Tal Polaka, James E.M. Watsonb, Richard A. Fuller,a Liana N
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Tal Polaka, James E.M. Watsonb, Richard A. Fuller,a Liana N
Efficient expansion of global protected areas requires simultaneous planning for species 1 and ecosystems a Polak , b Watson , a Fuller, a Joseph , Tal James E.M. Richard A. Liana N. Tara G. a,c a d a,c Martin , Hugh P. Possingham , Oscar Venter and Josie Carwardine aARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Queensland 4072, Australia; bSchool of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, University of Queensland, St Lucia QLD 4072, Australia; cCSIRO Land and Water, Box 2583, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia; dCentre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD 4878 Introduction & aim Methods & references • Protected areas are important for the conservation of both species and ecosystems. Planning scenarios: • However, many representation gaps exist in today ’s protected areas network. Current situation t.polak@uq.edu.au Bioregions Adding PA to achieve 10% targets for 85 bioregions Adding PA to achieve persistence targets for 1320 species Scenario # 4 • The CBD promotes the use of environmental surrogates to plan protected areas. Adding bioregions Adding PA to achieve 10% targets for 85 bioregions To download the paper scan: Scenario # 1 Threatened species • Another goal is to reduce extinctions and protect threatened species. • Here, we conduct a novel assessment of the impact of ecosystembased planning and the global CBD goals on protected area outcomes for threatened species at the country level upon which they are implemented. Tal Polak Scenario # 2 • Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)1 targeted the expansion of current protected areas to cover of 17% of the area of the world’s ecosystems. • However, the cost-efficiency of this ecosystem-based planning is unknown. Scenario # 0 Scenario # 5 Scenario # 3 Simultaneously Adding species Adding PA to achieve targets for both 1320 species and 85 bioregions Adding PA to achieve persistence targets for 1320 species We used a database of 1320 threatened species and 85 of Australia’s bioregions, we set targets for threatened species based on the size of their distribution area, their threat status and a 10% targets for the bioregions. We used MARXAN to find the optimal planning solution for each planning scenario and trade-off analyses. PA = Protected areas 1Polak T., Watson J.E.M., Fuller R.A. et al. (2015) Efficient expansion of global protected areas requires simultaneous planning for species and ecosystems. 2. 2Convention on Biological Diversity. (2010) Report of the tenth meeting of the conference of the parties of the Convention on Biological Diversity. The tenth meeting of the conference of the parties of the Convention on Biological Diversity Nagoya, Japan. Results Area = cost % of bioregional targets met % of species targets met 100 160 168.3 161.1 120 1616.6 100 100 144.1 140 80 118.6 120 70.6 60 100 89.1 40 34.1 80 24.3 60 20 Targets adequately met (%) Land covered in protected areas (Million ha) 180 1 2 Protected areas network maps The maps present the best expansion planning for each of the following scenarios (see methods): 9.7 40 0 Current situation Achieving 10% bioregion targets Achieving Achieving both Achieving Achieving threatened sets oftargets threatened bioregion target species coverage simultaneously species target then species targets then bioregion targets targets Cost-efficiency analysis • Current protected areas underrepresent many biodiversity features • Simultaneous planning for both targets will achieve the most cost-effective solution. • Planning first for ecosystems and then filling the gaps to meet threatened species targets will result in the most ineffective solution. 5 1 - Ecosystem-base planning 2 - Species-base planning 5 – Simultaneous planning Additional protected areas Existing Protected areas Discussion • Planning using the CBD’s ecosystem-based approach will require more and achieve less than using species information to prioritize protected areas selection • The CBD’s 17% area target is not enough and full representation will require 21% of Australia’s terrestrial area. • Our results have significant implications for how nations should interpret the CBD’s strategic plan2. • We urge countries to apply a multi-targets approach when planning their protected areas expansion and shouldn’t relay solely on ecosystem-based information and targets.