View - OFTA
Transcription
View - OFTA
1 (2) 18th June 2004 Office of the Telecommunications Authority 29/F Wu Chung House 213 Queen’s Road East Wanchai Hong Kong Attention: Senior Telecommunications Engineer (Technical Regulation)2 Fax: 2803 5112 Email: 2g-consultation@ofta.gov.hk Dear Sir, Re: Licensing of Mobile Services on Expiry of Existing Licenses for Second Generation Mobile Services – Analysis of Comments Received, Preliminary Conclusions and Further Consultation Referring to OFTA consultation paper on 800 MHz spectrum use in Hong Kong, Nokia is pleased to provide a response in form of this letter and three appendices attached: - June 19th mobile market status update from Nokia Networks - Openness - Nokia High Speed Packet Access Solution Hong Kong is one of the world’s leading mobile markets in terms of innovativeness and adaptation of technologies. Co-operation and collaboration between the industry parties – regulator, operator and suppliers – has made this development possible. In mobile industry technologies are becoming global, but divided between two major standards paths 3GSM and CDMA remains today. On the back of our experience in both Hong Kong mobile market, and other markets globally, we feel that the following considerations are of a great importance, when frequency and technology decisions for the Hong Kong market are being made: Open globally standardized and adopted service platforms enable fastest uptake of mobile data services. The contributing factors of open standards include: high versatility of terminals, higher range of local and global applications through broadly adopted development tools, easy interoperability between operators, as well as roaming capability. We discuss the power of openness in specific white paper, enclosed in this response (please refer to annex no. 2, “Openness”). Also, in our “market update” we have included many examples service uptake using open platforms, including 230 MMS networks, launched within two years (please see annex no. 1, “June 19th mobile market status update from Nokia Networks”). Especially we would like to make a point that in an environment with several technology platforms with limited or no interoperability with each other– such as the case today is between 3GSM and CDMA – the introduction of new services is subject to more testing and integration. This can both delay launch of new services in the market, as well as require more resources from the industry thus making the process more costly. 1. WCDMA platform, with HSDPA (High Speed Downlink Packet Access) upgrade, provides clearly highest end-user quality experience, as well as the highest spectral efficiency. As a result, the consumers, the operators and the government get a substantially higher utility of the deployed spectrum, in comparison to any other alternative options. HSDPA is a 3GPP standardized evolution step in WCDMA platform available in 2005. In Nokia implementation this feature is easily implemented via a software upgrade only. At its full capability, the consumers get peak downlink speed of 14.4 Mbps, with typical average speeds across the network varying between 1-3 Mbps in loaded network conditions. Similarly, the uplink enhancement will be available through High Speed Uplink Packet Access, delivering peak speeds of 5.8 Mbps in uplink with typical speeds of around 1 Mbps in loaded network. The performance of the HSDPA network is brought to the utmost limit. In fact the HSDPA modulation performance closely approaches the “Shannon Limit”, which defines the maximum theoretical bandwidth that can be achieved with a given amount spectrum bandwidth. Together with the benefits of the NOKIA (H.K.) LIMITED 16/F Cityplaza 4, 12 Taikoo Wan Road, Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong. Tel : (852) 2597 0100, 2967 3388 Fax : (852) 2563 7301 2 (2) wideband (5 MHz) signal, the HSDPA network performance is significantly better than any other available option can provide. Even if the same advanced modulation was applied with a narrowband technology, the HSDPA performance benefit would still be significant Due to the smooth evolution and high performance, we expect each WCDMA 3G operator to rapidly deploy HSDPA and HSUPA. We have enclosed a white paper on HSDPA/HSUPA technology in case OFTA would like to undertake a more detailed study (please refer to annex no. 3, “Nokia High Speed Packet Access Solution” for more details). 2. WCDMA/HSDPA solution will be available for the 800 MHz spectrum band which is planned to be refarmed in Hong Kong - in the right time for HK market. 3GPP (Rel.6, TS25.104) has specified the use of WCDMA in the 800 MHz band (824-849 MHz paired with 869-994 MHz), under the definition “UMTS 850”. The initial demand for 800 MHz band WCDMA solution will be in the North America, Latin America, and in Asia Pacific, starting from 2005. In the Americas there is a subscriber base of over 100 Million in 800 MHz TDMA and GSM systems, and a large share of that base will migrate to 800 MHz WCDMA/HSDPA networks in the coming years. In Asia Pacific there are un-deployed 800 MHz frequencies available in most countries, and as a result many operators have confirmed their interest on the 800 MHz WCDMA/HSDPA solution. Also these operators in APAC have a combined user base approaching 100 Million in 2004, (likely exceeding 100 Million in 2005). When the 3G licencing in China will proceed, we expect also a high demand for 800 MHz WCDMA among the Chinese operators. The combination of 800 MHz band coverage benefits, and WCDMA/HSDPA performance benefits provides a highly lucrative solution, especially when the WCDMA coverage build will proceed to less urbanised areas. The user base in China in 2004 is around 300 Million (likely over 400 Million by 2006). The confirmed demand for the 800 MHz band WCDMA solution is large and will without doubt lead into broad-based supply of networks and terminals. The first WCDMA terminal chipset manufacturers have publicly announced WCDMA chipset with support of 800 MHz band. Further, the first operators have already requested high-volume network and terminal offerings from several vendors. As a result of the high demand from many markets, Nokia has decided to develop systems for the 800 MHz band using WCDMA/HSDPA technology. System deliveries will start in 2005. By taking the above considerations into account we are confident that WCDMA/HSDPA solution would be the best option for the 800 MHz band in Hong Kong, for consumers, operators and government alike. On behalf of Nokia we would sincerely like to thank OFTA for offering an opportunity to respond to the consultation paper of “Licensing of Mobile Services on Expiry of Existing Licenses for Second Generation Mobile Services – Analysis of Comments Received, Preliminary Conclusions and Further Consultation”. We hope the views offered by Nokia in this response will help OFTA in forming the regulations for the use of 800MHz in Hong Kong. Naturally, should OFTA have any further questions or should OFTA like Nokia to clarify any of the views offered in this response, we would be very pleased to address those to the best of our capability. Yours Sincerely, Marko Tiesmaki Director, Mobile Systems Asia Pacific Bruce Lam General Manager, Hong Kong & Macau Customer and Market Operations Mobile Phones Mobile market status update Summary 3G market Global mobile market Mobile data market User-experienced bit rates June 19th 2004 Nokia Networks 1 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Mobile market beyond voice is growing rapidly Source: Public sources; Press releases; Strategy analytics, MDA; Forbes; Mobile Media; Nokia;Wireless Imaging (updated end May 2004) Mass market High growth phase SMS, ringtones and logos Browsing and application downloading ! Approx 1.6 billion SMS/day globally ! Mobile ring tones are already a multi-billion USD business ! Over 20 operators globally >15% of ARPU from data 2 © NOKIA Imaging services 3G WCDMA • 33 commercially launched WCDMA networks with 5.9 million subscribers • 70+ million camera handsets were sold 2003 ( overtaken sales • Most handsets sold have of traditional digital color displays and packet cameras) • WCDMA handset data launches • 230 operators globally • WAP page impressions have launched MMS. Est. accelerating, with doubled last 12 month in 4 MMS sent /month per over 40 WCDMA UK – now 1.4 billion / page active user handsets launched impressions per month globally • >40 operators launched • Explosive growth in video services application downloads > 15 million Java downloads / month Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 3G WCDMA Market 3 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 3G users have higher voice & data ARPU Source: NTT DoCoMo 12000 3G 10000 3G 2G 2G 8000 Data ARPU 3G 3G 2G 2G 6000 Voice ARPU 4000 2000 0 2003/4-6 4 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 2003/7-9 2003/10-12 2004/1-3 33 Commercial WCDMA networks today 3 UK VF UK Proximus BE 3GIS SE** 3 DK 3 SE Tele2 SE VF PT TeliaSonera SE VF ES Mobitel SL Telefonica Moviles ES VF IT Launched commercial 3 IT TIM IT Supplied by Nokia © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials VF KK JP Cellcom IL 3 HK 3 AT Connect AT tele.ring AT Mobilkom AT VF DE T-Mobile DE 5 NTT Docomo JP MTC-VF BH Optimus PT TMN PT **Shared network, no own license/ subscribers VF SE VF NL SFR FR Based ased on public sources TIM GR Cosmote GR 3 AU Based ased on public sources 16 Pre-commercial WCDMA networks 8 supplied by Nokia Orange UK TMO UK Sonera FI Orange FR SKT KR Vodafone IE KT KR O2 DE O2 IE Tele 2 LX Maxis MY Etisalat UAE T-Mobile AT Launched precommercial Supplied by Nokia 6 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Manx Telecom Dialog GSM LK Telekom MY Planned WCDMA launches EMEA 2004 Orange NL KPN NL Orange UK Telenor NO TMO UK T-Mobile NL PTL LX Orange LX Manx Telecom Wave telecom Guernsey KPN BASE BE Mobistar BE O2 IE Radiolinja FI TDC DK O2 UK TeliaSonera DK Orange FR T-Mobile AT 3 IE VF IE Partner IL Xfera ES Amena ES KPN E+ DE O2 DE Swisscom CH Launch 2004 Sunrise CH Based on public sources 7 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Orange CH WIND IT Panafon VF GR Etisalat UAE Planned WCDMA launches EMEA 2005 -> 3 NO Finnet/DNA FI Telia NO Ålands MT FI Tele2 EE EMT EE Telfort NL LMT LV Bouygues FR Omnitel LT PTC PL Polkomtel PL Eurotel Cz T-Mobile Cz Launch 2005-> 8 © NOKIA Based on public sources Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Centertel PL Planned WCDMA launches China, APAC and Americas 2004 -> CMCC CH SKT KR AWS US KT KR Smartone HK TCC TW CSL HK CHT TW Sunday HK FET TW Maxis MY TM MY Starhub SG M1 SG Singtel SG Smart PH Telstra AU Optus AU VF AU Launch 2004 Launch 2005-> 9 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials VF NZ Telstra NZ Telecom NZ Based on public sources ~5.9 million WCDMA subscribers end of May 2004 • Attractive terminals boost the subscriber uptake 7 000 000 6 000 000 Mobitel MTC VF 3 Hong Kong 3 Denmark 3 Sweden mobilkom 5 000 000 4 000 000 3 000 000 2 000 000 Source: EMC database, TCA Japan, press (7.6.2004) 1 000 000 M ar -0 M 2 ay -0 2 Ju l-0 2 Se p0 No 2 v02 Ja n0 M 3 ar -0 M 3 ay -0 3 Ju l-0 3 Se p0 No 3 v03 Ja n0 M 4 ar -0 M 4 ay -0 4 0 10 © NOKIA 3 Austria 3 Australia 3 Italy 3 UK J-PHONE NTT Docomo Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 120 WCDMA licenses awarded by March 2004 cumulative number of licenses 160 number of licenses 60 140 50 120 40 100 30 60 40 There are now 120 WCDMA 20 licenses in IMT-2000 band awarded worldwide in 40 countries. 0 10 11 © NOKIA APAC Hong Kong 80 20 0 Europe 1999 2000 2001 Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 2002 2003 WCDMA 3G terminals picking up - Not just quantity but also quality has improved significantly during the last two years 60 50 Number of different brands&models of WCDMA terminals available in the market* 40 30 20 10 0 1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 * DoCoMo and 3GPP standard included 12 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Current WCDMA 3GPP Terminals NEC e808 NEC e616 NEC e909 NEC e606 Nokia 6630 Sharp V-801SH SonyEricsson Z1010 Nokia 7600 NEC e808S NEC e808N NEC e808Y NEC c313 Nokia 6650 Siemens U10 Siemens U15 Samsung SGH-Z105 Vodafone datacard Motorola A830 Motorola A835 Motorola A845 Sanyo V-801SA NEC V-N701 LGE U8100/ U8150 13 © NOKIA Motorola A920 Motorola A925 Motorola A1000 Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Motorola V1000 Sanyo V-SA701 Seiko VF connect card VC701SI Global Mobile Market 14 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Subscribers per technology – by Q1 2004 Millions Subscribers per Technology - Global 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Growth Q1/04: 3GSM CDMA CDMA APAC 20M 5M TDMA China 10M 3M Lat Am 6M 2M USA 4M 3M Europe 17M 0M Global 55M 13M 80% 20% GSM Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Source of data: EMC, May 2004 15 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials GSM fastest growing in all market areas, taking 80% of all new subscribers Subscriber growth by technology in APAC Millions Subscriber growth by technology in APAC (cumulative) 90 80 70 60 CDMA 50 GSM 40 PDC 30 20 10 0 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Source of Data: EMC May 10th 2004 • GSM in clear lead in APAC subscriber growth – with 81.1 million new subscribers during the last 12 months • GSM takes 76% of all growth in APAC 16 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials GSM and CDMA subscribers in China Millions GSM and CDMA subscribers in China 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 GSM CDMA Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Source of data: EMC May 2004 • GSM has over 10 times more users than any other technology in China • GSM taking 77% of all subscriber growth in China 17 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials GSM and CDMA subscribers in India Millions GSM and CDMA subscribers in India 30 25 20 GSM 15 CDMA 10 5 0 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Source of data: EMC May 2004 18 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Q1 2004 Subscriber growth in Latin America Millions Subscriber growth per technology in Latin America 7 6 5 4 CDMA 3 GSM 2 1 0 Q1 2003 Q1 2004 Source of data: EMC May 10th 2004 • GSM has moved to lead subscriber growth • GSM will surpass CDMA in cumulative user numbers during 2004 19 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Subscriber growth in the USA - Q1 2004 versus Q1 2003- Millions Net subscriber additions in the USA 5 4 3 2 CDMA 1 GSM 0 -1 Q1 2003 Q1 2004 -2 -3 -4 Source of data: EMC, May 10th 2004 • GSM leading subscriber additions in the USA 20 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Global Mobile Data Market 21 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Gl ob e Sm Phi li NT art P ppin e T Do hilip s Co pin Mo es J KD apa Vo DI n da Ja Vo fone pan da J fon apa eI n re lan Td Mo bil O2 eC O U ze 2 I K ch rel Re and p Vo O2 ublic da G fo er T- ne G man Mo e y bil rma e n Ne Ger y tco ma m n Te No y l Si eno rwa ng r N y Te o l S rwa ing y e T- por Mo e b SK O ile U Te ran K lec ge om UK Vo Kor KB da ea Im fon e p Mo uls UK bis Ru ss t Ce ar B ia nt elg Pr erte ium ox l P im u ola E- s Be nd Mo Pl l bil us gium eO Ge ne rm Si any ng ap or e Data as % of Revenue Top 25 operators in mobile data revenue - Q4 2003 - 23 of leading 25 operators have GSM and/or WCDMA - 1 has CDMA with planned evolution to WCDMA (SKT) - 1 has CDMA only Top 25 operators in Data as % of Revenue - 4Q 2003 40.0 22 35.0 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials GSM/WCDMA PDC/WCDMA CDMA 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Source of Data : EMC World Cellular Data Metrics, March 2004 Millions GPRS/EDGE clearly leading global mobile data subscriber growth Subscriber growth per quarter Data subscriber growth during 2003 (quarterly growth) 12 10 8 GPRS 6 CDMA2000 1X 4 2 0 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Source of data: EMC World Cellular Data Metrics, March 2004 Technology share of data subscriber growth 80% 70% 60% 50% GPRS 40% CDMA2000 1X 30% 20% 10% 0% Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Source of data: EMC World Cellular Data Metrics, March 2004 23 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Multimedia Network launches Jan 2003 May 2004 (cumulative per quarter) 121 128 108 47 57 97 85 44 33 21 17 6 8 EMEA Americas 1Q-03 2Q-03 3Q-03 4Q-03 May-04 Last column May includes all launches in Jan-May 2004 & first all launches until March -03 1Q-03 2Q-03 3Q-03 4Q-03 May-04 Source: Public sources and Nokia, May 2004 © NOKIA 37 APAC & China 1Q-03 2Q-03 3Q-03 4Q-03 May-04 24 50 Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Already over 230 operators provide MMS Countries where MMS launched Region EMEA APAC & CHINA AMERICAS TOTAL MMS Networks 128 57 47 232 Region May2004 Source: Nokia and public sources 25 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials EMEA APAC & CHINA AMERICAS TOTAL No of countries with MMS 53 19 21 93 Global Status of MMS Interconnection National interconnect in 30 countries in March 2004 Number of MMS roaming agreements growing steadily Countries where MMS launched In APAC: Singapore Taiwan and Hong Kong have full interconnection with all operators Countries with MMS interconnection In markets where operators have multiple technology platforms interconnection is generally delayed, and consequently service uptake is slower 26 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials MMS networks in EMEA In Europe MMS is very widespread and established service. Good subscriber growth both in Western and Eastern Europe Launched 2002 Launched 2003/2004 In Africa totally seven operators offer MMS Democratic Republic of the Congo: Vodacom May 2004 Nokia and Public Sources 27 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Nigeria: Globacom South Africa: MTN South Africa: Vodacom Carriers is Americas are ready to exploit MMS –almost 50 operators offer MMS MMS network launches have accelerated in Americas this year Launched Nov.03 May.04 Nov.03 Apr.04 Oct-02 Feb-03 Mar-04 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jul-03 May-04 Country Canada Canada Canada Canada USA USA USA USA USA USA USA Operator Bell Mobility Picture Messaging Rogers ATT Wireless Microcell Picture Messaging Telus Mobility T-Mobile USA AT&T Wireless Dobson CommunicatioPicture Messaging Verizon Wireless Cingular Sprint Picture Messaging Edge Wireless Picture Messaging CDMA operators generally offer propriety picture messaging service, without interoperability with standard based MMS. Source: Nokia and public sources, May 2004 28 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Oct-03 Jan-04 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jun-03 Jun-03 Jan-04 Dec-03 Nov-02 Jan-03 Sep-03 Nov-03 Mar-04 Mar-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jan-04 Jan-04 Jan-04 Jan-04 Feb-04 May-04 Aug-03 Nov-03 Apr-04 May-04 May-04 Jan-04 Sep-03 Jan-04 Jan-04 Jan-04 Jan-04 May-04 Jan-04 Nov.02 Jan-04 Argentina Argentina Argentina Barbados Bolivia Bolivia Bolivia Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil Cayman Islands Cayman Islands Chile Chile Chile Colombia Colombia Colombia Ecuador Grenada Honduras Jamaica Mexico Mexico Mexico Nicaragua Panama Peru Peru Puerto Rico Puerto Rico St. Lucia St. Lucia Venezuela Venezuela Virgin Islands Telecom Personal CTI Movil Movicom BellSouth Digicel Barbados Movil de Entel Nuevatel Cotas Movil Claro Oi TIM Brasilcel (Vivo) Cable & Wireless Digicel Entel PCS Telefonica Movil BellSouth Chile BellSouth Colombia Colombia Movil Comcel, Colombia Porta, Ecuador Cable & Wireless Megatel Digicel Jamaica TelCel Telefonica Iusacell Megatel (Enitel) BellSouth Panama TIM Peru BellSouth Peru Cingular de Puerto Rico AWS Puerto Rico Cable & Wireless St. Lucia Digicel Telcel BellSouth, Venezuela Digitel AWS Virgin Islands In APAC MMS has spread in 20 countries and 57 networks Australia Australia Australia Australia Brunei Cambodia China Fiji Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong Hong Kong India India India India India India India India Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia Korea Korea Korea Macau Macau Hutchison Optus Telstra Vodafone DSTcom (DataStream Technology CaSaCom China Mobile Vodafone Hong Kong CSL Hutchison New World Peoples Telephone SmarTone Sunday AirTel RPG Cellular Reliance BPL Mobile Idea Cellular Bharti Cellular Hutchison Spice Indosat Telkomsel Satelindo Excelcomindo KTF (Korea Telecom Freetel) LG Telecom SK Telecom CTM Hutchison Already 57 operators provide MMS in APAC and China in May 2004. MMS uptake has been strongest in Australia, Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia. CDMA operators generally offer propriety picture messaging service, without interoperability with standard based MMS. 29 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Mauritius New Zealand New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Philippines Philippines Singapore Singapore Singapore Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Taiwan Taiwan Taiwan Taiwan Taiwan Thailand Thailand Thailand Vietnam Vietnam Maxis DiGi Celcom Emtel Telecom New Zealand Vodafone PTML Globe Telecom Smart Communications Digitel Mobile One SingTel Mobile StarHub Mobitel MTN Networks TransAsia Telecommunica Chunghwa Telecom Taiwan Cellular Corp Fareastone Mobitai AIS TAC TA Orange Mobifone Vinafone China Mobile had 3.2 million MMS users end April 2004 • China Mobile's Multimedia Messaging Service growth has accelerated in 2004: End April 2004 China Mobile had 3.2 million MMS users (+50% growth in one month from March 04). • China Mobile now has around 100 MMS service providers, and over 2,500 content providers, with contents covering information, pictures, games, chatting, advertisements, and location information. • China Unicom is providing multimedia e-mail service using it´s own proprietary standard. This is not interoperable with MMS. Sources: Analysys, China Business Weekly March 9, 2004, SinoMR report, SinoCast LLC 30 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Guangdong, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Zhejiang, Shanghai and Beijing are leading the data usage in China SMS Volumes by Province in Dec. (Bn Messages) Guangdong 4.42 Jiangsu 2.62 Zhejiang 2.16 Guangdong 102 Shanghai 1.8 Fujian Beijing 1.68 Zhejiang 1.25 160 Beijing Shanghai Shandong 88 78 57 52 Shandong Liaoning 0.75 Jiangsu Henan 0.73 Sichuan Hubei 0.68 Hebei 33 Hunan 0.67 Heilongjiang 31 Total: 24.4billion Top 10 share: 69% Source: SinoMR, NMP China 31 Number of MMS Users by Province (k) December 2003 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 46 42 Total: 1.0million Top 10 share: 72% The number of operators announced mobile Java services between March and December 2003 (cumulative) 36 36 39 8 29 10 10 17 Americas EMEA Mar03 Oct03 Dec03 Source: Yankee Group, Gartner, Sun Microsystems, Press releases © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials APAC & China Mar03 Oct03 Dec03 Mar03 Oct03 Dec03 32 14 Java™ is the de-facto application development environment in the mobile industry today • 85 mobile operators worldwide have deployed Java™ services (Nokia, December 2003) • Mobile handset manufacturers with a combined market share of over 80% support J2ME™ • Over 200 Java handset models from 27 vendors on the market (Sun, October 2003) • Over 120 million Java™ handsets on market already by October 2003 (Sun, October 2003) • Over 1 million mobile Java™ developer toolkits have been downloaded from forum.nokia.com Sources: Sun Microsystems, Gartner, ARC Group; Yankee Group; Nokia 33 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Java™ has a firm foothold in mobile services globally = Est ~10 million mobile Java™ downloads globally / month * Telefonica Moviles Spain TME sold 3M java applications during 2003 iTouch reports 160,000 wireless Java games downloaded in Spain mm02 reports 500.000 Java game users January 2004 October 2003 December2003 Eurotel Praha is close to 100,000 Java game downloads / month, with monthly growth rate of 15% Jamba reports over 600,000 Java downloads / month, up 1500% from a year ago January 2004 December 2003 Vodafone Live ! reports 3.000.000 Java game downloads between launch and July 03 Source: public sources 34 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials *) Nokia estimate Case of fast uptake of Java download • Vodafone D2 Germany is surprised about the fast increase in Java games download. • Market grew more than 100% in 2003. • • • good quality of J2ME games decreasing prices of high-end phones increasing quality of screens • Most of the content is local • 100 out of 130 partners are German Source Mobile Media 19.12.2003 35 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials 40 operators around the world launched mobile video services since 2001 (cumulative) 20 16 11 10 3 4 Americas Mar03 Dec03 EMEA Mar03 Dec03 Source: Public sources, January 2004 36 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials APAC & China Mar03 Dec03 Over 40 operators around the world launched mobile video services, by end-03 Examples of announced video deployments or trials Europe and Africa Europe and Africa 1. Hutchison Telecoms – streaming, DL 1. Hutchison Telecoms – streaming, DL 2. O2 - mobile video service, launched October 2003 2. O2 - mobile video service, launched October 2003 3. Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa (PTC) – video (May 2003) 3. Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa (PTC) – video (May 2003) 4. Orange – streaming (Oct 2002) 4. Orange – streaming (Oct 2002) 5. Vodafone 5. Vodafone Germany - Streaming (Jul 2003) 6. 6. 7. 7. 8. 8. 9. 9. 10. 10. 11. 11. 12. 12. 13. 13. 14. 14. 15. 15. 16. 16. 17. 17. 18. 18. 19. 19. 37 Germany - Streaming (Jul 2003) T-Mobile T-Mobile Germany Germany Austria Austria Telefonica Moviles – Java download of video content (May Telefonica Moviles – Java download of video content (May 2003) 2003) SoneraSonera-Telia SoneraSonera-Telia Wind Italy – DL (Jul 2002), MMS (Dec 2002) Wind Italy – DL (Jul 2002), MMS (Dec 2002) MTCMTC-Vodafone Bahrain – Streaming, MMS, vidtel (Dec MTCMTC-Vodafone Bahrain – Streaming, MMS, vidtel (Dec 2003) 2003) 3 Italy ((October October 27, 2003) 2003) 3 Italy ((October October 27, 2003) 2003) Orange UK Orange UK MTN South Africa – Video MMS MTN South Africa – Video MMS Telecom Italia Mobile (TIM) Telecom Italia Mobile (TIM) STET Hellas (Jan, 2004) STET Hellas (Jan, 2004) 3 Sweden (29 Oct 2003) (streamed (streamed video news) 3 Sweden (29 Oct 2003) (streamed (streamed video news) 3 Denmark (29 Oct 2003) (streamed streamed video news) 3 Denmark (29 Oct 2003) (streamed streamed video news) © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Asia and Pacific Asia and Pacific 1. CSL Hong Kong – video MMS (?) 1. CSL Hong Kong – video MMS (?) 2. J-Phone – video MMS (Mar 2002) 2. J-Phone – video MMS (Mar 2002) 3. LG TeleCom – streaming (December 2001) 3. LG TeleCom – streaming (December 2001) 4. NTT DoCoMo – DL & streaming (May 2003) 4. NTT DoCoMo – DL & streaming (May 2003) 5. M1 – streaming (June 2003), video DL (March 5. M1 – streaming (June 2003), video DL (March 2003) 2003) 6. Hutchison Australia (Apr 2003) – live video 6. Hutchison Australia (Apr 2003) – live video messaging messaging 7. Far Eastone Taiwan – video MMS (Jul 2003) 7. Far Eastone Taiwan – video MMS (Jul 2003) 8. KDDI Japan 8. KDDI Japan 9. SmarTone – video MMS (Jan 2003) 9. SmarTone – video MMS (Jan 2003) 10. AIS – video streaming over GPRS (2003) 10. AIS – video streaming over GPRS (2003) 11. DTAC – download of video clips (June 2003) 11. DTAC – download of video clips (June 2003) 12. Maxis Communications Bhd, Bhd, video MMS 12. Maxis Communications Bhd, Bhd, video MMS 13. SingTel Singapore – Video MMS & Download 13. (Apr SingTel 2003)Singapore – Video MMS & Download (Apr 2003) 14. SK Telecom 14. SK Telecom 15. 3 Hong Kong 15. 3 Hong Kong 16. Optus Australia, streaming 16. Optus Australia, streaming Americas Americas 1. AT&T Wireless – streaming (Dec 2001) 1. AT&T Wireless – streaming (Dec 2001) 2. Sprint PCS – streaming (Apr 2003) 2. Sprint PCS – streaming (Apr 2003) 3. T-Mobile USA – video MMS (March 2003) 3. T-Mobile USA – video MMS (March 2003) 4. Vivo Brazil – download (September 2003) 4. Vivo Brazil – download (September 2003) Example: TV programs as video streaming Vodafone has struck a deal with BBC to exclusively deliver classic TV comedy clips over mobiles. Eight 30-second clips from Fawlty Towers will be offered initially, with other shows expected to follow shortly. Main Source: www.bbc.co.uk MTV videos are now available on mobile. Mobile operator 3 customers can access unique MTV mobile video packages - music news, live performance footage, and music videos. Also available will be MTV's original programming including clips from Jackass and Dirty Sanchez packaged for video mobiles. MTV will provide unique, localised content including live performance footage by artists such as Radiohead and Bjork. 38 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials End user bit rates with different radio access technologies 39 © NOKIA Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials Bit Rate Benchmarking • • • • • GPRS • cdma2000-1x • EDGE 250 200 150 kbps 100 40 2500 Theory Peak Average 2000 1500 kbps 1000 50 500 0 0 © NOKIA cdma2000-1x EDGE cdma2000-1x EVDO WCDMA/HSDPA GPRS cdma2k-1x Presentation_Name.PPT / DD-MM-YYYY / Initials EDGE Theory Peak Average cdma2k-1x EDGE EV-DO WCDMA HSDPA Openness Openness Contents Executive Summary Introduction Speed of Innovation Openness in Mobile Telecoms Revenues from Roaming Calls Messaging Need for Openness in the Future Benefits of Open Standards Summary Industry Efforts for Openness 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 8 9 10 Authors Nokia Networks, Strategic Marketing Further information Nokia Networks, Strategic Marketing Tel.+44 (0)1252 866000 It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without limitation those regarding A) the timing of product deliveries; B) our ability to develop and implement new products and technologies; C) expectations regarding market growth and developments; D) expectations for growth and profitability; and E) statements preceded by “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “foresee” or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements. Because these statements involve risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from the results that we currently expect. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: 1) developments in the mobile communications market including the continued development of the replacement market and the Company’s success in the 3G market; 2) demand for products and services; 3) market acceptance of new products and service introductions; 4) the availability of new products and services by operators; 5) weakened economic conditions in many of the Company’s principal markets; 6) pricing pressures; 7) intensity of competition; 8) the impact of changes in technology; 9) consolidation or other structural changes in the mobile communications market; 10) the success and financial condition of the Company’s partners, suppliers and customers; 11) the management of the Company’s customer financing exposure; 12) the continued success of product development by the Company; 13) the continued success of cost-efficient, effective and flexible manufacturing by the Company; 14) the ability of the Company to source component production and R&D without interruption and at acceptable prices; 15) inventory 1 of 12 management risks resulting from shifts in market demand; 16) fluctuations in exchange rates, including, in particular, the fluctuations in the euro exchange rate between the US dollar and the Japanese yen; 17) impact of changes in government policies, laws or regulations; 18) the risk factors specified on pages 10 to 17 of © Nokia Networks May 2003 the Company’s Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2001. Openness Executive Summary The debate between proponents of proprietary systems and those supporting open systems has raged over countless technological innovations. The lessons from history prove that open systems generate compelling business benefits over the long run. This White Paper places openness into its context within mobile telecoms. Open standards with mobile telecoms have, for instance, helped to develop greater revenue streams through roaming calls as well as increased traffic with interoperability of SMS text messaging. The industry recognises the lessons from these early successes and is adopting openness for further success with multimedia messaging and more advanced 3G type services. All parties involved in mobile telecoms derive benefits from openness. Consumers benefit from a wider selection of terminals, a broader selection of services, and lower costs. Network operators benefit from faster deployment of new services and lower costs. Equipment vendors benefit from greater scale and therefore from lower costs. Application developers, suppliers and subcontractors benefit from greater accessible markets and scale. Introduction Technical innovation has often seen the battles of proprietary standards versus more open standards. The video cassette recorder wars had VHS competing against Betamax. The dominant VHS standard eventually tipped the balance in its favour as video rental stores stocked more movies on the more popular format. Laws of greater accessible markets will always determine the eventual winner. The emergence of the fixed Internet pitted against each other the closed groups of “BBS” Bulletin Board Systems and the open Internet. Similarly in the Internet domain a centrally controlled rigid standard known as Gopher that controlled how data was stored, met with the HTML based open standards of the World Wide Web. BBS became a relic of computer networking as did Gopher. Open standards prevailed in a remarkably rapid fashion and were the basis for the spectacular growth of the Internet. 2 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness Some engineers like to point out that at any given point a system typically built to a proprietary standard can initially deliver greater technical performance than one built upon a rival open standard – interestingly, an argument that was passionately proposed in support of both Betamax and Gopher. This argument looks only at the short-term and neglects the greater commercial benefits and success of open systems. Any short-term technical gains that a proprietary standard might achieve can soon be copied into the open standard. But the benefits of larger scale and its overwhelming market economics cannot be copied by proprietary standards. Any technical advantage would be a short term illusion while the greater commercial gain would be permanent and ultimately overwhelming. Technology Price Evolution Open vs. Proprietary 100 Time from Launch Index % 80 60 40 20 Technolgy 1 (open) Technolgy 2 (proprietary) 0 Technolgy 3 (proprietary) Figure 1. Technology price evolution; Open vs. proprietary (“Experience shows that proprietary technology will result in higher prices & less supply”, Michael Porter 1996.) The effects of open and proprietary systems have been studied and the findings have been consistent in showing that open systems deliver lower prices and greater numbers of suppliers. This was illustrated very dramatically by Michael Porter in 1996 (Figure 1) when comparing three competing technologies. The open standard yielded the lowest price and largest amount of supply. Speed of Innovation Proprietary standards tend to allow faster adoption of changes, especially over the short term. This is mostly related to the control imposed upon the standard by its proprietary owner. With open standards it takes longer to achieve consensus on how to develop the system, however this approach tends to have greater latitude of change enabling evolution over longer periods of time and over the long term actually produces greater positive transformation. (Table 1). Whereas the whole system may evolve less rapidly, individual components on an open system tend to develop much faster than those on proprietary standards. This is due to the effects of competition. It is a fundamental feature of openness that smaller participants can 3 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness enter the value system with low costs of entry. With more participants joining to develop components to the open system, more innovation is involved. This in turn helps the whole industry cycle of evolution to more advanced solutions. Anticipated needs Speed of change Extent of change Evolution of ecosystem Intellectual property Business model Participants Competitiveness Use Proprietary standard known fast narrow slow standard owner stable few short term purpose-built Open standard emerging slow broad fast innovator evolving many long term general purpose Table 1. Proprietary vs. Openness Openness in Mobile Telecoms In the mobile telecoms world the very first analogue systems were national standards that were incompatible with each other. A significant innovation was the NMT (Nordic Mobile Telecom) standard, which was the first international standard for mobile telecoms. In each of the Nordic countries, the local manufacturers of Ericsson and Nokia, as well as the local mobile operators of Telia of Sweden, Telenor of Norway, Tele Danmark and Sonera (then Telecom Finland) were able to gain considerable benefits of scale even though individually each of the four countries had small domestic populations. 1 2 (source: EMC, Dec 2002) (source: GSM Association) When second generation (2G) mobile systems were being standardised, the GSM (Global System for Mobile communications) standard took the lessons from NMT and adopted philosophies of open standards. Although GSM’s market potential was initially similar to the other digital 2G standards, TDMA (Time Division Multiple Access), CDMA (Code Division Multiple Access) and PDC (Pacific Digital Cellular), GSM grew much more rapidly and has become the undisputed leading digital standard. In fact during 2002, GSM numbers swelled by 165 million subscribers which is more than the total existing subscriber base of any of the other three digital standards1. Today GSM dwarfs its rival 2G standards with over 825 million subscribers on 474 GSM mobile networks in 172 countries2. 4 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness Revenues from Roaming Calls Due to its legacy with NMT, international roaming was made a fundamental aspect of GSM. Consequently in all GSM markets the local mobile operator gains extra revenues from foreigners who place roaming calls. GSM operators discovered early that roaming calls were very lucrative, delivering disproportionately high revenues. Pyramid Research has calculated that Western European operators typically earn 7% of their total revenues from roaming customers visiting their networks. In GSM countries heavily dependent on tourism, such as Croatia, Tahiti and Cyprus, the effect of tourist traffic is much more dramatic. A good example is Cyprus. The island population is about 690,000 but during the peak tourist season the population swells to 2.5 million. As the European mobile phone penetration on the whole is about 80%, practically all travellers to Cyprus tend to bring their GSM phones with them. The number of users, the amount of traffic, and very importantly the increased amount of revenues per user are all multiplied during the peak summer season, according to the Cypriot Communications Ministry. UK SMS Market 1999-2000 Number of SMS messages - Millions 600 500 400 300 SMS business without IOP, interconnection and roaming 200 100 0 Jan '99 Apr '99 Jul '99 Oct '99 Jan '00 Apr '00 Jul '00 Source: MDA, Sep 200 Figure 2. SMS market in the UK 1999-2000 after interconnect As the world’s mobile phone population is well in excess of 1.1 billion and about 70% of the users are using the GSM standards, any mobile operator, which uses a TDMA, CDMA or PDC digital standard, abandons significant additional revenues from tourists and travelling businessmen. The GSM Association has calculated that 650 million people travel to other countries every year wishing to use their mobile phones. During 2002 there were over 900 million roaming phone calls made each month on GSM networks with the number continually growing. 5 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness Messaging In the early 1990s the philosophy of openness inherent in GSM helped bring about SMS interoperability between early SMS adopting operators. This in turn facilitated the market success of the first mobile data service, SMS text messaging, enabling a new dimension to the market economics of mobile telecoms. Countries with only GSM networks soon experienced a dramatic boost to text message use. In countries with mixed systems it took much longer to engage in the technical work and commercial agreements needed for SMS interconnect. The USA market was among the very last to adopt SMS interconnect between all mobile operators during April 2002, but even there, as everywhere else before, the immediate effect was a dramatic jump in the total use of SMS text messages. The effect of interconnect in messaging is immediate and dramatic. Nokia 3G Business Consultancy isolated the inflection point for the surge in messaging as the combined effects of SMS interoperability within a country, and a subscription penetration of 28-30%. The pattern of a solid surge in traffic was clearly established for example in the UK during 1999-2000. Yankee Group has since calculated that the actual jump in SMS text message use is typically 40% but can be even higher such as in the USA where the Wireless Services Corporation reports over 100% increase in SMS text messages after the adoption of SMS interoperability. With Multimedia Messaging (MMS) the needs of open standards and MMS interoperability are even more critical. The complexity of MMS is much greater than that of SMS and requires more work to ensure end-to-end delivery of multimedia messages as they were intended. The rewards can be considerable as Jupiter Research has estimated that MMS could generate global revenues of $8.3 billion by 2004, with the prerequisite that MMS interconnection is enabled between networks. The end-users can build upon their recently learned behaviour of sending text messages from holiday and business trips. As the camera-phones start to replace holiday snapshot cameras, the ability to send picture messages will provide compelling benefits to users. Similar to the patterns on SMS, MMS is likely to see a dramatic uptake after a certain level of MMS enable phone penetration is achieved. Need for Openness in the Future The mobile telecoms industry is facing several simultaneous upheavals causing potential disruption. The introduction of simple SMS text messaging in the 1990s is now giving way to the advent of advanced mobile data services. Theorists a few years ago projected that 6 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness the diminishing revenues from voice minutes will eventually be offset by new revenues from mobile data. That trend is now being witnessed by the early adopting countries. The ten leading mobile operators with high proportions of revenues from data services each report over 15% of total revenues coming from data. The global leaders, Smart and Globe in the Philippines are approaching 40% of mobile data revenues. The fascinating fact is that eight of the top ten high data revenue operators are GSM operators, with the remaining two in Japan using PDC technology. Figure 3. Data as a percentage of ARPU 40 Percentage 30 20 10 0 Globe Smart NTT DoCoMo J-Phone RadioMobil Czech 02 Germany O2 UK O2 Netherlands Amena Spain Source: EMC World Cellular Data Metrics Figure 3. Data as percentage of ARPU The mobile telecoms industry is also seeing the digital convergence of content and delivery, with many industries now converging. Early examples include games; news updates; music in the form of ringing tones, all of which are delivering significant revenues for the mobile telecoms industry as well as the adjacent industries. SMS-to-TV for example is delivering significant new revenue streams to the television industry. As the digital convergence takes place, again openness is the key to attracting new participants who share in the technology, benefits and revenues. The mobile telecoms industry is also engaged in the upgrade of the technical delivery platform from second to third generation. 3G standards were defined first in IMT-2000 (International Mobile Telecommunications for 2000) and the primary 3G standards that emerged are the evolution path of GPRS (General Packet Radio System) to EDGE (Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution) and WCDMA (Wideband Code Division Multiple Access) and the evolution path of CDMA2000 1X to CDMA2000 EV-DO and CDMA2000 EV-DV. The primary evolution paths for the existing 2G systems are summarised in the figure 4. 7 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness Global Evolution of Mobile Technologies TDMA GSM/GPRS/EDGE GSM/GPRS All IP WCDMA PDC Open interface multi-radio network HSDPA 3GPP cdma2000 1xEV-DV cdmaOne cdma2000 1x cdma2000 1xEV-DO 3GPP2 2G First Steps to 3G 3G Phase 1 Networks Evolved 3G Networks Figure 4. Evolution to 3G Benefits of Open Standards The benefits from openness affect all interested parties involved in mobile telecoms. The consumer, subscriber or end-user benefits from openness in many ways. The initial decision for most consumers is the selection of the mobile phone or handset. Open standards allow more handset manufacturers to enter into the market, which means more choice in mobile phone handsets, modems and other terminals. Consumers also benefit from open standards in how systems can interact with each other - significant with travelling for example. Consumers also gain from a wider selection of services, and reduced costs of phones and the associated mobile services. As the gate keepers to the whole mobile telecoms technology and opportunity, mobile operators (wireless carriers) have the ability to affect every part of the value chain and to select which parts they want to participate in. Open standards allow interchangeable components used in the network, further reducing costs. In addition, open standards permit faster deployment of new services increasing revenues and providing competitive advantages and opportunities to differentiate. Mobile operators also benefit from open standards through easier integration of services, network components and user equipment onto new networks. Easier integration and implementation reduce costs for operators. All of these relate to better customer satisfaction and better business management. The application developers, content providers, as well as the various suppliers and subcontractors serving mobile operators, application developers and equipment vendors will find greater accessible markets through open standards. What previously might have been a market where the global opportunity was that of one equipment vendor now becomes a market with dozens of major customers. The suppliers and subcontractors can find economies of scale that bring down costs. These savings in turn help the industry overall achieve gains in cost-benefits. As can be seen, the whole ecosystem gains through openness. 8 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness Equipment vendors may find conflicting interests between open systems and proprietary ones. A proprietary system can be used to lock in a customer and can help bring rapid changes and customisation. However, over the longer term an open system will invariably deliver more competition, more innovation, lower cost and better performance than any short term gains of a proprietary system. That is why equipment vendors should embrace openness and seek to utilise their own competitive advantages within an open system, rather than fight the trend and force customers into proprietary based, locked in solutions. Summary A proprietary system may yield short-term benefits and may provide temptation to be adopted for given immediate technical interests. However, the overwhelming business benefits of openness, in reducing barriers to entry, increasing addressable market size, expanding offerings and promoting innovation through competition produce long term benefits that far outweigh any short term gains. Overall openness yields costs savings all throughout the value systems from voice or content creation to delivery right to the end-user. With mobile telecoms open systems are beneficial to the end-users, mobile operators, equipment vendors, application developers, content providers and the various subcontractors all involved in developing a more advanced mobile telecommunications system. The GSM evolution path through GPRS, EDGE and WCDMA and the leading open standards bodies promote the expansion of the total business opportunity for all involved and creates a sustainable business case that has been proven time and time again. The various open standards bodies and Nokia warmly welcome any new participants to contribute and join the largest global mobile ecosystem. 9 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness Industry Efforts for Openness Third Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) The original spectrum allocations for 3G systems were set by the WRC (World Radio Congress). The family of standards was defined in the IMT-2000, after which the 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) has been the primary standardisation body for harmonising the various network technical standards. The GMS path of 3G evolution was given the name UMTS (Universal Mobile Telecommunication System) to reflect the fact that it was selected by the vast majority of existing network operators as well as being the only standard present in all major markets of the world. The WRC and IMT-2000 were mainly involved with ensuring common frequencies for 3G globally. 3GPP is a collaboration agreement, which brings together standards bodies for developing the standards for WCDMA as well as GSM/EDGE technologies. The group started developing the WCDMA standards in early 1999, and the 3GPP Release 1999 standard is the first release introducing the WCDMA air interface and radio access network. GSM/EDGE standards have been developed as part of the project since 2001. (www.3gpp.org) Linux / Open Source Development Lab Linux is an open standards based operating system for computers. It is increasingly being used in telecoms applications and it has an Open Source Development Lab, a non-profit organisation, which guides the development of Linux for enterprise and carrier-grade uses. Its Carrier Grade Working Group is focused on telecoms operator needs. (www.osdl.org). Nokia joined the Open Source Development Lab’s Carrier Grade Working Group in 2002. Symbian The idea of an open standard for mobile phone handsets is a relatively new one. A modern mobile phone handset in 2.5G and 3G is incredibly sophisticated in its technology where the radio components tend to be most demanding and challenging. Modern handsets need to be a finely tuned balance of size, weight, battery life, colour display, memory storage, as well as increasingly multi-radio transceivers. The integration of cameras, radios, music players, game players, input devices, etc. adds to the complexity of higher end mobile phone handsets. Open standards are vital enablers of achieving such complex, advanced and integrated devices. The biggest factor in allowing openness in terminals is an operating system based on open standards. Symbian was established for that purpose in 1998 and Symbian is jointly owned by the major handset manufacturers, Ericsson, Motorola, Nokia, Panasonic, Psion, Siemens and Sony. Symbian aims to drive the convergence of mobile computing and wireless technology by promoting user interfaces, applications, frameworks, application and development tools, as well as standards for interoperation of wireless terminals with networks, content services, messaging and solutions. (www.symbian.com). Nokia is a founding member of Symbian. Open Mobile Alliance (OMA) Mobile services are the newest of the technical developments and experiencing the greatest change currently. With an explosion of new mobile services including mobile 10 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness commerce, entertainment, information, communication services as well as various data access applications, this area is likely to see dramatic innovation and completely new service concepts. The needs of service and application developers bring about their own desires of open standards. The leading global body involved in services related open standards is the Open Mobile Alliance, OMA, which emerged to harmonise the work of numerous separate bodies involved with services and applications. OMA’s focus is on improving the end user experience. OMA promotes open global standards where the service applications layer is bearer agnostic and independent of the operating system while services and applications are interoperable with seamless roaming. Numerous bodies including Wireless Village, Location Interoperability Forum, SyncML Initiative, Multimedia Services Interoperability Group, Mobile Gaming Interoperability Forum and Mobile Wireless Internet Forum have been integrated into OMA. (www.openmobilealliance.org). Nokia is a founding member of OMA. End-to-end interoperability across value chain and specification forms Browsing MMS Across enabling technologies Presence Location Wireless Village LIF Apps and Servers Content & Media Across services and products IT Content & Media Across companies of end-to-end value chain OMA Examples of end-user service scenarios SyncML MMS-IOP OMA Messaging/ imaging Mobile workplace Terminals Networks Integration to OMA across standards and specification forums OMA Mobile infotainment Operators Wireless Vendors OMA Source: Open Mobile Alliance Figure 5. OMA interoperability Mobile Electronic Transactions (MeT) Mobile Electronic Transactions is a company founded to establish a framework for secure mobile transactions, ensuring a consistent user experience with mobile commerce independent of device, service, and network. The MeT is sponsored by Nokia, Ericsson, NEC, Panasonic, Siemens, and SonyEricsson. MeT is addressing the needs of application areas such as identification, authorisation, credit and debit card payments, loyalty schemes, and ticketing. (www.mobiletransaction.org). Web Services Interoperability organisation (WS-I) Web Services Interoperability organisation (WS-I), is an open, industry organisation chartered to promote Web services interoperability across platforms, operating systems, 11 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 Openness and programming languages. Nokia supports mobile Web services as a key technology in linking systems and enhancing business opportunities between operators and content providers. (www.ws-i.org) Java Community Process (JCP) Java™ technology includes both a programming language and application execution environment. The technology allows third parties to create new and exciting applications for Java enabled mobile phones and other devices. The specification and development work of Java is now carried out by an open industry organisation called the Java Community Process (JCP). (www.jcp.org). Nokia is actively involved with JCP. OSS through Java™ Initiative The OSS (Operational Support Systems) through Java™ initiative develops application programming interfaces for OSS solutions where all applications function together. This helps service providers to jumpstart the deployment of end-to-end services on next-generation wireless networks and to leverage the convergence of telecommunications and Internet-based solutions. (http://java.sun.com/products/oss/). Nokia is a founding member of OSS through Java Initiative. Nokia Efforts for Openness Series 60 Beyond the operating system, Nokia has also pursued openness in the licensing of the terminal software. The Nokia Series 60 Platform is a source-code product that terminal manufacturers can integrate into their own smartphone hardware designs. To develop a large applications market, Nokia is fostering an open development community, with licensees, around the Series 60 Platform. This open development provides licensees with full access to the application source, to contribute in the product’s development, and the freedom to choose the direction of their own Series 60 Platform development. (http://www.nokia.com/cda1/0,,2816,00.html) Forum Nokia Nokia’s global developer programme, Forum Nokia, connects developers to the tools, technical information, support, and distribution channels they need to build and market applications around the world. Forum Nokia provides hundreds of technical documents, developer communities, application testing, etc. (www.forum.nokia.com) 12 of 12 © Nokia Networks May 2003 White Paper Nokia High Speed Packet Access Solution White Paper Contents Executive summary 2 High Speed Packet Access, major evolutionary step HSDPA improvements HSUPA Improvements 3 3 5 Nokia High Speed Packet Access implementation 6 Key benefits of Nokia High Speed Packet Access evolution HSDPA and HSUPA will optimize the network to enable lower production cost per bit HSDPA and HSUPA will improve the perceived value of user services 7 Glossary 7 7 7 Executive summary The volume of IP (Internet Protocol) traffic has already exceeded that for circuit-switched traffic in most fixed networks. The same change will happen in mobile networks as new IP-based mobile services, such as video news bulletins, downloading music or checking bus arrivals, become available and are used by more people in their daily communications. Delivery of digital content over mobile networks, as well as IP-based person-toperson communication that combines different media and services into a single session, will generate additional traffic and revenue. The volume of data bits used in communications will grow faster than revenue, driving operators to optimize their networks to support the dominant traffic type. While downlink optimization is enough for content-toperson services, real interactive and person-to-person IP-based services require uplink optimization as well. Two key technologies, HSDPA (High Speed Downlink Packet Access) and HSUPA (High Speed Uplink Packet Access), offer breakthrough data speeds – theoretically up to 14.4 Mbps in downlink and up to 5.8 Mbps in uplink respectively – 2 clearly higher than the most advanced 3G networks. For users this means shorter service response times and less delay. Meanwhile, operators will be able to offer advanced services at lower costs and with increased profitability. As the Nokia HSDPA Solution is fully backwards compatible with current Nokia WCDMA networks, it is a cost-effective way to upgrade existing infrastructure. By providing higher quality and capacity it will help to drive up the consumption of data-intensive services, bringing operators more revenue in mobile communication. HSDPA and HSUPA technologies offer by far the highest performance at the lowest cost, enabling real mass-market mobile IP multimedia. WCDMA downlink evolution, HSDPA, is part of 3GPP/UTRAN-FDD Release 5 WCDMA specifications. The new modulation method greatly improves the peak data rate and throughput, which enhances spectral efficiency. In addition to these benefits, users will perceive faster connections to services through shorter round trip times. As a result of these enhancements, operators using HSDPA will be able to support considerably higher numbers of high data rate users on a single radio carrier than is possible with any existing 3G technology. Moving scheduling from RNC to BTS also improves the efficency of the Iub (connection between Radio Network Controller and Base Station). The improvement is 50–70% for typical web browsing with 128–384 kbps user data rates. Standardized WCDMA uplink evolution, HSUPA, is ongoing in 3GPP completion planned for the end of 2004. The target is to improve usability of higher bit rates in the uplink, resulting in greater capacity, higher peak rates and lower end-user delay. HSDPA will be introduced into operator networks in stages. The first implementations will address business connectivity. The leading operators are expected to start commercial HSDPA trials in 2005. The second phase will be the introduction of HSDPA to all user segments in a multi-service environment with a wider terminal product range. This solution is expected to be on the market in 2006. HSUPA introduction is then likely to be a further stage after the HSDPA market has been established. White Paper High Speed Packet Access, major evolutionary step The WCDMA air interface has been standardized by the 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) as a radio transport medium for global mobile communications. Consequently, the first versions of the 3GPP air interface specifications enabled superior user data rates and system throughput capacities compared to any 2nd generation mobile communication standard. The channel types specified in Release 99 can carry IP traffic and can be used for delay sensitive applications as VoIP. With HSDPA and HSUPA, users will experience better Internet and intranet access with laptops, large file downloads and high quality streaming applications. HSDPA Adaptive modulation and coding Fast retransmissions with incremental redundancy Figure 1. HSDPA. Adaptive Modulation and Coding The WCDMA system’s adaptability enables a new and significant evolutionary step in packet data access. The Nokia High Speed Packet Access Solution comprises two key evolutionary steps: HSDPA and HSUPA. HSDPA and HSUPA improve system capacity and increase user data rates. HSDPA improves the downlink direction, that is transmission from the radio access network to the mobile terminal. HSUPA improves the uplink for transmitting data from mobile terminals to the radio access network. HSDPA can provide cell throughput gains of up to two to three-fold compared to normal Release 99 WCDMA. With HSUPA, the cell throughput is expected to be 20–50% greater than in Release 99 WCDMA. HSDPA improvements Improved performance of the HSDPA is based on: 1) Adaptive modulation and coding 2) A fast scheduling function, which is controlled in the base station (BTS), rather than by the radio network controller (RNC). 3) Fast retransmissions with soft combining and incremental redundancy Fast scheduling in BTS Adaptive modulation and coding (AMC) in HSDPA is the ability to select a coding rate between 1/4 and 4/4 and a modulation method between 16QAM and QPSK. Of these two standardized methods, the former provides higher data rates. The link adaptation is based on fast channel quality feedback received from the mobile. The HSDPA specification supports the use of 5, 10 or 15 multicodes. The multicodes together with time multiplexing can be used to increase the number of users. Link adaptation ensures the highest possible data rate is achieved both for users with good signal quality (higher coding rate), typically close to the base station, and for more distant users at the cell edge (lower coding rate). In the future, advanced mobile terminal features such as dual antenna reception and equalized receivers can be used directly because new mobiles will simply report better channel conditions and the BTS will allocate higher data rates to those mobiles. power/code availability. These parameters are taken into account in the packet scheduler algorithm. Scheduling is fast because it is performed as close to the air interface as possible, using the physical layer feedback information on the channel quality and because a short frame length is used. Fast retransmissions Should link errors occur, caused for example by interference, the mobile terminal rapidly requests physical layer retransmission of the data packets. In current WCDMA networks, these requests are processed by the RNC. In HSDPA, the request is processed in the base station providing the fastest possible response. This mechanism is called hybrid ARQ, or HARQ. The retransmission can be received in 10 ms with HSDPA. In addition to fast retransmissions, incremental redundancy can also be used. This technique selects correctly transmitted bits from the original transmission and retransmission to minimize the need for further repeat requests when multiple errors occur in transmitted signals. Fast scheduling Scheduling of the transmission of data packets over the air interface is moved from the RNC to the BTS. The packet scheduling in the BTS is based on information on the channel quality, terminal capability, and QoS class and 3 White Paper Time Multiplexed Channel for efficient radio resource utilisation The WCDMA system normally carries user data over dedicated transport channels, DCHs, which are code multiplexed onto one RF carrier. In the future, user applications are likely to involve the transport of large volumes of data that will be bursty in nature and require high peak bit rates. DCH1 HSDPA introduces a new transport channel type, High Speed Downlink Shared Channel (HS-DSCH) that makes efficient use of valuable radio frequency resources and takes into account bursty packet data. Multiplexed HS-DSCH This new transport channel shares multiple access codes, transmission power and use of infrastructure hardware between several users. The radio network resources can be used efficiently to serve a large number of users accessing bursty data. To illustrate this, when one user has sent a data packet over the network, another user then gains access to the resources and so forth. In other words, several users can be time multiplexed so that during silent periods, the resources are available to other users. This improves not only air interface resource usage, but also improves Iub efficency. Figure 2 shows a simplified explanation of the principle of sharing a common transport channel. New signalling channels are needed in downlink and uplink. In the downlink the HS-SCCH (High Speed Shared Control Channel) facilitates signalling related to HS-DSCH reception while in the uplink direction, the channel quality feedback and feedback on the packet decoding errors are carried on the HS-DPCCH (High Speed Dedicated Physical Control Channel). HSDPA Performance HSDPA offers maximum peak rates of up to 14.4 Mbps (with 15 spreading codes and with no channel coding) in a 5 MHz channel. However, more important than the peak rate is the packet data throughput capacity, which is improved significantly. This increases the number of users that can be supported at higher data rates on a single radio carrier. 4 DCH2 DCH3 Figure 2. Channel sharing. Kbps per cell 6000 WCDMA Release 99 5000 HSDPA simple scheduler HSDPA advanced scheduler 4000 HSDPA advanced mobiles 3000 2000 1000 0 Macro cell Small cell Figure 3. HSDPA capacity increase with two different fast packet scheduling algorithms and with advanced mobile terminals. Performance with two different fast scheduling algorithms is shown in Figure 3. Fairness between users and the total cell capacity are a trade-off because scheduling data equally to all users doesn’t take into account momentary changes in the radio channel quality and cannot maximize the cell throughput. On the other hand, maximizing cell throughput by scheduling users with best radio channel quality cannot quarantee Quality Of Service (QoS) for all users in the cell. Advanced scheduling algorithm gives the best balance of QoS and cell capacity. Advanced mobile terminals with features like dual antenna reception and equalized receivers can benefit directly from HSDPA. Another important characteristic of HSDPA is the reduced downlink transmission delay and reduced variance in delay. A short delay time is important for many applications such as interactive games. In general, HSDPA’s enhancements can be used to implement efficiently the ‘interactive’ and ‘background’ QoS classes standardized by 3GPP. HSDPA’s high data rates also improve the use of streaming applications on shared packet channels, while the shortened roundtrip time will benefit web-browsing. White Paper HSDPA data rates HSDPA data rates are dynamically adjusted during the call according to radio link quality. This ensures the highest possible data rate for the user. HSUPA Improvements The main technological improvements with HSUPA are: • Fast uplink scheduling function based in the BTS • Fast retransmission with control in the BTS Modulation Coding rate Throughput with 5 codes Throughput with 10 codes Throughput with 15 codes QPSK 1/4 600 kbps 1,2 Mbps 1,8 Mbps 2/4 1,2 Mbps 2,4 Mbps 4,8 Mbps 3/4 1,8 Mbps 3,6 Mbps 5,4 Mbps 2/4 2,4 Mbps 4,8 Mbps 7,2 Mbps 3/4 3,6 Mbps 7,2 Mbps 10,7 Mbps 4/4 4,8 Mbps 9,6 Mbps 14,4 Mbps 16QAM Table 1. HSDPA peak data rates. Probability Fast uplink scheduling Similar to HSDPA, HSUPA control for uplink scheduling is moved to the BTS. The BTS can do the scheduling based on the information readily available in the BTS or based on terminal feedback which can include, for example, information about whether a terminal would like to increase the transmission rate. RNC scheduling Node B scheduling Fast uplink retransmissions As with the downlink without HSDPA, the uplink currently relies on retransmission control by the RNC. By moving the retransmission handling to the BTS, faster response times and less roundtrip delay can be achieved. Noise rise (dB) Figure 4. Fast scheduling reduces noise rise variance. HSUPA performance Fast scheduling in the uplink can react rapidly to changes in the traffic load and offered data rate from applications. This reduces noise rise variations in the uplink and gives an opportunity to reduce the head-room reserved in the uplink for overload protection. Higher user data rates and cell capacity are achieved by using this capacity that was reserved in Release 99 solutions. In addition to fast scheduling, fast retransmissions and incremental redundancy contribute to enhanced uplink performance. Fast retransmissions allow the uplink to operate with a higher block error ratio (BLER) and this enables initial transmission with a lower power level for a given data rate. With a fixed data rate, the cell range is also improved since lower energy per bit is needed. Kbps per cell 2500 +45% 2000 +25% +10% 1500 1000 500 0 Release 99 Fast retransmit Node B scheduling Fast proportional scheduling Figure 5. Example of user throughput gain in a loaded cell. Average user throughput with 21 users per cell can be 50% higher than in Release 99. 5 White Paper HSUPA data rates The wide bandwidth of WCDMA gives high user data rates with one code transmission, which provides efficient Mobile terminal RF performance. Coding rate User data rate with 1 code User data rate with 2 codes User data rate with 4 codes User data rate with 6 codes 2/3 640 kbps 1,28 Mbps 2,56 Mbps 3,84 Mbps 3/4 720 kbps 1,44 Mbps 2,88 Mbps 4,32 Mbps 4/4 960 kbps 1,92 Mbps 3,84 Mbps 5,76 Mbps Table 2. Example of HSUPA peak data rates with spreading factor 4. Nokia High Speed Packet Access implementation A key attribute of Nokia’s WCDMA infrastructure is its flexibility for future upgrades. Even features in the earliest stages of standardization have been taken into account in the Radio Access Network architecture and in system design and specification. This approach enables Nokia to implement HSDPA into its current RAN platforms through simple upgrades. Being able to integrate HSDPA and nonHSDPA (WCDMA Release 99) traffic into the same carrier is essential. With the Nokia solution, this is achieved without upgrading the base station’s radio elements. Consequently, HSDPA can boost user and system performance using the initial (5 MHz) frequency layer. Figure 6 shows an example of power resource sharing between non-HSDPA users (for example speech traffic) and HSDPA users on the same carrier. The power allocated to HSDPA is dynamically adjusted by the RNC according to the instantaneous traffic requirements. HSDPA uses fast link adaptation and does not need head-room for fast power control. Furthermore, with HSDPA the DCH is typically used to carry time critical signalling information and conversational type services, such as speech in parallel with HSDPA operation. Thus the user can benefit from a simultaneous speech connection on the DCH in parallel with, for example, a high speed data download on the HS-DSCH. 6 BTS Transmit power Maximum power Power control head-room for DCH HSDPA Target power HSDPA power DCH Non-HSDPA power Common channels Figure 6. Carrier power sharing between HSDPA and DCH traffic. Nokia WCDMA base stations can accommodate HSDPA by either upgrading the software in existing baseband units in the field, or by adding baseband units to accommodate HSDPA traffic volumes while keeping existing baseband to serve the Release 99 based traffic. Nokia baseband contains powerful processors that can handle both uplink and downlink in the same unit. This eliminates communication between separate uplink and downlink baseband units, which results in fast scheduling and easier reaction to uplink HSDPA control signalling. Furthermore, the use of powerful integrated baseband simplifies system evolution and makes it easier to adapt to asymmetric traffic. When introducing new features in the network, processing power can be allocated between the downlink and the uplink based on traffic needs, with no onsite HW upgrades needed. Nokia HSDPA is also fully backwards compatible with 3GPP Release 99 WCDMA. This enables HSDPA to be introduced into networks gradually. Both Release 99 and HSDPA capable terminals can share the same radio carriers. The versatile Nokia BTS platform can also accommodate the changes expected to arise from HSUPA improvements, such as BTS-based scheduling or retransmission handling. The powerful baseband processors can handle traffic in either direction depending on the software. White Paper Key benefits of Nokia High Speed Packet Access evolution Glossary 16QAM HSDPA and HSUPA will optimize the network to enable lower production cost per bit The Nokia High Speed Packet Access solution will benefit network operators by: • Improving the WCDMA network’s packet data capacity • Enhancing spectral efficiency • Increasing BTS baseband and Iub efficiency • Enabling cost-effective network implementation Consequently, network operators that implement HSDPA and HSUPA will achieve a lower delivery cost per bit. HSDPA and HSUPA will improve the perceived value of user services The Nokia High Speed Packet Access solution will benefit users by providing: • Higher data rates • Shorter service response time • Better availability of services Consequently, users will experience better quality of service. 16 Quadrature Amplitude Modulation 3GPP Third Generation Partnership Project BLER Block error ratio BTS Base Station DCH Dedicated Channel (transport channel) HS-DSCH High Speed Downlink Shared Channel HS-DPCCH High Speed Dedicated Physical Control Channel HS-SCCH High Speed Shared Control Channel HSDPA High Speed Downlink Packet Access HSPA High Speed Packet Access HSUPA High Speed Uplink Packet Access HW Hardware IP Internet Protocol Iub Connection between Radio Network Controller and Base Station MS Mobile Station PS Packet Switched QoS Quality of Service QPSK Quadrature Phase Shift Keying RAN Radio Access Network RLC Radio Link Control RNC Radio Network Controller SW Software WCDMA Wideband Code Division Multiple Access The contents of this document are copyright © 2004 Nokia. 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Nokia and Nokia Connecting People are registered trademarks of Nokia Corporation. Nokia product names are either trademarks or registered trademarks of Nokia. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be trademarks or trade names of their respective owners. 7 NOKIA CORPORATION Networks P.O. Box 300 FIN-00045 NOKIA GROUP, Finland Phone: +358 (0) 7180 08000 www.nokia.com Nokia code: 11183 – 0604 Indivisual/Libris Copyright © 2004 Nokia. All rights reserved. Nokia and Nokia Connecting People are registered trademarks of Nokia Corporation. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be trademarks or trade names of their respective owners. Products are subject to change without notice. 1 (1) Office of the Telecommunications Authority 29/F Wu Chung House 213 Queen’s Road East Wanchai Hong Kong Fax No: 2803 5112 Email: 2g-consultation@ofta.gov.hk Attention: Senior Telecommunications Engineer (Technical Regulation) 18th June 2004 Subject: OFTA's 2nd Consultation Paper dated 19 March 2004 on "Licensing of Mobile Services on Expiry of Existing Licences for 2nd Generation Mobile Services in Hong Kong" Dear Sir / Madam We are writing to make our submission in response to the above Consultation Paper. Nokia is a global supplier of both terminals and network infrastructure for mobile communications and as such will also be providing input separately regarding the technology considerations for the use of the frequency band. Nokia would like to offer its thoughts here on the proposed approach towards the existing CDMA and TDMA licence holders. Nokia understands that spectrum is a scarce resource and needs to be utilised appropriately to ensure maximum benefit; however Nokia would like to suggest that additional factors should also be considered in deciding the most appropriate course of action in this regard: Investment. The nature of mobile communications requires large-scale capital investment that can only be recovered over a long period of time. In order for existing operators to realize their potential they require a regulatory environment that will allow the business sufficient time to recoup its investments and manage its progression in a systematic way. Disruption to users. As you would appreciate, any proposed changes in spectrum allocation and discontinuities would cause interruption of services to the users. Given the experience of existing operators, they would be in a better position to handle any service impact to the end user. Sustainability. The recent history of the telecommunications industry would suggest that the sustainability of the operator landscape in a competitive environment such as Hong Kong is an important consideration. The introduction of new players and technologies into an already fragmented market may ultimately be detrimental to the development of the market. In light of the above Nokia would urge OFTA to weigh the investment of the existing operators, market competition, and service quality issues carefully before proceeding, giving adequate time to foster market stability, and in order to promote the best possible service to the Hong Kong population. Yours sincerely Stephen Tsang Business Director Nokia Networks