Transport Links to Eastriggs
Transcription
Transport Links to Eastriggs
SWestrans Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area May 2009 www.colinbuchanan.com Draft STAG Report Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Project No: 157741 May 2009 Telephone: 0141 229 0652 Fax: 0141 229 6521 Email : Glasgow@cbuchanan.co.uk Prepared by: Approved by: ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ Louisa Martin John Halliday/Duncan Birrell Status: Draft Issue no: 1 Date: 5/14/2009 eastriggsstagreport14may - rev cost final.doc (C) Copyright Colin Buchanan and Partners Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been prepared for the exclusive use of the commissioning party and unless otherwise agreed in writing by Colin Buchanan and Partners Limited, no other party may copy, reproduce, distribute, make use of, or rely on the contents of the report. No liability is accepted by Colin Buchanan and Partners Limited for any use of this report, other than for the purposes for which it was originally prepared and provided. Opinions and information provided in this report are on the basis of Colin Buchanan and Partners Limited using due skill, care and diligence in the preparation of the same and no explicit warranty is provided as to their accuracy. It should be noted and is expressly stated that no independent verification of any of the documents or information supplied to Colin Buchanan and Partners Limited has been made Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Contents Summary 1 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Introduction The Brief Review of Existing Policies Review of Previous Work The Study Area 3 3 3 3 4 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 Analysis of Problems and Opportunities Introduction Problems Opportunities at Eastriggs Issues Constraints 6 6 6 8 9 10 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.10 3.11 3.12 3.13 3.14 3.15 Objective Setting Pre-existing objectives and policies National Transport Strategy Regional Transport Strategy Structure plan Local plans Single Outcome Agreement Community Plan STAG Requirements Environment Safety Economy Integration Accessibility and social inclusion Maximising opportunities SMART study objectives 11 11 11 11 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 16 17 17 4 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 Option generation, sifting and development Preliminary options Options for Stage 1 appraisal Do minimum Reference case 18 18 19 19 19 5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 Part 1 Appraisal Introduction Assessing the options against the transport planning objectives Anticipated impacts on the STAG criteria Impacts on policy directives Feasibility Affordability Public acceptability Participation and Consultation Options selected for further consideration 20 20 20 21 22 23 23 23 24 24 6 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 Part 2 Appraisal Introduction Options Expected patronage Feasibility Review of transport planning objectives 26 26 26 26 27 27 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6 6.7 STAG criteria Participation and consultation 28 46 7 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 Cost to Government Investment costs Station operating costs Grant and subsidy payments Revenues Indirect taxation impacts 48 48 48 48 49 49 8 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 Risk and Uncertainty Risk management Quantified Risk Assessment Optimism bias Sensitivity analysis 50 50 50 52 52 9 9.1 Option Summary Tables Option summary tables (OSTs) 53 53 10 10.1 10.2 10.3 Monitoring Introduction Proposed monitoring plan Key performance indicators 56 56 56 56 11 11.1 11.2 Evaluation Introduction Proposed evaluation plan 58 58 58 12 12.1 12.2 Conclusions Options Analysis Business Case 59 59 59 Appendix 1 Part 1 ASTs 60 60 Appendix 2 Part 2 ASTs 80 80 Appendix 3 Noise and Vibration Report 94 94 Appendix 4 Local Air Quality Report 95 95 Appendix 5 Water quality, drainage and flood defence report 96 96 Appendix 6 Biodiversity and habitat report 97 97 Appendix 7 Economy Report 98 98 Appendix 8 Rail Operational Assessment Report 99 99 Appendix 9 Full list of public consultation meeting invitees 100 100 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Tables Table 2.1: Approximate travel times by public transport from Eastriggs 9 Table 5.1: Assessment of options against study objectives 20 Table 5.2: Anticipated impact of options on the STAG criteria 21 Table 6.1: Station Ranking in Scotland 26 Table 6.2: Assessment of options against study objectives 28 Table 6.3: Eastriggs site - habitats 33 Table 6.4: Economic appraisal (all figures are NPV in 2002 prices) 40 Table 8.1: Quantified risks 51 Table 9.1: OST: Option 2a(i) – reinstate Eastriggs Station 54 Figures Figure 1.1: Study area 5 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Summary Overview Colin Buchanan was commissioned by Dumfries and Galloway Council on behalf of SWestrans to review options to improve transport links to Eastriggs in accordance with Scottish Transport Appraisal Guidance (STAG). The analysis of problems and opportunities has identified that the main driver is the opportunity for a step change improvement in the transport system in the area. This has the potential to support improved accessibility to education, employment and other services and facilities for the local population. The transport planning objectives that guided this study were: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to / from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. Transport planning objectives were developed taking account of existing policies and in agreement with community and transport industry stakeholders. Alternative options to meet the transport planning objectives have been appraised and this has identified that the option to provide a train station to serve Eastriggs offers the way forward. This conclusion has been reached because adding to existing bus services produces fewer (marginal) benefits than the rail option. This is due to the fact that it would be necessary to add new buses and pay for this cost as opposed to using existing rolling stock. Rail is of benefit in terms of user choice (it is a recognised fact that people prefer to use rail over bus), safety(rail travel is measurably safer than other forms of transport), reliability and access to the wider public transport network compared with bus alternatives. Significant progress has been made to engage with industry partners, including Transport Scotland, First ScotRail and Network Rail. Indeed Network Rail in Scotland has agreed that there is merit in taking the project forward and has approved the Project Proposal for a station to serve Eastriggs. We are awaiting full endorsement and resource allocation approval from Network Rail’s Investment Panel to review the technical aspects in more detail. There is widespread community support for a train station. At this level of study (early stage option appraisal), given earlier work done by others, there appears to be no significant technical obstacle to the development of a rail option at Eastriggs. Clearly, further detailed technical work is required, hence the steps taken to engage with Network Rail. 1 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Developing a transport economic case for rail stations in rural locations is notoriously difficult and Eastriggs is no different. We have found that the economic case for Eastriggs is marginal, however, other factors such as accessibility and the social inclusion of the community are key in supporting the case for the reinstatement of a rail station. Modular design has been suggested through our Network Rail consultation as a means of reducing the cost of the design and construction of the station, although comparative costs are not available for this study. While this would reduce the capital cost of the project, the key factor in improving the case for the station lies in identifying the positive benefits of the scheme. The business case has been evaluated based on the existing rail patterns. The timetable modelling work undertaken for this study indicates that stopping services may not entirely support the aspirations of the community and any potential economic opportunities, for example, for employment outwith the area. We have not been able to investigate the forthcoming rail timetable changes due in December 2009; data was not available. A conclusion we have therefore drawn is that consideration should be given to the potential to adjust the rail timetable to better suit community needs and build the business case around social accessibility. While the rail station option is preferred among the alternatives, developing the project beyond this stage will need to take account of key issues: capital costs, the level of revenue impact on the rail franchise, the performance impact on rail services and the development of a commercial rail service timetable being uppermost. The case for a replacement rail station could be progressed on the basis of the wider social and community benefits that such a facility could confer. 2 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 1 Introduction 1.1 The Brief 1.1.1 Colin Buchanan (CB) has been commissioned by Dumfries & Galloway Council on behalf of SWestrans to investigate the possibility of addressing transport problems in MidNithsdale with specific reference to the opportunities which may be presented by the reopening of closed stations on the Glasgow and South Western Railway Line. 1.1.2 The stated aims of the project brief are to: improve public transport provision for local communities; enhance access to services in nearby settlements (particularly Dumfries); improve linkages to the Central Belt and England; open up the area for inward tourism and economic development; and reduce deprivation resulting from poor accessibility. 1.2 Review of Existing Policies 1.2.1 A number of existing policies have been reviewed to establish how the potential interventions could contribute to achieving strategic aims. Relevant documents include: Single Outcome Agreement, National Transport Strategy, Regional Transport Strategy, Local Transport Strategy, Structure Plan, Local Plan and Community Plan. These are considered in greater detail in chapter 3. 1.3 Review of Previous Work 1.3.1 CB has undertaken a review of the available background documents. However, it must be noted that there are numerous contradictions between the various reports, particularly relating to the results of the economic analysis. In addition, a number of the assumptions regarding the timetabling and consequent feasibility of new stations have changed as a result of the recent Annan to Gretna double tracking. 1.3.2 Glasgow to Stranraer, Glasgow-Dumfries-Carlisle Rail Study for Dumfries & Galloway Council (internal report, November 2005). This was an assessment of the Glasgow to Stranraer and Glasgow to Carlisle (via Dumfries) rail lines with a view to improving the accessibility and service to the public in the Dumfries & Galloway Council area. Particular attention was paid to the southern ends of both routes and to station reinstatements at Dunragit, Thornhill and Eastriggs. 1.3.3 The conclusion was that all three of these stations could be accommodated within the existing timetable. Estimates were provided of future passenger numbers and the interaction with freight services was detailed. 1.3.4 However, the timetabling work which was completed: was limited in scope; ignored constraints outwith the Dumfries & Galloway area; was limited in time frame, looking only at the period 07:00 to 12:00 on a weekday; did not use the rules of the plan, relying instead on technical (signalling) headways and margins; is outdated having been superseded by the re-doubling of the Annan to Gretna track; and, did not appear to have buy-in from either Network Rail, First ScotRail or Transport Scotland. 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 1.3.5 The Regional Transport Strategy (RTS) resulted in the identification of nine priority implementation packages as follows: A709 corridor upgrade; bus network quality strategy; A75 Dumfries southern bypass; Dumfries town centre bus station and compensatory parking; Dumfries town centre public realm improvements including walking and cycling enhancements; rail services upgrade; region-wide new stations strategy; Stranraer waterfront and town centre public realm improvements including public rail / bus interchange hub and walking and cycling enhancements; region-wide cycling and walking projects, including the completion of the National Cycle Network. 1.3.6 The Dumfries & Galloway area has been subject to a high number of station closures. Considering only lines with existing passenger services, there are disused and / or dismantled facilities on the line between Kilmarnock and Gretna at Carronbridge, Thornhill, Closeburn, Auldgirth, Killylung (Holywood), Racks, Ruthwell, Cummertrees, Eastriggs and Rigg. On the line between Carstairs and Gretna there are similarly disused facilities at Beattock, Wamphray, Nethercleugh, Ecclefechan and Kirtlebridge. On the line between Ayr and Stranraer such facilities can be found at Glenwhilly, New Luce, Dunragit and Castle Kennedy. 1.3.7 South West Scotland Regional Transport Partnership - Region Wide Rail Station Strategy (Atkins, March 2007) Following on from the RTS, this was a review of the existing and proposed rail stations in Dumfries & Galloway. This examined the case for implementing new stations and for carrying out accessibility enhancements at existing stations. 1.3.8 The Region-Wide Rail Station Strategy considered opportunities at Thornhill, Eastriggs, Dunragit and Beattock. Together these represent the closed station sites most likely to be viable, lying, as they do, near to the largest un-served settlements along each line. In addition these sites are those identified as potential reinstatement locations in the current Structure and Local Plans. Following an appraisal of the various rail options it was concluded that it was not feasible to take forward the re-opening of Beattock or Dunragit stations in the short term. Subsequently, this study was commissioned to investigate the issues and opportunities at Eastriggs. 1.3.9 Transport for Development: Improved Connectivity to Edinburgh Feasibility Study, prepared for South West Scotland Regional Transport Partnership (MVA, June 2007) While not directly related to the study in hand, this work was an examination of the potential for improving the connectivity between Dumfries & Galloway and Edinburgh. The conclusion of the study was that most people in Dumfries & Galloway are not travelling to Edinburgh or Glasgow, presumably due to the long distances and travel times involved. In fact, 90% of Dumfries & Galloway residents work in Dumfries & Galloway and a further 6% work in England. 1.3.10 94% of journeys to work were made by car with the majority of the remainder by bus. The level of rail usage in Dumfries & Galloway is low. 1.4 The Study Area 1.4.1 The study area focuses on Eastriggs, a small town east of Annan, some 31 kilometres east of Dumfries in Dumfries & Galloway (See Figure 1.1). 4 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Figure 1.1: Study area © Crown copyright. All rights reserved. Licence Number: 100017967 5 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 2 Analysis of Problems and Opportunities 2.1 Introduction 2.1.1 The STAG guidelines state that “identified or perceived problems or potential opportunities with the transport system are the essential starting point for any STAG study”. This chapter explores the problems and opportunities to be found within the study area. 2.2 Problems General problems in Dumfries & Galloway 2.2.2 Ageing and declining population: Dumfries & Galloway is a large, and largely rural area in southwest Scotland. The current structure plan (published in December 1999) noted that it was likely that the population of Dumfries & Galloway would slightly decline and age over the plan period (to end 2009). 2.2.3 Published mid-year population estimates indicate that the total estimated population of the area in mid-1999 was 147,170 and in mid-2001 was 147,780 with the slight increase due to inward migration. This suggests that the population may not fall as much as was anticipated over the plan period though current projections still suggest that the population will decline slightly in the longer term with the estimated total for mid-2009 being 147,695 and for mid-2019, 147,509. 2.2.4 In mid-1999 the population comprised 19% aged under 16, 62% aged between 16 and 64 and 19% aged 65 and over. By 2007 the proportion of those under 16 had fallen to 17% and the proportion of those aged 65 and over had risen to 21%. In fact, according to the mid-2007 estimates Dumfries & Galloway had the highest proportion of its population over pensionable age of any Scottish local authority. 2.2.5 Falling average household sizes are likely to be contributing to a need for some new housing as anticipated by the structure plan and, similarly, it is likely that there has been no decline in the number of people seeking work as the proportion of working age has not declined and there is a continuing increase in the number of women seeking work. 2.2.6 Decline in traditional employment sectors: The structure plan also notes that historically Dumfries & Galloway has been economically dependent on a few key industries and employment sectors: employment opportunities in agriculture, manufacturing and the service sector are declining and there are unlikely to be significant new employment opportunities in the industries which remain. The attraction and retention of business and employment opportunities into well connected local centres like Dumfries, Annan and Lockerbie is seen as a source of new, and more varied, employment. The maintenance of local centres which are commercially vital and viable is an additional important source of local employment, local expenditure and community cohesion. 2.2.7 Overall, there is a need to pay attention to the maintenance of stable, well-balanced communities given the changes taking place in the area as a whole. Transport problems in Dumfries & Galloway 2.2.8 Peripherality of the area: A key factor in maintaining such communities is the perceived, and actual, peripherality of much of the area and the difficulty of increasing the diversity in 6 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 2.2.9 the economy under such constraints. The RTS notes that while there are several trunk routes crossing the area, these are predominantly all-purpose single carriageway roads and, as such, both less safe and more time-consuming to use than would be ideal. In addition, while the M74 provides a clear route into Glasgow the routes into Edinburgh are either indirect or of a non-motorway standard. In fact the “Transport for Development: Improved Connectivity to Edinburgh Feasibility Study” concluded that those living and working in Dumfries & Galloway largely do not consider Edinburgh as a destination and that even if a high grade route were made available the distance and travel time involved would still be considerable. 2.2.10 Limited rail services: In terms of rail travel the only station lying on a high speed main line in Dumfries & Galloway is Lockerbie and even here there are concerns at a lack of early morning and late evening trains and significant timetable gaps. Gretna, Annan, Dumfries, Sanquhar, Kirkconnel and Stranraer are all served by more local trains operating mainly to and from Glasgow. While these more local trains do provide a valuable local service and are a key source of additional transport choice and point of access to the wider rail network it is noted that fares are high particularly where the services operate largely as ‘lifeline’ services in fragile communities. 2.2.11 Limited bus services: Bus services are problematic due to the nature of the area with high travel times and low levels of usage. The majority of services are not commercially viable and a high proportion are procured by Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans at a cost of around £3.5 million annually. However, taking together scheduled and demand responsive services there is a good overall network catering for 6 million journeys a year. 2.2.12 Dumfries & Galloway, therefore, has its share of the kinds of problems which would be anticipated in rural areas with ageing and / or declining populations. Problems in Eastriggs 2.2.13 The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD, 2006) calculates relative deprivation across Scotland using 37 indicators across 7 domains, namely: current income, employment, health, education, skills and training, housing, geographic access and crime. On these measures quite a number of fairly extensive regions of Dumfries & Galloway can be seen to lie in the most deprived 20% or 40% of all regions in Scotland and the vast majority of the rural districts score poorly for geographic access. 2.2.14 Those areas which are most deprived are typically to be found in Upper Nithsdale (around Sanquhar), the rural areas north of Wigtown and small urban sections of Dumfries, Annan and the other towns. Eastriggs, though not particularly low scoring overall tends to score more poorly than the rural areas surrounding it and is in the bottom 40% for education and crime. Eastriggs and all of the areas surrounding it score in the lowest 20% for geographic access. 2.2.15 Geographic access scores are based on the following factors: drive time to a GP drive time to a petrol station drive time to a post office drive time to shopping facilities drive time to a primary school drive time to a secondary school public transport time to a GP public transport time to a post office 7 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report public transport time to shopping facilities 2.2.16 It is virtually inevitable that rural and semi-rural areas will score poorly as low population densities increase the spacing between facilities. In many cases it is the very remoteness of such areas from such facilities which gives them their unique character and attracts people to them. Thus, it cannot be argued that a poor geographic access score is necessarily a problem to be addressed in the absence of other information. 2.2.17 The relevant local plan describes Eastriggs as follows: “Eastriggs and Lowthertown together have a population of 1,683. Eastriggs is a planned settlement, intended to serve the munitions industry set up at the time of the First World War. There is still a Ministry Of Defence facility in the area. Although it no longer provides the level of employment it once did, it remains significant at a local level. Construction of the A75 bypass for Eastriggs has considerably reduced the amount of through traffic, particularly heavy vehicles, and meant an improvement of the general amenity of the settlement. It has also led to a reduction in the amount of passing trade. On the north side of the former A75 Eastriggs is connected to the settlement of Lowthertown by way of a single carriageway bridge over the railway.” 2.2.18 Although Eastriggs is not particularly deprived according to the SIMD measures it does seem to suffer from a certain level of general and transport related problems. In addition local rates of car ownership are well above the Scottish average suggesting that the local population sees this as the mode of choice and so opportunities to enhance local public transport should not go uninvestigated. 2.3 Opportunities at Eastriggs 2.3.1 By its geographical location and proximity to an existing rail line the opportunity to achieve a significant ‘step-change’ improvement in the transport system at Eastriggs is evident. Transport at the location suffers from the road standard and traffic composition on the trunk road and the lack of current travel choices as a result of there being no local rail station on the rail line that passes by Eastriggs. 2.3.2 At the lowest point, post 1965, the Glasgow and South Western Railway Line (via Dumfries) had only three stations in Dumfries & Galloway, at Kirkconnel, Dumfries and Annan and none south of Kilmarnock in East Ayrshire. There seems little doubt that it was not the intention at the time that passenger services on this line should continue in the longer term. Since this point there have been station reinstatements on this line, at Sanquhar (1994) and Gretna (1993) in Dumfries & Galloway and at Auchinleck (1984) and New Cumnock (1991) in East Ayrshire. 2.3.3 It is not currently sensible to speculate about the reinstatement of closed lines, such as the one which once served Wigtown, though these might well be able to address considerable transport related problems in such areas. There is, however, proven scope for re-opening stations on lines, particularly this line, with existing passenger services. 2.3.4 Eastriggs lies close to the trunk road network but the road in question is largely composed of all-purpose single carriageway road and travel times on it are comparatively long with unpredictable journey times resulting from the nature of the road and traffic composition (Heavy Goods Vehicles representing a significant proportion of the total). 2.3.5 Those who cannot, or would prefer not to, travel by car have far fewer options. Eastriggs has only one scheduled bus service which runs hourly to / from Dumfries and Annan and 8 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report half-hourly to / from Carlisle. This is a not unreasonable level of service for commuting trips into Carlisle and an acceptable level of service for those travelling into Dumfries. 2.3.6 Approximate travel times from Eastriggs to key destinations by bus are shown in Table 2.1. Estimated rail travel times are also shown based on those for trips from Annan. Table 2.1: destination Edinburgh Glasgow Dumfries Carlisle Annan Gretna Approximate travel times by public transport from Eastriggs travel time (bus) 03:45* 03:45* 00:48 00:47 00:10 00:10 travel time (rail) ~02:30** 02:10 00:16 00:25 ~00:05 ~00:05 times shown in white on black require connections *bus then train options are excluded due to the extra costs involved but it is noted that these are often quicker than the bus only options ** varies considerably depending on connections 2.3.7 Passenger trains on this line run less than hourly and irregularly but they do offer much improved travel times to most destinations. 2.3.8 The reintroduction of a train service would, therefore, enhance local public transport provision and opportunity for travel choice. 2.3.9 The rural areas surrounding Eastriggs also stand to benefit somewhat. Currently those people living in these areas who wish to make rail trips need to travel to Annan or Gretna, both further away than Eastriggs. 2.3.10 Local economic benefits: In addition to the potential for diversification of the underlying transport network reinstatement of a station could result in local economic gains. Eastriggs has some tourist potential as it hosts “The Devil’s Porridge Museum” dedicated to the history of the munitions factory to which the town owes its existence. Though the potential is probably modest, facilities to serve visiting tourists could provide some employment and some increase in economic diversity. Similarly, increased potential for inbound visits for shopping, education or work could also somewhat increase the range of facilities and opportunities on offer in the town. 2.3.11 Enhanced viability of G&SW line: A final point is that, provided there is no major impact on travel times, further station reinstatements should increase the overall attractiveness of passenger services on the Glasgow South Western Railway Line as a whole by offering existing, and potential future users, an increased choice of destinations and so increasing its potential market. This should help to ‘future proof’ the line by providing support for its long term viability. 2.4 Issues 2.4.1 There do not appear to be any major issues which would affect consideration of the problems and opportunities in the Eastriggs area. There are no major infrastructure projects or major development projects nearby whose advancement is in doubt. The construction of a Dumfries Southern Bypass is still being investigated but this would not have a major impact on the transport situation in the area. 9 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 2.5 Constraints 2.5.1 As this project is primarily considering the reinstatement of pre-existing station facilities there are few likely constraints. 2.5.2 There is likely to be a need for larger areas of parking than would have been found in relation to the original stations but, conversely, much less requirement for goods handling space and / or facilities. All of the locations under discussion are surrounded by a certain amount of green space and it should be possible to identify an area sufficient for car parking so long as environmental, access and visual intrusion concerns can be addressed. 2.5.3 Agreement with Network Rail, First Scotrail and Transport Scotland will be essential in order to ensure that all parties are happy to consider increased passenger stops for trains on this line. Without agreement from all three of these bodies it will not be possible to proceed under any circumstances. However, initial indications are that these organisations will consider additional stops on this line, subject to further investigation. 2.5.4 Cost may well be a constraint. Although the proposals involve the reinstatement of existing stations and, as such, their construction costs are relatively modest in comparison to the cost of designing and building facilities from scratch, the costs are still likely to be considerable in absolute terms and it will be necessary to identify sources of funding before proceeding. 10 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 3 Objective Setting 3.1 Pre-existing objectives and policies 3.1.1 The NTS, RTS, Structure Plan, Local Plan and Community Plan have all been produced in consultation with stakeholders and the wider public and it is, therefore appropriate to use the objectives outlined above as a starting point. However, there are clearly a great many too many objectives for a study of this size and there is a need to produce a rationalised and combined set for this study. 3.1.2 STAG calls for the consideration of objectives under five defined criteria and also for suggested options to be in line with current planning policy. 3.1.3 A number of pre-existing sets of objectives are relevant to this study and are shown below. 3.2 National Transport Strategy 3.2.1 The NTS sets five objectives for transport projects and policy: Promote economic growth by building, enhancing, managing and maintaining transport services, infrastructure and networks to maximise their efficiency; Promote social inclusion by connecting remote and disadvantaged communities and increasing the accessibility of the transport network; Protect our environment and improve health by building and investing in public transport and other types of efficient and sustainable transport which minimise emissions and consumption of resources and energy; Improve safety of journeys by reducing accidents and enhancing the personal safety of pedestrians, drivers, passengers and staff; and Improve integration by making journey planning and ticketing easier and working to ensure smooth connection between different forms of transport. 3.3 Regional Transport Strategy 3.3.1 The RTS sets ten objectives for regional transport projects and policy: improve transport links within Dumfries and Galloway and provide fast, safe and reliable journey opportunities to significant markets, including the national economic centres of Edinburgh and Glasgow, as well as England and Northern Ireland; contribute to improve economic growth and social inclusion in the region whilst minimising the environmental impacts of transport; support the national transport target of road traffic stabilisation; add value to the broader Scottish economy and underpin increased sustainable national economic growth; assist in getting visitors/tourists to the region from other parts of Scotland, England, Ireland and beyond; making it possible for more people to do business in and from Dumfries and Galloway by providing sustainable connections to key business centres in the Central Belt and other locations such as Ayrshire and Cumbria; support vibrant places that provide employment, healthcare, educational and other services that people need and want, so that their quality of life is maximised; reduce the constraint of peripherality, both between the region’s main settlements and its outlaying areas, and between the region and its external markets; 11 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report capitalise on improvements to critical long distance corridors to create new transport services, nodes and development opportunities for Dumfries and Galloway; and pursue certain transport schemes in the context of local and national economic development, while at the same time recognising wider context of economic, social and environmental imperatives. 3.4 Structure plan 3.4.1 The current version of the Dumfries & Galloway Structure Plan does not set objectives but does state that the strategy must: 3.4.2 3.4.3 address the needs of the whole area; increase the viability of services in rural areas; link development to an integrated transport policy; consider the needs of areas of high unemployment; safeguard natural and built heritage sites; and, ensure that sustainable development provides a backbone for the Plan. It also quotes the guiding principle that the plan is intended “to encourage the growth and development of sustainable communities in Dumfries & Galloway” and sets four aims: to support development of the local economy; to support urban and rural communities; to support and protect the natural and built environment; and, to make best use of services and facilities. There are a number of policy proposals which may have direct relevance to this study and these are listed below: Policy S7: A75 Upgrading The Council will continue to press the Government to undertake a rapid review of its policy for the A75, to reflect its national and international role and resolve deficiencies along the route. Policy S8: Implementation of Route Action Plans The Council will continue to press the Government to progress implementation of Route Action Plans and other management measures along the A7, A76, A77 and A701 as quickly as possible. A reappraisal of the role of each route should also be considered, including bypasses for Langholm, Carronbridge, Sanquhar, Kirkconnel, and the role of the A77 as a link between the Loch Ryan ports and central Scotland. Policy S11: Local Public Transport The Council will continue to co-ordinate, publicise, improve and financially support local public transport services, in response to local needs and development of a sustainable transport strategy. Policy S12: Rail Services The Council will work with the rail industry and other partners to improve and upgrade the rail network serving Dumfries and Galloway, by:1. Seeking to enhance the level of service for passenger trains; 2. Promoting the improvement or construction of new stations at Eastriggs, Beattock, Dunragit/Glenluce and Stranraer; 3. Assessing the scope for other new stations, including Eastriggs; 12 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 4. 5. Campaigning for the upgrading of the West Coast Main Line, development and enhancement of rail services from Lockerbie and further provision of locally oriented services between Carlisle and Central Scotland; and Encouraging further development of facilities and services for rail freight. 3.5 Local plans 3.5.1 Again the Local Plans do not set specific objectives but there are a number of policy and other statements which are of relevance: General Policy 72: Passenger Transport 3.5.2 The Council will encourage the maintenance and enhancement of passenger transport facilities. The Council will continue to support the passenger transport network and will give priority to supporting services in rural areas or which meet education, employment, shopping and entertainment/recreational needs, subject to the availability of resources. The only Local Plan reference to transport at Eastriggs is in relation to the station, “it is proposed that an area to the west of Eastriggs should be protected from development in order to facilitate the potential creation of a new railway station at Eastriggs”. 3.6 Single Outcome Agreement 3.6.1 The Scottish Government, Dumfries and Galloway Council and Community Planning Partners have agreed the following objectives for Dumfries and Galloway: an innovative and sustainable rural economy a region where people live more active and healthy lives a place where people feel better connected, secure and at home people are better prepared for a changing world the region’s natural and cultural assets are enhanced in a sustainable and environmentally friendly way 3.7 Community Plan 3.7.1 The Dumfries & Galloway Community Plan is based on three themes of action: Inclusive Communities enabling people to have the means and motivation to make a greater contribution to the social, economic, environmental and cultural life of our region improving the opportunities for individuals to use services, facilities and employment making the most of the opportunity for active citizenship Safe and Healthy Communities protecting the rights of individuals to live in confidence and without fear for their own or others’ safety narrowing the health divide and encouraging healthy lifestyles integrating measures encouraging and sustaining healthier lifestyles into our policies, activities and programmes making sure that all our policies, activities and programmes take account of the links between health and associated environmental, social and economic issues to encourage and sustain healthier lifestyles Enterprising and Learning Communities working in partnership to improve networks, including investment in new technologies to support a better quality of life 13 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report - - diversifying the local economy by creating new business opportunities, attracting inward investment and growing and developing new and local companies encouraging people to take part in learning throughout their lives with an emphasis on the quality and availability of lifelong learning 3.8 STAG Requirements 3.8.1 While the STAG guidance does not set specific objectives noting that these will necessarily be unique to each project it does provide five criteria to act as a framework to ensure that all impacts are considered. These are: environment safety economy integration accessibility and social inclusion 3.9 Environment 3.9.1 The first of the five STAG criteria is environment. The existing objectives which are considered most relevant to environmental considerations are listed below: 3.9.2 NTS: Protect our environment and improve health by building and investing in public transport and other types of efficient and sustainable transport which minimise emissions and consumption of resources and energy. RTS: Support the national transport target of road traffic stabilisation. RTS: Support vibrant places that provide employment, healthcare, educational and other services that people need and want, so that their quality of life is maximised. RTS: Pursue certain transport schemes in the context of local and national economic development, while at the same time recognising wider context of economic, social and environmental imperatives. Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Improve public transport provision for local communities. The background to this project is largely focussed on the opportunities which may be offered by station reinstatements and on the problems encountered by residents in the study areas who do not have regular access to a car. Public transport improvements are often a key aspect in the overall reduction of the impact of the transport system on the environment but it is noted that, in and of themselves, increases in public transport provision do not necessarily result in overall environmental gains, particularly in hard-toserve rural areas. However, the availability of public transport generally is a key feature of less environmentally damaging transport systems overall. The following objective has been set. Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to / from the area. 3.10 Safety 3.10.1 Safety is the second of the STAG criteria and the following pre-existing objectives are relevant. NTS: Improve safety of journeys by reducing accidents and enhancing the personal safety of pedestrians, drivers, passengers and staff. SOA: a place where people feel better connected, secure and at home RTS: improve transport links within Dumfries and Galloway and provide fast, safe and reliable journey opportunities to significant markets, including the national 14 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report economic centres of Edinburgh and Glasgow, as well as England and Northern Ireland 3.10.2 The largest single source of transport related safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway appears to be a high level of road traffic accidents on the all-purpose single carriageway sections of the trunk roads which this project can address only indirectly. However, the key feature of any safety related improvement is that people should both be and feel safer and the following safety related objective has been set: Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. 3.11 Economy 3.11.1 The third of the STAG criteria is economy and a good number of the pre-existing objectives are relevant to this. 3.11.2 NTS: Promote economic growth by building, enhancing, managing and maintaining transport services, infrastructure and networks to maximise their efficiency. RTS: Contribute to improve economic growth and social inclusion in the region whilst minimising the environmental impacts of transport. RTS: Add value to the broader Scottish economy and underpin increased sustainable national economic growth. RTS: Assist in getting visitors/tourists to the region from other parts of Scotland, England, Ireland and beyond. RTS: Making it possible for more people to do business in and from Dumfries and Galloway by providing sustainable connections to key business centres in the Central Belt and other locations such as Ayrshire and Cumbria. RTS: Support vibrant places that provide employment, healthcare, educational and other services that people need and want, so that their quality of life is maximised. RTS: Reduce the constraint of peripherality, both between the region’s main settlements and its outlaying areas, and between the region and its external markets. RTS: Pursue certain transport schemes in the context of local and national economic development, while at the same time recognising wider context of economic, social and environmental imperatives. Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Open up the area for inward tourism and economic development. SOA: An innovative and sustainable rural economy Community Plan: diversifying the local economy by creating new business opportunities, attracting inward investment and growing and developing new and local companies The potential for increased economic growth, opportunity and diversity is a key feature in this study both in terms of the ability of tourists, commuters and other visitors to access the study area and in terms of the ability of commuters to access major employment centres like Dumfries and Carlisle. It is suggested that the following objective captures the essence of this idea and of the list of objectives above: Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. 3.12 Integration 3.12.1 Integration is the fourth of the STAG criteria and the pre-existing objectives relevant to it are listed below. 15 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 3.12.2 NTS: Improve integration by making journey planning and ticketing easier and working to ensure smooth connection between different forms of transport. RTS: Capitalise on improvements to critical long distance corridors to create new transport services, nodes and development opportunities for Dumfries and Galloway. Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Improve linkages to the Central Belt and England. In the context of this study the key integration considerations are the ability of inbound and outbound travellers to access longer distance travel and a range of destinations. For public transport users in particular the choice of destinations is currently limited by the need to reach major interchange points and / or to consider journeys involving multiple modes and the necessary additional cost, information acquisition and inconvenience characteristic of such trips. For residents of the study area any long distance trip will currently involve, at the very least, car then bus / train or bus then bus / train travel. Dumfries & Galloway’s geographic location limits the options somewhat but it is felt that the major issue for local residents trying to access longer distance services is the poor level of service offered by linkages within Dumfries & Galloway itself. The following objective has been selected in order to address this: Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. 3.13 Accessibility and social inclusion 3.13.1 The fifth, and final, STAG criterion is accessibility and social inclusion and the preexisting objectives relevant to this aspect are stated below: NTS: Promote social inclusion by connecting remote and disadvantaged communities and increasing the accessibility of the transport network. RTS: Improve transport links within Dumfries and Galloway and provide fast, safe and reliable journey opportunities to significant markets, including the national economic centres of Edinburgh and Glasgow, as well as England and Northern Ireland. RTS: Contribute to improve economic growth and social inclusion in the region whilst minimising the environmental impacts of transport. RTS: Assist in getting visitors/tourists to the region from other parts of Scotland, England, Ireland and beyond. RTS: Support vibrant places that provide employment, healthcare, educational and other services that people need and want, so that their quality of life is maximised. RTS: Reduce the constraint of peripherality, both between the region’s main settlements and its outlaying areas, and between the region and its external markets. RTS: Pursue certain transport schemes in the context of local and national economic development, while at the same time recognising wider context of economic, social and environmental imperatives. Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Improve public transport provision for local communities. Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Enhance access to services in nearby settlements (particularly Dumfries). Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Improve linkages to the Central Belt and England. Dumfries & Galloway Council / SWestrans: Reduce deprivation resulting from poor accessibility. Community Plan: improving the opportunities for individuals to use services, facilities and employment 16 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 3.13.2 Accessibility and social inclusion is a key aspect of this study. The study area is geographically remote. Limited access to services imposed by geographic remoteness, or by other complications, is a major factor in reduced liveability of communities and has a serious impact on their vitality, viability, community cohesion and long term ability to thrive. The following objective seeks to address this: Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. 3.14 Maximising opportunities 3.14.1 A final important consideration, probably the most important consideration in this study, stems from the fact that there are passenger rail services running through the study area to which local residents do not have ready access. As the STAG process is intended both to address problems in the transport system and to take advantage of potential opportunities a final objective has been set to allow the potential of the study options to maximise transport opportunities to be assessed: Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. 3.15 SMART study objectives 3.15.1 To avoid applying undue weight to any one of the STAG criteria and to limit the overall number of objectives only one objective has been outlined for each criterion with one additional objective covering the potential to maximise transport opportunities. The six objectives are: 3.15.2 Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to / from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. These objectives are SMART in that they are specific, potentially measurable, attainable, relevant and can be timebound. 17 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 4 Option generation, sifting and development 4.1 Preliminary options 4.1.1 If taken at face value it might be envisaged that the options generated by this study and intended to address the issues identified and meet the objectives proposed would include a range of possibilities from local development schemes, road options, bus based options and rail based options. 4.1.2 In practice as this study builds on a considerable number of pre-existing studies many of these options are being addressed independently or have already been rejected. 4.1.3 Firstly, let us consider the options for local development. Industrial and business operations can be encouraged to set up new or expanded plants in certain areas through a range of measures available to local and national government. These new opportunities can help to strengthen local economies, increase economic diversity and address social problems. 4.1.4 In this case any such development would be likely to be seriously impacted by the transport shortfalls identified as part of this study and which the objectives are intended to address. In the absence of transport improvements it is unlikely that significant development can be encouraged in the areas of interest. However, it is hoped that development of some kind will follow on from transport improvements without the need for specific intervention and so it is felt that options directly relating to local development are not appropriate here. 4.1.5 Road based options, while certainly able to achieve many of the desired outcomes run contrary to the desire to work towards road traffic stabilisation, do not increase the options for integration and do not significantly increase the options for travel or directly benefit public transport users. In particular they do little to address the needs of those who do not have regular access to a car. In addition to this as the majority of the routes in question lie on the trunk road network it is outwith the remit of the local and regional authorities to implement improvements. Such improvements must ultimately be taken forward by the trunk roads authorities. 4.1.6 A number of road based options are being promoted indirectly as part of the RTS including committed schemes on the A75 and A77 and improvements on the A75 between Gretna and Stranraer, including a southern bypass of Dumfries. Committed schemes on the A76 narrowly failed to be included in the RTSs priority list but, as these schemes are committed they should proceed in any case. It is not considered helpful, at this stage, to introduce alternative road based schemes (which have already been rejected during the production of the RTS) in competition with the proposals for new stations (which were not). 4.1.7 A Bus Action Plan accompanies the RTS. It notes that the service through Eastriggs does run on a commercial footing, at least on weekdays. As this service is run commercially and such provision is able to respond readily to changes in demand it is unlikely that there is scope for substantial bus service improvements without considerable subsidy. The Bus Action Plan does outline a range of proposals likely to improve the general level of bus service provision including the development of community based and demand responsive transport as well as general infrastructure and vehicle improvements and an assessment of fares policy. 18 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 4.1.8 Although bus service improvements over and above the measures incorporated in the Bus Action Plan are likely to be unrealistic we have included an option incorporating improved bus services for the sake of completeness. 4.2 Options for Stage 1 appraisal 4.2.1 The RTS examined, found desirable, but rejected as un-deliverable the reinstatement of the direct Dumfries to Stranraer rail line. The Region Wide Rail Station Strategy commissioned to progress the RTSs station related priority measure further ruled out the possibility of reinstating stations at Beattock and Dunragit in the foreseeable future. This study notes that when considering the lines which are still in existence the only remaining closed station locations which could serve populations of any size are those around Thornhill and at Eastriggs. There are also no new population centres which could be served from the existing lines. 4.2.2 For the reasons outlined above it is not appropriate in this study to be considering options, with the exception of a bus based option, which are either being taken forward elsewhere or which have already been rejected. As a consequence of this the options which are appropriate for consideration here are as follows: Option 1 - enhanced bus services 1a – timetable enhancements – increase existing service frequency to every 30 minutes from Eastriggs to Dumfries 1b – increased range of destinations 1b(i) – enhance service to local interchange points 1b(ii) – enhance long distance services to Edinburgh and Glasgow Option 2 – reinstate Eastriggs Station Option 3 – Preferred choice from Option 1 together with Option 2 4.3 Do minimum 4.3.1 The Do Minimum needs to provide a baseline for appraisal in each of the future assessment years. This should reflect the situation existing in those years if only those schemes currently committed are implemented. 4.3.2 In the case of Eastriggs there are no committed schemes of any size and there are no substantial changes in population size or transport patterns anticipated. In addition there are no transport models suitable for use in this area as the resolution of the Transport Model for Scotland in this area is insufficient to assess schemes of this kind. 4.3.3 It is, therefore, considered safest to assume that the Do Minimum case will be better represented by the current situation than by any extrapolation from this. As a consequence it is assumed that Do Minimum bus and rail services are as current and that there will not be significant changes in the total proportion of the population travelling or substantial mode shift. 4.4 Reference case 4.4.1 Given the likelihood that the impacts of the transport schemes proposed will be highly localised, it is suggested that there is not a requirement for a separate reference case. 19 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 5 Part 1 Appraisal 5.1 Introduction 5.1.1 This chapter covers the Part 1 appraisal stage and: 5.1.2 states the transport planning objectives for the study; assesses the options against these objectives and against the STAG criteria and established policy directives; assesses the feasibility of the options; estimates the affordability of the options; assesses the public acceptability of the options; and, selects or rejects options for the detailed Part 2 Appraisal. Full appraisal summary tables can be found in Appendix 1. 5.2 Assessing the options against the transport planning objectives 5.2.1 The objectives have been designed to encapsulate the transport problems and opportunities in the Eastriggs area. Consequently the performance of the options against the study objectives is a measure of their ability to address the local problems and capitalise on the local opportunities. Here (Table 5.1) the options are scored against the objectives using the standard seven point scale from -3 to +3 where -3 represents a major disbenefit, +3 represents a major benefit and 0 indicates no effect. Table 5.1: option 1a 1b(i) 1b(ii) 2 3 (1a + 2) Assessment of options against study objectives 1 2 study objectives 3 4 5 0 0 0 +1 0 0 0 0 +1 +1 +1 0 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +2 +1 +1 0 +2 +2 6 sum +1 +1 +1 +2 +2 4 3 3 8 8 5.2.2 The three bus options score similarly. Scores against the first two objectives are uniformly neutral. This is because any small environmental gains achieved though mode shift have to be offset against the environmental costs of running bus services throughout the day when there are few passengers. There are unlikely to be significant safety gains as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. Option 1b(i) – enhance service to local interchange points scores less well against Objective 3 because it is felt that tourists and businesses are likely to be deterred by the requirement to interchange before reaching the improved element of the network. 5.2.3 Option 1b(ii) scores less well against Objective 5. This is because there are currently no services to Edinburgh or Glasgow. A conceivable level of improvement might be three services a day to both destinations. While this would increase the options for local residents as travel times would still be long and frequencies low it would not greatly improve the range of employment, education and healthcare opportunities which local residents could access. 20 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 5.2.4 The station reinstatement option scores better against the environment and safety objectives. Passenger services run along these lines in any case and so the environmental benefits of mode shift must be offset against the extra environmental cost of the extra stops alone rather than the cost of running extra services. Travelling by train in Dumfries & Galloway is safer than using other modes and there are well established procedures for increasing the feeling of safety and security at rural stations. In addition the majority of those waiting alone at the stations are likely to being doing so in the mornings before beginning an outbound trip and there are generally fewer safety / security issues in the early mornings than in the late evenings. 5.2.5 The station reinstatement option also scores better than the bus options against Objectives 5 and 6 as it is considered that if will have a greater impact on the range of options open to local residents for access to employment, education and healthcare and it capitalises better on the opportunity presented by the currently operating passenger rail services. 5.2.6 Option 3 is made up of Option 1a, the highest scoring option from this group, and Option 2. However, this combined option gets the same score as Option 2 alone. This is because this combined option does not offer much in the way of improvement over the station reinstatements alone given the faster travel times achievable on the rail network and the bus based element of the scheme is subject to the same environmental issues as described in Section 5.2.2. 5.3 Anticipated impacts on the STAG criteria 5.3.1 Using the standard seven point scale the anticipated impacts of the options on the STAG criteria are shown in Table 5.2. Table 5.2: 1a 1b(i) 1b(ii) 2 3 (1a + 2) Anticipated impact of options on the STAG criteria environment safety economy integration 0 0 0 +1 0 0 0 0 +1 +1 +1 0 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 accessibility and social inclusion +1 +1 0 +1 +1 5.3.2 The anticipated impact of the options against the STAG criteria is quite similar to the scores against the study objectives as these were set with the STAG criteria in mind. Thus, all of the bus options have neutral scores for the environment and safety criteria while the rail option is anticipated to have a small positive impact. Against the economy criterion option 1b(i) is expected to have a largely neutral effect with the positive effect of the service improvements offset by the need to interchange. 5.3.3 For the accessibility and social inclusion criterion all of the options score slightly positively except 1b(ii) which scores less well for similar reasons to those outlined in Section 5.2.3 as conceivable increases in the number of long distance services are unlikely to be large enough or offer enough travel time improvements to have a serious impact on the number of options available. In general the rail options do not score more highly than the bus options because, although they increase possibilities, fares tend to be high and so those on low incomes may struggle to take full advantage of the improvements. 5.3.4 As was the case for the scores against the study objectives the rail options typically score better against the criteria than the bus options. However, the assessment against the 21 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report criteria here is not intended to differentiate between the options but more to confirm that there are no likely disbenefits. 5.4 Impacts on policy directives 5.4.1 The Regional Transport Strategy (RTS) put in place six key transport policies, the first five of which are supportive of the enhancement of bus services or opening of rail stations: 5.4.2 Policy 1 – the Partnership will promote schemes which will not only benefit Dumfries and Galloway but will add value to the broader Scottish economy and underpin increased sustainable national economic growth, aligning to local and national policy objectives. Policy 2 – transport interventions promoted through the Regional Transport Strategy will support the regional economy in relation to local jobs and also facilitate sustainable connectivity internally as well as externally to key business centres in the central belt and other locations such as Ayrshire and Cumbria. Policy 3 – the Regional Transport Strategy seeks to improve quality of life by promoting vibrant places which provide access for all to employment, healthcare, education and other services. Policy 4 – transport interventions incorporated in the Regional Transport Strategy seek to address peripherality between the region’s main settlements and outlying areas, and between the region and its external markets. Policy 5 – the Partnership will adopt a balanced approach to competing needs, recognising the role transport plays in sustaining local economies while at the same time making use of alternative approaches in locations where different transport policies focused on minimising car use are more appropriate and more effective. Policy 6 links the RTS to that of the wider National Transport Strategy and the high level Government Objectives for transport. 5.4.3 Policy 6 – the Partnership will assist the Scottish Government in delivering on its five high level national Objectives and the National Transport Strategy. A presumption will be given in favour of transport improvements linked to the strategic vision based on well defined economic, social and environmental objectives. The RTS is accompanied by a Bus Action Plan. There have been considerable improvements and increases in patronage on Dumfries & Galloway’s bus network in recent years but it is notable that significant service frequency or coverage increases will require subsidy and the main focus of the Action Plan is therefore on consolidation and improvements in quality of the existing system rather than large scale expansion. Improvements to service frequency and network coverage generally are certainly not incompatible with the aims of this document and there is direct support for long distance services to Glasgow and Edinburgh. 5.4.4 In addition the RTS called for a “Region Wide Rail Station Strategy” which was completed by Atkins Rail Ltd in 2007 and concluded that, of the various station reinstatement options those at Eastriggs and Thornhill / Closeburn were most viable in the short to medium term. 5.4.5 Finally the Dumfries & Galloway Structure Plan Policy S11 states that “the Council will continue to co-ordinate, publicise, improve and financially support local public transport services, in response to local needs and development of a sustainable transport strategy” which is supportive of bus service improvements in general. Policy S12 supports station reinstatements stating that “the Council will work with the rail industry and other partners to improve and upgrade the rail network serving Dumfries and Galloway, by … promoting 22 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report the improvement or construction of new stations at Eastriggs … and assessing the scope for other new stations …” 5.4.6 Overall, it is clear that all of the study options are supported by established policy directives. In the case of the bus based options this support is typically general in nature but there is specific support for station reinstatement options. 5.5 Feasibility 5.5.1 There are two aspects to feasibility assessment, namely technical feasibility and operational feasibility. Technical feasibility relates to the straightforwardness of implementing the proposal. It also considers whether there are any novel / untried / leading edge technologies involved and whether there are any notable risks involved. Operational feasibility relates to the presence of factors which might adversely affect the ability to operate the proposal over its projected life without major additional costs. 5.5.2 It is considered that all of the study options presented here are technically and operationally feasible. The station reinstatements restore station facilities to locations where they were previously supplied and so there can be little doubt that stations at these locations can be delivered. Similarly the bus based options involve enhancements to existing services and there are no novel or untried technologies involved. 5.5.3 While detailed analysis has not been carried out at this stage the known population levels and current public transport usage levels make it unlikely that any of the options could function operationally without subsidy from some source. However, this need for subsidy is not unforeseen and so should not seriously adversely affect operational feasibility. 5.6 Affordability 5.6.1 The bus based options would have no infrastructure costs and while it might be necessary to purchase extra vehicles it is likely that this cost would be borne by bus operators. From the operational perspective however, all of the current bus services run on a subsidised basis and any improvements to these would also require subsidy. 5.6.2 The rail based options would have substantial capital costs associated with station construction but the passenger rail services run already and so the revenue costs of running services should not significantly increase over the current situation. There will be costs associated with station maintenance but these are likely to be modest. 5.6.3 In terms of capital costs the bus based options are the more affordable options. However, over the longer term it is likely that the rail based options will require less revenue funding. So long as a source of capital funding can be identified these options are likely to be as affordable, if not more affordable than the bus based options. Option 3 which combines bus and rail enhancements will have the highest total cost both in terms of capital and revenue expenditure and it is unlikely that the additional cost will be justifiable in view of the small additional benefits. 5.7 Public acceptability 5.7.1 Buses already run throughout the study area and the enhancements proposed are not of a scale sufficient to have any measurable impact on the road network as a whole. There might be some objection to increased council subsidy of the bus network but overall it is unlikely that the suggested bus service enhancements would meet with public opposition. However, they are also unlikely to generate much public support except amongst their existing users. 23 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 5.7.2 With regard to the rail options the proposals involve the reinstatement of stations on sites previously occupied by them and, as such, seem unlikely to cause local controversy. Indeed there is widespread community support for the reinstatement of a station. In addition consultation was undertaken as part of the “Glasgow to Stranraer: GlasgowDumfries-Carlisle Rail Study” (Dumfries & Galloway internal report, November 2005) and did not identify any major barriers to the reinstatements. This work also included a letter drop survey of Eastriggs residents of whom 36% thought they would use a reinstated station at least once a week and only 8% responded that they would never use it suggesting that there is at least some level of active public support for the proposals. 5.7.3 In addition there was extensive consultation during the creation of the National and Regional Transport Strategies and Structure and Local Plans all of which feeds into this study. 5.8 Participation and Consultation 5.8.1 Due to the large volume of pre-existing work leading into this study the bulk of the necessary consultation relates to the Part 2 appraisal. 5.8.2 However, specific consultation at Part 1 was undertaken with: 5.8.3 Dumfries & Galloway Council, SWestrans, Network Rail, Transport Scotland, and, SPT. The main focus of this consultation work was to ensure that the proposals did not conflict with any pre-existing plans or policies and to seek comment on such topics as the general feasibility of the plans and any specific issues relating to rolling stock, train crew resources and station maintenance. 5.8.4 All of those consulted were supportive in principle subject to the completion of further analysis work, in particular the demonstration of a workable timetable. 5.8.5 Also at Stage 1, a Project Proposal Form was submitted to Network Rail enabling them to formally consider the project and to indicate resources and costs associated with providing advice on aspects of the project, including timetabling and the impact of other committed or proposed works. The project has now been formally endorsed under this process. 5.9 Options selected for further consideration 5.9.1 As a result of this assessment of options, the following option has been selected for detailed appraisal: 5.9.2 Option 2 – reinstate Eastriggs Station Rationale for rejection of alternative options The following options have been rejected from further consideration due to the low scores they achieve for progress towards meeting the study objectives. 1a – timetable enhancements – increase existing service frequency to every 30 minutes from Eastriggs to Dumfries 1b(i) – enhance service to local interchange points 1b(ii) – enhance long distance services to Edinburgh and Glasgow 24 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 5.9.3 Option 3 (1a + 2) has been rejected on the grounds of affordability. The small additional benefits of this option are not sufficient to justify the substantial increase in operating subsidy likely to be required. 25 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6 Part 2 Appraisal 6.1 Introduction 6.1.1 The Part 2 stage of this STAG appraisal considers the following: 6.1.2 transport planning objectives STAG criteria cost to government risk and uncertainty A full appraisal summary table can be found in Appendix 2. 6.2 Options 6.2.1 Only one option is brought forward from the Stage 1 appraisal as follows: Option 2 – reinstate Eastriggs Station 6.3 Expected patronage 6.3.1 As part of the 2007 “Region Wide Rail Station Strategy” Atkins calculated the number of passengers expected daily at Eastriggs Station as 23 using the guidelines set out in the Passenger Demand Forecasting Handbook. Atkins adopted catchment areas of 0 – 800m and 800 – 2km and applied expected trip rates per 1000 population to the populations within these catchment areas. Although not explicitly stated we take it that Atkins adopted the former catchment area as the walking catchment i.e. the distance within which people are assumed to be prepared to walk to the station. In addition Eastriggs was assumed by Atkins to be a ‘free standing town’ with 40% of the station patronage being from beyond 2km of the station. We believe that these are reasonable assumptions. 6.3.2 CB has compared these numbers with the known boardings at comparable stations. Figures based on boardings at Annan and Gretna Green suggest 24 passengers a day may board at Eastriggs, very close to Atkins suggested value of 23. 6.3.3 Eastriggs is therefore expected to have a patronage of 8395 per year. This represents a reasonably good level of patronage within a ScotRail Franchise context and would place Eastriggs ranked 285th out of 344 stations in the ScotRail Franchise area, there being 60 other stations with lower patronage than is forecast. Table 6.1: Station Ranking in Scotland Station Alness Garve Rank (out of 344) 283 284 Patronage 9,822 9,690 Eastriggs Plockton Strathcarron Arisaig 6.3.4 8,395 285 286 287 8,295 7,856 7,636 Atkins’ estimate is therefore considered robust and used for the analyses in this appraisal. 26 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.4 Feasibility 6.4.1 A key consideration in the appraisal of this option is whether or not it can be accommodated into the existing rail timetable. As well as irregular passenger trains there is an intensive freight service on this line and it is fitting the revised passenger service in with this which is most difficult. RWA Rail have carried out a detailed study on behalf of CB using RailSys (a tool accepted by Network Rail for the calculation of running times). and have concluded that the new service can be accommodated subject to the following assumptions: operational assumptions The current Rules of the Plan values for headways, margins, etc will remain as now. A half minute station dwell time at each location in view of the rolling stock which currently operates the services. the station will not be fitted for Driver Only Operation of trains. no future infrastructure enhancement schemes (such as an improved Dumfries turnback) will be provided. rolling stock The route will continue to be served by current rolling stock All multiple units used can maintain the proposed running times. infrastructure assumptions Line speed values remain as at present. Methods of signalling remain as at present. The new stations will be capable of dealing with longest passenger train required to call. service assumptions 6.4.2 Calls at the new stations will be in addition to existing calls at adjacent locations and not be as a replacement to balance overall journey times. the RailSys generated running times catering for the calls are accepted and have been rounded for train planning purposes. the timetable impact outwith the Kilmarnock to Carlisle section is to be minimal. The full report is provided at Appendix 3. While detailed modelling of performance has not been undertaken it is considered that this timetable could be reliably and robustly delivered with minimal impacts beyond the local network. 6.4.3 In light of the information supplied to Network Rail in support of a proposed rail station at Eastriggs, the proposal has been endorsed by Network Rail’s (Scotland) Strategic Planning Group. This means that, subject to appropriate Agreements being in place and internal Investment Panel approval, Network Rail Scotland would be prepared to apply resources to develop the proposals further. 6.5 Review of transport planning objectives 6.5.1 The objectives used for the Stage 1 appraisal were as follows: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to/from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. 27 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.5.2 6.5.3 Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to / from the study area. For Stage 2 it is necessary that these are revisited to ensure that they are fully SMART in that they must be specific, measurable, attainable, relevant and timed. All of these objectives are specific and although the effects described in each one will not necessarily be easy to measure it is considered that there are indicators which can be used to shed some light on all of them. All of the objectives are attainable, relevant and, in combination with likely project timescales, are timed. The options were assessed against these objectives at Stage 1 and the outcome of this assessment against a seven point scale from -3 (major disbenefit) to +3 (major benefit) is shown in Table 6.2. Table 6.2: Assessment of options against study objectives Option 2 1 2 study objectives 3 4 5 +1 +1 +1 +1 +2 6 sum +2 8 6.5.4 At Stage 2 these scores have been reviewed and found to be reasonable. 6.6 STAG criteria Environment 6.6.2 6.6.3 6.6.4 In addition to an appraisal against the study’s planning objectives the Stage 2 assessment requires a full appraisal of the effect of the proposed schemes against the five STAG criteria. The first of these criteria is the environment criterion and consideration is required of the effects of the proposed schemes on: noise and vibration global air quality - carbon dioxide (CO2) local air quality - particulates (PM10) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) water quality, drainage and flood defence geology biodiversity and habitats landscape visual amenity agriculture and soils cultural heritage In this case the environmental impact of all of the options is small and so Strategic Environmental Assessments and Environmental Impact Assessments are not required in addition to the Stage 2 environmental appraisal whose sub-criteria are dealt with individually below. Noise and vibration: resulting from transport can have a serious impact on those living close to transport infrastructure. A detailed noise and vibration assessment has been undertaken on behalf of CB by Envirocentre. This report is included in full in Appendix 3 and summarised below. 28 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.5 Noise: The preliminary assessment examines the impact on noise levels between the current situation in which all trains (freight and passenger) pass the proposed site without stopping and the proposed situation in which passenger trains stop at a railway station. Therefore the only impact on the local noise environment is considered to be the noise associated with passenger trains pulling away from the proposed platform. 6.6.6 Two locations (Site A and Site B) are being considered at Eastriggs. The railway line runs through a cutting approximately 2.5metres below existing ground level at Site B. Due to the increased noise level associated with trains pulling away from the station “onpower”, it is considered that predicted railway noise levels at both sites at Eastriggs will satisfy the second and third bullets of the assessment criteria as follows: 6.6.7 The relevant noise level will be greater by at least 1.0dB(A) than the prevailing railway system noise; and The relevant noise level will be greater by at least 1.0dB(A) than the sum of the total prevailing railway system noise over a 15 year period. It is therefore predicted that the proposed railway station will have at least a MODERATE impact on local noise levels at both sites. In order to determine whether the railway station will have a Major impact, the number of properties that will experience noise levels above 68dB will be considered at both sites. 6.6.8 The railway noise at Site A is predicted to be above 68dB(A) at source both with and without the railway station. The impact is therefore considered to be of MAJOR Significance. On comparison of the distances where the noise levels are greater than 68dB(A) it is noted that the noise generated by the activities at the proposed railway station have a larger distance of influence. However, as a result of its rural location only two houses are predicted to experience noise levels greater than 68dB(A) as they lie within 27.5 meters of the railway line. 6.6.9 The railway noise at Site B is predicted to be below 68dB(A) at source both with and without the railway station due to the presence of the shallow cutting. The impact is therefore considered to be of MODERATE Significance. 6.6.10 Therefore, it is recommended that noise is taken forward as a design criterion for the final siteing and design of the station platform and any buildings to ensure that any noise impact is minimised. Incorporation of noise barriers would also reduce the impact on the local noise environment. 6.6.11 Vibration: The principal source of vibration is associated with train movements. As trains already travel along the existing line, no new types of vibration are to be introduced by the proposed new station. Further, as the railway line is at capacity, no additional train movements are forecast. 6.6.12 The impact of vibration generally increases with the speed of the moving train. As a proportion of the existing trains are proposed to halt at the station, the average speed of the trains at the station site will be less, thereby reducing the vibration impact. 6.6.13 Based on the above discussion, no detailed assessment of the vibration impact is considered to be necessary. 6.6.14 Global air quality: and in particular carbon emissions, are an important issue and transport schemes have a significant part to play in improving air quality and reducing carbon emissions. Envirocentre has carried out a preliminary analysis of this issue on behalf of CB and have concluded that, due to the very small number of trips involved there will be no measurable impact on global air quality. 6.6.15 Local air quality: is an issue if it deteriorates to a level able to have impacts on human health and on the health of the local flora. For the purposes of STAG assessment of the 29 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report levels of PM10 and NO2 are considered sufficient as a proxy for total impacts on local air quality. Detailed work on this issue has been undertaken by Envirocentre on behalf of CB. The air quality report is included in full in Appendix 4 and summarised below. 6.6.16 On the basis of the best available estimate, it is anticipated that some 23 trips a day will be generated at Eastriggs Station. The majority of these will transfer from car while the bulk of the remainder will transfer from bus. As the buses in question will still run and the changes in traffic flows over the wider area will be immeasurably small the only locations likely to experience a measurable change in local air quality are the areas immediately adjacent to the station access roads. 6.6.17 Envirocentre has established that the baseline levels of PM10 and NO2 air quality along the approach to the Eastriggs Station sites fall well below UK National Air Quality Objective levels. They have then assessed levels with and without the station for a 2009 base year and a 2024 future year using the standard DMRB model. This indicates that 2 properties at the western site and 9 at the eastern site can be expected to experience worse air quality than would have been the case without the station but that the degree of worsening is not enough to affect the overall trend for improving air quality at these location: these properties still have future air qualities better than the existing, already good, air qualities and well below objective levels. 6.6.18 Local air quality could be affected during the construction phase, particularly due to dust emissions but this can be effectively limited by adopting best practice at a site level and any impacts which do occur will be short term. Overall it is considered that the impact of this option on local air quality issues will be negligible. 6.6.19 Water quality, drainage and flood defence: New developments can have a profound impact on local patterns of drainage and can raise the risk of flooding if not carefully designed and assessed. Detailed work on this issue has been undertaken by Envirocentre on behalf of CB. Their findings are included in full in Appendix 5 and summarised below. 6.6.20 The potential impacts on the surface water, groundwater and hydrogeology at each site were assessed using the following methodology: 6.6.21 6.6.22 desk based review of available information, and design of the proposed works in relation to any local watercourses; consultation with stakeholders (Dumfries & Galloway Council and SEPA); a walkover survey of the site, undertaken on the 20 January 2009; evaluation of baseline conditions at the site; assessment of site activities and their potential impacts on the water environment; and identification of mitigation measures for these activities, if required. Following development it is generally the case that areas of hardstanding are increased and this can result in increased surface water runoff in wet weather. Though this does not represent an overall change in the water balance of the site it can affect the following: flow patterns for rain falling on the site; the volume of water that is potentially exposed to pollution; the volume of water requiring management and treatment prior to discharge; and, the volume of water discharging into any existing sewers or watercourse nearby. There can also be an increase in contaminated discharges deriving from: spillage or leakage of oils and fuels stored on site; spillage or leakage of oils and fuels from construction machinery or site vehicles; spillage or leakage of oils and fuels from refuelling machinery on site; and the use of concrete for hard-standing areas. 30 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.23 Currently, although some flooding following heavy rain is known to occur in areas of agricultural land around the sites there have been no incidents at the sites themselves. There is no known drainage at the sites though it is likely that there is drainage within the area of the railway track and it is assumed that this is maintained by Network Rail. A combined sewer is believed to run close to the site at the original station but should be far enough away from the site to have no impact on it. 6.6.24 There are no watercourses or private water abstraction points close to, or likely to be affected by, the development but groundwater vulnerability in this area is high (4b according to SEPA’s classification scheme. 6.6.25 Development of the site will increase the total area of hardstanding but will not significantly alter the topography and so changes to current surface water drainage patterns will not be dramatic. There will, however, be a requirement for site drainage, and drainage within the track area may need upgrading either by: 6.6.26 upgrading the existing drainage infrastructure, including upsizing pipes and manholes; or, using sustainable drainage systems (SuDS) to attenuate additional flows before they reach the existing drainage during heavy rainfall. During the construction phase especially there is a risk of contaminated discharge but the following measures are considered sufficient to reduce this risk to an acceptable level: 6.6.27 oil / fuel spills should be dealt with according to documented site emergency procedures drains and silt traps should be inspected regularly and cleaned out as necessary; there should be a designated refuelling point in the site compound, within an impermeable bunded area; emergency spillage procedures should be put in place; when transporting concrete measures should be in place to reduce the risk of splashing, including an accident plan to be implemented in the event of spillage; runoff from any stockpile areas should be diverted through a silt trap or buffer zone prior to discharge to the existing sewers to reduce sediment loadings entering the system; any mobile refuelling vehicles should be fitted with drip trays and regularly maintained; oil and fuels should be stored on site in a designated bunded area (secondary containment system) on an impermeable surface and isolated from surface water drainage systems; drip trays should be used while refuelling; regular inspection and maintenance of vehicles, tanks and bunds should be undertaken; and, any oil / fuel tanks should be fully drained before they are taken out of use or removed by suitably qualified technicians. Following the construction phase the risks of ground and surface water contamination will be greatly reduced and the only impacts which are considered to have a moderate cost / negative impact in the longer term are post construction surface water run-off and rail drainage both of which can be addressed using mitigation measures. Although groundwater vulnerability is high it is not considered to be significantly at risk so long as suitable mitigation measures are put in place. 6.6.28 Geology: There are no SSSIs or RIGS sites in the vicinity of the sites and so there will be no impact on any geological structures which have been identified as being nationally or regionally significant. 6.6.29 The proposed structures are not large and the areas of interest already support railway lines and buildings in very close proximity to the sites of interest. As this is the case it can 31 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report reasonably be assumed that the underlying geology is capable of bearing the necessary load although a full ground survey would be needed to confirm this. Similarly, the small scale and location of the proposed structures makes any impact on hydrogeology, future exploitation of mineral reserves or resource availability extremely unlikely. 6.6.30 Overall geological impacts are considered to be negligible. 6.6.31 Biodiversity and habitat: If there are species or habitats at the development sites which are of local or national significance then it is important to identify these at this stage so that appropriate mitigation measures can be put in place. Detailed work on this issue has been undertaken by Envirocentre on behalf of CB. Their findings are included in full in Appendix 6 and summarised below. 6.6.32 The method adopted was the standard method for a Stage 1 habitat survey and subsequent assessment of the value of the habitats and species encountered and is in line with the standard approach and best practice guidelines developed, respectively, by the Joint Nature Conservation Committee1 and the Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management2. 6.6.33 The objectives of the field survey and subsequent reporting are to: 6.6.34 produce a map of habitats for the site and a buffer zone of 100m; ‘target note’ the nature of specific areas or features of ecological interest; obtain initial records of species of flora and fauna occurring within those habitats; evaluate the nature conservation value of the habitats on the site; provide a provisional impact assessment for nature conservation (subject to the need for any additional surveys); and to provide recommendations for mitigation and further survey. In order to meet these objectives the sites were walked and viewed from appropriate vantage points to facilitate the mapping and identification of the habitats and plant species present within their boundaries. The surveys were undertaken in mid January 2009 a sub-optimal time of year because many plant species are inconspicuous or unidentifiable at the time of the survey. In addition, some animal and bird species that are only active over the summer months will have vacated the site or become inactive and difficult to detect (bats and insects, for example). A set of ‘target notes’ to locate and describe specific areas or features of ecological interest was also produced. 6.6.35 Despite the seasonal shortcomings described above it is considered that sufficient information was gathered to make a satisfactory assessment of the habitats and the potential for their use by notable faunal species. The assessment of the value of the habitats follows the standard Phase 1 habitat survey method with cognisance of relevant local, national and international conservation legislation and initiatives. 6.6.36 Nomenclature for all plant species follows The New Flora of the British Isles3 and for birds, the British List maintained by the British Ornithological Union4. The habitats are described according to the standard nomenclature and descriptions developed by the Joint Nature Conservation Committee for the purposes of Phase 1 habitat survey. 6.6.37 There are two proposed station sites for the reinstatement of Eastriggs station. One is at the original station site and the other is just east of Central Road. As such both are 1 Joint Nature Conservation Committee 2003 Handbook for Phase 1 habitat survey. Revised reprint. Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management 2006 Guidelines for Ecological Impact Assessment in the United Kingdom. Available online at http://www.ieem.org.uk/ecia/index.html. 3 Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management 2006 Guidelines for Ecological Impact Assessment in the United Kingdom. Available online at http://www.ieem.org.uk/ecia/index.html. Stace, C.A. 1991 New Flora of the British Isles. Cambridge University Press. 4 Available online at http://www.bou.org.uk/recbrlst1dna.html 2 32 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report situated within a wider area that is used for either agricultural or urban purposes and all of the habitats identified are therefore highly modified or created by human activity. These habitats are shown in Table 6.3. Table 6.3: habitat code A2.1 B4 B5 C3.1 J2.2 Eastriggs site - habitats habitat name Dense scrub Improved grassland Marshy grassland Tall ruderal Species-poor, intact hedgerow 6.6.38 There were no signs or sightings of any notable species and it is considered that the habitats present are unlikely to support anything other than relatively common bird species which may nest and feed in these habitats. Overall the site is assessed as having limited wildlife interest. 6.6.39 Although the site is of limited wildlife interest it is not without value and the habitats at either site will be permanently and significantly altered from the current situation. In addition to the permanent transformation of this habitat, there will also be a period of relatively continuous, increased disturbance during the construction phase due to the noise, vibration and potentially, lighting associated with building work. 6.6.40 Operation of the site will extend the increased level of disturbance arising during the construction phase into the longer-term through the increased level of road and pedestrian traffic to and from the station and potentially by the installation of additional lighting. This disturbance during the operational phase will be of a lower intensity and more intermittent than that which will be experienced during the construction phase. 6.6.41 Given the low wildlife value of the habitat to be lost to the development or disturbed during site construction and operation the significance of the impacts is expected to be very low and related primarily the use of the area by common bird species. 6.6.42 Although the impacts arising from the development are expected to be low the following mitigation measure will reduce them still further: 6.6.43 6.6.44 Clear the scrub habitat in the period of September to February to prevent the loss of breeding birds or their young (a criminal offence) or hibernating bees. At the eastern site this would not be necessary as no scrub would need to be cleared. In addition to mitigation the following measures may be used to enhance the ecological value of the station area: 6.6.45 Consider enhancement of the hedgerow habitat (especially if this is to be removed) by supplementary planting of native tree species (especially holly, rowan or other berry producing species); Plant shrubs and or trees to screen the station; Consider the installation of bird and/or bat boxes once the trees are sufficiently mature for these to be placed 3 m or more above the ground (in order to prevent interference); and Include flowering herbaceous and or shrub species as a part of the station landscaping to provide direct or indirect benefit for insects and potentially, bats and birds. With the mitigation and habitat enhancement measures proposed the overall impact of this proposal is considered to be neutral to slightly positive. 33 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.46 Landscape and visual amenity: The proposed sites for the Eastriggs Station redevelopment are coincident with the original station or slightly to the east within the built up area of Eastriggs and Lowthertown. This area has not been identified as being of scenic interest and, as in the case of Option 2a(i) the anticipated visual impact of a small point development will be very small. Much of the Solway Firth and associated tidal flats is of national importance from a conservation and scenic perspective but there should be no impact at all on these as the proposed development will be screened from these areas by existing developments. Overall, it is not considered that the proposed development will have an appreciable impact on the local landscape or visual amenity considerations. 6.6.47 Agriculture and soils: The proposed development is small and is associated with existing roads and railways and so such considerations relating to the severance of agricultural land are not relevant. The area of land being considered for development is small and so issues relating to the loss of agricultural land are insignificant. 6.6.48 As the development is expected to incorporate a small area of car parking there is a potential risk that pollution may run off. However, as the area is small and the land in question is already adjacent to roads and railway lines the amount of any additional impact is considered to be negligible and well within the capacity of standard drainage arrangements. Similarly the impact of airborne deposition is expected to be negligible in comparison to deposition from traffic on the existing road and railway line as traffic growth will be very small and the proposals take advantage of existing train services. 6.6.49 During the construction phase the adoption of the measures needed to mitigate risks to groundwater will also act to mitigate risks to agricultural land and soils and so the overall impacts on agriculture and soils are considered to be negligible. 6.6.50 Cultural heritage: There are no scheduled ancient monuments or designated gardens / designed landscapes in the vicinity of the proposed development sites. There is one listed building in Eastriggs but it sufficiently far from both sites to be unaffected by them. Parts of the Eastriggs explosives factory are listed in the National Monuments Record but these are well away from the proposed station sites, to the southwest of the town and will also be unaffected. 6.6.51 In terms of wider cultural heritage the railway line and previous station site is part of the local cultural heritage and its reinstatement can be expected to have positive cultural heritage impacts in terms of this fairly recent history. In terms of earlier history as the proposals are largely for the development of sites which have been previously developed or otherwise extensively disturbed any older cultural or archaeological information is likely to have been destroyed by the earlier development. 6.6.52 Overall the impact of the proposal on cultural heritage issues is expected to be positive but small. Safety 6.6.53 There are two strands to the safety appraisal, accidents and security. The “accidents” group covers all travel related accidents which, as stated in the STAG guidance “…can impose a wide range of impacts on people and organisations including medical and healthcare costs, losses in economic output, material damage, emergency services costs, insurance and legal costs and, more controversially, an allowance for the pain, grief and suffering incurred.” The “security” group covers risks to the personal security of travellers, excluding those which are directly travel related, and the risks to their property. In practice there is both an actual security question and a perceived security question as both have impacts on the behaviour of travellers. 34 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.54 Accidents: STAG requires quantification of accidents only in cases where a measurable impact on them is anticipated. In this case the majority of transport safety concerns in Dumfries & Galloway relate to road traffic accidents on the area’s rural roads. There are a range of accident causing factors on such roads but these include such things as tight bends, low visibility, poor road surfaces, a lack of street lighting, agricultural vehicles and livestock and the tendency for those who know the road well to drive faster than would be ideal. These factors increase the risks to all road users including pedestrians, cyclists, private vehicle drivers and passengers and bus drivers and passengers. 6.6.55 The scheme proposed is expected to move a small number of trips from being long distance trips on these roads, either by car or by bus, to being short distance trips to a local station followed by longer trips by rail which is recognised as being very safe. This reduction in total vehicle and bus passenger kilometres and shift from long trips on fast roads to shorter trips on slower roads might be expected to contribute to a reduction in accidents and accident severity. However, any reduction will be so small and spread over such a wide area that it will be impossible to measure and impossible to attribute directly to this scheme. 6.6.56 Conversely, accidents occur more commonly at junctions than on open sections of road. This proposal should slightly increase the turning movements at the junction of either Annan Road / the approach to the old station or Annan Road / Central Road as vehicles turn off the main road to approach the station. It could be anticipated that this will lead to an increase in the number of accidents at this location, though, given the lower speeds typical in built up areas they are not likely to be severe. However, the size of the traffic increase is expected to be extremely small and it is probable that there will be no measurable effect. 6.6.57 Overall, it is considered that these two small opposing effects will largely cancel each other out and that they will be immeasurably small in any case so that the overall impact of this option on accidents can be treated as being negligible and does not require a full, quantified assessment. 6.6.58 Security: There are two aspects to security. Firstly there is the actual security of users and secondly there is the perceived level of security. The security sub-criterion calls for the consideration of such site features as: 6.6.59 site perimeters, entrances and exits formal surveillance provision informal surveillance provision landscaping lighting and visibility emergency call facilities All of these aspects of a site can have an impact on the actual and perceived levels of security. 6.6.60 It is anticipated that Eastriggs Station will attract a number of trips previously made by bus or by car. Some of those transferring from car will leave their car in the station car park. There are potentially issues relating to the personal security of those waiting at the station and to the security of vehicles parked in the car park. Although rural stations are sometimes perceived as having poor security levels, primarily due to their low levels of usage, it is generally the case that security related incidents are rare. In addition there is now considerable experience in the rail industry of making rural stations feel as safe and secure as possible using security enhancing facilities such as CCTV and emergency contact points. 6.6.61 Rural bus stops are also commonly perceived as having poor security levels and are harder to supply with security enhancements due to their smaller scale. Therefore those 35 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report transferring from bus are likely to experience some increase in their perceived security levels although there will probably be no impact on actual security levels. 6.6.62 Users transferring from car are unlikely to feel that their personal security has increased though they may well consider their vehicle to be more secure in its new parking location than it was in the old one at their destination. In any case their demonstrated preference suggests that any perceived security issues are acceptable. 6.6.63 Overall the impact on actual security is considered to be negligible. The impact on perceived security is likely to be slightly positive but the magnitude of the change involved is considered too small to require full assessment. Economy 6.6.64 There are three strands to the economic appraisal: 6.6.65 transport economic efficiency (TEE) wider economic benefits (WEBS) economic activity and location impacts (EALI) Ideally all of these, and particularly the TEE assessment would be informed by the output from a multi-modal transport model. However, in this case no suitable model is available as Dumfries & Galloway do not have their own model and the resolution of the Transport Model for Scotland in this area is not sufficient to enable its use in this assessment. As this is the case a spreadsheet based approach has been adopted for the TEE appraisal. 6.6.66 The TEE assessment has seven quantified elements three of which relate to user benefits (travel time, user charges and vehicle operating costs) and four of which related to private sector operator impacts (investment costs, operating and maintenance costs, revenues and grant / subsidy payments). In addition there is a requirement for qualitative assessment of quality / reliability benefits to users. Freight benefits are considered to be negligible as the revised passenger trains have been fitted around the existing freight trains and impacts of road traffic levels will be very small. They have therefore been omitted from assessment. It has been assumed that the year of opening will be 2012 and the appraisal period extends to 2071. 6.6.67 Travel time benefits: It is assumed that there are two strands to travel time benefits, firstly the time saved by new rail users transferring from other modes (which are slower on average) and secondly the travel time disbenefits incurred by existing rail users whose journeys will take longer. 6.6.68 Expected patronages from the two stations were calculated as part of an earlier study by Atkins. These values have been reviewed and are considered suitable for use. It has been assumed that there will be no growth in passenger numbers over the assessment period. Data on current travel mode collected as part of the “Glasgow to Stranraer, Glasgow-Dumfries-Carlisle, Rail Study” has been used to estimate the proportions of these trips transferring from various modes and / or generated. Census journey-to-work data has been used to infer the major destinations and to estimate the length distribution of the new trips. 6.6.69 For the key destinations car travel times have been taken from AA routeplanner, rail travel times from the draft timetables prepared by RWA Rail (see Appendix 8) and bus travel times from existing timetables in simple cases and from Traveline Scotland in more complex cases. Journey time savings to each key destination have been calculated and used in combination with the assumed original mode to calculate the average journey time saving per kilometre across all modes. Using the established trip length distribution this value has been used to calculate the travel time saved each year. This has been 36 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report adjusted to a 2002 monetary value (using the values of time laid out in the STAG Technical Database, Sections 9.5.13 and 9.5.13) which has then been discounted. 6.6.70 In order to assess the travel time disbenefits to existing users those boarding and alighting at Dumfries have been considered. It has been assumed that these numbers will be constant over the appraisal period and, in the absence of more detailed information, it has been assumed that half of these total passengers leave / arrive via Eastriggs. The actual travel time disbenefit depends on the particular train being considered but the average disparity between the existing and proposed timetables at Dumfries is 02:28 while the vast majority of trains enter and leave the assessment area at their original times. It is therefore assumed that the average delay to journeys to / from Dumfries is 01:14 each side of Dumfries Station. Through passengers are ignored as most trains enter / leave the assessment area at their existing times and so these passengers do not suffer systematic delays. There will be a proportion of passengers making journeys which pass though Dumfries but do not pass right through the study area. The number of these passengers is difficult to estimate from published data and the delays they suffer will vary from the full delay (02:28) to no delay at all. Given these uncertainties these passengers have been ignored. 6.6.71 User charges: The relevant user charges are considered to be rail fares, bus fares and parking charges. All those transferring to rail incur rail fares while those transferring from bus will save bus fares and those transferring from car are assumed to save parking charges. Data on rail fares from the existing adjacent stations has been used to estimate the relationship between distance and rail fare for peak and off-peak trips. Data on the estimated frequency with which respondents would use the new stations collected as part of the “Glasgow to Stranraer, Glasgow-Dumfries-Carlisle, Rail Study” has been used to estimate the balance between peak and off-peak travellers on the basis that those who say they will travel frequently are likely to travel at peak times and those who say that they will travel less frequently at off peak times. This fare and peak split information was used in combination with the assumed trip length distribution to estimate an overall average rail fare (for return trips). 6.6.72 Daily parking charges for key destinations have been calculated and converted to average charges for trips of different lengths. These have been combined with the assumed trip length distribution to give an overall average parking charge. 6.6.73 There are nearly as many bus operators operating in the study area as there are bus services and none publish their fares in any readily accessible format. It has therefore been assumed that bus fares are equal to the rail fares multiplied by 0.75. 6.6.74 Together with the assumed original mode split (see Section 6.6.68) this data has been used to estimate the annual increase in user charges which has then been adjusted to 2002 prices and discounted. 6.6.75 Vehicle operating costs: Users who shift away from cars will be expected to gain the vehicle operating costs which they would otherwise have used to make the journey. Using the assumed total number of travellers, original mode split, assumed trip distance distribution and parameters specified in the STAG Technical Database (Sections 9.5.17 and 9.5.18) the amount saved annually has been calculated in 2002 prices and discounted. Strictly speaking this discounting process should include an adjustment for the change in fuel prices over time. However, as the total magnitude of this factor is small it is felt that the extra accuracy afforded by this is not required. In addition, the distance driven to the station has been assumed to be negligible in comparison to the original trip and ignored. 6.6.76 Quality/reliability benefits: There is no established methodology for a quantitative assessment of quality / reliability benefits and so these are assessed qualitatively. 37 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.77 The total investment costs are based on those calculated by Atkins in their 2006 “Region Wide Rail Station Strategy”. However, these assumed (as there was a single line at the time of the study) that a station at Eastriggs would require only one platform. To correct for this the cost of platform construction has been doubled and the cost of a footbridge (as estimated for Beattock) has been added. The revised figure covers the cost of station infrastructure, parking and access construction. As the schemes use existing trains no additional costs have been added for the purchase of additional rolling stock. These costs have been adjusted to 2002 prices and discounted. 6.6.78 Operating and maintenance costs: Station operating costs have been estimated at £21,000 (2009 prices) per station based on figures for a number of suburban stations in London. Facilities which will clearly not be provided at the sites proposed here, such as staffed ticket offices, have been omitted from this estimate. 6.6.79 These figures have not been adjusted for optimism bias because the stations they are based on typically handle numbers of passengers two orders of magnitude greater than is anticipated here. It is felt that this will increase this estimate anyway to a level where extra adjustment should be unnecessary. In addition these operating costs are in line with those proposed by the “Glasgow to Stranraer, Glasgow-Dumfries-Carlisle, Rail Study” 6.6.80 The extra cost of rail operation has been estimated on the basis of the additional fuel likely to be consumed during an additional stop adjusted for the number of trains expected to pass the station. It has been assumed that there will be no additional staff costs. 6.6.81 These costs have been adjusted to 2002 prices and discounted. 6.6.82 Revenues: There are two parts to the revenue appraisal. Firstly there is the revenue gained by the rail operators and secondly there is the revenue lost by local bus operators. Total annual rail revenues have been calculated on the basis of the expected patronages and calculated average return fares. Total annual lost bus revenues have been calculated for the proportion of the patronage believed to switch from bus using a bus fare equal to the rail fare multiplied by 0.75. These costs have been adjusted to 2002 prices and discounted. 6.6.83 Grant/subsidy payments: As the income from fare revenues from the reinstatement of either or both of these stations is not expected to be large it is not considered realistic to hope that any of the cost of construction will be met by the rail operators. The estimated value of grants to cover the cost of construction is therefore assumed to be equal to the cost of construction. 6.6.84 Where the expected total fare revenue is less than the cost of operating the station the amount of ongoing subsidy required has been taken as the cost of operation less the expected fare revenue. Where fare revenue is sufficient to cover operating costs ongoing subsidy has been assumed to be zero. Result of appraisal for Eastriggs station 6.6.85 The cost of construction of Eastriggs Station has been taken as £1,663,350.68 (2002 prices) while the cost of operation is £31,945.51. Eastriggs is expected to have a patronage of 23 per day (8395 per year). 71.0% of these passengers are assumed to have shifted from cars, 21.5% from buses, 6.0% to be generated and 1.5% to have shifted from rail via other stations. Key destinations are assumed to be Gretna, Carlisle, Penrith, Annan, Dumfries and Glasgow giving an average rail trip distance of 15.8 km. The average travel time saving from a shift to rail is 04:18 per trip while the average disbenefit to existing rail passengers is taken as 01:14 per trip. 38 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.86 The average return rail fare is calculated as £6.45 while the average return bus fare is taken as £4.84. Relevant parking charges range from £0.00 (Gretna, Annan, Dumfries) to £15.60 (Glasgow) with the average, taking into account the trip length distribution is calculated as £0.88. Vehicle operating cost savings gained by transferring car drivers are £0.77 on average. The output of the economic assessment can be found in Table 6.4. All figures are Net Present Value in 2002 prices. 6.6.87 The overall user benefits are negative. There are two reasons for this. Firstly the small expected patronage means that overall travel time disbenefit to existing passengers is larger than the overall travel time benefit to new passengers. In addition the overall travel time benefit and VOC benefit to users is outweighed by the user charge disbenefit as average rail fares are larger than the corresponding bus fares and parking charges. Because of the disbenefit to individual users these benefits cannot be made positive by increasing the expected patronage. 6.6.88 Overall operator benefits are positive as the extra income from fares is more than enough to cover the operating cost of the station. 6.6.89 Benefits from increased quality and reliability of provision are assessed qualitatively. Trains are generally perceived as offering higher quality and more reliable public transport provision than buses and the small number of passengers transferring from bus to train would be expected to derive some benefit from this. However, in the light of the low anticipated service frequency the magnitude of this benefit will also be small. 6.6.90 Overall, the total scheme benefits are -£0.51M with a TEE ratio of -0.42 indicating that for every pound spent there will be an additional 42 pence worth of disbenefit. 6.6.91 If the forecast patronage is increased then the rail revenue gain gradually begins to dominate over the other scheme disbenefits and for a patronage of 51 per day the overall scheme benefits are positive. Given the existing patronage on the line it is highly unlikely that this level of patronage is achievable and in order to achieve a TEE ratio above 1 133 passengers a day would be required. This is approaching the daily patronage at Annan, a much larger settlement. It is virtually impossible that such a high level of use could be achieved and that the conclusion that the overall direct economic benefit of this option is negative is likely to be robust. 6.6.92 There is a case for assuming that, as the new users of the line express a demonstrated preference for its use they must derive benefits on top of their travel time and VOC gains which cannot be quantified, such as the ability to make a journey which they could not previously make or the option of allowing another member of the household to use a car which was previously required for commuting. There is therefore a case for assuming that these extra benefits combined with the travel time and VOC benefits outweigh the disbenefits of increased user charges and that the benefits / disbenefits of new users can be ignored in favour of the balance between operator benefits and disbenefits to existing users. On this basis a patronage of 31 is required to give overall positive benefits. While this is not massively above the forecast patronage of 23 overstatement of scheme benefits is a common pitfall of appraisal and it would be dangerous to suggest that patronages above the forecast level are readily achievable. 6.6.93 Overall the conclusion that the strict economic benefit offered by the reinstatement of Eastriggs Station is likely to be negative. 39 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Table 6.4: Economic appraisal (all figures are NPV in 2002 prices) category scheme cost travel time benefits user charge benefits VOC benefits private operator costs Revenue benefits grants to private operators TOTAL TEE ratio subcategory TOTAL travel time benefits to new rail users travel time benefits to existing rail users output -£1,238,183.22 £164,433.08 -£351,457.56 TOTAL -£187,024.48 TOTAL -£608,851.67 TOTAL investment costs incurred by private operator operating costs incurred by private operator revenue gain to rail operator revenue loss to bus operators £168,578.95 -£1,179,180.59 -£589,083.40 £837,281.36 -£135,011.62 TOTAL £702,269.74 grant to private operator to cover investment costs grant to private operator to cover operating costs (total operating cost - income from ticket sales) £1,179,180.59 TOTAL TOTAL £- £1,179180.59 -£514,110.86 -0.42 6.6.94 Modular design of the station has been suggested through our consultation with Network Rail as a means of reducing the cost of the station design and construction. While comparative costs are not available for this study, it has been estimated that capital costs could be reduced by one third. This would result in a TEE ratio of -0.61. 6.6.95 It should be noted that cost-benefit analysis is not designed to cope with negative benefits because if the benefits are negative, the project would not usually be progressed. As a result, a bigger negative ratio means that the same disbenefits are being achieved for less cost. The key factor in achieving an improved cost-benefit ratio is to identify the positive benefits of the scheme rather than reduce cost. 6.6.96 Wider economic benefits (WEBS): Given that it is difficult to demonstrate that there will be a good level of direct economic benefit as a result of the implementation of this scheme the assessment of wider economic benefits is very important. A detailed consideration of these has been undertaken on CB's behalf by Roger Tym and Partners and their report is summarised below. 6.6.97 There are four strands to the assessment of wider economic benefits as follows: 6.6.98 WB1 - Agglomeration economies WB2 - Increased competition as a result of better transport WB3 - Increased output in imperfectly competitive markets WB4 - Wider benefits arising from improved labour supply The official view of the Department for Transport is that there is little evidence of the relationship between transport and competition but that what is available suggests that there are unlikely to be significant wider benefits due to increased competition. Though Transport Scotland consider that geographic factors in some parts of Scotland may mean that this is not always the case it is currently officially advised that WB2 should be treated as neutral. 6.6.99 WB1 - Agglomeration economies - agglomeration economies describe the productivity benefits that firms derive from being located close to other firms and relates to such processes as knowledge sharing or access to suppliers and labour markets. Improvements in the level of transport provision would be expected to have a positive 40 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report impact on agglomeration economies by improving linkages between local firms and other firms. Agglomeration economies result from increases in 'effective density', a measure of firms' access to markets. The calculation of effective density is an uncertain process requiring a range of assumptions relating to parameter values and a calculation of changes in the generalised cost of travel to and from the study area. 6.6.100 In this case analyses suggest that in general the cost of travel to the area might be expected to increase. However, those commuters and businesses which use the new service must be achieving, at worst, no change in their individual travel costs and so it is probably fair to assume that there is, at worst, no change in the generalised cost of travel. This means that the only important factor in the calculation of the effective density is the change in employment levels. In Eastriggs it is anticipated that these will increase and so an assumption that there will be a small, positive change in effective density is likely to be reasonable. 6.6.101 As positive changes in effective density are anticipated, agglomeration economies are also expected to be positive. Using the APARC method with a value of £27,948.00 for the GDP per worker in the zone and neglecting changes in the generalised cost of travel suggests a value of £4,831.47 for the annual benefit to businesses (in 2002 prices). Assuming that one third of this benefit is realised in each of the three years after opening of the new station and discounting gives an NPV of £85,707.12. 6.6.102 WB2 - Increased competition as a result of better transport - in line with the current guidance these are assumed to be negligible. 6.6.103 WB3 - Increased output in imperfectly competitive markets - improvements in transport are expected to encourage firms to increase production. Current guidance suggests that the most effective means of estimating this effect is to apply an uplift to business time savings and reliability gains. As the number of business-related trips which will be made using the new station is not known, it is assumed that these will account for 10% of the trips and that the average time saving will be the same as that calculated for all users. Although reliability gains might be anticipated, it is assumed that the infrequent nature of the train service will render these negligible. An uplift value of 10% has been used (as is recommended). As the values involved are small, changes in the value of time over time have been discounted. Overall the anticipated benefit (in 2002 values) is £34.52 annually. Assuming that one third of this benefit is realised in each of the three years after opening of the new station and discounting gives an NPV of £612.33. 6.6.104 WB4 - wider benefits arising from improved labour supply - work by the Department for Transport identifies three labour market effects which could have consequences for GDP and which may contribute to welfare benefits through the tax take: 6.6.105 WB4a: more people choosing to work as a result of commuting time savings (because one of the costs of working - commuting costs - has fallen) WB4b: some people choosing to work longer hours (because they spend less time commuting) WB4c: relocation of jobs to more productive areas (because better transport makes the area more attractive to firms and workers). The data required to calculate this is extensive (and unlikely to be available in this case). Transport Scotland currently does not offer detailed guidance. Employment growth in the immediate Eastriggs area is anticipated and there would also be expected to be an increase in the number of local people employed elsewhere. In order to provide a preliminary figure, it has been assumed that benefits under WB4 are equal to the total economic value of the increased local employment multiplied by 0.2. It must be noted that there is no theoretical justification for this claim but on this basis annual benefits under WB4 are found to be £24,992.74 (2002 prices). Assuming that one third of this benefit is 41 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report realised in each of the three years after opening of the new station and discounting gives an NPV of £443,354.43. 6.6.106 The overall impact is to increase the NPV to £15,563.02 with a TEE ratio of 0.01. 6.6.107 Economic activity and location impacts (EALI): As an analysis of the Wider Economic Benefits has been undertaken, it is not essential that EALI is carried out at this stage. Integration 6.6.108 There are three aspects to an examination of the effect of the various option on integration. These are: 6.6.109 transport integration - the degree to which an option fits with other transport infrastructure and services; transport land-use integration - the fit between the option and established land-use plans and land-use/transport planning guidance; and policy integration - the appropriateness of the option in light of wider policies, including those both central and local government. Transport integration: appraisal covers several themes relating to the movement of people and goods and the presentation of information. However, it is anticipated that much of the quantifiable benefit which can calculated in relation to these is already captured by the TEE analysis. As such STAG requires full assessment of transport integration benefits only in cases where there is either an identifiable impact on transport interchange resulting from an option or where it is definitely the case that some aspect of this impact will not be captured by the TEE analysis. 6.6.110 In this case although the reinstatement of Eastriggs Station is anticipated to facilitate around 81 additional direct public transport trips per year it is also expected to generate up to 5960 journeys per year which were previously made entirely by car and of which a proportion will now be made by car then rail and so have an additional interchange. The perceived disbenefit of public transport to public transport transfers is often perceived as higher than the disbenefit of car to public transport transfers where it is possible to stay in the car until the last minute and so it is likely that these conflicting impacts will largely cancel out. In addition the demonstrated preference of car to rail travellers indicates that they are prepared to accept the need to interchange from car to rail. 6.6.111 Overall, it is not considered that full assessment of transport integration issues is required as best practice in station design and information provision will be adopted minimising and issues. 6.6.112 However, it is noted that the transport integration which results from having a railway line run through an area with no station stops will be substantially improved by the reintroduction of station stops. 6.6.113 Transport and land use integration appraisal seeks to confirm that there is no conflict between the proposed use of the sites in question for transport purposes and local planning aspirations or environmental designations and to examine the fit between the proposals and local / national policy relating to transport and land use. 6.6.114 At Eastriggs the primary site (at the old station location) is not covered by any designation and falls within the settlement boundary. The secondary site (east of Central Road) has been declared unsuitable for further residential development due to drainage and access issues which might also affect a possible station development. 42 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.115 As well as being compatible with the local plan this proposal is also in line with Dumfries & Galloway’s Structure Plan, SWestran’s Regional Transport Strategy and the National Transport Strategy. 6.6.116 Overall local and national policy relating to transport and land use focuses on reducing the need to travel and increasing the opportunities for sustainable travel while also noting the importance of economic growth for all, thriving town centres, conservation issues and the need for aspiration in rural planning. 6.6.117 In this case the proposed option will increase the opportunities for sustainable travel to / from the study area. The site is very well located to encourage station users to access the station on foot or by bicycle and this will discourage the use of motorised modes to reach the it and overall the scheme is broadly in line with the government’s desire to encourage sustainable travel and to reduce the need to travel. 6.6.118 The proposal can also be considered to have a potentially positive impact on the economic growth and in and general health of Eastriggs town centre. The reintroduction of the station, which cannot be justified in strictly economic terms, would be an example of aspirational thinking in rural planning and there are no significant conservation or environmental impacts. 6.6.119 Consultation with Dumfries & Galloway planning officials and with key stakeholders suggests that there is considerable support for these proposals. 6.6.120 Policy integration: STAG calls for confirmation that the proposals are in line with wider government policy as well as policy specifically relating to transport and land use. In particular it calls for an examination of the fit of the proposals with disability, health, rural affairs and social inclusion policies. 6.6.121 There is no reason why the proposal should conflict in any way with government policy relating to disabled issues. It will incorporate best practice in the design of facilities for disabled users and will increase access to a public transport mode commonly more readily accessed by disabled people than buses. However, due to the small anticipated patronages of the station it cannot be argued that the scheme will have a noteworthy impact on the barriers to travel encountered by disabled people in general. 6.6.122 Similarly while there might be some increase in the number of people including a walk / cycle to and from the proposed station in their regular routine it cannot be argued that the impact of any of the scheme on health will be dramatic although it will increase the options for access to specialist services not available in the local area. 6.6.123 Government policy on rural affairs sets out a vision in which rural communities strengthen or remain strong through the retention of population and access to essential services. The proposal should have a positive impact from this perspective, increasing the opportunities for local development and decreasing the disadvantage to local residents of living away from urban centres. 6.6.124 The proposals will potentially increase the options open to socially excluded groups including those without access to a car. However, it cannot be denied that, due to the high price of rail travel, these opportunities are unlikely to be freely open to those members of excluded groups who are also on low incomes. Nevertheless it is not envisaged that there will be any worsening of other provision meaning that these individuals will gain the possibility of travelling by train while still retaining the cheaper options open to them already. These issues will be dealt with in more detail by the accessibility and social inclusion appraisal. 43 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Accessibility and Social Inclusion 6.6.125 The last of the STAG criteria is accessibility and social inclusion and allows an assessment of the effect of schemes on community accessibility, comparative accessibility and equality impact assessment. 6.6.126 Community accessibility covers: 6.6.127 public transport network coverage – coverage for all groups in society for a range of trip purposes; and local accessibility – the measurement of local opportunities to walk or cycle and severance issues. The reinstatement of Eastriggs Station will have a significant impact on the available public transport network coverage for Eastriggs residents offering a significant boost in the total number of services available in each direction and facilitating direct trips to a number of extra destinations. It will also offer direct access to the rail network facilitating long distance trips using this mode. This will increase the range of options open for access to work, training, food shopping and healthcare facilities, particularly specialist services. 6.6.128 The high price of rail travel means that rail based options may not be freely open to those groups in the local population with low household incomes, though short trips to destinations such as Annan are likely to be achievable. However, there will be no worsening of provision for these groups as existing public transport network coverage is expected to be unaffected and the new services will be available to these groups when they judge them to be economic from their own personal point of view. 6.6.129 Notably, although the high price of rail travel may mean that benefits to low income groups may not be immediately achieved it is likely that these groups will still gain some benefit as for example: 6.6.130 the new coverage may allow them to reach previously unavailable employment opportunities so that they gain more in increased income than they lose in increased travel expenditure; the new coverage may facilitate journeys which were previously impossible such as early morning arrivals in Glasgow; and, although the upfront cost of a train fare is more than that of a bus fare it is much less than the cost of the purchase of a car and so may allow someone on a low income who cannot afford a car to reach such commitments as college interviews which can be of great value in the longer term. According to the 2001 census 10.36% of all those resident in Eastriggs in employment or studying travelled to their place of work or education by bus or train. Applying this rate across the whole population suggests that there are probably some 174 people who stand to gain from increased public transport service frequencies. Comparing this with the lengths of journeys to work suggests that at most 8 of these 174 people regularly make journeys long enough that they may potentially benefit from the newly introduced direct trips. Given the rather low numbers of travellers expected to be affected a comprehensive accessibility analysis has not been carried out at this stage. 6.6.131 Impacts on local accessibility will not be dramatic as the scheme will have no significant impact on severance issues in the way that, for example, a new footbridge across a river or railway line might. However, it might encourage some station users to include a walk or cycle to the station in their daily routine. This would also be entirely possible in the absence of the scheme but is clearly much more likely to occur in its presence. 6.6.132 Overall the impact of this option on community accessibility is likely to be slightly positive. 44 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.6.133 Comparative accessibility deals with the issues relating to the distribution of impacts by person group and by geographical area. 6.6.134 Comparative accessibility issues are likely to be of greatest importance where those who stand to benefit are not the same as those who will bear the brunt of any impacts. In this case, though it is probable that those on low incomes, may have more difficulty in realising the benefits offered by the new options there is also no reason why they should lose out as there is no expectation that existing public transport services will be affected and the only likely local impacts would be expected to occur on the immediate approach to the station. 6.6.135 There should be no difference in impact on the basis of age or gender in and of themselves. Groups with mobility difficulties are likely to experience slight gains as the new stations will incorporate modern provision for disabled users. 6.6.136 Those without access to cars who live in Eastriggs would be expected to gain from the increased public transport provision. According to the 2001 census 27% of Eastriggs’s households had no car or van, corresponding, very approximately to some 450 people 6.6.137 From a very localised geographical perspective those living on the approach to the station stand to be most adversely affected by the station reinstatement. However, the actual magnitude of this impact can be anticipated to be extremely small and those living along this route also stand to gain most as they will be best placed to use the station. 6.6.138 From a larger scale geographic perspective the scheme will provide extra transport options in an area which has rather low geographic accessibility according to the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation and which also scores relatively poorly on a number of other indicators. 6.6.139 From a very large geographic perspective the scheme can be expected to have no impact at all beyond Eastriggs and its immediate surroundings. 6.6.140 Overall the scheme is considered to have slightly positive comparative accessibility impacts. 6.6.141 Equality Impact Assessment covers formal requirements for schemes to be considered with reference to formal legislation relating to discrimination on the grounds of race, disability, gender or any other factor. 6.6.142 The proposal should in no way adversely affect efforts to ensure that no-one suffers from discrimination on the basis of race, disability, gender, age, sexual orientation or religion. While extensive formal Equality Impact Assessment work has not been undertaken it is considered that there is sufficient information to understand the diverse needs / experiences of these various groups in so far as they relate to these schemes. 6.6.143 Use of the new services will, in effect, be freely open to all with the means to pay and the only group likely to have difficulty in accessing the benefits so offered are those whose disability or age makes this physically difficult. This is not, however, due to deficiencies in the scheme itself but is due to the difficulty of accessing any public or private transport encountered by this group. In order to ensure that the potential to benefit is extended to as large a section of this group as possible the station would be designed in line with current best practice and will incorporate appropriate measures to facilitate disabled access. 45 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 6.7 Participation and consultation 6.7.1 As well as those organisations contacted during Part 1 appraisal work (Dumfries & Galloway Council, SWestrans, Network Rail, Transport Scotland and SPT) the Part 2 appraisal has involved approaching: 6.7.2 6.7.3 6.7.4 6.7.5 6.7.6 local businesses, local communities, local councillors, and, statutory bodies and related groups. This work was intended to update each group on the project and to seek comments and input. The outcome of consultation with each group is outlined below. A postal survey of local businesses was carried out in February 2009 and established that they are generally confident that their current and future pattern of business is stable although current economic concerns were having an impact. Following the introduction of a new station local businesses thought that the increase in accessibility of the workplace would be the most significant benefit for employees and the majority of the respondents reported that they expected the impact of a station to have positive impacts, from a business perspective, on: recruitment, staff retention, access to lower cost supplies, access to currently inaccessible labour, levels of output, sales, and, margins. A minority of respondents also thought there would be positive impacts on: efficiency access for customers numbers employed. A meeting was held at Eastriggs Social Club on 12th March 2009 with representatives from: CB Network Rail Eastriggs Community Council Dumfries & Galloway Council Aztec Bicycle Club DW Martin and co. Ltd. SWestrans The plans were described to the group along with the outcomes from the Part 1 appraisal. There is huge, long-term, local enthusiasm for the station reinstatement which local people see as a much needed opportunity to increase the options open to them and an opportunity to increase the access to education for schoolchildren. 6.7.7 A number of statutory bodies have been consulted including: 6.7.8 SEPA, and, GeoDiversity Dumfries and Galloway (GDG) Scottish Enterprise Direct communication with SEPA has been carried out on the subject of site hydrology and raised no major issues. GDG were contacted to confirm that there are no Regionally Important Geological and Geomorphological Sites (RIGS) at the development location and Scottish Enterprise were contacted for comment. They have responded that: 46 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Scottish Enterprise (SE) in general recognises the benefit of improved transport links to any community, particularly those that facilitate and support growth business and inward investment opportunities. Enhanced commuting opportunities and the opportunity for local communities to access employment in other adjacent labour markets in a cost effective and environmentally beneficial way are also important. Development of freight services is a priority for SE. SE also recognises the specific needs of rural communities in accessing employment opportunities and service Eastriggs lies within the Gretna/Lockerbie/Annan regeneration area and SE, with partners, is actively investigating opportunities to diversify the economy following the closure of the Chapelcross power station. The Chapelcross site is most effectively served by the existing Annan station. While improved transport links could improve opportunities for commuting and greater choice for passengers, the relatively small population of the village and its catchment area suggests that the direct economic impact of improved transport links through either enhanced bus services or rail services may not be significant. In general, SE supports improving transport links to these communities as they would provide better opportunities to access employment in larger settlements nearby, the only proviso would be a concern that by reopening the rail stations and introducing additional stops the overall service might be diminished through longer journey times. 6.7.9 In addition a number of online data sources have been consulted in order to establish current site data or check for the presence of designated sites and so on: UK air quality archive (current PM10 and NO2 levels) Registers of Scotland (SSSIs) PASTMAP (access to listed building, scheduled ancient monument, national monument and garden and designed landscape registers) SNH (SSSIs, NNRs, NSAs, SACs, SPA, LNRs, National, Regional and Country Parks, Local Landscape Designations) 47 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 7 Cost to Government 7.1 Investment costs 7.1.1 The total investment costs are based on those calculated by Atkins in their 2006 “Region Wide Rail Station Strategy”. However, these assumed (as there was a single line at the time of the study) that a station at Eastriggs would require only one platform. To correct for this the cost of platform construction has been doubled and the cost of a footbridge (as estimated for Beattock) has been added. The revised figure covers the cost of station infrastructure, parking and access construction. As the schemes use existing trains no additional costs have been added for the purchase of additional rolling stock. These costs have been adjusted to 2009 prices for quotation here. On this basis the investment cost required to implement the scheme is estimated at £1,983,290.24 corresponding to a Net Present Value in 2002 prices of £1,179,180.59. 7.1.2 Notably these costs are exclusive of land costs. The land market is currently extremely volatile making it difficult to estimate a likely land cost. 7.2 Station operating costs 7.2.1 Station operating costs have been estimated at £21,000 (2009 prices) based on figures for a number of suburban stations in London. Facilities which will clearly not be provided at the sites proposed here, such as staffed ticket offices, have been omitted from this estimate. 7.2.2 These figures have not been adjusted for optimism bias because the stations they are based on typically handle numbers of passengers two orders of magnitude greater than is anticipated here. It is felt that this will increase this estimate anyway to a level where extra adjustment should be unnecessary. In addition these operating costs are in line with those proposed by the “Glasgow to Stranraer, Glasgow-Dumfries-Carlisle, Rail Study” 7.2.3 The cost of additional station stops has been approximated on the basis of the extra fuel which will be used. It has been assumed that there will be no significant effect on staffing requirements. This gives additional operating costs of £17,090.11 and a total operating cost of £38,090.11 7.2.4 Substantial changes in patronage are not anticipated in future and so it is not considered necessary to consider changes in these costs over time and so this cost corresponds to a Net Present Value in 2002 prices of £589,083.40. 7.3 Grant and subsidy payments 7.3.1 Given the expected levels of patronage it will not be realistic to expect Network Rail to cover the expected cost of station construction and so it is expected that this money will have to be supplied in full in the form of a grant. 7.3.2 It appears likely that additional operating costs will be met in full by fare revenues and so ongoing subsidy should not be required. 7.3.3 Stations are leased by rail operators from Network Rail. Given that services through these stations are not likely to generate a high level of revenue consideration should be given to negotiating lease rates which are as competitive as possible in order to minimise the costs to the rail operator. 48 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 7.4 Revenues 7.4.1 Public sector revenue income is not anticipated. 7.5 Indirect taxation impacts 7.5.1 If it is assumed that fuel duty accounts for 70% of the cost of fuel and that all those assumed to switch from car now leave their cars at home then the fuel tax loss to the UK government is £7,630.22 a year. However, as any individual journey is likely to cost more if made by rail than it would if made by car it is likely that the decision of an individual not to use their car will commonly be due to the possibility of its being used, in this case, by someone else. In these case fuel will still be used and the indirect taxation impact will be lessened. It is assumed, for the sake of argument, that the indirect taxation loss is half that which can be calculated directly giving an NPV in 2002 prices of £59,002.63. 49 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 8 Risk and Uncertainty 8.1 Risk management 8.1.1 It is important at this stage to consider the risks of unexpected effects from the implementation of the proposed schemes and a preliminary risk assessment has been undertaken and is outlined below. 8.1.2 Though far from being a complete list, the following risks have been identified as those most likely to be encountered at some stage in the future: 8.1.3 1. future changes of policy direction reduce the support for rural public transport 2. loss of operational subsidy in the longer term 3. land purchase costs more than anticipated 4. construction delays and over-runs increase construction costs 5. issues relating to planning permission increase costs 6. residual value risk (lower than expected value of final assets) 7. operating or maintenance costs greater than anticipated 8. inflation rates differ from assumed rates 9. demand risks - patronages lower than anticipated 10. that the options are rendered obsolete by technological innovations The Passenger Rail Forecasting Handbook guidelines which were used to estimate rail patronages take no account of the level of service which will be offered. In this case the level of service is low and, due to the long distances involved, fare prices are high. This may well result in lower than expected levels of patronage. Patronages could also be higher than anticipated but as extreme increases would be necessary before there was any impact on station or train operation it is felt that this can be safely neglected. 8.2 Quantified Risk Assessment 8.2.1 A preliminary quantification of the risks is shown in Table 8.1. 50 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Table 8.1: Risk 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Quantified risks description future changes of policy direction reduce the support for rural public transport loss of operational subsidy in the longer term land purchase costs more than anticipated construction delays and over-runs increase construction costs issues relating to planning permission increase costs residual value risk (lower than expected value of final assets) operating or maintenance costs greater than anticipated inflation rates differ from assumed rates expected impact on cost if risk occurs lower upper chance of risk occurring over appraisal period £147,270.85 £294,541.70 5% £7,363.54 £14,727.09 £- £- 5% £- £- £2,500.00 £5,000.00 25% £625.00 £1,250.00 £117,918.06 £589,590.30 50% £58,959.03 £294,795.15 £58,959.03 £235,836.12 5% £2,947.95 £11,791.81 £58,959.03 £235,836.12 25% £14,739.76 £58,959.03 £58,908.34 £294,541.70 25% £14,727.09 £73,635.43 £1,472.71 £7,363.54 £8,372.81 £41,864.07 £837.28 £4,186.41 £5,890.83 £29,454.17 25% demand risks - patronages lower than 9 anticipated £83,728.14 £418,640.68 10% that the options are rendered obsolete by 10 technological innovations £83,728.14 £418,640.68 1% * figures from http://www.statistics.gov.uk/articles/economic_trends/agricultural_land_prices.pdf quantified risk notes lower upper impact = 0.25 to 0.5 x operating cost 0.5 to 1 x operating subsidy based on published statistics* 0.1 to 0.5 x construction cost 0.05 to 0.2 x construction cost 0.05 to 0.2 x construction cost 0.1 to 0.5 x operating cost 0.01 to 0.05 x operating cost 0.1 to 0.5 x estimated revenue 0.1 to 0.5 x estimated revenue 51 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 8.2.2 Fully quantified risk assessment according to standard guidelines has not been undertaken at this stage. However, following a preliminary analysis it is possible to suggest that the chances of the scheme being delivered on the basis of the suggested budget is currently estimated to in the region of 12% but that unidentified risks will reduce this value. The maximum likely cost if all of the risks are realised is in the region of £1,796,793.96, around a 39% increase on the anticipated cost. Based on experience from previous schemes the likely cost is in the region of £1,343,224.03 to £1,618,793.58. 8.3 Optimism bias 8.3.1 Based on the analysis above appropriate value for optimism bias correction may be in the region of 10 to 20%. These values are low for a project of this type. However, it is noted that risk assessment in relation to this project is at a very preliminary stage and that the station costs used to assess the scheme were already significantly adjusted for optimism bias and so the amount of this additional projected correction perhaps should be lower than is usually the case. 8.4 Sensitivity analysis 8.4.1 Sensitivity analysis has not been undertaken at this stage for two reasons. Firstly because of the preliminary nature of the risk assessment undertaken and secondly because it is felt that the marginal nature of the economic case for proceeding with the project will mean that decisions regarding its progression at this stage will be made with the consideration of wider issues rather than strict economic arguments. 8.4.2 One key sensitivity that could be undertaken is in relation to the capital cost of construction. Discussion with Network Rail indicates that substantial cost reduction is possible through modular design and construction of stations. Such consideration was not available to previous studies nor are cost comparisons available at this time. However, if the scheme costs were reduced by one third, the TEE ratio would be -0.61. 8.4.3 As stated previously, the key factor in improving this ratio would be to identify the positive benefits of the scheme rather than reduce the cost. 52 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 9 Option Summary Tables 9.1 Option summary tables (OSTs) 9.1.1 OSTs are required for all options which are still under consideration at the conclusion of the Part 2 appraisal. In this case, the only option assessed at Part 2 is that relating to the reinstatement of Eastriggs station and an OST for this is provided in Table 9.1. 53 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Table 9.1: OST: OST: Option 2a(i) – reinstate Eastriggs Station Dumfries & Galloway STAG Appraisal Lot 2 and 3: An assessment of options for the Eastriggs area Option description: Reinstate Eastriggs Station close to its pre-existing location on the Glasgow Southwestern Railway Line and stop the existing passenger services at the reinstated station. Option 2 – reinstate Eastriggs Station Capital Costs/grant (2002 Prices) Annual Revenue Support (2002 Prices) Present Value (PV) of Cost to Government Monetary only (£m) Impacts (Monetary and Non-Monetary) --Summary of impact on the five STAG criteria -- - 0 Accessibility and Social Inclusion Environment Integration Safety Economy + X ++ negligible £0 negligible £0 -£0.5 X X X NPV: NPV: Including Wider Economic Benefits --Assessment against Transport Planning Objectives TPO Target 1: `TPO Target 2: TPO Target 3: TPO Target 4: TPO Target 5: TPO Target 6: -- - 0 Monetary impact ratio (if relevant) -----0.42 +++ X + X X X X ++ -£0.5 £0.016 £1,139,457.02 £0.00 -£866,785.15 BCR: BCR: -0.42 0.01 +++ X X Contribution toward the Government Purpose: Although the economic case for proceeding with this proposal is weak it does contribute towards the Government’s purpose in other ways as it increases public transport network coverage, increases the options open to various socially excluded groups and has a positive impact on a rural area. It also increases transport integration by offering local access to a mode which cannot currently be accessed. 54 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report STAG Criteria Criterion: Implementability Appraisal Supporting Information Accessibility & Social Inclusion Safety PT network coverage will expand substantially in the Eastriggs area and there will be no significant impact on barriers to walking and cycling. Groups with mobility difficulties are likely to experience slight gains as will those without access to a car but those on low incomes may struggle to take full advantage of the new opportunities. A possible slight reduction in accidents associated with long trips is expected to be offset by a possible slight rise in accidents associated with junction turning movements on the approach to the station so that the overall effect on accident rates and severity can be considered negligible. There might be slight increases in perceived security for those who previously uses buses. A straight economic appraisal is not supportive of the scheme as the higher price paid for travel by users and the disbenefit to existing travellers mean that the overall measureable benefits of the scheme are negative. Economy Integration Environment Criterion: Supporting Information Technical No significant technical issues Operational Ongoing subsidy is likely to be required but there are no other significant operational issues Financial Capital and revenue funding will be required but the amount is not prohibitive. There is demonstrated, enthusiastic public support Public There is an increase in opportunities for direct journeys, particularly long distance rail Acceptability journeys. This scheme is fully compatible with National and Local policies. This section identifies key impacts and tensions across the sub-criteria Impacts on global air quality, local air quality, water quality, drainage, flood defence, geology, biodiversity, visual amenity, agriculture, soils and landscape are all considered to be negligible. There is expected to be a minor positive benefit for cultural heritage as the pre-existing station will be reinstated. Noise is assessed as having Moderate to Major impact depending on the site chosen. This is based on services stopping at the station. Transport Planning Objectives Obj. TPO 1: TPO 2: TPO 3: Description of Objective Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to / from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Obj. TPO 4: TPO 5: TPO 6: Description of Objective Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. 55 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 10 Monitoring 10.1 Introduction 10.1.1 Monitoring refers to the process of gathering and interpreting information on the performance of a project after its implementation. This process should be ongoing and will usually take place in conjunction with other information gathering exercises being undertaken by a local authority or other organisation implementing a project. 10.2 Proposed monitoring plan 10.2.1 It is suggested that a suitable monitoring plan for the proposal outlined here might consist of a before and after study followed by further assessment at intervals of every two or three years. 10.3 Key performance indicators 10.3.1 The following measures are suggested as suitable for assessing the effect of the schemes on the objectives which are as follows: 10.3.2 Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to/from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to / from the study area. Passenger rail services already run through the study area. Current proposals envisage stopping these trains additionally and the overall environmental impact of this will be low. Conversely it is anticipated that the majority of trips attracted to rail will shift from car as existing bus services offer a reasonable level of service to only a few destinations. It is therefore suggested that the number of rail journeys to / from the new stations will be a reasonable proxy for measurement of the success of the schemes in meeting the first objective. This data is collected routinely by rail operators. 10.3.3 Rail travel is very safe and so the number of rail journeys being made will also be an indication of safer travel. Before and after surveys of public transport users perception of safety and security will be able to confirm that there is an increased sense of safety across all groups. 10.3.4 The levels of and attractiveness of public transport can be best assessed by considering the frequency of services to particular destinations, say Carlisle, Dumfries, Kilmarnock and Glasgow while attractiveness can be measured by considering the age and state of repair of the available vehicles, bearing in mind that trains are generally considered to be more attractive than buses. 10.3.5 The performances of the trains themselves are likely to offer the best indication of improved journey times, reliability and punctuality. As timetabled the trains do offer faster journey times than buses to almost all destinations and than cars to a range of key 56 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report destinations. If they run according to the timetable then it can be assumed that these benefits have been gained. Data on punctuality and so on is routinely collected by rail operators. 10.3.6 The best measure of levels of accessibility is likely to be the number of destinations which can be reached by public transport inside a known time period or by 09:00 and a suitable measure of the degree to which travel opportunities have been taken up might be the number of travel modes passing through the area to which local residents do not have local access. 10.3.7 Overall this gives seven key performance indicators: 10.3.8 Number of rail journeys to / from the new station Public transport users’ perceived safety levels Service frequency to Carlisle, Dumfries, Kilmarnock, Glasgow Age and state of repair of public transport vehicle stock Train punctuality and reliability. Destinations which can be reached inside 90 minutes Destinations which can be reached by 09:00 After implementation the study area should have an improved score against all of these indicators and this will be a measure of the degree of success. 57 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 11 Evaluation 11.1 Introduction 11.1.1 Evaluation is a detailed one-off objective driven review of a project’s performance and has two stages. The first of these is process evaluation which is carried out early in the life of a project before its full effects are known and concentrates on whether input and output objectives are being / have been met. Essentially this means to check that the option has been delivered and is performing broadly as was anticipated. Outcome evaluation is similar but is carried out some time after a project is implemented when there has been time for usage patterns to settle and benefits to be realised. 11.2 Proposed evaluation plan 11.2.1 It is suggested that three months after opening would be a suitable timeframe for process evaluation at which point it should be possible to establish whether the proposals have been implemented and are performing as planned and for any small scale adjustments to be made. 11.2.2 A suitable timeframe for outcome evaluation is likely to be three years after opening and should establish, as per the STAG guidance: 11.2.3 11.2.4 the scope and purpose of the project; the project rationale; project aims and objectives; project measures and indicators; the base case for comparison; and, scheme analysis and interpretation. Overall outcome evaluation is intended to establish the extent of the identified outcomes, the costs of achieving these and the overall value for money of the scheme. The relatively long outcome evaluation horizon is intended to try and give such effects as changes in employment patterns and patterns of economic activity time to adjust. 58 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report 12 Conclusions 12.1 Options Analysis 12.1.1 Alternative options to meet the transport planning objectives have been appraised and it has been identified that the option to provide a train station to serve Eastriggs offers the way forward. This conclusion has been reached because adding to existing bus services produces fewer (marginal) benefits than the rail option. This is due to the fact that it would be necessary to add new buses and pay for this cost as opposed to using existing rail rolling stock. 12.1.2 Rail is of benefit in terms of user choice (people prefer to use rail over bus), safety, reliability and access to the wider public transport network compared with bus alternatives. 12.1.3 Significant progress has been made to engage with industry partners, including Transport Scotland, First ScotRail and Network Rail. Indeed Network Rail in Scotland has endorsed the Project Proposal and we are awaiting full endorsement and resource allocation approval from their London office to review the technical aspects in more detail. There is widespread community support for a train station. 12.1.4 There are no technical reasons why a suitable location for a train station cannot be found and a stopping pattern could be developed, providing the financial support (revenue and capital) can be found. 12.1.5 Noise is assessed as being a MAJOR impact based on the proposed services stopping at site A, however, it is of MODERATE significance at site B due to the presence of the shallow cutting. It is recommended that noise is taken forward as a design criterion for the final siteing of the station. 12.2 Business Case 12.2.1 The economic case for a station such as Eastriggs is marginal at the very best, reflecting its rural location and it is therefore important that factors other than economic benefits are considered. 12.2.2 Based on the use of existing rail services i.e. stopping services that already operate on the line at the new station, the transport benefits are poor. Our appraisal indicates that Eastriggs will operate at a deficit and a subsidy will be required. The TEE ratios(Transport Economic Efficiency) are negative as are the NPVs. It should be noted that adding new services will only worsen the economic case. 12.2.3 Our research has found that the nature of the businesses in the area is unlikely to support a train station on purely economic grounds e.g. in attracting jobs to the area. However, benefits will accrue from accessibility to job markets elsewhere. 59 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 1 Part 1 ASTs Part 1 ASTs for the six schemes appraised under Part 1 can be found on the following pages. All costs are shown in 2002 prices. Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Proposal Details Name and address of authority or organisation promoting the proposal: (Also provide name of any subsidiary organisations also involved in promoting the proposal) SWestrans / Dumfries & Galloway Council, English Street, Dumfries, DG1 2HS STAG assessment by: Colin Buchanan, 21 Blythswood Square, Glasgow, G2 4BL Proposal Name: Option 1a Name of Planner: Proposal Description: timetable enhancements – increase existing service frequency to every 30 minutes from Eastriggs to Dumfries Estimated Total Public Sector Funding Requirement: not applicable at this stage Amount of Application: Funding Sought From: (if applicable) Alistair Speedie capital cost = £0 annual revenue support = £59,430.23 estimated Present Value of Cost to Govt = £1,095,908.78 not applicable at this stage Background Information Geographic Context: Eastriggs lies in Dumfries & Galloway. It has a population of around 1,500 and is a planned settlement 19 miles east of Dumfries and some 3 miles east of Annan. Originally built to provide housing for employees of a substantial munitions factory it lies in an otherwise largely rural area and now functions mainly as a dormitory location for jobs elsewhere. Social Context: According to the SIMD Eastriggs is somewhat deprived with poor scores for education and crime and very poor scores for geographic access due to the lack of locally available services. Though bus services to Carlisle are reasonable there is still a lack of access to key services, particularly for the users of non-car modes. Economic Context: Eastriggs has suffered some decline as activity at the munitions factory which it was built to serve has declined. These jobs have largely not been replaced locally with most employed Eastriggs residents now commuting to jobs elsewhere. Stage 1 AST: Option 1a Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Planning Objectives Objective: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to/from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Performance against planning objective: 0 Any small environmental gains achieved though mode shift have to be offset against the environmental costs of running bus services throughout the day when there are few passengers. 0 Significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic +1 growth for Eastriggs. Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Proposed enhancements are expected to result in slight improvements for travellers as the increased frequencies reduce the waiting element of total journey times and missed or cancelled buses result in a half hour, rather than an hour, delay. +1 Increase the levels of accessibility to +1 employment, education and healthcare for the local population. The proposed enhancements are expected to result in slight improvements in access to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. The proposal takes advantage of the existing road network and bus services and offers some increase in travel options and connectivity. Rationale for Selection or Rejection of Proposal: +1 Due to the low score of this option against the study objectives it has been rejected from further consideration. Implementability Appraisal Technical: There are no significant technical issues associated with the implementation of this proposal. Stage 1 AST: Option 1a Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Operational: Financial: Public acceptability: The proposal will require ongoing subsidy but as this is foreseeable it is not a major barrier to operational feasibility. The proposal has no capital costs. Operating subsidy will be required and this cost is likely to need to be met by Dumfries & Galloway Council. This proposal has not been made public but there are unlikely to be public acceptability issues. STAG Criteria Criterion Assessment Summary Supporting Information Environment: 0 Any small decreases in emissions achieved through mode shift must be offset against the increased emissions as buses run below capacity throughout the day. There are no significant air quality, water quality, or noise related changes anticipated and distributional impacts are negligible. Safety: 0 Significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. However, there should be no decrease in levels of safety / security. +1 Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth. There is unlikely to be any measurable impact on traffic volumes or road congestion. Public transport users will benefit from an increased service to Dumfries. The proposal will help existing businesses by increasing the number of staff and customers which can reach them and may encourage new businesses to set up. Economy: Integration: +1 Accessibility and Social Inclusion: +1 Increased bus service provision will somewhat increase the possibilities for integrated trips to a range of destinations in and beyond Dumfries & Galloway. The proposal is in line with wider government policy and national and local transport targets. The proposal does not have explicit support from existing local policy but is not contrary to it. There will be an increase in accessibility open to all sections of the community. Stage 1 AST: Option 1a Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Proposal Details Name and address of authority or organisation promoting the proposal: (Also provide name of any subsidiary organisations also involved in promoting the proposal) SWestrans / Dumfries & Galloway Council, English Street, Dumfries, DG1 2HS STAG assessment by: Colin Buchanan, 21 Blythswood Square, Glasgow, G2 4BL Proposal Name: Option 1b(i) Name of Planner: Proposal Description: increase range of bus destinations – enhance service to local interchange points Estimated Total Public Sector Funding Requirement: not applicable at this stage Amount of Application: Funding Sought From: (if applicable) Alistair Speedie capital cost = £0 annual revenue support = £59,430.23 estimated Present Value of Cost to Govt = £1,095,908.78 not applicable at this stage Background Information Geographic Context: Eastriggs lies in Dumfries & Galloway. It has a population of around 1,500 and is a planned settlement 19 miles east of Dumfries and some 3 miles east of Annan. Originally built to provide housing for employees of a substantial munitions factory it lies in an otherwise largely rural area and now functions mainly as a dormitory location for jobs elsewhere. Social Context: According to the SIMD Eastriggs is somewhat deprived with poor scores for education and crime and very poor scores for geographic access due to the lack of locally available services. Though bus services to Carlisle are reasonable there is still a lack of access to key services, particularly for the users of non-car modes. Economic Context: Eastriggs has suffered some decline as activity at the munitions factory which it was built to serve has declined. These jobs have largely not been replaced locally with most employed Eastriggs residents now commuting to jobs elsewhere. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(i) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Planning Objectives Objective: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to/from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Performance against planning objective: 0 Any small environmental gains achieved though mode shift have to be offset against the environmental costs of running bus services throughout the day when there are few passengers 0 Significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public 0 transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. +1 Despite the increase in public transport provision it is anticipated that the need to interchange will discourage increases in tourism and economic growth. Proposed enhancements are expected to result in slight improvements for travellers as the increased frequencies of buses to local interchange points reduce the waiting element of total journey times and missed or cancelled buses result in shorter overall delays. Increase the levels of accessibility to +1 employment, education and healthcare for the local population. The proposed enhancements are expected to result in slight improvements in access to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. The proposal takes advantage of the existing road network and bus services and offers some increase in travel options and connectivity. Rationale for Selection or Rejection of Proposal: +1 Due to the low score of this option against the study objectives it has been rejected from further consideration. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(i) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Implementability Appraisal Technical: There are no significant technical issues associated with the implementation of this proposal. Operational: The proposal will require ongoing subsidy but as this is foreseeable it is not a major barrier to operational feasibility. Financial: Public acceptability: The proposal has no capital costs. Operating subsidy will be required and this cost is likely to need to be met by Dumfries & Galloway Council. This proposal has not been made public but there unlikely to be public acceptability issues. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(i) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report STAG Criteria Criterion Assessment Summary Supporting Information Environment: 0 Any small decreases in emissions achieved through mode shift must be offset against the increased emissions as buses run below capacity throughout the day. There are no significant air quality, water quality, or noise related changes anticipated and distributional impacts are negligible. Safety: 0 Significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. However, there should be no decrease in levels of safety / security. 0 Despite the increase in public transport provision it is anticipated that the need to interchange will discourage increases in tourism and economic growth. There is unlikely to be any measurable impact on traffic volumes or road congestion. Public transport users will benefit from an increased level of service to local interchange points. The proposal will help existing businesses by slightly increasing the number of staff and customers which can reach them but is unlikely to encourage new businesses. Economy: Integration: +1 Accessibility and Social Inclusion: +1 Increased bus service provision will somewhat increase the possibilities for integrated trips to a range of destinations in and beyond Dumfries & Galloway. The proposal is in line with wider government policy and national and local transport targets. The proposal does not have explicit support from existing local policy but is not contrary to it. There will be an increase in accessibility open to all sections of the community. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(i) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Proposal Details Name and address of authority or organisation promoting the proposal: (Also provide name of any subsidiary organisations also involved in promoting the proposal) SWestrans / Dumfries & Galloway Council, English Street, Dumfries, DG1 2HS STAG assessment by: Colin Buchanan, 21 Blythswood Square, Glasgow, G2 4BL Proposal Name: Option 1b(ii) Name of Planner: Proposal Description: increase range of bus destinations – enhance long distance services to Edinburgh and Glasgow Estimated Total Public Sector Funding Requirement: not applicable at this stage Amount of Application: Funding Sought From: (if applicable) Alistair Speedie capital cost = £0 annual revenue support = £59,430.23 estimated Present Value of Cost to Govt = £1,095,908.78 not applicable at this stage Background Information Geographic Context: Eastriggs lies in Dumfries & Galloway. It has a population of around 1,500 and is a planned settlement 19 miles east of Dumfries and some 3 miles east of Annan. Originally built to provide housing for employees of a substantial munitions factory it lies in an otherwise largely rural area and now functions mainly as a dormitory location for jobs elsewhere. Social Context: According to the SIMD Eastriggs is somewhat deprived with poor scores for education and crime and very poor scores for geographic access due to the lack of locally available services. Though bus services to Carlisle are reasonable there is still a lack of access to key services, particularly for the users of non-car modes. Economic Context: Eastriggs has suffered some decline as activity at the munitions factory which it was built to serve has declined. These jobs have largely not been replaced locally with most employed Eastriggs residents now commuting to jobs elsewhere. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(ii) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Planning Objectives Objective: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to/from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Performance against planning objective: 0 Any small environmental gains achieved though mode shift have to be offset against the environmental costs of running bus services throughout the day when there are few passengers 0 Significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic +1 growth for Eastriggs. Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. +1 Proposed enhancements are expected to result in slight improvements for long distance travellers as they will not need to interchange in order to travel to Edinburgh or Glasgow. 0 Realistic levels of service improvement would not be enough to address the long travel times and low frequency of services and to result in significant accessibility increases for destinations not currently served. +1 The proposal takes advantage of the existing road network and bus services and offers some increase in travel options and connectivity. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. Rationale for Selection or Rejection of Proposal: Due to the low score of this option against the study objectives it has been rejected from further consideration. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(ii) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Implementability Appraisal Technical: There are no significant technical issues associated with the implementation of this proposal. Operational: The proposal will require ongoing subsidy but as this is foreseeable it is not a major barrier to operational feasibility. Financial: Public acceptability: The proposal has no capital costs. Operating subsidy will be required and this cost is likely to need to be met by Dumfries & Galloway Council. This proposal has not been made public but there unlikely to be public acceptability issues. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(ii) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report STAG Criteria Criterion Assessment Summary Supporting Information Environment: 0 Any small decreases in emissions achieved through mode shift must be offset against the increased emissions as buses run below capacity throughout the day. There are no significant air quality, water quality, or noise related changes anticipated and distributional impacts are negligible. Safety: 0 Significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. However, there should be no decrease in levels of safety / security. +1 Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth. There is unlikely to be any measurable impact on traffic volumes or road congestion. Public transport users will benefit from an increased level of service to Glasgow and Edinburgh. The proposal will help existing businesses by increasing the number of staff and customers which can reach them and may encourage new businesses to set up. Economy: Integration: Accessibility and Social Inclusion: +1 0 Increased bus service provision will somewhat increase the possibilities for integrated trips to a range of destinations in and beyond Dumfries & Galloway. The proposal is in line with wider government policy and national and local transport targets. The proposal has some explicit support in local policy documents. Although there will be some increase in travel options any realistic level of service improvement will not be enough to address the long travel times and low frequency of services and result in significant accessibility increases for destinations not currently served. Socially excluded sections of the local communities often have difficulty in accessing services at all and are not likely to benefit substantially from the possibility of accessing services at a great distance from their homes. Stage 1 AST: Option 1b(ii) Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Proposal Details Name and address of authority or organisation promoting the proposal: (Also provide name of any subsidiary organisations also involved in promoting the proposal) Proposal Name: SWestrans / Dumfries & Galloway Council, English Street, Dumfries, DG1 2HS STAG assessment by: Colin Buchanan, 21 Blythswood Square, Glasgow, G2 4BL Option 2 Name of Planner: reinstate Eastriggs Station Estimated Total Public Sector Funding Requirement: Alistair Speedie capital cost = £1,663,350.68 Proposal Description: annual revenue support = £0.00 estimated Present Value of Cost to Govt = £1,179,180.59 Funding Sought From: (if applicable) not applicable at this stage Amount of Application: not applicable at this stage Background Information Geographic Context: Eastriggs lies in Dumfries & Galloway. It has a population of around 1,500 and is a planned settlement 19 miles east of Dumfries and some 3 miles east of Annan. Originally built to provide housing for employees of a substantial munitions factory it lies in an otherwise largely rural area and now functions mainly as a dormitory location for jobs elsewhere. Social Context: According to the SIMD Eastriggs is somewhat deprived with poor scores for education and crime and very poor scores for geographic access due to the lack of locally available services. Though bus services to Carlisle are reasonable there is still a lack of access to key services, particularly for the users of non-car modes. Economic Context: Eastriggs has suffered some decline as activity at the munitions factory which it was built to serve has declined. These jobs have largely not been replaced locally with most employed Eastriggs residents now commuting to jobs elsewhere. Stage 1 AST: Option 2 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Planning Objectives Objective: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to / from the area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. Performance against planning objective: +1 The environmental benefits of mode shift are expected to slightly outweigh the environmental costs of additional stops on the existing passenger services. +1 Rail travel is safer than the alternatives and any poor perception of personal safety and security at small stations can be addressed using established techniques. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic +1 growth for Eastriggs. Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Proposed enhancements are expected to result in improvements for travellers to / from the Eastriggs area. +1 Increase the levels of accessibility to +2 employment, education and healthcare for the local population. The proposed enhancements are expected to result in improvements in access to employment, education and healthcare for the local population of the Eastriggs area. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. The proposal takes advantage of the existing passenger rail services and offers an increase in options for travel and connectivity for those in the Eastriggs area. Rationale for Selection or Rejection of Proposal: +2 This option scores well against the objectives and STAG criteria and is feasible, affordable and publicly acceptable and is being taken forward for further consideration. Stage 1 AST: Option 2 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Implementability Appraisal Technical: There are no significant technical issues associated with the implementation of this proposal. Operational: The proposal will probably require some ongoing subsidy but as this is foreseeable it is not a major barrier to operational feasibility. Financial: Public acceptability: The capital costs of this proposal are considerable and funding will have to be sought from Transport Scotland. Operating subsidy will be required and this cost is likely to need to be met by Dumfries & Galloway Council. Elements of this proposal have been made public and there is demonstrated public support. Stage 1 AST: Option 2 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report STAG Criteria Criterion Assessment Summary Supporting Information Environment: +1 The environmental benefits of mode shift are expected to slightly outweigh the environmental costs of additional stops on the existing passenger services. There should be no significant air quality or water quality related changes. Residents living near the station may suffer some increase in noise pollution but this should be manageable. Safety: +1 Rail travel is safer than the alternatives and any poor perception of personal safety and security at small stations can be addressed using established techniques. +1 Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth in the Eastriggs area. Though a small amount of mode shift is anticipated there is unlikely to be any measurable impact on traffic volumes or road congestion. Public transport users in the Eastriggs area will benefit from an increased level of service to a range of destinations. The proposal will help existing businesses by increasing the number of staff and customers which can reach them and may encourage new businesses to set up. Economy: Integration: +1 Accessibility and Social Inclusion: +1 The new station will increase the options for integrated trips, especially long distance trips for those travelling to / from the Eastriggs area. The proposal is in line with wider government policy and national and local transport targets and has explicit support in local policy documents. There will be a notable increase in accessibility for residents in the Eastriggs area but socially excluded sections of the population may not be able to take full advantage of the benefits due to high fare prices. Stage 1 AST: Option 2 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Proposal Details Name and address of authority or organisation promoting the proposal: (Also provide name of any subsidiary organisations also involved in promoting the proposal) Proposal Name: SWestrans / Dumfries & Galloway Council, English Street, Dumfries, DG1 2HS STAG assessment by: Colin Buchanan, 21 Blythswood Square, Glasgow, G2 4BL Option 3 Name of Planner: Option 1a and Option 2 combined Estimated Total Public Sector Funding Requirement: Alistair Speedie capital cost = £1,663,350.68 Proposal Description: annual revenue support = £68,673.20 Present Value of Cost to Govt = £2,334,092.00 Funding Sought From: (if applicable) not applicable at this stage Amount of Application: not applicable at this stage Background Information Geographic Context: Eastriggs lies in Dumfries & Galloway. It has a population of around 1,500 and is a planned settlement 19 miles east of Dumfries and some 3 miles east of Annan. Originally built to provide housing for employees of a substantial munitions factory it lies in an otherwise largely rural area and now functions mainly as a dormitory location for jobs elsewhere. Social Context: According to the SIMD Eastriggs is somewhat deprived with poor scores for education and crime and very poor scores for geographic access due to the lack of locally available services. Though bus services to Carlisle are reasonable there is still a lack of access to key services, particularly for the users of non-car modes. Economic Context: Eastriggs has suffered some decline as activity at the munitions factory which it was built to serve has declined. These jobs have largely not been replaced locally with most employed Eastriggs residents now commuting to jobs elsewhere. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Planning Objectives Objective: Minimise the environmental impact that transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to/from the area. Performance against planning objective: 0 Any small environmental gains achieved though mode shift have to be offset against the environmental costs of running bus services throughout the day when there are few passengers +1 Although the bus based part of this option is anticipated to have a neutral impact on this objective rail travel is safer than the alternatives and any poor perception of personal safety and security at small stations can be addressed using established techniques. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public +1 transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Increased public transport provision is expected to result in increases in tourism and slight economic growth in the Eastriggs area. Greater rail and bus network accessibility is expected to increase the attractiveness of the area as a whole to non-car based tourists. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Proposed enhancements are expected to result in notable improvements for travellers to / from the Eastriggs area. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. +2 Increase the levels of accessibility to +2 employment, education and healthcare for the local population. The proposed enhancements are expected to result in improvements in access to employment, education and healthcare for the local population of the Eastriggs area. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. The proposal takes advantage of the existing road and bus networks and passenger rail services and offers an increase in options for travel and connectivity for those in the Eastriggs area. Rationale for Selection or Rejection of Proposal: +2 This option scores well against the objectives and STAG criteria and is feasible and publicly acceptable. However, the high level of operating subsidy means that it is unlikely to be affordable in the long term and there is little extra benefit to be gained from the extra expenditure. Therefore this option is being rejected from further consideration. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Implementability Appraisal Technical: There are no significant technical issues associated with the implementation of this proposal. Operational: The proposal will require ongoing subsidy but as this is foreseeable it is not a major barrier to operational feasibility. The capital costs of this proposal are considerable and funding will have to be sought from Transport Scotland. Financial: Public acceptability: Considerable operating subsidy will be required and this cost is likely to need to be met by Dumfries & Galloway Council. Given the small additional benefits of this option it is unlikely that this level of operating subsidy can be justified. Elements of the rail based parts of this proposal have been made public and there is demonstrated public support. The bus based elements have not been made public but there are unlikely to be public acceptability issues. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report STAG Criteria Criterion Environment: Safety: Economy: Assessment Summary Supporting Information 0 Although the rail aspects of this proposal are anticipated to have a small positive benefit any small decreases in emissions achieved through mode shift must be offset against the increased emissions as buses run below capacity throughout the day. There are no significant air quality or water quality changes anticipated. Those living near the stations may suffer some increase in noise pollution but this should be manageable. +1 For the bus based element of this proposal significant safety gains are not anticipated as buses run on the road network where that the majority of safety issues in Dumfries & Galloway are found and it is difficult to ensure that people feel safe at remote bus stops, particularly late at night. With regard to the rail based element rail travel is safer than the alternatives and any poor perception of personal safety and security at small stations can be addressed using established techniques. +1 Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth in the Eastriggs area. Though a small amount of mode shift is anticipated there is unlikely to be any measurable impact on traffic volumes or road congestion. Public transport users in Eastriggs will benefit from an increased level of service to a range of destinations. The proposal will help existing businesses by increasing the number of staff and customers which can reach them and may encourage new businesses to set up. The enhanced bus services and new station will increase the options for integrated trips, especially long distance trips for those travelling to / from the Eastriggs area. Integration: +1 Accessibility and Social Inclusion: +1 The proposal is in line with wider government policy and national and local transport targets and the rail based aspects of it have explicit support in local policy documents. There is no explicit support for the bus based aspects but they are not contrary to expressed local policy. There will be a notable increase in accessibility for residents in the Eastriggs area. The socially excluded sections of the population may not be able to take full advantage of all of the benefits due to high fare prices but they should be able to access the bus based improvements readily. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 2 Part 2 ASTs A Part 2 AST for the option assessed at Part 2 can be found on the following pages. All costs are in 2002 prices. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Proposal Details Name and address of authority or organisation promoting the proposal: (Also provide name of any subsidiary organisations also involved in promoting the proposal) Proposal Name: SWestrans / Dumfries & Galloway Council, English Street, Dumfries, DG1 2HS STAG assessment by: Colin Buchanan, 21 Blythswood Square, Glasgow, G2 4BL Option 2 Name of Planner: reinstate Eastriggs Station Total Public Sector Funding Requirement (2002 prices): Alistair Speedie capital cost = £1,663,350.68 Proposal Description: annual revenue support = £0.00 Present Value of Cost to Govt = £1,179,180.59 Funding Sought From: (if applicable) not applicable at this stage Amount of Application: not applicable at this stage Background Information Geographic Context: Eastriggs lies in Dumfries & Galloway. It has a population of around 1,500 and is a planned settlement 19 miles east of Dumfries and some 3 miles east of Annan. Originally built to provide housing for employees of a substantial munitions factory it lies in an otherwise largely rural area and now functions mainly as a dormitory location for jobs elsewhere. Social Context: According to the SIMD Eastriggs is somewhat deprived with poor scores for education and crime and very poor scores for geographic access due to the lack of locally available services. Though bus services to Carlisle are reasonable there is still a lack of access to key services, particularly for the users of non-car modes. Economic Context: Eastriggs has suffered some decline as activity at the munitions factory which it was built to serve has declined. These jobs have largely not been replaced locally with most employed Eastriggs residents now commuting to jobs elsewhere. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Planning Objectives Objective: Performance against planning objective: Minimise the environmental impact that +1 transport has on the study area while balancing the demand for travel to / from the area. The environmental benefits of mode shift are expected to slightly outweigh the environmental costs of additional stops on the existing passenger services. Improve the safety of travel and improve the sense of safety felt by those who travel, especially vulnerable groups. +1 Rail travel is safer than the alternatives and any poor perception of personal safety and security at small stations can be addressed using established techniques. +1 Increased public transport provision is expected to result in slight increases in tourism and slight economic growth. Improve the levels and attractiveness of public transport in support of tourism and economic growth for Eastriggs. Improve journey times, reliability and punctuality +1 for people travelling to / from Eastriggs. Proposed enhancements are expected to result in improvements for travellers to / from the Eastriggs area. Increase the levels of accessibility to employment, education and healthcare for the local population. +2 The proposed enhancements are expected to result in improvements in access to employment, education and healthcare for the local population of the Eastriggs area. +2 The proposal takes advantage of the existing passenger rail services and offers an increase in options for travel and connectivity for those in the Eastriggs area. Capitalise on the potential opportunities for increasing travel options and connectivity to/from the study area. Rationale for Selection or Rejection of Proposal: This option was taken forward from Part 1 to Part 2 because it scored well against the objectives and STAG criteria and is feasible, affordable and publicly acceptable. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Implementability Appraisal Technical: There are no significant technical issues associated with the implementation of this proposal. Operational: The proposal will probably require some ongoing subsidy but as this is foreseeable it is not a major barrier to operational feasibility. Financial: Public acceptability: The capital costs of this proposal are considerable and funding will have to be sought from Transport Scotland. Operating subsidy will be required and this cost is likely to need to be met by Dumfries & Galloway Council. Elements of this proposal have been made public and there is demonstrated public support. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Environment Mitigation Options Included: (Costs & Benefits) 1. Standard measures to limit the detrimental impact of construction related dust. 2. Standard measures to limit the risks of groundwater contamination, particularly during the construction phase. 3. Standard enhancements to site drainage. 4. Standard measures to avoid disturbing wildlife during construction. 5. Small scale habitat enhancement to enrich the habitats surrounding the site and improve their wildlife value. Sub-criterion Qualitative Information Noise and Vibration Impact on local noise environment from trains pulling away form the station. Station siteing and noise barriers can reduce the impact. Vibration likely to be reduced due to stopping trains. Global Air Quality – CO2 Global air quality impacts are considered to be negligible due to the small number of trips involved Local Air Quality – PM10 and NO2 Water Quality, Drainage and Flood Defence Geology Biodiversity Visual Amenity Agriculture and Soils Cultural Heritage Landscape Monetised summary Monetary Impact Ratio Although implementation of the scheme will worsen air quality close to the station approach future PM10 and NO2 levels will still be lower than current levels and well below target levels. Surface water sources are not at risk. Groundwater sources could be at risk of contamination without mitigation. Without appropriate drainage water running off the new areas of hardstanding could cause small scale flooding. No significant impacts anticipated. No designated sites affected. No receptors significantly affected. No significant effects anticipated. No designated sites affected, minor benefit from a local history perspective. As railway line exists already impact on landscape will be negligible. Significance of Impact Noise – major Increase in people annoyed by noise Vibration –minor Decrease in people annoyed by vibration benefit Net change in CO2 emissions (tonnes) assumed to no benefit or impact: be zero PV1 = £0.00 All properties experiencing measurable levels of change are expected to have decreased levels of no benefit or impact PM10 and NO2 in future. Groundwater is potentially at risk, particularly during construction, but appropriate mitigation no benefit or impact measures are suggested to reduce this risk to an acceptable level. No designated sites or mineral reserves affected. no benefit or impact No designated sites or protected species affected. no benefit or impact No receptors significantly affected. no benefit or impact 0.5 Ha. Class 1/2/3 land affected at most. no benefit or impact Quantitative Information No designated sites affected. minor benefit No designated sites affected. no benefit or impact £0.00 N/A Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Safety Sub-criterion Item Qualitative Information Quantitative Information Accidents Change in Annual Personal Injury Accidents Although it is possible that there might be some very slight reduction in accidents associated with long trips and slight rise in accidents associated with junction turning movements on the approach the station these effects are considered to immeasurably small and acting to cancel each other out so that the overall effect on accident rates can be taken to be zero. negligible Change in Balance of Severity If anything it would be anticipated that high speed accidents will be replaced by lower speed accidents but, again the numbers involved are too small to assess meaningfully. negligible Total Discounted Savings Security PV2 = £0.00 No significant change in levels of actual security is anticipated. Those transferring from bus may experience slight increases in perceived security and those transferring from car slight decreases negligible Monetised summary £0.00 Monetary Impact Ratio N/A Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Economy (Transport Economic Efficiency) Subcriterion User Benefits Quantitative Information Item Qualitative Information Travel Time Rail travel offers advantages over both bus and car travel. Travel times by PT between eastriggsl and Glasgow would halve. Conversely minor delays to the rail timetable at Dumfries increase travel times for a much larger number of travellers. -£187,024.48 User Charges Users gain from reduced bus fares and parking charges but lose out due to greater increases in rail fares. -£608,851.67 £168,578.95 Vehicle Operating Costs Private Sector Operator Impacts Quality / Reliability Benefits Trains are perceived as offering higher quality and more reliable public transport provision than buses and the small number of passengers transferring from bus to train will benefit slightly. Investment Costs Cost to rail authorities of station construction. -£807,782.52 Operating & Maintenance Costs Train and station operating and maintenance costs. -£589,083.40 Revenues Fares gained by rail operator: £837,281.36. Fares lost by bus operator: £135,011.62 £702,269.74 Grant/Subsidy payments Construction cost grant: £807,782.52. Ongoing subsidy cost: £0.00 £807,782.52 Monetised summary Monetary Impact Ratio PV10 = -£514,110.86 -0.42 Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Economy (Wider Economic Benefits) Sub-criterion Item Qualitative information Quantitative information Wider Economic Benefits Agglomeration economies (WB1) It is anticipated that employment levels will increase and there will be a small, positive change in effective density and agglomeration economies. £4,831.47 annual benefit to businesses (2002 prices) Assuming one third of the annual benefits is realised in each of the three years after opening NPV £85,707.12 the new station and discounting. Increased output in perfectly competitive markets (WB3) Assumption is 10% of trips are business-related. £ 34.52 annually (2002 prices) Reliability gains negligible due to infrequent nature of rail services. NPV £612.33 Assuming one third of the benefit is realised in each of the three years after opening of the new station and discounting. Wider benefits arising from improved labour supply (WB4) Anticipated employment growth in the Eastriggs area and in the number of local people employed elsewhere. A preliminary assessment assumes total economic value of the increased local population. Assuming one third of the benefit is realised in each of the three years after opening of the new station and discounting. Monetised summary Monetary Impact Ratio £24,992 annually (2002 prices) NPV £443,354.43 PV14 = £529,36673.88 0.01 Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Economy (Economic Activity and Location Impacts) Sub-criterion Item Qualitative Information Economic Activity and Location Impacts Local Economic Impacts Assessment not required at this stage. Quantitative Information National Economic Impacts Distributional Impacts Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Integration Sub-criterion Transport Interchanges Item Qualitative Information Quantitative Information Services & Ticketing A very small number of travellers will benefit from being able to make direct rail journeys with a single ticket where they previously had to interchange and / or buy multiple tickets. Given the very, very small numbers of journeys involved and uncertainty in the data it is considered that these impacts are adequately captured by the TEE analysis. Negligible number of journeys affected, very minor benefit. Infrastructure & Information No benefits of note are to be gained here excluding those already captured by the TEE analysis. Negligible effects, no benefit or impact. Land-use Transport Integration Plans are compatible with National and Local Planning Policy, the Local Plans, Dumfries & Galloway’s Structure Plan, SWestran’s Regional Transport Strategy and the National Transport Strategy. Policy Integration Plans are compatible with disability, health, rural affairs and social inclusion policies. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Accessibility & Social Inclusion Sub-criterion Community Accessibility Comparative Accessibility Item Qualitative Information Quantitative Information Public Transport Network Coverage PT network coverage will virtually double with southbound services with a frequency approaching that of the existing bus service and northbound services with a better frequency. Direct trips to a number of extra destinations will become possible. PT catchments will not change. A very small number of trips will become easier as access to some remote destinations is facilitated. Bulk of effect relates to travel time and is considered to be captured by TEE analysis. Access to Other Local Services No significant impact on barriers to walking and cycling. No impact on walking / cycling catchments though the station itself may become an attractor. Distribution/Spatial Impacts by Social Group Groups with mobility difficulties are likely to experience slight gains as the new stations will incorporate modern provision for disabled users. Those without access to a car will also gain but those on low incomes may struggle to take full advantage of the new opportunities. No measureable effects anticipated. Distribution/Spatial Impacts by Area Those living on the approaches to the stations will be subject to the greatest disbenefits but will also gain the greatest benefits. No impact on sensitive areas. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) Summary of SEA outcome where appropriate SEA is not required. Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Cost to Public Sector Item Qualitative information Quantitative information Public Sector Investment Costs Investment will be through the private sector PV15 = £0.00 Public Sector Operating & Maintenance Costs These will accrue to the private sector PV16 = £0.00 Grant/Subsidy Payments In 2009 prices, grant = £1,983,290.24, subsidy = £0.00 PV17 = - £1,179,180.59 - £0.00 = - £1,179,180.59 Revenues revenue will accrue to the private sector PV18 = £0.00 Taxation impacts Annual loss in fuel tax revenue of £3815.11 PV19 = - £59,002.63 Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Monetised Summary Present Value of Transport Benefits PVB = 0.00 + £0.00 - £514,110.86 = -£514,110.86 Present Value of Cost to Government PVC = £0.00 + £0.00 - £1,179,180.59 + £0.00 - £59,002.63 = -£1,238,183.22 Net Present Value NPV = -£514,110.86 - £1,238,183.22 = -£1,752,294.08 Benefit-Cost to Government Ratio -0.42 ie. 42p of disbenefit for every £1 spent Benefit-Cost to Government Ratio (including WEBs) Ratio = 0.01 = (NPV - PVC + PV19)/[(PVC-PV19) x -1] Benefit-Cost to Funding Agency Ratio = (-£1,752,294.08 + £1,238,183.22 - £59,002.63)/[( -£1,238,183.22 + £59,002.63) x -1] = -0.48 ie. 48p of disbenefit for every £1 spent Stage 1 AST: Option 3 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 3 Noise and Vibration Report Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 EnviroCentre Craighall Business Park Eagle Street Glasgow G4 9XA Project Manager Emma Cormack Director David A Hay t 0141 341 5040 f 0141 341 5045 w www.envirocentre.co.uk e info@envirocentre.co.uk Offices Glasgow Report No 3663 Belfast Stonehaven Daresbury Status : Final Proposal No : 12748j Copy No : 0 Rev. No : 00 © EnviroCentre Limited March 2009 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background..............................................................................................................................1 1.2 Noise Assessment Scope ..........................................................................................................1 1.3 Vibration ..................................................................................................................................1 1.4 Report Objectives.....................................................................................................................1 2. Assessment Methodology .................................................................................... 2 2.1 Noise Assessment Methodology ................................................................................................2 2.2 Assessment Scenario................................................................................................................2 2.3 Noise Assessment Criteria.........................................................................................................2 3. Railway Noise Assessment .................................................................................. 4 3.1 Site Location ............................................................................................................................4 3.2 Railway Segment......................................................................................................................4 3.3 Train Type ...............................................................................................................................4 3.4 Train Reference Noise Level......................................................................................................5 3.5 Correction to Rolling Noise........................................................................................................5 3.6 Propagation..............................................................................................................................5 3.7 Conversion of SEL to LAeq ..........................................................................................................6 4. Results .................................................................................................................. 7 4.1 5. Noise Assessment Results.........................................................................................................7 Conclusions........................................................................................................... 8 List of Tables Table 2.1: Railway Noise Impact Significance ..............................................................................................3 Table 3.1: Railway Timetable Summary ......................................................................................................4 Table 3.2: Railway Vehicle Correction Factor ...............................................................................................5 Table 4.1: Noise Assessment Results ..........................................................................................................7 List of Drawings Drawing 12748j/ec/005 – Eastriggs Site Location Plan Appendices Appendix 1 Drawings k:\12748j - d&g stag\reports\working\noise\eastriggs noise assessment.doc © EnviroCentre Limited i Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs 1. March 2009 INTRODUCTION EnviroCentre has been appointed by Colin Buchanan to undertake a noise assessment to support a STAG appraisal for the proposed railway station at Eastriggs for Dumfries & Galloway Council. This assessment looks at the potential impact on the local noise climate from the proposed railway station at Eastriggs. 1.1 Background SWestrans and Dumfries & Galloway Council have aspirations to improve the transport links within the Dumfries and Galloway region by restoring rail service on the Glasgow and South Western (G&SW) main line to two communities, Thornhill and Eastriggs. Historically rail stations were located at these settlements but were subsequently closed. Current national and regional transport policies seek to improve connectivity and improve sustainability as well as contribute to regional environmental and road traffic reduction targets. The reopening of both stations is now being considered. In order for the stations to be reopened a STAG appraisal for each is required to support the proposals. The STAG process provides a clear and robust framework to identify potential transport interventions and covers such issues as the Environment, Safety, Economy, Integration and Accessibility and Social Inclusion. 1.2 Noise Assessment Scope The preliminary assessment examines the impact on noise levels between the current situation in which all trains (freight and passenger) pass the proposed site without stopping and the proposed situation in which passenger trains stop at a railway station. Therefore the only impact on the local noise environment is considered to be the noise associated with passenger trains pulling away from the proposed platform. 1.3 Vibration The principal source of vibration is associated with train movements. As trains already travel along the existing line, no new types of vibration are to be introduced by the proposed new station. Further, as the railway line is at capacity, no additional train movements are forecast. The impact of vibration generally increases with the speed of the moving train. As a proportion of the existing trains are proposed to halt at the station, the average speed of the trains at the station site will be less, thereby reducing the vibration impact. Based on the above discussion, no detailed assessment of the vibration impact is considered to be necessary. 1.4 Report Objectives This report details the preliminary noise assessment that was undertaken for the proposed railway station at Eastriggs. © EnviroCentre Limited 1 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 2. ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY 2.1 Noise Assessment Methodology The preliminary methodology for assessing the impact on the noise environment from the incorporation of a new train station at Eastriggs has been undertaken in accordance with the “Calculation of Railway Noise 1995” guidance document, published by the Department of Transport. The guidance document details the desk-based procedures to be followed for calculating noise from moving railway vehicles as defined in the Noise Insulation (Railway and other guided Transport Systems) Regulations 1995. In accordance with the Railway Noise Insulation Regulations this assessment methodology only considers noise from moving railway vehicles and does not include noise from stationary railway (or other relevant) vehicles or non-railway sources. The noise generated by the railway has been calculated using the prediction methodology which provides a total LAeq,18hr and LAeq, 6hr for the prevailing situation (current) without a railway station and the relevant (predicted) situation with the railway station scenarios. 2.2 Assessment Scenario The noise assessment has been designed to examine the difference between the current situation without the proposed railway station and the proposed situation with the railway station in operation. The following assumptions have therefore been made:Current Situation (Without the Railway Station) • All trains (freight and passenger) pass the proposed site at the maximum speed. Proposed Situation (With Railway Station) • All freight trains pass the proposed site at the maximum speed; • The passenger trains stop at the proposed railway station; and • It is considered that the greatest noise impact will be generated from trains pulling away from the railway station “on-power”. 2.3 Noise Assessment Criteria The Railway Noise Insulation Regulations establishes three tests to assess the requirement for noise insulation at sensitive receptors. These three tests (set out below) provide an assessment framework to quantify any impacts that may arise from traffic noise associated with the proposed railway station. • • The relevant noise level must be greater than 68 LAeq, 18hr or 63 LAeq, 6hr; The relevant noise level must be greater by at least 1.0dB(A) than the prevailing railway system noise (i.e. the total noise level from railway systems existing before the works to construct or improve the system were begun); and © EnviroCentre Limited 2 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs • March 2009 The relevant noise level must be greater by at least 1.0dB(A) than the total prevailing (i.e. without the proposal being implemented) railway system noise over a 15 year period. Predicted railway noise levels that fail to satisfy any one of the above three tests do not trigger the requirement for noise insulation measures at sensitive receptors. However, the number of tests where the noise level meets the stated criteria can be used to attribute noise impact significance as set out in Table 2.1 below. Table 2.1: Railway Noise Impact Significance Category Definition Insignificant Satisfies 0 out of 3 of the tests Minor Significance Satisfies 1 out of 3 of the tests Moderate Significance Satisfies 2 out of 3 of the tests Major Significance Satisfies 3 out of 3 of the tests Due to the increased noise level associated with trains pulling away from the station “onpower” it is considered that predicted railway noise levels at both sites at Eastriggs will satisfy the second and third bullets of the assessment criteria as follows:• The relevant noise level will be greater by at least 1.0dB(A) thant the prevailing railway system noise; and • The relevant noise level will be greater by at least 1.0dB(A) than the sum of the total prevailing railway system noise over a 15 year period. It is therefore predicted that the proposed railway station will have at least a MODERATE impact on local noise levels at both sites. In order to determine whether the railway station will have a Major impact the number of properties that will experience noise levels above 68dB will be considered at both sites. © EnviroCentre Limited 3 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 3. RAILWAY NOISE ASSESSMENT 3.1 Site Location Two locations (Site A and Site B) are being considered at Eastriggs as shown in Drawing 12748j/ec/005, Appendix 1. The railway line runs through a cutting approximately 2.5metres below existing ground level at Site B. The exact footprint of the proposed railway station has not been finalised however it will comprise two platforms; one on either side of the existing Glasgow and South Western (G&SW) main railway line. 3.2 Railway Segment As stated in Section 2.2, it is considered that the greatest impact on the local noise environment will be from trains pulling away from the proposed station. The section of the railway track immediately after the proposed railway station has therefore been modelled in order to assess the noise impact generated by this activity. For the purposes of the preliminary assessment the following assumptions have been made:• Passenger train south bound is “rolling” into the proposed station and the passenger train north bound is “on-power” as it pulls away from the station at an average speed of 20km/hr. All freight trains pass through this segment at full “rolling” speed. 3.3 Train Type RWA provided a train timetable for a 24 hour period from which the type as well as number of trains that passed the proposed station was abstracted. This information is provided below:- Table 3.1: Railway Timetable Summary Vehicle Maximum No of Cars Type Speed / Wagons Night Day Night Day 18 Wagons 0 2 3 9 20 Wagons 2 3 8 15 22 Wagons 4 9 0 0 2 car 1 13 0 12 Class 66 Diesel 96 km/h Locomotive Class 158 120km/h South Bound North Bound Day time is assumed to be between 0600 hours and 2400 hours and night time between 2400 hours and 0600 hours. RWA have indicated that the majority of wagons are for the transport of coal with the wagons running south containing loads and the ones running north being empty. This assumption has been applied to the noise model. The train time table identifies only one passenger train passing Eastriggs during the night-time period therefore it is considered that the impact on the local noise environment during the night time period will be minimal therefore the noise model has been run for the day time period only. © EnviroCentre Limited 4 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs 3.4 March 2009 Train Reference Noise Level For each different type of train the Reference Single Vehicle Sound Exposure Level (SEL) is calculated using the vehicle speed and following the method, detailed in the Calculation of Railway Noise (CRN) 1995. Where a complete train comprises a mixture of vehicles then the train is divided into two or more trains and a CRN vehicle source term correction is applied to each train type. This takes into account the different noise characteristics generated by different types of vehicles. The Reference Single Vehicle SEL also takes into account when a diesel locomotive is “on power” i.e. either accelerating or ascending a gradient. The correction factor for each vehicle is detailed below:Table 3.2: Railway Vehicle Correction Factor Vehicle Type Correction Factor (dB(A)) Class 66 Diesel Locomotive (Rolling) +13.0 HTA wagon loaded Hopper, 4 axel +7.1 HTA wagon empty Hopper, 4 axel +10.4 168 Turbostar DMU +7.6 *As no Correction Factor for Class 158 is available in relevant guidance the correction factor for a 168 Tubostar DMU has been used. 3.5 Correction to Rolling Noise The noise from a moving train is affected by the speed of the train as well as the track type, gradient, track curvature, the signalling system as well as the number of similar vehicles which comprise each train. For the purposes of the assessment the following assumptions have been made in relation to the above factors. Track type is assumed to be concrete sleepers and ballast therefore a correction factor • of -1.5dB has been applied to Site A. As Site B runs through a cutting no correction factor for ballast has been applied; The track runs level and straight therefore no correction factor has been applied for • gradient; • There is no signalling system in operation in the vicinity of the proposed site; and • The speed with out the railway station is assumed to be the maximum attainable or permissible speed for the train type. The passenger train speed with the railway station is assumed to be 20km/hr. 3.6 Propagation Corrections are given to allow adjustments to be made to take account of the actual distance of the reception point from the track, the nature of the ground between the track segment and the reception point, the effects of atmospheric absorption, the angle of view of the segment at the reception point as well as the influence of screening by barriers and topography etc. To take account of propagation the following assumptions have been applied to the noise model. • The distance has been calculated to provide a 68dB(A) predicted noise level; • A correction factor for air absorption has been applied to all “rolling” trains. No correction factor has been applied to the passenger train operating on “full power” i.e. accelerating away from the proposed train station; © EnviroCentre Limited 5 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs • March 2009 No correction factor has been applied as it has been assumed that the ground is tarmac / concrete; • A correction factor of -1.5 dB(A) has been applied for noise generated by aggregate ballast to all “rolling” trains. No correction factor has been applied to the passenger train operating on “full power” i.e. accelerating away from the proposed train station; • It is assumed that the angle of view will be perpendicular to the segment of track in consideration; and • It has been assumed that no barriers are present at Site A. A correction factor of 15.7dB has been applied to Site B to take account of the railway cutting. No other topographical feature has been applied to the model. 3.7 Conversion of SEL to LAeq To take into account the period over which the noise level is determined and the total number of trains of each type that operate in the appropriate time frame the calculated SEL values are converted to LAeq. Each LAeq is then combined for each train/track segment that comprise the total railway to provide a predicted noise level for day time and night time periods. © EnviroCentre Limited 6 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 4. RESULTS 4.1 Noise Assessment Results Table 4.1 below provides the noise assessment results for Site A and Site B. Table 4.1: Noise Assessment Results Modelled LAeq, 18hr Scenario dB(A) Distance (m) from track were LAeq, 18hr is predicted to be 68 dB(A) Current Scenario Proposed Scenario Site A 68 4.9 27.5 Site B 68 - - On comparison of the results against the assessment criteria in Section 2.3 the railway noise at each site can be summarised as follows:Site A The railway noise at Site A is predicted to be above 68dB(A) at source both with and without the railway station. The impact is therefore considered to be of MAJOR Significance. On comparison of the distances where the noise levels are greater than 68dB(A) it is noted that the noise generated by the activities at the proposed railway station have a larger distance of influence. However, as a result of its rural location only two houses (see Drawing 12748j/ec/005) are predicted to experience noise levels greater than 68dB(A) as they lie within 27.5 meters of the railway line. Site B The railway noise at Site B is predicted to be below 68dB(A) at source both with and without the railway station due to the presence of the shallow cutting. The impact is therefore considered to be of MODERATE Significance. © EnviroCentre Limited 7 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs 5. March 2009 CONCLUSIONS It is recommended that noise is taken forward as a design criterion for the final siteing and design of the station platform and buildings to ensure that any noise impact is minimised. Incorporation of noise barriers would also reduce the impact on the local noise environment. © EnviroCentre Limited 8 Dumfries & Galloway Council Noise Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 DRAWINGS © EnviroCentre Limited Notes Distance where noise levels are predicted to be 68 dB (A) from the Proposed Station. Proposed Platform B 27.5m Do not scale this drawing Proposed Platform A Rev Date Amendment Initials Craighall Business Park, Eagle Street, Glasgow, G4 9XA Tel: 0141 341 5040 Fax: 0141 341 5045 Client Scottish Transport Project Dumfries & Galloway STAG Title Eastriggs Site Location Plan Status FINAL Drawing No. Revision 12748j/ec/005 File path: K:\12748j - D&G STAG\Drawings and Figures\Cad\Current Scale A3 N.T.S Drawn SD Checked SD Date 01/04/2009 Approved EC Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 4 Local Air Quality Report Dumfries & Galloway Council ATMOSPHERICS ASSESSMENT: EASTRIGGS March 2009 EnviroCentre Craighall Business Park Eagle Street Glasgow G4 9XA Environmental Consultant Fiona Marchbank Project Manager Emma Cormack t 0141 341 5040 f 0141 341 5045 w www.envirocentre.co.uk e info@envirocentre.co.uk Offices Glasgow Report No 3632 Belfast Stonehaven Daresbury Status : FINAL Project No : 12748j Copy No : 0 Rev. No : 00 © EnviroCentre Limited March 2009 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................... 2 1.1 Background .......................................................................................................................... 2 1.2 Assessment Scope ................................................................................................................ 2 1.3 Report Objectives ................................................................................................................. 2 2. STAG Methodology............................................................................................... 2 2.1 DMRB Model......................................................................................................................... 2 2.2 STAG Air Quality Assessment................................................................................................. 2 3. Air Quality Assessment Inputs ............................................................................ 2 3.1 Site Surrounds ...................................................................................................................... 2 3.2 Modelled Scenarios ............................................................................................................... 2 3.3 Assessed Road Links ............................................................................................................. 2 3.4 Properties within Each Distance Band..................................................................................... 2 3.5 Traffic Flow Data .................................................................................................................. 2 3.6 Baseline Conditions ............................................................................................................... 2 4. Air Quality Assessment Outputs .......................................................................... 2 4.1 DMRB Model......................................................................................................................... 2 4.2 STAG Air Quality Assessment................................................................................................. 2 4.3 Conclusions .......................................................................................................................... 2 List of Tables Table 3.1: Approximate Number of Properties within each Distance Band (proposed platform) ................... 2 Table 3.2: Approximate Number of Properties within each Distance Band (alternative platform) ................. 2 Table 3.3: Estimated maximum background concentrations ...................................................................... 2 Table 4.1: Modelled Pollution Concentrations for Annan Road ................................................................... 2 Table 4.2: PM10, STAG Appraisal for the Proposed Platform (Site A) ........................................................... 2 Table 4.3 PM10, STAG Appraisal for the Alternative Platform (Site B) .......................................................... 2 Table 4.4: NO2 STAG Appraisal for the Proposed Platform (Site A)............................................................. 2 Table 4.5: NO2 STAG Appraisal for the Alternative Platform (Site B)........................................................... 2 Appendices © EnviroCentre Limited Appendix 1 Drawings Appendix 2 DMRB Inputs and Outputs Appendix 3 LAQ Spreadsheet Appendix 4 STAG Air Quality Worksheets i Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 List of Drawings Drawing 12748j/ec/003 – Site Location Plan Drawing 12748j/ec/004 – Distance Banding from proposed access road (Site A and Site B) © EnviroCentre Limited ii Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs 1. March 2009 INTRODUCTION EnviroCentre has been appointed by Colin Buchanan to undertake an atmospherics assessment to support a Scottish Transport Appraisal Guidance (STAG) appraisal on the proposals to construct a railway station at Eastriggs, Dumfries and Galloway. This assessment evaluates the potential impact on atmospherics from two alternative options for the location of the station. 1.1 Background SWestrans and Dumfries & Galloway Council have aspirations to improve the transport links within the Dumfries and Galloway region, by restoring rail service on the Glasgow and South Western (G&SW) main line to two communities, Thornhill and Eastriggs. Historically rail stations were located at these settlements but were subsequently closed. Current national and regional transport policies seek to improve connectivity and improve sustainability as well as contribute to regional environmental and road traffic reduction targets. As a result, the reopening of both stations is now being considered. In order for the stations to be reopened a STAG appraisal for each is required to support the proposals. The STAG process provides a clear and robust framework to identify potential transport interventions and covers such issues as the Environment, Safety, Economy, Integration and Accessibility and Social Inclusion. 1.2 Assessment Scope The range of atmospheric impacts that the proposed development may have include: Local air quality due to increased vehicle movements accessing the new station and the starting / stopping of trains at the station; Climate change; and Dust emissions during the construction phase. Due to the nature and scale of the proposed development, the impact on atmospherics is predicted to be negligible. Of the potential impacts, the greatest impact is likely to arise from the increase in vehicle movements accessing the station. In order to verify the above assumption, the level of impact associated with vehicle movements will be modeled following the STAG methodology. If the impact from vehicle movements is concluded to be negligible, the impact from train movements will also be inferred to be negligible without reference to specific modeling outputs. A similar approach will be adopted for short term construction impacts, which can effectively be controlled through the adoption of best practice on site. The air quality assessment has been undertaken in accordance with the STAG methodology on assessing the impacts on Local Air Quality at Part 2 Project Level. The methodology states that:- © EnviroCentre Limited 1 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 “Options for modes other than road traffic will have implications for road traffic on particular routes due to factors such as modal shift or the generation of additional traffic to transport nodes.” The STAG methodology goes on to state that an assessment of the change of PM10 and NO2 is to be made for all affected routes using the method described in DMRB 11.3.1. The exposure to properties within 200 meters of the affected road is to be assessed in relation to any impacts in air quality from the modal shift for “do-minimum” (i.e. without the development) and “dosomething” scenarios. 1.3 Report Objectives This report details the atmospherics assessment that was undertaken for the Eastriggs station. It provides technical information that supports the completion of the STAG worksheets for air quality assessment at STAG 2 Project Level. © EnviroCentre Limited 2 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs 2. March 2009 STAG METHODOLOGY The STAG methodology for assessing the impact on air quality from modal shifts, in this case the development of a new train station at Eastriggs, is undertaken in two steps as summarised below:• The number of properties exposed to the change in pollutant concentrations is quantified. A negative impact indicates an improvement in air quality due to the proposed option and a positive impact indicates a decrease in air quality due to the proposed option; and • Pollutant concentrations for the “do-minimum” and “do-something” scenarios are calculated for properties within 200m of the affected route for both the year of opening and a relevant future year; section 7 of the STAG Techinical Database states this to be fifteen years after construction. This calculation is to take into account the diminishing effects of pollution over distance. 2.1 DMRB Model Pollutant concentrations for the appropriate assessment years for the routes affected, for the “do-minimum” and “do-something” scenarios are calculated using the Local Air Quality (LAQ) Excel Spreadsheets according to the Design Manual for Roads & Bridges (DMRB) 11.3.1 air quality screening method. The LAQ spreadsheets are completed with the following information:• For each affected route, the properties are banded into distances from the affected route as follows:o Road centre to 50m from road centre; o 50m – 100m from road centre; o 100m – 150m from road centre; and o 150m – 200m from road centre. The number of properties within each band is entered into the LAQ spreadsheet. Beyond 200m the contribution of vehicle emissions from the road centre to local pollution levels is not considered significant; • The annual mean concentrations of NO2 and PM10 are calculated within each of these bands, for all affected routes, using the DMRB model (version 1.03c, July 2007). Concentrations are determined at 20m, 70m, 115m and 175m from the road centre to represent the average concentrations within each band. The DMRB model is run for the “do-something” scenarios. The pollutant concentrations are entered into the LAQ spreadsheet; • The LAQ spreadsheet calculates the impact on air quality using the equation: (Pollutant concentration at fixed location within a band) x (no of properties within that band); • The results for each band are added together to give a total exposure for each scenario. The spreadsheet will then calculate the overall impact by subtracting the © EnviroCentre Limited 3 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 “do-minimum” scenario value from the “do-something” value scenario for each pollutant. 2.2 STAG Air Quality Assessment The STAG air quality appraisal for the proposed railway station was undertaken by using the data from the LAQ spreadsheet to complete the STAG air quality worksheets: 1) A2: Local Air Quality – Project PM10; and 2) A3: Local Air Quality – Project NO2. The impacts on the local air quality by incorporation of the proposed railway station will be evaluated through consideration of the following indicators:• The change in the number of people / properties experiencing an increase / decrease in PM10 concentrations (µg/m3); • The change in the number of people / properties experiencing an increase / decrease in NO2 concentrations (µg/m3); and • The UK National Air Quality Objectives for PM10 and NO2 will be used to assess the relative magnitude of emissions exposure for each distance band. © EnviroCentre Limited 4 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs 3. March 2009 AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT INPUTS The following section details the information and assumptions that the air quality assessment for the proposed station at Eastriggs is based on. Due to the uncertainty in relation to calculation of the AADT (see Section 3.4 below) the assessment is considered to be very conservative. 3.1 Site Surrounds Both locations of the proposed railway station are situated on Annan Road (B721). Eastriggs lies to the south-west of the proposed platform and Lowthertown lies approximately 435m to the north-east of the proposed platform; Eastriggs is immediately south and Lowthertown lies 100m north of the alternative platform. See Drawing 12748j/ec/003, Appendix 1 for the site locations. Both of the potential sites will incorporate a site area on both sides of the existing Glasgow and South Western (G&SW) main line railway. The exact footprint of the proposed development has not been finalised however it will comprise two platforms; one on either side of the railway line. 3.2 Modelled Scenarios The air quality assessment modelled the following scenarios:- 3.3 • 2009 baseline; • 2009 with development; • 2024 baseline; and • 2024 projected conditions, with development. Assessed Road Links For local impact assessments the roads included in the calculations should be all those expected to make a significant contribution to pollution at the receptor location in question. The air quality assessment will therefore examine the impact on air quality specifically from the traffic accessing the stations via Annan Road. A digital scale ordnance survey (OS) map of the area surrounding the proposed site was used to calculate the distance bands and distance from road centre to centre of band as detailed in Section 2.1, using AutoCAD. 3.4 Properties within Each Distance Band The distance bands, as detailed in Section 2.1, are shown in Drawing 12748j/ec/004, Appendix 1. The approximate number of properties within each distance band from the proposed platform and the alternative platform are listed in Table 3.1 and Table 3.2, respectively. © EnviroCentre Limited 5 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 Table 3.1: Approximate Number of Properties within each Distance Band (proposed platform) Distance Band No of Properties Centre of road to 50m 2 50m to 100m 1 100m to 150m 15 150m to 200m 26 Total no of properties 44 Table 3.2: Approximate Number of Properties within each Distance Band (alternative platform) Distance Band 3.5 No of Properties Centre of road to 50m 13 50m to 100m 18 100m to 150m 79 150m to 200m 101 Total no of properties 211 Traffic Flow Data Traffic flow data for Annan Road with and without development was unavailable at the time of the assessment therefore the following assumptions were made based on information contained in the Inception Report (dated January 2009) produced by Colin Buchanan. The Inception Report provides a summary of background information for the proposed station which includes the findings of a letter drop survey conducted in 2001. The findings of this survey are detailed below:• In 2001, the combined population of Eastriggs and nearby Lowtherntown was 2,000; • 10% of respondents (assumed to be the entire population, i.e. 2,000) would use the station to access work opportunities; • An additional 38% would use the station for shopping and 28% for leisure; and • 80% of the potential Eastriggs station users indicated they would walk to the station; it is therefore assumed the remaining 20% would use motorised travel to access the station. Using the above information the percentage of the population that would use the station for work via motorised travel was calculated in order to provide traffic flow data for the “dosomething” scenario. The percentage of the population that would use the station for other reasons were discounted due to the uncertainty of use (i.e. every other day, once per week etc). It has been assumed that people commuting will be dropped off and picked up (vehicles therefore making two return trips to the station each day). This is likely to be an overestimate, but will take into account the uncertainty in use from the other types of station users. The traffic flow for both proposed stations is calculated as follows: 10% of 2,000 residents using the station to access work = 200; 20% of 200 residents using motorised travel to access the station = 40; and finally © EnviroCentre Limited 6 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 40 multiplied by 4 single car trips taken each day to the station = 160. Therefore the traffic flow has been calculated to be 160 trips per day; this figure has been taken as the average annual daily traffic (AADT) for the “do-something” scenario for both sites. Due to the lack of traffic flow data available, the current year (“do-minimum” scenario) is assumed to be zero. It has been assumed that 100% of traffic will comprise LGV and the maximum speed will be 48km/hr (30mph). 3.6 Baseline Conditions Baseline conditions were assessed using the air quality data available from the UK Air Quality Archive website (http://www.airquality.co.uk/archive/index.php). The background pollutant concentrations reported here have been taken from the Ordnance Survey (OS) kilometre grid square 325500, 566500. Table 3.3 provides the estimated maximum background concentrations used in this assessment for the 2009 and 2024 baseline scenarios. The year 2024 has been assessed as it is fiften years after 2009; this is in line with the STAG Technical Database. Forward projection of existing background pollution concentrations to future background concentrations has been made using methodologies outlined in LAQM.TG (03). These background concetrations are relevant to both proposed station locations as they lie within the same OS kilometre grid square. Table 3.3: Estimated maximum background concentrations Pollutant 2009 2024 Objective* 3 10.64 10.19 18 NOx 3 µg/m 6.37 5.21 N/A NO2 µg/m3 5.32 4.79 40 PM10 Units µg/m *UK National Air Quality Objectives As can be seen from the above table the urban background concentrations for all pollutants meet the required air quality objectives in both 2009 and 2024. The concentrations calculated for 2024 have decreased on comparison with the 2009 concentrations indicating that air quality of the Eastriggs area is projected to improve. It is assumed that the current traffic contribution to air quality impacts is negligible due to the rural location of the assessment area and low volume of traffic on Annan Road therefore the pollutant concentrations for the “do-minimum” scenario is assumed to be as detailed in Table 3.3 above. © EnviroCentre Limited 7 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 4. AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT OUTPUTS 4.1 DMRB Model The DMRB model was run for 2009 and 2024 “do-something” scenario for both sites with the results of the model runs provided in Table 4.1 below. The same DMRB assessment is appropriate for both proposed stations as they are located within the same OS kilometre grid swaure and therefore the background concentrations at each site do not vary. A copy of the DMRB input and output screens are provided in Appendix 2. Table 4.1: Modelled Pollution Concentrations for Annan Road Annual Mean Pollutant Year Distance Concentrations at Receptor (µg/m3) NOx NO2 PM10 6.37 5.32 10.64 2009 Up to 200m “do-minimum” (Background) 2009 20m 6.44 5.35 10.65 “do-something” 70m 6.39 5.33 10.64 115m 6.38 5.32 10.64 175m 6.37 5.32 10.64 2024 Up to 200m 5.25 4.60 10.32 “do-minimum” (Background) 2024 20m 5.30 4.62 10.33 “do-something” 70m 5.27 4.61 10.32 115m 5.25 4.60 10.32 175m 5.25 4.60 10.32 The PM10 concentrations across the four distance The outputs from the DMRB model indicate that there is a slight impact on air quality in the vicinity of both sites on comparison of the 2009 “do-minimum” with the 2009 “do-something” scenarios for all pollutants. For example, the NO2 annual mean in the 2009 “do-minimum” scenario is expected to be 5.32 µg/m3; this is expected to increase to 5.35 µg/m3 in the 2009 “do-something” scenario which shows a marginal increase in NO2 concentrations as a result of the development The same effect can be seen for 2024. However. on comparison of the 2009 “do-minimum” scenario with the 2024 “do-something” scenario, it is noted that the pollutant concentrations reduce which indicates that the overall trend will be for an improvement in air quality. In addition, in all scenarios, the concentrations meet the objectives of 40 µg/m3 and 18 µg/m3 for NO2 and PM10, respectively. © EnviroCentre Limited 8 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs 4.2 March 2009 STAG Air Quality Assessment The results of the STAG air quality assessment are provided in the following sections:Project PM10 The outputs from the LAQ spreadsheet for PM10 are provided in Worksheet A2: Local Air Quality – Project PM10, Appendix 4. Table 4.2 and Table 4.3 summarise the difference in exposure for each distance band for the proposed platform and alternative platform alternatively. Table 4.2: PM10, STAG Appraisal for the Proposed Platform (Site A) Distance No. of Bands Properties Difference in Exposure No. of Properties Opening Future Opening Opening year Future Year Opening (“min”) Year Year (“min”) (2009) (2009) v. Future (2009) (2024) v. Future (“some”) (“some”) Better Worse Better Worse Better Worse 0-50m 2 0.02 0.02 -0.62 0 2 0 2 2 0 50-100m 2 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0 0 0 0 2 0 100-150m 8 0.00 0.00 -2.56 0 0 0 0 8 0 150-200m 8 0.00 0.00 -2.56 0 0 0 0 8 0 0-200m 20 0 2 0 2 20 0 Table 4.3 PM10, STAG Appraisal for the Alternative Platform (Site B) Distance No. of Bands Properties Difference in Exposure No. of Properties Opening Future Opening Opening year Future Year Opening (“min”) Year Year (“min”) (2009) (2009) v. Future (2009) (2024) v. Future (“some”) (“some”) Better Worse Better Worse Better Worse 0-50m 9 0.09 0.09 -2.79 0 9 0 9 9 0 50-100m 29 0.00 0.00 -9.28 0 0 0 0 29 0 100-150m 44 0.00 0.00 -14.08 0 0 0 0 44 0 150-200m 111 0.00 0.00 -35.52 0 0 0 0 111 0 0-200m 193 0 9 0 9 193 0 On review of the impact on air quality from PM10 for the “do-minimum” and “do-something” scenarios for both Site A and Site B for 2009 and 2024 the following points are noted:• Two properties located within 50m of Site A are exposed to an increase in PM10 concentrations as a result of the “do-something” scenario. For Site B, nine properties are exposed to an increase in PM10 concentrations. The model predictions indicate that properties located between 50m to 200m from both station locations experience an impact on air quality for this parameter; • Although the traffic to and from both proposed railway stations will result in a slightly negative impact in PM10 concentrations in both 2009 and 2024 scenarios, the impact is considered to be negligible; • On comparison of the current situation without the railway station (2009 (min)) with the operational railway station in the future (2024 (some)), the © EnviroCentre Limited 9 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 assessment predicts that all properties will experience an improvement in PM10 concentrations in 2024 for both potential station locations. • As a result of a smaller number of properties located within 200m of Site A, traffic to this site is considered to have a lesser impact on air quality than traffic will have to Site B. Project NO2 The outputs from the LAQ spreadsheet for NO2 are provided in Worksheet A3: Local Air Quality – Project NO2, Appendix 4. Table 4.4 and Table 4.5 summarise the difference in exposure for each distance band for the proposed platform and alternative platform alternatively. Table 4.4: NO2 STAG Appraisal for the Proposed Platform (Site A) Distance No. of Bands Properties Difference in Exposure No. of Properties Opening Future Opening Opening year Future Year Opening (“min”) Year Year (“min”) (2009) (2009) v. Future (2009) (2024) v. Future (“some”) (“some”) Better Worse Better Worse Better Worse 0-50m 2 0.06 0.04 -1.40 0 2 0 2 2 0 50-100m 2 0.02 0.02 -1.42 0 2 0 2 2 0 100-150m 8 0.00 0.00 -5.76 0 0 0 0 8 0 150-200m 8 0.00 0.00 -5.76 0 0 0 0 8 0 0-200m 20 0 4 0 4 20 0 Table 4.5: NO2 STAG Appraisal for the Alternative Platform (Site B) Distance No. of Bands Properties Difference in Exposure No. of Properties Opening Future Opening Opening year Future Year Opening (“min”) Year Year (“min”) (2009) (2009) v. Future (2009) (2024) v. Future (“some”) (“some”) Better Worse Better Worse Better Worse 0-50m 9 0.27 0.18 -6.3 0 9 0 9 9 0 50-100m 29 0.29 0.29 -20.59 0 29 0 29 29 0 100-150m 44 0.00 0.00 -31.68 0 0 0 0 44 0 150-200m 111 0.00 0.00 -79.92 0 0 0 0 111 0 0-200m 193 0 38 0 38 193 0 On review on the impact on air quality from NO2 for the “do-minimum” and “do-something” scenarios for both 2009 and 2024 a similar trend is observed as seen for PM10 assessment as detailed below:• Four properties located within 100m to Site A are predicted to be exposed to an increase in NO2 concentrations, whereas for Site B, thirty-eight properties are exposed to an increase in NO2 concentrations. Properties located between 100m to 200m from both station locations are not predicted to experience an impact on air quality for this parameter; • Although the traffic to and from both proposed railway stations will result in a slightly negative impact in NO2 concentrations in both 2009 and 2024 scenarios, the impact is considered to be negligible; © EnviroCentre Limited 10 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs • March 2009 On comparison of the current situation without the railway station (2009 (min)) with the operational railway station in the future (2024 (some)), the assessment predicts that all properties will experience an improvement in NO2 concentrations in 2024 for both potential station locations. • It is clear that as a result of the smaller volume of properties located within 200m of Site A, traffic to this site is likely to have a lesser impact on NO2 concentrations compared with traffic flowing to Site B. 4.3 Conclusions In conclusion, it is considered that the proposed railway station locations at Eastriggs will have a secondary / induced influence on local air quality as a result of the additional traffic generated within the local vicinity of the site. Air quality in the area is considered to be very good; both NO2 and PM10 concentrations are well within their target values, with ongoing improvement predicted in future years. The increase in traffic movement will have an impact on air quality, but in magnitude it will be insignificant and the general trend of improving air quality will not be halted or reversed. As the impact from additional traffic movements has been concluded to be negligible, which is consistent with the predicted impact on atmospherics made at the screening stage, no further assessment of other atmospheric impacts is considered necessary. Local air quality during the construction phase (e.g. dust emissions) can be effectively protected by means of adopting best practice at a site level. Any impacts that do occur will only be short term. © EnviroCentre Limited 11 Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 APPENDIX 1 DRAWINGS © EnviroCentre Limited Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 APPENDIX 2 DMRB INPUTS AND OUTPUTS © EnviroCentre Limited Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 APPENDIX 3 LAQ SPREADSHEET © EnviroCentre Limited Dumfries & Galloway Council Atmospherics Assessment: Eastriggs March 2009 APPENDIX 4 STAG AIR QUALITY WORKSHEETS © EnviroCentre Limited Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 5 Water quality, drainage and flood defence report Dumfries and Galloway Council STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B Hydrology March 2009 EnviroCentre Craighall Business Park Eagle Street Glasgow G4 9XA Project Manager Rajinder Kumar Project Director Claire Thomson t 0141 341 5040 f 0141 341 5045 w www.envirocentre.co.uk e info@envirocentre.co.uk Offices Glasgow Report No 3637 Belfast Stonehaven Daresbury Project No: 12748J Copy No: 01 Rev. No : 00 Status : Final © EnviroCentre Limited March 2009 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Scope of Works..................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Scope of Report.................................................................................................................... 1 2. Methodology......................................................................................................... 1 3. Key Guidance........................................................................................................ 2 4. Information Sources ............................................................................................ 2 5. Consultation ......................................................................................................... 3 5.1 Dumfries and Galloway Council.............................................................................................. 3 5.2 Scottish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA)................................................................... 3 5.3 Drainage .............................................................................................................................. 3 6. Baseline Conditions.............................................................................................. 4 6.1 Site Description..................................................................................................................... 4 6.2 Proposed Site ....................................................................................................................... 4 6.3 Surface Water Drainage ........................................................................................................ 4 6.4 Sewers ................................................................................................................................. 4 6.5 Private Water Abstractions..................................................................................................... 5 6.6 Groundwater Vulnerability ..................................................................................................... 5 7. Potential Impacts................................................................................................. 6 7.1 Surface Water Run-off........................................................................................................... 6 7.2 Rail Drainage ........................................................................................................................ 6 7.3 Contaminated Discharges...................................................................................................... 7 8. Assessment........................................................................................................... 8 8.1 Surface Water Run-off........................................................................................................... 8 8.2 Rail Drainage ........................................................................................................................ 8 8.3 Contaminated Discharges...................................................................................................... 8 9. Residual Effects.................................................................................................. 10 10. Summary and Conclusions................................................................................. 11 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited i Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Appendices Appendix A – Scottish Environmental Protection Agency, Letter dated 5 March 2009 Appendix B - Proposed Site Layout Plan Appendix C - Site Photographic Record Appendix D – STAG - Appraisal Summary Table, Worksheet A1 – Eastriggs Site A and B i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited ii Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Scope of Works March 2009 An assessment of the potential impacts of the proposed development of the new Eastriggs railway station, at either site A and B in Dumfries and Galloway, to the water environment has been undertaken by EnviroCentre Ltd on behalf of Colin Buchanan for a STAG assessment for Dumfries and Galloway Council. 1.2 Scope of Report This report provides supporting information to the matrix assessment in respect of surface water, groundwater and hydrogeology. 2. METHODOLOGY The following methodology has been used to assess the potential impacts of the development to the water environment in terms of surface water, groundwater, and hydrogeology: • Desk based review of available information, and design of the proposed works in relation to any local watercourses; • Consultation with stakeholders; • A walkover survey of the site, undertaken on the 20 January 2009; • Evaluation of baseline conditions at the site; • Assessment of site activities and their potential impacts on the water environment; and • Identification of mitigation measures for these activities, if required. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 1 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 3. March 2009 KEY GUIDANCE A range of guidance is available highlighting good practice applicable to the proposed Eastriggs Railway Station development (Sites A and B): • Scottish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) – National Water Quality Classification, published annually (for river quality, coastal waters, lochs and estuaries); • Scottish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) – Policy 19 : Groundwater Protection policy for Scotland (2003); and • 4. Scottish Government – Scottish Planning Policy (SPP7) – Planning and Flooding (2004). INFORMATION SOURCES A range of information sources are available, applicable to the proposed Eastriggs Railway Station development: • Dumfries and Galloway Council – Biennial Flood Reports (1st to 6th editions); • Scottish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) – Groundwater Vulnerability maps and policy statements; and • Scottish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) – Indicative Flood Maps. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 2 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 5. March 2009 CONSULTATION As part of the assessment the following organisations have been consulted to ensure that any issues related to the water environment that they may have are addressed within the assessment, and to obtain any data they may hold in relation to the sites. 5.1 Dumfries and Galloway Council Dumfries and Galloway Council have yet to provide comment in regards to any potential impacts associated with the new railway station. Dumfries and Galloway Council’s Biennial Flooding Reports have been reviewed. There are no reports of flooding in the general area, but there are reports of flooding to agricultural land due to the volume of rainfall, however not specifically at the site. 5.2 Scottish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) Information and plans have been provided to SEPA. Their response, dated 5 March 2009 is contained within Appendix A. They confirm they have no objections in regards to the proposed development on flood risk grounds. SEPA would expect Dumfries and Galloway Council to deal with flooding related issues as the Flood Prevention Authority. As confirmed by SEPA, SEPA’s flood map indicates that the proposed site is not within the indicative floodplain of the nearest river in the area. The closest watercourse is the Dornock Burn located approximately 770 m to the east of the site, which flows in a north to south direction eventually discharging in the Solway Firth. The Solway Firth is located approximately 1.4 km to the south of the site. SEPA records indicate classification of the Dornock Burn is a good (A2) water quality watercourse. There are no likely impacts to any watercourses as these are located significantly outwith the vicinity of both sites. 5.3 Drainage There is no known drainage within the site as is a Greenfield site mainly used for agricultural purposes. To date, it is not confirmed if there is any field drainage within the site area. Scottish Water has still to be consulted in regards to any apparatus within the site area. From local knowledge, a combined sewer surcharges within an area to the south of the site. To date, no information has been obtained. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 3 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 6. BASELINE CONDITIONS 6.1 Site Description March 2009 Both sites are located within the town Eastriggs, in Dumfries and Galloway. Site A is located approximately 146 m to the north of the main B721 and is located adjacent to an existing stone arch bridge over the existing railway line. Site B is located approximately 550 m to the east of Site A and is also adjacent to the railway line. Access to Site B can be gained by a stone arch bridge on Central Road, north of the B721. Site A and B are currently greenfield sites, which consist of open fields used for agricultural purposes. 6.2 Proposed Site It is proposed that a platform is constructed approximately 100 m in length along the railway line to the south of the track. In addition, an area for 10-12 car parking spaces with an access track to the new car park is anticipated. The Proposed Site Layout plan is contained within Appendix B, however there is no information in regards to the layout at Site B. 6.3 Surface Water Drainage As stated in section 5.3, there is no known surface water drainage within the site area. The Site Photographic Record is contained within Appendix C. It is likely that there is existing drainage within the railway tracks to collect any surface water on the main railway line, however to date no information has been received. 6.4 Sewers From local knowledge, Site A contains a combined sewer which runs in a north east to south west direction, within a boggy wet grassland area, fenced off from livestock. It is reported that in heavy rainfall this sewer surcharges and floods within this area. It is unlikely that this combined sewer will have any impact on Site A as is located to the south, away from the site and will have no impact to the proposed site layout. However, the Scottish Water should be consulted in regards to this and the exact location and line of the sewer requires being determined. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 4 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 6.5 March 2009 Private Water Abstractions The bedrock aquifer noted is the Dumfries Bedrock including extensive sand and gravel. It is unlikely that there will be any impact to these private water abstractions, as any hydrological features are located some distance away from the site. 6.6 Groundwater Vulnerability The groundwater vulnerability map available from SEPA’s website indicates this area to be of high groundwater vulnerability and is noted as 4b in accordance with SEPA’s classification scheme. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 5 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 7. March 2009 POTENTIAL IMPACTS This section describes the potential impacts of the new proposed railway station on the water environment in and around the site during the construction and post construction of the development. 7.1 Surface Water Run-off During and post construction there will be an increase in surface water runoff in wet weather, due to the introduction of hardstanding areas. This will increase the rate and volume of surface water runoff entering into the existing railway drainage system, within the track. This increase in surface water runoff, although it does not represent an overall change in the water balance of the site, may affect the following: 7.2 • Flow patterns for runoff from rain falling on the site; • Volume of water potentially exposed to pollution; • Volume of water requiring management and treatment prior to discharge; and • Volume of water discharging into the existing sewer. Rail Drainage The railway drainage is likely to be privately owned and maintained by Network Rail. There are existing manhole covers along both sides of the railway track, located within the permeable stone. It is likely there is a perforated pipe which collects any surface water on the track to prevent flooding or ponding. An increase in hardstanding associated with the platform will result in an increase in surface water volume. These drainage systems may overflow should there be a lack of capacity and may result in flooding on the railway track. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 6 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 7.3 March 2009 Contaminated Discharges During the construction and operation of the site, there is also risk of accidental chemical contamination arising from the following sources: • Spillage or leakage of oils and fuels stored on site; • Spillage or leakage of oils and fuels from construction machinery or site vehicles; • Spillage or leakage of oils and fuels from refuelling machinery on site; and • The use of concrete for hard-standing areas. The principal risk on site is posed by refuelling activities during all phases of the development. There will be a risk of pollution from site traffic through the accidental release of oils, fuels and other contaminants from vehicles during the construction phase of the site area. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 7 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 8. March 2009 ASSESSMENT In this section mitigation measures are proposed to address the significant potential impacts identified in Section 7, in accordance with the Appraisal Summary Table, Worksheet A1, within Appendix D. 8.1 Surface Water Run-off The increased surface water run-off will put additional pressure on the drainage. Therefore it may be a requirement to upgrade the existing drainage infrastructure, to prevent any flooding or ponding on site. The following methods may be adopted: • Upgrading the existing drainage infrastructure, includes upsizing pipes and manholes; and • Using sustainable drainage systems (SuDS) to attenuate additional flows during heavy rainfall. In addition, these associated hardstanding areas will change the current surface water runoff drainage patterns on site, as the site is currently permeable. There is an increase in surface water run-off and change in drainage patterns. These can be accommodated using sustainable drainage systems and collected to prevent any flooding or ponding, outwith and within the proposed development. There will be no major changes to the existing topography of the site. 8.2 Rail Drainage As above it is likely that the existing drainage can be designed to accommodate surface water run-off to the rail drainage. The methods described in Section 8.1 above can be adopted to prevent any overflow, flooding and ponding on the railway track. 8.3 Contaminated Discharges During construction site traffic will continue to operate through the site. There remains a small risk of oils, fuels and other contaminants running off the site vehicles. Oil or fuel spills will be dealt with according to documented site emergency procedures and mitigation measures below, which constitute best practise guidelines: • The drains and silt traps will be inspected regularly and cleaned out as necessary; • Oils and fuels will be stored in a covered, bunded area on a low permeability base to prevent infiltration; • There will be a designated refuelling point in the site compound, within an impermeable bunded area; • Emergency spillage procedures will be put in place; i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 8 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway • March 2009 When transporting any concrete, measures will be in place to reduce the risk of splashing, including an accident plan to be implemented in the event of spillage; • Runoff from any stockpile areas will be diverted through a silt trap or buffer zone prior to discharge to the existing sewers to reduce sediment loadings entering the system; • Any mobile refuelling vehicles will be fitted with drip trays and regularly maintained; • Oil and fuels will be stored on site in a designated bunded area (secondary containment system) on an impermeable surface and isolated from surface water drainage systems; • Drip trays will be used while refuelling; • Regular inspection and maintenance of vehicles, tanks and bunds will be undertaken; and • Any oil /fuel tanks will be fully drained before they are taken out of use or removed by suitably qualified technicians. The risk of polluting the water environment from the operating equipment is limited. As part of the standard operations procedures, monitoring and maintenance will be carried out to minimise these risks to acceptably low levels of likelihood and severity. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 9 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 9. March 2009 RESIDUAL EFFECTS STAG criteria’s residual impacts resulting of the mitigation of potential impacts are summarised within the Appraisal Summary Table, Worksheet A1, within Appendix D. STAG Criteria residual effects can be considered to be of no benefit or impact, moderate cost or negative impact or major significance. Only these residual effects that are moderate cost /major cost are considered to be significant. This assessment relies on professional judgement rather than any scoring of the criteria. The majority of the residual impacts of the proposed works are considered to be no benefit or impact given the appropriate level of mitigation measures recommended and in some cases will improve the existing conditions. However, moderate cost or negative impact effects are predicted due to the increase in hardstanding areas. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 10 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway 10. March 2009 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS The potential impacts of the proposed development are highest during the construction phase of the project, when excavation and construction will result in an increased risk of pollution to surface and ground water. These impacts are short term and can be minimised through the adoption of the mitigation measures and good practise. Impact on the watercourses out with the site are predicted to be of low significance as are indicated to be out with the 1 in 200 year envelope and as such is at low risk of flooding. Therefore, in terms of flooding there are no anticipated risk of flooding to site’s A and B at Eastriggs. i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 11 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Appendix A Scottish Environmental Protection Agency Letter dated 5 th March 2009 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 12 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 13 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 14 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 15 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Appendix B Site Location Plan i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 16 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 17 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Appendix C Site Photographic Record i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 18 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Plate 1 Plate 2 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 19 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Plate 3 Plate 4 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 20 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Plate 5 Plate 6 i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 21 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway March 2009 Appendix D STAG – Appraisal Summary Table Worksheet A1 Eastriggs Site A and B i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited 22 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway Proposal Name Existing & Future Water Issues: Location1 Water Use2 March 2009 Worksheet W1: Water Quality, Drainage & Flooding - Strategic / Project Level Assessment Date: 22/01/09 STAG assessment – Eastriggs (Site A) Pluvial flooding within site Resource Quality / Status3 Objectives4 Scale it Matters5 Potential Impacts Timescales: When / Duration - - - Ease of Substitution6 Uncertainty7 Mitigation Potential - - Impact Significanc e Assessme nt8 Surface Waters9 None - Poor / Good SEPA Post surface water run-off - Poor SEPA Low Medium wet weather Moderate Sewers - Poor SW Low Low wet weather Low Rail drainage Groundwater10 - Fair Rail / SEPA Medium High wet weather Moderate Vulnerability - Good SEPA Medium Low wet weather - Aquifers abstraction Good Land Drainage / Flood Defence SEPA Low Low - - - - Low Some - Low Low Low Low Medium Low None - - - - - - - - - Flood Defence - - - - - - - - - Flood Risk Key Assumptions: - - - - - - - - - i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited No benefit or impact Moderate cost or negative impact No benefit or impact Moderate cost or negative impact No benefit or impact No benefit or impact No benefit or impact No benefit or impact No benefit or impact 23 Colin Buchanan Associates for STAG STAG - Proposed Railway Station at Eastriggs, Site A and B, Dumfries and Galloway Proposal Name Existing & Future Water Issues: Location1 Water Use2 March 2009 Worksheet W1: Water Quality, Drainage & Flooding - Strategic / Project Level Assessment Date: 22/01/09 STAG assessment – Eastriggs (Site B) No water issues witnessed on site. Resource Quality / Status3 Objectives4 Scale it Matters5 Potential Impacts Timescales: When / Duration - - - Ease of Substitution6 Uncertainty7 Mitigation Potential - - Impact Significance Assessment8 Surface Waters9 None - Poor / Bad SEPA Post surface water run-off - Poor SEPA Low Medium Sewers - Poor SW Low Low Rail drainage Groundwater10 - Fair Rail / SEPA Medium High wet weather Vulnerability - Good SEPA Medium Low wet weather Aquifers abstraction Good Land Drainage / Flood Defence SEPA Low Low wet weather - - Moderate Low Low Some - Moderate - Low Low Low Low Medium - - - Low none - - - - - - - - - Flood Defence Flood Risk/ Maps Key Assumptions: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - i:\15774x_dumfries & galloway stag appsl lot 2 & 3\3. project\3.1 reports\stag report eastriggs station a and b - hydrology.doc © EnviroCentre Limited No Benefit or Impact Moderate cost or negative impact No Benefit or Impact Moderate cost or negative impact No Benefit or Impact No Benefit or Impact No Benefit or Impact No Benefit or Impact No Benefit or Impact 24 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 6 Biodiversity and habitat report Dumfries & Galloway Council PHASE 1 HABITAT SURVEY: EASTRIGGS February 2009 EnviroCentre Craighall Business Park Eagle Street Glasgow G4 9XA Project Manager Dr. Andy McMullen Project Director Steve Jackson t 0141 341 5040 f 0141 341 5045 w www.envirocentre.co.uk e info@envirocentre.co.uk Offices Glasgow Belfast Report No: 3630 Stonehaven Daresbury Status: Final Project No: Copy No: Rev. No: 12748J 1 00 © EnviroCentre Limited February 2009 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs February 2009 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Remit ................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Aim and objectives................................................................................................................ 1 1.3 Scope of the report ............................................................................................................... 1 1.4 Brief development description................................................................................................ 1 2. Methodology......................................................................................................... 2 3. Results .................................................................................................................. 3 3.1 Site description and habitats.................................................................................................. 3 3.2 Notable species..................................................................................................................... 3 4. Site and habitat evaluation.................................................................................. 4 5. Impact assessment .............................................................................................. 6 6. Mitigation and enhancement............................................................................... 7 7. Conclusions .......................................................................................................... 8 Appendices Appendix A: Phase 1 Habitat Map Appendix B: Target Notes Appendix C: Plant species list 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited i Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Remit February 2009 This report describes and discusses the findings of a Phase 1 Habitat Survey undertaken at the site of the proposed railway station at Eastriggs, in Dumfries and Galloway. This survey was undertaken by EnviroCentre on behalf of Colin Buchanan for Dumfries & Galloway Council. 1.2 Aim and objectives The aim of a Phase 1 Habitat Survey is to describe and/or map the habitats and species within an area with the objective of determining the presence or absence of habitats, species and/or other features of interest to nature conservation. 1.3 Scope of the report This report details the method used to undertake the survey and this is followed by a description of the site and the different habitats, species and other ecological features of interest present there. The presence of specific species or groups of species (communities), of conservation interest is then discussed after an assessment of the conservation value of each habitat is undertaken. Potential ecological impacts on and around the site are then highlighted in the final section and a series of recommendations are made to mitigate the effects of these. The appendices include ‘Target Notes’ that locate and describe specific features on the site and a plant species list. 1.4 Brief development description Two separate sites are currently proposed for the location of the Eastriggs station (see Figure 1). The more westerly of these (referred to as Site 1 within this report) is situated to the south of the railway where it will be accessed from an unclassified, minor road to the west of the Eastriggs conurbation. To the east, the alternative site (referred to as Site 2 within this report) is situated on north side of the railway where it borders the northern perimeter of Eastriggs. This latter site is accessed from the hamlet of Lowthertown by a minor road adjoining the A75. 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 1 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs 2. February 2009 METHODOLOGY This section of the report describes the method used during the course of the survey and subsequent assessment of the value of the habitats and species. The method adopted accords to the standard approach and best practice guidelines respectively developed by the Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC) 1 and the Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management 2 . The objectives of the field survey and subsequent reporting are to: 1. produce a map of habitats for the sites and a buffer zone of 100m around each; 2. ‘target note’ the nature of specific areas or features of ecological interest; 3. obtain initial records of species of flora and fauna occurring within those habitats; 4. evaluate the nature conservation value of the habitats on the site; 5. provide a provisional impact assessment for nature conservation (subject to the need for any additional surveys); and to 6. provide recommendations for mitigation and further survey. In order to meet these objectives the site was walked and viewed from appropriate vantage points to facilitate the mapping and identification of the habitats and plant species present within its boundaries. The survey was undertaken on the 18th of January, 2009 a sub-optimal time of year because many plant species are inconspicuous or unidentifiable at the time of the survey. In addition, some animal and bird species that are only active over the summer months will have vacated the site or become inactive and difficult to detect (bats and insects, for example). A set of ‘Target Notes’ to locate and describe specific areas or features of ecological interest was also produced and these are included in Appendix B. Despite the seasonal shortcomings described above it is considered that sufficient information was gathered to make a satisfactory assessment of the habitats and the potential for their use by notable faunal species. The assessment of the value of the habitats follows the standard Phase 1 method1 with cognisance of relevant local, national and international conservation legislation and initiatives. Nomenclature for all plant species follows The New Flora of the British Isles 3 and for birds, the British List maintained by the British Ornithological Union (http://www.bou.org.uk/recbrlst1dna.html). The habitats are described according to the standard nomenclature and descriptions developed by the JNCC for the purposes of Phase 1 Habitat Survey1. 1 Joint Nature Conservation Committee 2003 Handbook for Phase 1 habitat survey. Revised reprint. Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management 2006 Guidelines for Ecological Impact Assessment in the United Kingdom. Available online at http://www.ieem.org.uk/ecia/index.html. 3 Stace, C.A. 1991 New Flora of the British Isles. Cambridge University Press. 2 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 2 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs February 2009 3. RESULTS 3.1 Site description and habitats The two sites proposed for the Eastriggs station are situated within a wider area that is used for either agricultural or urban purposes. All of the habitats are therefore highly modified or created by human activity and no semi-/natural habitat was recorded within the boundaries of the two sites or the buffer zone. The habitats that were recorded are listed in Table 1 together with their standard code. Table 1: List of habitats and their standard codes recorded within the proposed railways station sites and their environs. Code Habitat Name A2.1 Dense scrub B4 Improved grassland B5 Marshy grassland C3.1 Tall ruderal J2.2 Species-poor, intact hedgerow The area of scrub is very small (<1 ha) and it is adjacent to a dwelling where it will remain unaffected by the development because it is situated within the buffer zone (rather than the site itself) on the opposite side of the minor road leading to the entrance of Site 1. It is composed of immature birches and hawthorn. Improved grassland is the most widespread habitat within the sites’ boundaries, buffer zones and environs and both sites of the proposed station are situated wholly within this type of habitat. It is heavily grazed and this has resulted in the creation of a short, closely-cropped sward of low species diversity in which Perennial Rye-grass is dominant although Common and Creeping Bents, Daisy and Yorkshire Fog are all frequent to occasional associates. This low diversity of species is added to only by the presence of Soft Rush to the north of Site 1 where a stand of marshy grassland (Target Note 3) is situated within the buffer zone on the opposite side of the railway track to the proposed station. A stand of tall ruderal vegetation dominated by Rosebay Willow-herb with an occasional understorey of Ground Ivy is situated next to the bridge, adjacent to the entrance to Site 1, where it is protected from grazing by livestock. This entrance to Site 1 will breach a species- poor but relatively intact hedge of Hawthorn, with occasional Honeysuckle, that runs along the eastern side of the unclassified road. 3.2 Notable species No signs or sightings of notable species were made during the course of the survey and the habitats present are unlikely to support anything other than relatively common bird species. These birds may nest in the hedgerow, scrub and/or tall ruderal vegetation and utilise these and the other habitats listed above for feeding according to their specific requirements. 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 3 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs 4. February 2009 SITE AND HABITAT EVALUATION Despite the relatively rapid and superficial nature of a Phase 1 Habitat Survey it is possible to categorise sites and or habitats on a three-point scale as follows: 1. Site of high conservation priority; 2. Site of lower conservation priority; and 3. Site of limited wildlife interest. This evaluation is based on the data collected during the survey according to the principles and criteria established in “A nature conservation review”4 , “Wildlife conservation evaluation”5 and “Guidelines for the selection of biological SSSIs”6 . using the following characteristics of the habitats: • Naturalness; • Diversity; • Rarity of species and/or habitats; • Size of site or its habitats; and the • Spatial relationships between the habitats (within and beyond the site). The habitats within the boundaries of both sites and the buffer zone have been highly modified by human activity. In the case of the grassland areas, these have been improved by a combination of re-seeding, fertilisation and a high level of grazing (and presumably by the clearance of the original forest habitat as Neolithic agricultural techniques became established in the area). The prominence of hawthorn within the hedgerow and absence of other woody species indicates that it was deliberately planted as a stock-proof barrier, rather than created from the original woodland habitat by supplementary planting. The scrub vegetation adjacent to the dwelling is also of secondary origin, as evidenced by the immaturity of the growth and its basis within pasture. Likewise, the tall ruderal vegetation is of secondary origin and it was probably provided with an opportunity to establish during construction of the adjacent road bridge and/or railway. The intensive management of these habitats, or their deliberate creation, has resulted in a low diversity of species that have been selected for their utility (as pasture or hedgerow) or selfselected for their ability to rapidly establish on disturbed sites, in the case of the tall ruderal vegetation. This utility or the ruderal nature of the species recorded has resulted in their widespread presence throughout the UK and beyond so that they, and the habitats that they form, are very common and widespread and lacking in any distinction. Their widespread nature means that they form an extensive matrix in which other, more distinctive and valuable habitats (in terms of nature conservation) are situated. Passage between these more valuable habitats by species will therefore not be comprised the the 4 Ratcliffe, D.A. (ed.) 1977 A nature conservation review. Cambridge University Press. Usher, M.B. (ed.) 1986 Wildlife conservation evaluation. Chapman & Hall, London. 6 Nature Conservancy Council 1989 Guidelines for the selection of SSSIs. NCC, Peterborough. 5 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 4 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs February 2009 development of either of the proposed station sites because alternative routes for passage are readily available. The one minor exception to this will be the breach within the hedgerow to create access for Site 1. However, this is unlikely to markedly affect its connectivity for species such as bats or birds that utilise such linear features for feeding and/or navigation. As a result of the unnatural, species-poor and widespread nature of the habitats to be impacted by the two proposed stations it is concluded that their wildlife value and significance to nature conservation is (extremely) limited. As a consequence of this low value, it is not recommended that any further, more detailed surveys are undertaken. 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 5 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs 5. February 2009 IMPACT ASSESSMENT The habitats to be affected by either of the two proposed alternatives will be permanently and significantly altered from the current situation (these habitats are improved grassland, and species-poor hedgerow, in the case of Site 1). In addition to the permanent transformation of this habitat, there will also be a period of relatively continuous, increased disturbance (in relation to the current passage of rail traffic) to adjoining areas during the construction phase, in the short term through the effects of noise, vibration and potentially, lighting. Operation of the site will extend the increased level of disturbance arising during the construction phase into the long-term through the increased level of road and pedestrian traffic to and from the station and by the installation of additional lighting. This disturbance during the operational phase will be of a lower intensity and more intermittent than that which will be experienced during the construction phase. Given the low wildlife value of the habitat to be lost to the development or disturbed by its construction and/or operation the significance of the impacts is expected to be very low and related primarily to effects on the use of the area by common bird species. 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 6 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs 6. February 2009 MITIGATION AND ENHANCEMENT As already discussed, the impacts arising from the development of either site are considered to be low. The adoption of the following mitigation measures will reduce these impacts further. • Clear the hedgerow habitat during the period of September to February to prevent the loss of breeding birds or their young (a criminal offence) or hibernating bees. This measure is relevant to Site 1 only. In addition to mitigation the following measures may be used to enhance the ecological value of the station: • Consider enhancement of the hedgerow habitat (especially if this is to be removed) by supplementary planting of native tree species (especially holly, rowan or other berryproducing species); • • Plant shrubs and or trees to screen the station; Consider the installation of bird and/or bat boxes once the trees are sufficiently mature for these to be placed 3 m or more above the ground (in order to prevent interference); and • Include flowering herbaceous and or shrub species as a part of the station landscaping to provide direct or indirect benefit for insects and potentially, bats and birds. 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 7 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs 7. February 2009 CONCLUSIONS • The following habitats were recorded within the site boundaries and their environs: o Dense scrub o Improved grassland o Marshy grassland o Tall ruderal o Species-poor, intact hedgerow • The wildlife value of these habitats is limited. • The clearance of the hedgerow during the period September to February, in the case of Site 1, will prevent the loss of breeding birds, and their young, and bumblebees. • Supplementary planting within or around the site of the station will benefit wildlife in the area. 12748J © EnviroCentre Limited 8 Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs February 2009 APPENDIX A Phase 1 Habitat Map 12748J © EnviroCentre Ltd. Notes A2.2 Scattered Scrub. A2.1 Dense Scrub J2.1.2 Species- poor Intact hedge J1.4 Bare Ground. J3.6 Buildings A1.3.1Semi Natural Broad leaved woodland A3.1 Scattered Broad-leaved Trees I J2.2 Species-poor Defunct hedge J2.4 Fence B4 Improved Grassland I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I Do not scale this drawing I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I Rev Date Amendment Initials Craighall Business Park, Eagle Street, Glasgow, G4 9XA Tel: 0141 341 5040 Fax: 0141 341 5045 Client Scottish Transport Project Dumfries and Galloway STAG Title Phase 1 habitat Map Eastriggs Station Status FINAL Drawing No. Revision 12748j-001 File path: K:\12748j - D&G STAG\Drawings and Figures\Cad\Current Scale A3 N.T.S Drawn SD Checked SD Date 06/02/2009 Approved SD Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs February 2009 APPENDIX B TARGET NOTES 1. Improved grassland comparable to that in the wider area but currently ungrazed and becoming rank. Dominated by the following species: Common Bent, Creeping Bent, Perennial Rye-grass and Yorkshire Fog. 2. Heavily grazed, improved grassland comparable to that in the wider area. Dominated by the following species: Daisy, Meadow Buttercup, Perennial Rye-grass and Yorkshire Fog. 3. Poorly drained pasture classified as marshy grassland. Dominated by Soft Rush and Yorkshire Fog. 4. Tall ruderal vegetation adjacent to the bridge. Dominated by Rosebay Willow-herb with occasional Ground Ivy in the under-storey. 5. Species-poor hedgerow dominated Hawthorn with occasional Honeysuckle. 6. Improved grassland as described at ‘2.’ above. 7. Area of scrub adjacent to the house in the buffer zone that will be unaffected directly by the development. Dominated by Hawthorn and Birch with Ground Ivy an additional species within the ubiquitous, pasture species. 12748J © EnviroCentre Ltd. Dumfries & Galloway Council Phase 1 habitat survey: Eastriggs February 2009 APPENDIX B PLANT SPECIES LIST 12748J © EnviroCentre Ltd. Annual Meadow-grass Common Bent Common Mouse-ear Creeping Bent Daisy Dandelion Downy Birch False Oat-grass Hawthorn Meadow Buttercup Perennial Rye-grass Procumbent Pearlwort Smooth meadow-grass Soft Rush White Clover Yorkshire Fog Poa annua Agrostis capillaris Cerastium fontanum Agrostis stolonifera Bellis perennis Taraxacum officinale agg. Betula pubescens Arrhenatherum elatius Crataegus monogyna Ranunculus acris Lolium perenne Sagina procumbens Poa pratensis Juncus effusus Trifolium repens Holcus lanatus a moss a moss a moss Brachythecium rutabulum Eurynchium praelongum Rhytidiadelphus squarrosus Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 7 Economy Report Colin Buchanan & Partners RAIL CONNECTIVITY - THORNHILL & EASTRIGGS. STAG ASSESSMENT (ECONOMICS) Final Report April 2009 ROGER TYM & PARTNERS 19 Woodside Crescent Glasgow G3 7UL t f e (0141) 332 6464 (0141) 332 3304 scotland@tymconsult.com w www.tymconsult.com This document is formatted for double-sided printing. CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION.......................................................................................................... 1 2 POLICY REVIEW ......................................................................................................... 5 3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC BASELINE ASSESSMENT........................................................ 11 4 STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATIONS.......................................................................... 17 Thornhill ........................................................................................................................ 17 Eastriggs....................................................................................................................... 18 5 RESIDENTIAL EFFECTS........................................................................................... 20 Thornhill ........................................................................................................................ 20 Eastriggs....................................................................................................................... 25 6 BUSINESS SURVEY ................................................................................................. 28 Thornhill ........................................................................................................................ 28 Eastriggs....................................................................................................................... 33 7 CONCLUSIONS......................................................................................................... 38 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 This document reports on the wider economic implications of potential improvements in railway station infrastructure on the Glasgow and South Western main line. It is proposed that Thornill and Eastriggs should once again be able to access services on this line through the development of new station facilities. In the past, both settlements had a stop on the line. 1.2 As stated in the brief issued by Dumfries & Galloway Council , “The G&SW main line between Kilmarnock and Carlisle via Gretna Green Junction is currently utilised by a mixture of passenger and freight traffic. Passenger traffic consists of irregular services between Glasgow Central and Carlisle (operated by First ScotRail), and between Stranraer or Girvan and Newcastle (operated by Northern Rail). Between passenger services, there is an intensive freight service, primarily consisting of power station coal from Hunterston and other loading points on the southwest of Scotland, to power stations in the East Midlands and Aire Valley, together with corresponding empty trains in the northbound direction.” 1.3 While station facilities are proposed in both communities and trains would stop there, it is assumed that existing service frequencies continue. 1.4 In examining the range of potential economic impacts in each instance, Roger Tym & Partners has: 1.5 Prepared a socio-economic baseline using Nithsdale, Annandale and Eskdale and Dumfries & Galloway data sets; Carried out a business survey and related analysis; Undertaken preliminary background research into strategic housing demand issues; and Consulted with Council and other stakeholders. Our findings are presented in the following chapters: Chapter 2 - Policy Review; Chapter 3 – Socio- economic baseline; Chapter 4 - Residential analysis; Chapter 5 – Business Survey findings; and Chapter 6 - Conclusions. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 1 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 2 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 3 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 2 POLICY REVIEW 2.1 This section examines the various policies which will be influenced or supported by the proposed opening of the new railway station facilities in Thornhill and Eastriggs. National Planning Framework 2.2 The Scottish Government’s Transport Policy supports economic growth, promoting social inclusion and accessibility, ensuring that the development of transport is sustainable and minimising the environmental impact of travel. This has been accompanied by a major shift in the balance of public sector investment towards more sustainable transport options while maintaining and enhancing the trunk road network and supporting maintenance of the local road network. 2.3 The challenges in urban and inter-urban transport are to facilitate economic growth by tackling congestion in the city regions, to complete the missing links in the transport network, to encourage a switch to more sustainable modes of transport, and to provide disadvantaged communities with better access to economic opportunities. 2.4 Co-ordinating investment in developments such as economic development, housing, retailing and in rural areas with existing and programmed transport infrastructure is an important policy objective set out in the National Planning Framework and reinforced in planning guidance including SPP 2 Economic Development, SPP 3 Planning for Housing, NPPG 4 Mineral Working ,and SPP 15 Planning for Rural Development. 2.5 Other relevant policies, programmes and initiatives include: Regional Transport Partnerships (RTPs), which aim to implement the delivery of a transport system which is able to sustain and enhance the region’s economy and community, while minimising any impact; The Transport Scotland Act (2005) require all RTPs to prepare a Regional Transport Strategy (RTS) which can help ensure that the region’s transport facilities encourage economic growth and regional prosperity in a sustainable manner. In the process, it should help to improve access to centres of employment and public services as well as improving the transport of goods, ultimately improving the economic prosperity of the area; The Rural Access and Land Reform Act 2003: This legislation promotes a prosperous rural economy, with a stable or increasing population where rural communities have reasonable access to good quality services. Major facilities will continue to be concentrated in the larger settlements. Most additional housing, employment, retail, leisure and other services should be located where there is access from an existing road or footpath to a rail station or bus route, and there is proximity to local services e.g. schools and shops ideally within walking or cycling distance; SPP3 Housing notes that the amount and location of housing that can be developed in rural areas is determined by a number of factors. These include: Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 5 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report proximity to services e.g. schools, shops (ideally within walking or cycling distance); ease of access (from an existing road and footpath and to a rail station or bus route); drainage and sewerage capacity (e.g. from combined septic tanks or potential link to public systems); and SPP 15 ‘Planning for Rural Development’ is targeted at rural areas with a population of 3,000 or less. It notes that local authorities should support a wide range of economic activity in rural areas as well as emphasising the importance of tourism. It notes that as most major services will continue to be located in larger settlements, infrastructure is important, especially for those without access to a car. National Transport Strategy 2.6 The National Transport Strategy (NTS) responds to the Government’s five strategic objectives and is supported by ‘Scotland’s Railways’ which sets the vision for rail in Scotland over the next 20 years and beyond. It demonstrates that rail is an integral part of the National Transport Strategy and highlights the role of appraisal in assessing the scale of benefit that may be associated with emerging infrastructure proposals. 2.7 The NTS promotes the improved transportation of a wide range of products using Scotland’s rail network and with effective integration and interchange to the road and sea networks. Strategies need to address specific rural characteristics and in Dumfries and Galloway for example this includes high levels of dependency on road transport and the private car. Further to this it: Emphasises the importance of the Strategic Transport Projects Review; States that ‘new stations will be considered where the surrounding population, workplace or visitor need is sufficient to generate a high level of demand and would be expected to be serviced by feeder, rather than inter-urban services’(paragraph 7.9); and Identifies the processes mechanisms through which improvements are expected to be achieved; including: à Adding new stations and freight terminals to the network; and à ensuring that services are accessible for everyone. South West of Scotland Transport Partnership (Regional Transport Strategy) June 2008 2.8 The strategy highlights that currently ‘transport infrastructure is relatively poor as not all settlements are served by the rail network’. .In Dumfries and Galloway all six of the working stations are on the Glasgow South Western Line with the exception of Lockerbie. It also highlights the need to develop a service to meet the needs of Lockerbie and its surrounding area. 2.9 The RTS aims to use the rail network to promote commuting, increase accessibility to employment and improve connectivity. Through the RTS, six policies have been developed: Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 6 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 2.10 Policy 1: The promotion of schemes to add value to the broader Scottish economy and help sustain national economic growth; Policy 2:To support the regional economy in relation to local jobs and to facilitate sustainable connectivity; Policy 3:To improve quality of life and access to services; Policy 4:To address the peripherality between the region’s main settlements and outlying areas, as well as between the region and external markets; Policy 5: To minimise car use and recognize the role of transport in sustaining the local economy; and Policy 6: To assist the Scottish Government in delivering it’s five high level objectives. There have been some developments since the RTS was submitted, predominantly associated with bus and cycle travel. . In terms of rail, no strategies have been implemented as yet although there is ongoing engagement and consultations in respect of rail access to Prestwick Airport and rural access to local services on the West Coast Main Line. The Dumfries South Travel Planning Group has also been established. Dumfries and Galloway’s Strategic Housing Investment Plan 2007/2008 2.11 According to the plan, 142 homes will be built in Annandale and Eskdale; 592 in Nithsdale; 173 in the Stewartry; and 377 in Wigtownshire. 2.12 Currently there is the preparation of the 2009-2014 Local Housing Strategy to replace Dumfries and Galloway’s Local Housing Strategy 2004-2009. 2.13 Thornhill is noted as a ‘pressured settlement’ and is a priority for additional affordable housing, noted in Appendix1 of the SHIP. Dumfries and Galloway Structure Plan 2.14 The current Structure Plan came into force in 1999 and covers a period of 10-15 years The Plan identifies both Eastriggs and Thornhill as Local District Centres within the hierarchy of settlements. Thornhill is also considered as a ‘shopping centre’ within the region. 2.15 Under Strategic Statement 4 ‘Infrastructure Provision and Investment’ , Policy S12 considers rail services and identifies Councils commitment to improving and upgrading rail services in South West Scotland by: 2.16 Promoting the improvement or construction of a new station at Eastriggs; Assessing the scope for other new stations, including Thornhill; and The further provision of locally orientated-rail services between Carlisle and Central Scotland. Other relevant policies include Policy D3 on Rural Housing Allocations (which is discussed in more detail in Chapter 5). Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 7 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Adopted Annandale and Eskdale Local Plan 2006 2.17 Eastriggs was a planned settlement intended to serve the munitions industry. The Plan states its population is dependent on the wider economy. 2.18 Within Eastriggs , the Local Plan identifies a need for 35 extra housing units from 2001-2009 and some sites were identified. Further housing development in Lowerthorn (by Eastriggs) is constrained due to drainage. 2.19 When considering further development in Eastriggs the planned origins of the settlement should be taken into account. 2.20 General Policy 67 highlights an area to the west of Eastriggs which should be protected from development in order to facilitate development of a new station. A dynamic Loop between Eastriggs and Annan is proposed and land at Eastriggs is protected for this proposal. 2.21 The Plan highlights a small site (c.1 hectare ) to be safeguarded for the railway station and referenced as land Opportunity 14. Adopted Nithsdale Local Plan 2006 2.22 Dumfries, Thornhill and Sanquhar are identified as the local district centres in Mid Nithsdale. The plan allocated land for the development of some 90 houses in Thornhill. 2.23 The Plan maintains Thornhill’s role as a local shopping centre and wherever possible encourages new development to support this. 2.24 The Plan identifies the Station Yard site (Opp14 Station Yard) for minor industrial or related activity. 2.25 General Policy 29 Retail Development in District and Local centres emphasises Thornhill as a shopping centre and encourages development which improves this role, which the introduction of a rail service might, if it enhances the development of the local economy. 2.26 Policy MN7 ensures that the disused platform is protected from development to facilitate the introduction of rail services for the settlement. 2.27 The existing policy framework supports the provision of rail halts in both Thornhill and Eastriggs and this is reinforced by the strategic analysis and priorities of the Areas Community Plans. Area Community Plans 2.28 The current Community Plan for Dumfries & Galloway (2009 -12), together with the local Nithsdale (2006-08) and Annandale & Eskdale (2006 -11) Area Community Plans identify improvement of transport links and communications as key target actions. The supporting SWOT analyses in both highlight low car ownership and dependence on public transport as major weaknesses and the lack of connectivity to Scottish cities – so Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 8 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report improvements such as new railway stations may bring accessibility benefits across Dumfries & Galloway. 2.29 The aim of Priority 3 - Inclusive Communities reflects the need to continually improve rural transport services, particularly in Rural Service Priority Areas and involve local people in the decision-making process. Targets are adopted for 2010 which reflect this. 2.30 The importance of tourism to Dumfries & Galloway is also highlighted as an important sector. However, 84% of UK visitors (by far the main tourist group) use private transport. Increasingly, labour shortages are anticipated in the sector as it is reliant on an ageing workforce. Transport improvements could therefore improve accessibility to a wider labour pool. The Annandale & Eskdale Community Plan highlights that there are railway stations at Annan and Lockerbie, although realistically Carlisle remains the main railhead for the area. Dialogue continues with the private rail companies to increase the number of trains stopping at Lockerbie. The development of stations at Eastriggs is contained within strategy targets. The Nithsdale Community Plan highlights that a number of rail studies are underway to identify opportunities for improvements to the Nith Valley railway between Glasgow, Kilmarnock, Dumfries and Carlisle and that the re-opening of the Nithsdale station is a possibility. South of Scotland Competitiveness Strategy 2.31 The South of Scotland Competitiveness Strategy 2007 -13 identifies a series of challenges to the area in positioning it to compete effectively with the rest of Europe and the World in terms of trade, investment, and tourism. In moving towards this goal, and in encouraging a dynamic and entrepreneurial attitude within communities and local businesses, the need for public and private sector partners at the European, national and local levels to come together to address key issues is clear. Areas of action include: improving transport and communications; improving business infrastructure; regeneration and place investments; business assistance; and improving education attainment and skill levels.. 2.32 In describing “Problems, Challenges and Opportunities” , the Strategy identifies notable shortfalls in built physical infrastructure as a significant potential inhibitor to development. In particular it highlights a need for better road and transport links to improve access both to and from Dumfries & Galloway. 2.33 Priority 3 - “ Increase the level of skills and education in the workforce and wider community and tackle skills shortages “ focuses on addressing labour force issues and states: There is a particular need to address localised barriers to accessing the labour market such as lack of childcare, rural transport deficiencies and the lack of relevant training and educational courses. Other priorities supporting the railway stations are Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 9 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report identified as: Priority 4 - Maximise the benefits of connections to the city regions and other economic centres and Priority 6 - Build a high quality sustainable place to live, work and visit. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 10 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC BASELINE ASSESSMENT 3.1 This section profiles the socio-economic structure of Dumfries and Galloway, comparing it with Scotland and Great Britain overall. In the context of this assessment the Dumfries and Galloway area is defined as the local economy, as recent data at a disaggregated sub-regional level are not available. Population Structure 3.2 The population of Dumfries and Galloway in 2007 was 148,300, just over 2.8% of Scotland’s total population1. The population has generally remained stable. Over the last 10 years there is a slight population decline of 0.1% in the Dumfries and Galloway from 1997 to 2007, which on par with Scotland’s slight population decline (-1%) and significantly lower than Great Britain’s increase of 8%2. Population projections indicate that Dumfries and Galloway’s population is to decline by 2.7% between 2006 and 20313. 3.3 The population in Mid Nithsdale, the immediate area surrounding Thornhill, is 3,257 while the population of the Chapelcross area which incorporates the settlement of Eastriggs is 34,2544 3.4 Dumfries and Galloway has an older age profile than the Scottish average, and this is projected to become more pronounced in years to come5. This is similar to many other rural areas with a relatively low proportion of people of working age and a high proportion of people over 65. The attractive environment has made the region popular for people in retirement. This is likely to have implications for the future provision of services and care for elderly. 3.5 In terms of its working age population, Dumfries and Galloway has a lower proportion (58%) of the total population than the Scottish (63%) and Great British (62%) averages6. This is due to its older age profile. 3.6 Dumfries and Galloway has the oldest and fastest ageing population in Scotland and by 2024 will have over 30% of the population in the retirement age group. Labour Market Analysis 3.7 Economic activity rates in Dumfries and Galloway are higher than average,as is the incidence of self-employment . Rural areas often have a relatively high proportion of self-employment due to there being relatively few large companies, together with a 1 NOMIS 2008 NOMIS 2008 3 GROS 2006-Based Population Projections for Scottish Areas 4 NOMIS 2008 5 GROS 2006-Based Population Projections for Scottish Areas 6 NOMIS 2008 2 Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 11 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report high proportion of employment in agriculture, construction, hospitality and business services7, which can be characterised by a high number of small businesses. 3.8 The proportion seeking Jobs Seekers Allowance (JSA) is the same as the Scottish average (2.5%) and Great Britain (2.5%)8. Table 3-1 Sector employment (%) Type of Industry Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry Fishing Mining and Quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, Gas and Water Supply Construction Wholesale, Retail Trade and Repairs Hotels and Restaurants Transport, Storage Communications Financial Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities Public Administration and Defence, Social Security Education Health and Social Work Other Thornhill 4.62 Eastriggs 1.93 Scotland 2.14 0.00 0.33 11.22 0.33 0.24 1.09 26.6 4.84 0.30 1.24 13.23 1.00 8.91 18.65 8.95 19.11 7.48 14.39 5.94 6.93 6.53 6.29 5.74 6.70 2.31 10.23 1.21 5.93 4.64 11.17 4.29 6.53 6.99 5.78 16.67 3.80 2.30 5.08 3.39 7.30 12.37 5.31 Employment Profile 3.9 The area has higher levels of people employed in agriculture than Scotland’s average (more than double) and a stronger wholesale and retail trade than the average for Scotland. There are lower levels of employment in public administration than Scotland and significantly higher levels of those employed in Health and Social Care. 3.10 Eastriggs demonstrates significant strength in respect to the manufacturing industry, where 26.6% of the working age population derives their employment from. This is double the Scottish average. There is also an indication that Wholesale, Retail trade and Repairs industries here are significant and those employed within Electricity, Gas and Water Supply are at least 5 times more than the average for Scotland or when examining Thornhill. 8 Total JSA claimants June 2008, NOMIS Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 12 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Table 3-2 Distance Travelled to Work Eastriggs Work from Home < 2 km 2-5km 5-10km 10-20 km 20 km + Offshore Other Total No 27 99 120 204 175 121 2 62 810 Thornhill % 3.3 12.2 14.8 25.0 22.0 15.0 0.2 8.0 No 36 200 44 9 48 196 0 58 591 % 6.1 33.9 7.5 1.5 8.1 33.2 0 9.8 3.11 The table above shows that 47% of workers from Eastriggs travel between 5 and 20km for employment purposes. Around a quarter (27%) travel less than 5 km for work and a third travel further than 20km. 3.12 In Thornhill, 41.4% of workers travel less than 5 km for work purposes. Thornhill is a larger settlement than Eastriggs, with a main shopping street, several pubs and other amenities. It is likely that more people find employment within the settlement itself and therefore have to travel less distance for employment. 3.13 A further 33% do however travel 20 km or more from Thornhill for employment purposes. Table 3-3 Method of Travel to Work Eastiggs % Works from Home 3.3 Train/Underground 0.12 Bus/Coach 5.9 Car/Van/Taxi 65 Passenger in Car/Van 15 Motorcycle/Moped 1.2 Bicycle 1.9 On Foot 7.4 Other 0.5 Thornhill % 6.1 0.16 4.2 51.1 9.3 0.16 0.32 27.8 0.67 Total % 4.5 0.14 5.2 58.9 12.6 0.8 1.2 16.1 0.6 3.14 In Thornhill it was noted that 41.4% of workers travel less than 5km for employment purposes. Table 3.3 shows that 51% of respondents in the last census travelled to work by car, with a further 9% being a passenger in a private car/van or taxi which totals around 60%. 3.15 There were similar levels of high private car usage in Eastriggs at 65%. This is understandable due to the fact that a substantial proportion of resident workers commute more than 5 km to work. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 13 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Table 3-4 Average Earnings Gross Weekly Pay (£) Gross Hourly Pay (£) Dumfries & Galloway Scotland UK 423.0 10.06 461.0 11.59 479.3 12.01 Source: ONS Annual Population Survey 3.16 Table 3.4 shows that average weekly and hourly earnings for full time workers are substantially below that for Scotland or the UK as a whole. At £423 per week, earnings are around 10% below the Scottish average. 3.17 Gross Value Added (GVA) measures the contribution to the economy of each producer, sector or industry in the local economy. It can be examined in respect to sectors or for example per worker or per head population. GVA helps assess the importance of each sector to the overall Dumfries and Galloway economy. Figure 3.1 below shows that the role of construction has become more significant, with construction GVA almost doubling in volume between 1998 and 2002, and increasing from 8% to 12% of the total. Figure 3—1 Change in GVA by sector 1998 - 2002 Source: ONS Annual Business Statistics 3.18 Table 3 -5 shows that in terms of GVA per head Dumfries and Galloway is increasing annually at a slower rate in comparison to Scotland, as well as performing poorer than Scotland in general. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 14 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Table 3-5 GVA per Head (£) 3.19 Dumfries & Galloway Scotland 2004 12,896 16,607 2005 12,972 17,289 2006 13,706 18,246 Dumfries and Galloway is fairly dependent on Agriculture and 8% of all Scotland’s farming land lies within the region. Dumfries and Galloway’s Chamber of Commerce states that ‘at least 40%’ of the business base is directly related to land based activities’ Table 3-6 Number of Employee Jobs in 2005 and 2006 (000’s) All Industries Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing Production and Construction Services Dumfries & Galloway 2005 2006 57.8 58.1 3.5 3.8 2005 2,398.8 35.7 Scotland 2006 2,377.2 38.8 11.9 11.5 398.4 400.8 42.4 42.8 1,964.7 1,937.5 Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 3.20 The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) is the Scottish Government’s official tool for identifying small area concentrations of deprivation across Scotland. The SIMD provides a relative ranking of 6,505 small areas (data zones) across Scotland from the most deprived (ranked 1) to the least deprived (ranked 6,505). The SIMD 20069 is based on 37 indicators in seven ‘domains’. 3.21 In terms of deprivation, Dumfries and Galloway has only one data zone which falls within Scotland’s 20% most deprived areas. This is located in the northern edge of the region and incorporates the village of Kirkonnel. This demonstrates that Dumfries and Galloway has a relatively low level of deprivation compared to the rest of Scotland. 9 This is the most recent version. The Office of the Chief Statistician has confirmed that the next planned update to the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation will take place in Autumn 2009 Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 15 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Summary 3.22 The economy of Dumfries and Galloway performs relatively well when compared to Scotland, with fairly low unemployment rates, relatively high levels of educational attainment and a reasonable share of employees in highly skilled and skilled positions. However, the main issues for the area are an aging population with a relative lack of local employment opportunities to retain young people of working age. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 16 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 4 STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATIONS 4.1 A series of key stakeholder consultations were undertaken to establish the perceived potential impact of the proposed railway stations in economic development and planning terms. The consultation process highlighted a number of key characteristics and issues which development of a rail halt may influence. Thornhill 4.2 Thornhill is identified as a dormitory town and acts as a market town, As such it has a relatively low population, but a significant rural hinterland. Preliminary population projections for Dumfries & Galloway indicate slight population decline and an increase in household numbers. However, in Lower Nithsdale, a slight population increase is projected. 4.3 Stakeholders identified potential sectoral economic benefits in several areas including: small independent traders; tourism business and possibly bulky goods manufacturing together with possibly encouraging new housing development. (The findings of the Business Survey and the Housing Analysis explore this further) 4.4 In the present economic down turn, there has been a 20% fall in planning applications in Dumfries and Galloway, particularly from volume house builders, retail vacancies are high in Dumfries. However, Thornhill has seen little change due to the high proportion of local and independent shops. Other then a local hatchery, there have been no major business closures in the immediate area. 4.5 Stakeholders generally felt that a station would make Thornhill more attractive and it would have spin-offs. However, service frequency appears to be a significant issue. Continuation of the existing profile may limit impact on tourism and commuting opportunities both for residents to access work elsewhere and for local businesses to access a wider pool of labour. 4.6 Housing allocation figures are subject to review with a housing market assessment being undertaken and results expected later this year. Sites in the settlement are allocated in the local plan for housing and there is presumption in favour of development. However, road access underneath the railway bridge remains a constraint. 4.7 Water and sewage infrastructure is also capacity constrained and this needs to be addressed before any new housing on any significant scale can come forward.. 4.8 The station could potentially be of benefit in encouraging an increased profile for attractions such as the Drumlanrig Estate. The Stevens View Partnership is developing a 10 year masterplan for Queensberry and Drumlanrig Estate which projects growth in visitor numbers from 50,000 to 100,000 by 2015. Some 97% of visitors currently travel by car to the area; a particular focus would be to improve access to Dumfries and Thornhill with Glasgow a priority market. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 17 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 4.9 While growth is being targeted however, service frequency could prove an impediment to the potential for a significant number of rail-borne visitors to be realised (which would also be dependent on the provision of onward linking bus services). 4.10 There was also broad agreement that the opening of the railway station would help reduce car usage on the A77. 4.11 Several of those consulted commented that there are stations at smaller settlements than Thornhill and that the settlement has a stronger case for a stop. It was also felt that the station could bring benefits to people on low incomes and less mobile groups giving wider access to employment opportunities and access to other regional facilities. Eastriggs 4.12 Eastriggs has a relatively low population, but has a significant rural hinterland. It is essentially a dormitory settlement, with a limited range of shops and very limited employment opportunities. The community is dependent on work opportunities in Gretna, Annan, Dumfries and Carlisle. 4.13 The station could have some local benefits by allowing access to a wider travel to work area (although this is dependent on service frequency and reliability). A new station may help to raise Eastriggs’ profile, given recent major closures in the wider varea and the threat of further job losses. 4.14 While Eastriggs is emerging as a popular residential location , the point was made that there are already stations nearby which are accessible to Eastriggs residents - at Annan and Gretna. 4.15 As part of the Local Plan Review (which is just starting) , developers are starting to express interest in bringing forward housing development. As in Thornhill, housing allocations are subject to review. 4.16 Development in Lowerthetown is constrained by water and sewage problems and these issues may extend to the rest of Eastriggs. 4.17 Rail halt provision could afford linkage to implementation of the Chapelcross Masterplan, where a station could provide opportunities to link to propose Business Park development (although similar opportunities would be afforded by the existing halt at Annan). In either case, this would only be effective were linking bus services to be provided. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 18 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 19 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 5 RESIDENTIAL EFFECTS 5.1 Improvements in transport accessibility, whether road or rail, can enhance an area’s residential accessibility. Whether this can be translated into increased demand for housing in the area is dependent on a number of factors including: relative accessibility of housing allocations to the proposed station; the levels of service proposed from and to the facilities ( if the service pattern and therefore flexibility is limited, it is unlikely that any uplift in residential development activity can be realistically attributed to the presence of the station); other factors influencing the attractiveness of the settlement benefiting from the station (relationship to other main settlements and employment opportunities, relationship to the strategic road network, provision of schools and other services etc) and the extent to which any residential allocations are constrained, whether from fragmented site ownership, inadequate service infrastructure or other factors. 5.2 In both settlements, other factors such as the capacity of existing water and drainage infrastructure, need to be addressed to enable residential expansion. The forthcoming review of the Local Plan will also consider the future roles to be pursued in each settlement and this may be affected by decisions regarding the future direction of growth across the Council area e.g. the likelihood of any growth which may be anticipated in Gretna having implications for development in Eastriggs etc. 5.3 The presence of infrastructure constraints and the current depressed market conditions limit the usefulness of consultations with developers and estate agents regarding the likely effect of railway station provision on the attractiveness of both Thornhill and Eastriggs to developers. With this in mind, we have assessed what the impact of a 10% to 20% increase in residential attractiveness (due to station provision and the alleviation of development constraints) would be to provide an indication of potential housing development effects. For these purposes, a 20% improvement is considered to be the maximum achievement that could be realised. 5.4 We understand that Dumfries & Galloway Council is in the process of commissioning a Housing Market Assessment to identify future needs across the Council area .It will be several months before the findings will be made available. 5.5 Existing residential allocations in each settlement are examined in this context. Thornhill 5.6 Thornhill falls with the Nithsdale area allocation. In Policy D2 Housing Development in Large Centres 1998-2009.Over the period 1998 to 2004, the Structure Plan identifies a need for 1,765 houses in Nithsdale with a further 1,175 for the period 2004 -2009 giving a total of 2,940 units. 5.7 Thornhill has a total of 90 units allocated 1998 -2009 split into: Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 20 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 5.8 The rural allocation for the wider Nithsdale District is more extensive with 540 units allocated for the rural area over the Plan period: 5.9 Proposal PMN1: sites committed for New Housing: à PMN1.1 Queensberry Beeches (9 units) à PMN1.2 East Bank Street (3 units) à PMN1.3 Former Abattoir, Coo Road (2 units) à PMN1.4 Corstorphine Road (6 units) Following the completion of 3 housing sites in Thornhill an additional site was identified to meet Structure Plan Requirements: 5.11 325 units - 1998 – 2004 215 units - 2004 -2009 Identified development sites in Thornhill include: 5.10 55 units - 1998 -2004 35 units - 2004 -2009 Policy MN4: West of Hospital Brae (50 units allocated) Policy MN4a: West of Hospital Brae (Reserved Housing Land) is reserved for development if the site above cannot be delivered. A further site, East of Hospital Brae was identified under Opportunity OPP19 for limited low density development. Housing Supply and Completions 5.12 Dumfries & Galloway Council carried out a Housing Audit in 2008 which assists in identifying the take up of residential allocations. 5.13 Table 5-1 shows that there is still substantial capacity - 65% - in the existing allocations identified for development in Thornhill , and emerging problems over future capacity sites to accommodate more than 5 units. The site West of Hospital Brae has not been delivered. Table 5-1 Thornhill Site Capacity Assessment Established supply Sites 5+ units Local Plan Sites (MN 4) Local Plan Sites (OPPO) Sites less than 5+ units Total Units Effective Supply Sites 5+ units Local Plan Sites (MN 4) Sites less than 5+ units (Assumption 50% effective) Total Units Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 Capacity Remaining Capacity 50 50 2 19 8 50 2 19 121 79 Capacity Remaining Capacity 50 50 8 50 10 10 110 68 21 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Established supply Local Plan Sites reserved housing land (MN4a) Capacity Remaining Capacity 75 75 Source: Dumfries & Galloway Housing Audit (2008) Housing Supply and Completions 5.14 The historic complete completions rate for Thornhill is relatively low, delivering 8 units per annum over the last 10 years. Table 5-2 Thornhill - Housing Completions (1998 – 2007) 1998 1999 2000 Completions 2 4 7 2003 2004 2005 Completions 28 6 4 Source: Dumfries & Galloway Housing Audit (2008) 5.15 2001 28 2006 2 2002 2 2007 (June) 0 Limited sewage infrastructure and treatment capacity has limited completions in Thornhill with only a low level of development permitted on allocated sites. Any major new development would also require a new road access from the A76 as the nature of the roads in the town is constricted. Trend Based Quantum of Future Development 5.16 An extrapolation of past trends indicates that over the next 20 years Thornhill may see the delivery of 166 units. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 22 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Table 5-3 Thornhill - trend-based Housing Growth Per annum Delivery 8 5 year Delivery 42 10 year Delivery 83 15 year Delivery 125 20 year Delivery 166 Potential Impact of New Railway Station Impact on Housing Units Delivered 5.17 The following tables estimate the potential impact of the railway station on housing completions. It also assumes that the constraints to water and sewage infrastructure which have been previously identified are addressed. This is based on the following assumptions: 5.18 A trend based projection from past delivery; The additional factoring in of sewage infrastructure and treatment capacity improvements as this has been an established constraint on development in Dumfries & Galloway; A sensitivity analysis comparing the effects of a 10% and a 20% improvement in housing completions due to the combined impact of railway station provision and water and sewage improvements. The subtraction of the trend based projection housing numbers from the numbers delivered by railway station and water and sewage improvements; and. A continuation of existing service levels. Table 5.4 sets out the likely impact of the station development with other essential servicing. This indicates that over 20 years between 17 and 33 units could be delivered. Table 5-4 Projected impact on housing delivery Uplift Delivery Period 5 year increase 10 year increase 15 year increase 10% 4 8 13 20% 8 17 25 20 year increase 17 33 Impacts of Additional Housing Units 5.19 Assessment of the potential household income and Council Tax effects of additional housing completions is based on the following assumptions: Average household income in Dumfries & Galloway of £21, 966 per annum; Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 23 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 5.20 Council tax receipts are based on Band D levels of £1, 429 per annum. This calculation is maximised in that it assumes that all household income is additional to the area (in reality, many of the houses will be occupied by existing residents of the area) Table 5-6 Other Impacts of Additional Housing Units Factor Low High 5 year HH income £92,257 £184,514 10 year HH income £182,318 £364,636 15 year HH income £274,575 £549,150 20 year HH income £364,636 £729,271 5 year Income £6,002 £12,004 10 year Income £11,861 £23,721 15 year Income £17,863 £35,725 20 year Income £23,721 £47,443 Income Impacts Council Tax Receipts 5.21 Table 5-6 estimates the impacts of additional households in terms of potential household spending and Council Tax receipts over a 5 year to 20 year period. It indicates that additional housing development attributable to station development would produce only low level impacts: 5.22 Potential household income Council Tax Receipts £364,636 - £729,271 £23,721 - £47,443 (Band D) This calculation is maximised in that it assumes that all household income is additional to the area (in reality, many of the houses will be occupied by existing residents of the area) Table 5-6 Other Impacts of Additional Housing Units Factor Low High Income Impacts 5 year HH income £92,257 £184,514 10 year HH income £182,318 £364,636 15 year HH income £274,575 £549,150 20 year HH income £364,636 £729,271 5 year Income £6,002 £12,004 10 year Income £11,861 £23,721 15 year Income £17,863 £35,725 Council Tax Receipts Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 24 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 20 year Income £23,721 £47,443 Eastriggs 5.23 Eastriggs is within the Annandale & Eskdale area allocation. Between 1998 to 2004 the Structure Plan identifies a need for 970 houses in Annandale & Eskdale with a further 640 for the period 2004 -2009, a total of 1,610 units. 5.24 Eastriggs has a total of 50 units allocated split into: 5.25 Under Dumfries & Galloway Structure Plan Policy D3, similar rural housing allocations are provided for Annandale & Eskdale District and the Nithsdale area. The policy therefore provides for a a total of 540 housing units, comprising: 5.26 30 units - 1998 -2004 20 units - 2004 -2009 325 units - 1998 – 2004 215 units - 2004 -2009 Development sites in Eastriggs/ Lowerthertown are: Proposal PLA1: sites committed for New Housing: PMN1.33: Stanfield Farm Policy LA15: Breakwell Avenue (2 units allocated) Policy LA16: Gillwood Road (5 units allocated) Policy LA16: Limit on Further Housing Development in Lowertherton – the Council will not permit any further housing development in the area. Housing Supply and Completions 5.27 There remains substantial capacity – some 58% - within existing allocations, with potential emerging problems over the number of sites to accommodate more than 5 units in the future. Table 5-7 Eastriggs/ Lowertherton Capacity Assessment Established supply Capacity Remaining Capacity Sites 5+ units Local Plan Sites (LA 6) Sites less than 5+ units 43 5 5 21 5 5 Total Units 53 31 Effective Supply Sites 5+ units Sites less than 5+ units Total Units Capacity Remaining Capacity 43 3 21 3 46 24 Source: Dumfries & Galloway Housing Audit (2008) Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 25 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Housing Supply and Completions 5.28 The historic completions rate for Eastriggs/ Lowertherton is low, at 6 units per annum over the last 10 years. Table 5-8 Eastriggs/ Lowertherton - Housing Completions (1998-2007) 1998 New build completions 2000 2001 2002 3 7 8 3 2004 2005 2006 1 7 11 3 2003 New build completions 1999 6 2007 (June) 14 Source: Dumfries & Galloway Housing Audit (2008) 5.29 There are serious constraints on foul drainage and road access which limit the scope for new development in Eastriggs/ Lowertherton – despite there being potential land to bring forward for development. Trend Based Quantum of Future Development 5.30 A trend based assessment of future housing development suggests that the area may see the delivery of 126 units over the next 20 years. Table 5-9 Eastriggs/ Lowertherton - trend based Housing Growth Per annum Delivery 6 5 year Delivery 32 10 year Delivery 63 15 year Delivery 95 20 year Delivery 126 Potential Impact of New Railway Station 5.31 The tables below estimate the potential impact of the railway station on housing completions combined with improvements to water and sewage infrastructure. It adopts similar assumptions to those for Thornhill. 5.32 Table 5-10 estimates the potential impact of station development alongside other essential servicing and suggests that over 20 years between 13 and 25 units could be delivered. Table 5-10 Projected impact on housing delivery Uplift Delivery Period 5 year increase 10 year increase 15 year increase 10% 3 6 10 20% 6 13 19 20 year increase 13 25 Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 26 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Impacts of Additional Housing Units 5.33 Table indicates the potential impact of additional households in terms of household income and local council tax receipts over a 5 -20 year period. Over a 20 year period additional housing development due to the station would produce low level impacts: Potential Household income: Council Tax Receipts: £276,772 - £553,543 £18,005 - £36,011 (Band D) Table 5-11 Other Impacts of Additional Housing Units Factor Low High 5 year HH income £70,291 £140,582 10 year HH income £138,386 £276,772 15 year HH income £208,677 £417,354 20 year HH income £276,772 £553,543 5 year Income £4,573 £9,146 10 year Income £9,003 £18,005 15 year Income £13,576 £27,151 20 year Income £18,005 £36,011 Income Impacts Council Tax Receipts Conclusion on Housing Effects 5.34 It is evident that the potential impact of the opening of new railway stations in either settlement will have only a limited impact on the level of housing development delivered. This assessment has examined potential increases in completion rates which could be at the high end of potential improvement. Under these scenarios, station provision could encourage an additional 13- 25 residential units in Eastriggs and an additional 17 -33 houses in Thornhill. 5.35 It can be further stated that development of the stations by themselves is likely to have a more limited impact as there are clear constraints with sewage, drainage and road capacity – all of which would have to be tackled before development could go ahead with or without a new railway station. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 27 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 6 BUSINESS SURVEY 6.1 A postal business survey was carried out in February 2009 to obtain views from the business community on the potential effects of railway station provision on their business operation and performance. 6.2 A targeted sample of companies likely to be effected by the introduction of rail services was developed based on geographical location. All of the companies within and surrounding Thornhill and Eastriggs were identified in a staged approach which included a drive over survey, internet searches, examination of the Valuation Roll and reviews of tourist brochures. 6.3 Two businesses were questioned in person with the remainder being contacted through a postal survey. This was also followed up with several telephone interviews. Three attempts were made to contact each business to improve response rates. If it was inconvenient, alternative times were arranged. 6.4 100 businesses were identified (50 in each community). The response rate in both communities was 22%, 22% in Thornhill and 24% in Eastriggs which is regarded as a reasonable level of response for this type of survey. 6.5 The list of businesses is attached at Appendix 1. 6.6 The findings of the survey for each community are summarised below. Thornhill 6.7 Of the responding Thornhill businesses, 55% provided an indication of their annual turnover. Figure 6-1 Business turnover 6.8 As might be anticipated for a settlement of its size and location, most businesses are small to medium sized, with annual turnovers of less than £100,000. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 28 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 6.9 In employment terms, there is a similar ratio of full and part time workers among responding businesses. From the Business Survey we identified 26 full time and 25 part time employees. 6.10 Three quarters of the employees in responding businesses in Thornhill live in the area. Those from outside Thornhill generally came from surrounding villages in Nithsdale such at Dalbeattie and Sanquhar. Over half (52%) came to work by car. 35% walked to work, while the remainder used public transport. 6.11 Nearly two-thirds of Thornhill businesses considered current trading levels to be good, with the balance indicating a fair performance . A similar proportion (64%) thought that trends were stable, although some 18% reported increasing volumes of business. Only one respondent felt their business was declining. Patterns of employment were also examined and these echoed the business trends, 6.12 Businesses identified a range of factors which contributed to their analysis of trends in employment and business performance. The current economic climate is the most influential factor and fears of recessionary effects were mentioned by over a quarter (27.8%) of responding businesses. 6.13 Many respondents felt that other external factors have influenced their businesses 22% highlighting problems with access to markets, and a further 17% identifying the degree of competition in the area. Some 11% noted labour force accessibility as an issue. Figure 6-2 : Thornhill - factors influencing Business Trends 6.14 Those surveyed were also asked for their opinion on future performance and business prospects. Among responding businesses, the outlook appears positive with 64% of establishments envisaging a stable performance. Only 10% expected volumes of business to decline in the future. Only limited employment change is envisaged, with Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 29 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report just over a third indicating possible staffing increases (the remainder anticipated that staffing would remain constant). 6.15 The survey also sought information on the factors most likely to influence future business performance and to rate each one according to the level of beneficial impact they would expect that particular factor to have on their business. The table below outlines these findings. Table 6-1 Key factors influencing future business performance (% Businesses) Scale of impact Factor Very Beneficial Moderately beneficial Slight Beneficial Impact No beneficial Impact Access to Workforce 36 9 0 0 45 Access to Suppliers Access to Markets 0 18 18 9 45 18 27 0 0 45 27 9 0 0 55 18 18 0 18 36 0 9 0 0 82 18 9 18 0 45 45 9 0 9 27 Degree of market competition Transportation Costs Availability of Land and Property Availability of Capital Economic Conditions 6.16 Beneficial 45 %identified an improvement in economic conditions as the factor most likely to be very beneficial to future business trends, while a further business stated it would be ‘beneficial’. Labour force access is a significant issue affecting over a third of businesses, although it was not considered a major issue for 45% of responding businesses. Table 6-2 Comments on Strengths and Weaknesses of Current Location. Strengths Weaknesses Village is very Attractive No Train Station Stable local market, picturesque village Area not promoted at all and often with a good selection of shops and people happen on it by chance. activities. Some passing trade due to road, quite a Lose a lot of young people to busy little village employment and higher education elsewhere Unique Stock and customer relations Property size limited Nice place, with a good size population Delivery of goods can be expensive Central to Village and A76 road Not good for people without a car, public transport is weak. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 30 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Strengths Rural, Attractive Location, Loyal Customers Lack of Competition Low overheads (rents/rates etc) Nice area, close to motorway and main roads 6.17 Weaknesses Lack of movement within the area Low Business Population Smaller labour pool Trucks passing through town centre constantly Individual business perceptions of the strengths and weaknesses of each area were provided and are shown in the table above. The comments on weaknesses varied with each business, although several mentioned transport considerations, such as the lack of movement, lack of a railway station, reliance on the private car and poor public transport. Opinions on what was needed to improve Thornhill’s business environment included: Increased advertising Greater marketing and ease of transport access Expansion in residential and business opportunities An increased business population Improved accessibility to a skilled workforce 6.18 The survey also considered potential beneficial impacts for employees as a result of re-opening the rail station at Thornhill . From a business perspective, increased accessibility to the workplace was considered the most significant impact with 64% of businesses acknowledging it. 18 % of businesses felt it might reduce the cost of delays in getting to work, while 18% considered there would be a greater reliability in journey times. 6.19 Some 82% of Thornhill businesses felt the rail station would be beneficial in improving client accessibility or for business meetings. Any cost benefits for staff or potential clients were perceived to be minor. The continuation of existing levels of service on the GSW and the restricted flexibility associated with it is likely to limit practical benefits.Figure 6-3 shows perceived impacts in other critical business areas – output, sales, margins etc. A degree of beneficial impact is expected in each area, Only 1 business indicated that the provision of the rail halt would have no benefit. Nearly three quarters of businesses were of the view that station provision would have a beneficial impact on employment numbers, although no indication was provided of the anticipated scale. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 31 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Figure 6-3 Impact on other business factors 6.20 Figure 6-3 shows perceived impacts in other critical business areas – output, sales, margins etc. A degree of beneficial impact is expected in each area, Only 1 business indicated that the provision of the rail halt would have no benefit. Nearly three quarters of businesses were of the view that station provision would have a beneficial impact on employment numbers, although no indication was provided of the anticipated scale. The range of perceived business effects is presented below. Table 6-3 Thornhill - Business perceptions of railway station impacts Factor Efficiency improvements Easier recruitment Improved staff retention Improved access to labour force Improved customer access Access to lower cost supplies Output Sales Margins Employment Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 % stating benefi cial effects 64% 55% 45% 55% 55% 73% 91% 91% 91% 73% 32 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 6.21 Businesses in Thornhill are generally positive over the potential effects of improved rail connections to and from the village. However, and as stated previously, it is considered that the station of itself is only likely to generate additional benefit if the level of service is enhanced over and above existing levels. Eastriggs 6.22 Three quarters of responding businesses in Eastriggs provided an indication of their annual turnover. Some 50% of businesses have annual turnovers of less than £100,000 and would be categorised as small to medium sized.. A quarter of responding turn over between £100,000 and £500,000 annually. 6.23 Responding businesses employed 87 people, 61 on a full-time basis. Some 55% of the workforce in responding businesses lived in Eastriggs, with the majority of the remainder commuting from Annan and the surrounding villages. It is estimated that half come to work by private transport, 15% use local bus services with the remaining 35% walking. 6.24 Less than half (45%) of the Eastriggs businesses thought that current trading levels were good, although only 9% thought they were poor, the balance generally reporting fair trading performance. While the majority consider business to be stable, over a quarter ( 27%) stated that trade was actually increasing. 18% had seen a decline in business performance. 6.25 This has been reflected in businesse employment profiles, with most reporting stable staff complements. While some 18% had reported recent changes, this was balanced equally between businesses reducing staffing levels and those increasing them. Figure 6-4 : Eastriggs - factors influencing Business Trends Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 33 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 6.26 Businesses identified a range of factors which influence these trends and affect employment trends and business performance. The current economic climate is clearly the most influential factor and was mentioned by 55% of businesses. 6.27 Other factors influencing business performance included ;problems with access to markets (27%), and a further 18% identifying access to suppliers as an issue.. Others mentioned access to staff and workforce, and the degree of competition as influencing their business although these factors were only considered by a small proportion of businesses (9%) 6.28 Businesses were asked for their views on future performance and business prospects. The outlook appears positive with 73% of establishments envisaging a stable performance in the future. Only one business anticipated a decline in future business.. 6.29 Expected future employment levels were also examined and views were consistent with business prospects. All of the respondents expected employment to remain stable. None envisaged any decline or increase in staff numbers in the foreseeable future. 6.30 Businesses identified those factors they considered most likely to influence future business performance and rated them according to the level of beneficial impact anticipated. Table 5.4 below outlines these findings. Table 6-4 Key factors influencing future business performance (% Businesses) Scale of impact Factor Access to Workforce Access to Suppliers Access to Markets Degree of market competition Transportation Costs Availability of Land and Property Availability of Capital Economic Conditions 6.31 Very Beneficial Moderately beneficial Beneficial Slight Beneficial Impact No beneficial Impact 36 0 0 0 0 27 0 9 0 0 45 0 9 0 0 18 0 9 0 0 18 0 9 0 0 18 9 0 0 0 18 0 9 0 0 36 0 9 0 9 Access to labour workforce was identified by over a third (36%) of businesses as ‘very beneficial’. Improved access to markets was identified by almost half (45%) of Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 34 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report businesses as being likely to influence their business positively, with a further 9% considering it would be moderately beneficial. 6.32 Improved access to markets is clearly the most significant factor for responding Eastriggs businesses. Table 6-5 Comments on Strengths and Weaknesses of Current Location. Strengths Weaknesses Cycling routes, tourist area. Can get to On a Bypass now so located off the Stranraer easily. main tourist route Good surrounding Road Network Not enough housing Bus Service through Eastriggs Not many people and limited activity Free Parking, a Shop close by Lack of ideas for area growth Close to M74 & M6 Not an established Shopping Centre Housing nearby, so customer base Miss passing trade due to Bypass Lack of Competition Frontage onto B721 (popular local road for domestic needs and commuting Centrally Located for Local Farmers 6.33 Some businesses gave indications of what they felt were strengths of their location; several indicated the surrounding road networks and proximity to the nearby motorways were a bonus. A bus service that passes through Eastriggs was also mentioned. 6.34 Areas with high volumes of tourism such as Gretna and Stranraer are easily accessible and a short distance away. While comments on weaknesses varied, a number of comments were received regarding a loss of business and opportunities since the bypass was built and a limited amount of passing trade. 6.35 Businesses were then asked what they felt could be done to improve the attractiveness and competitiveness of Eastriggs as a business location. Potential improvements mentioned included: More effective marketing; Improved advertising and promotion; Improved signposting in and around the village; More housing; More shops; Improved public transport and transport communications; and Open a rail halt. 6.36 Businesses foresaw a modest scale of considering potential benefits to staff from rail station opening. While over a quarter of businesses (27%) acknowledged there would be increased accessibility, only 18% thought it would reduce the cost of delays in getting to work or generate greater journey reliability. 6.37 The survey also considered the range of potential business benefits through greater efficiency and accessibility in typical business and client trips. In this context, only 18% felt that their business would not witness any benefit Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 35 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 6.38 Businesses were probed as to what level of impact they envisaged for their business in respect of costs for staff travelling to meet clients and visiting other locations, as well as the costs for clients/suppliers travelling to the business. Any beneficial impact is perceived as minor, with some 35% of businesses envisaging no effect as a result of the introduction of rail services. 6.39 Figure 6-5 shows perceived impacts in other key business areas – output, sales, margins etc. While some beneficial impact is expected in each area, most anticipate that employment impacts will be minimal. laOnly 1 business indicated that the provision of the rail halt would have no benefit. Nearly three quarters of businesses were of the view that station provision would have a beneficial impact on employment numbers, although no indication was provided of the anticipated scale. Figure 6-5 Impact on other business factors 6.40 The range of perceived business effects in Eastriggs is presented below. Table 6-6 Eastriggs - Business perceptions of railway station impacts Factor Efficiency improvements Easier recruitment Improved staff retention Improved access to labour force Improved customer access Access to lower cost supplies Output Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 % stating benef icial effect s 36% 64% 55% 55% 36% 64% 55% 36 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report Factor Sales Margins Employment % stating benef icial effect s 73% 73% 27% Quantitative Assessment 6.41 Businesses in both communities clearly anticipate a range of positive benefits, although the relative accessibility of Eastriggs to the strategic road network (which has been the subject of recent improvement) influences the scale of perceived benefits. 6.42 With rail station improvements, the range and frequency of services are the key factors which directly influence business performance. As noted earlier, no increase in existing levels of service is envisaged on the line. However, indirect business benefits may be realised through the enhanced profile which the opening of rail station facilities affords. 6.43 An estimate of potential employment and GVA impacts has been developed from the survey findings. The estimate is based on the following assumptions, which optimise the potential for employment growth attributable to the provision of the rail halt. The estimate is a gross estimate in that it makes no provision for additionality and displacement effects : 6.44 Dumfries & Galloway average GVA per employee of £27,94810 Thornhill à A 5% increase in employment in responding businesses; à A 1% increase in employment in remaining businesses Eastriggs à A 5% increase in employment in responding businesses; à A 1% increase in employment in remaining businesses On this basis, it is estimated that rail station provision could generate: 10 Thornhill à an additional 12 jobs à additional annual GVA of £328,000 Eastriggs à an additional 5 jobs à additional annual GVA of £149,000 NOMIS, June 2007 figures Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 37 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report 7 CONCLUSIONS 7.1 From the survey findings it can be concluded that the business community would generally welcome that the proposed new stations. It was considered that the new rail services and stations could help sustain business performance, reduce some costs, improve margins and increase output. However, this is only expected by some of the businesses and often to a limited extent, with only ‘slight beneficial impacts’ being identified by many. 7.2 More pronounced benefits were anticipated in Thornhill, while businesses in Eastriggs were less optimistic of the potential benefits. 7.3 With rail station improvements, the range and frequency of services are the key factors which directly influence business performance. As noted earlier, no increase in existing levels of service is envisaged on the line. However, indirect business benefits may be realised through the enhanced profile which the opening of rail station facilities affords. 7.4 An estimate of potential employment and GVA impacts has been developed from the survey findings. The estimate is based on the following assumptions, which optimise the potential for employment growth attributable to the provision of the rail halt. The estimate is a gross estimate in that it makes no provision for additionality and displacement effects : 7.5 On this basis, it is estimated that rail station provision could generate: 7.6 Dumfries & Galloway average GVA per employee of £27,94811 Thornhill à A 5% increase in employment in responding businesses; à A 1% increase in employment in remaining businesses Eastriggs à A 5% increase in employment in responding businesses; à A 1% increase in employment in remaining businesses Thornhill à an additional 12 jobs à additional annual GVA of £328,000 Eastriggs à an additional 5 jobs à additional annual GVA of £149,000 The provision of rail halts in Thornhill and Eastriggs may also act to increase the attractiveness of each settlement for housing and other development. While this will also be influenced by provision of other supporting infrastructure and services, as well as implementation of policy priorities, it appears evident that the potential impact of 11 NOMIS, June 2007 figures Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 38 Dumfries & Galloway STAG Final Report new railway stations in either settlement will have only a limited impact on the level of housing development delivered. This assessment has examined potential increases in completion rates which could be at the high end of potential improvement. Under these scenarios, and over the next 20 years, station provision could encourage an additional 13- 25 residential units in Eastriggs and an additional 17 -33 houses in Thornhill. Roger Tym & Partners April 2009 39 Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 8 Rail Operational Assessment Report OPERATIONAL ASSESSMENT OF THE PROPOSED THORNHILL AND EASTRIGGS STATIONS A Report produced for Duncan Birrell Regional Director Colin Buchanan and Partners Ltd Document Control File name Version number Version date Author Reviewed by File location RWA Rail Report - Operational Assessment of the proposed Thornhill and Eastriggs stations v 2_0 Draft.doc 2.0 Draft 05 February 2009 Godfrey Willis Steve Brown C:\Documents and Settings\Steve\My Documents\Work\Colin Buchanan\GSW New Stations\Documents\Outgoing\RWA Rail Report - Operational Assessment of the proposed Thornhill and Eastriggs stations v 2_0 Draft.doc Page 1 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. Document Control Issue 1.0 2.0 Date 2nd February 2009 5th February 2009 Comments First draft Second draft incorporating reference to sub-options and minor changes Page 2 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. Executive Summary Given the investigation described and the assumptions made it would appear that the effects of the provision of new stations at Eastriggs and Thornhill on journey times of train services will not have major impacts on the timetable as a whole and that, subject to proof by modelling work relating to performance, could be reliably and robustly delivered on a daily basis. Connections at Carlisle with other services are generally maintained although the advertised “minimum interchange time” in the Train Services Database of ten minutes is undercut on some occasions. The current connectional allowance in the National Rail Timetable at Carlisle is 8 minutes, in other words if a train leaves Carlisle in less than eight minutes after the arrival of another there is not deemed to be a connection between the two. There are examples today of West Coast Main Line trains giving less than eight minutes into G&SW services (1102 arrival into 1107 departure, 1846 arrival into 1852 departure for example) There is a small increase in such occasions in the proposed timetable. The effect of deceleration, station dwell times of half a minute at each location and acceleration is en extension of approximately six minutes to affected through train journeys in each direction between Kilmarnock and Carlisle, and of two minutes in each direction for trains solely between Dumfries and Carlisle. The extension is greater for some trains than for others, depending on the extent to which the current paths are extended by the use of “pathing” or extended dwell time allowances which can be re-claimed for use as station stop time. These journey time extensions will require endorsement by stakeholders, most notably Transport Scotland which has a stated objective of reducing journey times. In the process of undertaking the initial timetable analysis, an apparent planning discrepancy has been discovered in the current running times between Thornhill and Sanquhar, believed to be caused by a Permanent Speed Restriction (PSR). As things stand, awaiting confirmation from stakeholders, the additional running time (90 s in the Down direction, and 120 s in the Up direction) has been incorporated into the planning assumptions. Suitable data is not yet available in order to extend the study to include the proposed December 2009 passenger timetable, which incorporates the half-hourly Kilmarnock service. Given the potentially significant impacts of this timetable re-cast, this is a significant omission which will need to be rectified once an appropriate level of detail becomes available. The impact of opening only one, not both of the proposed new stations has been considered in principle but not in detail. Either scenario would essentially be a less-modified version of that which has been considered previously, i.e. the worst case (in terms or train planning) has been considered. Page 3 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. Table of Contents Document Control ................................................................................................................ 2 Executive Summary................................................................................................................ 3 Table of Contents .................................................................................................................. 4 1 Background.................................................................................................................. 5 2 The G&SW Route ........................................................................................................ 6 3 Methodology ............................................................................................................... 7 4 Planning Assumptions .................................................................................................. 8 5 Revised Sectional Running Times ................................................................................. 9 6 7 8 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 Investigation and Main Report.................................................................................... 10 Effects on rolling stock diagrams ........................................................................... 11 Effects on train crew resources ............................................................................ 11 Effects on performance......................................................................................... 11 Sub-Options – Thornhill or Eastriggs stations in isolation ...................................... 12 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 Issues Arising ............................................................................................................. 13 Infrastructure........................................................................................................ 13 Journey time effects .............................................................................................. 13 Train Crew and resource diagrams....................................................................... 13 Other schemes planned or contemplated ............................................................. 13 Conclusions ............................................................................................................... 14 Appendix I: Revised Sectional Running Times ....................................................................... 15 Appendix II: Amended Passenger Timetables and Consequential Alterations ....................... 16 Page 4 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 1 Background Dumfries and Galloway Council has aspirations to open new stations at both Thornhill and Eastriggs. Thornhill is located roughly midway between the existing stations at Dumfries and Sanquhar, and is the site of a former station. Eastriggs is located between Gretna and Annan and is also close to the site of a former station. Dumfries and Galloway Council’s Design Services, Combined Services undertook a study on the Glasgow & South Western Line and Stranraer Line on behalf of the Council’s Strategic Transportation, Planning and Environment team in November 2005. This sought to identify how the accessibility and service to the public provided by the rail network in the area could be improved. The study considered a number of aspects including railway operations and timetabling, patronage, service provision and infrastructure improvements. A key aspect of this study was to assess the feasibility of a number of potential new stations in terms of their physical implementability, likely demand, ability to be served without significant disruptions to existing train services, and the resulting economic case for their construction. Thornhill and Eastriggs were two of the potential new stations considered in this study. This study recognised that journey times of trains which called at the new stations would be lengthened by about three minutes in either direction. However, since this previous work was localised in geographical scope, was limited to only part of the day; did not use Rules of the Plan, nor had buy in from Network Rail or First ScotRail it was considered that little could be reused. The recent doubling of the line between Annan and Gretna also gave a different train planning concept. Dumfries and Galloway Council has now asked Colin Buchanan to conduct a new study, the purpose of which is to take forward the findings from the previous studies by carrying out a STAG type appraisal of options for the two new stations. Colin Buchanan has subsequently asked RWA Rail to provide analysis of the operational impacts of these stations. Page 5 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 2 The G&SW Route The G&SW main line between Kilmarnock and Carlisle via Gretna Jn is currently utilised by a mixture of passenger and freight traffic. Passenger traffic consists of irregular services between Glasgow Central and Carlisle (operated by First ScotRail), and between Stranraer or Girvan and Newcastle (operated by First ScotRail to the north of Carlisle, and by Northern Rail south and east thereof). Between passenger services, there is an intensive freight service, primarily consisting of power station coal from Hunterston and other loading points on the south west of Scotland, to power stations in the East Midlands and Aire Valley, together with corresponding empty freight trains in the northbound direction. The increase in utilisation of the G&SW main line has led to a number of completed and proposed enhancement schemes in the area, including the following list extracted from the current Route Plan: • • • • Redoubling of Gretna to Annan and provision of additional signalling between Annan and Mauchline (completed August 2008) Glasgow/Kilmarnock Upgrade - Extension of Lugton Loop to south of Stewarton, including 2nd platforms at Dunlop and Stewarton and platform extensions to the existing platforms at Dunlop and Kilmaurs to permit a half-hourly service between Glasgow Central and Kilmarnock (due for completion in 2009) Dumfries improved turnback - improvements to provide a southbound turnback move from the northbound platform Linespeed enhancements at Sanquhar The introduction of the half-hourly Kilmarnock service, in particular, will lead to a further recast of the G&SW timetable. Page 6 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 3 Methodology Basic timetable and associated data has been collated for the December 2008 timetable. Rolling stock diagrams have been requested from First ScotRail (SR), but at the time of writing have not been made available. With the G&SW route being the only "domestic" ScotRail service into and out of Carlisle, it is safe to assume that what comes in also goes back. At the Glasgow Central end the unit may interwork and run to Stranraer, for example, but it is considered unlikely to have such a short turnround that the proposed retimings will have any effect. The extra time required for the new station stops has been calculated using RailSys (a tool accepted by Network Rail for the calculation of running times), based on line speed, gradients and traction characteristics at the proposed station locations. The impact of the additional station stop(s) on the timetable has then been evaluated and the findings are reported in the remainder of this report. Page 7 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 4 Planning Assumptions The proposed new stations would be situated at railway mileage 110 miles 20 chains for Eastriggs and 77 miles 50 chains for Thornhill at similar locations to the former stations. For Eastriggs this would be approximately three miles from Annan and five miles from Gretna Green the nearest points at which passenger trains currently call. In the case of Thornhill the equivalent distances are twelve miles from Sanquhar and fourteen miles from Dumfries. Both stations are planned to be located on sections of running line with no severe curves or steep gradients in the immediate area. The locations in relation to running signals are not a material factor for this timetable exercise. The following operational assumptions have been made: • The current Rules of the Plan values for headways, margins, etc will remain as now. • A half minute station dwell time should be considered at each location in view of the rolling stock which currently operates the services. • That the station will not be fitted for Driver Only Operation of trains. • That no future infrastructure enhancement schemes (such as an improved Dumfries turnback) have been provided. The following rolling stock assumptions have been made: • The route will continue to be served by current rolling stock • All multiple units used can maintain the proposed running times. The following infrastructure assumptions have been made: • Line speed values remain as at present. • Methods of signalling remain as at present. • The new stations will be capable of dealing with longest passenger train required to call. The following service assumptions have been made: • That calls at the new stations will be in addition to existing calls at adjacent locations and not be as a replacement to balance overall journey times. • That the RailSys generated running times catering for the calls are accepted and have been rounded for train planning purposes. • That the timetable impact outwith the Kilmarnock to Carlisle section is to be minimal. Page 8 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 5 Revised Sectional Running Times Revised Sectional Running Times (SRTs), incorporating station stops at Thornhill and Eastriggs have been calculated using RailSys and are shown in detail in Appendix I. To summarise, journey times would be extended by approximately 120 s at each of the two station sites, including 30 s station dwell time at each station. In the process of undertaking the initial timetable analysis, an apparent planning discrepancy in the current timetable has been uncovered. The current timetable shows the planned journey time from Thornhill (pass) to Sanquhar (stop) to be 750 s, and 720 s vice versa. Checking these running times using RailSys shows the actual running times to be in the order of 830 s each way, the reason for the discrepancy would appear to be a speed restriction of 20 mph, from 66 miles 50 chains to 65 miles 77 chains, just to the south of Sanquhar. This is shown in the current Sectional Appendix. Since this is shown in the Sectional Appendix and hence appears to be a Permanent Speed Restriction (PSR), Network Rail will need to be contacted to understand: 1) 2) 3) Whether this has nominally been factored into existing running times (it would seem not) The reason for the PSR (the Route Plan identifies old mine workings) Whether there is any prospect of it being removed (it is assumed that this enhancement is that referred to in the Route Plan) As things stand, the additional running time (90 s in the Down direction, and 120 s in the Up direction) has been incorporated into the planning assumptions. The effect of deceleration, station dwell times of half a minute at each location and acceleration is en extension of approximately six minutes to affected through train journeys in each direction between Kilmarnock and Carlisle, and of two minutes in each direction for trains solely between Dumfries and Carlisle. The extension is greater for some trains than for others, depending on the extent to which the current paths are extended by the use of “pathing” or extended dwell time allowances which can be re-claimed for use as station stop time. These journey time extensions will require endorsement by stakeholders, most notably Transport Scotland which has a stated objective of reducing journey times. Page 9 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 6 Investigation and Main Report The list of services (taken from the December 2008 TT base) which would serve the proposed new stations is shown in tabular form below together with the deduced stopping times: Table 1: Northbound Calling Times at New Stations Eastriggs depart 05 55** 06 26 08 32 11 24 13 23 14 38 15 15 16 31** 18 18 19 08 21 23 23 08** Thornhill depart 07 03 09 09 12 01 14 01 15 15 15 53 18 56 19 45 21 58 ** to Dumfries only Table 2: Southbound Calling Times at New Stations Thornhill depart 08 34 10 00 11 33 12 44 13 35 14 38 17 19 19 00 21 34 23 36 ** from Dumfries only Eastriggs depart 06 51** 07 57** 09 11 10 37 12 09 13 20 14 12 15 15 17 26** 17 56 19 37 22 10 00 15 Page 10 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. The full timetable details, with comparisons to the existing service, are shown in Appendix II and the area compiled covers Kilmarnock to Carlisle (inclusive) with every effort made to retain the existing (Dec 2008) timetable beyond Kilmarnock to Glasgow Central or Stranraer and beyond Carlisle towards Newcastle in both directions. In general this is possible by making use of pathing or performance allowances in the current timings, or by shortening extended dwell times (particularly at Carlisle but in some cases elsewhere). Only passenger trains are shown in the Appendix – freight paths remain unaltered unless explicitly shown in the list of consequential alterations. The results cover a full twenty four service and using Mondays to Fridays as the example. It is appreciated that passenger services in general run on an identical basis for five days each week (often six) but freight is variable with some trains operating on certain days only. Platform details at Carlisle and Kilmarnock have been included 6.1 Effects on rolling stock diagrams The inclusion of the additional calls in the trains is believed not to have any effect on the diagrammed working of multiple units as the “balances” at each end of a journey have been maintained but the absence of any unit diagrams from First ScotRail to support this should be noted. 6.2 Effects on train crew resources In the event of the additional journey time in each direction being accepted and implemented there will be two possible effects on train crew workings. Firstly it is possible that the productive work content of diagrams will be extended by approximately six minutes in each direction (i.e. the same diagram working a southbound and returning northbound train both of which have additional calls) which may have an effect on any local agreement with the depots working these trains. Secondly, and perhaps more likely, any physical needs breaks (PNBs) within diagrams at Carlisle may be affected in that the minimum time necessary for these will be compromised by varying reductions to cater for the extended journey times. First ScotRail have not been a party to the work undertaken or supplied information to assist therewith. The effects are thus not yet known in detail. A response is required from First ScotRail since details of Terms and Conditions for staff at key locations in terms of PNBs etc. are required to inform the study. 6.3 Effects on performance As noted above, a full performance assessment (using modelling) is outwith the scope of this study. No major performance issues are anticipated, but it should be noted that the revised timetable inevitably requires a reduction in turn-round time at Carlisle, Dumfries or elsewhere, for certain services, and this may have a negative impact on punctuality as late incoming workings are more likely to knock-on into late departures. Page 11 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 6.4 Sub-Options – Thornhill or Eastriggs stations in isolation The impact of opening only one, not both of the proposed new stations has been considered in principle but not in detail. Either scenario would essentially be a less-modified version of that which has been considered previously, i.e. the worst case (in terms or train planning) has been considered. The no-Eastriggs option would mean that there would be little or no effect at all on the current Dumfries terminating services, since these would simply continue to run as now. The no-Thornhill option would mean that all services would be affected but by less than in the case that both stations are in operation. In practice the whole timetable has fairly evidently not yet been optimised to account for the Gretna-Annan re-doubling. This will likely be taken account of in the work on re-timetabling the G&SW route that First ScotRail are known to be undertaking but to which we have not yet had access. Page 12 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 7 Issues Arising The introduction of the additional calls into trains appears to be without serious issue but the following should be noted to ensure a robust train plan: 7.1 Infrastructure Although no specific train length has been assumed, but we would expect that stations will have platforms that are long enough to accommodate the longest train currently used on the route (believed to be a 2-car Class 156 or Class 158 but awaiting rolling stock diagrams from First ScotRail to confirm), i.e. platforms will be no shorter than the operational length of those at other stations. 7.2 Journey time effects The additional running times in each direction should ideally be contained wherever possible within the Carlisle to Kilmarnock or vice versa section of each trains journey. If this is not possible the impact of extending the retimings beyond the area and thus reacting on other trains on other lines has been considered. Appendix II shows where these consequential impacts have proved necessary. 7.3 Train Crew and resource diagrams The impact of additional journey times on diagrams has still to be calculated in any detail. 7.4 Other schemes planned or contemplated Whilst the exercise has taken December 2008 as the base, it is noted that the data contains several freight pathways which do not operate on a regular basis, and with the ongoing and fluid development of freight trains via this route this must be taken into consideration in any further evaluation. Suitable data is not yet available in order to extend the study to include the proposed December 2009 passenger timetable, which incorporates the half-hourly Kilmarnock service. Given the potentially significant impacts of this timetable re-cast, this is a significant omission which will need to be rectified once an appropriate level of detail becomes available. It is noted that there is an aspiration stated in the Route Plan to simplify turn-rounds at Dumfries by allowing southbound services to depart from the northbound platform in passenger service. It is considered that this might be desirable in order to mitigate against any performance risk. Page 13 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. 8 Conclusions Given the investigation described and the assumptions made it would appear that the effects of the provision of new stations at Eastriggs and Thornhill on journey times of train services will not have major impacts on the timetable and subject to other modelling work relating to performance could be reliably and robustly delivered on a daily basis. Connections at Carlisle with other services are generally maintained although the advertised “minimum interchange time” in the Train Services Database of ten minutes is undercut on some occasions. The current connectional allowance in the National Rail Timetable at Carlisle is 8 minutes, in other words if a train leaves Carlisle in less than eight minutes after the arrival of another there is not deemed to be a connection between the two. There are examples today of West Coast Main Line trains giving less than eight minutes into G&SW services (1102 arrival into 1107 departure, 1846 arrival into 1852 departure for example) There is a small increase in such occasions in the proposed timetable. Page 14 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. Appendix I: Revised Sectional Running Times All times are calculated using RailSys and are shown in seconds. From Gretna Green Gretna Green Eastriggs Eastriggs Gretna Green Gretna Green To Eastriggs Eastriggs Annan Annan Annan Annan Start Start Start Pass Start Start Stop Pass Stop Stop Stop Stop Holywood Holywood Dumfries Dumfries Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Dumfries Dumfries Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Sanquhar Sanquhar Sanquhar Sanquhar Kirkconnel Kirkconnel Sanquhar Sanquhar Pass Pass Start Start Start Start Pass Pass Start Pass Start Start Stop Pass Stop Pass Pass Stop Stop Pass Stop Stop Stop Stop Kirkconnel Kirkconnel Sanquhar Sanquhar Sanquhar Sanquhar Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Sanquhar Sanquhar Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Thornhill Holywood Holywood Dumfries Dumfries Dumfries Dumfries Start Start Pass Start Start Pass Start Pass Start Pass Start Start Stop Pass Stop Stop Pass Pass Pass Pass Stop Stop Stop Stop Annan Annan Eastriggs Eastriggs Annan Annan Eastriggs Eastriggs Gretna Green Gretna Green Gretna Green Gretna Green Start Start Start Pass Start Start Stop Pass Stop Stop Stop Stop Non-Stop Stop Eastriggs DMUE 090 327 302 243 172 474 570 DMUS 075 326 301 240 172 473 566 Non-Stop Stop Thornhill 610 590 841 821 886 898 837 825 1110 1049 1658 1739 592 571 825 804 885 897 830 818 1110 1043 1634 1722 Non-Stop Stop Thornhill 1063 1043 833 853 833 813 596 556 794 755 1588 1647 1065 1045 835 855 835 815 596 556 795 755 1590 1650 Non-Stop Stop Eastriggs 235 212 340 273 485 575 235 213 340 268 481 575 Current Timetable 540 810 750 720 810 1530 510 Page 15 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. Appendix II: Amended Passenger Timetables and Consequential Alterations Page 16 of 16 Suite 7, Loughborough Technology Centre , Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, Leicestershire, LE11 3GE, UK +44 (0)1509 210110 info@rwa-rail.co.uk http://www.rwa-rail.co.uk RWA Rail is a wholly-owned subsidiary of TRACSIS plc. Improved Transport Links for the Eastriggs area Draft STAG Report Appendix 9 Full list of public consultation meeting invitees A full list of the organisations invited to the public consultation meetings is shown below: Scottish Government Scottish Enterprise Network Rail First ScotRail Transport Scotland SPT Rail Passengers Committee Scotland Stagecoach West Scotland Dumfries and Galloway Council SEPA Eastriggs Community Council D W Martin and Co Ltd Dumfries and Galloway Constabulary British Transport Police Cycle Touring Club Aztec Bicycle Club SUSTRANS Buccleuch Estates