thawing was not measurably influenced by the modifying influence of the iake on microclimatic conditions. Collapse and climate The amount of collapsing that has occurred in the past, and is still occurring, in this area is significant. A large proportion of the original permafrost has disappc-aredand littlc, if any, has formed over the same pcriod. Of course, collapsing did not start at 200 B.P.; it always formed a part of the development cycle of palsas and peat platsaus. Also, permafrost may still be formed in this area, but only on specificsitesand under suitable climatic conditions. An approximation of the age of permafrost in this area can be obtained by nteans of infcrencc and deduction. On permafrost landforms black spruce stands which date from a fire are as old as 150 years. Before such stands could have formed the pcrmafrost must have become well developed, the process taking about one generation of trees at least, but most likely severalgenerations,as small clumps of black spruce trees are needed to initiate perennial ice-lens formations, which may devclop slowly into palsas or peat platcaus, as described by Zoltai (1972). From these estimateswe can infcr that densely wooded permafrost in this arca is at least 180-300 years old. The permafrost in the area was formed sometime after deglaciation. As Lake Agassiz covered the area for a long period of time, permafrost could not havc developed until the lake level subsided and peat formed. On the basis of cvidcncc which includes the radiocarbon dating of a bog just south of the area (Klassen 1966) it is likely that peat formation startcd well after about 4,500 B.P. Two alternative eras of origin are: the cold period between 2-500 B.P. and 1500 B.P. (Nichols 19671,Bryson and Wendland 1967; Bray 1971); or the cold pcriod aftcr 600 B.P. The first alternativc seems somewhat unlikely, as during the warm period of about 1000 years which followed it, permafrost would havc collapsed and most collapse scars would most probably havc become overgrown. The sccond altcrnativc is thereforc a distinct possibility: most of the permafrost in the study arca is probably not much older than about 600 vears and not younger than about 150 years.The southcrn limit of collapsescars as mapped by Zoltai (Zoltai and Tarnocai 1969) must have had permafrost dating from between 600 B.P. and 120 B.P. Possibly this limit was reachcd during thc "Littlc Icc Age" which startcd around 550 B.P. and ended about 1850 (Lamb 1963) - most likely betweenabout 400 B.P. and 200 B.P. Thc large increasein thc rate of collapsc of pcrmafrost in the study area seems to be closely rclated to the climatic amelioration which occurred around 1850, or about 120 B.P. As the climate became gradually warmer thc aggradation of permafrost probably diminished. Permafrost might even now accumulate under certain favourable conditions (such as perhaps a succcssionof relatively snow-free cold winters) on certain sites. Espccially with the trend of cooling of the past 20 years,new permafrost might develop again in some area. It is inadequate to suggestthat a single meteorological parameter, such as temperature, controls permafrost development and collapse. Vegetation is the other important factor, which is itself dependent upon a number of climatic variables. DISTRIRUTION AND THAWING OF PERMAFROST 199 The distributionof the hummock-buildingsphagnum,which seemsto be essential for the developmentof wooded palsasor peat plateaus,is strongly related to changesin conditions of moisture,temperatureand evapotranspiration,which could well mcan that within the generalpattern of climatic changes,degradation and aggradationas phasesin peimafrost formations have altcrnatedwith each other. frost penZoltai and Tarnocai(1971)found that thc depthto which scasonal of snow etrateson woodedpalsasandpeatplatcausis closelyrelatedto thickness layer. Under denseblack sprucestandsthe thin snow alloweddeeperpenetration of seasonalfrost than in the opcn where the snow formed a thicker and better insulatingcover,often preventingthc seasonalfrost lrom reachingthe permafrost. In yearsof relativclyheavysnowfall,seasonalfrost might not reachtbe permafrost table,cvcn under a denseblack sprucestand.Therefore,in suchyears(especially whenthe hcavysnowfalls carly in wintcr) the rate of collapsemight increase at the sametimc as the rate of accumulationdccreases.If such a situationcontinued over a numbcr of years,a considerablechangecould pcrhapsbe cxPected' The contrarymight be the caseif yearsof tiltle snowfalloccurred. Duringthe last 100-150yearsthe southcrnlimit of localizedanddiscontinuous permafrosthas movcd northward,perhapsfrom the southelnmostoccurtcncesof It thc presenttrcndof coolingof the climatcdoesnot collapscscarson pcatlands. continue,the slow northerlymovementwill continue;and if the samctrend is for a prolongcdperiodof timc, this probablcmovement andcontinues significant, reversed. andcventually to thenorthmightwellbc stopped, SUMMARY 'l'hc AND CONCLUSIONS prcsentand former distributionsof permafrostin the study arca are closely rclatcd to thc thicknessof the peat layer, types of pcatland and vcgetation' and thc rclief of un<lcrlyingmincral substrata,as caused by buried strandlinesand glacio-fluvialdeposits.Permafrostoccurs most abundantlyin medium-deeppeats, and in bog-type peatlands, in thc forrn of coalcscent peat plateaus. The smaller permafrost landforms in fcn areastend to have a teardrop shape and are aggraded according to drainage in downflow direction. Large pcat Plateausalso havc smooth forms, streamlinedby drainage-waterflow, but are not usuallyof a teardrop shape At one timc 6OVoof the land portion of thc study area containedpermafrost; at prcsentthc proportion is down to about 157o of the larld area. Permafrost bodics (in fens) smaller than 50 m in diameter have in gcncral completelycollapsedovcr the 20-ycar period 1947-1967.Bodies smallcr tban 100 m. in diamcter (in fcns) collapsedperiphcrally.The amount of horizontal retreat of thc permafrostedgewas in thc range ol 15 m. to 30 m. over a 20-year pcriod' Bodies of about 100-500 m. (in fcns) had a low rate of collapse.Collapsestartcd gencrallyin the middlc - probably the oldestpart - in thermokarstsinks. Rates varicd usuallybetwecn 5 m. and 20 m. over the 20-ycar interval. Distinct collapse edges had rates of about 10-20 m. per 20 years. Some parts had melting rates ol about 0-5 m. pcr 20 years. Larger peat plateaus manifested the same type of collapse - one starting in the inner core The permafrost edges facing large fens were found to collapsc later than edges facing other ncarby permafrost bodies 200 DISTRIBUTION AND THAWING OF PERMAFROST Downstrcam cdgcs tcnd to collapsclatcr than upstrcam cdges.After collapseof Ihc larger pcrmafrost thcrc is a noticcable trcnd towards the development of raiscd bogs. Thesc bogs do not have permafrost,but are suitable sitcs for new p!'rmafrost formations. Forcst fires do not sccm to influcnce lhe ratc of collapse in thc study arca. In a fcw cases,howcvcr, total collapscof permafrost has bcen sct in train by fircs. Collapsc prevailcd ovcr aggradationof permafrost in the study arca for somc thcrcfore coincided with a is for about 100-200 ycars B.P.-and timc-that climatic ameliorationwhich began at about 120 years B.P. Thc author suggcsts that most permafrost in this area may have been formed betwccn 600 B.P. and 200 B.P., and that thc southcrnlimit of coliapsescarsas mappedby Zoltai (19'l l) may have had pcrmafrost bctween400 B.P. and 200 B.P. REFERENCES BR^y, J. R. 1971. Solar-climate relationships in the Post-Pl€istocene.Science, l'11:. 1242'3. RRowN,R. J. E. 1967. Permafrostin Canada.Canacla,Ceological Surtey Map 124A. first edition. -. 1963 Permafrostinvestigationin northern Ontario and northeasternSaskatcheu'an. C(nada, Nationul Re.\earchCouncil, Dii.\ion ol Building Research, Techttical Papel no.29l. 1967. Tentative climatic patterns for some late glacial BRysoN.R. A. and w. M. WENDLAND. cpisodesin centralNorth America Protccdin!:s,1966Cottlcrctrccott Etlti' and post-glacial ,nutir"rrrrl Sturli"tof the Glacial Ltke AgassizRegiotl.winnipeg: Universityof Manitoba at l963 PermafrostinvestiSations JoHNsroN,6. H., R. J. E. BRowNand D. N. PIcKERsclLL. Thompson, M^nitoba. Cana(la, National ResearchCouncil, Divisiotr of Building Research, TcchniculI'aper no. 158. R. w. 1966. Surficialgeologyof the Waterhen- Grand Rapids area, Manitoba. KLASSEN, Canatla,Geological Swvey, Paper 66'36. 1r.rr. 1963. On thc nature of certain climatic epochswhich diff€r from tbe modern L.{N1B, ( t 900-39) normal. Pr oceedings,1961Symposium on Changesot' C limate. Rome: UNESCO' NrcHoLs, H. 1967. The post-glacial history of vegetation and climate at Ennadai Lake, Kee*,atin, and Lynn Lake, Mafiitoba. Eis,.eitalterund Gegenwart, lgt 176-97, sJ6Rs,H. 1961. Suface patternsin bor€al peatlands.Endeavour,20'. 217-24, svENssoN,H. 1970. Frozen ground morphology of northeasternmostNot\'/ay. Prcceedings, S!mposium on Ecology ol the Subarctic R?gion. Paris: UNESCO. \\,ErR,R. R. (ed.) 1960. Econo ic Atlas oJ Mdnitoba. Winnipegi Manitoba Department of IDdustry and Commerce. 8l PP. 7()LT^r.s. c. 1g71. Southernlinit ol penlalrcst leaturcsi peal landlormsin Manitoha and Toronto: CeologicalAssociationof Canada(Specialpaper no. 9). Saskatchewan. 1972, Palsasand peat plateaus in central Manitoba aod Saskatchewan.Carudian ,lournal ol Forest Researclr,2i 291-302, zoLTAr, s. c. and c. TARNoCAI.1969. Permafrost in peat landforms ifl nofihern Matritoba' Proieedigs, Thifteenth Annual Manitoba SoiI Science Soeiety. Winnipegi University of Manitoba.pp.3-16. -. 197I. Propetties of a wooded palsa in northern M^nitoba. Arctic and Alpite ReseaI ch, 3(2)t I I 5-29. -. Reprintedfrom ARC'ft(l. Joufnalof the Arctic lnslituteof Norlh America. Volume 27. Number 3, September1974.