Dish TV India Limited
Transcription
Dish TV India Limited
Dish TV India Limited Investor Presentation Disclaimer Some of the statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on the current beliefs, assumptions, expectations, estimates, objectives and projections of the directors and management of Dish TV India Limited about its business and the industry and markets in which it operates. These forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements relating to revenues and earnings. The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “estimate", "intend”, “project” and similar expressions are also intended to identify forward looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond the control of the Company and are difficult to predict. Consequently, actual results could differ materially from those expressed or forecast in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other business and operational risks. Dish TV India Limited does not undertake to update these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after publication. 2 Indian M&E Industry Snapshot Broadcasting industry Distribution industry M&E industry composition & revenue size (INR bn.) 976 , 50% 2019 387 , 20% 204 ,10% 397 , 20% 2019 475 , 46% 2014 263 , 26% 126 ,12% 161 , 16% 2014 257 , 44% 2009 TV 175 , 30% Print Films 89 ,15% 66 ,11% INR 976 Bn TV industry size CAGR of ~ 15.5% (2014-2019E) INR 475 Bn TV industry size Multiple broadcasters producing content in 15 languages across 7 genres beaming ~800 channels Analog Cable 52% Digital Cable 20% DTH 28% Others Indian television market statistics (HHs mn.) 2014 301 270 231 169 134 101 2009 Total HHs 2019 2014 TV HHs 197 140 Total households 270 Mn 301 Mn Total TV households 169 Mn 197 Mn TV penetration (of total HHs) 62% 66% C&S penetration (of TV HHS) 83% 86% 169 2019 C&S HHs 3 Source: M&E industry composition & size: FICCI-KPMG 2015, Indian television statistics & broadcasting and distribution industry : MPA Report 2014 Distribution Industry 4 Digital Addressable Systems - DAS Phase I Delhi, Mumbai, Calcutta & Chennai 30-June-2012 Phase III 7,709 urban areas 31-Dec-2015 Phase II 38 notified cities 31-Mar-2013 Phase IV Rest of India 31-Dec-2016 Bulk of the potential DAS converts Limited coverage by large MSOs due to dispersed population Cable Land grab seeding at throw away prices No addressability/KYC Working backwards to fill critical gaps; packaging-billingdunning Very high DTH recognition DTH best suited considering terrain Key target markets with more than 60% incremental potential for DTH DTH Seeding ground for High-Definition Potential subscribers for upselling – high value packs Phase III Stayed by High Courts in 10 states No analog switch -off on sunset date No spike in demand around deadline Traction seen post deadline due to industry push 5 Source: *MPA Report 2014 Distribution Industry - Cable 3 Tiered Structure MSOs (more than 115 ) Distributors LCOs (at least 1 in each locality) (more than 50,000) Pre-DAS Analog signal - limited carrying capacity, broadcasters jostling for PCS Placement & Carriage fees - bulk of MSOs top-line Massive under declaration – ignored to maintain MSOs ‘reach.’ Reason behind LCOs prosperity No incentive to raise ARPUs Post-DAS Digital signal - fatter pipe, larger carrying capacity Placement fees mindset B2B Net billing 100% postpaid. Element of bad debts? Impairment of Set-Top-Box (STB)? Rising content cost / content negotiation bottlenecks 6 Distribution Industry - DTH DTH Players in India 2003 100% digital Owns last mile subscribers Subscription driven top-line TATA Sky: Launched in 2006. JV between the TATA Group and News Corp Dish TV: Industry pioneer. Started operations in 2003. Part of the ‘Zee’ stable, largest producer and aggregator of Hindi programming in the world 2006 Fully prepaid, no bad debts Fully tax compliant DTH contributes ~ 60% of the broadcaster’s domestic subscription revenue; scope for rationalization vs. cable Heavily taxed: • License fees – 8% AGR instead of 10% GR (TRAI recommendations on issues related to new DTH licenses) • Entertainment tax & Service tax - to be subsumed post rollout of GST 2007 Reliance Digital: Part of Reliance Communication Ltd, a subsidiary of Reliance ADA group 2008 Videocon D2h: Launched in 2009. Part of the white goods manufacturing Videocon group Sun Direct: Launched in 2007. JV between Sun Network and Astro, Malaysia 2008 Airtel Digital: Launched in 2008. Part of the telecom major Bharti Airtel. 2009 7 8 Many Firsts To Its Credit First DTH in India First to launch Live TV for moving vehicles 2003 2007 2009 First to negotiate content on a fixed fee basis First to launch Home Video System–DishFlix First to be PAT positive in the Indian DTH industry First to launch a sub-brand targeting regional language markets– ‘Zing’ First to launch online TV for DTH viewers – ‘Dish Online First to achieve operational breakeven in the Indian DTH industry 2010 2012 First to launch High Definition First to offer unlimited recording 2012 2015 2015 2014 2013 First to be FCF positive in the Indian DTH industry 9 Business Model P&L structure – FY15 Dish TV India Limited 3%3% Subscription revenues 1% Lease rent 2% Consolidated revenues Bandwidth income 100% prepaid Advertising income Other income 91% Upfront subsidy on consumer premises Programming and other cost equipment (CPE) 5% Average ARPU of Rs. 172* 4% Selling and distribution expenses License fees 6% 6% Churn at 0.7% p.m. Consolidated expenses 30% 10% Implied average subscriber life of 10 years Transponder lease Other operating costs Other expenses 12% Employee benefit expenses EBITDA margin - 27.3% 10 Note: * For 3QFY16; post impact of hike in service tax hike from 12.36% to 14.% w.e.f June 2015 & additional 0.5% Swachh Bharat Cess w.e.f. November 2015 Dish TV vs. Competition Multi-satellite environment Maximum content tie-ups & true HD channels Dish TV 415 50 Widest dealer-distributor network 7 13 Tata Sky Videocon 35 Rel. Digital 12 Sun Direct 12 Regional offices 389 38 Airtel Redundancy in case of any kind of satellite failure or disruption 336 46 Zonal offices 378 276 220 Linear Channels True HD Channels 11 Source: Company & market data as on 3rd February 2016 Key Metrics - Annual ARPU* (Rs.) Market share # 12% 6% 19% 16% 20% 27% Dish TV Big TV Tata Sky Airtel Digital Sun Direct Videocon D2h 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 172 131 132 138 FY08 FY09 FY10 Net subscriber base (mn.) 150 151 FY11 FY12 163 157 FY13 FY14 FY15(R) Hardware subsidy* (Rs.) 2400 15 12.9 10 8.5 5 9.6 10.7 11.4 2000 1600 1,933 1,688 1200 800 5.7 4.3 400 2.5 0 0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY14 Source: Company; Note : * ARPU & hardware subsidy taken as Q4 data for respective years. # Market share based on gross subscribers as on 31st December, 2015 as per market estimates (R) Restated post netting off of collection charges FY15 12 Key Metrics - Annual Subscription revenue (Rs. mn.) 25,000 22,681 24,499 4,960 2000 11,927 8,353 10,000 7,331 4000 16,639 15,000 8000 6000 19,228 20,000 5,000 EBITDA (Rs. mn.) 0 5,897 3,288 -2000 1,117 FY13 FY14 2,380 (2,084) (1,233) -4000 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY08 FY14 FY15(R) FY09 Programming and other costs as % of subscription revenues 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 5,794 6,240 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY15 Net profit/(loss) (Rs. mn.) 1500 71% 31 500 -500 59% 52% (1,920) -1500 42% 36% 34% 34% 33% (660) * (1,576) (2,622) -2500 -3500 (1,331) (4,141) (4,807) -4500 -5500 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 Note : * Including prior period items : (R) FY15 Subscription revenue is restated, netting off of collection charges FY14 FY15(R) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 13 Key Metrics - Quarterly ARPU* (Rs.) Net subscriber additions (mn.) Subscription revenue (Rs. mn.) 8000 180 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.416 0.338 0.317 172 170 0.2 171 4000 6,316 2000 160 0 3QFY15 2QFY16 0 3QFY15 3QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 3QFY15 50.0% 1500 34.4% 40.0%900 1200 2,654 500 30.0% 500 20.0% 100 10.0% 0 0.0%-300 3000 2500 33.9% 2000 27.6% 1,908 3QFY15 2,550 2QFY16 3QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 FCF (Rs. mn.) Net profit (Rs. mn.) EBITDA (Rs. mn.) & EBITDA margin 1000 6,926 171 0.1 1500 7,111 6000 870 1,296 900 685 300 (26) 849 600 298 0 3QFY15 2QFY16 3QFY16 3QFY15 2QFY16 Note: * ARPU is post netting-off of collections charges. 3QFY16 ARPU is post impact of service tax hike from 12.36% to 14% w.e.f.June’15 & additional Swachh Bharat Cess of 0.5% w.e.f. November’2015. 3QFY16 14 Strategy and Outlook 15 DAS Phase III & IV Across phase III & IV markets ‘Dish 99’ Specific vernacular markets ‘Zing’ FTA channels + any 3 of Family / Sports / English Dish99 Regional first; regional language channels , regional look and feel Any of the Family add-on packs @ ₹ 25 each p.m. Packs starting @ just ₹ 99 OR Set-Top-Box matlab DishTV + Any of the Sports add-on packs @ ₹ 50 each p.m. OR Any of the English add-on packs @ ₹ 75 each p.m. Zing Digital Present in 8 regional markets MANDATORY subscription to a minimum 3 of the above mentioned add-on packs on subscribing to Dish 99 Easy transition for first time digital subscribers Value for money offering; digital quality picture at the price of cable Customized content in digital quality Healthy margins 16 High Definition Box Cost Rationalization Videocon Dish TV Tata Sky D2h New Super Dhamal Mix Super Gold + Family + + HD Access HD Access Sports Channels Game on HD Fee Fee (Sports and Hindi entertainment) Rs. 395 Rs. 375 Rs. 378 Life on HD @ Rs. 195 Star Sports HD1 √ x x (English entertainment with Sports and Hindi Entertainment) Star Sports HD2 √ √ x Sony Six HD √ x x Ten HD √ x x Key differentiator vis-a-vis cable ARPU driver 3 HD ADD-ONS Game on HD @ Rs. 145 Full on HD @ Rs. 220 (Complete dose of entertainment) 17 Source: Market data as on 31st December 2015 International Expansion - Sri Lanka Pay TV subscribers (000) Sri Lanka 976 1,000 Population ~ 20 million TV penetration at 77% High digital penetration; 90% of total Pay TV subscribers DTH maintains dominance with ~ 72% market share. Cable, distant second despite being 4 years older ARPU ~ USD 7 pm 730 800 579 600 435 400 200 151 122 22 133 113 54 90 7 2008 Pay TV Subs 2014E DTH Subs 2020E Cable Subs IPTV Subs Pay TV industry revenue (USD mn.) Zero subsidy on CPE sales 7, 21% 3, 9% 23, 70% DTH revenue Cable TV revenue IPTV revenue 18 Source: MPA 2014 Financials 19 Summarized Consolidated P&L - Quarterly 3QFY 2015 vs. 3QFY 2016 Rs. million Operating revenues Expenditure EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) Other income Quarter ended Quarter ended Dec. – 2014 Dec. – 2015 6,901 7,715 4,993 5,060 1,908 2,654 27.6 34.4 170 42 1,616 1,463 478 549 Profit / (Loss) before prior period & tax Prior period items (16) - 685 - Tax expense/(write back) Net Profit / (Loss) for the period 10 (26) 685 Depreciation Financial expenses Variance(3QFY15 vs.3QFY16) in % 11.8 1.3 Operating revenue break-up (Rs. mn) 281 129 95 99 39.1 Lease rentals Bandwidth charges 7,111 (75.4) (9.5) Subscription revenue 3QFY - 2016 Advertisement income Teleport services, CPE & Other 14.7 20 Consolidated Balance Sheet Rs. million EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Shareholders’ funds (a) Share capital (b) Reserves and surplus Non-current liabilities (a) Long-term borrowings (b) Other long term liabilities (c) Long-term provisions Current liabilities (a) Short-term borrowings (b) Trade payables (c) Other current liabilities (d) Short-term provisions Total Sept. 2015 (Unaudited) 1,066 (2,773) (1,707) 7,549 519 174 8,243 166 2,036 14,988 10,491 27,682 34,217 21 Consolidated Balance Sheet (continued) Rs. million ASSETS Non-current assets (a) Fixed assets (i) Tangible assets (ii) Intangible assets (iii) Capital work-in-progress (b) Non-current investments (c) Long-term loans and advances (d) Other non-current assets Current assets (a) Current investments (b) Inventories (c) Trade receivables (d) Cash and bank balances (e) Short-term loans and advances (f) Other current assets Total Sept. 2015 (unaudited) 16,124 96 5,015 2,000 2,971 312 26,518 202 852 3,091 3,348 206 7,700 34,217 22 Annexure 23 Essel Group Launched in 1976, Essel Group is one of India’s largest business houses, with a dominant presence in Media One of India's largest vertically integrated media and entertainment group, and also one of the leading producers, content aggregators and distributors of Indian programming globally One of the largest producers and aggregators of Hindi programming in the world Founded by Dr. Subhash Chandra Group Market Cap ( Listed entities under Essel Group ): Rs 534.4 bn(1) Essel Group Other Businesses Media Distribution Content Zee Entertainment Launched in 1992 Zee Media Corp. Ltd. Launched in 1992 One of India’s largest media Strong presence in national and general TV entertainment and regional news genre network Market Cap: Rs 391.3 bn(1) Market Cap: Rs 8.9 bn(1) Dish TV SITI Cable Network Daily News & Analysis Launched in 2005 Launched in 2006 Launched in 2005 Asia’s largest DTH service provider One of India’s largest MSO, presence across 54 cities Market Cap: Rs 85.6 bn(1) Market Cap: Rs 24.2 bn(1) English broadsheet daily with presence across Mumbai, Bangalore, Pune, Ahmedabad, Jaipur & Indore Packaging (Essel Propack) – Market Cap: Rs 24.4 bn(1) Theme Parks: Essel World and Water Kingdom Playwin: India’s first and largest online gaming company Cornership: Animation studio Cyquator Technologies: IT Infrastructure outsourcing Infrastructure Education Precious Metals Healthy Lifestyle & Wellness Source: Company websites, BSE, MPA Report 2014 Note: (1) Market capitalization as on 5th February, 2016 24 Thank You 25