Morning Express
Transcription
Morning Express
Morning Express Today’s Focus 11 July 2011 Indices Close 1d % Ytd % 22,726 12,756 2,930 285 1,258 752 12,657 1,344 2,860 5,991 3,914 7,403 0.87 0.92 0.12 0.36 -0.07 -0.30 -0.49 -0.70 -0.45 -1.06 -1.67 -0.92 -1.34 0.50 -0.33 -6.36 -6.90 -8.83 9.33 6.85 7.80 1.54 2.86 7.07 Crude Gold Close 95.88 1,542.10 3m % -14.05 5.40 Ytd % 1.75 8.54 Silver Copper JPY GBP EURO 36.69 9,661.00 80.67 1.60 1.42 -8.86 -2.17 4.87 -1.90 -1.54 18.66 0.64 0.56 2.71 6.19 3m 6m 0.26 0.01 0.01 3.03 -0.56 -0.31 HSI H Shares SH A SH B SZ A SZ B DJIA S&P 500 Nasdaq FTSE CAC DAX Indicators bps change HIBOR US 10 yield Hang Seng Index (1 year) 26,000 Strategy Report – Market tends to believe that the Chinese government will relax its monetary policies in 3Q11. Compared to the average CPI growth of -0.6% in June of the past 11 years, the latest CPI grew 0.3% on a monthly basis, reflecting that the country still faces high inflationary pressure. Trade surplus in June also grew beyond market expectation, bringing higher RMB appreciation pressure and hedging pressure of the open market. In view of this, we believe the tightening policies will stay in place in 3Q, so as to control inflation. The HSI could test above 25000pts in 2H given easing inflationary pressure and stable economic growth. Meanwhile, Chinese banking sector observed severe plunges last week due to market’s concern over a default in LGFV. The risks involved, in our opinion, should be “liquidity risks” instead of “default risk”. The worst scenario would just be a rollover of debts and the market has clearly exaggerated its impact on banks’ earnings. Investors should make rational judgment on market rumors. China Macro – China’s June CPI grew 6.4% YoY, marking another record high of the year. The figure came in line with our expectation but was slightly higher than the market’s consensus of 6.2%. The surge in June CPI was mainly due to rising food prices in off-seasons, indicating a rather heavy inflationary pressure. Agricultural prices rose steadily in early July and if the trend extends to the rest of the month, July CPI could also see an unusual increase after June. We estimate that the July CPI could climb to around 6.6%. If pork price hike slows, CPI would probably peak in July. Meanwhile, China’s June exports maintained a rather fast growth while imports growth fell sharply. Trade surplus grew beyond market expectation, which could act as a catalyst for the RMB appreciation. 25,000 24,000 23,000 22,000 21,000 20,000 19,000 18,000 17,000 08 /0 7/ 20 10 08 /0 8/ 20 10 08 /0 9/ 20 10 08 /1 0/ 20 10 08 /1 1/ 20 10 08 /1 2/ 20 10 08 /0 1/ 20 11 08 /0 2/ 20 11 08 /0 3/ 20 11 08 /0 4/ 20 11 08 /0 5/ 20 11 08 /0 6/ 20 11 08 /0 7/ 20 11 16,000 HS China Enterprise Index (1 year) 15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 Petrochem Sector – International oil prices turned volatile over the past month. BRENT oil fell to its lowest point in 4 months but soon staged a strong rebound. WTI-BRENT spread remained at –US$20/barrel, offering arbitrage opportunities. Given a global economic recovery and rising energy demand, we believe oil prices would continue to climb. The recent fall in oil price temporarily alleviated refiner’s operating pressure; petrochem sector still enjoys decent profit margin. “Outperform” rating maintained for the sector. Among the 3 oil giants in China, we assigned “Buy” rating for CNOOC Ltd and gave “LT-Buy” and “Neutral” ratings to PetroChina and Sinopec, respectively. We also recommend China Oilfield Services, SPC and China Sanjiang, all with “Buy” ratings. 20 11 11 20 11 20 11 20 11 20 11 8/ 7/ 8/ 6/ 8/ 5/ 8/ 4/ 8/ 3/ 0 11 20 01 20 /2 8/ 2/ 8/ 1/ 0 0 01 8/ 12 10 01 /2 /2 8/ 11 10 20 20 8/ 9/ 8/ 10 8/ 8/ 8/ 7/ 20 10 9,000 Coal Sector – Domestic steam coal price stayed at high level with Qinhuangdao steam coal price rising 15.3% YoY or 2.8% MoM. Spread between Qinhuangdao and international steam coal prices remained high. China’s coal imports improved sharply while exports volume fell further. Production of the 4 major downstream industries continued to report YoY growth. The robust domestic demand brings strong support for coal prices. We are bullish towards the future coal prices and the earnings of listed coal producers. “Outperform” rating maintains. We prefer Yanzhou Coal, Hidili Industry and Winsway, all assigned with “Buy” ratings. Morning Express 11 July 2011 HSI Technical 22,726 22,811 23,228 55 4,471 HSI 50 d MA 200 d MA 14 d RSI Short Sell (HK$ m) Shanghai A-shares (1 year) 3,400 3,200 3,000 2,800 2,600 Auto Sector – China’s auto production and sales 1.4037m units and 1.4359m units in June, up 3.83% MoM and 3.62% MoM or climbing 0.65% YoY and 1.40% YoY, respectively. The June sales data improved slightly from the negative growth reported in Apr and May. Passenger cars showed stronger performance than commercial vehicles in 1H. Inventory stayed within reasonable range. Exports remain as the industry highlight. We expect the auto sales would recover in 4Q when peak season arrives. We project auto sales growth to be around 5-10% in 2011. Maintain “Market Perform” rating. Share prices are expected to rebound after heavy corrections but the magnitude would be limited in the absence of strong sales data. 2,400 8/ 7/ 20 10 8/ 8/ 20 10 8/ 9/ 20 10 8/ 10 /2 01 0 8/ 11 /2 01 0 8/ 12 /2 01 0 8/ 1/ 20 11 8/ 2/ 20 11 8/ 3/ 20 11 8/ 4/ 20 11 8/ 5/ 20 11 8/ 6/ 20 11 8/ 7/ 20 11 2,200 Shenzhen A-shares (1 year) 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 8/ 7/ 20 10 8/ 8/ 20 10 8/ 9/ 20 10 8/ 10 /2 01 0 8/ 11 /2 01 0 8/ 12 /2 01 0 8/ 1/ 20 11 8/ 2/ 20 11 8/ 3/ 20 11 8/ 4/ 20 11 8/ 5/ 20 11 8/ 6/ 20 11 8/ 7/ 20 11 800 Result Announcement This Week Date Company Code 11/07/2011 15/07/2011 18/07/2011 25/07/2011 27/07/2011 28/07/2011 28/07/2011 29/07/2011 VITAL GROUP LINMARK GROUP PUBLIC FIN HOLD CKLIFE SCIENCES POWER ASSETS CHINA GREEN CKI HOLDINGS CHINA HEALTH 1164 915 626 775 6 904 1038 673 1Q Final Interim Interim Interim Final Interim Final Engineering Machinery Sector – President Hu mentioned at the Central Water Conservancy Working Conference last weekend that water conservancy should be regarded as the priority in the country’s infrastructure projects. China strives to change the lagging situation of water conservancy constructions in 510 years. From the No. 1 Document to the Central Water Conservancy Working Conference, the policy support on the construction of water conservancy facilities will drive the engineering machinery sector, which is mainly boosted by FAI. FAI in the construction of water conservancy facilities currently accounts for 9% of total FAI in China and the investment growth maintained at around 25% in 1H11. We think the investment growth in water conservancy should exceed 25% each year on average during the 12th Five-Year Plan Period. Excavators, loaders, concrete trucks and other related engineering machineries should benefit. We recommend listed engineering machinery companies Lonking and Zoomlion. Boshiwa International (1698.HK) – BI signed strategic co-operation agreement with Takara Tomy, a leading toy company in Japan. This deal proves again that BI’s distribution network is very attractive to international brands. The cooperation of Takara Tomy could enrich BI’s product portfolio instantly. Further indepth co-operation, new merchandises development and introduction of Kiddy Land are future growth drivers. Maintain BUY recommendation and TP HK$6.63. Angang Steel (347.HK) – The Company announced profit warning for its interim results in 2011. Given rising raw material prices, the Company expected its net profits in 1H11 to slump 92% YoY to RMB220bn, representing an EPS of RMB0.03, much lower than the EPS of RMB0.38 reported in the same period last year. The chance for a strong rebound in domestic steel products in 2H is thin, especially when the demand for steel plates, the Company’s major steel products, is expected to be weak. Together with the rising production costs brought by raw materials price hikes, we believe it would be rather unlikely for the Company to see a strong improvement in its earnings in 2H. We project that its FY11F/12F EPS to be RMB0.08/RMB0.14, corresponding to FY11F/12F P/E of 90.4x/ 54.5x. Trim rating to “Neutral” with TP of HK$9.2. Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 2 Morning Express 11 July 2011 Belle Int’l (1880.HK) - Latest operation update recorded 20% SSSG for footwear business & 5.5% for sportswear in 2Q11; number of footwear stores increased by 538 to 9153, and sportswear stores increased by 217 to 3988. The result beat management guidance but broadly inline with our forecast. We maintain our positive view on the group’s earning outlook giving its sustainable growth prospect and strong execution capability, however, as the group’s stock price has been moving very strongly during the past weeks, we revise down our rating to HOLD, TP remain unchanged at $17.81, representing 30X FY11F PE. Market View – The upward momentum in HSI should be sustainable but perhaps slowly. HK turned slightly stronger last Friday. HSI opened high amid rising external markets and lingered around 22780pts in the morning session. The gain was narrowed to 0.87% in the afternoon, with the index closing at 22726pts. The HSI added 1.47% in the past week. Most of the stocks reported gains last week, but the magnitude was limited. Support services, property and metals sectors led the upswing but the increases were within 1%. Healthcare products, coal and hotel & entertainment sectors underperformed, losing nearly 1%. National Bureau of Statistics announced that China’s CPI grew 6.4% in June. The figure, marking a record in nearly 3 years, came in line with our projection but was slight higher than market’s consensus. The surging food prices continued to fuel up inflation, contributing 4.26ppts to the increase in June CPI. CPI increased 0.3% on a monthly basis, higher than the 0.1% growth reported in May. In particular, pork price rose 11.4% MoM, which brought up the CPI growth by 0.36ppts. Vegetable and fruit prices, on the other hand, continued to drop on a monthly basis while non-food prices stayed flat, alleviating some of the inflationary pressure. The CPI is expected to stay at high level in 2H11 but the inflationary pressure should reduce given a fall in carryover effect expected in July. Meanwhile, the government might introduce some administrative measures to pork prices and pork supply would probably increase in 2H. The slipping CPI would favour the HK equity market. CPI in 3Q might stand at around 5.2% but the figure would contract to 4% in 4Q. We expect the CPI growth in 2011 would be around 4.8%, stayed within Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao’s latest announced target. Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 3 Morning Express 11 July 2011 PBoC Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said China’s monetary policies need to balance growth and inflation. Unlike previous comments, Zhao emphasized that China will tolerate some inflation, for it has been undertaking the transformation from a central-plan to a market-oriented nation. He also remarked that money shortages and financing difficulties for SMEs can hardly be solved by central bank's current monetary policy. We believe the change in Chinese officials’ views reflected that the inflationary pressure will ease in 2H and the tightening policies will also be relaxed, with macro-economic measures coming at a slower and weaker pace in 2H and 2012. Zhao pointed out that “it will take some time for the inflation curbing policies to show effect”. The comments will, again, help a valuation recovery in HK market. The rebound could probably persist a little bit longer, especially when the US$ stays weak and the Fed might introduce more stimulating policies to boost its economic recovery. China State Construction Int’l (3311.HK) announced its operations data in 1H11. The company’s contracted sales grew 73.6% YoY to RMB19.34bn, representing 69.1% of its sales target of the year. In particular, infrastructure investment (including affordable housing) business in PRC and construction business in Macau outperformed. The backlog of its on-hand contracts meets its work in the next two years. The strong performance is expected to give a boost to its share price today. Angang Steel (347.HK), on the other hand, issued a profit warning during weekend, expecting its net profit in 1H to see a decrease of 92% YoY to RMB220m while the basic EPS would also plunge 92% to RMB0.03. The company attributed the fall in net profit to rising raw materials and fuel prices which substantially exceeds the increase in the price of steel products. Iron & steel manufacturers might face pressure today. US stocks tumbled after the Labor Department reported nonfarm payrolls rose 18,000 in June against a forecast of 100,000 increase. This gave a perfect excuse for investors to take profit after the recent climb. This was not the first time ADP employment figure diverge with change in nonfarm payrolls, these to figures often move in different direction. ADP only reflects the employment situation amongst the largest corporations. Also unemployment rate edged up slightly to 9.2%. Fortunately a reading on sharp increase in consumer borrowing sparked a lateafternoon rally that helped to narrow losses. DJIA lost as many as 152 points earlier in the session and in the end the index was down 62 points, or 0.5%, to 12657. We could foresee US economic data to remain directionless, meaning that some will be good and others are bad. Stock market is very susceptible to economic data implying DJIA will likely remain volatile in the foreseeable future without real advancement. Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 4 Morning Express 11 July 2011 News Reaction MLR: China residential land sales dropped in 1H11. 130 cities in China registered sales of 11,674 land sites between Jan and June, of which 3,492 land sites were used for residential housing development, representing a decrease of 9% YoY, according to the Ministry of Land and Resources (MLR). The sales premium in these 130 cities of China reached 27%, a decrease of 4 ppts over the corresponding period last year. Beijing mulls investment cuts in seven emerging sectors. China may heavily cut investments in seven new strategic industries, including wind power and highspeed rail, in a bid to reduce over-capacity and corruption. Sources said the investment cut in high-speed rail is mainly related to the corruption case of the former MOR Minister Liu Zhijun. Meanwhile, according to the 12th Five-Year Plan, China will build seven wind-power bases with capacity in ten millions kW in Western China, but the plan may need to be adjusted due to incomplete consideration. CSR (1766.HK) inter-city MUs export to Malaysia. CSR announced that its subsidiary CSR Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Co., Ltd. has produced selfdeveloped high-end inter-city multiple units. They will soon be transported to Malaysia and serve as a main play on inter-city routes. It will export 228 multiple units to Malaysia, China's largest multiple unit export in terms of number. China Zhongwang (1333.HK): 18 sets of large-scale extrusion presses to commence production in the next two years. Mr. Vincent Cheung, CFO of Zhongwang said, "Our development plans and strategies will remain unchanged despite the US anti-dumping and countervailing duties investigations. Our capacity expansion plan has been ongoing as scheduled. A total of 18 sets of largescale extrusion presses of over 75MN will be installed at our manufacturing base in the coming two years." Chu Kong Pipe (1938.HK) receives 215,000 tons of new orders in 1H11. Chu Kong Petroleum and Natural Gas Steel Pipe said the Group received additional new orders of about 215,000 tons of steel pipes in the first half of 2011. The total new orders as at the first half of year comprise 200,000 tons of LSAW steel pipes and 15,000 tons of electric resistance welding (ERW) steel pipes. As at 30 June 2011, the Group's undelivered orders-on-hand amounted to 355,000 tons of steel pipes, which comprise of 310,000 tons of LSAW pipes and 44,000 tons of ERW pipes. Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 5 Boshiwa International (1698.HK) Strategic co-operation with Takara Tomy Company report 11 July 2011 Summary: Event Boshiwa joined hands with Japan’s Takara Tomy Special views (1) BI will sell Takara Tomy’s products. The co-operation will enrich BI’s product portfolio instantly. Boshiwa International (“BI”) signed strategic co-operation agreement with Takara Tomy. According to the agreement, (1) BI will sell Takara Tomy’s products in its distribution network; both parties will (2) jointly develop and manufacture merchandises suitable for children in China market; (3) have thorough co-operation in content industry; (4) study the introduction of Kiddy Land into China. A Kiddy Land store in Shibuya-ku of Tokyo, Japan (2) Both parties will have more in-depth co-operations in future (3) This deal proves again that BI’s distribution network is a valuable asset. Source: Google (4) Maintain BUY recommendation and TP of HK$6.63 Takara Tomy is a leading toy, children’s merchandise and entertainment company in Japan created from a merger in 2006. Tomy was established in 1924, while Takara was founded in 1955. Key products of Takara Tomy include Tomica (東美卡), Licca doll (莉嘉娃娃), Pla Rail (火車世界), Nohohon (搖頭娃). Takara Tomy also sells products related to many popular Japanese comics. In China, Takara Tomy partnered with CCTV’s 北京輝煌動畫公司 to launch the first Sino-Japan comic“三國演義”. BI’s distribution network is a valuable asset. BI’s various distribution channels have formed a comprehensive sales network for maximum customer exposure. This deal proves again that BI’s distribution network is very attractive to foreign brands. Positive. The co-operation of Takara Tomy could enrich BI’s product portfolio instantly. Further in-depth co-operation, new merchandises development and introduction of Kiddy Land are future growth drivers. Maintain BUY recommendation and TP HK$6.63. Valuation Table YE Dec (RMB m) Albert Yip, CFA albertyip@bocomgroup.com Tel: (852) 2977 9205 Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM〈enter〉 Revenue Net profit EPS (RMB) Growth (%) P/E (X) Yield (%) ROE (%) P/B (X) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11F FY12F FY13F 326 64 0.042 347.4% 94.6 na 38.2% 33.1 630 121 0.081 90.5% 49.6 na 46.4% 17.6 1,408 251 0.152 88.4% 26.3 na 16.5% 2.9 2,421 462 0.223 46.3% 18.0 0.6% 15.4% 2.5 3,538 651 0.314 40.9% 12.8 0.8% 18.1% 2.1 4,681 838 0.404 28.6% 9.9 1.0% 20.4% 1.9 Source: the Company, BOCOM Int'l estimates Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 6 Morning Express 11 July 2011 Economic Releases This Week China 14-15 Jul 14-15 Jul 15-Jul 15-Jul 15-Jul 15-Jul New Yuan Loans(CNY bn) Money Supply - M2 Producer Price Index (YoY) Industrial production(YoY) Consumer Price Index (YoY) Retail sales (YoY) Survey 625.8 15.3% 6.9% 13.1% 6.2% 17.0% Prior 551.6 15.1% 6.8% 13.3% 5.5% 16.9% USA 12-Jul 13-Jul 13-Jul 14-Jul 14-Jul 14-Jul 15-Jul 15-Jul 15-Jul Trade balance (US$ bn) Import price index(MoM) MBA mortgage applications PPI (MoM) PPI ex food & energy (MoM) Initial jobless claims (k) CPI (MoM) CPI ex food & energy (MoM) Industrial Production -44.2 -0.5% -0.2% 0.2% -0.1% 0.2% 0.4% -43.7 0.2% -5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% Source: Bloomberg BOCOM Research Latest Reports PICC P&C (23280.HK) - PICC Life listing to lift investment value by 5% 16 Jun 11 Coal Sector - High domestic coal prices boost imports 17 Jun 11 China Internet Sector - 3 Taos to cope with online shopping development 20 Jun 11 Petrochem Sector - International oil price sees consolidation 21 Jun 11 China Everbright Bank: H-share subscription price to be HK$3.48-HK$3.85 21 Jun 11 China Telecom Sector - Contributions from new 3G subscribers expand further 22 Jun 11 Tiangong Int'l (826.HK) - World's No.3 Severely Undervalued 22 Jun 11 Petrochem Sector - Lower import duty helps boost domestic oil supply 27 Jun 11 Chu Kong Pipe (1938.HK) - FY11 results to grow sharply on abundant orders 27 Jun 11 China Macro - Rate hike possible; June CPI forecast lifted to 6.4% 29 Jun 11 China South City (1668.HK) - Still have to wait for explosive growth 30 Jun 11 Neo-Neon (1868.HK) - Weak profitability in 1Q2011 30 Jun 11 China Retail Sector - Mass market brands benefit most from new Personal Income 4 Jul 11 Tax Law China Macro - "Deinventory" process dragged June PMI 4 Jul 11 Skyworth Digital (751.HK) - Better-than-expected results on GM recovery 5 Jul 11 Internet Sector - Monthly update on online games data 6 Jul 11 Beijing Capital Land (2868.HK) - Lagging behind in sales performance 7 Jul 11 China Banking Sector - Current valuations reflect market's overreaction 7 Jul 11 China Banking Sector - Rate hike in line; impact on earnings slightly positive 7 Jul 11 Yuexiu Property (916.HK) - On the right track of sales recovery 8 Jul 11 Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Li Wenbing He Wei, Anita Wang Martina Ma; Connie Gu He Wei, Anita Wang Li Shanshan; Wan Li Lizhiwu; Niki Sun Lizhiwu; Niki Sun He Wei Luo Rongjin Li Miaoxian Toni Ho, CFA Miles Xie Albert Yip, CFA; Helena Liu Li Miaoxian Miles Xie Connie Gu Toni Ho, CFA Li Shanshan; Wan Li Li Shanshan; Wan Li Toni Ho, CFA Page 7 Morning Express 11 July 2011 Hang Seng Index Constituents Code Price Mkt Cap 5d Ytd Yield P/B (HK$) (HK$ m) % chg % chg Hi Lo 09 A 10 F 11F (%) (X) 1 HK 116.40 269,602 2.3 -2.9 137.60 89.75 10.2 11.2 11.4 2.5 1.0 HANG LUNG PROPER 101 HK 31.80 142,204 -0.3 -12.5 40.50 28.90 16.1 29.1 21.3 2.0 1.3 CHINA SHENHUA-H 1088 HK 38.95 755,850 5.0 19.5 39.45 27.80 16.9 14.2 12.4 2.7 3.2 11 HK 124.10 237,260 -0.2 -2.9 134.40 104.50 15.9 14.1 12.2 4.1 3.4 CHINA RES LAND 1109 HK 15.38 82,866 9.2 8.3 17.64 11.90 12.8 15.0 12.0 2.2 1.8 COSCO PAC LTD 1199 HK 14.26 38,670 4.2 5.3 17.16 9.15 16.8 12.2 10.9 2.4 1.5 HENDERSON LAND D 12 HK 50.05 118,551 -0.2 -5.6 61.50 45.45 6.8 18.8 16.6 1.9 0.7 HUTCHISON WHAMPO 13 HK 85.20 363,239 1.4 6.5 97.45 47.50 18.1 17.6 14.2 2.4 1.2 CHINA COAL ENE-H 1898 HK 10.78 156,522 2.9 -11.2 15.08 9.54 16.0 13.0 10.7 1.5 1.6 BELLE INTERNATIO 1880 HK 17.04 143,719 3.9 30.7 17.46 10.55 34.9 28.1 23.3 1.0 7.0 IND & COMM BK-H 1398 HK 5.87 1,879,313 -0.7 1.4 6.77 5.44 10.2 8.5 7.3 4.3 2.1 CHINA MERCHANT 144 HK 30.25 74,398 0.7 -1.5 37.60 25.30 12.7 15.7 13.7 3.4 1.9 SUN HUNG KAI PRO 16 HK 118.30 304,036 4.4 -8.4 147.00 106.30 8.8 16.2 15.8 2.2 1.1 NEW WORLD DEV 17 HK 11.98 47,802 1.9 -17.9 17.98 11.40 4.4 8.5 7.9 2.6 0.5 SWIRE PACIFIC-A 19 HK 113.10 169,214 -1.0 -11.5 137.20 88.20 4.4 15.9 12.9 2.7 0.8 CLP HLDGS LTD 2 HK 67.70 162,896 -1.8 7.3 69.40 56.25 15.8 15.9 15.1 3.9 2.0 AIA GROUP LTD 1299 HK 27.95 336,630 3.7 27.9 28.50 19.68 16.3 18.8 16.1 0.0 2.2 HENGAN INTL 1044 HK 72.65 88,939 4.1 8.4 79.00 54.10 36.4 30.4 24.1 1.9 8.5 23 HK 32.25 66,391 0.9 -0.9 36.60 27.65 15.5 15.9 13.8 2.9 1.5 PING AN INSURA-H 2318 HK 82.30 536,938 2.4 -5.3 96.25 64.35 29.6 23.5 18.6 0.7 4.7 BOC HONG KONG HO 2388 HK 23.15 244,760 2.4 -12.5 29.40 17.50 15.1 13.4 11.9 3.7 2.1 ALUMINUM CORP-H 2600 HK 6.46 150,135 -1.5 -8.9 8.30 5.92 92.1 22.0 16.4 0.2 1.4 CHINA LIFE INS-H 2628 HK 27.50 677,598 3.4 -13.4 36.90 24.30 19.2 17.6 14.1 1.5 3.1 CITIC PACIFIC 267 HK 19.70 71,894 1.4 -2.5 24.60 14.38 8.1 11.2 7.9 2.2 1.1 CHINA RES ENTERP 291 HK 33.90 81,331 6.6 6.4 35.50 26.55 30.4 31.0 25.0 1.6 2.6 CATHAY PAC AIR 293 HK 18.22 71,675 1.1 -15.1 24.10 15.36 5.1 8.9 8.1 5.2 1.3 3 HK 18.36 145,054 3.8 10.2 18.46 15.46 26.0 25.2 23.0 1.9 3.9 ESPRIT HLDGS 330 HK 25.00 32,261 3.3 -32.4 49.80 22.80 8.7 9.2 8.2 4.5 1.7 BANK OF COMMUN-H 3328 HK 6.94 401,843 2.5 -2.5 8.66 6.46 8.7 7.7 6.6 1.8 1.6 CHINA PETROLEU-H 386 HK 7.93 813,942 1.3 6.6 8.90 5.96 8.0 7.5 7.0 3.3 1.4 HONG KONG EXCHNG 388 HK 167.50 180,724 2.7 -5.0 198.60 120.00 35.8 30.7 26.9 2.4 20.8 BANK OF CHINA-H CHEUNG KONG HANG SENG BK BANK EAST ASIA HONG KG CHINA GS 52-week PE (X) 3988 HK 3.73 1,048,542 -1.6 -9.0 4.88 3.67 8.1 7.3 6.3 4.2 1.3 WHARF HLDG 4 HK 55.40 167,820 2.5 -4.5 61.87 38.30 4.4 19.6 17.2 1.7 1.0 LI & FUNG LTD 494 HK 14.82 120,057 -4.4 -34.3 25.98 14.12 26.5 20.7 16.5 2.0 4.2 HSBC HLDGS PLC 5 HK 78.25 1,394,213 1.6 -1.8 91.90 72.55 13.3 11.1 9.2 3.5 1.2 POWER ASSETS HOL 6 HK 58.50 124,854 -0.7 19.4 59.40 45.85 17.4 14.6 14.3 4.3 2.2 MTR CORP 66 HK 27.15 157,033 -1.6 -4.1 31.55 26.35 12.9 18.4 15.7 2.1 1.3 CHINA OVERSEAS 688 HK 17.46 142,692 4.7 21.4 17.90 12.64 11.6 12.2 10.6 1.9 2.6 TENCENT HOLDINGS 700 HK 212.60 391,104 0.7 25.9 230.80 134.20 39.9 28.4 22.0 0.3 14.8 CHINA UNICOM HON 762 HK 15.92 375,150 1.5 43.2 17.68 9.84 79.6 62.4 27.4 0.8 1.5 SINO LAND CO 83 HK 12.94 68,305 3.9 -11.0 18.90 11.54 7.9 16.7 13.5 2.8 0.9 CHINA RES POWER 836 HK 15.38 72,853 1.3 9.2 17.72 12.40 14.6 12.7 10.9 2.3 1.7 PETROCHINA CO-H 857 HK 11.78 2,369,044 3.5 15.9 12.50 8.38 12.8 10.9 10.5 4.0 1.9 CNOOC LTD 883 HK 18.50 826,380 1.9 0.3 21.30 12.10 12.6 10.0 9.9 2.5 3.2 CHINA CONST BA-H 939 HK 6.30 1,570,519 -2.3 -9.6 8.22 6.02 9.3 7.9 6.8 3.6 1.9 22,726.4 12,204,340 1.5 -1.3 24,988.6 20,002.0 11.9 12.3 10.8 3.3 1.7 HANG SENG INDEX Source: Bloomberg Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 8 Morning Express 11 July 2011 China Ent Index Constituents Code Price Mkt Cap 5d Ytd Yield P/B (HK$) (HK$ m) % chg % chg Hi 52-week Lo 09 A PE (X) 10F 11 F (%) (X) CHINA SHENHUA-H 1088 HK 38.95 755,849.80 5.0 19.5 39.45 27.80 16.9 14.2 12.4 2.7 3.2 SINOPHARM-H 1099 HK 25.45 61,146.82 -2.7 -6.1 32.80 25.00 39.9 29.5 22.8 0.7 4.1 CHINA SHIPPING-H 1138 HK 7.36 31,136.74 2.9 -29.0 13.40 6.71 12.1 12.4 9.6 1.9 0.9 YANZHOU COAL-H 1171 HK 30.60 187,511.90 3.4 28.8 32.95 15.02 13.5 11.8 10.7 2.9 3.3 CHINA RAIL CN-H 1186 HK 6.46 86,901.51 -0.8 -31.0 11.20 6.06 15.6 7.5 6.3 1.3 1.2 BYD CO LTD-H 1211 HK 25.40 82,280.30 1.0 -37.8 64.70 21.00 19.1 20.6 16.8 0.0 2.6 IND & COMM BK-H 1398 HK 5.87 1,879,313.00 -0.7 1.4 6.77 5.44 10.2 8.5 7.3 4.3 2.1 METALLURGICAL-H 1618 HK 3.04 85,544.43 0.0 -11.4 4.32 2.86 9.0 8.5 7.2 1.6 1.1 TSINGTAO BREW-H 168 HK 46.45 60,055.36 3.3 14.1 47.95 33.40 29.9 28.6 24.0 0.5 6.0 CHINA COM CONS-H 1800 HK 6.93 102,737.30 3.6 1.9 7.95 5.57 8.6 7.8 7.0 2.8 1.4 CHINA COAL ENE-H 1898 HK 10.78 156,521.60 2.9 -11.2 15.08 9.54 16.0 13.0 10.7 1.5 1.6 CHINA COSCO HO-H 1919 HK 5.93 91,126.58 -2.5 -28.0 9.93 5.69 7.3 30.2 15.9 1.3 1.1 CHINA MINSHENG-H 1988 HK 7.20 186,588.70 0.4 8.3 7.75 6.30 7.9 7.3 6.3 N/A 1.4 PING AN INSURA-H 2318 HK 82.30 536,937.60 2.4 -5.3 96.25 64.35 29.6 23.5 18.6 0.7 4.7 PICC PROPERTY & 2328 HK 13.94 155,316.70 5.3 23.8 14.16 7.52 24.8 18.5 15.5 0.0 5.2 ALUMINUM CORP-H 2600 HK 6.46 150,135.40 -1.5 -8.9 8.30 5.92 92.1 22.0 16.4 0.2 1.4 CHINA LIFE INS-H 2628 HK 27.50 677,597.80 3.4 -13.4 36.90 24.30 19.2 17.6 14.1 1.5 3.1 SHANGHAI ELECT-H 2727 HK 4.02 94,000.81 -2.2 -21.6 5.88 3.37 15.2 13.4 12.1 2.9 1.6 GUANGZHOU R&F -H 2777 HK 11.16 35,961.62 5.3 0.4 13.20 9.53 6.9 6.7 6.0 5.3 1.5 CHINA OILFIELD-H 2883 HK 14.76 84,693.06 4.2 -12.4 18.28 8.80 13.4 12.2 10.6 1.3 2.2 ZIJIN MINING-H 2899 HK 4.18 125,552.30 7.2 -13.0 5.53 2.91 15.8 11.9 10.8 1.6 3.5 CHINA NATL BDG-H 3323 HK 17.18 92,755.27 12.6 92.8 17.58 6.07 21.7 10.7 8.9 1.2 4.0 BANK OF COMMUN-H 3328 HK 6.94 401,843.30 2.5 -2.5 8.66 6.46 8.7 7.7 6.6 1.8 1.6 ANGANG STEEL-H 347 HK 8.85 60,530.30 3.9 -25.6 14.00 7.62 25.9 22.5 15.7 1.5 1.0 JIANGXI COPPER-H 358 HK 27.05 128,054.90 4.6 5.9 27.85 14.88 14.1 9.3 8.6 0.9 2.3 CHINA PETROLEU-H 386 HK 7.93 813,941.80 1.3 6.6 8.90 5.96 8.0 7.5 7.0 3.3 1.4 CHINA RAIL GR-H 390 HK 3.69 97,202.22 1.1 -34.2 6.66 3.39 8.7 7.3 6.3 1.2 1.0 CHINA MERCH BK-H 3968 HK 19.10 359,840.10 1.6 -2.7 23.90 17.72 12.9 10.3 8.6 2.3 2.6 BANK OF CHINA-H 3988 HK 3.73 1,048,542.00 -1.6 -9.0 4.88 3.67 8.1 7.3 6.3 4.2 1.3 DONGFENG MOTOR-H 489 HK 15.46 133,205.20 5.2 15.4 18.50 9.37 10.1 10.2 8.9 1.6 3.0 ZHEJIANG EXPRESS 576 HK 5.85 25,407.22 -0.2 -23.6 8.53 5.46 11.3 10.7 10.0 4.8 1.4 CHINA TELECOM-H 728 HK 4.95 400,615.30 -1.8 21.6 5.21 3.62 21.6 18.4 15.6 2.1 1.4 AIR CHINA LTD-H 753 HK 7.93 140,370.70 -1.6 -9.2 11.64 6.72 6.4 8.7 9.1 1.6 2.0 ZTE CORP-H 763 HK 28.20 97,217.98 0.0 9.5 31.08 18.46 24.0 20.4 16.7 1.1 3.5 PETROCHINA CO-H 857 HK 11.78 2,369,044.00 3.5 15.9 12.50 8.38 12.8 10.9 10.5 4.0 1.9 HUANENG POWER-H 902 HK 4.15 82,623.10 1.5 1.0 5.18 3.99 12.5 14.9 12.0 5.7 0.9 ANHUI CONCH-H 914 HK 39.80 182,913.10 9.3 63.8 40.20 15.33 28.4 14.2 11.8 1.0 5.1 CHINA CONST BA-H 939 HK 6.30 1,570,519.00 -2.3 -9.6 8.22 6.02 9.3 7.9 6.8 3.6 1.9 DATANG INTL PO-H 991 HK 2.72 77,949.36 3.0 -0.4 3.50 2.56 10.8 12.1 10.0 3.0 0.9 22,726 12,204,340 1.5 -1.3 24,989 20,002 11.9 12.3 10.8 3.3 1.7 HANG SENG INDEX Source: Bloomberg Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCM <enter> Page 9 Morning Express BOCOM International 9/F, Man Yee Building, 68 Des Voeux Road Central, Hong Kong. Main: (852) 3710 3328; Fax: (852) 3798 0133 www.bocomgroup.com 11 July 2011 Contacts: (852) 2977 9155 (852) 3710 3369 (852) 2297 9853 (8610) 8518 4068-99 (852) 2977 9181 (852) 2297 9480 (852) 2297 9839 Rating System Company Rating Buy: Expect more than 20% upside in 12 months LT Buy: Expect more than 20% upside but longer than 12 months Neutral: Expect low volatility Sell: Expect more than 20% downside in 12 months Sector Rating Outperform: Expect more than 10% upside in 12 months Market perform: Expect low volatility Underperform: Expect more than 10% downside in 12 months Analyst Certification The authors of this report, hereby declare that: (i) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (ii) no part of any of their compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report; (iii) no insider information/ non-public price-sensitive information in relation to the subject securities or issuers which may influence the recommendations were being received by the authors. 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