David`s Friend Goliath - disciplinas.stoa.usp.br
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David`s Friend Goliath - disciplinas.stoa.usp.br
Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive, LLC David's Friend Goliath Author(s): Michael Mandelbaum Source: Foreign Policy, No. 152 (Jan. - Feb., 2006), pp. 50-56 Published by: Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive, LLC Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/25461991 . Accessed: 13/06/2011 16:09 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at . http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=wpni. . Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive, LLC is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Foreign Policy. http://www.jstor.org { Friend 1David's \JOLJATTHJ arrogant, The restoftheworld complainsthatAmericanhegemongis reckless, and insensitive. Justdon'texpectthemtodo anythingabout it.Theworld's and stabilitytheUnitedStatesprovides. guilp secretisthat itenjo)sthesecuriS) Theworldwon't admit it,but thgywillmiss theAmericanempirewhen it's I Michael By gone. Mandelbaum E s verybody talks about theweather,Mark Twain once observed, but nobody does anything about it. The same is true of America's role in theworld. The United States is the subject of endless commentary, most of it negative, some of it poisonously hostile. Statements by foreign leaders, street demonstrations in national capitals, andmuch-publicized opinion polls all seem to bespeak a worldwide conviction that the United States misuses its enormous power in ways that threaten the stability of the internation al system. That is hardly surprising. No one loves Goliath. What is surprising is theworld's failure to respond to the United States as it did to the Goliaths of the past. Sovereign states as powerful as the Unit ed States, and as dangerous as its critics declare it to be, were historically subject to a check on their power. MichaelMandelbaumis theChristianA. Herterprofessorof Other countries band to Americanforeignpolicy at The JohnsHopkins University's e d together School of Advanced International Studies and author of The block them. Case for Goliath: How America Acts as theWorld's Govern ment 2006) in the Twenty-First Century (New York: PublicAffairs_ from which this article is adapted. - t-i'LDiE ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ' 44, ,?, 4.4?44 Ar 4 44 .4. 4 4 44 ,t 'F V .,4'.'4. -- t ?44 't'? 44,44444 t t-??t4. David's Friend Goliath 1 Revolutionary and Napoleonic France in the late 18th and early 19th century, Germany during the two world wars, and the Soviet Union during the Cold War all inspired countervailing coalitions that ultimately defeated them. Yet no such anti American alignment has formed or shows any sign of forming today. Widespread complaints about theUnited States' international role aremet with an absence of concrete, effective measures to challenge, change, or restrict it. The gap between what the world says about American power and what it fails to do about it is the single most striking feature of 21st-century international relations. The explanation for this gap is twofold. First, the charges most frequently leveled at America are false. The United States does not endanger other countries, nor does it invariably act without regard to the interests and wishes of others. Second, far from menacing the rest of the world, the United States plays a uniquely positive global role. The governments of most other countries understand that, although they have powerful reasons not to say so explicitly. BENIGN HEGEMON The charge that theUnited States threatens others is frequently linked to the use of the term "empire" to describe America's international presence. In contrast with empires of the past, however, the United States does not control, or aspire to control, directly or indirectly, the politics and economics of other societies. True, in the post-Cold War period, America has intervened militarily in a few places outside its borders, including Somalia, Haiti, Bosnia, Kosovo, Afghanistan, and Iraq. But these cases are exceptions that prove the rule. These foreign ventures are few in number and, with the exception of Iraq, none has any economic value or strategic importance. In each case, American control of the country came as the byproduct of a military intervention undertaken for quite / different reasons: to rescue dis tressed people in Somalia, to stop eth t _ ;--> nic cleansing in Bosnia, to depose a danger ous tyrant in Iraq. Unlike the great empires of the past, the U.S. goal was to build stable, effec tive governments and then to leave as quick X YAI ly as possible. Moreover, unlike past imperial prac tice, the U.S. gov ernment has sought to share control of its occupied countries with allies, not to them. monopolize One policy inno vation of the current Bush administration that gives other coun 52 FOREIGN POLICY 7: z m m oz triespause is the doctrine of preventive war. Accord ing to this doctrine, the United States reserves the right to attack a country not in response to an actu al act of aggression, or because it isunmistakably on the verge of aggression, but rather in anticipation of an assault at some point in the future. The United States implemented the doctrine in 2003 with the invasion of Iraq. Were it to become central to American foreign policy, the pre ventive war doctrine would pro vide a broad charter for military intervention. But that is not its destiny. The Bush administration presented the campaign in Iraq not as a way to ensure that Sad dam Hussein did not have the opportunity to acquire nuclear weapons at some point in the future, but rather as a way of depriving him of the far less dangerous chemical weapons that he was believed already to possess. More important, the countries that are now plausi ble targets for a preventive war-North Korea and Iran-differ from Iraq in ways that make such a campaign extremely unattractive. North Korea is more heavily armed than Iraq, and in a war could do serious damage to America's chief ally in the region, South Korea, even ifNorth Korea lost. Iran has a largerpopulation than Iraq, and it is less iso lated internationally. The United States would have hesitated before attacking either one of these coun tries even if the Iraq operation had gone smoothly. Now, with the occupation of Iraq proving to be both costly (some $251 billion and counting) and frustrating, support for repeating the exercise else where is hard to find. points of access to it. Other countries can exert influence on one of theHouse or Senate commit teeswith jurisdiction over foreign policy. Or coun tries can deal with one or more of the federal departments that conduct the nation's relationswith other countries. For that matter, American think tanks generate such awide variety of proposals for U.S. policies toward every country that almost any what theworldsaysabout Thegapbetween Americanpowerandwhat itfailstodo about AMERICA it is thesinglemost strikingfeatureof relations. 21st-centuryinternational approach is bound to have a champion somewhere. Even Sudan, which theU.S. government has accused of genocide, recently signed a $530,000 contract with aWashington lobbyist to help improve its image. Non-Americans may not enjoy formal rep resentation in theU.S. political system, but because of the openness of that system, they can and do achieve what representation brings-a voice in the making of American policy. Because the opportunities to be heard and heeded are so plentiful, countries with opposing aims often simultaneously attempt to persuade theAmerican government to favor their respective causes. That has sometimes led the United States to become a mediator for international conflict, between Arabs and Israelis, Indians and Pakistanis, and other sets of antagonists. That's a role that other countries value. THE ACCESSIBLE The war in Iraq is themost-often cited piece of evidence thatAmerica conducts itself in a recklessly unilateral fashion.Because of itsenormous power, critics say, the policies that theUnited States applies beyond its bor ders are bound to affect others, yet when it comes to deciding thesepolicies, non-Americans have no influ ence. However valid the charge of unilateralism in the case of Iraqmay be (and other governments did in fact support thewar), it does not hold true forU.S. foreign policy as awhole. The reason is that theAmerican political system is fragmented, which means there are multiple THE WORLD'S GOVERNMENT The United States makes other positive contribu tions, albeit often unseen and even unknown, to thewell-being of people around theworld. In fact, America performs for the community of sover eign states many, though not all, of the tasks that national governments carry out within them. For instance, U.S. military power helps to keep order in theworld. The American military presence in Europe and East Asia, which now includes approximately 185,000 personnel, reassures the governments of these regions that their neighbors JANUARY IFEBRUARY 2006 53 David's Friend Goliath ] most frequently used currency, the U.S. dollar. Though the euro might one day supplant the dol lar as theworld's most popular reserve currency, that day, if it ever comes, lies far in the future. Furthermore, working through the Interna tional Monetary Fund (IMF), the United States also helps to carry out some of the duties that cen tral banks perform within countries, including serving as a "lender of last resort." The driving force behind IMF bailouts of failing economies in Latin America and Asia in the last decade was the United States, which holds the largest share of large votes within the IMF. And Americans' appetite for consumer products partly reproduces on a global scale the service that the economist John Maynard Keynes assigned to national governments during times of economic slowdown: The United States is the world's "consumer of last resort." Americans purchase Japanese cars, Chinese-made clothing, and South Korean electronics and appli ances in greater volume than any other people. Just as national governments have the respon sibility for delivering water and electricity within their jurisdictions, so theUnited States, through its military deployments and diplomacy, assures an adequate supply of the oil that allows industrial economies to run. It has estab lished friendly political relations, and sometimes close military asso in ciations, with governments most of the major oil-producing countries and has extended mili tary protection to the largest of them, Saudi Arabia. Despite deep social, cultural, and political dif ferences between the two coun tries theUnited States and Saudi Arabia managed in the 20th cen tury to establish a partnership that controlled the they all States seeks to prevent proliferation, global market for this indispensable commodity. endorse the goal, and none of them makes as sig The economic well-being even of countries hostile as that goal to achieving a contribution nificant foreign policy depends on the Amer American to does theUnited States. ican role in assuring the free flow of oil through America's services to theworld also extend to out theworld. economic matters and international trade. In the To be sure, theUnited States did not deliber confidence international economy, much of the ately set out to become the world's government. needed to proceed with transactions, and the pro tection that engenders this confidence, comes from The services it provides originated during the the policies of theUnited States. For example, the Cold War as part of its struggle with the Soviet U.S. Navy patrols shipping lanes in both the Union, and America has continued, adapted, and in some cases expanded them in the post-Cold War Atlantic and Pacific oceans, assuring the safe pas era.Nor do Americans think of their country as the sage of commerce along the world's great trade world's government. Rather, it conducts, in their routes. The United States also supplies theworld's cannot threaten them, helping to allay suspicions, forestall arms races, and make the chances of armed conflict remote. U.S. forces in Europe, for instance, reassure Western Europeans that they do not have to increase their own troop strength to protect themselves against the possibility of a resurgent Russia, while at the same time reassur ing Russia that its great adversary of the last cen tury,Germany, will not adopt aggressive policies. Similarly, the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty, which protects Japan, simultaneously reassures Japan's neighbors that itwill remain peaceful. This reas surance is vital yet invisible, and it is all but taken for granted. The United States has also assumed responsibil ity for coping with the foremost threat to contem porary international security, the spread of nuclear weapons to "rogue" states and terrorist organiza tions. The U.S.-sponsored Cooperative Threat Reduction program is designed to secure nuclear materials and weapons in the former Soviet Union. A significant part of the technical and human assets of the American intelligence community is devot ed to the surveillance of nuclear weapons-related activities around theworld. Although other coun tries may not always agree with how the United Thealternativeto the roletheUnitedStatesplays intheworld is notbetterglobalgovernance,but less of it-and thatwouldmake theworlda far moredangerousand lessprosperousplace. 54 FOREIGN POLICY IBM" view, a series of policies designed to furtherAmer ican interests. In this respect they are correct, but these policies serve the interests of others as well. The alternative to the role theUnited States plays in theworld is not better global governance, but less of it-and that would make the world a far more dangerous and less prosperous place. Never in human history has one country done so much for so many others, and received so little appre ciation for its efforts. INEVITABLE INGRATITUDE Nor is theworld likely to express much gratitude to theUnited States any time soon. Even if they pri vately value what the United States does for the world, other countries, especially democratic ones, will continue to express anti-American sentiments. That is neither surprising nor undesirable. Within democracies, spirited criticism of the government is normal, indeed vital for its effective perform ance. The practice is no different between and among democracies. Anti-Americanism has many domestic politi cal uses. Inmany parts of the world, the United States serves as a convenient scapegoat for gov ernments, a kind of political lightning rod to draw away from themselves the popular discon tent that their shortcomings have helped to pro duce. That is particularly the case in theMiddle East, but not only there. Former German Chan cellor Gerhard Schroder achieved an electoral victory in 2002 by denouncing the war in Iraq. Similarly, it is convenient, even comforting, to blame the United States for the inevitable dislo cations caused by the great, impersonal forces of globalization. But neither the failure to acknowledge Amer ica's global role nor the barrage of criticism of it means that the officials of other countries are JANUARY IFEBRUARY 2006 55 i David's Friend Goliath I entirely unaware of the advantages that it brings them. If a global plebiscite concerning America's role in theworld were held by secret ballot, most foreign-policy officials in other countries would vote in favor of continuing it.Though the Chinese object to the U.S. military role as Taiwan's pro tector, they value the effect thatAmerican military deployments inEast Asia have in preventing Japan from pursuing more robust military policies. But others will not declare their support for America's global role. Acknowledging itwould risk raising the question of why those who take advantage of the services America provides do not pay more for them. Itwould risk, that is, other countries' capac ities to continue as free riders,which is an arrange ment no government will lightly abandon. In the end, however, what other nations do or do not say about theUnited States will not be cru cial towhether, or for how long, theUnited States continues to function as theworld's government. [ Want That will depend on the willingness of the Amer ican public, the ultimate arbiter of American for eign policy, to sustain the costs involved. In the near future, America's role in theworld will have to compete for public funds with the rising costs of domestic entitlement programs. It is Social Secu rity andMedicare, not the rise of China or the kind of coalition that defeated powerful empires in the past, that pose the greatest threat to America's role as theworld's government. The outcome of the looming contest in the United States between the national commitment to social welfare at home and the requirements for stability and prosperity abroad cannot be fore seen with any precision. About other countries' approach to America's remarkable 21st-century global role, however, three things may be safely predicted: They will not pay for it, they will con tinue to criticize it, and they will miss itwhen it is gone. ID to Know More?] Many historians and political scientists have examined the highs and lows of American empire. Some of themore notable works includeAndrew J. Bacevich's American Empire: The Realities and Con sequences of U.S. Diplomacy (Cambridge:Harvard University Press, 2002), Colossus: The Price of America's Empire (New York: Penguin Press, 2004), by Niall Ferguson, The Sorrows of Empire: Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic (New York: Metropolitan Books, 2004), by Chalmers Johnson, and Robert W Merry's Sands of Empire: Missionary Zeal, American Foreign Policy, and theHazards of Global Ambition (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2005). Robert Kagan explains why theworld welcomes vigorous American leadership in "The Benevo lentEmpire" (FOREIGNPOLICY,Summer 1998). In "AWorld Without Power" (FOREIGNPOLICY, July/August 2004), Niall Ferguson argues that theworld would be a farmore dangerous place without U.S. dominance. Anne Applebaum looks at the places where America is loved, and why, in "In Search of Pro-Americanism" (FOREIGNPOLICY, July/August 2005). For amore detailed look at theUnited States' role in international security, see TheMission: Waging War and Keeping Peace with America's Military (New York: W.W. Norton & Co., 2003), by Dana Priest. Robert Gilpin examines America's interaction with the global economy in The Challenge of Global Capitalism: TheWorld Economy in the 21st Century (Princeton:Princeton University Press, 2000). The U.S. State Department offers regular roundups, available on the department's Web site, of foreign media commentary on major U.S. foreign-policy issues. The U.S. Justice Department also submits a semiannual report to congress on the foreign nations involved in lobbying theU.S. government, available on itsWeb site. ? For links to relevantWeb sites, access to the FP Archive, and a comprehensive index of related FOREIGNPOLICY articles, go towww.ForeignPolicy.com. 56 FORIi I(;X 1. Ia(