Luis Ajamil
Transcription
Luis Ajamil
CRUISE TERMINAL DEVELOPMENT THE TRUE STORY Bermello, Bermello, Ajamil Ajamil & & Partners, Partners, Inc. Inc. February February 2006 2006 or, my life as a consultant BSO Blinding Statement of the Obvious BSO’s • • • • • • • • The industry is growing More cities are getting ships Ships are getting bigger Security is getting tighter BCBP is actually checking people Lines are concerned with costs Ports have financial constraints Cruise has great impacts on the community • Passenger experience is becoming an issue Big Picture North North American American passengers passengers 12,000 12,000 10,000 10,000 Passengers ('000) ('000) Passengers 8,000 8,000 6,000 6,000 4,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 00 80 80 81 81 82 82 83 83 84 84 85 85 86 86 87 87 88 88 89 89 90 90 91 91 92 92 93 93 94 94 95 95 96 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 '00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 2200 0033 2200 0044 2200 0055 2200 0066 2200 0077 2200 0088 2200 0099 2200 1100 2200 1111 2200 1122 2200 1133 2200 1144 2200 1155 2200 1166 2200 1177 North American terminal demand 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 00 Low Low Mid Mid Actual Actual Home ports Reality • New terminal capacity has only been built in the new emerging markets • • • • • • Seattle Galveston Houston Norfolk Tampa New Orleans • Collectively the established ports have actually reduced the number of terminals • Made huge investments to rehabilitate old terminals Sustainable growth? • Miami • • 1980 – 11 terminals 2006 – 8 terminals • New York • 1970’s - 6 terminals • 2006 – 4 or 5 terminals • Los Angeles Growth issues • While new ports have been able to cheaply develop a terminal by using old waterfront warehouses – all new revenues • The legacy ports are struggling with massive capital redevelopment – but not necessarily new business or revenues Metric - berth use (paxs per year) 600,000 600,000 400,000 400,000 300,000 300,000 200,000 200,000 100,000 100,000 00 P tE r o a T s o L ng A o B o st n rk o Y YYoo rrkk gl r ve es l e ew N NNe eww M pa am BBo oss ttoo nn s de AAn ngg eelle ess D i LLoo ss S an m ia TTaa mmp paa SSaa nn D Di ieeg goo S go e i MMi PPoo iaam m rrtt ii EEvv eerr ggll aadd eess Va ou c n tl e t ea SSee aattt tllee C B r ve VVaa nncc oouu vvee rr BB CC Passengers per per Berth Berth Passengers 500,000 500,000 Reality • During the past five years, the industry has been able to absorb growth by redeveloping old terminals • Not many of these exists any more • During the next ten years, either • More alternate cities will be needed • Growth will be needed in the traditional ports • Where do your ports grow? • In a financially feasible way Public policy / Business issues Project Costs Project Revenues BUSINESS ISSUES Method for Financing Ownership of Asset – Public / Private PUBLIC POLICY ISSUES Operational Control Achieving a balance Public policy Business plan Terminal Design The real picture How to build a terminal, successfully And live to tell about it Myth 1 There is uniform standard or solution The evolution of the cruise terminal TEMPORARY FACILITY CONVERSION OF EXISTING BUILDING NEW FACILITY JOINT DEVELOPMENT Embarcadero Circle Embarcadero Circle Vision Embarkation (departure) Disembarkation (arrival) Program guidelines (feet 2) INDIVIDUAL TERMINALS 1,800 PAX 2,600 PAX 3,600 PAX RECOMMENDED BAGGAGE 24,000 39,000 54,000 30,000 BCBP OFFICES 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 BCBP PROCESSING 8,000 8,000 8,000 12,000 CHECK-IN 9,000 14,000 18,000 14,000 LOUNGE 7,000 11,000 16,000 12,000 SUPPORT 10,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 AIRLINE ? ? ? ? TOTALS 57,000 85,000 109,000 76,000 Design process process has been relegated to design by committee Myth 2 Cruise lines have an uniform or consistent idea of what they want Myth 2a People within the same cruise line have an uniform or consistent idea of what they want SSJJ 44 MM I IAAD MM I D IAA8 899 NNYY BBOO BBTT SSTT OONN SSEE AA66 SSEE 66 3300 3311 PPEE 11 PPEE 22 P PEE 44 PPEE 1188 PPEE 1199 PPEE 2211 PPEE 2222 PPEE 2244 PPEE 2255 PPEE 2266 SSDD L LAA 99 LLAA 33 99119 922 LLBB NNOO 11 N NOO 22 Arrivals area (baggage) 45,000 45,000 40,000 40,000 35,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 25,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 115,000 5,000 110,000 0,000 5,000 5,000 00 LLBB PPEE 22 LLAA 11 99119 92 MM I 2 IAA8 899 SSJJ 44 SSEE AA66 66 N NOO 22 SSDD PPEE 2244 PPEE 2222 TTMM PP33 LLAA 9933 NNYY BBTT PPEE 22 P PEE 1199 M MI IAAD D NNOO 11 PPEE 1188 PPEE 4 S SEE 4 3 300 3311 PPEE 11 PPEE 2255 PPEE BBOO 2266 SSTT OONN Baggage area 60,000 60,000 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 30,000 AVERAGE 20,000 20,000 110,000 0,000 00 Departures (check-in) 60,000 60,000 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 30,000 20,000 20,000 110,000 0,000 00 11 2 4 11 1 2 5 T N 6 6 4 2 9 8 3 9 4 D SSJJ4 IIAAD IAA889 YYBBT TTOON AA666 330033 PPEE1 PPEE2 PPEE4 PPEE118 PPEE119 PPEE22 PPEE222 PEE224 PPEE225 PEE226 SSDD LAA993 9911992 P P MM MM I NN OSS SSEE SSEE L LAA L BBO LLBB NOO11 NOO22 N N LLBB PPEE 2244 PPEE 2222 PPEE L LAA 11 99119 922 20,000 20,000 SSDD PPEE 225 SSEE 5 3300 3311 SSJJ 44 PPEE 1199 PPEE 2266 NNOO 22 P PEE 22 P PEE 44 S SEE AA BBOO 6666 SSTT OONN LLAA 9933 T TMM PP3 MM I 3 IAA8 899 PPEE 2211 N NYY BBTT PPEE 1188 M MI IAAD D NNOO 11 Check-in area 70,000 70,000 60,000 60,000 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 30,000 AVERAGE 110,000 0,000 00 LLAA 9933 LLAA 99119 922 SSDD PPEE 44 PPEE 1188 PPEE 1199 PPEE 2211 PPEE 2222 PPEE 2244 PPEE 2255 PPEE 2266 PPEE 11 PPEE 22 SSDD S SEE AA66 66 SSEE 3300 3311 SSJJ4 4 MM I IAAD D NNYY B BBOO BTT SSTT OONN VIP 4,000 4,000 3,500 3,500 3,000 3,000 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 11,500 ,500 11,000 ,000 500 500 00 SSJJ4 4 MM I IAAD D M MI IAA8 899 NNYY BBOO BBTT SSTT OONN S SEE AA66 6 SSEE 6 3 300 3311 PPEE 11 PPEE 22 PPEE 44 P PEE 1188 PPEE 1199 PPEE 2211 PPEE 2222 P PEE 2244 PPEE 2255 PPEE 2266 SSDD LLAA 993 LLAA 3 99119 922 NNOO 11 N NOO 22 Gangways 22 11 00 Myth 3 Security is uniform throughout the United States Security • • • Large variations from place to place Adjacent relationships Nearby uses Myth 4 BCBP has a consistent design or direction LLBB SSDD LLAA 993 LLAA 3 99119 922 SSJJ 44 M MI IAAD D MM I IAA8 899 N NYY B B BOO BTT SSTT OONN SSEE AA66 66 SSEE 3300 3311 PPEE 11 PPEE 22 PPEE 44 P PEE 1188 PPEE 1199 PPEE 2211 PPEE 2222 PPEE 2244 PPEE 2255 PPEE 2266 FIS 114,000 4,000 112,000 2,000 110,000 0,000 8,000 8,000 6,000 6,000 4,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 00 SSJJ4 4 MM I IAAD D MM I IAA8 899 N NYY BBOO BBTT SSTT OONN S SEE AA66 6 S SEE 6 3300 3311 PPEE 11 PPEE 22 PPEE 44 P PEE 1188 PPEE 1199 PPEE 2211 PPEE 2222 PPEE 2244 PPEE 2255 PPEE 2266 SSDD LLAA 993 LLAA 3 99119 922 LLBB T TMM PP33 NNOO 11 NNOO 22 Total Area 1120,000 20,000 1100,000 00,000 80,000 80,000 60,000 60,000 40,000 40,000 20,000 20,000 00 Design process process has been relegated to design by committee What’s the answer Keys • Think strategically • • Community issues Port’s mission • Think financially • How to finance the project • Stay competitive with the industry • Think functionally • Listen to your users and stakeholders • Focus on all parts of the business • • Operations Third party costs to the lines • Put it all together Controlling costs • • • Reduce terminal size Streamline operational costs Improve luggage handling • Direct luggage handling • Electronic tagging of luggage • Improve provisioning • Containerazion of ship chandlery • Roll-on, roll-off of goods Solutions • • • • The ports and lines will continue to evolve One solution for legacy ports another for start ups Themes • • • Speed and efficiency Costs Passenger experience • What will happen as all the old terminals have been rebuilt – • Where will the new capacity go to?