SpaceBox STEP-1 Proposal - Docs | SpaceBox Laboratory
Transcription
SpaceBox STEP-1 Proposal - Docs | SpaceBox Laboratory
SPACEBOX LABORATORY Project Proposal, Proposed to Thaicom PCL Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 Thailand’s First CubeSat “Self-Sustainable Technology and Engineering Project” Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 1 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory ABSTRACT ___________________________________ (Figure 1.2) (Figure 1.1) SpaceBox STEP-1 (Figure 1.1) is a CubeSat, a standardized miniature satellite measuring 10 x 10 x 10 cm with about 1 kg in weight. Its operation is in Low Earth Orbit (LEO): 150 – 600 km from Earth. At present, it is considered a cost effective science and technology platform for promoting science education and instigating the development of innovative sensors and other advance autonomous instruments. Moreover it possesses a potential to make a contribution on a politically attractive and economically viable basis to the expansion of an emerging nation’s intellectual capital. Commercially, it possesses the potential to be a disruptive technology in the space industry from which many applications of larger conventional satellites could be displaced in the near future. Because of its significant benefits and prospective potentials, many governmental space and research agencies support the technological developments on this platform: in US from NASA and NSF, in Europe with ESA’s Educational Office, in Japan with JAXA, or from United Nation projects such as Disaster Management Constellation (DMC). SpaceBox STEP-1 shall performs 3 missions in when it’s operate orbit. 1. Earth Imagery - “Satellite Imagery of Earth” First image captured and transmitted to Earth from SpaceBox STEP-1 shall mark the first step of Thai toward becoming a Space Technology Developer, not only a Consumer anymore. SpaceBox STEP-1 shall be equipped with 2 cameras: Slow Scan TV (SSTV) and Digital cameras. The SSTV is responsible for taking and broadcasting low resolution images of earth in real time which would allow general publics to share this wonderful experience from Space. For the Digital camera, it will capture high resolution image of earth and send it back to Earth. Then the transmitted images shall be open for public accesses under a free to use license from our website (Figure 1.3). SpaceBox STEP-1 shall be Thailand’s first CubeSat designed, manufactured, and tested by a group of THAI engineers as indicated in Figure 1.2 and it is planned to be launched in 2016-2017. (Figure 1.3) Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 2 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory 2. O-Space Textbook - “Education from space” In Thailand, as an emerging and developing nation, the real firsthand experience with Space technology would be a great inspiration to students or personnel in education or science and technology and could become a first milestone for the country’s big space education and scientific research movements. To achieve this ambitious purpose, in this project, we will develop a SpaceBox Kit (SBK) to be distributed, first, to rural schools in Thailand so their students would be able to connect and communicate with SpaceBox STEP-1 when it travels past their schools. This would be a great opportunity for the students to learn about Space technology and for the teachers to facilitate their leanings as, from the learning theory, “Learning will take place Naturally when the Learner has a reason to Learn” Additionally we believe that any developed or discovered knowledge should belong to nations, not any individuals. All the designs, developments and processes to secure launch opportunities shall be documented and made available to public in order to encourage other interested people to follow our footsteps (Figure 1.4 - 1.5). (Figure 1.5) 3. Space Tracker - “Enhanced Capability” Hotspots monitoring for wildfire prevention, data gathering for studying the migration of animals, or the climate change research are examples of the applications or studies by major space agencies conducted on the Picosatellite platform. CubeSat platform possesses a great potential of its own to tackle real world problems, not only promoting the advance in science and technology. This mission objective is to demonstrate this CubeSat capability with the earth object tracking selected as a sample experiment. We will invent a small low-cost efficient tracking device in such a way that it could be located by and establish the data transmissions with the SpaceBox STEP-1 for remote sensing. With such device, we could demonstrate its use through conducting experiments in wide range of applications as shown in Figure 1.6: Ship Tracking in Sea Transportation or Fishery, Car Tracking for Traffic Management and Animal Tracking for the Wildlife Preservation. (Figure 1.4) (Figure 1.6) Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 3 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory From this experiment, the technical challenge is a requirement that the invented tracking device must possess sufficient radio transmission power to establish a connection with SpaceBox STEP-1. SpaceBox STEP-1 project is currently in the Preliminary Design Review and the proposal for requesting a financial support is being drafted. Upon the completion of the proposal, it shall be reviewed by the experts in the field for the project’s feasibility and its merits. SpaceBox STEP-1 will be mainly, if not fully, funded by the sponsor. At the moment, the overall budget of the project is estimated to be approximately USD 140,000. SpaceBox STEP-1 is developed with a strategic goal of “Self-Sustainable Technology and Engineering Project”. From being the genuine Thailand’s 1st CubeSat to accomplish these specified missions in space, SpaceBox STEP-1 aims to create a societal impact to Thai science education and technological development by showing that “by being truly united, we could bit by bit help strengthen our nation’s intellectual capital and create a selfsustaining path to Thai future”. “The People Who Are Crazy Enough to Think They Can Change The World, Are the ones Who Do” Apple, Inc.’s “Think Different” (1997) Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 4 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory CONTENTS ___________________________________________________________________________ Overview 6 SpaceBox STEP-1’s Mission 8 Benefits to Thaicom 11 Benefits To Thai Education and Scientific Communities 12 Public Accessibility 13 Satellite Ground Station and Satellite Construction Laboratory 13 Sub-System Designs 16 Technical Risk Analysis and Management 23 System Testing 25 Launch Opportunity 27 Summary Budget Estimation 28 Development Timeline 29 Experience on CubeSat 30 Appendices Appendix A: Mission Analysis 32 Appendix B: Estimation Budget Analysis 38 Appendix C: Team members information 43 Appendix D: CubeSat’s working temperature 49 Appendix E: References Proposal written on April, 2015 50 Page 5 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory OVERVIEW ___________________________________________________________________________ “SpaceBox STEP-1 shall be one small STEP for THAI Space Maniacs, A giant leap for THAI Space Education and Technological Development” It is known that the business in Space Industry has high barriers to entry: Finite resource of GEO orbital positions, heavily regulated business by the local authorities, high upfront CAPEX, and requirements of high technology and expertise in operations including the hindrance forbidding technology and knowledge transfers. Therefore the new comer in this industry needs an innovative business idea to draw the investors’ attentions, a possession of necessary knowledge, technology and connections for business initiations and a feasible business model to answer the uncovered or invisibly new demands. In Space Industry, one of the strategies to obtain a good business proposition is lowering Cost or reducing the Risk in business operation. Several techniques could be used to achieve this goal such as Deploying a large high capacity Satellite to provide large scale of services: KA-Sat or Opting to use a high technology small Satellite to provide highly flexible services to current fluctuating demands: Eutelsat-Quantum series. It could be seen from the trend that, either going for the larger, higher capacity or smaller, more advance in technology satellite, the operator aims to either reducing the Cost or the Risk in the business operation. Besides the movements from the big companies in the industry in response to current Space Industry market, many new players in the space industry entered the venue from another arena: applications on Small, Pico-Satellite platform. Skybox Imaging, PlanetLabs, UrtherCast, ISS, PlanetiQ, Dauria Aerospace, Vivisat are allrising stars in the Space Industry. All built their businesses on the Pico to Micro-satellite platforms operating in LEO. Working with this small satellite, these companies gained the reduced risks from lowering the satellite construction and launch costs. Furthermore their business models chose to answer the unprecedented demands: High spatial and temporal resolution Earth imaging, Medium resolution “Whole Earth” imaging, 24/7 high definition VDO of Earth for environmental monitoring, Atmospheric Imaging for weather forecast, or Satellite’s mission extension services. Additionally in Satellite 2014 conference, it was commented from the experts in the Space Industry that, in the next decade, it could be considered as the coming of the 2nd era of the Space Technology and Exploration: an era that one would send a spacecraft to space for servicing another operating spacecraft. To accomplish this purpose, the small Satellite platform would play a crucial role due to its low cost and rapid construction and development. This fact could be noticed from an increase in the number of the small Satellite recently launched either from academic institutions or governmental agencies; the number of launches increased at least approximately 50% each year for the past three years. A pico-satellite class, CubeSat is originally used for educational purposes or to conduct technological or scientific researches due to its low construction and development cost. Moreover it has been used by the government agencies in technology demonstrations such as a deep space optical communication. However recently more real world applications are aimed to be solved on this small satellite platform: High resolution data gathering for weather forecasting or Commercial Satellite’s mission life extension either from refueling or graveyard orbit maneuvering. Furthermore recently more attempts have been done to use CubeSat to establish High-Speed Communications with the use of frequency bands ranging from S to Ka bands. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 6 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Because of this, it can be easily seen the potentials of the CubeSat in either the educational or scientific purposes or commercial aspects; therefore, this project not only could bring Thai Space technology studies to the international level, it also benefits Thaicom to gain necessary knowledge and experience in this technology to be able to select the right technology to serve the customer demands at the right time in the near future. Do you know? CubeSat won the Third place in Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Media Business – “3 NEW THINGS 2014” contest. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 7 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory SpaceBox STEP-1’s Missions ___________________________________________________________________________ SpaceBox Laboratory team has defined the missions for the STEP-1 as follows: 1. Earth Imagery - “Satellite Imagery of Earth” SpaceBox STEP-1 will perform two satellite imaging task on orbit. The first one will be conducted with the SSTV camera which will capture the Earth images and concurrently broadcast the data to Earth as shown in Figure 3.1 A. The data transmission will be on the open-access policy; therefore, the captured and broadcasted images will be open for access by general public. Figure 3.1 A While the images captured by SSTV camera are under the open and free access policy, the high resolution images captured by another high resolution camera on board will be transferred to the SpaceBox’s Ground Station first before opening for downloading from our website. As shown in Figure 3.1 B, due to the high resolution image’s data size, the SpaceBox STEP-1 will need to only capture the image and store it in the on-board memory first; upon the completion of the image capturing process, the data transmission will then be initiated to send the captured image to the Ground Station. Figure 3.1 B Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 8 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory 2. O-Space Textbook - “Education from space” The O-Space Textbook from Space mission will allow the general students and youths at any place in Thailand to receive the wonderful experiences in interacting with the real, on-orbit Satellite through our developing SpaceBox Kit (SBK) which will later be distributed to selected schools. As the STEP-1 communication policy is open to access, anyone who has a capability to establish a connection with the STEP-1 can communicate with it. Our team thus takes this advantage to offer this similar opportunity to Thai youths and students and wish that this could create a societal impact to the Thai Space and Technology development and education to come back and support the Space Technology development and education. Additionally we believe that any developed or discovered knowledge should belong to nations, not any individuals. All the designs, developments and processes to secure launch opportunities shall be documented and made available to public in order to encourage other interested people to follow our footsteps. Figure 3.2 3. Space Tracker - “Enhanced Capability” Hotspots monitoring for wildfire prevention, data gathering for studying the migration of animals, or the climate change research are examples of the applications or studies by major space agencies conducted on the Pico-satellite platform. CubeSat platform possesses a great potential of its own to tackle real world problems, not only promoting the advance in science and technology. This mission objective is to demonstrate this CubeSat capability with the earth object tracking selected as a sample experiment. We will invent a small low-cost efficient tracking device in such a way that it could be located by and establish the data transmissions with the SpaceBox STEP-1 for remote sensing. With such device, we could demonstrate its use through conducting experiments in wide range of applications: Ship Tracking in Sea Transportation or Fishery, Car Tracking for Traffic Management and Animal Tracking for the Wildlife Preservation (Figure 3.3). Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 9 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Figure 3.3 From this experiment, the technical challenge is a requirement that the invented tracking device must possess sufficient radio transmission power to establish a connection with SpaceBox STEP-1. SpaceBox STEP-1 shall perform only one of the defined missions at a time because of the limitation of the available power supplied from the Electrical and Power Subsystem. SpaceBox Laboratory team has experiences in CubeSat Technology and has been seriously working for over half a year on researching and experimenting on the concepts or technologies designed for the defined missions. There are certainly issues or questions for which the team could not answer at present; however, the team shall put our best efforts to answer all questions and develop our technical knowledge and skills on the small satellite design, development and construction throughout the courses of this project. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 10 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory BENEFITS TO THAI EDUCATION AND SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITIES ___________________________________________________________________________ In Thailand, the government agency that is responsible to supporting the Space technology studies and in diffusing the relevant knowledge and experiences to the science and education communities is National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA); however, it can rarely notice any activities or campaigns which are meant to accomplish those goals. In Asia-Pacific region, the Asia-Pacific Regional Space Agency Forum (APRSAF) was founded to encourage regional or international co-operations among members and the supporting countries to enhance space activities and the uses of the space technologies for the regional or global benefits. The forum opens for participations from all members in Asia-Pacific countries; LAPAN from Indonesia and ANGKASA from Malaysia have been quite active in coordinating the activities with JAXA for their interests. However, for Thailand, NSTDA appeared only as a participant. It can be clearly seen that even though Thai has plenty of opportunities to promote the development and studies in Space Technology or to use the relating activities in strengthening Thai education or the future STEM[2] workforce, without the real awakening event, no one would step up to seriously champion the Space Technology research and study. SpaceBox STEP-1 missions are designed to create a societal impact on the science and education communities in such a way that it would instigate the movements in Space Technology education: providing meaningful aerospace and science technology, engineering and mathematics educational experience to Thai youths. SpaceBox STEP-1 shall present our work in the 22nd APRSAF (The Asia-Pacific Regional Space Agency Forum) at Bali, Indonesia in December 1-4, 2015 Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 12 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory PUBLIC ACCESSIBILITY ___________________________________________________________________________ SpaceBox STEP-1 shall document all processes in this project starting from the designing, COTS selections and procurements, modules’ constructions and integration, securing launch opportunities and operations and then the documentation and learning shall be published on an open website (www.SpaceBox.in.th). Our team gives much attention to knowledge and experience transfer to any educators or the scientists; thus, all the failures and successes will be reported for the benefits in the future uses. Ground Station and Satellite Construction Laboratory ___________________________________________________________________________ SpaceBox STEP-1’s Ground Station together with the Satellite Construction Laboratory (SpaceBox LABORATORY) shall be established at Darunsikkhalai School of Innovative Learning (DSIL) with the granted school’s permission. The main purpose of this Ground Station is to create the opportunities for the youths and students to connect to the real, in-orbit Satellites (with open communication policy similar to that of SpaceBox STEP-1) or even to the International Space Station. Moreover it shall act as a command and control center of the SpaceBox STEP-1once in orbit and as an information distribution center for the project. All the purchased equipment and testing device together with the right to manage the Ground Station after the end of project shall be transferred to DSIL for the future uses. Ground Station The design of the Ground Station system is shown in Figure 4.1 and with the following specifications: • Be able to communicate to LEO satellite in frequency band VHF and UHF. And can support every communication standard pattern including communicated activities to International Space station. • High Capability Antenna can provide at least -100dBm of communication power with which the Ground Station could establish a connection to any visible Satellite. • Be able to be accessed and controlled from other remote stations Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 13 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Figure 4.1 Satellite Station On Demand (SSOD) SpaceBox STEP-1’s Ground Station provides in general a direct access for DSIL students to use its facilities. Nevertheless to give similar opportunities to the youths and students from rural or other remote areas, the SpaceBox team shall develop the web-based system through which anyone would be able to join by registration and consequently obtain the right to connect online to our Ground Station. Then they would similarly gain a wonderful hands-on experience from their direct contact with On-orbit Satellites through various activities and lessons: Establishing a connection and Selecting communicating frequencies with On-orbit Satellites. Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 14 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Satellite Construction Laboratory The design of satellite construction laboratory is shown in Figure 4.2 Satellite Construction Laboratory shall have its specifications as follows: • Laboratory shall have relevant electronic device and communication equipment: spectroscope, oscilloscope and others. • Laboratory shall have facilities necessary for satellite’s electronic part construction: equipment and tools for building electronic prototype board or print circuit board (PCB) • Laboratory shall have facilities for both functional and environmental tests e.g. Thermal Vacuum chamber, power generation (present as a solar radiation source to earth), Thermal camera for convection analysis as well as other equipment to support further analysis and CubeSat design. Figure 4.2 Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 15 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Sub-System Designs ___________________________________________________________________________ SpaceBox STEP-1 is designed to operate on 3 Primary and 1 Auxiliary missions. The Primary mission includes Earth Imaging, LEO communication and Space Tracking. For Earth imaging mission, two main systems were designed to perform two different image capturing functions: Digital system shall capture high resolution image and transmit via digital FSK modulation while Slow Scan TV (SSTV) shall capture low resolution image and transmit via analog FM modulation. For the space tracking mission, SpaceBox STEP-1 shall act as a repeater which functions to repeat the received tracking data from trackers to SpaceBox Laboratory’s Ground Station. All primary missions’ communications operate at 437 MHz radio frequency while the auxiliary mission transmits the telemetry by AX25 protocol at 145 MHz. The designed system is shown in Figure 4.3 A and 4.3 B. Figure 4.3 A LEO:LowEarthOrbit Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 16 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory System Overview Primary Mission OBC ¼ lambda @437MHz Camera FM Enable 5 PV EPS watchdog OBC + report Camera FM data FSK Enable COMM 437 FM/FSK FSK data FSK Module FM Module ¼ lambdaRedundant @145MHz 1 PV Mission EPS + OBC + FM145 (AX25) Figure 4.3 B Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 17 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Photographing and On-Board Data Handling Subsystem (OBDH) The designs of the Photographing and OBDH modules are shown in (Figure 4.4). OBC + Camera FM Enable OV5642 parallel F I F Camera Module parallel SPI MCU O FM data OBC FSK Enable FSK data 5V 1A enable 5V 0.5A Watch dog/report Figure 4.4 Mission Statements: - To take Photographs and transmit the processed images to Earth - To coordinate and control other systems’ functions and act as the data bank of the SpaceBox STEP-1 - To modulation signal both FSK and SSTV - To control the power distributions and consumptions of the SpaceBox STEP-1’s subsystems - To continue functioning under the critical conditions in which some of the subsystems unable to perform their functions normally and able to separate the damaged systems from the rest for the safety of the Satellite. System Requirement: - Shall be able to capture Images at resolutions ranging from 320 x 256 to 640 x 480 pixels - Shall be able to modulate signal in FSK and SSTV type Robot36 and to communicate between subsystems via SPI - The power source of OBC shall be separated from that of the cameras to prevent the electrical surge in case of the occurrence of an electrical short circuit - OBC shall contain a Watch Dog system functioning to monitor other subsystems for its operations in order to prevent any anomalies Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 18 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory - OBC shall be able to control and manage the SpaceBox STEP-1’s power usages through the manually switching on or off certain device or systems. Electrical and Power Subsystem Figure 4.5 shows the design of the Electrical and Power Subsystem of the SpaceBox STEP-1. Figure 4.5 Mission Statements: - To generate and supply the electrical power to SpaceBox STEP-1’s subsystems - To store the electrical power for the uses of other subsystems during the Eclipse or under the occasions that the electrical power cannot be generated - To monitor the electrical system on the SpaceBox STEP-1 and perform and necessary actions to prevent the damages to the on-board electronics due to any unexpected events. Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 19 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory - To be able to still supply the electrical power to other subsystems even under a critical condition in which the SpaceBox STEP-1’s Batteries receive some damages and cannot perform its normal function System Requirement: 1.Ability to regulate electrical power of 5 bus to full-fill power consumption of each system and cut the power when something goes wrong. a) OBC: 5V and cut the power when it exceed 0.5 A b) Communication on 437 MHz and 145 MHz: 5V cut the power when it is exceed 1A c) Camera: 5V and cut the power when it exceed 1A d) Others sub-missions 2. MCU can read following voltage and current; then send data to OBC through I2C or serial: a) Voltage of 5 PVs b) Battery voltages c) Current of charging from 5 PVs d) Total current of CubeSat loads 3. Support 5 Photo Voltaic (Solar) Cells while each of PV can generate voltage 3 – 6 V. The system can receive power of each PV separately and able to cut the failed PV from electrical power system 4. Support 2 Lithium Cell Batteries connected in parallel and able to cut failure battery out of system (Battery cut loss system) 5.MCU Shall use the time interval method as a Watch Dog for OBC Communication Subsystem Figure 4.6 shows the design of the Communication Subsystem of the SpaceBox STEP-1. Communication 5V 1A FSK Enable FSK FSK data SPI SPI FM data FM enable 437 MHz ¼ lambda 20-27 dBm FM 437 MHz 5V 1A Command Selection Figure 4.6 Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 20 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Mission Statements: - To establish communications with the SpaceBox’s Ground System to receive tele-commands and send telemetry data through the uses of both FM and FSK systems - To transmit the captured images to the Ground Station - Able to communicate with OBC1 : Receiving the commands from and Sending the data to OBC - Able to cope with the heat generated from the electronic devices during the communication process - Able to prevent and handle the EMI - Able to continue functioning even if some parts of the subsystems receive some damages and unable to perform the regular functions. System Requirement: - Communication subsystem shall be able to communicate (sending and receiving data packages) with OBC through SPI - Shall perform a signal transmission at 1.2 kbps – 115 kbps with FSK2 method and be able to ‑ readjust this speed from OBC - Shall be able to switch between FM or FSK for data modulation and able to adjust power transmission 20-27dBm and frequency of transmission by commanding from OBC - Shall separately supply power for FM and FSK processes in order to protect short circuit - Shall be able to control the generated heat by the radio wave transmission with 25% duty cycle - Shall be designed and tested to prevent the EMI FSK:Frequency-Shi7Keyingisafrequencymodula?onschemeusedindatatransmissionovertheradiowaves orothermeans EMI:Electro-Magne?cInterference OBC:OnBoardComputer Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 21 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Auxiliary System SpaceBox STEP-1’s Auxiliary system is designed to operate independently from the rest of the subsystems in order to reduce the risk of mission failures due to any unexpected reasons; under critical situation in which the main system is unable to function, the SpaceBox team should still receive the signal from the Auxiliary System to indicate its existence in Space. Figure 4.7 shows the designed Auxiliary system of SpaceBox STEP-1. Auxiliary Mission Watch Step up dog reset v1 PV v1 Step up DC OBC tmp Batt cut loss v2 v2 ¼ lambda @145MHz Ax.25 tmp FM 145 27 dBm Figure 4.7 Mission Statements: - To act as a redundant system of the SpaceBox STEP-1’s main system; hence, the designed Auxiliary system is Simple and Durable - Being independent from other systems and able to function as a stand-alone system - Able to demonstrate a remote sensing and communication with the VHF range radio frequency System Requirement: - Auxiliary system shall be able to manage its own power consumption - Able to measure electrical power and temperature also, send gathered data to ground station with frequency 145 MHz with Ax.25 using power 24-27 dBm - Shall have a monitoring mechanism to ensure normal operations of its own system Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 22 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory TECHNICAL RISK ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT ___________________________________________________________________________ Thermal Risk In space the temperature can range from -269 ° C to over 400° C. at Low Earth Orbit has some cooling/heating cycles as it is in and out of sunlight, and we can expect a floating object to experience a range from -160 °C to 200 °C. By clever thermal design, a temperature range may vary about -100 °C to 100°C. This is still outside the range most off-the-shelf electronics can handle. In additional, every electronic device generate thermal when they’re operating and they can’t convect under vacuum condition thus, they may cause a consequence of failure systems. Risk Management: - Design and stabilize the CubeSat’s temperature by considering thermal characteristic of aluminum. This shall be done with using commercial engineering software to design the total system. - Analyze thermal energy generated from some electronic devices by operating subsystem in vacuum condition and capturing the generated heat’s profiles on the components by thermal camera. Then, design the heat relocation mechanism to maintain batteries’ operating temperature from the excess heat occurred at other areas. - Finally, CubeSat shall be tested in heating and cooling vacuum chamber: CubeSat shall be put in heating vacuum chamber for 50 minutes (estimated half orbit period) with using a 1300 watts/ meters2 power capacity heat source.Then transfer to a cooling vacuum chamber for 50 minutes (estimation duration of another half orbit) Space Radiation Risk Space weather - radiation and energetic particles emitted from an active sun can damage satellites. At low earth orbit is partially protected from the worst effect of space weather by the Earth’s Ionosphere. The primary source of damage due to solar activity is due to highly energetic electrons, protons, and ions emitted by the Sun. There is also a dip near Brazil, called the South Atlantic Anomaly (SAA) These particles can penetrate past the satellite’s skin and the surface of the electronics and dump their energetic charge into the electronics itself. This can cause glitches—Single Event Upsets (SEU), where the electronics briefly get a wrong signal value. It can also degrade or erode the solar panels and other sensitive bits The SEU may effect to memories of satellite’s on board computing and that may cause a consequence of failure of operating system or a deadlock system. Risk Management: Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 23 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory - Installing EMI absorber in electronic devices which may sensitive to EMI in order to protect conductions circuit. - Develop watch dog system to detect failure from SEU and be able to restart system. - Design Aluminum frame to imitate a faraday cage. - Finally, CubeSat shall be gone through EMC testing. Collision Risk from Space Debris Space Debris is space junk and it can be hazardous for spacecraft. However, the collisions between the spacecraft and micrometer objects or debris are infrequent and our CubeSat’s short life makes it even harder to have a chance of collusion; thus, for the nano-satellite in LEOm the collision risk is normally considered as negligible. Proposal written in April and revised in June 2015 Page 24 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory SYSTEM TESTING ___________________________________________________________________________ Space environment always poses as the biggest threat to the in-orbit operating spacecraft’s health; thus, the designer and builder needs to be certain that the developing spacecraft is well prepared for such harsh conditions, as discussed in Nakaya et al. [8]. In term of the spacecraft’s space environment test, there are various standards one could use as a reference for designing and executing the tests. NASA’s CubeSat requirement document [7] is one of those widely accepted references. Among the space environment’s attributes, vacuum condition is one of the most important factors to be considered in the satellite development. The developer must test the satellite components to avoid outgassing flux from the electronic parts by putting such components in vacuum chamber to imitate the space’s vacuum condition. Additionally testing the developing satellite in thermal vacuum chamber also simulates the heat radiation dominated mode of heat transfer in space. To accomplish this goal, the vacuum chamber must be able to produce the “high vacuum” condition, see [11] for more discussion. SpaceBox STEP-1 shall be tested in the vacuum chamber’s high vacuum condition 1 x 10-4 Torr with the suggested testing procedure in the NASA standard [7]. Besides the vacuum in space, thermal condition is also an important factor required a special attention from the satellite developer. As the CubeSat’s COT electronic parts only operate in a limited range of operating temperatures, the developer must design the satellite’s thermal management system in such as way that the temperature inside the CubeSat’s chassis shall stay in this operation temperature at all times. It could be found in various sources, [8] and [11], that approximated maximum working temperature of the CubeSat is 70 degree celsius, see appendix D for the derivation, and the minimum is -15 to -20 degree celsius which came from the working temperature of the batteries. “high vacuum” condition - vacuum condition where the mean free path of the residual gases is longer than the size of chamber or the object being tested. COT - Commercial Off The shelf Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 25 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory SpaceBox STEP-1 shall perform a series of tests according to the Launcher’s requirements: Vibration, Thermal Vacuum, and shock tests. However, to survive CubeSat in LEO orbit, there is functional testing and environmental testing series are needed as show on following flowchart (Figure 5.1). Figure 5.1 Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 26 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory LAUNCH OPPORTUNITY ___________________________________________________________________________ In term of securing the best Launch opportunity for the project, SpaceBox Laboratory team had researched through each member’s international connections and the available information on the Internet for gathering as many options as possible for consideration. In general, the CubeSat launch from the non-US or non-European team would be charged in the different rate and that from US or countries in European unions from the private launch companies. With the launch date set in Q3-Q4 of 2016 or Q1 of 2017, the collected information regarding the launch service from private launchers is shown in Table 1.1 Launcher Price (in Bath and USD) NanoRacks LLC (www.nanoracks.com) Bath 2.8M ($85K) Innovative Solutions In Space (ISIS, www.isispace.nl) Bath 2.4M-3.2M ($75K-100K) Tyvak nano-Satellite System INC (Tyvak.com) Bath 2.7M ($90K) Soyuz-Fregat Launcher Bath 2.8M ($85K) Table 1.1 In the moment, we are under a consideration if we would explore other possibilities through establishing a connection with an international space agency : JAXA or the local organization : THAI Air Force in order to obtain a better launch price. Additionally, to seek a more viable launch solution, the team would like to make a contact to Space-X which has a business relationship with Thaicom. Nevertheless, for appropriateness, we would like to discuss with Thaicom first to ask for its suggestion of how to proceed to avoid any unexpected misunderstandings which could affect Thaicom’s business and its connection with Space-X. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 27 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE Time month no. Development Plan Output 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Procurement of Tools and equipments Tools and equipments for cubesat and laboratory Laboratory, station and testing facilities setup Laboratory and cubesat station Detail design and implementation Electrical Power System (EPS) EPS board Detail design and implementation Imaging system Camera board Implement SpaceBox Kit (SBK) SpaceBox Kit (SBK) Detail design and implementation Communication System Digipeater and trasmission system Implementation tracking device Tracking devices Detail design and implementation On-Board Computer (OBC) Onboard computer and software coding Integration and Testing in laboratory Integrated cubesat 1st Testing cubesat with High Altitude Balloon • Cubesat is tested in space condition • Cubesat at near space photo Enhance cubesat system from data collecting from testing enhanced cubesat 2nd Testing cubesat with High Altitude Balloon Completed cubesat Testing according to launcher Certificated cubesat ready to launch 1 0 1 1 1 2 Waiting for launcher Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 29 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory EXPERIENCE ON CUBESAT ___________________________________________________________________________ Our team members have experiences in designing, building and testing an experimental CubeSat model: SpaceBox STEP-0 , which had Satellite Imagery by SSTV and altitude sensing as its defined missions and was awarded the 3rd place in GISTDA’ THASA contest. After the completion of the CubeSat’s development and all necessary tests conducted in the laboratory, to test its operations in a Space-Like condition, it was sent up to the sky with a High altitude balloon and reached the maximum altitude at 35 kilometers before starting to descend. At this altitude above a standard sea level, the CubeSat will encounter a Space-Like condition : 0.01 BAR pressure (close to Vacuum), 1,300 Watt per square meter of the Solar power density, the extremely high and low surrounding temperatures, and similar Radio signal attenuation as that faced by the general communication Satellite. Therefore, HAP testing is commonly used in the technological development phase or the later stage of the CubeSat development and construction. In the HAP test, as shown in ,the SpaceBox STEP-0 was carried by the 1,200 gram Helium Balloon up to the altitude at approximately 30 Km above the standard sea level, shown in Error! Reference source not found., which was considered the operational altitude. At this level, SpaceBox STEP-0 functioned normally by capturing the Earth and surrounding images with its SSTV camera and then broadcasting back to Earth at every 120 seconds. The test was lasted for 3 hours with the goal to test the CubeSat’s components for its functionalities under the extreme temperature and pressure at this altitude. It was later shown from the results of this HAP test that the CubeSat and its components can perform normally at this Space-Like condition and no damage or operational anomaly could be noticed. However due to the inappropriate light condition at this altitude, the captured images didn’t come out as good and sharp as expected. Figure 10 shows the captured Images by SpaceBox STEP-0’s SSTV camera. As mentioned above, SpaceBox STEP-0 was set to take photographs by its camera while flying at the designated altitude, to ensure uninterrupted operations from the power shortage throughout the entire 3 hours of CubeSat operations (at this stage the CubeSat’s power came only from the on-board Batteries, not yet from Solar Panels), the SSTV camera was commanded to take pictures at every 120 seconds and then to transmit the images with SSTV system to the ground. SSTV system is an Analog picture transmission at an amateur radio frequency: 437 MHz. It starts by digitally capturing the 320 x 256 pixels image and then converts this image to the radio waves to be transmitted to the ground. This is an open system from which any amateur radio operators could receive the broadcasting information and hence, during our HAP test, there were amateur radio operators in Thailand who could receive the SpaceBox STEP-0‘s broadcasting signals resulting in the pictures shown in Figure 10. From previous HAP Balloon experimental we found that 1.In short time period, CubeSat could be used to Take pictures and then Transmit the captured images from high altitude to ground without receiving any damages from the extreme environmental Space-Like conditions 2. SSTV system could transmit the captured 320 x256 pixels resolution images at the speed of 2 Kbps (or at 40 images per second picture transmission rate). The transmission from the CubeSat at 30 km Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 30 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory altitude above the standard sea level was successful; however, the transmitted images was at low quality due to the Analog transmission system and the interfering noise during the transmission. 3. Radio transmitted power of 0.5 - 1 watts have enough power to receive and transmitted data to Cubesat in LEO atmosphere. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 31 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory APPENDICES ___________________________________________________________________________ Appendix A - Mission Analysis A1) Power Generation & Consumption Analysis The power source of CubeSat is from Solar Power which will be converted to electrical power by PhotoVoltaic (PV) Cell and then stored in the batteries. A1.1) Power Generation A1.1.1 CubeSat Orbit The velocity of Cubesat: The angular velocity of Cubesat: Time for 1 orbit: A1.1.2 Illumination on CubeSat sides Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 32 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Figure 11 Schematic Diagram of the CubeSat's Exposure to the Sun From figure 11, ! ! A1.1.3 Calculation of Power Generation The parameters have defined as follows: - Approximate altitude: 350km (LEO) - Earth radius 6,366 km and mass 5.972 x 1024 kg - Dimension of cubesat 0.1m x 0.1m x 0.1m and mass 1 kg - The PV cell one side equal 0.0057 m2 ( 0.0755 m x 0.0755 m) with efficiency of 30% - The incoming irradiation amounts to 1,353 W/m2 - Universal gravitational constant (G) = 66.7 x 10-12 Nm2kg2 - CubeSat consists of 6 sides. 5 sides with PV cells and one with camera. The available power then equals Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 33 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 when SpaceBox Laboratory A = area of PV 1 side S = the irradiation k(t) = determined by the number of sides illuminated n = efficiency of PV From all defined parameters, we can calculate approximate value of: - Time travel for 1 orbit = 5400 s - If we use PV triple junction type with an efficiency of 30%, power of one side of PV is 1.61 W - The maximum power that cubesat can provide is 4.84 W A1.1.4 Photovoltaic Cell Figure 12 is an example of Photovoltaic Cell that we may use in this project. The triple junction cell from AZURSPACE, Germany has 30% efficiency. A1.2) Power Consumption Subsystem Power (Watt) % Duty Cycle Power per orbit On Board Data Handling 0.1 100 0.1 Camera module 0.5 18 0.09 Transmission SSTV @437 MHz 2.5 18 0.45 Transmission Image FSK @437 2.5 5 0.125 1 3 0.03 Transmission TM @437 MHz Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 34 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory OBDH Camera TX SSTV @437 TX Image @437 TX TM @437 Figure 13 SpaceBox STEP-1 : Power Consumption from each function A1.3) Power Assumption The following graph represents the battery power for 1 orbit start with illuminated side and then eclipse. Power Assumption 3 1.5 0 -1.5 -3 -4.5 -6 0 362 724 10861448 181021722534 289632583620 398243444706 506854305792 Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 35 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory A1.4) Conclusion From its Solar Panels, CubeSat can minimally generate power at 1.65 Watt and maximally at 4.97 Watt. If considering the maximum power usage by the operating CubeSat at 0.765 Watt, total available power is still sufficient for the designed missions. A2) Link Budget Calculation A2.1) Path Loss Calculation Path loss or path attenuation can calculate in dB domain from the following equation: When d = distance to satellite at horizon f = radio link frequency To calculate path loss of cubesat, we need to calculate distance ‘d’ from satellite when it is at geometrical horizon seen to the ground station. As we define cubesat altitude is 350 km (h = 350km) and assume that the earth is perfectly spherical with radius 6378 km (Re = 6378). Cubesat is designed to transmit in 2 frequencies 145MHz and 437MHz. Path loss can calculate as following: A2.2) Link Budget Calculation Link Budget at 145 MHz Transmission between ground and satellite at frequency 145 MHz is shown in following table: From CubeSat to ground From Ground to CubeSat Satellite Power TX +27 dB Ground Power TX +45 dB Satellite Antenna 0 dBm Ground Yagi 15E +15 dB Path loss at 2141.752 km -142.29 dB Path loss at 2141.752 km -142.29 dB Polarization Mismatch -3 dB Polarization Mismatch -3 dB Ground Yagi 15E +15 dB Satellite Antenna 0 dBm -103.29 dB Proposal written on April, 2015 -85.29 dB Page 36 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Link Budget at 437 MHz Transmission between ground and satellite at frequency 437 MHz is shown in following table: From CubeSat to ground From Ground to CubeSat Satellite Power TX +27 dB Ground Power TX +45 dB Satellite Antenna 0 dBm Ground Yagi 15E +20 dB Path loss at 2141.752 km -151.87 dB Path loss at 2141.752 km -151.87 dB Polarization Mismatch -3 dB Polarization Mismatch -3 dB Ground Yagi 20E +20 dB Satellite Antenna 0 dBm -107.87 dB Proposal written on April, 2015 -89.87 dB Page 37 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Appendix C - Team Members Mr. Thunpisit Amnuaikiatloet - Project Manager Experience: Third Place’s THASA Contest, GISTDA First’s Robotics 2013 - Regional (Colorado, USA) First Runner-Up Thaicom Foundation “Global Warming Project Challenge” - First Runner-Up Education: Undergraduate in Computer Engineering - King Mongkut’s University Technology Thonburi, Bangkok High School - Darunsikkhalai School for Innovative Learning, Bangkok Abroad High School - George Washington High School, Denver, CO, USA Contact Information Phone: +66-81-274-2111 Email: fluke_family@hotmail.com, fluke_family@me.com, thunpisit.am@gmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Dr. Tawan Tantikul - Attitude and Orbit Control Satellite Engineer Experience: Attitude and Orbit Control Satellite Engineer - Thaicom Public Company Limited, Bangkok Facilitator - Darunsikkhalai School of the Innovative Learning, Bangkok, Thailand Researcher - Technische Universität Graz TUG, Graz, Austria Education: Ph.D. in Aerospace Engineering - University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA Master in Mechanical Engineering - King Mongkut’s University Technology Thonburi, Bangkok Bachelor in Mechanical Engineering - Kasetsart University, Bangkok Contact Information Phone: +66-81-988-5930 Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 43 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Email: hkbtotw@gmail.com, tawanta@thaicom.net __________________________________________________________________________________________ Ms. Pirada Techalertvijit - Embedded Engineer Educations: Master in Embedded System - ISAE, Toulouse, France Bachelor in Computer Engineering - King Mongkut's Institute of Technology Ladkrabang, Bangkok Experiences: Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency (GISTDA) Winner of “AXE APOLLO SPACE ACADEMY” going to space in 2016. Thailand’s First Person in Space. Winner of “Fan Pan Thae - 2013” TV show in subject “Apollo program and related space program.” Awarded honorary degree - 3AF (Association Aéronautique et Astronautique de France) Contact Information Phone: +66-86-7832220 Email: ptechavi@gmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Mr. Wasanchai Vongsantivanich - Satellite Engineer Educations: Master in Aerospace Engineering - ISAE, Toulouse, France Bachelor in Mechanical Engineering - Kasetsart University, Bangkok Experiences: Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency (GISTDA) Contact Information Phone: +66-81911-4228 Email: wasanchaiv@gistda.or.th __________________________________________________________________________________________ Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 44 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Mr. Phonkit Sukchalerm - Telecommunication & Electronic Engineer Experiences: Telecommunication engineer - Thailand Space Research (TSR) TSR-THAI-1, High Altitude Platform Experiment TSR-THAI-2, High Altitude Platform Experiment TSR-THAI-3, High Altitude Platform Experiment TSR-LABD, Zero pressure Balloon Experiment CanSat Electronic Development, Defence Technology Institute (Public Organization) Contact Information Phone: +66-81-736-2168 Email: tery_haha@hotmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Mr. Natthapong Wongphuangfuthaworn - Electronics Engineers Educations: Bachelor in Computer Science - Bansomdejchaopraya Rajabhat University Experiences: Electronic & Embedded engineer - Thailand Space Research (TSR) TSR-THAI-1, High Altitude Platform Experiment TSR-THAI-2, High Altitude Platform Experiment TSR-THAI-3, High Altitude Platform Experiment TSR-LABD, Zero pressure Balloon Experiment CanSat Electronic Development, Defence Technology Institute (Public Organization) Conical Scanning Antenna System for rocket tracking, Defence Technology Institute (Public Organization) Contact Information Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 45 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Phone: +66-83-730-0100 Email: natthapong@pinnovation.co.th __________________________________________________________________________________________ Mr. Aniwat Plodphai - Telecommunication & Electronic Engineer Educations: Bachelor in Telecommunication Engineering - Mahanakorn University Experiences: Telecommunication engineer - Thailand Space Research (TSR) 245MHz Radio Jammer 144-146 Radio Jammer TSR-LABD, Zero pressure Balloon Experiment CanSat Electronic Development, Defence Technology Institute (Public Organization) Conical Scanning Antenna System for rocket tracking, Defence Technology Institute (Public Organization) Contact Information Phone: +66-83-645-5647 Email: hs8prf@hotmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Mr. Pondet Anachai - Public Relation Experiences: Intern - United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Contact Information Phone: +66-84-715-6848 Email: pd.ananchai@gmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 46 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Ms. Porntip Limpichaisopon - Public Relation Experiences: Public Relation - Darunsikkhalai School for Innovative Learning, Bangkok Public Relation - Science Creation Company Limited, Bangkok Educations: Bachelor in Liberal Arts, Thammasat University, Bangkok Master in Journalism and Mass Communication, Thammasat University, Bangkok Contacts Information Phone: +66-81-633-1707, +66-88-579-3394 Email: im.uddjang@gmail.com, dsil.pr2014@gmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Group Captain. Thagoon Kirdkao - Advisor Experiences: Installation of the telescope at Klai Kung Won Palace for His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej. Founder of Kirdkao Observatory in Kanchanaburi Province. C-130 Pilot, Wing 6th, Squadron 601st. Robotic Optical Transient Search Experiment (ROTSE), University of Michigan, USA. Catalina Sky Survey (CSS), University of Arizona, USA. Observatoire de Haute-Provence (OHP), France. Junior Session of the Astronomical Society of Japan. Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) Educations: Bachelor in Science, the Royal Thai Air Force Academy, Bangkok Master in Science Education, Kanchanburi Rajabhat University, Bangkok Master in Astronomy, University of Western Sydney, Australia. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 47 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Contacts Information Phone: +66-81-701-5340 Email: thagoonk@gmail.com __________________________________________________________________________________________ Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 48 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Appendix D - CubeSat working temperature To estimate the working temperature of the CubeSat, one could use a simple heat radiation calculation exercise to get an approximated number, as discussed in Modest [9]. It is well known that the sun produces the electromagnetic radiation with the flux density (solar constant [11]) equal to 1. 361 kilowatts per square metre. The P/A of the equation below represents this flux density while is the emissivity indicating material property’s effectiveness to emit the energy as thermal radiation. Assuming the CubeSat’s Chassis is made of the Aluminum with emissivity equal 0.6, see [12], and use Stefan- Botzman constant equal to 5.67 x 10-8 W.m-2.K-4 , one could prove that the approximated CubeSat temperature, T, is approximately equal to 69 degree celsius; thus, estimated 70 degree as suggested in NASA standard [7]. Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 49 ! of 50 ! Project: SpaceBox STEP-1 SpaceBox Laboratory Appendix E - References [1] CubeSat Power System, Institute of Energy Technology Aalborg University [2] www.control.auc.dk/~raf/Aerospace/CUBESAT.pdf [3] DTU Satellite Systems and Design course CubeSat [4] Communication, Flemming Hansen, MSCEE, PhD, [5] www.dsri.dk/roemer/pub/CubeSat's [6] Make: Technology on your time – 10 DO-IT-YOURSELF SPACE PROJECTS magazine, O’REILLY. [7] Launch Services Program : Program Level Dispenser and CubeSat Requirement Document, NASA Launch Service Program, LSP-REQ-317.01 Revision B [8] Tokyo Tech CubeSat : CUTE I - Design & Development of Flight Model and Future Plan, Nakaya K. et al., AIAA (2003) [9] Radiative Heat Transfer, MODEST M.F., McGraw Hill (1993) [10] Vacuum, https://en.wikipedia.org/?title=Vacuum [11] Solar Constant, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_constant [12] Emissivity, http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/emissivity-coefficients-d_447.html Proposal written on April, 2015 Page 50 ! of 50 !