IRR Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report
Transcription
IRR Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report
IRR Viewpoint Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report By James V. Andrews MAI, CRE, FRICS, ASA-BV Integra Realty Resources – Caribbean Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report By James V. Andrews, MAI, CRE, FRICS, ASA-BV Overview Baha Mar, Cable Beach, The Bahamas The tourism industry throughout the region continues to demonstrate strong growth, leading to moderate economic growth in the Caribbean economies dominated by tourism. There also appears to have been an uptick in construction and real estate development in some of the more active tourism markets; and real estate activity has been relatively stable. These factors, along with moderate GDP growth in most jurisdictions have led to modest economic improvement; despite issues with many governments’ propensity for high public debt ratios. Economic Indicators In October, 2015, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected a slowing of growth in the Caribbean’s tourism-based economies to 2.3% in 2015-16; compared with 2.4% in 2014. Much of the IMF's optimism for the Caribbean lies in the Dominican Republic; where mining and construction has been driving the economy. In particular, the country reopened its largest mine after maintenance shutdowns in the first half of 2015. The tourism industry in the Dominican Republic is also the strongest in the region. Eastern Caribbean states were generally subject to upward revisions to the IMF's growth projection for 2015, largely due to strong tourism statistics. Historical GDP Growth Source: WorldBank 2 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Regional Tourism The Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO) reports over 7% growth in tourist stopover arrivals to the greater Caribbean region (including Belize, Cancun and Cozumel) to over 28.7 million visitors. This reflects a long term growth trend that has been occurring since 2010. The 28 reporting Caribbean markets excluding Cancun and Cozumel report stopover arrivals of 22.7 million which is also just over 7% growth. This represents a slight slowing of growth from 8.98% experienced in 2014. Sugar Beach Resort St. Lucia Source: Caribbean Tourism Association Source: Caribbean Tourism Association Of the top 13 Caribbean markets reporting, all reported positive growth except for Martinique; with negative growth of 0.4%. For the top 13 reporting markets (excluding Mexico), the highest growth in arrivals was seen in Cuba (17.4%), Aruba (15%), Barbados (15%) and Haiti (10.9%). The Dominican Republic was close behind at 8.9%, and is the largest tourism destination by far; with 5.6 million arrivals in 2014. Travel Demand American Airlines, the largest carrier to most of the Caribbean destinations, continues to report declining revenue passenger miles to the region, with a 3.3% decline in January compared to January 2015. JetBlue, however, continues to expand its Caribbean presence; with expanded service to Puerto Rico and new routes from U.S. gateways to Turks and Caicos, Grenada, Curacao, St. Lucia, Montego Bay (Jamaica), and Port of Spain (Trinidad); as well as Puerto Plata, Punta Cana and Santiago (all Dominican Republic). 3 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report The world’s largest online travel store, Expedia, is reporting demand for Caribbean travel is expanding rapidly. The company reports 20% growth in travel demand for the Caribbean region in the third quarter of 2015. The highest growth reported was from Antigua and Barbuda; which indicated 50% growth in Expedia bookings in the same period. Expedia’s largest market in the Caribbean was Punta Cana, Dominican Republic; which saw more than 15% growth, as did San Juan Puerto Rico. Hotel Performance Hotel performance in the Caribbean in terms of average daily rates and occupancy continued a trend of robust improvement through 2015 according to data from Smith Travel Research (STR, Inc.). Average Daily Rates (ADR) grew by 4.52% to $226.35, while occupancy was up 2.16% to 69.26%, leading to Revenue per Available Room (RevPar) growth of 6.76% ($159.30). Hamilton Beach Resort Nevis Source: Smith Travel Research (STR, Inc.) The overall trend is an increase in all three metrics ongoing since 2010. Occupancy grew significantly in the years 2010-2012 but has been growing more linearly with rates since then. Source: Smith Travel Research (STR, Inc.) 4 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report For the first three quarters of 2015, the Cayman Islands is reporting the highest ADR at $364.29, (up 14.3%) followed by the USVI ($323.36, up 5.65%) and Barbados ($289.11, down 0.2%). Beaches Resort Turks and Caicos Source: STR, Inc. As of December, 2015, STR reported 23 Caribbean hotels in the Caribbean (excluding Mexico) totaling 5,801 rooms in the “in-contract” stage (formerly “active pipeline”; including those in the Planning, Final Planning and In-Construction stages). This represents a 34% decrease in rooms “under contract”, compared with the same period last year. Major projects in the planning stage include the Palladium Hotel Grand Jamaica (850 rooms) and Secrets Cap Cana (470 rooms). The Baha Mar mega-resort project in The Bahamas, with 2,200 rooms over five hotels, is near completion, but stalled last year due to financial issues and a dispute between the developer and the contractor (China State Engineering and Construction Co.). The developer’s efforts to file for Chapter 11 protection in the USA were quashed by the Bahamian government who put the development into liquidation. Most recently, it appears that the Chinese government (both the lender and the contractor) are courting new investors to take over the project with a view to getting it finally open. There has been an increase in transactions in the region, which vary widely based on whether necessary renovations and rebranding were needed; opportunities for expansion, and desirability of the specific location. The following are several recent transactions which indicate cap rates. Hotel Transactions Indicating Cap Rates Project Major Branded Luxury Resort Location USVI Rooms 180 Date of Sale Q4 2015 Price $64,000,000 Price/Room $355,556 Cap Rate 10.00% Comments Recent Renovations Major Branded Upper Upscale Resort Cayman 295 Current Contract $91,000,000 $308,475 11.06% Recent Renovations Unbranded Upper‐Midscale Cayman 129 Q3 2015 $29,500,000 $228,682 10.21% Inland, Leasehold Unbranded Boutique Resort Cayman 19 Q4 2015 $4,500,000 $236,842 11.38% Waterfront, Dive Shop Branded All‐Inclusive Jamaica 489 Q4 2014 $85,500,000 $174,847 8.50% Required renovations Branded Luxury Resort Barbados 72 Q4 2014 $43,500,000 $604,167 8.00% 17 acre site with excess land Unbranded Luxury Resort Bahamas 105 Q3 2014 $140,500,000 $1,338,095 5.50% Inconic property, top location Information believed to be correct but unwarranted. Source: Various, compiled by Integra Realty Resources 5 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Jamaica Is in most of our Caribbean market reports, we analyze the real estate markets and other economic news in several different jurisdictions. In Jamaica, property transfers for 2015 reached J$78.2 billion, or US$665.5 million; a 9.3% increase over the previous year. Meanwhile the Jamaican dollar continues its gradual downward slide due to declining exports, increased reliance on imports and lower GDP. Westin Grand Cayman Resort Source: National Lands Agency, Jamaica There have been several recent announcements of new resort developments planned for Jamaica, as well as two new casino/gaming oriented properties. First and foremost; Mexicobased Karisma Hotel and Resorts has announced plans to develop nine hotels in Jamaica with an investment of more than US$900. These hotels would be located on a 228 acre, beachfront property in St. Ann, and would add 4,000 rooms to the country’s room inventory over the next ten years. Hotel Performance in Jamaica, as indicated by Smith Travel Research, indicated a 14.79% increase in average daily rates (ADR) and a slight decline in occupancy: Source: STR, Inc. 6 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Jamaica’s stopover arrivals grew by 5.71% in 2015, but the improvement in the tourism sector did little to affect the greater economic decline; fueled by increasing unemployment and the downward spiral of the Jamaican Dollar. Ritz Carlton Grand Cayman Resort Source: Caribbean Tourism Association, WorldBank 7 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report USVI In the U.S. Virgin Islands, the St. Thomas/St. Croix MLS reports that there were 599 sold properties in 2015 versus 626 for the same period last year (-4.3%), and sales volume was $187.6 million; down from $197.9 million (-5.2%). Breezes Resort Cable Beach, Bahamas Source: St. Thomas Board of Realtors MLS The former HOVENSA refinery in St. Croix; once the largest in the Caribbean until closing in 2012; was finally sold at auction to Arc Light Capital Partners (pending an approved operating agreement), who intends to re-open the fuel storage facility only and liquidate other assets. There are two proposed hotels in the STR active pipeline totaling 453 rooms (Hyatt Regency in Mandahl Bay and Embassy Suites in Mahogany Run); although a third project (Water Island) has been announced without the proposed number of rooms having been disclosed. Smith Travel Research reports that hotel performance in the USVI during 2015 continued to improve, with a 4.65% increase in ADR and a 8.33% increase in occupancy. Source: STR, Inc. 8 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Stopover arrivals in the USVI increased by 5.3% in 2015 to 769,058, while cruise ship arrivals declined by nearly 10%, Zemi Beach House Anguilla Source: USVI Bureau of Economic Research 9 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Cayman Islands The economy of the Cayman Islands is different than much of the Caribbean due to its heavy reliance on financial services as its primary revenue source. Tourism is the second largest contributor to GDP. As such, the real estate market depends largely on the domestic economy. Freehold property transfers rose 11% in 2015 compared with last year; to nearly US$711 million. Marriott Beach Resort, Grand Cayman Note – spike in volume in mid 2013 due to sale of Ritz Carlton Resort and related properties Source: Cayman Islands Department of Lands and Survey Office rents in Grand Cayman have risen slightly, with most recent leases for Class A space inching upward from US$45 to US$50 per square foot, as the most recently constructed buildings (Willow House in Cricket Square and 18 Forum Lane in Camana Bay) have become substantially leased up. The developers of Camana Bay have broken ground on the sister office block to 18 Forum Lane; bringing the total amount of office space in the town centre to over 470,000 square feet. Meanwhile, the developer of the Cricket Square office park is currently in the pre-planning phase for a Phase VI near to Willow House. While the continued pressure for global transparency in the offshore financial services sector persists, the industry appears to be relatively stable amid a thriving M&A market. In the Cayman Islands, the results are mixed; with a decline in insurance licenses, company registrations and fund registrations; but an increase in market capitalization of the C.I. Stock Exchange. While the industry is dominated by incorporations of companies and insurance captives, these entities are investors in hedge funds, mutual funds, specialist debt and sovereign debt securities. The performance of the Cayman Islands financial services sector is considered a benchmark for the industry regionally, and is summarized on the following charts. 10 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Willow House, Grand Cayman Source: Cayman Islands Economics and Statistics Office Source: Cayman Islands Economics and Statistics Office 11 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report The tourism industry in the Cayman Islands continues to thrive along with the region, and continues to have the highest ADR of any destination in the Caribbean. The high ADR and low occupancy are indicative of Cayman having the perception of a safe, high-end destination for families; in addition to the fact that no new supply has come online in some time. This will change at the end of 2016 with the opening of the 200-room Kimpton Seafire (plus 6 condos) which is under construction on Seven Mile Beach. Hermitage Bay, Antigua Source: STR, Inc. Stopover arrivals were fairly flat with growth of 0.67%, while cruise arrivals grew by 6.7%. The lack of growth in arrivals is likely due to the relatively high average daily rates and occupancy levels; coupled with no new supply. Source: Caribbean Tourism Association 12 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report The Bahamas There appears to be a partial recovery in the real estate sector in some markets within the Bahamas; and this improvement is most evident in New Providence rather than in Grand Bahama or the Family Islands. According to the Bahamas Real Estate Association (BREA) MLS, real estate sales volume rose nearly 20% in 2015, with a 5% increase in the average sale price. Cap Juluca, Anguilla Source: Bahamas Real Estate Association MLS, Compiled by IRR Caribbean The biggest item of interest in The Bahamas is the continuing saga of Baha Mar; the 2,200-room mega resort under construction on Cable Beach; which sits idle at an approximately 95% state of completion. After a failed attempt at declaring Chapter 11 Bankruptcy in the USA, the Swiss/Armenian developer was effectively taken out of the equation by the Government of the Bahamas; who put the property in receivership and appointed joint liquidator. The contractor and the lender are both subsidiaries of the Chinese government, and the developer was claiming that the contractor was not performing their duties adequately in order for the resort to open; causing numerous delays. It appears that the joint liquidators are currently courting new investors to the project, which was originally planned to cost approximately $3.5 billion. 13 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report The Ministry of Tourism collects statistics from hotels over 100 rooms which are located on New Providence Island (where Nassau and Cable Beach are located). This market saw a 6% increase in ADR in 2015 and a 3.75% increase in occupancy; leading to RevPAR increase of 10%. Almond Beach Village, Barbados Source: Bahamas Ministry of Tourism Arrivals are projected to rise a moderate 2.7% in 2015 based on data through November; to 1.46 million. Source: Bahamas Ministry of Tourism, Government Statistics Office 14 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Barbados Barbados has historically been more popular with the UK and European all-inclusive market than other Caribbean destinations, and its tourism industry had suffered due to the closing of several of these types of hotels (such as the Almond Resorts chain). Although several hotels at the upper end of the market were once proposed, they were either abandoned or deferred; such as Four Seasons and Le Meridien. Sandals Resorts has reinvigorated the tourism industry somewhat with the purchase of one of the Almond properties and the opening of the newest Sandals location at the end of last year. Hotel performance data from STR, Inc. indicates that ADR was flat in 2015 but with a 5.42% increase in occupancy. Altamer Anguilla Source: STR, Inc. Due to the closure of several hotels and the lack of suitable inventory (along with declines in the UK and European economies), stopover arrivals declined significantly in 2013 and 2014; before rebounding an astonishing 15% through November of 2015. Source: Caribbean Tourism Association; WorldBank 15 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Puerto Rico The biggest story in Puerto Rico is currently the dilemma the Government faces as it continues to be unable to meet its debt obligations; while at the same time not being able to file for bankruptcy protection since it is not a U.S. state. Meanwhile, the territory does seem to be reaping some benefit from the Act 20/22 legislation, which allows wealthy U.S. citizens to abate most of their income taxes (or that of their businesses) if they relocate to Puerto Rico. This has resulted in some increase in sales activity at luxury resort communities such as Dorado Beach and Bahia Beach. The hotel industry is also improving. Smith Travel Research reports that ADRs rose slightly in 2015 (0.53%), and occupancy gained a modest 1.74%; leading to RevPAR growth of 2.93%. Compass Point Marina St. Thomas, USVI Source: STR, Inc. Stopover arrivals continue to rise; however, the tourism industry is not as much of a factor in the overall economy of Puerto Rico, as in other Caribbean destinations. The following chart indicates the rise in arrivals and the gradual decline in the GDP per capita. Source: Caribbean Tourism Association, WorldBank 16 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Dominican Republic Historically geared toward the mid-priced, all-inclusive market, the Dominican Republic is now experiencing some new luxury resort development. Aman Resorts recently opened the Amanera property which is a golf-oriented resort located on 2,000 acres along the northern coastline. This new development follows the entrance of the Xeliter brand of hotels by Coral Hospitality, who has taken over the Balcones del Atlantico in Las Terranas, Samana. Overall, the country continues to dominate the regional tourism market with the highest number of visitor arrivals, the highest number of inbound flights and the largest inventory of room stock. Overnight visitor arrivals grew to nearly 5.6 million in 2015; an 8.9% increase. Exclusive Resorts Villas Little Dix Bay, BVI Source: Caribbean Tourism Association Smith Travel Research reports that hotel occupancy was flat in 2015 over the prior year; however, ADR was up an astonishing 17.35%; leading to RevPAR growth of 17.5% Source: STR, Inc. 17 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report Notable Regional Developments and News Cuba Cuba appears to be the next rising tourism star in the Caribbean; as visitor arrivals increased 17.4% in 2015; representing the second largest tourism market in the Caribbean; even without tapping the U.S. market. The Obama administration appears to be gradually improving relations with Cuba, while whittling away at the embargo at the same time. The question is whether or not the next administration will continue these efforts or whether they will sympathize with CubanAmerican lobby who are generally opposed to relaxing trade restrictions with the communist nation. Meanwhile there has been a significant increase in airlift to Cuba (mostly from the US, in hopes of carrying “licensed” passengers); as well as efforts to establish several ferry services from Florida. Antigua The government of this twin-island country has announced another major new resort project; this one to be located on Barbuda and to be called Gravenor Bay. The $450 million project is to be built in seven phases, providing a total of 1,100 jobs in the construction and permanent phases. The project will be mixed use with hotel rooms, villas, golf course, marina, spa and other amenities. North Sound Golf Club, Grand Cayman British Virgin Islands The BVI recently completed the first phase of the expansion of its cruise port; however, the controversial plan to extend the airport’s runway at Beef Island has still yet to take shape. Meanwhile there was an announcement that direct flights to Tortola from Miami will be available on BVI Airways. The territory has historically been heavily dependent on commuter service from San Juan as well as ferry service from St. Thomas, USVI. St. Lucia St. Lucia becomes the fifth Caribbean country to enact Citizenship by Investment legislation, which began in January, 2016. These programs provide incentive for investment into approved real estate projects in these jurisdictions; by also providing citizenships and passports to wealthy individuals from certain countries who are burdened with travel restrictions. Conclusions and Forecasts The tourism industry has effectively reached the peak levels seen prior to the recession, and provided some economic improvement to countries which rely heavily on tourism. The continued increase in tourist arrivals should also provide improvement for related industries such as restaurants, watersports and tours. Real estate markets are generally showing signs of modest improvement; with increases in sales volume noted in Cayman, Jamaica, TCI, and the Bahamas. The USVI noted a decrease in real estate sales in 2015; and although there was an increase in GDP per capita, this could partly relate to a decreasing population trend. The vacation home ownership segment continues to show mixed results; with some increases in locations with special incentives such as Citizenship by Investment or tax related programs such as found in Puerto Rico. There are several projects in other locations that continue to flourish through the proven reputation of the developers. 18 Caribbean Market Update 2016 Annual Report IRR-Caribbean provides real property and business valuation and consulting services throughout the Caribbean region; specializing in hotel and resort investment assets and businesses. James V. Andrews MAI, CRE, FRICS, ASA-BV Senior Managing Director Integra Realty Resources – Caribbean Email: jandrews@irr.com Website: www.irr.com/caribbean Main Office Cayman Business Park, Suite A5 Mail Box 751 Grand Cayman, KY1-9006 Cayman Islands Local: (345) 746-3110 Toll Free USA/Canada: (844) 952-7304 U.S. Virgin Islands Office 6500 Red Hook Plaza Suite 206 St. Thomas, VI 00802 (340) 746-3110 The Bahamas Office P. O. Box N-9251 Nassau, Bahamas (242) 324-6402 19 Integra Realty Resources, Inc. Corporate Profile With corporate headquarters in New York City, Integra Realty Resources (IRR) is the largest independent commercial real estate valuation and counseling firm in North America, with 65 offices in 34 states and more than 200 Members of the Appraisal Institute (MAI) who are among its more than 875 employees across the United States and the Caribbean. IRR combines the intimate market knowledge of well‐established local valuation and counseling experts with the powerful resources and capabilities of a national company. IRR offers its clients integrated technology, national data and information systems, and standardized valuation models and report formats for ease of review and analysis. An MAI‐ designated senior managing director runs virtually every IRR office; the directors on average have 25 years of commercial real estate experience in their local markets. Founded in 1999, the IRR specializes in real estate appraisals, feasibility and market studies, expert testimony, and related property consulting services. Many of the nation’s largest and most prestigious financial institutions, developers, corporations, law firms, and government agencies are among its clients. For more information, visit www.irr.com or blog.irr.com. A listing of IRR’s local offices and their Senior Managing Directors follows: ATLANTA, GA ‐ Sherry L. Watkins., MAI, FRICS AUSTIN, TX ‐ Randy A. Williams, MAI, SR/WA, FRICS BALTIMORE, MD ‐ G. Edward Kerr, MAI, MRICS BIRMINGHAM, AL ‐ Rusty Rich, MAI, MRICS BOISE, ID ‐ Bradford T. Knipe, MAI, ARA, CCIM, CRE, FRICS BOSTON, MA ‐ David L. Cary, Jr., MAI, MRICS CHARLESTON, SC ‐ Cleveland “Bud” Wright, Jr., MAI CHARLOTTE, NC ‐ Fitzhugh L. Stout, MAI, CRE, FRICS CHICAGO, IL ‐ Eric L. Enloe, MAI, FRICS CINCINNATI, OH ‐ Gary S. Wright, MAI, FRICS, SRA CLEVELAND, OH ‐ Douglas P. Sloan, MAI COLUMBIA, SC ‐ Michael B. Dodds, MAI, CCIM COLUMBUS, OH ‐ Bruce A. Daubner, MAI, FRICS DALLAS, TX ‐ Mark R. Lamb, MAI, CPA, FRICS DAYTON, OH ‐ Gary S. Wright, MAI, FRICS, SRA DENVER, CO ‐ Brad A. Weiman, MAI, FRICS DETROIT, MI ‐ Anthony Sanna, MAI, CRE, FRICS FORT WORTH, TX ‐ Gregory B. Cook, SR/WA GREENSBORO, NC ‐ Nancy Tritt, MAI, SRA, FRICS GREENVILLE, SC ‐ Michael B. Dodds, MAI, CCIM HARTFORD, CT ‐ Mark F. Bates, MAI, CRE, FRICS HOUSTON, TX ‐ David R. Dominy, MAI, CRE, FRICS INDIANAPOLIS, IN ‐ Michael C. Lady, MAI, SRA, CCIM, FRICS JACKSON, MS ‐ John R. Praytor, MAI JACKSONVILLE, FL ‐ Robert Crenshaw, MAI, FRICS KANSAS CITY, MO/KS ‐ Kenneth Jaggers, MAI, FRICS LAS VEGAS, NV ‐ Charles E. Jack IV, MAI LOS ANGELES, CA ‐ John G. Ellis, MAI, CRE, FRICS LOS ANGELES, CA ‐ Matthew J. Swanson, MAI LOUISVILLE, KY ‐ Stacey Nicholas, MAI, MRICS MEMPHIS, TN ‐ J. Walter Allen, MAI, FRICS Corporate Office 1133 Avenue of the Americas, 27th Floor, New York, New York 10036 Telephone: (212) 255-7858; Fax: (646) 4241869; E-mail info@irr.com Website: www.irr.com MIAMI/PALM BEACH, FL‐ Anthony M. Graziano, MAI, CRE, FRICS MINNEAPOLIS, MN ‐ Michael F. Amundson, MAI, CCIM, FRICS NAPLES, FL ‐ Carlton J. Lloyd, MAI, FRICS NASHVILLE, TN ‐ R. Paul Perutelli, MAI, SRA, FRICS NEW JERSEY COASTAL ‐ Halvor J. Egeland, MAI NEW JERSEY NORTHERN ‐ Matthew S. Krauser CRE, FRICS NEW YORK, NY ‐ Raymond T. Cirz, MAI, CRE, FRICS ORANGE COUNTY, CA ‐ Steve Calandra, MAI ORLANDO, FL ‐ Christopher Starkey, MAI, MRICS PHILADELPHIA, PA ‐ Joseph D. Pasquarella, MAI, CRE, FRICS PHOENIX, AZ ‐ Walter ‘Tres’ Winius III, MAI, FRICS PITTSBURGH, PA ‐ Paul D. Griffith, MAI, CRE, FRICS PORTLAND, OR ‐ Brian A. Glanville, MAI, CRE, FRICS PROVIDENCE, RI ‐ Gerard H. McDonough, MAI, FRICS RALEIGH, NC ‐ Chris R. Morris, MAI, FRICS RICHMOND, VA ‐ Kenneth L. Brown, MAI, CCIM, FRICS SACRAMENTO, CA ‐ Scott Beebe, MAI, FRICS ST. LOUIS, MO ‐ P. Ryan McDonald, MAI, FRICS SALT LAKE CITY, UT ‐ Darrin W. Liddell, MAI, CCIM, FRICS SAN DIEGO, CA ‐ Jeff A. Greenwald, MAI, SRA, FRICS SAN FRANCISCO, CA ‐ Jan Kleczewski, MAI, FRICS SARASOTA, FL ‐ Carlton J. Lloyd, MAI, FRICS SAVANNAH, GA ‐ J. Carl Schultz, Jr., MAI, FRICS, CRE, SRA SEATTLE, WA ‐ Allen N. Safer, MAI, MRICS SYRACUSE, NY ‐ William J. Kimball, MAI, FRICS TAMPA, FL ‐ Bradford L. Johnson, MAI, MRICS TULSA, OK ‐ Robert E. Gray, MAI, FRICS WASHINGTON, DC ‐ Patrick C. Kerr, MAI, SRA, FRICS WILMINGTON, DE ‐ Douglas L. Nickel, MAI, FRICS CARIBBEAN/CAYMAN ISLANDS ‐ James Andrews, MAI, FRICS