Dynamical constraints on the ITCZ extent in planetary atmospheres
Transcription
Dynamical constraints on the ITCZ extent in planetary atmospheres
1 Dynamical constraints on the ITCZ extent in planetary atmospheres 2 Sean Faulk⇤ 3 Earth, Planetary, and Space Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, California, USA 4 Jonathan Mitchell 5 Earth, Planetary, and Space Sciences, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, 6 California, USA 7 Simona Bordoni 8 Caltech, Pasadena, CA, USA 9 ⇤ Corresponding author address: Department of Earth, Planetary, and Space Sciences, University 10 of California Los Angeles, 595 Charles Young Drive East, Los Angeles, California 90095, USA. 11 E-mail: spfaulk@ucla.edu Generated using v4.3.2 of the AMS LATEX template 1 ABSTRACT 12 We study a wide range of atmospheric circulations with an idealized moist 13 general circulation model to evaluate the mechanisms controlling intertrop- 14 ical convergence zone (ITCZ) migrations. We employ a zonally symmetric 15 aquaplanet slab ocean of fixed depth and force top-of-atmosphere insolation 16 to vary seasonally as well as remain fixed at the pole in “eternal solstice” runs. 17 We explore a range of surface heat capacities and rotation rates, keeping all 18 other parameters Earth-like. For rotation rates WE /8 and slower, the seasonal 19 ITCZ reaches the summer pole. Additionally, in contrast to previous ther- 20 modynamic arguments, we find that the ITCZ does not follow the maximum 21 moist static energy, remaining at low latitudes in the “eternal solstice” case for 22 Earth’s rotation rate. Furthermore, we find that significantly decreasing heat 23 capacity does little to extend the ITCZ’s summer migration off the equator. 24 These results suggest that the ITCZ may be more controlled by dynamical 25 mechanisms than previously thought; however, we also find that baroclinic 26 instability, often invoked as a limiter on the extent of the annual and summer 27 Hadley cell, appears to play little to no role in limiting the ITCZ’s migra- 28 tion. We develop an understanding of the ITCZ’s position based on top-of- 29 atmosphere energetics and boundary layer dynamics and argue that friction 30 and pressure gradient forces determine the region of maximum convergence, 31 offering a new perspective on the seasonal weather patterns of terrestrial plan- 32 ets. 2 33 1. Introduction 34 One of the most prominent features of Earth’s large-scale atmospheric circulation in low lati- 35 tudes is the intertropical convergence zone, or the ITCZ (Waliser and Gautier 1993), defined in 36 this study as the latitude of maximum zonal mean precipitation. Associated with the ascending 37 branch of the Hadley cell, the ITCZ is the region of moist uplift, and thus of high precipitation and 38 deep convection, that occurs where the low-level winds of the two cells converge. During summer, 39 this convergence zone migrates off the equator into the summer hemisphere, up to 10N in oceanic 40 regions and occasionally as far as 30N in the case of the Asian summer monsoon (Yihui and Chan 41 2005). 42 The mechanisms that control the ITCZ, though, remain unclear. Ideally, the convergence occurs 43 over the warmest surface waters. Indeed, in the northeast Pacific ocean, the ITCZ remains north 44 of the equator throughout the entire year, coinciding largely with high sea surface temperatures 45 (SSTs), which remain north of the equator even during northern winter (Janowiak et al. 1995). 46 However, previous observations show that the ITCZ does not always coincide with the SST max- 47 imum and corresponding local sea level pressure minimum (Ramage 1974; Sadler 1975). In light 48 of such observations, and given the importance of moisture transport to tropical communities, 49 much attention has been paid in the literature towards identifying and understanding controls on 50 the ITCZ (Waliser and Somerville 1994; Sobel and Neelin 2006; Schneider et al. 2014). Much 51 of this work can be roughly divided into two theories for understanding the ITCZ: one based on 52 thermodynamics and the other on momentum dynamics. 53 a. Thermodynamic theory 54 Thermodynamic theories posit that deep convection is thermodynamically controlled. Conver- 55 gence and precipitation are determined by local vertical temperature and moisture profiles gov3 56 erned by the moisture budget and surface and radiative fluxes (Sobel and Neelin 2006). When 57 applied with the “weak temperature gradient” approximation, some such theories successfully re- 58 construct tropical convergence and tend to predict maximum convergence and rainfall over the 59 warmest surface temperatures (Neelin and Held 1987; Sobel and Bretherton 2000). When applied 60 to convergence zones associated with zonally averaged overturning circulations and coupled to 61 quasi-equilibrium theories of moist convection and its interaction with larger-scale circulations, 62 these thermodynamic constraints argue that the ITCZ lies just equatorward of the maximum low- 63 level moist static energy (MSE) (Emanuel et al. 1994; Lindzen and Hou 1988; Privé and Plumb 64 2007; Bordoni and Schneider 2008). For this reason, the distribution of MSE has been extensively 65 used as a diagnostic of the ITCZ position. 66 However, the ITCZ has also been shown to respond strongly to extratropical thermal forcings, 67 with shifts of the ITCZ into (away from) a relatively warmed (cooled) hemisphere, indicating that 68 forcings remote from precipitation maxima can influence the tropical circulation and convergence 69 zones (Chiang and Bitz 2005; Broccoli et al. 2006). Such work reveals the role of the vertically 70 integrated atmospheric energy budget in ITCZ shifts and has led to the development of another 71 diagnostic, the energy flux equator, which is the latitude at which the zonal mean MSE meridional 72 flux vanishes (Kang et al. 2008). In recent studies focused on global energy transports, the energy 73 flux equator has been shown to be well correlated with the ITCZ’s poleward excursion into the 74 summer hemisphere, and the energetic framework in general has proved useful for understanding 75 the ITCZ (Kang et al. 2008, 2009; Chiang and Friedman 2012; Frierson and Hwang 2012; Frierson 76 et al. 2013; Bischoff and Schneider 2014). Lastly, through its control on thermodynamic quantities, 77 heat capacity has also been shown to impact the ITCZ, with convergence generally traveling farther 78 poleward over surfaces of lower heat capacity (Fein and Stephens 1987; Xie 2004; Donohoe et al. 79 2014; Bordoni and Schneider 2008). 4 80 b. Dynamic theory 81 Dynamic theories use the boundary layer momentum budget to determine winds and hence con- 82 vergence, showing that convection is driven primarily by boundary layer (BL) momentum dynam- 83 ics. Perhaps the most influential of these studies, Lindzen and Nigam (1987) showed that the 84 pressure gradients associated with even the small surface temperature gradients of the tropics have 85 a substantial impact on low-level flow and convergence. Their model, built on tropical SST gra- 86 dients, adequately reproduces the observed tropical convergence, though the model’s assumptions 87 have been debated. Back and Bretherton (2009) address such concerns by testing and expanding 88 upon Lindzen and Nigam (1987), showing that SST gradients in reanalysis data are indeed consis- 89 tent with BL convergence, which in turn causes deep convection. Along a similar vein, Tomas and 90 Webster (1997) found that in regions where the surface cross-equatorial sea level pressure gradient 91 was weak, convection tended to coincide with the maximum SST, but in regions with a substan- 92 tial cross-equatorial pressure gradient convection tended to lie equatorward of the maximum SST, 93 also suggesting the importance of temperature gradients, as opposed to maxima, in driving the 94 flow. Subsequent studies develop a theory to determine the location of the ITCZ based on the 95 cross-equatorial pressure gradient, which drives anticyclonic vorticity advection across the equa- 96 tor to render the system inertially unstable (Tomas and Webster 1997; Tomas et al. 1999; Toma 97 and Webster 2010). Thus, convergence and divergence are shown to be separated at the latitude 98 where the zonal mean absolute vorticity is equal to zero. 99 c. ITCZ on terrestrial planets 100 Examining the behavior of the ITCZ on other terrestrial planets could provide further insight into 101 the mechanisms that control its movement. It has been argued, using general circulation models 102 (GCMs), that analogous regions of seasonal convergence and ascent associated with the Hadley 5 103 cell exist on other planetary bodies, namely Mars (Haberle et al. 1993; Lewis 2003) and Titan 104 (Mitchell et al. 2006). The ascent region migrates significantly off the equator into the summer 105 hemisphere during summer solstice, perhaps even reaching the summer pole on Titan. Indeed, 106 there have been multiple observations of methane cloud activity near Titan’s south pole during 107 southern summer solstice (Bouchez and Brown 2005). 108 Factors that control the movement of the ITCZ—particularly what prevents it from extending 109 too far beyond the equator on Earth yet allows it to reach the summer pole on Titan—still remain 110 unclear. The far-reaching solstitial Hadley cells on Mars and Titan are often ascribed to the planets’ 111 low surface heat capacities due to their lack of global oceans. But the extent to which the smaller 112 rotation rate of Titan and the smaller radii of both planets may also contribute to the seasonality 113 of their convergence zones is unknown. From classical dry axisymmetric theory, the width of the 114 Hadley cell expands with decreasing rotation rate and/or decreasing radius (Held and Hou 1980; 115 Caballero et al. 2008). Many parameter space studies using GCMs (Williams 1988; Navarra and 116 Boccaletti 2002; Walker and Schneider 2006; Mitchell and Vallis 2010; Mitchell et al. 2014; Pinto 117 and Mitchell 2014; Kaspi and Showman 2015) show that slowly rotating planets exhibit expanded 118 Hadley cells and effectively become “all-tropics” planets similar in circulation structure to Titan 119 (Mitchell et al. 2006). But no parameter space studies have been done using a moist GCM with a 120 seasonal cycle, and focusing on the ITCZ, as we do in this study. 121 In addition, the classical axisymmetric theory does not account for the effect of baroclinic eddies 122 (Schneider 2006). GCM studies have highlighted the influence of eddy momentum fluxes on the 123 Hadley circulation by studying the response of Earth’s Hadley circulation to seasonal transitions 124 (Walker and Schneider 2005; Bordoni and Schneider 2008; Schneider and Bordoni 2008; Merlis 125 et al. 2013) and the extent of the annual-mean Hadley circulation over a range of planetary pa- 126 rameters (Walker and Schneider 2006; Levine and Schneider 2011). It has been suggested that 6 127 the annual-mean Hadley circulation width may be affected by extratropical baroclinic eddies that 128 limit its poleward extent (Schneider 2006; Levine and Schneider 2015). Though no work has ex- 129 tended this argument to consideration of how baroclinic eddies might influence the circulation, the 130 above studies show that eddy momentum fluxes impact the tropical overturning in equinoctial and 131 solstitial circulations; thus, the possibility that baroclinic eddies, by strongly impacting the width 132 and strength of the summer cell, may influence the ITCZ deserves investigation. 133 We examine these many potential controls on the ITCZ’s movement using a moist Earth GCM 134 of varying heat capacities, seasonal forcings, and rotation rates. The primary controls in question 135 are that of heat capacity, low-level MSE, baroclinic instability, atmospheric energy balance, and 136 BL dynamics. In section 2, we describe the model and experimental setup. In section 3 and 4, we 137 evaluate theories relying on heat capacity, maximum MSE, and baroclinic instability. In section 5, 138 we analyze the general circulation of our rotation rate experiments. Then in section 6, we present 139 analysis of the BL dynamics and radiative energy balance for all experiments. 140 2. Methods 141 We use the moist idealized three-dimensional GCM described in Frierson et al. (2006) and Frier- 142 son (2007) based on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) spectral dynamical core, 143 but with two major changes: 1) the addition of a seasonal cycle, and 2) long-wave optical depths 144 that do not depend on latitude. 145 Radiative heating and cooling are represented by gray radiative transfer, in which radiative fluxes 146 are only a function of temperature, thus eliminating water vapor feedback. There is no diurnal 147 cycle. The convection parameterization is a simplified Betts-Miller scheme, described fully in 148 Frierson (2007). The scheme relaxes the temperature and moisture profiles of convectively un- 149 stable columns to a moist adiabat with a specified relative humidity (70% in these simulations) 7 150 over a fixed relaxation time (2 hours). Standard drag laws are used to calculate surface fluxes, 151 with drag coefficients determined by a simplified Monin-Obukhov scheme. The BL scheme is a 152 standard K-profile scheme with diffusivities consistent with the simplified Monin-Obukhov the- 153 ory. The lower boundary is a zonally symmetric slab mixed layer ocean with a constant depth of 154 10 m in the control case, corresponding to a heat capacity C of 1 ⇥107 J m 155 inertia timescale t f v20 days, where t f = 156 surface temperatures are prognostic and adjust to ensure the surface energy budget is closed in the 157 time-mean. 158 a. Seasonal cycle C 3 4s T 2 K 1 and a thermal and T = 285 K (Mitchell et al. 2014). Thus, sea 159 We implement the seasonally varying top-of-atmosphere (TOA) insolation prescription from 160 (Hartmann 1994, pp. 347-349), wherein the declination angle is approximated by a Fourier series 161 that provides an empirical fit to Earth’s current insolation. The left panel of Fig. 1 shows the 162 resulting seasonal cycle of insolation. The prescription does account for Earth’s eccentricity. 163 b. Optical depth 164 The latitude-dependent optical depth of the original model was suited for an equinoctial frame- 165 work and is thus inappropriate for our seasonal framework where bands of precipitation and hu- 166 midity fluctuate in latitude over the course of a year. In our model, the prescribed optical depth is 167 independent of latitude, becoming a function only of pressure with a linear component, describing 168 the effect of well-mixed greenhouse gases, and a quartic component, capturing the effect of water 169 vapor confined to the lower troposphere. Parameters of the pressure-dependent optical depth are 170 same as in Frierson et al. (2006), except the surface value of optical depth t0 = 12 (t0e + t0p ), where 171 t0e and t0p represent the equator and pole, respectively. 8 172 c. Experimental setup 173 The model uses the primitive equations with T42 spectral resolution and 25 unevenly spaced 174 vertical levels, with greater resolution in the BL. We conduct three primary sets of simulations: 1) 175 we reduce the depth of the mixed layer (values shown in Table 1, Earth slab ocean depth as from 176 Donohoe et al. (2014)) with all other parameters kept Earth-like (default parameters as in Frierson 177 et al. (2006)) and the insolation cycle kept fixed; 2) we reduce the frequency of the seasonal cycle 178 down to the extreme case where the planet is in “eternal solstice” (shown in the right panel of 179 Fig. 1) with all other parameters kept Earth-like, done to observe ITCZ behavior over the longer 180 timescales of fixed insolation; and 3) we adjust the rotation rate of an Earth-like planet from 181 4 times larger than Earth’s value down to 32 times smaller than Earth’s value, where parameters 182 other than rotation rate (insolation, radius, gravity, etc.) are kept Earth-like and the insolation cycle 183 is kept fixed. In addition to these eddy-permitting simulations, we run axisymmetric simulations 184 for end-member rotation rates, with both seasonal and “eternal solstice” forcings. 185 All simulations are run for ten years. Values for the seasonal cases are composited over the last 186 eight years (two years of spin-up). All solstitial time averages for each year of the seasonal cases 187 are taken during a 20-day period centered around the time of maximum zonally-averaged northern 188 hemisphere precipitation. Values for the “eternal solstice” simulations are averaged over the final 189 year (nine years of spin-up). 190 3. Evaluating thermodynamic mechanisms 191 In this section, we address to what extent theories for the ITCZ position developed within the 192 thermodynamic framework explain results in our simulated experiments. In particular, we focus 193 on the impact of heat capacity and MSE on the ITCZ position. 9 194 a. Heat capacity 195 Ideally, the ITCZ moves farther over land than over ocean because of land’s lower heat capacity. 196 The most notable manifestation of this is the Asian monsoon, Earth’s largest and most extensive 197 monsoon that reaches up to 30N as it travels over the Indian subcontinent and mainland China 198 (Yihui and Chan 2005). Furthermore, explanations for the Hadley cell’s larger migrations on Mars 199 and Titan as compared to Earth often emphasize the lower surface heat capacities of those planets, 200 since they lack global oceans. In an aquaplanet or slab ocean experiment, the heat capacity is 201 synonymous with the ocean depth and previous slab ocean experiments have shown that the ITCZ 202 remains very close to the equator throughout the seasonal cycle for ocean depths on the order of 203 100m (Donohoe et al. 2014; Bordoni and Schneider 2008). However, the ITCZ’s behavior for 204 smaller ocean depths is less clear. 205 Fig. 2 shows the zonally averaged precipitation over the seasonal cycle for three cases of varying 206 heat capacities (see Table 1 for heat capacity values, slab ocean depth values, and thermal inertia 207 timescales), as well as over the final year of the “eternal solstice” simulation. There is little change 208 in the position of the ITCZ as the heat capacity decreases to drastically small values. This suggests 209 that while the heat capacity affects the migration of the ITCZ at larger values, there is a lower limit, 210 namely the control value, under which the heat capacity no longer affects the ITCZ’s migration. In 211 other words, it appears that when the slab ocean depth is at the control value we reach a limit where 212 the associated timescale for the energetic adjustment to the lower boundary is so small compared 213 to the timescale of the seasonal cycle of insolation that further reductions in energetic adjustment 214 timescale do not make any difference. 215 We have focused on the surface heat capacity, but our “eternal solstice” simulation also addresses 216 the effect of the atmospheric heat capacity on the ITCZ’s movement. Maximum insolation in 10 217 the “eternal solstice” case is fixed at the pole for ten years, much longer than the timescale for 218 atmospheric adjustments, and still the precipitation band does not migrate towards the summer 219 pole. Thus, it appears that reducing the timescale for atmospheric adjustments even further would 220 not have any impact on the ITCZ migration, as was the case for surface temperature adjustments. 221 Together, the null results of reducing both surface and atmospheric heat capacities suggest that 222 dynamical constraints, as related to rotation rate or radius for instance, may be operating in cases 223 of low thermal inertia. The role of rotation in “forcing” the ITCZ towards the equator has been 224 similarly put forth by Chao (2000) and Chao and Chen (2001), wherein two “forces” critical to 225 monsoon onset are described as in balance: one, associated with Earth’s rotation, towards the equa- 226 tor, and the other towards the SST peak. The extent to which our findings relate to these “forces” 227 is unclear, however, since we employ a markedly different experimental design and analyze the 228 ITCZ behavior through the perspective of the boundary layer momentum budget rather than in the 229 “forcing” framework of those studies. 230 The ITCZ’s limited response to reductions in heat capacity also suggests that on Titan and Mars 231 other planetary parameters other than the surface heat capacities may be the primary controls on 232 the excursions of their seasonal convergence zones. Indeed, the atmospheric heat capacity on Titan 233 is actually quite large (cf. Mitchell et al. 2014), indicating that the dynamical effect of its smaller 234 rotation rate and radius must dominate strongly over the large atmospheric heat capacity to enable 235 convergence over the summer pole. 236 b. Maximum MSE 237 Theory for the location of the convergence zone, based on the assumptions of a moist adiabatic 238 vertical thermodynamic profile in statistical equilibrium, i.e. convective quasi-equilibrium (CQE), 239 and an angular momentum-conserving meridional circulation with a vertical boundary, argues that 11 240 the maximum zonal mean precipitation occurs just equatorward of the latitude of maximum zonal 241 mean subcloud MSE (Emanuel et al. 1994; Privé and Plumb 2007). The low-level zonal mean 242 MSE [m] = c p [T ] + [F] + Lv [q], where the brackets indicate zonal mean, is strongly correlated 243 with surface temperature over a saturated surface, as in our aquaplanet simulations. Examining 244 the ITCZ in the “eternal solstice” experiment provides further insight into the CQE argument by 245 effectively eliminating energetic adjustment timescales, as noted in the previous section. 246 Fig. 3 shows the zonal and time-mean precipitation, circulation features, and low-level MSE for 247 the “eternal solstice” case. Maximum MSE in this case is located at the summer pole. The ITCZ, 248 though, remains at low latitudes. The maximum zonal and time-mean precipitation occurs at 249 approximately the same latitude for both the seasonal and “eternal solstice” case, around 20-25N. 250 c. Discussion of thermodynamic mechanisms 251 Neither heat capacity nor MSE exert a dominant control on the ITCZ’s poleward excursion, 252 suggesting dynamics may be primarily driving the flow rather than thermodynamics in our sim- 253 ulations. From Fig. 3, MSE gradients, rather than the MSE itself, essentially maximize at the 254 latitude of maximum precipitation for both the seasonal and “eternal solstice” cases. This would 255 seem to be consistent with the arguments of Plumb and Hou (1992) and Emanuel (1995), who 256 demonstrate that in a moist convective atmosphere, a cross-equatorial Hadley circulation needs 257 to exist (in place of a radiative equilibrium response) when the curvature of the subcloud moist 258 entropy (or nearly equivalently MSE) exceeds a critical value. This theory therefore more pre- 259 cisely defines the location of an overturning circulation by suggesting a link between the extent of 260 the cross-equatorial Hadley cell, and with it the ITCZ, and the low-level MSE curvature. Please 261 however note that the criticality condition can only be applied to radiative-convective equilibrium 262 profiles of the low-level MSE: once an overturning develops when this critical condition is met, 12 263 the circulation itself will determine the MSE distribution. Hence, this criticality argument cannot 264 be easily translated into a quantitative diagnostic of the ITCZ position for our simulations. We 265 do confirm that in an eternal solstice axisymmetric simulation run under our control parameters, 266 the extratropical moist entropy distribution is indeed subcritical with regards to the critical con- 267 dition calculated via a radiative-convective perpetual solstice experiment (not shown). Thus, at 268 least for that case, though the zonal MSE maximizes at the pole, the extratropical atmosphere is in 269 radiative-convective equilibrium and there is no circulation at those latitudes, consistent with the 270 arguments just described. 271 As we discuss in section 6, the simulated cross-equatorial circulations for all rotation rates ap- 272 proach the angular momentum-conserving solution (Held and Hou 1980; Caballero et al. 2008), 273 in which the potential temperature in the free troposphere adjusts through thermal wind balance 274 to the angular momentum-conserving winds. Together with energy conservation constraints, these 275 angular momentum-conserving arguments can indeed be used to determine the latitude of the as- 276 cending branch of the winter Hadley cell, which, while not equivalent to, correlates well with the 277 ITCZ position. The strong correlation in Fig. 3 between the ITCZ and the maximum MSE gradient 278 in both seasonal and “eternal solstice” cases is indicative of the importance of surface tempera- 279 ture gradients in determining convergence, arguing for the role of BL momentum dynamics, in 280 agreement with Lindzen and Nigam (1987) and Back and Bretherton (2009). 281 4. Baroclinic instability 282 The “eternal solstice” case presented in the previous section also addresses the impact of baro- 283 clinic instability on the ITCZ. It has been suggested that baroclinic eddies may limit the extent of 284 the Hadley circulation (Schneider 2006; Levine and Schneider 2015). Observational studies have 285 linked the contraction and expansion of the Hadley cell during El Niño/La Niña events to anoma13 286 lous meridional temperature gradients and subtropical baroclinicity (Lu et al. 2008; Nguyen et al. 287 2013). Since the summer cell is very weak compared to the winter cell during solstice, it is pos- 288 sible that baroclinic eddies might limit the excursion of the cross-equatorial winter cell into the 289 summer hemisphere. Additionally, eddy momentum fluxes have been shown to affect the large- 290 scale meridional circulation in a variety of idealized climates (Walker and Schneider 2006; Levine 291 and Schneider 2011), and to play a large role in monsoonal transitions in solstitial circulations 292 (Bordoni and Schneider 2008; Schneider and Bordoni 2008; Merlis et al. 2013). During peak sol- 293 stice, eddy momentum fluxes are relatively weak in the region of ascent and the cross-equatorial 294 winter circulation is nearly angular momentum-conserving, shielded from eddies by upper-level 295 easterlies; but on the poleward flank of the winter cell in the summer hemisphere, eddy momen- 296 tum fluxes, though weaker than in the winter hemisphere, largely balance the westward Coriolis 297 force from the equatorward flow in the upper branch. It remains unclear whether this extratropical 298 baroclinicity is responsible for limiting the migration of the cross-equatorial winter Hadley cell, 299 and therefore the ITCZ, into the summer hemisphere. 300 From Fig. 3, in the seasonal case poleward of the MSE maximum, there is a small gradient, 301 suggesting baroclinic eddies may be present and preventing the winter Hadley cell from extending 302 farther polewards. However, in the “eternal solstice” case, no such gradient exists, indicating a 303 complete lack of baroclinic activity in this region, with zonal MSE maximizing at the pole. Yet, 304 the circulation does not become global and its poleward extent remains at low latitudes. These re- 305 sults, therefore, suggest that extratropical baroclinic instability plays no role in limiting the ITCZ’s 306 poleward migration during solstice in our simulations. Furthermore, in a simulation with the same 307 seasonal cycle and Earth’s rotation rate run under axisymmetric conditions—in which the forma- 308 tion of baroclinic eddies is entirely suppressed—the ITCZ and Hadley cell extent still remain at 309 low latitudes (not shown). 14 310 Given that neither baroclinic instability nor the thermodynamic constraints of heat capacity and 311 MSE maxima seem to control the ITCZ in our simulations, in the next sections we explore possible 312 dynamical controls related to the BL momentum budget. 313 5. Rotation rate experiments 314 To explore the ITCZ through a more dynamical perspective, we run Earth-like simulations for 315 varying rotation rates. This is roughly equivalent to varying radius since both parameters similarly 316 impact Hadley cell width (Held and Hou 1980). We find the ITCZ, defined here as the latitude of 317 maximum zonally and solstitially averaged precipitation, reaches the summer pole for W/WE = 18 . 318 a. Precipitation 319 Fig. 4 shows zonal mean precipitation for several rotation rate cases. The precipitation band of 320 the ITCZ moves farther off the equator towards the summer pole with each decrease in rotation 321 rate, consistent with previous studies. 322 It is worth noting that in the quickly rotating cases, including the control case, there are small 323 “patches” of polar precipitation separated from the main ITCZ band at lower latitudes. This local 324 precipitation is not strong enough for the ITCZ as we’ve defined it to be located at the pole, but it 325 is consistent with the fact that local maxima in MSE exist at the pole during solstice in all cases, 326 as shown in Fig. 5. Since low-level humidity is essentially uniform in an aquaplanet, local SST 327 correlates extremely well with MSE. Thus, polar maxima in MSE during solstice reinforce the 328 argument that for some planetary regimes, the ITCZ does not simply follow maximum zonal SST 329 or MSE. Please note that though solstitial averages were taken prior to these polar maxima in the 330 quickly rotating cases (see vertical orange lines in Fig. 5), the zonal circulation remains at lower 331 latitudes throughout the summer, as indicated by the main ITCZ band. 15 332 We also run simulations at slower rotation rates, down to 32 times smaller than Earth’s, and find 333 the ITCZ reaching the summer pole in those cases as well, but they are not shown because their 334 circulations are similar in structure to that of the W/WE = 335 the planet enters a regime where the winter Hadley cell becomes global with the ITCZ at the pole, 336 precluding any farther migration with larger decreases in rotation. Similarly, the W/WE = 2 and 337 W/WE = 4 cases are not shown due to their circulation structures largely resembling that of the 338 control case, though their ITCZs are indeed closer to the equator than the control (see Fig. 8). 339 b. Circulation 1 8 case. After W/WE = 18 , it appears 340 The ITCZ is closely associated with the ascending branch of the Hadley circulation. The right 341 columns of Fig. 6 and Fig. 7 show the zonally averaged meridional circulation and angular 342 momentum contours during solstice for all rotation cases. Consistent with the precipitation, the 343 cross-equatorial Hadley cell expands farther poleward for each decrease in rotation rate. Addi- 344 tionally, the summer cell is negligible when compared to the cross-equatorial winter cell for all 345 simulations during the averaged solstitial time period. 346 In aquaplanet simulations of Earth with negligible surface thermal inertia, as the seasonal cy- 347 cle transitions from equinox to solstice—representing monsoon onset over land-dominated re- 348 gions such as the Asian monsoon region—the winter Hadley cell strengthens and its ascending 349 upper branch becomes more angular momentum-conserving (Lindzen and Hou 1988; Bordoni 350 and Schneider 2008; Schneider and Bordoni 2008). At solstice, upper-level easterlies shield the 351 circulation from energy-containing midlatitude eddies and the eddy momentum flux divergence is 352 weak, thus allowing streamlines to follow angular momentum contours in the ascending branch 353 of the cross-equatorial winter cell. Poleward of this ascending branch, where the summer cell is 354 significantly diminished and meridional temperature gradients are larger, eddy momentum fluxes 16 355 balance the Coriolis force at upper levels. We observe similar solstitial dynamics as the rotation 356 rate is decreased in our simulations: streamlines in the ascending region of all cases generally 357 follow angular momentum contours; and in all cases a region of upper-level easterlies (not shown) 358 is maintained by the winter circulation, which continues to expand latitudinally with decreasing 359 rotation rate down to W/WE = 18 , where the circulation finally becomes global. 360 Thus, a regime change occurs after W/WE = 18 , wherein three conditions hold for planets with 361 that rotation rate and slower: 1) summer precipitation reaches the pole, 2) the winter cross- 362 equatorial cell extends from pole to pole and has a latitudinally wide region of updraft as op- 363 posed to the meridionally narrow ascent region seen in the more quickly rotating cases, and 3) 364 eddy momentum flux divergence is weak at all latitudes. A similar regime change was noted in 365 the non-seasonal experiments of Walker and Schneider (2006), wherein the upper branches of the 366 circulations for slowly rotating planets were nearly angular momentum-conserving around the lati- 367 tude of the Hadley streamfunction extremum. However, as noted in the previous section, baroclinic 368 instability appears to play no role in limiting the migration of the ITCZ. 369 c. Diagnostics for the ITCZ 370 Here we evaluate relevant diagnostics for the ITCZ, namely the Hadley cell extent, the maximum 371 low-level MSE, and the energy flux equator. As in the previous section, the zonally averaged low- 372 level moist static energy [m] is taken at 850 hPa, with the overbar denoting solstitial average. The 373 Hadley cell extent fH is defined as the latitude where the cross-equatorial streamfunction, taken 374 at the pressure level of its maximum value, reaches 5% of that maximum value in the summer 375 hemisphere (Walker and Schneider 2006). Finally, the energy flux equator defined in Kang et al. 376 (2008) as where the energy flux F = h[mv]i reaches zero, with the angled brackets denoting vertical 377 integration. However, since F doesn’t vanish until the pole for W/WE = 17 1 2 and slower during 378 solstice, here we define the energy flux equator as the latitude where the flux F reaches 5% of 379 its maximum value, similar to the Hadley cell extent definition. Fig. 8 shows these diagnostics, 380 each normalized to the maximum zonally and solstitially averaged precipitation (the ITCZ), for all 381 rotation cases. It also shows the latitude where the function G = 0.5, with G defined in Eq. 4 in 382 section 6.3. 383 The MSE maximum, Hadley cell extent, and energy flux equator occur poleward of the latitude 384 of the ITCZ for all but the most slowly rotating case. These three values are generally well corre- 385 lated (particularly at faster rotation rates). Indeed, the Hadley cell extent and energy flux equator, 386 physically related to one another (and, by definition, nearly equivalent), are approximately col- 387 located for each rotation rate. It is also clear from Fig. 8 that the ITCZ is associated with the 388 ascending branch of the cross-equatorial winter Hadley cell but generally lies equatorward of its 389 edge. However, the distance of separation between the ITCZ and the winter Hadley cell extent 390 appears to increase with decreasing rotation rate, until the circulation enters the slowly rotating 391 regime. We also note the larger discrepancy between the latitude of maximum MSE and the ITCZ 392 latitude in the W/WE = 393 the convergence zone as rotation rate slows: The distinction between the main precipitation band 394 of the ITCZ and the polar precipitation becomes less clear and the circulation appears on the verge 395 of entering the slowly rotating regime of global circulation, as demonstrated by the W/WE = 396 case. 1 4 and W/WE = 1 6 cases. This is indicative of the increasing migration of 1 8 397 That the maximum precipitation is slightly equatorward of the maximum MSE during solstice 398 has been noted in both models and observations (Privé and Plumb 2007; Bordoni and Schneider 399 2008). Discrepancies between the energy flux equator and the ITCZ—in both directions, i.e. 400 with the energy flux equator both undershooting and overshooting the latitude of the ITCZ—have 401 also been observed in various models (Kang et al. 2008; Bischoff and Schneider 2014), further 18 402 emphasizing the need for a more robust predictor of the ITCZ extent, particularly in strongly 403 off-equatorial regimes. In the next section, we work towards developing an understanding of the 404 position of the ITCZ based on BL dynamics and TOA energy balance. 405 6. Evaluating dynamical mechanisms behind the ITCZ position 406 In this section, we analyze potential dynamic controls on the ITCZ position. Before delving 407 into the details, it might be useful to first give an overall qualitative picture of the mechanisms 408 at work in our simulations. The flow that leads to the ITCZ is part of the lower branch of the 409 cross-equatorial winter Hadley cell. Using the case of northern summer solstice as an example, 410 this flow is the northward BL flow between the equator and the northern edge of the winter cell 411 in the summer hemisphere. The edge of the winter cell itself is where the flow vanishes, at a 412 latitude analogous to the energy flux equator or the maximum MSE, and can be determined by 413 TOA energy balance (Held and Hou 1980; Lindzen and Hou 1988; Satoh 1994; Caballero et al. 414 2008). Meridional forces in the BL, primarily the northward pressure gradient force and southward 415 Coriolis force, govern the zonal mean flow. However, while eddy momentum flux divergence 416 fluxes and vertical advection are very small in the BL, nonlinear advective forces are not and so 417 the flow is not completely in geostrophic balance. The pressure gradient, Coriolis, and nonlinear 418 forces combine into a northward force that balances the southward drag. Since the flow must 419 vanish farther poleward at the Hadley cell edge—and indeed all the forces must vanish there, 420 except for in the slowly rotating regime where they cannot vanish before reaching the pole—there 421 is a flow transition that must occur that leads to the ITCZ. 422 423 Our simulations demonstrate this mechanism and also provide a scaling for the latitude of the ITCZ’s poleward excursion with rotation rate. 19 424 a. TOA energy balance 425 The mechanism behind the ITCZ, as it appears from our analysis, is intimately tied to previous 426 work done by Held and Hou (1980) and in particular by Caballero et al. (2008), who applied the 427 energy balance arguments of Held and Hou (1980) to the solstitial circulation in order to determine 428 the extent of the cross-equatorial winter Hadley cell into the summer hemisphere. The connection 429 to the ITCZ lies in the idea that the Hadley cell edge as determined by these energy balance 430 arguments corresponds to the point where the energy flux and boundary layer forces vanish, just 431 poleward of the ITCZ. 432 In Held and Hou (1980), the Hadley cell extent given equatorially symmetric insolation is deter- 433 mined through two primary requirements: that the energy budget of the Hadley cell is closed, and 434 that the temperature structure at the cell’s poleward edge matches the radiative-convective equilib- 435 rium profile. These two requirements are equivalent to saying that the TOA radiative imbalance 436 integrated over the width of the Hadley cell is equal to zero, and that the TOA radiative imbalance 437 at the latitude of the cell’s poleward edge is itself zero. Note that in these theories the winds in 438 the upper branch of the Hadley cell are assumed to be angular momentum-conserving. With these 439 requirements, it is possible to determine the Hadley cell extent, which is dependent on the thermal 440 441 442 443 Rossby number such that fH µ (Ro)1/2 for Ro = gHDH , W2 a2 where H is the tropopause height and DH is the pole-to-equator radiative-convective equilibrium temperature difference. Caballero et al. (2008) applied similar arguments to seasonal insolation and found that the solstitial Hadley cell extent followed a different power law: fH µ (Ro)1/3 444 445 (1) Fig. 9 shows the scalings of the ITCZ and the energy flux equator with rotation rate. Cases slower than W/WE = 1 6 were not included in the scaling (W/WE = 20 1 8 is in the plot, but not the 446 scaling calculation) because the ITCZ’s progression with rotation rate is limited by the pole beyond 447 that point: once the Hadley cell is global, it remains so for slower rotation rates. The W/WE = 2 448 and W/WE = 4 cases, however, with ITCZs correspondingly close to the equator, were included in 449 the scaling. 450 Since Ro scales as W 2 , the solstitial Hadley extent as determined by Caballero et al. (2008) 2/3 , 451 scales as W 452 equator and the latitude of the ITCZ itself—despite the fact that Caballero et al. (2008) used a 453 dry axisymmetric model. This may be associated with the dynamic characteristics of solstice in an 454 aquaplanet simulation: during solstice, the upper branch of the winter Hadley cell is approximately 455 angular momentum-conserving at the latitude of ascent, with local Rossby numbers Ro 456 signifying the relatively weak impact of eddy momentum flux divergence (Bordoni and Schneider 457 2008; Schneider and Bordoni 2008), thereby approximating axisymmetric conditions. As a caveat 458 to the similarities just described, we should note that the power laws of Held and Hou (1980) and 459 Caballero et al. (2008) employ the small-angle approximation, which is most likely inappropriate 460 for our most slowly rotating cases. and Fig. 9 shows a similar scaling in our simulations—both for the energy flux 0.6, 461 Plotting the insolation against the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) visually illustrates these 462 energy balance arguments. Given the second requirement of the theory, the Hadley cell edge is 463 where the radiative imbalance is zero, i.e. where the insolation and OLR intersect. But given the 464 first requirement, the budget is closed and so the integrated imbalance over the width of the Hadley 465 cell is zero, meaning the Hadley cell is determined by an equal-area construction of the imbalance. 466 Fig. 10 shows the insolation and OLR for the end-member rotation rates, with and without 467 eddies, as well as with and without “eternal solstice” forcing. The figure illustrates that the ra- 468 diative structure of the deep tropics looks very similar across all parameters and indeed gives the 469 approximate width of the Hadley cell. Though large-scale eddies clearly impact the circulation 21 470 (particularly at higher latitudes) and prevent the insolation and OLR curves from intersecting at 471 the Hadley cell edges in most cases, the winter Hadley cell edge in the summer hemisphere corre- 472 sponds roughly to the local maxima of OLR. 473 Thus, the Hadley cell extent can be approximately determined by the shape of the OLR curve. 474 In the axisymmetric “eternal solstice” case at Earth’s rotation rate, for example, the summer hemi- 475 sphere edge of the winter cross-equatorial Hadley cell is at v30N, coinciding with the local max- 476 imum in OLR there. The Hadley cell extents plotted in Fig. 10 are defined as the latitudes where 477 the cross-equatorial streamfunction, taken at the pressure level of its maximum value, reaches 2% 478 of that maximum value, rather than when it vanishes entirely. This could account for the discrep- 479 ancies between the insolation and OLR in the winter hemisphere, where the region of descent is 480 relatively broad in latitude as compared to the narrow region of ascent in the summer hemisphere; 481 but winter hemisphere eddies may also be contributing to the discrepancies in the eddy-permitting 482 cases. The axisymmetric “eternal solstice” case, the most steady and without eddies, gives the 483 clearest picture of the energy balance arguments, with the equal-area construction almost exactly 484 matching the winter Hadley cell width. However, the same structure is also apparent in the control 485 seasonal case: even though the insolation and OLR don’t quite intersect, the OLR profile flattens 486 near the edges of the winter Hadley cell. 487 For the W/WE = 1 8 cases, on the other hand, the equal-area argument suggests the cell is global. 488 In other words, the edges of the winter cell—in loose terms, since the OLR never actually intersects 489 the insolation at either edge of the cell in any case—are essentially at the poles. In some sense, the 490 cell’s edge must be at the pole because it cannot be any farther poleward than that. 22 491 b. Boundary layer dynamics 492 Our analysis of the BL dynamics will be conducted primarily through the lens of the momentum 493 equations as presented by Schneider and Bordoni (2008), hereafter SB08, who studied Earth’s 494 solstitial dynamics in the convergence zone using a dry GCM with a seasonal cycle. Following 495 SB08, the BL steady-state momentum equations with drag represented as Rayleigh drag with 496 damping coefficient e are: 497 ( f + z )v ⇡ eu ( f + z )u + ∂B ⇡ ev ∂y (2) (3) 498 where B = F + (u2 + v2 )/2 is the mean barotropic Bernoulli function with geopotential F and the 499 overbar again denotes the time-mean. Formulating the momentum equation this way means that 500 the Bernoulli gradient accounts for the pressure gradient force as well as nonlinear contributions. 501 Aside from approximating turbulent drag as Rayleigh drag, the other assumptions made here are 502 that contributions from eddy momentum flux divergence and vertical advection are negligible, and 503 indeed in our simulations those terms are about an order of magnitude smaller than the retained 504 Coriolis, Bernoulli gradient, drag, and z u terms (We include the Rayleigh drag approximation 505 here because it will be used in the next subsection, but the drag force plotted in Fig. 6 and Fig. 7 506 is diagnosed directly from the model, calculated by horizontal diffusion). 507 Fig. 6 and Fig. 7 give a summary of these forces for each rotation case during northern summer 508 solstice and the “eternal solstice” case, with all values vertically integrated over the BL. We define 509 the BL as ending at 850 hPa, though for the more slowly rotating cases, the lower branch of the 510 circulation reaches the free troposphere. For all cases, the ITCZ is well correlated with the latitude 511 of maximum BL drag. Indeed, in the “eternal solstice” case, where the maximum MSE condition 23 512 failed, the ITCZ and latitude of maximum drag are exactly collocated. From the right column of 513 Fig. 6 and Fig. 7, it is evident that for each case the ITCZ is located in the BL region of maximum 514 southward drag, a region just equatorward of the edge of the winter Hadley cell. 515 This mechanism seems to break down for the most slowly rotating case, with the latitude of 516 maximum drag lying far equatorward of the ITCZ. This may be due to the widening of the con- 517 vergence zone but could also be related to the change in the convergence zone force balance from 518 primarily geostrophic in the quickly rotating cases to something closer to cyclostrophic in the 519 slowly rotating regime, with the nonlinear z u force becoming a dominant contributor to balancing 520 the Bernoulli gradient force. Also in the slowly rotating cases, regions of strong meridional drag 521 exist at equatorial latitudes. Though they do not appear in the mass flux contours, there are indeed 522 secondary maxima of precipitation and vertical velocity in these regions. The mechanism for these 523 secondary equatorial convergences is left for future work, but it is perhaps similar to that described 524 in Pauluis (2004), where the cross-equatorial jump is due to a weak SST gradient. 525 It is also apparent from the left column of Fig. 6 and Fig. 7 that the ITCZ is associated with 526 the maximum northward Bernoulli gradient force, consistent with the previous observation of the 527 simulated ITCZ being well correlated with the maximum MSE gradient, given that temperature 528 gradients determine pressure gradients. In many cases, in fact, the ITCZ is collocated with the 529 maximum northward geopotential gradient, which lies just equatorward of the maximum Bernoulli 530 gradient. This is notable in that it marks the importance of temperature (and therefore pressure) 531 gradients in driving the convergence zone flow (Lindzen and Nigam 1987; Tomas and Webster 532 1997; Pauluis 2004; Back and Bretherton 2009). However, due to the increasing relevance of 533 nonlinear advective forces (namely the z u force) as the ITCZ moves farther from the equator in 534 the more slowly rotating cases, the linear theories of Lindzen and Nigam (1987) and Back and 24 535 Bretherton (2009) cannot be applied here, as they predict an ITCZ too far poleward in all but our 536 control simulation. 537 Indeed, the significance of the z u force implies that classic Ekman theory arguments describing 538 flow—wherein the balance of forces is primarily between the pressure gradient force, the Cori- 539 olis force, and turbulent drag—are inappropriate when considering solstitial convergence zone 540 dynamics. According to Ekman theory, uplift maximizes where geostrophic vorticity maximizes, 541 but in every one of our simulations geostrophic vorticity maximizes well poleward of the ITCZ 542 during solstice (not shown), underlining the unsuitability of Ekman theory in solstitial situations 543 and the importance of nonlinearity in determining the BL maximum convergence—a relationship 544 also noted by Tomas et al. (1999). 545 c. Connection to SB08 546 We have just shown that the maximum meridional drag and maximum Bernoulli gradient ad- 547 equately describe the ITCZ in a diagnostic sense. Here we take steps towards attaining a more 548 predictive theory for the ITCZ’s location. The convergence zone momentum budget analysis in 549 SB08 begins with equations (1) and (2) and arrives at expressions for the zonal and meridional 550 winds in terms of a nondimensional function G, defined as: G= e2 e 2 + ( f + [z ])2 (4) 551 This function helps describe the solstitial convergence zone. For G ! 1, as seen from expression 552 (2), the BL balance is primarily between the Bernoulli gradient force and friction. As G ! 0, the 553 balance is primarily between the Bernoulli gradient force and the Coriolis force. 554 The connection to the BL convergence zone is that, during solstice, the zonal and time-mean 555 G profile transitions meridionally from values v1 near the equator, to values closer to 0 farther 25 556 557 poleward in the region of ascent at the edge of the cross-equatorial winter Hadley cell. Since [v] ⇡ G ∂ [B] e ∂y , this transition occurs in the convergence zone, equatorward of the Hadley cell edge. 558 Such a relationship led SB08 to approximate the region of greatest convergence, or the ITCZ, as 559 the region where G ⇡ 0.5. We observe a similar transition in our simulations, though note that the 560 latitude where G ⇡ 0.5 does not correlate well with the ITCZ position in any case (see Fig. 8). 2 561 562 2 Fig. 6 and Fig. 7 show the G profiles for each rotation case, where e = Cd ([u] + [v] )1/2 /H0 , with Cd being the surface drag coefficient of momentum and H0 being the height of the BL (Lindzen 563 and Nigam, 1987). Note that e is not a constant but is dependent on the surface winds, since the 564 drag force reduces to the surface stress when vertically integrated in the BL. 565 In each case, the ITCZ occurs as G decreases to zero, in most cases at a value closer to G ⇡ 0.1 566 0.2. It remains unclear how to apply the theory underlying the G function to an exact prediction or 567 scaling of the ITCZ latitude. The ITCZ appears to correlate with the curvature of the G function, 568 but we have not developed a theoretical basis for such a relationship. The transition occurs over 569 a larger latitudinal range as rotation rate decreases, consistent with the widening winter Hadley 570 cell and more extensive regions of convergence and precipitation in those cases. It is also notable 571 that at the latitude where G ⇡ 1, the zonal and time-mean absolute vorticity [h] is approximately 572 zero in every case (not shown). This is consistent with the work of Tomas and Webster (1997), 573 in which the [h] = 0 latitude demarcates between divergence and convergence, with divergence 574 equatorward of that latitude and convergence associated with inertial instability—producing the 575 ITCZ—poleward of that latitude. 576 Finally, Fig. 6 and Fig. 7 show that the same approximate force balance holds for each case. One 577 noteworthy difference however is that in the “eternal solstice” case, the extratropical geostrophic 578 force balance is in the opposite direction than it is in the seasonal case. This can be attributed 579 to thermal wind balance and the fact that MSE maximizes at the pole in the “eternal solstice” 26 580 case, resulting in radiative equilibrium in the extratropics wherein there is no circulation, as noted 581 previously. Thus, the temperature profile controls the winds, producing high-latitude easterlies 582 and a northward Coriolis force. The unique radiative character of the “eternal solstice” case may 583 also be responsible for the stronger circulation and wider Hadley cell width than observed in the 584 seasonal case, though the ITCZ itself remains at the same latitude. 585 7. Summary and Conclusions 586 We conduct a suite of experiments to test various controls on the seasonal excursions of the ITCZ 587 using an idealized, aquaplanet Earth GCM. These controls include heat capacity, low-level moist 588 static energy, baroclinic instability, atmospheric energy balance, and boundary layer dynamics. 589 We find that decreasing the slab ocean depth beyond 10m does little to extend the ITCZ. We also 590 find, through “eternal solstice” experiments, that the ITCZ is not always closely coupled with the 591 maximum MSE and is also not limited by baroclinic instability: in the “eternal solstice” case, the 592 maximum MSE is located at the pole and there is little to no baroclinic instability in the summer 593 hemisphere, yet the ITCZ remains at low latitudes—exactly where it sits in the control Earth 594 simulation. 595 We slow down the rotation rate of an otherwise Earth-like planet to examine the ITCZ as it 596 migrates farther off the equator. We find the ITCZ reaches the summer pole for rotation rates 597 W/WE = 598 and energy flux equator, are generally collocated with each other, but robustly lie poleward of the 599 latitude of the ITCZ, with the distance of separation increasing as the ITCZ moves farther from 600 the equator. Based on the ITCZ’s behavior across a range of rotation rates, we describe a frame- 601 work for understanding the location of the ITCZ based on energy balance and BL dynamics—the 602 latter being very similar in principle to work previously done by Schneider and Bordoni (2008). 1 8 and smaller. Classic ITCZ diagnostics, namely maximum MSE, Hadley cell extent, 27 603 TOA energy balance, based on the axisymmetric theory of Held and Hou (1980), determines the 604 latitude poleward of the ITCZ where the flow vanishes. The ITCZ diagnostics mentioned above 605 correlate with this latitude rather than the ITCZ itself, which is the latitude of uplift and conver- 606 gence equatorward of the Hadley cell edge and closely associated with maximum BL drag and 607 Bernoulli gradient. 608 Common throughout our investigation has been the importance of temperature gradients and by 609 association pressure gradients. In the “eternal solstice” case where the maximum MSE condition 610 fails, the ITCZ is approximately collocated with the maximum MSE gradient; and in all cases, 611 the ITCZ is closely correlated with the maximum Bernoulli gradient force. This is in accord 612 with dynamical studies of the past, particularly Lindzen and Nigam (1987), Back and Bretherton 613 (2009), and Tomas and Webster (1997). 614 Such relationships are important when thinking about analogous systems of seasonal conver- 615 gence on other planets. Our results suggest that it is primarily the planetary parameters associated 616 with the angular momentum budget, i.e. the rotation rate and/or radius, that are responsible for 617 Titan’s and Mars’s far-reaching convergence zones, rather than their low surface heat capacities. 618 Indeed, the atmospheric circulations of the W/WE = 619 precipitation and a global Hadley cell, are not too dissimilar from that of Titan, which itself has a 620 rotation rate approximately one sixteenth of Earth’s and a radius one third of Earth’s. While we 621 are not yet able to predict the poleward migration of the ITCZ given only planetary parameters, 622 the axisymmetric scaling of Caballero et al. (2008) seems to be quite accurate when applied to our 623 simulations, even though they are moist and eddy-permitting. It is left for future work to further 624 develop our diagnostic ITCZ understanding into a more prognostic theory that can be applied to 625 any terrestrial planet with seasonally migrating convergence zones. 28 1 8 case and slower, which have intense polar 626 Acknowledgments. Simulations were carried out using the Hoffman2 Cluster hosted by UCLA’s 627 Institute for Digital Research and Education. The comments of three anonymous reviewers helped 628 greatly strengthen the final manuscript. S.B. acknowledges support by the National Science Foun- 629 dation Grant AGS-1462544. S.F. and J.M. were supported by NASA grants NNX12AI71G and 630 NNX12AM81G, and S.F. was supported in part by UCLA’s Eugene V. Cota-Robles Fellowship. 631 References 632 Back, L. E., and C. S. Bretherton, 2009: On the relationship between SST gradients, boundary 633 layer winds, and convergence over the tropical oceans. Journal of Climate, 22 (15), 4182–4196. 634 Bischoff, T., and T. Schneider, 2014: Energetic constraints on the position of the intertropical 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 convergence zone. Journal of Climate, 27 (13), 4937–4951. Bordoni, S., and T. Schneider, 2008: Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation. Nature Geoscience, 1 (8), 515–519. Bouchez, A. H., and M. E. Brown, 2005: Statistics of Titan’s south polar tropospheric clouds. The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 618 (1), L53. Broccoli, A. J., K. A. Dahl, and R. J. Stouffer, 2006: Response of the ITCZ to Northern Hemisphere cooling. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (1). 642 Caballero, R., R. T. Pierrehumbert, and J. L. Mitchell, 2008: Axisymmetric, nearly inviscid cir- 643 culations in non-condensing radiative-convective atmospheres. Quarterly Journal of the Royal 644 Meteorological Society, 134 (634), 1269–1285. 645 646 Chao, W. C., 2000: Multiple quasi equilibria of the ITCZ and the origin of monsoon onset. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57 (5), 641–652. 29 647 Chao, W. C., and B. Chen, 2001: Multiple quasi equilibria of the ITCZ and the origin of monsoon 648 onset. Part II: Rotational ITCZ attractors. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58 (18), 2820– 649 2831. 650 651 Chiang, J. C., and C. M. Bitz, 2005: Influence of high latitude ice cover on the marine Intertropical Convergence Zone. Climate Dynamics, 25 (5), 477–496. 652 Chiang, J. C., and A. R. Friedman, 2012: Extratropical cooling, interhemispheric thermal gra- 653 dients, and tropical climate change. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 40 (1), 654 383. 655 656 657 658 Donohoe, A., D. M. Frierson, and D. S. Battisti, 2014: The effect of ocean mixed layer depth on climate in slab ocean aquaplanet experiments. Climate Dynamics, 43 (3-4), 1041–1055. Emanuel, K. A., 1995: On thermally direct circulations in moist atmospheres. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 52 (9), 1529–1534. 659 Emanuel, K. A., J. David Neelin, and C. S. Bretherton, 1994: On large-scale circulations in con- 660 vecting atmospheres. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 120 (519), 1111– 661 1143. 662 Fein, J. S., and P. L. Stephens, 1987: Monsoons. Wiley New York. 663 Frierson, D. M., 2007: The dynamics of idealized convection schemes and their effect on the 664 zonally averaged tropical circulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64 (6), 1959–1976. 665 Frierson, D. M., I. M. Held, and P. Zurita-Gotor, 2006: A gray-radiation aquaplanet moist GCM. 666 Part I: Static stability and eddy scale. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 63 (10), 2548–2566. 667 Frierson, D. M., and Y.-T. Hwang, 2012: Extratropical influence on ITCZ shifts in slab ocean 668 simulations of global warming. Journal of Climate, 25 (2), 720–733. 30 669 670 Frierson, D. M., and Coauthors, 2013: Contribution of ocean overturning circulation to tropical rainfall peak in the Northern Hemisphere. Nature Geoscience, 6 (11), 940–944. 671 Haberle, R. M., J. B. Pollack, J. R. Barnes, R. W. Zurek, C. B. Leovy, J. R. Murphy, H. Lee, 672 and J. Schaeffer, 1993: Mars atmospheric dynamics as simulated by the NASA Ames General 673 Circulation Model: I. The zonal-mean circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets 674 (1991–2012), 98 (E2), 3093–3123. 675 Hartmann, D. L., 1994: Global Physical Climatology, Vol. 56. Academic press. 676 Held, I. M., and A. Y. Hou, 1980: Nonlinear axially symmetric circulations in a nearly inviscid 677 678 679 atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 37 (3), 515–533. Janowiak, J. E., P. A. Arkin, P. Xie, M. L. Morrissey, and D. R. Legates, 1995: An examination of the east pacific itcz rainfall distribution. Journal of Climate, 8 (11), 2810–2823. 680 Kang, S. M., D. M. Frierson, and I. M. Held, 2009: The tropical response to extratropical thermal 681 forcing in an idealized GCM: The importance of radiative feedbacks and convective parameter- 682 ization. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (9), 2812–2827. 683 Kang, S. M., I. M. Held, D. M. Frierson, and M. Zhao, 2008: The response of the ITCZ to ex- 684 tratropical thermal forcing: Idealized slab-ocean experiments with a GCM. Journal of Climate, 685 21 (14), 3521–3532. 686 687 Kaspi, Y., and A. P. Showman, 2015: Atmospheric dynamics of terrestrial exoplanets over a wide range of orbital and atmospheric parameters. The Astrophysical Journal, 804 (1), 60. 688 Levine, X. J., and T. Schneider, 2011: Response of the hadley circulation to climate change in 689 an aquaplanet gcm coupled to a simple representation of ocean heat transport. Journal of the 690 Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (4), 769–783. 31 691 692 Levine, X. J., and T. Schneider, 2015: Baroclinic eddies and the extent of the Hadley circulation: An idealized GCM study. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (7), 2744–2761. 693 Lewis, S. R., 2003: Modelling the Martian atmosphere. Astronomy & Geophysics, 44 (4), 4–6. 694 Lindzen, R. S., and A. V. Hou, 1988: Hadley circulations for zonally averaged heating centered 695 off the equator. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 45 (17), 2416–2427. 696 Lindzen, R. S., and S. Nigam, 1987: On the role of sea surface temperature gradients in forcing 697 low-level winds and convergence in the tropics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 44 (17), 698 2418–2436. 699 700 701 702 Lu, J., G. Chen, and D. M. Frierson, 2008: Response of the zonal mean atmospheric circulation to el niño versus global warming. Journal of Climate, 21 (22), 5835–5851. Merlis, T. M., T. Schneider, S. Bordoni, and I. Eisenman, 2013: Hadley circulation response to orbital precession. part i: Aquaplanets. Journal of Climate, 26 (3), 740–753. 703 Mitchell, J. L., R. T. Pierrehumbert, D. M. Frierson, and R. Caballero, 2006: The dynamics behind 704 Titan’s methane clouds. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 103 (49), 18 421– 705 18 426. 706 707 708 709 710 711 Mitchell, J. L., and G. K. Vallis, 2010: The transition to superrotation in terrestrial atmospheres. Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets (1991–2012), 115 (E12). Mitchell, J. L., G. K. Vallis, and S. F. Potter, 2014: Effects of the seasonal cycle on superrotation in planetary atmospheres. The Astrophysical Journal, 787 (1), 23. Navarra, A., and G. Boccaletti, 2002: Numerical general circulation experiments of sensitivity to Earth rotation rate. Climate Dynamics, 19 (5-6), 467–483. 32 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 Neelin, J. D., and I. M. Held, 1987: Modeling tropical convergence based on the moist static energy budget. Monthly Weather Review, 115 (1), 3–12. Nguyen, H., A. Evans, C. Lucas, I. Smith, and B. Timbal, 2013: The hadley circulation in reanalyses: Climatology, variability, and change. Journal of Climate, 26 (10), 3357–3376. Pauluis, O., 2004: Boundary layer dynamics and cross-equatorial Hadley circulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 61 (10), 1161–1173. Pinto, J. R. D., and J. L. Mitchell, 2014: Atmospheric superrotation in an idealized GCM: Parameter dependence of the eddy response. Icarus, 238, 93–109. 720 Plumb, R. A., and A. Y. Hou, 1992: The response of a zonally symmetric atmosphere to sub- 721 tropical thermal forcing: Threshold behavior. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 49 (19), 722 1790–1799. 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 Privé, N. C., and R. A. Plumb, 2007: Monsoon dynamics with interactive forcing. Part I: Axisymmetric studies. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 64 (5), 1417–1430. Ramage, C., 1974: Structure of an oceanic near-equatorial trough deduced from research aircraft traverses. Monthly Weather Review, 102 (11), 754–759. Sadler, J. C., 1975: The monsoon circulation and cloudiness over the GATE area. Monthly Weather Review, 103 (5), 369–387. Satoh, M., 1994: Hadley circulations in radiative-convective equilibrium in an axially symmetric atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 51 (13), 1947–1968. Schneider, T., 2006: The general circulation of the atmosphere. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 34, 655–688. 33 733 734 Schneider, T., T. Bischoff, and G. H. Haug, 2014: Migrations and dynamics of the intertropical convergence zone. Nature, 513 (7516), 45–53. 735 Schneider, T., and S. Bordoni, 2008: Eddy-mediated regime transitions in the seasonal cycle of 736 a Hadley circulation and implications for monsoon dynamics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sci- 737 ences, 65 (3), 915–934. 738 739 Sobel, A. H., and C. S. Bretherton, 2000: Modeling tropical precipitation in a single column. Journal of Climate, 13 (24), 4378–4392. 740 Sobel, A. H., and J. D. Neelin, 2006: The boundary layer contribution to intertropical convergence 741 zones in the quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model framework. Theoretical and Compu- 742 tational Fluid Dynamics, 20 (5-6), 323–350. 743 Toma, V. E., and P. J. Webster, 2010: Oscillations of the intertropical convergence zone and the 744 genesis of easterly waves. Part I: diagnostics and theory. Climate dynamics, 34 (4), 587–604. 745 Tomas, R. A., J. R. Holton, and P. J. Webster, 1999: The influence of cross-equatorial pressure 746 gradients on the location of near-equatorial convection. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteo- 747 rological Society, 125 (556), 1107–1127. 748 Tomas, R. A., and P. J. Webster, 1997: The role of inertial instability in determining the loca- 749 tion and strength of near-equatorial convection. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological 750 Society, 123 (542), 1445–1482. 751 752 753 754 Waliser, D. E., and C. Gautier, 1993: A satellite-derived climatology of the ITCZ. Journal of Climate, 6 (11), 2162–2174. Waliser, D. E., and R. C. Somerville, 1994: Preferred latitudes of the intertropical convergence zone. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 51 (12), 1619–1639. 34 755 756 757 758 759 760 761 762 763 764 Walker, C. C., and T. Schneider, 2005: Response of idealized Hadley circulations to seasonally varying heating. Geophysical Research Letters, 32 (6). Walker, C. C., and T. Schneider, 2006: Eddy influences on Hadley circulations: Simulations with an idealized GCM. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 63 (12), 3333–3350. Williams, G. P., 1988: The dynamical range of global circulations: Part I. Climate Dynamics, 2 (4), 205–260. Xie, S.-P., 2004: The shape of continents, air-sea interaction, and the rising branch of the Hadley circulation. The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past and Future, Springer, 121–152. Yihui, D., and J. C. Chan, 2005: The East Asian summer monsoon: An overview. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 89 (1-4), 117–142. 35 765 LIST OF TABLES 766 Table 1. 767 Equivalent values of relevant parameters for heat capacity experiments (with Earth included for reference) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 . 37 768 769 TABLE 1. Equivalent values of relevant parameters for heat capacity experiments (with Earth included for reference) Heat capacity [J m 2 K 1] Slab ocean depth Thermal inertia timescale Earth 5.0 ⇥107 50 m 110 days Control simulation 1.0 ⇥107 10 m 22 days Heat capacity simulation A 1.0 ⇥105 10 cm 5.3 hours Heat capacity simulation B 1.0 ⇥103 1 mm 3.2 mins 37 770 LIST OF FIGURES 771 Fig. 1. Left) Seasonal insolation forcing. Right) “Eternal solstice” forcing. Contours are in W/m2 . . . 40 772 Fig. 2. Zonal mean precipitation (color contours, mm/day) in tenth year of control simulation with heat capacity CE = 107 J m 2 K 1 (top left), heat capacity experiment A (top right), heat capacity experiment B (bottom left), and “eternal solstice” simulation with heat capacity CE (bottom right). All four simulations were run at Earth’s rotation rate. See Table 1 for equivalent slab ocean depths and thermal inertia timescales. . . . . . . . . . . 41 773 774 775 776 777 Fig. 3. 778 779 780 781 782 783 784 785 Fig. 4. 786 787 788 789 Fig. 5. 790 791 792 Fig. 6. 793 794 795 796 797 798 799 800 Left) Zonal and time-mean low-level (850 hPa) MSE (green) and precipitation (blue) for “eternal solstice” case at Earth’s rotation rate (dashed) and averaged over northern summer solstice for control seasonal case (solid). The green circle and diamond represent the latitudes of the maximum MSE gradient for the seasonal and “eternal solstice” cases, respectively; Right) Zonal and time-mean circulation for “eternal solstice” case at Earth’s rotation rate. Streamfunction contours (black, solid lines counter-clockwise) are 10% of maximum, printed in top left corner in 109 kg/s. Grey contours are angular momentum contours (Wa2 /17 interval). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Zonal mean precipitation for five rotation cases using same contour scaling as Fig. 2. Orange vertical lines indicate time over which solstitial time averages are taken and represent the 20day period between ten days before the time of maximum zonal mean northern hemisphere precipitation (black cross) and ten days after that time. . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Zonal mean low-level MSE (color contours, kJ/kg) for five rotation cases. Orange vertical lines indicate same time period as labeled in Fig. 3. Black cross indicates maximum zonal mean northern hemisphere low-level MSE. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Left) Summer hemisphere forces on left y-axis, with positive values denoting a northward force and where BERN, COR, and DRAG correspond to the Bernoulli gradient, Coriolis, and frictional forces. Each force is diagnosed directly from simulation. Values of G, from Eq. 4, are on right y-axis. Vertical blue line represents the latitude of maximum P. Vertical integration taken from the surface to s = 0.85. Solstitial time averages taken over same period as previous figures. Right) Streamfunction, angular momentum, and drag. Streamfunction and angular momentum contours same as in Fig. 3. Drag force (color contours) in m/s2 . Vertical white line represents latitude of maximum vertically integrated BL drag force. Vertical blue line represents latitude of maximum P as in left column. . . . . . . . . . . . 45 801 Fig. 7. Same as Fig. 6, but for more slowly rotating cases. . . 46 802 Fig. 8. Maximum low-level MSE (green), Hadley cell extent (black), energy flux equator (red), and the latitude where hGi ⇡ 0.5 (orange) as compared to the ITCZ (blue) for different rotation cases. Blue line is 1:1. From left to right, rotation rates W/WE are: 4, 2, 1, 12 , 14 , 16 , 18 . . . . 47 Rotation rate versus latitudes of ITCZ (blue) and energy flux equator (red). Dashed lines represent scaling fits to cases with rotation rate W/WE = 16 and greater for both values (color corresponds to color of crosses). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 803 804 805 806 807 808 809 810 811 812 Fig. 9. . . . . . . . . . . Fig. 10. Solstitial insolation (black) and zonally and solstitially averaged OLR (red) for four different simulations at Earth’s rotation rate (left) and at W/WE = 18 (right): the seasonal case (top), the eddy-permitting “eternal solstice” case (second from top), the axisymmetric seasonal case (second from bottom), and the axisymmetric “eternal solstice” case (bottom). Vertical black lines indicate northern and southern extents of winter Hadley cell, defined here as the 38 813 814 latitudes where the streamfunction, taken at the pressure level of its maximum value, reaches 2% of that maximum value. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 . 49 F IG . 1. Left) Seasonal insolation forcing. Right) “Eternal solstice” forcing. Contours are in W/m2 . 40 815 F IG . 2. Zonal mean precipitation (color contours, mm/day) in tenth year of control simulation with heat 816 capacity CE = 107 J m 2 817 (bottom left), and “eternal solstice” simulation with heat capacity CE (bottom right). All four simulations were 818 run at Earth’s rotation rate. See Table 1 for equivalent slab ocean depths and thermal inertia timescales. K 1 (top left), heat capacity experiment A (top right), heat capacity experiment B 41 819 F IG . 3. Left) Zonal and time-mean low-level (850 hPa) MSE (green) and precipitation (blue) for “eternal 820 solstice” case at Earth’s rotation rate (dashed) and averaged over northern summer solstice for control seasonal 821 case (solid). The green circle and diamond represent the latitudes of the maximum MSE gradient for the seasonal 822 and “eternal solstice” cases, respectively; Right) Zonal and time-mean circulation for “eternal solstice” case at 823 Earth’s rotation rate. Streamfunction contours (black, solid lines counter-clockwise) are 10% of maximum, 824 printed in top left corner in 109 kg/s. Grey contours are angular momentum contours (Wa2 /17 interval). 42 825 F IG . 4. Zonal mean precipitation for five rotation cases using same contour scaling as Fig. 2. Orange vertical 826 lines indicate time over which solstitial time averages are taken and represent the 20-day period between ten 827 days before the time of maximum zonal mean northern hemisphere precipitation (black cross) and ten days after 828 that time. 43 829 F IG . 5. Zonal mean low-level MSE (color contours, kJ/kg) for five rotation cases. Orange vertical lines 830 indicate same time period as labeled in Fig. 4. Black cross indicates maximum zonal mean northern hemisphere 831 low-level MSE. 44 832 F IG . 6. Left) Summer hemisphere forces on left y-axis, with positive values denoting a northward force and 833 where BERN, COR, and DRAG correspond to the Bernoulli gradient, Coriolis, and frictional forces. Each force 834 is diagnosed directly from simulation. Values of G, from Eq. 4, are on right y-axis. Vertical blue line represents 835 the latitude of maximum P. Vertical integration taken from the surface to s = 0.85. Solstitial time averages taken 836 over same period as previous figures. Right) Streamfunction, angular momentum, and drag. Streamfunction and 837 angular momentum contours same as in Fig. 3. Drag force (color contours) in m/s2 . Vertical white line represents 838 latitude of maximum vertically integrated BL drag force. Vertical blue line represents latitude of maximum P as 839 in left column. 45 F IG . 7. Same as Fig. 6, but for more slowly rotating cases. 46 840 F IG . 8. Maximum low-level MSE (green), Hadley cell extent (black), energy flux equator (red), and the 841 latitude where hGi ⇡ 0.5 (orange) as compared to the ITCZ (blue) for different rotation cases. Blue line is 1:1. 842 From left to right, rotation rates W/WE are: 4, 2, 1, 12 , 14 , 16 , 18 . 47 843 F IG . 9. Rotation rate versus latitudes of ITCZ (blue) and energy flux equator (red). Dashed lines represent 844 scaling fits to cases with rotation rate W/WE = 845 crosses). 1 6 and greater for both values (color corresponds to color of 48 846 F IG . 10. Solstitial insolation (black) and zonally and solstitially averaged OLR (red) for four different simula1 8 847 tions at Earth’s rotation rate (left) and at W/WE = 848 solstice” case (second from top), the axisymmetric seasonal case (second from bottom), and the axisymmetric 849 “eternal solstice” case (bottom). Vertical black lines indicate northern and southern extents of winter Hadley 850 cell, defined here as the latitudes where the streamfunction, taken at the pressure level of its maximum value, 851 reaches 2% of that maximum value. (right): the seasonal case (top), the eddy-permitting “eternal 49