Baikal Presentation.pptx
Transcription
Baikal Presentation.pptx
3/11/10 Lake Baikal Under Climate Change By Carl Edwards Transboundary Water Resources Outline: • • • • • • • • Formation Lake Characteristics Geographic Characteristics Watershed Characteristics Ecosystem Climate change effects Transboundary Issues Current Preservation Measures 1 3/11/10 Formation: • Rifting began in the Oligocene 20-30 mya, with the collision of the Indian and Eurasian continental plates • The rift valley is estimated at 9 kilometers in depth, making this the deepest continental indentation in the world • Comparison: The average lifespan of a lake is estimated at 10,000 yrs. Modern humans appeared 200,000 years ago. The first mammal with bipedal movement evolved somewhere between 2-4 million years ago. • The Mariana Trench is approximately 11 kilometers deep Lake Characteristics: • Surface Area: 31,500 km2 This is approximately the size of Maryland • The deepest point is estimated at 1,741 meters. Lake superior, the largest freshwater lake by surface area, reaches a maximum depth of 406 meters • Total Volume: 23,000 km3 What does that mean? Lake Baikal holds 20% of the world’s fresh surface water Peter Thompson, Sacred Sea: “The world’s six-billion-plus people could drink, bathe, wash their dishes and clothes, flush their toilets, irrigate their crops and lawns, water their livestock, run their factories, make coffee, and brush their teeth using only Baikal’s water for more than six years.” How does such a large water resource remain untouched? 2 3/11/10 Geographic Characteristics: • Located in Siberia: 4,000 kilometers from the Pacific Ocean, 250 kilometers above the Mongolian border, 5,000 kilometers east of Moscow and many kilometers south of nothing • Average winter temperatures: -19°C • Average summer temperature: 9-12°C • Average water temperature: 4°C • Surrounded by mountains on all sides with very little shoreline • Remained “undiscovered” by Russians until 1643. Native Buryats established residency more than 800 years ago Watershed Characteristics: • 607,000 km2: What does that mean? Close to the size of Texas • Our transboundary focus: The Selenga River • Headwaters originate in Mongolia in multiple locations • More Statistics!: 120 m3/sec average discharge or 3.1 MAF/year (A little over 50% of flow into Lake Baikal) 3 3/11/10 Ecosystem • Over 1,500 endemic species of flora and fauna. More than the Galapagos Islands! (approximately 500 endemic species) • Underwater life is sustained by an unexplained high dissolved oxygen content • Lake Baikal is a unique transboundary resource where human consumption is not the focus Epischura Baikalensis • Cleans organics from the lake • Water is clean enough for human consumption Phoca Sibirica (Nerpa Seal) • The only true freshwater seal on earth Comephorus Baikalensis (Baikal Oilfish) • Can move throughout the entire water column of Lake Baikal • Principal food source for the Nerpas Climate Change Air Temperature: • 1.2°C increase in the past century (Some say in the last 10 years) • Warmer air temperatures could affect life in the epipelagic and mesopelagic levels of Baikal’s ecosystem • 4.5°C increase in surface water temperature by the end of the 21st century • Decrease in ice cover (Maintaining historic ice cover is essential for the spring algae bloom) Precipitation Changes: • 26% increase in winter precipitation by the end of the 21st century • Most will fall as snow cover, reducing the available sunlight for algae blooms (Moore et al., 2009) 4 3/11/10 Why is algae important? • Algae blooms are a major food source for E. Baikalensis, and the algae species in Lake Baikal are endemic • E. Baikalensis represents 90% of the biomass within Lake Baikal (Moore et al., 2009) 5 3/11/10 Transboundary Issues – Mining in Mongolia • Extensive natural resource exploration along the Selenga River • Gold, Copper and Coal represent the major components of the mining industry • Little or no reclamation after mining operations cease. Tailings are abandoned allowing for the leaching of sulfides through oxygenation Attention to environmental degradation in Mongolia is not likely to become a priority: • Mining is Mongolia’s source of wealth (estimated 3,000 tons of gold yet to be recovered , worth about $106 billion based on a price of $1,110 /oz.) • 30% of the country is licensed for exploration • Neighboring China is the primary buyer (Robinson, 2004) Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia 6 3/11/10 Mining in the Buryat Republic • • Some reclamation in the Dzhidinksi region to re-grade gold tailings Many abandoned mining operations originated under the Soviet government : no company or governing body to hold responsible for reclamation Protective measures for the Baikal Watershed • • • • Baikal Law : Established in 1999, and amended in 2002, 2003 and 2004 Prohibits: Chemical Pollution, Biological Pollution, Construction of any NEW economic objects, and establishes Ecological zone Law enforcement is constrained by money: 2002 Budget for Baikal Law $1 million Where do you find the necessary funds? The Prime Minister of Russia at Lake Baikal "I see the bed of Lake Baikal and it is clean“ -Vladimir Putin 7 3/11/10 Discussion Monetary value of a biosphere? • The Economists: $33 trillion/year: Includes lumber production, crop production, mineral resources, purification of water, waste treatment, biomass fuel, hydrocarbon resources, fish catch, etc. • E.O. Wilson - The Future of Life: “Even the species themselves are largely unknown. Fewer than two million are in the scientific register, with formal Latinized names, while an estimated five million to one hundred million-or moreawait discovery. Of the species known, fewer than 1 percent have been studied beyond the sketchy anatomical descriptions used to diagnose them” Nerpas!!! Two topics not addressed: • Permafrost melting around Baikal. Methane is a far stronger greenhouse gas than Carbon Dioxide: Do climate models take into account methane production near Baikal? • Baikalsk Paper Mill on the Southern shore of Lake Baikal: discharges of organochlorines from bleaching 8