Issue 4.1, January 2013
Transcription
Issue 4.1, January 2013
Issue 3.1, H1 2012 The Bourse THE BOURSE Issue 4.1, January 2013 Dear Colleagues, The year 2013 has kicked off with a lot of enthusiasm and activity at the DDE with a Rough Tender and Rapaport Polished Auction already concluded and a visit from the New York Diamond Dealers Club on the horizon. Dubai Rough Trade grows in 2012 Rough Trade 2012 According to statistics from RapNet, rough diamonds in the three leading centres traded at a value of US$ 54 billion. The largest importer of rough diamonds was India and Dubai accounted for 19% of its import value. India’s import value for 2012 was US$14.9 billion which represents a 5% increase in comparison to 2011. In Dubai, trade volume of rough diamonds increased by 23% from 2011 to 2012 to 121 million carats, and the value increased by 22% to US$ 11.5 billion. The total carats imported in 2012 were 60 million at a value of US$ 4.6 billion, while export was at 61 million carats at a value of US$ 6.9 billion. The highest trading month was September at US$ 1.2 billion with a weight of 13.2 million carats, which was 57% more than August – the month with the least trade value. Source: Rapnet and Kimberley Process, Dubai Dubai’s top importing trade partners in carats and trade value were India, Zimbabwe and the Democratic Republic of Congo, while the top exporting countries by carats and value were Switzerland, India, and Hong Kong. South Africa, India and Switzerland accounted for 45% of the total trade value of rough diamonds traded through Dubai in 2012. India regained its position as Dubai’s top trading partner by making up 32% of the overall trade. Source: Kimberley Process, Dubai Issue 4.1, January 2013 The Bourse DDE Rough Tender Update The January Rough Diamond Tender featured 6,500 Carats of rough diamonds from Tanzania, Congo and Zimbabwe ranging from pointers to 10 carats. The next Rough Diamond Tender is scheduled from the th th 24 to the 28 of February. Diamond price forecast Bank of America Merrill Lynch predicts that diamond prices will increase by approximately 2.1% this year compared to a 14% drop in 2012 after a “correction” in the market. Jason Fairclough from BoAML highlights, “We forecast a deficit in the medium to long term. Chinese per capita consumption of diamonds is increasing but lags well behind developed markets. We expect rising demand from the emerging markets to drive global demand growth”. As highlighted by Rapaport, certified polished diamond prices fell in 2012 as a result of the slow global economic growth, slow pace of growth in China and unfavorable short term economic policies in India. Steady U.S. demand sustained the jewellery industry but consumer sentiment was bearish in December as pending tax hikes reduced holiday retail spending. Rapaport Auction “Supply is very limited; no new large mines have come on stream in the past five years and few Greenfield mines are planned,” Fairclough says. Source: “Diamond Intelligence Brief, Vol.28”. Polished prices For the full year 2012, RAPI for 1-carat diamonds fell 12.5%, while 0.3-carat stones declined 7.4% and 0.5carat diamonds decreased by 11.1%. RAPI for 3-carat stones fell 11.6% during the year. The Rapaport Melee Index (RMI) increased by 2.3% in 2012. RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI) December 4Q 2012 2012 RAPI 0.3 Ct. 1.2% 1.3% RAPI 0.5 Ct. 0.4% -1.4% RAPI 1.0 Ct. 0.0% -2.6% RAPI 3.0 Ct 0.2% -1.7% RMI (Melee) -0.2% Full Year 2012 -7.4% -11.1% -12.5% -11.6% 2.3% Source: Rapaport 2 Rapaport held its first Melee Auction of the year in Dubai from 20-23 January at the Almas Tower, Level 2 DDE Conference Room. The auction featured mixed, breakout, close-out, and finely assorted diamond parcels in all shapes, qualities and sizes. Issue 4.1, January 2013 The Bourse Peter Meeus, Chairman, DDE Introduces the Dubai Diamond Conference “The Dubai Diamond Conference is going to be a game changing conference because 2012 brought the most amount of changes in the diamond industry in the last 20 years. Of particular importance is the move of the DTC headquarters from London to Gaborone (Botswana). This means after 82 years of the sightholders going to London for the sights, from September they will need to go to Gaborone in the middle of southern Africa to view and buy the goods. One cannot underestimate the impact this move will have on global trade centres. For the conference we have three components, the first is under the title of the New Silk Route to highlight Africa which produces 65% of the Rough mined. The second is the diamond retail sector which will feature big regional retailers and include an in-depth focus on the importance of tourism in Dubai. The third component is a session on banking and finance; as one of the key factors that enables the diamond industry to thrive, which is currently scarce because of the current state of the global economy.” For more details visit www.diamondconference.ae Key Speakers at the Dubai Diamond Conference 2013 In line with the Kimberley Process’ (‘KP’) upcoming 10 year anniversary, the KP Chair Ambassador, Welile Nhlapo has confirmed that he will be delivering a keynote speech at the inaugural Dubai Diamond Conference. CHAIM EVEN-ZOHAR Editor Diamond Intelligence Briefs Ahmed Bin Sulayem Executive Chairman Dubai Multi Commodities Centre HON. DR. OBERT MOSES MPOFU Minister of Mines and Mining Development Republic of Zimbabwe ERNEST BLOM Honorary Life President of World Federation of Diamond Bourses ELI IZHAKOFF President, World Diamond Council HON. PROF. DR FRANCISCO HON. ONKOKAME KITSO MOKAILA HON. ISAK KATALI QUEIROZ Minister of Minerals, Energy and Minister of Mines and Energy Minister of Geology, Mines and Water Resources, Republic of Republic of Namibia Industry, Republic of Angola Botswana “Dubai has seen remarkable growth in the past ten years, particularly within the diamond industry. Located at the centre of the New Silk Route, it is certainly the ideal destination for an international diamond conference and I am delighted to attend the inaugural Dubai Diamond Conference on behalf of the Republic of South Africa. I look forward to the range of debates and panel discussions that are in store, as well as identifying more ways in which South Africa and the UAE can strengthen their trading ties.” 3 HON. SUSAN SHABANGU Minister of Mineral Resources Republic of South Africa The Bourse Issue 4.1, January 2013 International Market News Harry Winston Retail to be sold to Swatch The diamond and timepiece division of Harry Winston Diamond Corp. will be sold to the Swatch Group for US$ 1 billion; the structure of the deal consists of US$ 750 million in cash and debt repayment of US$ 250 million. Once the deal is complete, Harry Winston will change its name to Dominion Diamond Corporation. As the diamond industry continues to struggle with the availability of finance, the finance derived from deal will enable Harry Winston to concentrate more on upstream opportunities. In 2012, India’s polished exports declined 37% year on year to US$ 16.986 billion with the average price of the polished exports up 15% to US$ 504.94 per carat. Polished imports decreased 72% to US$ 5.592 billion in 2012. It can be concluded that the weak demand from the US, China and Europe markets and the import duty on polished diamond acted as bottle necks in the 2012 trade in India. Source: GJEPC.org Surat Dealers Increases Manufacturing of Fancy Cut Source: uk.reuters.com De Beers eyes Angola as a country of focus De Beers prioritises its exploration activities in Angola and expects to unveil an economically viable diamond deposit that will help the company regain the almost US$ 250 million spent on its search for diamonds in the country. De Beers has allocated an annual budget of US$ 30 million for prospecting in Angola, which in 2011 produced 8.32 million carats of diamonds at a value of US$ 1.16 billion. Source: rapnet.com Bloomberg reported De Beers has also found diamonds in a 3,000 square-kilometre concession close to Lucapa in the Luanda North province. This is the last remaining site out of the five that De Beers has explored in Angola since 2005. Lago de Carvalho, business manager at De Beers Angola, has emphasized the discovery is still in the exploration phase. Source: Bloomberg.com GJEPC proposes to the government of India Duty Free Import Quota for Polished Diamonds The Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) have made a request to the government of India to authorize duty free import quotas for cut and polished diamonds to 15% of the previous year’s exports. This is as a response to the decrease in trade activity due to the 2% duty levy introduced on polished diamonds after more than five years of duty free imports. “We have gone with a suggestion that didn't permit unlimited [polished] import at zero percent duty but did permit us at least 15% of our previous year’s turnover at 0%,” said Pankaj Parekh, GJEPC’s vice chairman at a conference in Mumbai. 4 In the past year, the price of round and princess cut polished diamonds has fallen by approximately 15 to 20%, while fancy cut diamond prices have remained relatively more stable. According to diamantaires in Surat, the consumer trend has shifted more towards pears, hearts, radiants, ovals, marquise, emerald, asscher and cushion. This has triggered the diamantaires in Surat (the world’s largest cutting and polishing centre) to engage more in manufacturing of fancy cut diamonds which have a market value of US$ 10 billion. Surat's diamond industry accounts for about 80% of global fancy cut diamond supplies. Praveen Nanavaty, the chairman of SHE Jewels, said, "Prices of fancy cut diamonds are relatively stable compared to the rounds. There is a decline of 15 to 20% in the price of rough diamonds. Fancy cut diamonds are in high demand in the world markets. Previously, round diamonds were ruling the global market. Now, out of the 10 pieces of diamonds sold in the world, two are fancy cut diamonds." "Small diamantaires have embarked upon processing fancy cut diamonds as the round diamonds market is relatively on the downside," said Dinesh Navadia, the president of the Surat Diamond Association (SDA). Nanavaty explains the diamonds from the mines are sorted by the shape. He highlights that there is 70% waste in processing round cuts, while the fancy cuts have a lesser waste of 10 to 15%. He also says the time, skill and per piece wages required for cutting and polishing the fancy cuts are much less than with round which require greater precision. Source: rapnet.com Issue 4.1, January 2013 The Bourse Calendar of Events – Q1 2013 February Rough Tender: GIA Jewelry Professional Diploma: Diamond Dealer Days: Coffee Club: 24 – 28 3–7 11 – 14 27 March Dubai Diamond Conference: Rough Tender: U P D A T E 18 – 19 31 Mar – 4 April In 2012, the UAE Kimberley Process Office issued a total of 9,921 trade (Import + Export) certificates, which was a 32% increase from 2011. Highlights from the January Coffee Clubs Dubai Dealer Days @ the Dubai Diamond Exchange Over 20 leading diamantaires from the New York Diamond Dealers Club are coming to the Dubai Diamond Exchange to showcase exclusive assortments of wholesale polished diamonds. We look forward to seeing you there. Venue : Level 2, Almas Tower Date : 11 – 14 February RSVP: +971 4 433 6703 or shahina.shaikh@dmcc.ae Thank you for attending the Coffee Clubs, the images are online on http://www.facebook.com/#!/jlt.dmcc?fref=ts 5 Almas Tower Level 2, Jumeirah Lakes Towers PO Box: 48800 Dubai U.A.E T. +971 4 433 67 11 F. +971 4 375 18 96 info@dde.ae The Bourse Issue 3.1, H1 2012