Australian Long Distance Coach Industry Review
Transcription
Australian Long Distance Coach Industry Review
BTE Publication Summary Australian Long Distance Coach Industry Review Subject Occasional Paper Recent years have seen a major-increase in the level of competition within the long distance coach industry in Australia. This competition has led to a significant fall in fares and a reported growth in passenger numbers. Initial examination of information sources revealed an almost complete lack of reliable, publicly available, disaggregate data on the industry. Information used in preparation of this Paper was obtained in discussions with coach operators and State authorities, by detailed analysis of coach timetables and observations of coach occupancy. However, information on the size and income of the industry is still based on estimates rather than on any formal industry returns. Series Date A to Z Search Results Print Exit GO BACK Occasional Paper74 Australian Long Distance Coach Industry Review AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING SERVICE, 1985 CANBERRA @ Commonwealth of Australia 1985 ISSN 0157-7085 ISBN 0 644 04439 X Printed by Canberra Publishing and Printing Co., Fyshwick, A.C.T. FOREWORD In recent times the long distance coach industry i n Australia has undergone considerable change. A number of new companies have entered the market, fares have fallen sharply and there has been rapid growth i n patronage.Theindustryisnow a majorcompetitorfor non-business, interstate travel. Inspiteofthisgrowth,littledata on theindustry had been published and no comprehensive analysis had been undertaken. I n light of this, the Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) decided to carry out a review of the industry and this Paper sets out the information obtained and the analysis undertaken. The exercise proved timely in that it co-incided with an Inquiry into the safety of long distance coach operations by the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Transport Safety. A draft of this Paper was presented at a seminar on long distance surfacepassengertransport i n Sydney on 26 July 1985 andwas subsequently edited to take account of comnents received from industry and other sources. The BTE acknowledges with thanks the co-operation of the industry in the provision of information and the assistance received from State authorities i n relationtoboth th-e provisionofdataand i nterpretati on of State Licensing regul ati ons. This Paper is primarily the work of Messrs M. Kunz, D. Wellfare, G. Dillon, K. Lawsonand A. Carmody,withassistancefromother G. King Special Studies Branch staff under the supervision of Dr (Chapters 2 and 31 and Mr C. Cronin (Chapters 4 and 5). R. W. L. WYERS Assistant Director Speci a1 Studies Branch Bureau of Transport Economics Canberra December 1985 iii CONTENTS Page iii FOREWORD 1 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION CHAPTER 2 DESCRIPTION OF THEINDUSTRY Operators Route services Passenger capacity Fares Coach fares relativeto other modes Passengers Relative size of industry 3 4 6 20 22 30 39 45 CHAPTER 3 EXPRESS COACHES: COSTS AND REVENUES costs Revenue Prof i t margin 47 47 54 55 CHAPTER 4 THE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK OF THE LON6 DISTANCE COACH INDUSTRY Quantity (economic) regulation Safety standards Infrastructure Organisational setting 57 58 62 67 69 CHAPTER 5 INDUSTRYSTRUCTURE,PRICINGANDPERFORMANCE Structural attributes Pricing practices Industry performance 71 72 76 79 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUDIW REMARKS Government involvement Competition Growth, investment, costs and productivity 91 91 93 93 V APPENDIX I SUPPLEMENTARY,STATISTICALTABLES APPENDIX I1 CASE STUDY OPERATION - Page 95 COSTING OF AN EXPRESS COACH 105 REFERENCES 115 'ABBREVIATIONS 119 vi TABLES Page 2.1 Major intercapital route services, by route and operator, November 1984 8 2.2 Intercapital services: by zone, November 1984 12 2.3 Extra-scheduling of services: Christmas-New Year, 1984-85 14 Intercapi tal journeys: estimated capacityand passenger trips, 1984 16 Rail passenger fares: capital cities economy single fare, as at November 1975 to 1984 32 Air passenger fares: capital cities economy sing1 e fare, as at November 1975 to 1984 33 Indicative coach fares: capital cities (lowest and highest.fare) single fare, as at November 1975 to 1984 34 Comparison of single fares and journey .times: coach and railway, 1984 38 Trip proportions by income and vehicle type, 1977-78 41 Person trips by age of person travelling and vehicle type, 1977-78 41 2.11 Journey purpose of travellers, 1977-78 '42 2 .l2 Household income of coach travellers, 1983-84 43 2 .l3 Household income of air travel 1 ers, 1983-84 43 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.10 vi i 2.14 Age of travellers, 1983-84 2.15 Purpose of journey, 1983-84 2.16 Intercapital passengerjourneys, 4.1 4.2 driving Hours ._ forof Page 44 44 1980-81 to1984-85 heavy vehicles 46 65 Non-urban speed limits for vehicles,all States and Territories 66 Passenger fare comparison of interstate and intrastate routes: national operators as at November 77 Composition of the interstate long distance coach industry: type of operator 84 5.3 Fatal accident involvement by type of vehicle, 1981 86 5.4 Coach accident data, 1981 87 1.1 Air passenger fares: capital cities, economy single fare as at 1 November 1960 to 1984 96 Rail passenger fares: capital cities, economy single fare as at 1 November 1960 to 1984 98 Coach passenger fares: capital cities, adult single fare as at 1 November 1960 to 1984 100 Weekly driver costsfor' acase study of a coach service operating Brisbane-Melbourne-Perth 106 Costs per week, Express coach service between Brisbane and Perthvia Me1 bourne (as detailed in Schedules 1-4) 108 Capital repayments 110 5.1 5.2 I .2 I .3 11.1 11.2 11.3 viii ~ FIGURES Page 2.1 2.2 2.3 at 2.4 Levels of serviceon major intercapital route services, Zones of the levels of service on major i ntercapi tal routes, 1984 Coach passenger fares for Sydney-Melbourne: nominal as price 1 November 1966-84 7 11 24 Coach passenger fares for Sydney-Melbourne: real price index, relative to 1966 Ansett Pioneer fare, as at 1 1966-84 25 Nominal coach, rail and air adult fares for Sydney-Melbourne: 1 atas November 1975-84 30 Real price index, relative to 1975 Ansett Pioneer fare, for coach, rail and air adult fares for Sydney-Melbourne: as at 1 November 1975-84 31 4.1 Organisation of ATAC 64 5.1 Australian fatal accidents, 1981 85 November 2.5 2.6 ix CHAPTER 1-INTRODUCTION Recent years have seen a major- increase in the level of competition i n Australia.This withinthelongdistancecoachindustry competition has led to a significant fall i n fares and a reported growth i n passenger numbers. At the same time, it has been suggested in some quarters that comnercial pressures have led to adoption of unsafe practices. As a result, at the time of writing, the House of Representatives Standi ng Comni ttee on Transport Safety is inquiring into the industry. Initial examination of information sources revealed an almost complete 1 ack of re1 iabl e, pub1 icly avail ab1 e, disaggregate data on the industry. Information used i n preparation of this Paper was obtained i n discussions with coach operators and State authorities, by detailed analysis of coach timetables and observations of coach occupancy. However, information on the size and income of the industry is still based on estimates rather thanon any formal industry returns. In this study, the long distance coach industry is taken to be the col 1 ection of operators provi di ng schedul ed servi ces over i ndi vi dual route lengths of more than 160 kilometres, on either intrastate or interstate routes. The coach industry is describedi n Chapter 2 i n terms of the operators providing services and the routes covered. The number of passengers travel1 ing on scheduled intercapital coach services is estimated to allow the size of the coach market tobe compared with that of other types of public transport; in this case rail and air. The historical development of fares is examined to determine the effect of the 1 ow fare entrants. Thesocio-economiccharacteristics of passengersareexamined and compared with those of travellers by rail , air and car. This a1 1 ows the segment of the passenger market served by the coach industry to be described and possible sourcesof future passengers to beidentified. 1 A case study of a small coach operation providing services between Brisbane and Perth via Me1 bourne is used i n Chapter 3 to estimate the cost of operating coaches. The major areas considered are capital costs, the wage costs of the alternative driver provision schemes and vehicle operating costs. Of major interest is the margin between the estimated costs and fare revenue. This margin provides for overhead costs and profit. Chapter 4 describes the institutional framework of the industry under four separate but interrelatedheadings. They are quantity (economic) regulation, safety standards, the provision of the road infrastructure system by government and the organisational setting of employers and employees within theindustry. Industrycompetition in terms ofstructural attributes,pricing practices andl’industry performance is discussed in Chapter 5 . The issuesaddressed includeentrylexitbarriers,modal competition, levels of service, industry concentration and stability, safety and fare 1 eve1 S. Thetrends and issuesconfrontingthe”1ndustryarediscussed in Chapter 6. The major topics considered’ are government involvement, competitionwithintheindustry and betweenmodes, andgrowth, investment, costs andproductivity. 2 CHAPTER 2-DESCRIPTIO# OF THE IUDUSTRY This chapter provides a descriptive background to the long distance coach industry, highlighting factors such as major operators, route services, passenger characteristics and fare development. Much of the informationconcerningrouteservices and passengernumberswas derived from operator timetables currentas at November 1984. There were between 40 and 50 operators providing long distance coach travel throughout Australia. The majority of these (approximately 30 to 40) provided only intrastateservices,whiletherewere 10 i ntercapi tal services. operators whose main business was to provide Attheinterstate level there were 464 return servicesperweek scheduled between the capital cities and around 1.7 to 2.0 million passenger journeys annually. The interstate coach fleet consisted of between 200 and 250 coaches which were estimated to cover around 65 to 75 mi 1 1 ion route kilometreseach year. The majority of inte.rstate services occur between the eastern States, which account for 69 per cent of all intercapital services. A further 18 per cent were services between Adelaide and the easternStates. The intercapital section of thelongdistance coachindustry was estimatedtogeneratean annual income(based on November1984 timetables and fares) of approximately $80 to $90 million, whilst directly providingenploymentforaround2000 people. Additionalemployment is created by the coach industry i n the tourism, coach building and maintenance industries. Atthelongdistanceintrastate level, theinformationavailable indicates that there werebetween 800 and 950 return services per week and i n the order of two million passenger journeys peryear. The most extensive intrastate network was i n Queensland, which accounts for approximately half the number of services and passengers. 3 BTE Occasional Paper 74 OPERATORS Interstate coach operators In November1984therewereabout10coachcompaniesoperating interstate coach services throughout Australia. Of these, four major operatorsdominatedthe harket: AnsettPioneer, Greyhound, Deluxe Coachlines, and the Australian VIP Leisure Tours (VIP). There were three small, to medium coach companies: Across Australia Coachlines (AAC), Olympic East West (OEW), and McCafferty's. As well as the medium to large businesses there were a number of minor operators who provided only return services on single intercapital city routes. Theseoperators included: Aussie Express, NorthwestExpress and Intertours. The four major companies mentioned above each operated between 90 to 115 return services per week on intercapital routes (see Table 2.1) with each operator effectively using around 40 to 45 coaches in providing 'these services. VIP, for example, were using 4 3 coaches at On the other hand, Ansett the end of 1984 and Deluxe 41 coaches. Pioneer at the end of 1984 operated about 70 coaches exclusively on interstate routes. The medium sized operators, OEW, McCafferty's and AAC, were each operating around 10 to 12 coaches towards the end of 1984. With the entry of new operators between 1980 and 1984, including OEW, VIP, Deluxe and AAC, there has been a marked reduction i n th.e age profile of the,coach fleet. This has occurred because these operators entered the industry with new coaches, generally financed under lease arrangements, so that the average fleet age at the end 'of 1984 was only about two to three years. On the other hand, the established operators, Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound, were running fleets with a considerably older age structure. Some of the coaches usedby Ansett Pioneer in 1984 wereu p to 16 years. old, the average age of their coach fleet being, around 10 to 12 years. However, both Ansett Pioneer and Greyhoundhave recently undertaken major fleet upgrading with the purchase of new coaches during 1984 'for use on the major intercapitalroutes. With respect to the total number of coaches i n the intercapital of TransportEconomics (BTE) section of theindustry,aBureau analysis of the number of services operated on the major intercapital routes by the major operators indicated that there would be in the to intercapital order of 200 to 250 coaches essentially dedicated 4 Chapter 2 operations. However, this number would increase i n the peak periods with greater use of subcontractors and coaches usually used for other operations such as tours and charters. I n terms of industry enploymnt, information supplied by industry sources suggests that the intercapital industry was directly responsiblefortheemployment of around 2000 peopleincluding drivers, clerks, maintenance and management staff. This figure does not include subcontractors or franchise staff but, on the other hand, does include some administrative staff employed i n the subsidiary areas of the larger operators, such as tour and charter operations. In addition, the industry generates employment i n other industries it interacts with. Intrastate operators While intercapital services were dominated by four operators, each with a national network, intrastate services were generally dominated by operatorsspecific tothe individualStates. Thefourmajor interstate operators also' have some pick up and set down rights within States, although these generallyapply only to their intercapital servi ces. In New South Wales there were ten intrastate long distance operators concentrated mainly i n the north coast area and around Canberra and the south coast. The major operators were Kirklands and Skennars i n the north coastareaandMurrays based i n Canberra.Intrastate licences were also held by Ansett Pioneer, Greyhound, VIP and Deluxe which allow intrastate travel over some of the major highways of N e w South Wales. In Victoria many 1 ong distance intrastate coach services were operated under contract to V/Line rather than as independent operators. This led to a co-ordinated coach/rail timetable being issued, coaches being painted i n V/Line colours, new services being introduced (such as A1 bury to Adelaide) and pub1 icity of services being provided. The major independent long distance coach operators were Ansett Motors' and L. C. Dyson Bus Service. Long distance coach travel i n Queensland was dominated by three major operators, Greyhound, McCafferty's and Ansett Pioneer. Between them, they accounted for some 73 per cent of long distance services. Other 1. Ansett Motors is part of Ansett Transport Industries. 5 BTE Occasional Paper 74 operatorsincludedSkennars,KarumbaConnection, McGrath, VIP and Deluxe. J. F. and V. F. In South Australia there were seven operators providing long distance 68 coach services. The major operator was Stateliner which carried per cent of long distance passengers in 1983-84. Other operators included: MurrayBridgePassenger Service, with 11 percent of passengers; Premier, 8 per cent; Briscoes, 6 per cent; and Mt Gambier Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound both have Bus Service, 6 per' cent. licences to carry passengers intrastate although these licences allow these passengers to be carried on their interstate services. ROUTE SERVICES Interstate services The major route services provided by the long distance coach operators were those between the capital cities of Australia. A1 though the greatest concentration of services was along the eastern-seaboard and throughout south-eastern Australia, the present express coach 'network provided a ,complete passenger link between all the minland capital cities. Although the following route service analysis uses the name of the principal operator, the major op,erators use franchise arrangements on some of their routes. For example, a significant number of Greyhound servicesthroughoutsouthernAustralia,areactuallyprovided by Statelinerunder franchise. AnsettPioneeralso hasa number of i n South routesoperatedunderfranchise,forexample,Briscoes Australia. As such, the networks of the major operators described below are 'described i n aggregate terms, including those services provided under franchise. The November 1984 networkis illustrated i n Figure 2.1, which maps out the major intercapital routes showing relative route density. This route information is then detailed i n Table 2.1, which shows the number of regular scheduled services on the intercapital routes by routeand operator. Thistable doesnot include all services available owing to the recent entry of several smaller operators, for example, Aussie Express, who usually operate only a small number of servicesover onlyone ortwo routes. Theservicesshownare scheduled return services and represent thebase case as more than one coach can be operated on each service. 6 m Darwi n Number of services per week. l 1 11 21 31 51 101 - 10 - 20 - 30 - 50 - 100 - 200 , Perth Source: Prepared by BTE. 3 R 'CI Figure 2.1-Levels of service on major intercapital route services, 1984 rc m 3 TABLE 2.1-MAJOR INTERCAPITAL ROUTE SERVICES, BY ROUTE AND OPERATOR, NOVEMBER 1984 (return services per week) Operators Ansett Route VIP McCafferty'6 AAC Pioneer Greyhound Deluxe OEW 21 21 35 35 14 .. .. 6 14 14 .. 14 .. 4 25 21 28 .. 14 3 7 7 .. 7 .. 14 .. .. Sydney-Canberra .. .. .. .. 14 .. .. Canberra-Me1 .. 7 .. .. 21 .. .. 15 14 14 .. 7 3 3 7 10 7 .. 7 3 3 Brisbane-Sydney Brisbane-Me1 Sydney-Me1 bourne bourne Sydney-Adel ai de bourne Me1 bourne-Adel ai de Adel ai de-Perth Total TABLE 2.1 (Cont)-MAJOR INTERCAPITAL ROUTE SERVICES, B Y ROUTE AND OPERATOR, NOVEMBER 1984 (return servicesper week) Onerator6 Route Greyhound Adel ai de-Dami n .. 7 Perth-Dami n Darwin-Brisbane .. Dehxe VIP ~ccafferty's Ansett Pioneer .. .. 4 .. .. 1 .. .. .. 5 .. .. .. 1 2 5 .. .. AAC OEW Total 11 (3) 4 (1) 10 (2) Total Per week .. not applicable Note: Source: Figures in brackets are per cent of services. Greyhound, Deluxe, VIP, McCafferty's, Ansett Pioneer, AAC and OEW timetables. N BTE Occasional Paper 74 Figure 2.1 and Table 2.1 show intercapital routes as direct services and thus do not differentiate between intercapital services which follow different routes. However, it should be noted at this stage that operators were not necessarily able to pick u p and set down u p or setting passengers anywhere along these routes. The picking dawn of passengers within a State must either be associated with interstate travel, or be covered by intrastate route licences. In terms of network coverage it can be seen that the two largest operators, Greyhound and Ansett Pioneer, provided an extensive network service between all capital cities. These companies also provided a wide coverage of inland towns and cities, particularly through New South Wales, as a result of services between capital cities which follow different routes. Of the other operators, Deluxe scheduled services around Australia but did not operate a link between Adelaide and Darwin. VIP operated services between Perth and the eastern States as we1 1 as north to Cairns i n Queensland. OEW and AAC basically operated between Brisbane and Perth. OEW did not operatebetweenBrisbaneandSydney but instead operated services from Brisbane to Melbourne and Sydney to Melbourne and then on to Perth. AAC provided three services per week fromSydney to Perth via MelbourneandAdelaide.McCafferty's withdrew from the Sydney-Melbourne route i n late 1984 and operated on only one interstate route; that between Brisbane and Sydney. As we1 1 as the major operators mentioned above there were also a number of smaller operators. These include Aussie Express on the Sydney-Adelaide route, and Northwest Express on the Sydney-Brisbane route via Dubbo. Intercapital coach services i n Australia can be categorised by area i n Figure 2.2. into one of four zones. The four zones are shown Zone 1 refers to services along the eastern seaboard and includes 2 services between Brisbane, Sydney, Canberra and Melbourne; Zone services are east-west feeder services linking the eastern States with Adelaide; Zone 3 is the east-west link and consists of services 4 refers to services throughout between Adelaide and Perth; while Zone the central, north and western areas of Australia. Table 2.2 presents the number and percentage of services for each zone. 69 per Zone 1 contained the largest number of services, accounting for cent of all intercapital services throughout Australia. Within this 10 Chapter 2 v) 3 Q, c, L 0 "'D 0 L 0 E . 3 c 0 Q, V c 0 c 0 c I cu. N BTE Occasional Paper 74 zone the route with the greatest number of services was BrisbaneSydney with 126 return services per week. The major operatorson this route were VIP and McCafferty's who each provided 35 return services per week. This was the only i ntercapital express service operated by McCafferty's and provided a link between Sydney and their intrastate network throughout Queensland. The Melbourne-Sydney route had the next highest number of services However, it is important to note that because with 98 per week. Ansett Pioneer had a l i cen'ce to operate between Sydney and Canberra (refer to section on regulation)someoftheirMelbourne-Sydney services were combined Melbourne-Canberra, Canberra-Sydney services and are recorded as such. VIP dominated the Sydney-Melbourne route, operating 28 return services per week. The other major route i n Zone 1 was Brisbane-Melbourne with 52 return services per week. Deluxe, VIP and Ansett Pioneer share the majority of services on this route, each operating 14 return services per week. Zone 2 had the next highest number of services, 84 return services per of totalintercapitalservices.ThisZone weekor 18 percent consistedoftwointercapitalroutes:Melbourne-Adelaide,with56 returnser,vicesperweek,andSydney-Adelaide,with31return services. The Melbourne-Adelaide route was dominated by Greyhound, Deluxe and VIP with 15, 14 and 14 return services respectively. It was also served by Ansett Pioneer, AAC andOEW. Only three of'the major operators served the Sydney-Adelaide route TABLE 2.2-INTERCAPITAL SERVICES: BY ZONE, NOVEMBER 1984 Zone 1 2 3 4 Eastern seaboard East-west feeder East-west 1 ink Central -north-western Total Source: 12 Number of return services per week Per cent of total services 318 84 37 25 69 18 8 5 464 100 Greyhound, Deluxe, VIP, McCafferty's, Ansett Pioneer, AAC and OEW timetables. Chapter 2 with Ansett Pioneer providing14 return services per week, Greyhound 7 return services andVIP also with 7 services. Zone 3 consists entirely of the Adelaide-Perth route on which there were 37 return services per week. There were six major operators servingthisroutewithDeluxeoffering 10 returnservicesand Greyhound, Ansett Pioneer and VIP operating 7 return services each. week. . M C and OEW each operated 3 return services per The remaining intercapital services covering central, northern and u p Zone 4. TheseroutesincludedDarwinwesternAustraliamake Adelaide with 11 return services, Perth-Darwin 4 and Darwin-Brisbane, 10 per week. The services operated in Zone 4 have generally been dominated by the two established operators, Greyhound and Ansett Pioneer. However, in late 1984 Deluxe, VIP and McCafferty 'S were granted licences to provide services between Brisbane and Cairns. I n summary, the majority of intercapital services (69 per cent) were operated i n the eastern States between Brisbane and Melbourne. The number of services in all other zones was significantly less with 18 per cent of services in Zone 2, 8 per cent in Zone 3 and5 per cent in Zone 4. I n total there were approximately 460 return services each week over the intercapital routes. It is important, however,. to note that these service frequencies refer only to standardschedules.They do notincludeextraservices scheduled for holiday periods, such as Christmas-New Year when extra services were provided from mid-December to the end of January. 1984-85 Christmasperiodindicatesthatthe Experienceoverthe i n their response to express operators have considerable flexibility increases in demand. Table 2.3 presents the extra services scheduled by four of the major operators over the 1984-85 Christmas-New Year period and publishedin their timetables'. It can be seen that during this period these operators added 259 extra services per week to their schedules, representing an increase of 64 per cent on the standard services scheduled by these operators. Not only did the operators increase the number of services over existing 1. Some operators have advised that they ran more services, often as double headers, than their timetable indicated. 13 BTE OccasionalPaper 74 routes,but they alsoadded new routes. For example,theextra Greyhound services between Brisbane 'and Melbourne were scheduledvia Moree, Wagga Wagga and Wangaratta, a different route from that used for their normal services. As well as scheduling extra services operators can also increase the number of,passengersi n total by running 'double headers', that,is, by running two or more coaches over a route which has only one service scheduled. These, however, are not readily identifiable and are not included i n servicestatistics,,althoughtheyprovideincreased capacity i n peak periods. As an example of the use of 'double headers', Ansett Pioneer TABLE 2.3-EXTRA-SCHEDULING OF SERVICES: CHRISTMAS-NEW YEAR, 1984-85 ?perator Route Total bane-Melbourne Greyhound ney on the Sydneybou -Me1 rne Sydney-Adelaide Me1 bourne-Adelai de 14 Deluxe Number of extra services per week 8 14 2 38 28 14 Sydney-Melbourne Me1 bourne-Adelai de Adelaide-Perth Sydney-Adel ai de 14 12 6 74 Sydney-Brisbane 28 Melbourne-Adelaide Adel ai de-Perth 28 105 Sydney-Brisbane 42 42 l'bourne-Sydney 42 Pioneer Ansett 7 VIP Total Note: Source: 14 259 Only those extra services shown i n operator timetables are shown. Greyhound, Deluxe, Ansett Pioneer and VIP timetables. Sydney-Canberra route often runs at least one extra coach per service during the off-peak period with this increasingto around six or seven extra coaches on some services during the peak period. This would lead to a significant increase i n the estimated number of passengers carried on this route as indicatedin Table 2.4. In addition operators are able to increase their capacity i n times of high demand by: reducing turnaround time between journeys; using subcontractors; and incorporating coaches into their express fleet that are usually used for tours or charter, etc. Intrastate services This section looks at route coverage i n the States of Australia by both intrastatecoachoperatorsand by interstateoperatorswith intrastate licences. Three States, South Australia, New South Wales and Queensland, are considered indetail. Long distance routes in South Australia extend in the south to Mt Gambier and Bordertown, in the east to Renmark, north towards Broken Hill, Arkaroola and Alice Springs, and in the west to centres such as Yorketwn, Port Pirie, Port Augusta, Port Lincoln and Ceduna. In 1983-84 longdistancecoachservicescoveredapproximately million kilometres throughout South Australia, consisting 9050 return trips. 8 of around As pointed out i n the previous section, Stateliner was by far the 100 return services each largest of the operators, providing around week. Stateliner provided services from Adelaide to Renmark, Ceduna, Arkaroola, Loxton, Pt Lincoln, Quorn, the Northern Territory border via Port Augusta, the New South Wales bordervia the Barrier Highway, Whyalla and Wilpena. The next largest of the operators was Murray Bridge Passenger Service with around 25 return services perweek t o Pi nnaroo, Premier Roadli nes with 12 return services per week to Weningie and Moonta, and Briscoes with 11 return services per week around the York Peninsula to centres such as- Yorketown, Maitland and PortVictoria. Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound also had intrastate1 i cences to pick u p 15 TABLE 2.4-INTERCAPITAL JOURNEYS: ESTIMATED CAPACITY AND PASSENGER TRIPS, 1984 + peak) Normal period (52 weeks) Peak (6 weeks) Total (normal Passengers Passengers Additional Passengers Services per services week per Services week Route per week Capacity Passengers per week Capacity Passengers per year per week Capacity passengers i U U& BrisbaneSydney BrisbaneMe1 bourne SydneyMe1 bourne Sydney Adel ai de SydneyCanberra CanberraMe1 bourne Me1 bou rne Adel ai de AdelaidePerth - - 252 11 088 8 300 77 3 386 3 000 13 566 591 000 451 000 104 4 576 3 400 8 352 300 5 456 240 000 180 000 196 8 624 6 500 70 3 080 2 800 10 612 467 000 353 000 56 2 464 1 800 20 880 800 3 032 133 000 101 000 28 1 232 900 .. .. .. 1 456 64 000 48 000 56 2 464 1 800 .. .. .. 2 912 128 000 96 000 112 4 928 3 700 44 1 936 1 700 6 088 268 000 203 000 74 3 256 2 400 40 1 760 1 600 4 088 180 000 136 000 i TABLE 2.4 (Cant)-INTERCAPITAL JOURNEYS: ESTIMATED CAPACITY AND PASSENGER TRIPS,1984 Normal period (52 weeks) Peak Passengers Passengers Additional Passengers Services per services week Route per w e e k . CapacityPassengers AdelaideDarwin PerthDawin DarwinBrisbane 880 Total (normal + peak) (6 weeks) Total per Services week per weekCapacityPassengers peryear 22 968 700 .. .. .. 50 1 144 8 352 300 .. .. .. 700 .. .. 259 11810 300 49 396 10 20 928 40 600 832 30 per week CapacityPassengers 000 38 000 416 18 000 14 000 .. 46 1 040 000 34 000 2 192 000 1 654 000 .. not applicable Notes: Source: c. U 1. Figures may not add due to rounding. 2. This table represents a low estimate because of 'double-headers' and other additional services which may not be fully accounted for. BTE calculations based on Gre hound, Deluxe, VIP, McCafferty's, Ansett Pioneer, AAC and OEW timetables, observations by &E and discussion with industry sources. BTE Occasional Paper 74 and set down passengers on their regular interstate services between Me1 bourne and Adelaide, and Adelaide and Perth. I n New South Wales localised route services were concentrated on the north coast and inland areas and south between Canberra and the south coast. i n northernNewSouthWalesbetween Kirklandsoperatesservices ( 7 return services per week), Lismore and Ballina and Sydney Tenterf iel d (6 return services1, and between Lismore and Tweed Heads (6 return services 1. Skennars provides services between Sydney and Port Macquarie and Port Macquarie and Tanworth (14 and 3 return servicesperweekrespectively).BulladelahBusCompanyoperates services between Newcastle and both Bulladelah and Forster. Other services i'nclude Moree-Tamworth (Go1 dl i ne Coaches), InverellTenterfield(BorderCoaches)andCessnock-Sydney(BatterhamsBus Lines). Services between Canberra and the south coast are operated operators, P. J. Evans and Murrays, who provide services between Canberra-Bega, Canberra-Narooma, and Canberra-Wollongong. by two I n New South Wales additional routes were provided by the four major interstate operators, Deluxe, Greyhound, VIP and Ansett Pioneer, who had intrastate licences associated with some of their interstate routes. Ansett Pioneer, for example, had pick up and set down rights ontheirMelbourne-Brisbaneroute via theNewell,OxleyandNew England Highways, on the Sydney-Adelaide route via Broken Hi1 1, and 'alongcertainsectionsoftheHumeHighwaybetweenSydneyand Me1 bou m e . Deluxe also had pick up and set down rights along the MelbourneBrisbane route via the Newell, Oxley, New England and Gwydir Highways and could also carry passengers between Tarcutta and Sydney on their Sydney-Me1 bourne service. Greyhound had intrastate licences for its Melbourne-Brisbane services via Moama and Tenterfield, via Albury and Goondiwindi, and via Tweed ,Heads. They also had pick up and set down rights on their AdelaideSydney route via Canberra and via Cowra. VIP had an intrastate licence for its Adelaide-Sydneyservice. All the intrastate licenses i n NSW have restrictions as passengers can be picked u p or set down. to where Chapter 2 In terms of intrastate services per week Queensland had the most extensive route coverage of all States. I n all there were 229 return services per week throughout Queensland. The majority of services i n Queensland were located in centres along the east coast including towns and cities such as Brisbane, Rockhampton, Mackay, Townsvi 1 le and Cairns. Other services provided inland were Cairns-Karumba, Townsville-Mt Isa, Rockhampton-Longreach, Brisbane-Longreach, and Longreach-Mt Isa. Two routes i n particular, Brisbane-Rockhampton and Rockhampton-Mackay, had services which deviated inland i n addition to theircoastal services. Greyhound provided 54 return services per week between centres such as Brisbane-Cairns, Brisbane-Mt Isa, Brisbane-Longreach, TownsvilleNorthern Territory via Mt Isa, and Rockhampton-Longreach. McCafferty's operated 71 return services per week between centres such asBrisbane-Rockhampton. Mackay-Rockhampton,Rockhampton-Montoand Tocwoomba-Gympie. However, McCafferty's together with Deluxe and VIP were granted licences to provide services between Brisbane and Cairns i n late 1984. Skennars operated 34 return services per week on four long distance routes; Brisbane-Stanthorpe, Brisbane-Goondiwindi, Brisbane Wallangara, and Brisbane-Charleville. Other operators included J. F. and V. F. McGrath, servicing CairnsCooktown, and Karumba Connection between Cairns-Karumba. i n Queensland between Ansett Pioneer also have intrastate licences Brisbane-Cairns, Brisbane-Charleville, Cairns-Cooktown, and Twnsville-Mt Isa and provided 4 2 return services perweek. In Victoria V/Line, as a result of the contracting system, was the major operator with its most inportant long distance routes being Mildura-Melbourne and Bendigo-Sea Lake. Thereweresix return services a week by coach between Mildura and Melbourne each week and 12 co-ordinated rai l/coach return services. Bendi go and Sea Lake were served by six return services each week that co-ordinate with trains from Me1 bou m e . The major independent routes were those provided byL.C. Dyson Bus Service between Melbourne and Barham, and by Ansett Motors between Melbourne and MtGambier. 19 BTE OccasionaZ Paper 74 'PASSENGER CAPACITY Interstate passenger journeys and revenue Whilst there were no readily available statistics on the number of passenger journeys, it was possible, by calculating the number of available seats, to estimate the number of passenger journeys on i ntercapi tal express coach services. Table 2.4 sets out the number of scheduled services, derived capacity level and estimated number of trips. There are two distinct periods, that based on normal scheduled services and the peak period of six weeks based on extra services scheduled for the Christmas-New Year holiday period (see Table2.3). Passenger numbers have been calculated using the assumption that the average coach has a 44 seat capacity, with a 75 per cent occupancy rate i n the normal period and 90 per cent for the extra services i n the peak period. These occupancy rates are based on observation by BTE staff and discussion with industry sources. The columns headed capacity represent avdlilable capacity i n the appropriate period. Using scheduled services for the estimation it would appear that the total capacity of the interstate express coach industry would 'be i n the order of 2.2 million passenger journeys per year. This could probably be increasedwithouttheuseofadditionalcoaches by reducing idle and turnaround time. Based on an occupancy rate of 75 per cent throughout the year and 90 per cent for extra services over the Christmas period this means that there would be around 1.7 million passenger journeys made per year' (based on November 1984 timetables for seven major operators 1. This is a conservative estimate as 'double headers' have not been allowed for. The effect ' of operating extra services over the Christmas-New Year period canclearly be seenfromTable 2.4.. Theextraservices scheduledoverthisperiod by thefourmajoroperators,Ansett Pioneer, Greyhound, Deluxe and VIP, lead to an estimated increase i n passenger capacity of 11 000 per week or around 68 000 over the sixweek period. 1. Industry advice is that a figure of around 2.0 million passen er some arties also argued that !he journeys is more likely but occupancy rates used were too hig ; this would yield a lower figure.ABS (1985) estimated that 1..0 million people undertook bus trips of more than200 kilometres 1 n 1983. 1: 20 Chapter 2 Thereare no directlyapplicablesourcesofinformation on the passengergrowthoftheintercapitalcoach.industry.Using information. from the Austral ian Standing Committee on Tourism (1984) (figures on the total number of interstatecoach. travellers, including tours and charters), it would appear that the number of intercapital travel1 ers increased by 60 per cent' in the period 1980 to 1984. Using scheduledrouteservices on an operator/route basis, it is possible, by applying the appropriate fares, to estimate the annual. grossfarerevenuefortheindustry.BasedonNovember 1984 timetables,itwouldappearthatthe intercapital expresscoach industry was earning around $80 mill ion annually in fare revenue. This estimate does not allow a loss of revenue to operators who offer concession fares. While these estimates include extra scheduled services it is a1 so possible for operators to achieve higher real occupancy rates by immediately filling seats which are vacated en-route. This can only occur, however, where trips are part of an interstate trip or where theoperator has alicence to pick up andsetdown intrastate passengers. It is a1 so possible for operators to increase fare levels duringpeak periods as well as adding new services. One operator, AAC, added an extra service per week on its intercapital routes in the 1984-85 peak around Christmas and increased its fares on all routes.The Me1 bourne-Sydney fare, for example, was increased from $24.00 to $29.00 and the Sydney-Perth fare from $115.00 to $125.00 for this period. Hence the estimate of industry revenue is most likely on the low side. Intrastate passenger journeys and revenue Statistics on intrastate passenger journeys frompub1 ished sources or withoutconfidentialityprovisions wereonly available forSouth Australia and Victoria. However it is possible to estimate passenger journeys using the methodology used for the interstate section of the i ndustry . Statistics for South Australia (Director-General of Transport 1984) show that i n the financial year 1983-84 there wereapproximately 1. The industry believes that it has grown cent since assertion. 1980 but BTE has between 100 and 200 per no data to substantiate this 21 BTE Occasional Paper 74 400 000 long distance passenger journeys made throughout the State. The route with the greatest patronage was the Adel aide-Whyall a route, operated by Stateliner, which accounted for around 135000 passengers, more than twice that route's usual patronage. This corresponded to the period when the Adelaide-Port Pirie railway had been closed to passenger services for standardisation of the track. The next highest number of passengers was on the Adelaide-Port Lincoln route which accountedforapproximately 52 000 passengers.Otherrelatively highly patronised routes included Pinnaroo (48 000 passengers), Ceduna (40 000 passengers), and Moonta (35 000). The 400 000 passenger journeys made i n South Australia in 1983-84 represent a 20 per cent increase in patronage over the year 1979-80. SouthAustralianfarerevenue(includingsubsidies)fromthelong in the order of $5 distance routes i n 1983-84 was reported to be mill ion do1 1 ars whil st total revenue, including parcel and other revenue, was reported to be approximately $6.5 million. In Victoria about 180 000 long distance passengers were carried but no breakdown of passenger journeys ispub1 icly avail able. The number of passengers estimated for New South Wales in 1984, was 220 000, This estimate, is based only on those services designated specifically as intrastateservicesand as suchdoesnotinclude intrastate passengers carried on services provided by the interstate operators Deluxe, VIP, Greyhound and Ansett Pioneer. The number of long distance passenger journeys estimated for Queensland is approximately700 000. Mostintrastateservices in Queensland are specifically intrastate and not part of an interstate ,service. The only interstate operator which currently carries long distance intrastate passengers on its interstate services is Greyhound on the Brisbane-Darwin route via MtIsa. If allowance is made for States for which data are unavailable or estimates of the number of passengers are not readily made, atotal in the order of 2 million intrastate per annum passengers is obtained. FARES 'Fares are determined by costs, pro,ductivi ty and the level of competition within the industry. Costs are discussed i n Chapter 3. Farestructures in thecoachindustryhavedevelopedmainly in response to the degree of competition and fare discounting within the 22 industry. Between 1966 and 1984, there have been two distinct periods in the development of fares. The first period covers developments between 1966 and 1979. Development of fares: 1966 to 1979 This period was characterised by a steady increase i n fares and a relatively stable industry dominated by Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound. Various other operators, incl uding Redl i ne, Go1 d Coast, Panther and Cobb & CO entered the coach industry for brief periods although none to have made any significant impact on the fares of these appear charged by the industry. The development of fares is illustrated i n Figures 2.3 and 2.4 which show a real fare index for fares on the Sydney-Melbourne route between 1966 and 1984, and actual fares in nominal do1 lar terms between 1960 and 1984 (see Appendix I). Ansett Pioneer introduced its first intercapital express service in 1955 and remained the only operatoruntil Redline commenced operations in 1963. Ansett Pioneer's fare on the Sydney-Me1 bourne route was $10.00 compared with the Redl ine fare of $9.50, Redl ine maintained this fare until withdrawing from a1 1 routes in 1969. During this period Ansett Pioneer's fare on the Sydney-Melbourne route rose only slightly from $10.00 in 1963 to $11.80 in 1969. i n fares between 1972 and 1973, the Except for a slight reduction 1970s were characterised by a general upward trend in both nominal and real fares. As can be seen from Figure 2.3 Ansett Pioneer fares increasedsteadily from $10.50 i n 1966to $15.90in1971. After stabilising in 1972 the fare actuallyfell in 1973 but again increased Inreal termstheAnsett steadily until reaching $34.50 i n 1979. Pioneer fare increased by 14 per cent over this period after falling in 1972 and 1973. The lowest fare available on the Sydney-Me1 bourne route a1 so showed an upward trend over the period 1966 to 1978. After remaining constant between 1966 and 1969 the fare increased steadily until 1979 when it fell from $31 to $27. This fall corresponded with the entry to the industry of Del uxe in 1979. In real terms the index of low fares showed an actual decline of one overall indexpointbetween1966and 1979. Thereasonforthis decllne was the entry of Deluxe, whose lower fares caused the index to fall from 113 in 1978 to90 in 1979. 23 45 - 40 - Ansett Pioneer fare Lowest avai 1 ab le fare " " 3530v) L - 2 25- 0 0 20- 15- 5l 1 I I I 1 1 I I 984198219801978197619741972197019681966 Year Figure 2.3-Coach passenger fares for Sydney-Me1 bourne: nominal price as at 1 November 1966-84 140130- --- Ansett Pioneer fare Lowest avail able fare i \ \ I 120- \ \ \ \ 110- \ \ \ \' .\ \ \' \ \ \ \ 80- 70601 I 1 MEo\ I I I I I 84198219801978197619741972197019681966 Year Figure 2.4-Coach passenger fares for Sydney-Me1 baurne: real price index, relative to 1966 Ansett Pioneer fare, as at 1 November 1966-84 AAC BTE Occasional Paper 74 During this period there were two other falls i n the index: between 1966 and 1969 corresponding to the operation of Redline; and during 1974 when Cobb& CO entered the Sydney-Melbourne route. From this it would appear that the only major reductions i n fares were those introduced by a new low fare operator entering the route. It is significant that the major increase i n the minimum fare occurred between 1975 and 1978 when Greyhound and Ansett Pioneer shared the market. Theincrease i n Greyhound'sfaresoverthisperiodwas greater than the increase i n Ansett Pioneer's fares thus reducing the margin between their fare structures. By the end of the decade, Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound had established their dominance of the interstate express coach industry andby 1979 were operating a similar fare structure over the majorroutes. It would appear that the limited entry of new operators during the 1970s, including Panther (1970-72) and Cobb& CO (1972-781, had little effect on theinterstatecoach industry. Throughoutthisperiod Ansett Pioneer appears tohave assumed the role of market leader with the other operators content to have similar fare increases, whilst ensuring that their own fare structures remained slightly lower. When Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound were i n a position to share the market Greyhound brought their fares intoline with those of Ansett Pioneer. However,thissitutation didnot lastlonglasting due tothe led to a subsequent entry of Deluxe i n 1979, a development which second 'period' i n thedevelopment offares,chara.cterised by increased competition and a steadydecline i n real fares. Development of fares: 1980-84 The entry of Deluxe i n 1979 did not have any immediate effect on the pricing policies of Ansett Pioneer or Greyhound, or the industry i n general, exceptthat it reducedthe discount fareavailable on selected intercapital routes. AAC and Sandgroper Express also entered selected intercapi tal routes i n 1979 and another new operator, OEW, entered the industry i n early 1980 undercutting the fares of the existing operators. OEW's fare on the Sydney-Melbourne route was$23.00. B,oth Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound continued to increase faresin 1980 despite the lower fares of Deluxe and OEW. On the Sydney-Melbourne route Greyhound and Ansett Pioneer were charging a fare of $45.10 compared with $27.00 for Deluxe and $23.00 for OEW. 26 Chapter 2 The entry of Deluxe and the decisions of Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound to increase their fares i n 1980 widened the fare differential between the established operators and the newer low fare operators. Whilst the index of real Ansett Pioneer fares increased to 137 i n 1980 the corresponding index of discount fares fell to 69. Thus, while Ansett i n real terms, the discount fare Pioneer's fare continued to rise available in 1980 had actually fallen below its real 1966 level. In January 1981, GreyhoundreduceditsSydney-Melbournefare to $33.80, apparently in response to the fares being offered by Deluxe and OEW. By May 1981 this trend was reversed a n d Greyhound once again increased fares on this route, although only to $35.00, thus breaking the nexus between its own fares and the $45.10 fare maintained by Ansett Pioneer. OEW maintained its introductory fare levels throughout 1981. Deluxe, whilst maintaining its $27.00 fare during 1980-81, increased its fare on theSydney-Melbournerouteto $34.00 inNovember 1981. This increasesuggeststhatDeluxeplanned to entertheindustryand consolidate its position with a lower fare, beforeattemptingto follow the established operators with fare increases at a later date. However, such a situation did not occur due to the entry of VIP. VIP entered the intercapital routes in1982 with a fare structure basedon a $25.00 fare between Sydney and Melbourne. This fare matched that of OEW on the Sydney-Melbourne route although VIP's fares were lower on the other major routes. The entry of VIP increased the number of low fare operators i n the industry and added significant impetus to the rivalry already present in the industry. I n March 1982 Ansett Pioneer reduced its fare on the Sydney-Melbourne in response to route to $39.00. It appears that this reduction was the lower fares being offered in 1981 by Greyhound, OEW and Deluxe. By November 1982 Deluxe had also reduced its Sydney-Melbourne fare to $29.00 i n response to fare reductions of Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound, the entry of VIP and the lower fares offeredby OEW. While 1982 was characterised by a downward trend i n the fares of the established operators the reverse situation occurred in 1983 with Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound both increasing fares. Fares on the Sydney-Melbourne route were increased to $41.90 and $41.70 for Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound respectively. Their fare structures for the other intercapital routes were also similar. I n the meantime, Deluxe maintained its $29.00 fare throughout 1983. 27 BTE Occasional Paper 74 The variable nature of fares continued into 1984 with Ansett Pioneer reducing fares i n March 1984 and then increasing fares again i n June and November. Ansett Pioneer fares on the Sydney-Melbourne route fell to $33.00 i n March, were increased to $35.00 i n June and again increased to $37.00 i n November. Greyhound followed a similar line, with its fares on the Sydney-Melbourne route falling to $29.00 i n March 1984 and increasing to$35.00 by November 1984. Deluxe also increased its fares i n 1984, although not unti 1 November, $29.00 wasincreased by$1.00 to whentheSydney-Melbournefare $30 .'OO . Although its major competitors ,increased fares throughout the latter half of 1984, VIP maintained the same fare structure it used upon entering the industry i n late 1982. The continued operation of VIP with this discount fare led to the i n the creation i n November 1984 of a three-tiered fare structure industry.At the top of the,range AnsettPioneerandGreyhound charged "$37.00 and $35.00 respectively on the Sydney-Me1bourne route. Next was the mi,ddle of the range $30.00 fare of Deluxe and at the bottom of the range the $24.00 to $25.00 fares used by AAC, VIP and OEW. The effect of increased competition i n the industry between 1980 and 1984 is illustrated clearly i n Figure 2.3. Ansett Pioneer fares, after increasing to $45.10 in 1981 fell to $37 i n November 1984. In real terms the Ansett Pioneer farefell to 82 index points i n 1984, 55 index points below its peak level i n 1980. This means that the Ansett i n 1984 than i n 1966. Pioneer fare i n real terms was 18 per cent less ' With respect to the low fares it can be seen that after increasing to $31 i n 1978 they fell to be $24 i n November 1984. In real terms the index of low fares showed a decline from its peak in 1978 of 113 tobe half its value i n 1978. This means 53 i n November 1984, less than that i n real terms the lowest fare available on the Sydney-Melbourne 'route was 59 per centof the lowest fare availablei n 1966. As can be seen i n Table 2.5 the fall i n the real discount fare index between 1978 and 1984 corresponds to the entry of the various new low fare operators during this period. The first major fall occurred i n 1979 with the introduction of OEW. It continued to fall i n 1982 and 1983 with the entry of VIP and even further i n 1984 with the low 28 ' Chapter 2 $24.00 fare introduced by AAC in November 1984. The undercutting of on the fares i n 1984 by AAC illustrates its willingness to compete basis of price, AAC having actually entered theindustry i n 1979. The degree of competition throughout the industry is also evidenced i n therange of discounts that, whilst not always advertised, are available from the various operators. Some recent exanples of both price and non-price competition have been highlighted i n the current timetables and in press advertisements. Greyhound, for example, has been advertisingspeciallyreduced accommodation at Flag Inns, 30 per cent reductions i n Budget Car Rental, or special discounts at Pizza Hut Restaurants connected with travelon Greyhound express coaches. This has been combined with their standard advertising which emphasises factors of quality such as non-smoking, greater legroom and comfort, and faster 1 imited stop services . Ansett Pioneer has been offering special discount 'T-fares ' on normal services as well as a plan which offers a free journey upon presentation of four previously used adult fare ticket stubs, (limited to the Canberra-Sydney route 1. Ansett Pioneer also offers cheaper standby fares. For example, the standby fare for Sydney-Melbourne in January 1985 was $24.00 with similar reductions available on other routes . VIP has introduced fare discounting through membership of the VIP Express Coach Club which entitlesthe member to a10 per cent discount on fares purchases through VIP booking offices. There is a possible gain to the operator i n this case because fares booked through their own booking offices avoid the commission payable (usually15 to 20 per cent) when the bookingis made through a travel agent. Deluxe has also introduced fare discounting with their special fare available for journeys between Canberra and Melbourne which are made during daylight hours. This fare i n January 1985 was $24.00 compared with the standard$27.00. In an effort to maintain passenger numbers the railways have also introduced special discounts in recent years. An Advance Purchase discount is now available on the Overland journey between Melbourne and Adelaide for $29.00 compared with the standard economy fare of $42.OO. 29 BTE Occasiona~Paper 74 COACH FARES RELATIVE TO OTHER MODES Prior to 1979 fares for long distance coach services were lower than for air services but higher than for corresponding train journeys. However, with the entry of the various low fare operators after 1979, coach fares fell to levels 1 ower than corresponding fares i n the rai 1 sy stem . Tables 2.5, 2.6 and 2.7 present fares for the three passenger modes; coach, rail andair, forthe 10 yearsto 1984 overthemajor i ntercapital routes. Fares quoted for both rail and air are economy fares and all fares are as at November of each ,year. The fares for the Sydney to Melbourne route are summarised i n Figures 2.5 and 2.6 i n nominal and real terms respectively. 60- 40- Pioneer .................. .....-m Lowest coach fare I 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 Year Figure 2.5-Nominal coach, rail and air adult fares for Sydney-Melbourne: as at 1 November 1975-84 30 In 1975 the economy rail fare for the Sydney-Melbourne route was $20.00 compared with 645.80 for the economy air fare and $22.50 for Ansett Pioneer. On the Melbourne-Adelaide route the respective fares were $16.00, $42.40and for express coach$19.50. It can be seen from these tables that the relative pattern of fares was maintained until 1979 when the rai 1 fare was increasedby $5.00 on the Sydney-Melbourne route to $30.00. By the end of 1979 Deluxe had $27.00 fare on this route, entered the coach industry introducing a for the first time providing coach services at a fare cheaper than that of the railways. This was not the case on the Adelaide-Me1 bourne 3001 1604 "1 19176 19178 I 1980 Year 1 ' I 1984 1982 Figure 2.6-Real price index, relative to1975 Ansett Pioneer fare, for coach, rail and air adult fares for Sydney-Melbourne: as at 1 November 1975-84 31 TABLE 2.5-RAIL PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES ECONOMY SINGLE-FARE, AS AT NOVEMBER 1975 to 1984 (dollars) y- sydne BrisbaneAdelaide Melbourne Melbourne Sydney Year Adelaide 20 .oo 25.00 25.00 25 .OO 30.00 36 .OO 42.00 53 .OO 53.00 56 .OO 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 na not available Source: Appendix I. Route MelbourneAdelaideSydney- Perth 40.00 50.00 50.00 50 .OO 60.00 72 .OO 84.00 106 .OO 106.00 112.00 20.00 25 .OO 25 .OO 25 .OO 30 .OO 36 .OO 42 .OO 53 .OO 53.00 56 .OO na na na na na na na na na 98.00 16.00 20 .oo 21.00 21 .oo 23.00 28.00 33.00 42 .OO 42.00 42 .OO 79.50 100 .oo 111.50 126.00 140.00 166 S O 182.50 216.00 281.00 315.00 TABLE 2.6-AIR PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES ECONOMY SINGLE FARE,AS AT NOVEMBER 1975 to 1984 (dollars) Route Year SydneySydneyBrisbaneBrisbanePerth Sydney Adelaide Adelaide Melbourne Melbourne 47.90 50.80 55 .OO 58.50 68 .oo 80.70 98.40 110.20 130.OO 145.70 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Source: 85 .OO 90.20 96.70 101.60 116.30 130.30 145 .OO 162.30 181.50 214.00 Melhourne- 45.80 48.50 52.60 56.10 65.30 77.60 95.50 106.90 125.70 140.90 69.90 74.20 79.70 84.00 96.60 113.60 129.40 144.90 172.20 192.50 42.40 45 .OO 48.80 52.20 60.90 72.50 90.80 101.60 118.80 133.10 Adelaide- 119.90 127.70 136 .OO 142.20 161.80 189.00 200.00 223.90 251.70 280.60 Appendix I. 3 W W W P TABLE 2.7-INDICATIVE COACH FARES: CAPITAL CITIES (LOWEST AND HIGHEST FARE) SINGLE FARE, AS AT NOVEMBER 1975 TO 1984 (dollars) Route Year/operator 1975 Ansett Pioneer Cobb ii CO Greyhound 1976 Ansett Pioneer Cobb & CO Greyhound 1977 Ansett Pioneer Cobb & CO Greyhound 1978 Ansett Pioneer Cobb & CO Greyhound 1979 Ansett Pioneer Deluxe Brisbanesydney BrisbaneMe l bourne SydneyMelbourne sydneyAdelaide Adelaide Melbourne- 24.50 22.50 na 21.90 42.00 19.50 na na 23.90 47.OO 40.50 46 .OO 40.80 18.90 27.50 26.00 27.00 53.00 51 .OO 51.90 25 S O 47.50 22.00 na na na 24.10 40.50 21.30 31.00 28.50 30.40 60.OO 55.90 58.50 29.00 53.50 24.50 na na na 28.00 44.00 24.50 na na na 34.10 26.50 33.50 66 .OO 63.10 64.50 32.00 59 .OO na na 31.00 48.50 27 .OO na 26.50 na na na 37.30 na 71.80 34.50 21 .oo 54.00 49 .oo 29.50 25.00 na na na na Adelaide- Perth na na na na na na TABLE 2.7 (Contl-INDICATIVE COACH FARES: CAPITAL CITIES (LOWEST AND HIGHESTFARE), SINGLE FARE AS AT NOVEMBER 1975 TO 1984 (dollars) Route Year/operator sydne Brisbaney BrisbaneMe1 bourne sydneyAdelaide Melbourne Adelaide Sydney- MelbourneAdelaidePerth ~~~~~ 1980 Ansett Pioneer Olynpi c East-West 1981 Ansett Pi oneer Olympic East-West 1982 Ansett Pioneer VIP Olympic East-West 1983 Ansett Pi oneer VIP Olympic East-West 1984 Ansett Pioneer AAC na not available Source: Appendix I. 48.50 na 93.60 na 45.10 23.00 70.30 45.00 38.80 23 .OO 80.00 75 .oo 50.90 na 98.30 na 45.10 23.00 73.80 45.00 40.70 23 -00 80.00 75 .oo 50.90 25.00 35.00 84.00 na na 41.90 25.00 25.00 74.90 na 50.00 37.60 na 30.00 102.00 na 70.00 48 .OO 25.00 25.00 89.90 50.00 50.00 41.90 25.00 25.00 74.90 50.00 50.00 37.60 25.00 25.00 110.00 na 75.00 37 .OO 24.00 70 .OO na 37.00 24.00 70.00 48 .OO 37 .OO 24.00 99.00 80.00 3 R T! Tt Q 3 E3 BTE Occasional Paper 74 route, however, the rail fare at $23.00 being $2.00 cheaper than the fare charged by Deluxe. It is also inportant to note that at this time only Deluxe had a fare lower than the railways on the MelbourneSydney route, both Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound charged higher fares of $34.50 and $34.60 respectively. In 1980 increases i n all rail fares meant that Deluxe's fares were lawer than all the competing rail fares, although Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound were still charging a fare higher than corresponding rail $27.00 fares. On theSydney-Melbourneroute Deluxe's farewas compared with $36.00 on the railways and $45.10 for both Ansett PioneerandGreyhound.Theentryof OEW i n 1980 widenedthe differentialbetween rail faresandthose of the low farecoach operators.OEW'sfarebetweenSydneyandMelbourne i n 1980 was $23.00, increasing the margin on this route to $13.00. This pattern continued through 1981 with Greyhound also reducing fares to levels below those of the railways. Ansett Pioneer maintained its fares i n 1981 above those of the railways, but the margin was reduced because Ansett Pioneer kept fares at 1980 levels while the railways increased fares. On the Sydney-Melbourne route i n 1981 the rail fare was $43.00. This compared favourably with the Ansett Pioneer fare of $45.10, although Deluxe was charging $34.00, Greyhound $35.00 and OEW $23.00. OEW increased its fares i n 1982 but increases i n intercapital rail fares led to a further widening i n the fare differential. In 1982 VIP entered the industry and introduced a$25.00 discount fare on the Sydney-Melbourne and Brisbane-Sydney routes while OEW increased its fare in 1982 to $25.00 on the Sydney-Melbourne route. On the other hand the railways increased their fares i n 1982 to $53.00 for both these routes. This meant that coach services were available for less than half the price of the corresponding rail service. Deluxe still operated services at a lower fare than the railways, charging a $29.00 fare for eastern seaboard routes. \ On the Perth-Adelaide route Deluxe was charging $216.00 on the ' rai lways. $95.00 compared with Ansett Pioneer, although increasing its fares on the Sydney-Melbourne route during 1982 to $41.90, was also charging a fare below that of the railways so that in 1982 all intercity coach fares were below corresponding rail fares. In 1983 most of the express coach operators maintained their fares at 36 Chapter 2 1982 levels, as d i d the railways, differentials were maintained. so that the existing fare Further reductions i n coach fares, combined with increases i n rail fares, meant that by the end of 1984 all the major coach operators were charging fares well below those of the railways. Ansett Pioneer reduced its fares further to $37.00 for Brisbane$99.00 fortheAdelaide-Perthroute Sydney-Melbourneroutesand $56.00 and $315.00 respectively. VIP conpared to rail faresof maintained its $25.00 base fare and introduced a $60.00 fare for the Adelaide-Perth service while Deluxe marginally increased its base fare to $30.00. AAC (who entered i n 1979) reduceditsfarelevels in November 1984 to the lowest of the operators, charging $24.00 for the Sydney-Me1 bourne service. The fare differential between coach andrail fares (which favoured the railways u p to 1978) was reversed i n the period between 1979 and 1984 to the extent that coach fares went from$6.00 to $7.00 more expensive in 1978 (Sydney-Melbourne route 1 to being $19.00 to $32.00 cheaper i n November 1984. It is important to note, however, that this situation did not hold when concession rate econony rail fares were used for the conparison. Thelowest of the coachfareswas still lessexpensive ($24.00 compared with $28.001, but Ansett Pioneer fares with a concession of 10 per cent were higher ($33.00 compared with $28.00 for rail). The re1 ative increases i n fares for each of the three modes can be 2.6 which shows an index of illustrated with reference to Figure relative real fares. Forconparativepurposestwoindexesare includedunderexpress coaches, one forthehigherestablished operator fare and the other for the lowest fares available. From Figure 2.6 it can be seen that all modes showed a n increase in the index between 1975 and 1984 a1 though variations in the rate of increase are marked. As an adjunct to the comparison of fares between coach and rail it is inportant to conpare journeytimes. Table 2.8 presents a comparison of fares and journey times between rail and coach for selected intercapital routes. Fares are for one leg and the journey time includes stopovers. 37 TABLE 2.8-COMPARISON OF SINGLE FARES AND JOURNEY TIMES: COACH AND RAILWAY, 1984 . ~~ Rail Express coach Fare ($) Time Journey Concession Adult Operator Sydney-Me1bourneAnsett Pi oneer 37.00 VIP 25 .OO Sydney-Adel ai de Ansett Pioneer . 70.00 VIP 50.00 Sydney-Brisbane Ansett pioneer^ 37.00 VIP 25 .OO Me1 bourneddel ai de Ansett Pi oneer 37 .OO 21 ~VIP 25 .OO Melbourne-BrisbaneAnsettPioneer 70.00 VIP 50 .OO Adelaide-BrisbaneAnsettPioneer 100.00 VIP 75.00 a. Fare 33.30 14/45 63 .OO 33.50 First class Time hr/min hr/min 12/30 25/00 22/00 15/10 16/00 33.50 11/35 I$) Economy Concessiona 12/35 79.00 56.00 39.50 36/05138.00 98.00 69.00 15/55 79.00 56.00 11/30 59.00 42 .OO 39.50 28.00 29.50 40/45158.00 112.00 79.00 64/45 217.60 154.00 108.50 28.00 49.00 .oo 9/55 63.00 28/15 90.00 28/30 32/45 42/00 56.00 . The concession is 1/2 the full rate; either first class or economy. Source: Ansett Pioneer and VIP timetables, various train timetables, personal communication with Canberra Tourist Bureau. 77.50 Chapter 2 It can be seen from Table 2.8 that journey times over the direct routes, forexample,Sydney-Melbourne,aresimilarfor rail and coach. A coach journey between Sydney and Melbourne is scheduled to take between 12 and 15 hours compared with the rail journey of 12.5 hours. On the Sydney-Brisbane journey coach is scheduled to take 1516 hours compared with 16 hours by rail. However, when the train journey involvesa stopover, journey times are generally longer than by coach. For example on the Melbourne-Brisbane route the coach journey is scheduled to take approximately 28 hours conpared with a train journey of 40-41 hours with a stopover in Sydney. There is also a considerable difference in journey times on the Sydney-Adelaide route where the most common train journey takes 36 hours via Melbourne conpared with the direct express coach journey time of 22-25 hours. It is possible to travel directly between Sydney andAdelaide on the railway (Indian Pacific),however,this is a service limited in capacity and frequency. PASSENGERS There are two major sources of data concerning the soci o-economic background of coach passengers. They are the National Travel Survey (NTS) (BTE 1981) and the BTE surveys of air travellers and coach travellers i n November 1983 and early 1984 (BTE 198%). These two sources are discussed separately as they allow different comparisons to be made. National Travel Survey The NTS was conducted over the 1977-78 financial year by BTE to provide a data base describing the characteristics and patterns of non-urban passenger travel within Australia. A postal survey with approximately 48 000 returned questionnaires was carried out between A supplementary survey of about 3000 home July 1977 and July 1978. interviews was also used to check responses t o questions and to estimate the non-response bias. A minimum trip length of 100 km was used by the NTS. Although this allows journeys of m c h shorter length than the interstate trips that are of major interest, it doesprovidedetailedinformationthat allows the characteristics of travellers i n coaches, trains, cars or aircraft to be compared. Table 2.9 compares the distribution of household income with type of vehicle used for the trip as well as the overall distribution of 39 BTE OccasionaZ Paper 74 personal income within the population, obtained from the 1976 Census (Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) 1978a). The figure shows that more coach and train travellers come from the low income categories than do car and air travellers. There also appears to be a greater representation of low income households by coach travellers than in the general population, although the Census figures are for personal incomeandare not completelycomparable. In 1976-77 the average household income was $4995 (ABS1978b). The higherproportion of 'greaterthan $15 000 incomehousehold members ' on' coach comparedto rail could be partly attributed to coach fares generally being higher than rail fares i n 1978 (see Tables 2.5 and 2.7) and greater availability of concession fares on rai 1. Car travellers represent an intermediate market, with higher incomes than coach or rail travellers but less than air travellers. Table 2.10 shows the age of travellers by vehicle type used. Air travellers are shown to have a relatively constant proportion from each of theagegroups used. Both rail andcoachhavea' high proportion (over 60 per cent) of their passengers in the young oland d age groups but relatively few i n ' the 25-59 agegroup. The under-l6 year olds are the greatest proportionof car travellers. as age increases. This The proportion i n each age group decreases trend follows ABS estimates (ABS 1982) of the population in each age group in 1978. The NTS found that a large proportion of coach and train travellers are those looking for work, are retired or are students. These people areusuallyentitled to concession fares (in particular for rail journeys) and form 38 per cent and 55 per cent of coach and train travellers respectively. In contrast they formed only 16 per cent of air travellers and 28 per cent of car travellers. The trave'llers i n the various vehicles can also be compared by their journey purpose. Table 2.11 shows the percentages who were travelling for business and private reasons such as visiting friends, rec,reation, holidaysorpersonalaffairs.Theunaccountedforpercentageof travellers are those who did not state the reason for the journey or who responded in an unclassified 'other' category. The coach, train, and car markets are roughly similar with around 80 per cent of trips being for private reasons. The air market is very different with only 53 per cent of journeys being for private purposes and 40 per cent for business. 40 Chapter 2 TABLE 2.9-TRIP PROPORTIONSBY INCOME AND VEHICLE TYPE, 1977-78 (per cent) Vehicle 001+ Household Income ($1 2 4 6 8 10 15 20 25 30 Aircraft Coach 0- 2 000 001- 000 4 001-6 000 001- 8 000 001-10000 000-15 000 001-20000 001-25000 001-30000 Note: Source: 10 14 14 14 14 9 &W 2 3 16 3 5 7 18 23 13 10 15 04 1 3 5 8 9 13 27 19 12 64 7 1820 5 5 Train h'OU6ehOZd6 4 16 12 q- 121 8 :l 22 4 The figures may not add u p to 100 per cent in each column owing to respondents not declaring their income or the mode used, to other modes being used or asa result of rounding. BTE (1Wl). TABLE 2.10-PERSON TRIPS BY AGE OF PERSON TRAVELLING AND VEHICLE TYPE, 1977-78 (per cent) Vehicle Age of person travelling (years) Car Coach Aircraft 0-16 17-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60+ Note: 11 10 10 11 10 10 9 11 7 12 Population Train 4520 18 4 5 5 3 12 5 5 27 14 10 9 7 6 6 6 7 5 1330 9 19 13 5 15 6 3 12 4 4 8 6 33 5 Figures may not add to 100 per cent i n each column due to rounding. Source: BTE (1981). 41 Coach BTE Occasional Paper 74 TABLE 2.11-JOURNEY PURPOSE OF TRAVELLERS, 1977-78 (per cent) vehicle Purpose Business Private 6 80 Car Air 12 82 40 53 9 83 Figures may not add to 100 per cent i n each column due to rounding, non response or a response ) i n the 'other reasons' category. Note: Source: Derived from BTE (1981). The four characteristics used to compare travellers who responded i n the NTS showedthatcoachandtraintransportattractssimilar travellers. That is, moremembers of thelowerhouseholdincome groups, the under 24 and over 60 age groups, travellers on nonbusiness travel and those entitled to concessionfares. Surveys of air and coach travellers As part of a BTE study to examine the passenger response to the introduction of discount ai rfares, a survey of airline passengers was carried out in November 1983 (BTE 1985a). The survey consisted of 4782 interviews of passengerstravel ling between Sydney andMe1 bourne or Sydney and Brisbane by Ansett Airlines of Australia (AAA), Trans Australia Airlines (TAA) or East-West Airlines (EWA). I n addition, Ansett Pioneer passengerson interstate coach services passing through Canberra were surveyedi n the period '5 January to 10 February1984. I n total 450 completed quesfionnaires were returned travellers. by coach The two surveys allow the characteristics of air and coach passengers to be compared. As well, the differences between passengers on the major airlines (AAA and TAA) can be compared with those on EWA. At the time of the survey AAA and TAA had introduced a new class of discount fare (45 per cent discount) i n addition to their normal fare. EWA offered an excursion fare that w a s approximately equivalent to' a 47 per cent discount off the AAA and TAA econoqy fares. Unlike AAA a TAA, EWA did not have 1 imitations on the number of seats available at this fare (other than the capacity of the aircraft). ' 42 , &apter 2 The household incomes of coach passengers are shown i n Table 2.12 and 2.13. They the household incomes of air travellers shown in Table show that the coach travellers came from lower income households than airtravellers. EWA attractsagreaterproportion of lowincome travellers than do AAA and TAA but EWA passengers generally have a hi gher income than coach travellers. The ages of coach and air travellers are compared in Table 2.14. This shows that coach travellers are generally younger than air travellers and EWA serves an intermediate age market as their travellers are younger than the established airline market but older than the coach market. TABLE 2.12-HOUSEHOLD INCOME OF COACH TRAVELLERS, 1983-84 HousehoZd income ($ per week) Fer cent 23 17 21 8 9 9 13 less than 116 116-230 231 -345 346-423 424-500 501 -650 greater than 650 Source: BTE (1985a 1. TABLE 2.13-HOUSEHOLD INCOME OF AIR TRAVELLERS, 1983-84 (per cent) Route Household income ($ per week) less than 100 100-400 400-649 34 greater than 649 Note: Source: Sydney-Melbourne EWA Total 15 38 30 16 5 2 16 28 48 Sydney-Brisbane EWA Totat 14 49 33 4 21 47 Figures may not add to 100 per cent i n each column due to rounding or non response. BTE (1985a). 43 Table 2.15 shows the purpose of travel classified into business and private reasons. ‘Coach and EWA travellers are shown to travel’ for mainly private reasons while the m j o r i ty of travellers i n the total airlines market are travelling for business purposes. Thesex of passengersclearlydistinguishesthevarious markets. 60 percentofcoachtravellers, Femalepassengersformabout approximately 50 per cent of EWA passengers and just over 20 per cent of the total airline market. TABLE 2.14-AGE OF TRAVELLERS, 1983-84 (per Air route Sydney-Melbourne Sydney-Brisbane BWA airTotal EWA airTotal Age < 15 15-19 20-29 16 30-39 40-64 > 64 - cent) 25 1 4 27 23 34 12 Coach - - - 1 10 29 12 31 19 5 8 17 4 11 27 11 19 26 31 47 48 3 nil or rounded to zero Note: Figures may not add to 100 per centi n each column due to rounding or non response. BTE (1985a 1. Source: TABLE 2.15-PURPOSE OF JOURNEY, 1983-84 (per PUFP08e Note: Air route Sydney-Melbourne Sydney-Brisbane EWA Total air EWA Coach air Total ’ Business 77 Pri vate 92 23 72 2 7 22 5 87 71 Figures may not add to 100 per cent i n each $olumn due to rounding, non response or a response in the other reasons” category. Source .- BTE (1985a 1 44 cent) 3 Air travellers are further examined by type of fare paid i n BTE (1985a). The detailed comparison shows that discount air travellers on AAA and TAA have the same socioeconomic characteristics as EWA. It also shows that first and econonly class passengers are even further separated from coach travellers i n terms of their income, age and journey purpose. Overvi en The two sets of data are not directly comparable owing to the time difference and the restriction of one study to one or two routes as opposed to the other being directed any to journey over 100 kilometres i n length. Nonetheless the basic conclusion, supported by both sets of data, is that coach travellers tend to come from lower income households, be under 25 or over 60 years 01 d, travel for private reasons and are in the groups entitled to concession fares. They are similar to train travellers but distinctly different to air and car travellers, thus demonstrating a degree of market segmentation. A United States of America (USA) study (Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) 1984a) found that their coach travellers have basically the same demographic characteristics, but that train travellersi n the USA were very different from the coach travellers, a situation i n contrast to the Australian experience. RELATIVE SIZE OF INDUSTRY The number of passengers carried on intercapital journeys by scheduled coach, rail and aircraft services between 1980-81 and 1984-85 are shown i n Table 2.16. There are at least twice as many coach as rail passengers, with rail experiencing a continuous decline in passenger numbers and coach increasing by at least 60 per cent (Australian Standing Committee on Tourism 1984) and possibly more between 1980and 1985l. Air travel is clearly the dominant h i re and reward mode for intercapital travel but around 75 per cent of air travellers travel for business purposes (see Table 2.15). As over 90 per cent of coach passengers have private reasons for travel, it is apparent that for non-business intercapital travel the air and coach industries carry roughly the same number of passengers. This shows the importance of the coach industry to tourism, an aspect that is often overlooked. 1. Industry sources believe that growth in the coach industry since 1980 has been at least 100 per cent andpossibly much more. 45 BTE O C C U E ~ OPaper ~ ~ ~ 74 TABLE 2.16-INTERCAPITAL PASSENGER JOURNEYS, 1980-81 TO 1984-85 (100 000 journeys) 1 Year 1980-81 1981-82 ' 1982 -83 1983 -84 1984-85 a. 71 72 na na na na 17 to 20 9.8 9.5 8.6 8.4a na ARRDO (in BTE 1985b) estimated only680 000 interstate rail Journeys i n 1983-84 after allowingfor intrastate passengerson 1 nterstate trains. na not available Sources: 46 Air BTE estimates. Department of Aviation, A ~ Transport P statistics (1984). Derived from railway annual reports. 65 67 na CHAPTER 3-EXPRESS COACHES: COSTSAND REVENUES Costs associated with operatingan express coach service can generally be classified into one of four categories; namely driver wage costs, capital costs,operatingcosts and overheadcosts,(whichinclude terminals, administration and advertising). The main considerations involved i n each case are discussedbe1 ow. Driver wage costs Therearegenerally two methods of deployingdriversengaged on intercapital express operations. First, and most commonly, drivers are deployed on a 'driver-staging' basis. As a result of restrictions over the period of time for which any one driver is able to drive i n a 4) , drivers are given twenty-four hour period, (see Chapter accommodated at various staging locations along a route. This allows a changeover of drivers at strategic points and ensures that drivers are rested to at least the level required by the regulations. For example, on the Sydney-Bri sbane route the staging point could be at Tamworth. This would enable a driver setting out from Sydney to change at Tamworth and rest overnight, ready to change with another driver on the return journey from Brisbaneto Sydney. The other method of employing drivers is referred to as the 'two-up' system. With this system two drivers are on board at any one time. While one is in the driver's seat the other is able to sleep or rest i n a bunk converted from the back row of seats. This enables the drivers to operate i n shifts during the journey and so conform to the regulations without the need for drivers to stay i n accomodation in somewherealongtheroute.Thispracticeisnotallowed Queens1 and. Awards Arrangements for long-distance express service work using staged-driversarecovered by theTransportWorkers(Passenger Vehicles) Award 1984 in its provisions for shiftwork. 47 BTE Occasiona~Paper 74 Until recentlytheonlyawardrelevant to two-up driving,the Transport Workers (Passenger Vehicles Two-Person Operations) Award 1984, was for coach services in remote areas and restricted, to a limited number of respondents. As this remote area award is not applicable to this investigation into intercapital services, it is not considered further. Del uxe, the major user of the two-up system, employs its drivers under a private agreement for two-up operations i n the more populated areas of Australia. This has been the subject of hearings in the Australian ConciliationandArbitrationCommission (ACAC).On 26 June1985 CommissionerSheatherintroducedanewinterimaward for two-up driving i n non-remote areas. At the time of writing this had been appealed by Del uxe and the final outcome is uncertain. Under the Deluxe system the driver is paid the single driver award without penal ties or shift a1 lowances and the resting or sleeping driver is paid 70 per cent of that award. To eliminate the weekly by drivers as aresultofworking variation in wagesreceived different,shifts, Deluxe uses a system of paying drivers a daily rate for each route. This rate averages out variations incurredby working on weekends and public holidays, and was established i n agreement with the drivers. The new award for two-up driving requires both drivers to bepaid the staged-driver award rate but without shift loadings and with reduced Saturday and Sundaypenal ties. Much of the criticism levelled at the use of two-up driving has in thepast,two-updrivinghas stemmedfromtheargumentthat, provided operators with a lower driving cost alternative, enabling them to provide a lower fare structure. The Transport Workers Union (TWU) has even gone,so far as to suggest that the new discount fares available are simply cross-subsidised from lower driver wages ,(Monaghan 1984). On the other hand, Del uxe has countered this argument with thecl aim that the costs associated with two-up driving are similar to those of driver staging. The question of penalty rates, overtime and the employment of drivers also arisen in the context of driver on a subcontractor basis has costs. There have been claims i n the press that, whilst Greyhound and 48 Chapter 3 Ansett Pioneer have paid their drivers over-award wages, the newer low fare operators have 'been paying drivers a set wage with no penalty rates' (Monaghan 1984). The TWU has a1 so a1 leged that drivers have been engaged as 'subcontractors' rather than employees, thus enabling the operator to circumvent conditions set down in the appropriate employee award. Case Study To compare the costs of the different ways of employing drivers, a case study of coach operations between Brisbane, Melbourne and Perth is described i n Appendix 11. Deluxe services with daily departures from Brisbane and Perth were used for the calculation. The three driver employment systems examined are: staged-driving, the Del uxe system and the new two-up award. Wages, payroll tax, workers compensation, leave and accomodation costs areincluded to allow total driver costs to be calculated. Tab1 e I 1 .l shows the results of calculating the driver costs with wages based on the 1984 award of $272.10 for 40 hours. The basic concl usion is that total driver costs are lowest with a staged-driver system. The Deluxe system is 6 per cent more costly and the new two-up award is an additional 22 per cent higher than the Deluxe system. Overall the new two-up award costs are 29 per cent higher than the staged-driver award. These findings are in agreement with Commissioner Sheather i n that the rates paid by Deluxe were higher than would be the case if they used staged operations but were lower than the new two-up award. This is not necessarily true for all routes and Deluxe, in their submission to the ACAC, calculated an overall increase of 18 per cent in driver wages for the part of their network where two-up drivers are used. The table a1 so shows that two-up driving allows fewer drivers to be employed and that these drivers have higher wages than drivers under the staged-driving award. An additional potential cost is the loss of revenue due to the removal of seats to provide a bunk , but this would only apply during peak loadings, hence it would have 1 i ttl e or no effect during most of the year. 49 BTE Occasional Paper 74 Capital costs Capital costs, for the purposes of this section, refer only to the actual cost of acquiring a new or second-hand coach. Coaches can be acquired by outright purchase or by lease arrangements. There are three main sources of finance for the purchase of new and used coaches: business or term loans from trading banks, equipment finance from the Commonwealth DevelopmentBank and lease finance from finance companies. Term loans are made for fixed periods, usually ranging from three to 10 years and are amortised by regular instalments. Lease financing differs from equipment finance and term loans i n that the title of ownership of the goods remains with the finance company unless the option to buy at the end of the lease period is taken u p by the lessee. One of the m j o r advantages of lease finance is that the lessee is able to acquire equipment necessary for the operation of the business with only a'minimal cash outlay. Another advantage is that the lessee is able to obtain afull tax deduction formonthly lease payments thus reducing the after-tax cost of the capital i tem. i n general over A vehicle lease is essentially a short term lease, three to five years. This usually covers most of the economical life of the vehicle, afterwhichmaintenancecostsareexpectedto increase, particularly if it is still used i n a heavy usage express coach operation. As part of the lease agreement a residual value is determined. This provides an option for the lessee to buy the asset at the endof the lease period for this predeterminedvalue. Residual values are usually set at between 10-30 per cent of the value of the asset so at the end of the lease period the lessee can purchase the asset for this amount. This also provides significant scope for the operator to make acapital gain. Take, for example, a new coach purchased i n 1980 for $160 000 with a 25 per cent residual and a four-year lease arrangement. The residual value of this coach is $40 000. Although the price of second hand coaches will vary greatly with the quality of the individual coach 'it would appear from the trade literature that prices for 1978, 1979, 1980 and 1981luxury coaches i n 1984 are generally i n the order of $80 000 to $100 000. Later model Denning Tourmasters and Denair's have been advertised for as much as $140 000. This represents a considerable capital gain over the residual value determined under the lease agreement. 50 Chapter 3 The portion of total costs attributable to capital costs will vary greatly between the operators, depending on the average age of the fleet. A fleet with an average age of only two or three years wi 1 1 have a higher repayment structure than a fleet which hasan older age structure and possibly coaches which do not have any repayments owing. 1 Ower Offsetting this to some extent, a young fleet should have operating costs as a result of a lower maintenance requirement and possibly better fuel consumption. Capital costs will also vary with the type of coach purchased and the interest rate applicable to the leaseagreement. With respect to the price of new coaches it would appear that at the end of 1984 luxury coach prices were i n the range of $200 000 to $300 000. For example, the new MC19 'S imported from Canada by AnsettPioneer during 1984 were reported to be valued at around $250 000 each, while the new twin deck coaches used by AAC and Boznjaks of Sydney have been advertised from around $280 000 under lease. New Denning Tourmasters (usedby Deluxe and VIP) cost over$200 000. For illustrative purposes, capital costs for the case study example (Appendix I 1 1 are based on nine coaches, three of which were purchased i n 1981 at a cost of $175 000 each, three i n 1983 for 6210 000, and three i n 1984 at a cost of $250 000. All coaches are assumed to have been purchased under five-year lease agreements with a 25 per cent residual. The lease agreements are based on interest rates of 20, 17 and 15 per cent for the respective years 1981, 1983 and 1984. Capital costs are estimated to also include government insurance and registration as we1 1 as extra private insurance. Under these arrangements the totalcapital cost is calculated at $10 300 per week, or 13 cents per kilometre. As an example of the dependence on fleet age, if a1 1 nine coaches were purchased in 1981 the weekly cost would be $9 300 and if they were purchased i n 1984 this rises to $11 400. Operating costs The major components of operating costs are fuel, oi 1, tyres and maintenance. There does not appear to be m c h scope for a significant variation i n operating costs between operators as the prices paid for the fuel, oil and tyres are similar for all operators. Discounts are available for fuel, oil and tyres although it would be expected that 51 BTE Occasional Paper 74 these would also be similar for the major operators. The main areas i n which operating costs could vary are i n either the consumption rates of theseitems or i n ,maintenance costs. Differences in maintenance costs could be due to either the requirements of an older fleet or the implemented preventative maintenancepolicy. T o provide an estimate of operating costs fuel, oil and tyre costs have been estimated using November 1984 prices, associated discounts and average consumptionrates. Although fuel consumption will vary among operators and even among vehicles i n thesamefleet,industrysourcessuggestthatmost operators would aim at fuel consumption of around 36 litres per 100 kilometres with a usual range of between 26 and 56 litres per 100 kilometres. For case study purposes a consumption rate of 40 litres per 100 kilometres was chosen to represent an average rate. The fuel price used is an industrial price less a three cents per litre trade discount. Oil consumption is estimated to be 2 litres per thousand kilometres. The combined cost for fuel and oil is estimated at 19 cents per kilometre. ' Tyre life is assumed to be in the order of 220 000 kilometres which includes two recaps. Total tyre cost is based on the fleet price for '10.00 X 20' steel radials. Under these conditions total tyre cost'is estimated at between 2 and 3 cents perkilometre. Maintenance costs are based on Victorian Transport Regulation Board (TRB) figures for country service operators compiled from uniform financial returns. Themaintenanceexpense is theVictorianTRB figure for June 1980 indexed to a 1984value using the transportation component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and is 13.0 cents per kilometre. Although the Victorian TRB figures are aggregate figures for country service operators (of which 64 per cent of kilometres are accounted for by route, charter and touring operations) they are expected to provide a reasonable estimate for express operations. Estimates derived from the case study example show operating costs i n total to be around 34 cents per,kilometre. Overheads Overheadcostsreferto a range ofitemssuch as administrative salaries,accommodationexpenses, terminal leaseandmaintenance costs, advertising,electricity, telephone, stationeryandbooking facilities,and so on. Henceitisdifficult toestimatecosts attributable to overheads. There are also difficulties due to the widevariation of itemcostsamongthevariousoperators.Two examples of suchitemsareadministrationandterminals.Terminal on location,numberofterminals, costs vary markedlydepending furnishings, size of terminal, and other items. Administrative costs will vary with the management structure, and i n particular, whether or not there is a well developed pyramidal management structure, possibly with sizeable state or branch offices, or a simple structure based i n one or two offices. There is potentially a large variation i n overhead costs which may account for many of the differences between cost structures, particularlybetweenthenewerdiscountoperatorsand theolder established operators. Consequently, it is one area i n which there is scope for the discount operators to lower costs and thus enable them tocompete by offeringlowerfares.Itwouldappearthatthe established operators have built u p larger administrative networks and operate a more extensive network of terminals than discount .operators, who have a smaller number of terminals located i n less central areas or share facilities with other operators. I n Canberra, for instance, Ansett Pioneer operate their own terminal facilities while the other i n a shared coach terminal. The conpanies generally use facilities discount operators also use kerbsidepick u p and set down to a greater extent. The salarycomponent of overheadsincludes all wagesotherthan drivers and maintenance staff and so includes the wages of booking clerks,cleaningstaffand general administrative staff. Industry experience suggests that there is usually a one-to-one ratio between driving staff and the number of administrative back and u p staff. Expenditure on advertising is another area of overheads i n which there is variation. The discount operators generally rely on only a small amount of advertising, claiming this as one factor enabling them to maintain a lower fare structure. O n the other hand, Greyhound has been maintaining a high level of advertising, emphasising the quality of their service rather than their fare levels. The use of a high publicprofile,based on qualityofservice, is beingusedto supplement their established goodwill i n seeking to maintain their share of the passengermarket. As a result of the variability i n overheads, no estimate is included in the case study costings. Instead, the calculations i n Appendix I 1 show the margin between estimated revenue and the total of other 53 BTE Occa6ional Paper 74 costs. This provides an idea as to the overheads which could absorbed under the given fare levels. be REVENUE Apart from fares charged, there are a number of other factors which must be taken into account when considering or estimating revenue i n the industry. These include factors such as occupancy rates, the breakup between adult and concession fares, the effect on seating capacity with two-up driving, and the loss of revenue due to payment of commissions for bookings made throughtravel agencies. , Occupancy rates Along with fare levels, occupancy rates are the single most important determinant of revenue. It has been reported that VIP consider an occupancy rate of 85 per cent, or 38 seats filled outof 44, essential before breaking even on their operations (Monaghan 1984). Information on actual occupancy rates is generallynot publicly available, so it is necessary to estimate an overall occupancy rate forcoaches on intercapitalexpress routes. Fromdiscussionwith operators and BTE observations an average occupancy rate of 75 per cent was estimated and is assumed in subsequent analysis. Over the peak Christmas-New Year holiday period it was estimated that the 90 per cent, although it would occupancy rate would' increase to around appear that in many cases occupancy would reach 100 per cent during this period. Notwithstanding this, a conservative estimate was chosen to allow for variation duringth'e six-week peak period. Breakup between adultand concession fares I n the cases where operators issue concession fares there wi 1 1 be a reduction i n revenue. This factor must be taken into account when estimating revenue over a given route. For example, Ansett Pioneer offer a 10 per cent reduction for concession fareson some routes and a 20 per cent reduction on othe,rs. Greyhound also offers concession fares, but, this will not affect the discount operators Deluxe and VIP who donot offerconcessionfares on mostoftheirinterstate services. Reduction in seat1 ng capacity due to two-up driving Because the two-up driving system relies on the conversion of four rear seats into a bunk there wi 1 1 be a reduction i n seating capacity. However, this wi 1 1 usually only be disadvantageous to the operator i n 54 Chapter 3 peak periods when these four seats occupied. have the greatest potential to be Loss of revenue from travel agency bookings Where coach bookings are made through travel agencies it is normal practice for the agency to collect a fee of u p to 20 per cent of the fare. PROFIT MARGIN As can be seen from the case study results (Appendix 1 1 1 , if stageddrivers are used, the respective margins under the$159.00 and $206.00 fares are 29 and 50 cents per kilometre. Under the new two-up award, the margins are 25 and 45 cents per kilometre respectively. Under the various driver employment schemes the margins coverthe range from one to two million dollars annually. Thus, overheads m s t fall within this range to ensure that the operator at least breaks even, noting also that any profit m s t come from there. It can generally be concluded that most of the differences in fares between the operators can be explained by differences i n overhead costs and drivers' wages. It is significant that itis the newer entrants to the industry operating under lower overhead structures who are offering the lower fares, whereas the older more established operators, whilst having reduced prices since 1980, have not chosen to compete on pricebuthavepreferredtocompete on the basis of quality. Although the above case study assumesthat the coaches are leased, the operators with older equipment will have either completed any lease many years ago or purchased the coach outright,. This e1 iminates any in that situation, although capital costs associated with coaches maintenance costs may be higher. These operators are now purchasing newcoacheswhich wi 1 1 increasetheir capital costswith full re-equipment, putting them i n a similar position to that describedi n the case study. 55 CHAPTER4-THEINSTITUTIONALFRAMEWORKOFTHELONGDISTANCECOACH INDUSTRY The aim of this chapter is to provide an overview of the current dimensions and nature of the institutional framework affecting the long distance coach industry. At the outset, it should be noted that at the interstate level the industry is free from any form of quantity (economic) regulation, as a result of the High Court's interpretation of Section 9 2 of the Constitution. On the other hand, the intrastate industry can be differentiated from the interstateby the fact thatit is commonly subject to extensive economic controlsi n terms of entry, route, schedule and price controls; safety regulations apply equally to both segments. The institutional framework i n which operators function has developed largely as a result of government actions over the years. Government regulatory response to the developmentof long distance coach services began to appear throughout Australia after World WarI. The growth of road transport operations developedquickly as a competitive challenge to publicly-owned railway systems. Consequently, economic regulation of road transport within Australia began primarily in the late 1920s and early 1930s when State governments moved to restrict the competition between road and rai 1 transport, which they perceived to be detrimental to the financial stability and economic viability of the railways. The first State to regulate the coach industry comprehensively was Tasmania. By way of its T P U ~ ~A c~t C 1928, it instituted regulation and licensing of pri vately-owned coach and bus services with the stated purpose to "ensure the avoidance of 'unfair and wasteful ' competition". The other States also chose to regulate and co-ordinate pri vately-owned coach services a few years later with the passage of Transport Co-ordination Acts or similar legislation such as the South Australian Road and Railway Transport Act, 1931. In terms of road safety, the various legislative changes incorporated i n the States Co-ordination Acts further assisted earlier Traffic Acts which had required licensing of vehicles and drivers and limits according to weight,passengernumbersand speed. Third party insurancealso became a requirement as i n the Queensland?lotor Vehicles Insumnce Act 57 1936, in which the Owners of vehicles for carriage of passengers were required to take out an insurance policy per passenger to cover liability. In 1954, the States' powers to regulate interstate road transport were challenged by Hughes and Vale Pty Ltd in the Privy Counci 1. The Council Is favourable judgement was subsequently upheld by the High Court i n 1955 and consequently the interstate road transport industry has been free from all forms of economic regulation from that date (Hughes and ValePty Ltd (N0.2) (1955) 93 CLR127). This chapter describes the institutional framework of the industry under four separate but interrelated headings.They arequantity (economic) regulation, safety standards, the provision of the road infrastructure system by government and the organisational setting of employers and employees within theindustry. QUANTITY (ECONOMIC) REGULATION The constitutional basis of the powers for regulating this industry lies with the States and not the Federal Government. The focus of this section of the Paper is on outlining the forms which government economic regulations take and the specific arrangements which exist at the State level. Regulatory fortns Theformwhichquantityregulationtakes is varied andincludes controls over fares, hoursof operation, number of services and routes in all States by designated served. Fare schedules are determined regulating authorities, according to more or less explicit guidelines (commonly on a cost-plus basis). Applications for fare increases are i n linewith usually authorised only for individualservices, increases i n operating costs. In New South Wales, for example, fare a periodically updated Index of applications are weighed against Omnibus Operators Costs which ensures that fare increases are common across the whole range of coach services. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that on some routes where additional operator licences have been granted such as Brisbane-Cairns, existing operators have applied for and been granted a fare reduction. The entry of a new operator charging a lower fare suggests that the administered fare was perhaps high. State governments also commonly exercise tightcontrol over the number of participants permitted to operate services on any route. This 58 Chapter 4 applies equally to intrastate operators and interstate operators; the latter are generally deniedpick u p and set down rights within a State on interstate journeys, although some exceptions are made on routes between border localities and State capitals. The extent t o which quantity control is used to preclude the operation of more than one operator on any route, however, varies between and within the States. Although Western Australia and Queensland appear to favour competition between private operators on some routes (such as Perth-Port Hedland and Brisbane-Cairns), 'parallel licensing' is not widely practised in the States. Regulatory arrangements It is worth noting that i n the road freight industry, the States have progressively moved to dismantle the economic regulation of operators over the last two decades. A similar trend has yet to emerge i n the coach industry at the intrastate level, where administrative controls remain dominant. New South Wales The State Transport (Co-ordination) Act, 1931, administered by the Department of Motor Transport (DMT), effectively provides a framework for the comprehensive control of all intrastate road transport i n New South Wales. For the purposes of the Act, the Australian Capital Territory is deemed to be part of the State, an arrangement which is underlined by the fact that only one operator is at present licensed to carry passengers between Canberra and Sydney on an intrastate basis. The specific thrust of the State Transport (Co-ordination) Act, 1931 is to regulate road transport i n order to facilitate the financial success and survival of the State Rail Authority (SRA). This Act is complemented by the Transport Act, 1930 which specifically deals with the three designated Transport Districts (Metropolitan, Newcastle and District and Wollongongl, the Motor Traffic (Further Amendment) Act, 1983 and a variety of specific technical traffic regulations concerning road transport i n New South Wales. I n keeping with this tight control, interstate operators have limited pick u p and set down rights within the State. Recently, sole control of public motor vehicles i n country areas has been given to the Commissioner for Motor Transport by the State Transport (Co-ordination) AmendmentAct, 1980 and the Local Government (Public Vehicles) Amendment Act, 1980. Previously, the licensing and control of country road services had been a shared responsibility 59 BTE OccasiunaZ Paper 74 between, local government authorities and the Commissioner. The Act enables regulation of conditions of entry, nates, fares, taxes and fees. Licences are still only issued for journeys not exceeding 80 kilometres in length, or for those that do not compete with an existing railway service. It should be noted, however, that many of the Co-ordination Act's specific provisions are no longer used. Victoria Under the general planning umbrella of the State Transport Authority (STA), theRoadTrafficAuthority(RTA)administersacompulsory licensing system of commercial passenger operations, according to the Transport Act 1983. The objectives of the Authority 'S acti vi ties are ,to assist in the balanced use of transport resources, specifically through licensing, to meet public transport needs. I n addition to these regulatory functions, the Authority also provides registration and licensing procedures and systems for motor vehicles drivers. and I n practical terms, the RTA will grant a licence if the operator can show the economic viabi 1 i ty of the service, a benefit to the community from the service, no disbenefit to existing services and the capacitytomeetrequiredserviceandsafetystandards.Although there is no specificreference in theActthatwouldpreclude competition with rai 1, the third condition represents an implicit hurdle since existing operators, including V/Line, are able to lodge appealsagainstalicenceapplication. I n thiscontext, it is interesting to note that V/Line currently subcontracts some of its routes to private coach operators, who receive a subsidy to ensure that suitable standards of service and equipment areprovided. Queensland The regulating function for public vehicles i n Queensland is carried out by 'the Commissioner for Transport. Subject to theState Transport Act 1960-1981, vehicles used in certain districts on specific routes for the purpose of carrying passengers under licence or permit be must approved by the Commissioner. Licences are usually granted for a period of seven years. Coach services are permitted to competew,ith almost all rail passenger services. This competition is heaviest along the Queensland coast and Westlander (Brisbane-Quilpie), MidZander (Rockhamptonalongthe Longreach)and Inlander (Townsville-MtIsa) routes. In addition, routes maybe restricted to one operator only, such as Cairns to Karumba, or most recently, be open to mltiple operators, such as Brisbane to Cairns. This direct competition between road and rai 1, hawever, is tempered by restrictions on some routes which do not ' 60 Chapter 4 permit operators to set down passengers on forward journeys or pick u p passengers on return journeys. I n common with some other States, operators are charged licence fees. These fees are based on two calculations: a percentage of gross fare revenue, ranging from 2.5 per cent to 7 per cent depending on the route and a fixed charge which varies from0.4 cents on coastal routes to 0.3 cents per passenger per kilometre on inland routes. Revenue 1979, from $662 000 to $1 125 from these fees has almost doubled since 000 i n 1984, an increase which reflects a growth in passenger numbers as well as fare rises. South Austmtia Since 1981 theDepartment of Transport'sRoadSafetyandMotor TransportDivision has exercisedconpleteregulatory control over of this intrastate road transport i n South Australia. The objective control is to co-ordinate publ ic transport services by the 1 icensing of operators under the Road Traffic Act, 1961-1981. The Act provides for the issue of a licence on the basis of the suitability of the applicant, the safety of the vehicle, the suitability of the vehicle for the operation, the transport requirements of the publ ic i n the area to be served, the conditions of the roads i n the area, and any other matter that the Minister considers relevant. A review of coach services and the regulations governing them has recently been completed i n South Australia. The existing regulatory system was examined with particular emphasison its objectives and how these could best be achieved (BTE 198%). Western Austratia The licensing of services and regulation of fares and fees is the responsibility of the Commissioner of Transport under the T7~n6pOPt Act, 1966-1981, Licences can be obtainedeither by satisfying operational criteria, or by tendering for a service which is deemed necessary by the Minister. Within these conditions, the same principles that apply to other States can be discerned, namely, the provision of transport services for thepubl i c good, the prevention of conpeti ti on and the protection of existing services. The rationalisation which has taken place i n Western Australian rail i n a more passenger services during the last decade has resulted liberalised system of licensing. Restricted approval has been given by the Commissioner of Transport for Greyhound, Ansett Pioneer and Deluxe to operate on a number of specific routes i n the southwest of the State, which do not conflict with Westrail coaches, as well as 61 BTE Occasional Paper 74 between Perth and Port Hedland. However, it should be noted that when Deluxe requested permission to carry passengers between Perth and Kalgoorlie on their interstate services, this was refused as their services conflicted with the Westrai 1 Prospector rai 1 service (Western Australia Transport Commission1984). Tasmania The licensing and regulation of privately operated coach services .in Tasmania is vested i n Transport Tasmania (Department of Transport) under the powers of the Transport Act 1981 and the Traffic Act 1925. ThefunctionsofTransportTasmaniacoverregistrationofmotor vehicles, licensingandregulation ofcommercial 'roadpassenger transport, testing and licensing of drivers, provision of road safety policy advice and support, and advice on motor vehicle design. ' , Regular rail passengerservices i n Tasmaniahave been abandoned completely for some time, obviating the need for limiting competi'tion, between roadand rail services by legislation. Previously,the Traffic Act ensured the avoidance of 'unfair' and 'wasteful' competition by giving both the State owned railways and licensed road operators a measure of protection. Currently, the two major coach operators are encouraged to compete on some routes, notably between Hobart and the northern centresof Launceston, Devonport and Burnie. Northern Territory i The Land Group of the Department of Transport and Works is concerned with the review and administration of the Motor vehicle Amendment Act (No. 2) 1981, the Control of Roads Act 1981 and the Traffic Act 1981. Licensing is only required for the carriage of goods using locally registered vehicles; it is not used to control entry to the commercial transport industry or to monitorits performance. SAFETY STAWDARDS Safety standards of the long distance coach industry are underpinned by a large body of regulations covering hours of driving, vehicle design and operation. A further dimension to this type of .regulation has been proposed by the introduction of a system of quality licencing of road freighttransportoperators(see NationalRoad Freight Industry Inquiry (NRFII) 1984) which has relevance for the coach industry, given that it is an integral part of the road transport industry. At the time of writing, the Interstate Road Transport Bill 1985 containing this type of provision was being debated in Federal Parliament. Quality licensing is viewed by its proponents as being a more effective instrument for promoting road safety than economic 62 Chapter 4 control of entry to the road transport industry, which is largely seen as being ineffective (see McDonell Report 1980). The NRFII (1984) suggested that safety standards couldbe improved by ensuring that: . all those entering the industry are adequately equipped with the skills necessary to operate trucks safely; and . employeddrivers,togetherwithowner-driversandother operators, c o n f m n over a period to well -judged and appropriate safety standards in their business activities. Suggested criteria laid down for quality licensing schemes appear to be slanted not only toward safety but are also implicitly associated with economic aspects of operator behaviour. It can be argued that thisapproachrepresents no morethananotherformof de facto quantity control of entry to the industry. The actual extent to which any form of quality licensing can be implemented, however, appears to be severely constrained by previous High Court rulings on the scope of reasonable regulation permitted by Section 92 of the Constitution (see Attorney-General 'S Department advice to NRFII (1984) 1. Considerable efforts at the inter-governmental level have over recent years been made to standardise laws a n d regulations pertaining to the safe operation of road transport services. The principal national advisory body responsible for the coardination of transport matters is the Australian Transport Advisory Council (ATAC) which is comprised of Federal, State and Territory Ministers of Transport. Fi gu're 4.1 outl ines the overall organisational structure of ATAC as well as detailing the major advisory and technical groups and committees which have relevance to the coach industry. The policy advisory group most is theRoadSafetyGroup(RSG), relevantto the coachindustry comprising State officials from the motor vehicle safety and regulatory areas, together with Federal Government representatives. In turn, RSG is advised by a number of technical committees which are detailed i n Figure 4.1. Theelements of safetyregulationscomprisedriverperformance standards (speed limits, hours of driving and licensing) and technical aspects associated with the vehicle (for example, vehicle limits and maintenance requirements). These are outl i ned be1 ow. Driver performance standards Regulation with regard to speed limits, hours of driving and driver licensing were designed to control the actionsof participants within the long distance coach industry. However, given the incompatibility 63 I Australian I TranSDOrt Advi sorv Council ATAC I 1 I (SCOT) I Road Safety Group (RSG) Road Group Rail Group I I I 4dvi sory Committees . Advisory Committee on Promotion and Education for Road Safety (ACPERS) . Road User and Trauma Advisory Committee (RUTAC) . Advisory Committee on Transport of Dangerous Goods (ACTDG) 2 sub-committees . Vehicle Standards Advisory Commi ttee (VSAC) 2 sub-committees . Advisory Committees on Vehicle Emissions and Noi se (ACVEN) 2 sub-committees Source: ATAC . - II Advisory Committees . Ship Standards Advisory Committee (SSAC) . Marine Pollution Advisory Committee (MAPAC) Australian Motor Vehicle 1 I 4 Advisory Panel on Recall and Unsafe Parts (APRUP) - - Data Working Group (DWG) Figure 4.1-Organisation of ATAC Chapter 4 of licence classes within Australia, enforcement of regulations is difficult. Moreover, at present there are a number of licence classes i n all States and Territories, ranging from13 i n Western Australia to five in the Northern Territory; most involve the taking of separate tests (DOT 1983). Few of these classifications are compatible across State and Territory borders. This situation is likely to change, however, as a result of ATAC's 1983 endorsement of a uniform code of driver's licence classifications. Legislation governing hours of driving is also not uniform across Australia (see Table 4.1). The regulations covering hours of driving set maximum periods for hours of driving without rest periods and also stipulate mininum periods of rest. I n terms of each driving period over 24 hours, the maximum driving time is 12 hours i n New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Northern Territory, and 11 hours in Western Australia and Queensland. The regulations i n New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia also require a driver to have a minimum of five consecutive hours of rest i n a given 24-hour period; i n Queensland,WesternAustraliaandtheNorthernTerritorythe requirement is for 10 consecutive hours of rest in a 24-hour period. The difference among the States does not lie only i n the form of TABLE 4.1-HOURS OF DRIVING FOR HEAVY VEHICLES NSW ViC Maxi mum continuous hours5.0 5.0 Maxi mm aggregate i n last 24 hours 12.0 12.0 Mi ni m m consecutive hours rest in last24 h ou rs 5.0 5.0 Mi nimm rest period -between continuous hours 0.5 0.5 qtd WA SA 5.5 5.5 5.0 Tas .. NT 5.0 .. 12.0 11.0 12.011.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 .. 10 .o 0.5 0.5 0.5 .. 0.5 .. not applicable Source: Office of Road Safety (1983). 65 BTE Occasional Paper 74 driving 'hours regulation, but also i n the policing of these regulations. For instance,' unliketheotherStates, both South Australia and Western Australia do not require completion of drivers' log books. The National Road Traffic Code endorsed by ATAC in 1982 recommended 60 kilometres per hour and 110 absolute national speed limits of kilometres per hour i n urban and rural areas respectively. States and Territories, nevertheless, are free to adopt their own 1 imi ts within thi S general range, according to individual circumstances. However, i n limitsgenerallybut a1 so a notonlyisthereavariation difference between road coaches and trucks, as illustrated in Table 4.2. It is worth noting that the NRFII recommended that all speed difference be removed, given the improvements in braking standards of vehiclesgenerallyasdefined by Australian Design Rules (ADRs). However, subject to this recommendation being adopted, the Inquiry 1 imi ts and the ending of also endorsed the strict enforcement of speed the practice of 'unwritten tolerances in relation to speeding' (NRFII 1984, p. 155). Technical standards The technical capabilities of vehicles area1 so regulated for safety purposes. DespitetheconsiderableeffortsthatATAChasmade overtheyears to harmoniseState and Territoryvehiclelimit TABLE 4.2-NON-URBAN SPEED LIMITS FOR VEHICLES,ALL STATES AND TERRITORIES (km per hour) State/territory WalesSouth New Victoria nd Queens1 Western Austral 110 i a Australia South Tasmania Northern Territory Austral ian Capital Territory Sources: 66 General limit 80 100 90 100 110 As directed NRFII (1984). Personal Coach limit 90 90 100 90 90 90 No absolute limits As di rec ted communication with DOT (1985). Truck Zimit 80 80 80 80 50-80 Chapter 4 regulations,thereisstillsomevariation in the technical regulations governing road passenger and freight vehicle dimensions. While there are disparities among the States and Territories with respect to levels of permissible gross vehicle mass (gvm), it is doubtful whether this currently represents a significant impediment to theefficientfunctioningoftheinterstatecoachindustry. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that axle load limit differences in the past have posed a number of problems for long distance coach operators. Revised axle load limits which followed the Economics of RoadVehicleStudy(NAASRA 1976) resulted i n some longdistance coaches being deemed to have non-conforming axle configurations. ATAC subsequently recommended that such coaches be allowed to continue to operate only until 31 December 1983. The fornulation of standards for the construction and performance of motor vehicles is one of the major concerns of ATAC. For example, ADRs contain specifications for the incorporation of safety features i n vehicles which can contribute to the reduction of death or inju Y, or for the control of vehicle emissions and noise (NRFII 1984). At present, regulations exist i n relation to: . the safetydesignofmotorvehicleswhichcan be verified bY usual inspection or simple non-destructive testing at the P O nt of registration and are not subjectto ADRs; . the ongoing performance of ADRs including allowable deterioration and acceptable modification; and . the on-road operation of vehicles such as loading, on (NRFII 1984, p. 67). noise, and so However, there are no ADRs i n relation to coach structural strength or requirements for seatbe1 ts. INFRASTRUCTURE Governments,at all levels, haveamajorinvolvement in thelong distancecoachindustryasprovidersoftheroad system. This responsibility is distributed between all three levels of government according to a relatively corrplex set of interactions which determine the financing of road investment. This section details the use made of the road system by the long distance coach industry, who provides the funds for that system and the contribution the industry makes to that funding. 67 BTE OccasionaZ Paper 74 In terms of the functional use made of the road system, it is worth noting that the road freight industry is the main commercial user, u p only afraction of total withlongdistancecoachesmaking commercial use. BTE (1984b) estimated that there were 1.6 million light commercial vehicles and ;trucks, including 543 000 rigid and articulated trucks. In comparison, only approximately 1000 intrastate in and interstate long distance coaches were estimated to operate Australia (of these only 250 were interstate coaches). Some 90 per tent of interstate coach travel occurs on national highways while intrastate coach travelis fairly evenly divided between national highways and rural arterial roads. The Federal Government assumed re,sponsibil i ty for a1 1 funding of construction and maintenance of the national highway system i n 1974. For the purposes of the long distance coach industry, 'the main road In categories used are national highways and rural arterial roads. 1981-82 expenditure on these two categories accounted for 33.5 per cent of total expenditure by all levels of government. This was a considerable increase over the expenditure i n 1972-73 which was 26.3 per cent. These figures show an increasing priority given to major interstate and intrastate roads. Since most of the real expenditure increase has gone to national highways, the interstate coach industry could be seen to have been greatly assisted i n expanding its overall market. Federal Government funding under the Australian Land Transport Program (ALTP 1 and the Australian Bicentennial Road Development' (ABRD) Program will total $1 250 million i n 1985-86. This expenditure will be allocated 45 per cent for national highways, and 20.3 percentand 13.7 percentforurbanarterialsand rural arterials respectively. I n addition, 20.6 per cent is allocated to research. local roads with 0.4 per cent to road safety and transport A majorchangeoverrecentyearsaffectingStateroadfinancing arrangements has been the progressive introduction of business fuel franchiseschemes by all Statesexcept Queensland. Mostschemes provideforahigherexcise on dieselfuel than onpetrol. In addition, States also recover partof their road costs from commercial registration and licence fees. Under the ALTP, roads will be funded by an hypothecated and indexed fuel excise (3.799 cents per litres of 2 August 19851, which will raise i n combination with the Bicentennial roads excise(2.0 cents per litre) an estimated $1.5 million i n 1985-86 from the interstate coach industry, plus an estimated $800 000 from State fuel franchise schemes and registration and licence fees. ALTP legislation also provides for 68 Chapter 4 funds to be diverted to interstate rail mainline investment which will aid the overall competitive positionof this mode. ORGANISATIONAL SETTING The overall stability and economic performance of the long distance coach industry is significantly affected by its organisational and operational structure. The outstanding feature of the long distance coach industry is that its participants are on the whole drawn from the private sector. At the same time it operates within a complex structure of Territory, State and Federal Government intervention, both through direct regulation and the provision of the road system. Like other conponents of the transport industry, the long distance coachindustry is represented by organisedemployeeandemployer associations, together with a small but increasing number of subcontractors and individual owner-drivers. Employees are primarily represented by the TWU and the Federated Clerks Union (FCU) at both the State and Federal levels. Other unions which have an important i n themechanicaland irrpact ontheindustryarethoseinvolved generalcleaningdutiesatmaintenanceworkshops.Themost significant of the unions is the TWU which has a membership i n excess of 100 000, of which an estimated 800 to 1000 memberswork i n the long distance coach industry. The structure of the TWU is constituted around a federal organisation with State and Territory branches. The commonwealth conciliation and Federal TWU is registered under the Arbitration Act 1904 as a trade union, and the State branches are also registered i n terms of relevant State industrial legislation as trade unions. The process of dual Federal and State registration of unions has posed considerable problems for the TWU as evidenced by the outcome of the Moore v Doyte (1969) 15 FLR59 case. The Court held i n that case that the TWU New South Wales Branch was not a branch of the Federal TWU but a separate legal entity. The result was that the New South Wales TWU Branch split from the FederalTWU. This split between the organisations remained until early 1980 when the TWU New South Wales Branch re-joined the Federal TWU (BTE 1984b3. The principal Federal Award applicable to the long distance coach industry is the Transport Workers (Passenger Vehicles) Award 1984 (currently under dispute as detailed i n Chapter 31, which is binding on the majority of errployers outside New South Wales. I n New South Wales, the relevant award is the Transport Industry Tourist and Service Coach Driver State Award. This also covers owner-drivers, since the TWU is entitled to represent owner-drivers before special - 69 BTE OccasionaZ Paper 74 arbitrationtribunalswhichregulatetheratesandconditions of owner-drivers subject to the New South Wales Industrial Arbitration (AmendmentI'Act 1979. States which have their own awards in addition to the Federal Award are Victoria (Motor Drivers Award) and Queensland (Motor Drivers, Etc Award, Southern Division and Passenger Vehicle Drivers, Etc Award, Northern and Mackay Divisions). South Australia, Western Australia and the Northern Territory operate under the Federal Award only. Employer interests are promoted at the national level by the ,Australian Bus and Coach Association (ABCA) which acts as themumbrella organisation for the various State Bus and Coach Associations. The ABCA objectives are to promote and develop the bus and coach industry and to take any necessary action to give effect to this aim at the national level. PriortotheformationofABCA, bus andcoach proprietors were represented by the Australian Road Transport Federation. It is understood from industry sources that, on the whole, new entrants to the interstate long distance coach industry do not generalsly belong to the various State Bus and Coach Associations. This may in the longer term inhibit communications with government and present an impediment to solving industry problems. 70 CHAPTER 5-INDUSTRY STRUCTURE, PRICINGAND PERFORMANCE There have been major changes in the long distance coach industry since the late 1970s i n terms of fare and quality differentials and industry efficiency. These changes can be attributed in part to the entry of new operators (notably at the interstate level 1 into an expandingpassenger market. Theactions of new entrantshave contributed to stimulating the long distance coach -industry market by the provision of new or additional services, often at fares significantly below those existing prior to their entry. The enhanced level of competition existing i n the interstate and some intrastate markets, notably the more heavily trafficked routes such as Brisbane-Cairns, has produced a number of favourable outcomes for consumers. Fares have s h w n a significant decline i n nominal as we1 1 as real termsoverthoseprevailing i n 1980. I n addition, availability and quality of services have improved with consumers having a nuch wider range of price and quality mixes to choose from to meet their specific travel requirements. At the same time, available statisticalinformation on coachaccidentsdoesnotpoint to any comp rami se of safety . Asomewhatdifferentpictureemerges i n regardtonuch of the intrastate market where fares, levels and quality of services have not followed those of the interstate market. The major reason for this a high level of government was considered to be the presence of economic regulation and the relatively low density (thin nature) of a large part of the intrastate route network. This chapter examines the long distance coach industry in terms of its structural attributes, pricing practices and the resultant performance of the industry in the m r k e t place. Structural attributes of the industry are considered with regard to entry and exit conditions and the possible conpeti tion from other modes. The behaviour of operators is discussedwithrespect to pricingpractices, while industry performance is examined with reference to levels of service, industry concentration and stability, safety and farelevels. 71 STRUCTURAL ATTRIBUTES The most significant structural characteristics of the long distance coach industry and the 'forces that give rise to shaping its competitive climate are outlined i n this section, namely entry and exit barriers and modal substitution (that is, air, rail and car). Other structural attributes, such as the degree of seller and buyer bargaining power, have not been specifically considered, on the basis that the impact of these forces tends to be relatively modest in this industry. The low entry and exit barriers,,the availability of alternative modes and the general absence of economic regulation all combine to lay the foundations for a highly competitive interstate coach industry. In these aspects it differs significantly from intrastate operations, which are conducted in a more tightly controlled environment. This envi ronment 1 argely discourages competition, a1 though there are indications that the situationmay be changing. ' Barriers to entry and ex4 t In order to understand the performance attributes of the long distance coach industry, it is useful to examine the market structure of the industry in relation to the existing barriers to entry and exit at both the interstate and intrastate levels. These barriers can be considered i n terms of economies of scale, capital requirements and government regul ati on. It appears that not only is the interstate coach industry competitive, but it also exhibits a number of the attributes of a highly contestable market on thin routes (see Baumol, Panzar and Willig 1982). The absence of entry and exit barriers combined with the highly mobile nature of the operators' capital enables operators to enter and exit from routes as financial conditions change. Operators appear to enter markets until such time as rates of earnings fall to those prevailing on other routes. Consequently, even on comparatively thinroutesthethreat ofentryforcesoperatorstoprice competi ti vely. At the intrastate level, the presence of high entry barriers i n the form of government regulation offers the potential for high earnings. In reality, actual earnings may be considerably lower given that there may be a high degree of cross-subsidisation between routes and high compliance costs associated with meeting the requirements of regulation.Moreovqr,thehigh level ofeconomiccontrol i n some States is unlikely to produce conditions that favour route or service expansion into areas which haverelatively low revenue potential (thin markets 1 i n the absence of government-sponsored revenue-supported schemes. Economies of scale Economies of scale refer to the relationship between costs and levels of output, in particular, an increase of output associated with a proportionately lower increase of inputs. The presence of economies of scale acts to deter entry to an industry by forcing new entrants either to come i n on a large scale or otherwise face a cost penalty. On the face of it neither of these outcomes appears relevant with regard to the Australian long distance coach industry. Observations on economies of scale in the provision of USA long distance coach services suggest that if scale economies do exist for some size ranges of coach firms, they cease to exist at output levels well below those demanded in national,regionalandmost local markets (ICC 1984). Investigations by Tauchen, Fravel & Gilbert (19831, examining the USA long distance coachindustry, alsofound no evidence of scale economies for coach operators with revenue i n excess of $1 million per annum. i n thisindustryis The apparent absence of scale economies illustrated by the ease with which many new operators enter the industry with few coaches and commence operating on a single route, such as Aussie Express on the Adelaide to Sydney route. Any scale economiespresent i n the industryapparently disappear beyond a relatively modest number of vehicles, which may be as l o w as one t o two on particularly lightly trafficked routes. Nevertheless, it should be noted that larger firms may gain some financial advantages through the large scale purchasing of coaches, fuel, oil and insurance,but thisadvantage may be offset by thepresence of generally higher overheads, particularly i n regard 'to labour costs. A re1 ated concept to scale economies is the notion of economies of scope, which are cost savings accruing to a firm by nature of its production of nulti-outputs (Baumol, Panzar & Willig 1982). Scope economies appear i n part to be present i n some firms' operations, as i n the case of either by nature of their route network, such through-routeing(whichenables an operatortoconsolidate any interstateandintrastateservicesinto a singleservice)or by involvement i n other complementary activities (for instance, charter and tourist work). The significance of scope economies as an overall barrier to entry appears likely to have only a marginal impact and to be confined in the main to certain localised parts of the network. A 73 detailed analysis of the business undertakings of individual operators would be required for the extent of scope economies to be fully assessed. l Capital requirements Therunning of expresscoachservicesinvolvescapitaloutlays 'associated with the purchase of equipment and facilities. Hoitever, the need to invest to gain entry .can be on a relatively modest scale, ranging from entry with one or two coaches (or using subcontractors 1 to entry with a national operation of 40 to 60 coaches. In terms of infrastructure requirements, minimal capital needs to be outlayed if travelagentsareusedformarketingpurposes (inreturnfor an agent'scommissionofusually 20 per cent), and ifothercoach operators' terminals or, indeed, street corners are utilised for pick up andset down. Evenwhereoperatorshaveoutlayedsubstantial capital for specific purposes such as coach terminals, these costs may be sunk only to a 1 imited degree, since coach terminals can be converted from structures built for other purposes and subskquently, reconvertedas required. Similarly,thereexistsanestablished resale market for coaches which, during the past decade at least, has seen coaches maintain their resale value. Consequently, companies may well choose to exit the market, sell vehicles, maintenance bases and terminals and be no worse off, or may be better off by the amount of i ncome earned i n the short term. Capital requirements would appearto act as a minimal barrierto entry for new or existing coach firms enteringnew markets. Preliminary BTE investigations of the Australian coach industry indicate that capital requirements for medium to large firms account for between 10 and20 per cent of companies' expenses; for smaller firmsit varies between 5 and 10 per cent of total expenses. The ICC (1984) study found a similar situation i n respect of the USA long distance coach industry, with an estimated 80 to 90 per cent of carriers' expenses considered as variable over a short' time span. Overall, the industry is not characterised by the need to incur significant risky expenditure to commence operation. Government regulat,ion Governmentregulationcontributestotheshape of theindustry's structure by largely determining its economic, safety and technical standards. The effects of regulation on the structure of the long distancecoachindustryastheyrelate totheintrastatecoach industry are, on the whole, to erect a substantial barrier to entry. Even where two or more operators run a particular intrastate service, competition is generally limited. However, over recent years, 74 Chapter 5 interstate operators have increasingly been allowed by some States, notablyWesternAustralia, to providesupplementaryservicesfor i ntrastate passengers. Recent indications are that the market is also progressively being 1 iberal ised, especially in both Queensland and Western Australia, by relaxation of the existing tight economic control exercised by State governments.Wherethishasalreadyoccurred,theincrease in competition has resulted i n lowerfaresbeingavailabletothe public. For example, the recent entry of three new operators on the BrisbanetoCairnsroute has effectivelyloweredthecheapest available fare by 29 per cent, from $85.00 to $60.00. Modal coweti tion Long distance coach transport is, generally, highly substitutable by car, rail and air. Indeed,the ready availability of substitute products places an overall price ceiling on operators. Other .considerations affecting substitution are time (which may or may not mean speed alone), and the availability of alternative modes suitable for chosen destinations. The overall reduction i n interstate coach fares relative to fares i n other competing modes in recent years is a major factor which has influenced substitution of other modes by coach. I n addition, it hasmade travel, or more frequenttravel, possible for wider categories of travellers, notably 1 m e r soci oeconomic groups (see Table2.12). The price of travel appears to play a very important part i n the choice of travel mode. For exanple, Table 2.8 conpares fares for different standards of travel provision and convenience for journeys from Melbourne to Sydney, Adelaide and Brisbane. It will be noted that a real comparison on the basis of fares can only be made i n the a corrparable first class economy class as coaches do not provide service. Between 1980 and 1984 the relative position of air, rail and coachfareschangedconsiderably,withcoachfaresactually declining. For example, coach fares on the Sydney to Melbourne route declined by 18 percentwiththeestablishedoperator(Ansett Pioneer), while with the newest entrant VIP, coach fares declined by 45 per cent from Ansett Pioneer's1980 fare levels. At the same time, econonly rail fares increased by 56 per cent and econoqy air fares increased by 82 per cent. By comparison, coach service frequencies (see Table 2.8) are generally well i n excess of rail service frequencies, and journey times by coach compare favourably with rail journey times. The major differences lie 75 " " BTE O c c a 6 i m l Paper 74 in the nature of coach travel, that is, whether the coach service is on routes that involve rail stopover 'direct or indirect. Moreover, time, coach travel is often faster and more convenient than rail. , PRICING PRACTICES Th.is sectionconcentrates on examiningthebehaviour of industry participants i n terms of their pricing practices. In general, coach operators are selling a product to customers who are not only well informed on alternativepricesfortravel, but arealsoprice conscious.This, of course,affectsoperators in terms of the approachtheyadoptinsettingtheirfare levels. Indeed,there appears to be a considerable degree of flexibility of fare levels which closely relates to both cost and demand conditions. In regard to the pricing practices at the intrastate levels, these are ,not,onthewhole,afunctionofcompetitivepressures but are determined by State regulating authorities. They specifically take into account such policy considerations as reimbursement and governmentattitudestowardsallowingcross-subsidisationbetween routes. In practice,thisoftenresults i n farelevelsthatare considerably higher than those existing on interstate routes (see Table 5.1). Fare levels on interstate services (see Chapter 2) may be segmented on the basis of a three-tiered fare structure of high, medium and low prices. The new operators, in particular, have been instrumental in introducing discounted, promotional and i nnovati ve fares on i nterstate route services i n an attempt to challenge the market dominance of the establishedoperators.TheseCompetitivefarelevelsappear to attract a highly price-sensitive market. To counter this, higherpriced operators have introduced enhanced service quality packages through improved scheduling and the introduction of more convenient pick up and set down points i n suburban locations. Moreover, some have also attempted to differentiate their productby offering express limited-stop services in an endeavour to appeal to the less pricesensitive segment of the market. Prices set by operators appear largely to reflect the different costs of providing services. At a mi ninum, it seems that operatorswi 1 1 not provide services which are below avoidablecosts. The extent to which operators on interstate routes cover fully-allocated costs is difficult to gauge, givencurrentstatistical sources. Anecdotal evidence would indicate that the major difference in terms of operator 76 " cost structures is confinedto overheads and not so much to the actual total cost of operating vehicles. Total operating costs may also vary to some extentbetween operators,because of differentoperating practices such as 'two-up driving' as opposed to 'driver-staging' . Acase study of coach services between Brisbane and Perth vi a Melbourne (see Chapter 3 and Appendix 11) over a seven-day period reveals that operators currently offering faresof between $159.00 and $206.00 per trip would all be covering avoidable costs. On the basis of an operator making 14 trips per week and employing between 27-31 drivers, depending on method of employment (see Appendix I 1 l, it is TABLE 5.1-PASSENGER FARE COMPARISON OF INTERSTATE AND INTRASTATE ROUTES: NATIONAL OPERATORS AS AT NOVEMBER 1984 Distance (cents Route Interstate Bris-Syd B ri s-Me1 b Bris-Adel Syd-Mel ba Syd-Me1 b b Syd-Adel Adel M e 1 b Adel -Perth Intrastate Bri s-Cai rns T'ville-Mt Isa Bris-Mt Isa Perth-Pt Hed Perth-Derby Perth -Tom Price (km) 1 020 1 905 2 325 1 040 960 1 560 800 2 815 1 950 910 1 WO 1 700 2 560 1 620 Bstabzished operators per km) Pioneer Ansett Greyhound New operators (cents per km) VIP Dehxe 3.63 3.67 4.30 3.56 3.85 4.49 4.63 3.52 3.43 3.62 4.27 3.37 3.65 4.42 4.38 3.87 2.45 2.62 3.23 2.40 2.60 3.21 3.13 2 .l3 2.94 3.15 3.87 2.88 3.13 3.85 3.75 3.02 4.36 7.40 3.07' 3.85' .. 4.41 7.40 5.70 5 .OO 5 .OO *. 5.40 .. 5 .OO a. b. c. Via Canberra. Direct. Not introduced until January 1985. .. not applicable .. .. .. .. .. 4.70 .. .. .. .. ~ources: Ansett Pioneer, Greyhound, VIP and Deluxe timetables (1984). 77 BTE Occasiona~Paper 74 estimated that short-run avoidable costs would be i n the range of 5055 cents per vehicle kilometre,comprising: . . . running costs (fuel, lubricants and tyres) of 21 cents; labourcosts(annualwagerate,penaltyrates,workers compensation, accommodation and payroll tax) of between 16-21 cents (,dependingon method of employment 1; and maintenance costs of 13 cents. Long-run avoidable costs are estimated to be in the range of 63-68 cents per vehicle kilometre, comarising short-run avoidable costs of between 50-55 cents per vehicle kilometre, with 13 cents per vehicle kilometrerepresentingthe capital cost of thecoach(including registration, third party and comprehensive insurance). Revenue is calculated on the basis of publicised fares and assumes an average load factor of 70 per cent. Revenue figures, based on the lowest discount' fare ($159.00) and highest fare ($206.00) available i n November 1984 (including an allowance for a 20 per cent travel agent fee), show that the yi'eld per vehicle kilometre ranges from 79 to9 7 cents (allowing for concessions as discussed i n Chapter 2). This is i n excess of long-run avoidable costs of 63-68 cents per kilometre. The extent to which operators cover fully-allocated costs is not known, given that their business usually involves other activities such as charters, tours and regular route operations. The profitability of an operator is closely tied to load factors. Operators commonly engage in a variety of practices to achieve higher l'oad factors, such as offering concessions and standby fares. The most common form of price discrimination is for operators to' segment the market on the basis of different demand conditions, notably with respecttothegranting of concessionalfarestopensioners and children. T h e , granting of concessional fares to certain types of customer varies between operators. The higher-priced operators offer concessions 'more readily than do low-priced operators. In general, the low-priced operators do not offer an extensive range of concessions on intercapital routes with fares below $50.00. This was understood to be an outcome of operators seeking to cover at least short-run avoidable costs. A similar situation exists i n regard to standby fares which have been introduced by operators such as Ansett Pioneer, who offer significant reductions (as much as 45 per cent off of achieving maximum schedule fares on Sydney-Brisbane) as a means loadings (see Chapter 2). 78 Chapter 5 Thesignificantlyhigherfaresgenerallyprevailing i n thecoach industry in the late 1970s, as compared to those currently on offer, now appears to be a contributory factor which stimulated new operators to enter the industry. The strategy of the new entrant s e e m to have been to maximise revenue by lowering fares to stimulate demand and consequently, to achievehigherloadfactors.Industrysources indicate that loadings in the late 1970s commonly averaged around 60 per cent. The emphasis on coach rather than passenger revenue was initially only partly illustrated by Deluxe, whose discounted fares did not fall significantlybelowthoseoffered by established operators. The pricing practice adopted by VIP i n 1982, however, seems to exenpl ify this new approach with the introduction of a simple $25.00 fare on routes such as Sydney-Melbourne, Adelaide-Melbourne and high Brisbane-Sydney (to be viable, such a fare structure requires loadi ngs i n excess of 70 per cent). It appears that the attributes of the industry are such that operators findfareincreasesdifficulttomaintainwhencompetitorsare unlikely to match them, despite apparent cost increases. For example, 1984 on major routes the attenpt to raise the base fare in November (for instance, Sydney to Brisbane) failed to eventuate as a numberof existing operators maintained their existing price structure. The outcome of this situation is that fare increases tend tobe relatively infrequent, as evident from the fact that the $25.-00 fare introduced i n 1982 still represents the bench mark fare level for 'nuch of the industry. This is despite the significant cost increases the industry has incurred over the last few years. Fares, on the whole, appear to be highly flexible downward as operators seem ready to match the fare decreases of other operators in order not to lose significant market share. INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE At the outset, it is worth noting that the competitive nature of the market at the interstate level resultsin operators being particularly consumer-responsive and, on the whole, offering a high quality, low cost product. Specifically, the interstate coach industry performance is highlighted by high quality of service; . continuing a process of lessening concentration levels and enhanced competition; and . fare levels which have decreased below levels prevailing in i n spite of significant cost increases. 1980 79 BTE OccdsionaZ Paper 74 On the intrastate level the outcome is considerably different. In practice, service levels are lower, concentration is higher on most routes and fare levels exceed those on 'comparable interstate routes. With regard to safety, both the interstate and intrastate segments of the long distance coach industry are characterised by relatively few accidents, given the numberof passenger kilometres travelled annually (discussed later). This section examines some characteristics which are indicativeof the industry's performance. I n particular, attention is directed towards the industry's levels of service, concentration and stability, safety and fare structure. Levels of service The high levels of service which presently characterise the long distance coach industry and which are of particular benefit to low of external and socio-economicgroupsare due to acombination internal factors. External factors include road improvements and the technological development of vehicles, while internal factors refer to quality of service improvements generated from within the industry itself. A major achievement, overall, of new entrants operating interstate routes has been their ability to enter the market successfully by offering enhanced price/quali ty packages as a1 ternatives to those offered by the established operators. For example, they have provided improvedservicequalitythroughsubstantialinvestment in modern equipment. ' A s a consequence, established operators have also moved to upgrade their fleets. This contrasts with the product orientation of new entrants to the British express coach industry following deregulation i n 1980, when operators chose a 'down market' approach by offering low fares and low standard coaches. This has proved on the whole unsuccessful (White 1983). Major investment i n road infrastructure over the past decadehas resulted i n significant improvements to road quality which, i n turn, in travel times(BTE 1984a). The hasled to notablereductions general growth i n the proportion of sealed roads i n all States and significant increases i n the lengths of divided carriageways, as well as the planned completion of the national highway system by 1988, is expected to lead to further improvement i n the overall quality of long distance coach travel. An example of this improvement i n road quality can be seen on the Sydney to Melbourne route where the length of 80 divided carriageway has more than tripled from to 321 kilometres in 1984. 93 kilometres i n 1974 Substantialinvestment is currentlyalsooccurring i n thecoach industry because of vehicle improvement. The latest i n overseas coach technology is being imported from North America and Europe either i n the form of complete vehicles or components for 1 ocal assembly. The finished coaches incorporate the latest features i n express travel for alike. Coaches include the benefit of both passenger and operator videos, radioandtape-deckmusic,washroomfacilities,reclining seats and air conditioningfor passenger comfort. At theintrastatelevel, an analysis of thelongdistancecoach industry i n Queensland by Johnston and Catchpole(19801, revealed that i n providing transport long distance coach services are more effective to small population centres than the rail network. The study found that the long distance coach system offers passenger services to a significantly larger proportion of the State's population and area than the railway network. In addition, intrastate coach services were found to be invariably faster than those provided byrai 1 , with service frequencies also well in excess of rail. Concentratl on and stabf 1 l ty Following a period of high concentration during the 1970s, the level of concentration in the interstate long distance coach industry has been gradually declining since 1980. However, even at this stage, the I n addition, market remains dominated by relatively few operators. thesmalleroperatorstendtoenter only themediumtohighly trafficked routes. On the intrastate level data are more difficult to obtain, but evidenceexiststosuggestthatrouteconcentration, particularly i n Queensland,isprogressivelybeingdiluted.This section primarily examines concentration of the interstate industry by viewing it i n terms of the number of operators i n general and their respective market shares, and the number of operators represented on different routes. Market shares Interstate coach passenger services are provided by over 200 coaches, 90 per cent of which belong to seven conpanies. Four companies have over 40 coaches each, two have 11 coaches and the rest of the coaches is worth noting that of the four are owned by smaller operators. It two also have a largenumber of othercoaches majoroperators, involved in touring and charter work. The market shares held by 81 BTE Occasional Paper 74 operators i n the industry are detailed i n Chapter 2. In line with the distribution of coaches among operators, it is apparent that the four major operators control i n excess of 80 per cent of the market, with 50 per cent held by only two of them. While this may represent a high degree of concentration, it should be noted that the industry is nowhere near as highly concentrated as it was i n 1980 when only two operators had i n excess of 90 per cent of the market. The conpeti tive nature of interstate coach operators i n particular has tended to see operators pay increased attention to marketing i n an effort to retain or build individual or overall market share. Efforts have been directed at two specific groups, namely travel agents and customers. In regard to travel agents, new operators have been the most successful i n breaking down barriers to their general acceptance by offering a higher travel agents' commission. It is understood from i n excess of twoindustry sources that travel agents account for thirds of all bookings for long distance coach travel. The doubling of travel agent commissions from 10 to 20 per cent by VIP, and then by other new entrants, is seen as contributing significantly to their overall market gains. The ease with which new entrants gained a significant market share i n a comparatively short period of time may be attributed, i n part, to existingoperatorspursuingpolicieswhich they consideredwould maximise present earnings. The new operators' low price strategy was likely tomeet minimal resistance so long as theindustrywas expanding rapidly and, as a consequence, was not i n turn depressing the overall financial performance of existing operators. Growth rates have now started to decline and this has no doubt contri-buted to intensifying competitive practices amongst the operators. Accordingly,theresponse ofthemoreestablishedoperatorswas initially limited and channelled into product innovation and marketing, rather than price competition. For example, Table 2.7 and didnot start Appendix I show that Ansett Pioneer and Greyhound seriously competing on price until March 1984. By that time, the two new major operators, Deluxe and VIP, had already captured a significant share of the market and were i n a strongly competitive position to withstand any initiative that the established operators were likely to take with respect to price competition. Route concentration Thereare not only significantdifferences i n interstateroute coverage but a1 s o i n the level of services provided by coach operators on regular intercapital route services (see Table 2.1). In terms of percentage share of regular scheduled route services, Ansett 82 of regul ar intercapitalroute Pioneeraccount ;S for 25 percent services, VIP 22 per cent, Greyhound 21 per cent and Deluxe 19 per cent. In contrast, MC and OEW only account for 2 and 4 per cent of regular route services, respectively. It is worth noting that while GreyhoundandAnsettPioneeroperateanextensiverouteservice network, both VIP and Deluxe run more intensive operations, providing a comparable total number of services on fewer routes. Even among the national operators different strategies appear to be pursued. For example, Table 2.1 shows that i n November 1984 two of themajoroperatorshadservices on virtually all intercapital routes. The two other national operators concentrated on the dense Brisbane-Sydney-Me1 bourne-Perth routes. Thi S pattern suggests that quite different strategies may be followed by the established national operatorsandmorerecententrants.Theformer may, infact, be pursuing an objective of national route services, while the latter aim tomaximiserevenue.Itisalsopossiblethattheservice distribution of the established national operators is related to their existing and traditional intrastate route service provisions, whereas the new entrants do not have the same constraints. Takenseparately,theintrastateindustryhadbeencharacterised, unti 1 the early 1980s, by uniformly high route concentration levels enforced by State government regulation. In practice, this had meant usually only one operator servicing a particular route. Recently, i n Queenslandhavebeenopened to new hwever, selectedroutes intrastate entrants, decreasing the concentration of operators and hence faci 1 i tati ng conpeti ti on. Stability The interstate coach industry i n Australia is operating in a somewhat unstableandhighlyconpetitiveenvironment.Giventhelicensing controls of coach services at the Statelevel, the intrastate industry is generally very stable. During the 1970s the interstate industry wasdominated by only two operators. Sincethe early 1980s, the actual number of operators in the long distance interstate coach 5.2 illustratesthe industry has increasedsignificantly.Table 1980-1984 period, extent of fluidity of the coach industry over the with operators staying in the market but tending to change their status and an influx of entrants mainly on the single route level. For example, McCafferty 's has surrendered its rmlti-route status, while Deluxe has become national a operator. Aussie Express, Northwest Express and Intertours are all new single route operators. Hwever, it is worth noting that VIP entered the market and moved almost imnediately to become a national operator. 83 BTE Occasiona~Paper 74 TABLE 5.2-COMPOSITION OF THE INTERSTATE LONG DISTANCECOACH INDUSTRY: TYPE OF OPERATOR Operation 1980 1984 National Operators Greyhound Ansett Pi oneer Greyhound Ansett Pi oneer Deluxe VIP Deluxe Mu1 ti route Operators OEW c McCafferty 'S OEW Single route Operators a. b. c. d. Continental Trai lwaysa Sandgroper Express b McCafferty'sd Aussie Express Intertours Northwest Express Continental Trailways taken over by Deluxe i n 1984. Sand roper Express taken over b Deluxe i n late 1983. OEW faken over b VIP i n early 1985 but is still operating under the trade nameOfW Di-scontinued the Biisbane to Melbourneroute i n November 1984. Source: Personal communication with industry representatives (1985). Safety Heavy vehicle accident statistics indicate that coach safety does not appear to be a function of the existence or absence of economic regulation. The only complete set of comparative statistics available since the collection of a,ccident data was standardised is that for 1981. Given that the discussion whi.ch follows is based on this limited evidence, conclusions that are drawn must be considered preliminary until more recent data areanalysed on atime-series basis. However,the statisticscanprovidesomeindication ofthecoachindustry's standing i n terms of safety relative to trucks and cars (see Figure 5.1). Out of a total of 2890 fatal accidents i n 1981, 84 per cent and 15.9 per cent involved cars and trucks, respectively; only a fraction (0.1 per cent) involvedcoaches. Examining the rate of fatal accidents per 100 mi 1 lion passengerkilometres by type of vehicle, further evidence is adduced to indicate 84 m I- c, rv LL L 0 n m c E .mlL m F =I in c) 85 180 BTE OccasiohaZ Paper 74 that coaches had by far the best safety record in 1981 (see Table 5.3). Indeed, the coach total accident rate per 100mil lion passenger kilometres is estimated to be one-seventh that of cars. Consequently., any shift from car to coach travel may i n theory be expected to enhance the overall road safety position. A summary of the details of the three fatal coach accidents for 1981 shows that they all apparently involved long distance coaches, given thetime of day andparticularlocation(seeTable 5.4). The accidents atBli Bli andCedunainvolvedcollisionswithcars resulting i n minimal casualties among coach passengers, while, the Gundagai accidentwasa head-on crashwitha semi-trai ler. Not unexpectedly,thesecasualtyfiguresindicatethatcarsaremore vulnerable i n crashes with any heavy vehicle, whereas a coach and its passengers are most likely to sustain serious injuryonly i n collision with other heavy vehicles. It is also worth noting that two of the accidentsoccurred on undivided roads, alikelihoodwhich will diminish as majorsections of the road systemareprogressively upgraded to a divided carriageway standard, notably on some of the more heavily trafficked routes such as Sydney-Melbourne. ' Concern has recently been expressed that operators who face rising costs but who are receiving decreasing income i n a highly competitive market place are contributing to the accident rates of their vehicles by cutting corners on maintenance, work practices and driver standards (Monaghan 1984). Thisclaim doesnot seemto be supported by available coach accident statistics. Examination of the road freight industry has also shown that this hypothesis cannot be sustained (Agnew and Valentine 1984). TABLE 5.3-FATAL ACCIDENT INVOLVEMENT BY TYPE OF VEHICLE, 1981 Annual passenger Vehicle kilometres travelled type (million) Car Truck Coacha a. b. 000 428 '11 000 1 551b Number of fatal accidents Rate per l OOm passenger kilometres 2 462 3 Interstate only. Based on 15 per cent annual increase i n passenger kilometres travelled since 1980, and 75 per cent load factor. 1.35 4.20 0.19 TABLE 5.4-COACH ACCIDENT DATA, 1981 Casualties Other Crash number 1 2 3 Location B11 Bli (01d 1 Ceduna (SA) 15/12 Gundagai (NSW 1 - nil NH National Highway ~ource: DOT (1981). Date Road Crash type Time 20/06 2-3am NH1 Head-on 11/10 Midnight NH1 3-4am Head NH31 Side-swipe Travel i n sa m di rection -on Coach Injured Fatal Injured - 2 2 1 - - 1 3 3 34 - 1 Fatal BTE Occasional Paper 74 Fare levels I n contrasttootherpricesand general costIncreases,Tisted interstate coach fares have been declining overall' . i n real terms during the past four years, after a period of steady "increases during the preceding decade. This decline, however, has not 'been uniform; establishedoperators have shownatendency toexperimentwith different fare levels. In contrast, the newest national operator has not changed its low fare since entering the industryi n 1982. 2 Indeed, i n the 1970s coach fares rose by an averqge of over 200 per cent (see Figure2.31, i n spite of the occasional short-lived presence of low-fare operators on some routes. At the same time, the CPI rose by only 163' per cent. This situation conflicts with the post-1980 position, which has seen fare levels decrease by u p to 50 per cent These despite sustained increases i n costs such as fuel and wages. costs have risen since 1980 by i n excess of 100 per cent and 30 per cent,respectively. These contradictory trends haveled to claims that, i n theinterestofpricecompetition,operatorshave.made sacrificesattheexpenseofpassengersafety,comfort,'and convenience, but no evidence has ,been produced to support these claims. The downward pressure on fares evident in the long ,distance coach industry has not been r,eflected by similar price movements in. the other modes. For example, on the Brisbane to Sydney route, available coach fares are currently half of what they used to be i n 1980. ,.. I n contrast, the economy air fare roseby almost half i n 'the same period, while economy rail fares experienced an increase of ,.33 ,perp2$ cent. It must be noted, however, that these price movements .do not take, into account special fares based on available stand-by, advahce purchase'or '). . . other arrangements. ' r 2' *. , - , .I , _ , Whilst interstate coach fares have undergone signi,f,icant kductTon established operators have not tended to follow them canpetj tiori 'all the way and are offering fares up to 80 per cent: 'a6ove&he c h e a w s t - ' available on the same route. They are apparently 'atdernpting $0 tradk' on their established reputation of quality of service; both en )mute -:. ''.' and at origin and destination. 0. 1 ', a . S . ' t Intrastate trips by coach are also usually, more expensive t h k the most expensive interstate trips of comparable length, 'as sk'bwn dnl Table 5.1. Given that the cost equation is similar ,'for both 'types of operation, it appears that State government regulation and/or significantlylowerloadfactorspreventtheecono,mies ,evi&ntly i' achievable on int.erstate route S from being passed on in the form of lawer fares to the intrastate consumer. Overall, a comparison of per kilometre fares presented in Table 5.1 shows that interstate operationsaremoreefficientlypricedthanintrastate ones. In addition, there appears to be no direct relationship between route lengthandthefares offered. Farelevelswouldseemtodepend heavily on the presence or absenceof competition. 89 CHAPTER 6-CONCLUDING REMARKS The long distance coach industry carries i n the order of 4 million passengers per annum, split evenly between interstate and intrastate services. The interstate market alone supports an industry that has around 2000 employees and an annual turnover of $80 to $90 mi 1 lion. Themarketserved by thisindustryaremembers of lowerincome households who tendto be either under 25 or over 60 yearsold and who travel primarily for non-business purposes. This market tends to be . similar'to rail but .is distinctly different to that served by air or , ,tar'.' The rapid growth that has occurred over the last few- years in, ',; * I the ihwrstate coach market (in the order of 60 per cent since 1980) :- :.' h a s focussed public attention on the provision of an efficient and safetransportservice.VariousStategovernmentsarecurrently :.' yndertaking internal assessments while the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Transport Safety is conducting an inquiry into bius and'coach safety. . ,, . ': , ' - I ' ' . :. .i :, ! This Paper has concentrated, i n large part, on the interstate sector ?S wherechangehasbeenmostpronounced.Theinterstatesector characteri sedby expandi ng i nvestment 1 eve1 S, ri sing demand, g r w i ng innovatfon and product development and few signs of safety problems. I n addition, there is a substantial degree of competition which has i n fare levels i n recent contributed to the significant decrease in years. For example, Ansett Pioneer's 'full' Sydney-Melbourne fare 1984 was 15 per cent lessi n real terms than it was in1966, while the 'lowest fare available on this route was 40 per cent lower i n real terms than in 1966. The position i n regard to the intrastate coach market is not the same. Some State governments have recognised that problems exist, and are now seeking their resolution. This situation can be partly attributed to the economic control of intrastate coach servicesexercised by Stategovernmentsandthe relativesize of available markets. . GOVERNMENT INVOLVEMENT The policies of government (both State and Federal) clearly influence the conditions under which transport services operate. I n particular, 91 ' I r BTE Occasional Paper 74 governments may influence the structure of transport services through their involvement i n the provision of services such as railways and road networks, and their regulation of the transport system. The State governments are using various approaches to the regulation of the intrastate sector. Most use quantity regulation to restrict entry into routes and, i n particular, those routes that compete with rail. Use of such regulation can allow cross-subsidisation .of low traffic routes by the more heavily trafficked routes. In Victoria, V/Line is pursuing an alternative policy of placing non-urban coach operators 'under contract to provide particular services. This study wasunable to identify any conditionspresent i n the interstate coach industry which constitute a failure of the market and which would justify government intervention. The analysis indicated that: . no effective scale economies 'appear to exist; 1 operatorsadjustwelltofluctuations i n demand(using subcontract, charter and tour operator vehicles to cater for peak-loading periods such as Christmas and school holidays); and ' . sunk costsarearelatively smal 1 proportion of total costs (making predatory pricinga'costly and ineffective strategy). Regulations at the intrastate level give rise to higher fares i n some I n addition, as interstate marketswherecompetitionis lacking. coaches have restricted pick up and set down rights, some regional markets that could be provided with coach servicesbased on the excess capacity of interstate routes are eithernot served or provided with a lowfrequency service. TheAustralian regional marketis notas developed as in the USA, where an average passenger trip length of 320 kilometres(ICC1984)oninterstatecoachescompareswith approximately 1000 kilometres i n Australia. This study did not find evidence of deteriorating safety standards i n this industry (see DOT 1985). Improved industry safety appears to be capable of being achieved through enhanced enforcement of existing regulation, particularly with regard to driver behaviour aspects such as hours of driving and speeding.Inview of the constitutional division of power that sees individual States responsible for safety regulation, there appears to be an on-going need for standardisation of these regulations if enforcement policies are to be effective. 92 Chapter 6 COMPETITION Relying on pub1 icly provided infrastructure, the interstate coach industry has shown a significant rate of growth over the last five years. The growth of theindustry has been assisted by external factors 1 ikeroadinprovements, general economicconditionsand demographic changes. Its major impetus, however, can be attributed to industry competition with respect to fare levels and service standards. In the face of rising input prices: . fares have actually been reduced i n real terms; . services have been expanded with regard to both frequencyand route network; and . ' thetechnicalandpassengercomfortlevelsas well efficency of coacheshas been significantlyimproved -utilisation of the recent technological advances. as the by the The industry has also witnessed the emergence of a number of new entrafits on interstateroutes,particularly on the mostheavily trafficked eastern seaboard. After a period of industry concentration at the interstate level, when two operators dominated the market with only occasionalandshort-livedattempts by smalleroperatorsto establishthemselves,theindustrynowappearstomaintain successfully a larger mix of national, medium and small operators. The differences in fare levels between operators appear to reflect, in part, differences in costs. The case study described in Appendix I 1 Indicatesthatthecosts of operatinga coach aresimilarfor different operators, except i n the areas of wage costs and overheads. Wage costs vary because of the different arrangements under which drlvers are employed ('two-up' as opposed to 'driver-staging' arrangements). Overhead costs appear toaccountforthemost significant difference between operators, mainly because of the size and-complexityoftheirvariousadministrativestructures. Nevertheless, the case study indicated that operators appear to be covering short-run avoidable costs and are making a contribution to covering, if not exceeding, overhead costs. GROWTH, INVESTMENT, COSTS AND PRODUCTIVITY Interstate coach travel may be expected to continue to expand but at a somewhat reduced rate as compared to recent years. Continued growth within the industry wi 1 1 depend upon the motivation of operators to 93 BTE Occasional Paper 74 searchforincreasinglyefficient'levels ability to develop new travel markets. of operationandtheir The availability of finance, suchas theexistence of leasing arrangements, has no doubt assisted operators to acquire up-to-date equipment and vehicles. The termination of the investment allowance at 30 June 1985 may have an inpact on the rate of industry reequipment; however, this may not happen for Some time as there is a two-year transitional period. The industry does not appear to have as it has theapparent capacity and any majorsupplyproblems resources to gear u p to meet any foreseeable increases i n demand, either by acquiring additional vehicles or by hiring subcontractors with tour and chartervehicles. I n view of rising input prices, it appears doubtful that the current fare level structure within the industrycan be maintained. Fare levels will inevitably increase if profitability is to be maintained, given cost increases. Indeed, costs have already been substantially increasing over recent yearsand they are expected to continue to rise withtheintroduction of shorterworkinghoursandhigher fuel prices. Productivity gains, however, are also likely to be achieved by the introduction by the Austral Group of the 67 passenger-capacity, double-deckerSetracoaches(Johnson 1985);an expansion of the industryintothelucrativetourism market, especiallyoverseas vi si tors (BTE 1985b 1; and the progressive freei ng-up of intrastate i n greaterseat routestointerstateoperators,resulting utilisation. 94 APPENDIX I-SUPPLEMENTARY STATISTICAL TABLES The following tables provide detailed statistical information relating to air, rail andcoachpassengerfaresforselectedintercapital routes over the1960-84 period. 95 W ol Q 0 0 TABLE 1.1-AIR PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ECONOMY SINGLE FARE AS AT 1 NOVEMBER 1960 to 1984 !i (Dollar61 Year i 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 PI 8: Route Brisbane BrisbaneBrisbane SydneySydneyAdelaideSydneyMelbourne Adelaide -Sydney Melbourne -Adelaide Melbourne Adelaide Melbourne Canberra -Canberra -Perth 19.20 19.20 19.20 19.20 21.40 21.40 23.40 24.60 24.60 24.60 26.90 28.60 28.60 28.60 37.40 37.40 37.40 37.40 41.80 41.80 45.70 48.10 48.10 48.10 52.50 55.90 55.90 55.90 54.30 54.30 54.30 54.30 60.90 60.90 66.50 70.00 70.00 70.00 76.40 81.40 81.40 81.40 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 20.40 20.40 22.30 23.50 23.50 23.50 25.60 27.30 27.30 27.30 35.10 35.10 35.10 35.10 39.50 39.50 43.10 45.40 45.40 45.40 49.50 52.80 52.80 52.80 a 17 .OO 17 .OO 17 .OO 17 .OO 19.10 19.10 20.80 21.90 21.90 21.90 23.90 25.50 25.50 25.50 8.90a 8. 90a 8.90a 8.90a 9.40a 9.40a 10.30a 9.20 9.20 9.20 10.10 10.80 10.80 10.80 14. 10a 14. 10a 14. 10a 14. 10a~ 21.20a 21.20a 23. 20a 20.70 20.70 20.70 22.60 24.10 24.10 24.10 53.30 53.30 54.30 54.30 57.60 57.60 63.00 66.20 66.2U 66.20 72.30 77.00 77 .OO 77.00 TABLE 1.1 (Contl-AIR PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ECONOMY SINGLE FARE AS AT 1 NOVEMBER 1960 to 1984 (Dollars) Year Brisbane -Sydney 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 31.90 47.90 50.80 55 .OO 58.50 68.00 80.70 98.40 110.20 130.00 145.70 a. Route BrisbaneBrisbane SydneySydneyAdelaideMelbourne -Adelaide Melbourne Adelaide Melbourne Canberra -Canberra -Perth 62.~30 85 .OO 90.20 96.70 101.60 116.30 130.30 145 .OO 162.30 191.50 214 .OO 83.30 109.20 115.80 123.80 129.60 147.70 172.70 184.70 206.80 236.10 263.30 30.40 45.80 48 -50 52.60 56.10 65.30 77.60 95.50 106.90 125.70 140.90 51.40 69.90 74.20 79.70 84.00 96.60 113.60 129.40 144.90 172.20 192.50 Only first class fares available for theseyears. Sources: ABS (1977-78). Tasmanian Tourist Bureau (1984). SydneyMelbourne Adelaide 28.50 42.40 45 .OO 48.80 52.20 60.90 72.50 90.80 101.60 118.80 133.10 12.30 21.10 22.40 24.90 27.40 33.20 40.50 60.70 68.00 71.50 80.10 26.90 33.30 35.40 38.50 41.60 49.10 58.90 78.00 87.30 99.30 111.30 85.10 119.90 127.20 136 .OO 142.20 161.80 189.00 200 .oo 223.90 251.70 280.60 10 01 TABLE 1.2-RAIL PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ECONOMY SINGLE FARE AS AT1 NOVEMBER 1960 to 1984 I Dot tars) Route Year 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 AdelaideAdelaide SydneyBrisbaneBrisbane SydneyBrisbane -Perth Melbourne Adelaide Melbourne -Adelaide Melbourne -Sydney 9.75 9.75 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.20 11.25 11.25 11.25 12.40 17.10 17 .l0 17.10 14.85 14.85 16.95 16.95 16.95 16.95 16.95 18.60 18.60 18.60 20.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 19.25 19.25 na na na na na na na na 36.45 45 .OO 45 .OO 45 .OO . 8.85 8.85 10 .oo 10 .oo 10 .oo 10 .oo 10 .oo 11.05 11.05 11.05 12.20 15.20 15.20 15.20 12.55 12.55 na na na na na na na na 27.25 32.60 32.60 32.60 . ~ 7.35 7.35 8.40 8.40 8.40 8.40 8.40 9.20 9.20 9.20 10.10 11.60 11.60 11.60 31.20 33.55 32 .OO 32.00 33.10 34.55 34.55 40.30 40.60 41.45 45.15 55 .OO 55 .OO 55 .Q0 TABLE 1.2 (Contl-RAIL PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ECONOMY SINGLE FARE ASAT 1 NOVEMBER 1960 t o 1984 (Dotlars) Year 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Brisbane Brisbane-Sydney -Perth Melbourne Adelaide Melbourne -Adelaide Melbourne 17.50 20 .oo 25 .OO 25.00 25 .OO 30 .OO 36.00 42 .OO 53 .OO 53 .OO 56 .OO 28 .OO 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 60.00 72.00 84.00 106 .OO 106 -00 112.00 Brisbane na na na na na na na na na na 154.00 na not available L~ource6: ABS (1977-78). Tasmanian Tourist Bureau (1984). Route Sydney- 16.50 20 .oo 25 .OO 25 .OO 25 .OO 30 .OO 36 .OO 42 .OO 53.00 53.00 56.00 Sydney- na na na na na na na na na na 98.00 Adelaide- 13.00 16.00 20 .oo 21 .oo 21 .oo 23 .OO 28 .OO 33 .OO 42.00 42.00 42.00 Adelaide 63.00 79.50 100.00 111.50 126 .OO 140.00 166.50 182.50 216.00 216.00 241.00 F 0 0 TABLE I.3-COACH PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ADULT SINGLE FARE AS AT 1 NOVEMBER 1,960 to 1984 Year and Operator - $' Route Brisbane BrisbaneBrisbane Sydney-Sydneg Melbourne -Adelaide Melbourne Adelaide Metbourne -Perth ~ Sydney- Adelaide Adelaide 8% 3 1960 Ansett Pioneer (Express 1961 Ansett Pioneer (Express 1962 Ansett Pioneer (Express 1963 Ansett Pioneer (Express Redli ne (Express1 1964 Ansett Pi oneer (Express Redl i ne (Express1 1965 Ansett Pioneer (Express Redline (Express) Go1 d Coast (Express 1 1966 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Redl i ne (Express 1 v Ip1 na 7.90 na 9.10 na na 9.90 11 .oo na na 10 .oo na 7.25 na 11.00 21 .oo 29.25 10.00 17.25 7.25 na 11.00 8.50 21 .oo 17.00 29.25 na 10.oo 9.50 18.25 na 8.25 na na na 11.50 9.50 22.00 17 .OO 30.75 na 10.50 9.50 19.25 na 8.75 na na na 11.50 10.50 na 22.00 18.00 20 .oo 30.75 26.50 na 10.50 9.50 9.50 19.25 18.50 na 8.75 8.50 na na na na 11.50 9.50 22.00 18 .OO 30.75 26.50 10.50 9.50 19.25 18.00 8.75 8.50 na na TABLE 1.3 (Cont)-COACH PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ADULT SINGLE FARE AS 1ATNOVEMBER 1960 to 1984 (Dottars) Year and Opemtor 1967 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Red1 i ne (Express ) 1968 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Redli ne (Express 1 1969 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Redline (Express) Greyhound (Express) 1970 Ansett Pi oneer (Express Panther (Express1 Greyhound (Express) 1971 Ansett Pi oneer (Express 1 Panther (Express Greyhound (Express) c 0 c Brisbane -Sydney BrisbaneMelbourne Brisbane -Adetaide SydneyMelbourne SydneyAdelaide AdelaideMelbourne Adelaide -Perth 11.80 9.50 22.60 18.00 31.65 25 .OO 10.80 9.50 19.85 16.50 9.05 7.00 na na 12.80 10.oo 24.60 19.50 34.60 27.50 11.80 9.50 21.80 17.50 10.00 8.00 na na 12.80 10 .oo 10.50 24.60 19.50 20.oo 34.60 27.50 28.00 11.80 9.50 9.50 21.80 17-50 17.50 10.00 8.00 8.00 na na na 14.40 11 .oo 12.oo 27.80 21.50 23 .OO 39.20 30.30 32.50 13.40 10.50 11.00 24.80 19.30 20.50 11.40 8.80 9.50 na na na 16.90 12.90 13.80 32.80 25.10 26.40 45.70 35.50 37.40 15.90 12.20 12.60 28.80 22.60 23.60 12.90 10-40 11.00 g TABLE 1.3 (Cont)-COACH PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ADULT SINGLE FARE AS AT 1 NOVEMBER 1960 to h) (Dollars) 8+. Route Year and Operator 8 Brisbane BrisbaneBrisbane SydneySydneyAdelaideAdelaide -Sydney Melbourne -Adetaide Melbourne Adelaide Melbourne -Perth pr P 1972 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Panther (Express1 Greyhound (Express) Cobb & CO 1973 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Cobb & CO 1974 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Cobb & CO 1975 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Cobb & CO 1976 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Cobb & CO 4 (D 3 U 16.90 15.20 16.90 13.50 32.80 29.20 29.20 27 .OO 45.70 41.40 41.40 na 15.90 14.00 14.00 na 28.80 26.20 26.20 na 12.90 12.20 12.20 na na na na 16.70 16.70 14.OO 32.10 32.10 27.50 45.50 45.50 na 15.40 15.40 na 28.80 28.80 na 13.40 13.40 na na na na 20 .oo 18.80 17.80 38 .OO 36.20 34.80 54.40 51.20 na 18.50 17.40 17 .OO 34.50 32.40 na 16 .OO 15.00 na na na na 24.50 23.90 na 47.00 46.00 40.50 66.50 64.90 na 22.50 21.90 na 42.00 40.80 na 19.50 18.90 na na na na 27.50 27 .OO 26 .OO 53.00 51.90 51 .OO 75.00 66.90 na 25.50 24.70 na 47.50 40.50 na 22.00 21.30 na na na na A TABLE 1.3 (Cont)-COACH PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ADULT SINGLE FARE AS 1ATNOVEMBER 1960 to 1984 (Dottars) Year and Operator 1977 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express1 Cobb d C O 1978 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express1 Cobb d C O 1979 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express1 Cobb d C O 1980 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Deluxe, 1981 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express Deluxe OEW BrisbaneMelbourne Brisbane -Adetaide Route SydneyMelbourne SydneyAdelaide AdelaideMelbourne Adelaide -Perth 31.00 30.40 28.50 60.00 58.50 55.90 84.50 74.40 na 29 .OO 28 .OO na 53.50 44 .OO na 24.50 24.50 na na na na 34.10 33.50 26.50 66 .OO 64.50 63.10 93.OO 82.00 na 32.00 31 .OO na 59 .OO 48.50 na 27 .OO 26.50 na na na na Brisbane -Sydney 37.30 37.30 34.60 71.80 71.80 70.90 101.30 91.30 na 34.50 34.60 na 54.00 54.00 na 29.50 29.50 na na na na 48.50 48.60 na 93.60 93.60 na 100.20 100.10 na 45.10 45.10 27 .OO 70.30 70.30 49 .OO 38.80 38.80 25.00 80.OO 80.00 75.00 50.90 40.40 39.00 na 98.30 75.50 69 .OO na 105.20 85 .OO 89.00 na 45.10 35.00 34.00 23 .OO 73.80 60.90 55.00 45.00 40.70 31.60 33.00 23.00 80.00 85.00 89.00 75.00 39 8 ~ g P TABLE 1.3 (Cont)-COACH PASSENGER FARES: CAPITAL CITIES, ADULT SINGLE FARE AS AT 1 NOVEMBER 1960 to 1984 4 (Dottars) R and Year 8. Q Route BrisbaneSydneySydney- !. Brisbane BrisbaneOperator -Sydney Melbourne -Adelaide Melbourne Adelaide Metboumze -Perth Adelaide Adelaide d. 3 h 6 1982 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Expre.ss) Deluxe VIP OEW 1983 Ansett Pioneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Deluxe VIP OEW 1984 Ansett Pi oneer (Express) Greyhound (Express) Deluxe VIP OEW AAC ,, na not available U m 48.00 na 29.00 25 .OO 35 .OO 84.00 na na na na 95.00 na na na na 41.90 na 29.00 25 .OO 25 .OO 74.90 na na na 50.00 37.60 na 29 .OO na 30.00 102.00 na 95 .OO na 70 .OO 48.00 30.00 29.00 25.00 25 .OO 89.90 89.40 58.00 50 .OO na na na 89.00 75 .OO na 41.90 30.00 29 .OO 25.00 25 .OO 74.90 74.30 58.00 50 .OO 50.00 37.60 37.40 29 .OO 25 .OO 25.00 110.00 102 .oo 95.00 na 75.00 37 .OO 35. OQ 30 .OO 25.00 na 24.00 70.00 69.00 60.00 50.00 50.00 na 100 .oo 99 .oo 90.00 75 .OO na na 37.00 35.00 30.00 25.00 25.00 24 .OO 70.00 69.00 60.00 50 .OO 50.00 48 .OO 37.00 35 .OO 30.00 25 .OO 25.00 24 .OO 99.00 109.00 85.00 60.OO 80.00 80.00 1r; APPENDIX II-CASE STUDY - C O S T I W OF AN EXPRESS COACH OPERATION In order to provide an illustrative example of cost structures i n the express coach industry a case study operation has been investigated and costed. It is important to note that costs only directly relate to the case study operation, althoughtheyare considered to be indicative of costs throughout theindustry. This case study involves an operation consistingof one return service per day between Brisbane and Perth via Melbourne. The operation of this service could be seen as a discrete operation or as part of a more extensi ve network. The details of operation on this route are thus: - . . . lengthofjourney . total number of services per week . total kilometres per week . total drivinghoursperweek duration departuretimes - 5690kilometres 3 days (63 driving hours) Brisbane 8.00 am Perth 8.00 am - 14 79 660 kilometres 882 hours. - Nine express coaches are assumed for this operation eight en-route andoneasa backup. Runningmaintenanceiscarried out during layover periods, whilst the backup coach is used on a rotation basis t o enable the other coaches to be withdrawn from service for more extensive maintenance. This additional coach is alsousedifa significant mechanicaT.defect occurs i n one of the. scheduledcoaches. The backup coach could ‘also be used for charter operations and would be used to expand the service offered during peak the season (December and January1. Of the nine coaches, three are assumed to have been purchased i n each of 1981, 1983 and 1984 at a cost of $175 000, $210 000 and $250 000 per coach respectively; under five-year lease agreements with 25 a per 105 ages BTE Occasional Paper 74 TABLE 11.2-COSTS PER WEEKa, EXPRESS COACH SERVICE BETWEEN BRISBANE AND PERTH VIA MELBOURNE (AS DETAILED IN SCHEDULES 1-4) (Dollars) Method of employment Stageddriver Capital on-road and costs costs Operating ver 'Dri Total a. b. New tuo-up Deluxe baward 10 300 (131 27 100 (34) 13 000 (161 10 300 10 (13) 100 27 27 (34) 13 800 (171 300 (13) 100 (341 16 900 (21) 50 400 (63) 51 200 (64) 54 300 (681 Not includicg overheads. Two-up drivlng with costs based on a flat daily rate paid by Deluxe. Note: Figures i n parentheses are cents per kilometre. per kilometre'). These estimates produce margins from 24 to 50 cents per kilometre between costs (less overheads) and revenue. Under driver staging the annual margins are around S1.2m and S2.h for the two fare structures. Under the Deluxe system these annual Under the new two-up award they are margins are $1.2m and f2.Om. $l.Om and S1.9m. This means that overheads nust come within the relevant margin to ensure that the operator at least breaks even. If overheads are greater than this then the operator nust either lower costs elsewhere or maintain a higher occupancy rate, assuming that the same fare is maintained. Where a significant number of bookings are made through travel agencies the revenue obtained will fall, thus reducing the margin for overheads. For example, if a 20 per cent commission is payable on 70 per cent of fares i n the case study operation, revenue is reduced cutting the overhead margin by 30 to 50 per cent. Revenue can be significantly boosted by the peak season. If a 90 per cent occupancy rate is assumed for six weeks, this increases the 108 Appendix 11 annual margins by $90 000 and $110 000 for the two fare structures. This could be made much larger by the use of additional services which would be provided by using sub-contractors. Because the market at present exhibits a high degree of cornpetition it could be expected that fare levels would be highly dependent on cost structures. Costs, i n turn, would appear to be similar for all operators except for overheads . Thus, as illustrated i n the above case study operation, much of the difference i n fares between the operators could possibly be explained by differences i n overhead costs, which i n turn enable the discount operators to chargelowerfaresbecause of theirloweroverhead structure. It may be significant i n this case i n that it is the newer entrants specialising i n express services over thehigh density routes who are able to offer cheaper fares, whereas it is the older, more established operators that are charging premium fares. 109 BTE Occasional Paper 74 SCHEDULE 1-CAPITAL COSTS TABLE 11.3-CAPITAL REPAYMENTS Year of repayment purchase Interest Month C06t .(dollars) cent) (per rate 1981 1983 1984 000 000 000 = = Total repayments 20 17 15 = = = = Total capital costs 110 (dollars) 4 137'.53 4 592.96 5 177.15 $9 600 per week $500 600 per annum Government registration and insurance Extra insurance ly $598 per coach per annum $5 382 per annum i n total $3 380 per coach per annum $30 420 per annum i n total : per year : per week = = $536 500 $10 300 ~ ,~~ Appendix 11 SCHEDULE 2-DRIVER WAGE COSTS $272 .l0 Weekly award rate (40 hour week) Base rate (272.10/40) Shift rates ($/hrIa $6.8025/hr 7.65 7.82 8.16 8.50 10 .20 Morning (1.125 X 6.8025) Afternoon (1.15 X 6.8025) Night (1.2 X 6.8025) Saturday (1.25 X 6.8025) Sunday (1.5 X 6.8025) vehiclea1 1 owance Long $3.30/shi ft Signing on time per shift 30 mins Signing off timeper shift 15 mins Leave Annual leave of 5 weeks with a 17.5 per cent 1. loading (272.10 X 5 X 1.175)/52 Sick leave of 8 days (272.10 X 8/5)/52 $30.74/driver/week $ 8.37/driver/week Payroll tax of 5 per cent $39.11 1.96 $41.07/driver/week - Staged drivers cost per week comprising 35, 52.5, and 52 hours of morning, afternoonand night shifts respectivelyand 6.5 hours of overtime each day . wages Driver Payroll tax of 5 per cent and workers compensation at 2.68 per cent 1drivers 31 for . cost Leave . Accommodation (63 nights per weekat$25/night)1 $13 costTotal wagedriver 443.99 . a. 725.30 273.17 575.00 017.46 The rate used corresponds to the day on which the major portion of the shift occurs. 111 BTE Occasional Paper 74 2. Deluxe system driver costs perweek day . wages . . . 3. Driver Payroll tax (5 per cent) and workers conlpensation (2.68 per cent) Leave for 27 drivers (11 Accommodation Total driver 13 week per cost wage 664.27 X (5 + 1.6)/52) hours each 832.35 831.92 11 664.27 1 480.45 700.00 844.74 - Interlm two-up award labour costs comprising 129.25 hours each day . wages - comprising 129.25 Driver Payroll tax (5 per cent) and workers compensation cent) (2.68 per for . Leave 27 1 drivers . Accommodation Total driver week per cost wage 997.56 . 112 1 075.01 108.87 700.00 16 881.44 Appendix 11 SCHEDULE 34PERATING COSTS Fuel costs Consumption Price Discount - 40 litres per 100 kilometres 49.34 cents per 1 itre cents 3 per litre Cost per kilometre= 18.54 cents Oil costs Consumption Price Discount .- - - 2 litres per 1000 kilometres $1.32 litre per 4 cents per litre Cost per kilometre= 0.26 cents Tyres Tyre life (with 2 retreads) Total cost - 220 000 kilometres 8each $640 tyres at Cost per kilometre = 2.33 cents Mal ntenance TRB figure, June 1980: Country service operators cents - maintenance = 8.77 perki 1 ometre. Updating factor based on Transportation Component of CPI (Sydney) = 1.4825. Maintenance cost per kilometre= 13.00 cents. Total operating costs per kilometre= 3 4 cents. 113 BTE OccasiomZ Paper 74 SCHEDULE 4-ESTIMATED REVENUE Revenue based on: 44 seats per coach 75 per cent occupancy rate, that is, 33 seats 42 services per week where applicable, breakup of fares between adult and concession is ,50per cent adult, 50 per cent concession. - - Weekly revenue based on a fare of $159: Weekly revenue = 14 X 44 X .75 X 159 '- = $73 45% Weekly revenue based on a fare of $206 with 10 per cent concessi on: Weekly revenue = (14 X 44 X .75 X 206 X .5) t (14 X 44 X .75 X 185.4 X .5) = $47 586 + $42 827.4 = $90 413.40 - 114 REFERENCES Agnew, R. W. & Valentine, T. J. (1984), Accidents and Economic conditions, Report to the National Road Freight Industry Inquiry. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), (1977-78) and earlier issues, Tmnspopt and ~onmunication,Cat. NO. 9101.1, New South WaleS. (1978a 1, 1976 census of Population and Housing: Characteristic6 Australian Bureau of Statistics, Cat. No. 2000.0, Canberra. of Population and mellings, (1978b1, AustralianNationalAccounts:NationalIncome and 1976-77, AustralianBureau of Statistics, Cat. NO. 5204.0, Canberra. Expenditure (19821, Estimated Resident Population by Sex and Age: States and Territories of Austmzia, June 1971 to June 1981, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Cat. No. 3201.0, Canberra. (19851, 'Domestic Travel and Tourism Survey Australia, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Cat. No. 9216.0, Canberra. 1983', Australian Standing Committee on Tourism (19841, Domestic T m v e l in and earlier issues 1983, 1982, 1981 and 1980, Government Printer, South Australia. Austmlia, Baumol, W. J., Panzar, J. C. & Wi 1 1 ig, R. D. (19821, Contestable Brace J~vanovich Markets and the Theory of Industry Stucture, Harcourt Inc., New York. Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) (1981 1, National T m v e l Survey ina at Remdlts, Occasional Paper 1977-78: statistical AdjU6tment6 and 42, AGPS, Canberra. 115 BTE Occasional Paper 74 (1984b1, Overview of Australian Road Freight Industry: Submission to National ~nquipy1983, Occasional Paper 59, AGPS, Canberra. (1985a 1, Market Response to Discount Domestic Air Occasional Paper 66, AGPS, Canberra. Fares, (1985b 1, Seminar m Australian Long Distance Surface Passenger Transport1985:,Papers and Proceedings Sydney,July 1985, AGPS Canberra (i n press 1. Department of Aviation (19841, Air Transport Statistics, various years from 1980, Canberra. Department of Transport (DOT) File, (unpublished). (19811, Office of Road Safety, Fatal (1983 l,, Submission by the 0.ffice of Road Safety to the Nationul Road Freight Industry Inquiry, December 1983, AGPS, Canberra. (19851, Submission to Passenger Coach Safety Inquiry,Apri 1 1985, Federal Office of Road Safety,Canberra. DirectorGeneral of Transport(SouthAustralia) December 1984, South Australia. (19841, Tray&&, InterstateCommerceCommission (ICC), (1984a), The Intercity Industry, Office of Transportation Analysis, Washington DC. Johnson, G. (19851,AnAirlinerWithoutWings, Truck 8 BUS Transportation, 49(91, September PP 30-36 Johnston, D. K. 8 Catchpole, A. D. (19801, An Analysis of the Long BUS Industry in Queensland, 6th Australian Transport Research Forum, Brisbane,October 1980, MetropolitanTransit.Authority, Brisbane. Distance McDonell , G. J. (19801, Conmission of Enquiry ‘into the NSW Road Freight Industry NSWGP , Sydney Monaghan, D. (19841, All Aboard for the Rocky Ride to a National Inquiry, Sydney Morning Herald (SMH), 20-22 August 1984. National Association of Australian State Road Authorities (NAASRA) (19761, A Study of the Economics of Road Vehicle Limits, Sydney. 116 References National Road Freight Industry Inquiry (NRFII) (1984), Report of the National Road Freight Industry Inquiry, .AGES, Canberra. Tasmanian Tourist Bureau (19841, issues from 1960, Tasmania. Tasmanian TmVehJays, and earlier Tauchen, H., Fravel; F. I Gilbert, G. (19831, 'Cost Structure of the Intercity Bus Industry', Journal of T m n s p o r t E c m m i c s and Policy, Vol. XVII, No. 1, pp. 25-37, January 1983. Western Australia Transport Comnission (19841, Annual Report, Glestern Austral i a. White, P.R. (1983),Express coachservices in Britainsince deregulation, 11th Annual SumnerMeeting,PlanningandTransport Research and Computation (PTRC) Transport Policy, July 1983, England. Legi sl ati on New South Wales State Transport (Co-ordination) Act, 1931 Motor Traffic (Further Amendment) Act, 1983 State Transport (Co-ordination) AmendmentAct, 1980 Local Government (Public Vehicles) AmendmentAct, 1980 Industrial Arbitration (Amendment Act), 1979 Transport Act, 1930 Northern Territory Motor Vehicle Amendment Act (No. 21 1981 Control of Razds Act 1981 Traffic Act 1981 Queens1 and Motor Vehicles I m u m n c e Act of 1936 State Tmnsport Act1960-1981 South Austral ia Road and Rail way Transport Act, 1931 State Transport Act, 1960-1981 Road Traffic Act, 1961-1981 117 BTE Occasional Paper 74 Tasmania Tra,ffic Act 1925 Tra.f.fic Act 1928 Transport Act 1981 Victoria Transport Act 1983 Western Australia Traniport Act, 1966-1981 118 ABBREVIATIONS AAA Ansett Airlines of Australia AAC Across Australia Coaches ABCA Australian Bus and Coach Association ABRD Australian Bicentennial Road Development Program ABS Australian Bureau of Statistics ACAC Australian AD R Australian Design Rules ALTP Australian Land Transport Program ATAC Australian Transport Advisory Council ARTF Australian Road Transport Federation BTE Bureau of Transport Economics CP I Consumer Price Index DMT Department of Motor Transport D oT Conci1 iati on and Arbitration Commission Department of Transport (Federal ) EWA East-West Ai rl i nes FCU Federated Clerks Union gvm gross vehicle mass ICC Interstate Commerce Comni ssi on 119 BTE OccasionaZ Paper 74 N AAS RA National Association of State Road Authorities NTS National Travel Survey NRF I I National Road Freight Industry Inquiry 'NTS National Travel Survey OEW Olympic East West RSG Road Safety Group RTA Road Traffic Authority SMH Sydney SRA State Rai 1 Authority STA State Transport Authority TAA Trans Australia Airlines 'TRB Victorian Transport Regulation Board TWU Transport Workers Union USA United States of America v IP Australian VIP Leisure Tours 120 MorningHeral d