OIA - International Drive P3 Transit Corridor
Transcription
OIA - International Drive P3 Transit Corridor
CONFIDENTIAL VHB No. 61569.00 | December 6, 2011 OIA - International Drive P3 Transit Corridor RIDERSHIP ESTIMATION REPORT Figure 1 Proposed Transit Corridor Semoran Blvd. To DeLand SunRail Sand Lake Rd. Florida Mall vd. Tradeport Dr. Uni ver sal Bl Beachline Expressway Orlando Gateway Orange Ave. Florida’s Turnpike Orange Blossom Trail John Young Parkway Orlando International Airport PREPARED FOR To Poinciana American Maglev Technology, Inc. pREPARED by Transit Stations Proposed Alignment SunRail Corridor Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc. December 2011 OIA – I Drive P3 Transit Corridor Ridership Estimation Report Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................ i Introduction and Study Objectives .................................................................................... 1 Market Data Sources ............................................................................................................. 3 Data Sources ............................................................................................................................. 4 1998 Bee Line Monorail Study ................................................................................... 4 OIA Rail Connector Study .......................................................................................... 4 Central Florida Regional Planning Model .................................................................. 5 OIA Passenger Survey .............................................................................................. 5 OIA Enplanement Information.................................................................................... 5 Data from the I Drive District and Visit Orlando ......................................................... 6 Florida Mall Employment and Transit Usage ............................................................. 6 OCCC Client Survey .................................................................................................. 7 High Speed Rail Ridership Forecasts ........................................................................ 7 Growth Rate Summary .............................................................................................................. 8 Potential Transportation Market ........................................................................................ 9 1. 2. 3. 4. OIA to/from I Drive District ......................................................................................... 9 Connecting Trips to/from SunRail ............................................................................ 11 Florida Mall to/from Other Stations .......................................................................... 12 Total Market ............................................................................................................. 13 Market Capture and Ridership Estimates ....................................................................... 15 Next Steps.............................................................................................................................. 19 Appendix i Table of Contents OIA – I Drive P3 Transit Corridor Ridership Estimation Report List of Tables Table No. Title Page Table 1 Summary of Historical and Forecasted Growth Rates............................................................... 8 Table 2 Potential Market – OIA to/from I Drive District (Trips per Year) ............................................... 10 Table 3 Potential Market – Connecting Trips to/from SunRail (Trips per Year).................................... 12 Table 4 Potential Market – Florida Mall to/from Other Stations (Trips per Year) .................................. 13 Table 5 Total Market Summary ............................................................................................................ 14 Table 6 Total Market – Tourist versus Non-Tourist Trips (per Year) .................................................... 14 Table 7 Market Capture Data Summary ............................................................................................... 15 Table 8 Market Capture Data Summary ............................................................................................... 16 Table 9 Preliminary Market Capture Estimates .................................................................................... 16 Table 10 Preliminary Ridership Estimates (Trips per Year).................................................................... 18 ii Table of Contents OIA – I Drive P3 Transit Corridor Ridership Estimation Report List of Figures Figure No. Title Page Figure 1 Project Location Map .................................................................................................................iii Figure 2 Potential Market Summary ....................................................................................................... iv Figure 3 Ridership Estimation Summary ................................................................................................ iv iii Table of Contents OIA – I Drive P3 Transit Corridor Ridership Estimation Report Executive Summary American Maglev Technology, Inc. (AMT) has developed a concept for a privately funded public transportation system, utilizing a magnetic levitation (maglev) technology, connecting Orlando International Airport (OIA) with the Orange County Convention Center (OCCC) to the west. The AMT system concept provides improved east-west mobility between OIA and the International Drive District, building upon several past transit initiatives for this corridor. The AMT system also allows for improved regional mobility through transfers to and from the north-south SunRail system at the Sand Lake Road station. Figure 1 shows the project location. Additional phases of the system have been proposed following the completion of the OIA to OCCC segment; however those connections are outside the scope of this effort. VHB/Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc. has been retained by AMT to prepare preliminary ridership estimations for the proposed system. This analysis relies on existing data sources and is intended to establish a reasonable range of ridership potential. The analysis results serve as an update to previous studies and as a starting point for more detailed subsequent studies and investment grade analyses of the proposed system. The ridership analysis accounts for both the tourist and non-tourist markets. The potential for additional ridership through transfers to and from the SunRail system at the Sand Lake Road station is addressed in the analysis, but transfers to and from LYNX routes are not estimated. Market capture percentages have been developed separately for tourists and non-tourists based on the availability of other travel options. Based on estimates of the overall market and reasonable market capture percentages, the preliminary ridership estimations for the AMT system are as follows: Opening Year (2014) – 3.1 million to 4.1 million trips per year Interim Year (2025) – 4.6 million to 6.0 million trips per year Horizon Year (2035) – 6.3 million to 8.4 million trips per year The steps in the ridership estimation process are described in the following sections. i Executive Summary OIA – I Drive P3 Transit Corridor Ridership Estimation Report Market Data Sources – The first step in the estimation process consisted of a review of available data from both previous studies and current statistics. Past ridership studies completed for transit systems serving OIA and the I Drive corridor include the BeeLine Monorail Study and the OIA Rail Connector Study. (Ridership data for SunRail and the planned High Speed Rail system are not publicly available.) The data review also included current travel and tourism data from OIA and the I Drive District, which was used to estimate the size of the overall market. The Central Florida Regional Planning Model (CFRPM) was used as a data source for analyzing travel patterns between the destinations served by the proposed AMT system. Potential Transportation Market – Based on the review of the available data sources, the total potential transportation market for the AMT system is estimated as approximately 32.5 million one-way trips annually for the opening year of 2014; the potential market increases to 46.7 million trips for the year 2025 and 60 million trips for the year 2035. Figure 2 shows the distribution of the potential market between tourist trips and non-tourist trips. The largest market component by far consists of non-tourist trips connecting to and from SunRail; this is because of the regional population and employment centers that will be served by the system, including Downtown Orlando, Orlando Health and Florida Hospital. However, this market poses the most significant challenge for ridership, as many within this market are non-tourists with private automobiles. In comparison, the market components associated with OIA/I Drive District trips contain a larger tourist population that is less likely to have a personal automobile available. Market Capture – A range of market capture percentages was developed for tourists and non-tourists. The range was developed based on past studies and current traveler surveys completed by OIA. Data on existing transit usage for the Orlando region was also reviewed to develop market capture percentages for non-tourists. The highest market capture percentages, 35 to 45 percent, are associated with tourist trips between OIA and the I Drive District. This range is consistent with the results of a survey of convention clients completed by OCCC in October 2011. The lowest percentages, 1 to 2 percent, are associated with non-tourist trips connecting to and from SunRail. Ridership Estimation – Based on the potential market estimates and market capture percentages, the ridership estimations for the AMT system were developed for the years 2014, 2025 and 2035. Opening year 2014 estimates range from 3.1 million to 4.1 million one-way trips per year. For the horizon year 2035, ridership estimates are approximately double, ranging from 6.3 million to 8.4 million trips per year. The majority of the estimated ridership (approximately 80%) is from tourist trips, as shown in Figure 3. The next steps in the ridership evaluation process consist of investment grade analyses that will address financial and operations factors affecting ridership for the AMT system. These factors include price sensitivity, the proposed service frequency, and travel times compared to existing auto, bus and taxi modes. ii Executive Summary Figure 1 Proposed Transit Corridor Semoran Blvd. To DeLand SunRail Sand Lake Rd. Florida Mall vd. Tradeport Dr. Uni ver sal Bl Beachline Expressway Orange Ave. Orlando International Airport Florida’s Turnpike Orange Blossom Trail John Young Parkway Orlando Gateway To Poinciana Transit Stations Proposed Alignment SunRail Corridor December 2011 OIA – I Drive P3 Transit Corridor Ridership Estimation Report Figure 2 Potential Market Summary Figure 3 Ridership Estimation Summary iv Executive Summary 1 Introduction and Study Objectives American Maglev Technology, Inc. (AMT) has proposed a privately funded public transportation system, utilizing a magnetic levitation (maglev) technology, connecting Orlando International Airport (OIA) with the Orange County Convention Center (OCCC) to the west. Intermediate stops include the Sand Lake Road SunRail station and Florida Mall. This system is projected to be completed by 2014. Additional phases of the system are under consideration, but a completion date has not been determined for these phases. Figure 1 shows the AMT system. The following is a description of the proposed stops: Orlando International Airport (OIA) – This stop would be located to the south of the main terminal and would be part of a larger intermodal center. Sand Lake Road – This proposed stop is located at the intersection of Sand Lake Road and Orange Avenue and would allow for direct transfers between the AMT system and the SunRail commuter rail system. Florida Mall – This proposed stop is along Sand Lake Road in front of the Florida Mall, allowing access to shopping, employment and hotel trips associated with the mall. Orlando Gateway – This stop would be located at the Orange County Convention Center (OCCC) near the Canadian Court Intermodal Center. While the stop would provide a direct connection to OCCC, it would also provide access from OIA to the larger I Drive District. The International Drive Master Transit and Improvement District (“I Drive District”) is an existing entity that operates the I-RIDE Trolley between OCCC, Sea World, as well as the hotels and tourist attractions along the International Drive corridor. The I Drive District is also considering long-term transit improvements within the area to improve overall connectivity. These improvements would allow the Orlando Gateway stop to serve the entire I Drive District. Several transit ridership studies have been previously completed for transit systems along an east-west alignment similar to the proposed AMT system. However, these studies differ in terms of underlying assumptions, the analysis timeframe and the ridership results. This analysis is intended to establish a reasonable range of ridership estimation for the AMT system based on available data sources. This range is intended to serve as an update to 1 Introduction and Study Objectives previous studies and a starting point for subsequent more detailed studies and analyses of the proposed system. The analysis assumes an opening year of 2014 for the AMT system and a planning horizon year of 2035. Results for an interim year of 2025 are also presented. These ridership estimates are based on the completion of the segment between OIA and OCCC and do not account for implementation of potential future phases. 2 Introduction and Study Objectives 2 Market Data Sources The overall approach to estimating the ridership potential consists of two components: 1) estimating the potential market and 2) estimating the market capture percentage for the system. A primary potential market for the AMT system includes all trips, regardless of mode, that occur between Orlando International Airport and the International Drive corridor, which includes the OCCC, Sea World to the south and Universal Studios to the north. The size of this market is dictated largely by overall tourism levels, specifically passenger traffic at Orlando International Airport and visitor levels for the I Drive District. Within the vicinity of the AMT alignment, the potential market also includes intermediate trips from Orlando International Airport or the International Drive corridor to Florida Mall. With the SunRail connection at the Sand Lake Road station, an even larger nontourist market would have the ability to use the system. For this analysis, the size of the overall market was estimated using multiple data sources, as described later in the report. The market capture percentage represents the share of the overall market that would choose to travel by the AMT system versus other modes such as taxi, rental car, private shuttle or LYNX bus. This analysis includes an estimated market capture for the AMT system. However, the final market capture percentage will depend on factors related to the system capacity and operations, including the frequency of service, hours of operation, and the travel time and cost relative to other travel options. 3 Market Data Sources Data Sources The following data sources were used for this analysis. This information was used estimate both the total market for the AMT system and the market capture percentages for tourists and non-tourists. 1998 Bee Line Monorail Study The Bee Line Monorail Study evaluated the feasibility of implementing a 55-mile transportation system utilizing magnetic levitation technology that would run within the existing Bee Line Expressway (SR 528) right-of-way between International Drive in Orlando and Port Canaveral in Brevard County. The system’s five stations proposed linkages to Orlando International Airport (OIA); public mass transit via LYNX and the Florida High Speed Rail Program; and other major activity centers. The Beeline Study utilized a COMPASS-R modeling platform and forecasted ridership of more than 7 million trips by 2003; this forecast assumed an annual growth rate of approximately eight percent for tourist traffic based on the observed growth in tourism during the 1990’s. The Bee Line Monorail Study was used as a source document to inform the ridership estimates because it evaluated a similar type of technology and a portion of the Project’s Study Area for the Bee Line Study overlaps with the proposed AMT alignment. OIA Rail Connector Study The purpose of the 2005 Orlando International Airport Rail Connector Study (OIARCS) was to analyze the best east-west rail transportation connection between the airport and the Orange County Convention Center, where it would then connect with the then-planned North-South Light Rail Transit (LRT) system. The study assumed the existence of a NorthSouth LRT system of 34 stations stretching between Altamonte Springs and Sea World. It was calculated from the OIARCS that of the trips to the International Drive area, 16 percent of those would be captured by premium transit each day. Data presented in the OIARCS report from previous airport passenger surveys was extracted for use in this analysis. The extracted data included the mix of visitor versus resident passengers at OIA as well as access mode to the airport. The OIA Rail Connector Study was used as a source document to inform the ridership estimates because it also evaluated a rail connection with the same terminal stations as the proposed AMT system. 4 Market Data Sources Central Florida Regional Planning Model The Central Florida Regional Planning Model (CFRPM) was developed for FDOT District Five and is the most current travel demand forecasting model for the Orlando metropolitan area. The model has been validated to Year 2005 conditions and includes a 2035 Cost Feasible scenario as well as multiple interim year scenarios. The CFRPM estimates an annual growth rate of non-tourist trips of about 2.5 percent between 2005 and 2015 and about 1.9 percent between 2005 and 2035. The CFRPM was an important source in developing the ridership estimates because it provides a benchmark for the travel patterns of the greater region and it includes important information regarding trip interactions between the planned SunRail stations and the system termini at OIA and International Drive. OIA Passenger Survey The 2009 Orlando International Airport (OIA) Passenger Survey was completed as a part of the 2002-2022 Master Plan Update and is comprised of responses from 500 departing passengers who completed the survey during February 2009. Information obtained from the passenger survey that was used to support this ridership estimation effort includes: traveler destinations within the Orlando region (17.66% to I Drive District); mode of travel; average party size; and average length of stay. The OIA Passenger Survey is an important data source because it provides insight into the behavior patterns of travelers to and from the region, and tourist capture is anticipated to be a significant source of ridership for the proposed AMT system. OIA Enplanement Information Orlando International Airport provided information regarding their historic and projected annual enplanements; this documentation is included in the Appendix. Total enplanements for the year 2010 were approximately 16.6 million. The annual growth rate exhibited by the historical enplanements (1998 to 2010) is 1.6 percent, while future annual growth in enplanements is estimated between 3.6 and 4.0 percent. For the year 2035, forecasted enplanements are approximately 40.3 million. The annual enplanement figures are an important source to inform development of the ridership estimates because the number and growth patterns of the enplanements are key inputs in calculating the potential tourist demand along the system alignment. 5 Market Data Sources Data from the I Drive District and Visit Orlando The International Drive (“I Drive”) District was created in 1992 as a special taxing district formed under a public-private initiative with Orange County and the City of Orlando. The District is comprised of 10,387 parcels of land that encompass more than 5,370 acres. The District is regulated by a Governing Board and an appointed Advisory Board, and is charged with the responsibility of several major initiatives that contribute to the current and future economic development for the International Drive Resort Area. Information obtained from the International Drive website and staff that was used to support this ridership estimation effort includes: Total overnight visitation : 5.3 Million visitors per year (I Drive) Total I Drive District employment :Approximately 32,000 workers Total hotel rooms: 40,620, with an average occupancy of 69 percent during FY 2011 OCCC attendance: Over 1.3 million people annually at approximately 300 events per year OCCC employment: 500 regular full-time employees plus up to 500 additional workers for events Overnight domestic visitors: 64% (2010)(Visit Orlando) Historical growth rate for visitors (1992-2000): 5.89% (Visit Orlando) Historical growth rate for visitors (2000-2010): 1.70% (Visit Orlando) Average Party Size: 2.58 persons (Visit Orlando) Average Length of Stay: 4.63 nights (Visit Orlando) The information received relating to the I-Drive District and Visit Orlando is important because it also provides insight into the behavior patterns of travelers to and from the region. As noted previously, tourist capture is anticipated to be a significant source of ridership for the proposed AMT system. Florida Mall Employment and Transit Usage Florida Mall is one of the premier Central Florida shopping centers, featuring 1.9 million square feet of shopping. Based on data from the Mall’s operators, there are currently more than 4600 employees working at the Florida Mall, of whom approximately 20 percent take the bus to and from work. The proposed AMT system could benefit Mall employees by providing an additional transportation option for their daily commute. In addition to Mall employees, up to 15 million customers visit the mall annually. The Florida Mall employment and visitor information is an important data source in developing the ridership estimates because the Mall is a major employment center and attraction in the study area, and a stop is proposed at this location. 6 Market Data Sources OCCC Client Survey In October 2011, the Orange County Convention Center surveyed its convention clients about its travel behaviors and preferences. The results of this survey indicated if there were a train connecting OIA to OCCC, approximately 40 percent of attendees would use it. The results of the survey are included in the Appendix. This data is significant because it helps inform the market capture percentages for tourist trips between the Airport and the I Drive District. High Speed Rail Ridership Forecasts Data regarding the High Speed Rail (HSR) ridership forecasts is not currently publicly available, as the existing draft is being finalized in response to FRA and FDOT comments. The HSR ridership forecasts were sought to inform the AMT system ridership estimates because the two systems have similar operating speeds and both provided a direct connection between OIA and the I Drive District. The HSR ridership analysis provides the most current estimate of travel patterns between OIA and the I Drive District. As part of the refinement of ridership forecasts for the AMT system, it is recommended that the HSR analysis assumptions and model files be reviewed when this information becomes publicly available. 7 Market Data Sources Growth Rate Summary Table 1 presents a summary of growth rates for tourists and non-tourists based on the data sources previously discussed. The growth rate assumptions – particularly for tourist traffic – are a key determinant of the potential market for the AMT system. Tourism levels during the 2000’s were flat, projections for future tourism growth are between 3 and 4 percent per year. This growth is still less than the 8 percent annual growth that occurred during the 1990’s. Table 1 Summary of Historical and Forecasted Growth Rates Historical / Observed Data Data Source Data Range Annual Growth Market Bee Line Monorail Study 1992 - 1998 8% Tourists OIA Enplanement Data 1998 - 2010 1.60% Tourists Visit Orlando 1992 - 2000 2000 - 2010 5.9% 1.7% Tourists Tourists Forecast Range Annual Growth Market Central Florida Regional Planning Model (CFRPM) 2005 - 2035 1.9% to 2.5% Non-Tourists OIA Enplanement Data 2010 - 2036 3.6% to 4.0% Tourists Data Forecasts Data Source 8 Market Data Sources 3 Potential Transportation Market The potential market was evaluated based on the following trip patterns that would serve both tourists and non-tourists: 1. 2. 3. OIA to/from I Drive District Connecting Trips to/from SunRail Florida Mall to/from Other Stations Each component is discussed separately. The potential market is defined as all trips with origins and destinations that could be served by the AMT system. The market capture percentages and ridership estimates are then developed after accounting for the attractiveness of the system relative to other modes. 1. OIA to/from I Drive District The primary market for the AMT system is associated with trips between OIA and the I Drive District; this district includes the Orange County Convention Center, SeaWorld, and the various attractions and hotels along the International Drive corridor. Three methods were used to estimate the size of this market. The first two methods estimated the tourist market for 2010 based on the following existing data: OIA Enplanements and Passenger Survey – The total tourist market was estimated using the number of 2010 annual enplanements and the results of the passenger survey indicating the percentage of OIA passengers originating from the I Drive/Universal / Sea World district. I Drive Occupancy/Visit Orlando – The total tourist market was estimated using the number of I Drive hotel rooms, average occupancy rate, and an assumption of the percentage of overnight visitors coming from the airport. Visit Orlando data was used for the average party size and average length of stay. Non-tourists (who would not use the airport or hotels) were then estimated separately as a percentage of the total market. Based upon origin-destination data and the split between tourist trips and non-tourist trips from the Central Florida Regional Planning Model 9 Potential Transportation Market (CFRPM), it was assumed that approximately 10.5 percent of the total market for trips between OIA and the I Drive district were non-tourists, with tourists making up the remaining 89.5 percent. The 2010 tourist market was then factored up to opening year 2014 conditions based on forecasted growth in enplanements between 2000 and 2015 (3.98 percent per year). The non-tourist market was then factored up to opening year 2014 conditions using an annual rate of 2.48 percent, consistent with the region wide annual travel growth projected by the CFRPM. The third method estimated both the tourist and non-tourist markets by analyzing the origins and destinations in the CFRPM 2005 total person trip tables. The person trip tables from the model represent the number of trips on an average weekday; these daily weekday trips were factored to annual values amount based on the following assumptions: 90 percent of all work trips occurred from Monday to Friday (i.e., 18 percent of weekly work traffic occurred on an average weekday). This assumption resulted in multiplying the daily work trips by 289 to estimate annual trips. Non-work non-tourist trips occurred equally over the week, so the daily trips were multiplied by 365 to estimate annual trips. 50 percent of the tourist trips occurred during the weekdays and 50 during the weekends (i.e., each weekday represents 10 percent of the weekly tourist demand). The weekday daily trips were therefore multiplied by 520 to calculate the annual number of tourist trips. The non-tourist trips were grown to 2010 conditions based on actual growth in enplanements and Visit Orlando visitor data for this period (1.32 percent per year). The resulting 2010 tourist trips were then grown to 2014 conditions using the OIA growth rate of 3.98 percent described earlier. The non-tourist trips were grown to 2014 conditions based on the annual CFRPM growth rate of 2.48 percent described earlier. Table 2 summarizes the estimates for the potential market for trips between OIA and the I Drive District using the three methods described above; the estimate is provided for the opening year of 2014, a horizon year of 2035 and an interim year of 2025. These calculations produce a Year 2014 tourist market between 6.8 and 10.4 million trips per year. These values were then used as the starting point for calculating non-tourist trips and the future year market estimates. Table 2 Potential Market – OIA to/from I Drive District (Trips per Year) Opening Year (2014) Analysis Method OIA Enplanements and Passenger Survey I Drive Hotel Occupancy/Visit Orlando Central FL Regional Planning Model Average Tourist Trips 6,864,500 9,360,700 6,298,400 7,507,900 10 Non-Tourist Trips 756,800 1,032,100 512,700 767,200 Potential Transportation Market Total Trips 7,621,300 10,392,800 6,811,100 8,275,100 Interim Year (2025) Analysis Method OIA Enplanements and Passenger Survey I Drive Hotel Occupancy/Visit Orlando Central FL Regional Planning Model Average Tourist Trips 10,085,600 13,753,100 9,253,900 11,030,900 Non-Tourist Trips 912,000 1,243,700 600,800 918,800 Total Trips 10,997,600 14,996,800 9,854,700 11,949,700 Horizon Year (2035) Analysis Method OIA Enplanements and Passenger Survey I Drive Hotel Occupancy/Visit Orlando Central FL Regional Planning Model Average Tourist Trips 14,222,100 19,393,800 13,049,300 15,555,000 Non-Tourist Trips 1,102,700 1,503,700 726,400 1,110,900 Total Trips 15,324,800 20,897,500 13,775,700 16,665,000 Note: OIA data for trips to and from the I Drive District also include trips to Universal Studios and Sea World. To develop the potential market for the 2025 and 2035 future years, different growth rates were assumed for tourist travel versus non-tourist travel. An annual growth rate of 3.7 percent is assumed for tourists, consistent with OIA’s forecasted growth in enplanements. An annual growth rate of 1.9 percent is assumed for non-tourists, consistent with the regionwide annual travel growth projected by the CFRPM. 2. Connecting Trips to/from SunRail Another significant potential market for the AMT system consists of transfer trips to and from the SunRail system. This transfer would occur at the Sand Lake Road station. With the addition of an east-west transit connection through the AMT system, SunRail users would have direct access to OIA, FL Mall, and the I Drive District, with indirect access to Universal Studios and Sea World. For purposes of estimating the additional market, the following trips were considered: SunRail stations to OIA (includes reverse trip) SunRail stations to I Drive District including Universal Studios and Sea World (includes reverse trip) SunRail stations to Florida Mall (includes reverse trip) Table 3 summarizes the results of this market analysis for the years 2014, 2025 and 2035. The potential market for the SunRail connecting trips was developed using the total person trip table from the year 2005 CFRPM and accounts for all trips within a 1 mile radius of a SunRail station to or from one of the three destinations listed above. The year 2005 trip estimates were grown to year 2014, 2025 and 2035 conditions using the same growth rates as described in the previous section. 11 Potential Transportation Market Table 3 Potential Market – Connecting Trips to/from SunRail (Trips per Year) Opening Year (2014) (1) To / From OIA To/From I Drive District To / From Florida Mall 2014 Total Tourist Trips 1,348,900 1,852,700 N/A (2) 3,201,600 Non-Tourist Trips 1,307,300 14,858,200 1,916,900 18,082,400 Total Trips 2,656,200 16,710,900 1,916,900 21,284,000 Tourist Trips 2,267,800 3,130,400 N/A (2) 5,398,200 Non-Tourist Trips 2,057,700 20,452,500 3,115,600 25,625,800 Total Trips 4,325,500 23,582,900 3,115,600 31,024,000 Tourist Trips 3,198,000 4,414,300 N/A (2) 7,612,300 Non-Tourist Trips 2,487,800 24,727,400 3,766,900 30,982,100 Total Trips 5,685,800 29,141,700 3,766,900 38,594,400 Interim Year (2025) To / From OIA To/From I Drive District To / From Florida Mall 2025 Total Horizon Year (2035) To / From OIA To / From I Drive District To / From Florida Mall 2035 Total Notes: (1) (2) For the Year 2014, only the 11 Phase 1 SunRail stations from Sand Lake Road north to Debary are included. For the years 2025 and 2035, all 16 stations are assumed. The Florida Mall is not classified in the CFRPM as a tourist destination; therefore, a separate estimate was not available. These estimates demonstrate the importance of the SunRail connection in expanding the potential market for the AMT system. This connection is particularly significant because of the regional population and employment centers within 1 mile of the SunRail stops. As previously discussed, however, the potential market estimates reflect the total demand for trips between these points, regardless of travel mode. The final ridership levels will depend on the operating characteristics of both SunRail and the AMT system, as well as the time and cost competitiveness relative to other options such as private automobile and LYNX bus service. As part of the system, AMT has proposed a free reciprocal transfer system between SunRail and LYNX; the details of this system will be developed in subsequent project phases. 3. Florida Mall to/from Other Stations A secondary potential market for trips along the AMT system consists of trips to and from Florida Mall. As proposed, the system will include a stop along Sand Lake Road serving the mall and other regional destinations. The market shown is based on the total person trip table from the 2005 CFRPM. Table 4 summarizes the estimates for the potential market for these trips; the estimate is provided for the opening year of 2014, a horizon year of 2035 and an interim year of 2025. 12 Potential Transportation Market Table 4 Potential Market – Florida Mall to/from Other Stations (Trips per Year) Opening Year (2014) OIA to/from FL Mall I Drive District to/from FL Mall 2014 Total Tourist Trips 311,000 460,400 771,400 Non-Tourist Trips 202,500 2,001,000 2,203,500 Total Trips 513,500 2,461,400 2,974,900 Tourist Trips 457,000 676,400 1,133,400 Non-Tourist Trips 237,300 2,345,500 2,582,800 Total Trips 694,300 3,021,700 3,716,000 Tourist Trips 644,400 953,900 1,598,300 Non-Tourist Trips 286,900 2,835,400 3,122,300 Total Trips 931,300 3,789,300 4,720,600 Interim Year (2025) OIA to/from FL Mall I Drive District to/from FL Mall 2025 Total Horizon Year (2035) OIA to/from FL Mall I Drive District to/from FL Mall 2035 Total The estimates for the potential market are based on trip origin-destination patterns from the Central Florida Regional Planning Model. As reflected in the results, the mall serves as a significant tourist destination but also has a non-tourist transportation market due to its employment levels. 4. Total Market Table 5 summarizes the total potential market for the AMT system based on the components described in the previous sections. The largest market component by far consists of connecting trips to and from SunRail; this is because of the regional population and employment centers that will be served by the system. However, this market poses the most significant challenge for ridership, as many of those within this market are nontourists who own private automobiles. In comparison, the market components associated with OIA/I Drive District contain a larger tourist population that is less likely to have a personal automobile. 13 Potential Transportation Market Table 5 Total Market Summary Potential Market (Trips per Year) Year OIA to/from I Drive District Opening Year (2014) 8,275,100 (1) Interim Year (2025) 11,949,700 (1) Horizon Year (2035) 16,666,000 (1) Percentage of Total Market Year Opening Year (2014) Interim Year (2025) Horizon Year (2035) Notes: (1) OIA to/from I Drive District 25% 26% 28% Connecting Trips to/from SunRail 21,284,000 31,024,000 38,594,400 Florida Mall to Other Stations 2,974,900 3,716,000 4,720,600 Total Market Connecting Trips to/from SunRail 65% 66% 64% Florida Mall to Other Stations 9% 8% 8% Total Market 32,534,000 46,689,700 59,981,000 100% 100% 100% Average of all data sources. Table 6 shows the breakdown of the total market between tourist and non-tourists for each analysis year. This breakdown is also shown in Figure 2. The non-tourist (local) market comprises over 80% of the total potential market for the AMT system. This is due to the market component associated with transfers to and from SunRail. The size of the nontourist market represents a significant long-term growth opportunity the AMT system. As the regional transit system matures, the AMT system can help to increase SunRail ridership, and vice versa. Table 6 Total Market – Tourist versus Non-Tourist Trips (per Year) Potential Market (Trips per Year) Year Tourist Trips Opening Year (2014) 3,201,600 Interim Year (2025) 5,398,200 Horizon Year (2035) 7,612,300 Non-Tourist Trips 18,082,400 25,625,800 30,982,100 Total Trips 21,284,000 31,024,000 38,594,400 Percentage of Total Market Year Opening Year (2014) Interim Year (2025) Horizon Year (2035) Non-Tourist Trips 85% 83% 80% Total Trips 100% 100% 100% Tourist Trips 15% 17% 20% An additional market component not quantified in this analysis consists of transfers between the LYNX system (separate from SunRail) and the AMT system. As overall ridership for the LYNX system increases, there is opportunity for ridership growth through connections to LYNX bus routes. This transfer is most likely to occur at the Florida Mall, which serves as a LYNX transfer point. The Florida Mall also provides access to the US 441 corridor, which contains the highest ridership routes within the LYNX system. LYNX has also identified the US 441 corridor in its Vision 2030 plan as a priority corridor for future premium transit service. 14 Potential Transportation Market 4 Market Capture and Ridership Estimates A range of estimates was produced for the overall market capture associated with the AMT system. These market capture percentages will then be applied to the total market identified previously in order to develop preliminary ridership estimates. As previously mentioned the final ridership forecasts will be developed in subsequent project phases and will account for factors related to system operations, travel time and cost relative to other modes. Table 7 summarizes the available data associated with market capture rates for the AMT system. These previous analyses establish data points that were then used to establish a range of market capture percentages. It is important to note that since the AMT system serves multiple markets (tourists and non-tourists) and multiple travel routes, the market capture rates vary for each of these components. Table 7 Market Capture Data Summary Data Source Bee Line Monorail Study Bee Line Monorail Study OIA Rail Connector Study Journey to Work data (Orlando region) OCCC Client Survey Forecast Year 2010 2010 2025 2009 2011 Market Tourist Non-Tourist Non-Tourist and Tourist Work - Non-Tourist Tourist (Business) Capture Rate 45.3% 20.6% 16.0% 1.85% 40% Additional data regarding travel modes to and from OIA was obtained from the following sources:. OIA Passenger Survey (February 2009) 15 Market Capture and Ridership Estimates High Speed Rail Access Survey (August 2002) – referenced in OIA Rail Connector Study Table 8 summarizes the access mode distribution from the two data sources. Using these data as reference values, the preliminary market capture percentages shown in Table 9 are assumed for analysis purposes. Table 8 Market Capture Data Summary Mode Share Percentage FDOT Access Survey OIA Passenger Survey (August 2002) (February 2009) 0% 0% 0% 0% 14% 13.6% 53% 50.4% 5% 9.2% 2% 4.7% 26% 21.7% 0% 0.3% Non-resident, Both tourist and Non-business Non-tourist Access Mode Auto-Park Terminal Auto-Park Remote Auto-Drop Off Rental Car Taxi Hotel Shuttle Commercial Bus Local Bus Trip Type Values in bold are components of the non-private auto mode share. For both surveys, the non-private auto mode share equals 86 percent. Table 9 Preliminary Market Capture Estimates Market Component Tourists Non-Tourists OIA to/from I Drive District 35% to 45% 15% to 20% Connecting Trips to/from SunRail 2% to 3% 1% to 2% Florida Mall to/from Other Stations 15% to 25% 1% to 2% The largest market capture percentage is projected for the market component consisting of trips between OIA and the I Drive District. Both surveys cited in Table 6 show that 86 percent of travelers to and from OIA use modes other than auto drop off, suggesting the potential for a large capture percentage. Based on cost and travel time considerations, the AMT system is expected to be an attractive option relative to other available options such as rental car and taxi. This is because the system as proposed will operate in a gradeseparated alignment, which will decrease its travel time and increase its reliability (due to no conflicts with automobile traffic). However, for longer regional trips accessing the system via SunRail, the system is expected to be less attractive as a travel option. This is due to the availability of the private automobile and LYNX bus service as alternate travel options. A key component in achieving the estimated market capture will be the development of an effective pricing and marketing strategy for the system. These elements are currently under development but are outside the scope of this analysis effort. This analysis presents a conservative estimate of market share percentages, in that they are projected to remain constant between 2014 and 2035. Based on the success of the marketing strategy for the system, it is likely that market share percentages will increase over time. Increases in market share percentages can also result from increases in ridership and market share for the LYNX and SunRail systems. 16 Market Capture and Ridership Estimates Several additional factors will affect the capture rates for the market components shown. The more significant factors are discussed below. Transit circulator system for I Drive District – The presence of a circulator system within the I Drive District is critical for achieving any significant market capture for the area, particularly for tourist trips. This is because the hotel destinations within the area are spread out and cannot all be served by the proposed AMT system stops. Currently, the I Ride trolley serves the district and provides highfrequency bus service. Several proposals for premium transit service have been considered for the I Drive District that would use the Canadian Court Intermodal Center as a transportation hub. As part of the AMT system implementation, it is assumed that a premium transit system will be implemented concurrently within the District. TOD for proposed stations – With the completion of Transit Oriented Development around the SunRail stations, the potential market for the AMT system increases. The trips associated with this development are also more likely to occur by transit (and the AMT system) when compared to the region as a whole. Orange County has developed a station area plan for the Sand Lake Road station, where the transfer between the AMT system and SunRail is proposed to occur. Similar redevelopment could occur for stations such as Florida Mall, thereby increasing the number of residents and employees that would be served (and reasonably captured) by the AMT system. Marketing strategy – For tourist trips in particular, the opportunity exists to increase market capture through marketing the AMT system travel option to convention groups and hotel operators. Through outreach to these groups, the system can be presented as part of a seamless journey from OIA to the I Drive District. This would allow the system to be viewed as a preferred travel option, thereby increasing market share. Integration with SunRail and LYNX systems – Similar to the marketing strategies for tourists, the presentation of the AMT system as part of a single regional mobility system will affect the overall market capture for non-tourist trips. To the extent that the AMT system, LYNX buses and SunRail commuter rail are integrated to provide a seamless traveler experience, the ridership for all three systems will increase. As a step in this direction, AMT has proposed a reciprocal free transfer system for LYNX and SunRail passengers. Fare structure and operating characteristics – This analysis does not address the effects of pricing and service frequency on the market capture and ridership estimates. Future investment grade analyses will evaluate the sensitivity of ridership estimates to price and travel time. 17 Market Capture and Ridership Estimates Table 10 summarizes the overall ridership estimations; each year has a ridership range (low to high), rather than a single value. The ridership estimations reflect the overall market and market capture percentages presented in the previous sections. The ridership estimations are also presented in Figure 3. For the 2014 opening year, annual ridership estimates are between 3.1 million and 4.1 million trips per year. Ridership is estimated to approximately double by the year 2035, with annual ridership estimates between 6.3 million and 8.4 million trips per year. Tourists are expected to comprise the majority of the system ridership, even though the non-tourist market is significantly larger. This is due to the higher market capture rate expected for trips between OIA and the I Drive District. Table 10 Preliminary Ridership Estimates (Trips per Year) Opening Year (2014) Market Capture (Low) Capture (High) OIA to/from I Drive District Connecting Trips to/from SunRail Florida Mall to/from Other Stations Tourists Tourists Tourists Non-tourists Non-tourists Non-tourists Overall 7,507,900 767,200 3,201,600 18,082,400 771,400 2,203,500 32,534,000 35% 15% 2% 1% 15% 1% 9.6% 45% 20% 3% 1.5% 25% 1.5% 12.7% Ridership (Low) 2,627,765 115,080 64,032 180,824 115,710 22,035 3,125,400 Ridership (High) 3,378,555 153,440 96,048 271,236 192,850 33,053 4,125,200 Interim Year (2025) Market OIA to/from I Drive District Connecting Trips to/from SunRail Florida Mall to/from Other Stations Tourists Tourists Tourists Non-tourists Non-tourists Non-tourists Overall 11,030,900 918,800 5,398,200 25,265,800 1,133,400 2,582,800 46,689,900 Capture (Low) 35% 15% 2% 1% 15% 1% 9.8% Capture (High) 45% 20% 3% 1.5% 25% 1.5% 12.9% Ridership (Low) 3,860,815 137,820 107,964 256,258 170,010 25,828 4,558,700 Ridership (High) 4,963,905 183,760 161,946 384,387 283,350 38,742 6,016,100 Horizon Year (2035) Market OIA to/from I Drive District Connecting Trips to/from SunRail Florida Mall to/from Other Stations Tourists Tourists Tourists Non-tourists Non-tourists Non-tourists Overall 15,555,100 1,110,900 7,612,300 30,982,100 1,598,300 3,122,300 59,981,000 Capture (Low) 35% 15% 2% 1% 15% 1% 10.58% Capture (High) 45% 20% 3% 1.5% 25% 2% 13.94% Ridership (Low) 5,444,285 166,635 152,246 309,821 239,745 31,223 6,344,000 Ridership (High) 6,999,795 222,180 228,369 464,732 399,575 46,835 8,361,500 18 Market Capture and Ridership Estimates 5 Next Steps Subsequent studies may be commissioned to address the following issues related to implementation of the AMT system: Engineering feasibility analysis – The ridership estimation analysis does not address the engineering design feasibility of the proposed alignment. Separate studies are currently underway by FDOT to address these issues; the FDOT efforts are expected to be complete by the end of 2011. AMT is currently coordinating with government agencies and property owners regarding the assumed station locations. Financial analysis – This ridership demand analysis is not intended to serve as an investment grade study to support financial decisions about the system. An investment grade study would present final ridership forecasts and include a sensitivity analysis addressing the effects of pricing and service frequency. The ridership analysis will also account for the travel time differences relative to other travel options such as rental car, taxi and bus. 19 Next Steps Bee Line Mono Rail Study (1998) Re‐Typed Raw COMPASS‐R from BeeLine Appendix Numbers Calculated from Raw Data Air Connect Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total 1998 2,174,000 153,000 2,353,000 725,000 5,405,000 2003 2,848,000 188,000 3,657,000 916,000 7,609,000 2004 3,001,000 195,000 3,973,000 951,000 8,120,000 2006 3,329,000 211,000 4,687,000 1,025,000 9,252,000 2008 3,695,000 229,000 5,529,000 1,104,000 10,557,000 2010 4,101,000 247,000 6,524,000 1,190,000 12,062,000 2015 5,320,000 301,000 9,863,000 1,435,000 16,919,000 2020 6,902,000 367,000 14,911,000 1,731,000 23,911,000 2022 7,659,000 397,000 17,591,000 1,866,000 27,513,000 Annual98_04 1998 177,000 37,000 4,268,000 88,000 4,570,000 2003 232,000 46,000 6,880,000 111,000 7,269,000 2004 245,000 48,000 7,474,000 115,000 7,882,000 2006 271,000 52,000 8,817,000 124,000 9,264,000 2008 301,000 56,000 10,403,000 134,000 10,894,000 2010 334,000 61,000 12,274,000 145,000 12,814,000 2015 434,000 74,000 18,554,000 174,000 19,236,000 2020 563,000 90,000 28,051,000 210,000 28,914,000 2022 625,000 97,000 33,093,000 227,000 34,042,000 Annual98_04 1998 2,351,000 190,000 6,621,000 813,000 9,975,000 2003 3,080,000 234,000 10,537,000 1,027,000 14,878,000 2004 3,246,000 243,000 11,447,000 1,066,000 16,002,000 2006 3,600,000 263,000 13,504,000 1,149,000 18,516,000 2008 3,996,000 285,000 15,932,000 1,238,000 21,451,000 2010 4,435,000 308,000 18,798,000 1,335,000 24,876,000 2015 5,754,000 375,000 28,417,000 1,609,000 36,155,000 2020 7,465,000 457,000 42,962,000 1,941,000 52,825,000 2022 8,284,000 494,000 50,684,000 2,093,000 61,555,000 Annual98_04 1998 0 0 0 0 0 2003 232,357 8,305 1,346,788 598,232 2,185,682 2004 244,818 8,639 1,463,002 621,080 2,337,539 2006 271,637 9,343 1,725,832 669,345 2,676,157 2008 301,459 10,106 2,036,155 721,419 3,069,139 2010 334,577 10,932 2,402,345 777,480 3,525,334 2015 434,016 13,301 3,631,659 937,577 5,016,553 2020 563,055 16,185 5,490,287 1,130,599 7,200,126 2022 624,828 17,505 6,477,163 1,218,450 8,337,946 1998 0 0 0 0 0 2003 23,481 4,836 3,422,558 67,197 3,518,072 2004 24,740 5,033 3,717,891 69,764 3,817,428 2006 27,450 5,443 4,385,812 75,185 4,493,890 2008 30,464 5,888 5,174,429 81,034 5,291,815 2010 33,810 6,369 6,105,020 87,332 6,232,531 2015 43,859 7,749 9,229,044 105,315 9,385,967 2020 58,699 9,429 13,952,329 126,996 14,147,453 2022 63,142 10,199 16,460,250 136,864 16,670,455 1998 0 0 0 0 0 2003 255,838 13,141 4,769,346 665,429 5,703,754 2004 269,558 13,672 5,180,893 690,844 6,154,967 2006 299,087 14,786 6,111,644 744,530 7,170,047 2008 331,923 15,994 7,210,584 802,453 8,360,954 2010 368,387 17,301 8,507,365 864,812 9,757,865 2015 477,875 21,050 12,860,703 1,042,892 14,402,520 2020 621,754 25,614 19,442,616 1,257,595 21,347,579 2022 687,970 27,704 22,937,413 1,355,314 25,008,401 (Table 3.4.5) 1998 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2003 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 28.7% 2004 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 28.8% 2006 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 28.9% 2008 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 29.1% 2010 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 29.2% 2015 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 29.7% 2020 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 30.1% 2022 8.2% 4.4% 36.8% 65.3% 30.3% 1998 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2003 10.1% 10.5% 49.7% 60.5% 48.4% 2004 10.1% 10.5% 49.7% 60.7% 48.4% 2006 10.1% 10.5% 49.7% 60.6% 48.5% 2008 10.1% 10.5% 49.7% 60.5% 48.6% 2010 10.1% 10.4% 49.7% 60.2% 48.6% 2015 10.1% 10.5% 49.7% 60.5% 48.8% 2020 10.4% 10.5% 49.7% 60.5% 48.9% 2022 10.1% 10.5% 49.7% 60.3% 49.0% 1998 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2003 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 38.3% 2004 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 38.5% 2006 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 38.7% 2008 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 39.0% 2010 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 39.2% 2015 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 39.8% 2020 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 40.4% 2022 8.3% 5.6% 45.3% 64.8% 40.6% 21.5% 21.4% 21.1% 20.8% 20.6% 19.9% 19.3% 19.1% Annual06_22 Annual98_10 5.52% 5.35% 5.43% 4.13% 4.03% 4.07% 9.12% 8.62% 8.87% 4.63% 3.82% 4.22% 7.02% 7.05% 6.92% Local Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Annual06_22 Annual98_10 5.57% 5.36% 5.43% 4.43% 3.97% 4.25% 9.79% 8.62% 9.20% 4.56% 3.85% 4.25% 9.51% 8.47% 8.97% Total Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Annual06_22 Annual98_10 5.52% 5.35% 5.43% 4.19% 4.02% 4.11% 9.55% 8.62% 9.09% 4.62% 3.82% 4.22% 8.20% 7.80% 7.91% Air Connect Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Local Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Total Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Air Connect Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Local Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Total Trips Business Commuter Tourist Other Total Non Tourist Commuter Other NonTourist Total Tourist Market 2010 308,000 5,770,000 18,798,000 24,568,000 Tran2010 17,301 1,233,199 8,507,365 9,740,564 % Share 5.6% 21.4% 45.3% 39.6% Total Non‐Tourist 6,078,000 1,250,500 20.6% I-Drive District and Visit Orlando millions Metro Orlando Visitor Volume 60 International Domestic 50 2.6 40 3.7 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.3 2.3 3.7 3.3 3.1 30 20 39.8 37.7 2000 2001 40.6 42.7 45.2 2002 2003 2004 46.7 45.1 45.9 45.5 43.3 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 47.8 10 0 2010 Sources: D.K. Shifflet & Associates, Office of Travel & Tourism Industries Overnight Domestic Visitors Over night visitors account for nearly two-thirds (64%) of all domestic visitors. Leisure travelers represent 83% of domestic overnight visitors. 35.0 Overnight Transient Business Overnight Conv-Group Meeting Overnight Leisure 30.0 1.5 1.6 1.7 4.0 3.8 3.5 1.4 3.2 22.8 23.6 22.7 23.6 23.7 22.9 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1.7 millions 25.0 20.0 1.6 4.1 1.4 3.6 1.5 1.6 3.5 3.5 1.7 3.6 3.8 1.4 3.2 15.0 10.0 19.0 18.6 20.1 2000 2001 2002 20.6 2003 25.8 5.0 0.0 2010 Source: D.K. Shifflet & Associates METRO ORLANDO MONTHLY OCCUPANCY RATE AREA METRO ORLANDO 2010 2011 JAN 61.7% 62.1% FEB 65.1% 73.2% MAR 73.3% 80.6% APR 69.0% 76.4% MAY 58.4% 63.5% JUN 66.3% 68.3% JUL 73.5% 77.2% AUG 58.7% 60.3% SEP 50.3% 56.4% OCT 62.3% 0.0% NOV 59.0% 0.0% DEC 65.3% 0.0% Orlando North 2010 2011 49.1% 54.9% 61.8% 69.3% 61.0% 71.1% 52.5% 57.1% 45.8% 49.3% 46.7% 49.9% 48.3% 51.6% 41.2% 43.2% 41.3% 40.6% 48.5% 0.0% 49.1% 0.0% 50.9% 0.0% Orlando Central 2010 2011 53.3% 62.3% 64.6% 77.0% 67.6% 80.2% 60.7% 71.3% 54.5% 57.7% 54.8% 62.2% 56.7% 62.1% 56.6% 55.5% 52.3% 54.0% 62.7% 0.0% 61.4% 0.0% 58.8% 0.0% International Drive 2010 2011 62.7% 63.0% 62.6% 72.7% 72.4% 80.2% 71.8% 79.7% 59.8% 65.4% 70.4% 71.8% 76.9% 80.9% 61.2% 62.1% 52.9% 60.8% 68.0% 0.0% 60.8% 0.0% 66.7% 0.0% Kissimmee East 2010 2011 51.4% 53.4% 58.2% 64.6% 65.5% 73.0% 57.5% 67.4% 47.8% 55.2% 58.0% 59.7% 66.7% 72.9% 51.5% 50.8% 38.9% 45.3% 50.4% 0.0% 45.3% 0.0% 57.7% 0.0% Kissimmee West 2010 2011 38.9% 39.1% 46.4% 52.2% 60.1% 65.6% 55.0% 62.6% 41.6% 43.1% 48.4% 50.4% 61.5% 67.4% 42.7% 44.8% 28.4% 32.7% 38.5% 0.0% 35.9% 0.0% 50.5% 0.0% Orlando South 2010 2011 71.9% 69.0% 77.0% 78.9% 77.6% 82.8% 74.4% 78.1% 62.5% 67.1% 65.0% 70.4% 69.1% 72.4% 59.8% 61.6% 55.0% 59.2% 66.4% 0.0% 65.3% 0.0% 66.8% 0.0% Lake Buena Vista 2010 2011 72.9% 69.9% 73.2% 80.7% 84.1% 89.5% 78.2% 85.0% 68.3% 73.4% 77.4% 77.6% 87.0% 88.5% 67.6% 70.6% 57.4% 64.7% 68.4% 0.0% 68.2% 0.0% 75.2% 0.0% Source: Copyright 2011 Smith Travel Research, All Rights Reserved 1 Visit Orlando Market Research and Insights Department METRO ORLANDO YEAR-TO-DATE OCCUPANCY RATE AREA METRO ORLANDO 2010 2011 JAN 61.7% 62.1% FEB 63.3% 67.3% MAR 66.8% 71.8% APR 67.3% 73.0% MAY 65.5% 71.0% JUN 65.6% 70.5% JUL 66.7% 71.5% AUG 65.7% 70.1% SEP 64.0% 68.6% OCT 63.4% 0.0% NOV 63.0% 0.0% DEC* 63.2% 0.0% Orlando North 2010 2011 49.1% 54.9% 55.1% 61.7% 57.1% 64.5% 56.0% 62.6% 53.9% 60.0% 52.7% 58.3% 52.1% 57.3% 50.7% 55.6% 49.6% 53.9% 49.6% 0.0% 49.5% 0.0% 49.7% 0.0% Orlando Central 2010 2011 53.3% 62.3% 58.6% 69.2% 61.7% 72.9% 61.4% 72.5% 60.0% 68.4% 58.8% 67.1% 58.5% 66.3% 58.2% 64.9% 57.6% 63.7% 58.4% 0.0% 58.7% 0.0% 58.7% 0.0% International Drive 2010 2011 62.7% 63.0% 62.6% 67.6% 66.0% 71.9% 67.5% 73.9% 65.9% 72.2% 66.6% 72.1% 68.1% 73.4% 67.2% 72.0% 65.6% 70.7% 65.9% 0.0% 65.4% 0.0% 65.6% 0.0% Kissimmee East 2010 2011 51.4% 53.4% 54.7% 58.6% 58.4% 63.6% 58.2% 64.5% 56.0% 62.6% 56.4% 62.1% 57.9% 63.7% 57.1% 62.0% 55.2% 60.1% 54.7% 0.0% 53.8% 0.0% 54.2% 0.0% Kissimmee West 2010 2011 38.9% 39.1% 42.5% 45.3% 48.6% 52.2% 50.1% 54.8% 48.4% 52.4% 47.9% 51.5% 49.9% 53.8% 49.0% 52.8% 46.7% 50.8% 46.6% 0.0% 45.7% 0.0% 46.2% 0.0% Orlando South 2010 2011 71.9% 69.0% 74.3% 73.8% 75.6% 76.8% 75.3% 77.1% 72.6% 75.1% 71.4% 74.3% 71.0% 73.9% 69.6% 72.3% 68.0% 70.9% 68.0% 0.0% 67.8% 0.0% 67.7% 0.0% Lake Buena Vista 2010 2011 72.9% 69.9% 73.0% 75.0% 76.9% 80.0% 77.2% 81.3% 75.4% 79.7% 75.7% 79.3% 77.4% 80.8% 76.1% 79.5% 74.1% 77.9% 71.7% 0.0% 71.4% 0.0% 71.7% 0.0% * Year-end occupancy rates. Source: Copyright 2011 Smith Travel Research, All Rights Reserved 2 Visit Orlando Market Research and Insights Department Visitor Snapshot Visitor Volumes (millions) 2007 2008 2009 48.745 48.888 46.583 51.455 53.37 3.7% 45.907 45.515 43.319 47.780 49.56 3.7% Leisure 35.334 35.282 33.992 38.263 39.68 3.7% Business 10.574 10.233 9.326 9.517 10.26 3.8% International 2.838 3.343 3.264 3.675 3.82 3.8% .783 .910 .865 .960 1.00 5.3% Overseas 2.055 2.433 2.399 2.715 2.80 3.3% U.K. .990 .959 .831 .839 0.83 -0.9% Total Domestic Canada 2010 f 2011 11/10 Source: D.K. Shifflet & Associates; Office of Travel & Tourism Industries; Tourism Economics TRAVEL TO ORLANDO 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 % change 24,897,000 26,356,000 29,205,000 32,338,000 33,706,000 35,206,000 39,129,000 39,784,000 37,701,000 40,590,000 42,685,000 45,166,000 46,649,000 45,114,000 45,907,000 45,515,000 43,319,000 47,780,000 10.3% 18,604,000 20,053,000 20,028,000 22,653,000 24,658,000 26,325,000 27,555,000 30,948,000 30,448,000 29,070,000 31,587,000 33,100,000 35,162,000 36,224,000 34,490,000 35,334,000 35,282,000 33,992,000 38,263,000 12.6% 10,956,000 7,647,000 12,183,000 7,869,000 11,390,000 8,637,000 11,715,000 10,937,000 12,598,000 12,060,000 12,319,000 14,006,000 15,138,000 12,417,000 16,362,000 14,586,000 15,599,000 14,849,000 14,763,000 14,307,000 17,632,000 13,954,000 16,602,000 16,498,000 17,672,000 17,491,000 18,265,000 17,959,000 17,492,000 16,998,000 17,988,000 17,345,000 17,954,000 17,328,000 17,622,000 16,370,000 20,041,000 18,221,000 13.7% 11.3% 4,875,000 4,844,000 6,328,000 6,553,000 7,680,000 7,381,000 7,651,000 8,181,000 9,336,000 8,630,000 9,003,000 9,585,000 10,004,000 10,425,000 10,624,000 10,574,000 10,233,000 9,326,000 9,517,000 2.0% 2,909,000 1,966,000 2,939,000 1,905,000 3,864,000 2,464,000 4,067,000 2,485,000 4,724,000 2,955,000 3,773,000 3,608,000 4,110,000 3,541,000 4,371,000 3,810,000 5,157,000 4,180,000 5,119,000 3,512,000 5,732,000 3,271,000 5,970,000 3,615,000 6,077,000 3,928,000 6,337,000 4,088,000 6,425,000 4,198,000 6,504,000 4,070,000 6,316,000 3,917,000 5,843,000 3,483,000 5,974,000 3,543,000 2.2% 1.7% 4,052,000 3,537,000 3,043,000 3,202,000 3,263,000 3,494,000 3,472,000 3,468,500 3,730,000 3,062,000 2,378,000 2,297,500 2,582,000 2,673,000 2,686,000 2,838,000 3,343,000 3,264,000 3,675,000 2,936,000 1,000,000 116,000 2,635,000 740,000 162,000 2,233,000 660,000 150,000 2,621,000 550,000 31,000 2,583,000 612,000 68,000 2,782,000 640,000 72,000 2,867,000 550,000 55,000 2,863,000 548,000 57,500 3,013,000 657,000 60,000 2,467,000 595,000 n/a 1,873,000 505,000 n/a 1,767,000 530,500 n/a 1,951,000 631,000 n/a 2,016,000 657,000 n/a 1,993,000 693,000 n/a 2,055,000 783,000 n/a 2,433,000 910,000 n/a 2,399,000 865,000 n/a 2,715,000 960,000 n/a 12.6% 13.2% 11.0% 27,530,000 28,434,000 29,399,000 32,407,000 35,601,000 37,200,000 38,678,000 42,597,500 43,514,000 40,763,000 42,968,000 44,982,500 47,748,000 49,322,000 47,800,000 48,745,000 48,858,000 46,583,000 51,455,000 Domestic 23,478,000 Leisure Florida Non-Florida Business Florida Non-Florida International Overseas Canada (est.) Mexico (air only) Total Detail may not add to totals due to rounding. Domestic data from 2000 onward reflect a model revision by D.K. Shifflet & Associates and are not directly comparable to prior years. Volume for Mexico unavailable due to small sample size. Source: D.K. Shifflet & Associates; U.S. Department of Commerce, Office of Travel & Tourism Industries; Visit Orlando® Market Research and Insights 10.5% Area Stats Information at a Glance • 6 of the World’s Greatest Theme Parks . . . SeaWorld®, Discovery Cove®, Aquatica Water Park®, Wet ‘n Wild®, Universal Studios® and Islands of Adventure®! • Plus 17 Attractions & 2 Entertainment Complexes! • 550+ Designer, Brand-Name and Outlet Stores! • 200+ Spectacular Restaurants! • 3 Stadium-Style Movie Cinemas! • 100+ Fantastic Hotels and Resorts! • The Nation’s 2nd Largest Convention Center! • Convenient, Fun I•RIDE Trolley Service! Economic Impact • International Drive is comprised of a total land parcel count of 10,387 • Representing $5.9 billion in Gross Taxable Value • Encompassing 5,370+ Acres International Drive Visitors 5.3 Million overnight visitation annually. Average Room Occupancy 2010 2009 2008 2007 65.45% 60.79% 67.49% 69.62% Source Visit Orlando Employment Employs 32,000 people Major Shopping Three distinct shopping anchors: • North end of I-Drive: Orlando Premium Outlets – International Drive • Center of I-Drive: Pointe Orlando • South end of I-Drive: Orlando Premium Outlets – Vineland Ave Dr. Phillips Hospital Dr. P. Phillips Hospital (part of Orlando Health) is a full-service medical/surgical facility serving the Orlando’s tourist areas and the residents of Southwest Orange County. In addition to a highly qualified team of nurses, support staff and physicians, Dr. P. Phillips Hospital is equipped with the latest technology in diagnostic imaging, cardiovascular catheterization and angiography. Rosen College of Hospitality – University of Central Florida The college is located in the largest learning laboratory in the world for hospitality and tourism, Orlando! Students come from around the world--to study with, and work beside, an internationally recognized faculty and tourism executives in facilities that are state-of-the-art. The Rosen College is setting new standards of excellence for the industry. Orange County Convention Center As the second largest convention center in the country, the award-winning Orange County Convention Center (OCCC) provides a multitude of event options in two beautiful facilities - the West Building and the North/South Building - for a combined offering of the following features: 2.1 million-square feet of exhibition space Two 92,000-square foot general assembly areas 74 meeting rooms/235 breakouts The 2,643-seat Chapin Theater A 200-seat Lecture Hall The 62,000-square foot multi-purpose Valencia Room Three full-service restaurants/8 food courts Three business centers In-house electric, plumbing, rigging and technical services, plus wireless mobility throughout the complex On-site parking for 6,227 Three covered loading docks/173 truck bays Surrounded by 113,000 hotel rooms Total Convention Center Attendance Year Ending 2010 2009 2008 2007 Attendance 1,177,250 1,076,480 1,308,003 1,450,484 Number of Events 200 216 230 255 Source Orange County Convention Center Air Transportation The Resort area is serviced by two international airports: Orlando International Airport Domestic International 2009 2010 30,715,729 2,977,920 31,632,100 3,245,799 1,246,699 455,713 Not available Not available Source Orlando International Airport Orlando Sanford Airport Domestic International Source Orlando Sanford Airport Surrounding Area International Drive also is supported by local visitation. The Orlando, Florida metropolitan area has a population of 2,082,628 and it is the 27th largest metropolitan area in the United States, the 5th largest metropolitan area in the Southeastern United States, and the 3rd largest metro area in Florida. The cityproper population is 235,860 making Orlando the 80th largest city in the United States. It is Florida's fifth largest city by population. Source Wikipedia International Drive Master Transit & Improvement District 7081 Grand National Drivez Suite 105 z Orlando, FL 32819 (407) 248-9590 z Fax: (407) 248-9594 www.IRideTrolley.com z www.InternationalDriveOrlando.com z www.IDriveDistrict.com Hotel Inventory ‐ Alpha for I Drive Company Baymont Inn & Suites International Drive Baymont Inn & Suites Universal Best Western Contact Randy Bohannon Edwin Rivera Rob Worth Title GM GM GM Address 7531 Canada Ave. 5625 Major Blvd. 6301 Westwood Blvd. Phone (407) 226‐9887 (407) 354‐3996 (407) 313‐4100 Rooms or Location 130 54 93 Best Western International Drive ‐ Orlando Best Western PLUS Orlando Gateway Best Western Universal Inn Buena Vista Suites Caribe Royale All Suite Hotel & Convention Center Clarion Inn & Suites Comfort Inn ‐ Universal Comfort Inn International Drive Comfort Suites Country Inn & Suites Courtyard by Marriott Crowne Plaza Orlando Universal Days Inn Convention Center Days Inn International Drive North Days Inn Orlando Maingate to Universal DoubleTree by Hilton Orlando at SeaWorld DoubleTree Hotel at the Entrance to Universal Studios Econolodge Inn & Suites Embassy Suites I‐Drive / Jamaican Ct Embassy Suites Orlando ‐ International Drive/Convention Center Enclave Suites Alpesh Khushal Bill Jones Sam Jayswal Paul Crumpton GM/FOM GM GM GM 8222 Jamacian Court 7299 Universal Blvd. 5618 Vineland Road 8203 World Center Drive (407) 345‐1172 (407) 351‐5009 (407) 226‐9119 (407) 239‐8588 123 300 70 279 Gerald Urquiola Vasant Patel Soli Brapanpawira Chad Waykar Jane Miller Kelly Cowan Nirmal Hans Scott Tripoli Mr. Taqi Merchant Amjed Akram Anshu Jain Greg Gooding GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM 8101 World Center Drive 9956 Hawaiian Court 6101 Sand Lake Road 8134 International Drive 5617 Major Blvd. 7701 Universal Blvd. 8600 Austrian Court 7800 Universal Blvd. 9990 International Drive 5858 International Drive 5827 Caravan Court 10100 International Drive (407) 238‐8000 (407) 351‐5100 (407) 363‐7886 (407) 313‐4000 (407) 363‐1967 (407) 313‐4200 (407) 351‐2244 (407) 355‐0550 (407) 352‐8700 (407) 351‐4410 (407) 351‐3800 (407) 352‐1100 1448 223 334 112 100 170 151 400 219 260 262 1009 Bill Worcester Jim Bolin Mr. Domien Takx GM GM GM 5780 Major Blvd. 8738 International Drive 8250 Jamaican Court (407) 351‐1000 (407) 345‐8195 (407) 345‐8250 742 672 246 John Parkinson Melissa Glen GM GM 8978 International Drive 6165 Carrier Drive (407) 352‐1400 (407) 351‐1155 244 303 Extended Stay Deluxe ‐ Orlando Convention Ctr. Pebble Persico Extended Stay Deluxe Orlando Universal Avlin Robinson Extended Stay Deluxe Pointe Orlando Brian Riccardi GM GM GM 6443 Westwood Blvd. 5610 Vineland Rd. 8750 Universal Blvd. (407) 351‐1982 (407) 370‐4428 (407) 903‐1500 119 84 137 Hotel Inventory ‐ Alpha for I Drive Rooms or Location Company Contact Title Address Phone Extended StayAmerica ‐ Orlando Conv. Center Extended StayAmerica Orlando Universal Studios Fairfield Inn & Stes by Marriott Orlando Int'l Drive Fairfield Inn & Suites Orlando at SeaWorld Fairfield Inn & Suites Universal Floridays Resort Orlando Fountains Resort, The Katie Lynn Webb GM 6451 Westwood Blvd. (407) 352‐3454 119 Ramon Lima GM 5620 Major Blvd. (407) 351‐1788 122 Jim John McCracken Angela Bell Rod O'Connor Kristin Ingram GM GM GM GM GM 7495 Canada Ave. 10815 International Drive 5614 Vineland Road 12562 International Drive 12400 International Drive (407) 351‐7000 (407) 354‐1139 (407) 581‐5600 (407) 238‐7700 (407) 905‐4100 200 200 116 420 569 Four Points by Sheraton Orlando Studio City Hampton Inn & Suites Orlando Int'l Drive Hampton Inn closest to Universal Orlando Hampton Inn Convention Center Hampton Inn South of Universal Hard Rock Hotel CJ Whitten Joel Ibanez Ralitza Nikolova Adriana Londono Alex Blanco Carlton Hudson GM GM GM GM GM GM 5905 International Drive 7448 International Drive 5621 Windhover Drive 8900 Universal Blvd. 7110 S. Kirkman Road 5800 Universal Blvd. (407) 351‐2100 (407) 313‐3030 (407) 351‐6716 (407) 354‐4447 (407) 345‐1112 (407) 503‐2000 301 108 120 170 170 650 Hawthorn Suites Orlando / Convention Center Hawthorn Suites Universal Raju Patel Karen Kruger GM GM 6435 Westwood Blvd. 7601 Canada Avenue (407) 351‐6600 (407) 581‐2151 150 153 Hilton Garden Inn at SeaWorld International Ctr. Hilton Garden Inn Int'l Drive North Hilton Grand Vacations Club at SeaWorld Hilton Grand Vacations Club on International Drive Hilton Orlando Holiday Inn & Suites at Universal Holiday Inn Express Holiday Inn Express & Suites Holiday Inn Resort Orlando ‐ The Castle Homewood Suites by Hilton Mike Fatta Kelly Carney Christopher Hancock GM GM GM 6850 Westwood Blvd. 5877 American Way 6924 Grand Vacations Way (407) 354‐1500 (407) 363‐9332 (407) 239‐0100 223 158 787 Abed Ereikat Doug Gehret Matthew Downs Jane Miller Samuel Santiago Stephanie Banks Gary Rodriguez GM GM GM GM GM GM GM 8122 Arrezzo Way 6001 Destination Pkwy. 5905 Kirkman Road 5605 Major Blvd 7276 International Drive 8629 International Dr. 8745 International Drive (407) 465‐2600 (407) 313‐4300 (407) 351‐3333 (407) 363‐1333 (407) 535‐4100 (407) 345‐1511 (407) 248‐2232 440 1417 320 196 156 216 252 Hotel Inventory ‐ Alpha for I Drive Company Homewood Suites by Hilton Universal Howard Johnson Inn Hyatt Place Orlando / Convention Center Hyatt Place Orlando Universal Contact Keith Beears Laurent Ben Steve Cadaret Yoli Rivero Title GM GM GM GM Address 5893 American Way 6603 International Drive 8741 International Drive 5895 Caravan Court Phone (407) 226‐0669 (407) 351‐2900 (407) 370‐4720 (407) 351‐0627 Rooms or Location 122 166 149 150 International Palms Resort & Conference Center InTown Suites La Quinta Inn ‐ I‐Drive North La Quinta Inn & Suites Orlando Convention Center La Quinta Inn at Universal Studios La Quinta Inn Orlando ‐ International Drive Lake Eve Resort Lexington Suites Marriott Vacation Club Harbour Lakes Marriott's Cypress Harbour Marriott's Grande Vista Resort Monumental Hotel Orlando Monumental Movieland Hotel Motel 6 Orlando Universal Studios Orlando Continental Plaza Hotel Orlando Hotel & Suites Orlando International Resort Club Orlando Metropolitan Express Orlando Metropolitan Resort Orlando Sunshine Resort Parc Corniche Peabody Orlando, The Point Orlando Resort, The Portofino Bay Hotel Quality Inn & Suites Quality Inn International Michael Gray John Breiner Manoj Naik GM GM GM 6515 International Drive 5615 Major Blvd. 5825 International Drive (407) 351‐3500 (407) 370‐3734 (407) 351‐4100 652 150 155 Bob Jones Abdel Jabri Robert Jones Lisa A. Catena Mr. Randy Steinbeck Melissa Fritsche Pamela Follett Paul Ryan Jack Cheng Jack Cheng Daryl Dembeck Jorge Chan‐Martinez Ryan Irven Tom St. Peter Lyn St. Bernard GM GM GM GM VP GM GM GM Owner Owner GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM 8504 Universal Blvd. 5621 Major Blvd 8300 Jamacian Court 12388 International Drive 7400 Canada Avenue 7102 Grand Horizon's Blvd. 11251 Harbour Villa Rd. 11501 International Drive 12120 International Drive 6233 International Drive 5909 American Way 6825 Visitors Circle 8214 Universal Blvd. 5353 Del Verde Way 6323 International Drive 8444 International Drive 5473 Del Verde Way 6300 Parc Corniche Drive 9801 International Drive 7389 Universal Blvd. 5601 Universal Blvd. 5635 Windhover Drive 7600 International Drive (407) 345‐1365 (407) 313‐3100 (407) 351‐1660 (407) 597‐0370 (407) 363‐0332 (407) 465‐6100 (407) 238‐1300 (407) 238‐7676 (407) 239‐1222 (407) 351‐3900 (407) 351‐6500 (407) 352‐8211 (407) 581‐9001 (407) 351‐2641 (407) 351‐4430 (407) 581‐2000 (407) 351‐1250 (407) 239‐7100 (407) 345‐4543 (407) 956‐2000 (407) 503‐1000 (407) 370‐5100 (407) 996‐1600 184 80 200 176 154 360 510 1616 94 262 148 190 150 63 218 300 84 210 1641 200 750 103 728 Keith Lashley James Nykamp Alan Villaverde Jerry Slatton Paul Leclerc Winifred Camille Albert Gallof GM GM GM GM Hotel Inventory ‐ Alpha for I Drive Company Quality Suites Radisson Orlando International Drive Ramada Convention Center I‐Drive Ramada International Drive Lakefront Red Roof Inn Orlando Convention Center Renaissance Orlando at SeaWorld Residence Inn by Marriott Orlando International Dr Residence Inn Convention Center Residence Inn SeaWorld Int'l Center Rodeway Inn Rosen Centre Hotel Rosen Inn Rosen Inn at Pointe Orlando Rosen Plaza Hotel Rosen Shingle Creek Royal Pacific Resort Sheraton Vistana Villages SpringHill Suites Convention Center SpringHill Suites Orlando at SeaWorld Staybridge Suites International Drive Super 8 Orlando International Drive Westgate Lakes Resort & Spa Westgate Leisure Resort Westgate Palace Resort, The Westin Imagine Orlando Westwood Suites Wingate Inn by Wyndham WorldMark by Wyndham Wyndham Orlando Resort Contact Vasant Patel Bill Cordaro Cary Amador Peggy Todd Bob Walsh Title GM GM GM GM GM GM Address 9350 Turkey Lake Road 8444 International Drive 8342 Jamacian Court 6500 International Drive 9922 Hawaiian Court 6677 Sea Harbor Drive Phone (407) 351‐5050 (407) 345‐0505 (407) 363‐1944 (407) 345‐5340 (407) 352‐1507 (407) 351‐5555 Aaron Hoefen Melissa Rosewarne Aaron Hoefen Helen James Phil Caronia Tony Masmoudi Derek Baum Gary Hudson Dan Giordano David Bartek Mike Elliott Bob McCoy John McCracken Liz Hall Shailesh Patel Tom Sparks Michele Sisulu Bob Normington Mike Speicher Marlene Kittendorf Rogi Krecek Howard Torjusen Scott Marn GM GM GM AGM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM GM 7975 Canada Ave. 8800 Universal Blvd. 11000 Westwood Blvd. 7050 S. Kirkman Road 9840 International Drive 6327 International Drive 9000 International Drive 9700 International Drive 9939 Universal Blvd. 6300 Hollywood Way 12401 International Drive 8840 Universal Blvd. 10801 International Drive 8480 International Drive 5859 American Way 10000 Turkey Lake Road 6950 Villa De Costa Drive 6145 Carrier Drive 9501 Universal Blvd. 6800 Villa De Costa Dr. 5661 Windhover Dr. 12000 International Dr. 8001 International Drive (407) 345‐0117 (407) 226‐0288 (407) 313‐3600 (407) 351‐2000 (407) 996‐9840 (407) 996‐4444 (407) 996‐8585 (407) 996‐9700 (407) 996‐9939 (407) 503‐3000 (407) 238‐5000 (407) 345‐9073 (407) 354‐1176 (407) 352‐2400 (407) 345‐8880 (407) 345‐0000 (407) 239‐8855 (407) 996‐6000 (407) 233‐2200 (407) 238‐9500 (407) 226‐0900 (407) 597‐2550 (407) 351‐2420 Rooms or Location 213 220 133 164 134 781 176 124 350 383 1334 315 1020 800 1500 1000 1037 167 200 146 192 2000 163 408 315 112 101 98 1052 40620 Murphy, Julie Subject: Attachments: FW: Orlando maglev -- data coordination request Travel to Orlando 1992-2010.xlsx From: Steve Andriakos [mailto:Steve.Andriakos@visitorlando.com] Sent: Thursday, November 10, 2011 3:14 PM To: Lewis, Laurence Subject: Orlando maglev -- data coordination request Hi Laurence, The attached spreadsheet includes Orlando visitor volume since 1992. The average domestic visitor party size is 2.6 persons and the average overseas visitor party size is 2.3 persons (2010). The average length of stay is 2.7 nights for all domestic visitors, 4.1 nights for overnight domestic visitors and 9.0 nights for overseas visitors (2010). We do not have specific data available related to the attractions. Please let me know if you have any questions. Steve Andriakos Sr. Research Analyst Visit Orlando® 6700 Forum Drive, Ste. 100 Orlando, FL 32821 Tel: 407-354-5528 | Fax: 407-370-5003 VisitOrlando.com From: Lewis, Laurence [mailto:LLewis@VHB.com] Sent: Thursday, November 10, 2011 11:49 AM To: Daryl Cronk Subject: RE: Orlando maglev -- data coordination request Daryl, Thank you for following up. Here’s a list of data items that would be useful: • Total visitor volumes by year before 2007 (back to 1998) 1 • • • • Average traveling party size Average length of stay Number of attractions visited Origin of visitors to attractions – how many are local versus from outside the region? Of the non‐local visitors, how many arrive through the airport versus drive in? I have a couple meetings after lunch, but I’m in the office the rest of the afternoon if you would like to discuss further. Thanks again for your help. Laurence Lewis 407.839.4006 x8051 www.vhb.com From: Daryl Cronk [mailto:Daryl.Cronk@visitorlando.com] Sent: Wednesday, November 09, 2011 12:16 PM To: Lewis, Laurence Subject: RE: Orlando maglev -- data coordination request Good afternoon Laurence. Gary asked me to follow-up regarding your information needs. Please outline the data items you are looking for and I will be happy to assist. My contact information is below; feel free to respond via email or give me a call. Daryl Cronk Director of Research Visit Orlando 407-354-5522 Daryl.cronk@visitorlando.co From: Lewis, Laurence <LLewis@VHB.com> To: Gary Sain Cc: Tony Morris <tmorris@american-maglev.com> Sent: Mon Nov 07 08:49:41 2011 Subject: Orlando maglev -- data coordination request Gary, I left a message at your office but your assistant mentioned you were currently in London. I hope your trip is going well. We are working with Tony Morris (American Maglev Technology, Inc.) to update ridership forecasts for Phase 1 of the planned maglev system between OIA and the I Drive district. We’ve met with OCCC and the I Drive District; Tony also suggested meeting with you. In general, we are looking for information on annual visitor levels and travel patterns (rental car vs. taxi or bus). I can provide a more specific list of data items based on the level of data that you collect. Please let me know your availability to meet in person or talk over the phone. If there is another person who is best to provide this data, please feel free to give them my contact info. Thanks for your help, Laurence 2 OIA Passenger Survey OIA Enplanement Information APO TAF Quick Data Summary - Facility For Core Airports No LGA -- 2011 Scenario Region State: ASO-FL LOCID: MCO Limited Radar Towers City: ORLANDO Airport: ORLANDO INTL -- ENPLANEMENTS -- 2010 Based Aircraft: 22 -- AIRPORT OPERATIONS --- Itinerant Operations -- Fiscal Year Air Carrier Commuter Total Air Carrier AT & Comm GA -- TRACON -- -- Local Operations -- Military Total Civil Military Total Total OPS Total OPS Historical 2007 16,556,139 745,236 17,301,375 283,026 56,027 22,567 675 362,295 0 0 0 362,295 744,580 2008 17,256,241 438,038 17,694,279 298,734 38,996 20,540 517 358,787 0 0 0 358,787 729,711 2009 16,275,693 64,801 16,340,494 279,125 12,072 16,738 544 308,479 0 0 0 308,479 224,000 2010 16,548,091 78,949 16,627,040 280,724 13,391 16,691 568 311,374 0 0 0 311,374 - 69,712 16,718,584 285,349 11,555 16,581 904 314,389 0 0 0 314,389 - Forecast 2011 * 16,648,872 2012 * 17,123,443 87,140 17,210,583 291,639 14,301 16,295 904 323,139 0 0 0 323,139 - 2013 * 18,212,072 117,029 18,329,101 308,388 19,039 16,376 904 344,707 0 0 0 344,707 - 2014 * 19,223,411 153,191 19,376,602 324,512 24,744 16,457 904 366,617 0 0 0 366,617 - 2015 * 20,024,134 184,289 20,208,423 337,167 29,536 16,539 904 384,146 0 0 0 384,146 - 2016 * 20,763,812 212,485 20,976,297 348,968 33,816 16,621 904 400,309 0 0 0 400,309 - 2017 * 21,481,586 225,234 21,706,820 360,484 35,562 16,704 904 413,654 0 0 0 413,654 - 2018 * 22,224,237 238,748 22,462,985 372,380 37,399 16,787 904 427,470 0 0 0 427,470 - 2019 * 22,992,629 253,073 23,245,702 384,669 39,331 16,870 904 441,774 0 0 0 441,774 - 2020 * 23,787,657 268,257 24,055,914 397,363 41,362 16,954 904 456,583 0 0 0 456,583 - 2021 * 24,610,246 284,352 24,894,598 410,476 43,498 17,038 904 471,916 0 0 0 471,916 - 2022 * 25,461,356 301,413 25,762,769 424,022 45,745 17,123 904 487,794 0 0 0 487,794 - 2023 * 26,341,978 319,498 26,661,476 438,015 48,108 17,208 904 504,235 0 0 0 504,235 - 2024 * 27,253,139 338,668 27,591,807 452,469 50,593 17,294 904 521,260 0 0 0 521,260 - 2025 * 28,195,900 358,988 28,554,888 467,400 53,206 17,380 904 538,890 0 0 0 538,890 - 2026 * 29,171,361 380,527 29,551,888 482,824 55,954 17,466 904 557,148 0 0 0 557,148 - 2027 * 30,180,660 403,359 30,584,019 498,757 58,844 17,553 904 576,058 0 0 0 576,058 - 2028 * 31,224,974 427,561 31,652,535 515,216 61,883 17,640 904 595,643 0 0 0 595,643 - 2029 * 32,305,522 453,215 32,758,737 532,218 65,079 17,728 904 615,929 0 0 0 615,929 - 2030 * 33,423,565 480,408 33,903,973 549,781 68,440 17,816 904 636,941 0 0 0 636,941 - 2031 * 34,580,407 509,232 35,089,639 567,924 71,975 17,905 904 658,708 0 0 0 658,708 - 2032 * 35,777,400 539,786 36,317,186 586,665 75,692 17,994 904 681,255 0 0 0 681,255 - 2033 * 37,015,941 572,173 37,588,114 606,025 79,601 18,083 904 704,613 0 0 0 704,613 - 2034 * 38,297,476 606,503 38,903,979 626,024 83,712 18,173 904 728,813 0 0 0 728,813 - 2035 * 39,623,503 642,893 40,266,396 646,683 88,035 18,263 904 753,885 0 0 0 753,885 - 2036 * 40,995,572 681,467 41,677,039 668,024 92,582 18,354 904 779,864 0 0 0 779,864 - 2037 * 42,415,286 722,355 43,137,641 690,069 97,364 18,445 904 806,782 0 0 0 806,782 - 2038 * 43,884,305 765,696 44,650,001 712,841 102,392 18,537 904 834,674 0 0 0 834,674 - 2039 * 45,404,347 811,638 46,215,985 736,365 107,680 18,629 904 863,578 0 0 0 863,578 - 2040 * 46,977,190 860,336 47,837,526 760,665 113,241 18,722 904 893,532 0 0 0 893,532 - GR1 3.53 8.28 3.58 3.37 7.37 0.38 1.56 3.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.57 0.00 GR2 3.64 9.05 3.69 3.43 8.18 0.41 0.00 3.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.66 0.00 GR1: Growth Rate from 2010 to 2040 Report created 9/28/2011 12:21 GR2: Growth Rate from 2011 to 2040 OIA Rail Connector Study 2. Auto- Park at a remote lot 3. Auto- Dropped off at the gate 4. Rental Car (on and off airport property) 5. Taxi/Limo 6. Hotel/Motel Shuttle 7. Commercial Bus (Mears) 8. Local Bus (Lynx) 9. Premium Transit (TSM Express buses or BRT/LRT System) 10. High Speed Rail (not analyzed) The factoring districts were used to determine the costs and which services are available from each zone. All districts (all zones were permitted to use any of the auto and taxi modes. Hotel/Motel Shuttles were restricted to the airport zone, TG Lee, and the west airport Areas. Commercial Bus was limited to the CBD/Core, Convention Center, Disney, Sea World, Universal, Sand Lake, Kissimmee, and TG Lee Districts. Local and Premium Transit paths were based on the transit skim and where available service was located. ii. Calibration Targets The model was calibrated by trip purpose and mode to the 2002 AECOM/ HNTB survey. Modal bias constants were applied to get the proper distribution of trips on each mode. Exhibit III-26 displays the targets for the eight existing modes by purpose: Exhibit III-26: Existing Mode Calibration Targets Access Mode Auto- Park Terminal Auto- Park Remote Auto- Drop off Rental Car Taxi Hotel Shuttle Commercial Bus Local Bus Resident Business 23% 14% 42% 9% 7% 2% 3% 0% Resident Non-Bus 11% 12% 68% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% Non-Res Business 0% 0% 10% 42% 12% 6% 30% 0% Non-Res Non-Bus 0% 0% 14% 53% 5% 2% 26% 0% The calibration for the premium transit coefficients were based on the only peer airport system with travel data available, Portland, OR. Portland serves the airport from the downtown, which is the major destination in Portland. Since the OIA Connector does not serve the Disney/Lake Buena Vista area, a major destination in Orlando, the Portland transit share of 5-6% was reduced to come up with the estimate of what the OIA would be doing if in service today. Since Disney/Lake Buena Vista area represents approximately one-third of the airport trips, the overall calibration market share of the LRT version of the system was reduced to 3.5% and calibrated for year 2000. The final constants for the airport passenger modal choice model are shown on Exhibit III-27. DRAFT 36 Exhibit III-24: Passenger Residency and Location by Survey OIA Passenger Survey Enplanement Percentages OIA Passenger Survey Enplanements AECOM 8/02 HSR Access Survey Visitors Resident In OUATS 2,232 8,437 3,518 1,612 1,738 Total 10,401 3,845 10,175 In OUATS 19,324 25,801 29,226 out of OUATS Total 6,233 8,322 AECOM 8/02 HSR Access Survey OUATS Model out of OUATS 18.58% 1 VARGA 8/03 OUATS Model Departing Passenger 5.64% 19.86% 9.50% 4.07% 4.09% 28.08% 9.71% 23.95% 52.17% 65.13% 68.80% 3,079 1 16.83% 21.01% 7.25% 2 25,557 34,122 32,305 69.00% 86.14% 76.05% 1,083 1,647 N/A 2.92% 4.16% 0.00% Total 37,040 39,614 42,480 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% In OUATS 26,206 28,033 37,663 70.75% 70.76% 88.66% out of OUATS 9,751 9,934 4,817 26.33% 25.08% 11.34% x-fer Connect Total 6,882 VARGA 8/03 Departing Passenger Connect 1,083 1,647 - 2.92% 4.16% 0.00% Total 37,040 39,614 42,480 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 1 The external trips from the OUATS model are not differentiated by Resident and Visitor Markets The percentage split from the AECOM Survey is used for comparative purposes 2 The VARGA Survey visitor trips could not be separated to in and out of OUATS area, so the AECOM survey split was applied to the total VARGA visitor population v. Model Application In order to apply the new model to the airport access passenger market, several changes needed to be made to the model run process. As mentioned earlier, the most important change was to redistribute the airport passenger trips from two purposes (Resident, and Visitor) to four purposes (Resident Business, Resident NonBusiness, Visitor Business, Visitor Non-Business). This was done by applying factors to the origin end of all airport passenger trips. The factors were based on the AECOM/ HNTB survey, by summing the total factored trips by purpose based upon a geographically defined district. The districts were equated to combinations of zones and the district factor was then applied to all air passenger trips to and from that zone. Exhibit III-25 shows the districts defined for the purpose segmentation. The first change to the modeling cycle was in the Transit Path Building procedures. In order to replicate the airport passenger service, it was necessary to build new transit paths that did not have local Lynx buses option to the stations. The assumption is that air passengers, especially in a highly visitor market such as Orlando, would not use local transit as an access or egress mode to the light rail or Express Bus TSM options. The International Drive buses were an exception to this rule since the service plan is largely based on visitors and serves a predominately non- DRAFT 34 Exhibit III-16: Airport Trips Year 2000 Airport Trips (Production/Attraction Format) CBD Air Corr NW Orange SW Orange SE E SW Orange E Orange Seminole Osc/Polk E Osceola W Volusia Total CBD - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Intl Drive - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - S Corr - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - N Inner - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - N Outer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Air Corr 1,030 12,768 1,765 1,738 2,850 4,571 2,820 19,988 3,643 2,242 14,034 2,556 1,952 72,395 NW Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SW Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SE Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 438 E Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E Seminole - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SW Osc/Polk - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E Osceola - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - W Volusia - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,030 12,768 1,765 1,738 2,850 4,571 2,820 19,988 3,643 2,242 14,034 2,556 1,952 72,395 Total CBD Intl Drive S Corr N Inner N Outer Air Corr 438 Year 2025 Airport Trips (Production/Attraction Format) NW SW SE E SW Orange Orange Orange E Orange Seminole Osc/Polk E Osceola W Volusia Total CBD - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Intl Drive - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - S Corr - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - N Inner - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - N Outer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Air Corr 1,312 30,775 5,311 2,380 5,454 8,034 6,972 47,172 3,475 8,150 5,207 21,187 7,853 3,154 NW Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SW Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SE Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E Orange - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E Seminole - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SW Osc/Polk - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E Osceola - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Lake / Ext - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,312 30,775 5,311 2,380 5,454 8,034 6,972 47,172 3,475 8,150 5,207 21,187 7,853 3,154 Total DRAFT Intl Drive S Corr N Inner N Outer 24 - 156,436 156,436 Exhibit IV-1: Transit related assessments by alternative Category Regional Transit Boardings Regional Transit Pax-Miles Regional Transit Pax-Hours Rail Transit Trips Intra-Corridor Outside-Corridor Outside-Outside Rail Boardings Altamonte Mall - Belz Universal - Sea World Common OIA Alternative OIA Regional Person Trips Auto Transit Airport Passenger Trips Auto/Private carrier Local bus Premium transit DRAFT No Build 193,497 819,235 113,956 Baseline-1 205,388 882,559 137,509 Build Alt. 1 BeeLine 215,438 966,707 189,974 Build Alt. 6 Sand Lake 213,019 945,775 179,238 Baseline-2 204,631 882,640 140,317 Build Alt. 4 Turnpike 208,102 920,435 169,562 35,257 18,058 14,033 3,166 36,266 18,845 14,191 3,230 46,948 25,124 17,580 4,244 46,166 24,651 17,410 4,105 36,392 18,959 14,164 3,269 45,237 24,720 16,707 3,810 38,635 24,607 14,028 - 38,549 24,176 14,374 - 51,260 24,160 17,873 4,481 4,747 50,413 23,840 16,506 4,156 5,912 36,558 23,872 12,686 - 45,242 23,846 12,250 3,909 5,238 10,534,647 10,419,974 114,673 10,534,647 10,416,082 118,564 10,534,647 10,413,801 120,846 10,534,647 10,414,093 120,554 10,534,647 10,415,601 119,046 10,534,647 10,414,744 119,902 161,953 161,698 255 - 161,953 160,734 245 974 161,953 157,157 245 4,551 161,953 157,787 248 3,918 161,953 160,421 248 1,283 161,953 158,204 248 3,502 40 Orange County Convention Center Survey American Maglev Technology - Servey Results Orange County Convention Center Q1. How do your attendees generally get to/from the Orange County Convention Center? Please fill in the percentages of attendees that use each type of transportation below: Answer Options Response Percent Taxi Rental Car Bus Hotel Shuttle Other Organized Shuttle Service Other 95.8% 89.6% 37.5% 52.1% 60.4% 31.3% answered question skipped question Response Count 46 43 18 25 29 15 48 1 How do your attendees generally get to/from the Orange County Convention Center? Please fill in the percentages of attendees that use each type of transportation below: 120.0% 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% Taxi Rental Car Bus Hotel Shuttle Other Organized Shuttle Service Other Q2. If there were a train connecting from the airport to the Orange County Convention Center, what percentage of your attendees do you anticipate would use it? Average Results: 40% Comments: At least 75% there are always people that will rent cars due to other appointments in the area 80% if it is direct 80% but only one way I would wouldanticipate anticipatethat thatbetween between 35 35 to 50% to 50% of the of the attendees attendees wouldwould use ause train.a train. 50% or better...some would still want rental cars to travel to parks. 25% maybe-luggage handling to hotels is an issue If easy to access with luggage and cost effective, many would use it. 40% - I would imagine that those staying at the Peabody, Hilton, Rosens & the Westin would utilize the service to arrive. You'd get alot more traffic on the way home as I'd say that 50% of all attendees depart from from the the convention convention center center directly directlyto tothe theairport. airport. Q3. How much would the majority of your conference attendees likely be willing to pay (one-way fare) for connecting train service from the Orlando International Airport to the Orange County Convention Center? Answer Options Response Percent Less than $5 $5-$10 $10-$20 More than $20 12.5% 64.6% 20.8% 2.1% answered question skipped question Response Count 6 31 10 1 48 1 How much would the majority of your conference attendees likely be willing to pay (one-way fare) for connecting train service from the Orlando International Airport to the Orange County Convention Center? Less than $5 $5-$10 $10-$20 More than $20 Q4. How frequently would the majority of your conference attendees want the train to run for it to be useful to them? Answer Options Response Percent Every 5-10 minutes Every 10-20 minutes Every 20-30 minutes Doesn't matter 18.8% 62.5% 16.7% 6.3% answered question skipped question Response Count 9 30 8 3 48 1 How frequently would the majority of your conference attendees want the train to run for it to be useful to them? 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Every 5-10 minutes Every 10-20 minutes Every 20-30 minutes Doesn't matter Q5. What other factors might influence the travel choices of conference attendees? Safety Cost Convenience Luggage Distance from baggage claim Must be direct cleanliness Efficient Reliable Reliable Q6. How do your conference attendees generally make their travel arrangements? Please indicate percentages below: Answer Options On their own Through a travel attendant associated with the Through an independant travel agent I don't know answered question skipped question Response Average Response Count 77.06 16.19 19.17 23.75 48 21 30 12 49 0 How do your conference attendees generally make their travel arrangements? Please indicate percentages below: 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 On their own Through a travel attendant associated with the conference/event Through an independant travel agent I don't know Other Sources Total Person Trips from the CFRPM v5.0 2015 10,519,887 4,751,925 1,732,070 16,621 Growth Home Based Trips Nonhome‐Based Trips TRUCK Taxi 2005 8,268,114 3,671,543 1,363,621 13,011 Growth 2.48% 2035 14,454,946 6,658,131 2,396,972 23,089 Total Non‐Tourist Trips 13,316,289 17,020,503 2.48% 23,533,138 1.92% 2.44% 2.61% 2.42% 1.88% 2.00% 1.90% 1.93% Murphy, Julie Lewis, Laurence Friday, November 04, 2011 4:12 PM Webster, Lara; Murphy, Julie FW: Orange County Convention Center Event and Employee Information From: Sent: To: Subject: Laurence Lewis 407.839.4006 x8051 www.vhb.com From: Sarah.Caprani@ocfl.net [mailto:Sarah.Caprani@ocfl.net] Sent: Friday, November 04, 2011 4:10 PM To: Lewis, Laurence Cc: Carla.Johnson@ocfl.net; Jessie.Allen@ocfl.net; Susan.Nipper@ocfl.net Subject: Orange County Convention Center Event and Employee Information Per your request to Jessie Allen, below is information pertaining to the Orange County Convention Center (OCCC): Convention and Tradeshow Consumer & Public Ticketed Year # of Events Estimated Attendance # of Events 2011 90 1,015,775 29 2012 91 1,143,227 16 2013 109 975,272 3 2014 78 861,143 2 2015 64 889,765 2 2016 65 783,711 1 Meetings & Banquets Estimated Attendance # of Events Estimated Attendance # of Events 177,710 59 30,626 178 175,543 8 7,750 115 52,643 2 3,600 114 42,600 0 0 80 42,600 0 0 66 40,000 0 0 66 These numbers represent the events currently booked with OCCC. They do not include events that are booked during each year, which typically adds another 75‐100 events and an additional 100,000 attendees. We also have approximately 550 regular full‐time employees working at OCCC, either as an employee of Orange County or as an employee of one of our service partners. Each group that meets at OCCC requires supplementary labor to meet peak activity needs. This number could range up to 500 additional persons. Furthermore, service contractors and third party companies amount to 200 to 250 skilled and unskilled workers per day. PLEASE NOTE: Florida has a very broad public records law (F. S. 119). All e-mails to and from County Officials are kept as a public record. 1 Murphy, Julie FW: Florida Mall Employees count and bus ridership estimates. Subject: From: BPeters@Simon.com [mailto:BPeters@Simon.com] Sent: Wednesday, October 26, 2011 9:29 AM To: Tony Morris Subject: RE: Florida Mall Employees count and bus ridership estimates. Tony, below is the name of the manager at Town Center. We use to count traffic up to 5 years ago. The last counts we did reflected an annual traffic number of 15 million guests per year. For comparison the Magic Kingdom does just under 18 million each year. I would think we need to introduce you to Chuck Schnieder at Simon in the near future as he will be the key in our development group for much of the legal work that this project may entail over the next 12 - 15 months. He works directly with Kathy Shields. John DiCioccio pronounced (da cee cee o) jdiciocc@simon.com Brian J. Peters General Manager The Florida Mall 407-851-7234 407-855-1827 (fax) From: "Tony Morris" <tmorris@american-maglev.com> To: <BPeters@simon.com> Cc: <cschneid@simon.com>, <kshields@simon.com>, <lgilmore@simon.com> Date: 10/21/2011 03:03 PM Subject: RE: Florida Mall Employees count and bus ridership estimates. Dear Brian, THANK YOU! This is very useful and valuable information, and I really appreciate it. As a wild guess, if you have 4652 employees, how many customers would you guess (a range from a “good day” to a “bad day”)? The meetings with all the public stakeholders went GREAT. A discouraging word was not heard. I have attached some of the letters that have come back‐ all positive. We are on line to get this done by Christmas and get the “26 week clock” started! By the way, we are also pursuing a project here in Atlanta adjacent to Town Center Mall. We are connecting downtown to Cobb County, and we want a station at Town Center. Who is the “Brian Peters” at this facility that can be our great friend, supporter, statistician, and overall good customer. 1 (I know‐ there is only one of those!) Have a great weekend. Best regards, American Maglev Technology, Inc. Tony J. Morris President & CEO +1 (404) 386-4036 www.american-maglev.com From: BPeters@Simon.com [mailto:BPeters@Simon.com] Sent: Friday, October 21, 2011 2:14 PM To: Tony Morris Cc: cschneid@Simon.com; kshields@Simon.com; lgilmore@Simon.com Subject: Florida Mall Employees count and bus ridership estimates. Tony, I had our marketing group do a quick survey of a sample of stores to determine the # of employees in the mall. We also asked this sample how many of their employees used the bus to get to work. This is unscientific, but we estimate 4,652 people are employed and work in the Florida Mall. Of that number 934 ride the bus to get to work, or just at 20%. I think this number is a great indicator of the potential to have mall employees use the train. Once Sunrail is opened, and the pool of prospective employees from Downtown and north grows due to the ease of commute, the train will certainly benefit from even more employees commuting. Hope this assists. By the way how were your meetings on the 10th - 12th with Orange county and the City? Brian J. Peters General Manager The Florida Mall 407-851-7234 407-855-1827 (fax) ----- Forwarded by Brian Peters/Simon on 10/21/2011 02:05 PM ----From: Brian Peters/Simon To: "Tony Morris" <tmorris@american-maglev.com> Cc: Lydia Gilmore/Simon, Kathleen Shields/Simon@Simon Date: 10/01/2011 04:09 PM Subject: The Florida Mall and Florida Business Center Tony, I appreciate you keeping us in the loop on your progress. I hope on Monday to update Ms. Gilmore and Ms. Shields on your progress with the state of Florida especially the governor and the department of transportation. As I suggested it is probably a good time to have you and Ms. Shields meet, in order to share details so Simon will be able to keep up with the process and especially the expectations American‐Meglev and the FDOT. I have shared with her that you will be in Orlando the 10th through the 12th. If all goes well, that 26 weeks to groundbreaking is not that far off. I did meet with the architect after our meeting as well, shared some of the station concepts in order to begin to have him think how 2 we could integrate and blend a station into the design of the food court entry. Also in response to your request for any information on the owner of the Florida Business Center I was able to discover that the building is owned by (I believe an individual) from Herndon, Virginia. The entity is Florida Mall Business Centre, LLC and the owner is listed as Daniel R. Baker. I found two phone numbers 703‐437‐7560 at Coastal American Corp.and 703‐435‐1337 at Union Land and Mangement Co. These are both listed as owned by Mr. Baker. [attachment "MAGLEV_EXHIBIT_09302011.pdf" deleted by Brian Peters/Simon] Brian J. Peters General Manager The Florida Mall 407-851-7234 407-855-1827 (fax) From: "Tony Morris" <tmorris@american-maglev.com> To: <BPeters@simon.com> Date: 09/30/2011 09:50 PM Subject: Overall picture Dear Brian, Thanks again for meeting me on short notice yesterday. We have worked through the layout of the system (see the attached overview). Florida Mall makes a nice center focus, don’t you think? We would like to coordinate with your architect on the “look” of your new front door. We would also like your help so that we get the easements we need to get past the “FL Mall Office Center” parking lot and onto the Mall property. If you could pass on the contacts or any leads, that would be a big help! Thanks again, and have a great weekend! Best regards, American Maglev Technology, Inc. Tony J. Morris President & CEO +1 (404) 386-4036 www.american-maglev.com [attachment "3535_001.pdf" deleted by Brian Peters/Simon] [attachment "101711gh0.pdf" deleted by Brian Peters/Simon] [attachment "Scott Letter FINAL-low.pdf" deleted by Brian Peters/Simon] 3 http://www.thetransportpolitic.com/2010/10/13/transit‐mode‐share‐trends‐looking‐steady‐rail‐appears‐to‐enc Mode Share in Nation’s Largest Metropolitan Areas – 2009 Show entries 100 Driving Carpooli Metro Area (MSA) Total Workers Transit Biking Walking Alone ng Atlanta 2520867 77.21 10.55 3.66 0.2 1.41 Baltimore 1322360 76.76 9.16 6.21 0.33 2.85 Boston 2316315 68.52 8.03 12.24 1.03 5.12 Chicago 4411503 70.92 8.79 11.48 0.57 3.17 Cincinnati 1016920 81.11 9.64 2.42 0.18 2.16 Cleveland 935744 81.5 8.16 3.79 0.22 2.25 Dallas 3042460 81.24 10.32 1.53 0.13 1.4 Denver 1277368 75.6 9.46 4.64 0.72 2.15 Detroit 1786498 84.02 8.56 1.62 0.32 1.65 Houston 2708967 78.78 12.06 2.24 0.27 1.55 Kansas City 1003553 82.47 8.88 1.23 0.21 1.48 Las Vegas 874449 79.47 10.33 3.18 0.34 1.78 Los Angeles 5806655 73.62 10.8 6.2 0.86 2.63 Miami 2446844 77.71 10.43 3.51 0.61 1.77 Minneapolis 1688996 78.12 8.8 4.67 0.86 2.26 New York 8765356 50.39 7.02 30.5 0.4 6.28 Orlando 938873 80.75 9.03 1.85 0.45 0.97 Philadelphia 2769040 73.65 7.92 9.28 0.73 3.75 Phoenix 1893856 76.17 11.98 2.26 0.91 1.8 Pittsburgh 1090107 77.05 9.37 5.77 0.24 3.71 Portland 1050429 71.63 9.89 6.08 2.13 3.17 Riverside 1627806 74.53 15.56 1.78 0.27 2.03 Sacramento 916946 75.78 11.55 2.69 1.62 1.84 St. Louis 1328691 82.25 8.95 2.55 0.3 1.64 San Antonio 919348 79.35 11.4 2.32 0.18 2.02 San Diego 1406411 75.8 9.87 3.08 0.62 2.8 San Francisco 2083775 61.86 10.19 14.59 1.54 4.4 Seattle 1702972 69.54 11.05 8.69 0.92 3.57 Tampa 1191969 80.84 8.98 1.4 0.7 1.43 Washington 2861983 66.1 10.61 14.15 0.57 3.21 www.vhb.com